Duke Basketball Playbook 2024-2025

Duke Blue Devils Pre-Season Edition (Season 16; Issue 0) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Pre-Season Edition (October 18, 2024)
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During the Blue-White game, faces both familiar and fresh give a glimpse of the future of this Duke team. Photo credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

You may notice a chasm where Bill’s CliffsNotes would usually be. Family circumstances prevent his contribution at this moment, but he will return to the DBP in the first regular season entry.  Of course, we miss his insights and eloquence in the meantime!

ALANALYSIS:

The prospects for the 2024-25 edition of the Duke Blue Devils are as intriguing and unpredictable as I can remember.  Only 2 players return from last year’s rotation – junior point guard Tyrese Proctor and Sophomore backup point guard Caleb Foster.  Gone are starters from last year: Kyle Filipowski (NBA), Jared McCain (NBA), Jeremy Roach (transferred to Baylor) and Mark Mitchell (transferred to Missouri).  Five backup players also transferred, even including two red shirts.  With 9 newcomers to the rotation (6 heralded freshmen and 3 experienced transfers), this Duke team is loaded with talent. 

Point guard will be as critical as any position for this year with multiple options.  Jeremy Roach transferred to Baylor in what was for us a shocking move.  Jeremy knows his professional career will be at point guard.  Coach Scheyer played him at scoring/shooting guard, with Proctor at the point, for the good of the team.  Jeremy did not transfer until he knew that Proctor was returning.

Whether this team of strangers can create the necessary championship chemistry will determine whether the Blue Devils will contend for a National Championship or produce a disappointing mediocre season.  Intriguing and unpredictable!

What We Have Seen So Far

There is no real way to analyze this edition of the Blue Devils without seeing them in competition against good teams.  Of course, that hasn’t yet occurred.  However, Duke has released footage of workouts (everyone looks great in the highlights), and there were two Blue-White 10-minute halves played on October 4, 2024, at “Countdown to Craziness”.  Players switched teams for the second half.  Those two halves are the most we have to go on so far.

Caleb Foster has succeeded Ryan Young as the host of Duke’s The Brotherhood podcast.  Caleb has interviewed each of the rotation candidates (Duke has 11 good players;  these 11 are all hoping and competing to be in the rotation. Being a rotation player meaningful time in the game, regardless of who starts the game.  Typically, Duke – by season end – has established between 7 and 9 rotation players).  Caleb was excellent in drawing out spontaneous and candid reactions of who was most impressive in practice, which were amazingly consistent with each other and contributed to what we know before the season actually begins.

The 11 Players Competing to Be in the Rotation

Tyrese Proctor and Caleb Foster

In the postseason, nothing is more critical to success than a reliable backcourt.  Duke returns these two experienced guards, who have given checkered performances in the past.  I believe Proctor’s return is the reason that Jeremy transferred to Baylor.  Tyrese has been extraordinary at times and disappointing at others.  Whether Proctor realizes his potential or not will have a profound impact on Duke’s season.

I believe the role Foster has played in the podcasts has given him renewed confidence.  His play in the second half of the “Blue-White” contests corroborates that potential.  In 10 minutes, he was 5-5 (on a mix of drives, deep shots, and intermediate shots) to lead all scorers with 14 points.  He was the star!

The Six Heralded Freshmen

Hotly Heralded

When we say heralded, we mean literally heralded.  In ESPN’s analysis of the top 100 NBA big board rankings for next Spring’s draft, three Duke freshmen are ranked in the top 8 that are predicted to be drafted in the lottery (quotes are from ESPN).

 # 1 Cooper Flagg, (6’9” all-court player), who was the only amateur on the Select Team that played the US National team in pre-Olympic games: “ The 17-year-old’s versatility on both ends of the floor will make him an impact player from Day 1 despite his youth, as he’s already one of the best teenage defenders you’ll find with his exceptional combination of intensity, instincts and explosiveness.” 

#6 Kon Knueppel (6’7” wing) who was rated last year’s 17th best high school player.  His Duke teammates consistently told Caleb on the podcasts that surprisingly, Kon was the best player in the practice. “Knueppel has drawn rave reviews all preseason from Duke’s coaching staff, and we got to witness it when taking in a 90-minute scrimmage in Durham, North Carolina. It’s easy to see why Knueppel led the Nike EYBL in scoring and 3-pointers made, while converting a blistering 47% of his attempts, as he has elite balance, footwork and range getting into spot-up and pull-up jumpers. He has shown excellent pace, physicality and skill with the ball, demonstrating versatility and smarts while creating shots for himself and others.” 

# 8 Khaman Maluach, (7’2” 250 lbs. center with a 7′ 6” wingspan), who played in the Olympics for South Sudan, and in the Nike Hoops Summit for the World team against a USA team led by Flagg.  He just turned 18 last month.  “ it’s obvious he’s going to play an important role anchoring the Blue Devils’ defense with his terrific timing as a rim-protector and solid mobility covering ground on the perimeter. Maluach is a terrific communicator who plays with intensity, which helps compensate to an extent for his lack of experience, having played the sport for roughly only five years. That shows up most vividly on offense, where he doesn’t have the best hands or processing speed currently, being a little mistake prone and not quite as reliable a finisher as one might hope with him lacking strength and balance.”

Incredibly, and without precedent, ESPN believes at this moment that 3 of the first 8 NBA draft choices next spring will come from this Duke team!  

Warmly Heralded

Both Isaiah Evans, (6’6” wing – i.e. shooting guard or small forward) North Carolina high school player of the year, rated # 13 in last year’s high school class.  He appears to be a pure scorer:there are some players that just score — perimeter, intermediate game, and at the rim.  Not great shooters, but unstoppable scorers.  Evans amassed that reputation in high school.  He scored 62 points in a State Championship game.

Darren Harris, (6’6” wing) the lowest rated freshman, at # 37, in his high school class, might also be the best pure shooter.  Harris played for Virginia’s Pope Pius VI.  The National High School championship game had Florida’s Monteverde, led by Cooper Flagg, defeating Pope Pius VI with Harris playing .

Finally, Patrick Ngongba II, (6”11” center) also from Pope Pius VI, was rated # 19 in his high school class even though he did not play much because of a serious foot injury.  He did play 2 final games – the Nike Hoops Summit where he played for the US team and guarded Kahman.  Patrick also made a brief appearance in the National championship game against Monteverde.  He is unfortunately out with an injury (might be the same one that did not heal right), but he impressed me with his movement.  He will be valuable when he returns.

The Three Veteran Transfers

Duke welcomes three veteran players. Coach Scheyer recruited these transfers  who have already accomplished much in their college careers. 

 Maliq Brown, is a 6’9” junior power forward from Syracuse who made the ACC All-Defensive team last year..  He impressed Coach Scheyer when he scored 26 points and grabbed 7 boards against Duke last year in Cameron.  After Knueppel, Maliq’s teammates on the podcasts mentioned him as the most efficient in practice, especially praising his defense.  If Ngongba is out injured, Maliq will back up Khaman; unless Maliq wins a starting job at power forward – Duke would then have a huge and powerful frontcourt with Flagg, Khaman, and Maliq.  Unlikely, but certainly possible and may happen at times.

Mason Gillis, a 6’6” wing and grad transfer, who was the 6th Man of the Year in the Big 10 last year for Purdue.  He played in last year’s championship game, and is reputed to be a deadly 3-point shooter.  

Sion James is a 6’6” point guard graduate transfer from Tulane, who has played well on both ends of the court in scrimmages.  James was, in my opinion, the surprise star of the pre-season scrimmage.  He blocked two of Khaman’s shots at the rim!  He drove, passed, all while exuding charisma.  

Goals and Predictions

Duke’s goals at the beginning of every season have always been: 1) win the ACC regular season championship; 2) win the ACC tournament; and 3) win the NCAA championship.  AP’s preseason rating (Oct. 14)  of the top 25 teams has Duke at # 7, and UNC at #9.  UNC will be very tough, returning RJ Davis, a first-team All-American last year, and the preseason favorite for the Wooden Award.

Teams in the  ACC frequently exceeded preseason expectations.  For example, who saw N.C. State in the preseason as a Final Four team in 2023 (Answer: no one).  Preseason, the Wolfpack were predicted to finish 6th in the ACC with no guarantee of even an ACC tournament bid.  All N.C. State did was win the ACC regular season, the ACC tournament, and get to the final Championship game of the season in the NCAA tournament before losing.  Preseason predictions can seem to be just for fun.

The Schedule

Exhibition games

October 19 in Cameron at 1 pm, Duke plays Lincoln College (Pa), a Division II  HBCU near Oxford Pa. Lincoln is predicted to win the CIAA conference.  It will be on ACCNX.  I can pick that up on ESPN+.

On October 27 at 7 pm in Cameron, Duke will welcome Bobby Hurley and his Arizona State Sun Devils in the Brotherhood Run charity exhibition game to benefit Duke Children’s hospital and to honor Hurley, whose Jersey (# 11) was retired in 1993.  Hurley, the former Duke point guard (1990 – 1993) holds the NCAA men’s basketball record for career assists with 1,076 and sparked the Blue Devils to a four-year record of 119-26 (.821) with three Final Four appearances and back-to-back national championships in 1991 and 1992. In addition to his record-breaking assists, the 1992 NCAA Final Four Most Outstanding Player and two-time All-America selection (1992, 1993) amassed career totals of 1,731 points, 306 rebounds and 202 steals from 1989-93.  

No TV listed, but I predict the game will be televised.

The Regular Season

Duke opens in Cameron on November 4 at 7 pm on ACCN against Maine (a bow to Cooper Flagg, who hails from Maine.)  The Blue Devils have 7 games in November and 4 of them are against serious opponents:

November 12 against Kentucky (ranked # 23 by AP Preseason)  in Atlanta, Ga. in the State Farm Classic (ESPN at 9 pm)

November 22 against Arizona (ranked # 10 by AP Preseason)  at the McHale Center in Tucson

November 26 against Kansas (ranked # 1 by AP Preseason) in Las Vegas (Vegas Showdown) on ESPN at 9pm

November 27 against Seattle (unranked) in Las Vegas (Vegas Showdown) on ESPN at 7pm.

Conclusion

This configuration  of the Blue Devils could end up mediocre or as the National Champions.  Duke plays an unusual number of serious games in the early going. We will know much more about this Duke team after the December 4 home game against Auburn (ranked # 11 by AP Preseason)  in the ACC/SEC Challenge and the December 8 game against Louisville at the “KFC Yum! Center”,  which is the beginning of the ACC season. 


Duke Blue Devils Pre-Season Edition (Season 16; Issue 1) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 
Exhibition Games Edition (October 31, 2024)

The brotherhood lasts a lifetime. Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s Cliffsnotes:

After watching a few scrimmages and exhibition games, I have thoughts and some questions:

This is the deepest, most talented team Duke has ever had. This squad may have too much talent. The question is whether Coach Scheyer and his staff are experienced enough to handle this many good players? What will his rotation be? Seven, eight, or ten players? Duke tradition has been that a six or seven man rotation works the best. But this risks making disgruntled players who do not get playing time.

Gymnasiums are full of assistant coaches who have failed when they have followed legends, like John Wooden, Dean Smith. True, Jon Scheyer has really excelled at recruiting, but coaching is another skill set—especially in the current easy transfer portal and  one-and-done era. Every hometown star who gets a scholarship to a bigtime school has his parents, friends, and agents filling his head with unrealistic expectations. Remember, these are teenagers and young adults, most of whom have been

catered to and spoiled because they are gifted athletes, not

because they are necessarily potential Phi Beta Kappas.

Don’t get me wrong. I think Jon Scheyer was a good choice. He had a legendary career as a high school player in the Chicago area, moved to point guard at Duke mid-career, out of necessity, and was a key component in winning a NCAA Championship. Through his four years at Duke, he proved to be one of the smartest, most reliable players Coach K every recruited, which is why he was offered a job on staff after a serious eye injury perhaps short circuited his potential pro career prospects. Perhaps it was a blessing in disguise, because his skill set was always more mental rather than physical.

His current Duke team is blessed with both size and fire power, with 7’2” Maluach (from Sudan), 6’11’ Patrick Ngonga (from St. Paul Vl in Manassas – currently injured), and 6’9” Cooper Flagg (from Maine), everyone’s #1 Freshman. So far, 6’7’ Kon Knueppel (from Wisconsin) has been the most impressive three-point shooter at Duke since J.J. Redick. Others, including some interesting, experienced transfer players will have to fight for playing time.

The major conundrum I have is that the point guards are young; they’ve been ok but not consistent championship caliber– but then neither was Bobby Hurley as a freshman.

The bottom line is that this squad is promising, perhaps the most promising in Duke’s history, but only time will tell if they will become a team that the basketball gods smile upon.

The freshmen fly high. Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Alanalysis

The two exhibition games were our first chance to see this season’s Duke team play against two other teams, neither of which is considered to be the kind of elite team that the Blue Devils will have to dominate to have a championship season.  Still, seeing who Coach Scheyer started, brought off the bench, and for how long each played was informative.  It was a good chance to evaluate individual players.

The first exhibition game against Division II Lincoln (Pa) was played on October 19, and the second, against Bobby Hurley’s Arizona State, was played on October 27.  Both games were in Cameron.  Hurley’s return to Cameron (first time in 31 years) was deservedly celebrated, as he is one of the greatest Duke players ever (2 National championships, the All-Time college assist leader – still – and First Team All-American). Both Coach K and Hurley’s former team mate Grant Hill also attended – to cheer everyone on!

The lineups that Coach Scheyer chose and employed, and the statistical results from each of the 10 who may make the rotation, are identified herein.  The 11th possible rotation player, 6’ 10” freshman center, Patrick Ngongba II, has been injured and unable to play yet.

Notes from Lincoln (Pa) Game on October 19, 2024

Duke started Caleb Foster (returning) and Sion James (grad transfer from Tulane) in the backcourt, freshmen Cooper Flagg and Kon Knueppel on the wings, and Maliq Brown (Junior transfer from Syracuse) at center.  Proctor (returning), Khaman Maluach (freshman), and Mason Gillis (grad transfer from Purdue) were the main players off the bench. Freshmen Isaiah Evans and Darren Harris also played significant minutes in the second half.  

Halftime score – Duke 56 – Lincoln 34

First Half: Minutes Fouls The Good Stuff

Foster 14 2 5 points

James   7 2 3 assists

Flagg 13 2 13 points, 6 assists, 3 blocks, a steal

Brown   8 3 2 rebounds, 6 points

Knueppel 18 1 15 points , 3 boards, 2 Assists

Gillis 12 0 a steal, 2 rebounds

Proctor 14 1 15 points, 3 boards, assist and steal

Harris   2 0

Maluach 12 0 9 boards, 2 blocks, a steal, 2-2 foul shots

Full Game  Duke 107 v. Lincoln 56 (2nd half – Duke 51 – Lincoln 22)

Foster 22 2 8 points, an assist and a steal

James 18 4 7 points, 6 boards, 3 assists. 2 steals

Flagg 24 2 22 points, 6 assists, 4 blocks, 2 boards

Brown 19 3 7 points, 3 assists, 4 boards, 3 steals

Knueppel 25 2 17 points, 5 boards, 3 assists

Gillis 19 0 3 rebounds, a steal, 2-2 free throws

Evans 10 1 9 points, 3 boards, 2 assists, a steal

Proctor 22 1 19 points, 3 assists, 3 boards, a steal

Harris 13 1 8 points, 2 boards, 2 assists

Maluach 20 0 11 boards, 2 blocks, a steal, 4 points

Duke’s Defense: was not coherent in the early going, but improved, then holdingLincoln to 22 second-half points.  In the first 12 minutes of the second half, Duke scored only 22 points.  But, in the last 8 minutes, the Blue Devils scored 34. 

Notes from the Arizona State Game on October 27, 2024

Halftime score — Duke 37 – Arizona State 21

The starting lineup now appears (to me) to be set: the guards are the returning Caleb Foster and Tyrese Proctor.  Surprisingly, Caleb is the primary ball handler.  The starters up front are the freshmen Cooper Flagg, Kon Knueppel and Khaman Maluach.  Sion James and Mason Gillis were the first off the bench and played substantial minutes.  Maliq Brown (limited by 3 fouls), Isaiah Evans and Darren Harris made token appearances.

Caleb led the scoring with 9 points.  Cooper Flagg and Proctor each scored 7, with Cooper adding 4 boards and 2 assists.  Maluach added 6 points, 5 boards and a block.  The only other scorers were Kon Knueppel and Mason Gillis with 4 points each.

Full Game  Duke 103 v. Arizona State 47 (2nd half – Duke 66 – Arizona State 26)

            Minutes Fouls The Good Stuff

Knueppel 21 0 19 points, 5 rebounds, 4 assists and 2 steals

Foster 23 1 17 points, 3 assists and 2 steals

Proctor 21 1 10 points, 3 assists, 4 boards and a steal

Flagg 20 1 9 points, 4 boards and 3 assists

Maluach 21 1 8 points, 12 boards an assist and a steal

James 22 2 13 points, 3 assists and a steal

Gillis 22 1 10 points, 4 assists, 5 boards

Brown 17 3 5 boards (did not score)

Harris 13 0 10 points, 3 steals and 2 boards

Evans 10 1 5 points and 2 assists

In the second half, Duke shot 65% from 3land (15-23), 62% overall (23-37).  After going 0-4 from deep in the first half, Kon exploded for 10 points on 3 consecutive possessions that took exactly 86 seconds – and blew open the game.  He hit 3 straight 3s (getting fouled on the last one for a 4 point play).  That’s called explosive!

Moreover, Duke committed only 7 turnovers in the entire game and handed out 25 assists on 38 made field goals.  (Duke had 25 assists on 37 made field goals against Lincoln.)  In both games, Duke moved and shared the ball like a championship team. 

The Cameron Crazies went berserk when Spencer Hubbard scored at the end of each game.  He is such a fan favorite!

But it has been Duke’s defense that really impressed – in both games.  Against both Lincoln and Arizona State, the Blue Devils forced 18 turnovers.  While Khaman Maluach had 2 blocks in each game, he altered or kept opponents from even attempting to score at the rim.  Many times, adversaries drove past Duke players only to encounter Khaman coming over to contest them at the rim.  More often than not, no shot was attempted.  At 7’2” with a 9’8” standing reach as well as his leaping ability, Khaman is a real rim protector.

In a postgame interview, Hurley complimented Duke, “[Duke] really played well together. Both ends, their communication, they are switching. They are challenging shots. They are pressuring us on defense, so things didn’t come easy to us in any way on that end of the floor. 

“On the flip side, they seem like they’re a very connected group, a team that, a bunch of guys that are willing to share the ball to make the right play and guys that have pretty high IQs. I really liked [Kon] Knueppel on the film. I watched and he showed that again [in the game]. He moves without the ball, can shoot it, pass it. [Cooper] Flagg obviously [showed the same talents]. 

“So, they have a lot of good pieces and then they have the big guy [Khaman Maluach],  or they can play smaller; so, they have different ways that they can attack you. So, right now, they look really good to me. I’ve seen a lot of good teams over the years; yeah, they have a chance to be really good.”

Our steady returners – Caleb Foster and Tyrese Proctor. Photo Credit, GoDuke.com


Duke Blue Devils 96 v. Maine Brown Bears 62 (Season 16; Issue 2; Game 1) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #1 (November 4, 2024)
Duke Blue Devils 96 – Maine Brown Bears 62 at Cameron Indoor Stadium

Editorial Board Note:Bill is ill and Alan is pontificating in Virginia about legal issues, so the Editorial team is doing the lift solo to finalize this one. CliffsNotes and photos will return with the next issue!

ALANALYSIS

While Maine kept the game surprisingly close in the first half – Maine trailed by single digits (35-27) with 3:51 to go in the half – the outcome of the game was never in doubt, and Duke led by double digits for most of the opening stanza.  Duke led by 17 with 12:27 left in the half, but seemed to lose intensity, which allowed Maine to close the gap.  Coach Scheyer: “For us, it was the first time we’ve really been hit back hard, and I think that was great for us to experience. I think there’s a small part of human nature when you get that lead and you think, ‘All right it’s just going to keep going this way.’ That’s not how it works. And for us to experience that was really important tonight.”  Duke must learn to overcome “human nature”(as Coach K used to say –relaxing when  the lead is big is a tempting mistake.

The Blue Devils did entertain us in this game with devastating defense, topflight depth, and an offense in the second half that moved the ball, drove to the rim and made shots from the perimeter.   

The Defense

Maine’s Coach Chris Markwood’s words describe the impact of the Blue Devil defense perfectly:

“Duke’s pressure just really took us out of our execution, and that’s what they’ve been doing.  … What they do on the defensive side with the personnel that they have is tremendous. It really impacted what we were able to do offensively, and what we were able to execute. We just had a really hard time handling that on that side of the ball. I thought defensively, as the game went on too, our execution on what we do was very sloppy. And all the credit goes to Duke on that. The stuff they were running, the pace at which they were running it with, just made it difficult as the game went on… 

“A more modern day roster … allows them to be extremely versatile defensively and very interchangeable. That’s a big word you’re going to hear. You hear it in all phases of basketball right now, at all levels, and they have that. They’re very interchangeable with the guys that they brought back, the transfers that they brought in. It just allows them to play in different ways. I think Brown is a game-changer defensively with his ability to switch five. Obviously Maluach, you bring him in at 7’2”, and the rim protection and things that he brings to the table. They just can hurt you in a lot of different ways defensively. Then, when you add the pressure, because they’re so interchangeable, the switching, the picking you up the full court, it just takes you out of a lot of stuff. It doesn’t allow you to run your normal sets or your normal offense, because they’re always blowing it up. … They’re really good at really blowing up your game plan. Essentially, that’s what they’re trying to do. They’re tremendous defensively. I would be shocked if they’re not a top 5 or top 10 defense in the country as the year goes on.” 

However, Duke committed 12 second-half fouls, which produced 16 made free throws for Maine (16-16).  In fact, Maine scored 1 more point from the free throw line than the floor (6-24, including 1-6 from behind the arc for 15 points).

The Topflight Depth

Although freshmen Darren Harris and Isaiah Evans made cameo appearances near game’s end, the Blue Devils played 8 extensively.  Duke starters were the returning guards, Caleb Foster (Cfos) (22:28) and Tyrese Proctor (25:46) together with 3 heralded freshmen, Kon Nnueppel (31:22), Cooper Flagg (29:51) and Khaman Maluach (17:46).  Duke’s 3 veteran transfers supplied the topflight depth.  Maliq Brown (junior transfer from Syracuse) (21:39), Sion James (grad transfer from Tulane) (20:44), and Mason Gillis (grad transfer from Purdue, who was Big Ten Sixth Man of the Year last year) (20:18).  

The depth and full court pressure simply wore the Brown Bears out and allowed Duke to stretch its lead from 8 (44-36) after 28 seconds of the second half had been played to 36 points with only 1:54 left in the game.  

The Second Half Offense

The Blue Devils scored 52 points in the second half on 18-31 shooting from the floor (58%) including 6-14 from behind the arc (43%).  Subtracting the 3-point attempts, Duke made 12-17 inside the arc.  The scoring was balanced: Cooper scored 10 second-half points, Sion James had 8 points, Caleb, Tyrese and Kon each scored 7 points, and Mason scored 5.  Darren Harris also scored 6 second-half points (in 3:28 of second-half playing time).

The Blue Devil offense left the paint open for driving to the basket, with all five players stationed on the perimeter.  Maliq made some great passes to cutting Blue Devils. Duke scored 22 second half points in the paint.

The Blue Devils outrebounded Maine 24-9 including 7-1 on the offensive boards. Duke handed out 8 assists, while only turning it over 6 times.

THE ROTATION

Kon Knueppel (31:22) led Duke in scoring with 22 points, 15 in the first half, (8-14, including 3-8 from behind the arc, plus 3-3 from the stripe).  Kon grabbed 4 rebounds, handed out 2 assists and made a steal. Coach Scheyer, “I thought it was just great for [Kon] to see the ball go in early. He’s a multi-dimensional player, though. The scoring was great, but I thought his defense was really good. If teams collapse, he’s a really good passer, and he just plays every possession. Not just plays, he competes every possession. To me, that just sets a tone, and when there’s a guy on the court you have to find, it just opens up the floor for others too.” 

Cooper Flagg (29:51) played a great floor game.  He was injured with 3:59 left in the game, but it has been reported as only a cramp.  Cooper scored 18 points (6-15 from the floor, including 0-4 from deep, plus 6-6 from the foul line), while grabbing 7 rebounds and handing out 5 assists.  He also made 3 steals and played simply outstanding defense.

Tyrese Proctor (25:46) scored 10 points (3-6 from the floor including 3-5 from 3land, plus 1-1 from the line). Tyrese also grabbed 5 boards, but did not hand out an assist.  He was not the primary point guard.  He is demonstrating that he is a superb on-the-ball defender. Coach Scheyer, “Tyrese, even though he didn’t get a lot of shots, just the way he made others better [was valuable].” He had five rebounds, defended, and made simple plays.

Caleb (Cfos) Foster (22:28) played point guard, scoring 11 points (5-9, including 1-3 from behind the arc, plus 0-2 from the foul line).  Cfos handed out 3 assists and corralled 2 rebounds.  His drives to the basket were impressive.

Maliq Brown (21:39) scored only 2 points (1-2, including 0-1 from deep), but was one of Duke’s best players.  Maliq handed out 4 gorgeous assists and grabbed 7 rebounds while playing superb defense (he was on last year’s ACC all-Defensive team at Syracuse).

Sion James (20:44) plays point guard when Caleb isn’t running the team.  He scored 11 points (4-6 from the floor, including 1-2 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line).  Sion played excellent defense (2 steals) and grabbed 3 boards while handing out an assist.

Mason Gillis (20:18) scored 10 points (4-6 from the floor, including 2-4 from behind the arc).  Mason contributed an all-around floor game with 3 rebounds and 3 steals.

Khaman Maluach (17:46) played 12 first-half minutes, but only 5 in the closing stanza.  Khaman scored 6 points (3-3 from close in) while grabbing 6 rebounds and blocking 3 shots.  He also had an assist.  He changes and alters shots with his 7’5” wingspan.  

Isaiah Evans (6:38) had a brief cameo in each half (0-1 from the field) with 2 boards.

Darren Harris (3:28) had a very productive cameo appearance near the end of the second half.  He scored 6 points (1-1 from behind the arc and 3-5 from the foul line).

Closing Thoughts

Duke is rated 7th in the pre-season polls.  This is a group that could contend for the ACC and National Championships, depending on how chemistry develops.  The ACC games do not begin until December 8, 2024.  The Blue Devils face several games against blue chip opponents between now and then.  Our optimism is high.

NEXT PLAY: Friday, November 8, 2024, at 6 pm vs. Army at Cameron Indoor Stadium. ACCN


Duke Blue Devils 100 v. Army West Point Black Knights 58 (Season 16; Issue 3; Game 2) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #2 (November 8, 2024)
Duke Blue Devils 100 – Army West Point Black Knights (West Point) 58 at Cameron Indoor Stadium 

Kon jazzes up the crowd. 

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffNotes:

The powderpuff part of the schedule will end abruptly as Duke meets Kentucky, Arizona, Kansas, and Auburn on the road in rapid succession before starting their always challenging ACC schedule. These games will show how well the freshmen have matured and the team has gelled. Do not expect them to sweep the series but, if no one is injured, they should emerge from the crucible better for the experience. The new reality is that we expect players in the one-and-done era to mature at warp speed—accomplish in a week or maybe a year what it used to take three or four years. Gee, in my day freshmen couldn’t even play on the varsity–even if their name was Art Heyman or Doug Moe. Now Duke has a 17 year old, whose twin brother is still in high school, who is considered a generational talent and is the projected first pick in the NBA draft, and the most gifted freshmen are auditioning for the NBA draft.

Consider this: North Carolina, coming off a close game at home against Elon, and finally without Bacot, their high scoring and rebounding center (as well as other key players) were down 15 at the half  to Kansas at Allen Field House in Lawrence, Kansas.  But they rallied and were leading by four with minutes to go (ultimately losing by three).  Even with R.J. Davis, their All American guard  having a rare off night,  their young players, who could not throw the ball in the ocean from a dingy last year, couldn’t miss most of the night. Alert – UNC is running the court all the time and is still no easy out this year!

As I pointed out, so far neither Procter nor Foster, while talented players, have not yet demonstrated that they are, as of yet, playoff point guards.  Personally, I like Sion James, who is built like a linebacker (6’6”, 235 lbs.) at the point better, with Procter and Foster sharing the shooting guard spot. Or, better yet, Cooper Flagg running the point at key moments. With the game on the line, you want the ball in the hands of the best, and most versatile player. This is not to discount Kon Knueppel (aka Special K), who may be Duke’s best shooter since J.J. Redick or Dick Groat.

As impressive as some of these Duke players may appear, they have not come up against mature—in talent and size– competition with their skill set. They are deceptively young, with various levels of maturity. Some respond, some don’t.

Stay tuned!

OTHER COMMENTS:

Saturday’s victory over N. C. State was the first time in about twenty years that Duke beat both UNC and the Wolfpack in football in the same year. Coach Diaz, whose father was once mayor of Miami, and his assistants have done a wonderful job this year—despite trying circumstances.

Buzz Mewhort, captain of the 1962 basketball team, and his lovely wife Martha were in Hilton Head this weekend. We had lunch with them and Harvy (his former fraternity brother) and Marilyn Rich, and Johnny and Jo Tar Heel.  A piece of trivia: Buzz is the only player to play for both Vic Bubas and Dean Smith. It happened when the UNC 1957 NCAA Champions were barnstorming through North Carolina.  In one game UNC was short of players and Buzz was chosen to switch teams!  

A poised Proctor projects his classic long range shot

Photo credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

My favorite fact to illustrate Duke’s overall team superiority against Army is that Duke scored 57 second-half points… without Cooper Flagg contributing a single point.  In fact,  Duke walk-on Spencer Hubbard (senior, 5’8”) outscored Flagg 3-0 in the closing stanza.  It is also insightful that the Blue Devils held the West Pointers to 20 first-half points.  Stunning statistic!

Next up: Kentucky

The Blue Devils have rolled over their first four opponents (2 exhibition games [107-56; 103-47] and 2 regular season games against lesser opponents [96-92; and 100-58]).  The next game, however, is against an elite team – how the team handles this will give us a more accurate read on the progress and status of this 2024-2025 edition.  On Tuesday, November 12th  Duke takes on the Kentucky Wildcats in the State Farm Classic in Atlanta, Georgia.  Kentucky is 2-0, having reached 100 points in each game (beat Wright State 103-62 and Bucknell 100-72) to earn a 15th in the nation ranking from Jay Bilas.  

Coach Lawson put the point perfectly when the Duke women lost a tough road game against highly ranked Maryland: “You play these games to learn about yourselves –to have things revealed.  You win by 50, you don’t learn a ton about yourself; you just learn you can blow people out.  These types of games, you learn about each player. How do they handle a top match up; how do they handle going up against a top team?  How do they handle it when we go down 10 points?  These are the kind of things you need to know about your team.   So, then you can try and fix it”

The next edition of the DBP will be a Must Read.

Flagg waves in an athletic dunk.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Cooper Flagg

For the second game in a row, Cooper left the game because of cramping in his calf. In the first half, Flagg was superb (13 points, 10 boards, 2 blocks, 2 assists, and a steal). He played only 4:21 of the second half before being forced to step out of  the game with leg cramps. After a short stint on the bench, Cooper tried to come back, but left the game for good after playing for another 1:20.

Coach Scheyer: “I’m not happy about it for him. We have to help him, and we will. We can’t have that happening. Bottom line. I thought he had it going, too. That first half, he was just really controlling the whole game with his rebounding, his passing, his playmaking, his scoring. He was assertive shooting the ball. So, that can’t happen. I’m not happy with it, and we’re going to fix that.” 

Defense and Rebounding

Scheyer: I was happy with what we did, overall. A lot to clean up, a lot to build on. Particularly the first-half defense, to hold them to 20 points was great. Cooper [Flagg] and Khaman [Maluach], to have double digit rebounds in the first half.” The  leading rebounders for the full game (as opposed to just the first half) were Khaman who retrieved 14 rebounds in 21:41 of playing time. Flagg retrieved one board in the second half, giving him 11 for the game. Maliq Brown snared 7 in 18:25.

Offense

Duke had 19 assists on 35 field goals.  The ball was really moving, and the scoring was balanced (Kon had15 points, Tyrese 14, Cooper 13, Sion James 12, Caleb 11,  Khaman 11, and Mason Gillis scored 8).  In the second half, the Blue Devils shot 68% (21-31) from the field, including 10-16 from behind the arc (meaning Duke was 11-15 from inside the 3 point line), scoring 57 second-half points.  Phenomenal is the appropriate adjective!

A determined Caleb driving for a hoop

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

Kon Knueppel (27:00) led Duke in scoring with 15 points (5-9 from the field, including 4-6 from 3land, plus 1-1 from the stripe) to go with a pair of rebounds, 2 assists and a steal. His star is rising.

Caleb (aka CFos) Foster (24:43) was Duke’s primary point guard, scoring 11 points (5-10 from the field, including 1-3 from deep) to go with 3 assists.  His growth from last year as both a point guard and scorer is being apparent.

Cooper Flagg (24:33, 18:53 in the first half) dominated the game in the first half before cramping cut short his second-half playing time.  Cooper scored 13 points (all in the first half) (5-10 from the field, including 2-4 from behind the arc, plus 1-3 from the stripe) to go with 11 boards (he got a second half rebound), 3 blocks, 3 assists and 2 steals. He is living up to the hype.

Tyrese Proctor (23:02) scored 14 second-half points after going scoreless in the first half (including missing his 3 shots from behind the arc).  For the game, Tyrese was 5-12 from the field, including 4-9 from deep, to go with 5 boards, 3 assists, and a blocked shot. He is playing less point guard and more shooting guard.

Khaman Maluach (21:41) scored 11 points (4-7 from the field, including 0-1 from behind the arc, plus 3-4 from the stripe) to go with his 14 rebounds.  After the game, Khaman told reporters, “I just went out there and did my job. Get rebounds – that’s all I had in my head. Get every offensive rebound or every defensive rebound.  I’m getting there one step at a time with the college game. It’s a different game, but I feel like I’m catching up every game. I knew it was going to be different, and I wasn’t scared of the change, so I knew a lot of stuff was going to be different and I had to just adapt to it. Being a college athlete is great and I’m just enjoying and embracing every moment while I’m here.” 

Sion James (18:25) had a wonderful game, scoring 12 points (3-8 from the field, including 1-4 from behind the arc, plus 5-5 from the foul line) to go with excellent defense (2 steals) and 4 assists.  He is a terrific backup at the point.

Maliq Brown (18:25) had 7 rebounds, an assist, and a steal while playing exceptional defense.  He scored only 2 points (1-2 from the field without a 3 point attempt plus 0-2 from the stripe), but he is such a valuable defender. He was voted to the ACC All-Defensive team last year, playing for Syracuse.

Mason Gillis (18:09) scored 8 points (2-4 from deep plus 2-2 from the foul line) to go with 2 rebounds, an assist, and a steal.  He is highly valued for his past experience at Purdue – being voted Sixth Man of the Year in the Big 10 last year and playing in the finals of the NCAA tournament – he has become a steadying influence.

Isaiah Evans (9:29) scored 6 points (2-4 from the field, including 1-3 from 3land, plus 1-1 from the stripe) to go with a pair of rebounds.

Darren Harris (7:00) scored 5 points (2-2, including 1-1 from deep), plus a steal.

Spencer Hubbard (2:31) was 1-1 from behind the arc, sending the Crazies into loud ecstasy for their fan favorite!!

Summing Up

Coach Scheyer is pleased with his rotation, especially the three transfers (Maliq Brown, Sion James, and Mason Gillis.) “When you add a Sion and add a Mason, they’re over themselves [They have already made their bones as the freshmen have not]. They’ve already gone through the experiences of a freshman, a sophomore trying to find out who they are, and it brings security with those guys. Maliq [Brown] is very close to that, as well. Then our freshmen, I just think our freshmen are mature beyond their years, and they’re about the right things. They’re about being coached.”

Khaman “enjoying and embracing every moment”

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

NEXT PLAY: Tuesday, November 12, 2024, at 9 pm vs. Kentucky in the State Farm Classic at the State Farm Arena in Atlanta Ga. TV: ESPN


Duke Blue Devils 72 v. Kentucky Wildcats 77 (Season 16; Issue 4; Game 3) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #3 (November 11, 2024) 
Duke Blue Devils 72 – Kentucky Wildcats 77 at State Farm Arena in Atlanta Georgia (State Farm Champions Classic) 

Cooper Flagg dances on air to the basket. 

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffNotes:

Maybe it is a characteristic of a young team, maybe it is something else, but I would like to point out to the Blue Devils that they are not in high school anymore – the college game is a full 40 minutes. It is counter productive to win the first 20 minutes or so and then get outplayed most of the second half.  Seems like last year’s team (perhaps the year before also) had the same problem, but the result is the same—heart break! 

It would help if we hit a better percentage of free throws and threes. Of course, it would also help if Maluach and James hadn’t been injured. Cooper Flagg proved he could rise to the moment—except for the last 30 seconds –next year’s presumptive first pick in the NBA draft wasn’t so special. But then that was the bottom line – what Blue Devil players had their Big Boy Pants on for the entire game?

Khaman dunks…Can’t block that shot! Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS:

Coach Scheyer echoed Duke women’s coach, Kara Lawson, “you find out in this game the character of your team, the heart that they have.” In our previous issue, Kara was quoted, “These types of games, you learn about each player. How do they handle a top match up; how do they handle going up against a top team?  How do they handle it when we go down 10 points?  These are the kind of things you need to know about your team.   So, then you can try and fix it.” Scheyer pointed to the gallant resistance Duke put up even as their once substantial lead continued to shrink. I do not believe “gallant resistance” is the main lesson the Blue Devils need to take from this late-game loss.

Duke needs to address its offensive melt down in the second half (26 total points; 29% shooting including 1-11 from 3land), frustrating turnovers (not just the last 2 by Cooper) and a crucial missed free throw in the final seconds when the game was on the line. All this was on top of a defense that was never efficient and turned even more porous in the second half (Kentucky scored 40 second-half points on 44% shooting).  

Duke’s depth proved deceptive, if not non-existent.  Khaman Maluach kept cramping, which limited his playing time, and his efficiency, while Sion James was injured early in the second half and was able to play only 1:19 in the closing stanza.  Thus, Cooper Flagg, Tyrese Proctor and Kon Knueppel all played the full 20 minutes of the second half.  Maliq Brown and Khaman split the time almost evenly at the center position.  The only other bench help was Mason Gillis’s 5:08.  Isaiah Evans and Darren Harris never entered the game.

While the Blue Devils played an excellent first half, scoring 46 points to lead by 9 (46-37) at the half, the final score is deceptive because the Wildcats completely outplayed the Blue Devils in the closing stanza. Duke’s play in the second half was so subpar that the final score of the game does not reveal Duke’s dramatic shortcomings.  For the game, Duke could not find the basket from behind the arc, shooting 17% (4-23).  The Wildcats scored 30 points from deep (10-25) compared to Duke’s 12.

The Second Half (Kentucky 40 – Duke 26)

The Blue Devils’ 9 point lead  at the end of the first half continued through the first 6:23 of the second half. Then, turnovers (6 against only 5 assists) and missed shots contributed to a shrinking lead.  The Wildcats achieved their first tie of the second half (67-67) with only 3:57 left in the game, and first lead after a Kon turnover with 2:40 remaining (69-67).  With 2 minutes left in the game, Cooper was fouled as he hit a jumper and cashed the free throw to give Duke its last lead (70-69)  

Ten seconds later, Kentucky’s Andrew Carr hit a layup as he was fouled by Khaman.  When Carr cashed the free throw, the Wildcats led 72-70.  Foster made a great play with 1:20 left to play when he stole the ball and was fouled. When Foster stepped to the line to shoot a 1 and 1,  he could have tied the score, but he missed the crucial front end… and that opportunity.  Fortunately for Duke, Brown corralled the offensive rebound and Cooper tied the score at 72 on a layup with 1:14 left , which proved to be Duke’s final points of the game.

Maliq made a great block and Cooper secured the rebound — Blue Devil ball in a tie game with 30 seconds left.  It was no surprise that Scheyer put the ball in Cooper’s hands after the superb game he played, and also compared to how his teammates had performed in the second half. The star freshman dribbled into a corner and then simply lost the ball with 12 seconds left. Shocking after Cooper had  kept Duke in the game for the entire second half.  Kon fouled Kentucky’s Otega Oweh with 10 seconds left, and Oweh made them both.  Kentucky led by 2.  Cooper streaked down the court, but again lost the ball when he again dribbled into a corner with 5 seconds remaining.  Duke was forced to foul with only 5 seconds left in the game.  Oweh converted both free throws to complete the Kentucky 5 point margin of victory.

Cooper scored more than half of the Blue Devil 26 second-half points before his two crucial turnovers (14 points on 5-12 from the field, including 1-3 from 3land – Duke’s only 3 pointer of the half – plus 3-5 from the foul line).  Aside from Cooper’s 3, Duke was 0-10 from behind the arc in the second half (Cooper had 2 misses besides the single deep basket; Kon 0-3; Caleb 0-3; Tyrese 0-1; and Mason 0-1).  

The statistics accurately reveal how truly terrible Duke’s second half offense was: Proctor, who played the entire half, was 0-2 from the field and 0-1 from deep, adding 2-3 from the foul line for 2 points; Foster, who played 14 minutes, failed to score at all (0-4 from the field, including 0-3 from deep, and his critical missed free throw); Knueppel scored only a pair of points on one made field goal, despite 8 attempts!, including 3 shots from behind the arc; Maliq failed to score in 9:22 of playing time, missing his only 2 attempts; Mason Gillis (5:38) and Sion James (1:19) each scored 2 points.  Khaman was 2-2 for 4 points.

In the second half, Kon ( 8 shots) and Cooper (12 shots) took 20 of Duke’s 34 in the second half.  For the game, Kon and Cooper took 39 of Duke’s 71 field goal attempts.  This was a far cry from a balanced attack.

On the defensive side, Duke simply did not defend with intensity or efficiency in the closing stanza where the Wildcats scored 40 points on 43% shooting.  Kentucky was 11-21 from inside the arc (3-9 from deep) with 9 assists on 14 field goals.  The Blue Devils allowed Kentucky to score  20 points in the paint in the closing stanza.

For that matter, the Duke defense gave up 37 points in the first half and was hardly a model of efficiency.  The Wildcats were 7-16 from behind the arc in the  opening period, outscoring the Blue Devils from deep by 21-9.

Kneuppel might have been off his game, but Kentucky sure looks impressed.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(7) Kon Knueppel (36:53) did not shoot well but scored 14 points, (5-20, including 1-8 from behind the arc, plus 3-4 from the stripe) to go with 5 rebounds and 2 assists.  He had 4 of his shots blocked and turned it over twice.  Indisputably a sub-par performance in his first game against an elite team, even though he did score 12 points in the first half.

(5)Tyrese Proctor (36:04) scored 14 points, 12 in an efficient first half (for the game, 4-9 from the field, including 2-5 from 3land, plus 2-3 from the foul line) to go with 3 assists and 3 rebounds, without a turnover.  He is not playing point guard for now.

(2) Cooper Flagg (31:56) sat out the last 4 minutes of the first half when he picked up his second foul.  For the game, Cooper scored 26 points (9-19 including 1-5 from behind the arc, plus 7-9 on free throws) to go with a team-leading 12 boards, 2 blocked shots and 2 assists.  Very impressive – right up to the last 12 seconds.

(1) Caleb Foster (28:34) is the Duke point guard for now.  He scored 4 points (2-9 from the field including 0-4 from deep, plus that missed free throw near game’s end) to go with 4 assists, 3 steals and 3 boards (2 turnovers).

(9) Khaman Maluach (22:41) scored 10 points (5-5 field goals) and gathered 7 rebounds and 2 blocked shots.  Khaman was limited by the cramping in his leg, after he got his leg caught under Kentucky’s Andrew Carr while chasing a loose ball on the first possession of the second half.  Khaman stood up very slowly but remained in the game before going to the bench with a cramping issue a few minutes later. Two minutes after returning to the court, he was forced to exit again, this time going to the locker room after being worked on next to the bench for several minutes. “It’s concerning,” Coach Scheyer said. “Part of it is we have young bodies. I think that’s part of it. We got to help these guys. We’re not just trying to dip our toes in the water … We got to take a hard look at it.”

(6) Maliq Brown (16:53) again failed to score (0-2 on point blank layups) but played superb defense (a blocked shot) while garnering 8 rebounds.

(18) Mason Gillis (13:56) scored 2 points (1-3, including 0-1 from 3land) and corralled 3 rebounds  He played only 5 minutes in the second half.  

(14) Sion James (13:03 but only 1:19 in the second half because of injury) scored 4 points – 2 in each half – (2-4 from the field without a 3 point attempt or a foul shot).  He is the valuable point guard backup, who was missed in the closing stanza.  He grabbed a pair of rebounds and handed out an assist.

Time for the Blue Devils to put their heads together.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Ruminating

The second half is the first negative experience for this team since practice started, and just might be a needed lesson about how formidable elite teams really are.  Duke’s vaunted depth took a hit with Sion’s injury and Khaman’s cramping.  However, Patrick Ngongba, 6’11” freshman who had not played, or even dressed for a game, dressed and was on the bench for this one.  He’s obviously not in game shape but has the potential to reinforce Duke’s inside presence and bench.  Cooper’s late game turnovers (which may have been the difference between winning and losing) is also his first negative experience since beginning in the summer when he starred for the Select team that played the US National team.  Cooper is said to be a quick learner, and perhaps he needed the errors to focus him even more on simply getting better.  He will have the ball at crunch time in the future.

NEXT PLAY: Saturday, November 16, 2024, at 12:00 pm vs. Wofford in Cameron Indoor Stadium. TV: ACCN.


Duke Blue Devils 72 v. Wofford Terriers 35 (Season 16; Issue 5; Game 4) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #4 (November 16, 2024) 
Duke Blue Devils 86 – Wofford Terriers 35 at Cameron Indoor Stadium

Patrick Ngongba and Maliq Brown congratulate each other over Patrick’s season-debut

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffNotes:

In horse racing, a veteran trainer makes a decision when to take a promising young horse “on the road” (away from the track and surroundings with which they are familiar) to see how it reacts and performs to the unfamiliar. Well similarly, Duke went on the road and was good the first half but not the second against Kentucky. They returned to the friendly and familiar confines of Cameron and the ever supportive  “Crazies” for a far more impressive performance defensively and offensively beating Wofford 86-35. 

An interesting aspect was Cooper Flagg sort of stuffed all the lines of the stat sheet without leading the scoring (only 8 pts.), being satisfied with operating as a point forward feeding his teammates—especially Procter and Foster, who were a NIL Seven-Eleven convenience store advertisement (7-11) for threes. You can see why Coach Scheyer moved Tyrese to shooting guard. It’s time for him to become more consistent. In addition, Special K (Knueppel) had a quiet (for him) scoring night as he played a very complementary role.

 It’s the first game that Jon Scheyer had all his players available.  Patrick Ngongba played and exhibited fine footwork, and repeatedly demonstrated a knack for tipping a rebound to an open teammate. If he remains injury free, he will add another skilled big man (6-10) to the front line.

More good news: Duke hit just four threes against Kentucky. In this one, they hit 16-38 (42.1 percent). Also, an encouraging stat is that Duke also hit 90.9 percent from the line (10-11). These next few games against Kansas and Arizona should make these young players much tougher during 2025.

Proctor’s accurate jump shot

Photo credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

While Wofford had opened the season with a 112-58 home win over Erskine, the Terriers had losses at both Lipscomb and Presbyterian.  While it was apparent that  Duke was not going to be tested in this game, nobody predicted a 51 point blowout.  

I believed that Coach Scheyer would play Isaiah Evans and Darren Harris, who did not see the floor against Kentucky.  Both played in this game, and Isaiah was Duke’s second leading scorer. The news that Patrick Ngongba II had dressed for the Kentucky game was uplifting.  I have seen him play in high school (Pope Pius VI, as a teammate of Darren Harris) and he is an excellent prospect as a big (6’11”) man.  My hope for his health permitting playing time was not only realized, but may be the best news that Duke should take from this game.  His presence restores Duke’s depth.

First Half – Duke 51 v Wofford 20

The Blue Devils had a smoking hot first half, while Wofford could not put the ball in the ocean.  The Terriers shot 20% from the field (6-30) including a paltry 2-20 from behind the arc (10%), though many were open attempts that just missed.  The announcers kept criticizing Duke’s 3-point defense, despite the statistics. Scheyer agreed that the Terriers missed a boatload of open 3s. The Devils had 6 steals and blocked one shot (Sion James).

On the other hand, Duke played all 11 rotation candidates.  The Blue Devils shot 58% (18-31 from the field, including a gaudy 45% –8-18 – from deep).  The ball movement and passing was dazzling – 14 assists on 18 made baskets. Proctor led the scoring with 12 first-half points (4-6 from the field, including 3-4 from behind the arc, plus 1-1 from the stripe), while Isaiah Evans scored 8 points in 4 minutes (2-3 from 3land plus 1-1 from the stripe).  Khaman Maluach was 4-5 from very close to the basket plus 1-1 from the free throw line for 9 first-half points.

Second Half – Duke 35 v Wofford 21

Duke defended even better in the second half holding the Terriers to 8-27 (30%) and 3-13 from deep.  The Blue Devils forced 12 second-half turnovers in reaching victory by 51 points.  On offense, the ball kept moving.  Duke had 10 assists on 12 made field goals (39% from the field; 40% from deep).  However, unlike Kentucky and Arizona, Wofford is a long way from an elite team.  Duke’s second half against Kentucky is troubling, and Arizona will be a good test to see how much the Blue Devils have developed.  The Athletic published an excellent analysis of Duke’s performance in the second half against Kentucky that is worth sharing (written Nov 14, 2024 by C.J. Moore):

“What eventually cost Duke was its predictability. In the second half, Duke had only four possessions that included at least three completed passes. On most trips, only one or two players touched the ball and everyone else stood around.

“Eventually, Kentucky knew exactly what was coming. So, on the biggest possession of the game, Oweh was able to bring help and get the steal when Flagg spun because the Cats weren’t worried about anyone else being a threat.

“Right now, Duke is an easy scout. Stopping Flagg and Knueppel is not so easy, but you know what’s coming. And sometimes basketball is simply a make-or-miss game, but there’s a psychological component to riding one or two players. Yes, Foster missed a wide-open 3 above, and Flagg got him a great shot. But it can also be hard to make a shot when you’ve just been standing around for a while. It’s a lot easier when everyone is involved.

“The Blue Devils are not always taking high-percentage shots, and Duke’s complementary players were in a tough spot in the second half because everything was designed for Flagg (and sometimes Knueppel) to take the shot.

“The Blue Devils have a lot of firepower. Eventually, they need to get to a point where the ball sees the second or third side of the floor and there are multiple attacks in one possession, forcing the defense to scramble. Right now, it’s one action, maybe one pass or two, then a shot.

“Kentucky won with team ball, Duke lost with iso ball [isolation- where the player just goes one on one, which is the opposite of team ball with lots of passes], and it was almost as simple as that.”

C-Fos fires off a 3

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(2) Cooper Flagg (28:00) grabbed 9 rebounds (team lead), handed out 6 assists (team lead), 3 steals (team lead) and blocked 2 shots (team lead).  Cooper also scored 8 points (3-8 from the field, including 1-5 from behind the arc, plus 1-1 from the foul line).  What an all-around game!

(7) Kon Knueppel (22:59) also scored 8 points (3-6 from the field, including 2-4 from deep) to go with 5 boards, 4 assists and a steal. 

(5) Tyrese Proctor (22:26) led Duke in scoring with 15 points (5-9 from the field, including 4-7 from 3land, plus 1-1 from the stripe).  Tyrese contributed 3 boards, 2 assists, and a steal.  He is such a good on-the-ball defender.

(1) Caleb Foster (22:16) scored a very efficient 13 points (4-6 from the field, including 3-4 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the foul line) to go with 2 assists, 2 steals and a rebound.

(6) Maliq Brown (20:22) played a solid game both at center and at power forward, defending superbly with a steal.  He grabbed 4 rebounds and handed out an assist  to go with his 2-2 from the field for 4 points.  He has 3 fouls (and has been fouling a lot) plus turned it over 3 times.

(14) Sion James (18:33) seemed fully recovered from his shoulder injury suffered in the Kentucky game.  He played an excellent overall game with 4 rebounds, 4 assists and 2 steals, while scoring 5 points (1-3 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line).

(18) Mason Gillis (17:50) scored 5 points (2-7 from the field, including a dismal 1-6 from behind the arc).  He contributed 3 rebounds and an assist.

(9) Khaman Maluach (13:26) scored 11 points (5-7 from close in, plus 1-1 from the foul line).  Surprisingly, Khaman had only 1 rebound and did not block a shot. 

(3) Isaiah Evans (12:04) scored better than a point per minute, scoring 14 points (4-8, including 4-7 from 3land.  He was 2-2 from the free throw line) to go with a rebound and a steal.  It was a dazzling offensive display,

(21) Patrick Ngongba II (10:52)  made his season’s debut an impressive one, showing very few signs of rust after playing little last year and sitting out weeks this year.  Patrick was 1-1 from the field for 2 points while he garnered 6 rebounds (2nd on the team in his short time on the floor; pretty impressive!). The 6’11” freshman also had 2 assists and a steal.  His return is a significant boost for this team.

(8) Darren Harris (9:04) retrieved 4 rebounds, but missed all four of his shots from the floor (0-1 from deep), but made 1-2 of his free throw attempts and also handed out an assist.

(55) Spencer Hubbard (1:04) is the 5’8” senior walk-on who is a fan favorite in Cameron.  He missed his only shot, causing all of Cameron to groan. 

The Next 4 Games Will Be Revealing

Jay Williams on ESPN said this Duke roster may be the most talented ever at Duke.  He said it was jaw-dropping, and when I considered the 1991-92 and 1999 rosters, I also thought this year’s roster was jaw-dropping.

Duke will play 3 highly-ranked (elite) teams between November 22 and December 4 – Arizona, Kansas, and Auburn.  The ACC schedule begins December 8, 2024, against Louisville. These games are to be the catalyst for Scheyer to develop his rotation heading into the ACC schedule.  The coach and fans will learn much in these next games against elite teams.

Arizona was ranked 8th in the Coach’s Poll and 9th in the AP poll before the Wildcats were blown out on the road by unranked Wisconsin 103-88 (a disaster for Arizona).   Duke plays in Tucson next Friday.  Arizona is elite and will be angry and loaded for bear — a great test for the post-Kentucky Blue Devils.

Four days later, Duke plays #1 ranked (both polls) Kansas in the Vegas Showdown in Las Vegas.  After a game against unranked Seattle, the Blue Devils face 4th ranked Auburn in the ACC/SEC challenge.  We will know much more about this Duke team after the crucible that Coach Scheyer has scheduled.

Khaman operates at the rim

Mason Gillis and Proctor lend support

Photo Credits: GoDuke.com

NEXT PLAY: Friday, November 22, 2024, at 10:30 pm vs. Arizona at the McKale Memorial Center in Tucson, Arizona.  ESPN2


Duke Blue Devils 69 v. Arizona Wildcats 55 (Season 16; Issue 6; Game 5) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #5 (November 22, 2024) 
Duke Blue Devils 69 – Arizona Wildcats 55 at the McKale Memorial Center in Tucson, Arizona. 

Fast break Foster: Caleb leads the Blue Devils Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

When I first saw Duke’s men’s Basketball schedule starting with Kentucky, Arizona, Kansas, and Auburn, I thought what the #&%$, does the N.C.A.A. Tournament now start the season? Then I thought: this will either toughen up the young one-and-done proteges—or break them. After a disappointing second half against Kentucky that shouted, “this isn’t high school anymore, elite teams play all 40 minutes!” The Blue Devils responded with a tough, physical two half effort to defeat Arizona decisively 69-55. The remaining two games and the ACC schedule will tell if the “tough love” approach works on this basically young squad. Once again 17-year young Cooper Flagg was Duke’s catalyst, but with special K [Kon] recovering from a disappointing shooting effort against Kentucky to contribute against Arizona by knocking down some timely threes. In addition, Khaman Maluach and Maliq Brown shared the post, while Sion James was impressive supporting Caleb at point guard. Frankly, I prefer Sion at this time to Caleb Foster. He is bigger, and more experienced both offensively and defensively. The lesson here is that as impressive as Cooper is, his Batman needs a couple of Robins to complement him—especially Tyrese Proctor and Special K.

I also think that the coaches substituted better both strategically and in a more timely manner in this game than against Kentucky. [the Editorial Board notes that, over bagels & lox this morning, Alan shared his disagreement with Cliffnotes, pointing out that the coaches made almost zero substitutions in both the Kentucky and the Arizona games]. So perhaps, everyone has something to learn from these tough, early games.

High Fly Ty: Proctor scores in the first half

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

The Blue Devils bounced back from the second-half debacle against Kentucky (I am not counting  their beat down of Wofford) to post a well-deserved win against a highly ranked Arizona team.  Arizona has proved themselves to be a fierce rebounding team this season, but Duke held them to 1 first-half offensive rebound (only 6 for the whole game).  The Blue Devils defended with passion and intelligence.  Scheyer: “to come in here, hold them to 55 points, out-rebound them by 13, did a good job keeping them off the foul line –to me, those were the keys.”

The Defense

The Wildcats had scored 93, 102, and 103 in their first 3 games. Yet, the Blue Devils held Arizona to only 27 first-half points and only 28 second-half points…the Duke defense deserves to be feted in poetry for those results!   Coach: “It helps when you have individual defenders to begin with. Anybody that’s playing for us, our team is a roster of guys that can guard the ball, good positional size, we’re able to switch a lot. The job Tyrese did, look, [Arizona’s Caleb]Love is a big-time player, but Tyrese is as good of a defender on the perimeter. He’s a pest. He’s so disciplined with what he does. I thought that was big time. And then the versatility of [Cooper and Kon], they can really guard one through four. And then you have a fastball and a sinker with Khaman and Maliq… you can guess who’s the fastball and you can guess who’s the sinker. They’re both so unique with what they do on the defensive end, Maliq with his pressure [sinker], and then Khaman with his rim protection [fastball].” 

Much of Arizona’s high powered offense this season has been getting fouled and scoring big time from the foul line.  While Duke committed 19 fouls, the Wildcats only made 7 free throws off of 11 attempts.

Rebounding

Arizona has a huge front line and figured to out-rebound the Blue Devils, but that just did not happen.  Duke fought like tigers on the boards and ended up out-rebounding the Wildcats by 13.  It was an awesome achievement, based on solid effort and quality coaching.

Khaman stretches up to protect the Duke rim

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Second Half (Duke 35 v. Arizona 28)

Duke had a well-documented breakdown last game in the second-half against Kentucky, with only Cooper performing well (not counting his two crucial turnovers in the last 12 seconds).  Against the Wildcats, Cooper scored more points and didn’t make the game losing gaff at the end… a true All-American half: scoring 16 points on 11 shots, to go with 4 boards, a block and fabulous defense.  However, the big difference between Duke’s performance versus Kentucky and their performance versus Arizona was Kon.  Against Kentucky, he was 1-8 in the second half; it felt as if he simply went AWOL.  But against Arizona, Kon’s second-half scoring – 11 second-half points (3 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the line) with 5 clutch rebounds and 3 assists – kept the Wildcats at bay.  A bravura second-half performance!

Winning score aside, it is a bit unnerving that the Blue Devils had only three players score in the closing half – besides Cooper and Kon, Caleb was the third, scoring 8 points in 15 minutes.  Thus, Tyrese in 16 minutes, Khaman in 10:23, Sion in 9 minutes, Maliq in 9:37, and Mason Gillis in 3 minutes all failed to score a single point in the second half!  Having only limited second-half scorers is a very big problem.

Duke also needs to make crucial foul shots and avoid critical turnovers at crunch time: they missed 4 out of 10 second-half foul shots and turned it over 6 times late in the closing stanza. These will be serious problems later in the season, if not fixed.


Kon’s dagger sinks the Wildcats in the second half

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(2) Cooper Flagg (38:14) was the player who garnered so much praise over the summer and pre-season, and against Arizona he really showed it.  He sat out for only 1:45 of the game and willed Duke to its second-half winning margin. Cooper scored 24 points (10-22 from the field, including 2-5 from behind the arc, plus 2-4 from the stripe) to go with 6 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 blocked shots, and a steal.  His only blemish was 4 turnovers.  But it was Cooper’s second-half game play that won the game for Duke.  After scoring 8 first-half points, Flagg played all but 33 seconds of the closing stanza, scoring 16 points (7-11, including 1-3 from 3land plus 1-2 from the foul line).  Cooper also grabbed 4 tough defensive rebounds.

(7) Kon Knueppel (34:49) was Duke’s second leading scorer with 13 points (4-11 from the field, including 3-6 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the free throw line) to go with 7 boards (tie for team high) and 3 assists.  It was Kon’s second half that kept Duke’s margin in that stanza.  Kon scored 11 second-half points (3-7 from the field, including 3-4 from behind the arc that were critical for the Blue Devils. He added 5 crucial rebounds and 3 assists for a half that made Duke the winner.  In short, he played a terrific second half!

(5) Tyrese Proctor (33:55) played an excellent first half, scoring all of his 8 points in the opening stanza.  For the game, Tyrese was 3-11 from the field, including 2-7 from behind the arc, but 0-2 from the foul line.  Tyrese played amazing defense, which explains why he played 16 second-half minutes even though he wasn’t scoring (0-5 from the field including 0-4 from deep and 0-2 from the stripe with only a single rebound).  

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (25:37) had a scoreless first half but a valuable second half, netting 8 points.  For the game, CFos was 2-6, including 1-4 from deep, plus 3-4 from the stripe to go with 4 rebounds and a steal.  In the second half, Caleb was the point guard, but split time with Sion James, who is a better defender.  The coach used Caleb when Duke had the ball and Sion when Arizona did (to the extent he could). Caleb had 3 second half rebounds while shooting  2-4 from the field, including 1 (crucial) for 2 from behind the arc, plus 3-4 from the foul line.  He was one of Duke’s only 3 second-half scorers.

(6) Maliq Brown (23:13) scored only 2 points (1-1 from the field) to go with 7 boards (tied for team high), 3 assists, 2 steals, and a blocked shot.  His blemishes were 3 fouls and 3 turnovers.  Scheyer relies upon his defense and passing, playing Brown considerably more than the taller Khaman.

(14) Sion James (20:28) played valuable minutes, but scored only in the first half.  For the game Sion scored 6 points (3-5 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land) to go with 6 rebounds, 2 assists, and a steal.  Although Sion did not score in the second half, he played superb defense in his 9 second half minutes, logging a pair of assists and a steal.  Because Sion is strong on defense where Caleb is strong on offense, Scheyer used him as a defensive substitute for CFos.  

(9) Khaman Maluach (16:47) scored 8 first half points [0 in the closing stanza] (3-4 from the field, including 1-1 from behind the arc in the corner, plus 1-1 from the stripe) to go with 3 boards and a blocked shot.  Worth emphasizing: Duke’s 7’2” freshman nailed a 3-pointer from the corner.  Khaman’s time on the court was limited by the 3 fouls he committed.  

(18) Mason Gillis (6:57) played briefly (less than 4 minutes) in each half, missing his only shot, a 3 pointer.  He made a steal but was on the court for so little time that it felt as if Duke played only 7 players in the game. 

Sion James stuffed 6 points in the first half, but was one of the scoreless horde in the second (even while providing great defense) 

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Kansas Jayhawks #1 ranked in both polls 

With almost no time to recover from the superb effort against Arizona, the Blue Devils travel to Las Vegas to play top ranked Kansas on Tuesday, November 26, 2024.  The circumstances are beyond difficult.  Great road win on Friday, travel to Vegas and play the best team in the nation 3 days later.  

Duke will have played 3 games in a week – The Wildcats on Friday, the Jayhawks on Tuesday, followed by a home game against Seattle on Friday, November 29.  Then the Blue Devils will host 4th ranked Auburn in Cameron in the ACC-SEC challenge before the ACC schedule begins on December 8, 20024.

What a tough row to hoe for Duke. Are the Blue Devils up to the challenge? We’ll find out in the…

NEXT PLAY: Tuesday, November 26, 2024, at 9:00 p.m. vs. Kansas at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.  ESPN

Cooper Flagg scores, while doing his best audition for Twilight vampire baseball

Photo Credits: GoDuke.com and Summit Film Distribution


Duke Blue Devils 72 v. Kansas Jayhawks 75 (Season 16; Issue 7; Game 6) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #6 (November 26, 2024)
Duke Blue Devils 72  – Kansas Jayhawks 75 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Kon scoring in the lane.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:


Kansas deserved to win. They led for most of the game—especially in the first half, by double digits. That said, the Blue Devils played with only a couple of days rest after a tough Arizona game, and they competed hard against a well-rested, mature Kansas Jayhawks.  However, a few weaknesses reappeared: starting slowly and giving a strong opponent like Kansas, (Kentucky or Arizona) a double-digit lead makes a win much more difficult.  Duke, like most teams, scores better when they play tough defense, which leads to an opponent not being able to defend properly.  Conversely, this young Duke team does not operate efficiently against a set defense—man or zone. A case in point was Duke’s last two real possessions with the game on the line. Flagg again worked his way in to the low post, but it turned into a double team and he lost the ball (similar to the Kentucky game), and Special K (Kon Knueppel) drove the lane where he met a wall of defenders, went up in the air, and tossed up a wild shot, which did not hit the rim.  Compare those crucial plays with how Kansas managed to maintain their lead—their guards penetrated precisely and were rewarded with open short jumpers. 

While Cooper Flagg had a subpar shooting night, most of the supporting cast—especially Proctor – did not. Special K had only 8 points, but 11 assists. Free throws were also subpar again at 70%, rather than their goal of 80%.

The referees “Let them play” to the point that the refs almost lost control of the game. However, they finally assessed a Level 2 infraction, which was upgraded from a Level 1 after looking at the TV monitor, and Hunter Dickinson was ejected from the game in the second half.  I thought the decision was influenced by his “body of work” which was over the line during the game.

OTHER COMMENTS:

The age and maturity disparity should not be overlooked.  Kansas’ oldest player is 24 years old; Duke started three teenagers.  For instance, I was three years older than my brother and I beat him so badly at one-on-one basketball that, after a while, he became so discouraged that he quit playing and took up golf (where he was a low, single digit handicap golfer).

Proctor looking fluid as he hits one of his five 3-pointers.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

Coach Scheyer: “The growth that we’re going to have from this game, this whole trip – playing at Arizona and then playing Kansas on a neutral site – we’re going to grow so much.  I’m disappointed.  Wanted to win badly, for our guys, but we’re really going to learn so much and be better from this. … the lessons we’ll have learned from this [are] going to make us stronger. … For our freshmen, to learn and grow from this, is going to be off the charts. You can’t simulate this in practice.”

“To come off a war against Arizona on Friday and come right back against these guys, I think it says a lot about our group.  We just kept fighting.  I know that we’ve got something.  I know we do.  I have to help them better.  I have to make sure we continue to make jumps to improve.  I have the confidence that we will.”

CFos saunters up the court as he starts the offense.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Offense

Point Guard 

Tyrese Proctor is now the shooting guard while Caleb Foster starts at point guard.  Sion James has played well as the backup point guard, and in this game he played more minutes than Foster, and was more effective.  However, Duke’s offense is not led by a true point guard. 

Turnovers

The Blue Devils turned it over 16 times, allowing the Jayhawks to score 21 points from those turnovers.  The three Duke players who played most of the game had 11 turnovers among them (Flagg 4, Proctor 4, and Knueppel 3).  Duke was deficient in taking care of the ball, especially in the last 48 seconds of the game.  Improvement in taking care of the ball is required if Duke is to have a successful season.

Offensive Rebounding

Only three Blue Devils collected a single offensive rebound – Maliq, Tyrese, and Mason.  No other Duke player garnered one.  The Jayhawks grabbed 10 offensive rebounds by contrast.  Not a single offensive rebound from Khaman.

Mason Gillis

Mason was a 47% shooter from behind the arc last year, but appears to not be able to make them efficiently this year (27%).  He was 1-5 against Kansas.  He scored 5 first-half points but was blanked in the closing stanza. The other transfers – Maliq Brown and Sion James – were outstanding and the Blue Devils in the first half.  Mason was Sixth Man of the Year in the Big 10 last year.  Duke needs him to return to that form! Duke’s transfers scored 17 of Duke’s 39 first-half points.

Defense

Fouling

Duke committed 18 fouls in the game, 11 in the second half.  After Hunter Dickinson was ejected, the referees began calling the game closer.   Duke did not adjust, and it cost the Blue Devils, because Kansas made 7-8 from the stripe in the latter part of the second half.

Rebounding

The Blue Devil big men (Khaman and Maliq) were not successful rebounding.  Maluach grabbed a single rebound in the first half and none in the closing half (in almost 24 minutes).  Maliq also got a first-half rebound, but none in the second half.  Duke was beaten off the boards 31-25.

Maliq protects the Blue Devil rim

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Winning Time

Cooper tied the game at 71 with a driving layup (2:29 remaining in the game).   Jayhawk Zeke Mayo then drove the lane on Cooper, and made the layup (Kansas led 73-71 with 1:57 remaining).   Then Flagg drove and was fouled, with 1:38 to go.  But Cooper missed his first foul shot!  Thus failing to tie the score even though he did manage to hit the second (Kansas led 73-72 with 1:38 left).  The Blue Devils got a stop and a defensive rebound with 1:08 left in the game.  With 48 seconds to go, Duke had possession of the ball and a chance to take the lead. However,  in virtually a replay of the turnover against Kentucky, Cooper was stripped as he spun.  

Then Duke’s defense achieved yet another stop, and Kon grabbed the rebound with 16 seconds to go.  Coach called a timeout with 14 seconds left.  Another chance for the Blue Devils to take the lead .  Then Kon left his feet to make a pass, but was well defended and had the pass blocked.  Duke turnover (again).  Duke was forced to foul; Kansas converted both free throws for the final 75-72 margin.

Fans might wonder how this team would have evolved if Jeremy Roach, a four year starter and captain, had not transferred to Baylor for this year.  Blue Devil fans will contrast Duke’s failure at crunch time against Kentucky and Kansas with Jeremy’s dramatic buzzer beater for Baylor against St. John’s in double overtime last week (a Sports Center highlight).  Roach is hitting 42.3% of his 3-point attempts.

Strike a pose: Cooper Flagg demonstrates the ol’ college try.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(2) Cooper Flagg (38:27) scored 13 points (11 in the second half).  Although Cooper turned it over 4 times, the final time with Duke trailing by a point with 48 seconds left in the game, he kept the Blue Devils in the game in the final period.  For the game, Flagg was 5-9 from the field including 1-1 from behind the arc, plus 2-4 from the stripe.  Cooper grabbed 5 rebounds, handed out 3 assists and made a steal. In the second half, Flagg was 4-7 from the field (1-1 from deep) but only 2-4 from the foul line.  Basically, Cooper had a good game, but did not play like the first draft choice in next year’s NBA draft.

(7) Kon Knueppel (36:57) led Duke with 8 assists while scoring 11 points (4-14 from the field, including a disastrous 0-8 from 3land, plus 3-3 from the foul line).  He added 3 rebounds and a steal, but turned the ball over 3 times.

(5) Tyrese Proctor (35:00) led the Blue Devils in scoring with 15 points on 5 made 3-pointers (5-7 from deep) to go with a team-leading 6 boards 2 assists and 2 steals.  However, Tyrese turned it over 4 times.

(9) Khaman Maluach (23:28) played well, except that he grabbed only a single rebound.  Khaman scored 4 points (1-2 from the field, plus 2-2 from the foul line) to go with a block and 2 steals.  Khaman is a rim protector, altering shots that are not blocked and stopping drivers.  But having only a single rebound is troubling. Plus he turned it over twice.

(14) Sion James (19:48) played an excellent game at both ends of the floor.  On offense, Sion was perfect, scoring 10 points (3-3 from the field, including  2-2 from deep, plus 2-2 free throws) to go with 2 rebounds and 2 assists with only a single turnover.  His defense is fierce.

(6) Maliq Brown (16:32) is a terror on the defensive end of the floor.  Maliq led the Blue Devils with 4 steals.  He is playing back-up center, at 6’9” (usually smaller than the offensive center he is guarding), yet being effective.  He was charged with 4 (questionable) fouls, which limited his playing time.  In the first half, Maliq scored 7 points on a dunk, and his first 3-pointer of the year, plus 2-3 from the foul line. For the game Maliq scored 8 points, going 1-2 from the foul line.  He had 2 assists, but only a single rebound.

(18) Mason Gillis (14:55) was on the floor for more playing time than he has had lately.  Mason scored 5 points, all in the first half.  For the game, Mason was 2-7, including 1-5 from behind the arc.  So far, his 3-point shooting has been a disappointment.  Last year, he shot 48% from deep for Purdue.  Gillis grabbed a pair of rebounds.

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (14:53) saw his playing time in this game diminish in favor of Sion James.  CFos scored 6 points (2-4 from the field, including 1-2 from 3land, plus 1-2 from the stripe) to go with 2 boards, 2 blocked shots, a steal and a turnover.

Remaining Pre-ACC games

On Friday, November 29, Duke plays the Seattle Red Hawks (2-4), who will be easy to look past, given the game after Seattle is against the 4th ranked Auburn Tigers.  As he did against Wofford, Scheyer may give extended playing time to those who did not get into the Kansas game (or the Arizona game for that matter) – Isaiah Evans, Darren Harris and Patrick Ngongba.  Each of those freshmen has the capacity to join the rotation and enhance Duke’s firepower.

NEXT PLAY: Friday, November 29, 2024, at 7:00 p.m. vs. Seattle Red Hawks at Cameron Indoor Stadium.


Duke Blue Devils 70 v. Seattle RedHawks 48 (Season 16; Issue 8; Game 7) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #7 (November 29, 2024) 
Duke Blue Devils 70  – Seattle RedHawks 48 at Cameron Indoor Stadium

Tyrese Proctor and Patrick Ngongba II form a formidable defensive wall

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

At the end of a rather brutal opening road schedule featuring Kentucky, Arizona, Kansas, with some breathers interspersed, Duke faces a red-hot Auburn, perhaps maturing as the best of them all, Wednesday Dec 4th in the familiar surroundings of Cameron. 

Let’s hear Coach Scheyer’s take on the state of the team and on playing different lineups: “I’d rather have clarity as much as possible, but the truth of the matter is when you have six freshmen and three graduate transfers in a different position, there’s a process. There just is. For our guys, you want to have as much role definition as quickly as possible and you also want to find the best lineup. I don’t think you make your mind up in November. It’s foolish. I’m watching every day in practice. I’m seeing what our guys do. I’m seeing what lineups work. We’ve had some different lineups that have just clicked in the game. and so you roll with that until you have to make a change. I think, for us, it’s going to continue to evolve. I’d like us to have it Wednesday if we could, but the reality is that it’s going to be a process.” That is pretty much coach/player speak for “Well, we/I have been under performing but you have to respect the process.” (Translation: Be patient. It takes time for us/me to reach our potential.)

All this is true, but you cannot ignore the hype. And based on that, this team has been somewhat disappointing—especially at the end of the Kentucky and Kansas games when Cooper Flagg, well, played like a freshman, not a “generational talent”. (What the hell, give him a break, his twin brother is a 17 year old senior in high school – boy versus men. Not fair.)

As to the Seattle game: Same old… Same old. Same old slow start. This is a deadly sin against contenders, not so much against pretenders. But annoying anytime—especially in Cameron.

Also, Duke is not consistently the deadeye shooting team as advertised, to say the least. Perhaps, Isaiah Evans for Mason Gillis and Sion James for Caleb Foster would help. And Khaman Malauch at 7’2” has not yet been the consistently impactful player imagined. Anyhow surprisingly, the defense is ahead of the offense (except for fouling) and the season has just begun! Maturation and injuries are still to be determined.

OTHER COMMENTS:

A personal note: It just so happens that Elgin Baylor, born in the nation’s capital, somehow matriculated to the College of Idaho, then to Seattle University where his talent took them to the NCAA Finals.  Only 6’5” but built like a linebacker, Elgin was the first NBA player to be known as the godfather of verticality, who inspired Julius Erving, David Thompson, Michael Jordan, and many others. Although I also grew up in Washington,  I was several years younger, and so I never saw him play there.  But I heard stories about him on the playground courts and followed his career when paired with Jerry West (the coolest of them all, who I first saw play at Duke as a sophomore, and later actually played a pick-up game with at Ft. Lauderdale during spring break) on the ill-fated Los Angeles Lakers. It was these players, plus Joe Belmont and Rudy D’Emilio, who inspired my lifetime of love of basketball.

Khaman Maluach’s impressive reach protects the rim

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

The commentators list Duke as playing against 4 nationally ranked teams in the early going.  However, I believe that early season results reduce that to 3 nationally ranked teams.  Arizona had pre-season stature that has not been justified by the results.  Duke beating Arizona soundly and holding the Wildcats to 55 points is a reason for Duke’s high ranking.  But Arizona lost two games in the Battle for Atlantis, is now 3-4 on the season, will fall out of the rankings this week, and has not scored well against the teams that beat them.  So, Duke’s win over Arizona no longer carries the illusion of the impressive win it seemed like on November 22.

The Kansas Jayhawks (who beat Duke on November 26) and the Auburn Tigers (who Duke faces next on December 4) are the two top ranked teams at the moment.  In between those two games, the Blue Devils played the Seattle Red Hawks on November 29 in a game that did not bring out the best in Duke.  Duke shot under 40% from the field and an embarrassing 10-36 from 3land. However, the Blue Devils had some good moments in the second half on defense (yielding only 23 second-half points and 0 for the first 9:53 of the closing stanza. 

Offense

Coach Scheyer, “There were a lot of things I would like us to do better. We need practice time, so I’m excited to get back to practice and get to work. … we were really soft in the first half. They were more physical with us. That’s two games in a row that [the other team] came out more physical than us on defense. We were softer.”

The Blue Devils moved the ball, handing out 10 assists on the 12-made first-half baskets.  For the game, Duke had 18 assists on 23 field goals.  Whatever else, these Blue Devils were sharing the ball. 

Shooting

The Blue Devils, with a huge advantage in talent, shot less than 36% from the field in the second half (11-31) and under 40% for the game (23-58) and under 30% from behind the arc.  Only Kon was efficient (4-5 from the field including 3-4 from deep).   A disappointing performance for what is reputed to be a team of deadly shooters.

Turnovers

Duke had 8 first-half turnovers, and looked a bit disjointed and careless.  Seattle is not an elite team or an elite defensive team. Bottom line: Duke is not taking care of the ball the way a championship team does. Improvement is required!

Gillis

Mason Gillis was a dead-eye shooter last year for Purdue (47% from behind the arc) while winning the Big Ten Sixth Man of the Year award.  This year, for Duke, he has been consistent in missing open shots from behind the arc (under 26%).  Mason was 0-2 from deep against Seattle.  Isaiah Evans may push him for the spot in the rotation against elite teams.

Defense

Scheyer: “The first eight minutes of the second half – that was, to me, what we have to do. I thought we came out with great energy and really guarded the ball. We had five guys defending the ball, and that’s the energy I like.”

Tyrese’s insight was, “We came out flat. We were guarding but we weren’t guarding at the level we’ve been guarding at. We addressed it at halftime, and we came out with a different energy and obviously forced them to call a timeout early. We just ramped up our defensive energy.”

Seattle was held to 48 points (25 in the first half and 23 in the closing period).  Outstanding defense in any league!

Fouling

Coach’s admonition:Way too many free throws for

them. We have to do a way better job of defending without fouling.We gave them 31 free throws. That’s ridiculous. It’s not good enough.”

Cooper concurred: “That’s something that’s huge all throughout college basketball, playing good defense. You’ve got to be able to play hard, good defense. Good resistance without fouling and sending people to the foul line. It’s something we definitely cleaned up and were definitely better at in the second half.”  [Not so much really; Duke committed 14 second-half fouls; 22 for the game.]

Cooper Flagg throws one down in fine form

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(2) Cooper Flagg (26:58) scored 9 points (2-7 from the field including 0-2 from deep, plus 5-7 from the foul line) to go with a team high 9 rebounds and a team high 7 assists.    Cooper also turned it over 3 times.    Basically, Cooper had a good game, but once again did not play like the first choice in next year’s NBA draft, but led the +/- category with +23.  (Editorial Board: that category measures whether your team scored more ( the + ) or fewer points ( the -)  while the player was in the game.  Flagg’s +23 shows that while he was in the game, Duke scored 23 more points than Seattle).

(7) Kon Knueppel (25:16) scored an efficient 11 points (4-5 from the field, including 3-4 from 3land).  He added 3 rebounds and 2 steals and an assist.  Kon continues to shoot a high percentage against inferior teams.  Auburn will be a big challenge for Kon.

(5) Tyrese Proctor (24:36) led the Blue Devils in scoring with 13 (3-10 from the field, including 3-9 from deep, plus 4-4 from the stripe) to go with 4 boards, 4 assists, a steal.  a blocked shot, AND 2 steals.  Tyrese is the best Duke defender guarding on the perimeter.

(14) Sion James (18:01) played another excellent game at both ends of the floor.  On offense, Sion scored 6 points (2-4 from the field, including  0-1 from deep, plus 2-3 free throws) to go with 8 rebounds and 2 assists, with only a single turnover.  His defense is fierce.  He stole the ball 3 times          

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (17:53) scored 6 points (3-7 from the field, including 1-5 from 3land) to go with 2 boards, 2 assists, 2 steals, and 2 turnovers.  He and Sion James split the point guard duties.

(3) Isaiah Evans (17:24) is a scorer who played better and more efficiently as the game went on.  Isaiah scored 9 points (3-8 from the field, including 2-7 from behind the arc, plus 1-2 from the foul line).  Evans may be pushing for a spot in the rotation against elite teams.

(6) Maliq Brown (17:22) is a terror on the defensive end of the floor but failed to score (he missed his only 3 shots” strangely, all were from 3land).  Maliq had 3 steals.  He is playing back up center, at 6’9” (usually smaller than the offensive center he is guarding), yet being effective. For the game Maliq handed out 2 assists, and garnered 3 rebounds.

(18) Mason Gillis (15:53) failed to score, missing his only two shots, both from behind the arc.  His 3-point shooting this year has been basically a disaster (26%).  Mason grabbed 5 rebounds, but committed 4 fouls in his short time on the floor.  He is in danger of losing his spot in the rotation.

(9) Khaman Maluach (15:12) played well, scoring 9 points (4-5 from the field, including 0-1 from deep, plus 1-1 from the foul line) to go with 3 rebounds.  Khaman is a rim protector, altering shots that are not blocked and stopping drivers.  

21) Patrick Ngognba II (11:37) is rehabbing from injury.  This is his second game, and he looked valuable in his short stint.  Patrick scored 2 points (1-3 from the field) and added 3 rebounds, an assist, and a steal.  Patrick may well furnish valuable minutes this season.

(8) Darren Harris (7:41, all in the second half) scored 4 points (1-3 from the field, including 1-2 from deep, plus 1-2 from the stripe) to go with 2 rebounds.

(55) Spencer Hubbard (2:07) missed his only shot attempt as the Crazies groaned in disappointment!

Isaiah sets the screen

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Remaining Pre-ACC games

As he did against Wofford, Scheyer gave extended playing time to those who did not get into the Kansas game (or the Arizona game for that matter) – Isaiah Evans, Patrick Ngongba II, and Darren Harris.  Each of those freshmen has the capacity to join the rotation and enhance Duke’s firepower.  Evans is a scorer and will push Gillis for playing time.  Ngongba is 6 ’10 ” or 11”, and has the potential to support Khaman efficiently and allow Brown to float between center and forward where he can be defensively effective.  The Duke team faces a rejuvenated Louisville to open the ACC season.

NEXT PLAY: Wednesday, December 4, 2024, at 9:15 p.m. vs. Auburn Tigers at Cameron Indoor Stadium.


Duke Blue Devils 84 v. Auburn Tigers 78 (Season 16; Issue 9; Game 8) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #8 (December 4, 2024) 
Duke Blue Devils 84 – Auburn Tigers 78 at Cameron Indoor Stadium

The Blue Devil defense holds the nation’s best offense in check

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

The Duke Basketball Team seems to have awakened. Probably the catalyst was freshman Isaiah “Flamethrower” Evans, a seldom seen freshman (“Who is this guy? He’s not in the scouting report!”) who lit up Cameron Stadium with as stunning a display of marksmanship as I have seen in sixty-some years. As I wrote last week, “same old, same old start” –  falling behind 12-2 in the first two minutes of the game looked like the Kentucky, Kansas, and Arizona games all over again – until Flamethrower heated up Cameron with a roof-raising six(!) threes in the first half. In the second half, Cooper and the regular gang took care of business and finished off Auburn like a really good contender team should. I must say, a win against Coach Bruce Pearl feels better than a win against anyone except John Calipari (formerly of Kentucky). But that’s just me.

Cooper and crew maintained Duke’s lead for the entire second half—especially at closing time. The only criticism was (once again) free throws. The Blue Devils only hit 17-27, not a recipe for winning close games. Other than that weakness, the defense was pretty damn good against a very good team that we probably will see again later in the year! If Evans can consistently bring threes to complement Proctor, Super K, and Foster, (not to mention Copper Flagg, the catalyst) this team will be a handful.

OTHER COMMENTS:

Don’t expect Flamethrower Evans to surprise any other team. He is not a late bloomer. He was named North Carolina Mr. Basketball in both in 2023 and 2024, once scoring 62 points, breaking Chris Paul’s long standing record in a State Tournament game.

Cooper and Isaiah work together to block Tigers guard Denver Jones in the second half.

Photo Credit: Rob Kinnan-Imagn Images

ALANALYSIS

Going into this game, Auburn led the nation in offensive efficiency while Duke led in defensive efficiency.  Duke’s defense held Auburn in check while Auburn’s defense could not stop Duke when the game was on the line, allowing the Blue Devils to score 84 points.  Scheyer pointed out in the post-game presser that the lessons that Duke  took to heart from its previous two losses (and some wins) produced the win in this game.  The team is growing up. For me, the difference was Duke’s poise, desire, and clutch shooting at “winning time” that made this game special for the Blue Devils.

Winning Time

Auburn had already cut the Duke lead to 2 points (70-68) with 5:06 left in the game when Cooper’s shot attempt was blocked.  Tyrese just narrowly reached the loose ball and, with the shot clock expiring, swished a crucial 3 from deep to push the Blue Devil advantage to 5 with 4:30 remaining.  Duke kept up the pressure with stops and scores to keep the lead between 5 and 8 points for the rest of the game (the lead did get down to 4 with six seconds left, but the game was truly over by that point).  

Flagg made a pair of foul shots with 3:52 left (75-68).  Proctor made a difficult turnaround jumper in the lane with 3:05 remaining (77-70).  Auburn cut the lead to 5 (77-72) with 2:51 to play.  The teams traded stops (great defense by both teams) for the next minute and a half until Kon scored on a critical driving layup with only 1:19 left in the game (79-72).  Auburn scored inside with 42 seconds to go (79-74). Broome then fouled Cooper, who made both crucial foul shots with 32 seconds left (81-74).  The Tigers scored their final 2 points with 15 seconds left when Broom sunk a putback (81-76).  Flagg (1-2 at 15 seconds left) and Kon (2-2 at 5 seconds left) closed out the game from the foul line.

Lessons well learned from the Kentucky and Kansas losses!  [Btw, both Kansas  (to Creighton) and Kentucky (to Clemson) suffered recent losses. Heavy favorites can still get upset at this part (pre-conference play) of the season.]

Defense

First Half

The Duke starters came out sleepwalking while Auburn was juiced up (legally).  After only 3:40 had elapsed in the game, the Blue Devils trailed by 11 (13-2) as the Tigers sunk their first four 3-point attempts.  Caleb replaced Sion and Duke began to close the gap.  When Isaiah entered the game and started knocking down 3s, the team fully awakened – the defense achieved stops and Duke eventually caught and passed the Tigers. 

Second Half

Duke maintained a lead for the full 20 minutes of the second half.  The tigers brought it close, but whenever the Blue Devils needed a stop to hold onto the lead, the defense prevailed.  This is a powerful Auburn offensive team and it took superb defense to keep the Tigers at bay, especially with all the second chances Auburn received from their glut of offensive rebounds.

Rebounding

Duke did a horrible job protecting its defensive backboard in the closing period.  Cooper was a demon on the boards for Duke in the first half, but had only a single second-half rebound.  In fact, Duke corralled only 10 second-half rebounds to Auburn’s 24.  Auburn missed 17 second-half shots (16-33) and  corralled 12 (!) of those 17 misses.  The Tigers got twice as many rebounds off the Duke backboard as the Blue Devils did off of Auburn’s. 

Offense

First Half

With almost 4 minutes of the game having elapsed, Duke called timeout …trailing 13-2 with a layup by Proctor being the Blue Devils’ only score.  Duke had slowly closed the gap to 15-10 with 12:40 left in the half, when Coach Scheyer sent Isaiah Evans into the game – a surprise substitution which proved inspired!

The first stanza yielded a total of just 16 points from 6 of the 7 rotation players. In contrast to his brilliant second half, Cooper scored only 6 first-half points (2-8, including 0-2 from deep, plus 2-3 from the stripe). Proctor added 4 (1-8, including 0-2 from 3land, plus 2-2 from the stripe, Kon 2 (1-1), Sion 2 (0-1 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line), Maliq 2 (1-2), and Khaman 0 Paltry!  The scoring came from Caleb Foster – coming off the bench instead of starting for the first time this year, with 9 first-half points (3-5 from the field, including 1-2 from behind the arc, plus 2-4 from the stripe) to go with an assist – and a simply dazzling shooting streak from Isaiah Evans (6-8 from deep) who scored 18 first-half points.

Isaiah hit his first 3 a minute after entering the game (with 11:40 left in the half) cutting the Auburn lead to three (16-13).  Auburn pushed their lead to 7 (22-15) before Evans made his second consecutive 3 with 8:30 remaining (22-18).  Isaiah struck again only 47 seconds later with his 3rd 3-pointer, cutting the Tiger lead to 1 (22-21) and forcing Auburn to call a timeout.

With the Blue Devils trailing 24-23, Evans grabbed the lead for Duke with 6:27 left in the half when he hit his 4th consecutive 3 pointer (26-24)! Duke kept the lead for the remainder of the game – Auburn never again led or tied.  But Isaiah wasn’t done.  When Evans finally missed an attempt, Scheyer replaced him with 4:42 left in the half and left Isaiah on the bench for two minutes.  Only 13 seconds after re-entering the game, Isaiah struck again for his fifth 3-pointer with 2:37 left in the half (Duke then led by 4, 37-33).  Isaiah increased Duke’s margin to 7 at the half when he nailed yet another 3 with 58 seconds left in the half (43-36). The Flamethrower scored 18 points in under 10 minutes on the floor in the first half. What a performance! 

And what a performance by his teammates in hitting him with great passes to set up those uncontested 3-point shots.

Swish! A three from the corner for Evans

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Flamethrower!

Photo Credit: Rob Kinnan-Imagn Images

The Cameron Crazies are up in arms about another 3-pointer.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com 

Yeah, that’s right, another 3. Make some noise!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The adulations, like the threes, continue.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Second Half

Duke scored 41 second-half points, and rode to the win on the momentum created by Cooper Flagg’s best half of the season.  He made circus shot after circus shot to keep Duke ahead, and, critically, had 0 turnovers for the game.  Cooper scored 16 second-half points (5-10 from the field, including 0-2 from 3land, plus 6-9 from the stripe).  Flagg also notched an assist, 2 steals, and a blocked shot.  

Proctor added 8 second-half points (3-4 from the field, including 2-3 from behind the arc).  His final 3 with 4:30 to go and the clock winding down might have been the biggest shot of the game!  Sion James scored 7 in the final stanza (3-5 from the field including 0-1 from 3land, plus 1-4 from the foul line).  Those 3 players racked up 31 of Duke’s 41 second-half points.  For the remainder, Kon scored 4 (1-2 from the field plus 2 clutch free throws), Caleb got 2 on a gorgeous layup, Kahman had 2 on a dunk, and Maliq with 2 at the rim.

Flagg faces down Tiger center Johni Broome.

Photo Credit: Rob Kinnan-Imagn Images

Cooper

Mr. Flagg was simply magnificent.  He put the Blue Devils on his back and dared Auburn to stop him.  That the Tigers could not do.

Foul Shooting

The major drawback to Duke’s performance (especially in the second half) was the continuing low percentage of made free throws.  Duke was 17-27 for the game. Cooper and Sion each missed 3 free throws and Caleb missed 2.  For the second half, where Duke was clinging to its lead, the Blue Devils were 9-16, just one made free throw above 50%.  For the game, Duke shot only 63%.  Bad foul shooting is a way to lose close games.

Maliq dunks as Gillis stands ready just in case to grab the rebound.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(2) Cooper Flagg (37:33) showed the world why he is likely to be the first draft choice in next year’s NBA draft.  Cooper scored 16 second-half points to sustain Duke’s lead against Auburn’s continuous challenges.  For the game, he scored 22 points (7-18 from the field, including 0-4 from 3land, plus 8-12 from the stripe) to go with 11 rebounds (10 in the first half), 4 assists, 3 steals, and 2 blocked shots, all without a single turnover.  

(7) Kon Knueppel (30:43) only took 3 shots in the entire game, scoring 6 points (2-3 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land, plus 2-2 from the stripe to clinch the win).  He added 2 rebounds and 3 assists.  Kon is a key part of Duke’s efficient defense and is a solid ball handler and passer, but it would be great if he could score against elite teams as he does against lesser opponents.  He did not turn the ball over in the game.

(5) Tyrese Proctor (27:42) was the Blue Devils third leading scorer with 12 points (4-10 from the field, including 2-5 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the stripe) to go with 5 boards, an assist, and a steal.  Tyrese is the best Duke on the ball defender and a reliable ball handler.

(6) Maliq Brown (25:22) scored 4 points and hauled in 6 rebounds while handing out an assist.  Maliq was the primary defender guarding Auburn’s preseason All-American John Broome.  While Broome had a 15 point second half (20 for the game), Maliq kept him from ever giving the Tigers the lead.  Maliq drew fouls from Broome, which led to his fouling out at game’s end. Maliq is logging more minutes at center than Khaman is.

(14) Sion James (23:36) started for the first time, in the backcourt, and played an excellent game at both ends of the floor.  On offense, Sion scored 9 points (3-6 from the field, including  0-2 from deep, plus 3-6 free throws) to go with 5 rebounds, 3 steals, and 2 blocked shots.  

(1) Caleb “CFos” Foster (20:13) scored 11 points (4-8 from the field, including 1-2 from 3land, plus 2-4 from the foul line) to go with 2 assists. Caleb scored 9 of his points in the first half and steadied the offense when he came in after Auburn had jumped out to an 11 point lead. He and James split the point guard duties for the rest of the game.

(3) Isaiah Evans (15:43) described himself, in a post-game interview, as “a flamethrower”.  He scored 62 points once in high school and was Mr. Basketball last year for the state of North Carolina.  Flamethrower doesn’t do justice to Isaiah’s amazing first half where he scored 18 points in under 11 minutes on eight 3-point attempts (6-8). His first 3-pointer made from deep brought Duke to within a point of the Tigers.  His last 3-pointer (his 6th) stretched the Blue Devil lead to 7 at the end of the opening half.  He missed his only shot in the second half, a wide open layup on an effective drive.

(9) Khaman Maluach (14:33) scored 2 points (1-1 on a dunk at the rim) to go with 3 rebounds.  His defense in the first half was effective against John Broome.  Khaman is playing fewer minutes these days than Maliq Brown because of Brown’s heady and effective defense.

(18) Mason Gillis (4:36) again failed to score, or even attempt a shot.  Mason grabbed a rebound but committed 2 fouls in his short time on the floor.  

A Look at the Upcoming ACC Season

Duke opens its ACC campaign against the Louisville Cardinals, who have experienced two consecutive dreadful seasons.  However, Louisville opened this season with 5 wins in their first six games, beating Indiana and West Virginia.  The Cardinals were flying high (only blemish was the #2 game lost  to Tennessee).  Then came the crash landing in the Battle for Atlantis, losing to Oklahoma (69-64) and being blown out by Ole Miss (86-63).  A win over Duke would make the Cardinal season.

The ACC-SEC challenge proved a complete disaster for the ACC, who won only 2 of the 16 games (Clemson beat Kentucky). Even UNC (the only other ACC ranked team – 20th – besides Duke) was thrashed by Alabama (94-79).  Besides UNC and Duke, no ACC team has played well in the non-conference part of the schedule, and are unranked in both polls. Thus, ACC teams will not have a chance to earn their way back into the rankings because from now on ACC teams will primarily play – unranked teams – i.e. each other. Losses will count against the losing team because the loss will be to an unranked team.  Wins will be discounted because they will be against unranked teams.  If the ACC is as weak as the SEC challenge suggests, Duke will almost have to run the table to get a #1 seed in the NCAA tournament.

NEXT PLAY: Saturday, December 8, 2024, at 6:00 p.m. vs. Louisville Cardinals at KFC Yumi Center in Louisville Kentucky.


Duke Blue Devils 76 v. Louisville Cardinals 65 (Season 16; Issue 10; Game 9) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #9 (December 8, 2024) 
Duke Blue Devils 76  – Louisville Cardinals 65 at KFC Yumi Center  in Louisville Kentucky

Duke reaches for another out-of-the-fire win

as Tyrese scores at the rim.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Instead of watching the first half of a Duke men’s Basketball game, I should do something less stressful and less frustrating like work a Rubik’s Cube, or take an online course from Cal Tech on Quantum physics, or I could gift a psychotherapy session to Coach Scheyer on the problems of managing too much young talent. Perhaps just suggest that before tip-off Scheyer have the top ten players scrimmage each other for twenty minutes in an undisclosed location.

Or I could take up online betting: like how many times our 7’2” center from Sudan, Khaman Maluach loses the opening tip? Or whether or not Isaiah “Flamethrower” Evans is the answer to the Blue Devil inconsistent three point shooting.

Do these players have any idea how much an opposing team wants to beat a Duke Basketball team? Kick your game into the next gear right from the start of the game, guys. You can’t make up a fourteen-point lead in every game!

After a major midweek victory over the No. 2 Auburn Tigers, Duke opened its conference schedule with a road trip to the Louisville Cardinals, and promptly fell behind 30-16 in the opening 12 minutes. Flagg picked up his fourth personal foul with 10:36 left on the board, a whistle that forced him to the bench for close to six straight minutes as the Blue Devils sought to battle back.

So, Flagg didn’t match his usual statistical output, right? And Duke lost? Well, not so fast.

Here’s a recap of Flagg’s first ACC game:

Despite the lengthy second-half absence, Flagg still led the Blue Devils with 20 points as he made 8 of his 17 shots from the floor.  He pulled down 12 rebounds for his fourth double-double of the year, and he added two steals, an assist, and a block to his final line.

In the minutes that Cooper was forced to the bench, the Blue Devils basically just did the things you need to do at winning time—including hitting free throws.  Duke played excellent defense down the stretch, but Louisville, in fairness, was gassed.  Injuries really have killed the Cardinals’ depth –Nothing but respect for their effort though.  They gave all they had. It’s a program on the rise.

Kon Knueppel always contributes, whether he is scoring or requiring defensive attention as in this one. Maliq Brown and Sion James were major contributors also when Flagg was on the bench.  In the last few minutes, Flagg was relentless….that guy is relentless.  After the hot start, Louisville finished at 36.7 percent on threes and 38 percent overall…ultimately Duke’s depth and defense just wore down Louisville…. or else the Cardinals shooting arms got exhausted.

Duke is proving they can hold down the fort even when Cooper is on the bench,

as Maliq makes a poised dunk.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

A Winning Time of Significance

Perhaps the most important 5 minutes and 42 seconds of Duke’s season was played in the second half in Louisville against the Cardinals — from 10:36 remaining in the game until there was only 4:42 remaining! –. Here is why. At the 10:36 mark, Cooper Flagg committed his 4th foul, consigning him to the bench.  Terrence Edwards made both foul shots, leaving the Blue Devils behind by 5 points (55-50) with the aforesaid 10:36 left in the game.  Kon Knueppel substituted in as the Devils had to fight from behind without their star.

In the next 5:42, Duke produced the game-winning offensive explosion without Cooper!  This team will never forget being able to accomplish that! Knueppel made a 3-pointer with an assist from Maliq Brown. (Louisville led 55-53 with 10:19 left) before Sion James tied the game with a strong driving layup (55-55 with 9:27 remaining).  Maliq immediately stole the ball, passing to Sion, who was then fouled.  Sion made both free throws for Duke’s first lead (57-55 with 8:46 left) since the opening seconds of the first half.  After the Cardinals tied the game at 57, Maliq scored on a layup in the paint assisted by a gorgeous Kon pass.  Duke lead was 59-57 with 8:16 left in the game.  Maliq stole the ball from Louisville’s star point guard to score on a fast break layup (Duke led 61-57 with 7:46 to go).

Sion rebounded a missed Cardinal jump shot, enabling Proctor to score on a difficult turn-around jump shot. (63-57 with 7:08 left in the game).  After a Louisville turnover and time out, Maliq retrieved an offensive rebound of a Kon missed 3-point shot.  He scored on a dunk with an assist from Sion. (65-57 with 6:19 remaining).  Maliq garnered another rebound before Kon swished another 3 from deep (Duke’s lead expanded to double figures, 68-57 with 5:42 left in the game.  

When Louisville scored 3 points in the next minute, Scheyer called time out and reinserted Cooper Flagg to the game.  Duke led 68-60.  In short Duke had gone from trailing by 5 points with Cooper leading the way to creating an 8 lead with the Blue Devil star on the bench – a stretch that will provide confidence to this Blue Devil team for the rest of the season.  Duke loves and relies on Cooper but now knows that this Blue Devil team has the potential to win without him.  I believe this is a critical confidence that will stand Duke in good stead for the rest of this season.

Scheyer: “The value of our team is we have more than five guys that can play. More than five guys can start. … When Cooper had the four fouls, Mason Gillis, what he did coming in with his toughness, he wasn’t phased at all… Kon also really stepped up in that moment.  I thought Tyrese and Sion just kept us steady. … This team is way more than just one player. It’s way more than just a couple of players.”

Maliq also praised Gillis, “Mason checked in and set the tone. Said what we were going to do, in the huddle. … We locked in. We had to pick it up for Cooper. … It was all from Mason. He came in and set the tone, told us to lock in and get a stop for him [Cooper].” 

Flagg, back in the game, immediately restored the double digit lead,  hitting a jump shot on an assist from Kon.  (Duke 70 – Louisville 60 with 4:27 to go)  After a Cardinal 3, Cooper was fouled and made both shots (Duke 72 – Louisville 63 with 2:09 left).  

The Blue Devils closed the door on the Cardinals with great defense by Maliq, combined with Cooper’s offensive rebound and dunk.  Duke’s lead was 11 (74-63) with 1:09 left in the game – the game was essentially over, but too late for a Spencer Hubbard sighting.

After trailing by 14 points in the first half, and behind for most of the first 29 minutes, Duke exploded for a confidence boosting win!

Sion rallying Duke without Cooper

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Defense

First Half

The Duke starters came out sleepwalking (again) and trailed 10-3 after less than 2 minutes had elapsed.  The Cardinals were simply, and surprisingly, lethal from behind the arc.  After shooting 27% so far for the season, Louisville made 8 3-pointers in the first half (8-16), including the Cardinals’ first 4 shots from behind the arc.  Duke trailed by 4 points at the half, despite forcing 10 Louisville turnovers.

Second Half

Duke played superb defense in the second half, holding Louisville to only 28 points in that period.  The Blue Devils clamped down on the Cardinal shooting, especially from behind the arc, holding Louisville to 3-15 (20% from deep) and 30% (6-26) from the field.  

The Blue Devils continue to foul too frequently!!  Duke committed 11 second-half fouls (4 by Cooper who fouled out of the game in the final minute) giving Louisville 13 second-half free throws (9-13).  Louisville only scored 19 second-half points from the field.

Offense

Duke’s second half offense won the game.  The Blue Devils scored 43 points on 55% shooting (16-29, although only 3-12 from 3land) with only 3 turnovers.

Second Half

Cooper scored 13 second-half points (5-9 from the field, including 1-2 from 3land, plus 2-2 from the stripe).  Flagg also grabbed 9 second-half rebounds in 11:42 minutes.  Proctor, who played the full 20 minutes, added 8 second-half points (4-7 from the field, including 0-2 from behind the arc).  Sion James also scored 8 points in the final stanza (1-1 from 3land, plus 6-6 from the foul line).    Kon was yet another Duke player who scored 8  points (3-7 from the field including 2-6 from 3land).  Maliq added 6 second-half points (3-3 from the field) to go with 7 boards.

The Cardinals simply Fallen at the Devils’ feet

as Kon makes a crucial 3.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(5) Tyrese Proctor (36:27) scored 13 points (6-13 from the field including 1-6 from behind the arc) to go with 2 boards and an assist.  Tyrese is the best Duke on-the-ball defender and a very reliable ball handler.  He played all 20 minutes of the second half, which tells you about Scheyer’s evaluation of Tyrese.

(7) Kon Knueppel (SpecialK) (29:50) scored 12 points (4-12 from the field, including 2-9 from 3land, plus 2-2 from the stripe).  He added a rebound and 6 assists.  Kon is a key part of Duke’s efficient defense and is a solid ball handler and passer.  He had a much better second half, scoring 8, including his 2 3-pointers.

(6) Maliq Brown (29:21) scored 6 points (3-3 from the field in the second half) and hauled in 11 rebounds.  Maliq also contributed an assist, 3 steals and a block. Scheyer, “Maliq was plus 24 [in the +/- statistic, meaning that for the game, Duke scored 24 more points than Louisville during the time Maliq was in the game] all the winning plays that he made on the defensive end –rebounds, blocks – he was so steady; his competitive level was so high.” Maliq is playing so efficiently that Scheyer has him on the court for many more minutes than earlier in the season.  He is Duke’s best defender.

(2) Cooper Flagg (28:09).  Cooper scored 20 points (8-17 from the field including 1-3 from deep and 3-3 from the foul line) to go with 12 rebounds, an assist, 2 steals and a blocked shot  For the second game in a row, Cooper did not have a turnover.  His 13 second-half points were a key part of Duke’s win, but his propensity for fouling deserves another mention.

(14) Sion James (25:28) started in the backcourt again and played an excellent game at both ends of the floor.  Sion scored 11 points (2-5 from the field, including  1-2 from deep, plus 6-6 free throws) to go with 3 rebounds, an assist, a steal and a blocked shot.  

(18) Mason Gillis (16:17) finally made a 3-pointer (1-2 from deep).  Mason grabbed 2 rebounds, handed out an assist and had a steal.  Coach Scheyer relied on Mason to organize the defense when Cooper went to the bench.  “[I had] complete trust in Mason to come in, at that moment.” It was Mason’s best performance at Duke.  

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (13:29) scored 9 points (3-7 from the field, including 2-6 from 3land, plus 1-2 from the foul line) to go with 2 rebounds and an assist. Caleb scored all 9 of his points in the first half. CFos’s playing time is diminishing as Sion James has become more effective on both ends of the floor. 

(9) Khaman Maluach (10:39) scored 2 points (1-1 on a dunk at the rim) to go with 2 rebounds.  Khaman is playing fewer minutes as Maliq Brown, becomes more and more impactful.

(3) Isaiah Evans (10:20) could not duplicate any part of his spectacular first-half performance against Auburn.  He missed his only 2 shots, both 3-point attempts, handed out an assist but committed 2 fouls.  When Isaiah entered the game, whoever he guarded was the next Cardinal to score from deep. Ouch!

Cooper flying high to lead Duke to another awesome win.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Rankings

Duke’s win over Auburn caused the Blue Devils to move up in the rankings to # 4 in the Associated Press poll and # 6 in the Coach’s poll.  UNC and Pittsburgh dropped out of the top 25, but garnered a few votes.  Clemson’s win over Kentucky fueled the Tigers’ jump to # 16 in each poll.  No other ACC teams were mentioned.

NEXT PLAY: Saturday, December 10, 2024, at 7:00 p.m. vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals at Cameron Indoor Stadium.  Do they have a prayer?  Tune in to ACCN.


Duke Blue Devils 72 v. Incarnate Word Cardinals 46 (Season 16; Issue 11; Game 10) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #10 (December 10, 2024) 
Duke Blue Devils 72 – Incarnate Word Cardinals 46 at 7pm in Cameron Indoor Stadium. 

Hot Take – The Flamethrower throws flames

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

[The Editorial Board admonishes Scheyer for choosing to play the Louisville Cardinals followed by the Incarnate Word Cardinals. At least the Louisville Cardinals are birds while the Word Cardinals are religious figures. Problem solved! But, Jon, please don’t do it again!] 

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

If Duke is the #4 team in the country, they must be infinity or off the charts for first-half offensive efficiency [cue the sarcasm]—especially three-point shots.  Suggestion: If Isaiah “The Flame Thrower” Evans can hit six of eight 3s in the first half against Auburn, and four of five 3s in the second half against Incarnate Word, why not try playing him in both halves with the regular rotation consisting mainly of one of the three centers plus Coop D’ Loop, Special K, Proctor — telling Coop to leave the 3s to three of the “shorter” guys.

Hand to Hand – Kon and Mason organize the defense

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

Scheyer Strengthens the Duke Rotation

Duke’s rotation has been somewhat thin in games against elite teams, sometimes being only 7 players. [When Scheyer has been up against an elite team this year, he has not had confidence that his “other” 3 freshmen — Evans, Harris and Ngongba can consistently compete at that level.  Mason Gillis has been in a slump.  Those 4 (of his 11 potential rotation players) did not see the court against Kentucky or Kansas.] Coach Scheyer knows that if he can strengthen the back end of the rotation, it will pay dividends for the Blue Devils in the conference schedule and in the postseason. 

Duke fans perceive that Khaman Maluach has been less effective than his reputation as a future lottery pick next June.  Maliq Brown’s minutes have increased at center because has been playing lights out.   Maliq did not play against Incarnate Word because of a toe he injured in the Louisville game.  Coach Scheyer said it was not a serious injury but required rest in this game.  The result was substantial playing time for Khaman (22:03) and fellow freshman Patrick Ngongba II (17:32).  Patrick is intriguing because: 1) he is 6 ’10 ” or 11” and 2) he was injured for almost all of last year at Pope Pius I (where he and Darren Harris were teammates)  and 3) he has shown real potential, despite the obvious rust when he has played.

Duke’s dismal shooting in the first half against the Incarnate Cardinals (10-30 from the field for 33%, including 2-13 from behind the arc for a disappointing 15%) demonstrated the need for improvement.  Enter Isaiah Evans, who fueled the imagination of fans with his spectacular 6-8 from deep in the first half against Auburn.  But then he didn’t score at all against Auburn  in the second half, nor did Isaiah score in his 10 minutes of playing against Louisville. Then, once again Isaiah unleashed another spectacular half (the closing stanza) against Incarnate Word, making 4-5 from deep (14 second-half points).  Consistency is clearly not his watchword.  

Hopefully, Isaiah is wise enough to also know he must play defense to earn more playing time.“That’s the only way I’m going to get on the court. If I can’t play [defense], then I can’t play. After practice, everyday [I’m] working with Coach Dildy on my defense, guarding Spencer Hubbard and Cameron Sheffield every day, sometimes Jayce McCain. Guarding those guys every day after practice really helps my defense. … If I can get stops, then I get the opportunity to be on the court. And if I’m on the court, then I can play offense.”  

Coach Scheyer agreed, “Tonight Isaiah showed a lot of maturity. … Just having Isaiah on the floor at times, even if he’s not hitting, you know that he has to be guarded. He’s such a weapon. Right after the Auburn and Louisville game, he went right back to the coaches and said, ‘I want to work on my defense. I want to guard Spencer Hubbard one-on-one.’ Nobody wants to guard Spencer Hubbard one-on-one [Spenser is too quick with too many good moves…one expends much energy to guard him!] but Isaiah wants to. It’s that approach that I’ve been really proud of.”

Other players, whose playing time has been limited against elite teams, also received opportunities. Mason Gillis did not score but logged 19 minutes of valuable time.  As Mason demonstrated in the Louisville game, he organizes the defense when Cooper is not on the floor.  His defense and maturity have been increasingly more valuable.  Duke is waiting for Mason to begin shooting as he did last season for Purdue.  Darren Harris played 9 minutes, scoring 4 points.

The Defense

First Half  — Duke 28 — Incarnate Word 21 –

The Duke starters came out sleepwalking (again) and trailed 10-3 after less than 2 minutes had elapsed. With 7:32 to go, Duke led by only 2 (12-10) and had already committed 5 personal fouls!  With 59 seconds left, the Duke lead was 3 (24-21).  The defense was ok (Incarnate Word was more awful on offense than Duke was great on defense).

The Incarnate Cardinals were simply and surprisingly lethal from behind the arc.  After shooting 27% so far for the season, this time they  sank eight 3-pointers in the first half (8-16), including the first 4.  

Second Half

Duke played superb defense in the second half, holding Incarnate Word to only 25 points in that period.  The Blue Devils clamped down on the Cardinal shooting, especially from behind the arc, holding the Cardinals to 2-13 (15% from deep) and 37% (10-27) from the field.  Incarnate Word had scored only 20 second- half points with 2:19 remaining in the game. 

Offense

Duke’s second-half offense won the game.  The Blue Devils scored 44 points on 56% shooting (14-25, including 6-12 from deep, aided by Isaiah’s 4-5 from behind the arc) with only 6 turnovers.  Evans (14), Ngongba (6), and Malauch (5) scored 25 of Duke’s 44 points.  Building the bench!

The offense was so bad in the first half that Duke had scored only 24 points in 19 minutes and led by only a single possession (24-21) with 59 seconds left in that half.  Ouch!

Getting the last Word – Dominant & agile, this is the Khaman we need

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(7) Kon (Special K) Knueppel (23:46) scored 10 points (2-6 from the field, including 2-4 from 3land, plus 4-4 from the stripe).  He added 3 rebounds, an assist, and a steal.  He played only 7 second-half minutes while the reserves received most of the second half playing time.

(5) Tyrese Proctor (22:56) scored 5 points (2-7 from the field including 1-5 from behind the arc) to go with a board and a steal.  Tyrese played only 5 minutes of the second half, making space for the players (like Evans, Harris, & Gillis) who do not usually go against elite teams, in order for them to gain experience.

(2) Cooper Flagg (22:15).  Cooper scored 6 points (2-8 from the field including 0-3 from deep and 2-2 from the foul line) to go with 8 rebounds, 2 assists, a steal and a blocked shot.  For the third game in a row, Cooper did not have a turnover.  Flagg played only 6 second-half minutes.

(9) Khaman Maluach (22:03) had his best game as a Blue Devil, leading Duke in scoring with 17 points (6-7 on dunks at the rim, plus 6-7 from the foul line) to go with 7 rebounds.  What a performance!

(3) Isaiah (Flame Thrower) Evans (19:29) had another one of  those halves as he did against Auburn in the first half.  Against Incarnate Word, Isaiah had an unproductive first half  (5:15 on the court, missing his only shot (a 3-point attempt) and committing 2 fouls in that short stretch.  Then, – Magic in the second half – where he scored all of his 14 points (4-5 from deep, plus 2-2 from the stripe) in 14:14 second-half minutes.  Evans also handed out an assist.

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (19:10) scored 4 points (1-6 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land, plus 2-2 from the foul line) to go with 2 rebounds, 4 assists, and 2 steals.  Caleb basically split time at point guard with Sion James.

(18) Mason Gillis (19:01) is finally making an impact, and earning minutes of playing time, even though he failed to score in this game (0-3 from the field, including 0-1 from deep) .  Mason leads and organizes the defense when the starters are not in the game.  Mason grabbed 3 boards and handed out a gaudy 5 assists, all the while playing a good floor game.

(14) Sion James (18:04)  Sion scored 6 points (3-4 from the field, including  0-1 from deep, plus 0-3 free throws) to go with a team-leading 8 rebounds, 3 assists, but 4 turnovers.  Sion is acknowledged by his teammates as an excellent on-the-ball defender.

(21) Patrick Ngongba II (17:32) demonstrated that he could be a force as the season progresses.  This was his largest amount of playing time in any game this year.  He did not waste the opportunity, scoring 6 points on 3-3 shooting from the floor while grabbing 5 rebounds.

(8) Darren Harris (9:10) played only in the second half, scoring 4 points (1-4 from the field, including 1-3 from 3land, plus 1-2 from the line) to go with a rebound.

(55) Spencer Hubbard (2:58) failed to score (0-1) but was lauded by Coach Scheyer as hard to guard!  Spencer is working with Isaiah Evans to improve Isaiah’s defense.

Back in Blue –Patrick returns to playing shape… and he scores!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The George Mason Patriots, Duke’s next opponent, is not an elite team.  While the Patriots are 7-3 (Duke is 7-2), the Patriots have lost to Marquette (82-63), Central Michigan (70-69), and East Carolina (78-77 in 2 OT).  George Mason has won their last 3 games: James Madison (66-61), UNC Asheville (74-52), and Tulane (78-64).  Duke is hoping that Isaiah, Patrick, and Mason continue to get more playing time and contribute more before ACC play resumes on December 21 against Georgia Tech.

 NEXT PLAY: Saturday, December 17, 2024, at 7:00 p.m. vs. George Mason Patriots at Cameron Indoor Stadium.  ACCN.


Duke Blue Devils 68 v. George Mason Patriots 47 (Season 16; Issue 12; Game 11) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #11 (December 17, 2024) 
Duke Blue Devils 68 – George Mason Patriots 47 in Cameron Indoor Stadium. 

It’s a bird! It’s a plane! It’s a Flagg!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Gentle readers, 

Bill has some obligations this festive season that will necessitate his intermittent absence from Cliffsnotes. 

Many thanks for your forbearance.

ALANALYSIS

Duke’s calling card so far this season has been the defense.  Against the George Mason Patriots, the defense was simply stellar.  No observer could say that with a straight face about the Blue Devil offense.  Duke’s first half against the Patriots was a perfect example of their offensive shortcomings so far this year. 

Sion as the starting point guard

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Does Duke Have a Point Guard Problem?

Jeremy Roach transferred to Baylor after playing 4 years as Duke’s primary point guard and for two years, team captain.  Jeremy was Duke’s spiritual leader, who took “the last shot”.  His departure left a void. Caleb, Tyrese, and Sion have  the daunting task of filling the point guard role.

Sion James is now Duke’s primary point guard.  Caleb Foster has lost his starting job and is playing fewer minutes as the season progresses.  In his <12 minutes of court time, CFos failed to score against George Mason.  Meanwhile, Sion scored 7 points and handed out 3 assists in his 30+ minutes on the court.  While Scheyer was impressed that Sion had a +31 in the +/- statistical category, the Duke offense has not yet jelled into a consistent force. The coach is still searching for the adjustment that will unleash Duke’s potential on offense.

There has been speculation that the offense could jell with Cooper Flagg as a  Magic-Johnson-type point guard – controlling the offense, but also scoring and rebounding  Of course, Cooper has never been a point guard, but he does handle the ball better (and more) than any other Duke player.  It will be fascinating to watch Scheyer’s coaching to develop the offense. 

The Defense

First Half:Duke 25  –  George Mason 16

With 7:40 to go, Duke led by 9 (20-11). The Patriots could score only 5 points the rest of the way (one was a ridiculous 3-pointer that banked in over the good defense of Isaiah “Flamethrower” Evans).  George Mason did not score in the final 4:36 of the half.  The Patriots were stymied by the intense Duke defense. 

Second Half: Duke 43 – George Mason 31

Duke played intense defense in the second half, holding The Patriots to 31 points in that period.  With 3:03 remaining in the game, the Blue Devils led by 22 points (61-39) and had buried George Mason, who in 17 second-half minutes scored only 23 points. 

Duke’s defense is ahead of the offense, and Scheyer believes it can still improve.  Khaman is improving into a dominant defensive presence.  Scheyer understands Khaman’s increasing value: “Khaman [Maluach] impacts the game in so many ways. Protecting the rim, had eight rebounds, guarding two really good big men.”

Scheyer sending Khaman back into the game

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Offense

Duke’s second-half offense won the game.  The Blue Devils scored 43 points on 52% shooting (12-23, including 5-12 from deep, aided by Isaiah’s 3-4 from behind the arc in the closing stanza) with only 5 turnovers. Cooper (17) Flamethrower (9), and Malauch (6) scored 31 of Duke’s 43 points.  Mason and CFos failed to score in the half, while Kon and Maliq each hit for 2 and Sion scored 4.

Maliq scores elegantly as Duke turned up the offense in the second half

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The offense was so bad in the first half that Duke scored only 25 points. With 7:40 to go in the half, Duke had 20 points, leading 20-11.  Duke did not score another field goal until Kon scored on a layup with 18 seconds left in the half.  

Duke’s shooting was, to be charitable, simply awful (27%; 9-33; including 4-15 from 3land).  Duke was only 50% from the free throw line (3-6).  Cooper was 2-11, 1-2 from deep and 2-2 from the stripe (7 points) while Kon was 2-6, including 0-4 from behind the arc.  Caleb (0-4 from the field including 0-2 from behind the arc), Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (0-2 from 3land), Khaman Maluach (0-1) and Maliq Brown (0-0) all failed to score in the first half.

Proctor on the perimeter, defending, fully focused

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(2) Cooper Flagg (34:59).  Cooper had a great game, scoring 24 points (7-20 from the field, after a 2-11 first half).  Flagg was 2-5 from behind the arc, plus an efficient 8-8 from the foul line, to go with 9 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 steals and a blocked shot.  However, Cooper turned it over 3 times, after three straight turnover-free  games.

(5) Tyrese Proctor (31:44) scored 8 points (3-8 from the field including 2-3 from behind the arc) to go with 4 boards and an assist.  Tyrese’s defense is simply superb.

(14) Sion James (30:47) has taken over the primary point guard duties.  Sion scored 7 points (2-4 from the field, including  1-3 from deep, plus 2-3 free throws) to go with a team-leading 3 assists, and a rebound.  Sion had 2 steals, part of his intense perimeter defense.

(7) Kon (Special K) Knueppel (23:59) scored 6 points (3-7 from the field, including 0-4 from 3land).  He added 5 rebounds and a steal, without an assist.  Kon is part of the glue on defense, but did not have a superior offensive game.

(9) Khaman Maluach (23:58) had his best game as a Blue Devil for the second game in a row, and played more than 22 minutes for the second game in a row.  Khaman scored 6 points on 6-8 from the stripe (missed his first 2, then hit 6-6).  He was 0-1 from the field with 8 rebounds, two blocks and a steal.  Scheyer believes Khaman’s offense is as valuable as his defense: “Khaman has been a terrific pick-and-roll player all year, and he’s a guy I really trust with the ball in his hands. Tonight, he had two turnovers, but besides that, he’s had the best assist-to-turnover ratio on the team. It’s been three to one. He has the size to see over the pick-and-roll, but he also has the shooting ability where defenses have to respect that. …his passing has been a great skill for us. It’s been a great asset.”

(6) Maliq Brown (16:02) returned to the rotation after missing the previous game with a toe injury.  Maliq scored 2 points on 1-1 from the field to go with 5 rebounds, 2 assists and a steal.  His defense is subtle and effective.

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (15:25) had another one of  those halves; he shot 3-4 from behind the arc in the closing period.  Isaiah had an unproductive first half  (6:33 on the court, missing his only two 3-point attempts in that short stretch).  Then the Flamethrower produced his magic in the second half where he scored all of his 9 points (3-4 from deep, in 8:52 second-half minutes).  

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (11:54) is playing fewer minutes because of his (so far) disappointing play.  He did nothing to regain his former position against George Mason where he failed to score (0-4 from the field, including 0-2 from 3land, all in the first half) to go with a rebound, and a steal – without an assist. Caleb played less than 4 minutes in the second half notching a steal, but giving up a turnover.

(18) Mason Gillis (11:32) is finally making an impact, though after a good game against Incarnate Word, Gillis played well only in the first half against the Patriots. He scored all 6 points in the first half (2-5 from the field, including 1-4 from behind the arc plus 1-2 from the stripe).  Mason made his first 3-point attempt, but then missed 3 in a row, 2 in the closing period. Mason grabbed a rebound, handed out an assist and made a steal (all in the first half).

Mason drills a 3-pointer in the first half

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ACC Play Begins

The ACC teams continue to lose games against teams from other conferences.  Last night, Florida (SEC) beat UNC 90-84 (now 6-5) while South Carolina (SEC) beat Clemson 91-88 in overtime.  No ACC team is ranked in the top 25 of the Coach’s Poll, besides Duke (#5).  Clemson was ranked 25 in the AP Poll (before the loss to South Carolina).  This means any ACC loss by the Blue Devils will have adverse consequences for postseason seedings.  Duke still has 2 ACC games in 2024 – Georgia Tech (a road game at noon) and Virginia Tech at home at 4:30 p.m. on New Year’s Eve.

NEXT PLAY: Saturday, December 21, 2024, at 12:00 p.m. vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at McCamish Pavilion in Atlanta.  ACCN.


Duke Blue Devils 82 v. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 56 (Season 16; Issue 13; Game 12) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #12 (December 21, 2024) 
Duke Blue Devils 82 – Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 56 at McCamish Pavilion in Atlanta. 

Flagg celebrates his 18th birthday with a dunk

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Bill had stuff on his plate which precluded Cliffsnotes.  He hopes and has every intention to return to writing CliffsNotes for the Virginia Tech game on December 31.

🎵Step in time! Proctor adding to Duke’s point total with moves that would make Dick Van Dyke proud

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

Even Before Tip-Off, This Game Seemed Important

Last year’s Blue Devil team lost a close game to the Yellow Jackets in Atlanta to open ACC play.  Even though the loss revealed much about Duke’s shortcomings,  Duke had an excellent season, winning 27 games. However, last year’s team failed to reach any goals because Duke: 1) did not win ACC Regular Season Championship (with a 15-5 record in ACC play, 2 full games behind UNC); 2) lost in the Semi-Finals of the ACC Tournament; and 3) failed to make the Final Four in the NCAA Tournament, after the Blue Devils lost in the Elite 8.  No matter the quality of the teams, ACC road games are difficult to win. Therefore, I thought the Duke opening ACC road game was extra important for this season.

Sion scores in a ballet of traffic underneath the rim

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Point Guard

Caleb Foster has lost his starting job and is playing fewer minutes as the season progresses (13:06 against Ga. Tech) Sion James, the new starter, had a good first half, scoring 7 points. For the game, he handed out 4 assists in his 24:06 minutes on the court.  However, Sion did not score in the second half. Caleb, on the other hand, scored 5 second-half points, playing the best he has played in a substantial period of time. The progress of the Blue Devil point guard play bears scrutiny as the season progresses. Duke’s offense against the Yellow Jackets demonstrated dramatic offensive progress.  

Flame on! Isaiah is getting more consistent at throwing flames

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

First Half  — Duke 41 – Ga. Tech 36

The Blue Devils had an excellent offensive half, shooting 63% (15-24 with 10 assists), including 6-13 from deep.  Kon (Special K) Knueppell (3-6 from deep) and Cooper (the Birthday Boy, who was 3-5 from the field, including 1-2 from 3land, plus 2-4 from the stripe) led Duke’s first half scoring with 9 points each.  Flagg also garnered 2 first-half boards and handed out an assist, but turned it over twice (all in the opening period). Sion James scored all 7 of his points in the first half (3-4 from the field, including 1-1 from behind the arc).  However, the defense, which limited the Yellow Jackets to 22 points in the first 16 minutes of the first half, was marred by the Blue Devil defense disappearing in the last 4:36 of the first half.  

With 4:36 left in the half, Duke led by 15 (37-22).  From there, The Yellow Jackets outscored the Blue Devils 14-4 to cut the lead to 5 at the half (41-36).  Duke played terribly on both ends in that stretch, missing shots, giving up uncontested shots and carelessly turning the ball over. When The Yellow Jackets hit their first 3 of the second half, reducing the Duke lead to 4 (43-39), my brow furrowed.  I needn’t have worried, because Duke played some tremendous basketball in the second half on both ends of the floor to turn a close hard fought game into a total rout.

Second Half –  Duke 41 – Ga Tech 20

Duke played superb defense in the second half holding the Yellow Jackets to 20 points in that period (on 25% shooting from the field).  Georgia Tech converted only 7 field goals (7-28, including 3-10 from 3land, plus 3-4 from the stripe).  Georgia Tech grabbed only 5 offensive rebounds (out of 21 misses).  The Blue Devils forced 7 turnovers and blocked 2 shots (one each by Special K and Sion).   

Duke scored 41 points while maintaining a lead of between 18 and 26 points throughout the second half, after Duke had pushed its lead from 4 to 18 after 6 minutes had transpired.  The Blue Devils handed out 10 more assists on 16 field goals, shooting 52% (16-31, including 4-12 from behind the arc  — Foster 1-1, Knueppel 1-2, Flamethrower 1-2, and Proctor, 1-3; with misses from Cooper, Mason, Maliq, and Darren Harris). 

Khaman flies higher than the Yellow Jacket’s sting

Photo Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images

While Khaman is a defensive asset, and getting better in each game, his offense is improving by leaps and bounds.  The South Sudanese player led the Blue Devil scoring in the second half with 11 points (4-4 from the field, including a medium range jump shot, plus 3-4 from the stripe.)   Khaman scored 13 points in the game. Statistically, Khaman is Duke’s best foul shooter on the season (24-30 for 80%).  

Kon scored another 9 points in the last half (4-5, including 1-2 from deep) to go with 4 second-half rebounds, 3 assists, a steal and a block.  Pretty good half.  Jim Boeheim (color announcing) awarded Kon the game ball – even on Cooper’s (18th!!)birthday.  Cooper scored 4 second-half points (2-6 from the field, including 0-1 from behind the arc.  Proctor, Caleb and Isaiah each contributed 5 second-half points.

Kon can do:  his many skills made him this game’s MVP

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(7) Kon (Special K) Knueppel (32:22) had his best game in quite a while, scoring 18 points (7-11 from the field, including 4-8 from deep) to augment his 5 assists, 4 rebounds, a steal and a block. Kon, who was 4-18 from behind the arc in his recent games, said “ it was definitely the worst slump of my life. … I thought last game I was worrying about it a little too much.  You’ve got to have a “next play” mentality and be tough that way.   I tried to do that and have a bunch of fun today.”  Special K is a solid defender, and his defense does not depend on his offense.

(5) Tyrese Proctor (28:26) scored 10 points (4-7 from the field including 1-4 from behind the arc, plus 1-3 from the stripe) to go with 2 boards, 2 assists, and a steal.  Tyrese makes tough shots and holds the perimeter defense together.

(2) Cooper Flagg (28:24).  The Birthday Boy (turned 18) had a solid game, scoring 13 points (5-11 from the field, including 1-3 from behind the arc, plus 2-4 from the foul line), to go with 4 rebounds and 2 assists. Cooper turned it over 3 times for the second straight game.

(14) Sion James (23:06) scored 7 points (3-6 from the field, including  1-1 from deep) to go with 4 assists, and 5 tough rebounds.  Sion also had a steal.  Sion’s game has improved and is improving on both ends of the floor.  He is now the #1 point guard.

(9) Khaman Maluach (20:37)  was on the Court for more than 20 minutes for the 3rd game in a row.  Khaman scored 15 points (5-5 from the field plus 5-6 from the foul line) to complement 8 rebounds, 2 assists and a blocked shot.  Khaman is now playing more minutes than Maliq Brown and being more impactful for Duke in his last 3 games than he was earlier in the year.

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (18:51) is quietly (some games not so quietly) moving into the rotation.  He is defending better.  He scored 8 points (2-4 from the field, including 2-3 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the free throw line.)  His progress may be one of Duke’s most important assets this season.  And, he is quickly becoming a fan favorite.

(6) Maliq Brown (18:09)) scored 2 points on 1-2 from the field to go with 2 rebounds, 2 assists, a steal, and a blocked shot.  He is so quiet on the court and so effective!

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (13:06)) played a solid second half where he did all his scoring.  He failed to score in the first half, missing his only attempt, a 3-pointer.  In the second half, CFos scored 5 points.  For the game, Foster was 2-4, including making his only 3-point attempt (in the second half).  CFos pulled down 5 boards and handed out an assist against 2 turnovers.

(18) Mason Gillis (8:27) is improving after a disappointing start to his Duke career this year.  Mason scored 4 points (2-4 from the field, including 0-2 from 3land).  Gillis played a nice floor game, pulling in 3 boards, handing out an assist making a steal.

(21) Patrick Ngongba II (3:09) pulled down a pair of rebounds in his short stint on the floor at the end of the game.  He did not appear in the game until it was deep into “garbage time”.  Patrick missed almost all of last year with an injury.  Still, many are hoping that Patrick, based on his play in high school, earns an opportunity to be in the rotation.

(8) Darren Harris (3:09) missed his only shot, a 3-point attempt at the end of this game.  He and Patrick came into the game together.

Gillis improves his play

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ACC Play 

The ACC teams continue to lose games against teams from other conferences.  Last weekend, Maryland beat Syracuse 87-60).  St Joe beat Virginia Tech by 20 (82-62), and Mount St. Mary’s beat Miami 78-74 in overtime.  On December 18, Memphis beat Virginia in Charlottesville.  Duke (#4 in both polls) is the only ACC team ranked in the top 25 in both polls.  We wonder if that ever happened before in ACC (formed in 1953) history.

UNC did show signs of life, beating 18th ranked UCLA in Los Angeles 76-74, even though the Tarheels are not in the top 25.

Duke is now off until New Year’s Eve day, when ACC competition resumes.

NEXT PLAY: Tuesday, December 31, 2024, at 4:30 p.m. vs. Virginia Tech Hokies at Cameron Indoor Stadium.  ACCN.


Duke Blue Devils 88 v. Virginia Tech Hokies 65 (Season 16; Issue 14; Game 13) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #13 (December 31, 2024) 
Duke Blue Devils 88  – Virginia Tech Hokies 65 at Cameron Indoor Stadium. 

The Hokies look on in awe as Tyrese does his share of the Duke scoring

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

This edition of the Blue Devils have fallen behind at the beginning of almost every game – whether against elite or lesser teams.  These starts that make us feel that all on the team [except Cooper] are not fully ready when the referee throws it up for the opening jump. So far, Cooper has been the anti-dote, by being the early offense and keeping Duke close until the players awaken.  If Duke does not correct, this could be the fatal flaw for a successful ACC regular season and tournament runs.

Against the Hokies, it looked in the early going as if the Duke players had left basketball for final exams and the Christmas holidays.  The Blue Devils certainly found their pre-winter-break rhythm and played a superb second half, but these slow starts are a worrisome characteristic for there are championship level teams that cannot be played at a top level for less than the full forty minutes.

Duke is dependent on the continued improvement of Khaman Malauch, both dramatically on defense and subtly on offense, as well as relying on the change of pace that Maliq Brown presents.  But the Blue Devils will not make the Final Four unless Maliq continues to improve his scoring and rebounding, even while defending at such a high level.

The Blue Devils also need to be consistent 3-point shooters.  Kon (Special K) Knueppel,  while appearing to have broken out of a slump, has demonstrated other skills of a well-rounded Robin to Flagg’s Batman.  Kon was 2-7 from behind the arc against Virginia Tech.  Likewise, Proctor and Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (you can hear the excitement from the Crazies when Evans enters the game)  make Duke a truly dangerous team when shooting from deep.

“Golly! He’s terrific! He’s a really good basketball player,” Virginia Tech’s Head Coach Young said about Cooper Flagg in a post-game interview. “Great skills. Floor it. Pass it. Makes the right basketball plays. Admired him by watching him on film and saw him a lot. After competing against him, even more so.”

Flagg put on a show in front of Coach Young and the Duke supporters in attendance for the Blue Devils’ final game of 2024. He led all scorers with 24 points, shooting 9-for-14, including 2-for-4 from beyond the arc. Flagg was also automatic from the free throw line, converting all four of his attempts. Flagg simply stuffed the stat sheet again, recording six assists and three rebounds in 30 minutes of action. Cooper’s defensive prowess was also on display with a game-high four steals, plus adding one block.

It is interesting to note that all the lobs to Khaman were unsuccessful, except for Flagg’s, which were perfect and converted.

Hall of Famer, and Blue Devil alum, Carlos Boozer has 2 twin sons who will attend Duke next year.  Cameron Boozer attended this Virginia Tech game with his mom.  Cameron’s twin brother Cayden is also coming to Duke next year as a highly rated point guard.  Cooper was the #1 recruit last year, Cameron Boozer is #2 this year.  Good players like to play with other good players – there is scuttlebutt being reported that Cooper might return next year in order to play a season with the Boozers.

Cooper does it all…dunking & driving

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

NIL and the Transfer Portal

College sports – especially the revenue sports – are in crisis, as exemplified by ESPN’s December 30, 2024 report that six former Florida State basketball players have sued Seminoles’ coach Leonard Hamilton, alleging he failed to make good on a promise to get each of them $250,000 in name, image and likeness compensation: 

 “The former players alleg Hamilton promised them the money from his ‘business partners’. The lawsuit says they walked out of a practice last season over the missed payments and intended to boycott a Feb. 17 game against Duke. They ended up playing — the Seminoles lost — amid a guarantee from Hamilton that they would be paid.  But they never were, according to the suit.”

The Florida State suit is just the latest in a string of legal disputes regarding NIL: 

“Matthew Sluka, a starting quarterback for the UNLV football team, left the program after three games in September because he said he was never paid on a $100,000 NIL deal.

“Former Florida quarterback signee Jaden Rashada, now playing at Georgia, sued Gators coach Billy Napier last year over an alleged unpaid $13 million NIL deal.

“And several Tulsa players claim they were never paid thousands in NIL commitments made by former coach Kevin Wilson.”

The crisis is fueled by the replacement of the requirement that transfers sit out a year before being eligible with the transfer portal. Duke lost 9 players from last year’s roster – two to the NBA but the other 7 (!!) transferred through the portal to other schools and are playing college basketball this year. The transfer portal sets up the damaging bidding wars that have the potential of destroying college sports.

An ACC Home Win – Duke 88 v Va. Tech 65

The game was actually more of a blow-out than the score indicates.  The Blue Devils led by 27 (77-50) with 4:03 to go. Then Scheyer put in the subs for “garbage time” and the Hokies scored 15 points in the last 4 minutes . Coach Scheyer knows Duke can shoot better from deep: “I still didn’t think we had as good of a shooting night as we can have.  I think there’s going to be a game here where we can really break out.  For Tyrese and Kon to go 3-12 [from behind the arc], I thought they had good looks. …They’re going to hit some of those.”

Va. Tech coach, Mike Young, offered this post game assessment of this year’s Duke team: “I think this is the best Duke team I’ve seen in a bit, in my humble opinion. I think the best defensive team I’ve seen in my six years in this league. They can really disrupt you with their length and with the ability to switch everything with Brown. And I think Maluach will be able to do it. He’s a wonderful player. They’re very disruptive. There’s a reason they’re number one in the country defensively, I think four offensively. It’s a pretty good outfit.”

First Half  — Duke 37 v. Va. Tech 27

Duke looked very rusty early in the game on offense.  Cooper was excellent, but the rest of the Devils were missing shots, turning it over, and committing fouls even while playing intense and excellent defense.  Flagg scored Duke’s first 8 points in 6:30 of playing time and finished the half with 14 points.  With 8:50 having elapsed, Duke had only 2 points besides Cooper’s 8, a layup by Mason Gillis.  

With 8:26 to go in the half, Duke trailed l6-14!  Then, Cooper hit another 3-pointer, was fouled,, was fouled, and hit the foul shot to give Duke a 2 point lead (18-16).  From there, the Blue Devils’ play improved slowly and steadily.  Flagg scored again, Tyrese Proctor hit 2 free throws and Kon (Special K) Knueppel hit a 3 (25-18) with 6:25 to go.  

The Blue Devils stretched the lead to 13 when Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans hit his only 3 of the half (1-4 in the opening half) followed by a corner 3 from Mason Gillis (31-18 Duke) with 4:19 to go.  But Duke missed shots, turned the ball over, and gave up 6 points in a row (31-24) with 2:57 left before Duke stretched the lead back to double figures on baskets by Proctor (a dunk), Sion (layup) and Kon’s jumper to conclude the half.

While Duke turned it over 7 times and committed 7 fouls (2 by Cooper), the Blue Devil intense defense held Va. Tech to 27 first-half points (10-25, including 3-11 from behind the arc, plus 4-5 from the stripe).

Flamethrower lets his teammates know he is ready to fire

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Second Half –  Duke 51 v Va. Tech 38

Duke led by double figures for the entire second half except for 23 seconds, when the Hokies cut the lead to 9 with 12:55 left in the game. 

Proctor sank a 3 (great assist from Flamethrower) followed by a Flamethrower 3, which pushed the Blue Devil lead to 15 (55-40) with 11:56 left in the game.  Four minutes later, Duke led by 20 (65-45) with 7:45 left.  As Duke’s shooting became consistent, the lead continued to grow, reaching 28 (88-60), with 1:21 to go.  The Hokies scored the last 5 points of the game as part of “garbage time.”

How hot were the Duke shooters in the closing period?  How about 18-27 from the field (67%), including 6-10 from behind the arc (Flamethrower was 3-3!!), plus 9-9 from the stripe to score a solid 51 points!  Cooper led the way with 10 second-half points (4-7 from the field, including 0-1 from deep, and 2-2 from the stripe).  

The Duke scoring in the second half was balanced: Tyrese scored 9 on perfect shooting (3-3 from the field, including 1-1 from deep and 2-2 from the stripe), Isaiah the Flamethrower  was 3-3 from deep for 9 points, Kon scored 8 (2-4 from the field, including 1-2 from 3land, plus 3-3 from the foul line).  Sion had 6 points on 3-3 from the field, to go with 5 rebounds and an assist.  

For the game, Sion had a double-double  (10 points and 10 rebounds).

Sion James on his way to a double-double

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(2) Cooper Flagg (29:58) had another simply superb game, scoring 24 points (9-14, including 2-4 from behind the arc, plus 4-4 from the foul line) to go with 6 assists, 4 steals (and wonderful defense), 3 assists and a blocked shot.  What a player he is!

(5) Tyrese Proctor (29:44) scored 13 points (4-9 from the field including 2-4 from behind the arc, plus 4-4 from the stripe) to go with 5 assists (0 turnovers), 2 boards, and a steal.  Tyrese makes tough shots and holds the perimeter defense together.  He scored 9 in the second half without missing a shot.

(14) Sion James (25:46) played a superb all-court game, notching a double-double (scored 10 points (5-7 from the field) to go with 11 tough rebounds, 2 assists, and  a steal.  Sion’s game has improved and is continuing to improve, on both ends of the floor.  

(7) Kon Knueppel (24:54) scored 13 points (4-10 from the field, including 2-7 from deep, plus 3-3 from the foul line) to go with 2 rebounds.  Special K is a solid defender.

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (19:06)) was 0-2 from the field, plus 2-2 from the foul line for 2 points.  CFos pulled down 3 boards and handed out 2 assists against 2 turnovers.  CFos played tough defense and had a steal.

(6) Maliq Brown (18:26) scored 2 points on 1-2 from the field, to go with 2 rebounds and an assist.  Coach Scheyer: “Maliq does so much for our team without putting up numbers in the box score…  [He] is still not 100% necessarily, like he’s working through his toe injury still, and he’s really tough, but I don’t think he is quite himself yet, but his passing, his defense is just such a big weapon for us.”

(3)Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (17:04) is now definitely part of the rotation.  And no wonder.  Flamethrower is a very appropriate nickname!  After going 1-4 from behind the arc in the first half, he recharged to capture an amazing  3-3 from deep in the second half.  He amassed 12 game points.  However, Isaiah is not just scoring.  He garnered 4 rebounds and handed out 2 assists, all without a turnover.  He is improving visibly on defense.  He’s becoming a great weapon as well as a fan favorite.

(9) Khaman Maluach (14:31) played fewer minutes – and less effectively than he did the last 3 games in a row, when he was on the court for more than 20 minutes each time. .  Khaman scored only 2 points (1-2 from the field) to complement 4 rebounds and 3 blocked shots.  

(18) Mason Gillis (10:25) scored 10 points (3-5 from the field, including 2-4 from 3land).  Gillis played a nice floor game, pulling in 2 boards, handing out an assist, and avoiding turnovers.  Mason is doing much of his good work on the defensive end.

(21) Patrick Ngongba II (6:40) failed to score or grab a rebound.  He also committed 2 fouls.  But he was a +8 in the +/- category.

(8) Darren Harris (3:26) committed a foul during his brief “garbage time” appearance.

Special K accepts congratulations after sinking a 3-pointer

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

NEXT PLAY: SMU Mustangs on Saturday, January 4, 2025 at Moody Coliseum in Dallas, Texas at 2:15 p.m.  TV: The CW.


Duke Blue Devils 89 v. Southern Methodist University Mustangs 62 (Season 16; Issue 15; Game 14) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #14 (January 4, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 89  – Southern Methodist University Mustangs 62 at Moody Coliseum in Dallas Texas

Khaman battles SMU’s 265 lb. 7’2” Center

Photo Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke found out how much easier it is to win a game, especially against a tough opponent, by getting the tip, jumping to a double-digit lead, answering any challenging runs expected from a quality opponent as the Blue Devils cruised to an 89-62 win against one of the highest scoring teams in the country. Duke demonstrated all the elements of a good team against SMU—intense defense, which completely shut down SMU’s vaunted scoring from behind the arc, efficient offense (even accurate free throw shooting) and rebounding. Now if they can replicate that effort Tuesday against Pitt at home, this year’s team may be able to do what the last few young, talented Duke squads have not—fulfill their promise! But let’s not get ahead of ourselves, there is a lot of the season left to play.

When the perimeter players are hitting threes, and Duke rebounds well and gets out and runs, it opens the court up for a free flowing, attacking offense. When the ball goes through the net, it inspires confidence for the next shot(s). 

With Coach Jon Scheyer missing because of an illness, Chris Carrawell assumed the job of head Coach and did a flawless job. 

 It seems as though the rotation is sorting itself out: with Sion James now a fixture at starting guard and Khaman Maluach getting more minutes at center, a big difference at both ends, and for, whatever reason, Special K and Tyrese Proctor as well as Caleb Foster, Isaiah Evens (The Flame Thrower), and Mason Gillis getting more comfortable in their supporting roles.  Of course, Cooper Flagg is like a veritable  Swiss Army Knife – he has all the skills to supply whatever is needed to rally his teammates.

Proctor and Flagg, providing the leadership

Photo Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

ALANALYSIS

An ACC Road  Win – Duke 89  v SMU 62

SMU is playing in the ACC for the first time this season (as we know, many conferences expanded; Pac 12 folded; ACC added Stanford, Cal-Berkley and SMU), and the Mustangs look like contenders.  Going into the Duke game, SMU had won 7 straight games and were undefeated in the ACC (having beaten Virginia & Boston College, as well as LSU). Moreover, SMU had averaged 87.2 points per game (leading the ACC and ranking 13th nationally) Playing at home before a passionate sellout crowd, this was a big game for the 11-2 Mustangs.

Duke arrived in Dallas without head coach Jon Scheyer, who was ill.  Chris Carrawell stepped in as head coach for the game.  The way Duke played for Carrawell, Scheyer should worry about his job.

On offense, the Blue Devils were efficient, effective, and led throughout (SMU led 3-2 for 29 seconds before Duke reclaimed the lead and never lost it again).  Duke not only scored 89 points on 53% shooting (33-62, including 11-27 from behind the arc, plus 12-16 from the foul line), but also handed out 22 assists on the 33 baskets. 

 In the first half, Duke handed out 12 assists on 14 field goals. In the second half, Duke scored 48 points and slowly stretched the lead to 27 points.  Whenever, the Mustangs made a short run, the Blue Devils responded and increased the lead.

But it was the defense, Duke’s calling card all season, that truly stood out against the Mustangs high scoring (87.2 ppg) team.  This season, the Blue Devils have given up over 70 points in only 3 games this year (Kentucky 77, Kansas 75, and Auburn 78).  Holding SMU to 62 points — 25 points under SMU’s season average — was just great defense.  

DukebasketballReport.com described it as I would: “Duke’s defense is kind of like a python. It gets a hold of you and just keeps squeezing. You might get a great play here or there – Kario Oquendo had a stunner of a dunk over Maluach – you might do a great job with ball security – but you look up and you’re down 20.” 

It was like watching the Blue Devils squeeze the life out of SMU. The initially raucous SMU crowd fell silent.  It was the best Duke’s defense has been so far this year.

It doesn’t get much better than this.

Kon and Khaman: an excellent connection

Photo Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

First Half  — Duke 41 v. SMU 32

Duke was on fire offensively early in the game but then hit a drought where the Blue Devils did not make a field goal for over 4 minutes.  SMU is good, and they played a high quality game of basketball.

Flagg put on another first-half show, scoring 15 points (4-8 from the field, including 1-1 from behind the arc and a gaudy 6-6 from the stripe) to go with 5 rebounds, an assist and a steal.  Cooper got support from Tyrese Proctor who scored 8 points (3-6 from the field, including 2-3 from deep) to go with a pair of rebounds, 2 assists and a block. Both Mason Gillis and Caleb Foster were efficient off the bench, scoring 5 points each.  Although Flamethrower Evans joined Maliq Brown as first subs off the bench, neither contributed much.  Evans scored a point (1-2 from the stripe; 0-2 from the field);  Maliq committed 2 quick fouls in what turned out to be a cameo.  Foster and Gillis just played better.

While Duke committed 9 fouls (2 by each Maliq and Kon) and were out-rebounded 27-25 (The Mustangs grabbed 15 offensive rebounds), the Blue Devil intense defense held a good team to 37 first-half points (14-41, including 3-11 from behind the arc).

Kon scored 11 second-half points, a breakout game!

Photo Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Second Half –  Duke 48 v SMU 30

As the score indicates, the Blue Devils dominated the second half on both ends of the floor.  The Duke lead hit double figures for the first time after 1:06 had transpired (45-34 with 18:46 left to play).  SMU reduced the lead to 9 once, for 34 seconds, before the Blue Devils accelerated and blew the game wide open.  Duke led by 17 (54-37) with 15:55 remaining.

SMU got as close as down 12 (57-45) with 13:53 to go, before the Blue Devils simply exploded to lead by 21 (71-50) with 9:24 left.  The lead grew to 27 (81-54) for the first time with 4:21 remaining.

Duke shot 61% (19-31, including 5-14 from behind the arc, plus 5-6 from the stripe) with 10 assists and only 6 turnovers.  After a subpar rebounding first half, Duke dominated the boards in the closing stanza (24-16).  Duke’s scoring was well spread out (Kon, 11; Cooper, 9; Sion and Tyrese each scored 6; Caleb, 4 and a host of others (Maliq, Mason, and Patrick) scored 2.

The Python-like defense squeezed the life out of the Mustangs, who were held to 32% shooting (11-34, including 3-11 from behind the arc,)

SMU did self-damage without Duke’s help by shooting a disastrous 5-13 from the foul line.

Cooper scores at the rim

Photo Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

THE ROTATION

Interestingly, the first Duke subs to enter the game were Maliq Brown and Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans.  Neither was effective and were soon replaced by Caleb (CFos) Foster and Mason Gillis.  In the second half, CFos and Mason were the first subs off the bench.   

(5) Tyrese Proctor (32:02) scored 14 points (5-11 from the field including, 4-7 from behind the arc) to go with 6 rebounds, 3 assists and a blocked shot.  He is an excellent one on one defender and is (with Cooper) a team leader.

(2) Cooper Flagg (31:48) had another superb all-around game with a double-double, scoring 24 points (7-12 from the field, including 2-2 from deep, plus a superb 8-8 from the foul line) to go with 11 rebounds.  He had 3 assists (but committed  3 of Duke’s 7 turnovers). On defense, Cooper is superb.  He had 2 blocked shots and a steal.  He continues to astound.

(14) Sion James (26:05) has cemented his position as the starting point guard, who plays the most minutes.  While he only scored 6 points (2-5 from the field, including 0-2 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 free throws), Sion handed out 8 assists with only a single turnover.

(9) Khaman Maluach (25:48) played his most minutes of any game this year, because he was needed to defend and negate the Mustang’s 265 lb. 7’2” center.  Indeed, Khaman was effective on both ends of the court.  He scored 8 points (4-5) on dunks from great passes) while pulling down 8 rebounds, handing out 2 assists and blocking a shot.  Even more valuable are the shots he alters or are not attempted because of his looming presence. 

(7) Kon Knueppel (20:39) scored 14 points (5-10 from the field, including 3-8 from deep, plus 1-1 from the foul line) to go with 3 rebounds, 2 assists and a blocked shot.  Kon came alive in the second half where he led Duke in scoring with 11 points.  He has an impressive assist to turnover ratio and is an integral part of Duke’s efficient defense.

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (16:53) had a good game after substituting late in the first half, scoring 9 points (4-6 from the field, including 1-2 from 3land; 0-1 from the stripe)   CFos pulled down a board and handed an assist without a turnover.  He played tough defense and grabbed a steal.  Caleb played his best game of the year.

(18) Mason Gillis (14:40) is turning into the player he was during his 4 years playing at Purdue.  He was Big 10 Freshman of the year, and last year was Big 10 Sixth man of the year.  Yet, he started slowly with Duke but is now becoming a valuable force on both ends of the floor.  Mason scored 7 points (3-5 from the field, including 1-3 from 3land), grabbed 3 tough boards, handing out an assist without a turnover.  Mason organizes the defense when he substitutes in for Cooper and defends well.

(6) Maliq Brown (12:02) scored 2 points on 1-1 from the field to go with a rebound, an assist, a blocked shot and a steal.  Maliq had trouble trying to defend the Mustang 7’2” center and got into early foul trouble, which limited his playing time.

Gillis emerging as a bench star

Photo Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (9:57)) is now definitely part of the rotation, but making shots will keep him on the court for longer than 10 minutes.  Flamethrower scored 3 points (1-4 from the field, including 0-2 from deep, plus 1-2 from the stripe).  

(21) Patrick Ngongba II (3:06) had a productive cameo at “garbage time”, scoring on a put back of his own miss for 2 points, to go with 2 rebounds and a blocked shot.  Dukebasketballreport.com noticed, “Patrick Ngongba wasn’t in for long, but he had some quality play.”

(8) Darren Harris (3:06) missed his only shot, a 3-point attempt during his brief “garbage time” appearance.

Proctor scores at the rim

Photo Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

NIL and the Transfer Portal

The Genesis of the Transfer Portal

In my hazy recollection, the transfer portal was a response to the NCAA granting players an extra year of eligibility because of the COVID pandemic.  The rationale was that rosters would be crowded and overstocked.  The transfer portal would enable players to find rosters where they had a fair chance to compete for playing time.

Since that rationale has expired, it seems nothing stands in the way of returning  to a policy of players who transfer having to sit out a year before becoming eligible to play.

Would that start to be a solution to this growing cancer of a problem?

Making Transferring Players Sit Out a Year Could Fix or Ameliorate the Problem

I doubt there would be bidding wars or outlandish offers (my brother swears that Chucky Hepburn was offered $750,000 to transfer from Wisconsin to Louisville) to get a player for the year after next.  The coach cannot even be sure of their own job security if next year is a win-loss disaster.

Because it is a simple reform that will at least lessen the problem and maybe fix it, I am all but certain it won’t even be discussed let alone instituted.

———————

ACC Play

Duke, Clemson and Pittsburgh are the only ACC teams without a conference loss.  Pittsburgh, who visits Cameron Indoor Stadium next Tuesday, is 12-2 with losses to Wisconsin and Mississippi State and wins over West Virginia, LSU, Ohio State, as well as conference wins over Virginia Tech, California and Stanford.

Also on Tuesday, Clemson (12-3, 4-0 in ACC) visits Louisville (10-5, 3-1 in ACC) while SMU (11-3, 2-1 in ACC) travels to Chapel Hill for a 9 pm game against UNC (9-6, 2-1 in the ACC).  Tuesday will be interesting.

NEXT PLAY: Pittsburgh Panthers, Tuesday, January 7, 2025, at Cameron Indoor Stadium at 7:00 p.m.  TV: ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 76 v. Pittsburgh Panthers 47 (Season 16; Issue 16; Game 15) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #15 (January 7, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 76  – Pittsburgh Panthers 47 at Cameron Indoor Stadium

Kon described The Dunk:“It’s probably the best dunk I’ve ever seen in my life in person. He’s got those long arms that make his dunks look so much cooler.

Sometimes it might be the angle on that rim, but man, he just soared over that guy today and it was awesome to watch.”

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

On a night that Duke came up against a team which has some of the same characteristics as it does, coached by an older, savvy man with the same resume as Coach Scheyer (don’t forget Jeff Capel had a brief, successful run as head coach of Oklahoma, before the wheels came off and he returned to be a crucial member of Coach K’s team). However, Pitt is not as deep or talented but is capable of an upset such as they handed to Duke on the same floor last year. This year, they made Coach go nine deep to find the right combinations as Cooper Flagg again got himself in early foul trouble. But at the end of the game, Duke had worn down the Panthers with relentless basketball by all nine players. The score of 76-47 was no indication of the intensity of the play.

Cooper Flagg had a quiet first half. However, he had quite an explosion in the second when he apparently became annoyed with himself and/or the referee for a third foul and a miss-call on an out of bounds loose ball. In any event, he went on a run as only he can do, with a steal and a baseline to baseline dunk followed by another dunk. What a talent! 

Khaman Maluach on the floor is the last crucial player who makes the difference of this squad potentially being a great team. All the other pieces are important, but a 7 ’ 2” athletic rim protector just makes a good team that much better. And BTW, Sion James 6’ 6” 220 lbs. is a forward-playing point guard, making him multi- dimensional at both ends. Special K going off for three 3’s just before half didn’t surprise me. Anyone who shoots 90+% free throws can shoot anywhere, anytime, as far as I’m concerned. And while Isaiah Evans has cooled off the last few games, Mason Gillis has been an antidote, as a steady, if not, spectacular substitute.

All-in-all, steady, impressive progress toward tournament time.

Note: Carolina at home, taking apart SMU makes Duke’s win away a little less impressive and an indication that UNC may not be finished!

Khaman controls the paint

Photo credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

An ACC Home  – Duke   v Pittsburgh

Despite playing Auburn (#2)Kentucky (5) and Kansas (11), Pittsburgh came into the game in Cameron, in what seemed to me the biggest game of the year for the young guns of the Blue Devils.  The Panthers were undefeated in ACC play with a chip on their shoulder from not making the NCAA tournament last year (when they should have).  A win over Duke would have made a place in the NCAA tournament this year more than likely.  Both Duke and Pitt remember last year’s game in Cameron, where the Panthers upset Duke (89-76) when Blake Hinson, their star shooter went 7-7 from behind the arc.  After Pitt won, Hinson jumped on press row to mock the Crazies.  This was not just another game. A reader suggested that Scheyer, who had Cooper and Sion on the floor for 20 second-half minutes and the starters in almost to the end, was paying Pitt back for the mockery.  That gives more significance to the 8 minute 18-0 run at the end of the game.

Commentators have praised the Panther backcourt of Ishmael Leggett (17 ppg) and Jaland Lowe (17 ppg) as perhaps the best backcourt in the ACC.  The Panthers entered the Duke game averaging almost 84 points per game.  But Pittsburgh had no answers for the Blue Devil python-like defense that just smothered whatever offense Pittsburgh attempted.  

The Duke defense connected like the Bolshoi Ballet is when performing.  The switching defense negated the pick and roll.  The superb Pitt guards could not find any space to squiggle through to the rim.  There was no such thing as an uncontested Panther shot.  

I was mesmerized by the sheer beauty (and ruthless efficiency) of the Duke defense.  Astoundingly, Duke held the Panthers scoreless in the final 8 minutes of the game while they poured in the final 18 points.  Duke limited Pittsburgh shooting to 31% (18-58) for the game. Commentators repeated the SMU coach’s assessment that this Duke defense is the best he has seen in his years as a coach.  Whether hyperbole or not, watching the Duke defense (no matter who was in the game) was pure joy for Duke fans (all true basketball fans, I suspect).

Offensively, the story was Cooper Flagg’s second half.  Cooper picked up his second foul with 12:31 still left in the first half.  He went to the bench having scored 5 points with the Blue Devils ahead by 2 points (11-9).  For the remainder of the half,  Duke increased the lead to double figures, without Cooper.  Mason Gillis did a superb job of replacing Cooper on both offense (5 points) and defense, where Mason became an anchor.  

Dukebasketballreport.com was eloquent in describing Cooper in the second half:

“Flagg owned the first 10 minutes of the second half and on both ends of the court. He was unbelievably vigilant. On defense, he was picking up guards and playing a little off of his guy, even when the guy was under the basket, and still controlled him. 

“Guy drove? Flagg stepped up and altered the play. 

“Shot went up? 

“Flagg got the rebound. 

“Flagg brought the ball up. Flagg made smart passes. Flagg scored or got the ball to someone else to score pretty much at will. Do you remember what people said about him at the Olympic trials this past summer? For three minutes, he was the most dominant player on the court. That guy showed up. It was the most complete…well it wasn’t a whole game. But the last time we saw a Duke player play the whole game at that level was Shane Battier’s last game, when he helped the Blue Devils win the 2001 national championship.”

Cooper gets a 2nd photo for his amazing 2nd half

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Cooper scored 14 second-half points (5-7 from the field, plus 4-6 from the foul line) to go with 7 boards, 5 assists, a steal, and a block.  Duke shot 61% from the field in the second half (14-23, including 4-5 from behind the arc, plus 10-14 from the stripe), while outscoring the Panthers 42-23.  

Duke’s second consecutive amazing showing ( a first this season) and their 9th consecutive win (all since Sion James took over as starting and primary point guard).

Tyrese Proctor

Before “one and done”, Duke fans loved to watch the growth and maturity of Duke players who stayed with the team for 3-4 years.  Tyrese has given us that opportunity this year.  Let us appreciate his journey from young (would have still been in highschool except he graduated early) freshman, through achievement as well as disappointing performances, to the mature leader of this Duke team.  He is a joy to watch, never giving less than his all to a play, and making his teammates better on both offense and defense.  Tyrese is flying under the Cooper radar, but is having a simply wonderful season so far.

Tyrese – a portrait of leadership

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

First Half  — Duke 34 v. Pitt 24

Duke defended extremely well, holding the Panthers to their lowest scoring first half of the season. Pittsburgh shot only 31% (8-16), including 3-6 from behind the arc (9 of the 24 points), plus 5-8 from the stripe.  

 Duke may have made trouble for themselves in the second half by fouling so much on defense in the first half.  With only 7:30 having transpired, Duke had committed 4 fouls, 2 by Cooper, who was replaced by Mason Gillis.  With 8:23 left in the first half, Duke committed its 7th team foul, the second on Knueppel.  Duke committed 9 first-half fouls with 2 each on Cooper, Kon and Khaman.  

Duke was efficient: scoring 34 points (12-29 from the field, including 7-15 from 3land, plus 3-4 from the foul line), while out-rebounding the Panthers 22-15.  The Blue Devils handed out 10 assists on their 12 field goals.

Kon Knueppel led the way in scoring with 11, including 3 3-pointers in a row!! after missing his first 2.  The Blue Devils shot better from 3land (7-15 for almost 50%) than from the field as a whole (12-29 for 42%).   Khaman scored 6 (3-4), Cooper and Mason Gillis scored 5 each.  Gillis played superbly on both ends of the floor (2-3 from the field, including 1-2 from 3land).  Isaiah Evans’s flame must have fizzled because he missed all 3 of his shots, 2 from deep. 

Second Half –  Duke 42 v Pitt 23

As the score indicates, the Blue Devils dominated the second half on both ends of the floor.  The Duke lead never dipped below 10 (43-33 with 15:01 left in the game.)  The lead was as high as 17 before the Panthers reduced it to 11 with 7:51 left (58-47).  Pittsburgh never scored again in the remaining time, while the Blue Devils finished the game on an 18-0 run for the game’s final score 76-47!!!

The Python-like defense simply squeezed the life out of the Panthers, who were held to 31% shooting (10-32, including 3-14 from behind the arc, without even attempting a free throw).  After excessive fouling in the first half, Duke committed only 3 second-half fouls.

Cooper (14 points) and Sion James (7 points) played the entire second half.  Kon played 17:30 (6 points) while Tyrese starred for 16:26 (10 points). Khaman played almost 15 minutes, scoring 5 points.   Maliq (5:05), Caleb (3:34) and Isaiah (3:01) failed to score.

Kon sinks a three from the corner

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Sion sinks a three from the corner

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

All the Duke starters scored in double figures.  The bench scored only 6 points, Mason scored 5 in the first half, but remained on the bench watching the Cooper Flagg show in the second half.  Maliq scored 1 point.

(14) Sion James (35:52)  scored 10 points (4-10 from the field, including 2-2 from behind the arc). Sion grabbed 7 rebounds, handed out 4 assists and blocked 2 shots.  He played every second of the final period, which tells us that his coach trusts and relies heavily on him.

(7) Kon Knueppel (35:00) scored 17 points (5-12 from the field, including 4-7 from deep, plus 3-4 from the foul line) to go with 4 rebounds & an assist.  Kon led Duke in scoring in the first half with 11 points .  Coach Scheyer appreciates Special K: “Kon is just a complete player … he guards his position really well.  At his size, 6’7”, he’s guarding everybody.  He can move his feet.” and  “I thought his threes were important, and then his play-making has always been really good for us. … he just knows how to play the game and make the right plays.”

(5) Tyrese Proctor (33:06) scored an efficient 13 points on only 8 shots (4-8 from the field, including 3-4 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the foul line) to go with 4 rebounds and 4 assists. 

(2) Cooper Flagg (32:51) had a second half that will be long-remembered – a double-double, scoring 19 points (7-11 from the field, including 1-2 from deep, plus 4-6 from the foul line) to go with 10 rebounds.  He had 5 assists (but he committed 3 of Duke’s 7 turnovers).  He blocked a shot and made a steal.  

(9) Khaman Maluach (25:21) scored 11 points (4-5 from the field, including 0-1 from behind the arc, plus 3-4 from the foul line) while pulling down 8 rebounds, and blocking a shot. Coach Scheyer called Khaman “a little bit of a unicorn”…Even if you get by him as a guard, even if you get a step, you still have a 7’2” guy that can move, has timing that’s coming to chase after your shot.  I thought he did a great job.”

(6) Maliq Brown (14:38) scored a point on 1-2 from the foul line, without a field goal attempt, to go with 4 rebounds, and an assist.  He plays less when Khaman is on the court for substantial time.

(1)  Caleb (CFos) Foster (8:36) played sparsely because Sion and Tyrese were so effective.  CFos garnered a rebound.  He was minus 9 in +/- statistic (-9 is bad in a game where your team wins by 27).

(18) Mason Gillis (7:26) played only in the first half when Cooper was in foul trouble.  Mason scored 5 points (2-3 from the field, including 1-2 from 3land),  and handed out 2 assists. Mason ran the defense in Cooper’s absence, and Duke increased the lead while Mason was in the game.  

(3)Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (6:10)) missed all 3 of his shot attempts (2 from deep). Flamethrower failed to score.  He did garner a rebound.  

Mason steps up to organize the defense (while Cooper sat with foul trouble)

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ACC Play

Duke is now the only team without a conference loss, having just beaten two of the formerly unbeaten teams (SMU and Pitt) in a row.  At the same time, Louisville beat Clemson (the last unbeaten besides Duke), at Louisville. 

NEXT PLAY: Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Saturday, January 11, 2025, at Cameron Indoor Stadium at 12:00 p.m.  TV: ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 86 v. Notre Dame Fighting Irish 78 (Season 16; Issue 17; Game 16) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Breaking News:

Maliq Brown’s knee injury is serious, and, according to Coach Scheyer, “he will miss an extended period of time.  He’ll miss weeks.”  Mason Gillis and Patrick Ngongba II will take Maliq’s minutes in all probability.  As ESPN notes: Ngongba was the No. 26-ranked recruit in the 2024 class, but he has dealt with foot injuries dating back to his senior year of high school.

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #16 (January 11, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 86  – Notre Dame Fighting Irish 78 at Cameron Indoor Stadium

Guess who was the big story by setting the ACC freshman scoring record?

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke jumped out to a quick 15-0 lead, and it looked like it was going to be an easy game.  All I can say is that 3’s are worth 50% more than 2’s and the Irish shot them as though they were playing in the NBA.  And the Blue Devils defended them as if they were mesmerized (like the rest of us) by the performance of Cooper Flagg.  That is, Duke simply forgot to play offense or defense.

Additionally, I can say that, now that he has developed a consistent three point shot, Cooper Flagg is the best freshman I have ever seen in all aspects of the game.   And that includes Jerry West, who is my idea/model of the perfect teammate, and who I saw when he was a sophomore play against Duke.  I am not old enough to have seen Dick Groat, who led the nation in scoring without the benefit of the three point shot.   J.J. Redick really could put on a scintillating shooting performance, but he was not 6’10” and could not dominate a game in as many ways as Cooper does.

Alan covers the details of the ebb and flow of the game extremely well. I will just say that this game better be a wake-up call for the Duke players to remember DEFENSE is the baseline for this team to win from here on out (offense is not only already good, but will get better).).

Duke’s improvement in free throw shots deserves to be pointed out.  In this game, for instance, they shot 30-35. That’s 86%, which is championship level.  Had they not improved from about 68% at the beginning of the year, they might have lost to Notre Dame. 

Also, the improvement of Maluach along with his additional minutes is a big reason for the improvement of the performance at both ends.

Khaman on his way to a double-double – 19 points and 10 boards in 32 minutes!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

An ACC Home  – Duke 86 v Notre Dame 78

It was Cooper Flagg’s best game of the year so far.  He set the ACC Freshman scoring record with 42 points, 27 of them in the second half.  Cooper’s amazing stat line:  He achieved that incredible score on only attempted only 14 shots (11-14, including 4-6 from behind the arc, plus a noteworthy 16-17 from the foul line). He also contributed 7 assists, 6 rebounds, and a steal during his time on the court.

Khaman Maluach also had his best game of the year so far, logging 32 minutes of playing time to produce his second double-double (10 rebounds and 19 points on 6-7 from the field and 7-8 from the foul line).

As a team, the Blue Devils shot 53% (24-45, including 8-24 from deep). But the team, when Cooper’s stats are removed, was a dismal 4-18 from behind the arc. The team shot a gaudy 30-35 from the stripe – Khaman was 7-8 and Kon, 6-6.  Duke handed out 17 assists on 24 field goals.  It was Duke’s 8th game this season scoring over 80 points, and 10th win in a row (the streak started when Sion James moved into the starting lineup against Auburn).

However, the Duke defense – the same one that has been described by at least one ACC coach as the best he has seen in his 6 years as a head coach – was shockingly shredded by a terrific Notre Dame offense.  Duke had given up more than 70 points in only 3 games this season — in November and early December:78 points in beating Auburn, 77 in losing to Kentucky, and 75 losing to Kansas.  Notre Dame is the 4th team to score 70 points or more against Duke, including an outrageous 44 points in the second half.  

With 5:41 left in the game, the Blue Devils led by 18 points (79-61) in what seemed like a blowout.  Notre Dame scored 13 points while Duke went 5 minutes before scoring the next point when Sion James went 1-2 from the stripe (Duke 80 v ND 74 with 39 seconds left).  The Fighting Irish’s best player, Markus Burton, made a layup to draw ND within 4 points (80-76) of Duke with 36 seconds left. That was the closest the Fighting Irish would come. Duke made the last 6 free throws (Khaman 2; Cooper, 4) to close out the victory.  

One thing that was so disappointing about Notre Dame shooting (and making) 3-pointers was that the attempts were largely uncontested.  It was superior shooting aided by a lackadaisical defense.

Notwithstanding the promising start when Duke scored the game’s first 14 points in the first 4:23 of the game, Notre Dame outscored Duke 78-72 in the final 35+ minutes of the game.  Given that the Fighting Irish are now 7-9 overall and 1-4 in the ACC after successive ACC losses to Georgia Tech, UNC, NC State (and now Duke) this was not a great Blue Devil performance at home against a team with a losing record.

Sion initiates the offense, growing more comfortable as the starting point guard.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

First Half  — Duke 44  v. ND 36

Duke opened with a 14-0 run with amazing defense and connected offense.  However, in the final 15 minutes of the first half, the Fighting Irish outscored the Blue Devils by 36-30.  Duke’s offense continued to smoothly hand out 12 assists on 14 field goals (14-26 from the field, including 7-17 from deep, plus 9-12 from the foul line).

Defensively, Duke was excellent from inside the arc but gave up 8-12 to Notre Dame from behind the arc.  The starting lineup defended a bit better than the reserves, but ND got open from behind the arc and shot 67% with amazingly quick releases.  The fighting Irish scored only four 2-point goals compared to eight 3-pointers.

Duke committed 7 first-half fouls.  Maliq hurt his knee in a collision with a teammate and was ruled out of the game going forward.  This opened playing time for Patrick Ngongba II.  The Blue Devils owned the glass (17-9) for the game and kept the Fighting Irish off the offensive glass, the Fighting Irish retrieved only a single offensive rebound (5 for Duke).

Patrick Ngongba II scores! and will be counted on to spell Khaman in Maliq’s absence.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Second Half –  Duke 42  v ND 42

Duke relied on Cooper Flagg during the entire second half to keep the Blue Devils in the lead.  Cooper scored 27 second-half points (7-8 from the field including 1-1 from behind the arc, plus a gaudy 12-13 from the stripe).  Duke’s only substituted in two bench players – Mason Gillis (6:57) and Caleb Foster (5:22) – neither of whom scored.  In fact, Tyrese Proctor (13:53) also failed to score, missing his only shot.  Sion James (17:55) scored 1 point, while Kon Knueppel (18:06) scored 4 points.  Khaman Maluach (17:52) teamed with Cooper  (19:55) to preserve the Duke win.  Khaman was perfect from the field (2-2) and the stripe (6-6) to go with 6 boards and a blocked shot.  Duke was only 1-7 from 3land  but hit 21-23 from the foul line.

Duke’s defense was the worst of the year in any half.  Notre Dame shot 50% from behind the arc (6-12) and 47% from the field (15-32).  The Blue Devils forced only 2 Fighting Irish turnovers and did not record a single steal.  Duke gave up 42 second-half points, the most points given up in a half during the entire year.  It was not less than a defensive disaster after two outstanding defensive efforts (SMU and Pitt).

When you set the ACC all-time scoring record for freshmen, plus you can dunk so dramatically, you get two pictures in the DBP

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

Duke’s 3 freshmen starters scored 74 of Duke’s 86 points (Cooper 42, Khaman 19, and Kon 13).  The bench scored only 5 points –Mason scored 3 in the first half, while Patrick Ngongba II scored 2 on a nice post move, also in the first half.  He backed up Khaman after Maliq was injured in the first minute that he was on the court. Caleb and Isaiah “the Flamethrower” both failed to score.

(2) Cooper Flagg (35:55) had a game for the ages!  He scored 42 points (the most ever scored by an ACC freshman) on an efficient 14 shots (11-14, including 4-6 from 3land, plus an amazing 16-17 from the foul line).  Whenever Duke needed to hold off the Fighting Irish, Cooper scored.  Flagg led the Blue Devils in both rebounding with 10, and in assists with 7.  What a great game!

(7) Kon Knueppel (33:53) scored 13 points (3-8 from the field, including 2-7 from deep, plus 5-6 from the foul line) to go with 3 rebounds, and 5 assists.  Kon also grabbed 3 rebounds. Not a bad game overall, but not his best.

(14) Sion James (30:06)  scored only 4 points (1-4 from the field, including 1-2 from behind the arc, plus 1-2 from the foul line), but Sion also grabbed 4 rebounds and handed out 3 assists.  Sion was the primary defender against Notre Dame’s best player, Markus Burton, but did not play his usual effective defensive game…  Burton scored 23 points, 14 in the second half.

(9) Khaman Maluach (32:08) played the most minutes he has played in any game this year.  The South Sudanese Olympian, one of the 5 youngest college players in American basketball, posted a double-double:19 points  (6-7 from the field, plus 7-8 from the foul line) to go with 10 boards.  He blocked only a single shot, but also made Notre Dame players hesitate near the rim in general.

(5) Tyrese Proctor (27:45) had a subpar game in what has been a superb year for Tyrese.  He scored only a single basket for 3 points (1-6 from the field, including 1-5 from behind the arc, without attempting a free throw).  Tyrese also grabbed a pair of rebounds, handed out an assist, made a steal, and blocked a shot.

(18) Mason Gillis (17:46) played an excellent game as Duke’s most (only) effective bench player.  The Purdue transfer scored only 3 points (1-1 from the field, plus 1-2 from the stripe) butgrabbed 4 valuable rebounds and handed out an assist. 

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (10:36) failed to score, missing all 3 of his 3-point attempts.  

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (6:08) entirely failed to score, missing his only shot attempt, a 3-pointer.   

(21) Patrick Ngongba, II (4:53) made his only shot (2 points) and corralled a rebound in his short stint.  He played after Maliq was injured.

(6) Maliq Brown (0:52) collided with Mason Gillis going for a rebound and hurt his knee. Maliq did grab one rebound, but did not return to the game after the injury, and it has now been reported that Maliq will miss “weeks”.

Mason’s value to the team increases with Maliq’s injury

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ACC Play

Duke is 6-0, the only unbeaten team in ACC play.  Louisville (5-1 in the ACC) beat Pitt in Pittsburgh while Clemson (5-1) clobbered Florida State at home.  UNC (4-1) nipped NC State in Raleigh while Wake Forest (4-1) beat Miami.  Every other team in the ACC has lost at least 2 games in conference play.

NEXT PLAY: Miami Hurricanes, Tuesday, January 14, 2025, at Cameron Indoor Stadium at 9:00 p.m.  TV: ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 89 v. Miami Hurricanes 54 (Season 16; Issue 18; Game 17) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #17 (January 14, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 89 – Miami Hurricanes 54 at Cameron Indoor Stadium

No conning, Kon’s 3-point shot is back!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke lost another tip-off. It’s a mystery to me how a 7’2” center can get so many dunks and rebounds but lose so opening many tip-offs. Oh well, order was soon restored by hot shooting as Duke took the lead 15-8, and then added 6 more for a 21-8 lead. Interestingly enough, Cooper Flagg, who set an ACC freshman record for scoring last Saturday against Notre Dame, chose to feed his teammates who were hot—especially Kon Knueppel (Special K ), who scored 18 points in the first 20 minutes of the game as Duke led 54-26. It may be my paranoia, but it seems the better the Duke offense gets the more their defense slips… or maybe every opponent shoots threes because it is the only hope some teams have to win against these Devils.

Whether it was a gift from Santa or more extra practice time, it looks as though both Cooper and Special K have come back from Christmas break with a more accurate three point shot.

It is interesting to note how their respective techniques differ. Kon is 6’6” 220 lbs and built like a football player. I never was worried after a hot start when his long ranger jumper was MIA, because he has consistently shot free throws in the 90% range ( my benchmark of how accurate of a shooter a player basically is). Anyway, I think the key for Special K is getting his feet set and his entire muscular body set and balanced before releasing the ball. He shoots  heavy which, when accurate, goes through the net like a shotput. Cooper, on the other hand, is about three inches taller and 15 pounds lighter and has a longer, more fluid jump shot. It starts behind his head and appears softer and more poetic, if you will, rather than muscular. It caresses the rim and net. Also, Flagg has exceptional thrust, verticality, and ambidexterity which gives him time to survey the court to decide whether to pass or what kind of shot to shoot. 

The bottom line is that the more Duke players get more comfortable and consistent with their shot, the more lethal Duke becomes. If no one gets hurt or a big head, and Khaman Maluach continues to improve and play major minutes, this team has unlimited potential.

“when almost all of your field goals are assisted…it’s really fun to play that way”

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

ACC Home: Duke 89 v Miami 54

Even acknowledging that Miami is having a very down year, Duke played a wonderful game, winning their 10th game in a row (8 of those wins coming by at least 20 points).  There is nothing that Duke did not do superbly in this game.  The rut was on early.  After 10 minutes of play, the Blue Devils already led by 17 points (27-10).  With 2:53 remaining in the first half, Duke was up by 28 points (47-19).  Miami never had a chance.

Offense

Kon (Special K) Knueppel had his best game of the season so far, scoring an efficient 25 points on 11 field goal attempts in 26 minutes (9-11 from the field including a breathtaking 6-8 from behind the arc, plus 1-2 from  the stripe).  He was part of an offense that moved the ball with amazing aplomb.  Duke registered 25 assists (Cooper, 6; Sion James, 5; Caleb Foster, 4) on 34 field goals. Kon said it best: “It’s awesome.  A lot of unselfishness leads to a lot of open shots, and I thought we did a good job of making the extra pass tonight. It’s beautiful basketball when almost all of your field goals are assisted, and it’s really fun to play that way.  I think everybody enjoyed that tonight.”

Coach Scheyer agreed with Kon: “I think we have found out how good we can be when we share it. I think our guys have fallen in love with that …Cooper’s passing, I thought, was terrific. … I think he’s a big reason.  It’s not just the assists, it’s making the right basketball play. I’ll tell you what I love. Spencer comes in in the end; Spencer could have shot it, makes the extra pass to Caleb.”  The play does tell about the way this edition of the Blue Devils thinks and operates.

In addition to Kon’s breakout night, Cooper scored 13 (5-11 from the field, including 2-5 from 3land, plus 1-1 from the stripe); Khaman added 12 points (6-7 from the field) and 15 rebounds; and Mason Gillis scored 12 points on 4 shots from behind the arc on 6 attempts. 

Duke defends with passion and cohesion

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Defense

Coming into the game, The Hurricanes were averaging 77.5 ppg shooting 48 % from the field.  Duke held Miami to 54 points and 39% shooting average.  Kon’s assessment is how winning teams look at their play, “I thought our defense could’ve been a little better tonight, but I thought we did a good job on that end for the most part.”  

In the first half, Miami’s offense was primarily from post player, Lynn Kidd, who scored 14 points on 7-10 shots in the post.  Khaman Maluach and the rest of the Duke defense could not stop him.  Khaman said,  “I came into the locker room [at halftime] and [the coaches] just told me, “You’ve got to stop him, get some stops, and try and make everything hard for him.  And I just went out there and did that.”

Khaman, growing fierce

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Bench

Duke received valuable minutes from its substitutes, Mason Gillis, Caleb Foster, Isaiah the Flamethrower, and Patrick Ngongba II. Caleb scored all 9 of his points in the second half to go with 4 boards and 4 assists without a turnover.  The Flame Thrower scored 8 points, while Patrick played almost 19 minutes as Maliq’s replacement, scoring 4 points while grabbing 5 boards and handing out an assist.

Caleb and Patrick (21) are Duke’s “bench punch”

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

First Half: Duke 50 v Miami 26

Duke played a superb first half, absolutely on fire shooting.  The Blue Devils shot 65% from behind the arc (19-31 from inside the arc).  Moreover, Duke handed out 17 assists on those 19 field goals.  What a great offensive basketball half!  Kon (Special K) Knueppel scored 18 points (7-9 from the field including 4-6 from 3land) while Mason Gillis has found his shot (finally).  He was 3-3 from deep for 9 points.  It is a pleasure watching him rediscover his game.  Khaman Maluach pulled in 7 rebounds while going 3-3 from the floor for 6 points.  Duke’s super freshman, Cooper Flagg, handed out 6 assists, grabbed 3 boards and scored 8 points (3-5 from the field including 1-2 from deep, plus 1-1 from the stripe).  Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans was 2-4 from deep to go with a pair of rebounds.

Duke’s defense held the Hurricanes to 26 first-half points.  Lynn Kidd scored 14 of those.  What a half!

Second Half – Duke 39 v Miami 28

Duke was 15-31 from the field, including 6-15 from deep.  The Blue Devils dominated the glass (25-10).

The starters scored 20 of Duke’s second-half points (Kon, 7; Khaman, 6; Cooper, 5; and Sion, 2).  The bench scored 19 (Caleb, 9; Patrick, 4: Mason, 3; Isaiah, 2; and Darren Harris, 1).  Miami could manage only 28 points on 38 % shooting.  

Spencer Hubbard played 1:33 and made the play that captured the spirit of the game.  The Crazies always cheer for Hubbard to score.  With little time left on the clock, Spencer drove for a layup with a good look.  However, instead of shooting, Hubbard made a sensational over the shoulder pass to an open 3-point shooter.  Swish!  It was that kind of game.

THE ROTATION

(2) Cooper Flagg (28:20) had a quiet game after his 42 point performance against Notre Dame.  Quiet for him.  Cooper scored 13 points (5-11 from the field, including 2-5 from 3land, plus 1-1 from the foul line) to go with 7 rebounds, 6 assists and a steal.  The only negative was 6 of Duke’s 10 turnovers.

(7) Kon Knueppel (26:11)) had his best game of the year, scoring 25 points (9-11 from the field, including 6-8 from deep, plus 1-1 from the foul line) to go with 2 rebounds, 3 assists and a steal.  


(5) Tyrese Proctor (22:57) failed to score (0-4 from the field, including 0-2 from behind the arc, without attempting a free throw).  Tyrese also grabbed a rebound and handed out 2 assists.  Tyrese had 0 turnovers and played great team defense.

(18) Mason Gillis (20:48) played another excellent game as he continues to play as he did at Purdue.  His improvement this year has been electrifying.   The Purdue transfer scored 12 points (4-6 from deep) and handed out 2 assists.  He is becoming so valuable as demonstrated by his increased playing time.  Coach Scheyer, “Mason Gillis was incredibly sharp with everything that he is doing right now. …Mason played the five [Center position] some for us, which I thought was a good look.”

(14) Sion James (19:24)  is the steadying influence on offense and is an intense defender.  Against Miami, Sion scored 5 points (2-5 from the field, including 1-2 from behind the arc).  Sion played an effective floor game with 5 assists, 3 blocked shots, 2 rebounds and a steal.

(9) Khaman Maluach (19:59) had another double-double and is improving every game he plays.  Khaman scored 12 points (6-7 from the field) to go with 15 rebounds and a blocked shot.  He is more aggressive and more confident in each game.  He is becoming a real game changer.


(21) Patrick Ngongba, II (18:27) got his first extensive playing time of the year because of Maliq’s injury, and he did not waste the opportunity or disappoint.  Patrick grabbed 5 rebounds, played excellent defense (especially in the second half) and scored 4 points (2-3 from the field) while handing out an assist.

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (18:21) had a very good game, and a terrific second half.  In addition to scoring 9 points – all in the second half (3-6 from the field, including 2-3 from 3land, plus 1-2 from the stripe).  Caleb also corralled 4 boards and handed out 4 assists.  His best game in a long while.  He is an aggressive defender.

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (14:49) got back into shooting and playing form, scoring 8 points (3-8, including 2-6 from deep).  He collected a pair of rebounds and is continuing to improve on defense.

(8) Darren Harris (7:56) missed his only shot from the field, but scored from the foul line (1-2).  He also contributed a rebound and an assist in his cameo appearance.

(55) Spencer Hubbard (1:33) had the one spectacular assist described above as the crowd embraced him (remembering he hails from Southern California).

Scheyer: “Spencer comes in in the end; Spencer could have shot it, makes the extra pass to Caleb.  Proud of our guys for playing that way.”

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

NEXT PLAY: Boston College Eagles on Saturday, January 18, 2025, at Conte Forum in Chestnut Hill, Mass. at 8:00 p.m.  TV: ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 88 v. Boston College Eagles 63 (Season 16; Issue 19; Game 18) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #18 (January 18, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 88 – Boston College Eagles 63 at Conte Forum in Chestnut Hill, Mass. 

Tyrese can’t even look as Isaiah the Flame Thrower sinks yet another 3-pointer

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Another lost jump ball to start a game! Then the B.C. center, Chad Venning, treated Maluach as if he were a statue, winning baby hook shots and lay-ups. It appeared as if Khaman has less interest in defense than slam dunks. Patrick Ngongba II, the freshman back-up center, was replaced late in the first half by Mason Gillis, who amazingly neutralized the B.C. centers with crafty positioning for most of the rest of the game. Deep into the first half, the Duke players on the floor gave Flagg and Proctor some offensive help.  Interestingly, Special K was held to 0 points following his impressive scoring game against Miami. The Flamethrower (Isaiah Evans) made an early and extended appearance by doing what he does best—shooting threes and baiting the student section—along with some newfound interest in defense and assists. 

The Flamethrower baits the BC students with another hot 3-point shot

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Maluach’s development is the major key to the lofty goals of this team—especially defensively.  Stay tuned.  Tougher teams to come.  In the meantime, give a lot of credit to Coach Scheyer and his staff for the type of players they have recruited and the manner in which they are bringing them along.

ALANALYSIS

ACC Home: Duke 88  v BC 63

Duke simply pummeled the Boston College Eagles in the second half (48-29) after meeting stiff opposition from the Eagles in the early going of the first half.  With 11:36 left in the opening half, BC led the Blue Devils by 18-11.  Duke rallied, but Khaman Maluach committed his second foul of the half with 7:18 remaining and went to the bench with 6:55 with the score tied at 24.  Then, Coach Scheyer and Mason Gillis turned the game completely around. Instead of substituting Patrick Ngongba II for Khaman, Gillis came in to play center (the 5 position) as Duke went small.  It turned out to be genius not only in the first half, but even more substantially in the second half.  BC scored only 10 more points in the first half while Duke pushed to a 40-34 half time lead.

Three minutes into the second half, Khaman committed his 3rd foul, and was again relegated to the bench.  Less than 2 minutes later Ngongba committed his 3rd foul, and Gillis again entered the game to play center for the Blue Devils, with Duke leading by 8 (50-42).  Gillis was simply superb.  Seven minutes later, Duke led by 22 points (65-43), and the game was effectively over.  The lead ballooned to 27 with 4:26 (garbage time) left in the game.  

Sion steadies the offense

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Offense

The Blue Devils scored 88 points on 53% shooting (30-57 from the field, including 8-24 from deep, and a satisfying 20-25 from the free throw line – 80%).  The Blue Devils notched 18 assists on their 30 field goals.  Duke shot 57% in the second half; 39% from 3land.  Tyrese (3-7) and the Flamethrower (4-9) were a combined 7-16 from deep.  We cannot complain about an offense that scores 88 points, including 48 in the second half.  Duke is so deep that if Kon is off, Isaiah picks up the slack.  And so it goes.

The Duke defense held BC to 29 second-half points

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Defense

Scheyer’s use of Mason Gillis at center in a small Duke lineup turned the game around.  With both Khaman and Patrick in foul trouble, Mason defended the BC bigs (it is fair to say) brilliantly.  While the Blue Devils did not hold the Eagles under 60 points, Duke did hold BC to 29 second-half points.  However, it was not the superb python-like defense that we saw against SMU and Pittsburgh.  Coach Scheyer put the point succinctly, “Our post defense has to be better.  We have to just straight up guard the ball better.  … [W]e weren’t moving five guys on the string like we have been.  That’s something we have to get back to in practice.  We have to take a jump with that. … [W]ith 15 minutes to go in the second half, our connectivity was so much better.  Our intention to protect the paint was so much better.”

The Bench

The Blue Devil bench produced dramatically.  Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans had a great game, scoring 16 points, 11 in the second half.  He had Duke’s highest +/- rating with +27  (for comparison, Cooper was next with + 25).  Gillis has been improving in every outing.  He has played 150 games in his college career (winning 80%).  He is now playing like the Big 10 Sixth Man of the Year (which he was last year).  His value will continue to expand.  Patrick Ngongba II is also improving every time he has an opportunity to play; four points, four rebounds, a great assist (hit Cooper cutting to the basket) without a turnover is exemplary.  His problem is fouling on defense (4 in 14 minutes).  Caleb had a wonderful second half in the last game.  He is still rounding into form (slowly). 

 Mason Gillis now makes vital contributions on both offense and defense

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

First Half: Duke 40 v BC 34

Duke could not stop BC in the first five minutes and kept missing open shots.  With 12 minutes gone, Duke was shooting 33% while BC shot 58%.  It was not until Mason became the defender of the post that Duke stopped BC and moved from a 7 point deficit to a 6 point halftime lead.  It was not one of Duke’s best halves.  Cooper had 15 first-half points while Tyrese scored 10 points and Isaiah had 5.

Second Half Duke 48 v BC 29

Cooper said after the game, “It was a really physical game.  We went into halftime thinking about that, and just coming out, being stronger with the ball and just playing more physical and being ourselves.”  Flagg led a balanced second half scoring with 13 points, Tyrese scored 10, while the Flame Thrower tossed in 11.  The defense – better connected in the last 15 minutes – held BC to 32% shooting (27% from deep) for a mere 29 points.  

They came all the way from Maine to Boston to watch Cooper put on a show for them.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(2) Cooper Flagg (31:26) turned in another superb performance for his Maine friends and fans who bought tickets this past summer and came to Boston to see him play.  He did not disappoint.  Cooper scored 28 points (9-14, including 1-3 from behind the arc, plus 9-11 from the foul line) to go with 5 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 steals and 2 blocks.  His 4th foul was a technical that was never explained, and Cooper still has no idea what it was for. “There was a lot of energy, especially coming after that call, whatever that was.”  Cooper’s play was simply awesome.

(14) Sion James (26:36)  is on the court extensively because Scheyer trusts his steady ball handling, rebounding, and superb on-the-ball defense.  Sion handed out 6 assists without a turnover, grabbed 7 rebounds while scoring 6 points (2-3 from the field, without a 3-point attempt, plus 2-3 from the stripe). He is part of the glue that holds this team together on both ends of the court.

(7) Kon Knueppel (25:54) shockingly failed to score a point after scoring his lifetime high in the previous game!  Kon was 0-5 from the field, including 0-2 from deep without a free throw attempt.  Special K garnered 3 boards and handed out an assist.  Disappointing except for the final score of the game.


(5) Tyrese Proctor (25:45) was Duke’s second highest scorer with 20 points (7-12 from the field, including 3-7 from 3land, plus 3-3 from the stripe) to go with 3 boards, 2 assists and a steal.  After 2 quiet games, Tyrese was simply superb.

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (21:24) led a deep and valuable bench as Duke’s 3rd leading scorer with 16 points (5-11 from the field, including 4-9 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line).  Flamethrower handed out a terrific assist. 

(18) Mason Gillis (18:39)  After the last game, Coach said, “Mason played the five some for us, which I thought was a good look.”  In this game, Mason stepping in to play center in a small Duke lineup, was the catalyst for the easy win.  Mason takes charge of the defense and is playing superb all around basketball after an agonizingly slow start of the season.  Mason scored 4 points, without a missed shot (1-1 from the field, plus 2-2 from the foul line).  Gillis had an assist and a steal to go with his efficient defense against the BC bigs.

(9) Khaman Maluach (17:36) scored 8 points in foul-shortened playing time, before ultimately fouling out (4-6, including 0-1 from behind the arc) to go with 4 boards, an assist, and a blocked shot.  Khaman proved surprisingly vulnerable on defense (Chad Venning, the BC big, scored 19 points).  


(21) Patrick Ngongba, II (14:04) got his second extensive playing time of the year because of Maliq’s injury. He played quite well, scoring 4 points (2-2 from the field) to go with 4 rebounds and a gorgeous assist to a driving Cooper.  However, he committed 4 fouls in his short playing time.

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (14:00) scored 2 points (2-2 from the foul line, but 0-2 from the field including missing his only 3-point attempt).  CFos had an assist and a steal, but committed 2 turnovers.

(8) Darren Harris (5:06) missed his only shot from the field, a 3-point attempt. He contributed a rebound and an assist in his cameo appearance.

Tyrese’s shot and offensive skills were on display as he scored 20 points.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

National and ACC standings

Saturday was a day of upsets, nationally and in the ACC.  Nationally, many of last week’s highly ranked teams lost:

  • #2 Iowa State lost to West Virginia; 
  • #6 Tennessee lost to Vanderbilt; 
  • #7 Marquette lost to Xavier; 
  • #13 Oregon lost to Purdue; 
  • #14 UConn lost to Creighton; and 
  • #16 Gonzaga lost to Santa Clara.  

Duke is now #2 in Monday (January 20) polls (behind Auburn, who Duke has beaten this year).

In the ACC, Duke alone is unbeaten in league play (8-0) with 3 single-loss teams following, plus two 2-loss teams.  Clemson (7-1)won a road game against Pitt in overtime , Louisville (7-1 and #25 in new AP poll) beat UVA easily, while Wake Forest (6-1) trimmed the Virginia Tech Hokies.  Stanford, led by the heroics of Duke transfer Jaylen Blakes, beat UNC (6-2) on a buzzer beater.  SMU (5-2) is in 6th place in the ACC.  

After this Saturday’s away game against The Demon Deacons (14-4; 7-1 in the ACC), the Blue Devils are home against Big 4 rivals NC State and the Tarheels of UNC.  Then, Duke has 2 ACC road games – against Syracuse (9-9; 3-4) and Clemson (15-4; 7-1).  Clemson is looking formidable after beating Pittsburgh on the road.

Next Tuesday, UNC plays Wake Forest Demon Deacons in Winston Salem.  Duke does not play again until next Saturday, when the Blue Devils will remember last year’s loss to the Demon Deacons in Winston Salem, N.C and the subsequent celebratory court-storming by the Wake students that injured Flip Filipowski (whether by accident or intentionally was never determined).

NEXT PLAY: Wake Forest Demon Deacons on Saturday, January 25, 2025, at LJVM Coliseum, Winston Salem, NC at 4:30 pm.  TV: ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 63 v. Wake Forest Demon Deacons 56 (Season 16; Issue 20; Game 19) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #19 (January 25, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils  63– Wake Forest Demon Deacons 56 at LJVM Coliseum, Winston Salem, NC

 Devils defense beats down Demons

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Holy Coach K, Batman! Did anyone think that going to a zone halfway through the second half  would be the turning point in the game? Raise your hand if you thought, at that point, that the Blue Devils would win the game!

Duke’s different defensive look is possibly the factor that saved the win that was slipping away from them. Wake Forest had seized the momentum on their home court, where they had upset Duke the last two games in a row. There are all kinds of forgotten little turning points in a season, small moments with lingering impact. With Wake Forest on the verge of pulling away, Duke needed to turn the tide and this defensive gambit certainly was the catalyst in this one. In addition, the referees “let them play” (which is a euphemism for not calling fouls– a tactic that in this case played right into the Deacons wheelhouse of roughing up a more talented opponent). Nevertheless, the Blue Devils better get used to facing this style because future opponents will see this tape and integrate this style of play into their own game plan.

Although Duke held a comfortable lead at the half, mostly by Cooper looking for Kon (Special K) Knueppel and giving him assisted baskets to get his confidence back after being shut out of scoring in the Boston College game, otherwise, the rest of the squad was shooting blanks. Late in the second half, after Duke rallied to regain a slim lead, they made two impressive plays: a three-pointer by Flagg to start their rally, followed by a half court pass by Flagg to Mason Gillis in the corner for a unguarded three -– which more or less sealed the deal. This brings up the construction of the squad. A successful squad is not only McDonald’s All Americans. It’s adding veteran transfers like Gillis and Brown, who have the experience to deliver in the clutch, because they have been there and done that.

Tyrese stalks the ball

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

ACC Road Game: Duke 63 v Wake Forest 56

Duke played the worst 10:10 minutes of basketball this season in the opening minutes of the second half [turning a 15 point lead (35-20), with 10 seconds left in the opening period into a 6 point deficit (45-39), with 8:17 left in the game – in those 10 minutes, the Blue Devils were outscored 23-4]. 

But, the next and last 8:09 against Wake Forest in this game may have been the most valuable minutes of the season; Duke switched to a previously-unused zone defense and clawed their way back to a 6 point lead (56-49 with 2:18 left in the game), and then held on for the ACC road win.

Winning Time

Cooper started the comeback with a jump shot (assist from Kon) to make it 45-41 with 8:09 to play in the game.  The zone defense earned a stop. Kon made a turnaround jump shot with 7:42 left in the game (45-43). After a Wake score (47-43 with 7:03 remaining), Mason hit a 3 from deep (assist from Tyrese) to make it 47-46 for Wake – 6:25 to go.  

When the defense made another stop, Cooper drove for a layup to give Duke the lead 48-47 with 5:44 left.  The defense again provided a stop.   Proctor was fouled and went 1-2 from the stripe with 5:16 left (Duke by 49-47). Once again, Wake could not score against the zone, and Cooper followed with a drive ending in a dunk (51-47 with 4:32 left in the game).  Duke’s defense provided yet another stop as Kon retrieved the rebound.  Cooper was again fouled and sank both free throws.  Duke led 53-47 with 3:53 to go.  But the game was not yet won!

Cooper turned it over, and Patrick Ngongba II fouled Hildreth (Wake’s star point guard), who made both foul shots.  (53-49 with 2:49 left).  Then Tyrese, who had a difficult shooting night, hit what looked like the dagger, a 3-pointer.  56-49 with 2:18 to go.  But all was not in the bag yet! 

Patrick again fouled the Wake big man, Efton Reid, who made 1-2 (56-50 with 2:05 remaining).  Proctor committed a turnover, but the Demon Deacons could not score.  Flagg and Gillis each missed shots, and Wake had the ball with a minute left, when Patrick committed his 5th foul. Wake went 2-2 to trail by 4 (56-52).  

Then, Mason Gillis put the final dagger in the Demon Deacon heart with a 3-pointer earning a 7 point Duke lead (59-52 with 41 seconds left)!  It was a gallant comeback to earn a tough ACC road win.  Scheyer thought having to win a game like this one was so valuable: “You have to win one of these games in the tournament.  You have to win one of these games in ACC play. … it’s just huge that we could get a win and find a way without having our best stuff.”

Duke won the rebounding battle for the game (46-29), but the totals in the second half were nearly even (20-18 for the Blue Devils). Wake did not retrieve a single offensive rebound in the closing period, while Duke corralled 6. Duke’s leading rebounders were Kon with 9, Tyrese at 8, Cooper with 7, and Gillis grabbing 6.

Mason Gillis displays his leadership

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Defense

After the last game against BC, Coach Scheyer admitted that the defense was not the python-like defense of previous games, “Our post defense has to be better.  We have to just straight up guard the ball better.  … [W]e weren’t moving five guys on the string like we have been.”  Going into this game, I thought that getting the defense back to “python” was going to decide this crucial game.”  

In fact, the defense in this game was python-like, completely shutting down Wake point guard Cameron Hildreth and holding Wake (season average 70 ppg) to 56 points.   Moreover, the defense got the needed stops at winning time when Scheyer switched to a zone defense for the first time this year.  Scheyer: “We haven’t played it.  We’ve played it one possession all year. … We were trying to stand them up a little bit.  Sometimes, late in the game, that’s what it can do. … The coaching staff said, ‘let’s do it’, and I thought it was great timing to go to the zone.”

Duke’s defense (except for the 10 minutes to start the second half) was not the problem (only allowing 32 points in the other 30 minutes).

Efton Reid, the Demon Deacon 7-footer, was difficult to defend.  He drew 7 Duke fouls, mostly on Khaman (who carried 4 fouls) and Patrick (who fouled out of the game).  Khaman was torched on both ends of the court, 18:10 of playing time without scoring a point. Patrick didn’t score in the second half, but was simply more effective than Khaman and logged 21:12, before fouling out with a minute left in the game.   

Duke committed 22 fouls in the game.  Too many!  Duke also committed 16 turnovers in the game.  Too many!

The Bench

The bench contributions came primarily from Mason Gillis (23:19) and Patrick Ngongba II (21:12, including 4 first-half points, a rebound, and 2 steals).  Gillis was superb, scoring 11 points (3rd highest scorer of the team, 4-7 from the field, including 3-6 from behind the arc – one of which was The Dagger!) with 6 rebounds and wonderful defense.  Caleb failed to score (10:07) but did get 2 boards and an assist.  Isaiah (no Flame Throwing) Evans also failed to score or even take a shot in his 3:34 on the court.

First Half: Duke 35 v Wake Forest 22

Duke had 5 turnovers in the first 4 minutes, Cooper 3 and Kon 2.  Very sloppy start on both ends.  Duke scored 2 to Wake’s 10 in the first 6 minutes.   Then the Blue Devils started to strut their stuff, using the bench (Patrick, who was 2-2 from the stripe; Mason Gillis, who was 1-1 from behind the arc; and Caleb Foster who ran the point and recorded a rebound and an assist).

The Duke defense was awesome (almost Python), except for the fouling (12 in the half – 2 each on Cooper, Knueppel, Khaman, Tyrese and Ngongba).  Duke dominated the boards (27 to Wake’s 10), giving up only 3 offensive rebounds.

Duke shot 45% (13-29, including 5-15 from behind the arc, plus 4-5 from the stripe), handing out 10 assists on the 13 field goals.  The offense was marred only by 10 turnovers, but most occurred in the first few minutes. 

Special K found his stroke for 12 first-half points (4-8, including 3-6 from 3land, plus 1-2 from the foul line), to go with 5 rebounds, an assist, and a block.  Cooper scored 9 points (4-8 from the field, including 0-3 from behind the arc, plus 1-1 from the stripe) to go with 5 rebounds, 5 assists, and a block.  However, Cooper also committed 5 turnovers (though 3 were in the opening minutes).  

The bench chipped in with Mason Gillis scoring 5 points (2-4, including 1-3 from deep) to go with 4 rebounds, and Patrick scoring 4 points without a miss (1-1 from the field and 2-2 from the stripe) to go with a rebound, 2 steals, and a block.  

Second Half Duke 28 v Wake Forest 34

Wake came out on fire in the second half, scoring the first 7 points.  The Blue Devils failed to score in the first 4 minutes.  In the first 10 minutes of the second half, the Demon Deacons outscored Duke 23-4 to take a 45-39 lead.  Duke had already committed 7 fouls.  It was quite simply the worst 10:10 minutes of the season for Duke.  

Cooper, who played all 20 minutes of the closing stanza, scored 15 second-half points, more than half the total of Duke’s 28 second-half points.  The Duke players who did not score a second-half point were: Khaman (7:23 of playing time in the second half); Sion (7:28); Caleb Foster (3:21); Patrick (11:59) and Isaiah Evans (1:12).  Tyrese (17:21) scored only 4 points in the half (1-7 from the field, including 1-6 from deep).   Special K scored 3 points (1-4, including 0-1 from behind the arc), after scoring 12 in the first half.  Must have been a very uninspiring halftime “pep” talk!

However, the comeback at winning time ameliorated the bad feeling from the substantial amount of terrible play in the second half.  

Cooper delivered against Wake when it counted

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(2) Cooper Flagg (38:58) turned in another superb performance, scoring 24 points (8-16, including 1-6 from behind the arc, plus 7-9 from the foul line) to go with 7 rebounds, 6 assists, and a blocked shot.  He simply carried Duke in the second half, including at winning time, by scoring 15 second-half points (Duke only scored 28 points).  Cooper is still turning the ball over too much (7 against Wake).  Kon said after the game, “I turned the ball over too much (5 times).  Cooper turned the ball over too much … but if we kept rebounding like we did today, we knew we’d be all right.” 

(7) Kon Knueppel (34:00) was Duke’s second highest scorer with 15 points (5-12 from the field, including 3-7 from 3land, plus 2-4 from the foul line).  He scored 12 of his points in the first half.  Special K also led Duke in rebounding with 9.  Kon handed out 3 assists and blocked a shot.  But oh those 5 turnovers!

(5) Tyrese Proctor (32:57) had a terrible shooting game but played spectacular defense (he was the main defender against Wake’s high-scoring point guard Hildreth, who was held to 4 points before he fouled out).  Tyrese scored 6 points (2-12, including 1-7 from behind the arc, plus 1-2 from the foul line.)  Despite his shooting woes, Tyrese grabbed 6 boards, handed out a pair of assists and had 2 steals, while commiting just a single turnover.

(18) Mason Gillis (23:19)  was (after Cooper) the Most Valuable Duke player.  He scored 11 points (4-7 from the field, including 3-6 from behind the arc) with 6 rebounds.  Kon said, “Mason just keeps us calm and knowing what to do.  He’s done so much.”  Scheyer and Cooper each mentioned Mason’s mental and physical contributions.  Mason said, “we didn’t throw the game away.  We didn’t put our heads down.  We were able to look each other in the eye, say ‘we got this, we’re going to win the game.’ And we went out there and executed.”

(21) Patrick Ngongba, II (21:12) played more time at center than Maluach and played well, before fouling out.  Patrick scored 4 points (1-2 from the field, plus 2-2 from the stripe), all in the first half.  Patrick grabbed 3 rebounds and made 2 steals.  He has trouble avoiding fouls.  He fouled out of this game near its conclusion.  His value – and skill – is growing, as exemplified by his having a +19 in the +/- category (for comparison, Cooper’s +/- was +12).

(9) Khaman Maluach (18:10) had his worst game of the year.  He not only lost the opening tip-off (again), but he failed to score or even take a shot.  He did grab 3 rebounds and block 2 shots, before fouling out.

(14) Sion James (17:45)  did not have a good game.  He scored 3 points (1-6 from the field, including 1-4 from deep, without a free throw).  Sion had 2 assists and 3 rebounds without a turnover.

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (10:07) failed to score (0-2 from the field – both were 3-point attempts).  CFos grabbed 2 rebounds and handed out an assist. 

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (3:34 ) failed to score or even take a shot.  He did grab a pair of boards in his cameo appearance.

Sion James shows his valuability on both ends of the court.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

National and ACC standings

Duke is now #2 in both AP and Coach’s polls (behind Auburn, who Duke has beaten this year).  Louisville, the second ACC team to be ranked, is now # 25 in both polls.

In the ACC, Duke alone is unbeaten in league play (9-0). 2 single loss teams, Clemson (9-1) and Louisville (8-1) stand ready to pounce. Wake Forest is 7-2 after losing to Duke.  

The Blue Devils are home against Big 4 rivals NC State (9-10 (overall record; 2-6 in ACC) on January 27 (today) followed by a game in Cameron against the  Tarheels of UNC (13-8, 6-3).  Duke then has 2 ACC road games against Syracuse (9-11; 3-6) and Clemson (17-4 ; 9-1).  The Clemson game on the road will be a big game.


NEXT PLAY: North Carolina State Wolfpack on Monday, January 27, 2025, at Cameron Indoor Stadium at 8:30 pm. TV: ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 74 v. North Carolina State Wolfpack 64 (Season 16; Issue 21; Game 20) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #20 (January 27, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 74 – North Carolina State Wolfpack 64 at Cameron Indoor Stadium

Tyrese and Cooper trying their best to take care of the ball for the Duke offense

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

When I first tuned on the game, I thought I was watching a rerun of the Wake Forest Game, or a rugby match or, perhaps, a Duke intramural fraternity team had put on varsity basketball uniforms and were playing with an overinflated to 23 ½ pounds basketball, and State players were shooting an WNBA ball.  But no, this was the real game.  

State, among the worst shooting teams in the ACC, was shooting like Duke, and Duke was shooting like State. Consequently, the Blue Devils were never ahead. It was so bad that Maluach got sick to his stomach and threw up right on the playing floor. You really don’t want to see the contents of a 7’2” 250 lb. athlete’s stomach in the middle of a basketball game – The Revenge of the Lemon-Lime Swamp. It took a hamper of towels from the men’s locker room to clean it up.

Maluach was no sicker with how Duke was playing than me—or Coach Scheyer, who reached his breaking point and declared,  “It goes against my upbringing but it worked against Wake. Let’s go to the zone—and Cooper, finish this game off like usual.”

Game, set, match, as the Super Teen finished the game off like the POY should. The play of the game was Flagg,  utilizing a high pick by fellow teen backup center Ngongba II, driving the lane in his patented Spider Man fashion and dealing a perfect pass to Patrick flawlessly following Cooper in the other side of the lane for an easy layup.

Damn, Cooper Flagg makes this game seem so easy. Why wait so long to show us?

The bottom line is that in these last couple of games, Duke is playing like a pretender not a contender, and unless they improve and play a full forty minutes, the season will be shorter than we would like.

I should comment on the improved foul shooting.  If Duke had not hit 86% (24-28) for the game, they could well have lost.  Foul shots are free, undefended points and a team that does not cash in on them is usually toast in close games. 

KON’S SHOT RETURNS: 19 POINTS!

Photo credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

ACC Home Game: Duke 74 v North Carolina State 64

After an intense Saturday game against Wake Forest, Duke, with only 1 day in between the two games, came out without energy or passion for this Wolfpack  game.   Scheyer admitted that the team did not do anything physical on Sunday, but playing with one day in between is not unique and happens every weekend of the NCAA tournament. So, no excuses! 

Duke came out so flat in a back and forth first half that the Blue Devils trailed by 13 points (35-22) with 4:14 left in the half.  In those last 4 minutes of the half, Duke scored 11 points, to 2 for the Wolfpack. 

Khaman played one of his best games holding the Wolfpack big men in check, while signalling ToUCHDOwn!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

While Duke outscored NC State by 14 (41-27) in the second half, the game was a nail biter until the last 4:41 of the game.  Duke led 63-62.  Khaman tried to re-enter the game after cramping, but threw up from all the fluid he drank, and did not play for the remainder of the game. With or without Duke’s 7’2” center, it was “winning time”!  Here is the play by play:

Winning Time in the Last 4:41 of the Game

Duke scored 11 points, while the Wolfpack managed only a single point.  Cooper started the winning drive by being fouled and converting both free throws (65-62, Duke leads).  Duke’s zone defense produced 2 defensive stops, and Duke retrieved 3 offensive rebounds (Patrick 2 and Tyrese 1), but neither team scored until Tyrese was fouled when he grabbed a defensive rebound. Tyrese was falling out of bounds when he was grabbing for that rebound!, which would have given NC State the ball.  In a heady play, Kon grabbed Tyrese’s leg to keep him from falling out of bounds. Tyrese was then fouled, and went 1-2 (66-62) with 3:01 remaining.  

NOT SO FAST, YOU! or Kon improvises brilliantly to save a possession

Photo Credit: ESPN

When the zone produced a stop, Cooper grabbed a rebound and drove for a layup (68-62) with 2:17 to go.  The Wolfpack scored almost immediately (68-64 with 1:56 left).  Cooper fed Patrick for a beautiful layup with 1:26 left in the game (70-64).  Proctor made a steal and was fouled with 50 seconds left.  Tyrese made 1-2 (71-64). 

The defense made yet another stop, and Cooper retrieved the rebound in one of the game’s best plays, and he was fouled.  Cooper made 1-2 for a 72-64 lead with 30 seconds to go in the game.  The defense made a final stop; Kon grabbed the rebound, was fouled and made both free throws for 74-64 with only 13 seconds left.  It can be argued that the 11-1 advantage at winning time was more important to the Duke season than the sloppy play against a team with a losing record.  Stay tuned.

Defense

The Blue Devils gave up only 27 points in the second half.  Duke again employed the zone defense at crunch time, which  baffled the Wolfpack.  Adding the last 4 minutes of the first half, where NC State could only score 2 points, means that Duke held the Wolfpack to just 29 points in 24 minutes.  Scheyer approved, “Our team’s defense in critical moments has been the story for me throughout this year and was tonight.”  When the defense revived at the end of the first half, and the beginning of the second period, Duke achieved 11 consecutive stops.

The early lapses of the defense were partly the result of terrific offense by NC State.  The ball moved to give the Wolfpack wide open 3s.  NC State, who had made very few 3s in the year, suddenly was on fire from 3land (10-22).  

The Bench

The Duke bench contributions were sparse in this game.  Patrick’s 4 points in 8:27 led the bench in scoring.  Mason played 15:33 and added 2 free throws.  Neither CFos (6:46) nor the Flame Thrower (2:34) scored.  

First Half: Duke 33 v. NC State 37

Another terrible start by Duke.  8:10 in, Duke was 3-13 from the field including 1-7 from deep. 5 turnovers.  Terrible defense – especially Khaman on switches, but later he played good defense. Early on, State 3-5 from deep (open 3s) 6-14 from the field.  

Then, Duke called time out and Gillis replaced the guards with 9:26 remaining and Duke trailing  23-11. The Wolfpack had shot 5-8 from deep and 9-18 from the field up to that point. The Duke defense was MIA!

For the entire first half, State – 7-12 from deep – 49% from the field.  Duke 3-16 from deep (19%). 

However, Duke finished on a 7-0 run for the last 1:32 – Proctor layup, K steal leads to Mason making 2 free throws. Proctor missed a 3 with 13 seconds left, but Sion got the rebound and made a layup and the foul shot.

Cooper flies through and over the Wolfpack 

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(2) Cooper Flagg (36:55) produced another second half where he snatched defeat from the jaws of defeat by scoring 23 (6-10 from the field, including 1-2 from deep — crucial at the time, plus a gaudy 10-11 from the foul line) for his game-high 28 points. After a quiet opening half, the Blue Devil savant freshman grabbed 5 defensive rebounds, handed out a pair of assists, and blocked a shot without a single turnover in the closing period.   

(7) Kon Knueppel (35:09) was Duke’s second highest scorer with 19 points (5-15 from the field, including 3-10 from 3land, plus a sparkling 6-6  from the foul line).  He was the Blue Devil high scorer in the first half (11) and Cooper’s helper in the closing stanza.  Special K contributed 6 rebounds and 3 steals with only a single turnover.

(14) Sion James (34:20)  had a superb all-around game.  Scheyer demonstrated his reliance on Sion by playing him for all 20 minutes of the closing half.  The Tulane transfer scored an efficient 13 points (5-8 from field plus 3-3 from the stripe) to go with 4 rebounds, 3 assists, and a steal.  Scheyer: “Sion sparked us on defense.”   

(5) Tyrese Proctor (32:50) had Duke’s best +/- statistic in the game (+22) despite a poor shooting game where he scored only 4 points (1-6 from the field, including  0-2 from 3land, plus 2-4 from the foul line).  Tyrese might be the Blue Devils best perimeter defender (2 steals) as well as a reliable ball handler (3 assists).  He is a calm presence at crunch time.

(9) Khaman Maluach (27:26) played one of his best games of the year (including winning the opening tip- finally!) until with 4:21 left in the game, he was taken to the locker room.  It turned out he was cramping and therefore forced so much Gatorade that he got sick.  (No long term problem),  In the game, he was terrific on defense after a few early faulty switches, which resulted in easy Wolfpack layups.  He completely shut down State’s vaunted big man, Ben Middlebrooks, who failed to score a single point.

(18) Mason Gillis (15:33)  was the bench player who logged the most minutes in the game. He scored 2 points (2-2 from the stripe) while missing his 2 shots from the field, one from deep.  He contributed 3 rebounds and stout defense.

(21) Patrick Ngongba, II (8:27) contributed significantly in his abbreviated time on the court (3 personal fouls).  Patrick scored 4 points (2-2 from the field, including a beautiful layup on a pass from Flagg with the shot clock expiring).  He garnered 3 rebounds.

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (6:46) failed to score (0-1 from the field).  CFos grabbed a rebound and handed out an assist. 

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (2:34 ) failed to throw any flames, not even a spark as he missed his only shot, a 3-point attempt.  

Sion’s muscles send him up & over!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

News

Maliq Brown has not yet practiced with the team but participated in warm up drills before the game.  Coach Scheyer said he hopes Maliq’s knee has healed enough to have him at practice this week.

Duke is now #2 in the polls (behind Auburn, who Duke has beaten this year), and is on a 14 game winning streak.  Louisville, only the second ACC team to be ranked, is now #25 in both polls.

In the ACC, Duke alone is unbeaten in league play (10-0) with 2 single loss teams, Clemson (9-1) and Louisville (9-1) ready to pounce. Wake Forest is 7-3 after losing to Duke and Louisville.  

Jay Bilas famously proclaims that “Duke-UNC NEVER DISAPPOINTS!”NEXT PLAY: North Carolina Tarheels on Saturday, February 1, 2025, at Cameron Indoor Stadium at 6:30 pm. TV: ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 87 v. UNC Tarheels 70 (Season 16; Issue 22; Game 21) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #21 (February 1, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 87 – UNC Tarheels 70 at Cameron Indoor Stadium 

The Cameron Crazies reach fever pitch as Cooper increases the Duke lead

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com 

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

The Tar Heels must have believed the press stories that declared them unlikely to beat Duke, because from the opening tip they played like they didn’t think they could win the game . Their play did not do much in support of head coach Hubert Davis, who is reported by Johnny Tar Heel to be halfway swept out the door after only four years at the helm. 

Rallying behind a terrific start by Cooper Flagg, the Blue Devils jumped out to an 18-6 lead – Flagg either hit or assisted on every basket to that point. Because Carolina is a small team, you would think the ‘Heels would have an advantage in quickness. However, even their patented fast break off of opponents’ made-baskets was MIA. But this is the team Coach Davis recruited and, as much as I regret saying it, they miss Armando Bacot, who I had always thought was overrated. However, it appears he was the catalyst that gave RJ Davis the room to operate. Bacot’s replacement, Elliot Cadeau, is only another small guard who just gets in RJ’s way and does not help defensively.

It appears that the rest of the Tar Heels are a year or so away from being ACC-ready and that they either do not like each other or that they have not learned to play together. Duke, on the other hand, has Cooper Flagg, a generational talent who is mature beyond his years, as their leader, and a group of players who both like each other and like playing with each other. Because Cooper is an extraordinary passer who loves to share the ball, everyone on the team loves to share the ball. Scoring is the second of five skills at which Cooper excels.

It is enjoyable watching our young team mature – in the coming weeks and months we will see if they are ready for the toughest part of the schedule.

Tyrese rises out of his shooting slump to drop 17 points on UNC

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

ACC Home Game: Duke 87  v North Carolina 70

For 32 minutes, Duke played its best basketball of the year (on both ends of the court), leading UNC by 32 points (yes, you read that correctly!) with 9:04 left in the game (77-45).  The Blue Devils (aided by the return of Maliq Brown) produced what I have called the python-like defense  that squeezed the Tarheels to only 25 first-half points.  Thus, the defense limited UNC to 45 points in 31 minutes of play.  Simply great defense, switching on every screen!  UNC had no way to penetrate.  Coach Scheyer: “The defense was great. … I thought the talk and the switching was terrific.”  Scheyer also praised Maliq, “He comes in and on the first play, comes up with the ball and we get something from it.  And then Sion and Tyrese, their defense is so good.”  Even holding UNC to 70 points was good defense when you take into account that the Tar Heels  came into the game averaging 82.2 ppg.

Duke shot the lights out (53% overall for the game from 28-53, including a gaudy 10-20 (50%) from behind the arc, plus 21-25 (84%) from the foul line).  The Blue Devils gave assists on 20 of the 28 field goals (topped by Cooper Flagg with 7 assists; Kon (Special K) Knueppel with5), while committing only 8 turnovers.  87 points is excellent offense!  Kon: “We got out in transition a lot more than we have been in recent games, especially early. We made good, on-time and on target passes, and it led to making more shots.”

Kon stands tall as Duke’s high scorer with 22 points

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Then, inexplicably, the Duke defense melted away, lost intensity…. and ultimately gave up 25 points in the final 9 minutes.  The Duke lead shrunk from 32 points to 16 points (79-63) with 3:31 left in the game.  While the outcome of the game never felt in doubt, UNC outscored Duke 18-2 over that period.  The Blue Devils clearly started playing the score rather than playing the game.

I learned to appreciate the Duke women’s coach, Kara Lawson, when she chastised her team for losing intensity in a similar situation.  When the press suggested that losing intensity when the game was clearly won was simply “human nature”, Kara replied, “that is true of ordinary people, ordinary competitors.  It is not true of elite competitors.  Those competitors never play the score, they compete on every play.  In fact, elite competitors don’t care if it is a game or practice.  They play for the beauty of the game.”  

Her team competed differently after that.  This edition of the Blue Devils needs to learn that or face the potential of a game-losing meltdown in the postseason. 

First Half: Duke 47  v. UNC 25

The Duke defense held UNC to under 30% shooting from the field (8-27, including 3-11 from behind the arc).  If not for UNC going 6-6 from the line, the Blue Devils might have held the Tarheels to under 25 points for the half!  With Maliq Brown returning for 6:18 first-half minutes and Mason Gillis playing 5:24, Duke was deep and talented.

At the same time, Duke scored 47 points on 56% shooting (15 -27, including 5-11 from behind the arc, plus a gaudy 12-14 from the stripe).  Cooper led the first half scoring with 13 points (4-7 from the field, including 2-3 from 3land, plus 3-5 from the stripe) to go with 5 assists, 4 boards, 2 steals (which were both spectacular), and 2 blocked shots.  UNC had no answers for Cooper.  Tyrese broke out of his recent scoring slump with 10 first-half points (2-3 from the field, including 1-2 from deep, plus 5-5 from the foul line). Kon added 9 points (3-5 from the field, including 1-2 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the stripe).  Duke handed out 11 assists on 15 field goals with only 4 first-half turnovers.  Great offense; great defense; a 22 point lead.

Khaman is a force at the rim.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Second Half: Duke 40 v. UNC 45

The Duke defense allowed UNC to score 45 points on 65% shooting from the field (18-28), including 50% from behind the arc (4-8).  In the 5:00 that elapsed between Duke’s 32 point lead and its 16 point lead, UNC shot 8-9 from the field, including 1-1 from deep.  UNC went 3-5 in the last 3:31 of the game.  It felt as if the Blue Devils stopped even the pretense of defending and were just running clock to finish off the win.

Among other wonderful attributes, Cooper is a stellar shot-blocker

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(2) Cooper Flagg (38:18) scored 21 points (6-14 from the field, including 3-5 from deep, plus 6-9 from the foul line) to go with one of the great all-around games by a Duke player.  Cooper handed out 7 assists, grabbed 8 boards, while making 3 dramatic steals and blocking 2 shots.  He decimated UNC, who had no answer for the savant freshman.   

(7) Kon Knueppel (35:29) led Duke in scoring with 22 points  (7-11 from the field, including 2-4 from 3land, plus a sparkling 6-7 from the foul line).  Kon also played a great all-around game by grabbing 5 rebounds, handing out 5 assists, with 2 steals, and a blocked shot.  Special K was, indeed, special.

(5) Tyrese Proctor (32:10) found his missing offense to score 17 points (5-10 from the field, including  2-5 from 3land, plus 5-5 from the foul line).  Tyrese might be the Blue Devils’ best perimeter defender (2 steals) as well as a reliable ball handler (3 assists with only a single turnover).  Tyrese also grabbed a pair of tough rebounds.

(14) Sion James (31:55) also scored in double figures with 13 points (4-7 from field, including 1-3 from behind the arc, plus 4-4 from the stripe) to go with 3 assists and a steal.  Sion had the highest +/- statistic (+26).  For comparison, Cooper was +19.   

(9) Khaman Maluach (20:55) again won the opening tip and played simply great defense.  At 7’2”, he can switch out and guard the perimeter or  switch to protect the rim against a penetrating guard. Khaman scored 6 points (3-5 from the field to go with 6 rebounds.  He was far more valuable than the box score alone indicates.

(6) Maliq Brown (15:38) made a welcome return to the court and demonstrated why he is such a great defender, with a nose for the ball and a talent for disrupting offenses with his many deflections.  Maliq collected 3 rebounds, handed out 2 assists, and made 2 steals, while also scoring 2 points (1-2 on layups). Welcome back, Maliq.

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (7:34) When UNC went to a zone defense, Scheyer put Isaiah in the game and he immediately hit a 3-pointer (1-2 from deep).  UNC came out of its zone.  The Flamethrower also grabbed 1 rebound and made a steal. 

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (7:23) failed to score (0-1 from the field).  CFos grabbed a rebound, while handling point guard duty and avoiding any turnovers. 

(18) Mason Gillis (6:51)  scored 3 points (1-1 from 3land) with a steal.  He was unfortunately foul prone (4 fouls in his abbreviated time on the court).

(21) Patrick Ngongba, II (2:59) was anchored to the bench more than he has been  the last 4 games because of the return of Maliq.  He made a brief “garbage time” cameo.

(8) Darren Harris (0:48) had no statistic in his cameo in the last minute of the game.

Scion: an unstoppable player & growing into a forceful point guard

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

News

Maliq Brown looked good (moved well; did not appear rusty) in his return to the court.  He created chaos for the ‘Heels with his deflections. It will be interesting for him when Duke plays his former team, Syracuse, on Wednesday, February 5.

Duke is now #2 in the polls (behind Auburn) and is on a 15 game winning streak.  Louisville, the second ACC team to be ranked, lost to Georgia Tech, which could drop them out of the top 25.  There is a feeling among the media that Clemson will gain a ranking in the top 25 when tomorrow’s polls are released.

In the ACC, Duke alone is unbeaten in league play (19-2 overall; 11-0 in the ACC) with Clemson (18-4 overall; 10-1 in the ACC) the only team with only a single loss in conference.  Duke plays Clemson at LittleJohn Coliseum on Saturday, February 8, at 6 pm.  Clemson has always been difficult to beat on their home court.  It looks like it will be a BIG GAME!

NEXT PLAY: Syracuse Orange on Wednesday, February 5, 2025, at JMA Wireless Dome in Syracuse, NY at 7:00 pm. TV: ESPN2.


Duke Blue Devils 83 v. Syracuse Orange 54 (Season 16; Issue 23; Game 22) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #22 (February 5, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 83 – Syracuse Orange 54 at JMA Wireless Dome in Syracuse, NY

This Duke squad is just as excited for teammates’ successes as for their own

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Ask any of the 50,000 Syracuse fans in attendance if they would be happy with limiting Cooper Flagg to 7 points, 6 offensive rebounds, and a 19-16 overall advantage in rebounding before halftime, they would take it in a heartbeat. Yet, Syracuse still trailed by 14 points. 

The Blue Devils won this game with their early defensive work, forcing seven turnovers on 28 possessions and letting Syracuse shoot just 10/28 (35.7%) from the field and 3/10 (30%) from 3-point range. This Duke offense showed its ability to stack points in a hurry after halftime, but a defense that lets the Blue Devils win even without those runs is one reason why they’ve won 16 straight games. 

I’m beginning to believe the hype BUT I will wait until they play Clemson and Illinois before comparing it to the 1991-2 or 1999 teams. What I will say is that this team is deeper than those two. Caleb Foster is the only top ten player who is struggling.  And, by the way, what keeps Isaiah ‘Flamethrower’ Evans from playing more minutes. The man is instant offense, his defense and ball sharing have both improved dramatically.  Proctor has been supplanted by Special K as the number two offensive option, but the Aussie is getting more consistent. What really strikes me about this group is that they really seem to like each other and play accordingly. That can only happen when Cooper, their best player, plays all facets of the game with the same enthusiasm and energy and appears to enjoy his teammates’ successes as much as his own.

Maliq Brown returned to his former home court and put together one of his best games of the season, logging six points, eight rebounds, and three steals. He also helped hold Syracuse forward Eddie Lampkin Jr. to two points on three shots, denying any interior presence for the Orange. Even in 22 minutes of playing time, Maliq is the engine for everything mentioned above about the Duke defense, and he’s a piece that is so critical to Duke’s success.

Cooper reaches the heights of achievement, both on the court and in the classroom

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

ACC Road Game: Duke 83 v Syracuse 54

Cooper Flagg only attempted 7 shots, scoring only 11 points, but he completely controlled the game, proving himself a great player and a wonderful teammate.  Given the hype and the attention Cooper’s play has generated, one could forget he is simply a freshman in college and barely 18 years old.  Therefore, I believe his best statistic is academic — a 4.0 GPA in his first college semester.   Remember, he should still be a high school senior because he advanced his college career by a year.  Cooper’s twin brother, Ace, graduates from high school this spring. Cooper really is, as Jack Armstrong used to be called,, the All-American Boy!

The Blue Devils looked totally invincible on both offense and defense.  Tyrese Proctor suggests some reasons: “The biggest thing is we feel like we grew up a lot.  …You’ve got to learn how to figure it out, and that’s what we did.  We’ve got a lot of freshmen in the rotation.  Granted, they’re among the best freshmen in the world, but they’re freshmen nonetheless, so we still have to go through it and learn how to win games like that together.”

Tyrese gets a beautiful pass from Kon, helping the freshmen “figure it out”

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Defense

Duke’s switching on defense was beautiful and made the Orange work hard for every basket.  The Blue Devils held the Orange to a season low 54 points (23 in the first half). The truth is Syracuse played well, made some difficult shots, hustled and fought, but were completely outmatched.  The Python-like Duke defense just squeezed the life out of the Syracuse offense.

Khaman can guard smaller players on the perimeter, permitting Duke to switch on every Syracuse screen.  Maliq is such a wild card with his ability to disrupt offenses with his amazing deflections.  Scheyer about using Maliq at the same time as either Patrick Nogongba II or Khaman is also in the game, “was a good look for us tonight.  I think we found something there.”

Duke made 12 steals (& forced 14 turnovers)

A high-flying star, Maliq lights up the sky against Syracuse

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Offense

Duke’s passing was absolutely breathtaking, (18 assists on 30 made field goals with only 6 turnovers in the game).  So often the ball zipped around, with each player seeming to have a good shot, but the next pass gave the next Duke player an even better shot. One sequence had about five passes, with each passer refusing what was a good shot, until Sion hit Maliq for a wide open layup at the rim. Here is how that sequence went:

Isaiah Evans launched a three that missed. Maliq Brown tipped the ball out to Cooper who zipped a gorgeous no-look cross court pass to Sion James. James zipped it out Caleb Foster. Then Foster dribbled to his  left and hit Flagg in the lane, who made another impressive pass to get it to Brown under the basket. But wait! James is wide open in the corner! So Brown hits him. 

James drives in though and gets it back to Brown, who gets an easy layup. Total dribbles: four.

It was more ballet than hoops and was absolutely amazing.  The Blue Devils shot 57% from the field (69% in the second half) including 39% from deep (9-23).   

Duke was consistent, beating the Orange by 14 points in the first half and 15 in the closing period. Duke’s scoring was balanced with 5 double figure scorers (Proctor, 16; Kon, 12; Cooper, 11; Sion, 10; and Isaiah, 10).  Duke fans never feared an upset in this game.

Sion is becoming a force on both ends of the court

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Second Half: Duke 46 v. Syracuse 31

With 4 minutes left in the game, Duke led Syracuse by 31 points (77-46).  The Blue Devils shot 69% (18-26 with 12 assists).  Eight Duke players recorded at least 1 assist (Sion, 3; Isaiah, 2; and Caleb, 2)

All ten Duke players who were on the court for at least 5 minutes in the half scored (Tyrese and the Flame Thrower, 7; Maliq and Caleb, 6; Sion, 5; Cooper and Darren Harris, 4; Kon, 3; while Patrick and Khaman each scored 2). 

The 31 point lead with 4 minutes left in the game says it all.

Caleb – back on the hunt

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(5) Tyrese Proctor (27:49) was Duke’s high scorer with 16 points (5-12 from the field including 4-10 from deep, plus 2-4 from the stripe) to go with a pair of rebounds, a pair of assists, and a steal, all without a turnover.

(2) Cooper Flagg (27:39) scored 11 points, taking only 7 shots from the field (4-7 from the field, including 1-1 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line) to go with another great all-around game — 5 boards, while making 2 steals and blocking 2 shots.  The freshman handed out 2 assists and played great team defense.  (All with having a 4.0 grade average  for his first semester!)   

(14) Sion James (26:07) was one of five Duke players who scored in double figures with 10 points (an efficient 4-5 from field, including 1-1 from behind the arc, plus 1-1 from the stripe), to go with 4 assists (0 turnovers) and 3 steals.  Sion’s improvement on both ends of the court has been palpable.

(6) Maliq Brown (22:23) made his return against his old team a complete triumph. Maliq led Duke in rebounding with 8 and had the highest (+24) +/- total for Duke.  Maliq had 3 steals, demonstrating what a great defender he is with his many deflections, as well as a blocked shot.  On offense, Maliq scored 6 points (2-4 from the field, including 0-1 from behind the arc, plus 2-5 from the foul line).  He also handed out a beautiful assist.  

(9) Khaman Maluach (21:34) again won the opening tip! and played excellent defense.  At 7’2”, he can switch out and guard the perimeter or  switch to protect the rim against a penetrating guard.  His post defense needs a little work. Khaman scored 6 points (3-5 from the field) to go with 3 rebounds.  Scheyer played both Khaman and Maliq together for power defense.

(7) Kon Knueppel (Special K) (21:14) was Duke’s second leading scorer with 12 points  (3-8 from the field, including 1-4 from 3land, plus a sparkling 5-5 from the foul line).  Kon grabbed 2 rebounds, with 2 steals.  Special K is a dogged defender and excellent ball handler (0 turnovers).

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (20:16) had one of his best games, scoring 10 points (3-6 from the field, including 2-4 from 3land, plus 2-2 from the foul line).  But Isaiah wasn’t just throwing flames, he was handing out 4 assists, grabbing 3 boards and blocking a shot.  Isaiah is producing all over the court.

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (15:23) had a great bounce-back game, scoring 6 points (3-5 from the field, including 0-2 from deep).  CFos penetrated for driving baskets, grabbed 2 rebounds, while handing out  2 assists and making 2 steals.

(21) Patrick Ngongba, II (8:34) was productive in his short stint in the game.  Patrick scored 2 points (1-1 from the field) to go with a tough rebound, 2 assists (Patrick is a surprisingly good passer), and a steal.

(8) Darren Harris (5:21) was also productive in his short stint scoring 4 points (2-2 from the field) to go with 2 rebounds.

(55) Spencer Hubbard (1:50) played at “garbage time”.  If Spencer gets in the game, it is always a good fact for Duke because it means Duke is so far ahead there is no danger of losing the game.  The Cameron Crazies’ favorite committed a foul and a turnover.

Isaiah “The Flamethrower” isn’t just a 3-threat…he can also drive and slam!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

News

Mason Gillis was ill and did not travel to Syracuse.  He tried to make the trip, but Coach advised him to stay home and recuperate. Duke is so deep that his absence was without negative impact.  

Duke is still #2 in the polls (behind Auburn) and their winning streak is now 16.  Louisville, the second ACC team to be ranked, lost to Georgia Tech, which dropped them out of the top 25.  Then, last Monday, Clemson also lost to Georgia Tech, which left Duke as the only ACC team in the top 25 in both polls.

In the ACC, Duke alone is unbeaten in league play (20-2 overall; 12-0 in the ACC) while the Clemson Tigers are 18-5 overall; 10-2 in the ACC.  The Tigers are 11-2 at home so far.

NEXT PLAY: Clemson, February 5, 2025, at Littlejohn Coliseum in Clemson, S.C. at 6:30 pm. TV: ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 71 v. Clemson Tigers 77 (Season 16; Issue 24; Game 23) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #23 (February 8, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 71 – Clemson Tigers 77 

Duke fought hard , but didn’t take home the Win…just the floor burns.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke had an opportunity to move up in the polls because Auburn lost to Florida. Maybe the loss was supposed to be a wakeup call that Duke should not be satisfied with resting on their laurels. If Clemson played football as aggressively and passionately as their basketball team plays against Duke, they would be undefeated! 

The young Blue Devil team was ready for North Carolina last week, but not for the more talented and motivated Tigers this week. Welcome to the ACC and what the Duke name brings out in virtually every team – their fiercest effort. I wrote a note to myself at half time: “I don’t like the way this game is unfolding. Duke is in trouble, because the odds are against Proctor and Special K combining for nearly as many points in the second half [as the 29 that the two had, combined, in the first half], plus Duke is being outfought.”

But there were three Clemson players in particular who made the difference: Viktor Lakhin, 7’ 2”  raw boned Russian who looks closer to thirty than twenty; Ian Schieffelin, who looks like he wandered in from the Beer Garden but can do a pretty good Charles Barkley basketball impression; and Chase Hunter, who has been on the Clemson team for 6 years. (Hopefully, he will graduate this year). The first two dominated the paint and eventually fouled out Duke center Khaman Maluach, which left the Blue Devils at a distinct disadvantage of low post presence.  And Chase was the closer at the foul line.

Then, at a critical juncture in the waning, winning/losing minutes Cooper Flagg slipped on some moisture on the floor area of Clemson’s basket and was called for travelling!  Now it seems to me that a venue is the responsibility of the owner, that time should be called and the moisture or debris cleaned up and the team be given the ball out of bounds, because a foreign substance should not cause a “travel” (or, in this case, a skate). If the venue is owned by an opponent, maybe leaving moisture on the floor should also become a technical foul. When Duke center Maluach threw up under a basket in the N.C. State game, time was called as the moisture was dried up with a hamper of towels.  Moisture or condensation can be dangerous, because it makes traction difficult, if not impossible, especially for these huge athletes.  As a matter of fact, Flagg aggravated his calf strain. 

All this explanation is not an excuse for Duke‘s loss but rather an opportunity to assess strengths and weaknesses of our team. It seems to me that the starting forwards and guards are its strengths, that neither Maluach nor Foster have improved much so far this season, and that Maliq Brown gives up too much size and heft to be the starter against better teams. Gillis and Evans are valuable substitutions when needed. Time to take inventory and play to our strengths.

Cooper scored 14 of Duke 30 second-half points

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

ACC Road Game: Duke 71 v Clemson 77

Duke played one of their worst halves of the season against Clemson, scoring only 30 points on 31% shooting (9-29, including 6-10 from deep, plus 6-8 from the foul line).  This means that Duke was a horrendous 3-19 inside the 3 point line – 6 points on 19 shots!

 Defensively, the Blue Devils allowed Clemson to score a season-high 42 points on 52% shooting (15-29), committed 13 fouls, and were outrebounded by 25-14 overall, and for offensive rebounds by 9-6 . 

Even so, Duke led by a point (71-70 with 58 seconds left in the game).  Duke never scored again, while Clemson scored the last 7 points of the game.  With 14 seconds left in the game, Duke trailed by 2 points (73-71) with the ball in Cooper’s hands.  Exactly the same situation as in Duke’s losses to Kentucky and Kansas.  Cooper, “Coach drew up the play.  Sion ghosted out and created a lane.  I think I had a lane and drove.  I tried to come to two feet and raise up but slipped or fell or whatever happened.”  Cooper slipped on a wet spot and was called for traveling (Bill’s suggested amendments to the rule in that situation are meritorious).  

The loss will not hurt Duke, in my opinion.  It may have cost a #1 ranking in the polls, but those rankings do not even rise to the level of meaningless.  Tyrese has it right, “Yeah, we haven’t lost since November or December.  It’s obviously a bad feeling, but it’s straight to the film room.  We have such a good locker room, and everybody is going to be looking at themselves in the mirror to learn from it.”

The Bench

Mason Gillis is still sick and did not make the trip to South Carolina.  Duke missed him dramatically in this game.  His absence made a hole in the Duke paint defense when Khaman and Brown were in foul trouble.  Maliq, who scored 2 points (1-2 from the field) was basically the bench combining at the center position with Kahman.  Isaiah played 14 minutes, scoring (3 on 1-2 from deep).  CFos (3:00) and Patrick (1:45) did not score.  The bench scored just 5 points.

Isaiah scores on a 3-pointer, – 3 of the only 5 points scored by the bench  

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Defense

The defense was not exemplary in the first half and downright porous in the closing stanza, where Clemson scored 42 points against Duke.  Duke previously had given up 40 only 3 times – 40 in the second half in the Kentucky loss, 41 to Kansas (in the first half) and 42 to Auburn (also in the first half).  

Scheyer: “We had a hard time getting stops.  They shot 69% in the first half and over 50% in the second half.  I think that’s the first time this season. … You have to be physically prepared for this game… and mentally. For me, it’s the defense. … I don’t know if our talk was as good as it needed to be.  Some rotations that needed to be there, weren’t there.”  

Cooper said (post-game interview) that the defense was “undisciplined”. “We weren’t really there tonight.  We didn’t do our jobs.  It’s hard to win the battle down low, boxing out, rebounding, giving up a ton of second chance opportunities.” The statistics bear Cooper out.  In the second half, Clemson got more offensive rebounds (9) than Duke retrieved defensive caroms (8).  That’s a truly bad statistic.


Kon defends as well as he scores, but it wasn’t enough this time

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Winning Time

Duke’s largest deficit was 7 points, trailing 56-49 with 9:47 to go in the game.  The Blue Devils tied the game at 59 with 5:18 left in the game.  It was winning time!  

Duke took the lead 62-61 with 4:05 remaining.  The teams traded 1 point leads for a couple of minutes.  The game was again tied at 67 with 2:06 left.  After Chase Hunter sank a 3-pointer for a 70-67 Clemson lead, Flagg was fouled and made 1-2.  Clemson led by 2 with 1:16 left in the game.  With 58 seconds left on the game clock, Cooper sank a clutch 3-pointer for 71-70 Blue Devil lead.  Hunter made a layup to take back the 1 point lead (72-71) with 38 seconds to go.  That’s when Lakhin made the play of the game when he blocked Sion’s driving layup attempt to retake the lead with 23 seconds left.  When Sion fouled Lakhin trying to get the ball back, the Clemson center made 1-2 for a 2 point lead (73-71) with 14 seconds left. 

Duke’s last attempt had Cooper looking to tie when he slipped on the wet spot and was called for traveling.  Duke had to foul, and Clemson kept making the foul shots for the final margin.  The game was exciting for the fans.

Tyrese – on fire from the perimeter, locking down 23 points!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(5) Tyrese Proctor (38:36) was Duke’s high scorer with 23 points (9-15 from the field including 4-8 from deep, plus 1-1 from the stripe) to go with a pair of rebounds, an assist, and 2 steals (but 3 turnovers).  Coach Scheyer, “Tyrese has been great.  I thought he was a leader.  I thought he was shooting.  I thought he was just terrific tonight.”

(2) Cooper Flagg (38:00) scored 18 points, 14 of Duke’s 30 in the second half  –(6-17 from the field, including 3-6 from deep, plus 3-4 from the foul line) to go with another all-around game — 5 boards, while making 3 steals and handing out an assist.  The freshman also blocked a shot. After the game, Cooper said, “I was definitely cramping throughout the end of the game.  I’ve been a little bit under the weather with a cold, virus or whatever.  No excuses.  I’ve got to be able to play through it. … We were in a position to win the game.  We’ve got to come out and make those plays.”

(14) Sion James (32:12) played a terrific floor game.  While Sion scored only 8 points (2-5 from the field, including 0-1 from behind the arc, plus 4-5 from the foul line), he handed out 5 assists without a turnover. 

(7) Kon Knueppel (31:49) was Duke’s third leading scorer with 14 points  (5-9 from the field, including a blazing 4-6 from 3land).  Kon grabbed 3 rebounds, with an assist and a steal.  Kon was on fire in the first half with 11 points, including 3-4 from deep.

(6) Maliq Brown (20:25) scored only 2 points (1-2 from the field, including 0-1 from behind the arc). Maliq grabbed 2 rebounds and  made 2 steals. He only played 8 second-half minutes because he had  garnered 4 fouls.  His usual superb defense was missing when he had to guard Viktor Lakhin, Clemson’s powerful big man.

(9) Khaman Maluach (19:42) scored only 3 points (0-2 from the field, plus 3-4 from the foul line) to go with 5 rebounds and a blocked shot.  He had a bad statistical game but for one key piece of data   – Khaman had the only + in the +/- category, a shocking + 10.  For comparison, Cooper was -6; Proctor -7; and Kon, -8.  

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (14:32) scored 3 points (1-2 from 3land). 

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (2:59) without scoring (0-3), but it was all one play where CFos drove to the basket but missed the layup.  He retrieved the rebound from his miss, and missed again.  He got that rebound as well, but could not convert.  He is credited with a pair of rebounds on that one play.  In a close game, Scheyer doesn’t trust him with much playing time.

(21) Patrick Ngongba, II (1:45) did not have a stat in his brief cameo.  Perhaps Scheyer did not trust him against a quality big man, even when Khaman fouled out and Brown had 4 fouls.

Sion scores on a pass from Kon;Cooper kvelling in the background

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

News

The Blue Devils still lead the ACC regular season by a game (Duke is 12-1 while Louisville and Clemson, (even after Clemson beat Duke) are still a full game behind at 11-2).

NEXT PLAY: University of California (Berkeley), Wednesday February 12, 2025, at Cameron Indoor Stadium. at 9pm TV: ACCN.


Duke Blue Devils 78 v. University of California (Berkeley) 57 (Season 16; Issue 25; Game 24) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #24 (February 12, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 78  – University of California (Berkeley) 57  at Cameron Indoor Stadium

Flagg’s steal + whirling dunk combo ignites the Crazies!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

The Blue Devils’ schedule did them no favors by scheduling an away game with Clemson right after an always emotional meeting with UNC. A more mature team may have handled the game better than this team did. No matter, the schedulers did them a favor by scheduling them to play California (BerkEEEEEEley), a bottom feeder, as the next opponent. No one enjoyed the home environment more than Cooper Flagg, who apparently has recovered from a mild virus, and who celebrated by having a well-balanced game plus a steal followed by a baseline to baseline drive for an exclamation-point-360-degree-spinning-two-elbow dunk, which was graded by the announcers as better than his dunk against Carolina or Pitt!

While the game was never in doubt, it should be noted that Tyrese Proctor continued his maturing as the scoring guard in support of Flagg. This is not to disparage Special K’s talents, but Tyrese has two years more experience and maturity– and it shows. 

Also, I might comment on Khaman Maluach’s release and touch.  Khaman has shot 85% from the free throw line this year.  Any guard who shoots 85% from the free throw line is exceptional. Anyone who can shoot 85%, move fast, and is 7’2” is a true anomaly. Keep in mind Khaman has only been playing basketball for only four years.

The game also gave Mason Gillis, who missed two games with the flu, and Slim Jim Evans, who has improved his defense, and, apparently, has impressed the coaches with his efforts, extended playing time.

The Blue Devils have 7 games remaining, 3 on the road (UVA, Miami and UNC); 3 at home (Stanford, Wake Forest and Florida State), and one at Madison Square Garden against Illinois on February 22.  

Duke extends the lead thanks to Tyrese’s prowess on the layup

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

ACC Home Game: Duke 78  v. California 57

Duke responded to the loss at Clemson and the end of its 16 game winning streak exactly as a championship team should – by blowing out the University of California (Berkeley) Bears early in the game (and never even letting them into the game).  Cooper Flagg made the point in his post-game press conference, “I never say a loss is a good thing, but we definitely learned a lot of things from it.  Going forward, we’ll have that experience.  Collectively, as a group, we haven’t had a ton of experience of being in late game situations, so that’s a big experience for us, and we’ll definitely learn from it going forward.”

The Blue Devils played a magnificent first half shooting 43%, including 46% from deep (6-13), to open up a 15 point lead (38-23) while holding California to 27% shooting. .  Duke had 8 assists with only 4 turnovers.  Cooper led the Blue Devil first-half scoring with 13 points; Tyrese scored 9; Khaman 6.  

In the second half, Duke seemed to ease off a bit  at least on defense.  On offense, the Blue Devils scored 40 points (2 more than in the opening half) led by Cooper’s 14 points and Tyrese’s 9.  Duke extended its lead to 20 (49-29) after 3:12 of the second half had elapsed, and the lead shrank below that only twice – each time for only a few seconds (74-55 with 2:11 left in the game and 76-57 with 1:15 remaining). Duke led by as much as 26 in the second half, and was never threatened.

Defense

The Blue Devil defense in the first half was beyond outstanding, holding California to 23 first-half points. There were no uncontested shots for the Bears, and 0 fast break points.  Jim Boeheim (ex-Syracuse coach, enshrined in the Hall of Fame, and color commentator for this game) expressed his awe at how efficient the Duke defense was.  When California did score, it was on difficult (contested) shots.  As Boeheim told his audience, “California is getting nothing easy.”

Duke did lose intensity on defense in the second half, allowing California to score 34 points, but the lead never slipped below 19 points.

Khaman was integral to the defense, controlling the rim and the paint

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Bench

Mason Gillis returned to the lineup and was his usual reliable self. Isaiah Evans played 18 minutes without scoring but was valuable on defense and on the boards.  CFos (9:32) scored 2 points and grabbed a rebound.  Patrick (5:16) led the bench in scoring with 4 points and a rebound –a good performance in a cameo appearance.  Maliq fouled out in 13 minutes without scoring, though he did grab 2 rebounds.

Gillis’s return to the rotation gave Duke a needed lift

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(5) Tyrese Proctor (29:03) was Duke’s second high scorer with 18 points (7-15 from the field including 3-6 from deep, plus 1-2 from the stripe) to go with 3 rebounds, an assist, and 2 steals (only 1 turnover).  Coach Scheyer, “His defense and his shooting are big time.  And beyond the points, beyond the stats, it’s his look.  He’s got a veteran’s look. Competitive, poised, tough.”

(2) Cooper Flagg (28:58) played an almost perfect game, scoring 27 points (13 in the first half), grabbing 5 boards, while making 3 amazing steals and handing 3 assists.  On one steal, Cooper bolted the length of the floor ahead of the defense and made a whirling dunk that had the Crazies roaring and even made Cooper smile .  He was unstoppable, shooting 8-14 from the field, including 2-4 from behind the arc, plus another perfect night at the foul line, 9-9. His defense is truly amazing because of his ability to anticipate what the offense will try.

(7) Kon (Special K) Knueppel (28:15) had a quiet offensive game but is a critical part of the efficient Duke defense.  Special K scored only 6 points (3-8 from the field, including 0-3 from 3land). Kon grabbed 3 rebounds, with an assist.  Kon never stops hustling on every play.

(14) Sion James (27:05) is finally gaining recognition from the media for being a reliable point guard, with a dazzling assist to turnover ratio (however, in this game only 3 assists to 2 turnovers), a productive rebounder (9 in this game) and an excellent perimeter defender.  Sion scored an efficient 8 points (2-4 from the field, including 2-3 from deep, plus 2-2 from the stripe). 

The multi-talented Scion sinks a corner 3

Photo Credit:GoDuke.com

(9) Khaman Maluach (22:12) notched a double-double (12 rebounds; 10 points)  to go with 3 assists and a blocked shot.  Khaman anchored the Duke defense (especially in the first half) with his pick and roll defense.  His Help Defense shut down the California penetration – when Cal guards attempted to drive by the Duke defender on the way to the basket, Khaman slid off his man to help out –  and was still quick enough to also protect the Duke rim.  

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (18:11) is earning playing time, even when he does not score, as in this game (all his shots — 0-4 – were from deep).  Isaiah is very quick and is playing improved defense.  He also grabbed a pair of rebounds.

(5) Mason Gillis (15:09) made a welcome appearance after missing the last 2 games with illness.  He scored 3 points (1-2 from the field, which were both from behind the arc).  He grabbed a pair of rebounds.  Cooper gushed in a post-game interview, “Mason is a glue guy at his finest.  He does everything well, and he’s so unselfish that it helps everyone else out and gets everyone else open.  He rebounds and plays really good defense.”

(6) Maliq Brown (13:09) fouled out (including a well deserved Flagrant-One foul) without scoring or even attempting a shot.  Maliq, who was on the court less than he usually plays because of his fouling, did grab a pair of rebounds.

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (9:32) finally (after not scoring in his last 2 games and not scoring well all year) Caleb scored 2 points in this game (1-2 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land).  CFos made a beautiful driving layup but also committed a pair of turnovers.  He is trying so hard, but struggling.

(21) Patrick Ngongba II (5:16) made the most of the opportunity given him by Maliq’s foul troubles.  In his short appearance, he scored a bench-high 4 points (1-1 from the field, plus 2-2 from the foul line) to go with a tough rebound.

(8) Darren Harris (3:10) grabbed a rebound and made a steal in his cameo appearance.

Kon reaches high to score at the rim

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

News

ESPN held a mock NBA draft (the real one is next Spring).  Three Duke players were projected to be taken in the first 7 picks – Cooper at # 1, Kon at #6, and Khaman at #7.  

Patrick Ngongba’s mother, Tajama Ngongba née Abraham, graduated from George Washington as the all time leading scorer (2,134 career points) and then played 2 years in the WNBA.  Following her professional career, she continued her career in basketball as a college coach. Patrick’s father, Patrick Ngongba I, also played at George Washington.

NEXT PLAY: Stanford Cardinal, Saturday, February 15, 2025, at Cameron Indoor Stadium at 4pm TV: ABC.


Duke Blue Devils 106 v. Stanford Cardinal 70 (Season 16; Issue 26; Game 25) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #25 (February 15, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 106  – Stanford Cardinal 70 at Cameron Indoor Stadium  

Intensity! Kon’s hustle – part of his immense value to the team 

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

The basketball contest between two of the elite universities in this country turned into a “Fast and Furious” contest in Cameron Stadium. The Cardinal Coach Smith is looked upon as an analytics genius who chooses to let his 7’2” center shoot more threes than duces, which, of course, gives an opponent a better chance of out-rebounding Stanford. 

Well, in this particular contest, the Blue Devils proved the swiftest and most accurate (106-70). Center Khaman Maluach had, perhaps, his most impressive showing, particularly on unimpeded pick and roll, for jams. Proctor was on target from everywhere. And even Caleb Foster broke out of his slump to demonstrate his scholastic deadeye shooting prowess reputation.

The Blue Devil players’ willingness to share the ball and to make that extra pass to an even more open man was impressive. The Stanford 7’1” center, French National Team member, Maxine Raynaud, has a rare long-range shooting touch, but like many centers appears to prefer to be a shooting guard. His father and mother, who once played on the French National Women’s team, attended the game, no doubt another beneficiary of the NIL ruling. 

Duke appears to be peaking. The Virginia game Monday night is yet another opportunity to validate that perception.

Khaman blasted out 17 points – 8-8 

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

ACC Home Game: Duke 106  v. Stanford 70

Duke outscored the Cardinal by15 points in the first half (49-34) to put the game almost out of their reach.  Then, the Blue Devils crushed Stanford by 21 points in the closing period (57-36) to obliterate the Cardinal by 36 points. 

It was arguably Duke’s best game of the year – certainly the Blue Devils’ best offensive effort of the season.  Five players scored in double figures, including Caleb Foster’s 10 points in the final 6:12 of the game.  Tyrese Proctor led the scoring with 23 points while handling the ball and playing superb defense.  Cooper Flagg scored 19 and handed out 6 assists without a turnover.  Cooper also added 5 boards and 2 steals.  Khaman Maluach scored 17 points with 8 field goals and 1-1 from the foul line.  The only shot he missed was a 3-point attempt!  Sion James added 14 points to go with handing out 6 assists while committing only a single turnover.  

Tyrese‘s accurate shooting stuns Stanford

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Blue Devils shot 58% in the first half and even better — 67% – in the last period, including 54% from behind the arc.  For the game, Duke was 40-64 for 63% from the field, including 14-29 from deep.  Oh, by the way, the Blue Devils went 12-13 from the stripe for 93%.  That constitutes an offensive explosion!!!  The magic behind the offensive explosion was the amazing passing and teamwork which created uncontested wide open field goal attempts.  The Blue Devils handed out 23 assists on 40 field goals.  And here is a statistic worth savoring – only 5 turnovers (just 2 by the starters).

Duke’s defense was almost as good as the offense, even though giving up more than the season’s average of 60.8 points per game.  Stanford’s star, Maxine Raynaud (On the French National Team, and likely ACC Player of the Year if Cooper were not eligible) scored 19 points (however on an inefficient 21 shots) including a gaudy 4-9 from deep.  Overall, Stanford shot 41 % from behind the arc (12-29).  

Jaylen Blakes transferred from Duke to Stanford, where he is having a surprisingly successful season.  Coach K attended the game and had a nice pre-game meeting with Jaylen.  Coach Scheyer: “he’s graduated from Duke in three years. He’s not going to be in a bad position, getting his undergrad from Duke and graduate degree from Stanford. But this is the only game I was rooting against him.”  The Duke defensive pride was in evidence as the Blue Devils shut Jaylen down completely, holding him to 2 points (1-10 from the field, including 0-4 from behind the arc without a free throw attempt.  

Maliq Brown: Defends! Dishes! Scores!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Bench

The bench was simply outstanding, contributing 24 points, 15 rebounds, and 5 assists.  This was the comeback game for CFos that the coaches have been waiting for.  CFos, who played only the last 6:12 of the game (clearly “garbage time”) scored a dazzling 10 points (4-6 from the field, including 2-3 from behind the arc) to go with 3 rebounds and a steal.  It will be a huge boost for the Blue Devils if this is the beginning of Foster’s resurgence to his form as a McDonald’s All-American in high school.  

Maliq rebounded, from a dismal outing against California, with a superb game, 3 points on 1-1 from the field plus 1-1 from the stripe to go with 3 boards and 3 lovely assists.  Mason Gillis provided glue for the reserves, as well as 3 points and 2 boards.  Isaiah Evan’s contributions were more on defense and rebounding than scoring (2 points on 1-4 from the field, including 0-2 from 3land).  His improved defense and floor play has moved him into the second round in ESPN’s projected NBA draft for next year (Don’t go, Isaiah).  Patrick Ngongba was effective in his 6:12 of playing time with 4 rebounds, and 1-1 from the field on an elegant soft baby hook shot.  Darren Harris also played the 6:12 of garbage time, scoring 2 points (1-3 from the field, including 0-1 from deep) to go with a rebound and an assist.

Smooth dancing: Cooper  steals, passes to Kon, to Sion and back to Cooper for the dunk. All without a dribble

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION 

(7) Kon Knueppel (Special K) (30:03) had another quiet offensive game, but was critical to the Blue Devil effort.  Though Special K scored only 9 points (3-7 from the field, including 1-3 from 3land, plus 2-2 from the stripe), Kon grabbed 4 rebounds, with 2 assists and 2 steals.  It is telling that Kon had the highest +/- statistic on the team at +35 (for comparison, Cooper was +33 and Tyrese +25).

(14) Sion James (29:15) had a superbly efficient game scoring 14 points (3-3.  from the field, including 1-1 from deep, plus 7-8 from the stripe) to go with 6 assists (only 1 turnover), 2 rebounds and a steal. In the last eight games, Sion has distributed 32 assists to just six turnovers, a 5.3 assist-to-turnover ratio. James ranks third in the ACC in that category (2.8).  Sion (transfer from Tulane) is simply blossoming into the reliable point guard Duke needs. 

(5) Tyrese Proctor (28:31) was Duke’s high scorer with 23 points (9-13 from the field including 5-8 from deep) to go with 4 assists, 2 rebounds, and a steal.  Coach Scheyer, “He’s going to be in the NBA for a long time and make a career.  It’s his shooting, his competitiveness and his defense. ”  Tyrese and Cooper play so well together.

(2) Cooper Flagg (28:06) scored 19 points (7-13 from the field, including 3-6 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line), while handing out 6 assists and grabbing 5 boards, while making 2 steals.  On one steal, Cooper poked the ball away from Raynaud, then out-sprinted him for the ball. Cooper to Kon to Sion and back to Cooper for a superb slam without a single dribble. It was beautiful basketball!   Cooper’s play just keeps making the team better and better.

(9) Khaman Maluach (20:56) scored 17 points (8-9 from the field, his only miss was his only 3-point attempt, plus 1-1 from the stripe).  Khaman grabbed 6 boards and blocked a shot.  His defense in the post, at the rim, and on the perimeter helped to shut the Cardinal down. 

6) Maliq Brown (16:00) played his usual valuable game, scoring 3 points (1-1 from both the field and the stripe) to go with 3 rebounds and 3 assists.  He hustles everywhere and is simply a great defender.

(5) Mason Gillis (12:46) scored 3 points (1-3 from the field – all attempts from behind the arc).  He grabbed a pair of rebounds.  He is trusted by his teammates  and has become an emotional leader – “the glue guy”.

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (11:01) scored 2 points on a superb driving layup (1-4 from the field, including 0-2 from behind the arc).  Isaiah is very quick with real “hops”, and is now contributing on the defensive end.  He also grabbed a rebound.

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (6:12) finally had a breakout game, scoring 10 aggressive points in his brief time on the court (4-6 from the field, including 2-3 from 3land).  Caleb’s aggressiveness and growing confidence led to 3 rebounds and a steal.   Welcome back, CFos!

(21) Patrick Ngongba, II (6:12)  In his brief appearance, he grabbed 4 rebounds, while scoring 2 points (1-1 from the field, on a soft hook shot from the post).  Patrick is becoming a real asset.

(8) Darren Harris (6:12) scored 2 points (1-3 from the field, including 0-1 from behind the arc) to go with an assist and a rebound.

(55) Spencer Hubbard has not played in either of the last 2 blowouts, much to the disappointment of the TV announcers as well as the Cameron Crazies.  If there is a story, we do not know it.

Sion – delighted– 

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

NEXT PLAY: University of Virginia, Monday, February 17, 2025, at John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, Va. at 8pm TV: ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 80 v. University of Virginia Cavaliers 62 (Season 16; Issue 27; Game 26) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #26 (February 17, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 80  – University of Virginia Cavaliers 62 at John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, Virginia.

The unstoppable Cooper shoots with his left hand!  (1 of 3 of Duke’s 17-point scorers in this game)

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

No. 3 Duke improved to 23-3 for the season and 15-1 in ACC play following a convincing 80-62 win over Virginia on Monday night in front of 14,445 fans at John Paul Jones Arena. Star freshman Cooper Flagg had a strong night, finishing with 17 points and 14 rebounds. Flagg, Kon Knueppel, and Isaiah Evans led the Blue Devils in scoring with 17 points each. Evans’s three quick 3s were reminiscent of his effect on the Auburn game –giving Duke a crucial working margin. The “Slim Jim Fireman” (Isaiah) could be an important factor for the rest of the season as his defense and rebounding has improved greatly since bursting on the scene.

However, potentially the most important development was when Maliq Brown pulled up with a mysterious injury, holding his shoulder despite no contact on the play.  He left the game and reappeared in the second half on the bench with his arm in a sling. That could be a real problem going forward, especially for the tournament games. Maliq is an important part of the puzzle! Unless he is able to recover quickly, Malauch is going to have to man up, stop getting in foul trouble, and be the consistent rim protector originally envisioned. Behind him is freshman Patrick Nogongba II, who has shown good instincts and promise but, apparently, has not gained the confidence of the coaches for more playing time. Time will tell if he is ready for prime time.

Virginia, under head Coach Tony Bennett, had been a tough out—especially on their home court in Charlottesville. He always seemed to get the most out of his underrated players —especially after they had been in the program a year or two. Shockingly, Bennett had resigned before the first game of the season, admitting that he could not coach in the era of the transfer portal and bidding for players by promising money (NIL). His abilities and demeanor will be missed.

Maliq played 10 efficient minutes before separating his shoulder. 

 Duke players, coaches, and fans hold their collective breath waiting for medical news

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

Maliq Brown was injured after playing 10 minutes in the first half when it seems he separated his shoulder, keeping out of the remainder of the game.  After treatment in the Duke locker room, he reappeared on the bench wearing a sling.  This was the only negative for Duke in this game.

Keeping up with the basketball credentials of the mothers of current team members, Kon’s mother, Chari (née Nordgaard), had her jersey from her college career at Green Bay Wisconsin retired and hung in the rafters last January as the program’s all-time leading scorer (Green Bay is also where UVA’s Tony Bennet had his jersey retired and hung in the rafters).

Kon drives  toward 2 of his 17 points!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ACC Road Game: Duke 80 v. UVA 62

The Bench

The performance of the Duke bench – even without Maliq – was one of the main stories of this game.  The most dramatic contributors were Isaiah (Flame Thrower) Evans and Patrick Ngongba II.  

Isaiah logged 22:17 (13 in the second half) while scoring 17 points, grabbing 3 rebounds and playing great defense (2 blocked shots).  Scheyer: “ Everybody knows his shot making, but what I’m seeing is the blocked shots, the defending and the rebounding.” 

Patrick played all 11:14 in the second half (replacing Maliq as Khaman’s backup), scoring 8 points and grabbing a rebound in that role.  Scheyer: “And then the job Patrick did, stepping up (when Maliq was injured).  For Pat to step up and be ready, proud of him and what he’s done.”

Mason Gillis played 15:22 without scoring, but grabbed 3 boards, handed out an assist and made a steal. 

Isaiah goes from just shooter to well rounded player (though still the third 17 point scorer).

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The First Half  Duke 43 v UVA 29

Duke reached its first double digit lead at the 10 minute mark (24-14).  The margin never retreated to single digits for the remainder of the game.  Duke’s largest lead was 17 (43-26 with 38 seconds left in the half) and smallest was 10 points (32-22 with 5:53 remaining). 

Cooper had a double double in the first half (11 rebounds and 10 points) with a pair of blocked shots.  Kon also scored 10 first-half points (3-7 from the field, including 2-3 from deep, plus 2-2 from the stripe) to go with 3 boards and a steal. Kon played even more aggressive defense than his usual aggressive defense.  

The Flame Thrower was 3-3 from deep in his 9 minutes,to go with a blocked shot and rebound.  The starting backcourt also added 10 points – 5 from Proctor and 5 from James. The Blue Devils handed out 8 assists with only 3 turnovers. 

Defensively, Duke held the Cavaliers to under 30 first-half points, despite UVA shooting 5-10 from deep and 4-5 from the stripe.  The Blue Devils blocked 4 UVA shots and made 2 steals.  

Duke won the second half 37-33 with the bench logging substantial playing time.  The largest Duke lead was 27 (72-45 with 6:43 left in the game), which shrunk to the lowest during “garbage time” – 18 at game’s end.

Sion rises to superior guard play

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(5) Tyrese Proctor (30:35) did not score or compile the gaudy statistics as he has in the last several games but still logged the most Duke minutes because of his value on the defensive end and his ability to control the offense.  He scored 7 points (3-7 from the field, including 1-3 from behind the arc).  Tyrese handed out 4 assists (2 turnovers) and blocked a shot

(2) Cooper Flagg (29:46) was not only one of 3 Duke players to score 17 points (8-16, including 0-3 from deep, plus 1-2 from the foul line), but he also set his own personal high in rebounds with 14 (yet another double double).  Cooper also handed out a pair of assists while contributing 2 steals and 2 blocked shots while playing superb defense.

(7) Kon Knueppel (Special K) (29:28) was also one of the 3 Duke players to tie for the scoring lead with 17 points (5-12 from the field, including 3-6 from 3land, plus 4-4 from the stripe), Kon grabbed 7 rebounds, with an assist and a steal.  Kon has a motor that never stops.  He is a most energetic defender, diver on the floor for loose balls, and reliable ball handler.

(14) Sion James (21:28) had another efficient game scoring 9 points without missing a shot (3-3 from the field,  plus 3-3 from the stripe) to go with 3 assists (a single turnover), and 3 rebounds.  He makes so few mistakes.  Even his one turnover was just a slip in a wet spot on the floor.

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (22:17) really strutted his stuff against UVA.  In the first half, he scored 9 points in under 9 minutes (3-3 from behind the arc), in addition to a rebound and a blocked shot.  He added 8 points (tied for second-half high scorer with Patrick Ngongba II) to go with 2 boards and a blocked shot, playing 13:20 in the second half.  For the game, the Flamethrower was also tied for Duke’s best scorer with 17 points (6-7 from the field, including 5-6 from behind the arc).  Isaiah’s floor game has become excellent.  He corralled 3 boards and had 2 great shot blocks while playing intense defense.  Kudos!

(9) Khaman Maluach (18:46) scored only 2 points (1-2 from the field).  Khaman grabbed 4 boards.  Maliq and Patrick played so well in a total of 21:14 (Maliq for 10 minutes in the first half and Patrick for 11 in the second half) that Khaman played fewer minutes than usual.  Duke controlled the backboards out rebounding UVA by 41-21

(5) Mason Gillis (15:22) failed to score (0-3 from the field, including 0-2 from behind the arc).  He grabbed 3 rebounds, handed out an assist and made a steal.  He seems to have returned to his shooting slump but is trusted by Scheyer and his teammates to spell Cooper and keep the defense organized. 

(21) Patrick Ngongba, II (11:14 all in the second half)  Patrick had a star turn because of the injury to Maliq, and Khaman picking up a second-half foul.  He scored a team-high second half total of 8 points (tied with Isaiah for team lead in the closing stanza), shooting 4-5 from the field at and around the rim.  He didn’t hurry his shots, and he also grabbed a rebound.

(6) Maliq Brown (10:00) was injured (shoulder) while deflecting a UVA pass and left the game for good.  He reappeared on the bench with his arm in a sling.  He had scored 2 points (1-1 from the field), handed out 2 assists and grabbed a rebound before his injury. This game was a homecoming for Maliq who is from nearby Culpepper.

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (6:57)’s shooting woes returned after his offensive explosion against Stanford (0-3 from the field, wide open from behind the arc, plus 1-2 from the stripe) scoring only 1 point.  CFos handed out a pair of assists and grabbed a rebound.  

(8) Darren Harris (4:07) failed to score or even take a shot. No statistics recorded for him in this game.

Khaman scores on a ferocious dunk

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

NEXT PLAY: University of Illinois, Fighting Illini, Saturday, February 22, 2025, at Madison Square Garden (The World’s Most Famous Arena) in New York City, at 8pm TV: Fox.


Duke Blue Devils 110 v. Illinois Fighting Illini 67 (Season 16; Issue 28; Game 27) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #27 (February 22, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 110  – Illinois Fighting Illini 67 at Madison Square Garden (The World’s Most Famous Arena) in New York City

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

In Duke’s 60th game at Madison Square Garden (aka: Cameron North, “The World’s Second Most Famous Arena”), the Blue Devils won for the eighth straight time and reached 100+ points, the second time in three games this season that Duke has reached the century mark. This is the first time that’s happened since the 2017-18 season.  It is fair to mention that Illinois was hampered by injuries and a flu bug that undoubtedly affected their performance, but nevertheless…..

Duke lost the opening tip but started fast, and the outcome was quickly never in doubt except for a brief lull to end the first half, cutting the margin to 54-37.  The victory was helped by the Illini inept three-point shooting  (2-27 or 7.7%. Live by the three, die by the three.) 

On the other hand, the Blue Devils had seven players in double figures, led by Isaiah Evans with 17 points in 17 minutes. The two remaining centers—freshmen Maluach and Ngongba—are benefiting from the additional minutes of playing time since transfer Maliq Brown’s unfortunate injury. Kon (Special K) Knueppel and Tyrese Proctor have been consistently excellent.

Kon does it all – scores from deep and at the rim, handles the ball with aplomb, defends in the paint and on the perimeter.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

OTHER THOUGHTS:

  • Coach Scheyer has forgotten more basketball than I ever knew.  Two of this team’s best wins have been against Auburn and Illinois. In each game, Isaiah Evans came off the bench early in the first half and provided Duke with the working margin that propelled them to both wins. Why not utilize this strategy going forward?
  • Several announcers have speculated that Evans is an early draft pick for the NBA. This is crazy.  He does not have an NBA body.  He needs to physically mature or he will be stuck in the G League for a discouragingly long time. Sion James, on the other hand, does have an NBA body and all-round game.

“Spen-CER Spen-CER!”

Photo Credit: Editorial Board’s iPhone

  • One of the admirable traits this team has is camaraderie. Watch the starters on the bench late in the game celebrate by standing and waving towels after former team manager Spencer Hubbard’s three-point shot. Heartwarming!
  • I have read that North Carolina University has more graduates in the state of North Carolina than Duke has in the world. Duke appears to have more graduates in the city of New York than Carolina has in the world.

Isaiah –17 points in 17 minutes!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

The goal for the post-season Blue Devils is a # 1 seed in the NCAA tournament.  The ESPN guru (Joe Leonardi) has Duke currently as the 3rd ranked # 1 seed, but a loss in the remaining games or the ACC tournament, could push Duke to a second seed if SEC teams or other conference teams make a run in their tournaments.

In this week’s AP Poll, Duke has moved up to #2 behind Auburn, followed by Florida, Houston, Tennessee, Alabama, St. John’s and Michigan State.

ACC Neutral Site Game: Duke 110  v. Illinois 67

The Blue Devils were simply awesome on offense, shooting 55% from the field, including 12-23 from behind the arc (52%).  Duke handed out 28 assists (only 6 turnovers) on 40 field goals.  The 110 points scored were evenly balanced, led by Isaiah’s 17 points.  Cooper scored 16; Kon, 15; Khaman, 13; Tyrese and Caleb, 12; and Sion, 11.  Scoring 110 points warrants an exclamation point!

Duke’s defense was superb in the second half, holding Illinois to 30 points (29.6%).  Scheyer: “There’s an edge on the defensive end, individually, but then also the edge they have to be in the right position off the ball. … We talk about who’s the helper and always making sure you’re there and then covering him.  These guys embrace that.  They take pride in the little things.”

The only negatives for Duke was first-half defense in the paint (Illinois was 15-18 inside the arc) and committing 23 fouls in the game. The Blue Devils straightened out the defense in the second half, holding the Fighting Illini to 6-17 inside the arc.  These are just quibbles in a game where the final margin of Duke’s win was 43 points.

Sion provides steady backcourt leadership and rugged defense

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Bench

The contributions of the Duke bench – even without Maliq – was noteworthy.  The most dramatic contributors were Isaiah (Flame Thrower) Evans, and Patrick Ngongba II.  Isaiah scored a team high 17 points, grabbing 2 rebounds, while handing out a pair of assists and playing excellent defense.  Patrick scored 5 points, grabbed 6 rebounds and handed out 3 assists without a turnover in 14:18 of playing time.    Mason Gillis played 18:50  scoring 3 points, grabbing 4 boards, while handing out 2 assists and making a steal. 

Ngongba & Gillis – valuable bench players help the starters

Photo Credit:GoDuke.com

The First Half  Duke 54  v Illinois 37

With 3:16 left in the opening period, Duke led by 23 (50-27), but allowed the Fighting Illini one little hope by letting the lead dwindle to 17 at half time.  The Blue Devil offense was dynamic and the ball moved unselfishly, with 14 assists on 18 field goals  (5-10 from deep).  The Flamethrower and Tyrese each scored 10 points in a half of balanced scoring – Sion, 9; Khaman, 8; Kon, 8.  Cooper only 1-4 from the field (4-4 from the line) for 6.  Patrick scored 3 points.

Duke’s defense was good, but they committed 9 fouls!  Illinois was 0-16 from deep (some uncontested), but the Fighting Illini shredded Duke’s interior defense,  making 15-18 near the rim.

Caleb Foster Strikes a Pose after his best game of the season – 12 points in 7 minutes

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(7) Kon Knueppel (Special K) (27:54) scored an efficient 15 points (6-9 from the field, including 1-2 from 3land, plus 2-2 from the stripe). Kon grabbed 4 rebounds, with 2 assists and a steal. Scheyer, “Some games he is going to shoot a lot of 3s, and then other games, he can hurt teams with his penetration and finishing at the rim.” Kon’s defense is superb, and he NEVER stops hustling, diving on the floor for loose balls, or making precisely the right pass.

(5) Tyrese Proctor (27:26) scored 12 points (4-9 from the field, including 1-3 from behind the arc, plus 3-4 from the foul line).  Tyrese is steady and reliable as a passer, handing out 4 assists (without a turnover).  He blocked a shot as part of his role as an awesome defender..

(14) Sion James (24:59) scored 11 points (4-9 from the field, including 2-5 from behind the arc, plus 1-2 from the stripe) to go with 6 assists — without a single turnover — and he grabbed 3 rebounds and made a steal. Scheyer, “It’s not just his playmaking.  He’s in control of the game. Obviously, you can look at his assist-to-turnover ratio, not just in this game but throughout the whole season, especially the last couple of months. He makes everybody better. That’s the biggest thing.  He makes everybody better.”

(9) Khaman Maluach (23:29) scored 13 points (6-9 from the field, including a missed 3-point attempt, plus 1-1 from the stripe).  Khaman grabbed 7 boards (tied with Cooper for team lead) and handed out a pair of assists.  Duke controlled the backboards, out-rebounding the Fighting Illini 44-30.

(2) Cooper Flagg (23:28) scored 16 points (5-10, including 1-1 from deep, plus 5-5 from the foul line).  As always, Cooper leads Duke in every way.  He grabbed 7 rebounds & handed out 5 assists. Cooper does not force scoring in a game where Duke has the big advantage.  He only scored 6 points in the first half but could not resist shredding the Illinois defense with his second half drive and dunks.

(5) Mason Gillis (18:15) scored 3 points (1-2 from the field, both from behind the arc).  He grabbed 4 rebounds, handed out 2 assists and made a steal.  Gillis is so steady and has earned Scheyer’s trust as a superb defender, tough rebounder and team leader when he is playing.

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (17:46) showed why his name is turning up as being a second round draft pick in the NBA draft next spring.  Isaiah led Duke in scoring  with 17 points — in 17+ minutes (5-8 from the field, including 3-5 from 3land, including 4-6 from the foul line).  The Flamethrower has become an energetic defender (committing 4 fouls however), rebounder (2) and passer (2 assists without a turnover.

(21) Patrick Ngongba II (14:18)  Patrick played a terrific all-around game grabbing 6 rebounds and handing out 3 assists without a turnover.  Patrick scored 5 points (2-6 from the field plus 1-2 from the stripe).  He is taking advantage of Maliq’s absence.

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (7:10) played his best game of the season in just the last 7:10 of this game.  CFos scored 12 aggressive points in that short span (5-6 from the field, including 2-2 from 3land).  He drove aggressively for 3 layups and handed out an assist.  A consistent Foster solidifies the Duke backcourt even more.

(8) Darren Harris (6:35) scored 3 points (1-2 from the field, including 0-1 from behind the arc, plus 1-2 from the stripe).   Darren also handed out an assist.

(55) Spencer Hubbard (2:13) nailed his only shot, a 3-pointer!  The Duke bench at the time (the starters) erupted in spontaneous joy, jumping around while hooting, hollering, and hugging.  A great team sight! What was significant, the joy wasn’t just cheering for a teammate.  It was like they all had that success when Hubbard made that shot.  It was natural joy, so unscripted.  Joyous really is the right word – the personification of our Team!

Cooper provides whatever Duke needs, with elan
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

NEXT PLAY: Miami University Hurricanes, Tuesday, February 25, 2025, at Watsco Center in Coral Gables, Florida at 7pm TV: ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 97 v. Miami University Hurricanes 60 (Season 16; Issue 29; Game 28) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #28 (February 25, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 97  – Miami University Hurricanes 60, at Watsco Center in Coral Gables, Florida

Breaking News – Proctor Will Return This Season!!

Tyrese Proctor’s injury has been reported as a bone bruise.  Scheyer: “Basically, it’s about his pain tolerance, and it’s about his movement and strengthening. We’ll be very cautious with that, and smart. I don’t want to give an exact time table, because it depends on how we can get him moving over the next days or weeks or however long it takes. But we’re gonna get him back, which is the most important thing.”  

Because Isaiah and Caleb will get more minutes and experience during Tyrese’s absence, it may benefit Duke in the long run.

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Although this was an away game against a broken program, the Blue Devils took care of business in an impressive manner. At this point in the season, you have to be impressed with the young recruits and transfers that Coach Scheyer and his assistants have recruited and how well they have been coached and blended.  I especially like how they recently have started every half strongly to set an opponent back on their heels. 

Although the regular season and ACC Tournaments are not over, and at least one meeting with the always tough UNC Tar Heels remains, the team appears to be on a good trajectory for an impressive run. Warning: Anything can happen in a one and done tournament. 

The injury to Proctor could be devastating in any other year—and may be in this year, but the Blue Devils are deeper than usual. “Flamethrower” Evans is coming into his own, and Mason Gillis might be a steadier closer.  And Caleb Foster is playing, and, especially, scoring better than ever.  Special K has become a mature, reliable player in every way.

If Proctor gets healthy—and even if he doesn’t—with any luck, Duke is deep enough to make an impressive run in the tournaments.

Caleb Foster, back in blue (and back in the rotation)

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

ACC Road Game: Duke 97  v Miami 60

Duke led from start to finish, steadily increasing its lead to a high of 39 points with 12 seconds left (97-58). Scheyer: “I love the killer instinct our team has had. I love the approach to each game.  They haven’t big-timed anything.  We know what’s ahead. We know the battles we are going to be in … and that’s the way I want these guys to approach every game.”  My favorite statistic is that after allowing The Hurricanes to grab 11 first-half offensive rebounds, Duke permitted Miami only 2 in the second half!  A tribute to Scheyer’s insightful half-time adjustments.

We are holding our collective breath about the extent of Tyrese Proctor’s late first-half knee injury.  He did not return to the game.  Nor did Maliq Brown play at all; his shoulder is still not healed.

Duke’s defense was even more intense in the second half, holding Miami to 28 points after allowing 32 points in the opening period.

Kon lights it up! scoring 20 points

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Second Half: Duke 50 v Miami 28

Kon exploded in the closing stanza, scoring 15 second-half points on perfect shooting in only 10:38 of playing time (4-4 from the field, including 3-3 from 3land, plus 4-4 from the stripe).  What a performance!  

Tyrese obviously didn’t score because he didn’t play.  Surprisingly, Isaiah, who started in place of the injured Tyrese, also failed to score in 12:19 of playing time (0-4, including 0-2 from deep) with a turnover.  But what a first half Isaiah had!

Gillis’s 150 college games provide experience for off-the-court advice, too

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The bench was shining in the closing stanza, with Caleb Foster continuing his return to form with 8 points (3-5 from the field, including 2-2 from deep) and 3 assists (1 turnover) and a rebound in 13:34 of second-half playing time.  Mason Gillis played 12:48 in this period, scoring 6 points (1-3 from deep, plus  3-3 from the stripe) to go with 3 rebounds, 2 assists and a steal, all without a turnover.  Patrick Ngongba, II (11:15) played more minutes than Khaman (8:45), and scored 4 points (2-2 from the field) to go with 3 rebounds and an assist.

Duke handed out 10 assists on 16 field goals with only 4 turnovers.  The Blue Devils shot 7-12 from behind the arc (even with Isaiah being 0-4).  

Isaiah throws flame at the Hurricanes – five 3-pointers!!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The First Half : Duke 47 v Miami 32

In 13:23 of playing time, Isaiah demonstrated why he has called himself a flamethrower.  He led Duke in first-half scoring with 16 points on 5-6 from deep, plus 1-1 from the stripe.  His barrage of 3-pointers took the heart out of Miami.  Cooper scored 11 points in 16:52 on 5-7 from the field, including 1-2 from behind the arc.  Patrick scored 6 opening-half points in 6:21 of playing time (1-3 from the field, including 3-3 from the foul line) to go with a rebound, an assist, and a blocked shot without a turnover.  Ngongba is quite simply blossoming.

Patrick Ngongba, dancing his way into the rotation

Photo Credit:GoDuke.com

On defense, Duke had 6 steals (Tyrese, 2) and 4 blocked shots (Khaman 2, Patrick and Sion each had 1).

THE ROTATION

(2) Cooper Flagg (27:19 ) scored an efficient 16 points (6-9, including 1-2 from deep, plus 3-3 from the foul line). The amazing freshman handed out 6 assists without a turnover while grabbing 5 rebounds.  As always, Cooper led Duke in every way on offense and defense.  

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (25:42) blew the game open in the first half when he scored all 16 of his points on 5-6 from deep, including 1-1 from the stripe.  Shockingly, Isaiah, who replaced the injured Proctor, did not score in the second half.  For the game, Isaiah was 5-10 from the field, including 5-8 from deep, plus 1-1 from the stripe.  Coach Scheyer was raving, “His defense has been off the charts. He’s guarding the ball as well as anybody. He knows exactly where to be.”  Isaiah will replace Tyrese in the starting lineup until Tyrese can return.

(7) Kon Knueppel (Special K) (24:08) scored a team high 20 points (15 in the second half), shooting 6-8 from the field, including a gaudy 4-5 from deep, plus 4-4 from the stripe.  Kon also contributed 5 rebounds, 2 assists and a steal.  Scheyer loves Kon, “It’s fun coaching a guy where it’s not about the scoring.  He’s pissed …if he didn’t get a rebound, if he missed somebody on a pass.  He understands what other people call “small things”.  He understands the value of all those plays.  It’s fun coaching him because you tell him about the block out and he has value with blocking out.”

(14) Sion James (22:44) scored only 4 points (2-4 from the field ) with a rebound, an assist and a steal.  Not his best offensive performance, but he anchors the perimeter defense and has a great presence on both ends of the court.  In his 4 years at Tulane, he had a 4.0 GPA every semester!

(9) Khaman Maluach (22:24) scored 6 points (2-4 from the field, plus 2-4 from the stripe).  Khaman grabbed 4 boards, handed out an assist, made a steal, and blocked 2 shots.  

(21) Patrick Ngongba II (17:36) is demonstrating his value in a big way, especially with Maliq being out of action.  Patrick scored 9 points (3-5 from the field, plus 3-3 from the foul line) to go with 4 rebounds, 2 assists, a steal, and a blocked shot.  Amazing production from the freshman third string center.

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (17:23) is playing his way back into the rotation at just the right time (with Tyrese injured).  He played his best game of the season and made his appearance on the court in both halves.  CFos scored 10 points (4-6 from the field, including 2-2 from 3land).  Foster handed out 3 assists and retrieved a rebound.

(5) Mason Gillis (15:56) scored 6 points (1-3 from behind the arc, plus 3-3 from the stripe).  He grabbed 3 rebounds, handed out 2 assists and made a steal.  Gillis’s value is on display in every game now.

(5) Tyrese Proctor (14:21) scored 7 points (2-5 from the field, including 1-3 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the foul line).  Tyrese handed out 2 assists and made 2 steals before his injury.

(8) Darren Harris (9:22) grabbed a rebound and handed out an assist even though he failed to score (0-2 from the field, including 0-1 from behind the arc). 

(55) Spencer Hubbard (did not play) much to the anguish of the Editorial Board.  Spencer seems more likely to appear at game’s end in Cameron than on the road.

Cooper continues to amaze – effortlessly

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

NEXT PLAY: Florida State Seminoles, Saturday, March 1, 2025, in Cameron Indoor Stadium at 7pm TV: ACCN.


Duke Blue Devils 100 v. Florida State Seminoles 65 (Season 16; Issue 30; Game 29) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #29 (March 1, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 100 – Florida State Seminoles 65  in Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, North Carolina. 

News

Neither Tyrese nor Maliq were available to play due to still being injured.  

Illinois beat Michigan in Ann Arbor 93-73 today (March 2). An interesting outcome after Duke simply destroyed Illinois in Madison Square Garden on February 22.

The Athletic listed the top 100 for next year’s NBA draft.  The Duke players  listed (and their anticipated pick position) are : 

#1 – Cooper Flagg

#6 – Kon Knueppel

#12 – Khaman Maluach 

#37 – Tyrese Proctor

#41 – Isaiah Evans (shocking?)

#63 – Sion James

We think 6 players listed from one college is unprecedented.  Certainly no team has had 4 freshmen on such a list. The only Duke players in the rotation that did not make the top 100 are: Maliq Brown, Caleb Foster, Patrick Ngongba II, and Mason Gillis.  

Cooper re-entered with a roar

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

If Coach Scheyer’s goal is for the team to be improving every game, he is reaching his goal. However, the Always Tough Tar Heels are waiting in a week and possibly lurking in the ACC and NCAA Tournaments as well. Also, there is the possibility of more injuries. So far, the injuries to Brown and Proctor appear minor and only a temporary setback.  Time will tell.

The most excitement against Florida State was the possibility of Cooper Flagg being seriously injured.  Coach Scheyer reported, “Fortunately, it wasn’t anything with his eye itself, it was his eyelid.  He got bruised, basically.  So, once the doctor told us that – obviously, we weren’t going to risk anything – but once we saw and felt very confident that it wasn’t something that could get worse, Cooper had some vision issues in the first half, but then tested it out, and he said he was good to go. And he was, so he wasn’t lying. He was good. And we’ll see the bruising tomorrow, of course, but he’s so tough. His mom’s yelling at him if he’s going back in the game to be sure to rebound and defend, so I didn’t really have to say a whole lot.” 

The development of the Special K, Mason Gillis, Isaiah Evans, Patrick Ngongba II, Sion James, Darren Harris as quality depth on this team is impressive – “the next man up” is no mere slogan but a challenge!

Anyway, so far, so good. This team has earned “good luck” the rest of the way!

Spencer – airborne!

Photo Credit: Editorial Board’s iPhone

ALANALYSIS

ACC Home Game: Duke 100 v. Florida State 65

The 35 point win against Florida State was an impressive wire to wire outing.  Duke led by as much as 22 in the first half and then outscored the Seminoles in the second half by 53-35 (with an extra long garbage time).

The cherry on top of the whipped cream was Spencer Hubbard’s play in the last 3:29, which had Cameron Indoor Stadium in an uproar yelling “SPEN-cer..SPEN-cer”and the Duke bench celebrating wildly.  SPEN-cer stole the ball and made a driving layup followed by a 3-pointer from about 4 feet behind the arc.

The most important takeaways were: 1) Duke outscored the Seminoles 33-19 in the 11:19 of the first half, when Cooper was receiving medical attention and not in the game; 2) the 19 points scored by Isaiah Evans, (who made his first Duke start replacing Tyrese Proctor), even after missing his first four 3-pointers  (good shooters keep shooting); and 3) the overall play of Kon (Special K) Knueppel, who was the point guard for a period when Sion James was on the bench with foul trouble.  Kon dished out 5 assists without a turnover.  

Kon levitates the ball, while hovering (well, he’s good at everything else, so we’re not surprised)

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Blue Devils racked up 17 assists against only 4 turnovers.  Scheyer: “ I think this game was about as well as we’ve ever done with valuing the ball while still being aggressive. … we’re missing Tyrese and Maliq, Cooper goes out in the first half; it was really what a team is all about.  Darren Harris steps up and comes in.  Mason Gillis and his minutes.  Isaiah starts and wasn’t making shots (I think we’re used to him making shots all the time) and then he stuck with it.  He ends up being our leading scorer.  Kon Knueppel ended up playing point guard for us, he led us in assists, no turnovers.”

 Isaiah – There’s that man again doing his thing again

Photo Credit:GoDuke.com

The First Half : Duke 47 v. Florida State 30

After Florida State had scored 11 straight points to reduce a 10 point Duke lead to 3 (14-11), Cooper Flagg was fouled in the face and left the game with 11:27 left in the half.  He did not return.   Things did not look great – a bad defensive performance giving up the 11 points and Cooper going out, Yet, without Cooper, the Blue Devils increased the lead by 19 points to 45-23, with 1:55 left in the half.  That may tell what we need to know about this Blue Devil team.

Cooper scored only 4 first-half points but contributed 3 boards and 2 assists without a turnover. The Blue Devils maintained balanced scoring, without any double digit scorers – Isaiah, Kon, and Mason Gillis each scored 9, while Khaman Maluach had 8 points.  Mason played very well in place of Cooper.  The Blue Devils handed out 12 assists on 16 field goals and grabbed 12 offensive rebounds.

Mason Replaced  Cooper –Duke soared
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Second Half: Duke 53  v Florida State 35

Five straight Florida State points in 57 seconds  (47-35) did not portend well for Duke.  It was a ragged start to the closing half with each team committing 4 fouls in the first 95 seconds.  

However, The Blue Devils had Cooper Flagg, who returned to the lineup and simply dominated. Flagg scored 12 second-half points, handed out 2 assists, grabbed 3 boards, made 2 steals, and blocked a shot (without a turnover).  The Blue Devils scored 15 straight points in the next 4:35 to lead 62-35, effectively ending any chance of a Florida State comeback.

The Blue Devil lead reached 32 with 8:19 remaining and kept increasing to a high at game’s end of 35 points.

Summing Up

Scheyer on Duke’s play since the defeat by Clemson: “We really focus on making sure we’re getting better each week, getting better every game, and the team has embraced it.  … [I]t’s been a different way of winning while still having the sharing on offense and the competitiveness on defense.  That’s been what kept us going.  And then the biggest thing from the Clemson game, we didn’t get enough loose balls and rebounds, and consistently since then, that’s been a big thing for us to come away with.”  [It is worth mentioning that Duke played its worst half of the season in the second half against Clemson and still had a chance to win with 14 seconds left in the game.] 

Kon “We killed them on the offensive boards, didn’t turn the ball over, and I thought we out-toughed them.  We got a bunch of rebounds, we got to the free throw line about double the times they did, and we didn’t turn the ball over.  Those were the three keys to the game, and we executed them very well.”

THE ROTATION

(7) Kon Knueppel (Special K) (30:25) was the Duke Player of the Game, who simply did whatever Duke needed him to do to win.  Kon scored 14 points (4-10, including 1-4 from deep, plus 5-5 from the foul line).  But Kon did so much more than score.  He played point guard when Sion James was in foul trouble and passed out 5 assists without a turnover.  Special K also grabbed 5 rebounds and blocked a shot.

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower) Evans (23:49) made his first start of the season and missed his first four 3-point attempts.  Nervous?.  Then, Isaiah erupted to score 19 points as the highest scoring Blue Devil (6-17, including 4-13 from behind the arc, plus 3-4 from the stripe).  Isaiah has also improved all other aspects of his game.  He made driving layups, retrieved a pair of rebounds, handed out an assist, and made a steal, all without a turnover.  His defense just keeps getting better.

(9) Khaman Maluach (21:37) had a double double, grabbing 10 rebounds and scoring 14 points (4-5 from the field, plus 6-6 from the stripe).  Khaman is such a good foul shooter for a big man, really for anyone.  Khaman’s defense has been admired because of his speed and dexterity defending on the perimeter, while still moving fast enough to be a force protecting the rim.

Khaman double-doubles – 14 points and 10 boards

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

(14) Sion James (20:48) scored 7 points (3-5 from the field, plus 1-1 from the line) with 6 rebounds, 4 assists and a steal.  Sion was in foul trouble the entire game, which limited his playing time. Shockingly, Sion committed half of Duke’s 4 turnovers. His defense on the perimeter frustrated the Seminoles.

(5) Mason Gillis (20:11) substituted for Cooper when he was hurt or being rested (before he was hurt) and played brilliantly (perhaps Mason’s best game of the year).  Mason scored 9 points (2-6 from behind the arc, plus 3-4 from the stripe).  He grabbed 5 rebounds and handed out an assist, without a turnover. Duke did not miss Cooper because of Gillis.

(2) Cooper Flagg (19:39 ) played only 7:19 in the first half and scored only 4 points in the opening period.  After medical treatment (eye injury turned out to be an eyelid injury), he returned to start the second half and led Duke in scoring with 12 points in the final period.  For the game, Cooper scored 16 points (5-9 from the field, plus 6-6 from the foul line).  Scheyer “He’s so tough.  His mom’s yelling at him to rebound and play defense if he was going back in the game, so I didn’t really have to say a whole lot.”

(8) Darren Harris (16:17) had his best game of the season –Duke needed his playing time (the most he’s had this season) and wow did he deliver.  Darren scored 6 points (3-7 from the field, including 0-3 from 3land, plus 0-1 from the foul line) to go with 4 boards, an assist and a steal without a turnover.  Scheyer: “Darren’s been an awesome guy to coach…As a staff [we see] the work he does every day – he’s working on his defense, he’s working on every aspect of his game.  …A couple of days ago, I told him “Listen, you keep coming on with what you are doing.  Be ready to go.  Don’t be surprised if you hear your name called.  I just love his competitiveness.  He’s got great competitiveness, great feel. He’s going to be a really good player for us.”

Darren Harris kills it!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

(1) Caleb (CFos) Foster (15:12 ) scored 4 points but did not shoot well, (1-7 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land, plus 2-2 from the stripe).  Foster handed out an  assist and retrieved 2 rebounds.  Caleb committed 1 of Duke’s 4 turnovers.

(21) Patrick Ngongba, II (14:54) is earning his stripes with Maliq being out of action.  Patrick scored 4 points (2-2 from the field, plus 0-1 from the foul line) to go with 3 rebounds, a steal, and a blocked shot.  Patrick’s improvement has been dazzling.

Patrick grows before our very eyes

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

(55) Spencer Hubbard (3:29) became the star of the game for the fans at Cameron.  SPEN-cer was simply superb.  After missing a layup, he scored 5 points (2-3 from the field, including 1-1 from very deep). Spencer stole the ball at half court and converted the contested layup, with his left hand.  On his 3, Spencer was several feet behind the 3-point line when he drilled it.  Cameron Indoor Stadium was holding a SPEN-cer festival.  [Our editorial board brought down the house!]

NEXT PLAY: Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Monday, March 3, 2025, in Cameron Indoor Stadium at 7pm TV: ESPN.

Hubbard single-mindedly drives down the court after picking FSU’s pocket

The Cameron Crazies love it

The teammates love it

The Coaches love it

Take 2! Hubbard lines up for a second shot, a deep three-pointer,

…and lets it fly!

Photo Credits: Editorial Board iPhone


Duke Blue Devils 93 v. Wake Forest Demon Deacons 60 (Season 16; Issue 31; Game 30) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #30 (March 3, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 93  – Wake Forest Demon Deacons 60 in Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, North Carolina 

Connections run strong in this Senior Night game

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

News

Tyrese Proctor was back in the starting lineup for Duke.  Maliq is still out with his injured shoulder.  Strangely, Caleb Foster did not play at all, which was not mentioned by the announcers or writers.  Whether he was injured, or his performance against Florida State was the reason, remains a mystery.

Senior Night (the last home game of the season): Goodbye to Cameron Indoor Stadium for Sion James, Mason Gillis, Stanley Borden, Neal Begovich, and Spencer Hubbard (graduated and honored last year’s senior night, and then he decided to come back as a grad student to use his last year of Covid eligibility).  There were freshmen playing their final game at Cameron as well, but those farewells will await the season’s conclusion.

The Return of the Jedi Tyrese Proctor: very good news for the Blue Devils

Photo Credit:GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

This is the type of game the Blue Devils might have lost earlier in the season. It was a classic “trap game” against an easy-to-overlook, scrappy, physical team with a desperate need to beat Duke for even an outside chance to qualify for the NCAA Tournament.  Also, it is just before Duke plays the hated rival, the Always Tough Carolina Tar Heels.  

Fortunately, this game was played in Cameron. Well, it started with neither team being able to score, and the referees “letting them play”, as the announcers like to say when it looks more like a football scrimmage or maybe a playground game. Back in my day, the best players were more or less protected by the refs.  No longer.  POY candidate Cooper Flagg leads the league in floor burns and body bruises while Lenny Rosenbluth [Star of the 1956-57 undefeated UNC Tarheel National Champions] was awarded fouls for being breathed upon.

Anyhow, Coach Scheyer loosened things up by substituting Easy Isaiah Evans, who never saw a shot he didn’t think he couldn’t make and BINGO, Easy hit 2, and Duke was up 40-27 at the half. Of course, Cooper, as is his style, managed to make or assist on about 36 of the 40 points. Game, set, and match! Duke relaxed in the second half, Mason Gillis and Sion James did a pretty good Easy Evans impression, and the Blue Devils rolled to a 93-60 blowout, which no one would have bet on in the first five or ten minutes.

I have mentioned how well the players have matured and no one has made more progress than center Khaman Maluach of South Sudan, who has begun playing up to his size and weight class these last several weeks and is seldom pushed around in the post.

Times have changed. Senior Night is no longer an emotional event that celebrates a long career. Parents used to be serenaded by “One more son”. Last night, Freshman Cooper Flagg was serenaded by “One more year!”

Grant Hill, who is now a trustee of the school, was announced yesterday as the commencement speaker.

Cooper puts on a show for what might be his final home game

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

ACC Home Game: Duke 93 v. Wake Forest 60

Since the Clemson loss on February 10, Duke has won 7 straight games – 5 by more than 30 points (33, 35, 36, 37 and 43) and the other two by 18 and 21 points, respectively! Is the ACC that bad or is Duke that good?  UNC coming up and the two postseason tournaments should tell us.  [Note: Duke’s 43 point win was in Madison Square Garden against Illinois of the Big Ten on February 22.  Illinois beat Big Ten leader Michigan State 93-73 at Michigan State last Saturday.]

Scheyer admired his team’s “toughness”:  “When we weren’t making shots in the first half, we defended.  They had 17 points at the under-four time out.  We were 6-20 from three in the half. … Just toughness throughout, the unselfishness throughout. … It was a great collective effort against a good team where we didn’t necessarily make all of the shots right away. … To get 93 points against this team is a big deal. … Tonight, we wore them down.  Early on we didn’t take some good shots, but overall, this team fights for great shots.”

Cooper Flagg explained: “We’ve been guarding at an elite level. … guarding at an elite level and letting that flow into our offense.  When we play defense at an elite level and guard to our strengths… it definitely helps us all around, getting us into transition and getting us some early easy looks.  Once we get out in transition a couple of times, we can slow it down and execute a play because we’ve got teams on their heels.”

Duke guarded at such an elite level that Wake’s two high scorers of the season failed to reach even double figures.  In fact, Cameron Hildreth (15 ppg) was held without a point in 27 minutes while Hunter Sallis (18 ppg) managed only 9 points in 32 minutes.  We have called it “Python defense” because it squeezes the life out of opponents’ offense. 

In the 7 games Duke has won since the Clemson loss, the smallest winning margin was 18 points.  Each of those 7 teams was “done” in the last part of the second half; it was as if the will to compete had been broken.  Duke beat Cal by 21; Stanford by 36; Virginia by 18; Illinois by 43; Miami by 37; Florida State by 35; and Wake Forest by 33.  Whether the quality of the ACC is so poor or the Blue Devils are so good will be learned in the postseason.

The Blue Devils shot 54% (21-39 from the field in the second half, including 50% from 3land – 8-19) while scoring 53 second-half points.  Duke’s passing produced uncontested shots, which creates a higher percentage of successful shots.

Cooper’s last game (maybe) at Cameron was one he will remember – 28 points on 16 shots, including 3-6 from behind the arc and 5-6 from the free throw line.  He also devastated the Deacons with 8 boards, 7 assists, 3 blocked shots and 2 steals.  

Cooper’s freshman running mate, Kon Knueppel scored 17 points on 9 attempts, including 2-4 from deep and 5-5 from the foul line.  Sion James and Mason Gillis each reached double figures (11 points on 4-8 shooting) in their final game at Cameron.  Sion was 3-5 from deep, while Mason was 3-7 from behind the arc.

Duke’s lead reached 40 points (91-51 with 2:24 left in the game), when Scheyer called off the dogs and cleared his bench so Cameron could appreciate what the players leaving the game have accomplished so far – and cheer for Spencer’s final appearance at Cameron.  

Duke was undefeated in Cameron this year (17-0). 

Kon has been a great running mate for Cooper and for Duke

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The First Half : Duke 40 v. Wake Forest 27

The game did not begin as a blowout.  Duke led 14-13 with a little over 10 minutes left in the half before creating separation.  The Blue Devil lead reached double figures (25-15) with 6:39 left in the half.  With 3:50 remaining, the Demon Deacons had only 17 points and trailed 30-17.  Offensively, Duke recorded 11 assists on 13 field goals. Cooper Flagg scored 10 points; Kon Knueppel, 9; Sion James, 8; and Isaiah Evans came off the bench and scored 5 points. 

Then, Wake made its only rally of the game scoring 15 points in the next 5 minutes on each side of the half time break.

The Second Half: Duke 53  v Wake Forest 33

Five straight Florida State points in 57 seconds cutting Duke’s lead to 8 points (40-32) did not portend well for Duke.  It was a ragged start to the closing half with Duke committing 4 fouls in the first 95 seconds. 

However, The Blue Devils had Cooper, who simply dominated in the second half. Flagg scored 18 second-half points on 10 shots, handed out 4 assists, grabbed 4 boards, made a steal, and blocked a shot (without a turnover).  After Wake’s run to open the second half, the Blue Devils scored 15 straight points in the next 4:35 to lead 62-35, effectively ending any chance of a Florida State comeback.

The Blue Devil lead reached 32 points with 8:19 remaining and kept increasing to 40 points before Scheyer replaced the starters with seniors and post graduates.

Sion contributes so much to this team

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(2) Cooper Flagg (33:52 ) played perhaps his best game in a fabulous season, scoring 28 points (10-16 from the field, including 3-6 from behind the arc, plus 5-6 from the stripe).  His control of both ends of the court was breathtaking.  He committed only 1 foul and 1 turnover while grabbing 8 rebounds, handing out 7 assists, blocking 3 shots, and making a pair of steals.  That is domination!

(7) Kon Knueppel (Special K) (30:41) scored 17 points (5-9, including 2-4 from deep, plus 5-5 from the foul line).  But Kon always does so much more than score.  He handles the ball passing out 4 assists.  Special K also grabbed 5 rebounds and made a pair of steals.  As always, Kon is a dogged defender.

14) Sion James (29:00) scored 11 points (4-8 from the field,  including a dazzling 3-5 from deep) with 2 rebounds, 2 assists and a steal.  Sion has been a great defender, a steady playmaker, and the kind of seasoned veteran that stabilizes the locker room.  Kon: “I’ve talked to Sion a bunch of times when I’ve had a game where I didn’t think I had played well. Just him saying ‘Stay the course.  College basketball is hard, especially as a freshman.’  He’s helped me a lot with just being consistent.”

(9) Khaman Maluach (23:55) controlled the backboards with 14 rebounds.  Khaman scored 4 points (2-7 from the field including 0-2 from deep – the second three-point attempt was a desperation heave as the shot clock was almost at 0).  Khaman handed out a pair of assists and blocked a shot. He was part of the defense that held the Wake Forest offense to 28% shooting in the first half.  As always, his speed and dexterity defending on the perimeter while still moving fast enough to be a force protecting the rim frustrated the Demon Deacons.  

(5) Tyrese Proctor (23:35) made a welcomed return to the starting lineup, scoring 12 points (5-11 from the field, including 1-6 from deep, plus 1-2 from the foul line).  Even though his shooting was a bit off, Tyrese was a terror on defense, guarding both Wake high scorers – Cameron Hildreth (scoreless in 27 minutes) and Hunter Sallis (9 points in 32 minutes).

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower, Easy, Slim Jim) Evans (17:09) scored 8 points (3-8 from the field, including 2-7 from 3land).  Isaiah grabbed 2 rebounds and handed out an assist.  His shot was not on against Wake, but he played with energy and defensive effort.

(5) Mason Gillis (15:16) had one of his best games of the season in his last at Cameron.  Mason scored 11 points (4-8 from the field, including 3-7 from behind the arc.).  His defense and his experience are admired by his coaches and teammates.  Cooper linked Mason with Sion when he praised them both, “They’ve shown me exactly what to do, how to do it, the rights and wrongs, and taken me under both of their wings. …I’ve learned so much from them this entire year and I’m so grateful for them….They’ve been so important.”

(21) Patrick Ngongba II (13:44) failed to score while backing up Khaman, but contributed stability on the glass with 6 rebounds and a steal. He committed 3 fouls getting tangled up defending Wake big man, Efton Reid (who scored 14 ).

(8) Darren Harris (3:24) played little after his breakout game against Florida State (maybe because this is NOT his last game at Cameron).  Darren missed his only shot from the field.  He did grab a rebound.

(55) Spencer Hubbard (2:21) also played his last game at Cameron. He got a shot opportunity, but did not convert.  A crowd pleasing over-achiever, Hubbard came from a humble beginning as team manager.  He earned yet another scholarship to  return this year, as a grad student.  Our editorial board salutes him and his achievements.

Gillis made his last home game his best game of the season

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Saturday is the Final Day of the Regular Season

Duke, Clemson and Louisville have clinched double byes in the ACC tournament.

The fourth double bye in the ACC tournament is still wide open among UNC, SMU, Stanford, and Wake Forest. The potential seedings (with games on Wednesday and Saturday) are too complex for this issue, but if Clemson (at BC, and home against Virginia Tech) wins out and Duke is beaten by UNC, Clemson will be the top seed.

Khaman’s game continues to grow

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

NEXT PLAY: UNC Tar Heels, Saturday, March 8, 2025, at the Dean Dome in Chapel Hill, North Carolina at 6:30pm TV: FOX.


Duke Blue Devils 82 v. UNC Tar Heels 69 (Season 16; Issue 32; Game 31) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2024-2025 Game #31 (March 8, 2025) 
Duke Blue Devils 82 v UNC Tar Heels 69 at the Dean Dome in Chapel Hill, North Carolina

The ACC regular season Champions! 

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

News

Maliq Brown returned to action and played to his best form.  Caleb Foster played after not seeing the court in the last home game against Wake Forest, and provided an emotional spark to the Blue Devils – the ACC regular season champions.  

Duke won the regular season ACC title AND #1 seed in the upcoming ACC tournament.  If Duke had lost to UNC, there would have been a 3-way tie for the title and Duke would have been the #3 seed.  Beating UNC was critical for the Blue Devils, and Duke responded in the second half, which might have been the best half Duke has played all year.  Certainly the last 15 minutes was the best Duke has played defensively all year.

Duke Women

Overcame a 14 point first-quarter deficit to win the Women’s ACC tournament, beating NC State 82-76.  Kara Lawson’s team lost 4 ACC games during the regular season.  They beat UNC in the regular season rematch.  In the tournament Duke beat every team that had beaten them in the regular season: Louisville in the quarterfinals; Notre Dame in the semifinals and NC State in the championship game.

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Forget the records, this was Duke versus North Carolina. And it didn’t disappoint! In many ways, this game was the culmination of a fine regular season and, also, the most impressive win of the season. Duke won a roller coaster of a game against an always difficult opponent playing on their home court, on Senior Night, in front of illustrious, even legendary, Tar Heels such as Tyler Hansbrough, Lawrence Taylor, and Julius Peppers. 

All of the impressive young Blue Devil recruits and older transfers were ready, willing, and able to contribute when called upon. It also demonstrated what a complimentary group Coach Scheyer and his staff have identified, recruited, and trained. Duke confirmed that they are the more talented and deeper team.  However, the Tar Heels are a  talented, hard playing team, and are better coached than they were, after a slow start to the season.

RJ Davis, a lethal offensive scorer for five years, had a brilliant first half for UNC with 15 points as Carolina closed out the first half on a 21-7 run. Basically, in the first half, UNC played with more intensity, forcing 14 Duke turnovers as the Tar Heels seemed to want this game more than Duke. 

The Tar Heels trailed 43-42 at halftime, then scored 17 points in the first 4:12 of the second half to lead 59-53. But, North Carolina only scored 10 points for the rest of the game. 

UNC started the second half just as hot, with a 10-4 spurt that forced Jon Scheyer to call a timeout at 17:34 and make a strategic, ultimately winning, move early in the second half and substitute liberally. It paid off in spades as Duke bounced back with a 12-0 run to take a 63-59 lead, courtesy of Caleb Foster’s driving layup.  

Foster’s steady play at the point, plus his timely drives, and Maliq Brown’s two rare three point shots, gave Duke a 68-61 lead, and, more importantly, neutralized the always dangerous R.J. Davis. Suddenly, the Blue Devils were playing Duke basketball at this juncture as demonstrated when Flagg had a spectacular block against Ven-Allen Lubin, and Sion James took the ball coast-to-coast to put Duke up 75-64, forcing UNC to call a timeout with 4:58 left in the game. That impressive run by Duke cooked the Tar Heels.

Maliq scoffs at gravity as a ‘heel looks on in confusion

Photo Credit:GoDuke.com

OTHER COMMENTS:

  • Raise your hand if you thought Coach Scheyer made the right substitutions in the second half of: 1) Maliq Brown, who has just recovered from an injured shoulder from the Virginia game; 2) Caleb Foster, who did not even play in the prior game Monday against Wake Forest, or 3) putting Cooper Flagg in late in the first half with two fouls (he made a foolish third foul). But those substitutions all worked out for Duke and Cooper played like a veteran the entire second half without making another foul, while blocking four Tarheel shots.
  • The closest comparison I can think of to the Batman and Robin pair of Flagg and Knueppel is Duke upperclassmen Art Heyman and Jeff Mullins [made Final Fours in 1963 and 1964] –except Flagg and Special K are both freshmen.
  • Sion James, the starting point guard, put the win in rare proper perspective (for a participant): “Yes, we grew up a lot today. We learned a lot. We’ve been winning a lot of games big, which is great. I hope we keep doing that. But history says that it’s not going to be like that every game. We learned how to weather a storm, play through some physicality, and find a way to win.” 
  • Kon Knueppel, when asked if Duke has lived up to his expectations: “And more. It’s an incredible place, on and off the court, with the best people in the world. I’ve made some incredible connections all over the place here. I’m just so grateful that I came here and got this opportunity. As far as the coaches, my teammates, those connections, and then just meeting random people in my dorm, in class, or whatever it is, just making connections. The people that go to school here are elite in their own respects. People that are the best of the best, are going to be somebody someday, so it’s just huge to make those connections and meet such people.”
  • MVP: Coach Scheyer for savvy substitutions and feeling for the ebb and flow of the game. How many coaches can you name that were as successful when succeeding a famous coach? 

The best Duke defense of the season

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

ACC Road Game: Duke 82  v. UNC 69

Down by 6 points (59-53) with 12:48 left in the game, Duke played its best defense of the season to hold the Tarheels to just 10 additional points in the entire game, and in the next 11:17 out scored UNC by 21 points to take a 15 point lead (82-67), with 1:31 left in the game.  Duke had Maliq Brown and Caleb Foster on the court for most of that time, with Cooper, Kon and Sion.  A half where much happened to ensure being  ready for the ACC Tournament.

As Kon said, “To win the ACC regular season, it’s special. Great to not share with anybody either, and we want two more (ACC and NCAA tournaments). We’ll stay humble and keep working.”

Kon the Indispensable! 

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The First Half : Duke 43 v. UNC 42

Duke had a 15 point lead (36-21 with 8:09 left in the half), when UNC flipped the switch to play physical and intensive defense.  Led by last year’s National Player of the Year, R.J. Davis (who scored 20 first-half points), the Tarheels stormed back and had Duke on their heels.  UNC erased 14 of Duke’s 15 point lead by the end of the first half.  

Cooper Flagg committed 2 personal fouls in the first 7:07 of the half and went to the bench.  Scheyer trusted Cooper and reinserted him into the lineup with 5:18 to go in the half, but Cooper committed his 3rd foul 2 minutes after returning to the court.  Understandably, this cast a pall over Duke and their fans.  The foul situation worsened when Maliq picked up his second foul with 7:43 left in the first half.  The Blue Devils committed 9 first-half fouls.

UNC and R.J. Davis were suddenly on fire while Duke, in foul trouble, seemed to lose its fire.  A sinkingly disappointing first half for sure. 

Defying Gravity🎶The defense ELEVATES in the 2nd half

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Second Half: Duke 39  v UNC 27

About face–The second half might have been the best half of the season for Duke, who reversed a 6 point deficit to take a 15 point lead, and ended the game winning by 13 points.  The Duke defense was at its best.  The Tar Heels were held to 27 second-half points, 14 of those scored by UNC in the first 4:16 of the closing half.  The Blue Devils’ defense just squeezed the life and fight out of UNC.  Cooper had 4 blocks.  Caleb also added a block. Thus, the Duke defense held the Tarheels to 10 points in the final 15:44 of the game!!  That is simply superb defense!  

Offensively, the Blue Devils were 17-28 from the field (61%), including 3-7 from 3land, while handing out 9 assists, led by Cooper’s 5.  Duke committed only 5 second-half fouls.(Thankfully Cooper did not commit a 4th).  Sion made 2 steals.  It was a bravura performance just before the ACC tournament.

Duke played only 7 players in the second half (starters plus Maliq and CFos).  Neither Gillis nor Evans played in the second half.

Sion:”Stand aside – I’m driving here” Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(7) Kon (Special K) Knueppel  (39:04) played virtually the entire game, leading Duke in scoring with 17 points (7-10 from the field, including 3-6 from behind the arc, which means Kon was 4-4 from inside the arc) while playing a superb all-around floor game with 2 boards, 3 assists and a steal.

(14) Sion James (34:55) scored 16 points (6-8 from the field,  plus a dazzling 4-5 from the stripe) with a team-leading 8 rebounds, 3 steals and an assist.  He said  on winning on the road in the Duke-North Carolina rivalry: (in addition to what Bill wrote), “It’s awesome. I feel that we grew up a lot today. We played in a close game. They were really physical. They did a lot of things that a lot of teams are going to start doing to us and that we’re going to see for the home stretch of the season.”

(2) Cooper Flagg (29:07 ) played a superb second half, leading Duke to victory.  Cooper committed 3 first-half fouls (limiting his first-half playing time to only 9 minutes.  Cooper played all 20 minutes of the second half, without committing a foul, while leading the team in scoring (10 points), rebounding (7 in the final period), assists (5) and blocked shots (4).  For the game, Cooper scored 15 points (6-15 from the field, including 1-4 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line), pulled down 9 rebounds and handed out 6 assists.  He led a defense that allowed UNC only 27 second-half points.

(5) Tyrese Proctor (29:05) shook off the rust, which was apparent against Wake Forest, scoring 16 points (6-10 from the field, including 2-4 from deep, plus 2-3 from the foul line).  Tyrese also grabbed a pair of rebounds. 

(9) Khaman Maluach (21:09) was a force on the backboards with 9 rebounds.  Khaman scored 2 points (1-3 from the field).  Khaman also made a steal.  He played only 7:26 in the closing period because Maliq Brown was so effective on both ends of the court.

(6) Maliq Brown (15:57) playing after missing 4 games with a shoulder injury, looked good and played valuable minutes.  Maliq is an unusual defender who can guard virtually all offensive positions.  Against UNC in the second half he scored all his points, 8 (3-4 from the field, including 2-3 from 3land).  For the game, Maliq had 3 assists and 3 rebounds.  Duke is ecstatic to have him back for post-season play.

(5) Mason Gillis (10:53) played all of his minutes in the first half, with Cooper on the bench with foul trouble.  The Purdue transfer scored 3 points (0-1 from the field, plus 3-3 from the foul line).  He organized the defense in Cooper’s absence.

(3) Isaiah (Flamethrower, Easy, Slim Jim) Evans (8:44) played only in the first half, scoring 3 points (missing his only shot from the field, but making all 3 of his free throw attempts).  Isaiah grabbed 2 rebounds and handed out an assist.  

(1)Caleb (CFos) Foster (8:52) was Scheyer’s surprise substitution late in the second half, where Caleb played all of his intense minutes.  CFos changed the tempo of the game.  He hounded UNC on defense and was strong with the ball on offense.  He scored 2 points on an aggressive drive (1-2 from the field) to go with a rebound, an assist and a blocked shot.  Put simply, he really earned his stripes after not playing at all against Wake Forest, nor in this game until the last 9 minutes.

(21) Patrick Ngongba II (2:14) failed to score or have any statistics in his brief cameo.

Cooper played the entire second half without a foul and led Duke to the win. Can he do the same in the Tournament?

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ACC Tournament — from Tuesday, March 11 (3 games); Wednesday, March 12 (4 games); Thursday March 13 (4 games);Friday March 14 (2 games); and then the championship game on Saturday March 15 at 8:30. 

As the #1 seed, Duke has a double bye into the quarterfinals on Thursday, March 13 at noon, where the Blue Devils will face the winner of Tuesday’s game between Georgia Tech and UVA.  The winner of that game (Duke, we hope) will face the winner of Thursday’s Wake Forest (4th seed) vs TBD [the winner of 5th seeded UNC against the winner of Notre Dame vs. Pitt].  If, as we hope, Duke wins that semi-final game, the Championship game is on Saturday, March 15 at 8:30 pm on ESPN. 

DBP Schedule for ACC Tournament

DBP will publish one edition for the tournament, which will cover the games that Duke has played in. It will also set out the NCAA schedule for Duke as announced on Sunday March 16.  That edition will be published on March 17 (St. Patrick’s Day)

NEXT PLAY: Thursday, March 13 at 12:00 pm – The Quarterfinals of the ACC Tournament, Duke vs the winner of the Georgia Tech vs Virginia game  at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina; ESPN 2.


Duke Blue Devils (Season 16; Issue 33) Special Edition: Injuries Impact

DISASTER THREATENED BUT DUKE PULLS IT OUT

tonight’s game will tell if it was a once and done or on to the Championship tomorrow

Injuries threatened the tournament chances for the Blue Devils! Maliq Brown didn’t even make it to the 6 minute mark before seriously re-injuring his shoulder.  Even worse, Cooper Flagg sprained his ankle with 2:26 left in the first half and did not play in the final 25 minutes of the game. 

When Cooper went out, Tech led by 9 points and things indeed looked bleak for the Blue Devils.  Luckily (and as a result of good recruiting and coaching), the bench is deep and Duke was able to meet the challenge.  Patrick Ngongba II and Mason Gillis stepped in and…with 5 minutes to go in the game, Duke led by 11!  A great confidence builder that Duke could come back from the brink without Cooper (and Maliq).

It’s easier for a team to pull together to face disaster for a single game. It’s harder to keep doing it game after game for a whole tournament (or two tournaments…Maliq may not come back at all this year). We’ll see how stern the stuff of the team is in tonight’s game. Stay tuned!

Maliq– reinjured!

Photo Credit: Video still from The Duke Wire

Cooper, seconds before coming down on that yellow jacket foot & twisting his ankle, forcing him from the game

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Mason steps in big

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Ngongba goes great lengths to the rescue!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com


Duke Basketball Playbook 2023-2024


I WANT TO READ ABOUT THE MOST RECENT GAME

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) (Season 15 Issue Zero)

Pre-Season Edition
Jeremy Roach: The return of the Senior Captain. Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Trivia Question: when was the last time Duke had a returning senior captain? 

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

While this year is exciting because of 4 returning starters and 8 veteran players, there is big news for next year. Cooper Flagg, the most hyped high school player since Lebron James 20 years ago (but Flagg is a year younger now than Lebron was then) finally committed to Duke to join THE BROTHERHOOD, making Jon Scheyer arguably the most successful initial recruiter in NCAA basketball coaching history. 

Seriously, with Derrick Lively another one-and-done, the question is how good  Filipowski can be without Lively as his running mate? This will be Coach Scheyer’s challenge along with deciding what players to play where. From what little film I have seen, the Blue Devils will go as far as the three point shot will take them (live by the three, die by the three) unless someone develops into a monster on the boards (my choice is Christian Reeves) — or Filipowski’s double hip surgery improves his strength and power.

Anyway, Alan’s comprehensive analysis is enough to give you an idea of the talent on the roster, as well as Scheyer’s task to establish the starters and the rotation.  This team could turn into formidable championship contenders or just be a talented, immature pretender.

Whichever, it will be an exciting respite in an otherwise chaotic, incomprehensive world.

ALANALYSIS

After an exhibition game against Pembroke (which our DBP will not cover), Duke opens its season against Dartmouth on November 6 in Cameron at 9 pm (ACCN).  The season then gets intense with games against Arizona in Cameron on November 10 (7pm on ESPN2), and against Michigan State at the United Center in Chicago (ESPN) on November 14.  We will know much about our team by November 11, 2023.

This season is intriguing, as is the roster.  Duke has 8 returning players: including 4 starters (senior Jeremy Roach, sophomores Kyle (Flip) Filipowski, Tyrese Proctor and Mark Mitchell) plus a returning rotation player (Ryan Young). It feels like decades since Duke had that kind of a veteran roster to begin a season.

For this season, Duke has tri-captains – two were predictable, but one surprise reveals much how Coach Jon Scheyer perceives his backcourt talent. Jeremy Roach is the most obvious and deserving choice.  Ryan Young’s experience and persona with his teammates make him an excellent choice because of his veteran leadership.  It is the final surprise choice of  sophomore Tyrese Proctor that is so revealing.  Proctor turned into a lock-down defender and solid point guard in the latter part of last season.  His steadiness at the point allowed Coach Scheyer to make Jeremy Roach the shooting and offensive force on the perimeter.  I believe the Coach is rewarding Tyrese for his maturity and reliability, and teaching his team to rely on Tyrese at crunch time. 

Awards based on play are what is useful while pre-season awards and predictions are, in my opinion, useless –  easy to ignore if your time is short. We list them anyway because they fight pre-season (no hoops) boredom.   Preseason, Duke is # 2 in AP’s Preseason poll and # 3 in UP’s.  Flip is the Preseason ACC Player of the Year.

The 2023 part of the 2023-2024 season is all about evaluating the players on the roster and determining starters, rotation players, and those with special skills ( for example, Jaylen Blakes’s defending abilities).  Here is this year’s roster with designation and prior accolades.  I predict a fascinating season!

GRADUATE STUDENT

RYAN YOUNG 

Ryan was third with 7 votes for ACC Sixth Man of the year.

Ryan is one of Duke’s 3 captains

SENIOR 

JEREMY ROACH

  • Returning Rotation player
  • Jeremy made Honorable Mention, missing third Team All ACC by 20 votes; He received one vote for ACC Player of the Year and one vote for most improved ACC player. In the Blue-White game on October 20, 2023 [32 minute game won by Blue],  Jeremy was the only double figure scorer (12 points on 4-9 shooting, including 3-6 from deep) playing all 32 minutes. Jeremy is one of Duke’s 3 captains.

JUNIOR

JAYLEN BLAKES

  • Player fighting for Playing time
  • He had some great defensive moments and games before he broke his nose in practice early last season. However,  he played little after because he never returned to his pre-injury form.

SOPHOMORES:

KYLE FILLIPOWSKI

  • Returning Starter
  • Second team all ACC last season
  • ACC Rookie of the Year last season
  • all ACC Freshman Team last season

TYRESE PROCTOR

  • Returning Starter
  • All ACC Freshman Team last season
  • Youngest of Duke’s 3 captains

MARK MITCHELL

  • Returning Starter
  • Mark proved a very good defender, rebounder, and scorer.  You could see how much Duke missed Mark when he could not play against Tennessee in the NCAA tournament because of injury.

CHRISTIAN REEVES

  • Player fighting for Playing time
  • Christian was labeled a “project” when he was recruited last year, and will push for playing time this year. He was a star in the Blue – White game, playing 28 of the 32 minutes.  Christian scored 8 points (4-6, but 0-3 from the stripe) and led both teams with 7 rebounds.  He blocked 3 shots. You cannot coach 7’1”!  It’s just a welcome asset.

JADEN SCHUTT

Player fighting for Playing time.

Jaden did not have an impressive freshman year.  Reports from training camp are that he has shown great improvement.  His reputation is as a shooter.

FRESHMAN:

JARED MCCAIN

Contending for starting or rotation

Jared was the National High School Sixth Man of the Year. He was the starting point guard for the West in the McDonald’s game and won the 3-point shooting contest there.   After watching the McDonald’s game, I wrote, “McCain can handle, drive, dish and won the 3-point contest.”  He ranked # 14 last year in high school.

SEAN STEWART

Contending for starting or rotation

Sean broke Zion’s standing-leap record!! He won the dunk contest at McDonald’s.  After an unimpressive first half, he was excellent in the second half, scoring from deep and in the paint. He was a solid rebounder in that game.  His coach reinserted him into the game with two minutes to go and the game tied.  Sean dramatically impacted the last two minutes on both ends.  He had a block, key rebounds, and scored the winning basket. Sean ranked # 22 last year in high school.

T.J. POWER, A STRETCH FORWARD WITH DEEP SHOOTING SKILLS

Contending for starting or rotation

T.J. ranked # 17 last year in high school and praise for TJ has been forthcoming from practice.

CALEB FOSTER, A COMBO GUARD

Contending for starting or rotation

Caleb ranked # 23 last year in high school. In a very crowded backcourt, he will be fighting for a rotation place.

Next Play: Monday, November 6, 2023, v. Dartmouth in Cameron Indoor Stadium at 9:00 p.m. on ACC NETWORK.


Duke Blue Devils 92 v. Dartmouth Big Green 54 (Season 15; Issue 1; Game #1) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #1 (November 6, 2023)

“It’s about trust, baby”: Flip and Roach high-five after scoring on some veteran teamwork choreography during the second half of the game against Dartmouth. 
Photo Credit: Lance King

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Dartmouth is a well-coached, disciplined team that is very competitive in the Ivy League, but does not have the talent or size to be competitive with the top tier of the ACC. Consequently, the Blue Devils, utilizing their entire squad, had little trouble beating them in Cameron.  With only Dereck Lively II and Dariq Whitehead from last year’s team declaring for the NBA draft, coach Scheyer has almost an embarrassment of riches from which to choose. He could almost throw about ten or so names in a box and pull out four starters (Filipowski is a given) on most nights.  Tonight, Mark Mitchell had a slight injury to his ankle and did not play. He was replaced by Ryan Young, usually a backup center.

Jared Mc Cain, the most celebrated of the freshmen, showed his offensive skills but fouled out with several questionably-called fouls while Caleb Foster, his replacement, played well, and showed finesse.  Sean Stewart, who matched Zion Williamson’s record vertical leap of 48”, played only in the second half and showed his unique athletic skills.  Jaylen Blake’s appearances demonstrated why he is the best defensive guard, who has also developed more offensive ability this year and will be a disruptive option throughout the season. Procter and Roach are invaluable veterans, and Christian Reeves may also be a contributor this  year—you cannot teach seven feet.

It remains to be seen how well these young players will mature and develop. It may take a while, but it should be an enjoyable  season. 

Next year’s outlook is also excellent.  Jon Scheyer’s incredible recruiting streak continues as highly rated 5-star Patrick Ngongba committed to Duke last week.  A 6-11 235 lb. center, Ngongba follows Cooper Flagg, who also committed last week, which you have to think made for a good week for Scheyer and his staff.

The Big Green learns to not take their eyes off Senior Captain Jeremy Roach.
Photo Credit: Morgan Chu | The Chronicle

ALANALYSIS

The score of the game accurately reflected the talent differential in the respective rosters.  As expected in a season opener, Duke had some flaws, but played very well in spurts.  Mark Mitchell was held out because of an ankle injury, which was described as not serious.  Thus, who played in the interior for Duke in Mark’s absence was interesting.  Ryan Young started in Mark’s place.  Christian Reeves and Caleb Foster were the first two substitutions.  Occasionally Coach Scheyer played 4 guards and Reeves.

Offense

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski played like a First Team All American, scoring 25 points in just over 26 minutes of playing time.  Four Blue Devils scored in double figures: Caleb Foster (15), Jeremy Roach (14), and Jaylen Blakes (10).  In addition, Jared McCain and Tyrese Proctor each scored 8. The Blue Devils shot 70% in the second half (59% in the opening stanza), including 41% from 3land for the game.  Duke had 18 assists and only 9 turnovers.

Defense

It is hard to quibble with a defense that held Dartmouth to 21 first-half points and 54 for the game.  Coach Scheyer knew The Big Green’s offense relied heavily on good 3-point shooting, thus he planned a defense to attack  Dartmouth’s 3-point shooting.  The defense succeeded, holding the Big Green to 4-18 (22%).  Scheyer said if you are stopping and harassing the 3 point shooters, you are going to give up some layups.  And Dartmouth’s backdoor cuts did produce some lovely layups against the Blue Devils.  

Duke’s fouling was a problem.  Dartmouth was in the bonus with 8:15 left in the first half.  Dartmouth was in the double bonus at game’s end, and McCain had fouled out.

Rebounding and Rim Protection

Dartmouth actually outrebounded Duke until the waning minutes of the game, grabbing 29 boards, including 10 offensive.  Big warning!!  Duke played much of the game with 4 guards and one Big, which might explain the lack of rebounding.  But this was Dartmouth, not Arizona or Michigan State.   The rim protection was a bit sub-par even though Duke had 6 blocks (3 by guards – Blakes 2 and Foster 1; the others by Flip, Ryan Young and Christian Reeves).  

ROSTER BY MINUTES PLAYED

Jeremy Roach 31:22 (scored 14 points on 7 – 11 from the field including 0-2 from 3land).  Jeremy missed his only free throw but handed out 3 assists and blocked a shot.  He played excellent defense.  His second half was scintillating (10 points on 6 shots.)  On one picture perfect play, Foster stole the ball and passed to Jeremy, who drove it the length of the court.  Just when it looked as if he were trying to score, Jeremy dropped off the sweetest pass to Flip for the easy dunk.  That is senior leadership!

Caleb Foster 28:45 (scored 15 points on 6-10 from the field, including 1-3 from 3land.)  Caleb was 2-3 from the stripe with 3 boards and a steal.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski 26:30 (scored 25 efficient points on 10-12 from the field, including 1-2 from deep.) Flip was 4-4 from the stripe.  He also contributed 7 defensive rebounds, while blocking a shot and handing out an assist.  Great game.

Tyrese Proctor 24:47 (scored 8 points on 3-6 from the field, including 2-4 from behind the arc.)  Tyrese was 0-1 from the foul line with 2 boards and 8 gaudy assists.

Jaylen Blakes 19:35 (scored 10 points on 3-3 from the field, including a key 1-1 from deep.)  Jaylen was 3-3 from the stripe with a great all around floor game (2 boards, 2 assists and 3 steals).

Ryan Young 19:31 (scored 2 points on 1-2 from the field.)  He tied with Flip for leading rebounder on the team with 7.  Ryan handed out 3 assists and made a block.

Jared McCain 15:24 (scored 8 points on 3-7 from the field, including 2-4 from behind the arc.)  Not McCain’s best game.  He committed 5 fouls.  While he started, he had the announcers speculating (especially after McCain picked up his 3rd and 4th fouls) that Foster could replace him in the starting lineup.

Christian Reeves 12:17 (scored 2 points on 1-2 from the field.)  Christian grabbed 3 rebounds and blocked a shot.

Sean Stewart 9:41 all in the second half (scored 6 points on 3-4 from the field).  Sean grabbed 5 rebounds and had a steal.  He looked really good in his short stint.

T.J. Power 7:54 all in the second half.  T.J. missed his only shot.

Next Play: Friday, November 10, 2023 vs. Arizona at 7 pm in Cameron on ESPN2.


Duke Blue Devils 73 v. Arizona Wildcats 78 (Season 15; Issue 2; Game #2) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #2 (November 11, 2023)

“With a rebel yell”: Flip’s leadership on display with his team. Photo credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

There were two plays in the first half that foreshadowed the result: Keshad Johnson won the opening tip and beat Filipowski down court for an open pass and easy layup (Arizona is fast, and came ready to play with total hustle). Second, Caleb Love drained a three point desperation-heave off the backboard from nearly half court at the halftime buzzer to put the Wildcats up eight points (good shooters make more lucky shots than mediocre shooters). There is a lot of difference being up eight not five points.  Of more long-term concern is that once again this team was out rebounded by 15, and the guards –especially at the point–were outplayed. Tyrese Proctor is still inconsistent. 

It remains which, if any, of the highly touted freshmen have the talent and maturity to adjust to the realities of the college game. The guards must execute better, shoot more efficiently, AND REBOUND. ( memo: Dereck Lively II is in the NBA, and Filipowski needs help. And Jeremy Roach being good for half a game is not enough against elite teams.) Ryan Young is a polished, mature player, who has played six years of college hoops. He has already achieved his improvements. On the other hand, Christian Reeves and Sean Stewart have little to no experience but have exceptional athleticism that could make Duke a more formidable team by replacing Young in the rotation.

Having critiqued all that, the Blue Devils were still in a position to steal a win. However, they did not execute well at the end of the game. In any event, they did not deserve the win, and it would send the wrong message if they had.

I would like to point out that, at times, someone has to be tough on the players. For instance, Duke had not won anything until Hurley came along. Laettner was tough on everyone, especially Hurley, a tough Jersey kid. Once, during a pickup game,  Laettner threw a basketball at Hurley and chased Bobby out of the gym. Duke trailed Kansas at halftime in the 1992 NCAA semifinal game. Laettner had played a terrible first half (after his famous game against Kentucky where he was perfect from the field and foul line, and then hit “the shot” to win the game). At halftime, Hurley gave Laettner an earful—something like: “God Damnit Christian, get your ass in gear. I haven’t put up with your shit for all these years to lose to Kansas.” The rest is history – Duke won the 1992 NCAA Championship. 

Michael Jordan was also tough on his teammates: He punched Kerr in the face once (I’m not recommending that), and he was brutal, physically and verbally, to Scotty Pippen, and others, on the way to his six NBA titles.

Also – Former Dukie Jay Bilas, who was the color announcer, proved again that he is the best college announcer on television. He explains what is happening on the court in plain, correct, concise English.

Scheyer contemplating play that produced his dolorous post game pronouncements.
Photo credit: Fayetteville Observer

ALANALYSIS

Duke’s effort against Arizona was described in dire terms by Coach Scheyer: 

“the biggest thing for me – we didn’t play together, and that’s hard for me to swallow. That’s not okay for us. We didn’t play Duke basketball, and I take full responsibility for that. There’s too many plays where we just, zero-pass, one-pass possessions. We’re just giving the ball up and that’s on me.” … It’s not winning basketball. That’s the bottom line. That’s not how we’re going to win games and we have too good of players, we have too much firepower that we can have on the court just to go one-on-one, and you’re just not going to be able to do it against really good teams, and they are a really good team. … too many wasted possessions, bad shots, turnovers. I thought not only do you not score, but it leads to early run outs for them. So, the swings, just starting the first half were so drastic, and it really started with our offense.” 

“Rebounding it’s still about effort, still about blocking out and pursuing the ball. We’re going to find a few times tonight where we stood and watched, and it’s just a mindset. That’s something our guards tonight, now I need them to rebound more, no question, but also, there wasn’t every play where five guys were blocking out. Again, we have three guards. It’s not like we’re small either. Mark [Mitchell]’s 6’8”, Flip [Kyle Filipowski] is 6’11”. Our guards are bigger. It’s all about effort. It’s all about mindset.” (Emphasis added)

Despite Scheyer’s dolorous pronouncement, I did not see a team that “didn’t play Duke basketball” for the entire game. A review of each half separately revealed to me a very different game.  Scheyer was amazingly successful with his half-time adjustments. A review of the second half as a separate entity reveals a more positive view of both this game and the team’s future development.  Having said that, the development of this team will be enhanced by this Arizona loss, more than if the Blue Devils had pulled it out.  A team just learns more from a loss.

Scheyer’s halftime adjustments were significant. After being outrebounded by 14 in the first half (29-15) and giving up 11 offensive rebounds without garnering even one, Duke outrebounded Arizona in the second half 18-16 and gave up only a single offensive rebound.  That’s a big time adjustment!  McCain grabbed 3 boards in 17 and a half minutes.  Sean Stewart had 2 in his brief cameo of 3:37; Duke took 7 more shots from the field than Arizona.

After a dismal 2-12 from deep in the first half, Duke was 6-11 from behind the arc in the closing stanza with Flip going 2-2 and Jeremy 3-4.  What Duke cannot live with is Mark going 0-4 and Proctor 1-6 from behind the arc.

Scheyer’s halftime adjustments on offense allowed Duke to claw back and actually take the lead after Captain Jeremy hit a clutch 3 with 2:11 left. 67-65. The Blue Devils led again 69-67 with 1:08 left after a wonderful layup by Flip. 

However, Keshad Johnson tied the game at 69 when he converted a beautiful pass from Duke-assassin Caleb Love (his previous Duke assassinations came in a UNC uniform).  On that play, Flip committed his 4th foul and Arizona led 70-69 with 47 seconds left when Johnson converted the free throw.  The 1 point deficit (combined with Proctor’s turnover with 28 seconds left) forced Duke to foul and allowed Arizona to score 8 more points. Duke scored 4 more on a Mitchell layup and 2 clutch foul shots by Roach.  Leave out those last 8 Arizona points to recognize what an excellent second half the Blue Devils played in spite of the mistakes that cost the game in the last minute.

Duke’s second-half disappointments came on defense.  The Blue Devils simply could not get stops to ice the game.  The Wildcats shot 50% from the field (13-26, including 3-7 from behind the arc) and had 10 assists on those 13 baskets.  If defense is supposed to be Duke’s calling card, much work is needed.

Interestingly, Scheyer ignored the supposed depth of the Blue Devils in the second half, playing Roach for the full 20 minutes, Flip for 18:46; Tyrese for 18:32; and McCain for 17:29.  Mitchell played only 11:20. Ryan logged 6:18 (with a rebound and a turnover, but 0 points.)  Caleb Foster was limited to 4 minutes after playing 8 minutes + in the first half.  He did not score in the game.  Sean Stewart had a 3:37 cameo in the second half (after being glued to the bench in the first half), scoring a basket and garnering a pair of rebounds.  

For the game, the Duke bench was truly anemic, scoring only 5 points (Christian Reeves scored 3 first-half points in a 2:38 first half only cameo; and Sean Stewart scored a tip-in in his second-half cameo of 3:37).  Caleb Foster failed to score or even to record an assist in 12:43.  Ryan Young failed to score (2 boards and 2 turnovers) in 12:56, and Jaylen Blakes failed to score in his first-half cameo of 1:56.  Duke needs to re-establish (or establish) bench productivity and useful depth.

It is hard to miss that Tyrese Proctor had a subpar game (both halves).  For the game, Tyrese scored 8 points (3-9 from the field, including 1-6 from behind the arc).  He had 5 assists, but 3 turnovers.  In the second half, Proctor could have been the winning difference, but he was not. He had only 2 assists in the second half against his 3 turnovers.  The third turnover was the killer.  Duke was down by a point, with the ball and 28 seconds left. Tyrese drove confidently into the lane, but then traveled! -a turnover at the worst possible time. Duke was then forced to foul. Arizona converted 6 clutch free throws and a layup when Duke turned it over yet again, with 4 seconds left to play.

A vaunted defender, Tyrese was taken to school on defense by freshman Kylan Boswell.  Boswell was the Wildcat’s best player, scoring 12 points on 4-7 from the field, including 2-4 from 3land.  The Wildcat freshman handed out 5 assists.  If Duke is to prosper this season, Tyrese has to return to form.

Next Play: Tuesday,  November 14, 2023, vs. Michigan State in the State Farm Championship Classic in Chicago at 7 pm on ESPN.


​Duke Blue Devils 74 v. Michigan Spartans 65 (Season 15; Issue 3; Game #3) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #3 (November 14, 2023)

Foster takes center stage against Michigan State. Photo credit: Samantha Owusu-Antwi | The Chronicle 

Bill’s Cliff Notes:

The Duke – Michigan State game lost some luster when both teams lost one of their first two games–JMU, really! However, Tom Izzo is one of the very best college coaches at consistently getting whatever players he has playing tough, physical basketball. Sometimes, it makes for ugly basketball. Tonight’s first half looked mostly like an intramural basketball game played by football players. Duke, which is often considered a “finesse” team, learned how to play “physical” teams (ref: Tennessee in last year’s NCAA Tournament). This is highly ranked college teams playing, not high school basketball.

While this was an important win for the Duke team , it was also an important game for Caleb Foster to distinguish himself as the first of the highly touted freshman players to demonstrate why he was so highly ranked – by consistently hitting shots at critical times. This is the kind of game in which Ryan Young excels, because he never lacks effort. Same for Filipowski, whose potential firepower cannot be ignored by any opponent.

A characteristic of Duke’s better teams is getting to the foul line and hitting their foul shots. Tonight, they did that – especially Mark Mitchell, whose contributions are often overlooked. Tyrese Procter, whose youth may explain some of his inconsistencies, was much improved at point guard. Jared McCain again did not contribute offensively but that will change. His stroke is too good. However, it speaks volumes that he was the first among the teammates to congratulate his replacement, Caleb Foster, for his breakout performance. The genuine smile on McCain’s face spoke volumes about the attitude of this freshman class.

My assessment of this team is that they do not have the size to be a great team, but rather that they are a good Duke team that may have the talent to surprise on occasion but not go the distance.

Miscellaneous:

Anyone who watches Duke football has to be struck with the fact that the Blue Devils have been hosed two years in a row by the referees. This year, a possible interception in deep Duke territory late in the game was not reviewed.  And on the final, crucial two-point extra point, Carolina’s right guard  was five yards down field in the end zone. That does not mean that Drake May, Carolina’s terrific quarterback, wouldn’t have made another amazing play, but then, you never know. Whatever…do not be surprised if many of Duke football coaches, who have engineered this amazing turnaround, are seduced to greener pastures.

believe I can fly”: Ryan Young helps Duke overcome a dismal first 10 minutes to eventually nab a win against the Spartans. Photo credit: David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

ALANALYSIS

The quality of basketball played in the first half of the first half (10:00) must have made the basketball gods weep.  One statistic says it all.  After 10 minutes of play, Duke had just 9 points and had committed 8 turnovers …and the Blue Devils were not behind!  The score was tied at 9 after 9 minutes had been played.  After 12 minutes had been played, the game was tied at 12.

First Half

You would think that Duke played great defense to hold the Spartans to 20 points in the opening half, but it is hard to ignore that Michigan State was shooting wide open shots and just missing them.  No matter how wide open its shooters were, the Spartans just kept missing.

With Duke ahead 15-12, Kyle (Flip) Filipowski committed his second foul and went to the bench for the final 6:19 of the first half.  Surprisingly,without Flip, the Blue Devils scored 16 points while giving up only 8 for the remainder of the first half.  Duke increased its lead to really break open the game while Flip was on the bench (15-12 when Flip went out became 31-20 by the end of the first half).

Mark Mitchell led Duke’s first-half scoring with 9 points (7-7 from the stripe).  

Tyrese Proctor (18:42), Jeremy Roach (16:07), Flip (12:01), and Ryan Young (11:34) each contributed 5 points in the first half.

Second Half

The basketball gods stopped weeping and started to enjoy a well played, excellent, and exciting basketball game.  The Spartans got great offensive effort from Malik Hall (13 points in 14:30) and the amazing Tyson Walker (18 points in 18:13 on 7-12 from the field, including 3-4 from deep).  Scheyer: “Walker, he hit some tough shots, man. I mean, he hit some tough shots. Hands in his face and his ability to shoot off the bounce, to shoot contested shots.”  Five times the Spartans reducedDuke’s lead to 4 or 3 points.  With 6:07 left, Duke’s lead was a mere 3 points.

However, the Blue Devil offense was equal to the task of withstanding the Spartan runs.  Every time Michigan State got close, Duke stretched the lead back out to double digits.  Caleb Foster, who had an undistinguished first half (2 points; 2 turnovers), was the star of stars in the closing stanza, with 16 second-half points (6-7 from the field, including 4-5 from 3land). Flip scored 10 (3-10, including 0-3 from deep, plus a crucial 4-5 from the foul line). Tyrese returned to form – 5 assists without a turnover in the second half.  He made his last two shots (after missing his first 4), plus 4-5 from the foul line for 8 points.  Caleb, Flip, and Tyrese scored 34 of Duke’s 43 second-half points.

From 15:20 to 13:08 left, Caleb scored 8 points.  Foster scored on a layup with 10:21 to go and then led Duke in closing out the Spartans at winning time with 3-pointers at 3:34 to go (increasing Duke’s lead to 9) and at 1:55 to go (increasing Duke’s lead to 12 and effectively ending the game).  

Scheyer gushed about Caleb’s breakout performance, “Caleb, he’s as hard as any worker we have on the team, first of all, and he’s coming off a game on Friday. He didn’t like the way it went and whether he’s pissed at me, pissed at how he played or the game. Like, going to play at Duke or going to play anywhere there’s going to be ups and downs, there’s going to be moments where you get knocked back, but the program that I know Duke to be, it’s all about how you respond. For us as a team coming off of Friday, but especially individually — like, what Caleb did tonight, he won us the game. … it says a lot about him, as a freshman, being in this environment, in this moment, and not just the points, you know, 7 for 8, 18 points is great, his defense, his rebounding, his passing. I just thought it was a big-time response, and I can’t say enough about his attitude” 

The Rotation

Tyrese Proctor (38:42) scored 13 points on 4-12 from the field, including a disappointing 1-5 from deep, plus 4-5 from the stripe.  After 2 subpar games (Dartmouth and Arizona), Tyrese went back to last year’s hairstyle and produced an excellent effort.  The key stats for Tyrese are 6 rebounds and 6 assists without a turnover.

Jeremy Roach (33:47) did not have his best game.  He scored 7 points on 2-5 from the field, including 1-3 from behind the arc, plus 2-3 from the stripe.  While Jeremy had 5 assists, he also turned it over 4 times. His play overall seemed to be lacking its usual verve.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (30:44) scored 15 points on 5-13 from the field, including a frustrating 0-4 from deep.  Flip made crucial free throws (5-7) to go with 8 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 blocked shots, and a steal.  He was a force for the Blue Devils in the second half.

Caleb Foster (29:00) won the game with his superb shooting in the second half.  Caleb scored 18 points on a remarkable 7-8 from the field, including 4-5 from behind the arc.  Caleb also contributed 3 rebounds, an assist, and a blocked shot. He was simply the star of stars.

Ryan Young (23:33) finally played the way he did last year after 2 sub-par games to open the season.  Young played effective defense while scoring 8 points on 2-2 from the field and 4-6 from the foul line to go with a team-leading 7 rebounds and 2 assists.  Welcome back, Ryan!

Mark Mitchell (22:04) scored 13 points on 2-3 from the field and a gaudy 9-9 from the foul line.  Mark had 4 rebounds and 2 steals, but also 3 turnovers.  

Jared McCain (16:23) had a terrible shooting game (0-5 from the field, including 0-4 from 3land) besides his turnover without an assist.  His subpar game gave Caleb the opportunity that he took such good advantage of.

Sean Stewart (3:39) garnered a rebound, blocked a shot, and committed a turnover, all without a shot attempt, in his first-half cameo.

Jaylen Blakes (2:08) missed his only shot, a wide open 3-pointer on a great pass from Tyrese.  It was a bad miss and he was replaced quickly.

Next Play: Friday, November 17, 2023, at 6:00 pm vs Bucknell at Cameron Indoor Stadium.  TV: ACCN


​Duke Blue Devils 90 v. Bucknell Bison 60 (Season 15; Issue 4; Game #4) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #4 (November 17, 2023)

“Don’t bring me down”: Mark Mitchell notched 20 points against the Bison, his collegiate high, to lead Duke in scoring.  It was his best collegiate game yet. Photo credit: AP Photo/Ben McKeown

Bill’s Cliff Notes:

When I started playing tennis seriously, I was fortunate to have Don Henson as my tennis coach. Among other things he taught me was that there are three keys/levels to playing better tennis. Learn to hit a shot consistently in practice, in a match, and on a big point. Basketball is similar. Master skills until they become second nature and you can execute them under pressure.

Jon Scheyer and his coaching staff have forgotten more basketball than I will ever know. However, I have watched and played the game for many years and have opinions. Here are some:

There are a multiplicity of reasons for college basketball teams to schedule teams of lesser talent to start the season: ease into a long, grueling season, pad records with easy wins, give their teams a scrimmage against unfamiliar talent in front of a live audience, and give the coaches an opportunity to assess all their players in a real game environment. Tonight was one of those games. Bucknell has a decent basketball resume, but time has left them behind the current curve.

Jared McCain showed he was as good as advertised and deserves to start by scoring 17 points while grabbing 10 rebounds, his best numbers yet. Coach Scheyer maintains he has six starters including Caleb Foster. “We’ve talked a lot about guard rebounding and for Jared to come off a game where he probably didn’t play as well or play as much as he wanted to. Seventeen and 10 for me, I love the 10 more than the 17,” said Scheyer. Incidentally, this team is guard heavy as Proctor, Foster, McCain, Roach, and Blakes can play both the point and shooting positions.

Mark Mitchell is listed at 6 ‘9” but seems to play smaller. (Don’t get me started on players listed size. They are like a golf handicap—inflated.) Whatever, he is a “glue” player and an integral part of this team. Tonight, he was more aggressive, especially when Filipowski was out of the game, scoring 20 points and grabbing 6 rebounds.

Proctor and Roach shot more confidently and better. Ryan Young played his usual intense, heady game getting a steal and breakaway dunk. 

Sean Stewart, an intriguing, unique prospect is too good an athlete to remain glued to the bench, played 16 minutes and got 7 rebounds, 6 points, and 3 steals. Apparently, he needs to understand the game to better compliment his athleticism. T. J. Power appeared briefly but appears to be a candidate for a red shirt season as well as more use this year for him and his 88 mph fastball on the baseball team.

Filipowski appeared to have seriously injured his ankle late in the first half but played briefly in the second and looked fine. Unfortunately, Christian Reeves did injure an ankle in practice and is in a walking boot. 

For this Duke team to be a contender not a pretender, it needs to remain healthy (especially Filipowski), the guards need to mature (rebound & shoot well), and defense needs to make up for the sheer lack of size.

Caleb Foster stands with his team, cheering Jared McCain’s shot into the basket, as McCain did when Foster was hot against Michigan State.  Photo Credit: Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports

ALANALYSIS:

Duke’s guards provided superb shooting from behind the arc, exactly the element the Duke offense needs if it is to reach potential needed for a grand season.  McCain and Proctor were each 5-8 from deep.  Jeremy Roach was 3-5.  Caleb Foster misfired early, but managed 3-9 from behind the arc.  In total, the guards were 13-21 without Caleb’s 3-9 (16-30).  If the guards shoot like that against elite opponents, this will be a season to remember!

The Offense

Duke had 23 assists on 32 made field goals, which is a great percentage and shows how smoothly the offense was operating.  Moreover, the Blue Devils only turned it over 7 times.  What an impressive ratio! Duke shot almost 50% (49.2%) from the field for the game.  Four of the starters scored in double figures: Mark Mitchell (a career high) 20 points; Jared McCain, 17; Tyrese Proctor, 13: and Kyle (Flip) Filipowski, 10. Jeremy Roach almost made double figures with 9 points.  Caleb Foster, who is described by Coach Scheyer as the 6th starter, also scored 9 points.

Flip turned his ankle and had to leave the game with 6:47 left to play in the first half, and Duke leading by 9 (33-24).  In the last 6:47 before halftime, the Blue Devils increased the lead to 15 (44-29) with Flip in the locker room being treated.  He started the second half and played over 4 minutes before being given the rest of the night off.

The Defense

The defense gave up 26 points in the first half to Bucknell’s stars – Jack Forrest had 15 (including three 3-pointers in a row) while Ruot Bijek scored 11.  The Blue Devils made effective half-time adjustments, holding Forrest to 2 second-half points and shutting Bijek out completely in the closing stanza.  The lead soared to 34 in the second half.  After the first 14 minutes (when the Bison cut Duke’s lead to 6), Bucknell never got the score close enough to seriously challenge Duke’s dominance.

The Rotation

Jared McCain (27:24) not only scored 17 points on 5-8 from the field, including 5-7 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the stripe, he led Duke in rebounding, garnering 10.  What a great double-double!  And a great bounce-back from a bad shooting game against Michigan State.

Jeremy Roach (23:39) scored 9 efficient points on 3-5 shooting from the field, including 2-3 from behind the arc.  He was 1-2 from the foul line.  He (and Proctor) shut down Jack Forrest in the second half.  Jeremy is a terrific defender!

Tyrese Proctor (22:49) scored 13 points on 5-8 from the field, including 3-6 from behind the arc.  In addition to playing great defense against Bucknell’s best scorer, Tyrese grabbed 3 rebounds, made a steal, and handed out 4 assists without a turnover.

Caleb Foster (22:20) did not shoot as well as he did against Michigan State, going 3-9 from the field, including 2-7 from behind the arc.   He was 1-2 from the stripe for a total of 9 points.  Caleb played a terrific floor game with 4 rebounds and 6 assists without a turnover.   Scheyer said, “Caleb could start easily. But for this game, we want to continue to build. And it’s not about just playing better, who’s shooting better. There’s the chemistry. There’s the continuity that we’re trying to develop. But Caleb, no question, is a starter whether he’s coming off the bench or not. We’ve had six starters the whole way.”

Mark Mitchell (21:58) had the best game of his young college career, leading Duke’s scoring with 20 points (8-13 from the field, including 1-3 from 3land, plus 3-3 from the stripe.  Mark can defend 4 or even 5 positions, which he does well.  He grabbed 6 boards to go with 2 assists and a blocked shot.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (16:44) was limited by his sprained ankle late in the first half.  Despite his injury-shortened time on the court, Flip scored 10 points on 3-4 from the field and 4-4 from the stripe.  He missed his only deep shot.  In addition, Flip grabbed 6 tough rebounds, and added an assist, 2 steals, and a blocked shot.  He is a force!

Jaylen Blakes (16:38) created chaos with his defense and scored 2 points (1-3 from the field including 0-1 from deep).  It was a wide open 3; the second one of those he has missed in 2 games.  Jaylen had 2 rebounds, an assist, and a steal.

Sean Stewart (16:08) demonstrated his athleticism and potential, scoring 6 points on 3-7 shooting.  He grabbed 7 rebounds (2nd high on the team behind McCain’s 10) and had 3 steals.  He shows signs of becoming a valuable rotation player.

Ryan Young (13:45) handed out 5 assists without a turnover, while scoring 2 points (1-1 from the field) and grabbing 3 boards.  He also had a great steal on the perimeter, which produced a gaudy floor length dribble and dramatic dunk.

T.J. Power (11:25) got his first real playing time, and got his first 2 college points on 2-2 from the stripe.  Power was 0-4 from the field, including 0-3 from behind the arc.  He had a rebound and an assist.

Next Play: Tuesday, November 21, 2023, at 7 pm in Cameron Indoor Stadium vs. La Salle.  TV: ACCN


Duke Blue Devils 95 v. LaSalle Explorers 66 (Season 15; Issue 5; Game 5) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Tyrese Proctor played the game of his life as a scorer and running the Duke offense.  He has not committed a turnover in his last 3 games (since he went back to last year’s hairstyle). Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s Cliff Notes

For the first time this year, Duke’s full complement of both freshman and sophomore basketball talent was on display Tuesday night. And the conclusion is: there is an embarrassment of riches! LaSalle is not untalented, just not as tall and as talented and as deep as the Blue Devils. The Explorer guards are very impressive; their big men not so much. 

Once again, Filipowski, the one indispensable Duke player, committed two silly fouls early and sat for a long period of the first half. While it freed playing time for others, it showed how much Flip means to the offense –once  the center was back in the game, his assertiveness and talent sparked a second-half run that quickly put the game on ice. Mark Mitchell took the twin opportunities of Filipowski’s absence and of being guarded by a smaller opponent to play more aggressively on offense, while Tyrese Proctor continued to impress in all facets of the game. The only problem is Coach Scheyer has a difficult job deciding playing time for all the talent, to keep everyone happy.

Duke Freshman Sean Stewart finished with 16 points and 10 boards, six of them offensive. If Sean can continue to play as if he were Grant Hill’s younger brother, he could emerge as a very key player for Duke. He flat out can do things no one else on this roster can do. The faster he continues to improve, the better Duke will be this year (and next). Even T.J. Power, the 6′ 9” pitcher, showed why he was so highly rated by making three straight threes. Only Jared McCain, the highest rated frosh, had a mediocre shooting night—but there are no worries that he will gain more consistency.  Christian Reeves had his walking boot off but was not in uniform.  Btw, Jaden Schutt is redshirting this year.

Sean receiving a superb pass from Flip and laying it up backhand.  A great play by a freshman who could become a force. Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

Duke had an offensive jamboree against La Salle, especially in the second half when the Blue Devils scored 56 points, shot 60% from the field (19-32, including 7-13 from behind the arc), and had four double-digit scorers: Tyrese Proctor with 22 points, Kyle (Flip) Filipowsi with 17 points, Mark Mitchell with 12, and Sean Stewart (with 16 points off the bench in only l7:43 minutes of play!).  Sean had his first double-double by grabbing 10 rebounds, 6 on the offensive glass. T.J. Power played only 5:36 but scored 9 points when he made his first three 3-point shots of the game and his college career.  It was that kind of night.

For the game, Duke had 21 assists (Flip and Tyrese each with 4; Mark, Jeremy, and Caleb 3 each) on 36 made field goals, while turning it over only 5 times.  What an amazing ratio of assists to turnovers!

The First Half

Duke led by only a point (19-18) at the 10 minute mark of the first half.  The defense was just not effective.  Yet less than 3 minutes later, the Blue Devils had opened a double digit lead of 10 points (29-19 with 7:20 left to play).  The lead swung between 8 and 10 for the remainder of the half (39-29 at the half).  Flip had a subpar first half, picking up 2 early fouls, which limited his playing time to 10:42.  He scored only 3 points, shooting 1-4 from the field and 1-2 from the foul line. 

Tyrese led Duke in scoring and leadership, especially in the first half.  In almost 18 minutes, he tallied 14 points on 5-8 from the field, including 2-3 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the foul line.  Mark Mitchell scored 8 first-half points on 4-5 from the field, including 0-1 from deep, to go with 4 rebounds and 3 assists in his 16:23 of playing time.  In only 6:24, Sean was 3-3 for 6 points, to go with 5 boards and a blocked shot.   Jeremy Roach played 16:23, scoring 4 points on 2-5 from the field, but 0-2 from behind the arc.  He had 2 boards, an assist, and a steal.  Caleb Foster logged 7:40, scoring 2 points on 1-4 from the field, including 0-2 from 3land.

The Second Half

Duke broke the game wide open early in the second half.  Even though Flip picked up his 3rd foul just 38 seconds into the half, he scored 9 points in the next 2 minutes to extend the Blue Devil lead to 20 points (51-31 with 17:34 to be played). Scheyer said, “the job that Flip did in the second half – he wasn’t quite himself in the first half – to respond mid-game, that’s a big deal, what he did in the second half.  I am so proud of his effort.” Flip scored 14 second-half points in 12:08 (5-6 from the field, including 2-3 from behind the arc, plus 2-3 from the foul line).  He added 2 rebounds, a steal, a blocked shot, and 3 assists without a turnover.  What a stat line!

Proctor scored 8 second-half points on 2-3 from the field and 4-4 from the foul line in 11:46.  Tyrese, in his best game at Duke, grabbed 5 second-half rebounds and handed out 3 assists without a turnover.  Tyrese has not turned it over since his 3 turnovers in the Arizona game.

The Duke lead was 30 with 1:26 to go in the game.   In the second half, Sean Stewart scored 10 points (4-6 from the field and 2-2 from the foul line) to go with 5 boards.  McCain made his last two 3-point attempts after missing his first two (6 points; 3 boards and an assist).  Foster played 14 minutes, scoring 5 points (2-4, 0-1 from deep and 1-1 from the stripe). He added a pair of assists.

The defense was not intense, allowing the Explorers to score 37 second-half points and shoot 47%. As Scheyer said, “guarding the ball was something we didn’t do well overall.”  Duke’s prolific offense made the defensive lapses hardly noticeable.

“Uptown Dunk”: Mark Mitchell played what Coach Scheyer called his best game.  He can guard all positions and is becoming a fierce scorer.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Rotation

Tyrese Proctor (29:42) played a marvelous game, perhaps his best ever at Duke.  Proctor scored 22 points (his most at Duke, on 7-11 from the field, including 2-3 from deep and a gaudy 6-6 from the stripe).  He also grabbed 7 defensive rebounds and handed out 4 assists.  0 turnovers … again.  After his subpar game against Arizona (3 turnovers, including a travel when Duke trailed by a point with 28 seconds left in the game), Tyrese went back to last year’s hair style and has not committed a turnover since.

Jared McCain (25:21) had a poor shooting game before he made his last two 3-point attempts late in the game.  He scored 6 on 2-7 from the field, including 2-4 from behind the arc.  McCain came up with 6 rebounds and passed out 2 assists against 2 turnovers.  He defends.

Jeremy Roach (25:48) does not have to score to be the team leader!  Jeremy is not a prolific scorer in games where Duke leads by a substantial margin as in this game.  But Roach is a prolific clutch scorer.  As the announcers said last night, he “makes his own shots.”  With Duke leading all the way, Jeremy scored 4 points on 2-8 shooting, including 0-3 from 3land.  The co-captain grabbed 3 boards, handed out 3 assists without a turnover and made a steal.

Mark Mitchell (25:04) played an excellent game, scoring 12 points :5-6 from the field, including 0-1 from deep, plus a dismal 2-6 from the foul line (he had been 13-14 for the season). Scheyer said it was Mark’s best game: “Mark was just really efficient, attacking the basket, three offensive rebounds. He had three assists and no turnovers.” 

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (22:32) played a great second half, as described above.  In addition to scoring, Flip does it all.  He had 5 rebounds, passed out 4 assists, had 2 blocked shots, and an assist.

Caleb Foster (21:44) did not have a great shooting game (7 points on 3-8 from the field, including 0-3 from behind the arc.  He made his only foul shot).  Caleb handed out 3 assists with only one turnover.

Sean Stewart (17:43) had an amazing game off the bench with his first double-double at Duke (10 rebounds to lead Duke; 16 points on 7-9 shooting, plus 2-2 from the stripe).  Coach Scheyer gushed, “He brings in great energy. And look, we’re still figuring out lineups and who plays well together and who complements one another. But when you have six offensive rebounds, 10 total rebounds, and he did a good job finishing, and the exciting part for me with Sean is he’s got so much room to grow. He’s at such an early stage of his development as a player. But he can do something right now that translates with his ability to rebound, his ability to protect the rim, his versatility guarding the ball. … And so, I’m just proud of his effort, not just tonight, but the way that he’s grown really since he got here in July to now.” 

Jaylen Blakes (15:03) is a great defender, who just cannot get his offense rolling.  He again did not score (0-1).  He had a rebound and an assist.  He is getting chances.

Ryan Young (9:05) is first off the bench, but is losing playing time to Stewart.  Ryan scored 2 (1-3 from the field, including 0-1 from deep) when La Salle refused to guard him behind the arc.  Ryan also had 2 boards and a nifty assist.

T.J. Power (5:36) did not get into the game until the last 6 minutes;  then he put on a show, hitting his first three 3-point attempts.  That he missed a late heat check 3-pointer was superfluous.

Coach K and Mickey make a rare appearance at a Duke home game to honor his long standing friendship with La Salle coach Fran Dunphy.  They played together on Army touring teams and stayed friends for life.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Next Play: Friday, November 24, 2023 at 6 pm vs Southern Indiana in Cameron Indoor Stadium.  ACCN.


Duke Blue Devils 80 v. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles 62 (Season 15; Issue 6; Game 6) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Senior Captain Jeremy Roach makes his own shots

Photo credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes

Twas four years since it occurred but all through my head
Shades of Stephen-Austin, a 27 point underdog, upsetting #1 Duke, danced in my head.

Not a player was effective, not even Flip. 

Tonight, unranked Southern Indiana was outplaying, outexecuting, and beating #9 Duke for the entire first half! In the second half, the Blue Devil’s woke up and took care of business, winning 80-62. The MVP(Most Valuable Person) was Coach Jon Scheyer, who apparently morphed into Coach K at halftime, then made these comments after the game:

“Southern Indiana came out really ready to play, well prepared, and they played harder than we did in the beginning. I think that is pretty clear. You don’t need me to tell you that. That is disappointing. That is not acceptable…We have to know we have a lot of things we have to do better. That has been my message to the team. We are not close to where we want to be. It’s good to win, but it is not just about winning; it is about playing to the best of your ability. 

 “Tyrese and Flip are always gonna be focal points of what we do and those two together are even better,” 

However, make no mistake about the fact that this first half was a disturbing performance for a top ranked team, The Blue Devils cannot continue to shoot 30% from behind the three point line and only 60% from the free throw line and beat many teams. There are a lot of good shooters, on a lot of mediocre teams in college basketball, that on any given night can get hot for most of forty minutes and upset better teams. That is why Coach Scheyer stresses defense and rebounding. And that is why consistently executing your offense precisely and consistently hitting a high percentage of shots is essential to being a top team.

This is a talented but young squad which needs to toughen up and grow up, because the games get tougher and tougher as the season gets longer and longer.

It is no surprise Duke can rely on senior Jeremy Roach, who has consistently come through on several occasions. He tied the game at 35-35 on the line and he scored 8 points during a key stretch in the second half when the Screaming Eagles were trying to make a move to get back into contention. Later, with Duke holding an 11 point lead with four minutes to go, Roach hit a layup to push it back to 13. Filipowski should take note. In the last few games, Flip has played like a rookie in the first half before morphing into an All-American in the second.

This was not only a chance to pick up a win but also a chance for individual players to work on their skills, team efficiency, consistency, and chemistry. Playtime is over– more serious challenges are ahead.

Christian Reeves is out of his boot and dressed out but did not play.

“Flip Flop Fly” 
Photo Credit: GoDuke.

ALANALYSIS

This game was not a feel good game for Duke fans, even though the Blue Devils put on a superb offensive display in the second half.  Duke’s defense for the entire game and lack of energy in the first half are not good omens for the coming season.  Coach Scheyer explained it eloquently as Bill quoted him above. Duke simply did not play hard.  … 

The Defense

Coach Scheyer articulated what we all saw about Duke’s previously vaunted defense: “For me, it was just our defense. We just were giving up layups like crazy. Up until this point, we have held every team below their scoring average, and that is something we take a lot of pride in; we have been good defensively. Clearly, we are still not where we need to be by the end of the year, …. I thought that showed where our heads were at just giving up layups in transition and letting guys get behind us. …We are not close to where we want to be. … When you’re not coming out the right way, it does not matter what you’re running. You have to play defense. You have to get stops. I thought anytime you don’t come out the right way on defense, it can affect your offense. Tyrese and Flip are always going to be focal points of what we do, and those two together are even better. But for me, it came down to our defense in the beginning and not being at the same level. But I am glad we responded. I thought the end of the [first] half was key, and we must move on quickly now, and we’re going on the road for the next two games.” 

The Offense

The offense was a tale of two halves (the first half was only the first 15 minutes; so count the second half as 25 minutes)

The First Half

 We all watched with our jaws hanging open as Southern Indiana’s Screaming Eagles dominated Duke for the first 15 minutes!  Dominated!!  This is a team so new to Division I that Southern Indiana is not even eligible for the NCAA tournament this year and has lost 5 of its first 6 games – dominating Duke – in Cameron no less!  Simply jaw dropping. The Screaming Eagles led by double digits after only 5:51 had elapsed (15-5).  Southern Indiana led by 10 points five different times (with 9:33 left; 8:40; 8:12; 5:41; and 5:02).  The Screaming Eagles still led by 8 with 3:04 remaining in the half.

While Scheyer was depressed about the Blue Devil defense, he could not have been cheered by the offense, which had scored only 22 points in the first 15 minutes of the first half to trail 32-22.  Duke’s second unit (Ryan, Caleb, Jalen, and Sean)finally jelled, reducing Southern Indiana’s lead to 4 at half-time (35-31).  Even with the 9 points Duke scored in the last five minutes, they shot only 37 % for the half (12-32, including 1-8 from deep) from the field and 6- 10 from the stripe.  The Blue Devils had only 4 assists in the entire first half (Mark, Flip, Jared, and Tyrese 1 each) and 4 turnovers (Tyrese had 2, Caleb and Ryan had 1 each).

The Second Half

The Blue Devils came alive after being serenaded by Coach Scheyer at half-time.  Duke scored 49 second-half points, shooting a gaudy 60% (17-28, including 4-10 from behind the arc).  Duke was 13-18 inside the arc and handed out 9 assists against only 3 turnovers.  Flip and Jeremy scored as many second-half points as the entire team had scored in the first half – 31 (Jeremy scored 16 and Flip 15).  McCain added 6 points on 2-3 from behind the arc.  Tyrese Proctor also scored 6 (2-3 from the field, including 0-1 from deep, plus 2-2 from the stripe), but more importantly he handed out 6 second-half assists.  Caleb’s 4 points and Mark’s 2 completed Duke’s second-half scoring.  Scheyer: “Flip and Jeremy did some big-time things in the second half. Look, we need those guys to be that way in both halves.” 

Sean, Jaylen, and Ryan all had small, scoreless cameos in the closing stanza.

Coach Scheyer surveys his team before “serenading” them at half time.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Rotation

Tyrese Proctor (35:35) played a very good second half after a disappointing (especially on defense) first half.  The sophomore co-captain (there have been only 4 other sophomore captains in Duke history) scored 11 points on 4-7 from the field, including 1-4 from deep – he made his first one.  Tyrese was 2-2 from the stripe with 2 boards and 7 assists (6 in the second half) against 3 turnovers.

Jeremy Roach (31:50) had a superb second half (playing 19 minutes in the closing stanza) after a disappointing first half.  The senior co-captain scored 18 points (16 in the second half on 5-8 shooting) on 6-12 from the field, including 2-4 from deep.  He was 4-5 from the foul line.  When Duke needs him, Jeremy delivers!

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (31:15) scored 21 points to lead Duke (15 in the second half) on 8-16 from the field, including 0-3 from behind the arc, plus only 5-9 from the stripe.  As always, Flip had a multitude of other gaudy statistics: 14 rebounds, 3 assists, a steal and 3 blocked shots.

Mark Mitchell (27:40) had a modest game on offense, scoring only 6 points (2-6 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land.  Mark was 2-4 from the stripe).  He had 6 rebounds and an assist without a turnover.  Even with Mark’s offense being less than his usual, his almost-28 minutes were well worth it for his defense and rebounding.

Jared McCain (21:22) scored 10 points (4-6 from the field, including 2-4 from behind the arc).  Jared had 2 assists and 2 steals without a turnover.  This is the first game where he did not grab a rebound.

Caleb Foster (21:03) scored 9 points (3-8 from the field, including  0-1 from 3land, plus 3-6 from the foul line).  Caleb grabbed 3 defensive rebounds.  He had a turnover without an assist.

Sean Stewart (10:58) grabbed 3 boards and blocked a shot without scoring (0-2 from the field).

Jaylen Blakes (10:10) is still the defensive disrupter when Duke wants to press on defense.  He had a steal, but still failed to score … again  (0-1 on another missed wide open 3)

Ryan Young (10:07) scored 5 points (2-2 from the field plus 1-2 from the foul line).  The third co-captain (a very experienced graduate transfer from Northwestern) also grabbed 3 rebounds in his short stint.  He has proved an effective substitute when Flip and Mark are rested.

The Screaming Eagles earned the respect of the basketball community with such a gutsy performance.  SIU was a Division II school until last year.  This is only their second year as a Division I school (all action and NCAA tournament eligibility is confined to Division I schools).  This team played with heart, discipline and never gave up.  Even when Duke opened its second half lead, Southern Indiana played hard and well.  Duke won the game, but the Screaming Eagles were not losers.

Next Play: Wednesday, November 29 against Arkansas Razorbacks at 9:15 pm in Fayetteville, Arkansas as part of the ACC-SEC challenge.  ESPN


Duke Blue Devils 75 v. Arkansas Razorbacks 80 (Season 15; Issue 6; Game 6) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

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Captain Jeremy showing off his driving skills, netting him 22 points for the game.

Photo credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s Cliff Notes

 This was either the best thing to happen to this young team or a sign that the freshmen, in particular, and the team, as a whole, were overrated. It is interesting that two upperclassmen—Roach and Filipowski– were the only two Duke players who scored well. And Filipowski did his usual (this year) trick of committing two quick fouls, which sent him to the bench for a long spell. Interestingly, the Blue Devils did not fall too far behind then. That came later. Unfortunately, none of the freshmen played well and neither did Mitchell, who was left unguarded on the perimeter—just as Arizona when they beat Duke — daring him to shoot jumpers, so they could double the paint.

 There is no way to sugarcoat this loss. Duke was beaten badly in every category for most of the game—especially scoring. Proctor, McCain, Foster, and Stewart were non-factors offensively. And that, apparently, affected their defense. This team either needs to get mentally a lot tougher and more consistent or (horrors) they do not have complementary players.

2023-2024_MBB_Game_Arkansas_11_28-01

Fouling was the only answer the Razorbacks had to Jeremy’s powerful drives. Photo credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

I echo Bill’s lament, “There is no way to sugarcoat this loss. Duke was beaten badly in every category for most of the game.”  The category where Duke was most wanting was the shooting of everyone-not-named-Jeremy Roach (22 points on 7-13 from the field, including 1-1 from 3land, plus 7-9 from the stripe). Kyle (Flip) Filipowski did have a brilliant second half, after a foul-shortened first half where he scored only 3 points.  T.J. Powers hit two 3-pointers for 6 points in 13:28 first-half minutes before failing to score in his 6:38 second-half minutes.  Otherwise, the Blue Devils were horribly deficient.

Consider Duke’s 3-point shooting for the game: Mark Michell (0-3), Flip (1-5), Tyrese Proctor (1-6), and Caleb Foster (0-2) were a combined 2-16 from behind the arc.  Adding in T.J.’s 2-2, McCain’s 1-3, and Jeremy’s 1-1, Duke was still only 6-22 – outscored 27-18 from deep by the Razorbacks.  Duke’s shooting wasn’t much better from closer to the basket (18-45).   Overall from the field for the game, Mark was 2-8, McCain 1-7, Proctor 3-12, Caleb Foster (0-5) — (total for those four players is 6-31).  

Ryan Young, Sean Stewart, Jaylen Blakes, and Christian Reeves did not attempt a shot or score a point.  So much for Duke’s deep bench.  To compound bad shooting, the Blue Devils missed 10 free throws (21-31).  Without Flip’s 7-8, Jeremy’s 7-9, and Mark 2-2 the rest of the team was 5-12 (Sean 0-2, Caleb 2-4, Ryan 1-2, and Jared 2-4). Less than 50% from the line!

It was not just the offense.  Coach Scheyer had much to say about Duke’s soft defensive effort. Scheyer: “The beginning of the second half was key and we came out and just gave up a bunch of layups. … I thought our offense right away affected our defense. The resistance on the ball, our second level defense, our protection coming over on the weak side, it wasn’t there for us to the level that it needs to be. Bottom line. … We’re going to watch film and I think the thing we’re going to see is giving up layups. Giving up our paint too easily … for me, it’s the defense and the collective effort on that end.” 

First Half

The opening stanza was close with each team looking a bit sloppy.  Neither team led by more than 2 points, except when Duke led by 3 points twice – the first time for 20 seconds and the second time for almost a minute. With a minute to go, the Blue Devils led by 2 before Davenport of the Razorbacks hit a 3 pointer with 24 seconds left in the half to give Arkansas a 33-32 lead at halftime.  The defense that allowed that open 3 pointer was a harbinger of how the second half would go.  Flip went to the bench with his second foul after only 5 minutes had been played, and scored only 3 points in his 11:56 of playing time (1-4, including 0-1 from behind the arc, plus 1-2 from the foul line).  As Coach Scheyer said after the Bucknell game, Duke needs Flip for both halves.

Second Half

With 6:20 having elapsed in the half, Duke trailed by only a single point, 44-43, after which the wheels started to come off.  Only 2 and ½ minutes later, the Blue Devils trailed by ten, 55-45.  The Razorback lead fluctuated between 10 and 14 for the remainder of the half (although it dwindled briefly to 9 twice).  With 1:20 left in the game, Duke still trailed by 10 when Flip’s scoring rampage and the Duke full court press made an intense run.  In 12 seconds, Flip cut the lead in half (a 3-pointer, a steal and layup) 75-70.  Roach went 1-2 from the stripe when fouled, cutting Arkansas’s lead to 4 (75-71) with 46 seconds left.  After a pair of Razorback free throws, Flip scored on an offensive rebound. 77-73 with 27 seconds remaining.  After another Arkansas free throw (78-73), Flip was fouled and made both foul shots (78-75 with 17 seconds left).  But that was as close as the Blue Devils got.  After the Razorbacks again went 1-2 from the line (79-75), Foster missed a 3 with 5 seconds left and Duke had to foul.  Arkansas went 1-2 (again) for the final 80-75 margin.  Flip scored 23 second-half points – 9 in the minute that followed Arkansas’s last 10 point lead.  From Clark Kent to Superman!

The Rotation

Jeremy Roach (37:58) showed why he is co-captain and leader of this team, scoring 22 points on 7-13 from the field, including 1-1 from behind the arc.  His acrobatic drives to the basket earned him 9 foul shots (7-9) to go with a pair of rebounds, a pair of assists, and a steal, all without a single turnover.

Tyrese Proctor (32:52) had another subpar game against a power conference opponent (Arizona).  He scored only 7 points on 3-12 from the field, including a disastrous 1-6 from behind the arc without drawing a foul.  Tyrese did grab 3 boards, hand out 4 assists and make 2 steals while committing only a single turnover.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski had a heroic second half after a foul-plagued quiet first half (each described above).  Flip had 26 points on 9-20 from the field, including 1-5 from deep, plus a critical 7-8 from the foul line.  Flip had yet another double-double by grabbing 10 boards.  He handed out an assist, blocked a shot, and made 2 steals, while also committing 3 turnovers.

Jared McCain (31:39) shot poorly (1-7 from the field including 1-3 from behind the arc, plus 2-4 from the foul line for only 5 total points).  He played so many minutes because he was a great rebounder for a guard (10 boards to tie Flip for team lead). He had 2 assists and 2 steals, without a turnover.

Mark Mitchell (18:42) did not play well.  He scored 6 points on 2-8 from the field, including a frustrating 0-3 from deep.  Frustrating because Arkansas decided not to guard him on the perimeter, and Mark could not make the Razorbacks pay for that strategy.  He was 2-2 from the foul line with 3 rebounds and a turnover.

Caleb Foster (18:30) scored only 2 points (0-5 from the field, including 0-2 from 3land).  He was 50% from the stripe (2-4) with an assist and a turnover.  Not very productive for the so-called 6th starter.

T.J. Powers (13:28) came in when Duke was floundering.  The Blue Devils went to a zone defense, which was briefly effective and protected T.J. from having to defend man to man.  Powers hit his first two 3-pointers for 6 points, but did not take another shot.  He grabbed a rebound.

Ryan Young (9:18) replaced Flip when Flip committed his second foul, but then Ryan committed 3 of his own first half fouls (4 for the game) while going 1-2 from the foul line for his only point.  He did not take a shot from the field, but blocked 2 shots and grabbed a rebound.  He turned it over once.

Sean Stewart (2:44) missed 2 free throws without another statistic in his cameo.

Jaylen Blakes (2:28) had another scoreless cameo.  No statistics.

Christian Reeves (0:44) came in briefly when Ryan picked up his 3rd first half foul.  It turned out to be a short cameo when Scheyer put Flip back in.  No statistics.

Conference Play Commences as Duke’s Play Has Underwhelmed

Going into the season, with 8 returning players, 4 starters including Flip, pre-season ACC Player of the Year, and the second ranked recruiting class in the country, expectations for a championship (ACC or NCAA) were running high.  After losses to Arizona and Arkansas demonstrated real weaknesses on both sides of the ball, disappointment among fans is a growing emotion..  Neither loss will be significant in March if the Devils can regain their swagger, shooting eye, and defensive intensity.  The Championship quest (ACC regular season) begins Saturday in Atlanta Georgia against Georgia Tech.  The Yellow Jackets beat ranked Mississippi State in the ACC-SEC challenge and looked good doing it.  Road games in the ACC are tough, making this almost a crucial game.

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“They call me Superman”: Flip shook off the kryptonite to nearly rescue the second half with 23 points, 6 rebounds, and 2 steals.

Photo credit: GoDuke.com

Next Play: Saturday, December 2, 2023 at 2:15 p.m. against Georgia Tech in Atlanta in the conference opener for both teams.  CW Network (in NYC that is WPIX).


Duke Blue Devils 68 v. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 72 (Season 15; Issue 7; Game 7) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Mayday! Mayday!! Proctor is injured.   
Photo credit:  Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire

 

Bill Millers’s CliffsNotes

Mayday, Mayday, Mayday…What a shipwreck! A Duke basketball team that can’t shoot threes or foul shots or play defense, can’t start fast, or finish a game efficiently– or keep its composure after a winning play. (That would be you, Mark Mitchell.) And yet this Duke team was in position to possibly win all three games that they just lost—especially Georgia Tech–if they had just executed one, or possibly two, of the fundamentals listed above. And to top it off, Tyrese Proctor was injured early in today’s game. How seriously, we don’t know, but after not putting any weight on his ankle leaving the court, he spent the rest of the game on the bench with an ice pack on his ankle.

Actually, you could see this outcome in your worst dream but were hoping it wouldn’t happen. Only it did. The team (and Filipowski) misses Dereck Lively II a great deal. Without him, the Blue Devils are a small team and Flip is stretched thin. He is being required to do too much and, therefore, is being less effective than if he operated as a combination power forward/finesse center.

Somehow, Coach Scheyer and his staff will figure it out and the freshmen will mature….

–or the freshman class was just overrated.

2023-2024_MBB_Game_Georgia_Tech_12_2-01“We need a hero, but if we can’t find one I’ll just do it myself, I will ”: Ever reliable Jeremy – Duke’s leading scorer.  Photo credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

Duke played its first ACC foe on the road as a heavy favorite.  Georgia Tech had lost to UMass Lowell at home by 3 points, and at Cincinnati, on the road, by 35 points.  Duke not only lost to Georgia Tech 72-68, but the Blue Devils were beaten more badly than the close score indicates. The Blue Devils had a disastrous shooting night and only led for 1:38 of the game (while the Yellow Jackets led for 34:40).  Duke was 4-16 from deep.  Kyle (Flip) Filipowski and Jared McCain were each 0-3; Jaylen Blakes was 0-2; and Mark Mitchell was 0-1.  Georgia Tech, like Arkansas and Arizona, did not guard Mark on the perimeter.  

From the foul line, Duke was 12-20.  Jeremy Roach’s  6-7 and Flip’s 4-6 made the statistics less disastrous than they appeared.  Without Jeremy and Flip, Duke was 2-7 (Caleb Foster 1-4, Mark Mitchell 1-3). Some were the front end of one and ones. Ryan Young, Jared McCain, T.J Power, Jaylen Blakes and Sean Stewart did not draw a free throw.

If Tyrese Proctor’s injury keeps him from playing for an extended time, this will be a real problem for the Blue Devil backcourt on both sides of the ball.

The Offense

Jeremy Roach, who played all 40 minutes of the game, led the Duke offense with 20 points (6-12 from the field, including 2-3 from 3-land, plus 6-7 from the foul line.  Jeremy was gallant, pulling down 8 rebounds while handing out 4 assists and making 2 steals. However, with Duke trailing by 2 with 18 seconds left, it was the Senior co-captain who failed to get a shot off (twice).  

Scheyer: “Jeremy kept us in it. He was really good throughout. He’s been in a lot of those games, so he’s not fazed by anything. That’s why at the end, down the stretch, it’s just him and Flip, playing a two-man game. And they made some big-time plays. He did a really good job; he did all he could. The only thing is on the last play, we’ve got to get a shot up. But besides that, he was really solid and really dependable throughout.”

Jeremy: “Yeah, I got the ball, and I had three guys running at me at one time. It was kind of difficult getting it out of that corner. But I should’ve made a better play. It’s on us at the end of the day.”

The First Half

The Blue Devils managed only 31 first-half points on 37% shooting from the floor, including 20% from behind the arc (2-10; both makes were by Jeremy, who was 2-3; Blakes was 0-2 to continue his season-long futility from deep; Flip, Jared, Caleb, J.T. Power, and Mark were 0-1).  Duke had only 4 assists on 13 baskets. Only Flip (2-4) and Jeremy (1-2) got to the free throw line (3-6 for the team).  Jeremy, who played all 20 minutes (40 minutes for the game) led the scoring with 11 points.  Flip and Caleb each scored 6 points.

Duke scored only 2 points in the first 3:34 of the game to trail by 10 points (12-2). The Blue Devils clawed back to lead by 2 with 6:58 left in the half (23-21) but could not hold it.  Duke trailed by 6 with 1:05 to go before Flip made a lay up to cut Duke’s halftime deficit to 4 (35-31).

The Second Half

The Yellow Jackets quickly moved their lead to double figures (highest was 11), and still led by 10 with 9:21 left in the game.  Duke fought back gallantly to tie the score at 62 all with 3:43 left and take the lead on Mark Mitchell’s dunk (64-62) with 2:56 to go.  Then came the defining play of the game.  With 2:41 left, Mark was fouled, but missed the front end of the one and one.  Mark heroically got the offensive rebound and dunked it.  Duke 68 v. Georgia Tech 64 with 2:22 to go. Then Mark got in the defender’s (Miles Kelly) face with a taunt!  Technical foul.  Kelly made both foul shots, followed by a jump shot to tie the score just 22 seconds after Mark’s spectacular dunk.  Flip gave Duke its last lead with a cool layup with 1:36 left.  Duke 68-66.  Tech’s freshman big man, Baye Ndongo, who had never scored more than 8 points in a game in his career (he scored 21 in this game), gathered in 2 lobs for virtually uncontested dunks (to tie the game at 68 with 1:20 to go) and (to give Georgia Tech the lead, with 40 seconds left, 70-68). 

Duke got lucky because after a Roach turnover, Duke had to foul.  The Yellow Jacket missed the front end of a one and one, giving Duke the ball with 21 seconds left, trailing by only 2.  Ndongo blocked Roach’s layup without fouling him with 5 seconds left.  Duke somehow kept the ball and called time out.  Then, Ndongo again blocked Roach’s attempt to tie the game.  Flip had to foul with 2 seconds left and Tech converted both for the game’s final score of 72-68.

The Defense

The Entire Game

The Yellow Jackets shot 56% for the second half and 51% for the game.  Georgia Tech had 19 assists on 27 field goals.  Scheyer: “For me, it was our defense. When we needed key stops, we didn’t get them. … On the ball screens, we’re not in on the ball the way we need to be. It’s all about the attention to detail. It’s not at the level it should be.”  Jeremy agreed: “We didn’t come down with some crucial stops.” 

Duke was an excellent defensive team last year with almost the same personnel (except as Bill points out without the extraordinary rim protector and shot blocker, Dereck Lively II).  With Flip now the center, Duke’s other interior players are Mark Mitchell, Ryan Young and Sean Stewart.  T.J. Power can play on the interior as well (he retrieved the key defensive rebound with 20 seconds left in the game after the missed Yellow Jacket free throw).  But, none of them have proven effective interior defenders, rim protectors or shot blockers.  

However, the porousness of Duke’s interior defense is not only on the interior defenders.  Duke’s perimeter defense has been subpar as well, allowing penetration.  After the Arkansas defensive disaster, the coach lamented the ease with which Duke’s opponent easily penetrated into the lane, putting pressure on Duke’s ability to defend the paint.  It is a problem that Scheyer must solve if Duke is not to have a disappointing season.

The Rotation

Jeremy Roach (40:00) was amazing as set forth above, leading Duke in scoring with 20 points, 8 boards and 4 assists.  He was not less than gallant, even with an uncharacteristic failure in the last 20 seconds.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (35:10) had an effective floor game even though he scored under his average (12 points on 4-9 from the field, including 0-3 from 3land, plus 4-6 from the stripe) to go with 9 boards, 4 blocked shots, 5 assists and a steal without a turnover.

Caleb Foster (35:56) was the primary point guard after Tyrese’s injury after only 1:16 had elapsed in the game.  Caleb scored 12 points on 5-8 shooting from the floor, including 1-2 from behind the arc.  He was a subpar 1-4 from the foul line.  On defense, Caleb had 2 steals and a blocked shot.  However the replacement point guard had only 1 assist and a turnover.

Mark Mitchell (27:54) did not start the game (Scheyer’s wake-up call), but scored 11 points on 5-11 from the field.  He was 0-1 from deep and 1-3 from the stripe to go with 4 boards.  But oh that taunting technical foul!

Jared McCain (20:26) did not shoot well (3-10 from the field, including 0-3 from behind the arc.  He did not attempt a foul shot.  3 rebounds.  0 assists, steals, or blocked shots.

T.J Power (16:16) scored 3 points on 1-2 from deep.  He garnered 2 boards (including the crucial defensive rebound with 21 seconds left in the game.  He also made a steal.  I suspect he may see more playing time moving forward.

Jaylen Blakes (8:58) is still having offensive woes, but finally scored.  He was (1-5, including 0-2 from deep, for 2 points).  He made a steal and is a defensive force.

Sean Steward (2:07) did not have a statistic in this cameo.  He is a potential force protecting the rim and rebounding, but he seems a bit lost on the court, which reduces his playing time and value.

Coaching Wisdom

 [Kara Lawson, Duke women’s basketball coach, commenting on close losses to highly ranked Stanford and South Carolina.] 

“We have shown the ability to compete in the environment. And the next thing we have to show is the ability to win in the environment. And we don’t have that yet. And we need to chase after it with reckless abandon, to try and get it. It’s elusive, It’s not something that’s easy to catch. It’s why not everybody can do it. And so that’s what we’re chasing. And hopefully we can keep chasing it.” (emphasis is mine)

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Photo Credit: KaraEra.com

Next Play: Saturday, December 9, 2023, at 2:15 pm in Cameron Indoor Stadium against the Charlotte University 49ers.  CW network (in New York that is Channel 11 WPIX).


Duke Blue Devils 80 v. Charlotte 49ers 56 (Season 15; Issue 8; Game 8) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

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Jeremy sails in to squelch a 49er rally.

Photo Credit:Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports

Bill’s CliffsNotes

The Blue Devils benefited from some time off, some tough love coaching, an unranked opponent, and playing in Cameron. It even overcame the loss of their valuable point guard Tyrese Proctor. The critical winning numbers were 50%, 55%, 77%, and 36. The 49’ers numbers were about 20% less.

Basketball is a simple game: making stops and hitting shots. Candidly, this Duke team has not consistently been good at either. Consequently, three losses. It appears to me that these players have yet to develop complementary skills. 1). It is a small team. Mitchell does not play 6’9” and has difficulty shooting consistently. 2). Derek Lively is missed as a rim protector and as a complement to Filipowski, when Derek allowed him to play high and low.  His absence limits Flip’s scoring effectiveness. 3). The guards and small forwards have underperformed. Thank goodness for Jeremy Roach; he has been the only reliable player to consistently score from all areas of the court.  And whether he scores or not, Filipowski is indispensable.

My rule of thumb is watch a player shoot foul shots, and you can tell whether or not he is confident in his stroke.

If you recall, last year it took half the regular season for that Duke team to reach its zenith and then go on to win the ACC Championship. If Proctor can fully recover from his injury and fulfill his promise, while McCain, Foster, Blakes, and others get experience and maturity, it might become a more formidable team. Good defense leads to easier offense, so Blakes may be the key to short and long term success.

PATIENCE

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Jaylen exploded with a perfect shooting game.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS 

Coming off two consecutive road losses, and with the injured Tyrese Proctor on the bench in street clothes, , Duke returned to the friendly confines of Cameron Indoor Stadium to face the Charlotte University 49ers (who are playing their first year in the American Athletic Conference).  The 49ers were 5-3 coming into the game with losses to Liberty (71-59), UCF (74-71 in OT), and Davidson (85-81).  Not exactly an elite team.

The critical question for The Blue Devils was how its available backcourt players could replace the many minutes that Proctor usually plays, the points he scores, the smooth offense he runs, and the excellent defense he plays.  Jared McCain (21 points), Jeremy Roach (18 points), and Jaylen Blakes (15 points) – plus a defense that held Charlotte to 40% shooting (including 4-20 from deep) – answered that question emphatically in an 80-56 Blue Devil win.  Yet there were some troubling aspects to Duke’s 24-point victory. 

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski sprained his ankle before 2 minutes had elapsed in the second half, and, although he returned to the game to play a second half total of more than 14 minutes, he shockingly failed to tally a single point in the closing stanza.  About a minute later, Jeremy Roach went to the bench after committing his third foul.  Duke led by 22 points (55-33) with 16:35 left in the second half, but had to play without Tyrese, Flip, and Jeremy.  With Mitchell, Foster, Blakes, Young, and McCain on the floor, the Blue Devils still had the same 55 points 3 minutes later, when Flip and Jeremy re-entered the game.  In those 3 scoreless minutes (Young and McCain committed turnovers, Foster had his layup blocked, and McCain committed an offensive foul), the 49ers scored 11 points to cut Duke’s lead to 11 (55-44) with 14:08 left to play.  Once Flip and Jeremy returned to the game, they restored order, pushing the lead back to comfortable. 

Both T.J. Powers (more than 6 minutes without a shot) and Sean Stewart (0-1) failed to score at all, while Ryan Young scored 2 points (1-1 in almost 6 minutes).  Duke played with only 6 real contributors. Only Jaylen Blakes contributed from the Duke bench (7 first-half points; 8 second-half points).

Offense

The Blue Devils produced a superb offensive first half, scoring 45 points on 58% shooting, including 57% from behind the arc, plus 10-13 from the foul line.  McCain had 14 superb first-half points (5-7 from the field, including 2-4 from deep, plus 2-2 from the stripe).  Roach logged 8 early points (2-5, including 1-2 from deep, plus 3-3 from the foul line).  When Duke’s lead grew (the lead was as high as 25 very late in the half) Jeremy did not have to be a scoring force.  But when the lead evaporated to 11 in the second half, Jeremy took over scoring (10 second-half points) and controlled the offense. Mark had 8 second-half points, shooting 6-8 from the stripe to go with 1-2 from the field.  Jaylen scored an impeccable  8 second-half points on 3 attempts (3-3, including 2-2 from deep). Jared added 7 points (2-6 from the field, including 1-3 from 3land, plus 2-2 on free throws).  Collectively, those 4 players scored 33 of Duke’s 35 second-half points.  Caleb added 2 points on 2-3 from the foul line, but missed both of his shots from the field.

Defense

Holding any team to 56 points in a game (27 in the first half) is a good defensive result.  The 49ers managed only 40% shooting from the field.  Mike Giminski, the color announcer, as well as all-time Duke basketball great, told us that Duke had hard “old fashioned” practices after the two road losses.  Coach Scheyer said, “The main focus for us was our defense and that is what we talked about. I know our offense hasn’t been as good, but it is because we are thinking about it too much. So, I love the collective effort on the defensive end.”  The Blue Devils held the 49ers without a field goal for more than 7 minutes (14:08 to 7:04) in the closing stanza. 

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Jared elevates his game! playing his best game at Duke, leading in scoring with 21 points.  Photo credit: GoDuke.com

The Rotation

Mark Mitchell (33:20) scored 12 points (2-5 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land.  Foul shots: Mark missed 4 in a row and then came back to sink 8 straight).  He added 5 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 steals. Coach Scheyer’s praise: “Mark Mitchell had a great game. He made some passes, he got 12 free throws, he drove the ball stronger than he had all year. He is a key guy for us.” 

Jeremy Roach (32:39) played a superb floor game and was The Scorer, a role he morphs into whenever Duke needs scoring.  He notched 18 points (5-9 from the field, including 3-5 from behind the arc, plus a gaudy 5-5 from the stripe).  Roach also added 3 rebounds, 3 assists and 2 steals without a turnover.  The senior co-captain is Duke’s most reliable player.

Jared McCain (32:31) had his best game at Duke, scoring a game-high 21 points (7-13, including 3-7 from behind the arc, plus 4-4 from the stripe).  Jared added 3 rebounds and 3 assists with only a single turnover.  Coach recognized the early season difficulties that Jared has had, “He goes through probably the worst shooting stretch he has had in his life and hadn’t played as well. We lose and a lot of attention is on him. For him to come out the way he did, it just shows a lot about his character. He is tough minded.”  Duke needs him to play like this against elite competition going forward.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski had a subpar scoring game (5 points on 2-10 from the field, including 0-1 from behind the arc, plus 1-2 from the foul line).  But Flip played a valuable floor game, grabbing 13 rebounds, handing out a Duke-high 4 assists with a steal and a block.  

Caleb Foster (29:37) scored 7 points (2-4 from the field, including 1-1 from 3land, plus 2-3 from the stripe).  Caleb added 3 boards and 3 assists with only 1 turnover.

Jaylen Blakes (21:01) had a magical game (his best of the season by a wide margin).  Jaylen had a perfect shooting game to score 15 points (5-5 from the field, including 3-3 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line).  WOW!!  Scheyer: “Jaylen Blakes, look, the 3-3 from three and 5-5 from the field is great, but to me it’s more about the energy and the defense that he brought. He brings the tenacity to our team that we need.” 

T.J. Power (6:26) did not attempt a shot, score a point, or achieve any other statistic.

Ryan Young (5:52) is seeing his playing time shrinking both from last year and early this season.  However, his few minutes were fruitful (2 points on 1-1 from the field, 3 rebounds, and blocked a shot).  He also committed one turnover.

Sean Stewart (5:50) continues to look a bit lost on the court.  He failed to score, missing his only shot (a put back attempt after he had grabbed his only rebound).  He made a steal, committed a turnover and a foul in his brief time on the court.  His formidable potential remains unrealized.

The Remainder of December

Duke has 3 games before the remaining ACC games begin in January.  The Blue Devils journey to Madison Square Garden to play Baylor (currently ranked 6th in the AP poll) on December 20.  Hofstra and Queens are unranked foes on either side of the Baylor game.

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Jeremy impressing Duke’s new football coach with his straight-arm.

Photo credit: Ethan Hyman| Raleigh News & Observer

Next Play: Tuesday, December 12, 2023, at 7 pm in Cameron Indoor Stadium against Hofstra (the Pride).  ESPN2.


Duke Blue Devils 89 v. Hofstra Pride 68 (Season 15; Issue 9; Game 9) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

flip and jeremy hofstra“It takes two to make it outta sight”: Jeremy and Flip have been devastating in the two man pick and roll.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill Miller’s CliffsNotes:

With four minutes left in the first half and Duke behind 37-32, Coach Jon Scheyer called a timeout. That may have been the turning point of the game and, perhaps, the season. I don’t know what Coach said to the players but from that point on, the Blue Devils were a different team defensively.  And for the first time this season, I thought that this team MIGHT be a contender. Certainly, Hofstra is a mid-major, but not just any mid-major. They are a scoring machine. Thomas and Dunbar could play with any Division I team. They are prolific multi-dimensional scorers.  Unfortunately, for them, they do not have complementary big men, which gave Filipowski the opportunity to showcase all his skills with a near triple-triple 28-12-8, which is much more impressive than the mere numbers. It has not been since Bill Walton was at UCLA that I can remember a seven-footer play center with such passing finesse! Seeing the entire floor is one thing; making the passes with precision is another.

Most every good high school player has offensive skills but not many have focused as much on their defensive skills. College is different—especially Duke. Time will tell if the lesson struck home—especially next Wednesday against Baylor.

Mark Mitchell seems to have gotten the message that he needs to play up to his height as a power forward and be more aggressive and active around the basket—for points and rebounds.  Jared McCain appears to have found his shooting touch, which is a relief.  But the real catalyst may be Jaylen Blakes , who brings a whole new energy that is infectious to the team when he is on the floor. Every good Duke team has an identity. This team needs to find theirs and hone it! Good defense leads to easier offense.

jaylen defensive hofstraJaylen Blakes – the energizer bunny on the defensive end.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

After a scoreless second half in the previous game against Charlotte, and scoring only 5 points in that entire game, Kyle (Flip) Filipowski produced one of Duke’s best ever offensive performances against the Hofstra Pride (28 points, 12 rebounds, and 8 assists) in Duke’s 89-68 win on Saturday.  Senior co-captain, Jeremy Roach was almost as spectacular, scoring 19 points – 13 in the second half.  Roach not only scored, but he also handed out 8 assists without a turnover.  The Blue Devils were a smooth offensive juggernaut all game, with 22 assists on their 33 field goals.

On defense, it was a tale of two halves, although the Duke defense perked up late in the first half after sleepwalking through the first 16:04 of the first half.  At that moment, Scheyer called a timeout with Duke trailing 37-32.  Giving up 37 points in 16 minutes is beyond porous defense.  During the timeout, Seth Greenberg, ESPN’s studio analyst, opined that the Blue Devils were lackadaisical and were without intensity and desire on defense.  As Bill points out, we do not know what Scheyer’s message was at the timeout, but we do know his team got the message.  The Pride scored only 2 points in the last 4 minutes as Duke rolled to a 44-39 halftime lead. 

 Hofstra scored only 29 second half points.

The Offense

Duke’s offense was simply beautiful to behold.  The ball moved with energy.  The passing was crisp, and the team was unselfish. The Blue Devils shot 62% in the first half and 55% for the game.  Duke was 11-22 from behind the arc for the game and made 12 of its 14 free throws (86%).  In the second half, Duke was 7-14 from behind the arc, which is why the Blue Devils scored more points in the second half (49) than in the first half (48) even though their shooting percentage was lower.  Critically, Duke’s 22 assists (8 for Flip and 8 for Jeremy) overshadowed only 10 turnovers (7 by Flip and 3 by Caleb Foster).  Jared McCain was 3-4 from behind the arc as part of his 13 point, 4 rebound effort.  Mark Mitchell grabbed 5 offensive rebounds and was 4-5 from the foul line on his way to a 14 point game, with 2 assists, and a steal without a turnover. Caleb scored 9 points on 4-6 shooting, including 1-2 from 3land.

It was simply dazzling.  Scheyer, “I thought we had great discipline starting with controlling the ball. … I love what our vets did. The guard play with Caleb [Foster], Jared [McCain], Jaylen [Blakes] is a team effort.”

The Defense

Once Scheyer’s message was received, during the timeout in the first half, The Blue Devil defense was as efficient as the offense.  In the last 24 minutes of the game, Duke allowed the Pride just 31 points. Duke forced 14 turnovers and gave up only 2 offensive rebounds, both rebounds were in the lackadaisical part of the first half.  The Pride did not garner a single offensive rebound in the last 24 minutes of the game.  

Duke’s defense wasn’t perfect, but it was effective.  Coach Scheyer, “We switched a little bit how we played defense, they spread you so much that we end up switching a lot. I thought we moved our feet well, limited their threes, and to hold a team like Hofstra, who averages 80 a game, to 29 points in the second half, thought that it was really good.”   Scheyer acknowledged Duke’s effort on the defensive glass, “Rebounding is all about grit. It is all about fight. It is all about doing it together. Even if you’re blocking out a bigger guy, we have talked about how you do not even have to get the rebound, just block out and then your teammates are going to have your back. … I thought there may be three or four of those tonight where the guy that started the block out did not get the ball and somebody else did because he [who successfully blocked out] put his body on the line. That is a big thing.” 

flip basket hofstraFlip’s best scoring game (28 points; 12 rebounds) in college!

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Rotation

Jeremy Roach (37:22) scored 19 points (7-11 from the field, including 3-5 from deep, plus 2-2 from the free throw line) to go with an astounding 8 assists without a turnover, 3 rebounds and 2 steals. Scheyer, “I thought Jeremy was in great control of the game. His stats were great with 19 points and eight assists, but for me it was just his command, his poise, and the way he looked throughout: never rattled. He has really stepped-up big time for us!”

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (35:38) had perhaps his best game ever at Duke! Flip scored 28 points (10-16 from the field, including 4-7 from deep plus 4-5 from the stripe).  Flip added 12 rebounds and 8 assists for yet another double-double, missing a triple double by only 2 assists.  He added a steal and 3 blocked shots to his gaudy stat line (marred only by his 7 turnovers). Scheyer had praise, “Flip [was] two assists away from a triple-double. He is just a force, and they had to double, when they didn’t, he really attacked the basket hard.”  What an impressive scoring bounce back!

Jared McCain (32:52) scored an efficient 13 points on only 8 shots (5-8 from the field, including 3-4 from deep) to go with 4 rebounds and 2 steals. Two good games in a row for Jared after struggles in the previous games.

Caleb Foster (27:55) had a solid outing on both ends of the court.  He scored 9 points (4-6 from the field, including 1-2 from behind the arc) to go with 4 rebounds and an assist (against his 3 turnovers).

Mark Mitchell (25:40) scored 14 points, but he took 16 shots to do it (5-16 from the field including 0-3 from deep, plus 4-5 from the foul line). Mark grabbed 6 boards, while handing out a pair of assists without a turnover.  He played excellent defense and produced a steal.  Scheyer, “Mark did not finish as much, but Mark had some great moments. He is close, I’m telling you, Mark is so close to having just some big-time games, and he’s right there.”

Jaylen Blakes (25:28) was a demon defender, who scored 4 points (2-3 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land).  Jaylen garnered a rebound while handing out 2 assists without a turnover.

T.J. Power (9:05) scored 2 points, sinking his only 2 free throws.  T.J. had a rebound and an assist without taking a shot from the floor.

Sean Stewart (2:38) did not impress (again), committing 2 fouls in his cameo without recording any other statistic.

Ryan Young (1:44) had his shortest outing of the year; no illness or injury was reported.  He did not have a statistic.

Playing Baylor in Madison Square Garden

Baylor is undefeated and ranked 6th in both polls.  Madison Square Garden on National television is the spotlight with its big time pressure!  Duke has not had impressive games against Power 5 conference teams, such as Arizona, Arkansas, and Georgia Tech (3 losses).  The win against Michigan State doesn’t look as impressive now because of recent losses.  This game will be an illuminating test of this season’s Blue Devil team. They will have to learn, as Coach Kara Lawson says, to Handle Hard Better!

Next Play: Wednesday, December 20, 2023, at 7 pm vs. Baylor at Madison Square Garden.  ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 78 v. Baylor Bears 70 (Season 15; Issue 10; Game 10) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game # 10 (December 20, 2023)

roach steals from baylorThe Captain comes through in the clutch with an epic steal 

Photo Credit: Ethan Hyman | The News & Observer

Bill Miller’s CliffNotes:

This was more like it. This was Duke Basketball: a strong start… tough defense for forty minutes …survive a tough opponent’s inevitable run(s)…everyone rebound…share the ball…hit 80% of free throws…a strong finish to close the game and secure the win. Coach Scheyer said that if this were a tournament game, Tyrese Proctor would have played. Duke did not miss Tyrese because McCain and Foster were terrific, which bodes well for the future. Duke cannot win without Filipowski and maybe Roach, who is playing the most efficiently of anyone. And no one was more crucial than Ryan Young, who replaced Filipowski late in the second half when Flip committed his fourth foul. It was an important game for the coaches, because it proved that they could rally the team after disappointing losses to Arizona, Tennessee, and (OMG) Georgia Tech. Fortunately, Duke looks at Madison Square Garden as a home away from home. They have won 70% of their games played there.

Coach Scheyer (who is proving to be an exceptional choice to succeed THE LEGEND) summed it up best: “What an honor to play in Madison Square Garden. This has been a special place for us, especially to play right before Christmas. This kind of game, it’s going to be hard to do it going forward, depending on the ACC schedule, but just seeing the crowd show up, and all the Duke fans in New York, what a special thing. For these guys, I know they love playing in it. It’s great coaching. 

“To play a team like Baylor, to get tested by a team who really had, coming in, a top-five offense in the country, best three-point shooting team, top-five offensive rebounding team, and a great culture. They’ve been a winning program. So, it’s an honor for us to play them. 

“I want to talk about [Jeremy Roach and Jared McCain] really quickly. College basketball can be so up and down. And I think Jared heard it early on, just the reaction that people can have of Duke losing. And for us to be in some big-time games right away, and we didn’t play our best in a couple of those. We didn’t finish in two of them. We have two wins right there and we didn’t finish. But we went through some stuff together. Those games, I think, brought more to the light. I give these guys credit for just putting their heads down and working. I thought we were incredibly tough tonight. I’m not saying Baylor wasn’t. I thought we were more mentally tough down the stretch, which is what this program has been about. I thought our defense throughout was pretty good. I mean, they’re an explosive offensive team. They’re going to score some points. And for Jared and for Caleb [Foster], as freshmen and in this environment, and have the games that they did. Jared, on offense, he’s got 21 and seven of 11 from the field, very efficient. But also on defense, he’s playing his butt off. Caleb, I thought, ran our team great. On defense, the same thing. I told the team in the locker room – Jeremy’s presence over our team, just what he’s done over the last few weeks, it can be a make or break point in a season, and Jeremy’s saying, ‘It’s not going down this way.’ And the whole team has responded together. And I have to mention Ryan Young. with what he did there. It’s an interesting time, [Flip] gets four fouls, and I’m usually pretty aggressive with keeping guys in with fouls. But you have a guy in Ryan who has been in these moments before, and he had the best sequence of the game. The finish, which I was told he got his 1,000th point off Jeremy’s pass to him for the finish. The pass to Jared then for the three. And then the rebound and he makes two free throws. That’s a big-time sequence. It really extended that lead and put us in a great position to win. I’m really proud of this game, proud of just the mental toughness that we’ve shown.”

Ryan and Caleb viciously strip the ball from Baylor.
Photo Credit: Ethan Hyman | The News & Observer

Other comments:

Yves Missi is a gifted athlete successfully transitioning from soccer to basketball. While, at times, he appeared to be transitioning from rugby, he certainly presented a defensive antidote for Filipowski’s offense as the referees – shall we say – “let them play”. Fortunately, Flip has a variety of other skills which make him so valuable. 

We had the benefit of hearing Jay Bilas on the broadcast. His analysis is second to none on college basketball partly because being an assistant coach is part of his valuable experience.  Coach K hired him while Jay was attending Duke Law School (and thereafter). Jay really does his homework, dissecting the strengths and weaknesses of each team and player.  

He defends, he attacks! Jared McCain deployed his many skills for the Blue Devils last night.

Photo Credit: AP/Adam Hunger

jared mccain v baylorPhoto Credit: Ethan Hyman

ALANALYSIS 

Pre-Game, I wrote:

The game against Baylor is crucial for Duke as a test whether the two excellent games against lesser opponents – Charlotte and Hofstra – were about lesser opponents or Duke’s growth toward being a national contender.  Baylor was 9-0, ranked 6th nationally.  But last Saturday, Michigan State, thoroughly whipped by the Blue Devils previously, just ran Baylor out of the gym.  The Spartans led by 30 in the first half.  I believe this will make a humiliated Baylor team highly motivated and intense against Duke.  The test is therefore even more challenging.

The Challenge Was Met!

With sophomore co-captain point guard Tyrese Proctor still unable to play as a result of the ankle he sprained on December 2 against Georgia Tech, the 3-man Duke backcourt – Senior Jeremy Roach, together with freshmen Jared McCain and Caleb Foster – played superbly on both ends of the floor.  The Blue Devil backcourt played exceptional defense against a team that has averaged scoring 87 points per game on 51% shooting.  Baylor had only 10 assists against 14 turnovers that Duke forced.  The perimeter was led by Roach, whose leadership was, in my opinion, even more instrumental than usual for the win.  The senior co-captain scored 18 points on only 9 shot attempts (5-9, including 1-2 from 3land).  Roach drew 4 fouls with his acrobatic drives and then shot a game winning 7-8 from the foul line!  Foster ran the team from the point with aplomb while scoring 12 points on some dramatic drives of his own and 4-4 from the stripe.  McCain scored an efficient (team high) 21 points on 11 shots, including making 75% of Duke’s 3s (3-6), and was also perfect from the stripe (4-4).   These three Duke guards shredded the Baylor perimeter defense with their drives!

Baylor is a fierce rebounding and shot-blocking team, led by freshman sensation Yves Missi (11 points, 10 rebounds, 5 blocked shots).  It was up to Kyle (Flip) Filipowski – and, to a lesser extent, Mark Mitchell and Ryan Young – to defend Duke’s backboard and to add some offense.  Flip dominated the game with defense, rebounding and passing in the early going, but then Missi came to life and dominated.  Flip only scored 4 first-half points but came alive offensively when Duke needed him down the stretch.  After a quiet 2 minutes of playing time in the first half, Ryan Young provided a starring 6 second-half minutes late in the second half when Flip picked up his 4th foul. The score was tied at 59 before Duke opened up the winning margin in the wake of Ryan’s inspired play with Flip on the bench.

Finally, Duke closed out the game in true Duke fashion, holding Baylor to just 2 points at winning time.  With 7:02 remaining in the game, Ryan replaced Flip with the score knotted at 59.  Baylor did not score its 62nd point until there was only 3:28 left.  Duke led 70-62 by then, when Flip returned to the game.  All Ryan did in those almost 4 minutes was: to score on a layup on a great pass from Roach, grab a defensive rebound and feed McCain for a 3-pointer, grab a second rebound, and make both free throws when he was fouled.  He was out for 24 seconds before returning to the game and making a steal.  In short, Duke met every single difficult challenge for the Blue Devils’ best game of the year!

The long arm of Ryan Young made the Garden truly Duke’s House (as the crowd chanted). 
Photo credit: Waco Tribune-Herald

The Rotation:

Jeremy Roach (39:45) did not come out of the game until there was only 15 seconds left and Duke had an insurmountable lead.  The senior co-captain is having a simply terrific season!  He provides leadership on both ends of the court while also scoring and defending.  Jeremy scored an efficient 18 points (5-9 from the field, including 1-2 from behind the arc).  His drives to the basket were acrobatic and drew 4 fouls from Baylor, allowing him 8 free throws (he made 7).  Jeremy also contributed 3 rebounds, 3 assists, and a steal (1 turnover). Jeremy’s post game comments: “we just wanted to kind of prove to ourselves that we can do it. Obviously, we had three tough losses early in the season and I felt like I didn’t kind of set the tone. I wasn’t leading the right way. I wasn’t doing what I needed to do. Just forget the offense. Forget everything. Just me leading and my presence there, like Coach said, has been a big thing. And I think that’s why we took the lead, extended the lead in the second half.”  He has been a joy to watch.

Mark Mitchell (37:05) is still in a shooting slump from deep (0-2 from behind the arc) but is valuable on defense and rebounding, as well as some inside scoring.  Mark had 10 points on 3-6 from the field (3-4 from inside the arc), plus 4-6 from the foul line.  He also contributed 3 rebounds, an assist, and a steal.  He still has a way to go to reach his potential though.  The Coach demonstrated Mark’s value by playing him for over 37 minutes.

Jared McCain (36:19) played a superb game, scoring 21 points (7-11 from the field including 3-4 from 3land, plus 4-4 from the free throw line).  Jared also contributed 3 assists, 2 rebounds, and a steal, with only a single turnover.  He is both a shooter and a driver, as well as a competent defender.  Jared is beginning to show why he was rated so highly before choosing to play at Duke. And he is so freshman-excited: “There’s really no words to describe it. I mean, I’m in New York, at Christmas time. Going to see the Rockefeller tree tomorrow. I’m excited. This is just a surreal moment. I visualize a lot of stuff and I visualized coming into the locker room celebrating. And it happened. There’s no words to describe it. It was amazing.” 

Caleb Foster (33:20) played the point in Proctor’s absence and did a creditable job.  He scored 12 points (4-9 from the field without a 3-point attempt, but a valuable 4-4 from the foul line).  He’s 6’4” and an excellent defender.  His drives through the Baylor defense were a huge plus for the Blue Devils.  Two assists and two turnovers.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski is always a key player for Duke regardless of his scoring.  Flip garnered 10 rebounds, handed out 4 scintillating assists, and made 3 steals, all while scoring 13 points (9 in the second half when Duke really needed his scoring).  Yet another double double! Flip was an inefficient 4-14 (0-2 from behind the arc, plus 3-5 from the foul line).  He is Duke’s only true rim protector and rebounder.  Missi gave him trouble, but Flip never backs down.

Jaylen Blakes (10:36) was not the contributor that he has recently been.  I believe this resulted more from how well the 3 starters were playing than from anything particularly negative about Jaylen’s performance.  However, he did not score (0-1 from the field) or record any positive stat (1 turnover).

Ryan Young (8:41) had his first star turn of the year with 6 scintillating second-half minutes, scoring 4 points (1-1 from the field plus 2-2 from the stripe).  He also grabbed 2 key rebounds to go with an assist, and a steal without a turnover.  This was the type of value Ryan provided last year and needs to provide this year.

T.J. Power (2:55) had a first half cameo without any statistic.

Caleb Foster’s athleticism brought the victory home for the Blue Devils
Photo Credit: Ethan Hyman | The News & Observer

Summing Up

Bill has it exactly right.  This (finally) was Duke basketball against an elite team.  The game brought back to Scheyer memories of his national championship playing days and beating Baylor in the 2010 NCAA tournament: “That game was probably the most important game of my playing career. Because we went through three-and-a-half really tough, successful years and it comes down to a moment. And you either were going to a Final Four and putting us in position to win a national championship or you’re not. They had a terrific team. But that was really the moment for me and my teammates. And I felt that was the same thing for our team tonight. So, pregame, we talked about it being a moment. It’s pretty crazy, the sequence of the game – it was 61-60 in that game. Same thing in this game. The final was 78-71 in 2010 and 78-70 tonight.”

After a December 30 game against Queens, Duke begins conference play.  Already 0-1 (loss to Georgia Tech), the real season starts.  Tyrese’s return is expected and Duke, for all the early season struggles, is still the favorite to win the regular season title.  The Baylor game was just what the Blue Devils needed to ignite this team’s confidence going forward.

“Rising higher”: Senior Co-Captain Jeremy Roach elevates Duke’s game with his leadership.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Next Play: On Saturday, December 30, 2023, at 2 p.m. vs. Queens University at Cameron Indoor Stadium.  The CW (in New York, channel 11.)


Duke Blue Devils 106 v. Queens Royals 69 (Season 15; Issue 11; Game 11) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Welcome back, Tyrese! 
Photo credit: GoDuke.com

Bill Miller’s CliffsNotes:

The Duke Blue Devils took care of business in Cameron as expected against the fledgling Division I Queen’s College, with Duke freshman Jared McCain demonstrating the offensive maturity and touch that made him so highly rated in high school. Also, Tyrese Proctor, seemingly recovered from his ankle injury, played major minutes in a supporting role. Keeping Queens from shooting from behind the arc,  was a major focus of the Blue Devils’ defense in Coach Scheyer’s preparation.  The defense  created 19 turnovers, while keeping the Queens’ team from scoring a high percentage of threes. However, disturbingly, the defense was also susceptible to opening too many driving lanes to the basket.

This Duke team will go as far as their guards, a high percentage of free throws, their defense, and the uniquely talented Filipowski can take it. Unfortunately, Flip does not have a teammate (as he did last season with D-Live) to help him defend the paint and, consequently, has developed a habit of getting two early fouls, spending major minutes on the bench, or fouling out. It will be interesting, and imperative, for the coaching staff to develop some more big backups. Where in the world is 7’1” Christian Reeves? Are Sean Stewart and, T.J. Power, “projects” or just benchwarmers?  The answer to these questions may determine whether this team is a Contender or a Pretender.

Flip rises to the occasion and scores 13 second-half points in only 8 minutes!
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

The ACC Season Begins in Earnest 

The development phase of the season comes to an end (but not the team’s development) with Duke’s manhandling of the  Queens Royals 106 v. 69 in the last game of 2023. Duke’s first stated goal for the season is winning the ACC regular season. The race for regular season ACC champion will also inform tournament seedings and the ability to compete for post-season championships.  The Blue Devils encountered early season ACC failure, losing to Georgia Tech in Atlanta in the ACC opener on December 2.  The conference part of the schedule begins in earnest on Tuesday, January 2, 2024.

The ACC has had a disappointing 2023, which will make it more difficult for Duke to get Quad 1 wins to enhance its post-season prospects.  The ACC has only 3 ranked teams in the polls.  In the Coach’s poll, UNC is ranked 11th, Duke 15th and Clemson 17th.  Virginia received enough votes to be 27th and Miami got 3 votes to tie with 3 other teams at what would be 37th.  In the AP poll, UNC is 9th, Duke is 16th and Clemson is #18. Virginia and Miami got votes that would have put them at 28th and 30th respectively.  Duke has a single Quad One win (Baylor), and a win over Michigan State which might turn into a Quad One win because the Spartans have started to win big games after a slow start. 

The NCAA ranks teams – good teams are in the first quadrant or ‘Quad One’. A high seed in the postseason comes from beating teams in Quad One.  A team gets even more credit for wins on the road  So a Quad One road win is extremely valuable. (The ACC might still have only one Quad One team (UNC) when evaluations for seeding are actually made..  Duke needs Quad One wins for good seeding in the postseason tournaments.  ACC’s early losses make fewer opportunities for Duke to get Quad One wins.

Duke will play 8 January games in the ACC –   4 on the road (Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Louisville, and Virginia Tech), and 4 at home (Syracuse, Pittsburgh, Clemson, and a rematch with Georgia Tech).  The Blue Devils must beat Georgia Tech this time.  Any loss in the ACC will hurt the Blue Devils for post-season seeding.

The Beat Down of Queens Was Mostly Good News

What was not good news is that, after Queens had fallen behind by 15 points after only 4:55 had elapsed in the game, the Royals outscored Duke 29-27 in the final 15:05 of the first half.  The Blue Devils still led by the same 15 points with 14:31 left in the second half.  Then the offense exploded!  Duke scored 60 second-half points while pulling away to a 42 point lead with only 1:46 left in the game (106-64). Duke shot 62% in the closing stanza, including 5-12 from behind the arc, plus 13-16 from the foul line.  Duke shot 58% for the game.  What an offensive display!

The announcers kept repeating that even though Clemson had beaten Queens by 30 points, the Royals had outscored Clemson in the second half. Thus, they were predicting Queens would be tough in the closing stanza.  Instead of the announcers’ prediction that Queens would play well in the second half, Duke outscored the Royals by 24 points (60-36).

Jared McCain had a simply fabulous start, scoring 17 points in the game’s first 15+ minutes.  In 16:14 first-half minutes, Jared was 7-10 from the field, including 3-6 from deep.  His defense was also excellent with 3 defensive rebounds (plus an offensive one) to go with 2 first-half steals.  For the game, McCain led Duke in scoring, with a career high 24 points.  It was a bravura performance!

Tyrese Proctor made his first appearance on the court since he sprained his ankle on December 2, logging almost 18 minutes and looking good on offense.  However, Tyrese did not look ready to defend on the perimeter yet.  Deyton Albury, who scored 23 points for Queens, blew by Tyrese on every drive against him.  Tyrese has been an effective defender, but some things take time to re-establish.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski again had foul trouble — picking up his second foul late in the first half, but worse committing  fouls # 3 and 4 before 5 minutes had elapsed in the second half! Even with his playing time limited by his fouling, Flip scored 19 points in the game – a remarkable 12 points in only 8 second-half minutes!  He was Duke’s second highest scorer.

Caleb Foster (13 points) and Mark Mitchell (10 points) also scored double figures for Duke.

“Not throwin’ away my shot”: Duke is relying more and more on Jared’s excellent shooting.

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Rotation

Caleb Foster (27:26) logged the most minutes for Duke and shared the point guard duties with Tyrese.  He scored 10 of his 13 points in the second half.  For the game, Caleb was 5-13 from the field (including a disappointing 1-6 from behind the arc) plus 2-2 from the foul line.  He had 3 boards (2 offense, one of which was a spectacular tip in) to go with 3 assists. But, he also committed  2 turnovers.

Jared McCain (26:24) had (once again) his best game since arriving at Duke.  His efficient 24 points came from just 14 shots (9-14 from the field, including 4-9 from 3land), plus 2-2 from the stripe.  He also handed out 3 assists (with only 1 turnover) and played terrific defense, making 3 steals!  Jared is a good rebounder for a smallish guard; he grabbed 4 boards.  Scheyer: “Jared has just played with a confidence level and a swagger on the offensive end and defensive end. He has played both sides of the ball, so his confidence that he came out with was important for our team. It’s a huge reason why we got the lead.” 

Jeremy Roach (26:24) scores big only when Duke needs his scoring, which it didn’t in this game.  Jeremy scored 6 points (3-7 from the field, including 0-3 from deep, without getting to the foul line).  Jeremy handed out 4 assists without a turnover and added a steal and blocked shot, all while playing excellent defense.

Mark Mitchell (23:42) played well, scoring 10 points on 5 shots (3-5 from the field, including 0-1 from deep — still slumping from behind the arc–  and a perfect 4-4 from the foul line.)  Mark led Duke in rebounding with 8, handed out 2 assists without a turnover while playing effective defense and making a pair of steals.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (21:59) Flip scored his 19 efficient points (8-10 from the field, including 1-2 from deep, plus 2-3 from the stripe) in just 22 minutes of play.  Flip also blocked 5 Queens shots (a career high in blocks), handed out 2 assists, made 2 steals without a turnover, while grabbing 4 defensive boards.  His penchant for being in foul trouble is a concern.

Tyrese Proctor (17:54) made his return to the lineup after missing 28 days with a high ankle sprain.  His return buoyed every Duke player, and fan.  Tyrese scored 9 points (3-4 from the field, including 1-1 from 3land, but with a disappointing 2-5 from the foul line).  He had 4 assists against 2 early turnovers.  Welcome back!

Jaylen Blakes (14:45) had some good moments on both ends of the floor.  Jaylen scored 6 points (3-5 from the field, including 0-1 from deep, plus 0-1 from the foul line) to go with 3 rebounds and 2 assists, without a turnover.

T.J. Power (13:35) scored 6 points on 2-2 shooting from deep.  He also grabbed a rebound and handed out an assist.  His 2 defensive steals were quite impressive.

Ryan Young (12:08) had a terrific game.  He scored 8 points (2-3 from the field and a perfect 4-4 from the foul line).  Ryan grabbed 4 boards, blocked a shot, handed out 2 assists, and made a steal.  

Sean Steward (10:12) was Duke’s second leading rebounder with 5, although 2 came when he missed at the rim and grabbed the rebound – and then missed again.   Sean scored 5 points (2-5 from the field, plus 1-2 from the stripe).  Sean also blocked 2 shots. 

Next Play: Tuesday, January 2, 2024, at 9 p.m. vs. Syracuse in Cameron Indoor Stadium.  TV: CW (In New York, Channel 11)


Duke Blue Devils 86 v. Syracuse 66 (Season 15; Issue 12; Game 12) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Bill Miller’s CliffsNotes: 

Either the first half of this game should have been hosted by Rod Serling or  Duke was suffering from bi-polar disorder. 

1st half: scoreless Flip, benched with fouls. versus 

2nd half: 20 minutes played, 12 points on perfect shooting (5 for 5)

Photo credits: GoDuke.com (1st half) & Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports (2nd half)

These Duke players are capable of playing like an ACC bottom feeder or a real contender—all in the same game.  For my own sanity, I wish they would make up their minds. The only good thing about the first half is that Mark Mitchell played like a really good 6’ 9” power forward, scoring an aggressive 18 points. (Maybe his father should have posted his social media opinion of how poorly Mark has been handled by the coaching staff at the beginning of the season — if at all — rather than this week…however, better late than never.)

I don’t know what Coach Scheyer said at halftime, but he may have channeled one of Coach K’s more scathing assessments of his team’s performance. Or did  McCain get a J.J. blood transfusion? It’s all history now.  Jared started hitting threes like Redick did back in the day; Filipowski started playing the low post like an All American should; while Proctor played like he had never been injured. Whatever the motivation, the Blue Devils went on several patented Duke runs to put the game out of reach and finish the Orange off like a good team should. 

OTHER COMMENTS:

    • Coach Scheyer went deep into his bench late in the second half, proving that the backups  are not yet ready for prime time.

    • It is a mystery to me how a player like Mitchell can be so accurate from the free throw line (mid-eighties) and so inaccurate (one for the season) from behind the three-point arc.

    • Duke great point guard and Player of the Year Jason Williams was the co-announcer, showing that he is not a “one trick pony.” Ex-Duke players are populating not only the coaching ranks but also the media in impressive numbers.

“All you need to do is call”: The reliable Jeremy Roach answered his team’s need with 17 points

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

Duke’s second half is worth analyzing.  Jeremy Roach (12 second-half points) and Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (12 second-half points) each played the full 20 minutes, while Jared McCain (14 second-half points) played 18:39.  Tyrese Procter scored 10 second-half points in 12:50.. Those four players – Roach, Flip, Jared, and Tyrese – accounted for 48 of Duke’s 51 second-half points! Mark Mitchell played 14 minutes, after scoring more than half of Duke’s first-half points, and scored the remaining 3 second-half points. The only other Blue Devils who saw the court were Jaylen Blakes (6:03 of valuable defensive minutes without scoring), Caleb Foster (7:10), and T.J. Power (1:21)

What an offensive half!  The Duke transition game was off the charts, and McCain took full advantage. “Once we get that outlet, I’m running. I know Tyrese and Jeremy are looking, Kyle, everybody’s looking, I’m just running up the court, and if they play off, I’m definitely shooting it. The coaches told me, ‘Take those.’ Those are shots that I make. I work on those all the time, and I just trust my work. Being able to have Coach let me shoot those, it’s amazing for me as a freshman. Those are probably my favorite shots in basketball, especially when they call timeout after.”  

“Once we get that outlet, I’m running…. my favorite shots in basketball, especially when they call timeout after”

Photo credit: GoDuke.com

Scheyer was thoughtful, “that’s a Duke shot: that transition, wing threes. Those are the threes I grew up watching J.J. Redick take. Trajan Langdon used to take them. I tried to take them, hopefully I hit a couple.”  Against Syracuse, Scheyer got to watch Jared “hit a couple”.

Duke had 12 assists on 18 field goals (75% from the field, including a stunning 8-8 from behind the arc!).  After a first half 0-9 from deep, and a host of blown layups, I wrote myself a note, “the law of averages will take care of this.”  Post-game, I texted Bill, “I love the law of averages.” 

What was the magic Scheyer message at half time? Jared told us, “The message at halftime was we needed to be better defensively. That was huge for us. [Syracuse was] getting easy buckets, easy layups, and we needed to be in the gaps and make sure Judah [Mintz] and J.J. [Starling] weren’t driving in a line straight to the basket. Our defense turned to offense quickly.” 

Duke’s defense was also superb.  After committing 10 first-half fouls, the Blue Devils committed only 3 in the closing stanza.  After having been out rebounded in the first half, Duke won the rebounding battle by 7 in the closing stanza.   Jaylen was special on defense.  Scheyer: “when we played four guards, Jaylen was our 6’1” four-man there for a second and was just making every right play again. Getting every loose ball, every right play.”

The freshmen were disappointing in the first half (3-16 from the field, including 0-5 from 3land).  Let us suppress the heartburn of recalling the opening half in favor of the comfortable delight that came from remembering the second half.  When the Blue Devils play as they did in the second half, they are a team contending for championships!

A healed Proctor regains his point guard position and driving license… will he shoot or dish?

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Rotation:

Jeremy Roach (32:16) scored 17 (7-11 from the field, including 2-2 from behind the arc, plus 1-1 from the stripe) to go with 4 rebounds, 2 assists and 2 steals (but 3 first-half turnovers).  The senior co-captain is Mr. Reliable.

Jared McCain (30:43) scored 18 points (6-13 from the field, including 4-6 from 3land, plus 2-2 from the foul line).  He scored only four of his points in the first half.  His second half 4-4 from deep broke Syracuse’s heart and will.

Mark Mitchell (30:27) played his best game – certainly his best half (the first) – of the season.  Even though he missed his only two 3-point attempts, he scored 21 points on 7-8 shooting inside the arc, plus 7-9 from the foul line.  He was aggressive on his drives (thus, getting to the foul line), and his rebounding! (he grabbed 6), and his passing (3 assists without a turnover) and his defense (2 blocked shots).  Coach, “Mark has really stayed the course, and he’s had to adjust people guarding him differently on offense. Really, the best thing he does, Mark Mitchell is a winner. That dude is a winner, competitor, connector, and I thought he was himself tonight.”

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (27:26) played only 7 first-half minutes without scoring because he picked up his second foul with only half of the first half having elapsed.  But what a second half Flip had, playing every minute, scoring 12 points on a perfect 5-5 (some jaw dropping post moves), plus 2-2 from the stripe.  He garnered 7 boards, handed out 3 assists, had a blocked shot and a steal.  Coach: “He didn’t even score in the first half, and he’s done an incredible job. A lot of guys in his position would chase numbers and chase scoring, and he’s just taking what’s there. His passing, to have a 7-footer that can post, shoot threes, pass, and score, I think he’s one of one. I don’t think there’s anybody like him in the country from that regard.” 

Tyrese Proctor (26:54) With his ankle apparently healed, Tyrese returned to defensive form and continued to star on offense.  Tyrese scored 14 points (10 in the amazing second half) on 5-7 from the field, including 2-4 from deep, plus 2-2 from the stripe.  He added 4 assists and a steal, taking back control of the point guard position in the second half.  Scheyer: “Tyrese, he’s efficient. He has 14 points, but he only takes seven shots. He has four assists. I thought he did a great job just jumping in and playing to win and playing together.”

Caleb Foster (20:50) ran the team well when Tyrese was on the bench, but has not been shooting well or scoring.  He scored only 2 points (a disappointing 1-5, including 0-1 from deep). But he is a good ball handler (2 assists) and defender (2 steals).

Jaylen Blakes (14:31) drew Scheyer’s post-game praise, “Every young player should watch him. He takes one shot, has three steals, and he was in for two of the critical moments in the first half just to keep us steady.”  Jaylen may have only scored 2 points (2-2 from the stripe; 0-1 from the field), but he  played a valuable floor game – 2 rebounds, 3 steals, 2 assists and a blocked shot.

T.J. Power (8:45) missed all 3 of his shots (2 from deep), failing to score.  He did grab 3 boards and made a great block.

Ryan Young (4:26) failed to score (0-1 from the field) but did grab a rebound and handed out an assist in his brief cameo, (made brief by his 3 first-half fouls!)

Sean Stewart (3:42) also failed to score or garner a rebound.  He made a steal but committed 2 fouls in his short first-half-only stint.

Mark’s sensational first half brought home more than half of Duke’s 35 points

Photo Credit:ESPN.com

Next Play: Saturday, January 6, 2024, against Notre Dame in South Bend, Indiana at 6pm. ACCN


 

Duke Blue Devils 67 v. Notre
Dame Fighting Irish 59 (Season 15; Issue 13; Game 13) Alan Silber’s
“Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

roachreboundsinthe2ndhalfMattCashore-USATODAYSports.jpeg

“Those cats were fast as lighting”: Jeremy Roach snags an acrobatic rebound.

Photo Credit: Matt Cashore-USATODAYSports

Bill Miller’s CliffsNotes:

Good Golly, Miss Molly, can’t somebody beside Mark and Jeremy score the ball?

Don’t hold your breath for the NBA to call!

Raise your hand if you think Duke will win many away games shooting 36% from the floor, 31% from the three-point line, 11 turnovers, and Filipowski, McCain, Procter, and Foster collectively basically scoring a convenience store (7/11).

Fortunately, Mitchell and Roach did not miss a lot – especially foul shots – and Mark hit one more 3-pointer (2) than he had all season (1). If the young guys keep playing this way… forget the NBA draft, they better locate Siberia on the world map.

Fortunately, Notre Dame was worse, but they weren’t expected to be any good this year. They play hard, but not very well.  Maybe the solution for Duke is for Mark Mitchell’s father to make another post on social media that the coaches are not handling Filipowski, McCain, or Foster the right way. It seems to have worked for his son.

On the other hand, Jeremy Roach is a good example of what playing four years can do for your game. He is the MAB (Man Among Boys) of this group. BTW, a long time (not old) friend of mine points out that Jeremy has another year of eligibility remaining at Duke (if he chooses) thanks to Covid.

One skill this team has improved upon is free throw shooting. Jeremy Roach sealed the win by hitting nothing but net on all his free throws down the stretch. That is one important piece of the puzzle.

Enough negativity. Let’s talk about the football team’s bowl performance. Two days after Coach Elko told the players he wasn’t going anywhere, he left for Texas A&$. Every player who had entered the transfer portal participated including Interim Coach Trooper Taylor, who is joining Coach Elko at Texas A&$. Using a third string freshman quarterback, an underdog Blue Devil team won 17-10 in a spirited victory-quite a show of loyalty in this day and age of transfers and sitting out Bowl Games to protect from possible injuries prior to the NFL draft!

Mark has been on fire for two games.  Rumor has it that Mark’s dad is taking credit because of his social media post.

Photo Credit: AP Photo/Michael Caterina

ALANALYSIS 

Mark Mitchell’s scintillating second half (19 of Duke’s 38 second-half points) together with Jeremy Roach’s 18 point game (10 first-half points and a cool 8-8 from the foul line at crunch time in the second half) were largely responsible for the Blue Devils’ first road victory of the season, after two disappointing early season road losses (one doubling as a conference loss).  Proctor again did not start, He came off the bench and played half the game, but failed to score a point. Foster started in his stead(as he has since Tyrese’s ankle sprain).

From the opening tip, the Fighting Irish lived up to their nickname, completely dominating Duke’s defense in the early going.  It was as if the Blue Devils believed the pre-season hype (Duke was picked first in the ACC and Notre Dame last). Duke gave up 19 points in the first 7:34 of the game, while scoring only 15 points in the first 15:15 of the game.  The Blue Devils trailed 24-15 with 6:46 to go in the first half… when both the Duke offense and defense finally awoke!  

Duke then outscored the Fighting Irish 14-3 in those last minutes of the first half to take a 29-27 lead into the half time break. In that stretch: Roach hit a 3-pointer, Mitchell scored 2 of his 4 first-half points (all 4 from the foul line), Young made a layup on an assist from Jeremy, Roach stole the ball for a layup, McCain made a driving layup and the foul shot for a three point play the old fashioned way, and Mark made 2 more free throws to close out the Duke comeback!  Scheyer: “The way we closed the first half, I think it was 14-3, that’s huge if you can end a half that way when you don’t play your best.”

Duke obviously did not play its best in the first half, with 9 first-half turnovers and only 3 assists, while shooting 31% from the field (including 3-14 from behind the arc).  Proctor failed to score; Flip scored only 2 first-half points (0-5 from the field, including 0-2 from behind the arc plus 2-4 from the stripe).  McCain was 0-4 from deep.  On the plus side, the Blue Devils’ defense came alive after the opening 7:34 and held Notre Dame to 8 points in the last 12:24 of the half, including 0 points in a 5:07 stretch.

The Second Half Success

Duke never lost the lead, which fluctuated between 8 points and 2 points in the closing stanza. After 9 first-half turnovers, the Blue Devils committed only 2 in the second half. Mark scored 19 second-half points (worth repeating) to lead Duke. The Blue Devil lead shrunk to 2 points three different times in the closing half (with 12:50 to go; 8:39 to go; and with 2:44 to go). The game was that close. Foster replaced Proctor with 2:44 to go, with Duke leading 57-55.  

The Brotherhood appreciating their conference road win. 

Photo Credit: Matt Cashore-USATODAYSports

Winning Time Was Duke Time

Flip scored a layup but missed a free throw when he was fouled.  59-55 with 2:24 to go.  Foster grabbed the offensive rebound but missed the putback.  Mitchell grabbed that offensive rebound and did not miss.  61-55 with 1:12 to go.  McCain fouled ND star Marcus Burton, who made both free throws. 61-57 with 53 seconds remaining in the game.  Foster was fouled but missed the front end of a one-and-one and Notre Dame took possession.  Roach began his late game heroics.  He not only made a key steal with 35 seconds left, but was also fouled and made both free throws. 63-57 with 29 seconds remaining.  Notre Dame center, Njie, got the offensive rebound when Burton missed and scored the putback. 63-59 with 20 seconds left.  

The Irish had to foul with so little time left.  But fouling Roach was no help for Notre Dame as he made both free throws, with 19 seconds left. 65-59.  Then Flip blocked Burton’s layup attempt with 11 seconds left.  Notre Dame again fouled (Jeremy), allowing Roach to clinch the game and close out the scoring by making both foul shots for the winning 67-59 margin!  Duke needs to always play like this at winning time!. 

Mark played another superb half to keep Duke in front in the final stanza.  Scheyer gushed, “the job that Mark Mitchell did – let me just tell you how proud I am of him. He’s been working his butt off, consistently, he’s been really decisive. Playing more confidently. I love the two three’s, I love the shooting, but what I love the most is the 14 rebounds. … you see what he’s done as a screener for us, getting guys open. You’ve seen what he’s done attacking the basket. And the biggest thing is that we talked to him about being decisive with his decision. If you shoot it, great. If you drive it, great. If you cut, great. I thought he did an incredible job of doing that. Will Avery on our staff has really worked with him on his shooting and done a terrific job. … I want him to keep doing this because it changes our team.”

What a half for Mark!  Roach was 0-3 from the field but shot a valuable 8-8 from the stripe when it counted; however, besides Mark’s 8-9, Duke was only 4-21 from the field (including 3-10 from deep) in the second half.  Foster, Blakes, Young and Proctor failed to score. Flip and Jared were each 2-7 from the field. Flip 1-2 from deep; Jared 2-5.  Mark was the winning difference.

The high-flying Mark cannot be stopped by Notre Dame

Photo Credit:Matt Cashore-USATODAYSports

The Rotation

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (35:02) had his lowest scoring game of the year (7 points on 2-12 from the field, including 1-4 from behind the arc, plus 2-5 from the stripe). His floor game was valuable, garnering 5 rebounds, handing out 4 assists, blocking 2 shots and making a steal.  Although Flip again committed 2 first-half fouls, he did not foul after that.

Jeremy Roach (33:54) simply played a great game!  He scored 18 points (4-9 from the field, including 1-4 from deep, plus a gaudy 9-9 from the foul line — 8-8 in the second half). Jeremy pulled down 6 rebounds, made 4 steals, and handed out two assists with only a single turnover.  His clutch foul shooting reaffirmed his leadership and reliability! 

When our editorial board first saw Jeremy Roach as a freshman, they predicted that he was going to turn into quite an excellent player. He admirably stayed in school to get his education, unlike many others, and has now proven the prediction beyond accurate.  As the Senior Co-Captain he has grown into a great basketball player, a tremendous leader, and an all around good young man!

Mark Mitchell (32:07) was the star (for the second game in a row) scoring a career-high 23 points (8-12 from the field, including 2-2 from deep  – after 1-22 from deep for the season going into this game – plus 5-5 from the foul line).  Even more valuable than his scoring were the 14 rebounds he corralled.  He had an assist, a steal, but also two turnovers.  He makes Duke a far more lethal team when he plays this well.

Jared McCain (31:55) did not shoot well in spite of scoring in double figures (11 points on 4-13 from the field, including 2-5 from 3land, plus 1-1 from the foul line).  Jared also pulled down 5 rebounds and blocked a shot.  No assists and a turnover.

Caleb Foster (25:12) scored only 3 points (1-4 from the field including 1-1 from deep but missed his only foul shot, the front end of a one-and-one at crunch time). He had a steal and a rebound.  Caleb’s major contribution was his steady ball handling at the point (no turnovers) and aggressive defense (a steal).

Tyrese Proctor (22:08) shockingly failed to score in the game (0-4 from the field including 0-3 from behind the arc without getting to the foul line).  Tyrese handed out 3 assists (1 turnover) with a rebound and a steal.  His failure to score has led to speculation that his sprained ankle is not completely healed.

Jaylen Blakes (8:39) is Scheyer’s sparkplug when he feels Duke’s defense is not as intense as it should be.  Jaylen creates chaos.  He not only had a steal, but he also finally hit an open shot from the corner (1-2 from deep) to score 3 points.  His value exceeds the minutes he is playing.

Ryan Young (7:40) committed 3 fouls and turned it over 3 times, but otherwise had a short yet effective cameo.  Ryan scored 2 points (1-2 from the field) to go with 4 rebounds and a blocked shot. 

T.J. Power (3:24) failed to score, missing his only shot (a 3-point attempt).  He got a rebound and committed a turnover.

Cheers to Duke’s most consistent player all season on defense as well as offense – Senior Co-Captain, Jeremy Roach!

Photo Credit: AP Photo/Michael Caterina

Next Play: On Saturday, January 9, 2024, at 9 pm vs. Pittsburgh Panthers (coached by Jeff Capel) in Pittsburgh.  ESPN. 


Duke Blue Devils 75 v. Pittsburgh Panthers 53 (Season 15; Issue 14; Game 14) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game # 14 (January 9, 2024)

Bill Miller’s CliffsNotes:

The first half was more like it! Duke played both defense and offense as we have been expecting all season. 

Filipowski led the Blue Devils with a very impressive 7 for 8 from the field, scoring 17 points and grabbing six rebounds in the first half as Duke led 48-23. “When [Filipowski] plays that way for our team, it totally changes the dynamic of our offense [and] our defense,” said Scheyer. “I don’t feel there’s really anybody like him in the country when he plays that way.” 

One of the announcers mentioned that it is possible that since Filipowski had been sidelined all summer recovering from an operation on both hips, that he was just getting his timing back. Whatever the reason, his shooting stroke was a thing of beauty last night as he hit nothing but net or banked it off the backboard for  points. Everyone else had their moments, except Mark Mitchell, whose hot scoring streak came to an end. But then, it wasn’t needed.

Next up Georgia Tech in Cameron. Then comes the meat of the ACC schedule against suddenly formidable teams like UNC, NC State, Clemson.  There are no easy games left.

Flip played like a First Team All-American with 26 points and 10 rebounds.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

Another Blue Devil offensive explosion, AND a second consecutive conference road win!  Duke’s pummeling of Pittsburgh by 23 points, after having a lead of 34 points rates as a worthy achievement.

Conference road wins (any conference) are always difficult.  At the same time as Duke was winning a conference road game in a rout, the nation’s # 1 team, Purdue, was crushed in Omaha by unranked Nebraska, 88-72, while the nation’s # 2 team, Houston, was beaten by unranked Iowa State in Ames, Iowa.  The next night (Wednesday), # 3 Kansas on the road fell to unranked UCF, and #5 Tennessee was beaten on the road by unranked Mississippi State.  That puts Duke’s win over Pittsburgh in proper perspective.

The Offense

Duke scored 48 points in the first half, a truly impressive offensive explosion.

Kyle Filipowski bounced back from a bad game in South Bend with another double double, shooting 11-12, finishing with 26 points, and 10 rebounds.  He had 17 first-half points (7-8 from the field, including 3-3 from 3land).  

Scheyer: “When Flip plays that way for our team, it totally changes the dynamic of our offense and our defense.  … He can run to the block and post up early, he can trail and drive, he can trail and shoot threes, he can set early ball screens. He can do so much. I think our guards are figuring out how to play with each other.” 

Duke’s ball movement was beyond brilliant;it was like watching the Bolshoi ballet perform. Duke assisted on 19 of its 29 baskets. In the first half, this led to 60 percent shooting, including 53 percent from behind the line.  The Blue Devils had 11 assists on 18 first-half baskets (only 5 turnovers). 

The second half was kind of dull.  Duke pushed the lead to as high as 34 points, and it was never less than 21 points – even though the Panthers actually outscored Duke 30-27.  The Blue Devils were 2-8 from deep with 9 turnovers and only 8 assists (on 11 field goals).  But a rout is a rout, and Duke was never threatened.

Jeremy always plays excellent defense, Duke’s calling card this season
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Defense

In the first half, Duke’s defense was sensational. The Blue Devils held Pitt to 8-28 from the floor and just 3-11 for threes.  Duke was constantly switching, which forced the Panthers to shoot a good bit further out than Pitt Coach (and former Duke player and assistant coach), Jeff Capel, would have probably liked.  Duke’s defense was good, but less than sensational, in the second half.  Duke’s rebounding was a terrific improvement.

Scheyer: “our defense was really good, probably the best we’ve played on that end. We defended, we rebounded. … Defensive rebounding we’ve done okay, but not to the level that we’d like. We talk about gang-rebounding all the time – five guys on the boards, and I thought it was the best game we’ve had. … We had five guys on the boards. And what it did for us, was obviously you’re taking away their second-chance points. But it also sets up – we’re at our best when we’re flowing and running in transition.” 

Duke gave up just 11 points in a 12:42 first half stretch, and held Pitt to 23 first-half points.

“I thought our guards did a really good job defending the ball. it was the best our perimeter defended the ball. We emphasized that after the Notre Dame game, we felt it was something we could do better. Those guys, to start, Caleb, Jeremy, Jared, Tyrese, and Jaylen, when they came in, they just defended the ball. It changes your whole defense.  It keeps you out of rotations.  We switched more than we usually do tonight, which was effective.  But it started with the on-ball defense by those guys.” 

Flip on the Duke defense: “We were just playing a lot more cohesively on the defensive end together.  We were playing five guys, in tandem.  Defense is not a one person job.  And we had a different, more unique, defensive game plan for this game.  And I think we executed it really well.” 

Foster – (justifiably) pleased with his point guard play
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Rotation

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (29:44) scored an efficient 26 points on just 11 shots (11-12 from the field, including 4-4 from behind the arc) with 10 rebounds, an assist and a blocked shot.  The only negative was 5 turnovers. He bounced back from his lackluster performance to play like the first team All-American that Jay Bilas called him.

Jeremy Roach (29:44) who scores only when Duke truly needs him, scored early and then was content to run the team.  The Senior co-captain had 4 assists without a turnover while scoring 9 points (3-9, including 1-4 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line).  Jeremy also contributed 2 rebounds and a steal.

Jared McCain (29:03) was the only double figure Duke scorer besides Flip.  Jared scored 12 points (5-9 from the field, including 2-5 from 3land) to go with 5 rebounds, 2 assists (2 turnovers) and a steal.  Jared is playing lights-out defense.

Caleb Foster (26:31) played one of his best games, handing out 7 assists (2 turnovers) while scoring 8 points (3-6 from the field, including 2-3 from behind the arc.)  Caleb added a pair of rebounds.   He is a capable defender and good rebounder.

Tyrese Proctor (23:59) still looks to me as if his ankle is not completely healed.  It shows on defense where his lateral movement is not quite what it was before the injury. He scored 3 points (1-6 from the field, including 1-5 from 3land.)  It is significant that Tyrese did not get to the free throw line and attempted only one shot from inside the arc; he is not driving the way he did last year and before the injury.  Tyrese did hand out 5 assists (but 3 turnovers) and made a steal.

Mark Mitchell (21:11) had a quiet game after his last 2 breakout 20+ point efforts.  Mark scored 4 points (1-4 from the field, including 0-1 from behind the arc, plus 2-4 from the stripe).  He had 3 boards and a turnover.  He is an excellent defender.

Ryan Young (15:03) played valuable minutes, scoring 6 points (3-3 near the basket) and grabbing 5 boards while blocking 2 shots.  He had a terrific outing!

Jaylen Blakes (10:43) injured his hand on a driving layup.  He returned to play in the second half and made a steal.  Jaylen missed his only other shot, a 3-point attempt.   Jaylen also grabbed a tough rebound.

Sean Steward (8:22, all in the second half) had his best outing, scoring 4 points (1-3 from the field,  plus 2-2 from the foul line) to go with 4 rebounds, a steal, and a blocked shot.  If Sean can keep progressing, he will be valuable by the year’s end.

T.J. Power (5:40) hit a 3-pointer (1-3, including 1-2 from deep) to go with a rebound.

“Strike a pose”: Flip watches another 3-pointer go swish!
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Next Play: Saturday, January 13, 2024, at 5 pm vs Georgia Tech in Cameron Indoor Stadium, ACC Network.


Duke Blue Devils 84 v. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 79 (Season 15; Issue 15; Game 15) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game # 15 (January 13, 2024)

Tyrese: returning to his starring form post injury
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

There were good reasons to be optimistic about today’s game against Georgia Tech: It was played in Cameron, Duke was on a winning streak, Tech was on a losing streak, Filipowski was coming off arguably the best game of his career, and Duke has dominated the series continually since Bobby Cremins was the Georgia Tech coach. That optimism was to dispel the glaring fact that the Yellow Jackets match up well against this undersized Blue Devil squad that is streaky, not overly athletic, and is over reliant on Filipowski. But that optimism was dispelled most critically because Mark Mitchell was sidelined with a sprained knee.

Duke started strong but Tech, which previously shot poorly from three-point land, started draining threes and executing their favorite offensive play — the pick and roll just below the foul line —which played to their strength and Duke’s weakness. Fortunately, Flip stayed out of early foul trouble and the Yellow Jackets’ center and power forward did not. Nevertheless, the score was tied 39-39 at the half.

It did not seem logical that Tech would hit eight threes again in Cameron and that with their big men in foul trouble would be aggressive in defending Filipowski. Logic be damned, when Tech went up by 10 points with 14 minutes remaining in the game, things looked bleak. After a time out, Duke did a very Blue Devil thing: they scored 8 points in less than a minute as Filipowski, Roach, and Proctor played the best basketball of their careers. As so often happens, it cut the hearts out of the young Yellow Jacket opponents, and even though Roach went out with an injury, his team held on to win. Filipowski and Proctor were sensational, and Ryan Young, who never stops playing hard, proved indispensable.

While this was a heart pounding win, it was against a young, inexperienced team. There is much more parity in the ACC than was predicted, and Duke has more tough games ahead.

OTHER COMMENTS:

    • Randolph Childress, Wake Forest’s great guard, who broke Duke’s heart in the 1995 ACC Tournament, was one of the announcers. He was very good at explaining the strategy of both teams.

    • The Blue Devils had 16 assists, finishing with a 4-to-1 assist-turnover ratio.

Duke fans are concerned that Jeremy’s injury could keep Duke’s most consistent player out of the lineup.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

What we learned

The biggest takeaway from Duke’s hard fought narrow victory over Georgia Tech at Cameron is how dependent Duke’s defense is on Mark Mitchell. Mark sprained his knee in practice during the week and did not play in the game (Coach Scheyer says it is not serious). Evidence supporting this takeaway is the defense Duke did employ against the Yellow Jackets in Mark’s absence.  Without Mark, the Blue Devils gave up 79 points (39 in the first half and 40 with the game on the line in the closing half) and allowed the Yellow Jackets to shoot 55% for the game from the field.

An injury to Senior Co-Captain Jeremy Roach, with more than 8 minutes left in the game added to Duke’s woes at “winning time”.  Jeremy was playing lights out (as he does consistently) when he was forced out of the game with what appeared to be a knee problem.  He returned to the game for a minute, but could not go on.  Coach Scheyer put Jeremy’s season thus far in perspective, “I don’t know that Jeremy is getting the national publicity that he should.  There are other players who have had great years, and I don’t know the numbers side by side, but the value for Jeremy on this team – we do not need him to score 25 points every night. Tonight, he gets 18 points on 12 shots, and he doesn’t even play the last six or seven minutes. I think he’s been as good as any guard in the country.  He’s been efficient.  He’s really taken care of the ball. He’s going after it on defense.  He’s been as good as anybody. He’s played like a senior, and I’m just proud of him.  He’s made a jump. You want a guy like him to make a jump in a lot of areas.  He’s done that really in every way. The way he works, his attitude, his leadership, in just every way.  He’s been having a heck of a season. I just want to get him healthy, or see what’s going on, and then keep building.” 

Another key takeaway is that Duke (even without Jeremy and Mark) prevailed at “winning time”.  The game was tied at 69 with 6:51 remaining.  A minute later, Duke took the lead on Tyrese’s critical 3-pointer and maintained the lead against Yellow Jacket challenges to win the game. A team does not have to bring its A game as long as the result is a W; really good teams win even when they don’t play well.

The Defense

While Duke’s defense seemed porous (because it was), Georgia Tech made some acrobatic shots even when the Blue Devils played excellent defense. The Blue Devils received defensive help from the bench. Coach Scheyer: “Give Georgia Tech credit. I thought they hit some really tough shots. I think some of them were on us, but you’ve also got to give them credit. That is the best they’ve shot the ball from three recently (11-20) . They had some really tough shots in the paint.  In the second half, when we got down 10, we subbed in Jaylen Blakes, we subbed Ryan Young in, and they just made it happen, especially in this building, and on the defensive end.”  Ryan’s second half was crucial on both ends. 

Still, the defense allowed Georgia Tech, for the game,  to shoot 55% both from the field and from behind the arc.   That percentage defines porous.  Whether the return of Mark Mitchell will fix that going forward remains to be seen. 

The Offense

Duke scored 84 points in the game, with 45 coming in the second half.  Flip (30), Jeremy (18), Tyrese (17), and Ryan Young (10, all in the crucial second half) scored in double figures.  Flip praised Ryan, “I didn’t know he had 10 points, nine rebounds, but that’s good for this team.  He came in, provided exactly what we know he’s capable of against a really good paint team as well.  Ryan provided that lift for us – we couldn’t have gotten the win without him, for sure.”

Tyrese was dazzling down the stretch (3-4 from deep, when it really counted), scoring 11 second-half points.  Flip poured in 16 of his points in the closing stanza.  Add Ryan’s 10 points, and those 3 players scored 37 of Duke’s 45 second-half points.  Jeremy added 5 second-half points before his injury, while Jared made a field goal and foul shot for the other 3 points.

Winning Time

Duke trailed by 4 points (67-63) with 8:03 remaining.  Flip hit from deep to cut the Yellow Jacket lead to 1.  After a Georgia Tech jumper pushed their lead back to 3, Tyrese tied the game with a 3-pointer with 6:51 left (69-69).  Ryan blocked  a layup and Flip fed Tyrese for his second straight 3 pointer with 5:53 left (72-69, Duke). While Duke led the rest of the way, it was far from easy. The Yellow Jackets had a bunch of last gasps, finally cutting the Duke lead to a single point –  78-77 – with 2:18 left in the game.

Flip made 1-2 foul shots to give Duke a 79-77 lead.  Ryan made a layup on a great assist from Flip.  Duke led 81-77 with 1:40 left.  Proctor made a pair of crucial foul shots to restore a 6 point lead with only 22 seconds left.  Game effectively over.  

This is an important win in the face of serious adversity.  Ryan explained its importance, “We’re down Mark obviously, who’s been playing incredible. Jeremy goes down in the second half, Jaylen Blakes has four stitches in his left hand. These kinds of games – if you want to go deep in the tournament, hang banners and win championships, these are the kind of games you have to learn how to win and make it work!” 

Flip rises to the rim to complement his 4-5 from 3land
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

Jared McCain (37:49) scored only 6 points on a night where his shooting was off (2-8 from the field, including 0-3 from behind the arc, plus 2-4 from the free throw line).  The injuries to Mark and Jeremy made his continuous presence on the court necessary.  Jared snared 4 boards without an assist, turnover or steal.  

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (37:14) scored a career-high 30 points in a well-rounded offensive display.  Flip scored from the perimeter, mid-range, at the rim, and from the foul line.  He took 24 shots from the field and missed 5 free throws (10-24, including a gaudy 4-5 from behind the arc, but a disappointing 6-11 from the foul line[and still he banked home 30 points!]).  But Flip does so much more for Duke than score. He not only snared 13 rebounds for yet another double-double, but he also handed out 4 assists on several dazzling passes without a turnover, blocked 2 shots and made 2 steals. A true All-American performance!

Tyrese Proctor (32:04) returned to the starting lineup for the first time since his injury on December 2, 2023.  Tyrese took charge of Duke’s offense down the stretch, especially after Jeremy was injured.  He was effective for the entire game, scoring 17 points (5-10 from the field, including 3-5 from behind the arc, and a crucial 4-4 from the stripe).  His crucial 3-pointers late in the game fueled Duke at winning time.  He handed out 2 assists without a turnover.  He had a steal. Tyrese is still not all the way back as a defender, but his improvement on the defensive end is palpable.  The return of his offense was both dramatic and timely (though he is still not yet driving the way he did pre injury).

Jeremy Roach (31:01) played a superb game until he was injured with 8:22 left in the game.  He scored all of his 18 points before the injury (5-12 from the field, including 2-4 from 3land, plus a gaudy 6-7 from the foul line) to go with 3 assists, 2 steals and a rebound – only a single turnover. While Jeremy’s attempt to re-enter the game was valiant and is encouraging, Duke fans are praying (even the atheists) that Jeremy’s injury is not serious.

Caleb Foster (28:04) was the primary ball handler in Duke’s offense for most of the game.  While he did not score much (3 points on 1-3 from deep), he handed out 4 assists without a turnover.  He garnered a pair of rebounds and made a steal.

Ryan Young (21:59) played his best game of the year, logging more minutes than usual because of Mark’s absence.  Ryan was a major key to Duke’s victory, scoring all of his 10 points in the second half. (4-5 from the field, plus 2-2 from the stripe). The co-captain grad student was only a single rebound away from a double-double with 9 boards.  He added 2 assists and a steal.  

Jaylen Blakes (9:31) was inserted whenever Coach Scheyer wanted to increase the defensive pressure on Georgia Tech’s perimeter.  While Jaylen failed to score, missing his only shot attempt, which was from behind the arc, he blocked a shot, handed out an assist and garnered a rebound.  He had more impact on the game than his playing time and statistics suggest.

T.J. Power (2:18) had a first-half only cameo, where he snared a rebound.

Jeremy (the valiant), please be ok!
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

NEXT PLAY: Saturday, January 20, 2024, at 8 pm vs. Pittsburgh Panthers in Cameron Indoor Stadium.  ACCN. 


Duke Blue Devils 76 v. Pittsburgh Panthers 80 (Season 15; Issue 16; Game 16) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #16 (January 20, 2024)

Duke’s main problem: Mark Mitchell and Jeremy Roach in their civvies, watching the team warmup before the game against Pitt. Photo Credit: Ethan Hyman

Bill’s CliffsNotes: 

This Duke team cannot spot any ACC team’s two starters 9 points, and expect to win—even against Georgia Tech or Pittsburgh. Every team has big men and three-point shooters. And when a really good shooter like Blake Hinson gets hot, going seven for seven from three point land, (plus the other team does not defend well) so that unheralded, opposing freshmen get open looks, well, it might not be your day—or year.  Especially, when you are outshot and outrebounded for the entire game. 

Jeff Capel is a very good coach with a lot of experience at Oklahoma and Duke and had a good game plan to take advantage of Duke’s missing starters and obvious shortcomings. While Hinson is a proven scorer, that does not excuse the open looks that the rest of the Panthers got. That is just poor defense.

The recent seven game run may have been a false positive as the Blue Devils have not yet faced the best teams of the ACC Conference. These Duke freshmen better put their big boys pants on for every game or else it will be a disappointing season.

ALANALYSIS

Without injured stars, Mark Mitchell and Jeremy Roach (Duke’s  team leader, most consistent excellent player, and leader of the perimeter defense), the Blue Devils played inadequate defense, yielding 80 points and allowing the Panthers to shoot 51% from the field and 50% from behind the arc (7-10 from deep in the second half).

After out-rebounding the Panthers in Pittsburgh last week, Duke was outrebounded by the Panthers 32-25 in Cameron last night.

Mark missed last Saturday’s game against Georgia Tech. because of his knee injury.  The Georgia Tech Alanalysis opened with, “The biggest takeaway from Duke’s hard fought narrow victory over Georgia Tech at Cameron is how dependent Duke’s defense is on Mark Mitchell. Evidence supporting this takeaway is the defense Duke did employ against the Yellow Jackets in Mark’s absence.  Without Mark, the Blue Devils gave up 79 points (39 in the first half and 40 with the game on the line in the closing half) and allowed the Yellow Jackets to shoot 55% for the game from the field.”  

Nothing changed for this game. It was so bad that Coach Scheyer started out his press conference and concluded his press conference by apologizing to Duke fans for such a performance.

Ryan Young picked up many of Mark Mitchell’s minutes, playing 25 minutes with the starters. Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Defense

Duke appeared lackadaisical, expecting  an easy home game after destroying the Panthers in Pittsburgh the week previously.  The lax attitude showed when the Panthers scored the first 9 points of the game.  Scheyer, “I didn’t like our start, … I thought we came out passive. I thought the defense impacted our offense, because we weren’t ready at the level we needed to be; … That’s not how it should be for us. That’s not who we are, that’s not who we’ve been. Tonight, they out-rebounded us, and the game up there, we out-rebounded them. I think rebounding a lot of the time comes down to will and mindset, and we didn’t have that. … A lot of it comes down to guarding the ball. I just go back to mindset. It’s just you gotta find a way. And we didn’t do that tonight.”  He pointed out that Pitt’s freshman star, Jaland Lowe, hit two crucial 3-pointers on “step backs”.  There was not a Duke defender in the camera shot on either of those crucial 3s. Each one erased a Duke lead.

McCain confessed in his post-game interview, “Defensively, we just couldn’t string together stops. … we should’ve just guarded the ball better, bullied the ball better. [There were] a lot of things on our part we could’ve done better.” 

Ryan lamented Duke’s rebounding shortcomings, “Our staff was emphasizing [rebounding without Mark and Jeremy] and letting us know that that was a pivotal part of the game, and we didn’t execute it. Rebounding is just toughness and effort, so that’s something that can’t happen, and we need to look ourselves in the mirror and make sure that doesn’t happen again.”

Moreover, Duke simply could not defend (or score enough) at “winning time”.

Tyrese played almost 18 second half-minutes (after playing all 20 minutes in the first half) even though he is still not completely back in game-shape since coming off an injury.  Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Offense

Duke shot it well but started settling for jump shots instead of driving to the basket. It takes less energy to shoot a 3 than drive to the hoop. Understandably, Duke got tired. Flip, Jared, and Caleb played all 20 minutes of the second half. 

Scheyer on whether Duke took too many jumpers in the second half: “Absolutely, absolutely. And you have to know how to win and how the game is going. I think we let them off the hook with some of those.”

Duke Did Not Play Winning Basketball at Winning Time

With 7:03 left to go in the game, Duke scored its 65th point to take a 1-point lead (65-64) when Flip made both the layup and the foul shot.  Almost 4 minutes later, Duke still had 65 points while the Panthers had taken  a 69-65 lead.  In that almost 4 minutes, Flip turned it over, Caleb missed a jumper, Ryan traveled, Tyrese missed a jump shot, Ryan committed a foul, Flip missed a jumper, and then Flip missed another jumper.

Ryan cut the lead to 69-67 when he made a pair of free throws.  But Duke gave up a wide open 3-pointer (72-67 for the Panthers).  Foster missed a jump shot but got his own rebound.  Jared cashed a layup (The Blue Devils trailed 72-69 with 2:45 left).  

Young missed a layup with 1:54 left, followed by Jaylen committing his 4th foul with 1:27 left.  Pitt missed the first of a one and one, and McCain made a driving layup. (Duke trailed by 1 with 1:10 to go).

With 43 seconds left, Duke left Lowe wide open for a 3-pointer, which he swished. (The Blue Devils trail 75-71 with 43 seconds left).  McCain turned it over with a bad pass but made up for it with a steal (33 seconds left).   McCain missed a jumper with 28 seconds left, and Flip fouled the Pitt center with 26 seconds remaining.  The Panther center made 1 of 2 to lead 76-71.  Foster drove and was fouled.  He made 1-2 to cut Pitt’s lead to 4  (76-72 with 19 seconds left.)

Caleb immediately fouled Lowe, who made 1-2 (77-72 Pitt with 18 seconds left).  Flip hit a clutch 3 with 10 seconds remaining, which cut the Pitt lead to 2 (77-75).  Caleb immediately fouled Lowe, who made 1-2 for a 3 point Pitt lead (79-75 with 9 seconds left). 

Proctor was fouled on a 3-point attempt with 0.04 remaining. [Stupid foul but gave Duke one more desperation chance]. Tyrese missed the first one (unintentionally) and the third (intentionally) after making the second one.  Caleb fouled immediately; Hinson made 1-2 for the final score of 80-76.

Duke tied or took the lead 6 times in the second half but gave up the lead as soon as Pitt had the ball and immediately beat the Duke defense.  Critically, this means that Duke  never consolidated a lead (or was tied)  by stopping the Panthers and having both the ball and a lead! 

Caleb Foster brought solidity to Duke’s offense in Roach’s absence.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Rotation

Jared McCain (37:58, including all 20:00 of the second half) led Duke in scoring with 20 points, 14 in the second half, (7-14 from the field including 3-8 from behind the arc, plus 3-4 from the foul line).  He grabbed one rebound, had an assist, a steal, and a turnover.  Jared was part of the defense that simply could not defend Pittsburgh, as he said, “Defensively, we just couldn’t string together stops. … we should’ve just guarded the ball better, bullied the ball better. [There were] a lot of things on our part we could’ve done better.” 

Tyrese Proctor (37:19, including all 20:00 of the first half) is playing better on both ends but is not physically back to where he was prior to his injury in early December (a depressing thought when applied to the comebacks of Mark and Jeremy).  Tyrese scored 11 points; 10 were in the first half.  Tyrese was on the foul line with Duke with 0.4 left on the clock and Duke trailing 79-75.  If he could make the first two and intentionally miss the third that would give Duke a shot at the tying tip in.  However, Tyrese missed the first one and committed a turnover when his intentional miss failed to hit the rim as required.  Tyrese was basically scoreless in the second half where he played more than 17 minutes.  He also did not hand out an assist, get a steal, or block a shot in the second half.  One turnover.  While Tyrese is getting better, he is still not fully back.  For the game, Tyrese scored  11 (3-7 from the field, including 2-7 from deep, plus 3-5 from the line – the two misses coming with 0.4 left in the game as described above.)  He had 5 rebounds and an assist.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (35:55, including all 20 minutes of the second half) scored 19 points, 13 in the second half (5-10 from the field, including 3-6 from 3land, plus 6-7 from the foul line).  Flip grabbed 5 rebounds, handed out 2 assists, blocked a shot and made a steal.  Uncharacteristically, Flip committed 5 turnovers.  While Flip committed 3 fouls, he drew 9 Pitt fouls.

Caleb Foster (35:16, including all 20 minutes of the second half) played an excellent game Caleb scored 16 points ((4-9 from the field including 3-5 from behind the arc, plus 5-6 from the stripe.)  Caleb added 6 boards, 5 assists (only one turnover) and 3 steals to his stellar statistics.

Ryan Young (25:23) picked up much of the slack from Mark’s absence, especially after Duke’s defense opened so badly with Jaylen Blakes in the starting lineup.  Ryan scored 6 points (2-3 from the field, plus 2-2 from the foul line).  Ryan grabbed 4 boards and blocked 2 shots and handed out 2 assists but turned it over 3 times.  

Jaylen Blakes (12:49) started the game but did not have his usual defensive impact on the game. He was 2-2 from the foul line without any shot attempts (other than the drive on which he was fouled). He made a steal, but committed 4 fouls in his short stint on the court.

Sean Stewart (11:09) continues to disappoint.  Sean failed to score, missing his only 2 free throws without attempting a shot.  He did grab 2 boards, the Blue Devils needed and need much more from Sean and his prodigious physical skills.

T.J. Power (3:41) scored 2 points on his first 2 point basket of the season.  T.J. has 9 3-pointers on the season but was 0-2 from deep for the game (1-3 from the field) with 2 rebounds in his cameo appearance.

Coach Scheyer and Duke fans are eager to see Jeremy and Mark back in uniform soon!

Photo Credit: Lance King

Photo Credit: Alyssa Ting | The Chronicle

NEXT PLAY: Tuesday, January 23, 2024, at 7 pm v. Louisville Cardinals in Louisville. ACCN


Duke Blue Devils 83 v. Louisville Cardinals 69 (Season 15; Issue 17; Game 17) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #17 at Louisville (January 23, 2024)

Mark was a returning star with a double-double (20 points and 12 rebounds).  Mark, we sorely missed you!  Welcome back; stay healthy.
Photo Credit:GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

While Duke had all their starters on the floor for the beginning of the game with Louisville, it was “five easy pieces” as they looked like a real contender – until they lost Roach to an ankle injury– and then they looked anything but. However, just when they were on the verge of blowing an 18 point lead (and Filipowski was having a rare off-shooting night), they managed a first—they found a way to get it done without their leader.  Filipowski, Proctor, McCain, Mitchell and even Stewart all made significant contributions down the stretch, as the Blue Devils took a licking, and for one of the first times this year, “kept on ticking”.  It wasn’t a perfect game, but it was rather impressive for a team that could easily have lost a third game to another bottom feeder.

In the beginning, especially Mitchell demonstrated how much the team needs him on the floor both offensively and defensively.  And Roach is the veteran they also need to make the youngsters formidable. The bottom line: while Duke’s players are too talented to play forty minutes of poor basketball, any opponent team can get hot and pull the upset making use of the three point line. 

Jeremy solidifies both ends of the court – an offensive and defensive STAR!  If his injury is serious, it could doom Duke’s championship hopes
Photo Credit:GoDuke.com

Jeremy – unstoppable driver!
Photo Credit:GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

For the first 14:35 of the game, the Blue Devils looked like the team that Duke fans had hoped to see against a team with many losses like Louisville.  Mark Mitchell and Jeremy Roach had returned to the starting lineup. (Caleb Foster started, with Tyrese Proctor coming off the bench).  Duke led by 18 points and was cooking on both ends of the floor.  The defense had allowed only 22 points, mostly early in the period.  The offense had 38 points with 5:15 left in the half, led by Jeremy Roach’s 10, Tyrese Proctor’s 11, Mark Mitchell’s 9, and Kyle Filipowski’s 5.

Roach injured his ankle on his layup and foul shot for a 3-point play, with 5:25 left in the first half.  While Jeremy returned to the game twice (once with 2:10 left in the first half, and for less than 2 minutes in the closing stanza), he was in obvious pain with limited mobility and did not score in his 2 post-injury playing times.  Although the wheels did not come off completely then, the Cardinals did outscore Duke 14-7 for the remainder of the first half.  Duke scored a prodigious 45 first-half points and still led, by 45-34.

Duke’s second half was a mixed story.  In the first 4:40, Duke was outscored by Louisville 10-2. The Blue Devils were simply awful. The lead was chopped to 3 points (47-44), but the Cardinals never got closer.  The Blue Devil lead fluctuated between 5 and 8 points for the next four minutes.  Then the lead fluctuated between 5 and 10, with the Blue Devils leading by 7 points (70-63) with 5:18 remaining in the game. That is when Duke showed real grit, doubling the lead to 14 points, with 1:44 left to put the game away. 

Scheyer, “We’ve played through a pretty good amount of adversity these last three games. And you feel game pressure, you have to play with different lineups. For us to really step up, collectively, and get that win, I’m proud of the team. … that final 5-to-10 minute stretch, I thought we did a good job weathering the storm.”

In the second half, without Roach, the Blue Devil backcourt was dependent on Proctor to score.  Foster and Blakes alternated in Roach’s place for the first 9 minutes of the half without scoring (neither scored in the second half).  With 10:56 left and Duke leading by 5, Scheyer went with a bigger lineup, with Sean Stewart playing alongside Flip, Mark, Tyrese, and McCain. 

Sean Stewart – finally beginning to realize his potential!
Photo Credit:GoDuke.com

Sean contributed to Duke’s total of 14 second-half fouls with 4 (Duke had committed 5 fouls in the first 9 minutes of the second half, and went into the bonus with 9:44 left in the game and the double bonus with 8:15 remaining)!  Sean defended well, blocked 2 shots and corralled 2 rebounds.  When he entered the game, Duke led by only 5 points.  10:20 later, when Sean left the game, Duke was ahead by 12 (81-69) with only 36 seconds remaining in the game.  This was significant court time for Sean.

The Blue Devils allowed 69 points (34 in the first half; 35 in the closing period), which was less than stellar defense (it was stellar until Jeremy’s sprained ankle).  Coach Scheyer: “The whole game, it was all about defense. … I thought we let them live in our paint too easily.  We just had to have more resistance.  Some of the details went out the window there at the beginning of the second half. …  You wish you could’ve extended the lead, but for us to go through that, played with game pressure and also learn we have to get stops, I think it was a really important game for us. Especially in that second half.” 

Tyrese, who played his best game this season and maybe in his career at Duke (he is finally all the way back from his ankle sprain), took over the leadership (especially on defense) after Jeremy was hurt.  Post-game, he said, “our start of the second half was really poor, we huddled up and we just got on the same page with one another.  Coach did a great job of bringing us together and we just played confidently. … I think we got stops when we needed to.  Last game, against Pitt, we kept trading baskets, and then we started missing shots and they got the lead. I think tonight, we started trading baskets early and then we really locked in and got stops when we needed to.  And then, we took advantage of it and started scoring.” 

Tyrese driving.  Finally looking fully recovered, he makes the Duke backcourt defensively excellent and offensively potent!
Photo Credit: AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley

Tyrese, scoring after his drive.  His return to form –Great News for Duke!
Photo Credit: ACCNetwork

The Rotation:

(30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (36:19) did not have an absolutely fabulous shooting game, but he did score 17 points (6-16 from the field, including a disappointing 1-6 from deep, plus 4-6 from the free throw line) while collecting 15 rebounds.  Another double-double! Flip handed out 5 assists (3 turnovers) made a steal and blocked a shot.  He is special even when he doesn’t play his A+ game.

(5)Tyrese Proctor (35:17, including almost 19 second-half minutes) scored a career high 24 points to lead Duke in scoring (9-16 from the field including 4-10 from behind the arc, plus 2-5 from the foul line).   He was superb and saved the second-half day scoring 13 in that stanza, including 3-6 from 3land.  It was confidence building to see him defend again at high level and make acrobatic drives.  He finally looks all the way back from his injury.

(25) Mark Mitchell (34:15) reminded us in his return to the lineup after missing 2 games, of just how valuable he is to Duke on both ends of the floor.  He too looked fully recovered from his injury, scoring 20 points on only 11 shots (8-11, mostly dunks, from the field, plus 4-5 from the stripe).  He was an offensive force, who anchored the interior defense (with Flip and surprisingly Sean Stewart).  Mark had a double-double, grabbing 12 rebounds.  He had an assist and a steal without a turnover.  His return is heartening.

(0) Jared McCain (28:00) did not have his usual deadly shooting night, but did score in double figures (10 points on 3-9 from the field, including 2-5 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the foul line).  Jared hauled in 4 rebounds and made 2 steals, but 0 assists and 2 turnovers.  Scheyer said, “Jared passed up a bunch of open 3’s tonight, and we talked about taking the best shot, but the best shot can be after one pass. If you’re open, shoot it.” 

(1) Caleb Foster (26:21) did not score in all his time on the court (0-2 from the field) with 2 rebounds, 2 assists and 2 turnovers.  He runs the team smoothly when he’s at the point guard position.

(3) Jeremy Roach (17:24) was having a simply Fantastic game on both ends of the floor until he was hurt after 14:35 had been played.  He scored 10 points (3-7 from the field including 2-4 from 3land, plus 2-2 from the foul line) to go with a rebound, 3 assists and 2 steals without a turnover.  His healthy presence in the lineup is essential for Duke’s effort this season!

(13) Sean Stewart (14:53, including 10:20 in the second half).  Sean played up front with Flip and Mark for much of the second half.  This is the first time this season that Sean’s play has met a Duke need. For the rest of this season, it will be interesting to see if Scheyer adds power up front with Sean instead of a third guard, perhaps to fill the hole left by D-Live’s departure.  Sean scored 2 points (0-1 from the field, plus 2-2 from the foul line) while grabbing 6 rebounds and blocking 2 shots.  Very encouraging, though his 4 second-half fouls is a continuing problem.

(2) Jaylen Blakes (5:48) may be reading his own press clippings (tiger on defense forcing turnovers) because his intensity may be too intense – no steals but 2 fouls in 2 first-half minutes.  Playing time shortens when the only statistic in the box score is fouls committed.

(15) Ryan Young (1:43, all in the first half).  There must be a story of why Sean played over 14 minutes and Ryan almost not at all.  I, however, do not know it, and it was not mentioned in the press conference.  Let’s hope it is not about an injury.  Ryan failed to score (0-1) with a rebound and a turnover.NEXT PLAY:

Next Play: Saturday, January 27, 2024, at 4 pm v. Clemson Tigers in Cameron Indoor Stadium. ESPN


Duke Blue Devils 72 v. Clemson Tigers 71 (Season 15; Issue 18; Game 18) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #18 at Cameron (January 28, 2024)

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Clemson had lost 20 games in a row in Cameron. Today, they found a way to make it 21. Truthfully, Duke played too inconsistently to win this one.  No team that shoots 21-33 (64%) from the free throw line and leaves a potential 10 or so points off the scoreboard deserves to win the game.  Of course, Clemson Coach Brad Brownell and his players will bitch about the officiating, but when you play as physically as Clemson you are not going to get all the calls on the road.  And I wish someone besides Corey Alexander would explain the difference between an offensive charge and a good defensive play in the post — except to say the offensive player is allowed one bump (but not two or more), no matter who initiates the contact.

It was amazing for Duke to win while Filipowski, until his last critical old fashion three-point play, looked as though he had pulled a week of all-nighters during exam week, and while Jeremy Roach played but probably shouldn’t have. For Duke to win under those circumstances says a lot about the development of Mitchell, Procter, and McCain, who collectively scored 52 of Duke’s 72 points. 

As Coach Scheyer praised McCain’s second half and mental attitude:

 “The last guy I want to touch on is Jared McCain. Jared just has a special belief about himself, and when things get tough, you just feel like Jared is going to make a play. You do, as a coach. It doesn’t matter if he’s a freshman. It doesn’t matter if he’s never been in a situation like this before. He just has a belief his team’s supposed to win, and I thought that stretch –  11 points in the final 12 minutes – but it’s more his spirit, just finding a way to win. Really proud. Clemson, I think they’re a really good team, and to find a way to win, sometimes that’s what it’s about. We have to move on quickly to get ready for Monday.”

Some things are meant to be.  Clemson is too talented and mature a team to be at the bottom of the ACC, but that is where they are. The basketball gods are tough customers.

It is getting late in the season not to have developed a reliable, deep rotation— Young and Stewart aren’t ready for prime floor time, and Filipowski is not holding up well for all that he is required to do. Will this game be considered “lucky” or will it be a catalyst for the Blue Devils to become a tougher, more consistent contender like the legendary “Flaming Five” of the late Fifties?

Mark Mitchell was crucial in Duke’s first half 
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

This was a game that Duke deserved to lose.  While that is true, and we can explore that conclusion, let’s remember Duke’s astounding clutch performance at winning time.

Undeserving

One of Duke’s very best players, Kyle (Flip) Filipowski had a subpar game, shooting 2-8 from the field, including 0-3 from deep, plus a woeful 5-11 from the foul line (but he did make the crucial one on his last attempt.)  Flip was limited to scoring 2 points in the first half, while committing 2 fouls.  He picked up his 3rd foul 2 minutes into the second half, and his 4th with almost 12 minutes left in the game.  He fouled out with 7.4 seconds to go, and so was on the bench for Duke’s final play – Duke behind by a point with a last desperate chance to win it.  

Duke’s reliable, but clearly injured captain, Jeremy Roach, did not start, but entered the game early in the first period.  Scheyer, “Jeremy Roach hasn’t practiced, like literally has not practiced, since the game we had on Tuesday, and he just tried to will it out today.” Jeremy was clearly not 100%, but played 25 minutes, scoring 5 points (1-8 from the field, including 0-1 from deep).  He was 3-4 from the stripe when Duke needed the points.

Duke’s defense cracked.  For the first 18 minutes of the game, the Blue Devils played superb defense, holding Clemson to 20 points, while Duke took a 32-20 lead. Then the defense melted into almost non-existent.  In the next 20 minutes (from 2 minutes to go in the first half to 2 minutes to go in the game), Duke allowed Clemson to score 51 points. ( 6 points in the last 2 minutes of the first half and 45 points in the second half – a rate of 102 points per game).

Duke was badly beaten off the glass on both ends of the floor.  Clemson outrebounded the Blue Devils 42-33, grabbing 11 offensive rebounds.  The Tigers scored 15 second-chance points off those 11 offensive rebounds.  While Duke did get 4 offensive rebounds, the Blue Devils did not score a single second-chance point.

Duke got little scoring support from 4 of the 8 players who played in the game – Caleb Foster (5 points), Roach (5 points), Ryan Young (1 point), and Sean Stewart (0) provided little firepower. Because Caleb was a starter, the bench is credited with scoring only 6 points (Jeremy’s 5 + Ryan’s single point).  

Finally, Duke was abysmal from the foul line.  In the first half the Blue Devils only managed 50% (4-8). Flip was 0-2, and Roach 1-2 while Mark Mitchell was 3-4.  In the closing half, Duke was under 70% (17-25).  Flip was 5-9, Foster 0-2 and Ryan Young 1-2.  On the bright side however, after McCain went to the line with 8:56 to play and hit both of his shots, the Blue Devils didn’t miss from the line again.

Tyrese – cool as can be as he steps to the line to win the game
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Tyrese ties the score with 1 second left
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Winning Time

With 3:41, Chase Hunter gave Clemson its first lead since early in the first period with a layup (65-63).  Flip was fouled and made them both (65-65)With 3 minutes to go, Girard III made a jumper to give Clemson the lead again (67-65).  Proctor and McCain both missed 3s.  Ryan fouled Hall, who made both shots with 2:15 left (69-65).  Flip was fouled but quite incredulously missed both free throws! with 2:06 left.  Then McCain, who scored 16 second-half points, including 11 in the final 12 minutes, stepped up to will Duke to victory.

First, with 2:03 left, McCain stole the ball, but Flip missed again at the rim with 1:54 remaining.  McCain stole the ball again with 1:35 remaining and made an acrobatic layup – in traffic – at the 1:32 mark (69-67). Miraculously, McCain stole the ball again! with 1:06 left in the game but then missed a 3-point attempt with 52 seconds left.  

This time it was Mark Mitchell who stole the ball with 24 seconds remaining.  Flip morphed back into Flip. He was fouled as he made a driving layup and converted the free throw.  Duke led 70-69 with only 15 seconds left in the game.  But Clemson’s star big man, P. J. Hall, took it to the basket over Flip, who fouled him but stopped the field goal.  Flip had fouled out. Hall made both free throws.  Clemson 71 v. Duke 70 – 7 seconds left in the game. 

Then Tyrese used a pick from Mark and drove to the basket.  With 1 second left, he was fouled, and made the 2 pressure-packed foul shots (72-71) with the same 1 second left on the clock. 

The replays show that Tyrese was clearly fouled.  He was the model of serene confidence sinking both foul shots to tie and then win the game.  Scheyer, “Both of them hardly touched the rim.”

Clemson players are still outraged at the referee’s call, instead of blaming themselves for turning the ball over 4 times (the Duke steals) in the last 2 minutes without their scoring.  If Clemson watches the tapes, the wailing should stop.  One can visibly see the Clemson player hit Tyrese’s right arm. 

With the same 1 second left, Clemson’s Hall threw a great full court pass. Players on both Duke and Clemson went up for it, and there was much contact, but no foul was called.  Clemson might be justified in believing Duke committed a foul with 1 second left.

Scheyer described the winning play, “We practice our end-of-game situations often.  We practiced them two days ago, just to go through, and to be honest, I don’t know if we’ve practiced it without Flip in with that first group.  Mark was in a position as the screener there.  And with seven seconds, we have a play that we go to with that time – I guess we’ll need to get a new play now – but for Tyrese, you just want to attack the basket. It’s enough time to attack the paint, and you surround him with shooting.  I thought Tyrese did a great job of playing through resistance and finding a way to get to the paint.” 

In the second half, Jared (16), Tyrese (9) and Flip (7) collectively scored 32 of Duke’s 40 points.

Jared drives to score two of his 16 second half points
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(5) Tyrese (Rese) Proctor (38:12) scored 18 points (9 in each half) on 5-10 from the field, including a gaudy 4-6 from behind the arc, plus 4-4, from the line, including the winning 2 with 1 second left.  He seems fully recovered from his early December ankle sprain and is again playing at the high level that  Duke needs!

(25) Mark Mitchell (37:17) scored 13 points – 10 in the first half – (3-6 from the field, including 1-1 from 3land, plus 6-8 from the foul line) to go with 6 rebounds and that crucial steal at winning time.  Scheyer, “Mark is guarding everybody on the one end. He’s guarding Schieffelin. He’s guarding Hall. He’s switching. I thought he got us the lead there in that first half with his assertiveness.”

(0) Jared McCain (31:35) His amazing second half merits living in Duke basketball lore!  He scored 21 for the game (8-12 from the field, including 3-7 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the stripe) to go with those 3 crucial steals at winning time!, 5 boards and 2 assists without a turnover.  The second half was remarkable for Jared’s 16 points, 11 in the last 4 minutes!!  Bill Miller quoted Scheyer’s assessment of Jared’s special mentality and performance.  Jared was just plain dazzling in the second half!

(3) Jeremy Roach (25:06) gutted it out for his team even though he was obviously injured and not playing anything like  he does when healthy.  His presence on the field is important for Duke on both ends of the court, both for his leadership and persona.  The senior co-captain scored 5 points (1-8 from the field, including 0-1 from deep, plus 3-4 from the stripe) to go with 2 rebounds and an assist. Scheyer added, “He didn’t have his best stuff, but he did enough just to help and make some plays.” Jeremy is a real team trooper!

(30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (24:04) did not play at all like the Pre-season ACC pick for player of the year (as he usually has this season).  He scored 9 points (2-8 from the field, a goose egg of 0-3 from behind the arc, plus an embarrassing 5-11 from the foul line). Flip blocked 4 Tiger shots and grabbed 4 rebounds.  He added a steal and an assist, but he committed 3 turnovers and fouled out with 7 seconds left in the game; so, he was not in the Duke lineup for the most important play of the game.

(1) Caleb Foster (20:03) scored 5 points (2-6 from the field, including 1-3 from 3land, plus 2 missed free throws at a crucial late game stage)  Caleb contributed 4 rebounds and 2 assists without a turnover.

(15) Ryan Young (16:38) scored a point (0-1 from the field plus 1-2 from the foul line).  Ryan had 4 rebounds, but his 2 offensive rebounds tell the story of his subpar outing.  On one offensive rebound, he missed a point-blank put back; on the other Clemson stole the ball from his hands.  Ryan had one defensive rebound, and committed a turnover and 3 fouls.

(13) Sean Stewart (7:05, almost all in the first half) did not build on his good performance against Louisville last week. He failed to score or even to attempt a shot.  He claimed a rebound, but committed 2 fouls.  When he and Proctor got entangled, causing a turnover, Scheyer benched Sean.

Conference Standings and Hard Week Coming Up

With only a day between the Clemson game and Duke’s road trip to Virginia Tech on Monday, January 29, followed by a Saturday (February 3) game in Chapel Hill against the conference-leading UNC Tarheels, this will be a tough week. Both games are on the road.  Duke has not had much success in Blacksburg. The short turnaround, while common in postseason tournaments, is unusual and very difficult in the regular season.  

Duke is in second place in the ACC (6-2) 2.5 games behind UNC (9-0) and must beat Carolina to retain a reasonable chance at the ACC regular title.  And it is the most traditional rivalry – Duke-Carolina! The Hokies are on a 3-game winning streak (all ACC games). This makes the conference road game at Virginia Tech a classic “trap” game.

NEXT PLAY: Monday, January 29, 2024,  at 7 pm vs the Virginia Tech Hokies in Blacksburg. ESPN


Duke Blue Devils 77 v. Virginia Tech Hokies 65 (Season 15; Issue 19; Game 19) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #19 at Blacksburg (January 29, 2024)

In moments of leadership, a Captain is alone on the court.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke recovered on a short turnaround, from an uneven but winning performance against Clemson Saturday, to get the monkey off their back about losing at Blacksburg for far too many times in recent years. Although starting sluggishly against Virginia Tech, the Blue Devils held an uncomfortable margin for most of the game and closed like the better team that they are.  It would have been more comfortable if they had not missed so many foul shots (6-10, all in the second half), which should be the least of their problems to solve.  But again, the maturing of Procter, McCain, and Mitchell has been a saving grace for this team.  And tonight, the constant hustle of Ryan Young off the bench was a shot of adrenaline. Also, Roach played! While not fully recovered from his injury, he hit several timely shots at key moments which helped keep the Hokies at bay.

Alan was unusually pessimistic that this was a classic “trap game” with the short turnaround and this Saturday’s much-hyped game with undefeated (in league play) Carolina looming. Statistics show that Blacksburg is a very tough venue for opposing teams, and Virginia Tech has a much better record at home (10-1 going into the game) than on the road (1-4). However, it was encouraging and impressive that Duke outrebounded Tech, outshot them by a surprising margin from the floor, and had fewer turnovers. 

Tyrese is his assured acrobatic self – in charge.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

Duke combined excellent defense, passionate rebounding, and efficient shooting in a cohesive offense where the ball moved consistently.  The Blue Devils handed out  19 assists on 31 field goals.  And it wasn’t just the assists; the ball moved so well that the Hokies had a hard time staying connected defensively.  Duke started slowly (or rather, Virginia Tech got off to a blazing start). Duke did not take its first lead until 13 minutes of the first half had elapsed.  

The Blue Devils never gave the lead up, stretching it to 11 (32-21 with 3:29 left in the first half).  But the Hokies cut it to 3 (32-29) with under a minute left in the opening stanza.  Sean Stewart retrieved an offensive rebound and tipped it to Jeremy Roach for a 3-pointer at the first-half buzzer for Duke’s 35-29 halftime lead.  That was a Big Shot!

The Hokies cut Duke’s lead to 3, twice in the second half, but never got closer.  Duke’s superb shooting kept the lead comfortable, reaching double figures with 4:26 remaining (69-59) and extending it to a game high 14 points with under 2 minutes to go in the game (75-61 with 1:21 left, and 77-63 with 1:02 left).  The Hokies scored 2 meaningless hoops in the last minute for the final score of 77-67.

Flip can do it all on the court, including from deep
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Offense

The Blue Devils shot 55% from the field for the game (31-56), including 60% in the second half (16-27).  Duke’s players were accurate marksmen from behind the arc (9-17 for 53%)!  That is high level shooting!  Seven Blue Devils scored 8 or more points, four scored 10 or more. The four double digit scorers were led by Roach’s 16.  Kyle (Flip) Filipowski scored 14,  Tyrese Proctor had 12, and Ryan Young scored 10.  Jared McCain added 9 points, while Mark Mitchell and Caleb Foster added 8 points apiece.  Balanced scoring is a key asset and put pressure on the Hokie defense. 

Duke’s only weakness was at the foul line.  Duke had 0 free throw attempts in the first half and was 6-10 (60%; Flip was 2-5 and Ryan 0-1) in the second half.  While shooting 60% from the field, as Duke did in the second half, is great shooting, shooting 60% from the free throw line is a disaster.

The Defense

The Blue Devil strategy was to stop Virginia Tech’s vaunted 3-point attack.  Duke succeeded, holding the Hokies to 6-22 from behind the arc (27%; 3-11 in each half).  Scheyer: “it was our defense – to hold this team to six 3s is not easy. …  Especially on one-day prep.  They run so many tough actions, misdirections.  You have to have great communication.  We did that. … They’re difficult to guard because of how well they shoot the three.  You have to pick your poison a little bit. Our thing was trying to take away 3s as much as possible.  Because of that, we gave up some drives, and they got to the paint a little easier. … I thought our communication for 40 minutes against these guys, with one-day prep, was terrific. Mark [Mitchell] switching onto everybody, Flip did a good job besides the fouls (4 in the second half) and our guards, they really bust their butts.”

Scheyer’s enthusiasm for the defense was echoed by his players.  Proctor,  “I think communication was the biggest thing.  Cattoor (Va. Tech high scorer) is a really good shooter. I did a good job last year.  I just tried to do the same thing this year and just tried to impact him as much as I could and just chase him over every screen.” Tyrese emphasized the team aspect of the defense was “just trusting one another.  Trusting the help was going to come.”  Capt. Jeremy, “I think the switching that we had kind of messed them up a little bit. It was a good overall effort tonight.”

Rebounding

After the disastrous rebounding game against Clemson last Saturday (Clemson had 15 second-chance points to 0 for the Blue Devils), Scheyer emphasized the need to protect Duke’s defensive backboard. We had resistance at our basket. They only got four offensive rebounds.  To out-rebound them 38-20, I think that speaks to the level of fight and resistance that we played with.”  His players agreed.

Roach, “A shout out to Ryan Young.  Obviously, Jared had 10 rebounds too, but I mean, that’s been a big thing.  Wanting to rebound.  We’re not the biggest team out there, but rebounding is all about effort.  If we’re winning the rebound battle, we most likely should win the game. … That’s always the focus coming into a game, winning the turnover, rebound and free-throw battles.” 

Flip: “Yeah, we’ve been a little inconsistent with the rebounding the last few games.  Some we’re doing great, and some we’re not.  We just keep needing those reminders.  Every team is different, and there’s going to be some games where maybe me and Mark aren’t getting as many rebounds, or Ryan, where we’ve got to worry about boxing our guys out more and then the guards can come down and crash.” 

Ryan was a star, scoring 10 crucial points.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

The Rotation is a window into Coach Scheyer’s evaluation of his players by demonstrating whom he has on the court for how many minutes.  It is also a way to show our readers who scored, rebounded, assisted, made steals, and blocked shots (or turned it over).   Duke won the game in the second half, scoring 42 points while holding the Hokies at bay, with double digit leads for much of the last 10 minutes of the game.  Because the second half Rotation was different from the first half, and much different from any other game – basically down to only 6 players, — it is included before the Game Rotation.

Second Half Rotation

(5) Tyrese Proctor (20:00) scored 7 points (3-5 from the field, including 1-2 from deep) to go with 2 boards, 3 assists and a turnover.

(0) Jared McCain (20:00) scored 7 points (2-5 from the field, including 1-4 from 3land, plus 2-2 from the stripe) to go with 5 crucial rebounds, 3 assists without a turnover.

(25) Mark Mitchell (17:01) scored 4 points on 2-2 field goals with 4 rebounds and 2 blocked shots.

(3) Jeremy Roach (16:27) scored 8 points (2-6 from field, including 2-2 from deep, both of which were crucial, plus 2-2 from the stripe) to go with 3 assists (2 turnovers).

(30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (12:10) had his playing time reduced because, although he was foul free in the first half, he picked up his 4th foul with over 9 minutes to go in the game.  However, he made the most of his 12 minutes, scoring 8 points (3-4 from the field without a 3-point attempt, but a disappointing 2-5 from the free throw line).  He added 3 rebounds but committed 2 turnovers.

(15) Ryan Young (10:49) gets our ‘game ball’ for a truly amazing second half.  He scored 8 points (4-4 from the field), grabbed 3 rebounds, handed out an assist (a beautiful interior pass) and blocked a shot.  His superb play minimized the damage done by Flip’s 4 second-half fouls.  Ryan also committed 4 game fouls (2 in the closing stanza)

(1) Caleb Foster (3:33) missed his only shot from the field, failing to score in the closing stanza and turning it over once.  He played for such a short time that Duke’s second half rotation was only 6 for practical purposes.

Game Rotation

(0 )Jared McCain (38:28) scored 9 points while not shooting as well as he has in  recent games (3-10 from the field, including a woeful 1-6 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the foul line).  He led Duke in rebounding with 10 (amazing for a 6’3” guard) and handed out 3 assists without a turnover.

(5) Tyrese Proctor (37:37) scored 12 points on 8 shots (5-8 from the field, including 2-3 from 3land) to go with 3 rebounds and 5 assists (2 turnovers). He controlled the game for Duke.  He’s really back.

(25) Mark Mitchell (31:07) scored 8 points (4-6 from the field) while grabbing 8 boards, blocking a pair of Hokie shots, and handing out an assist.  He, uncharacteristically, committed 6 turnovers.  His defense is critical for Duke.

(30) Kyle Filipowski (30:38) scored 14 points (6-9 from the field, including 0-1 from behind the arc, plus 2-5 from the foul line) to go with 8 rebounds, 2 assists and a steal.  But he committed 3 turnovers and 4 fouls, all in the second half.

(3) Jeremy Roach (29:05) did not start the game (replacing Caleb Foster with 12:38 remaining in the first half0.  Even so, he was still Duke’s high scorer with 16 points (5-11 from the field, including a gaudy 4-5 from deep, plus 2-2 from the stripe).  Jeremy handed out 4 assists while committing a pair of turnovers.  Our co-captain was not less than gallant, playing with grit and guts when obviously still limited by his injury.

(0)Caleb Foster (14:50) was in the starting lineup and scored 8 points on his first 3 shots, all in the first 6:30 of the game, but did not score again. He handed out a pair of assists against only 1 turnover.

(15) Ryan Young (14:30) scored 10 points (5-6 from the field, 0-1 from the free throw line) to go with 5 rebounds, 2 assists and a blocked shot without a turnover.  A simply great performance.

(13) Sean Stewart (3:45, all in the first half).  Sean’s only statistic was his rebound, tapping the ball to Roach for the co-captain’s 3-pointer at the first-half buzzer.  He was unfairly denied an official assist on that tap.

NEXT PLAY: Saturday, February 3, 2024, at 7pm  v. North Carolina Tarheels (17-4 for the season and 9-1 leading the ACC) at Cameron Indoor Stadium. [Duke is 15-4 for the season and in second place in the ACC, 2 games behind at 7-2]. UNC will not be overconfident, losing on the road to Georgia Tech on the last possession. A Duke loss would leave the Blue Devils two and a half behind, and, as a practical matter, out of contention for the regular ACC title. ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 84 v. UNC Tarheels 93 (Season 15; Issue 20; Game 20) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #20 at Chapel Hill (February 3, 2024)

Photos of the Duke team will return when their gameplay does

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

When a team shoots 50% from the floor, has about the same percentage of rebounds, and still loses, they must have played poor defense, and/or one or two of the opposing players must have “career” games.  Well, Harrison Ingram and Armando Bacot indeed had career games, making the difference with 46 points and 23 rebounds between them.  They also combined to shoot 18-25 from the field.  Ingram, the transfer from Stanford, was particularly adept in the first half, hitting five consecutive threes and making the defensive play of the game, while lying flat on the floor, sparking the Tar Heels to a double-digit lead that they rarely relinquished.

Duke’s guards pretty much held R J Davis, so far the POY in the ACC, in check but the truth is that Carolina is deeper in the front court than Duke, and basically Proctor and Mitchell were offensively missing in action.  In addition, the game was in Chapel Hill and any road win is tough to win in the ACC, especially at the Dean Dome.

Truly, Carolina gave the Blue Devils an offensive, and defensive, tutorial in execution and intensity that Duke must learn and adopt to be a contender not a pretender.  But so far, North Carolina has shown that they are the best, deepest, and most mature team in the ACC;  Duke is not as deep with complementary players but is working to develop them.  

OTHER COMMENTS: 

    • Free agency: Forward Cormac Ryan is 25 years old, and UNC is the third school for which he has played NCAA basketball. He must be working on his PhD.

    • Harrison Ingram’s sister is a freshman volleyball player at Duke.

“You mean that one didn’t go in either??”

ALANALYSIS

The Blue Devils Admit A Failure To Compete

Jay Bilas famously repeats, “Duke-Carolina never disappoints.”  Last night’s Duke performance made the word “never” debatable.  Not only were Duke fans disappointed, but the Blue Devil players and their coach engaged in post-game “mea culpas” about not competing in a manner that would honor the tradition of this hallowed rivalry.

Coach Scheyer: I just wasn’t happy with the way we competed. That’s disappointing for me.  … we didn’t compete to the level that you need to, to have a chance to beat this team tonight. That’s what I’m disappointed about. … You have to compete.  You still have to bring it. … I know the teams I’ve played on, coached on, the team last year and a half – we compete.  We show up.  Tonight wasn’t the level that it should be. …  The main story for me was the loose balls. As you look throughout the game, they were hungrier to get them.  And it turned into – I’ll have to go back and watch the film to see – but I bet close to 15, maybe even 20, points.” 

 Co-Captain Jeremy Roach: “We just got out-competed, out-toughed.  It’s very tough, especially in the rivalry.  We’ve got to come back Wednesday and get the win.”

Jared McCain: “They outcompeted us, for sure.  They got those 50-50 balls and it translated.  Ryan hit the three in the corner, it felt like they hit a three every time we didn’t get a loose ball.  We didn’t compete.  That’s what it came down to. … This is the game, when you commit to Duke, it’s the big game you look forward to.  It’s crazy to think that we don’t come out with energy and go play as hard as we can.  So, it sucks.” 

One play, at the end of the game, epitomized Duke’s inability to compete.  Duke 

trailed by 9 with 43 seconds left.   Roach missed a 3-pointer from the corner, but R.J. Davis was flagged for a “hook and hold” foul on Flip.  That gave Flip a pair of foul shots, and Duke keeps the ball — opportunity for as many as 5 points on the possession if Flip makes both, and Duke can hit a 3.  Flip missed the first foul shot.  Then, Proctor’s inbound pass was off target, and UNC stole it.  Duke’s opportunity resulted in only a single point.   

 Wake up, Blue Devils! It’s time to defend!

The Defense

What can you say about a defense that gives up 93 points (45 in the first half and 48 in the second half) and cannot efficiently resist the interior offense of Armando Bacot (25 points on 10-13 from the field and 5-7 from the foul line)?  Bacot, who had a double-double with 10 rebounds, 4 offensive, made a shambles of the Duke interior defense.  Harrison Ingram torched the defense from both deep (5-9 from deep) and on the interior for a total of 21 points to go with 13 boards.  UNC scored 27 points (9 successful shots on 24 attempts) from deep. Duke scored 12 fewer points from deep (5-19).

The Offense

Duke trailed by 10 at the half, after the game had been tied at 22 with 8:42 left in the opening stanza.  With 3:10 left in that period, the Tarheels took their first double digit lead 38-28.  Duke had scored only 6 points in 5 and half minutes. The Blue Devils scored 49 second- half points but could not substantially dent the Tarheel lead.  

In the second half, UNC led by double figures most of the way – its biggest lead was 15 points.  The Blue Devils trimmed the Carolina lead to 8 and 9 points several times (to 7 with 16 seconds left), but never made the game close enough for fans to believe Duke would win.

Is this how dribbling works?

THE ROTATION 

We again (as we did with the Virginia Tech game last week) inserted the second half rotation ahead of the usual full game rotation because the second half rotation gives an accurate glimpse into the Coach’s evaluation of the game as it proceeded.  Only four Duke players scored in the closing period where the Blue Devils scored 49 points.  Tyrese Proctor, Caleb Foster, and Ryan Young failed to score a single point.  Flip led the second half scoring with 16 points.  McCain scored 14 second half points, while Jeremy added 10 and Mark scored 9.

Second-Half Rotation

Jared McCain (20:00) was dazzling in his effort, scoring 14 points (5-12, including 1-4 from behind the arc, plus 3-3 from the foul line) to go with 4 rebounds and a steal.  

Jeremy Roach (19:20) scored 10 second-half points (5-8, including 0-2 from deep, without a free throw attempt.)  The co-captain had 2 boards, 2 assists, and 2 turnovers.

Mark Mitchell (18:43) scored 9 points, corralled 5 rebounds, and blocked a shot.  He was 3-4 from the field, his only miss was from deep. 

Kyle Filipowski (18:00) led Duke’s second-half scoring with 16 points (6-10 from the field, including 1-4 from deep, plus 3-5 from the stripe.  He only had a single rebound, blocked a shot and committed a turnover….. and 3 fouls.

Tyrese Proctor (15:02) grabbed 3 defensive rebounds, handed out an assist and committed a turnover….but without scoring a single point.  He missed his only shot (from inside the arc).

Caleb Foster (5:38) had a second half-steal while committing 4 second-half fouls, fouling out with 5 total.  He did not score a point – or even take a shot –  in the second half.

Ryan Young (3:17) did not score or even attempt a shot in his brief second-half cameo, where he spelled Flip and Mark when each was given a short rest.  He had a steal, committed a foul and a turnover.

Rotation for the Full Game

(0) Jared McCain (38:08) was Duke’s high scorer with 23 points (9-18 from the field, including 2-6 from deep, plus 3-3 from the stripe.)  Astoundingly, Jared, a 6’3” guard corralled a team high 11 rebounds. For perspective, Duke’s bigs, Mark and Flip, got a combined 12 rebounds; Bacot (at 6’11”) had 10.  Jared also had a pair of steals, an assist, and a turnover.  

His coach had high praise for Jared’s competitive spirit (made even higher by his assessment of the team’s lack of competitive spirit in this game), “Jared McCain competes every single play. … He leads us in rebounding, leads us in scoring, which is great.  For me, it’s not about the scoring, though.  It’s about his competitive nature.  It’s about how he’s always talking.  He’s always upbeat and  trying to make plays. … Jared laid it on the line tonight, and that’s what you want.”

(3) Jeremy Roach (36:40) scored an efficient 20 points (9-16, including 2-5 from behind the arc) to go with 3 rebounds, 2 assists and a pair of turnovers.  He appears fully recovered from his ankle sprain.

(25) Mark Mitchell (36:34) scored 11 points (4-6 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land, plus 3-3 from the foul line) to go with 7 rebounds, 2 assists and 2 blocked shots without a turnover.

(30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (31:14) scored 22 points (9-17 from the field, including a frustrating 1-6 from behind the arc, and a disappointing 3-5 from the foul line –where he has been missing regularly lately) to go with 5 rebounds (versus his average of 9 rebounds per game) and a blocked shot.  2 turnovers.

(5) Tyrese Proctor (26:33) did not have a productive game.  Tyrese scored only 2 points (1-6, all inside the arc, without a free throw attempt), grabbed 3 boards and handed out a pair of assists with a turnover.  Coach Scheyer, “He didn’t have his best game tonight. … knowing Tyrese, he’s going to bounce back on Wednesday. That’s what he’s made out of.  It’s what he’s shown for a year-and-a-half.” 

(1) Caleb Foster (18:56) had a better first half, where he scored 4 points on 2-4 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land.  He had 2 boards, an assist, and a steal, with 2 turnovers.

(15) Ryan Young (6:46) scored 2 on 1-2 from the field to go with 2 rebounds, and a turnover.

(13) Sean Stewart (1:52, all in the first half) without a statistic.

Jared earned his coach’s praise with a great purrrformance. 
Photo credit: GoDuke.com

Do Not Despair

Coach Scheyer emphasized that this group has been resilient and  has always bounced back from a bad performance with good play, “I really believe in this team.  The thing that I’ve said, throughout this year, this group hasn’t gotten it perfect all the time.  The core group is back from last year, they always respond. They always respond.  I’m looking forward to seeing how we respond on Monday. Practice on Tuesday.  And then, getting ready for our game on Wednesday.  That’s what this is about for me.” 

We are rooting for a bounce back for the rest of the season and look forward to hosting the Tarheels in Cameron on March 3, 2024.  But for now, we concentrate on the… 

NEXT PLAY: Wednesday, February 7 at 9 pm v. Notre Dame at Cameron Indoor Stadium.  ACCN.


Duke Blue Devils 71 v. Notre Dame Fighting Irish 53 (Season 15; Issue 21; Game 21) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #21 at Cameron (February 7, 2024)

The Bench delivers: The Blue Devils need Ryan, Caleb and Sean’s depth to get through the rest of the season.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

While a Duke-North Carolina basketball game takes a lot out of both the winner and loser, Duke bounced back better than the Tar Heels, which, in case you have not heard, LOST TO CLEMSON AT HOME.! Granted Duke had an easier opponent in Notre Dame, but what the hell, a win is a win and not a loss, like UNC was handed.

Coach Scheyer used some old school Coach K verbal humiliation to inspire and motivate his players—even going deeper into his bench.  The usual suspects were not as offensively productive as usual, but the points were more evenly distributed than usual—not necessarily a bad thing.  

And what’s up with Filipowski?  Flip has lost his accuracy at the foul line (from 80% to 60%) and the three-point land.  Is he injured?  I noticed that he is wearing a compression sleeve on his right arm, or is he feeling the pressure of having to do too much and missing Lively as a complementary player?

On the other hand, it is a pleasure to see the development of – especially — Jared McCain (and to a lesser extent Mark Mitchell, and Caleb Foster). Sean Stewart may be getting it.  His block at one end followed by hustling the length of the court for a dunk shows he was paying attention to the Carolina fast break system. That’s the good news, but Duke shooting 43% FG, 22% 3’s, and 60%FT, will not beat the better teams outside of Cameron.

It’s a long season and is only about half over!

“I could have danced all night”: Caleb brough depth to the backcourt and notched 13 points.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

Duke’s opponent is having a rough year.  The Fighting Irish are last in the ACC (2-10 after the Duke beat down) and 7-16 overall.  After Duke’s loss in Chapel Hill, and Scheyer’s public indictment that the Blue Devils did not compete, the cognoscenti opined that Duke would be on-fire intense and blow Notre Dame out – making the Irish pay. The score might suggest that’s what happened, but it is not what really happened. 

Duke did start with Scheyer’s desired intensity, opening up a 15 point lead (20-5) with 10:20 remaining in the first half.  And then the intensity seemed to evaporate.  Notre Dame outscored Duke 18 – 8 in the second 10 minutes of the opening stanza.  Duke was unable to re-establish its 15 point margin until there was only 10:15 left in the game.  The margin stretched to 19 before the game ended, and the Duke margin was never less than 14 in the last 10 minutes of the game.

The Defense

It is hard to find fault with a defense that holds its opponent to 53 points (28 in the second half), but it is accurate to point out that it wasn’t all the Duke defense.  Notre Dame players missed a boatload of wide open shots;  The Blue Devils out rebounded ND 43-35; made 10 steals, forced 15 turnovers, and blocked 6 shots.    

The Offense

The best aspect of the offense was the Blue Devils’ balanced scoring.  Mitchell and Foster led the scoring with 13 points, while McCain was also in double figures with 11 points.  Tyrese scored 9, Flip had 8, while Jeremy contributed 7 points.  The bench contributed also ( a much needed development) : Ryan scored 6 and Sean 4.  Everyone (almost) got into the act.

Duke did not shoot well from behind the arc (4-18) or from the foul line (15-25).  For the game, the Blue Devils were 26-60 (43%).  Duke had assists on half of its baskets contrasted with only 9 turnovers.

Mark Mitchell, propelled to another double-double by his stalwart defense.
 Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(25) Mark Mitchell (31:47) scored 13 points (4-8 from the field, including 0-2 from 3land, plus a disappointing 5-9 from the foul line) to go with 10 rebounds, an assist, 2 steals and a blocked shot, without a turnover.  That’s double double for the stalwart defender.

(5) Tyrese Proctor (29:18) scored 9 points (3-7 from the field, including 1-5 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line), grabbed 3 boards and handed out a pair of assists with 2 turnovers.  Coach Scheyer played him more than the other guards to help him get his confidence back after his subpar effort against the Tarheels. 

(3) Jeremy Roach (27:18) scored 7 points (3-10 including 1-5 from behind the arc) to go with 3 rebounds, 2 assists, a steal and a blocked shot, without a turnover.  Duke did not need the co-captain to score, but he defends hard as well, as his steal and blocked shot demonstrate.

(0) Jared McCain (25:36) scored 11 points (5-9 from the field, including 1-2 from deep, plus 0-2 from the stripe.)  Jared corralled 3 rebounds, had a pair of assists, and a steal, without a turnover.  He is becoming a star.

(1) Caleb Foster (25:24) played one of his best games of the season, scoring 13 points (4-8 from the field, including 1-3 from 3land, plus a gaudy 4-4 from the stripe).  He had 2 assists, and a steal, and a rebound, with 1 turnover.

(30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (21:13) scored 8 points, 0 in the first half. Flip was 2-9 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land, plus 4-6 from the foul line, to go with 9 rebounds, 3 assists, a steal and a blocked shot.  3 turnovers.  Kyle knows he has been struggling and getting into early foul trouble. When asked what coach said to him after he picked up his 4th foul, Flip said, “He was just trying to make sure I was doing good mentally, just because he knows I was struggling out there, just with the foul calls.  He was just checking on me.  I was trying not to overreact.” It seems to me Flip is slightly injured and playing through it.  He did not run full out when he was out in front of the defense going for a dunk.  Noteworthy that Flip was still only 2 points and a rebound from yet another double-double.

(15) Ryan Young (15:57) scored 6 points on 3-4 from the field to go with 5 rebounds, 2 blocked shots, an assist, and a turnover.  He led the valuable bench in this game.

(13) Sean Stewart (10:54) played his best game of the season, scoring 4 points and grabbing 5 rebounds.  He had 3 steals and a blocked shot.  The block was sensational! Sean ran the floor and was rewarded with a high flying dunk.  He was 2-3 from the field, missing his only 2 free throws.

(2) Jaylen Blakes (8:53) made his return to the court, making a steal, but missing both of his shots from the field. He failed to score.

(12) T.J. Power (3:33) failed to add any statistics in his short appearance.

Jaylen returned as a defensive stopper!
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

NEXT PLAY: Saturday, February 10, 2024, at 2 pm vs. Boston College in Cameron Indoor Stadium. ACCN.


Duke Blue Devils 80 v. Boston College Eagles 65 (Season 15; Issue 22; Game 22) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #22 at Cameron (February 10, 2024)

Senior Co-Captain Jeremy Roach, the epitome of “calm control”!
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke played well enough to generally dominate Boston College in the friendly confines of Cameron, but they failed in several opportunities to put the Eagles away early like a top team should. However, the last few minutes of the first half and the entire second half were more encouraging. The good news is that it was a generally solid team effort that had an equal distribution of offense and effective defense – but you have to consider the opponent. 

Filipowski and Proctor played in (for them) an offensive funk. On the other hand, McCain and Mitchell are assuming a more aggressive mode and even Stewart is showing a better feel for the game.

The Blue Devils will play tougher teams on the road very soon. It will be a better test of how much better and tougher they actually have become.

Relentless focus! Jared has many skills beyond shooting (10 rebounds, 3 assists, 0 turnovers)
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

Was this the game where Scheyer’s charges would compete with the passion that he seeks?  Sort of yes and, for a lot of the first half, sort of no. Rather, the first half felt like a replay of the Notre Dame game.  Duke had no free throw attempts in the first half, same as against the Irish..  The Blue Devils displayed an early intensity and great defense, racing out to a 22-14 lead with 9:36 left in the first half.  Then BC outscored Duke 14-5 to take a 1 point lead (28-27) with 4:52 remaining in the half.  While Duke forged a 36-32 halftime lead, B.C. had outscored Duke 18-14 over the final 9:36 of the first half.

However, the second half was different – the Blue Devils played cohesively on offense (scoring 44 second-half points) and intense team defense (B.C. held to 33 second half points).  Flip: “We did a good job getting the lead, coming out strong in the first half, but then we kind of were letting up a little bit. We gave them the lead back and then the last three minutes, we did a good job – we worked on that in practice – of just not letting up those last three minutes of the first half, putting ourselves in a good position going into the second half. We did that, but we can still do a much better job from what we showed today. Coming out [strong] in the first four minutes of the second half really gives your team a big boost for the rest of the game, so that’s what we tried to do.” 

The Defense

Scheyer: “Our defense was terrific throughout.”  B.C. shot 40% from the field for the game.  BC has been a 3-point shooting team, so Duke’s defensive emphasis was to keep B.C. from unguarded 3-point attempts, and to hold Quentin Post, (B.C.’s 7 foot import from the Netherlands, who averaged 16 points, 3 assists, and 8 rebounds per game this season) in check.  Post was able to attempt only 5 shots because of the aggressive double teaming Duke brought.  Post was 2-5 from the field and 4-6 from the stripe for 8 points.  That is Superior Defense.

Offensive power: Mark Attacks!
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Offense

Duke handed out 19 assists on 30 made field goals. Scheyer, “I thought we really had some great sharing today, where guys are making the right play and it turned into points.”  The Coach pointed to the foul shooting attempts – 0 in the first half, 13 in the second – as demonstrating Duke’s second-half offensive aggressiveness: “Just the way we’re attacking the basket. Sometimes it goes that way though. We’ve been at our best when we’re not just settling for jump shots. I thought in the second half we did a better job. I think they had four fouls right away, just because we were more persistent in fighting for the rim and attacking the paint.” 

In the second half the Blue Devils assisted on 10 of the 14 made baskets (14-27, 52%), shot 6-14 from deep, with only 4 turnovers.  44 points!

Kyle indeed had “a different bounce in his step” against BC. 
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (35:06) scored 16 points, as his shooting eye returned. Flip was 7-15 from the field, including 2-4 from 3land, but missed his only free throw.  Kyle contributed 3 assists, a steal and a blocked shot.  Strangely, Flip corralled only a single rebound.  Scheyer: “I thought [Kyle Filipowski] had a different bounce to his step today.”

(0) Jared McCain (33:02) scored 11 points but did not have his usual accurate shooting (5-15 from the field, including 1-8 from deep, without an attempt from the stripe).  Jared, corralled 10 rebounds for a double double, had 5 assists, and no turnovers.  He is a star even when he doesn’t shoot well!

(3) Jeremy Roach (31:55) scored an efficient 16 points on 10 shots (5-10 including 2-6 from behind the arc, plus a perfect 4-4 from the foul line), to go with 3 rebounds, 4 assists, and only a single turnover.  He maintains a calm control over this team whether on offense or defense.  There is no player who contributes more to this team’s success. 

(25) Mark Mitchell (28:23) played one of his best games, leading Duke in scoring with 17 points (15 in the second half). Mark was a gaudy 6-7 from the field ( including 2-2 from 3land, plus  3-4 from the foul line) to go with 7 rebounds, 2 assists, and a turnover.  Scheyer appreciating Mark: “Mark is special. He’s guarding Post, BC’s high scoring Big, on one end. We cross-matched a little bit. We did something a little bit different in some of Mark’s posts, switching on the guards. On offense, a lot of our offense runs through him. … the burst that he came out with right away in the second half, he’s the one that got us separation! We’re at our best when he’s attacking. I just love how assertive he was.”

(5) Tyrese Proctor (26:27) is starting to find his form again.  He scored 10 points (4-8 from the field, including 2-6 from deep, without an attempt from the foul line).  Tyrese grabbed 5 boards and handed out a pair of assists, with a single steal and a single turnover.

(1) Caleb Foster (24:46) scored 5 points (1-3 from the field, including 1-3 from 3land, plus 2-2 from the line).  He had 6 rebounds, 2 assists, and a steal, with 1 turnover.

(13) Sean Stewart (11:37) who had played his best game of the season against Notre Dame last week, topped himself by again playing his “best game”, scoring 5 points (2-3 from the field, plus 1-2 from the foul line.)  He had 2 rebounds, an assist, and a steal. Sean has supplied valuable bench minutes in his last two games.  Scheyer: “Sean Stewart’s minutes were key today. He had some key minutes at the end of the first half when we got the lead, coming back in the second half, he’s just growing every single game.”

(15) Ryan Young (4:54) failed to score (0-1 from the field) with a rebound. He was needed less because of Sean’s strong outing.

(12) T.J. Power (2:17) missed his only shot, a 3-point attempt, his only statistic.  

(2) Jaylen Blakes (1:33) also missed his only shot, a 3-point attempt, his only statistic.  

ACC Standings and Byes for the Tournament

The Men’s ACC tournament begins on March 12 at the Capital One Arena with all 15 teams competing in Washington D.C., with the finals on March 16.  The first night has 3 games in which the bottom 6 teams from the regular season participate.  On March 13, the winners of the first three games play against the 5th, 6th and 7th seeds.  The winners of those three games go on to the quarterfinals.

The teams that finish in the top 4 places in the regular season get byes into the quarterfinals on March 14.  Semi-Finals on March 15.  Therefore, finishing in the top 4 of the regular season ACC is a valuable goal!

UNC sits atop the ACC with an 11-2 record (nipped Miami last night).  UVA is next with 10-3 (beat Florida State on the road last night), followed by Duke at 9-3, and Wake Forest (Duke’s next opponent, beat N.C. State last night) at 8-4.  The others still in contention for one of the top 4 tournament seeds are Florida State (7-5, lost to Virginia at home last night), N.C.State (7-6, lost to Wake last night), and Clemson (6-6, beat Syracuse last night).

Duke has 7 ACC games after Wake Forest: road games including at Florida State, at Wake, at Miami and at N.C. State; and home games against Louisville, Virginia and UNC.  Winning one of the top 4 seeds will not be easy…is this iteration of the Blue Devils up to it?

NEXT PLAY: Monday, February 12, 2024, at 7 pm vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons in Cameron Indoor Stadium. ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 77 v. Wake Forest Demon Deacons 69 (Season 15; Issue 23; Game 23) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #23 at Cameron (February 12, 2024)

Fans salute Senior Co-Captain Jeremy as he leaves the court after leading Duke to a key win
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Although Wake Forest has not won in Cameron Indoor Stadium since 1997, this year’s version of the Demon Deacons is a dangerous team. It features a deep squad of talented players, two of whom have NBA talent– Gonzaga transfers 6’ 6”guard Hunter Sallis and 7’ 0” center Efton Reid III.

Playing Wake Forest is like playing a team of helter-skelter high school all-stars trying to impress scouts. Fortunately, their center Elton Reid was called for three fouls quicker than you can spell Filipowski, so their height advantage was diminished the rest of the first half, and Wake was not hitting their shots. However, Duke, despite playing at home, could not take advantage, and only led by two points at the break. 

Reid apparently failed to learn anything in the first half, so he was quickly called for his fourth foul by the refs, who had many questionable calls against both teams.  

Anyhow, the good news is that tonight the Blue Devils played winning basketball down the stretch by hitting their free throws, while the Demon Deacons played as if there were no clock. The good news:  Flip appears to be getting his mojo back, Mitchell is attacking the boards,  McCain is a pleasure to watch, improving in all areas, and you can always count on Roach to make big, timely baskets.

OTHER COMMENTS: 

    • The Transfer Portal and NIL money makes every college player susceptible to free agency transfer every year. This is Elton Reid’s third college: LSU, Gonzaga, and Wake Forest.

    • The games get tougher, and away from Cameron, as the regular season ends.

    • BTW,  I wish someone would explain to me the change in the rules that has only blocks and not charges called.  [there was a change in the “interpretation” of the rules after last season. The defensive player must now be set before the offensive player starts to elevate.  That’s what is new and resulting in more blocks and fewer charges being called  ~Alan]

Flip returns to form!– 21 points and 10 rebounds for another double double
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

While Duke is not dominating by establishing huge leads, there is a kind of domination when Duke’s opponent does not ever lead in the game for the full 40 minutes.  While the game was tied  twice in the first half and twice again in the second half, Duke maintained at least a 2-possession lead (high as 9 points) for the last 17:30 of the game. Impressive.   

Scheyer: “For us not to give them the lead for 40 minutes, I think that’s a big- time thing.  I thought Mark and Flip were men.  I thought they were really tough tonight.  And these guys, anybody who doubts their toughness, what they’re about, they don’t know Mark Mitchell, they don’t know Kyle Filipowski!”  

All defense is team defense! 
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Defense

Flip praised the team defense, “We didn’t have the best offensive first half, but our defense was really good. [Wake Forest] is one of the top offenses in our league too, so we made it a priority that getting stops was key.  Just down the stretch in the second half, we’ve been doing a really good job of staying close as a team on the court, even when things are getting a little rough.  We may have some stupid turnovers. We’re still helping each other – we’re not yelling at one another to bring each other down.”

Wake has averaged over 80 points per game so far this season; the Blue Devils held them to 69, 11 points under their season average .  However, Duke gave up 42 second-half points to Wake.  The Duke defense in the first half may not have been the major reason why the Demon Deacons scored only 27 first-half  points.  It was jaw-dropping how many wide open 3s Wake missed (0-11 before making their final 4 first-half 3-point attempts).

The Offense

Duke handed out 14 assists on 26 made field goals in the game. The Blue Devils scored 48 second-half points on 11- 13 inside the arc (4-11 from deep, plus 83% foul shooting 14-17).  

Duke’s explosive second-half scoring was produced by only 4 Blue Devils.  Only 6 played in the second half.  Proctor did not score in his 11 minutes, while Caleb scored only 2 points in his 13 minutes.  The explosiveness came from Mark (16 points, while playing all 20 minutes). In the second half, he was 6-7 from the field, including 1-1 from 3land, plus 3-5 from the stripe.  Flip played all 20 minutes scoring 11 points (4-6, missing his only two 3-point attempts, plus 3-4 from the stripe).  McCain also played all 20 minutes, scoring 12 points (2-4 from deep, and a deeply appreciated 6-6 from the foul line).  Duke’s senior co-captain (Mr. Reliable), Jeremy Roach, scored 7 points on only 4 shots (3-4 from the field, including 1-1 from behind the arc).

Duke’s lack of punch off the bench against elite teams could be a postseason problem.

Flying dunker: Mark led the Duke offense and interior defense
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(25) Mark Mitchell (38:12) again played one of his best games, leading Duke in scoring with 23 points (16 in the second half). Mark was 9-14 from the field, (including 1-2 from 3land, plus  4-8 from the foul line) to go with 8 rebounds, 2 assists and a turnover.  Mark: “We’re growing up and growing together. I think that really matters, especially at this point in the season. When you get close in these late games, conference games and it comes down to the nitty gritty, it’s not really X’s and O’s – it’s just who’s going to fight and who’s going to compete, and I think tonight we did that.” 

(0) Jared McCain (37:56) scored 17 points (4-10 from the field, including 3-7 from deep, plus a gaudy clutch 6-6 from the stripe.)  Jared corralled 10 rebounds for another double double, had 4 assists, and a steal, but also had 3 turnovers.  Scheyer on his freshman star, “Jared, it’s four out of five games he’s had double-digit rebounds.  He’s a warrior. … his defense has just come such a long way too.  And for freshmen, that’s the hardest adjustment.  How to be physical without fouling.  How to move as the ball moves, different rotations, different things.  It’s just different.  And it’s at a faster speed.  He’s embraced all of that. …. and, he can really guard.” 

(30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (37:52) scored 21 points, (Flip was 8-14 from the 

field, including a frustrating 1-6 from 3land, plus 4-7 from the foul line to go with 10 rebounds, 2 assists, a steal and 2 blocked shots. But, 4 turnovers).   Scheyer: praising Flip (and Mark’s) toughness. “Those guys were just men tonight.… Flip just had a different burst to him tonight.”

(3) Jeremy Roach (29:49) scored an efficient 12 points on 8 shots. (5-8 including 2-4 from behind the arc, without a foul shot) to go with 2 rebounds, 5 assists, and a steal, but with 3 turnovers.   Jeremy provided steadiness on both ends of the court.  The senior captain is close to Duke’s most important player!

(5) Tyrese Proctor (25:30) was again scoreless from the field (0-5 from the field, including 0-4 from deep, without an attempt from the foul line).  Tyrese grabbed 4 boards and handed out 2  assists with a steal and a turnover.  Tyrese got banged up again, which may have contributed to his scoreless game.

(1) Caleb Foster (25:47) scored 4 points (0-4 from the field, including 0-2 from 3land, plus 4–4 from the line).  He had an assist and a steal.  Caleb runs the team with aplomb, but his inconsistent shooting limits his offensive effectiveness.  He is an excellent defender.

(13) Sean Stewart (1:39 ) regressed in his short cameo on the court.  He immediately committed 2 fouls and turned it over.  He had a rebound before he was pulled  from the game and did not return.  Young players need to learn consistency.

(15) Ryan Young (2:08) failed to score (0 shots from the field) with a rebound. The Coach is restricting his rotation

(2) Jaylen Blakes (:58) did not earn a statistic

(12) T.J. Power (:09) did not earn a statistic

The bench, besides Caleb’s 4 points —  Ryan, Sean, T.J. Power and Jaylen Blakes — all failed to score.  Scheyer has trust in his starters only, it seems.  Duke will need an effective bench for post-season success.

Jared high fives for his double double: 10 rebounds and 17 points.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The ACC Is a Tougher Conference than the Cognoscenti Believe

The ACC is disrespected in the polls, with only 3 ranked teams: UNC (11-3 in the conference; 7th in the AP and 5th in the Coaches’ poll); Duke (10-3 in the conference; 9th in the AP and 8th in the Coaches’ poll); and UVA, (10-4 in the conference; 21st in each of the polls). However, the ACC has some unranked teams with impressive wins over the ranked teams.

Syracuse (7-7) and Georgia Tech (3-10) each beat UNC on their home courts and Clemson (6-6) won in the Dean Dome.  UVA lost to Pitt (7-6) at home last night, and has lost to Notre Dame (3-10), Wake Forest (8-5) and N.C. State (7-6) on the road.  And, of course, Duke has lost to Pitt and Georgia Tech.

Fabulous regular season race for the title (Duke was the preseason favorite, but hasn’t looked like a contender until now) and for the four double byes in the ACC tournament. 

NEXT PLAY: Saturday, February 17, 2024, at 2 pm vs. Florida State Seminoles in Tallahassee, Florida. ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 76 v. Florida State Seminoles 67 (Season 15; Issue 24; Game 24) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #24 at Tallahassee (February 17, 2024)

Jeremy whooshes on his way to 17 points, pushing Florida State out into the Bay
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

This was a very interesting and important win for a young Duke team.  Analytics and logic told us that Duke would have a difficult time securing a victory against Florida State in Tallahassee.  The Blue Devils always have a tough time beating the Seminoles on their home court.  The Seminoles are tall (four players 6’10’ & over, most of their guards  6”5”); Coach Leonard Hamilton recruits tall, athletic players, often pressing an opponent all over the floor, and rotating at least eleven or so players.  In addition, because of concussion protocol, point guard Tyrese Proctor remained at home, unable to travel and unavailable to play.

The game looked like a rout when the Seminoles immediately went up 14-8 while not missing a shot.  Then Duke hit four threes – three by Jared McCain, one by Jeremy Roach – and Kyle Filipowski converted two consecutive free throws, in what seems like the first time all season – to put the Blue Devils up 22-16.  Duke didn’t blow Florida State out, but they never let them back in the lead either as the McCain show was just beginning.

Truthfully, I expected McCain to cool off and the rest of the players to tire out, but Duke played tough, and the subs—Jaylen Blakes, Sean Stewart, and Ryan Young—helped hold the lead at various times by diving for loose balls and outrebounding the Seminoles.

When all was said and done, McCain had scored as many points in a single game as any freshman not named Zion Williamson.  He also made eight 3-pointers, just one shy of the all-time Blue Devil record!

While Jared was most impressive—his offensive explosion was not totally unexpected; you could see it developing, the important story of the game was a critical win, in which the entire team demonstrated the determination and toughness to defend and rebound beyond their size and weight.  This team might just finish the season on a high note.

With yet another 3-pointer, McCain flashes on to tie Zion   
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

Duke came out of the blocks slowly, trailing Florida State 16-11 after the first five minutes of play. But, in the next seven minutes, the Blue Devils reeled off 11 straight points! – beginning with a Jeremy Roach 3-pointer, 2 free throws by Kyle Filipowski (that he actually made), and a pair of back to back 3-pointers by Duke’s freshman star, Jared McCain.  22-16.  

Florida State never led or tied the game again.  The Seminoles reduced the Duke lead to 2 once and to 3 once, but the Duke lead for the remainder of the game fluctuated between 5 and 11 points.

At the end of the first half, Duke led by 10  ( 44-34). McCain’s amazing 25 points in the first half left the Seminoles gasping in frustration, unable to defend him.    Jared sank his first 9 shots, 7 of them from deep.  He capped off the performance of his career with 7 seconds left in the first half when he intercepted a Seminole pass and headed for a layup, stopped just over the arc, stepped back behind the 3-point line and sank the 3-pointer at the half-time buzzer.!  A Sports Center highlight to be treasured!!

Tyrese Proctor Did Not Play

Tyrese did not make the Florida trip because of a concussion he suffered in the Wake Forest game.  Duke’s season will be impacted negatively if Proctor will miss significant time to recover, but Tyrese’s replacement in the starting lineup, Caleb Foster, and the backcourt reserve, Jaylen Blakes, played so well, Tyrese was hardly missed at either end of the court against the Seminoles.  Duke’s bench will be crucial for the postseason, giving starters a rest without offense or defense diminishing in effectiveness.

Caleb – a reliable and resourceful point guard substitute for the injured Tyrese
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Duke Played With Intensity

Coach Scheyer was pleased : “I think we were just tough.  We were really tough throughout.  We weren’t perfect, and very rarely can you be perfect on the road. Especially here.  You have to be able to turn the page quickly when you make a mistake, when they turn you over, because you’re not going to walk out of here with zero turnovers.  It’s not going to happen.  There were a couple of key plays, that’s why I mentioned Jaylen and Sean, because they got loose balls for us.  Our guys were all over the floor.  To out- rebound them [Seminoles] by nine and have 15 offensive rebounds, I think that’s a big step. … Sean, in the second half, what he did.  He got a few loose balls, those were critical.  Caleb Foster, for a freshman to handle the ball for 35 minutes and have three assists and one turnover, again you’re not going to necessarily see it in the box score, but it was key to the win today what those three guys did.”

On one possession in the second half, the Seminoles lost composure and allowed Duke to lock up the game.   Florida State tried everything to cool McCain off (he was 3-10 in the second half) but stepped over the line 9:58 left in the game, having reduced the Duke lead to 6 (55-49).  McCain fouled De’Ante Green, who only played 3 minutes in the game (non-shooting), who reacted by throwing the ball at Jared.  Technical foul and 2 free throws, and Duke retains the ball.   McCain made both free throws and then garnered an offensive rebound from a Flip miss and sank a 3-pointer.  Duke scored five points on that possession out of a bad emotional action that drew a technical foul – for an 11 point lead! (60-49) with 9:12 left.  For the remainder of the game, the Duke lead never dipped under 7 points and was mostly in double figures.

The Defense

Duke outrebounded the much taller Seminoles 36-27, and held them to 9 offensive rebounds (Duke grabbed 15).   The key was shutting down the Florida State 3-point attack (4-14; 12 points on 28% shooting).  

The Offense

Duke was 10-16 from behind the arc 62% (mostly Jared’s 8-11) for 30 points.  You can see what made the difference in the game.  However, The Blue Devils must do better than turning it over 17 times while handing out only 10 assists, as was their record was against Florida State.

Jared shreds the Seminole defense
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(0) Jared McCain (39:02) tied Zion’s freshman scoring record!! with 35 points (25 in the first half). For the game, Jared was 12-20 from the field, including 8-11 from behind the arc, plus 3-4 from the foul line. Jared corralled 4 rebounds and had an assist.  He played excellent defense, having 3 steals, but had 5 turnovers.  

Scheyer on his freshman star, “I didn’t think we came out with the right defensive mentality at first, and Jared steadied us with his scoring.  And then to close the half, he had a couple big three’s as well. That moment in the second half, he hits the two free throws and the three, I don’t know what that stretched the lead to but that was a critical moment.”  Scheyer is referring to the 5 point possession that came from the stupid technical foul called on the Seminoles. When Jared hit the 3-pointer to make a 5 point possession it gave Duke, an 11 point lead with 9:38 left in the game.

(3) Jeremy Roach (36:05) was the only other Duke double figure scorer with 17 points. (5-12 including 2-4 from behind the arc, plus an important 5-6 from the stripe) to go with 2 rebounds and 4 assists.  Despite 4 turnovers, Jeremy provided steadiness on both ends of the court.  He is such an asset!

(1) Caleb Foster (34:50) ran the Duke offense in Tyrese Proctor’s absence, handing out 3 assists, but importantly committing only a single turnover, when other Blue Devils were turning it over consistently.  Caleb scored 4 points (2-7 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land, without a free throw attempt). Simply, he ran the team with aplomb.  He is also an excellent defender who did a wonderful job replacing Proctor.

(25) Mark Mitchell (33:48) scored 7 points (3-7 from the field without an attempt from 3land, plus  a disappointing 1-5 from the foul line) to go with 4 rebounds, and a turnover.  Mark is a terrific defender, who was needed against the Seminoles huge front line.  

(30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (27:32) did not have his usual, high scoring game.  He scored 8 points (Flip was 3-7 from the field, without a 3-point attempt,  plus 2-2 from the foul line) to go with 8 rebounds, an assist, and a steal. But he had 6 turnovers. 

(15) Ryan Young (7:21) failed to score (0-1 where the referee failed to call an obvious goal tend) with a rebound, an assist on a beautiful interior pass, and a blocked shot.

(2) Jaylen Blakes (10:33) had 5 first-half points on 1-1 from the field, plus 3-3 from the stripe, to go with great defense and a steal.  He helped cover the loss of Proctor in the backcourt.

(13) Sean Stewart (4:18) had 4 rebounds and a steal, all in his 3:02 second-half minutes.  He was valuable in his cameo. The bench played well and contributed to this critical win.

As we keep repeating, Coach Scheyer’s efforts to create a reliable bench have been an ongoing challenge this season.  The bench’s performance against the Seminoles gives cause for optimism .

Miami is the Next Opponent

Miami has had great runs in the postseason for the last 2 years (Elite 8 in 2022 and Final Four last year), but this year has been a surprising disaster (6-9 in the ACC with 4 straight losses). The Hurricanes have the personnel to beat Duke, but not the record to instill fear of losing in the Blue Devils, a potentially dangerous situation in a conference road game. 

NEXT PLAY: Wednesday, February 21, 2024, at 7 pm vs. Miami Hurricanes in Coral Gables, Florida. ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 84 v. Miami Hurricanes 55 (Season 15; Issue 25; Game 25) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #25 at Miami (February 21, 2024)

Jeremy – intense concentration, steady determination 
Photo Credit: AP Photo/Wilfredo Lee

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke went to Miami, a Final Four team last year (which is now without two key players) and played like a good team should, blowing out the Hurricanes in an impressive win. While away games are generally a tough ticket for most ACC teams this year, this was an encouraging outing for the Blue Devils, but real validation must come Saturday at Wake Forest.

What I liked most was the balance in scoring and the confidence in shooting.  No longer are the Blue Devils reliant on Filipowski for a disproportionate number of points, but he is better integrated into a balanced offense which is more team centric.  Whom does an opponent double team?  Everyone can score.  Pick your poison—McCain, Roach, Mitchell, Procter, Foster, and Flip.

And the substitutes are contributing. Young was all over the floor, even breaking up a 4 on 1 fast break. Stewart is showing progress. And Blakes is always a wild card. 

Stay tuned. This could get interesting!

Other Comments:

    • Jay Bilas was an announcer for this game.  For my taste, he is the best in college basketball.
        • McCain demonstrates a rare maturity for a freshman.  He is not a gunner.  He is team centric.  He just supplies as is needed.

    • Procter was back with limited minutes.  He did not look impaired from his concussion.

The Blue Devils surround their prey
Photo Credit: AP Photo/Wilfredo Lee

ALANALYSIS

Once again Duke never trailed in this game, scoring the first 4 points, while maintaining a small lead through the first 10 minutes of the opening period.  The Blue Devils took their first double digit lead (24-14) with 8:15 left in the first period.  Duke led by 20 (38-18 when Jeremy Roach made back to back 3-pointers!) with only 2:26 remaining in the opening stanza.

 Duke totally dominated the game on both offense and defense with a lead in the second half that was never less than 17 points (48-31) at its lowest early in the second half.  The Blue Devils led by as much as 31 points (84-53 with 46 seconds left in the game). 

Tyrese Proctor Returned to Play

Tyrese did not make the trip to Florida State because of concussion-like symptoms from an injury he suffered in the Wake Forest game.  The Australian returned to the game AND to form, against Miami, scoring 12 points (9 in the second half).  Proctor also garnered 3 boards, handed out 5 assists and made a steal, with only a single turnover.  Coach Scheyer – “I was really happy with Tyrese.  We didn’t know how many minutes he could play tonight.  He’s done about 10 minutes of contact since the last game he played against Wake Forest.  I thought he had great minutes, played at a great pace.” 

The Defense

The Blue Devils switching flummoxed the Hurricanes who could not beat the Duke defenders one on one.  Duke held Miami to 55 points in the game    The Hurricanes scored only 23 first-half points. (29% shooting in the first half and 31% in the second half). Duke played beautiful defense!

Mark can shoot, but he also may be the most valuable defender, guarding on the perimeter and at the rim
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Offense

Duke shot the lights out! (60% in the second half to score 44 points; 52% for the game.)  Balanced scoring has been a feature of Duke’s offense.  Roach scored 16, Flip and Mark each notched 15 points.  Tyrese scored 12 and Caleb 11.  McCain had 7 and Ryan Young notched 4 points.  Duke had 19 assists on 28 field goals. Duke played beautiful offense!

Flip played a complete game, hitting all the high notes 🎵
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (31:00) scored 15 points, (Flip was 5-7 from the field, including 2-3 from 3land,  plus 3-4 from the foul line) to go with 6 rebounds, 4 assists, and 3 blocked shots (a single turnover).  Scheyer, “it was one of Filipowski’s best games.  It’s not going to show in the box score, but he played with great poise.  He was really strong.  He played great defense.  He makes the game so much easier for everybody else on the floor.“

(0) Jared McCain (30:54) unusually scored only 7 points (3-9 from the field, including 1-6 from behind the arc, without a free throw attempt). Jared corralled 5 rebounds and had an assist and a pair of turnovers, as he returned to human form (after a god-like outing against Florida State).  Jared played excellent defense.  

(1) Caleb Foster (27:59) scored an efficient 11 points on 7 shots from the field (4-7,  including 3-5 from 3land, without a free throw attempt).  Caleb has been running the team with aplomb.  He is an excellent defender who did a wonderful job replacing Proctor, and now contributes in the rotation.  Foster handed out a pair of assists and committed a turnover.

(25) Mark Mitchell (26:41) scored 15 points (5-7 from the field, including 1-1 from 3land, plus  a 4-8 from the foul line) to go with 5 rebounds, 2 assists, a blocked shot, and a steal with 2 turnovers.  Mark is a terrific defender; he enabled Duke to switch every time Miami set a screen.

(3) Jeremy Roach (24:27) was Duke’s best player, leading the Blue Devils in scoring with 16 points (4-8 from the field including 2-4 from behind the arc, plus an important 4-5 from the stripe) to go with 3 rebounds, 3 assists and a steal.  Jeremy provided steadiness on both ends of the court.  He is such an asset!

(5) Tyrese Proctor (23:16) scored 12 key points in his return to the court.  He showed no signs of rust (4-9 from the field, including 2-6 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the free throw line) to go with 5 assists, 3 rebounds and a steal.  Tyrese committed only a single turnover.

(13) Sean Stewart (10:56) led Duke in rebounding with 7, and made a steal.  Sean scored 2 points on 1-3 from the field.  He played well and contributed to this critical win.

(15) Ryan Young (9:51) played a great game, scoring 4 points on 2-2 from the field, grabbing 9 rebounds, and handing out 2 assists without committing a turnover.

(2) Jaylen Blakes (7:51) failed to score, but played great energizing defense.  

(12) T.J. Power (4:01) missed his only field goal attempt, a 3-pointer.

The bench did its job, especially Ryan with 9 rebounds.

Freshman Foster continues to improve
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ACC Regular Season Climax Approaches

Duke and UNC are tied for the ACC Regular season lead at 12-3.  UVa is 11-5 and  Wake Forest is 9-6.  Four teams have 7 losses: Clemson, Pittsburgh, N.C.State, and Florida State.  Syracuse is 8-8.  Saturday is a big day with Duke visiting a red hot Wake, while the Tarheels visit UVa.

NEXT PLAY: Saturday, February 24, 2024, at 2 pm vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons in Winston Salem, N.C. ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 79 v. Wake Forest Demon Deacons 83 (Season 15; Issue 26; Game 26) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #26 at Wake Forest (February 24, 2024)

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Wake Forest had not lost a game at home this basketball season, and they deserved to win this one as Duke played as poorly, in critical spots, as they have all year.  At the end of the first half,  Blakes pointlessly fouled a Wake guard just past half court with virtually no time on the clock. Had Wake not had those points, the game and the strategy would have been entirely different at the end.  Duke had several opportunities in the first half to go up double digits, but they couldn’t capitalize on the opportunity—or Wake didn’t let them.

However, the Demon Deacons played a terrific game and deserved the win that they probably had to have to remain viable for a spot in the NCAA Tournament. Duke lost their poise in the last minutes, when they could have extended or won the game: Roach, of all players, lost the ball twice, and Proctor threw a poor pass which went out of bounds off an unsuspecting Filipowski.

In their first game, at Cameron, which Duke won, Wake’s big men got in foul trouble early, and Duke was more poised at winning time.  This time Mitchell, Young, Filipowski and Roach were in foul trouble early.  But make no mistake, Wake Forest played better, with more poise, and deserved to win.

Objectively, it was a terrific college basketball game that featured 14 lead changes and 7 ties. The loss snaps what was previously a five-game winning streak for the Blue Devils and topples the squad from the top spot in the ACC standings with just four games to play in the regular season.  For Wake Forest, the marquee win means new life in the pursuit of an NCAA tournament berth. 

Deacon Sallis was the star of the game, leading both teams in scoring with 29 points and shooting 5-of-6 from beyond the arc.  Down two points at halftime, Sallis — a Gonzaga transfer and the ACC’s fourth-leading scorer at 18.3 points per game — hit three 3-pointers almost immediately out of the locker room in the second half to seize a 51-46 lead for the Demon Deacons. Sallis and Miller led the way for Wake Forest, but the home team also got a boost from Hildreth and senior forward Andrew Carr. The pair helped the Demon Deacons keep parity in a fast paced second half and finished with 12 and 18 points, respectively.  And like a lot of college games, the outcome came down to which team has more poise and executes most efficiently in the last minutes. Today it was Wake Forest.

To add injury to insult and institutional ineptness, a sold out Joel Arena (the first time in seven years) stormed the court and in the ensuing chaos, Filipowski was apparently injured so badly, he had to be assisted to the dressing room.  That should never have happened!

OTHER COMMENTS:

    • Storming the court is just a fantasy of students and fans thinking they are crucial participants of a sporting event—when, in fact, they are not!  They are there to witness—live—the event.  They are not participants. Television cameras—and getting seen on TV are probably the cause of it all. Too many people want to be seen on TV—to be CELEBRITIES—when, in fact, they merely look like fools—often, drunken fools.

    • Protection of opposing players is the responsibility of the host school.  This sort of thing should never happen!  The Big Ten and SEC solved the problem (with financial penalties on schools who do not prevent it).  The ACC should as well.

Wake Fans rush the floor, injuring Flip –how badly could make or break the Blue Devils for the postseason
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS

What a great college basketball game!  Wake Forest played terrific offensive basketball; Duke did too (until the last few minutes of “winning time”).  Duke gave up 47 second-half points, but kept the game close by scoring 41 of its own second-half points.  It was an amazing second half, which requires that the second half rotation be set out fully after the individual statistics for the entire game.

The Defense

Pretty hard to praise a defense that gave up 83 points in the game and an outrageous 47 points in the closing period.  For perspective, UNC beat UVa 54-44.  The Demon Deacons scored 3 more points in the second half against Duke than UVa did in the entire game against the Tarheels.  Scheyer’s accurate analysis, “They came out right away and went inside on us, and we didn’t have an answer. We’ve doubled the post at times, other times we’ve played one-on-one.  When we went one-on-one, they scored.  When we doubled, they kicked it out for 3’s. …’  He added (also accurately) “I think on some of those [shots], you have to tip your hat.  The Demon Deacons shot 70% from the field in the second half, including a gaudy 5-5 from behind the arc (53% from deep for the game (9-17 for 27 points).    

Jared isn’t just a scorer –  his steals this game show he defends brilliantly, too!
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Offense

Duke shot the lights out (60% in the second half to score 41 points; 53% for the game.)  Balanced scoring has been a feature of Duke’s offense in recent games and was again against Wake Forest.  Flip scored 17,  Roach scored 16,  McCain had 15, and Tyrese scored 14. Caleb added 8 points, all in the first half.  Jeremy committed 2 quick fouls in the first half and only played 8 first half minutes, scoring just 2 points.   Duke missed Mark Mitchell’s scoring.  He added only 6 points (3 in each half) on 2-5 from the field and 2-5 from the foul line.  One play is worth describing.  Duke trailed 53-30 when Flip missed a jumper and Wake’s Hildreth got the rebound.  Jared came from behind and made a swift steal and in almost the same motion whipped it ahead to Jeremy.  Jeremy drove on the basket, bringing the defense to him as he pinpointed Tyrese for an open 3.  53-53.  The ball barely hit the floor and the passes were beautiful.

Tyrese attacked the second half, scoring 12 of his 14 points.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Turnovers at “Winning Time”

With 6:23 left in the game, Roach hit a layup but got fouled and converted the free throw for a 3-point play– and a 69-67 Duke lead.  Wake responded with a 3-pointer, for a 70-69 lead that the Demon Deacons never relinquished.  But Duke had chances.  Wake’s lead fluctuated between a single point and 5 points.  

With 1:37 left in the game, Duke trailed by 3 (79-76), after McCain made 2 foul shots.  With the Blue Devils trailing by a single possession, Roach had the ball stolen! from him, which became a Wake layup with 1:06 left in the game (81-76).  

With just 43 seconds remaining, Flip hit a clutch 3 to bring the Blue Devils within 2 points (81-79).  When Wake missed, Duke had the ball, down 2 with 12 seconds remaining.  With one last glaring turnover – Proctor’s uncontested pass went off Flip’s hand and out of bounds – Duke’s chance to win was extinguished.

Scheyer on turnovers at “winning time” – “when you play a really high-level team like this, it’s not about who wants it more.  They want it just as bad as you do and vice versa.  It comes down to not just playing hard, but execution.  We call it winning the details. You have to win the details. So, if it’s one block out, it’s not fouling at the end of the half, it’s taking care of the ball and getting a shot up, that’s the difference.  I know our team; I love our team.  We’re going to learn from this and bounce back.” (Emphasis added)

Roach: I think we just made too many careless mistakes.  Scouting report mistakes, knowing your personnel mistakes, leaving wide-open shooters, jumping off people who don’t shoot the ball.  Just careless mistakes and I put it on myself, as well.” 

Scheyer is Upbeat about the Remainder of the Season

“They shoot 70-percent from the field.  For me, the fact that they shot 70-percent from the field in the second half, and we put ourselves in a position to win, I think that says a lot about us.  I think that says a lot about our team.  We’ve come off a stretch where we’ve played three road games in a row.  We have four more games to go in the season and we’re right there.  We’re right there.  A lot to play for!” 

Jeremy was fabulous in the second half as he has been all year …  and as Duke needs him to be down the stretch and into the postseason.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION FOR GAME AND SECOND HALF

(30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (37:58) was Duke’s high-scorer with 17 points (6-13 from the field, with a disappointing 1-6 from 3land) — but the single three-pointer was crucial with 43 seconds left in the game —  plus 4-4 from the foul line) to go with 8 rebounds, 5 assists, and a single turnover. Flip played all 20 minutes of the second half, scoring 10 points. 

(0) Jared McCain (36:21) scored 15 points (4-7 from the field, including 3-4 from behind the arc, plus a perfect 4-4 from the stripe). Jared corralled 5 rebounds and had an assist, plus a steal and a block without a turnover.  Jared also played excellent defense.  

(5) Tyrese Proctor (31:05) scored 14 points (5-10 from the field, including 2-6 from behind the arc, without a free throw attempt) to go with 3 assists and a rebound.  Tyrese committed only a single turnover.

(3) Jeremy Roach (28:19) was Duke’s best player in the second half when he scored 14 of his 16 points (6-8 from the field including 1-1 from behind the arc, plus an important 3-3 from the stripe) to go with 3 rebounds and 2 assists.  Jeremy committed 3 turnovers, the final two being devastating. Nevertheless, Jeremy provides steadiness on both ends of the court.  He is such an asset.

(25) Mark Mitchell (27:28) scored only 6 points (2-5 from the field including 0-1 from 3land, plus  2-5 from the foul line) to go with 4 rebounds, 2 steals, a blocked shot, and 2 turnovers.  Mark had foul trouble, which curtailed his aggressiveness on defense and had Scheyer playing Ryan Young defending in his stead.

(1) Caleb Foster (22:04) scored an efficient 8 first-half points (3-5 from the field, including 2-4 from 3land) without a free throw attempt. Caleb played only 4 second-half minutes with a turnover as his only second-half statistic. 

(15) Ryan Young (11:27) scored 3 points on 3-4 from the foul line while grabbing 3 rebounds and a steal while committing a turnover before he fouled out. Like Mitchell, he was unable to stop Deacon Big Man Andrew Carr without resorting to fouling (Carr was 7-8 in the second half).

(2) Jaylen Blakes (3:32) failed to score, missing his only shot badly and committing a bad foul at the end of the first half.

(13) Sean Stewart (2:17 ) without a statistic.

Second Half

Jeremy (14 points), Jared (10 points), and Flip (7 points), each played all 20 minutes of the second half.  Roach was a gaudy 5-6 from the field, including 1-1 from deep, plus 3-3 from the stripe.  Alas, those two turnovers in the last minute!  McCain did not miss in the second half:  3-3 from the field, including 2-2 from 3land, plus 2-2 from the foul line. McCain had 2 rebounds, a steal, and a blocked shot.  Flip was 2-6 from the field, including 1-3 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the stripe.

Tyrese played 15:28 scoring 6 points on 2-4 from deep.  He had an assist and a turnover.  Ryan played 5:56 with a point (1-2), 3 boards and a blocked shot.  Caleb played only 4:32.

ACC Regular Season Climax Approaches

Duke lost to Wake while UNC beat UVa. UNC now leads at 13-3. Duke is 12-4, UVa is 11-6, and Wake Forest is 10-6.  After them,there are 3 teams with seven losses: Clemson (9-7), Pittsburgh (9-7), and  N.C. State (9-7).  Duke still has N.C. State in Raleigh plus UNC and UVa at Cameron.

NEXT PLAY: Wednesday , February 28, 2024, at 7 pm vs. Louisville Cardinals in Cameron Indoor Stadium. ACCN.


MOST RECENT GAME

 

Duke Blue Devils 84 v. Louisville Cardinals 59 (Season 15; Issue 27; Game 27) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #27 at Cameron (February 28, 2024)

Jeremy & Tyrese: in Sync
Photo Credit: Ben McKeown/AP Photo

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

The most important aspect of the game was that Filipowski started, won the tip (but didn’t have his “A” game tonight). However, Duke didn’t need it against Louisville, as Roach, McCain, and Mitchell did bring their “A” games. The bad news is that Caleb Foster did not play because of a foot injured in the Wake Forest game. 

Coach Jon Scheyer used the game to give freshmen Sean Stewart and T.J. Power some playing time, undoubtedly with the ACC and NCAA Tournaments in mind. The athletically gifted Stewart was the most impressive.  Fellow classmate guard Jared McCain commented: “The freshmen, we’re so close, so anytime I see Sean doing well, it just warms my heart.  He almost had a double-double, so for him to do well, it’s like, I love seeing it.  It literally makes my day seeing my boys playing and doing well.”

These two freshmen, who do not ever start, combined for 12 points, including two crowd-pleasing dunks by Stewart and a three by Power.

Unfortunately, the journey gets more difficult with games against Virginia, North Carolina State, and UNC coming up prior to the ACC and NCAA Tournaments.

OTHER COMMENTS:

·      The best play was probably a Kyle Filipowski behind the back pass under the basket to Sean Stewart that no one saw coming, including Stewart.

·       Sign of the times: Duke QB Riley Leonard is rumored to be getting $3,000,000 in NIL money to transfer to Notre Dame, and Jared McCain is said to be making about the same amount on Tik Tok social media.

McCain flashes the signal – 3 pointer or $3mil?
Photo Credit: Ben McKeown/AP Photo

ALANALYSIS

The Good

With this victory, Duke clinched the double bye for the ACC tournament. The double bye was the first regular season goal for the Blue Devils. This puts them in the quarterfinals for their first tournament game which will be on the third day of the tournament. [It is a five day tournament.  Last 8 teams play in the first round on the first day.  The winners of those 4 games play the 5th, 6th, 7th and 8th seeds on the second day.  The winners of those 4 games play the top 4 seeds (who have yet to play) on Day 3.  Semi-finals on day 4; championship game on day 5.]

The Bad

The Duke bench was thin against Louisville, manned by players without substantial playing time during the season.  Sean Stewart and T.J. Power saw extra minutes.  Jaylen Blakes logged only 3 minutes without contributing.  Ryan Young was his usual stout-hearted bench player.

Sean coolly flies toward a double-double, with 9 rebounds and 9 points 
Photo Credit: Photo by Seth Kessler | The Chronicle

The Ugly

What went unpublicized in the aftermath of the Wake Forest floor rush,was that Caleb Foster was badly injured early in the second half of that game.  He did not dress for the Louisville game (on the bench in street clothes with his foot in a boot).  Coach Scheyer lamented, “We have to adjust without Caleb.  My heart breaks for him that he couldn’t play today; he has had such a good year, and he impacts winning in so many ways besides just the box score and the stats. We’re going to be without him for some time.  I do not know what that time is, but we have to adjust. 

The Defense

Duke played great defense in the first half, limiting the Cardinals to 29% shooting  (including 1-11 from behind the arc).  Scheyer: “Overall, our defense was really good.  Besides [allowing] a few transition baskets in the first half, I thought we did a really good job.”  Duke led by 26 early in the second half and maintained a substantial double digit lead throughout, with the intensity of the defense waning slightly (human nature).

The Offense

The offense was humming, and the ball was moving in a wondrous fashion.  For the game, Duke had 23 assists on 32 field goals (10 assists on 13 baskets in the first half; 13 assists on 19 field goals in the closing period).  Proctor led by handing out 7 assists.  As a result of such ball-sharing, the Blue Devils shot 56% for the game.

THE ROTATION 

(3) Jeremy Roach (34:38) was Duke’s best player!! scoring 19 points (11 in the second half) to lead  the Blue Devils in scoring  (8-11 from the field including 3-4 from behind the arc) to go with 6 rebounds, 3 steals and an assist.  Scheyer: “He could have had 30 tonight. I don’t think any of you guys would disagree with me. He played within himself; he played both sides of the ball. … he plays his best when the moment is the biggest.  He’s not afraid of anything.  I think that gives our team a lot of confidence when he’s out there.  You can tell he’s not fazed.  Does that mean he never makes mistakes?  No, of course, everybody makes mistakes.  For me, what Jeremy has done and his approach, being a team guy, being a Duke guy, his legacy is going to be felt in a big way.  It’s different doing it in 2024, no offense to guys who have done it in 2010 and other times.  It’s a different age; to have a four-year senior like Jeremy, that’s a special thing.” 

(5) Tyrese Proctor (32:38) scored 8 points (3-7 from the field, including 1-5 from behind the arc, plus 1-2 from the stripe) to go with a team high 7 assists, a steal and a rebound.  Tyrese committed only a single turnover.

(0) Jared McCain (32:23) scored 14 points, 12 of them from behind the arc (4-9 from the field) plus a perfect 2-2 from the stripe.  He corralled 4 rebounds, 3 assists, and a steal, but also committed 3 turnovers.  On top of that, what excellent defense Jared played! 

(30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (29:24) scored with 9 points, (4-8 from the field, without an attempt from 3land, plus 1-2 from the foul line) to go with 10 rebounds, 6 assists, and a blocked shot.  But, Flip was back to his foul trouble, committing 4 fouls (3 in the closing stanza) and 4 turnovers.  Flip still made it to the game after being moshed by the Wake fans, who stormed the floor after the game ended,  and was only a point from a double double (10 rebounds and 9 points) with 6 assists and the amazing! behind the back pass that shocked Sean (as Bill describes above).  Flip had an astounding +31 in the +/- category; that means that in the 29:24 that Flip was on the court, Duke scored 31 more points than Louisville.

(25) Mark Mitchell (29:22) played a complete game for Duke on both ends of the floor.  He scored 17 points (7-10 from the field including 1-1 from 3land, plus 2-5 from the foul line) to go with 7 rebounds, 3 steals, and a blocked shot, but with 4 turnovers.  He made a huge difference in this game for Duke.

(13) Sean Stewart (11:13 ) played one of his best games.  With Caleb unavailable, Duke used a bigger bench lineup some of the time to replace Caleb’s valuable minutes, with 3 bigs (2 plus Sean) instead of the usual 3 guards.  In his 11 minutes, Sean scored 9 points!! (3-3 from the field, plus 3-4 from the stripe) to go with 9 rebounds and a pair of assists.  One turnover.  Sean could become the bench force that Duke needs.

(15) Ryan Young (10:36) scored 2 points on 1-3 from the field,while grabbing 3 rebounds and an assist.  

(12) T.J. Power (14:41) scored 3 points (1-5 from the field, including 1-4 from 3land) with an assist.  He committed 3 fouls.

(2) Jaylen Blakes (3:09) failed to score, and is ….without a statistic.

(55) Spencer Hubbard (1:46) 3 points (1-1 from the field, including 1-1 from behind the arc), 2 fouls, and several excellent dishes that didn’t happen to convert to baskets. The Crazies raised the roof right off Cameron, setting off Taylor Swift-level Richters, when Hubbard took the floor and made a 3 pointer.

Mitchell’s backward dunk cemented Duke’s interior domination
Photo Credit: Ethan Hyman-Raleigh News & Observer 

ACC Regular Season Climax Approaches

UNC (14-3) is a game ahead of Duke (13-4) for the regular season title.  Each team has 3 games left.  The 2 teams meet in Cameron on March 9 in the season finale.  Obviously, Duke must win that game to have a chance for the title – but even if Duke wins, the regular season title is a stretch.  

UNC will have an easier time with the other two games (both being at home in the Dean Dome).  Each team plays N.C. State, but Duke plays them in Raleigh.  Duke’s other game is against Virginia (a team likely to win a double bye for the tournament)…. while the Tarheels play Notre Dame, a team with a losing record in the conference, and for the season.

The Tarheels play N.C. State (Saturday, March 2) and Notre Dame (Tuesday, March 5) in the Dean Dome before their game with Duke.  The Wolfpack are 17-11 for the season and 9-8 in the ACC.  The Fighting Irish are 11-17 for the season and 6-11 in conference play.  

On Saturday (March 2), Duke at Cameron plays UVa  (21-8 for the season; 12-6 for 3rd place in the conference, with a chance to catch the Blue Devils for second place).  Then comes N.C. State in Raleigh on March 4, with just a day in between the UVa game and the UNC game.  

UNC has an obvious advantage in schedule and record.  

If Duke were to win its last 3 games and tie UNC for the best regular season conference record, the tie is broken by whether Duke or UNC has a better won/loss record against the next highest finisher. (The score is not a factor.) For example, If Duke beats UVa, (as the Blue Devils must in order to tie UNC), both Duke and Carolina would have the same record against UVa.  Thus, it would be the Duke-UNC records against the next highest finisher.  If that were, for example Wake Forest, UNC would win the title by having beaten Wake in their only game, while Duke split its two games with the Demon Deacons. .  Only if Clemson ends up being the next highest finisher, would Duke win the ACC regular season title.

NEXT PLAY: Saturday, March 2, 2024, at 6 pm vs. UVa Cavaliers in Cameron Indoor Stadium. ESPN.

EDITORS AND PRODUCERS NOTE: thank you Coach Scheyer for highlighting just one of Jeremy’s major accomplishments – he stayed in school to accomplish his senior year – and get a great education, not only on the court! Congratulations Jeremy! (and we wonder what is next for him!)  (btw, we will miss you)

Jeremy – Rising to new ventures
Photo Credit: Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports

Celebrating ALL the teammates: The Captain and Bench cheer as walk-on Hubbard makes a 3-pointer
Photo Credit: Ethan Hyman-Raleigh News & Observer 


Duke Blue Devils 73 v. Virginia Cavaliers 48 (Season 15; Issue 28; Game 28) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #28 Cameron Indoor Arena (March 2, 2024)

All hands on deck – the gang rebounding
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Kyle Filipowski had his “A” game in the first half (as well as Sean Stewart, who never looked better in this time, as a substitution for Mark Mitchell).  A Tony Bennett Virginia team never played as poorly as they did tonight against the Blue Devils; the Cavaliers were never in the game.  It appears that Coach Bennett’s (who is among the best coaches not only in the ACC but in the country) slow, retro offense is not a draw to get today’s blue-chip players to commit to Virginia. UVa does not play uptempo offense; but does play grinding defense – usually producing low scoring games.  The highly rated recruits seem to prefer an uptempo beat.  The most highly-recruited high school prospects have never flocked to Bennett’s game style anyway, which has given him four years to mold those who committed to Virginia into really solid players. What he has accomplished is very admirable.

Ironically, the last decade of the Duke-Virginia rivalry has featured mostly close games. The Blue Devils’ 25-point win Saturday was the series’ largest margin of victory since 2009 (plus-25) and just its third double-digit spread game since 2012.  Duke broke another notable streak by becoming the first team in the series to win two games in a row since the Zion Williamson-led Blue Devils swept the 2018-19 series.

Anyway, Flip outscored the Cavaliers for most of the first half as the Blue Devil’s offense was made easier by the Cavalier’s inability to score and set up their defense.

In a sense though, the best thing about this game was the play of Sean Stewart and TJ Power.  Stewart played 15 minutes and had 6 points, 8 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 steal, and 1 block.  Power hit 2 long threes and played with a lot of aggression and confidence. Both can be a valuable presence off the bench in March and hopefully in next year’s Blue Devil campaigns as well.

Virginia finished the game shooting 30.9% overall, making 5 of 17 3-pointers (29.4%).  The Cavaliers scored 0.8 points per possession for the game. That’s compared to Duke’s 1.2 points per possession.

Hopefully, like last year’s Duke team, this year’s team is also peaking at the right time.

UVa coach Bennett shoots “that look” at Tyrese after the Blue Devil point guard nailed another 3-pointer to lengthen Duke’s lead.
Photo Credit: Ethan Hyman | Raleigh News & Observer
ALANALYSIS

Duke simply crushed UVa in the first half 40-18, in perhaps the Blue Devils’ most impressive half of the season!  It took Duke just 4:51 to establish its first double digit lead (14-4).  By the time 12:41 had elapsed in the game, Duke led by 20 (31-11).  The largest lead in the first half was 25 points.  The Blue Devils largest lead of the game was 29 points, and the lead never shrunk below 19 points.  It was a rout!  While UVa has not had its best year, the Cavaliers are still in 3rd place in the conference and will likely win one of the 4 double byes.

As senior co-captain Jeremy summed up, “That’s probably one of the best ones we’ve had, just that killer instinct that Coach is always talking about.  We extend the lead to like 10, 15 then we want to extend it to 20 or 30.  Obviously, we did that tonight.  We’re just learning.  This is a great step in the right direction.  We’ve got two [regular season] games left, and we just want to keep getting better each and every game.” 

The Duke perimeter defense was impregnable
Photo Credit: Ben McKeown- AP

The Defense

The Cavaliers were held to 6 first-half field goals (6-26; 23%). I cannot recall a more efficient defensive half of basketball from any Duke team.    There were minimal, if any, uncontested UVa field goal attempts –almost all of their 26 first-half shots were hotly guarded.  The Blue Devils forced one more turnover (7) than UVa scored field goals.  

Also in the first half, the Duke defense held UVa without a field goal for 10 minutes (12:41 to 2:47)!  During that period, UVa scored 8 points, all on free throws.  Duke’s  intense switching defense prevented penetration.  Flip, Mark Mitchell, and Sean Stewart defended the interior and protected the rim.  Scheyer, “the defense was terrific!”  It was simply glorious to watch.

The Offense

Scheyer: “To score 40 points on Virginia, that’s a heck of a thing to do in the first half.  I just thought our guys came out really ready to play. … I thought we did such a good job of flowing into offense, and driving downhill, making the right reads.  And then good things happened from that, and we just kept our foot on the gas.  It definitely started with the downhill drives.  It sounds simple, but they do a great job guarding one-on-one.  They do a good job making you play through resistance.  And you have to – when you have opportunities, after movement or in transition or from closeouts – when you have the opportunity, you’ve got to drive downhill.  And [Kyle Filipowski] probably did the best job right away. Tyrese [Proctor] had a few drives.”  

Duke’s passing this season is becoming breathtaking.  The ball never seems to stick with one player anymore.  The ball moves faster than defenders can, and eventually the Blue Devils were rewarded with wide open shots, which allowed the Blue Devils to sink 59% of its first-half shots (17-29, including 3-9 from 3land) with 9 assists.

Flip dunks with a windmill after stealing the ball.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Bench is Becoming More Effective

Coach Scheyer recognized the growing contribution of the bench, which is needed even more because of Caleb Foster’s injury.  First, the coach’s report on Caleb’s condition, “There’s no way for him [to play] on Monday.  And I think it’s highly unlikely any time soon.  We’re going to keep taking it week-to-week and continue to evaluate, but he’s not out of that boot ,and he’s not able to do anything.  It’s going to be some time still.”  

Then, the coach praised the efforts of  T.J Power, Sean Stewart, Ryan Young, and Jaylen Blakes, “both those guys [T.J. and Sean] just gave us a great lift.  So, it puts Tyrese and Jeremy, Jared – all those guys, our main guys who we want the ball in their hands – I think they [the bench] make those guys [the starters] better.  Ryan [Young] obviously does that, Jaylen [Blakes] has done that.  Those guys off the bench have done a great job of just playing to their strengths.” 

“I can fly twice as high” : Sean Stewart gives Duke a lift
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION 

(3) Jeremy Roach (34:55) does not score big when Duke leads comfortably, but he always controls the game, organizing the perimeter defense and keeping the ball moving until the open player has the uncontested shot.  While Jeremy scored only 6 points (3-9 from the field including 0-4 from behind the arc), Duke did not need his scoring.  Duke did, however, need his superb overall floor game…and Jeremy delivered! (5 assists, 2 rebounds, and a steal). Our Senior Captain leads this team whether or not he is scoring big.

(0) Jared McCain (30:34) also had a quiet offensive game, but he was a dynamo defending the perimeter.  He scored only 7 points (3-8 from the field, including 0-3 from behind the arc, plus 1-1 from the stripe). Jared corralled 6 rebounds and had 2 steals, but 3 turnovers.  also great news – Jared is a candidate for ACC Freshman of the Year! 

(5) Tyrese Proctor (29:00) had one of his best games of the season, scoring 15 points (6-8 from the field, including 3-4 from behind the arc) to go with a team high 5 assists (tied with Jeremy), and 4 rebounds.  Tyrese committed only 2 turnovers.  He ran the Duke offense with aplomb and was part of the amazing defense.

(30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (28:51) played his best game in a while and perhaps of the season, scoring an efficient 21 points on 14 shots (9-14 from the field, including 1-1 from 3land), plus 2-2 from the foul line, to go with 7 rebounds, 2 assists, 3 steals and a blocked shot.  Flip stayed out of foul trouble (committed only 1 foul.)  He was unstoppable in the post, if UVa did not double team him.  If UVa brought a second defender, Flip demonstrated what a great passer he is.  He played a wonderful all-around game.

(25) Mark Mitchell (25:22) played a complete game for Duke on both ends of the floor.  He scored 10 points (3-5 from the field without an attempt from 3land, plus  a 4-7 from the foul line) to go with 5 rebounds, an assist, and 2 blocked shots, with only 1 turnover.  He made a huge difference in this game for Duke.

(13) Sean Stewart (14:38 ) for the second straight game, played one of his best games.  Duke used a bigger lineup some of the time, with Sean plus 2 bigs instead of the usual 3 guards.  Guess who led Duke in rebounding?  Right! Sean with 8 in less than 15 minutes! Sean also scored 6 points (3-6 from the field) to go with a steal, a blocked shot,and an assist.  One turnover.  Sean’s athleticism was demonstrated when he had left his man for too long and had to race half the court to try and contest the shot.  While he was late (the shot went in), he leapt completely over the standing shooter to avoid fouling him.  The dude has wings! 

(12) T.J. Power (13:24) scored 6 points (2-5 from the field, including 2-5 from 3land) He drew praise from his coach: “TJ has just been the same every day.  He works every single day.  He has a routine he does with our strength coach after practice.  He has a routine he does with Coach [Emanuel] Dildy every day. 

And so, for TJ, when he’s in, he spaces, he doesn’t over dribble, he competes on defense, he’s an active body. And those other guys are better because of him.”

(15) Ryan Young (9:45) scored 2 points on 1-2 from the field, while grabbing a rebound and handing out 3 assists.  Ryan is a reliable player to spell Flip and Mark.  

(2) Jaylen Blakes (8:23) failed to score (0-3 from the field, including 0-1 from deep) to go with 2 boards and a dazzling steal. While he didn’t contribute in points, he was still a substantial part of the valuable role played by the Duke bench.

(55) Spencer Hubbard  (3:44) brought out cheers from the Cameron Crazies even though he missed his only shot, a 3 point attempt.

ACC Regular Season Climax 

With 2 games left, UNC (15-3) is a game ahead of Duke (14-4) for the regular season title.  The two meet in Cameron on March 9 in the season finale.  Even if Duke wins, the regular season title is a stretch.  

Before their game with Duke,, the Tarheels play Notre Dame (Tuesday, March 5) in the Dean Dome  On Monday, March 4, Duke plays N.C. State in Raleigh. This makes the lads have to play with just a day in between this UVa game and the N.C. State game.  UNC has an obvious advantage in schedule and record.  

UVa is now 21-9 on the season; 12-7 for 3rd place in the conference. In the battle for the 4th double bye, Syracuse (11-8) leads by half a game over Clemson (10-8), Pittsburgh (10-8), and Wake Forest (10-8).  Florida State (9-9) and N.C. State (9-9) still lurk. 

On Tuesday, March 5, Syracuse plays Clemson, while Pittsburgh plays Florida State.  Wake Forest plays Georgia Tech.  On the final day of the season (Saturday, March 9), Clemson travels to Wake Forest, NC State to Pittsburgh, Miami to Florida State and UNC to Duke.  The 4th double bye might not be determined until then.

If Duke were to win both of their next games) and tie UNC for the best regular season conference record, the tie is broken by the team’s best record against the next highest finisher.  Duke and UNC have identical records against UVa and Syracuse, and will against N.C. State if Duke wins tomorrow.  UNC has a better record against Wake Forest and Pittsburgh.  Only if Clemson is the next higher finisher, would Duke win the regular season ACC crown.

The Captain shows Duke getting “downhill” to rip apart UVa’s vaunted defense
Photo Credit:GoDuke.com

NEXT PLAY: Monday, March 4, 2024, vs. N.C. State at 7pm in Raleigh at the PNC Arena. ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 79 v. N.C. State Wolfpack 64 (Season 15; Issue 29; Game 29) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #29 at PNC Arena in Raleigh, N.C. (March 4, 2024)

Duke has grown into a Real Team during this season; you can see the joy of playing together on their faces 
Photo Credit: Karl B DeBlaker | AP News
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

What initially looked like a “Trap Game” by Duke spotting State a 9-0 lead, turned into a “Coming of Age” blowout game for both the Duke players and Coach Scheyer, with freshmen making significant contributions.  Filipowski was limited by fouls to four minutes in the first half and 9 points for the game.  By coincidence or not, since Jaylen Blakes inopportune foul on an improbable three-point attempt just before the half, at half court, in the Louisville game, his minutes as the first guard substitute have been replaced by T.J. Power, giving Duke another real three-point threat on offense and more size on defense.  And the continuing maturation and productivity of the athletically gifted freshman Sean Stewart, as defensive and offense presence in the front court, combined with the energy of Ryan Young and the lethality of three starting guards, the Duke team has become deeper, more imposing, and less Filipowski centric than it was at the beginning of the season.

Not to be overlooked is the transition of Jeremy Roach, from a point guard to a shooting guard, and whose senior leadership and timely scoring gives the Blue Devils a much needed stability when so many players leave for the NBA early, and many opponents have transfers who are mature men not boys.

Also, Duke’s back court of three guards have become the solid, dependable backbone of the team.  McCain has matured into a very complete guard, who among other things, hits more big threes than anyone not named JJ Redick.  And Proctor, when healthy, is a tower of stability and efficiency who is a solid threat from deep or in the lane.

Coach Scheyer has differed from his mentor Mike Krzyzewski in how he brings along freshmen who are not yet complete basketball players.  He always mentions how hard a young player works when that player gets more court time, and plays well, and Scheyer does not seem hesitant to go beyond six or seven deep for significant playing time. 

I don’t want to get ahead of myself, but so far, surprisingly good!  This Saturday’s game will confirm a lot—or not! 

The Captain setting the defense
Photo Credit: Karl B DeBlaker | AP News
ALANALYSIS

There are a plethora of good things for Duke to take away from this game:

  1. After a start reminiscent of last year’s early game debacle against N.C. State, the Blue Devil bench – Sean Stewart, Ryan Young and T.J. Power stemmed the NC State tide and put Duke back in the lead; 
  2. The Duke starters then took over in the second half, scoring 46 points on 63% shooting; 
  3. Duke defended brilliantly, based on Coach Scheyer’s effective strategy of denying the Wolfpack their patented (league-leading) fast break and vaunted 3 point offense; 
  4. N.C. State pressured Duke’s back court, but could not force turnovers (Duke limited its turnovers to a paltry 5 for the game; 
  5. The Blue Devils closed out the game efficiently at “winning time”.

Duke’s 3 guards – Tyrese, Jeremy, and Jared each played all 20 minutes of the second half.  Sean played more than 15 minutes (8 points), while Flip logged almost 18 minutes (9 points) after 2 early fouls limited him to 4 first-half minutes on the court with 0 points.

Scheyer: “We showed poise, which you have to show against these guys. A lot of toughness. The story of the game for me was – against them you have five turnovers against their pressure all game.  Tyrese, Jeremy, Jared [all] did a terrific job handling the pressure. … They only score[d] four fast-break points, which is important. … We took away their 3’s, [but] you’re giving up DJ Burns. ” 

Flip finally found his groove in the 2nd half
Photo Credit: Karl B DeBlaker | AP News

The Defense

The Wolfpack offense for the year has been 35% accuracy on over 7 attempts per game from 3land; and creating live ball turnovers leading to a lethal transition attack with many fast break layups.  Coach Scheyer’s strategy was to leave defending the Wolfpack’s huge (6’10” 270 lb) big man, D.J. Burns, to a single defender (Flip, Mark and Sean at different times).   While none of the Duke defenders had much success (D.J. scored 27 points, 15 in the first half), the Blue Devil defense gave up only 4 fast break points and only 6, 3-point attempts (2-6) by not doubling up on D.J.  When the game was very much on the line, Duke allowed the Wolfpack only 5 points in the last 5:09 of the game – an offensive rebound put back, a D.J. dunk, and a meaningless foul shot with only 43 seconds and Duke leading by 16. This was championship defense.

The Offense

After Duke’s bench had restored order in the latter part of the first half, the Blue Devils simply exploded in the second half, scoring 46 points (20-32 from the field, including 5-14 from behind the arc, plus just 1-2 from the stripe).  Roach was 5-6 from inside the arc (13 second-half points).  Jared was 3-5 from behind the arc (14 second-half points).  Flip scored 9 in the closing stanza, and Sean notched 8 points (that’s 44 of Duke’s 46; the other 2 points were scored by Mark, who played only 4 second-half minutes because of Sean’s strong performance).  46 points in a half is a championship offense.

Four Point Play! Jared celebrates sinking a 3-pointer after being fouled
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Winning Time

Duke closed out this win in championship style!  Duke led 66-59 with 5:04 left in the game.  In those critical last 5 minutes, Duke scored 13 points: Roach hit a 3-pointer; Sean stole the ball.  After Roach missed, Sean grabbed an offensive rebound and fed Jared for Duke’s second consecutive 3- pointer, plus a foul shot,for a 4 point play and a 14 point lead.  The Wolfpack made another put back to cut the lead to 12; then Roach made a driving layup, Sean made another steal, and fed Flip for another layup (79-63 with 53 seconds left).  Championship play at “winning time”! 

Tyrese scored in the first half and ran the smooth offense for the entire game.
Photo Credit: Kerria Weaver | The Duke Chronicle

THE ROTATION 

(5) Tyrese Proctor (40:00) played every minute of the game, handling the NC State defensive pressure in one of his best games of the season, scoring 11 points – all in the first half — (4-10 from the field, including 3-8 from behind the arc) to go with 4 assists and 4 rebounds.  Tyrese committed only 3 turnovers (all in the first half) but ran the offense so smoothly — especially in the second half, – that the entire team committed only 5 turnovers for the whole game.  He not only ran the Duke offense with aplomb but was also part of the amazing defense that contained the Wolfpack transition game and 3-point attack.

(3) Jeremy Roach (36:18) led the Blue Devils in scoring with 21 points (13 in the closing half).  The Senior co-Captain sliced his way through the Wolfpack defense when his deep shot deserted him (9-17 from the field, including 1-7 from behind the arc.)  Jeremy was 2-3 from the stripe and contributed 4 boards, 2 assists and a steal without a turnover.  He was simply terrific!  

(0) Jared McCain (34:11) scored 16 points (14 in the closing half).  After a quiet first half where he shot 1-7 from the field, including 0-4 from behind the arc,  in the closing stanza, Jared was 5-7 from the field including 3-5 from deep.  Thus, Jared finished with 6-14  from the field, including 3-9 from behind the arc, plus 1-1 from the stripe. He corralled 5 rebounds, an assist, and a 2 steal. 0 turnovers.  

(13) Sean Stewart (26:09) for the third straight game, played one of his best games at Duke, logging more court time than either Flip or Mark for the first time.  The freshman scored 12 points (5-7 from the field, plus 2-3 from the foul line) to go with 5 rebounds, 3 blocked shots, 2 assists, and 2 steals, all without a turnover.  

Scheyer: “Sean provides something that we don’t have.  He’s our best athlete.  His versatility on defense.  His touch around the basket. He’s a lob threat. And his skill is going to continue to get better and better. …. We’re better when he’s out there. He just did a terrific job.  He competed at the highest level. That’s something, sometimes as a freshman, you’re adjusting to. He’s helped us in a lot more games than just this one, but tonight, obviously, with the amount of minutes he played, hit his free throws, he was great.  Really proud of him.” 

(30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (21:43) played only 4 first-half minutes because of committing 2 early fouls – without scoring (0-2, including 0-1 from deep).  Then, he played an excellent second half!, finishing the game with 9 points, going 4-4 from the field, including 1-1 from deep.  He collected 2 rebounds and made a steal. And a blocked shot.  Flip demonstrated what a great passer he is by handing out 2 second-half assists.  

(25) Mark Mitchell (18:19) scored 5 points (2-7 from the field including 0-1 from 3land, plus a 1-2 from the foul line) to go with 6 rebounds.  His playing time was diminished by Sean’s play and his own early misses.

(15) Ryan Young (13:06) scored 2 points on 1-2 from the field, while grabbing 5 rebounds and providing excellent first-half minutes spelling Flip.  Ryan and the bench were praised by Coach Scheyer, “the development of our bench, just providing toughness – they were just really, really good.” 

(12) T.J. Power (10:14) scored 3 points (1-5 from the field, including 1-3 from 3land) He drew praise from his coach: “T.J. had some big-time plays. He had that one pass to Sean. T.J. did it [contributed to the team’s win] without making shots, which I know he’s going to do.”

Sean’s Versatility: An excellent rim defender as well as rebounder
Photo Credit: Ethan Hyman | Raleigh News & Observer
Sean’s Versatility: Offense at the rim.
Photo Credit: Kaitlin McKeown| Raleigh News & Observer

ACC Regular Season Climax (After March 5 Games)

With only the game against each other left in the regular season, UNC (16-3) is one game ahead of Duke (15-4) for the regular season title.  If Duke wins and each team finishes with 16-4 records, it is unclear which team will win the tiebreaker.  The tie is broken by the team’s best record against the next highest finisher. Duke and UNC have identical records against UVa. UNC has a better record against Wake Forest and Pittsburgh. Duke has a better record against Clemson and Syracuse.  

The tie would not be broken until Saturday when Clemson (11-8) travels to Wake Forest (10-9), NC State to Pittsburgh (11-8), UVa (12-7) to Virginia Tech, and UNC to Duke. It is possible that all teams will end up 11-9, which should make a mess. Of course there are no issues if the Tarheels prevail.

NEXT PLAY: Saturday, March 9, 2024, vs. U.N.C. at 6:30 pm in CAMERON INDOOR STADIUM; ESPN

Ryan, if pro ball doesn’t work out, maybe Hollywood is casting the next Superman movie?
Photo Credit: Karl B DeBlaker | AP News

Duke Blue Devils 79 v. U.N.C. Tarheels 84 (Season 15; Issue 30; Game 30) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #30 at Cameron Indoor Stadium, N.C. (March 9, 2024)

Senior Night for Spencer Hubbard, Jeremy Roach, and Ryan Young
Photo Credit: The Brotherhood Podcast
Bill’s CliffNotes:

Once again North Carolina’s men beat Duke’s boys.  Let’s face the facts. This year, North Carolina has more talented, mature players with more size who compete more consistently than Duke. Duke can contain Davis and Bacot ,but Ingram (playing with his second team in three years) or Ryan (playing with his third team in six years and apparently working on his PhD) can step up and have career games.  It’s tough to be outrebounded 39-29, outshot 50%-43%, and expect to win. Of course, missing 6 free throws to Carolina’s 3 just puts another exclamation point on the difference, and spotting the Tar Heels as many as 15 points at home to begin the game is just a script for losing against a team as good as Carolina.

Despite all those shortcomings, the Tar Heels needed an improbable prayer of a toe-barely-on-the-three-point line with the shot clock expiring by Elliot Cadeau (it probably would not have gone in if McCain hadn’t stepped on his foot and helped redirected the shot) to cement the game from another improbable comeback by the Blue Devils. nHowever, Duke cannot give away so many points by slow starts and expect to beat good teams, especially when Filipowski, Mitchell, and,nRoach, of all players, have subpar first halves.

Two more tournaments to go! Then, wait for next year.

OTHER COMMENTS:

Neither the post-game taunting of the North Carolina players, nor the antics of the Cameron crowd, added to the reputation of the two institutions.

An emotional moment on senior night against UNC!  Coach K and Mickie were in the house. Jeremy Roach is the last of the Coach K’s recruits. His coming over to hug his old coach and Mickie is a moment worth capturing.
Photo Credit: @ JoshGrahamShow

ALANALYSIS

The game was not as close as the score indicates.  Duke was dominated by UNC for the whole game.  Duke never led for a single second in the game, and only had a single possession with a chance to tie or take the lead.  With over 17 minutes to go in the game, Jeremy Roach hit a 3-point shot to cut the UNC lead to a single point (43-42).  R.J. Davis missed a UNC jump shot and Jared McCain grabbed the rebound.  Jeremy’s layup attempt was for the lead, but he missed with 16:31 to go in the game.  

Less than 2 minutes later, the Blue Devils trailed by 9 (52-43 with 14:34 to go).  UNC extended the lead to double digits, for the first time, with 11:20 left in the game (56-46), and then again with 10 minutes left (61-51), with 9:02 left (63-53).  The lead was as much as 12, with 8:33 left.  UNC led by double digits again with 6:36 remaining (68-58) and won by 9, even though Duke made a stirring last gasp comeback.  

UNC led by 9, with 1:38 left when T.J. Power made a 3 off an offensive rebound by Ryan (78-72 with 1:13 left). Cadeau made a desperation 3 as the shot clock expired that was a dagger (80-72 with 40 seconds left).  Proctor made a layup, and Power scored again on a layup to cut the lead to 4 (80-76 with 23 seconds to go).  

Duke had to foul, and Cormac Ryan made both to ice the game (82-76 with 16 seconds left).  Jeremy’s 3 with 5 seconds left made it a one possession game (82-79 with 5 seconds left).  Cormac Ryan’s foul shooting in the last seconds provided the final margin.  Bottom line: UNC led for the entire game: Duke had one chance at the lead, with the ball, at the 13:23 mark.  It’s fair to say UNC dominated the game.

Scheyer’s take “they beat us to loose balls. That’s what veteran players do.  I felt we’ve been playing like veteran players, but tonight, we were slow to the ball. And that’s what these games come down to. You’ve got to get loose balls, you’ve got to hit, and we didn’t do that to the level we needed.” 

Scheyer’s plea to Jeremy: “Get the ball, y’all; get the ball!
Photo Credit: Rob Kinnan/USA Today Sports Images

The Defense

What can you say about a defense that gives up 84 points (40 in the first half and 44 in the second half), and allows the opponents to shoot 50 % from the field and 60% from behind the arc?  Scheyer’s defensive plan was to put Proctor on Davis, to the exclusion of his helping others.  It worked so well that the league’s leading scorer was held to single digit scoring (9 points) and most of that scoring was late in the game.  Scheyer’s defense also held Armando Bacot in check (9 points). What Scheyer did not account for was Cormac Ryan, going 6-8 from behind the arc to score a game high 31 points, including 21 in the second half.  The Tarheels dominated the glass (39-28)  grabbing 12 offensive rebounds, which were converted into second chance UNC baskets at the worst times for Duke.  It’s fair to conclude that Duke’s vaunted defense was a failure against UNC.

The Offense

While the opening period was disastrous (Flip scored only 4 points and committed 2 fouls), McCain and Proctor kept the game close after Duke had fallen behind by 15 points (30-15 at the 8:04 mark).  McCain scored 11 first-half points, and Proctor had 9.  In the second half, the Blue Devils poured in 48 points, led by Flip’s 19 and Jeremy’s 11.  Duke shot 7-12 from behind the arc in the second half (Roach 2-2; Flip 2-4; Proctor 1-2; Power 1-1; and McCain 1-3) and 50% from the field.  The Blue Devils had 7 assists on 15 baskets.  Hard to find fault with the second half offense. 

Scheyer: “we took some tough shots, and the tough shots led to their runouts in transition. … it all started from bad possessions on offense. Not being strong with the ball or taking some weak shot, and it’s disappointing. … we didn’t play like we’ve been playing. The connectivity on offense, and you’ve got to get some of those loose balls. … We scored 79 points – I want to go back through the film – I bet there’s 15 or 20 shots, I think, were just not the right shots for us. … I thought our offense hurt our defense.”

The Bench

Only T.J. Power scored (7 points; 5 in his 1:21 second-half minutes.  Sean Stewart and Ryan Murphy were scoreless in a combined 26 minutes.  All 3 starting guards played almost the full game.  For the Duke team to be at full strength, especially bench strength, the Blue Devils need Caleb Foster to return to playing as well as he was before his injury.  Information about Caleb’s recovery had been sparse or non-existent.

“Our season’s not defined by UNC”
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION 

(5) Tyrese Proctor (40:00) in Caleb’s absence, played every minute of the game for the second straight game, doing a phenomenal defensive job on the ACC’s leading scorer, R.J. Davis (who he held to 9 points).  Tyrese scored 14 (6-11 from the field, including 2-6 from behind the arc, without a free throw attempt) to go with 3 assists, 2 boards, 2 steals with only a single turnover.     

(3) Jeremy Roach (38:45) had a subpar game (for him) despite good statistics.  The senior co-captain scored 13 points (3-12 from the field, including 2-4 from deep — the last one with 5 seconds to go took a dramatic bounce to go in and cut the lead to 3 – plus 5-6 from the foul line) to go with 3 assists and 2 turnovers.  Both the play by play, and my eyes, had Jeremy with more than 2 turnovers.  He knew he did not play well: “It’s a bad feeling, just to lose like this on your home floor and know that I could’ve played so much better. That’s really it. This one’s on me for sure.  If I’m me, then I think we put ourselves in a better position.  We just came out flat. We came out settling. I took a step-back [jumper] the first play of the game and that kind of was a snowball effect on the whole team.  We kind of settled, and they were out in transition, getting open buckets, easy baskets, and the rest is history.”  

(0) Jared McCain (38:12) scored 19 points (11 in the first half) on 6-12 from the field including 2-5 from 3land, plus 5-5 from the foul line.  He added 7 rebounds (tied for team high with Flip), 2 assists and a steal.  He did turn it over 3 times. 

(30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (33:41) was heroic in the second half, scoring 19, of his team-high 23 points, in the closing stanza.  For the game, Flip was  8-18 from the field, including 2-6 from behind the arc, plus 5-8 from the stripe.  He collected 7 rebounds, blocked 3 shots, had 2 steals, and 2 assists without a turnover.  And he made a steal, and a blocked shot.  In the second half, Flip was 6-11, including 2-2 from 3land.  Scheyer has been frustrated by Flip’s having only 1 good half in past games.  Duke needs Flip for 40 minutes.

(15) Ryan Young (19:13) failed to score in his longer than usual outing (0-2), but grabbed 6 rebounds and made a steal (one turnover).  Ryan was on the court much of the time with Flip, replacing Mark Mitchell.  

(25) Mark Mitchell (18:37) scored only 3 points (1-3 from the field including 0-1 from 3land, plus  a 1-2 from the foul line) to go with 4 rebounds and a blocked shot.  His playing time was diminished by Ryan’s play and his own early misses.

(13) Sean Stewart (6:58) contributed a rebound and a blocked shot (and also 4 fouls) in an outing more reminiscent of his early season games rather than his last 3, where he was a substantial contributor.  Sean, who just turned 19 in February,  was obviously overmatched against the far more mature and elite Tarheels (Cormac Ryan is 25; Bacot is 24.).  

(12) T.J. Power (4:24) scored 7 points (2-2 from the field, including 1-1 from 3land, plus 2-3 from the stripe). He had a clutch second-half contribution where he scored 5 points, with only 1:21 remaining. He scored the only Duke bench points.  Duke will not flourish in the postseason without a much more productive bench.

A hard loss: Scheyer to the Crazies“We’re going to keep going, we’re going to get this right.”
Photo Credit: Ben McKeown| AP Photo

ACC TOURNAMENT 

Flip expressed the Duke mindset for the tournament, “We’re still one of the best teams in the country.  Our season’s not defined by UNC.  Obviously, this rivalry means a lot more, but now it’s tournament time, and we’re just trying to put ourselves in the best position to succeed still.  Next- play mentality and we’re going to move forward from this.  It’s not the end of the world.  Obviously, it’s a hard loss, but it’s not the end of the world. This postseason can definitely be ours if we take the right approach.  

Duke is the #2 seed and will therefore not play until Thursday, March 14 at in the quarterfinals.

FIRST ROUND, Tuesday, March 12

Game 1: No. 12 seed Notre Dame vs. No. 13 seed Georgia Tech, 2 p.m. ET

Game 2: No. 10 seed NC State vs. No. 15 seed Louisville, 4:30 p.m. ET

Game 3: No. 11 seed Boston College vs. No. 14 seed Miami, 7 p.m. ET

SECOND ROUND, Wednesday, March 13

Game 4: No. 8 seed Virginia Tech vs. No. 9 seed Florida State, Noon ET

Game 5: No. 5 seed Wake Forest vs. Winner of Game 1, 2:30 p.m. ET

Game 6: No. 7 seed Syracuse vs. Winner of Game 2, 7 p.m. ET

Game 7: No. 6 seed Clemson vs. Winner of Game 3, 9:30 p.m. ET

QUARTERFINALS, Thursday, March 14

Game 8: No. 1 seed North Carolina vs. Winner of Game 4, Noon ET

Game 9: No. 4 seed Pitt vs. Winner of Game 5, 2:30 p.m. ET

Game 10: No. 2 seed Duke vs. Winner of Game 6, 7 p.m. ET

Game 11: No. 3 seed Virginia vs. Winner of Game 7, 9:30 p.m. ET

SEMI-FINALS, Friday, March 15

Game 12: Winner of Game 8 vs. Winner of Game 9, 7 p.m. ET

Game 13: Winner of Game 10 vs. Winner of Game 11, 9:30 p.m. ET

CHAMPIONSHIP FINALS, Saturday, March 16

Game 14: Winner of Game 12 vs. Winner of Game 13, 8:30 p.m.

The odds favor a Duke-UNC rematch in the finals.  Wouldn’t that be nice!

NEXT PLAY: Thursday, March 14, 2024, vs. U.N.C. at 7 pm in Washington D.C. at the Capitol One Arena; v. the winner of Syracuse (7th seed) v. either N.C. State or Louisville. ESPN


Duke Blue Devils 69 v. North Carolina State Wolfpack 74 (Season 15; Issue 31; Game 31 – ACC Tournament Edition) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 Game #31 (ACC TOURNAMENT, QUARTERFINALS ) at Capital One Arena, Washington D.C. (March 14, 2024)


All the Devil’s horses and all the Devil’s  men couldn’t pull this Duke team together again
Photo Credit: Alex Brandon, Associated Press
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke came out flat, as they have all too often this year, and rarely posed a sustained threat to N.C. State, who led most of the entire game. N.C. State answered every challenge and consistently played better basketball. Filipowski was terrific but the guard play, offensively and defensively, was not what it needed to be. And the lightly bet on Wolf Pack – playing solid, winning basketball – deserved the win. While it turned out the Wolf Pack was a team of destiny,  the Blue Devils will have a disappointing end to the season if they repeat this performance in the NCAA tournament. 

Other Comments:

In the beginning, there was Everett Case at North Carolina State (by way of Indiana) who set the standard for Dean Smith and Mike Krzyzewski to develop big time national basketball programs, and who was, among other things, the godfather of the ACC Tournament. So it is fitting that, decades later, his beloved North Carolina State Wolf Pack achieved the historic feat of winning the ACC Tournament by sweeping five straight games on five straight nights to deny Case’s bitter rivals, the North Carolina Tar Heels, the tournament Crown.

Originally,  the ACC Tournament determined not only the ACC champion but also the only ACC entrant in the NCAA tournament.  The rules allowed only one team per conference.   In 1974, N.C. State beat Maryland in overtime to win the ACC tournament 103-100.  Because Maryland was the next best team, many thought that ACC game was the Wolf Pack’s toughest game, even though N.C. State also won the 1974 (32-team) NCAA tournament, which was later expanded to what is now known as MARCH MADNESS.

NC State’s Casey Morsell nearly nicks Flip’s nose with a pass.
Photo Credit: Susan Walsh, Associated Press
ALANALYSIS

After UNC beat Duke in Cameron to win the regular season ACC title, Flip expressed the Duke mindset for the ACC tournament, “We’re still one of the best teams in the country. Our season’s not defined by UNC. Obviously, this rivalry means a lot more, but now it’s tournament time, and we’re just trying to put ourselves in the best position to succeed still. Next- play mentality and we’re going to move forward from this. It’s not the end of the world. Obviously, it’s a hard loss but it’s not the end of the world. This postseason can definitely be ours if we take the right approach.”  

Duke did not take the “right approach”!  After destroying the Wolfpack by 15 points (79-64) in Raleigh on March 4, in one of the best Blue Devil performances of the year, the Blue Devils were dominated by the Wolfpack in the most important game of the year (so far).  Duke was beaten far worse than the final 5 point margin indicates.  

N.C. State pulled off what the cognoscenti call a minor miracle by beating UVa in overtime in the semifinals and thoroughly beating UNC to win the ACC Tournament.  The Wolf Pack had to win 5 games in 5 days, which had never been done in the history of the ACC tournament.  There are those who feel as if the N.C. State magic took some of the sting out of the Duke loss.

First Half

The Blue Devils led only twice in the entire game – for 3 minutes – in the first half.  Duke tied the score at 24 with 6:33 left in the opening stanza and pushed the lead to 4 (28-24) before relinquishing the lead for the penultimate time with 4:12 to go, when Mohamed Diarra hit a 3-pointer to put the Wolfpack in front 29-28.  Mitchell and McCain scored for Duke’s final lead 32-30 with 1:29 remaining.  N.C. State scored the last 5 points in the final minute of the first half to lead 35-32 at the break.  Flip led Duke’s first half scoring with 12 points (a brilliant 6-7 from the field) to go with 5 rebounds and 3 steals, but he did not get much help – Mark Mitchell scored 6 (3-7, 0-2 from the stripe), Jared McCain notched 6 points (2-4, including 0-1 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the stripe) and Tyrese Proctor also scored 6 points (2-8, including 2-5 from 3land).  Jeremy Roach scored 2 points (0-3 from the field, including 0-2 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line).     

Second Half

The Wolfpack stretched the lead to 7 (39-32) in the first minute of the second half and to 9 with more than 17 minutes left in the game (41-32). Duke had 32 points for 4:29 spanning the end of the first half and the early part of the second half. The N.C. State lead fluctuated between 2 and 9 points until the Wolfpack pushed the lead to double digits for the first time (62-52) with 6:20 to go in the game and again with 5:27 left (64-54).  The Wolfpack led by 7 points (71-64) with 1:23 left in the game when the Blue Devils made a run.  

A Flip put back at the rim, and a technical foul shot by McCain brought Duke within 4 points; 30 seconds remaining.  Duke had to foul and did.  Diarra missed both free throws, leaving the door slightly ajar.  Flip made another driving layup bringing the Blue Devils within 2 points (71-69) with 15 seconds remaining.  Thereafter, Duke never got the ball with a chance to tie or take the lead.  Flip fouled N.C. State high scorer, D. J. Horn (Flip’s  fifth), who made both shots (73-69).  Tyrese missed a driving layup, and Diarra made one of two free throws with 7 seconds remaining for the Wolfpack’s final margin.

Jeremy (3 points), Tyrese (4 points) played all 20 minutes of the second half.  McCain (2 points) played 18:04.  The 3 Blue Devil starting guards scored a combined 9 points in 58 collective minutes of court time. A disaster!  Duke did better up front, where Mark played the full 20 minutes of the closing half, scoring 12 points on 5-6 shooting, including 2-2 from behind the arc.  Flip was also brilliant in his almost 20 minutes (19:44), scoring 16 second half points (7-13 from the field including 0-1 from 3land, plus 2-3 from the foul line). 

The Defense

In the March 4 game against N.C. State, Scheyer employed a brilliant defensive strategy.  He ran the Wolfpack off the 3 point line and stifled their fast break.  That left D.J. Burns, their mammoth center free of double teams.  While Burns scored 27 points, the defense was superb in disrupting the Wolfpack.  In the quarterfinals, Scheyer switched defenses and doubled Burns in the post, holding him to 10 points.  But, the Wolfpack was torrid from behind the arc (7-16 or 21 points on 16 shots), and Duke did not take sufficient care of the ball to again eliminate N.C. State’s fast break.  The Wolfpack shot 46% (44% from behind the arc).

The Offense

Flip (28 points) and Mark (18 points) accounted for 46 of Duke’s 69 points.  Tyrese also reached double figures (10 points) on an inefficient 16 shots (4-16, including 2-7 from deep).  McCain’s 8 points (4-5 from the free throw line, 2-6 from the field, including 0-3 from 3land) and Jeremy’s 5 points (1-6 from the field, including 1-4 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the stripe) were the only other Blue Devils to score. Duke was 5-20 from deep, which simply will not cut it.

Mark showed that rim who’s boss – sadly it was not enough for the win
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Bench

The Duke bench was scoreless!!  The starting backcourt had no relief.  The Blue Devils missed Caleb Foster badly.  We have never heard what his specific injury is or how his rehab is progressing.  We speculate from such non-information that Caleb will not play in the NCAA tournament.  His injury has really marred the Duke season.

T.J. Power played 8:05 off the bench and missed all three of his 3-point attempts, but did garner 2 boards.  Ryan Young played 6:08, blocked a shot and had 2 turnovers while committing a foul.  Sean Stewart played a disappointing 4 minutes (0-1 from the field) with a turnover and a rebound.  The bench was stalwart against the Wolfpack on March 4, but contributed very little in the quarterfinals.

Mark blocks the shot – the Blue Devils team defend their rim
Photo Credit: Geoff Burke, USA TODAY Sports

THE ROTATION


(5) Tyrese Proctor (40:00) in Caleb’s absence, played every minute of the game for the third straight game.  Tyrese scored 10 (4-16 from the field, including 2-7 from behind the arc, without a free throw attempt) to go with 5 assists and 7 boards, without a single turnover.  His defense was less impactful than we are used to (D.J. Horn scored 18 points to lead the Wolfpack).  The good news for Duke is that Tyrese does not appear NBA ready yet.   

(3) Jeremy Roach (37:49) had another subpar game.  The senior co-captain scored only 5 points (1-6 from the field, including 1-4 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line) to go with 4 assists and 3 turnovers.  He played as though he was a little nicked up.  He has not been the Jeremy of this season in his last two games.

(25) Mark Mitchell (35:11) played one of his best games of the season, especially in the second half.  Mark scored 18 points (12 in the second half) on 13 shots. (8-13 including 2-2 from behind the arc, but an abysmal 0-4 from the foul line).  Mark defended well, grabbed 8 boards with an assist, a steal and a blocked shot.  He appeared to be interviewed after the game with Flip and Coach Scheyer.  His play deserved the post-game appearance.

(30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (34:18) had perhaps his best game of the season, trying to will Duke to the ACC Semi-Finals.  He couldn’t do it, but what a game he had.  Flip scored 28 points (13-20 from the field, including 0-1 from behind the arc, including 2-3 from the foul line) to go with 14 rebounds (yet another double double) , an assist and 3 steals. Flip is one of five finalists for the Karl Malone Power Forward of the Year Award, as announced by The Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame.

(0) Jared McCain (34:07) scored only 8 points (2-6 from the field including 0-3 from 3land, plus 4-5 from the foul line).  He added 4 rebounds, 4 assists and a steal.  He did turn it over once.  In warmups, McCain and Jaylen Blakes bumped heads, with McCain getting cut badly enough to require 3 stitches.  This incident could have impacted his performance. 

(12) T.J. Power (8:05) was the only substitute for McCain and Roach.  He failed to score (0-3 from behind the arc) to go with 2 rebounds. 

(15) Ryan Young (6:08) failed to score in his time on the court spelling Flip. He did not attempt a shot or score a point but did record an assist, but had 2 turnovers.  Scheyer rushed Flip back into action as Duke fell behind further while Ryan was in the game.

(13) Sean Stewart (4:08) contributed a rebound and a turnover in an outing more reminiscent of his early season games. Sean seems overmatched against elite adversaries. 

(1) Caleb Foster (0:00)  has not played since he was injured on February 25, 2024 early in the second half against Wake Forest.  Duke has not posted any medical information about Caleb’s injury (lower leg is as close to identifying the injury as Duke has come).  No mention has ever been made about when he might return, although it was reported “not soon”.  Caleb’s absence for the NCAA tournament is a problem for Duke.  If there were even a chance Caleb could play, would not Duke announce it? 

NCAA Tournament – Duke is the 4th seed in the South Region. Other high Seeds: 1) Houston; 2) Marquette; 3) Kentucky; and 5) Wisconsin

Duke will play 13th seeded University of Vermont on Friday, March 22 at the Barclay Center in Brooklyn.  The winner of that game will play the winner of the Wisconsin v. James Madison (12th seed) on Sunday, March 24, 2024.

NEXT PLAY: Friday, March 22, 2024, vs. Vermont Catamounts in Barclay’s Center, Brooklyn, N.Y. at a time to be announced later. 


Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2023-2024 (Season 15; Issue 32; Game #32 and #33) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

NCAA FIRST ROUND 

Duke Blue Devils 64 v Vermont Catamounts 47 at Barclay Center, Brooklyn, N.Y. on Friday, March 22, 2024
Onwards and upwards after conquering the Catamounts
Photo credit: GoDuke.com
Bill’s CliffsNotes: 

Duke avoided some of their most frustrating faults of the season— slow starts, Filipowski’s early foul troubles, poor defense. Similar  transgressions by other heavily favored teams contributed to upsets by Yale, James Madison, Duquesne, Grand Canyon – and N.C. State, who is celebrating the latest NCAA Championship version of “The Little Engine That Could”. 

Vermont gave it a good try with two of the most incredible shots I’ve seen this side of games of H-O-R-S-E on the courts of Turkey Thicket in Southeast D.C.—a left-handed three-point shot by a right-handed forward and an off balanced scoop shot from the top of the lane, both well defended as the shot clock was expiring. But, although they closed Duke’s margin to five points, there was a Slim and No Chance that Vermont’s players could duplicate these type of shots again tonight–and Slim had left the building! 

Fortunately, Mitchell 2.0 showed up early and aggressively, taking advantage of the size and talent disparity between the squads as well as the double teaming of Filipowski which forced Vermont to give Mitchell more space. Flip, meanwhile, showed the maturity, savviness, and skill—much to the chagrin of the halftime ex-jock talking heads—to demonstrate his passing prowess, which is exceptional for a seven-foot center.

Other than defense, accurate three point and free throw shooting are often the determining factors of today’s basketball games. It was good to see McCain hitting what might have been the most important shots of the game– three pointers when Vermont briefly cut the Blue Devil’s lead to two points. It always gives me confidence when McCain or Roach go to the free throw line. And speaking of Roach, it is reassuring when he controls the ball with the game on the line–good things often happen.

All these factors (and other attention to detail,) led to balanced scoring and total participation (which will be important if Duke is to continue winning) in an impressive team fashion.

A characteristic of Coach K’s better, more mature teams was the ability to make unanswered, exciting runs that gave them a comfortable working margin. This team, for whatever reason, rarely accomplishes that. Maybe, it will come in time. In the meantime, games are usually closer, and the wins are more difficult.

The stat line doesn’t capture what a solid and valuable presence Flip added to this game
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
ALANALYSIS

It took the Blue Devils 15 minutes to finally take the lead 11-10 for the first time, and to take it for the remainder of the game with 14:48 remaining in the first half.  

Duke led for the vast majority  of the game (largest lead with 16 seconds to go was 17 points –64-45).  But Duke fans were insecure until the Blue Devils put the game away in the final 5 minutes.  Vermont got no closer than closing the Duke lead to 6 (50-44) with 7:26 remaining but could score only a single basket after that – a 3-pointer with 4:46 left in the game.  

The Defense

Vermont scored only 18 second half-points.  Duke held Vermont to 3 points in the last 7:26 of the game as the Blue Devil lead ballooned to 17 points with 16 seconds to go in the game. Duke held the Catamounts to 28% shooting in the closing half (7-25) including 17% from deep (2-12).  While the Catamounts scored 29 first-half points on 48% shooting, the score and percentage were skewed higher because of the circus shots that Vermont players hit at the shot clock buzzer for other worldly baskets, as Bill described so well above.

High-Scorer Mark scores from on high
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Offense

Duke’s 3 guards – McCain (15), Roach (14), and  Proctor (13) – and Mitchell (15) scored 57 of the Blue Devils’ 64 points.  Filipowski (3), Jaylen Blakes (2), Sean Stewart (1) and Ryan Young (1) added the remaining 7 points.  Duke missed many open shots, several of which were wide open because of superb passes out of the post from Flip, who was double-teamed whenever he got the ball.  Duke frequently initiated the offense through Flip (he got the ball a lot), and in this game he delivered excellent passes that led to wide open shots.  The 3 starting guards were a combined 12-33 from the field (6-17 from deep).  Mark was aggressive at the rim, putting down layups and dunks for his 15 points.

Jeremy finally pulled out the acrobatics in the second half to carry the Blue Devils through
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(3) Jeremy Roach (39:30) The senior co-captain scored 14 points (3-10 from the field, including 1-2 from deep, plus 7-9 from the foul line) to go with 4 assists and 3 turnovers.  Jeremy also contributed a steal and a blocked shot.  He led the scoring in the second half with 10 of his 14 points and kept Duke’s lead comfortable.  

30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (36:40) attempted only a single field goal (0-1 from the field) and scored only 3 points in the game (3-4 from the free throw line).  The press acted as if Flip had a bad game.  Nothing could be further from what happened.  Flip was THE guy who made the defense so effective and delivered for the offense in other ways. Scheyer, “he’s our leading scorer, and he led us in assists during conference. He led us in rebounding. He does so much for our team. But for him to be such a willing passer, and we have so much shooting on the floor, I thought it was just a big-time game by him to be honest with you.”  Mark understood Flip’s value, “his passing and rebounding was great. Just did what it took to win. He played good defense … and just affected the game every way. And we ran our offense through him, and we got good looks and open shots and that’s all you can ask for.”

(5) Tyrese Proctor (36:37). Tyrese played some excellent defense while scoring 13 points (5-14 from the field, including 3-9 from behind the arc, without a free throw attempt) to go with 4 boards, without a single assist, steal, or turnover.  Scheyer, “I don’t think Tyrese necessarily gets the attention he deserves for his defense. Like he’s a big-time defender.”

(25) Mark Mitchell (34:59) scored 15 points (11 in the first half) on 13 shots. (6-9 from the field, plus 3-6 from the foul line).  Mark defended well, grabbed 5 boards, a steal and had a blocked shot.  Mark tied with Jared McCain as Duke’s high scorer.


(0) Jared McCain (34:27) scored 15 points (4-9 from the field including 2-6 from 3land, plus 5-6 from the foul line).  He added 6 rebounds, 3 assists and a steal.  He did turn it over twice.  Both of his 3-pointers were critical because Vermont had closed to within 2 points twice, once in each half.  Each time, Jared answered with a 3 to move the Duke lead back to 5.  Scheyer remembered, “The one, I think they cut it to two and he hit the three to go up five, and that was maybe the biggest shot of the game, and he’s not fazed by it. He’s not fazed by anything.”

(2) Jaylen Blakes (8:26) was injected into the lineup to infuse energy.  He did that with 3 superb steals.  The first produced his only 2 points on a breakaway layup.  Jaylen seemed to lose the dribble on the other two steals after he seemed headed to uncontested layups.  One lost dribble was a turnover; on the other, Jaylen committed a foul trying to retrieve his turnover.  He is going to be Caleb’s replacement to spell Duke’s 3 backcourt starters.  He has to play better if he is to be valuable, but his energy shows his potential.

(13) Sean Stewart (4:52) scored a point (1-2 from the stripe) and contributed a rebound in his brief time on the court.  Scheyer was playing his starters all the way.

(15) Ryan Young (2:29) scored a point (1-2 from the stripe) in his time on the court spelling Flip. It was a short time because Flip was playing so well and committed only 2 fouls. 


NCAA SECOND ROUND

Duke “Blue Devils” 93 v James Madison “Dukes” 55 at Barclay Center, Brooklyn, N.Y. on Sunday, March 24, 2024
The Brotherhood gathers as Captain slaps up the Sweet 16 bracket
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
Bill’s CliffsNotes: 

Duke played a game like their fans had been waiting to see the entire season. You could sense this coming.  JMU had an outstanding win against favored Wisconsin, and it is difficult to duplicate two successive upset games in the NCAA Tournament. The ACC teams recruit hard in the region —and get the best players. Duke has recruited a few, and they have played against (and beaten) most of the JMU players in high school or AAU teams, who are, pardon the expression, leftovers in the recruiting wars. 

So, essentially, this was a trap game for JMU.  Duke was undoubtedly forewarned and primed by their coaches. You could see teamwork developing in the game against Vermont.  You knew that McCain was working his way to shooting and playing like an upperclassman—maybe not 9 threes, but something like it.  Listen to Kentucky Coach Calipari explain – after another first round loss – how difficult it is to get young players to play against grown, experienced men at tournament time.

Credit the Duke coaches for the continued support and encouragement of their charges, to work together and play even one game like this, and hope it is a springboard to similar efforts.  After this game, the Blue Devils won’t sneak up on any team.

The leader of Duke’s impressive defense
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
ALANALYSIS

Duke played its best game of the year (so far) in beating JMU by a whopping 37 points.  JMU did not have the lead for a single second in this game.  The Blue Devils led by double figures after just 7 minutes had elapsed (18-8), had increased their lead to 21 points (40-19) with 4 minutes left in the first half and closed out the opening period with a 22 point lead 47-25.  That’s just an old fashioned blow out!

Duke started on fire and simply crushed JMU’s spirit and competitive juices. Jared scored 22 first-half points (7-11 from the field, including a preposterous 6-8 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the stripe).  JJ Redick would have approved.  Duke shot 50% from the field (17-34) and shared the ball brilliantly, with 11 assists on 17 made field goals.  It was a first half for the ages, considering this was a game where the winner gained the Sweet Sixteen.

Duke fans were beyond delighted when the Blue Devils did not sit on their huge lead.  Instead, Duke continued to torch helpless JMU, extending the Blue Devil lead to 29 after only 3:17 of the second half had elapsed.  Duke’s lead never shrank below 22, and hit the 30 point mark after a bit more than 11 minutes of the second half had gone by (76-46 with 8:49 remaining in the game).  The lead stretched to 37 with a little over 3 minutes left in the game when Scheyer mercifully called off the dogs and put the practice players into the game.

Not just sitting on their huge lead
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Competitiveness

Duke remembered getting physically whipped last year in the second round by Tennessee, and it left a motivating taste in the collective Blue Devil mouth.  Scheyer: “Our guys came out with such a great competitiveness, and they were obviously ready to play.  Not just ready to play.  You have to be ready to compete in these games, and everybody that was on the floor I felt had that.”

Flip: “I think that just added a little bit more fire to us, to the returning guys, and we knew it was going to be a similar type of game.  I think we learned our lesson playing last year.  We didn’t want to repeat that at all.”

Jared: “I was watching that game last year, so we’ve been talking about all year how in the Tournament, people get more physical and just try to punk you, and we were not going to let that happen.  I wanted to win for all these guys, especially after what happened last year.”  

The Defense

The high scoring JMU (average 83.2 ppg) were held to 55 points (25 in the first half that decided the game).  The Blue Devils limited JMU to 38% shooting, including 22% from deep (4-18), including 17% in the first half from behind the arc (1-6).  Duke forced 14 JMU turnovers and scored 24 points off the turnovers.  JMU scored 4 points off Duke’s 6 turnovers.  The guards – Jeremy, Jared, and Tyrese prevented JMU penetration while Flip, Mark, Ryan and Sean defended the rim.

The bench also played tough defense.  Jaylen Blakes made 3 great steals (unfortunately, while one produced a layup, the other two produced a turnover and a Blakes foul).  Sean Stewart and Ryan Young were stalwart when spelling Flip and Mark.  

Flip: “Watching the game against Wisconsin, they [JMU] had 14 of their first 17 points off of turnovers and in transition, so just not letting them get in the flow early on in the game [was our goal].  Just we won that game a lot with our defense, and I know we had guys that were on fire tonight, too. 

The unstoppable Filipowski scores close-in
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Offense

Coach Scheyer talked about the two consecutive losses prior to the NCAA tournament.  “For us, our defense was actually pretty good, but our offense hurt our defense in both games that we lost. And so, for us, we just spend more time working on what’s next … You’re not going to score 93 points every game, but I do think our offense was a lot better in these two games. And then just getting back to how you need each other. I thought we had great connectivity and great practice habits.” 

The Blue Devils’ balanced scoring was impressive.  Duke scored 47 first-half points and 46 in the closing stanza (where practice players were on the court for more than 3 minutes).  The Duke passing was simply magic.  The beauty of the Duke long range game was the way the ball moved before the wide open shot.  The ball was passed until a Duke player had a good look; then the ball kept moving until one of the sharpshooters was so wide open that there was no JMU player in the picture. Duke shot 50% from behind the arc.  Duke handed out an amazing 22 assists on 33 made field goals.

Duke’s 3 guards – McCain (30), Roach (15), and  Proctor (18) – and Flip (14) scored 77 of the Blue Devil’s 93 points.  Mark played well, but scored only 2 points (1-6).  Jaylen Blakes (2), Sean Stewart (5), Ryan Young (3), T.J. Power (3), and Spencer Hubbard (1) added the remaining 14 points.  

McCain solidified his role as a media star with his performance on NCAA Tournament television.  His smile is infectious.  

Shiny nails make for a deadly 3-point shot
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

(3) Jeremy Roach (34:22) The senior co-captain scored 15 points (5-8 from the field, including 1-2 from deep, plus 4-4 from the foul line) to go with 6 assists, 2 steals, and a blocked shot.  He led the scoring in the second half with 11 of his 15 points.  He was again Duke’s leading scorer in the closing stanza.

Early in the game, Jeremy injured the fingers on his left hand and was in obvious pain.  He was taped and did not let the injury bother his performance. He leads by example.

(25) Mark Mitchell (31:54) scored only 2 points. (1-6 from the field, without a 3-point attempt or foul shot).  Mark played a superb all around floor game.  He defended well, handed out 4 assists without a turnover, grabbed 5 boards, and had 3 steals and a blocked shot.  Mark is valuable even when he doesn’t score, which is why he logged the second most  playing time of all Duke players in this game.

(5) Tyrese Proctor (30:55). Tyrese played superbly on both ends of the floor, with excellent defense, while scoring 18 points (7-15 from the field, including 4-10 from behind the arc, plus 0-1 from the stripe) to go with 3 boards, 5 assists, and a turnover.  Duke’s backcourt played its best game of the year.  Excellent time to do so.

(0) Jared McCain (30:31) became a national media star in this game with his ever-present fan-  winning smile, not to mention his painted nail polished (in multiple Duke colors) fingernails.  He sank his first 6, 3-point attempts, leaving the announcers breathless.  He scored 30 points (22 in the first half) to lead the Blue Devils (10-15 from the field, including 8-11 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the stripe).   He added 5 rebounds, an assist and a steal without a turnover.  

30) Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (21:21) played a great game, but had his playing time limited by his foul trouble (again).  He committed 2 in the first half, and his fourth with 10:55 remaining in the game.  Nevertheless, Flip was THE guy who made the defense effective and delivered for the offense when he was on the floor.  Flip scored 14 points (6-8 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land, plus 2-3 from the foul line.  Flip grabbed 5 rebounds, handed out 4 assists, made 2 steals and blocked a shot, while committing 3 of Duke’s only 6 turnovers.

(13) Sean Stewart (15:18)  excelled off the bench, providing surprisingly strong support in every facet of the game.  Sean scored 5 points (2-2 from the field, plus 1-2 from the foul line) and contributed 6 rebounds, 2 assists, and a steal.  Sean had a turnover, but that did not take away from his valuable effort.

(15) Ryan Young (14:50) also provided strong bench support, although he committed 4 fouls while he did it.  Ryan scored 3 points (1-2 from the field and the stripe).  Ryan grabbed 6 rebounds, had a steal and a blocked shot.  One turnover.  Valuable.

(12) T.J. Power (8:29) scored 3 points (1-4 from the field, including 1-3 from deep) to go with 2 boards, a steal, and a blocked shot.  Not bad for just a little over 8 minutes.

(2) Jaylen Blakes (5:16) scored 2 points, but was injured after he made a steal and drove for a layup.  He was fouled (called a flagrant one) and landed in such awkward fashion that a hush descended on the arena.  Jaylen could not continue playing but, after a while was he at least able to walk to the locker room.  We will be forced to wait for a bit before learning if Jaylen was badly injured.   

(55) Spencer Hubbard (3:32) played more than usual because of Duke’s gigantic lead.  He missed his only shot from the field, but was 1-2 from the stripe to score.  His teammates made sure he was dribbling the ball as the game ended, with defeaning fan applause.  A damned good moment to be standing on the court as a player in a Duke uniform.


An excruciating moment. Photo Credit: Ethan Hyman | News & Observer

The Sweet Sixteen

In the Sweet 16, Duke will face the Houston Cougars (seeded # 1 in the South Region) on Friday, March 29 at 9:39 in Dallas Texas – to be televised on CBS.  The Cougars survived in overtime against Texas A & M. Houston has achieved top rating twice during the season and has been projected as a number 1 seed by the ubiquitous Joe Lunardi throughout the year.  It should be a close thrilling game.

NEXT PLAY: Sweet 16 game vs. Houston Cougars in Dallas, Texas on Friday, March 29, 2024 at 9:39 pm.  CBS.

Duke Basketball Playbook 2022-2023


I WANT TO READ ABOUT THE MOST RECENT GAME

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) (Season 14 Issue Zero)

Pre-Season Edition
“This is my team,” Jeremy Roach takes up the mantle of team captain in his junior season. 
Photo credit: Alyssa Ting | The Chronicle 

Last season’s DBP ended with:

Next Year – Going Out With Coach K or Hanging In With Coach Scheyer?

“This week, when I asked Bill whether he wanted to go out with Coach K, or do the DBP next year, he said he wasn’t ready to decide.  For me, it’s been a 13-year joy to work with Bill (and now Jeanne and Laramie – go to dukebasketballplaybook.com for our history in a single page).  It wouldn’t be the same without him.

“So to all you Tinkerbell fans out there, do you believe Bill will return with Cliffsnotes next season??”

BILL RETURNS!!!

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Jon Scheyer is one of my favorite Duke players. Because of his legendary scoring in his high school career, he entered college dubbed by the press as “Jewish Jordan” and was graduated as an accomplished point guard, whose heady all-round skills helped Duke win the 2010 NCAA Championship. Whom, of all Duke players ever, would you want on the line to ice a game (Laettner, J.J. Redick, & Scheyer)? It is no surprise that Coach K selected Jon from amongst all his ex-players to be his replacement. He is smart and handles pressure well. I expect Coach Scheyer will continue to recruit the right players and put competitors on the floor who mirror his traits as a player.

This team appears to shoot free throws and the three better than some recent squads (both were Scheyer attributes).  

ALANALYSIS

There may never have been a season like this in the history of Duke basketball.  Coach K had already been Duke’s head coach for five years and been to the NCAA Championship game before new coach Jon Scheyer was born (August 24, 1987).  

You get insight into Scheyer from his high school decision and career.  Scheyer refused to transfer from his small high school to a basketball powerhouse high school.  Little Glendale North in the Chicago suburbs relied on his scoring.  (He once scored 21 points in 73 seconds in the State Championship game).  At Duke, Scheyer transformed into the multitalented point guard (quarterback) of the 2010 National championship team.

The 2022-2023 Blue Devils have exactly one returning player who played significant minutes during the 2021-2022 season, junior Jeremy Roach.  Also returning is Jaylen Blakes, a backup sophomore point guard who averaged only 0.5 assists per game in his mop-up 4.5 minutes per game (93 minutes total) last season.

On the other hand, Duke has the top-ranked incoming freshman class, as well as four graduate transfers for experience and depth.  The freshmen are so highly regarded that Duke, with a new coach and only one returning veteran, is ranked 7th in the pre-season polls.  

Here is what we have to chew on so far as we draw closer to the season opener on Monday, November 7 against Jacksonville.  Countdown to Craziness (October 21, 2022) featured a 16-minute intra-squad scrimmage that was great to watch, but less than informative.  On October 29, the Blue Devils flew to Houston for a controlled scrimmage against the Houston Cougars (ranked 3rd in pre-season polls), which was not televised or broadcast.  No box score was disseminated, but word of mouth was the currency of the sports writers.  Finally, on November 2, 2022, the young Blue Devils faced off in a televised exhibition game against Fayetteville State (Div. II).  

Duke’s pre-season has been so far without Dariq Whitehead and Derek Lively, who are rated as the two highest ranked freshmen in the country this season.  Whitehead broke his foot early in the pre-season and is still in a boot, weeks away from returning.  I have watched him a couple of times and am very impressed.   [Here is what I wrote about him last year after the Nike Summit game: “6’6” listed as a small forward.  He is my new favorite player in the world!  He is a tenacious and aggressive defender (and showed it in the all-star game!!!).  He has an outstanding handle, using it to penetrate and dish … when he wasn’t drilling jump shots from deep and mid-range.  He scored 17 points (5-7 from behind the arc)”]  Duke has announced that Whitehead has grown to 6’8” and that Kyle Fillipowski has reached 7’0”.

Lively’s playing condition will be evaluated each morning and the staff isn’t predicting when he will be cleared to play.  There is much speculation that Lively will play on Monday against Jacksonville.

Duke v Fayetteville State on November 2, 2022

The Blue Devils started grad transfer Ryan Young (from Northwestern) at center, freshmen Kyle Fillipowski and Mark Mitchell at forward, with junior Jeremy Roach and freshman Tyrese Proctor in the backcourt.  The two reserves who played starter minutes were grad transfer (from Illinois) Jacob Grandison and returning sophomore Jaylen Blakes.  The first half was more informative than the sloppier second half (with many players on the court who I predict will not be part of the rotation when the fat is on the fire).  Duke led 50-22 at half.  Jeremy led in minutes played with 16; Mitchell and Proctor played 14.5 minutes; Young played 13 minutes; Fillipowski 12.5; and Grandison almost 12.  

The perimeter defense was amazingly good for this early in the season and is my most positive take away from the pre-season.  Fayetteville State was held to 22 points in the first half and 23 in the final stanza. We know Roach can defend and will run the team (8 assists against a single turnover).  Jeremy will be Duke’s most important player (especially if he can perform at the point as his coach did in 2010).  

Proctor, who turned 18 last April, is worth analysis.  He has been a star on the Australian Under-21 team and played on the World team in the Nike Summit last year (Whitehead, Lively and Fillipowski were on the American team in that game).  Proctor is 6’ 5” and a lightning quick one-on-one defender.  Mark Mitchell (6’8” power forward) was a star on offense, whose defense looked as good as Proctor’s.  Mitchell is Proctor’s equal for speed, and he is a scorer as well (he led Duke’s first-half scoring with 13 points on 4-6 from the floor, including 0-1 from deep; and 5-5 from the stripe).  Add Whitehead and Lively, and this could be the starting five.

Scheyer played two Bigs at times (Young and Fillipowski) and sometimes a faster team with just one big (briefly it was Mark Mitchell).  Duke’s substantial size advantage limits analysis.  Young had 10 first-half points (12 for the game). Kyle hit one 3, had a two-handed slam and 4 boards.  He is very smooth for 6’ 11”.  Both will play substantial minutes.

Jacob Grandison shot 41% from deep last season for Illinois, and he kept it up last night, leading Duke in scoring with 17 (6-9 from the field including 3-6 from deep and 2-2 from the line).  Against Fayetteville, Jacob  scored 10 in the first half on deep shots and attacking the basket. I predict he will play a lot!

Jaylen Blakes got a long run in the second half after an impressive first half.  He is fast and hustles every second.  Whether he gets big minutes during the season will depend on how he looks when he gets opportunities (and how the other backcourt players perform).  Scheyer is evaluating to see if Jaylen merits inclusion in the rotation.

Duke was 11-11 shooting foul shots!  Indeed, the only troubling statistic is that Duke gave up 9 offensive rebounds to Fayetteville State in the first half (14 for the game).  Scheyer mentioned the need to improve rebounding in his post-game press conference.

Duke’s “Closed Scrimmage” Against the Houston Cougars on October 29

Because Houston is expected to be a powerhouse this season (ranked #3 pre-season), the scrimmage is a better test of where the young Blue Devils are in team development.  A recent development from the NCAA, the “closed scrimmage” has no television cameras or fans; just the statistics released to the press.  Duke, using essentially the same rotation as in the exhibition game, was beaten rather soundly, 61-50, while shooting poorly (15 for 41, including 2-17 from 3land).  Ryan Young was 3-3 and Mark Mitchell 3-4 from the field, which means the remaining Blue Devils were 9-34.  A good reminder for this young team not to be mesmerized by its press clippings.

Season Starts

Jacksonville, followed by USC Upstate on Friday, November 11.  The first real test will come on Tuesday, November 15 against Kansas in Indianapolis in the State Farm Champions Classic.  

Other November highlights include the Phil Knight Legacy in Portland Oregon (first round on Thanksgiving: Oregon State; second round on Friday versus the winner of Florida v Xavier, and the finals on Sunday) followed by a visit to Cameron Indoor Stadium by Ohio State in the ACC-Big 10 challenge on November 30.  Should be a fun and informative month! ….stay tuned

Next Play:  Jon Scheyer’s First Game as Duke’s official head coach on November 7 versus Jacksonville!!!

Here we go! Jon Scheyer’s first season as head coach.
Photo credit: Samantha Owusu | The Chronicle 
Duke Basketball standing roster for 2022-2023 (pre transfers/additions) 
Photo credit: @Duke_Recruiting

Duke 71 v. Jacksonville 44 (Season 14; Issue 1) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”(November 7, 2022)

Roach & Scheyer: Running the team, from court and bench. 
Photo Credit: Nat LeDonne / Duke Athletics
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Head Coach Jon Scheyer: “I just took a moment before going out there. What an opportunity, what a moment. This is a place I’ve grown up in, playing, coaching, and to be here as a head coach, I was not going to be anywhere other than this moment right now. And hopefully I can do that, going forward through the ups and downs. But for me tonight, that was my main focus.”  

And an impressive 71-44 debut it was with his young team dominating Jacksonville from the very first alley-oop slam dunk by an impressive Mark Mitchell.

To the best of my memory, the only thing I recollect about Jacksonville University’s basketball team was when Artis Gilmore led them to the 1970 finals of the NCAA Tournament at Maryland’s Cole Field House where they lost to favored UCLA 80-69. I happened to be sitting behind the UCLA bench at that game, and the Bruins two All-American forwards, Sidney Wicks and Curtis Rowe, had their hands full with Gilmore. Coach Wooden just kept a tight grip on his rolled-up program and gave a “what me worry, you guys are playing him, figure out how to neutralize this guy” look at his over-matched stars before finally calling a timeout, calming them down, and employing a full court press that made it difficult for the Jacksonville guards to get the ball to their 7’1’’ star. 

Fortunately, there was no Artis Gilmore on this Jacksonville team. He was one of only a few players who could have saved the Dolphins tonight in an impressive debut of Scheyer’s young squad.

Jeremy Roach, the sole returning starter from last year’s Final Four team is the only captain, and the acknowledged leader, of this Duke team. He demonstrated as much tonight. However, Duke was not at full strength.  Dariq Whitehead and Dereck Lively, the two most highly rated freshmen, are injured and did not play but are expected to do so shortly. 

The rest of the players all had their moments, none more than Mark Mitchell as a virtual Swiss Army Knife player who does a lot of things and does them very well. Seven foot Kyle Filipowski, who just turned 19 yesterday, played to his height and more;  Graduate transfer center Ryan Young, while not as impressive athletically,has a more sophisticated understanding of post play which should become beneficial to the big men. Ryan scored 12 points, finishing 6-of-6 from the field with seven rebounds, six offensive.  Kyle scored 10 with 12 rebounds.  Sophomore Jaylen Blakes has made a giant leap in skill level from last year and, more importantly, clearly has the coaches confidence as a ‘pit bull competitor’.

The entire team seems to accept that it is DEFENSE FIRST philosophy. Time will tell how this team progresses, but it was a most impressive start.

Miscellaneous Notes:

Johnny Tar Heel thinks that Duke was more impressive tonight than North Carolina was in beating N.C. Wilmington. Duke is now 91-27 all-time in season openers, having won 22 consecutive. In season openers that occur at home, Duke has won 30 consecutive times.

Duke new head coach, who made his head coaching debut, is the 20th head coach in  Duke’s history. 

ALANALYSIS:

The Jon Scheyer-era opened as expected, with Duke’s superior athletes overwhelming Jacksonville, but the Blue Devils were still sufficiently tested,  considering the new coach and 11 new players.  However, it is worth noting that Duke’s two most heralded freshmen, Derek Lively and Dariq Whitehead, are still injured and did not play.  Scheyer said at the post-game press conference that each would be available “sooner rather than later.” We will know more about this team when the Blue Devils journey to Indianapolis on November 15 to play Kansas.   Here is what we learned from the opener:

STARTING LINEUP

Duke started the same five as in the controlled scrimmage against Houston and as in the exhibition game against Fayetteville State: Ryan Young (grad transfer from Northwestern) and freshman 7-footer Kyle Fillipowski in the front court, with team captain Jeremy Roach and Australian freshman Tyrese Proctor at guard.  6’8” Freshman Mark Mitchell was a revelation both on the wing and in the interior.

ROTATION

Duke essentially played only 7 players; five others made brief cameos at garbage time (Duke led by 25 with just a couple of minutes left to play).  The two reserves who played almost starter minutes were Jacob Grandison (grad transfer from Illinois) and returning sophomore Jaylen Blakes.  Interestingly, Duke had the best production when there was only one freshman on the court (either Mitchell or Fillipowski).  That freshman was on the floor with grad transfers Young and Grandison, plus Roach and Blakes (the only two returning players from last year).

Jaden Schutt, a freshman, played 3 minutes in mop-up time, without scoring.  The big news for me, unmentioned by the announcers, was the 2:03 minute appearance by Christian Reeves, a 7-foot freshman.  Reeves had been scheduled to redshirt this year, but… apparently not.  In the past, he would have automatically lost a year of eligibility when he entered the game. Note however: the NCAA rule may be changing to allow the redshirt later in the year (NCAA already made that the football rule). The decision to play Reeves may have been a result of his excellent play in the 16-minute intra-squad scrimmage at Countdown to Craziness.

THE DEFENSE

It is hard to find fault with a defense that allows only  44 points in the entire game, and truly only about 12 points in the second half.  With 7:21 left in the game, Jacksonville had scored only 10 second-half points.  Jacksonville finally earned points # 11 and 12 with less than 1:51 left (before Jacksonville scored 6 points during the remaining garbage time).   

Duke simply played excellent defense based on outstanding hustle and admirable effort.  Proctor, Roach, Blakes, and Mitchell were glue on the perimeter.   Duke looked out of sync and a bit slow in the first half while attempting to defend ball screens and drives and control Jacksonville’s offensive rebounding. The Blue Devil halftime adjustments, however, completely destroyed Jacksonville’s offense.  The Bigs took control of the backboards in the closing stanza. Great coaching!  

THE OFFENSE

Ball movement and good passing were keys to the Blue Devils’ efficient offense.  Scheyer, I think you see that on the court, the way we shared the ball. We ended up with 12 turnovers, but we had 19 assists.”   Duke was 10-29 from deep but Grandison, Proctor and Schutt were 0-9.  The starters and Blakes were 10-20 (Roach 4-7; Mitchell 2-5; Fillipowski 2-5; and Blakes 2-3). 4-10 from the two Bigs, Fillipowski and Mitchell, is encouraging. Duke was really 10-20 (50%) which is  great distance shooting.  The three who were 0-9, dragging the  percentage down are really good shooters, so it wasn’t as bad as it seemed. Duke led by 29 with 2:03 to go (67-41).  

In the first half, Jacksonville had cut the lead to 3 (25-22) with 6:42 to play when Roach and Mitchell led Duke on a 10-0 run to its 42-26 halftime lead. Mitchell (11), Roach (16) and Blakes (6) scored 35 of Duke’s 42 first-half points.

Here are the relevant statistics:

  • Roach (31:56), scored all of his 16 points in the first half on 6-of-7 shooting, including 4-of-7 from three-point range. This was a tie for his third highest-scoring career game (19 points is Jeremy’s career high). He was 0-1 from the foul line, and 0-3 with 0 points in the second half.  However, while Duke needs Roach to be a scoring threat, that is not his most important value.  Scheyer, “Jeremy Roach really set the tone for us. That’s what we need him to do all year long. … Overall though, Jeremy just had a great floor game. Forget about the scoring and the passing. I just thought his presence and his poise were really key for us tonight.” 
  • Ryan Young (31:54), 12 on 6-6, 0-1 stripe; 7 boards (5 offense), 3 steals, 2 assists, and 2 turnovers.  He has been a hustling force on the interior and (for me, anyway) a pleasant surprise so far.
  • Mark Mitchell (29:34), 18 on 7-14 including 2-5 from deep and 2-2 from the stripe. 2 assists, a steal, and a block, with 0 turnovers.  11 in the first half on 5-10 including 0-1 from deep plus  1-1 from the stripe.  He has been the eye-opening surprise of the early going on both ends of the floor.  He has shown no weaknesses so far.  Mark wears # 25, which is a retired number (Art Heyman’s number).  Heyman was a freshman when I was a senior and was the first overall NBA draft choice after he graduated in 1963. Mitchell obtained permission from the Heyman family to wear it.
  • Kyle Fillipowski (25:29), Coach Scheyer, “we’ve emphasized, defend and rebound. And I thought he was a great example of that tonight. He started off probably missing a few shots he normally would hit, and he just stuck with it and made some big-time rebounds. And a couple of them translated into easy baskets on the other end.”  Kyle became only the fourth Duke freshman ever to record a double-double in a season opener — 12 boards, 10 points 4-8, including 2-5 from deep, 0-0 from the line.  2 blocks, 3 assists, but 3 turnovers.
  • Tyrese Proctor (25:35), 2 points – 0-8 including 0-4 (2-2 from the stripe); 4 boards, 2 assists, and 2 turnovers, plus a steal.  He is a good shooter; this was just an off shooting night for him.  He never let his bad shooting impact his defense or ball handling.  I predict he will be a scorer for the Devils this season.
  • Jacob Grandison (24:26), 2 on 1-4, including 0-3 from deep.  Grandison shot 41% from behind the arc last year for the Fightin’ Illini.  As with Proctor, this was a good shooter having a bad night.
  • Jaylen Blakes (21:18), 8 points on 2-3 from deep in the first half and 2-4 from the stripe in the second half, to go with 3 boards, an assist, and a turnover.  Jaylen has displayed great quickness and hustle in his bid for inclusion in the rotation.  Monday was a good step forward.

GOING FORWARD

Duke’s next critical challenge will be to establish Derek Lively and Dariq Whitehead in the rotation and in the starting lineup.  Be patient, this will take some time.  Lively may indeed play on Friday and will almost certainly be ready for Kansas.  It would be desirable for Lively to have at least some court time prior to Kansas on November 15.  Whitehead (and Lively) were each dancing up a storm at Countdown to Craziness, so cannot be that far from playing.   Personally, I am eager to see Whitehead and compare to his high school all-star performance that so captivated me last year.

Kansas is the first game we evaluate Duke against a national contender.  Then, over Thanksgiving the Blue Devils will play 3 games against Big Time opponents in Portland (Phil Knight Classic) followed by hosting Ohio State in the ACC-Big 10 Challenge.  What a great November!

Mark Mitchell ferociously drives for a score.
Photo Credit: Nat LeDonne / Duke Athletics

Next Play:  USC Upstate on Friday, November 11 in Cameron at 6:30 p.m.   ACCN.


Duke 84 v. USC UpState 38 (Season 14; Issue 2) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (November 11, 2022)

Lively makes an emphatic return to the Court 
Photo Credit: Nat LeDonne / Duke Athletics
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

I don’t know what you can really tell from early basketball games. Stetson beat Florida State; College of Charleston gave # 1 UNC more than the ‘Heels could handle for about 32 minutes; Duke clobbered both Jacksonville and USC Upstate. 

Even later in the year a great game is no guarantee of a deep tournament run..  After Duke rather easily beat UNC at Chapel Hill, not many people thought Carolina would not only beat Duke, but also barely be beaten in the NCAA championship game.

It is a shame that we don’t get to see the young players mature.  Surely, they would benefit from physical and mental maturation that comes with a few more years of college.  Had Laetner left after his freshman year, Duke would never have won two NCAA championships – and never known the joys of “THE SHOT” of a lifetime!  Laetner himself would never have played in the Olympics on the Dream Team.  Grant Hill would never have had the thrill of the pass that led to “THE SHOT”.  Hurley would never have had the satisfaction of beating UNLV in 1991 after having been humiliated in 1990 by 30 points.

But I digress. Duke, as usual, shows promise –perhaps the deepest talent of any team since the 1991-92. I know what I like to see in young players – smart playmakers who know when their team needs someone to make a play, and then makes it.  So far, that is Roach and Mitchell, perhaps Lively and Grandison, and the most improved player, Blakes. We have not yet seen Whitehead, the much ballyhooed freshman. 7-foot Fillipowski is talented but needs to get stronger. Grad transfer Young can teach the other centers about post moves.  Only Proctor has not shown much as a shooting guard, but he has a good resume.

Don Henson, my old tennis coach, told me early on that there were 3 levels of shotmaking – in practice, in a match, and on a big point.  The same is applicable to basketball.

Somehow I feel that Scheyer’s biggest coaching challenge will be deciding who to play with whom – and when.  

ALANALYSIS:

It is hard to get an accurate read on this year’s edition of the Blue Devils because in each game (an exhibition and two regular season games, so far) Duke’s athletes have been simply bigger, faster, quicker, and measurably better than the players on the other team.  The first meaningful evaluation will come on Tuesday, November 15 (the day after tomorrow) when Duke meets 5th ranked Kansas (the 2021-2022 National Champions) in the State Farm Classic in Indianapolis.  This should pit two teams full of talented players seeking a big early season win, and supply that realistic evaluation we have been seeking. 

Derek Lively II

I thought the most meaningful event in Duke’s slaughter (84-38) of the University of South Carolina Upstate was the first appearance of Derek Lively II, the 7’1” freshman who was rated #1 in the class coming out of high school.  Derek hurt his calf in an early practice this season, causing him to miss the scrimmage at Countdown to Craziness, the closed scrimmage against Houston, the exhibition game against Fayetteville State, as well as both regular season games.  Even though Derek appeared far from his best form, his return to the court is very good news for the 2022-23 Blue Devils.  In almost 15 minutes, Derek scored 4 points on a pair of dramatic dunks, while grabbing two boards, and blocking two Upstate shots (the only Duke player with more than a single block), while also making a steal.  Coach Scheyer said, “His biggest thing is just getting back in game shape. You know, he has a live body. Got those dunks running the floor. That’s something he can really do, and it allows us to play very fast. He [Derek] and Ryan [Young], they can also play together. They’re a heck of a one-two punch with both of those guys in the game. They play differently but they complement each other very well. And I think that going against each other has made them each better, and ready to contribute in a big way.”   

Derek made his first appearance of the season with 15:39 remaining in the first half and played for approximately 4 minutes before a respite.  Duke was fighting back from a 7-0 opening deficit and Lively delivered immediately with an opening splash.  The Blue Devils still trailed 7-5 when Derek set a screen for Roach, and then rolled to the basket where Jeremy hit him for a powerful dunk to tie the game.  On virtually the next play, Derek released his defensive position and sped down court where Roach made a perfect pass  to Derek for another power slam and a 9-7 lead.  Derek impressed with a steal and some good quick defense.  He returned to the game for another 3 minutes from 7:40 to go until 4:43 left in the first half, getting 2 blocks — one without leaving his feet!

At one point, Duke had 3 freshmen on the court up front (Lively at 7’1”, 7’ 0” Fillipowski, and 6’8” Mark Mitchell) with Roach and Blakes in the backcourt.  The announcers said that lineup would be the 8th biggest starting team lineup in the NBA.  Derek was back in the game with 2:04 to go in the first half. He corralled a rebound, but at 55 seconds before halftime, Lively got tangled up on a subsequent rebound attempt and came up gimpy.  That was a scary moment, as Livelywas removed immediately and did not return in the first half.  In all, he played 8:28 in the first half, scoring 4, on 2-2 shooting (dunks), plus a rebound, a steal, and 2 blocks – but two turnovers.

Happily, Derek returned to play at the 16-minute mark of the final stanza, and played 3:20 (committing one foul), leaving the game with 12:40 left in the half.  Lively re-entered again at 9:31 and grabbed a rebound before committing his second foul and leaving the game for the final time with 6:36 remaining.  He did not look as good in his 6:22 of second-half playing time as he had in the opening period.  When Lively exited the game for the final time, the Blue Devils led 77-34.

The Rotation

Jeremy Roach (25:21) scored 10 points (3-8, including 2-6 from 3land, plus 2-4 from the stripe.  Great floor game included 8 assists (only 2 turnovers), 2 steals, and a block.

Mark Mitchell (23: 38) scored 13 points (6-10, including 1-1 from deep) to go with 7 rebounds, 3 assists, and a steal. Only a single turnover.

Kyle Fillipowski (20:41) led Duke in scoring with 15 points (4-11, including 0-1 from behind the arc, plus 7-8 from the foul line).  Kyle notched his second double double of this 2 game season, adding 10 boards, an assist, two steals and a block. 0 turnovers.

Jaylen Blakes (19:39) scored 6 points (2-4 from the field, including 1-1 from deep, plus 1-2 from the stripe).  Jaylen is firmly in the rotation, playing excellent defense and showing exemplary hustle.  He added 2 boards, 2 steals, and a block without a turnover.

Jacob Grandison (19:33) was a double-figure scorer with 12 (5-9, including 2-6 from 3land).  Jacob added 5 rebounds, 3 steals, and an assist (2 turnovers).

Tyrese Proctor (19:08) is still trying to find a comfort zone.  He is a heralded player, who was anticipated to play well and be a starter, but Tyrese has shot the ball terribly (0-8 in the first game; just 2 points on foul shots).  And only 3 points in this game (1-4, including 0-1 from deep and 1-2 from the stripe). However, he is a very capable defender.  He had 3 assists without a turnover and made a steal.

Ryan Young (17:33) also scored in double figures even though his playing time was slightly reduced from the previous games when Derek Lively had been unavailable.  Ryan scored 11 (4-8 from the field and 3-4 from the stripe) and pulled down 8 boards and blocked a shot.

Derek Lively II, (14:52) scored 4 points on 2-2 (dunks), pulled down 2 rebounds, plus contributed a steal and 2 blocks.  Welcome back, Mr. Lively.

Jaden Schutt (12:33) another freshman, played double-figure minutes for the first time at Duke.  His previous appearances have been unimpressive cameos, but he was better in this game.  Jaden scored 5 points (1-4, including 1-3 from deep and 2-4 from the stripe) to go with 3 rebounds and a block.  However, I doubt he has shown enough yet to be in the rotation.

The Defense

Scheyer sounded pleased with the Duke defense. “We played a good defensive performance, out rebounding them, holding [Jordan] Gainey to five points. He’s a really good player.  I thought Jacob Grandison and Jaylen Blakes’ energy brought defensive intensity. They really sparked us; from there we were off and running. The big thing for us is turning our defense into offense. 

“We’ve spent a lot of time on defense. That has been our main focus, and I think we’re in a good spot. They [USC Upstate] had six assists and 23 turnovers – I thought we were really disruptive. … We have Jaylen Blakes, Jeremy Roach, Mark Mitchell, Tyrese Proctor, and guys that can really defend the ball, and then we have a big frontcourt. We’re learning how to play physical without fouling. I think we have the makings of being a good defensive team.”

Playing excellent defense against USC Upstate and Jacksonville is not the same as trying to contain nationally ranked Kansas.  It will be interesting to evaluate the defense – indeed the team – after the next game.

Next Play:  Kansas on Tuesday, November 15 at the State Farm Classic in Indianapolis at 9:30 p.m. on ESPN.

Roach is Duke’s high flying valuable leader
Photo Credit: Nat LeDonne / Duke Athletics
Mitchel is the biggest pleasant surprise of the season so far.
Photo Credit: Nat LeDonne / Duke Athletics

Duke  v. Kansas (Season 14; Issue 3) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (November 15, 2022)

Tyrese finally plays a superb half!  Duke needs a point guard who can give Jeremy a rest now and then.  If Proctor plays as he did in the second half, he could be it.
Photo credit: GoDuke.com
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

After the first two games of the 2022-23, I wrote: “I don’t know what you can really tell from early season basketball games.” Well, now we can tell that  Duke’s young squad understands they aren’t in high school anymore. The best college teams (Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan State, Gonzaga, North Carolina) play like men, the games are forty minutes long.  and every opponent wants to beat Duke. Unfortunately, the Blue Devils did not play well to start or finish the game, so they lost. But for about the middle thirty minutes the young Duke team gave the veteran Jayhawks all they could handle. The remaining ten minutes were signs of immaturity.

Fillipowski had a third game of double-doubles (17 pts. & 14 rebounds) and showed considerable tenacity and fight; Roach was Roach 3.0; Proctor was more impressive than in the first two games; Mitchell was somewhat neutralized; Lively was not as impactful as expected; Young appeared overwhelmed athletically; Blakes and Grandison were nonfactors.

Defense has been a priority with Duke’s teams for decades. It is somewhat disconcerting that this team could not stop Jaelen Wilson from scoring 25 points and then freshman Gradey Dick from finishing off the game for Kansas in impressive fashion. Time will tell whether or not this young squad learned some painful lessons and matures into a team that is more than the sum of their considerable talents, or whether they are more focused individually upon impressing NBA scouts.  Whatever the case, it will be fun watching this talented group play and develop.

ALANALYSIS:

Predictably, both coach and experienced commentators correctly said and wrote that early season games (even losses) against elite competition is how young teams improve.  Coach Scheyer: “There’s no question that’s the best form of learning. Just being in these moments, there’s no way to simulate it. That doesn’t mean I’m happy or I’m enjoying this loss by any means. You have to hate it and learn from it, grow from it.”  

An in-depth analysis is part of how the experience of playing an elite team helps a young team grow.  

THE DEFENSE

The Blue Devil defense is a work in progress, and it showed, especially in the first half, while Duke tried to adjust to the speed of the Kansas game in contrast to their several past games against less-than-elite opponents.  Mark Mitchell had more trouble than we saw in the first games, as did Jeremy Roach.  I thought the best Blue Devil defenders were Tyrese Proctor and Kyle Fillipowski; each had good success keeping the Kansas player in front and preventing penetration.  They switched seamlessly.

Derek Lively II is still adjusting to playing again.  While he did show flashes of what Duke hopes he will become, the rust was obvious.  Kansas had 21 assists for the game while Duke had 8. The Jayhawks penetrated the Duke defense with skill and enthusiasm.  Still, Duke forced 15 turnovers (many were simply bad Kansas passes), but blocked only 2 shots (0 by the starters).  Ryan is too slow to defend efficiently at this level.  I predict his playing time will shrink as Derek approaches game-shape and gains experience.  These weaknesses are real but need to be considered in concert with some terrific switching and individual defense.  In short, while the weakness against such a good team was real, this edition of the Blue Devils did demonstrate the makings of an excellent defensive team. 

OFFENSE

Duke had only 8 assists, but committed 18 turnovers, a disappointing number of which were indisputably offensive fouls (lowering-the-shoulder charges) on drives. Duke shot just 9% from 3land in the first half (1-11); 14% for the game (3-21).  The second half was very different from the opening stanza, and I believe an in depth look at the closing period is the most revealing evaluation of Duke’s offense in this game.  Both Proctor and Mitchell played well after fruitless first halves (neither scored in the opening stanza), while Fillipowski was close to dominant for long stretches – especially in the second half.

First Half

Jeremy kept Duke in the game, scoring 11 of his 16 points.  Kyle scored 7, Jaylen 5 and Ryan 4.  Derek had the other 2 points for Duke’s 29 first half points.  It was ragged for sure.  Duke had 11 turnovers against 2 assists.  The Jayhawks blocked 7 Duke shots and Duke committed 9 first half fouls (too many charges).  Duke should have been down by far more than 4 points.

Second Half

Four Duke players played almost the entire second half (Mitchell 20:00; Roach 19:37; Proctor 18:50; and Fillipowski 18:38). Ryan Young (8:50) and Lively (10:58) divided the center position.  Young had 2 points, a rebound, and 3 turnovers, while Lively scored 2 points, grabbed a pair of rebounds, blocked a shot, and had an assist.  Duke could not keep up with Kansas when Young was the center (explains why Ryan logged less than 9 second half minutes).  Both Scheyer (“I thought we got tired” in his post-game press conference), and I, believe that Duke’s collapse in the last 4:37 was caused, in part, by Blue Devil fatigue.  

I thought the fatigue really really caught up with Roach especially.  Roach was so great until he wasn’t.  He also played the whole game (minus 23 seconds — he was out for just enough time for Duke to turn the ball over).  Scheyer sent him right back into the game.  Offensive foul at 1:23; missed front end of a 1-and-1 with 48  seconds left.  Tired.

    First 15 Minutes

Scheyer, “I thought our guys showed great heart, great resiliency in that second half to gain the lead. And really made some big-time plays.”  Duke took over the momentum and made the important crucial plays.  Kyle was absolutely dominant (10 points and 9 rebounds), while Proctor (9 points and 3 assists without a turnover) and Mitchell (7 points and 3 boards) combined with Kyle to help Duke forge a 59-54 lead with 4:37 to go. However, “Winning Time” was a pure disaster for the Blue Devils.  Neither Fillipowski, Proctor, Mitchell nor Lively scored in the final 4:37 of the game!

    Final Four Minutes and Thirty Seven Seconds

Duke was outscored 15-5 in this stretch, with Roach scoring all of 5 Duke points – a clutch three-pointer with 2:02 to go, cutting the Kansas lead to one, and a layup with 15  seconds left, cutting the Jayhawk lead to an unfortunately still insurmountable 3 points (67-64).  But with the game on the line, Duke, including Roach, made bad play after bad play to (quoting Jimmy Breslin) “snatch defeat from the jaws of victory”:

4:08 remaining, Kansas scores to cut the Duke lead to 59-56;

3:44 Kyle misses a 3 pointer;

3:02 Roach misses a jump shot;

2:54 Kyle turns it over on a bad pass;

2:28 Mitchell turns it over (a really bad turnover; Duke just died from there on);

2:22 Gradey Dick (Star Kansas freshman) hit a 3 over a less than enthusiastic closeout from Kyle. Moving leisurely, he simply did not get close enough to contest Dick’s shot.  Kansas takes the lead at 61-59;

2:02 Roach’s clutch-answering 3 – Duke regains its last  lead at 62-61;

1:39 Dick makes a backdoor cut that led to a dunk when Proctor got caught watching the ball and losing his man, giving the lead back to Kansas 63-62.  Kansas never trailed again.

1:23 Roach turnover (offensive foul)

1:04 Dick scores on a drive (I think past Proctor) Kansas 65-62;

0:48 Roach misses the crucial front end of a 1 and 1; if he had made them both it would have been back to a 1-point Duke deficit instead of the 3-point deficit;

0:22 Kansas fast break for a layup past a foul by Lively.  Even though Kansas misses the free throw, the Jayhawks then lead 67-62;

0:15 Roach lays one up 67 -64 (but too little; too late, with only 15 ticks left – as Duke was then forced to foul);

0:09 Kansas hits the final 2 free throws for the final 69-64 score.

The Rotation

Duke played 8 men in the first half, but only six in the second half (+ Blakes, who played only 3 late second-half minutes after logging 15 minutes in the first half.  Scheyer believes Blakes is the steal maven, and Duke’s last hope in the game was for Blakes to make a steal or two).

Jeremy Roach (39:37) scored 16 points (6-17, including 1-5 from deep, plus 3-4 from the line.  That miss was crucial – the front end of a 1-and-1 with Duke trailing by 3 with only 48 seconds remaining in the game).  Roach had 5 of his shots blocked and turned the ball over 3 times (including offensive fouls), with only a single assist.  Jeremy acknowledged in the post-game presser how Kansas’s terrific defense contributed to his in-game struggles.  I thought he was ‘plumb tuckered out’ in those last crucial minutes.

Kyle Fillipowski (33:03) had his third double-double in as many games.  He grabbed 14 rebounds while scoring 17 points to lead the Blue Devils in scoring.  He was Duke’s best player against Kansas (6-18 from the field, including 1-6 from behind the arc, and 4-4 from the stripe).  He also showed a welcome aggressiveness. 

Mark Mitchell (30:30) scored 7 points, all in the second half. .   In his 10:30 first-half minutes he took only one shot (0-1) and had trouble acclimating to the speed and tenacity of the Kansas defense.  Then he came alive in the second half, shooting 3-6 from the field, including 1-2 from the stripe.  However, he collected only 2 rebounds, committing 2 fouls and 2 turnovers in the entire game.

Tyrese Proctor (28:09) scored all of his 9 points in the second half, after an 0-2 scoreless first half with 3 turnovers.  He did get (as Jay Bilas recounted) untracked with an excellent second half. Tyrese finally looked like the international star he is. He played 18:09 of the second half (3-7 from the field, including 1-3 from deep and 2-2 from the stripe) to go with 3 assists, without a turnover, and 2 rebounds.

Derek Lively II (20:29) scored 4 points (2-3 from the field) to go with 5 boards (4 were offense), a block, and an assist.  He was clearly not used to the speed of such a high-level game but is slowly returning to form.  Duke needs him to live up to his high school reputation.

Ryan Young (19:37) scored 6 points on 3-4 from the field.  He grabbed 2 boards but committed 4 turnovers.  I thought he was unable to adjust to Kansas’s speed on defense, nor to defend against the Jayhawk drives and post moves.

Jaylen Blakes (18:24, but only 3:07 in the second half) scored 5 points, all in the first half (1-5 from the field including 0-2 from behind the arc and 3-3 from the stripe).  He had 3 boards but seemed almost too excited to be effective.

Jacob Grandison (10:11, all in the first half) didn’t score (0-4, including 0-3 from 3land) to go with a rebound and a turnover.  His absence on the floor in the second half was significant. Grandison obviously played so poorly in the first half that Scheyer lost confidence in him for the second half.  As a result, four starters played virtually the entire second half.  (Blakes came in at the end when Duke desperately needed steals — only for 3 minutes).  Duke’s lack of a bench in the closing period contributed to the exhaustion of the team at “winning time”.

SUMMING UP

Optimistic news: Dariq Whitehead was in uniform and in the pregame layup drill line.  He will not play against Delaware on Friday but might see his first action next Monday (November 21) against Bellarmine in Cameron.  

Duke gets another opportunity to play against elite competition in the Phil Knight Legacy in Portland, OR –  on Thanksgiving at 3 pm against Oregon State, followed by a Friday (November 25) game against the winner of the 1st round Florida v Xavier.  The tournament championship game on Sunday (should Duke win twice and qualify) could be against Gonzaga.  All good games for in-depth evaluation and for Duke to demonstrate major improvement.

Next Play:  Delaware on Friday, November 18 in Cameron Indoor Stadium at 7:00 p.m. on TV RSN.

Jeremy drives to the basket for either a spectacular layup or an offensive foul.
Photo Credit: ACC Network
Kyle was simply dominant on both ends of the court. Photo Credit: Getty Images

Duke 92 v. Delaware 58 (Season 14; Issue 4) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Tyrese settling in
Photo credit: GoDuke.com
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

After playing the perennial powerhouse Kansas, how do you take a game against a team named the Blue Hens seriously? Well, they are actually a well-coached team, which Duke found out in the minutes before the half when their lead was cut to 6 points. The second half the Blue Devils talent, depth, and size reasserted itself.

It was the first game Duke had all of their players available as both Lively and Whitehead were in, although not ready to display their “A” games. That’s expected, of course, given  their health. Whitehead finished with six points on 3-of-11 shooting in 15 minutes. He didn’t commit any turnovers. “I feel great,” Whitehead said. “I just feel like I need to get another game to get it back going with game speed, game repetition, stuff like that. But body wise I feel great.” Lively played just 15 minutes before fouling out. In addition, tying for the team lead with four assists, he scored five points and grabbed two rebounds. He also played a turnover-free game.

Duke fans should be prepared to be patient while the young players get healthy, mature, and get used to playing together, cohesively, against older players. They are not in high school anymore.

The success of this team will also depend on Coach Scheyer making the correct decisions regarding  which players to play—and when.

ALANALYSIS:

The most significant takeaway from Duke’s game against the Delaware Blue Hens is that Dariq Whitehead played in his first game since he broke his foot in August. He logged more than 15 minutes, and Scheyer smiled in the post game press conference noting that the team fed Dariq as if they were welcoming him back; he actually hoisted up the second most shots – 11 attempts.  His skill and physical gifts were obvious, even if he was, as expected, a bit rusty.

The second most significant takeaway was Duke’s potential backup point guards, Tyrese Proctor and Jaylen Blakes, playing terrific games, giving Coach Scheyer and Duke fans a hope that Jeremy Roach won’t have to play every minute in every game against elite competition.

Duke got some of its mojo back after the disappointing last 4:37 in the loss to Kansas!

The Defense

The last half of the opening period was not good news for the Blue Devil defense. In the last 9:30 of the first half, Delaware scored 20 points (that’s a rate of over 100 points per game) to Duke’s 13. With 5:38 left in the first half, Duke had been playing well and led by 13 (35-22). Suddenly, Duke stopped defending, and Delaware started scoring in bunches. With 3:02 left in the half, the Blue Hens trailed by only 5 points, having outscored Duke 11-3 in 2:36.  Duke led 42-36 at halftime, a too slim lead against an overmatched opponent.

In the second half, the Blue Devils limited Delaware to 22 points on 9 field goals in 26 shots, including 0-9 from deep.  The Blue Hens scored the last 4 points of the game at garbage time.  You could say Duke gave up only 18 second-half points. Duke forced 11 second-half turnovers (7 steals) and blocked a pair of shots.  Tellingly, Duke’s defensive pressure held the Blue Hens to only 2 assists on their 9 hoops.  The Blue Devils never let up on defense and simply took the Delaware hearts and spirit out of the game.

Scheyer On Duke’s defense and in-game adjustments: 

“I think the biggest thing is just the fact that we were solid in the second half. We were pretty spread out there in that first half. Probably a good amount of that’s on me, I wanted us to pick up, and I think that led to gambling and looking for steals. That’s not our defense, we need to be solid, disciplined, and with our size, protecting the paint. Give them credit, they hit some tough threes in that first half.  I thought we did a much better job of being disciplined, controlling the ball, and having an awareness for protecting our rim.” 

For the game, the Blue Devils had 8 steals (Dariq Whitehead had 2; Jeremy also had 2, while Mark, Kyle, Tyrese and Jaylen each had one) and 5 blocks (Kyle had 3; Derek and Ryan had one each)

The Offense

The Blue Devil offense was good for the first 10 and a half minutes of the first half before bogging down into missed shots, offensive fouls, and other turnovers.  Even so, Proctor had a scintillating first half, scoring 9 first-half points (3-6, including 1-2 from behind the arc and 2-2 from the foul line) to go with 7 boards and 3 assists.

The second half was a clinic, as Duke scored and defended at the highest level; Duke outscored the Blue Hens 50-22, shooting 48% (18-38, including 3-7 from behind the arc and 11-12 from the foul line.  At garbage time, the Blue Devils emptied their bench and led by 38 points (92-54) with 1:18 to go before Delaware scored their last 4 points.

Duke had 18 assists and only 10 turnovers, shooting 50 % from the field (34-68, including 6-14 from deep – Kyle was 2-5; Jaylen, 2-3; Jacob, 1-1; and Tyrese, 1-2 — and 18-21 from the foul line).  

Filipowski led the closing stanza surge with 11 second-half points (4-7 from the field, including 1-2 from deep and 2-3 from the foul line) and 5 rebounds (8 for the game; his first collegiate game without a double double.)  Mark Mitchell came alive, scoring 10 second half points (3-4 from the field and 4-4 from the foul line), while Jeremy Roach scored 7 of his 9 points in the closing period (2-5 from the field; 0-1 from 3land; and 3-3 from the stripe), but Jeremy did not have a single assist in the entire game. 

The Rotation

Jeremy Roach (28:45) scored 9 points (2-9, including 0-1 from deep and 5-5 from the foul line).  Jeremy did not have his best statistical game with 2 turnovers and 0 assists.  However, his defense on Delaware star Jameer Nelson, Jr. was superb and included 2 steals.  Coach Scheyer praised his game, “ I thought he did a really good job of running our team and making others better. For Jeremy, it’s about the little plays. I thought tonight he really was just making the winning plays…that play, the charge, which ended up [a foul] as he was in the cylinder, putting his body in the line, and then that offensive rebound. Those little plays that add up to winning! He has to set the tone for us every night with that, and I liked what he did there, especially in the second half coming out from halftime.”

Tyrese Proctor (27:49) had his best game of the young season, scoring 13 points (5-10, including 1-2 from 3land and 2-2 from the foul line) to go with an astonishing 10 rebounds (his first double double; is Kyle jealous?) and 4 assists.  After starting the season with subpar play, Tyrese has scored 22 points in his last 3 halves and is now,  therefore, solidly in the starting lineup. An ecstatic Scheyer gushed, “you could just tell pregame he was moving in a different way. He’s sped up his game; he’s worked on that. I thought he was a really determined driver, getting in the paint tonight. And then, 10 rebounds! He took a huge charge on [Jameer] Nelson for his third foul. Then, his scoring early – and did a good job of sharing and passing early, really set the tone for our team.”

Kyle Filipowski (25:14) was Duke’s highest scorer and quite possibly the Blue Devils’ best player (again).  Kyle scored 18 points (7-13, including 2-5 from behind the arc and 2-3 from the foul line) and ably defended Duke’s defensive back board (7 defensive rebounds of his 8 total) and 3 blocks.   He is so long, coordinated, and quick that he is very difficult to defend.

Mark Mitchell (23:00) scored an efficient 12 points on 6 shots (4-6 from the field, no attempts from behind the arc and 4-4 from the foul line).  He grabbed 3 boards, handed out an assist (a sweet one) and made a steal.  Two turnovers.

Jacob Grandison (19:20) had a hot shooting game after playing only 10 minutes against Kansas (he never played in the Kansas second half).  Jacob was Duke’s fourth double-figure scorer with 10 points on perfect shooting (4-4 from the field, including 1-1 from deep and 1-1 from the stripe) to go with 4 boards and a pair of assists without a turnover.  Scheyer appreciated Grandison’s maturity, “He didn’t play as much on Tuesday. … [However, Grandison] didn’t put his head down. He’s worked really hard for two days. I thought he was just absolutely terrific tonight. I’m really proud of the response and effort from our team.” 

Jaylen Blakes (17:48) demonstrated what a valuable reserve he is, injecting the Blue Devils with his special brand of high energy and disrupting defense.  He also carried his weight on offense against the Blue Hens, scoring 9 points (3-6 from the field, including 2-3 from 3land and 1-2 from the foul line) and handing out 4 assists.  He also garnered 3 boards and a steal (a beauty for an uncontested layup).

Ryan Young (16:05) scored 6 points (3-4 from the field) to go with 6 boards, 3 assists and a block.  He is very effective against this level of competition.

Dariq Whitehead (15:44) made his first appearance this year, and that might be the most important fact of this game. Dariq is not shy; he took the second most shots for Duke (11; Kyle took 13) Despite the obvious rust, Dariq scored 6 points (3-11, including 0-2 from behind the arc) to go with 2 rebounds and 2 steals.  Whitehead has an imposing body and is cat quick.  Our young coach agrees, “Dariq did well. He hasn’t even had a week of practice under his belt. We knew there will be some rust, but I think you can see his athleticism, his body, and he’s really a smart player. He’s very smart. He knows how to move without the ball and play offense… I really liked his effort. We were hoping to get him 15 minutes tonight. And we did get him 15 minutes and so happy with that result.” 

Kyle Filipowski added, “I’ve known Dariq and been playing with him since fourth grade. So, just being able to play with him again, seeing him do what he does best. It might not have been the best performance, but he’s getting there and it’s great to see him back out on the court.”

Dereck Lively II (15:02) fouled out in his brief appearance while scoring 5 points (2-3 from the field and 1-2 from the foul line).  He is very quick and defensive minded (but has to learn how the refs call college games).  A key statistic to demonstrate Dereck’s value, he had 4 assists from the post as well as 2 rebounds and a block.  You can see the rust receding.

Summing Up

Duke has one more game against unranked competition before heading to Portland OR for 3 Big games, in the Phil Knight Legacy, where they’ll be up against stiffer competition.   

Next Play:  Bellarmine on Monday, November 21 in Cameron Indoor Stadium at 7:00 p.m. on TV ACCN.  BTW, Bellarmine beat Louisville by a point on November 9, and lost a close game to Clemson last night; never underestimate a “lesser” team.

Great Expectations: Dariq returns from Injury
Photo credit: Nat LeDonne / Duke Athletics
Roach and Grandison consult, as each provided valuable minutes in this game.
Photo credit: Nat LeDonne / Duke Athletics

Duke 74 v. Bellarmine 57 (Season 14; Issue 5) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (November 21, 2022)


Jaylen Blakes has earned Scheyer’s praise  for anchoring Duke’s bench. Photo credit: Duke Athletics
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Bellarmine is no cupcake opponent. Most bigtime basketball teams won’t schedule them because their “pass first” offense is too difficult to play against. The Blue Devils met the challenge by playing some of their best defense and offense of the year, with three players contributing double digits and eight players logging an assist.  Duke needed it all because the final score was deceiving. The Blue Devils had difficulty expanding a ten-point lead for most of the game. However, a combination of Duke’s athleticism and length made a challenging evening for the Knights, forcing them to rely on backdoor cuts and difficult looks to get within single digits.

Coach Scheyer played nine players for at least ten minutes. Once again, Kyle Filipowski led all scorers (with 18 points in 20 minutes) and Jacob Grandison (with 16 points in 27 minutes). Interestingly enough, Lively and Whitehead scored only two points each as they are clearly behind the others due to injuries. Blakely continues to impress with his high-energy play. All the other Duke players also had their moments – especially Filipowski, whose offense and feistiness are reminiscent of Christian Laettner. It remains to be seen how Kyle holds up against bigger, stronger opponents. 

The depth of this squad will come in handy as the season grinds on. Jon Scheyer and his coaching staff have had an impressive start to the season.

Other Comments:

Virginia beat Houston and North Carolina appears to be hitting their groove. The rest of the ACC has not been impressive.

ALANALYSIS:

I had and still have a good feeling about Duke’s performance against Bellarmine for several different reasons, not all of which made it to the various commentators’ accounts of the game.   Most importantly, the Blue Devils have discovered an excellent point guard to supplement Jeremy Roach while they are on the floor together, and to give Roach the necessary rest so he can be at his best when the game winds down, or ratchets up to “winning time”.  I am, of course, talking about the 6’5” young (turned 18 last April Fool’s day) Australian, Tyrese Proctor, who was to be a high school senior this year, had enough credits to graduate, and therefore was able to reclassify to play with this year’s edition – I think after Keels leaving for the NBA opened the possibility of Tyrese winning a starter’s position. It is turning out to be a great decision because he just might be Duke’s best freshman in a fabulous freshman class. (I will get to Kyle in a moment). Proctor has an infectious confidence that breeds trust from his teammates and coaches.  Tyrese has incredible athleticism to go with his spirit and determination, as proven by his rebounding ability, unusual for a guard (8 last night to tie Kyle for the most on the team) and his shot blocking (led Duke with 2 against Bellarmine).  Tyrese is a key component who will grow as the team grows.  Exciting to watch.

A second dramatic reason to feel good is the play of freshman phenom, Kyle Filipowski.  He played only half of the game against Bellarmine, and led Duke in scoring with 18 points, and tied with Proctor for the rebounding lead with 8 (the stat sheet said 8, but I thought he had more because he grabbed every rebound in the last minutes of the game at both ends).  He is an unusually good ball handler and passer, and he can score at all 3 levels – behind the arc, mid-range, or in the post, and he is an excellent offensive rebounder.  After having said all that, his commitment to growth is dramatic on the defensive end as well.  Scheyer said as much because few 7 footers apply themselves to defending the perimeter.  Kyle has done so and he can guard the opposition guards on the perimeter as well as their Bigs in the post.  So far, he has been a revelation.

Finally, there is the bench-spark combination of Jacob Grandison and Jaylen Blakes.  Grandison languished against Kansas, playing only 10 first-half minutes, without scoring.  Since then, Jacob has been on a tear.  Against Bellarmine, he led the Duke bench with 16 points on fabulous shooting (6-9 from the field, including 4-7 from 3land).  Blakes was not expected to be in the rotation, but he has demonstrated blinding speed and a larcenous streak when defending.  His improvement has been dramatic and he has now earned a spot in the rotation.

On the defensive end, Lively is earning his keep with his quickness, high basketball IQ, and length.  This edition of the Blue Devils has the potential to be an excellent defensive team.  How much of that potential will be realized is probably the most important factor in the overall success of the 2022-23 Duke team.

THE ROTATION

Jeremy Roach (33:01) had a superb floor game on offense and played excellent defense, though he was occasionally beaten on backdoor cuts.  More important than his 10 points (4-10 from the field, including 2-4 from deep) were his 5 assists, against only a single turnover.  Everyone – commentators and coaches acknowledge that Jeremy is Duke’s most important player!

Tyrese Proctor (30:56) has become a valued starter in the Blue Devil lineup.  Even on a poor shooting night (his only shot attempts were 9 from behind the arc; 2-9 for 6 points), Coach Scheyer had him in the game longer than all of his other players besides Roach.  Tyrese is a wonderful athlete as proven by his 8 rebounds (tied with 7’0” Filipowski for team lead), 2 blocked shots (to lead Duke in blocks), and 2 assists.  He runs the team when Jeremy is not on the floor.

Jacob Grandison (26:21) played the most minutes besides the two guards, even though he did not start.  Simple rule of basketball, if your shot is going in, you will be on the court longer.  Grandison was a star, scoring 16 points on dazzling shooting (6-9, including 4-7 from behind the arc).  Coach S praised Jacob and Jaylen Blakes as a great bench that might make Duke be even better than when the starters are on the floor, “Jaylen, and Jacob, they just bring a certain energy. They play the right way. They’re all about winning. Each game for Jaylen and Jacob, it can be rebound, bucket, deflection, they’re winners. And I feel good when they’re on the court. It can be when they’re in, we get better. And that’s something not a lot of teams have when you go to your bench, you can get better. For us, we have that.”

Dereck Lively (23:12) is logging more minutes than in his first few games back from injury, and his presence makes the interior defense imposing because of his length and quickness.  He is still not scoring (1-2 from the field for 2 points), but  he grabbed 5 boards, had a blocked shot, and 2 assists (one was a fabulous over the head pass out of the post to Mitchell in the corner for an open 3).  Coach is pleased even though he knows Dereck is not completely in game shape yet as he continues recovering from his injury, “Dereck every single game has taken big time strides going forward.  The next step is to when you are open, shoot it; when you have a guy closing, drive it.”

Mark Mitchell (21:15) had an excellent all-around game, though he was beaten more than once on backdoor cuts.  Mark scored 8 points (3-6 from the field, including 2-4 from deep) to go with 3 rebounds, 3 assists, a (sensational) steal, and a blocked shot.  He is an excellent one-on-one defender.

Kyle Filipowski (20:36) played only half the game (we wonder why), but led Duke in scoring with an efficient 18 points on only 8 shots (4-8, including 3-5 from behind the arc and a gaudy 7-8 from the foul line;) and grabbed a team-high 8 boards (tied with Tyrese).  He continues to be Duke’s unstoppable best player. 

Jaylen Blakes (19:17) scored 8 points (3-6 from the field, including 1-3 from 3land and 1-1 from the foul line), while grabbing a pair of rebounds and handing out 2 assists.  Scheyer appreciates Jaylen, “Jaylen is everything that Duke basketball is about. … when we started recruiting Jaylen, I didn’t know I’d be the head coach.” [Even though he played sparingly last year], “he got better. You didn’t necessarily get to see him all the time get better, but he worked his butt off every day, had a great attitude. He competed against Jeremy Roach, Trevor Keels and Wendell Moore, every single day. And now, here he is making a big impact.”

Ryan Young (15:26) is a great backup for Lively II.  As Dereck improves, Ryan plays a bit less.  He scored 4 points (1-1 from the field and 2-2 from the stripe), to go with 7 valuable rebounds and an assist.

Dariq Whitehead (9:56) played less in his second game back than he did in his first one.  His rust is apparent but so is his unmistakable talent.  He scored 2 on a layup, but missed his other 3 shots (all of which were from behind the arc). His almost-10 minutes were divided into very short stretches.  He is not yet, but I predict he will be a genuine force before the season ends (think AJ from last year).

SUMMING UP

The trip to Portland will give us much to evaluate.  It will be the Blue Devils second road trip.  Scheyer: “We know it’s going to be three high-level games, no matter what the outcome is. I’m excited and I just want to go for it. I think we learned a lot in the Kansas game; we can’t go into it tentative or unsure, we need to go after it and then see what happens.” 

Duke has played excellent offense so far this year (except those last 4:37 against Kansas).  Against Bellarmine, the Blue Devils had 18 assists on 25 made field goals. Duke was also 10-11 from the foul line! Kyle was 7-8 for Duke’s only miss. The Coach: “We have made some really unselfish plays, sharing the ball. … the quality of shot is something we talk about consistently. And tonight …  we had great quality in our shot selection.” 

We will learn more about this 2022-23 team in Portland.   Good coaching requires creating the right way to win against different opponents.  Scheyer emphasizes that there are many ways to win, “It won’t be the same strategy on Friday.  Each game is different.” 

I said I had a good feeling about this Bellarmine game, and I admit to having a good feeling about this season’s team. Their improvement is palpable, and you can feel the good vibes from the players.

Next Play: Phil Knight Legacy Tournament in Portland Or! 

  • Thursday November 24 (Thanksgiving Day) at 3:00 p.m. vs. Oregon State on ESPN;
  • Friday, November 25, if Duke beats Oregon State, the Blue Devils will play the winner of Xavier v. Florida  at 3:00 p.m. on ESPN; or if Duke has lost to Oregon State, the Blue Devils play the loser of Xavier v. Florida at 6:00 p.m., on either ESPN2 or ESPNU. 
  • Sunday November 27 has 4 games scheduled: championship game at 3:30 on ABC; Third Place game at 7:30 p.m. on ESPN. The fifth place and 7th place games will be played but no details have yet been released.

DBP edition covering the Duke games played on November 24 and 25 will be disseminated on Saturday, November 26, a post-tournament edition will cover Sunday’s game and be sent out early next week.

The freshmen are learning and improving.  They are good.  This photo depicts who everyone understands is Duke’s most important player, Jeremy Roach!!!
Photo credit: Duke Athletics
Jacob Grandison has found his shot, which makes the Duke bench efficient and dangerous.
Photo credit: Duke Athletics

Duke 54 v. Oregon State 51; Duke 71 v. Xavier 64 (Season 14; Issue 6) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”. Games #6 and 7 (November 24 and 25, 2022)

Jeremy’s bravura performance was simply dazzling.  Photo credit: Duke Athletics
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

DUKE – OREGON STATE

A disappointing effort. Duke couldn’t throw a basketball from a boat in the middle of the ocean and hit water. I thought the most interesting move was Coach Scheyer finishing the game with the two veterans,Young and Grandison, on the floor with the youngest player,Filipowski; they all delivered at winning time. Kyle also made the defensive play of the game! In a defensive switch, he ended up with the point guard, stayed in front of him on a drive, and stole the ball in the lane. In addition, he hit the go-ahead three. So far, he is the most versatile and valuable freshman.

DUKE – XAVIER

Different day, different Duke team. The Blue Devils scored 71 points hitting 50 percent from the floor, including 5-11 on threes. The big difference was the play of Duke’s point guard Jeremy Roach, who had 21 on 9-15 (2-4 from deep). More importantly, when Duke needed a play, which happened often because Xavier just didn’t quit, Roach consistently made big plays, and not just scoring plays either. He also had 4 rebounds, 5 assists & 2 steals. When Roach plays like this, Duke can compete with any team!

It was also a better balanced team effort.  Kyle Filipowski and Ryan Young didn’t carry the team this time, as they did Thursday against Oregon State. The scoring was much better distributed: Filipowski had 12, while Young had 8. Filipowski had 4 rebounds while Young added 6. And Mark Mitchell, who was essentially a non-factor Thursday, sure was excellent against Xavier. He put a lot of pressure on Xavier’s defense and finished with 16. Blakes was an energizer bunny both days. Whitehead showed more signs of improvement and finished with 5 points.  Lively was a major factor defensively. His shot-blocking skills are becoming quite formidable, but point-blank dunks are his only sure shots and his 0-4 foul shooting makes him a liability in close games. Unless Proctor starts to score more consistently, he appears to be a candidate for the odd man out.

Other comments:

North Carolina, which has been ranked first in most polls but has not been playing that way, was beaten by Iowa State. They can and will play better.

ALANALYSIS:

What an interesting and complex first two games of the tournament!  Lots of unexpected early season results across the country (UNC got a scare from the University of Portland Pilots and then lost to Iowa State).  The complexity of Duke’s offensive disaster against Oregon State, their heart and effort against Xavier, and Duke’s consistent defense, make us want to pay close attention  in the championship game on Sunday and see how Duke deals with the Purdue Boilermakers (ranked #24) and their huge (7’4” 295 lb.) center, Zach Edey, who is averaging 23 ppg. In the semi-final late on Friday night, Gonzaga (#6) clearly had no answer for Edey, the Boilermaker offense in general,  or for their defense for that matter, losing 84-66.  The post-tournament DBP will have a full analysis of what we have learned of the 2022-23 Blue Devils from their string of Phil Knight Legacy games.

This 2-game edition of the DBP will cover the defense, the Jekyll-Hyde offense against Oregon State, and the steadfast effort that beat a good Xavier team.  The “Rotation” will cover both games for each player ordered by playing time against Xavier.

The Defense

Duke’s calling card this season will be defense.  Duke has held each of their seven opponents this season to less than 70 points, and five to less than 60. The Blue Devils held Xavier to a season-low 64 points – the Musketeers were averaging 85.8 points entering the game. Moreover, Duke held Xavier’s leading scorer, Jack Nunge (a 7’1” bruiser of a center, who can efficiently score the 3), to a season-low five points (1-of-13 shooting). Nunge’s previous scoring low this season was 14 points, vs. Indiana. 

Mark Mitchell in the post Xavier game press conference: “I think yesterday we didn’t have our best performance. I think today we tried to come in and lock in on the scouting report. We knew [Nunge] was their most important player, we just tried to come in and shut him down and do everything we could to stop him.” And they did!

Against Oregon State, the defense gave up only 51 points in the game – 27 in the first half and 24 in the closing period.  Duke allowed 5 (of 13) from deep in the first half, but only 1-8 in the second half.  The Blue Devils forced 11 turnovers (but could not really disrupt the Beaver offense).

The defense has been simply outstanding at “winning time”.look at this stat!:  After Duke holding Oregon State without a field goal for the final 5:03 of regulation, the Blue Devils did not give up a point to Xavier in the game’s final 5:51!  As Scheyer pointed out, scoring the crucial hoop is not sufficient by itself because, “you, of course, have to follow it up with a stop, and we did that enough times to get some separation and never let them really get the lead, which was a big deal.”  It was a profound contrast to the Kansas game. 

Good overall defense; maybe even very good, but not yet great. Duke gave up points in the paint, mostly on drives.  While the defense is still a work in progress, the potential for Duke to be outstanding defensively this season is palpable. As Scheyer exulted after the Xavier win, “And the last huddle, I think there was 3:30 on the clock, they were the ones talking. Our guys were, ‘Hey we’ve been here before, we know what to do’. And they came out, all five guys were locked in, and I thought we came up with some big-time rebounds.”

The Offense

Jeremy Roach played both a brilliant Dr. Jekyll (against Xavier) and a despicable Edward Hyde (versus Oregon State).  Consequently, Duke was a disaster on offense against the Beavers, and an efficient commando unit against Xavier.  Let us note that Scheyer has been a brilliant bench coach, getting the most out of his somewhat inconsistent team to reach the championship game of the Legacy tournament.

Oregon State

Duke shot 26.7% from the field (17% from behind the arc) for the game – which constitutes a flat disaster.  It is the lowest percentage of shooting in Duke basketball history for a game won by the Blue Devils.  Duke outscored the Beavers 29-27 in the first half, when Jeremy Roach hit his only 3 pointer with 15 seconds left in the first half.  While the Blue Devils achieved just minimal production in the opening period, the second half was even worse.  Duke only scored 25 second-half points (6 – 29 from the field, including a clanking 1-14 from 3land.  The “one” of the 1-14 was Kyle Filipowski’s to tie the score at 45 with 8:22 left in the game).

    The Good

By some stroke of luck, Duke found a way to win while playing terribly.  In the final 7:35, the Blue Devils outscored the Beavers 9-4.  Roach broke the tie with a jump shot (47-45 with 7:32 to go); Kyle Filipowski made 1-2 from the line, and after a flurry of Duke and Beaver misses, also made 2-2 from the stripe (Duke led by 50-47 with 3:23 remaining). After the Beavers made 2 free throws (foul by Tyrese Proctor), Kyle scored on a splendid offensive rebound (52-49 with 34 seconds left in the game); The Beavers made 2 more foul shots with 16 seconds left (foul, again by Tyrese – Duke still led 52-51).  Jacob Grandison had been 0-4 from the field when he was fouled with 11 seconds remaining.  He made them both for the final score – 54-51. The defense forced the Beavers into a difficult shot that missed, which preserved  Duke’s win.

In the second half, Ryan Young and Kyle kept Duke in the game when literally no other Blue Devil was scoring.  Filipowski played 16:43 second-half minutes, scoring 13 points (3-7, including 1-3 from behind the arc and 6-7 from the stripe) to go with 8 rebounds, an assist and a steal.  The steal was a highlight!  Kyle was switched onto guarding Jordan Pope, Oregon State’s star freshman point guard on the perimeter.  Pope drove and Kyle not only stayed in front of him, but stole Pope’s dribble!  And Kyle may not have been Duke’s best player in the second half.  Ryan Young logged 17:38 in the closing period (Dereck Lively played only 2:22 in the second half) scoring 7 points (2-3 from the field and 3-4 from the stripe) to go with an eye-opening 11 second-half rebounds (7 offensive !!!) and a block.  He dominated the glass.

    The Worse than Merely Bad

An in-depth dive into that frustrating but hard-fought second half is illuminating. Duke’s second-half offense had the worst outside shooting since I started watching as a freshman in 1956.  Jeremy played all 20 second-half minutes, scoring only the go-ahead basket (2 points on 1-8 shooting, including 0-4 from behind the arc).  Worse, Roach failed to record a single second-half assist, all while committing 3 turnovers.  Tyrese Proctor was even less productive in his 15:03 – 0-5 from the field, including 0-4 from 3land, without getting to the foul line.  And, Tyrese committed 3 fouls and a turnover!  Blessedly, both Tyrese and Jeremy played excellent defense. Jaylen Blakes replaced Tyrese, logging 6:48 (valuable for his disruptive defense, but also without a statistic).  To add to Duke’s shooting woes, Mark Mitchell was 0-3, including 0-2 from deep in his 3:51 of second-half playing time, while Jacob Grandison was 0-2 in his 13:04 of second-half playing time. In 4:31, Dariq Whitehead was 0-1. Omitting inside shooters Ryan, Kyle, and Dereck, the other 6 Duke players were a combined 1-19, including 0-11 from deep. Moreover, Duke’s transition game, based on disruptive defense, was non-existent because there was no disruption. — It left this commentator speechless.

Xavier

Jeremy set the tone, re-establishing himself with a bravura performance, after his dismal Oregon State game.  When Jeremy is bravura, Duke is bravura.  Mark Mitchell came alive, and Kyle was a stalwart.  It was a very good performance, but it is troubling that  there are still so many in the rotation who are not living up to their offensive potential, or who are inconsistent.  Tyrese has struggled, but occasionally has broken out.  Grandison has vacillated between sensational and irrelevant.  Blakes has energy, but not a high shooting percentage, whether it is on his drives or his deep shots.  But you can see his potential. 

 Lively has not yet come close to finding his offense.  I saw him twice last year, and he was a deadly accurate shooter from the foul line region. In two all-star games, he was 8-8. When he is a scoring threat from the high post, his passing gets even better.  He will get back there, but he may have a long path.  Dariq could be Duke’s best player, but he is coming back slowly.  He is shooting from deep but has not yet reestablished his handle and ability to drive efficiently.  

THE ROTATION

Jeremy Roach vs Xavier (35:22) had his best game since coming to Duke!  It is significant that it came after one of his worst,  in the tournament opener against Oregon State. He backed up that poor effort with one for the ages!   He scored 21 points (9-15, including 2-4 from deep and 1-2 from the stripe) to go with 5 assists, 4 rebounds and 2 steals.   Scheyer understood how Jeremy’s great game is so important for this team’s development: “I thought just the poise in key moments, Jeremy put us on his back and said ‘alright’. Whether it’s for him or for somebody else, he got some really good looks, really good quality looks. … We need him, what did he play today — 35 minutes? We need him to score, to create, to defend the other team’s best player. . … And the thing that I loved for him today was that he was just him. And when he’s that way, to me, he’s the best guard in the country! He controlled the whole game, created for others. He had five assists, I actually thought he could’ve had eight, nine assists, we missed a couple bunnies that he dumped off. … I think this is what we’ll see going forward from Jeremy.” 

Jeremy Roach vs Oregon State (35:34) did not have his usual stellar game, scoring 7 points (3-14, including 1-7 from behind the arc, without attempting a free throw) while handing out 4 assists and making 2 steals.  However, Jeremy committed 4 turnovers and 3 personal fouls, while snaring only a single rebound.

Kyle Filipowski vs Xavier (32:59) had a good scoring first half (10 points) and a good rebounding second half (only 2 points but 4 key defensive boards). He scored a total 12 points (4-10 from the field including 1-3 from 3land and 1-2 from the stripe) to go with an overall floor game on both offense and defense – 4 rebounds, 4 steals, an assist and a block.  Kyle was less of a scoring factor, but still a major force.

Kyle Filipowski vs Oregon State (31:11) has his 4th double double in 6 games, scoring 19 points (5-13, including 1-5 from behind the arc, and 8-9 from the foul line) to go with 14 rebounds (5 offensive), an assist and a truly fantastic steal.

Mark Mitchell vs Xavier (31:00) dramatically returned to his early season form after a couple of games where he was not impactful.  Against Xavier, Mark scored 16 points (6-11 from the field, including 1-2 from behind the arc – the one was crucial – and 3-4 from the foul line) to go with 5 impressive rebounds and a blocked shot.  Mark was Duke’s savior and high scorer in the second half (12 points) on offense, a crucial defender of Duke’s defensive backboard, and dedicated perimeter defender.  What a great game Mitchell played!

Mark Mitchell (11:14) vs Oregon State had his least productive game as a Blue Devil, scoring only a single point (0-4 from the field, including 0-2 from deep and 1-2 from the stripe) with 0 rebounds, assists or steals.  He played very little in the second half.

Jaylen Blakes vs Xavier (24:30) played starter’s minutes in the second half (15:34), while Tyrese Proctor, the starter, played only 5:50  in the closing stanza.  Blakes was inserted for his legendary disruptive and aggressive defense, which basically won the game for the Blue Devils.  Blakes scored 5 points (1-5 from the field, including 0-1 from deep and a crucial 3-3 from the stripe at “winning time”).  He notched 2 rebounds, an assist, and a steal.  However, statistics do not tell all about Jaylen’s game.  His energy was his gift to the defense. Jaylen’s high school coach told Scheyer during Blakes’ recruitment, “Hey man, I’ve got a special kid here. I know you’re going to have a bunch of one-and-done guys, but you may want to look at him as a future Duke basketball captain. He’s a four-year guy. A culture carrier.”  What a great predication.

Jaylen Blakes (16:40) vs Oregon State failed to score (0-3 from the field, including 0-2 from deep) but was a defensive spark plug.  He had an assist and a steal (and a couple of almost steals).

Ryan Young (21:15) vs Xavier was a major contributor to Duke’s interior play on both offense and defense. He rebounded, and scored in the post.  He was Duke’s “other Big” (with Kyle) in the second half (playing 12:39 while scoring 4 points and grabbing 4 boards.  This contrasted to Dereck’s 7:21 without scoring and kept Dereck on the bench while Ryan played center.  Ryan has been valuable all year, but his work in the first two games of the Phil Knight Legacy has been his best work of the year!  Ryan scored 8 (3-5 from the field and 2-2 from the stripe) to go with 6 rebounds (5 offensive).  For the season, Ryan is 24-33 from the field for a 73% shooting average.

Ryan Young vs Oregon State (29:37) played his best game as a Blue Devil, scoring 11 points (4-5 from the field, including 3-4 from the foul line) to go with an astounding 15 boards! (8 offensive), plus a blocked shot and an assist.  MVP.

Tyrese Proctor vs Xavier (18:09) had another scoreless game (0-2 from the field, including 0-1 from deep) with 2 assists and 2 turnovers.  He continues to defend efficiently on the perimeter.  Tellingly, he spent more time on the bench in the second half and was not on the floor in the last 7 minutes of the game.

Tyrese Proctor vs Oregon State (29:37) had an excruciating game right after his best game (against Bellarmine).  Ok, we know – freshmen are notoriously inconsistent.  Tyrese scored only 5 points (1-7 from the field, including 1-6 from deep plus 2-2 from the stripe) to  go with a pair of rebounds and a turnover.  Blakes replaced him at “winning time”.

Dereck Lively II vs Xavier (15:59) regressed a bit against the size and strength of Xavier’s front line.  Disastrously, Lively picked up four fouls in his short stint trying to defend. Lively scored 2 points (a dunk; he missed a short hook shot to go 1-2 from the field and a disappointing 0-4 from the foul line).  The only reason he saw the court at all in the second half is that Ryan Young also had 4 fouls.  For the game, Dereck grabbed 4 tough rebounds, blocked 2 shots, and had a steal.  He is improving, but slowly.

Dereck Lively II vs Oregon State (10:23 but only 2:22 in the second half) regressed in this game, scoring only 2 on a dunk (his only shot of the game).  He had a steal and a block but spent time on the bench because of Ryan Young’s breakout game.

Dariq Whitehead vs Xavier (10:26) is also using his playing time to regain his pre-broken foot form. Dariq’s shot seems to be back as is his rebounding.  What has yet to return is his ball handling and driving ability.  He is not yet getting past his defender, and he is also having trouble on the defensive end (2 fouls in his short stint, one was on a 3-point shooter).  When – or if – Dariq and Dereck reach the form each exhibited in high school, the Blue Devils will morph into a juggernaut.

Dariq Whitehead (17:08) vs Oregon State continued to look both rusty, yet improved from his first game back.   He scored 7 points (2-9 from the field including 2-6 from behind the arc and 1-3 from the foul line) and garnered 3 rebounds.  When he starts scoring like he did when he was healthy, Duke’s offense will frighten opponents. 

Jacob Grandison vs Xavier (10:20) scored only 2 points (1-1) in his brief appearances in each half.  He was a star in earlier games, but played sparingly against Xavier.  This may be Duke’s strength, the deep roster that can find the winning combination regardless of what the adversary throws at them.

Jacob Grandison vs Oregon State (18:36) – super sub did not have a super sub night, even though he made 2 very crucial foul shots at game’s end.  Those two foul shots were Jacob’s only 2 points of the game (0-4 from the floor, including 0-1 from 3land).  Jacob contributed 5 critical rebounds and 2 assists.

SUMMING UP

Too soon.  A more complete assessment will be in the post-tournament issue early next week.  What we can say is that this team has heart and appears to be developing chemistry.  The highest grades for consistency may go to Jon Scheyer and his coaching staff.  He has met almost every issue that arose with a creative answer using all of his players.  In short, the team has been better than merely the sum of its parts.  Purdue and Zach Edey will be a test for these young Blue Devils.  More after that game.


Next Play: Sunday, November 27 at 3:30 p.m. on ABC.  The Championship Game of the Phil Knight Legacy Tournament when Duke faces Purdue (who flattened Gonzaga 84-66 (GULP!) late Friday night in the other semi-final)

Scheyer (and everyone else) understands that Jeremy is Duke’s most important player.
Photo credit: Duke Athletics
Mark  Mitchell had a hot hand for the Blue Devils, sparking them in the second half.
Photo Credit: Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

Duke 56 v. Purdue 75 (Season 14; Issue 7) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”. Game # 8 (November 27, 2022)

Duke players cheer on their teammates, all to no avail.  Will this team grow into its potential? 
Photo credit: Nat LeDonne, Duke Athletics
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Purdue’s talented, well coached team taught Duke’s young players a painful lesson about hustle, spacing, ball movement, rebounding, relaxing, and making shots– even free throws. Of course, center 7’4” Zach Edey made a lot of it easier for the Boilermakers but, just the same, it was a lesson nonetheless, and we will know after Wednesday’s game against Ohio State whether it was a lesson well learned or an incapacitating one.  Also, Roach’s ankle injury is of concern, but it gave Proctor an opportunity to show his skills at the point. 

If you haven’t noticed, Duke’s football team, which had fallen to less than an afterthought (over the last two seasons, Duke has lost 17 of its 18 ACC games. The Blue Devils haven’t finished with a winning record in league play since 2014) in a less than stellar ACC Conference, beat Wake Forest.  Duke’s new Head Coach Mike Elko and his assistants have taken basically the same group from last season and done an almost unimaginable job in going 8-4 and discovering a quarterback, red shirt sophomore Riley Leonard, who is playing sensational football.

ALANALYSIS:

Duke is about to enter the heart of its season with games against Ohio State in the ACC-Big 10 Challenge on November 30 and the ACC season opener against Boston College on December 3, before playing highly ranked Iowa in the Jimmy V Classic at Madison Square Garden on December 6.  Then, after the Christmas break, the Blue Devils compete exclusively in ACC league games.  So, coaches, players and fans were hoping for a game against Purdue in which the Blue Devils demonstrated their readiness to compete in the heart of their season.

The disappointment from watching Purdue’s complete destruction of every aspect of the Blue Devil game is profound.  But, before taking drastic action, let us remember Duke has suffered some astoundingly embarrassing defeats in seasons that ended up wonderfully successful.  For example, Scheyer will remember his 2010 National Championship team getting pounded by Georgetown on National TV with President Obama in attendance.  Still, it is hard to temper the negative feeling from the shellacking Purdue handed the Blue Devils last night.

The Offense

While the Blue Devils played a mediocre first half on offense (scoring 35 points), the defense was so porous that Purdue scored 46 first-half points so that Duke trailed by 11 points. With 2:28 to go in the opening period, the Blue Devils had scored only 28 points and were 18 points behind.  Kyle Filipowski  (11 first-half points on 4-7 from the field including 2-3 from deep and 1-1 from the line), Jeremy Roach (10 points on 4-5 from the floor and 2-3 from the stripe), and Tyrese Proctor (8 points on 3-6 from the field, including 0-2 from deep, and 2-2 from the stripe) were the three Duke players that kept the Blue Devils within 11 of Purdue at half.  Young, Whitehead, and Mitchell each scored 2 points while Grandison, Blakes, and Lively did not score. That is 6 of the 9 players in the rotation scored collectively only 6 points! No team can win with ⅔ of the roster virtually absent from scoring.  Duke had only 8 assists in the entire game.  Mediocre may actually be a bridge too far.

The second half was much worse – it was actually worse than the disastrous second half against Oregon State (where Duke scored only 25 points, but held the Beavers scoreless for over 5 minutes to outscore Oregon State by 9-4 for the win).  Here is a stat to make one’s hair stand up straight: only one Duke player had more than a single field goal in the closing period!!  

When Jeremy limped off to the locker room with a toe or ankle injury at the end of the first half, the announcers flashed back to Kyrie’s serious injury in 2011.  Duke fans were relieved when Jeremy was able to play the second half (all 20 minutes).  However, Jeremy  was not himself – he scored 4 points (but was only 1-8 from the field, including 0-3 from deep and 2-3 from the foul line.  Tyrese Proctor was heroic, also playing all 20 second-half minutes, while scoring a team high (for the closing half) of 8 points on 4-7 from the field, including 0-2 from 3land.  He had 5 rebounds, and an assist.  Most importantly, he took over Roach’s point guard duties for most of the second half. Between Tyrese and Jeremy, they accounted for 12 of Duke’s 21 second-half points. The remaining 9 points came from Kyle (3 points on 1-4 from the field and 1-2 from the stripe), Dariq (4 points in his 10:13 of second-half playing time, 1-3, including 0-1 from behind the arc and 2-2 from the stripe), and Ryan (2 points on 2-2 from the stripe, but 0-2 from the field).  Duke had only 2 assists in the final period, and missed every single 3 point attempt (0-11; Jeremy 0-3, Mark 0-2, Tyrese 0-2, Dereck 0-1, Kyle 0-1, and Jaylen 0-1).

And still, the Blue Devils had their second-half moments before completely falling apart.  With 15:31 left in the game, Purdue led by 17 (58-41) when the Blue Devils made a move. Duke reduced the Boilermaker lead to 7 twice – once with 9:00 remaining, and once with 7:01 (63-56) left, before the wheels completely fell off.  The Blue Devils did not score in the final 7 minutes of the game, while Purdue scored 12, making the final margin.  

In those 7 minutes, Mitchell missed; Whitehead turned it over; Proctor committed an offensive foul; Roach missed from 3; Filipowski missed from 3; Mitchell turned it over; Filipowski missed a jumper;  Roach committed a foul; Filipowski fouled out; Roach missed a jumper; Young committed a foul; Roach missed a free throw; Proctor missed a jumper; Mitchell missed a jumper and Roach missed a 3 pointer! That was Duke’s desultory offense in the last 7 minutes (“winning time”). Purdue did to Duke what the Blue Devils did to both Oregon State and Xavier.  Yuck!

The Defense

Duke’s hard-switching man-to-man defense was simply dissected. Purdue’s sharp passing, accurate shooting of wide-open shots, and an absolute domination of the paint by Boilermaker center, the 7’4”, 295 lb. Zack Edey (21 points on 7-13 from the field and a critical 7-8 from the stripe), who controlled both rims (12 rebounds, 5 offensive) while drawing 8 Duke fouls.  Lively and Filpowski each fouled out.  

Purdue shot 58 % in the first half, including 3-3 from deep. The Blue Devils had defensive success for a brief 8-minute period in the second half, when Duke switched to a zone defense with some full court pressure.  But Purdue hit a few perimeter shots against the zone that Duke could not answer. Scheyer “It’s something we have to be ready to go to. We spend a lot of time building our habits with our man-to-man defense, so we’ve practiced it [the zone defense] a couple of times. We’ve had it in our back pocket just in case and I thought our guys did a good job on the fly to pick it up. The thing with them [Purdue] is they move so much … they get really good movement, and they screen hard and cut hard. I thought it helped slow them down and our press was good for us also.”

The Purdue game is the first game this season where Duke gave up at least 70 points; Purdue’s offense was far superior to Duke’s defense.

THE ROTATION

Jeremy Roach (37:10) scored 14 points (5-13, including 0-3 from behind the arc, and 4-6 from the stripe) to go with 3 boards, 2 steals, 2 assists and 2 turnovers.  He had 10 points in an effective first half, before he was injured.  While he did return, he was not the same star as he had been in the first half and against Xavier.  The injury impacted his second half play.

Tyrese Proctor (36:20) had his best game at Duke so far, scoring 16 points (7-13 from the field, but 0-4 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line).  He handled the  point guard duties (3 assists w only 1 turnover) nearly as well as Jeremy  He was the only Duke player to score more than one field goal in the second half (he  scored 4 buckets for 8 second-half points).

Kyle Filipowski (30:53) scored 14 points (5-11, including 2-4 from deep, and 2-3 from the stripe) to go with 5 boards, a steal and a block.  However, Kyle scored only 2 points in the second half.  He turned it over twice before fouling out.

Mark Mitchell (25:03) was not effective, scoring only 2 points (1-6, including 0-2 from deep without getting to the stripe).  He had 3 boards and an assist with a pair of turnovers.

Dereck Lively II (21:46) failed to score (0-3, including 0-2 from deep that did not even draw iron!  What!).  Dereck grabbed 5 rebounds, blocked a pair of shots, and had 2 steals before he fouled out trying to guard the Purdue big guy, Zach Edey.

Dariq Whitehead (16:11) was Duke’s 4th leading scorer –  with only 6 points (2-7, including 0-2 from 3land, and 2-2 from the foul line) with a rebound and a turnover.  He’s only been back with the team for 9 days from his broken foot. 

Ryan Young (14:53) picked up 2 quick fouls in the first half guarding the Purdue “Hulk”, but he adjusted, and  committed only one more foul.  He scored 4 points (1-3, and 2-2 from the stripe) to go with 4 rebounds,  All of the Blue Devil Bigs were totally dominated in the paint.

Jaylen Blakes (8:42) failed to score (0-2 from behind the arc, as well as 0-2 from the stripe) with 2 rebounds and an assist.

Jacob Grandison (8:38) also failed to score, without even taking a shot.  He had an assist and a turnover.

SUMMING UP

The two players who made this year’s freshmen class so special are Dariq Whitehead and Dereck Lively II.  Neither of those two (expected to be superstars) are contributing to Duke’s trajectory… yet.  It’s time for each to remove the Clark Kent disguise and become the Superman  that Duke recruited.

Dereck Lively II was everyone’s pick as the #1 player in this year’s incoming college class.  While he had a calf injury that delayed his development,  Derecke has been back playing for a substantial time now.  He is defending better as he plays more (he even had his moments against the Purdue behemoth, Zack Edey, but was no real match for him).  To put the point dramatically, Lively played more than 20 minutes without scoring, and fouled out trying to defend Edey.  Lively has 9 baskets for the year, each one a dunk.  Against Purdue, Dereck took two 3-point attempts without drawing iron. When I watched Dereck last year in all-star games, he was an excellent mid-range shooter.  For Duke to be an ACC contender, let alone a National contender, Lively will have to morph into the player he was last year.

Dariq has only been back for 9 days, and the team has not been able to practice much during that time.  While Whitehead has demonstrated lots of rust, he is also making palpable progress.  His perimeter shot (devastating in high school) is returning, and he is slowly rounding into rebounding form.  However, his handle, quickness, and coordination are not back yet.  He is fouling on defense more than he will later in the year.  Last year, he was a great driver and passer (he was so good, I thought he might end up as Roach’s backup at the point), but he cannot yet get to the rim, and he is still turning it over.  I predict he will be one of Duke’s best players by mid-season.

However, until these two who were expected to be Duke’s best two players, start  consistently playing like college superstars (like Kyle has done), this year’s Duke team will struggle. But if they grow it will be a rewarding season.

Next Play: Wednesday, November 30 vs. Ohio State in Cameron Indoor Stadium at 7:15 p.m. —  ACC-Big 10 Challenge on ESPN.

Dariq Whitehead, returning from injury to stardom? 
Photo credit: Nat LeDonne, Duke Athletics

Duke 81 v. Ohio State 72 (Season 14; Issue 8; Game # 9) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”. November 30, 2022)

The elite brotherhood: celebrating a stellar assist from Jeremy to Derek. Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Scheyer: “We didn’t practice on Monday, because we were getting back from Portland and had a one-day prep. Our focus was just to take what we learned against Purdue and bring it tonight.”

What did this Duke team learn in Portland?  Based on how the Blue Devils played against Ohio State, they learned how to play tough, all the time; to manage a game, and finish off a talented opponent; and learned what a pleasure it is to play in Cameron with the Crazies as a sixth man.  The team is  still a work in progress, and compared to Indiana, which handled North Carolina impressively, has further to go to become a top contender.

Coach Scheyer’s assessment: “I thought, including the Xavier game, that was the best we managed a game. We were playing games, and now we’re learning how to win games. When you have a lead, you don’t play the same way if it’s a tie game or if you’re down.  Jeremy, I thought he did a really good job, Tyrese [Proctor], Jaylen [Blakes], when he was in, just controlling our team.  And in those moments, they make a little bit of a run, we have to really execute.  And working on the offensive end, I thought we did that.  And then down the stretch, some crucial stops were really important for us.”

On Whitehead and Lively finding their rhythm after missing portions of the preseason: “I hope for all of these freshmen, not just you guys [in the media] but anybody, is patient with them. Because like Dereck and Dariq, they missed the most crucial part of any time of the year for freshmen, and that’s the preseason. Dereck missed over a month, and Dariq, almost three months. And, so for them, they’ve been working hard, and it’s gonna take them some time; for Dereck, it’s only been a few weeks.  And I just love the mindset, how he keeps working.  I felt the way he fought on defense in the Purdue game, he took a huge step.  And then tonight, he did the same thing against [Zed] Key.  And then for him, it’s just getting comfortable, developing his offensive game.  And in fairness to him, we’ve missed him.  One of the best things he does is he puts pressure on the rim in pick and roll. And our guards, Jeremy hit him on the lob.  He hit him on a couple plays tonight. That’s something we need to look for more.  And so again, he’s just gotta stick with it.  Really proud of his effort.  I thought it was a huge jump.  He’s rebounding in traffic more.  We just need to keep rolling with all of them.”

Again, Kyle Filipowski was the best player. The Blue Devils are just better with him on the floor.  Dereck Lively is indispensable defensively, and improving offensively.  Ryan Young has been a pleasant surprise at both ends.  Jeremy Roach has continued his maturation from late last year.  Procter has improved from an unimpressive start.  Only Mark Mitchell, after a good start, has disappointed as the competition has gotten better, and is probably the odd man out when Dariq Whitehead, who could take this team to another level, is ready.  Grandison and Blakes have also had their moments.

OTHER COMMENTS:

That has happened to the Tar Heels?

When was the last time North Carolina lost three basketball games in a row?

When was the last time the #1 basketball team dropped out of the poll?

Don’t get smug. Just like last year, North Carolina will get better as the season progresses—especially when they play Duke.

ALANALYSIS:

We are beginning to discern how Scheyer is developing the 2022-23 Blue Devils as a 9-player commando unit.  Each game, every strategy, who plays more and less, will be different depending on how Scheyer evaluates his team’s needs as the game flows on.  “We played nine guys, and all nine of them made some winning plays.  … When you have a lead, you don’t play the same way if it’s a tie game or if you’re down.”  Ohio State’s last lead in the game was 12-11, after less than 5 minutes had elapsed.  After that, the Blue Devils never let them take it again!

It surely was not a perfect game, but it was a good one, where Duke played a gutsy second half that secured the win.  Duke was also superb in the first half, holding the Buckeyes to 29 points, while the Blue Devils scored 39.  In the second half, the Blue Devils turned gritty and showed an admirable character by hanging tough and scoring even though Ohio State was blazing on offense. Even though the Blue Devils could not stop the Buckeye attack, the Devils never backed down, and kept the blazing Ohio State offense from ever getting  closer than 5 points (which the Buckeyes did 3 times).

The Blue Devils clung to the lead with their own blazing offense, and in the face of major adversity.  Both Kyle Filipowski  and Lively were saddled with four fouls for much of the closing period. Duke was not less than heroic, clinging to the lead even with their Bigs in foul trouble for the later portion of the game.  The heroes:  Ryan Young was fantastic; Roach was beyond stellar and gritty; Proctor did not miss a foul shot (6-6) in the clutch; and, Kyle made the play of the game with the lead down to five and the Buckeyes having  the momentum.  Filipowski dribbled behind his back on a drive to the basket, making a beautiful layup, and getting fouled.  Then, he made the foul shot, and Duke was on the road to a terrific “winning time” with just over 2 minutes to go.

Jeremy personified “hero”!  He didn’t practice at all after Portland because of the toe injury he suffered against Purdue; yet, he played all 20 minutes of this tight second half against the Buckeyes, demonstrating leadership, heart, and what a courageous winning attitude can accomplish. He had 10 of his 13 points in the second half, drew 5 Ohio State fouls with his acrobatic drives, going 6-8 from the foul line, as well as dishing out 5 second-half assists. It was yet another – maybe the most impressive so far – of his bravura performances!

THE ROTATION

Jeremy Roach (33:36) played a wonderful game on both offense and defense, especially after not having practiced since he was hurt against Purdue.  Even though he is not completely recovered, he led by example.  He scored 13 points as he drew 6 Buckeye fouls and was 7-9 from the foul line.  Jeremy was 3-6 inside the arc but 0-3 from deep. Critically, Jeremy willed Duke to victory in the second half, playing all 20 minutes, scoring 10 of his 13 points (2-5 from the field, including 0-1 from deep and a gaudy 6-8 from the stripe!) to go with a pair of important rebounds, and 5 assists (but 3 turnovers).  His driving drew 5 Ohio State fouls.  His leadership and heart were fully on display as Duke never let Ohio State get closer than 5 points.

Kyle Filipowski (30:26) led Duke in scoring with 16 points (6-11, including 4-6 from the stripe – without a 3 point attempt), to go with 7 rebounds, 2 assists, and 3 steals.  Kyle made the winning play of the game when the Buckeyes cut Duke’s lead to 5 with 3:06 to go in the game (72-67).  From the perimeter, Kyle drove, going behind his back to get to the rim for a layup, and then a foul shot, for an 8-point Duke lead with only 2:30 left.  He committed 3 second-half fouls (he picked up his 4th foul for the game with 10:45 left and went to the bench).  However, he re-entered with 6:45 to go and played the rest of the game with winning panache (and without committing more fouls).

Tyrese Proctor (27:07) teamed with Jeremy to give Duke a reliable backcourt, penetrating the Buckeye defense.  Proctor scored 12 points (2-8 from the field, including 2-3 from deep, and a critical 6-6 from the stripe), to go with 3 rebounds and an assist.  He drew 5 Ohio State fouls.  He was also an aggressive defender and rebounder.

Jacob Grandison (25:55) played an integral role in this victory, scoring 9 points (on 3-5 from the field, including 1-2 from deep and 2-2 from the stripe) to go with 4 big boards and 2 steals (against 2 turnovers).  His defense, found less than stellar  early in the season, was dramatically improved.  He played starter’s minutes.

Ryan Young (21:47) played more minutes than Dereck Lively because of Lively’s foul trouble (Dereck committed his 4th with 8:39 left in the game), and was both effective and valuable.  He scored 10 points (3-4 from the field and 4-4 from the stripe) to go with 5 rebounds and two assists.  It was in the second half that Ryan was a (and maybe the) star.  With both Lively and Filipowski playing fewer minutes because of foul trouble, Young scored 8 second-half points on perfect shooting (2-2 from the field and 4-4 from the stripe) with 3 key, tough rebounds.  Ryan, who transferred from Northwestern, thrives on the physicality of Big 10 basketball.

Dereck Lively II (17:41) had his best game at Duke so far, scoring 11 points on 4-5 from the field and 3-3 from the foul line.  He was a force on the interior, grabbing 5 rebounds, blocking a pair of shots (and altering others at the rim), with an assist, a steal, and a turnover.  Interestingly, Scheyer did not re-insert Dereck after he had committed his 4th foul, as Scheyer did with Kyle.  The result is Lively played less than 8 second-half minutes, even though he was 3-3 from the field and 1-1 from the stripe for 7 of his 11 points. Those 8 minutes may be the best Lively has played at Duke, but, unlike his trust in Kyle, Scheyer clearly didn’t think Dereck’s sophistication was up to being able to avoid the fifth foul (and so played Young instead).

Jaylen Blakes (15:21) is a defensive energizer bunny and moves the offense as well.  But he is not scoring (2 points on 1-5 from the field, including 0-2 on wide open 3-point attempts; no free throw attempts).  Jaylen played only 2:17 in the second half (which may be part of the reason Duke allowed 43 second-half Ohio State points).

Mark Mitchell (15:17) as Scheyer said, didn’t have his best stuff, but he hit a key 3 pointer and guarded Ohio State’s best player.   Mitchell scored 3 points on 1-3 from the field, including 1-2 from deep, to go with 2 boards, an assist, and a pair of turnovers.  He does seem to go from great game to invisible.

Dariq Whitehead (12:50) played an excellent first half, scoring 5 points in 10 minutes (2-3, including 1-1 from deep) and a pair of rebounds.  You can see the rust slowly coming off, but you can also see where the rust is still prominent (like in his dribble drives to the basket).  He played only 2:50 second-half minutes, missing both of his shots.  Scheyer: “Dariq took really good strides in the first half; his 3 and his offensive rebound.  How do you win?  You win by rebounding by defending and by making others better and these guys [Dariq and Dereck] did that tonight.”

SUMMING UP

The Duke women’s coach, Kara Lawson, made an insightful point about elite competitors.  Her team smashed Northwestern yesterday in the women’s ACC-Big 10 Challenge, holding Northwestern to 12 first-half points by playing amazing defense, to lead by 20 points at the half.  In the second half, Duke coasted, allowing Northwestern to score 23 fourth-quarter points (cutting the Duke lead to a, still substantial 15).  In the post-game press conference, Lawson was dramatically disappointed with her team’s second-half performance.  One of the reporters suggested it was just human nature to let up a bit when a team was in such complete control of the  game.  Lawson’s response is worth considering:

“Yes, I think it’s human nature for average people, but I don’t think it’s human nature for elite people, elite competitors.  I think when you are an elite competitor, you don’t care what the score is; you don’t care if it is practice or a game. You have a lot of pride in how you play.  We have to improve in that area.”

Kara was an elite competitor as a player.  On the men’s team, Jeremy has fully earned recognition as “an elite competitor”.  Jeremy leads a 9 man commando unit that is morphing into a gritty unselfish cohesive (almost) team.

The Blue Devil defense has been more consistent than the offense, but the offense was at its season best against Ohio State.  Duke is  heading into the ACC regular season with optimism.  Each year the Duke goals are the same: win the ACC regular season title; win the ACC tournament; win the National Championship (I am enough of a realist that making the Final Four feels like a truly great season).  The Ohio State game was a nice step toward having a team that can accomplish one or more of those goals – And, it was a whole lot more fun to watch than the Purdue game!

Next Play: Saturday, December 3 vs. Boston College in Cameron Indoor Stadium at 4:00 p.m. — ACC-regular season opener on ACCN.

A Lively Dunk.
Photo credit: GoDuke.com
Scheyer surveying his commando squad. 
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
To the basket! Jeremy drives.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
Kyle on his way to clinch the game with a late layup.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Duke Blue Devils 75 v. Boston College Eagles 59 (Season 14; Issue 9; Game # 10) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”. December 3, 2022

Jacob Grandison lines up another basket his 3 pointers have been an antidote to Duke’s otherwise disappointing perimeter shooting
Photo Credit: Ethan Hyman
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

As expected, Duke utilized their size, depth, and talent to take care of business in Cameron against an undersized and shorthanded Boston College Eagles. It might be easy to say that this precocious Blue Devil team is underperforming, but I think Coach Scheyer has done an outstanding job putting this team together and is doing a fine job managing their playing time. He substitutes in waves. Certainly Ryan Young and Jacob Grandison have become surprising additional contributors of both talent and maturity to the team. For a more complete assessment, read today’s Duke Basketball Report com. [Alan’s comment; The DBR assessment just skims the surface compared to the assessment in Alanalysis and Rotation below 🙂 – The Editorial staff agrees! ]

The freshmen were the main contributors on offense, but the veteran trio of Jeremy Roach, Ryan Young and Jacob Grandison played significant roles in setting the team right. Roach was a steady hand at the lead guard spot, Young deployed his clever fundamentals early on, and Grandison provided some much-needed 3-pointers.”They’re always ready for us. Always ready.” Scheyer said of his veterans: “Any given moment, any responsibility … It’s their toughness.  It’s the winning plays. They’ve learned from their experience in their college careers what it means to win.”

Early Injuries to Lively and Whitehead have also slowed the development of the team, but both have demonstrated glimpses of having NBA skills. While I agree with Alan that the interior defense is impressive,  I feel their perimeter defense needs attention. Some teams like Carolina (late last season version) will get hot and beat them with threes. Also, Mark Mitchell must have read my commentary on his play in recent games – that he has been impressive against smaller players, but not against better, bigger competition. I also said, “I hope I am wrong, because he is a talented versatile player.” Last night, Mark seemed to be making me eat my words by leading Duke in scoring and shooting lights out (6-7 from the field). However, consistency is important at higher levels of competition.  

ALANALYSIS:

Jon Scheyer is building a team in his first season that is intriguing, and different from the Coach K method.  Duke has shown a 9-player rotation that is very flexible offensively, depending on how Scheyer and his staff determine to attack the adversary’s defense. On defense, this rotation is most often stunning, if not yet as consistent as it will be.  Against BC, the first half was a defensive gem. However, Duke women’s coach,Kara Lawson, would have criticized the lack of defensive aggression from time to time in the second half, where the Blue Devils gave up 36 points after holding the Eagles to 23 first-half points. B.C. scored more points in the second half than Duke had scored in the first half (36-35). Scheyer: “Proud of the overall effort, our defense was really good. Finally, we could string some stops together, and that translated into some good offense for us.”  Kara seems to be more of a hard truth teller than Scheyer.

Here, in a Scheyer nutshell, is his philosophy for maximizing the talent on this roster, “We can come in waves, and our first group started out; I thought we were okay. Then I thought, when we subbed, we got some more energy.  That makes the guys, when they’re coming back in, have more energy.  We have a lot of different lineups.

Really, each one of our guys have played, stepped up, and contributed. That’s going to be who we are all season. … [We’re a] versatile group, incorporating full court pressure, whether it be zone or man, and using our depth is a big thing. Using our size and length protecting our rim … We really value what we’re doing; the ability to score in different ways. We had nine guys score tonight. You’re not going to have that all the time, but with this group, I wouldn’t be surprised if that happens many more times the rest of the year.”

Scheyer concludes, “Using our depth is a big thing, we have to continue to figure out who has the hot hand that day. … The ability to play differently with different lineups, I think, is really an advantage.”

The Defense

After a bit of a lackadaisical start (compared to the rest of the dynamically defensive first half), the Blue Devils played locked-down defense.  BC scored its 11th first-half point after 6:55 had elapsed in the first 6:55  to lead Duke by 3 (11-8).  Twelve minutes and 35 seconds later, the Eagles had managed only 9 more points, and trailed Duke 35-20.  Almost every Blue Devil played double-figure minutes in the opening period (except Ryan Young who appeared for a scintillating 7 minutes and Dariq Whitehead who had only a 5:20 cameo).  B.C. was held to 9-33 from the field (27%), including 1-10 from deep (Duke contested virtually every Eagle 3 point attempt).

Duke’s defense relaxed a bit in the second half where the Blue Devil lead was never less than double figures.  The Eagles were 15-31 from the field for almost 50%, and out rebounded the much taller Blue Devils 15-11, and on the offensive boards by 7-2.  This is where Kara Lawson’s admonition (in the Ohio State DBP) that elite competitors bring it every minute, regardless of the score or whether it’s a game or practice. It’s pride in how you play the game.  Scheyer might make Kara a guest lecturer in the men’s locker room.

The Offense

The offensive display was welcome after the poor shooting halves in the Purdue and Oregon State games..  Duke shot 53% from the field (28-53, including 8-20 from deep and 11-13 from the foul line) and, tellingly, had 19 assists on the 28 field goals, the mark of a cohesive unselfish offense.  Only 10 turnovers.  Very efficient.

As soon as Bill wrote that Mark Mitchell would be the odd man out of the starting lineup when Dariq Whitehead returned to his best form, Mark led Duke in scoring for the game, with one of the best offensive halves played by any Duke player this year!  He was the only double-digit scorer for Duke in the closing stanza, with 13 points in 12:13 on perfect shooting (5-5 from the field including 2-2 from deep and 1-1 from the stripe).  The entire team was lethal, shooting a dazzling 58 % (14-24, including an excellent 5-10 from behind the arc as well as a perfect 7-7 from the free throw line). 

Filipowski (nicknamed Flip) scored an efficient 7 second-half points in 10:48 on 3 shots (2-3 from the field, including 1-1 from 3land and 2-2 from the stripe).  Tyrese Proctor also scored 7 points, on 3 attempts in 11:20 (2-3 from the field, including 1-2 from deep and 2-2 from the stripe).  Dariq had a significant second half, playing 11:11 while scoring 6 points (3-5 from the field).

Only Ryan and Dereck Lively (D-Live is, of course, his nickname), who each played 6 ½ minutes, did not play double digit minutes in the second half.  Ryan didn’t score; D-Live was 1-1 for 2 points. Duke played a significant stretch with Flip as the center; that worked better on offense.

THE ROTATION

Jeremy Roach (27:45) scored 6 points (2-8, including 2-5 from behind the arc) with a rebound and 3 assists – and some suffocating defense.

Kyle Filipowski (25:28) had his fifth double-double of the season so far (10 games), scoring 13 points (4-10 from the field, including 1-3 from deep and 4-4 from the foul line) to go with 10 boards, an assist, and a steal. Scheyer has been enthusiastic about all of Flip’s developing game, but has especially  emphasized his rebounding and defending.

Jaylen Blakes (23:59) only scored 2 points (1-3, including 0-1 from 3land), but he handed out 5 assists, and made a steal.  The Coach praised Jaylen in his post game press conference, “I just want to say Jaylen Blakes, man, he’s done a big-time job for us. He’s coming in every game giving us energy.”

Tyrese Proctor (23:51) scored 9 points (3-6, including 1-4 from 3land and 2-2 from the foul line) to go with 3 assists, without a turnover.  He is playing like an efficient point guard. 

Jacob Grandison (22:04) is establishing himself as Duke’s best long-range shooter.  He scored 10 points (3-6 from the field, including 2-4 from behind the arc).  Jacob had his best all-around game by adding 6 defensive rebounds, handing out 3 assists and blocking a shot; he is playing better defense than early in the season.  Grandison has scored in double figures in four games.   In four previous years – two with  Holy Cross and two with Illinois, Grandison was a scorer, but that isn’t his main concern at Duke. “What really matters is win, win, win,” Grandison said. Grandison now has double-digit point totals in 60 of his career games.

Mark Mitchell (21:51) had his best game at Duke so far.  He led the Blue Devils in scoring, with 15 points (an astounding 6-7 from the field, including 2-2 from deep, and 1-3 from the foul line), to go with 4 boards, an assist and a blocked shot.  Mark said, “I got going on the defensive end a little bit, got a block, got a couple of stops, and I think that just fueled me to play offense.” 

Dereck Lively II (19:15) had another excellent outing, as he continues his comeback from his calf injury.  He scored 8 points on 4-5 (all next to the rim) and blocked 3 shots.  He also had 2 tough rebounds. Scheyer: “Dereck Lively had three blocked shots, but he impacted way more than just the three blocks by just his being in the game. You can see his activity and confidence is growing each and every day.”

Dariq Whitehead (16:31) continues to play a bit more and a bit better as he returns from his broken foot.  He scored 6 points on 3-5 shooting close to the basket.  He also had 3 rebounds and 2 assists. He is still turning the ball over when he is aggressive on offense (3 turnovers).  Scheyer: “Dariq did some really good things. He’s still getting back in the flow.”

Ryan Young (13:44) scored 6 points on perfect shooting (2-2 near the rim and 2-2 from the stripe).  He is a great sub for Lively, grabbing 4 boards, blocking 2 shots, with an assist and a steal.

SUMMING UP

Another worth-watching test these Blue Devils will undergo will be in the World’s Most Famous Arena against the Iowa Hawkeyes (6-1 so far this season), who have already beaten ACC teams Clemson and Georgia Tech.  Iowa’s only loss was to the Horned Frogs of Texas Christian University (TCU) in the finals of the Emerald Classic, before beating Georgia Tech in a regularly scheduled game.  (The Hawkeyes were ranked before their loss to TCU)  The Iowa star, Kris Murray (6’8” forward), scored 31 points and grabbed 20 rebounds against Georgia Tech!  Murray (and the Hawkeyes as a team) will challenge  the Blue Devil defense.

Next Play: Tuesday, December 6 vs. Iowa at Madison Square Garden (NYC) in the Jimmy V. Classic, at 9:30 p.m. EST, on ESPN

Mark Mitchell goes airborne.
Photo Credit: Ethan Hyman
Mark Mitchell, spurred by Bill’s criticism, was Duke’s high scorer.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
Grandison struts his stuff.
Photo credit: GoDuke.com

Duke Blue Devils 74 v. Iowa Hawkeyes 62 (Season 14; Issue 10; Game # 11) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”. December 6, 2022

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke played their best game of the year tonight in Madison Square Garden in beating Iowa (6-1) 74-62!  Jeremy Roach had the best shooting game of his career. Mark Mitchell must read the DBP; since I had written that his recent unproductive play made him the odd man out, when Darig Whitehead fully recovers from surgery and gets in game condition, Mitchell has played his best basketball.  The same is true of Proctor the last few weeks. With a nine-man rotation, Coach Scheyer has multiple options at his disposal to answer an opponent’s challenge. So, while I am on a roll, I must mention that Kyle Filipowski has cooled off somewhat in his offense; missing the front end of one- and- ones is a recipe for losing.

 The Blue Devil defense and rebounding made it difficult for the Hawkeye players to rally from a deficit for most of the game! Just regard the Mitchell and Whitehead defense on Kris Murray, who is averaging 21 points a game and was coming off a career-high 31-point game against Georgia Tech a week earlier.

Scheyer said: “I think our offense will just continue to develop through the course of the season, … but the defense is the base of who we are. The two things I always connect to Duke basketball – playing defense and sharing the ball. And we’ll continue to emphasize that, but just proud of the effort.”

So far, so good for Coach Scheyer’s start of the difficult task of replacing Coach K. Replacing a legend is a daunting task! Just look at UCLA since John Wooden retired.  And when was the last time Carolina lost four games in a row? 

ALANALYSIS:

Duke chose the World’s Most Famous Arena to play its absolutely best game of the season.  It was the team’s best game because Jeremy Roach (22 points), Mark Mitchell (17 points), and Dariq Whitehead (8 points, 3 assists, and 6 rebounds) each had a “best game of the young season”.  In addition, Kyle (Flip) Filipowski had his 6th double double in 11 games (12 points; 10 rebounds). When Dereck (D-Live) Lively II got into early foul trouble, Ryan Young picked up the interior rebounding (11 rebounds) and defense (3 blocks).  Duke had 7 blocked shots (Ryan’s 3; 2 by D-Live in his short stint; 1 by Dariq; and 1 by Mark). 

In fact, Duke looked so good  that Bill voiced to me that Iowa looked like they must be just a terrible team.  Of course, as Bill knows, the Hawkeyes are a good team, contenders in The Big 10, one of the nation’s toughest conferences.

The Blue Devils were superb defensively, and cohesive and efficient on offense. The Iowa Hawkeyes came in averaging 86.4 points per game, but could score only 62.  Duke held an opponent to under 65 points for the eighth time this season.  Both Coach K and now Coach S have a defensive philosophy of shutting down the best player on the opponent’s team. Scheyer assigned Mark and Dariq that task, which they accomplished brilliantly.  Kris Murray, Iowa’s All-American candidate, averaging over 21 points per game, was held to 8! 

Duke was efficient on offense, despite some lapses.  The Blue Devil lead was always safe, but the Hawkeyes stayed close, and frequently reduced the double-digit lead to single digits, but without ever threatening Duke’s lead.

The Defense

Scheyer: “What it comes down to in March, is you need to get stops.”  The coach praised his guards for tough on-the-ball defense making penetration by the opponent difficult, and included praise as well to Flip, D-Live, and Ryan for protecting the rim and defensive backboard.  Scheyer believes the defense is also enhanced by the size of perimeter defenders like Mark, and Dariq, who did such a dynamic defensive job on Kris Murray. Tyrese has become a worthy perimeter defender, who is 6’5”.

The Scheyer defense was to shut down Iowa’s best player, Kris Murray.  Mark provided this insight, “ We just had a gameplan to come in and try to stop him  [Murray]. We knew he’s a talented player, I tried to keep him off the glass as much as we could, I knew he averages a lot of offensive rebounds. We just tried to defend him as a team, not let him get any easy looks and just pressure him all night and make it hard for him.” Murray said after the game, “Every time I drove, they showed multiple defenders.”  Defense has been and will be the Blue Devil’s greatest challenge; they are meeting it dramatically so far.

The Offense

The Blue Devils are sharing the ball and taking care of it.  Duke had 13 assists on 28 made field goals, against only 9 turnovers, while scoring 37 points in each half.  Five players carried the offensive scoring because the other four were not scoring.  Blakes (0-2) failed to score, Young (1-2) and Lively (1-1) notched only 2 points, while Grandison scored a 3 while missing his other 2 shots.  Every one of Duke’s 9 players in the rotation has played multiple excellent games; at times, players have an off game, but the collective has been powerful. Duke’s offense against Iowa was the Blue Devils’ best offense of the year, and leaves mouthwatering potential if and when Dariq and D-Live are fully healthy.  

THE ROTATION

Jeremy Roach (36:51) gave us yet another bravura performance as a clutch scorer, as a skilled defender, but most importantly, as the leader of this young team!  Jeremy scored 22 points — 11 in each half – to lead Duke in scoring (8-18 from the field, including 3-6 from behind the arc and 3-3 from the foul line) to go with 3 assists and a pair of rebounds.  His acrobatic drives drew 4 Hawkeye fouls. One event illustrates his value as a leader – the glue that makes the Blue Devils go.  With 1:54 left in the game and Duke ahead by 12 (68-56), Scheyer felt the game was safe and took Roach out. Scheyer reversed his decision 43 seconds later as the Hawkeyes reduced the Duke lead to 8 by creating turnovers.  Jeremy re-entered the game and immediately restored order, pushing the Duke lead to 14 (74-60) with 13 seconds left.  Iowa scored a meaningless last second basket for the final 12-point margin.  Jeremy’s star is shining brightly.  We as fans get the old time pleasure of watching a young man grow from an underperforming newcomer to a formidable veteran – because he stayed in school.

Tyrese Proctor (28:55) is improving quickly as Jeremy’s backcourt mate. Tyrese scored 8 points — 7 in the first half – establishing himself not only offensively, but also as a tenacious on-the-ball defender.  Proctor was 3-6 from the field, including 1-3 from deep; he was 1-2 from the stripe, to go with 3 assists without a turnover, and a steal.  In the post-game press conference (Scheyer had Mitchell and Roach with him), Jeremy praised Tyrese, “He’s been a natural point guard his whole life. He takes pressure off me and off my legs.  I’m thankful for him.”

Mark Mitchell (28:52) played his best game (again) at both ends of the floor.  On offense, Mark scored an efficient 17 points — 13 in the second half – on 8 shots (6-8 from the field, missing his only shot 1 from deep; and 5-5 from the foul line).  He led the Blue Devils in scoring in the closing period.  Mark’s defense was superb.  He was the primary defender guarding Kris Murray.  Mitchell was the major defensive stopper that held Murray to 8 points on 3-9 shooting.  He well deserved to be at the press conference with Jeremy.

Ryan Young (25:27) played more minutes than usual because of Dereck Lively’s foul trouble.  Ryan scored only 2 points (1-2 from the field), but led Duke in rebounding with 11 (2 offensive) and blocked 3 shots in his valuable defensive effort.  Ryan proves his worth to this team almost every game.  He not only played more minutes than Lively, he also played more than Filipowski.

Kyle Filipowski (25:15) quietly achieved his 6th double-double, in only the 11th game of the season, scoring 12 points (5-15, including 1-4 from 3land and 1-3 from the stripe) on less than stellar shooting, and grabbing 10 rebounds (4 were offensive).  It seemed as if Flip is not playing as well as he had in previous games, but then you look up and he merely had a double-double.

Dariq Whitehead (20:45) played his best game so far, scoring 8 points (3-7 from the field, including 1-3 from behind the arc and 1-1 from the stripe).  The rust is coming off game by game.  Dariq guarded Kris Murray, when Mitchell was not, and was quite effective.  His passing is sharpening up as he demonstrated by handing out  3 assists and only one turnover (offensive foul on a drive).  Even better, Dariq showcased his athleticism by hauling in 6 tough rebounds.  It is recognized that he has the potential to raise the level of this team as he sheds his rust.  Very encouraging.

Dereck Lively II (13:22) committed two early first-half fouls that severely limited his playing time and impacted his aggressiveness.  He and Jeremy combined for a sweet pick and roll, where D-Live dunked impressively.  That was his only field goal attempt and his only 2 points.  He had a single rebound.  A bit disappointing.

Jacob Grandison (7:20) hit his first shot, a 3 pointer, when the Hawkeyes left him wide open for his only 3 points of the game (1-2 from the field).  He also grabbed a rebound and blocked a shot.  His limited playing time was not about Jacob playing badly, it was just that others were doing the job.  That is how Scheyer is developing his team.

Jaylen Blakes (6:01) in spite of his high energy on defense, he had another scoreless game (0-2, including 0-1, without a foul shot).  He grabbed 2 defensive rebounds and handed out an assist.

SUMMING UP

The schedule now gives the Blue Devils time to practice, which should greatly benefit both Whitehead and Lively, who have been short on practice time.  They missed the pre-season.  By the time they saw the court, Duke was already playing a string of games, without time to practice together.  Finally, they will have that needed time.  After the game against Maryland Eastern Shore this coming Saturday, Duke has 10 days before an ACC game at Wake Forest (on Tuesday, December 20), followed by an 11 day hiatus before Duke hosts Florida State on the afternoon of New Year’s eve.

With former teammates Trevor Keels and Mark Williams, NBA rookies with the New York Knicks and Charlotte Hornets, respectively, sitting courtside, Jeremy Roach was observed trading comments with each.  I hope the NBA rookies were suitably jealous because Jeremy is basking in the limelight  while Keels is toiling in the G-League and Williams is watching basketball from the bench.

Next Play: Saturday, December 10 vs. Maryland Eastern Shore in Cameron Indoor Stadium at 5:30 p.m. on ACCN.


Duke Blue Devils 82 v. University of Maryland Eastern Shores Hawks 55 (Season 14; Issue 11; Game # 12) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”. (December 10, 2022)

Bill’s CliffsNotes

As a precautionary measure, Jeremy Roach, the team’s most essential player, sat out the game to rest his toe injured in the Purdue game. He has played, but not practiced, since then. Consequently, Coach Scheyer started five freshmen and gave Tyrese Proctor an opportunity to run the point, which he did quite well.  This game was a mismatch and, if it were a prize fight, would have been stopped at the half.  The Hawks never gave up but were no match for Duke’s size and talent differential.

The Blue Devils dominated the boards but committed 19 turnovers—an unacceptable number. They made 40% of their threes. Let’s hope that is a trend. On successive possessions, Dariq Whitehead drove the lane for a dunk, then faked a drive from top of the key and hit a three.  Once at full strength, Whitehead will make Duke a better team at both ends of the floor.  Scheyer said of Whitehead, who started in place of Roach: “I want him to just get out in transition more, attack the basket, and I don’t think he’s shown yet, I think you’ll see soon just what a defender he can be too.”

Randolph Childress, the great shooting guard for Wake Forest and the MVP for the 1995 NCAA tournament, was the color announcer for the game and made several cogent remarks. He commented that this break before the new year is a good opportunity for the young team to heal, and the players to work on their game skills.

Miscellaneous Comments:

  • Jaden Schutt, a Duke freshman shooting guard, who was the 2022 Gatorade Player of the Year in Illinois, might be someone to keep an eye on. If he stays around, he might become a valuable player — if not this year, in the future. Three point shooting is not a strength of this Blue Devil squad.
  • North Carolina looked a lot better beating Georgia Tech handily Saturday than they did in their four previous losses. The Tarheels will be a tough out for any ACC team, as will Virginia, always a difficult opponent.
ALANALYSIS:

Jeremy’s Injury and Absence

The Blue Devils faced the Hawks, a Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference (MEAC) team with a mediocre 3-6 record coming into the game.  Duke’s talent and size advantage pressaged a mismatch. However, Jeremy Roach didn’t play – which made for a different game.  Coach S explained the Jeremy situation, “He’ll be ok for our next game.  He just has been playing through pain.  He hasn’t been able to practice; he hasn’t been able to do extra work.  This is the one chance we have for him to get back to 100%.  He won’t do anything for the next couple of days.  He’s already progressing healing-wise.”

Average or Elite Competitors?

In Jeremy’s absence, the Blue Devils committed a horrendous 19 turnovers (14 were Hawk steals from careless Duke ball handling and their dramatic lack of intensity).  Scheyer saw the problem, and acknowledged that solving it was his responsibility.  “I thought tonight in the first half they brought the fight to us more than we brought the fight to them.  That’s what I wasn’t as happy with.  That’s on me. That is our preparation, and what we have to do to get ready.”  It was obvious that Duke behaved  (in Kara Lawson’s words) like average players, rather than elite competitors who don’t care about the score, who the opponent is, or whether it is a game or practice.  Elite competitors play all out because of their pride in their craft.  If our new young coach can instill the mindset of elite competitors in this (or any) team, he will be a great coach.

Scheyer’s Optimism is Justified

Duke played 12 games in 33 days to open the season, which left little time in practice to work on anything besides getting ready for the next game.  Duke does not play again until December 20, and so – after exams – the Blue Devils will finally be able to work on improving what the team has and adding to its offensive and defensive repertoires, while continuing to integrate Dereck Lively II and Dariq Whitehead into the team.  Dariq broke out dramatically in the second half against UMES .  His return to, as Scheyer put it, “being himself” has the potential to take Duke to a higher level.

The defense has been ahead of the offense so far this season.  Duke’s length has enabled the Blue Devils to protect the rim and rebound effectively at both ends of the floor.  The perimeter defense has been outstanding.  Scheyer is eager to test his defense against conference opponents.

The coach plans to add some offensive creativity now that there is time to do so.  Coach K used to say he coached 3 things: offense, defense, and communication; Scheyer clearly heard him.  “We’re learning what it takes to win. The talent has been there, the unselfishness has been there. Now it’s the plays, the loose balls, the talking on defense, how to work to get open. All the little details; they’re embracing what they’re seeing, and I think their confidence is improving, and our confidence is growing. We have a long way to go and a lot to work on, but I do feel we’re night and day already from who we were to start the year until right now.” 

 THE ROTATION

Tyrese Proctor (26:00) ran the team in Jeremy Roach’s absence.  He (tied with Dariq Whitehead) led Duke in scoring with 15 points (5-9 from the field including 2-4 from 3land, and 3-3 from the foul line).  Four turnovers diminished an otherwise worthy performance.  Scheyer: “The thing with him is that he’s really smart, he’s really unselfish, and the next step is just taking what he knows and talking more. I want him to talk more and to use his voice, because he sees things that others don’t or can’t, and he really carried the load for us with ball handling responsibilities.  …  When Jeremy [Roach] comes back we feel like the two of those guys can play off one another very well.”

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (25:37) scored 12 in the first half, 14 points total, , (6-11, including 0-2 from deep and 2-2 from the stripe) to go with 7 rebounds, 3 steals (team lead), and two  assists.  Flip committed 4 of Duke’s 19 turnovers.

Dariq Whitehead (24:56) had his longest stint on the court and his best game at Duke.  He (and Tyrese) led Duke in scoring with 15 points (6-14, including 1-5 from behind the arc and 2-2 from the foul line) to go with 2 boards, 2 assists, 2 steals, and a blocked shot.  Dariq had a frustrating first half, scoring only 2 points on 1-6 shooting.  Then came a breakout second half.  In 12 minutes, Dariq scored 13 points (5-8, including 1-3 from deep and 2-2 from the stripe).  He was the Blue Devils’ only double-digit scorer in the closing period.  Coach S is rightfully excited, “he’s a complete player: defender, and can really pass. …With his size and athleticism, he can guard multiple positions.”

Jaylen Blakes (22:24) teamed with Tyrese in the backcourt as well as running the team by himself at times.  He is such an energetic defender, who can dazzle with his quickness.  He scored 6 points (1-2 from 3land and 3-4 from the stripe).  “Jaylen plays hard all the time, and it’s infectious. It translates to the rest of the group”, enthused his coach.

Jacob (Jake) Grandison (21:28) scored 5 points (2-5 from the field, including 1-2 from 3land) to go with 5 gaudy rebounds, 3 assists, and 2 steals.  Scheyer linked Jacob with Jaylen in his praise, “When they go in the game, they may not make every right play, but who does? Jake, you can tell with him, he’s a really calming influence.  He’s a great passer, I’ve got to get him where he’s shooting more open shots.  He’s really unselfish, and he just plays hard all the time.”

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (20:30) played an impactful game, with 9 rebounds and 5 blocks.  He scored 8 points (3-8 from the field, including 0-2 from 3land and 2-2 from the stripe).  His size advantage wore the Hawks down.

Jaden Schutt (18:48) played his first significant minutes this year.  The freshman brought with him a reputation as a lethal perimeter shooter.  He enhanced that reputation by making all 3 of his 3-point attempts (his only field goal attempts) for 9 points.  He also grabbed 5 rebounds and handed out an assist.  Scheyer was pleased, “Jaden Schutt, he’s worked, you guys haven’t been able to see it, but he’s worked before practice, after practice, he’s been the best player on every team we scout, and that’s a role that a lot of big-time players have had here. I was in that role.” [In practice , players emulate the opponent (based on scouting reports).   Most teams have a star.  It is a special role to be the Duke player who emulates that star in practice. Jaden has been selected to do that (as Scheyer was at times when he was a player)].

Scheyer continued on to highlight Schutt’s importance beyond just scoring, “The first play he made was an offensive rebound; it wasn’t a shot, it wasn’t a three, it was an offensive rebound and that got us going.”

Mark Mitchell (16:48) disappeared again into a disappointing game.  He managed only 2 points (1-3 from the field without a 3-point attempt or a free throw).  His 3 careless turnovers limited his playing time, although he grabbed 4 boards and passed for 2 assists in his shorter-than-usual stint on the court.

Ryan Young (12:18) played a bit less than usual but was his consistently impactful self.  He scored 4 points (2-3 from the field) to go with 3 defensive rebounds.

THE CONFERENCE SEASON BEGINS!

The schedule now gives the Blue Devils time to practice, which should greatly benefit both Whitehead and Lively.  Duke has 10 days before the ACC opener at Wake Forest (on Tuesday, December 20) followed by an 11-day hiatus before Duke hosts Florida State at 1 p.m. on New Year’s Eve Day.

This young team’s first road game, against Wake in Winston-Salem, will be a dangerous test. Road games are different from neutral site games.  The freshmen will be facing a hostile crowd and a Demon Deacon team smarting from a bad loss to LSU on a last-second shot, after blowing a huge lead.  ACC road games are a whole different kettle of fish, and will be baptism by fire for the freshmen. 

 The Obvious ACC Contenders

Despite the ACC’s 8-6 win in the final “ACC-Big 10 Challenge” (Nov 2022), the ACC has been viewed as a “weak” conference.  For example, the ACC has only 2 teams in the top 25 – Virginia (8-0) at # 3 and our own Duke Blue Devils at # 15.  Virginia Tech (9-1, with wins over power conference teams Penn State and Minnesota, deserves to be ranked), Miami (10-1), and UNC (astoundingly the first pre-season # 1 to fall completely out of the top 25, resulting from 4 consecutive losses, after 5 opening wins) received votes, but not enough to be in the top 25. Only Boston College (5-6), Louisville (a shocking 0-9), and Florida State (2-9) have looked completely inept so far.  The remaining 7 teams – Clemson (8-3), NC State (8-3), Notre Dame (8-2), Wake Forest (7-3), Pittsburgh (7-4), Syracuse (6-4) and Georgia Tech (6-4) — will be ACC-tough, especially at home, but not contenders for National honors.

Before anyone counts UNC out, let us remember how much trouble Hubert Davis had with his Tarheels from November until February last year.  UNC was a major disappointment until the ‘Heels transformed, beating Duke on both Senior Night in Cameron and in the Final Four, denying Coach K the Hollywood ending that we had all hoped for.  Last night, UNC looked like a ranked team as the ‘Heels blasted Georgia Tech 75-59, with Bacot returning to form to score 21 points and grab 13 rebounds.

It will be illuminating to see how Scheyer handles his current 9-player rotation. We are used to the Coach K years, when the rotation shrunk as ACC play became more intense; the later in the season, the leaner the rotation.  Duke’s next game, on the road against the Demon Deacons of Wake Forest, will give us the first inkling of how Scheyer’s early-season philosophy will succeed in ACC play.

It has the potential to be a scintillating ACC regular season! 

Next Play: Tuesday, December 20 vs. Wake Forest in Winston-Salem at 6:30 p.m. on ACCN


Duke Blue Devils 70 v. Wake Forest Demon Deacons 81 (Season 14; Issue 12; Game # 13) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (December 20, 2022)

“We have to play like Ryan and Jaylen did tonight. And I thought they set a great example. But we need everybody to play that way.”
Photo credit: GoDuke.com
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke played Wake Forest, which had squeaked by Appalachian State 67-66 Wednesday on a last second basket, before suffering an ugly 81-57 loss at Rutgers three days later. Duke was without both center Dereck Lively and forward Dariq Whitehead, who were left in the infirmary while recovering from the flu. The way the rest of the team, except Jaylen Blakes, played, they all should have stayed in bed. The remaining Blue Devils played as poorly as any team I can remember. They trailed the Demon Deacons by double digits most of the game. 

Johnny Tar Heel speculated that during Exam Week Carolina, losers of four straight before beating Ohio State, had a personality transplant with Duke. I thought that unlikely, because Duke players actually take their own exams, while it is well documented that Carolina players have a tawdry history of….. 

All jokes aside, it is disappointing that none of the remaining players stepped up to fill the void of the missing players. Kyle Filipowski, in particular, has been inconsistent lately, and not only failed to achieve a double-double, he scored only 9 points and retrieved only 4 rebounds.  He was 0-6 from behind the arc.  The team as a whole shot threes and free throws poorly, and without Lively protecting the rim, the Deacons dominated the paint—plus the Joel Coliseum has usually been a tough venue for the Blue Devils. 

Last night, Miami beat Virginia, so all the usual suspects now have a loss.  Time will tell whether this Duke loss to Wake was a one-off anomaly, or whether this group of freshmen is overrated.

ALANALYSIS:

Even though Scheyer had proclaimed in his Monday pre-game press conference that, “Jeremy [Roach] is in good shape. He’ll be ready to go for tomorrow night and Dariq [Whitehead], Dereck [Lively II], the same.  We’re as good health-wise as we’ve been all season.” Lively and Dariq got sick and did not even travel to Winston-Salem with the team, while Jeremy showed evidence that his toe was still adversely impacting his performance.  And a genuinely terrible performance – by the whole team – it indisputably was.  

Ryan Young put his finger on the fatal flaw, “we came out lethargic tonight, they jumped on us, and we never could dig ourselves out of the hole that we put ourselves in in the first half. It keeps on coming back to effort and not wanting it as much tonight. They were able to get in our paint pretty easily, and they were able to get to the free throw line very easily against us.”  

The Blue Devils, who have been one of the nation’s outstanding rebounding teams, were outrebounded by the Deacons.  Ryan: “It’s inexcusable. It [rebounding] is toughness and it’s effort. It’s not much else that goes into rebounding. And it was embarrassing that we couldn’t win that tonight. As Coach mentioned, they out toughed us and they came out right from the jump and they wanted it more than us.”

Scheyer acknowledged in his post-game press conference, “They were the hungrier team, and [you could tell] their sense of urgency. For us, we didn’t have that. They outrebounded us. I thought the free throws were key, you know, they got to the free throw line, they made 22 out of 26. That’s on us. They drove the ball stronger than we did, and we probably fouled a few times when we shouldn’t have. When we missed some shots, that impacted our defense and (we were) taken aback by it. Our defense has always started with guarding the ball. And they just drove us like crazy, and just got in our paint at will.” 

It looked like the first day of practice after summer vacation.  The Blue Devils lacked any semblance of cohesion on defense (gave up 81 points, 42 in the second half) and could not get a stop when one was needed. Worse, Duke committed 14 fouls just in the second half.  Jaylen Blakes fouled out, Kyle Filipowski and Jeremy Roach each finished with 4 fouls.  

The Blue Devils simply could not shoot accurately. The best Duke-3 point shooters  were collectively 2-19 from behind the arc  Filipowski (0-6), Tyrese Proctor (1-5), Jacob Grandison (1-5) and Roach (0-3 – not counting the only one he made, which was meaningless with 22 seconds left in the game).  

The Blue Devils could not hold onto the ball.   Duke would get a steal and then give it back through consistently careless ball handling.  The 13 second-half turnovers seemed like more.

The Defense

As both Ryan and Coach acknowledged, the Blue Devils defense was virtually non-existent. Tyree Appleby, the Wake Forest point guard, drove past Jeremy as if Jeremy were standing still – which he was. Duke committed 14 second-half fouls and put the Demon Deacons in the bonus with less than 7 minutes having elapsed in the second half.  Wake was 15-16 from the foul line in the second half, and shot almost 50% from the field (49.1% for the game; 52% in the second half when the Demon Deacons scored 42 points).

The Offense

The Blue Devils had a disappointing first half, shooting under 40% including 3-15 from behind the arc, and shooting only 5 free throws.  Duke’s offense picked up in the second half (scoring 40 points on 50% shooting (14-28, including 5-12 from deep, and 7-9 from the stripe).  Thirteen turnovers for the game – 8 in the second half –  kept Duke from mounting a wished-for comeback as the game wound down.

THE ROTATION

Jeremy Roach (35:12) scored 9 points (on 3-7 shooting, including 1-4 from behind the arc and 2-2 from the stripe).  His one successful deep shot was meaningless, coming 22 seconds from the end of the game, and reducing the Wake margin of victory from 14 to 11.  I think Jeremy is still hurt and that adversely impacts his quickness.  He could not defend, committing 4 fouls (3 of the Blue Devils’ 14 second-half fouls) as well as 5 turnovers (only 2 assists).  Duke’s offense misfired badly in the first half when Jeremy was 0-4 from the field (0-3 from deep) in almost 17 first-half minutes.  

Ryan Young (34:37) came within a rebound of a double-double.  He scored 10 points (5-6 from the field, without a foul shot or a deep shot attempt) to go with 9 boards, 3 assists without a turnover, plus a steal.  Scheyer said, “I thought he really battled. We didn’t give him the ball enough.”

Mark Mitchell (32:21) was Duke’s second leading scorer with 14 points (4-8 from the field, including 2-3 from 3land and 4-5 from the foul line) to go with 4 boards, an assist, a steal, and a turnover.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (27:12) had a subpar game for him.  He scored only 9 points on 14 shots (4-14 from the field, including a disastrous 0-6 on wide open deep shots, plus 1-3 from the stripe).  He had almost as many turnovers as rebounds (5 turnovers; 6 boards) and committed all 4 fouls of his game-fouls in the second half, where Duke’s defense consisted primarily of fouling Wake players.  

Jaylen Blakes (25:45, 15:19 in the second half before he fouled out in the last minute of the game) played his best game at Duke, leading the Blue Devils in scoring with 17 points (6-7 from the field, including 3-4 from behind the arc and 2-2 from the stripe) to go with 3 assists (1 turnover) and 3 steals.  Blakes scored 10 second-half points on perfect 3-3 shooting from the field, including 2-2 from deep, plus 2-2 from the stripe. Scheyer acknowledged Blakes’s great game, “Jaylen Blakes really guarded and gave us great energy. We have to play like those two guys  [Ryan and Jaylen] did tonight. And I thought they set a great example. But we need everybody to play that way.”

Tyrese Proctor (24:02) didn’t shoot well and played fewer minutes (9:25) in the second half after 13 minutes in the opening period.  For the game he scored 6 points (2-7 from the field, including 1-5 from 3land and 1-2 from the foul line).  His defense was spotty, some good steals, but Wake penetrated the Blue Devils’ perimeter defense at will.

Jacob Grandison (19:01) had a difficult shooting game, scoring 5 points, all in the first half, on 9 shots (2-9, including 1-5 from deep) with 2 assists and a rebound.  He made his first 2 shots early in the first half, and played only 8:22 in the second half missing both (1 from deep) of his attempted shots.  Jake started out strong and then he fizzled.

THE CONFERENCE STANDINGS

Miami is 3-0 (12-1 overall) ranked 22nd in the latest poll 

Pittsburgh is 2-0 (9-4),

Virginia Tech is 1-0 (11-1) ranked 21st in the latest poll

Clemson is 1-0 (9-3)

UVA is 1-1 (8-2) ranked 6th in the latest poll

Wake is 1-1 (9-4)

Duke is 1-1 (10-3) ranked 14th in the latest poll (will drop in next poll)

UNC is 1-1 (8-4) is unranked but was pre-season # 1.

Syracuse and Fla. State are 1-1, while Georgia Tech, Notre Dame, BC, NC State and Louisville are all winless.  Among them, only Notre Dame will be a contender by March.

SUMMING UP

Conference road games are just different.  Both UVA (6th nationally) and Duke (14th nationally) lost ACC road games on Tuesday –UVA to Miami, and Duke to Wake.  Of course, disastrous starts have been overcome before, and Duke is still developing the team that will compete for conference and National honors.  As Scheyer pointed out, Duke has not had its full team for almost half of the 13 games, and has never had this year’s squad at full (in game shape) strength yet.  The potential is still obviously there.  Whether it will be realized is the question of the season, and why we will return for the 


Next Play: Tuesday, December 31 vs. Florida State in Cameron Indoor Stadium at 1:00 p.m. on ESPN2.

Jaylen played his best game ever, leading Duke in scoring and in hustle.  
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Duke Blue Devils 86 v. Florida State Seminoles 67 (Season 14; Issue 13; Game 14) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (December 31, 2022)

Ryan Young scores around the basket with both hands and uses the backboard like an artist.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke’s schedule provided a late Christmas present for the Blue Devils this year—after a disappointing loss at Wake Forest (a team they have owned recently), playing a subpar Florida State (a team they have recently  not owned), in the friendly confines of Cameron Indoor Stadium. And Duke clearly needed a break. They have played more college games this year before Christmas than any team in the country. 

The Blue Devil starters were so sluggish on offense that coach Scheyer substituted in Ryan Young (and kept former reserve Jaylen Blakes in the game) to cure the starting team’s shortcomings. They did not disappoint. Both had outstanding games. As Scheyer said: “We had a few lineups on the court, we just had a roll and went with it, but I thought our defense was back to where we needed to be. Offensively we really shared the ball well. Ryan Young obviously had a big-time night, not missing a field goal, not missing a free throw. Just his rebounding, you feel like when a shot’s taken, he’s going to come up with the ball. …

“Look, this is…for any of our guys, it’s never smooth sailing. It just isn’t, and so for Dariq Whitehead I think he’s gotten a lot tougher in this stretch. … Any of our guys, any of our freshmen have gone through ups and downs already. Any freshman who’s ever come through here has gone through that and they’re going to be better for it. Just fighting through it is the only way to do it, and that’s what Dariq is starting to do. I’m really proud of him for it.”

For my taste, Duke is a different team with Whitehead on the floor. The same goes for Blakes, who brings an attitude and energy both offensively and defensively that we have rarely seen– and this group needs to be a contender. And with Kyle Filipowski seemingly regressing and Dereck Lively not demonstrating much offense, we need more consistency and diversity in scoring.

It also is apparent that this is a deeper squad – 9 players getting significant playing time – than any recent ones, so coaching decisions of whom to play when will be crucial to its development and success. It will be an interesting season!

Next play!

ALANALYSIS:

The color announcer intoned, “the answer to every question today is Ryan Young.”  He could have added Jaylen Blakes to that sentence.  Those two players– not usually starters — scored 37 points between them.  Add to that Dariq’s 16 points off the bench and there is a substantial amount of Duke’s scoring.  Coach Scheyer is still developing cohesion and experimenting with which combination of players on the floor make the Blue Devils a nationally competitive team.  Jaylen’s last two games (Wake Forest and this one) are his effort to remain a starter.  In the first half, Duke starters Dereck Lively, Kyle Filipowski, and Mark Mitchell entirely failed to score. 0!  The Big Goose Egg! Lively didn’t even take a shot. Jeremy Roach wasn’t much better, going 1-7 (1-4 from deep) in the first half.  

As Bill has emphasized, Scheyer’s most important decisions will be who to play and when to play them.  The coach had this to say about his decision to start Blakes: “Well, I think for us as we go on in the season we may start different groups, and tonight this was, we felt, the best thing. Jaylen, his energy, his confidence, and his defense has been rock solid for us and made that switch and credit to him to make the best of that opportunity.”

The second most important challenge for the new coach is teaching his team to be consistent in their effort.  Take the Blue Devils’ defense last night for example.

The Defense

The defense was a tale of two halves.  Duke’s defense in the first half was simply superb. The Blue Devils forced at least three shot clock violations and there were several times that FSU had to chunk up a shot as the clock expired.  Duke held the Seminoles to 25 first-half points on 36% shooting and allowed Florida State only 6 free throw attempts.  

Contrast that to the Blue Devils’ shoddy second-half defense, which  allowed  42 second- half Seminole points on 50% shooting from the floor, and put Florida State on the foul line for 20 free throws (for 17 second-half points from the foul line!)  The Duke defense was as bad in the second half as it was good in the first half.  Scheyer has work to do.

The Offense

What do we make of Duke’s usual starters being so ineffective?  Roach was 2-10, to score 9 points – and he was the most successful of the starters.  Mitchell was scoreless in the first half, pouring in 8 second-half points.  Filipowski was also scoreless in the first half and finished with 6 points.  Lively II didn’t even attempt a shot in his 12 and a half scoreless minutes.

What do we make of Duke’s usual reserves being so effective?  Ryan had a night for the ages with 20 points; Jaylen in his first starting assignment scored 17 while running the team well; and Dariq continues improving dramatically.  All very effective. Among the three of them they scored 32 of Duke’s 42 first-half points.  Ryan was the embodiment of efficiency scoring 20 points on only 7 shots.  Jaylen injected needed energy as well as shooting 67% from deep.  Dariq’s development may be the most important aspect of all for Duke.  Scheyer on Whitehead, “I thought he had his best two days of practices. … You can tell he gives us a different dimension and we need to follow that up with consistency and building in practice but give him credit.” 

Both Proctor and Grandison are also contributing, in differing ways.  Grandison is still Duke’s best 3 point shooter, while Proctor is a good backcourt backup at both ends.

The potential is surely there, but without any guarantee that Duke will realize that potential enough to make a run at ACC and National honors.

THE ROTATION

Jaylen Blakes (30:06) started his first game at Duke and rewarded Scheyer’s judgment with an outstanding performance.  It was the second straight game that Blakes tied his career high, scoring 17 points (6-11 from the field, including 4-6 from deep and 1-2 from the stripe).   Jaylen also contributed 3 assists (only a single turnover) and a steal. His play is making a good argument for him to remain a starter.

Jeremy Roach (29:17) did not yet look like his pre toe injury self.  His first half was disappointing, scoring only 3 points (1-7 from the field, including 1-4 from deep).  He steadied on offense in the second half and finished the game with 9 points (2-10 from the field, including 2-5 from behind the arc and 3-4 from the foul line) to go with 3 rebounds, 3 assists, and only one turnover.

Mark Mitchell (28:01) played an excellent second half, scoring 8 points, after failing to score at all in the first half (3-6 from the field, including 1-2 from 3land and 1-2 from the stripe).  Mark contributed 3 rebounds, 2 blocked shots, and 2 assists (against 3 turnovers).

Dariq Whitehead (27:58) played his longest in a game and is rounding into star form.  Dariq scored 16 points (on 5-11 from the field, including 2-6 from deep and 4-4 from the stripe) to go with a steal, a rebound, and 2 assists.  Dariq is still regaining his form from a year ago.  If he can do that, Dariq will give the Blue Devils a valuable added dimension.

Ryan Young (24:23) had what had to be the game of his life.  He made every shot he took, while leading Duke in scoring with 20 points (7-7 from the field and 6-6 from the foul line)!  Ryan grabbed 12 boards and handed out a pair of assists without a turnover.  Florida State had no answers for Ryan’s amazing game.

Tyrese Proctor (20:37) provided bench support in the backcourt for the two starters (Roach and Blakes) by handing out 3 assists without a turnover.  Tyrese scored 4 points (1-4 from the field, including 0-1 from behind the arc and 2-2 from the foul line).  

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (17:39) seems to have regressed on both ends of the floor.  After failing to score in the first half, Flip scored 6 second-half points (3-4 from the field with a miss on his only attempt from deep) to go with 5 rebounds and 2 assists.  Flip’s playing time was limited by his foul trouble; he finished the game with 4.

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (12:34) had his minutes curtailed by Ryan Young’s amazing performance at center. In his brief time on the court, D-Live committed 3 personal fouls, blocked 2 shots, snared a rebound, and turned it over once.  He not only failed to score in the game, he did not even attempt a shot.

Jacob Grandison (9:25) scored 6 points going 2-4 from deep (his only shot attempts) with an assist.  Grandison is being beaten on defense, which is why he is playing as little as he is in spite of his good shooting.

THE CONFERENCE SO FAR

UNC, the nation’s #1 team in the pre-season polls, has been inconsistent.  After being the first #1 team to lose 4 games and drop out of the top 25, the Tarheels flourished and returned to the rankings at # 25 last week.   Jeff Capel’s Pitt Panthers remained undefeated in Conference play by beating UNC on Friday in Pittsburgh.  Conference road games are just different. 

There are no ACC teams ranked in the top ten. Ranked ACC teams are: Virginia 13th in the AP poll and 12th in the Coaches’ Poll; Miami 14th in AP, 16th in Coaches’; Duke 17th in AP, 14th in Coaches’; North Carolina 25th in AP and 2nd in “others receiving votes” category in Coaches’’. Virginia Tech received votes but no ranking in both polls.

Miami, Pitt, and Clemson remain unbeaten in the conference.  Wake won at home against Virginia Tech, while the UVA Cavaliers won on the road against Georgia Tech.  All games for the Blue Devils until the NCAA tournament are conference games.

Next Play: Wednesday, January 4, 2023 at North Carolina State in Raleigh, N.C. at 7:00 p.m. on ACCN.

Jaylen injects energy and athleticism into the Duke starting lineup.
Photo credit: GoDuke.com
Dariq is the x-factor that gives Duke an extra dimension and higher potential.
Photo credit:GoDuke.com

Duke Blue Devils 60 v. North Carolina State Wolfpack 84 (Season 14; Issue 14; Game # 15) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (January 4, 2023)

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

After the Wake Forest game, I wrote that “the Blue Devils played as poorly as any Duke team I can remember.” Well, after the N.C. State game last night, I take that back – this time, THEY PLAYED WORSE, MUCH WORSE !  The margin of the loss is difficult to rationalize. It is a tossup as to whether the Blue Devils were worse offensively or defensively and whether N.C. State played better offensively or defensively. The questions are: Is this State team this good or Duke this bad? How has this Wolfpack team lost three ACC games? What happened to the Duke team which played some of the best teams in the country competitively before the exam break? Are these highly touted freshmen overrated or NBA ready and just bored with college basketball?

Some of the answers: ACC home games are difficult for visitors to win. On any given night, even an inferior team, with a hot shooter from the three point line can be a real catalyst for an upset. There are a lot of good, but unheralded players who in any given game can be the difference between winning and losing. Everyone plays their best against the highly ranked and highly publicized Duke and North Carolina. Johnny Tar Heel thinks Blue Devil women’s coach Kara Lawson (14-1; 4-0 in the ACC) should coach the men’s team.

If this embarrassing loss wasn’t a wakeup call, what will be?

Next Play!!

Editorial Board note: The editors are in such a funk after Duke’s abysmal road performance that – in Coach K-like discipline, when he took away the players’ locker room privileges – there will be no pictures of Duke players in this issue.  Rather we honor the Duke womens’ team and coach as well as Johnny Tarheel’s admiration.  We note that the Blue (She) Devils won their second consecutive ACC road game, last night, beating Wake Forest 60-50.  The team is 14-1, and 4-0 in the ACC. 
Kara Lawson, who is working miracles with the Duke women’s team Photo Credit: The News & Observer
ALANALYSIS:

The refrain still rings true; conference road games are just different.  Last week, in its first conference road game, Duke was crushed by Wake Forest in Winston-Salem.  Last night, the Blue Devils were crushed 84 to 60 in their second conference road game, by the North Carolina State Wolfpack (1-3 in the ACC coming into the Duke game) .

Despite Duke’s unbelievably bad start – Duke did not score at all in the first 7:40 of the game (15-0) and 10:10 had elapsed before Duke scored points 3 and 4 (20-4) – there was a turning point to the game.  N.C. State led by 18 with 8:37 still left in the opening period when the Blue Devils began what appeared to be a rally.  Despite turnovers by Proctor and Lively, and a missed jumper by Roach, Duke still cut the lead to 12 (26-14) with 5:11 left in the half on a pair of 3-pointers by Dariq Whitehead, a put-back by Mark Mitchell and a fast break layup by Kyle (Flip) Filipowski.  Mitchell then made a steal giving the Blue Devils possession and a chance to cut the lead to 10 or single digits.  Instead, hope plunged off the cliff!

The Wolfpack hit a deep 3.  Dariq turned it over in the backcourt when Terquavion Smith (Wolfpack star freshman guard who scored 24 for the game) deflected the inbound pass.  The ball was loose, but nobody went for it because it seemed to be rolling out of bounds.  However, Smith hustled and scooped it up before it hit the sideline. He was WIDE open, and I thought he smiled before splashing his 3.  The Wolfpack lead had grown back to 18 in just 44 seconds.  Duke was never again even in the game competitively.  When the Wolfpack hit their final 3-pointer of the first half at the buzzer, the lead was 22 points.  N.C. State scored 44 points in the first half while the Blue Devils managed only 22 points.  Ouch!

The second half provided no solace for Blue Devil fans.  Duke trailed by as many as 29 points twice, and was never closer than 20 points behind after the first minute of the second half!  Scheyer’s face on the bench told the story.  He looked like he had been hit with a knockout blow.  His press conference was somewhat rambling and yielded nothing worth quoting.  

The Defense

There is not much to say on behalf of a defense that put up very little resistance in virtually handing over 84 points, including 44 in the disastrous first half.  Duke allowed the Wolfpack 15 more first-half shots from the field (18-39, including 6-15 from deep) than the Blue Devils attempted (7-24, including 2-6 from deep by Dariq).  N.C. State out-rebounded Duke and grabbed 9 first-half offensive rebounds.  The Blue Devil defense forced only 4 first-half N.C. State turnovers (compared to 13 first-half Duke turnovers).  

Duke allowed 40 second-half points and could not get the stops necessary for Duke to cut into the Wolfpack lead, let alone mount a comeback.  Smith (24 points), Jarkel Joiner (21 points) and E.J. Burns Jr. (18 points in 16 minutes) ran roughshod over the Duke defense, scoring 53 of State’s 84 points.

The Offense

The Duke attack stalled out dramatically in the first half, with Duke scoring only 22 points.  The Blue Devils committed 13 first-half turnovers, and 21 for the game. Duke had 9 shots blocked in the game by the smaller Wolfpack. 

One result from such desultory offense is that N.C. State attempted 22 more shots than Duke during the game!  The Wolfpack shot 33-70 for the game while Duke was 19-48.

Only Flip in the second half (12 points), and Dariq from the perimeter (4-7 from deep) were bright spots for Duke.  Roach hardly played in the second half and was a liability on both ends of the court.  Blakes scored only 2 points after 17-point outbursts in his previous 2 games.  In the first half, the starters scored only 10 collective points (Mitchell and Roach 4 each; Flip scored 2; Lively and Blakes were scoreless!)  Ryan Young and Dariq each scored 6 off the bench.  Tyrese Proctor and Jacob Grandison also failed to score in the opening period.

THE ROTATION

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (27:31) scored 14 points to lead Duke in scoring.  He seemed to break out of his recent slump to come alive in the second half, where he scored 12 points in 13:14 minutes of play, half from the foul line (3-6 from the field and 6-8 from the stripe in the closing period).  For the game, Flip was 4-10 from the field, including 0-2 from deep plus 6-8 from the stripe to go with 8 boards (7 in the second half).  He committed 3 of Duke’s 21 turnovers.

Mark Mitchell (25:19) scored 6 points (3-6 from the field; 0-2 from the stripe) to complement 6 rebounds (4 offensive), 3 assists, a block, and a steal.  He also committed 2 turnovers and had 3 of his shots blocked. 

Jeremy Roach (22:44, but only 3:12 in the 2nd half) scored 4 points, all from the foul line (0-8 from the floor, including 0-2 from deep) with only one assist, a steal and a turnover.  Jeremy did not beat anyone off the dribble or defend penetrating guards.  I believe his toe is a serious problem that does not seem to be getting better.

Dariq Whitehead (22:33) scored 12 points on four 3-pointers, 2 in each half.  The freshman is playing more and with more confidence but is clearly not yet all the way back.  Dariq was 4-8 from the field, 4-7 from deep, with 3 rebounds and a steal.  His stat line was marred by 4 turnovers.

You could see that Dariq thought that he could lead Duke back all by himself when he made 2 deep shots in a row in the first half; however, his body wasn’t ready to keep up with his last year’s superstar mind.  This does suggest, though, that he still has the ability to become that force again this year. 

Tyrese Proctor (21:19, 15:17 in the second half) scored 5 points, all in the second half.  For the game, Tyrese shot 2-5, including 0-1 from behind the arc and 1-2 from the stripe.  He grabbed 3 boards and handed out a single assist, but turned it over 4 times.

Ryan Young’s (20:26) playing time was limited because he was in foul trouble throughout, ultimately fouling out in the course of trying (and failing) to guard State’s huge D.J. Burns, who lit Young and the Blue Devils up for 18 points in the post in only 16 minutes.  Interestingly, his replacement at center was not D-Live,  but rather it was Flip.  Ryan is tough, scoring 11 points (4-4 from the floor; 3-5 from the foul line) to go with 3 rebounds and 2 assists (2 turnovers).

Jaylen Blakes (17:45) came back to earth in this game scoring only 2 points (1-3, including 0-1 from 3land without a foul shot attempt) after having scored 17 points in each of his previous two games.  He had a steal and two rebounds but committed 3 turnovers without an assist.

Jacob Grandison (14:13) scored only 2 points (2-2 from the stripe; he missed his only field goal attempt, a 3-pointer.)  He grabbed a board and handed out an assist.  His inability to defend is curtailing his time on the court.

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (12:28, only 3:50 in the second half) did score in the game.  One point!!  (0-1 from the field and 1-2 from the stripe) without a rebound or a blocked shot.  He is starting to remind me of Chris Burgess.

THE CONFERENCE SO FAR

On Tuesday, Virginia lost on the road at Pittsburgh and Notre Dame lost on the road to Boston College. Last night, Miami lost on the road to Georgia Tech; Wake Forest lost at UNC; while Duke was destroyed in Raleigh against the Wolfpack.  

Conference road games clearly are different.  

Unranked Clemson (who won on the road at Virginia Tech last night) and Pittsburgh are undefeated (4-0) in ACC play. Miami is 4-1, while Syracuse (who won on the road at Louisville) is 3-1.  7 teams (Duke among them) are 2-2.  N.C. State is 2-3.  The technical schools, Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech are 1-3.  Notre Dame and Louisville are winless at 0-4.

No seasonal goals for the Duke Blue Devils are yet foreclosed. It will be an illuminating aspect of the season how Duke responds to this truly awful loss.  This is Scheyer’s first critical test as the head coach.  

Two of Duke’s next 3 games are conference road games.

Next Play: Saturday, January 7, 2023, at Boston College in Boston, Mass. at 1:00 p.m. on ACCN


Duke Blue Devils 65 v. Boston College Eagles 64 (Season 14; Issue 15; Game # 16) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (January 7, 2023)

Flip finally plays winning basketball in the last seconds of this game.
Photo Credit: Goduke.com
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Jeremy Roach watched the game from the bench with a walking cast protecting his slow-healing injured toe, but his integral value to this Duke team became apparent in this game as Duke very nearly blew an away game against an ACC bottom feeder.  The Blue Devils, who led most of the way and were up fourteen points in the second half, still almost managed to lose by, among other things, not making a shot from the floor for ten or so minutes, which included missing an uncontested fast break dunk and failing to get the ball in from out of bounds. Fortunately, Kyle Filipowski (Flip), who is emerging from a multi-game slump, made a basket and two foul shots which were the margin. But still, the immature transgressions and inconsistencies of this team are almost inexplicable.

Ty Proctor is not yet an adequate replacement for Roach.  Blakes’s activism is a positive asset on both ends of the floor.  Ryan Young is a polished offensive player, who plays above his athleticism, but his minutes keep Dereck Lively from getting the valuable experience he needs against the better big men Duke will face.  Flip needs to take some lessons from Young on low post moves.  Mark Mitchell needs to be more assertive.  Whitehead needs to be on the floor more, and the zone needs to be deployed more until this squad plays the man-to-man better.

North Carolina State said their strategy was to punch Duke in the mouth from the first tip. The ACC is a tough league. Duke needs to take on some of The Wolfpack strategy figuratively, not literally, and play smart, determined basketball for a full forty minutes!

ALANALYSIS:

Conference road games are just different.  Even a lackluster win on the road against a so-called “ACC bottom feeder” [Bill may eat those words before this season ends] is a relief.  After all, Duke was crushed by both Wake Forest in its first conference road game and truly humiliated by the North Carolina State Wolfpack in their second.  Relief was the emotion when BC’s final shot missed, and the ball went back to Duke with only .5 showing on the clock.  It was over, except for the memory of BC’s final basket of the first half – full court pass over Dereck (D-Live) Lively II’s lax defense, to Eagle 7-foot center Quentin Post for a short jump shot that cut Duke’s lead from 6 to 4.  It just wasn’t over until it was OVER!

The issue, of course, isn’t the feeling of relief; it’s the “lackluster” play.  Why is this group of heralded youngsters and experienced veterans (2 returnees and 2 grad transfers) failing to gel and develop consistency and cohesion?  The overriding assessment is “inconsistency”.  For every terrific play made, there has been a gaff.  For every assist, a turnover.  Inconsistency is the plague.

It is undeniable that the Blue Devils have regressed since Jeremy’s foot injury reduced his efficiency and curtailed his playing time.  Duke was developing and jelling until Jeremy’s injury reduced his efficiency.  Scheyer: “We need Jeremy to get well. If that means it’s a week, if that means it’s two weeks, whatever time that means. I would be shocked if he plays the next game, but we’re not ruling him out yet for that.”  It seems fair to believe that as Jeremy’s toe goes so goes Duke’s season.

Coach S’s offensive strategy was clear. Because Duke was longer and deeper (and less than deadly from 3land, so far), the Blue Devils were going to beat BC up on the interior.  Duke started 1 guard (Tyrese Proctor), 2 tall wings (Mark Mitchell and Dariq Whitehead) plus 2 Bigs (Kyle “Flip” Filipowski and Ryan Young).  The strategy played better in the first half than in the closing stanza.  

The Offense

Duke scored only 28 second-half points, 16 from the floor on 7-24 shooting, including 2-7 from behind the arc (Dariq 1-4 and Tyrese 1-3) and a game winning 12-13 from the foul line (Mark 5-6; Dariq 2-2; Ryan 2-2; and Flip 3-3 including 2-2 with 12 seconds left for the 1-point winning margin).  

Duke led by 14 (52-38), with 14:41 left in the game before an epic offensive drought surfaced.  In the next 13:31, Duke maintained its shrinking lead by making foul shots.  But the offense morphed into a frustrating disaster.  Duke was 1-11 from the floor, with 9 turnovers in that section of the second half!  It just doesn’t get any worse than that.

Scheyer explained, “I thought their three-quarter court [press] slowed us down. Give them credit for the switch, the zone really took us out of our rhythm.”  So did Duke’s terrible shot selection, sloppy ball handling, and demoralizing plays.  The most graphic of those was a great Duke steal and pass ahead to Dariq for a wide-open dunk … and …Clang! Dariq just missed it!  

Duke’s backcourt – Tyrese, Jaylen, and Jacob – collectively scored only 8 points in the game.  Tyrese (2-10, 2-5 from deep) scored 6 while Jaylen was 1-3, for 2 points.  Jacob was scoreless (0-2).  On the other hand, Dariq was successful from the perimeter in the first half, with 11 points in the first 12 minutes of the game.  But that was truly it for Duke’s offense from the perimeter.  

Nevertheless, Duke won and is 3-2 in the ACC while BC lost a home game and is 2-3.  That is still the most important takeaway from the game. Here is a bit more optimism: 

Mark Mitchell: “Not everything was going our way, but I think we just tried to fight, really. Getting offensive rebounds, that’s just pure fight, pure will. And that won us the game, and stepping up and hitting those free throws was a big thing by Flip .  I think we grew up in the last 45 seconds.” (Emphasis added).

The Defense

The plaguing inconsistency was on display by the Blue Devil defense, which was at points in this game both  effective and torched.  As the Duke lead dwindled in the second half, “torched” was prevailing.  Then the Blue Devils went to an effective 2-3 zone defense.  Scheyer: “We’re a man-to-man team, that’s what we want to play, but depending on the opponent and the swing of the game, just to have a different defense, and this game it was our 2-3 zone.  But it can be other defense as well, just be able to have a different punch. A different pitch. I thought our guys did a good job, it was pretty hectic at the end, but just being able to react. Going man, the last couple of possessions, they were starting to get a rhythm against our zone.”  Scheyer is trying to explain that even though the zone worked better than his exploited man-to-man, for the last 2 minutes, he returned to a man-to-man defense.

Mark Mitchell made the block of the game, with 38 seconds remaining, and the Blue Devils leading by a point.  BC’s scintillating 6’2” guard, Jaeden Zachery (who had already blocked 7-foot Flip’s jump shot), got free and drove the lane for what seemed a sure layup, to give BC its first lead of the game.  Mark came seemingly out of nowhere for a sensational block to (temporarily) maintain Duke’s 1 point lead.  Mark: “I saw [our bench] on the sidelines, telling me Zachary was about to drive it. I kind of went a little late. and he went, and I just tried to make the play on the ball.  And I got there.  So, I was just trying to not let him get an easy basket off.” 

THE ROTATION

Mark Mitchell (35:03) played the most minutes in a game at Duke by far, scoring 14 points (4-6 from the field, without a behind the arc shot, and 6-7 from the stripe) to go with 6 rebounds and 3 blocked shots, with only (by comparison) 2 turnovers.  He never stopped competing.

Dariq Whitehead (32:51) led Duke in scoring in his best offensive output of the season, in his longest time on the court in a game.  Dariq scored 18 points on 6-12 shooting from the field, including 4-8 from behind the arc (3-4 in the first half) and 2-2 from the foul line, to go with 3 boards and 2 assists.  Dariq’s first half was so impressive – 13 points on 5-6 shooting (3-4 from deep, his first 3 attempts) with 2 boards and an assist.  Just a single turnover.  

His second half exemplified Duke’s inconsistency and showed that Dariq is not yet in game shape to play 33 minutes.  In the closing period, he logged 18 minutes, but was only 1-6 from the floor, including 1-4 from deep, plus 2-2 from the stripe, for 5 points.  He had just a single rebound and 1 assist, but 2 turnovers (both offensive fouls by hitting defenders with his shoulder when starting his drive).  However, taking the long view, Dariq is getting there fast.

Tyrese Proctor (32:29) ran the Duke offense in Jeremy Roach’s absence, with 3 assists and 2 turnovers.  The best news was Tyrese was 2-5 from behind the arc; the bad news was 0-5 from inside the arc, shooting 2-10 for the game. On defense, he was unable to stop BC guards from penetrating.  His 6 points was 75% of Duke’s backcourt scoring.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (32:09), like Dariq, was a model of inconsistency.  His stat line looks impressive. Flip scored 15 points (on an unimpressive 4-15 from the field, including 0-2 from deep, but a valuable 5-5 from the stripe including the 2 pressure-packed game winners), to go with 9 boards — 1 rebound away from a double-double — and 3 blocked shots.  But then there are those 5 turnovers, and the moment when a 6’2” guard blocked his jump shot. 

Flip carried Duke in the final period, scoring 11 of his points in the second half, including 3-3 from the stripe.  He is a talent, but Flip is also learning that some of his offensive moves that scored in high school are just turnovers at this level.

Ryan Young (28:03) played center, with Flip being the other Big on the floor.  Ryan scored 7 on 2-5 shooting, plus 3-3 from the foul line, to go with 8 tough rebounds and 5 excellent assists, without a turnover. Ryan also contributed a steal. Scheyer: “Ryan gives us a lot of poise. He didn’t score like he normally does, but to have five assists and no turnovers.”

Jaylen Blakes (18:05) played fewer minutes than expected, given Roach’s absence.  He scored only 2 points on 3 shots, without an attempt from deep or from the stripe.  He had an assist, a steal, and a rebound.  He was on the floor when BC, trailing by a point, had the ball with 12 seconds left to win the game.

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (11:57) continues to confound.  Ryan Young replaced last year’s #1 recruit out of high school, in the starting lineup and in the vast majority of playing time.  Critically, D-Live had no success guarding BC’s 7-foot center, Post.  He scored 3 on a dunk plus 1-2 from the foul line.  In his 12 minutes, D-Live had a block, 2 assists, and 2 turnovers.  Surprisingly (to me), he was not on the floor in the last 12 seconds.

Jacob Grandison (9:23) has virtually disappeared from the rotation after his early season hot shooting.  Grandison failed to score (0-2 from deep), with a turnover and 2 boards.

THE CONFERENCE SO FAR

On Saturday, only Duke and Wake Forest won on the road.  Wake beat Louisville (2-14; 0-5 in the ACC), which was predictable. UVA, UNC, and Florida State won at home.

Unranked Clemson is the last undefeated (5-0) in ACC play. Miami and Pittsburgh are 4-1.  Six teams (Duke among them) are 3-2.  N.C. State is 3-3 while BC is 2-3.  The technical schools, Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech are 1-4.  Notre Dame and Louisville are winless at 0-5.

No seasonal goals for the Duke Blue Devils are yet foreclosed. 

Next Play: Wednesday, January 11, 2023, vs. Pittsburgh (and Jeff Capel) in Cameron Indoor Stadium. at 7:00 p.m. on ACCN.

Mark played 35 minutes of intense competition on both ends of the court.
Photo Credit: goduke.com
Dariq flaunts his potential as his playing time increases, but still lacks stamina.
Photo Credit: goduke.com

Duke Blue Devils 77 v. Pittsburgh Panthers 69 (Season 14; Issue 16; Game 17) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (January 11, 2023)

YOUNG GUNS Mitchell, Lively II, Filipowski and Whitehead (from left to right)
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke may have grown up tonight, against an improved and talented Pittsburgh team. After being outscored, and schooled on how to run an offense in an ugly 43-36 first half, the Blue Devils proved, for the first time since exams, that they have the maturity to ‘take a licking and keep on ticking’, by playing Real Duke Basketball and outscoring the Panthers 45-26 in the second half.  Kyle (Flip) Filipowski was not the only star—only the most consistent one (a pleasant change). It was a team effort: Flip achieved a career-high (so far) game of 28 pts and 15 rebounds. However, in the second half, substitute point guard Ty Proctor, filling in for the still unable-to-play Jeremy Roach, also performed admirably–as did Whitehead, Lively, Young, Mitchell, Blakes, and Grandison who each had their moments that Alan will explain more fully.  By the way, there is one area, foul shooting, in which this team has consistently excelled—nearly 80% for the season.

Now let’s see if this was a one-off anomaly by precocious but inconsistent teenagers—or not. The next game is at Clemson, who is leading the ACC Conference in an upside-down year. Carolina was handed its third defeat Tuesday night at Virginia.  Incidentally, home teams have won nearly 80% of the conference games this year.

Not to be overlooked is that this game was played at home in front of The Crazies, who were the sixth man. Coach Scheyer: “A vintage Cameron night. It was the first time in Cameron when the team couldn’t hear me. There have been many moments with Coach K when that has happened, where someone is two feet away and you can’t hear. We got to that level tonight.” And as Pitt Coach Capel (who ought to know since he both played and coached at Duke) explained, he knew things wouldn’t be that easy, “As someone who both played and coached in hundreds of games at Cameron Indoor Stadium, this building is never out of it. You anticipate a run at some point. They made a run, the crowd was going all game, and when they [the Crazies] got going, I think those guys [on the court] fed off it.  It gave them an extra boost to be a step quicker to get that 50-50 ball.”

The bottom line is that for twenty minutes, this young group played up to their high school reputations.  Let’s see if they really have matured and can overcome the (hopefully temporary) loss over their point guard and leader—Jeremy Roach.

ALANALYSIS:

The Duke theme this season (as we’ve been writing) has been “inconsistency”.  This theme continued against the Pitt Panthers. The Blue Devils played a simply awful first half, giving up 43 points and trailing by 12.  The first-half performance resembled the Blue Devil humiliations at the hands of N.C. State, Purdue, and Wake Forest.  Then Duke put together a second half that was its best of the season (outscoring Pitt by 45 -26… even while going only 1-11 from behind the arc).  

Scheyer said, “they made some really difficult shots that knocked us back in the first half …  we fought and competed in the second half.  Our rebounding was huge, and I thought in the second half our switching and our defense – I don’t know what the exact numbers were, but we held them to 10 or so points for a while there in the second half.” 

The second half was like a different team was playing. Duke still trailed by 12 (48-36) with 18:09 remaining in the game, when the amazing winning run began.  With 4:32 remaining in the game, the Blue Devils led by 11 (69-58), having held Pitt to scoring only 10 points in almost 14 minutes, while themselves scoring 33 points. The offense and defense came together cohesively and dramatically!  It is the type of breakout performance that can lift a team for the entire season.

D-Live (again in foul trouble), re-entering the game with 13:34 left and Duke trailing by 8 (52-44), sparked the Duke defense.  Scheyer praised his ability to switch onto guarding smaller players on the perimeter.  The Duke switching defense stopped Pitt cold. 

On offense, first Flip, then Tyrese scored to bring the Blue Devils within 2 points, before D-Live tied the score at 52 on a neat hook shot, with 10:26 left in the game.  Duke never trailed again.  D-Live then contributed a block, 2 rebounds, and an assist before committing his 4th foul and leaving the game with 7:23 left. The Blue Devils were ahead 59-52.  Astoundingly, Pitt did not score in the 6-plus minutes that D-Live was on the floor!  Duke maintained its lead as the teams traded baskets to the end of the game.  Duke 77 v. Pitt 69. 

The Offense

In the first half, Duke shot an embarrassing 10-33 from the field, including 5-16 from behind the arc (Whitehead 2-5; Filipowski 1-1; Proctor 1-3; Grandison 1-4; Blakes 0-2; and Mitchell 0-1).  Worse, Duke had only 7 assists but 12 turnovers (7 Pitt steals and 5 offensive fouls)!  Duke committed 9 first-half fouls (D-Live, Tyrese, Dariq, and Flip all had 2 fouls each in the opening half).  D-Live fouled out while Dariq and Tyrese finished the game with four fouls. It was a humiliating first half.

The second half was an offensive breakout.  Duke was 14-33 from the field, but only 1-11 from deep; thus, the Blue Devils were 13-22 from inside the arc. And that went with a spectacular 16-18 from the foul line!  Duke penetrated and drew Pitt fouls (12 in the second half).  Flip scored 16 second-half points, including 8-9 from the stripe. Tyrese ran the offense and scored the critical points to maintain Duke’s winning margin. It was a coming out party that breeds optimism for the season and postseason tournaments.

The Defense

Duke gave up 43 first-half points, looking a lot like the defensively-challenged team that was blown out by N.C. State, Wake Forest, and Purdue.  The Blue Devil turnovers put Pitt in transition without allowing Duke to set up its half court defense.   That was part of the problem.  Pitt shot well, even when the shot was contested.  Still, Duke was just discombobulated.

The contrast was palpable as Duke allowed Pitt only 26 second-half points when the Devils went to a defense switching-every-ball screen.  Scheyer: “we felt like this was actually going to be a coming out game for Dereck because we’ve envisioned switching with him, and he made some big time plays in this game. His switching, I thought, really bothered them. … Instead of them running offense, they end up playing one-on-one. Sometimes they’re going to hit, but other times, if we stay disciplined, it’s tough to make those shots over our length. …We were better when he was in the game.  He had some fun tonight.  He just went after it tonight.  It would have been even better if we could keep him out of foul trouble.” 

Indeed, it was not just Dereck in foul trouble–Duke committed 12 second-half fouls (2 each by Dariq, Ryan, Tyrese, D-Live, and Jaylen), which put the Blue Devils in danger. Duke’s foul trouble impacted the rotation late in the game.

THE ROTATION

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (34:55) had his best game of the year (7th double-double of the season) scoring a career-high 28 points (8-14, including 1-4 from behind the arc, and a gaudy 11-13 from the stripe), to go with 15 rebounds (11 in the second half).  He also contributed a pair of assists, a steal, and a block.  Flip had 4 turnovers, but 3 were in Duke’s desultory first half.   He dominated the game in the closing period.

Mark Mitchell (34:25) scored 10 points (8 in the second half) and grabbed 9 rebounds while playing tough defense in the second half.  Mark was 2-9 (0-5 in the opening half), including 0-2 from behind the arc and a perfect 6-6 from the foul line to go with a steal and an assist (but 4 awful turnovers).

Dariq Whitehead (30:36) only scored 6 points (2-11, including 2-7 from deep without a free throw attempt) while turning it over twice.  However, he played excellent defense, while grabbing 5 boards.  He was in constant foul trouble, with 2 in the first half and finishing with 4 fouls.  Dariq was scoreless in the second half; he’s not quite all the way back to full game shape.

Tyrese Proctor (27:22) also had what might be his best game at Duke, even though he picked up 2 fouls in the first 5 minutes of the game.  He finished with 4 fouls but controlled the Duke offense in the second half.  Tyrese scored 14 points (9 in the second half) on 4-9 from the floor, including 1-4 from deep and a critical 5-5 from the line to go with 5 assists without a turnover.  Scheyer: “He obviously made some big scoring plays down the stretch, but when your guard has five assists and no turnovers that’s pretty good. … He’s in control of the team, I think that’s the biggest thing that he did, and he really competed and guarded on the defensive end.” 

Jacob Grandison (20:51) played one of his best defensive games this season, with 2 critical steals as Duke made its winning move.  Jacob scored 6 on 2-6 from 3land, one in each half.   He was on the court at “winning time”, which is Scheyer’s method of high praise.

Ryan Young (20:14) helped Duke dominate the back boards with 10 rebounds (7 offensive), while scoring 7 points (all in the second half) on 3-6 from the field for the game, and 1-3 from the stripe.  He was 0-2 from the field and 0-1 from the foul line in the first half.  His play was emblematic of Duke’s terrible first half and marvelous final stanza.

Jaylen Blakes (19:19) played a valuable floor game even though he failed to score a single point in this game (0-5, including 0-4 from deep, without a free throw attempt.  He had a single assist against 3 turnovers.  He logged only 7 second-half minutes.

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (12:18) fouled out, logging only minutes in each half, but it was one of his best games at Duke.  In his short stint, D-Live scored 6 points (3-6 from the field, connecting on a smooth hook shot, without a deep shot or free throw) to go with 4 boards, a block, an assist (a beautiful bounce pass to the cutting Flip), and a steal.  Dereck was inserted, with 3:07 to go and 4 fouls, to protect the rim and Duke’s lead, but he fouled out with 3:02 left. The stretch in the second half may be the harbinger of D-Live’s return to star form, which would change the trajectory of Duke’s season.

THE CONFERENCE SO FAR

On Tuesday, the home teams won – UVA topped UNC (now 0-4 on the road)  while Notre Dame won its first ACC game, nipping Georgia Tech 73-72.  Last night, all five home teams won, with Clemson (Duke’s next opponent) beating Louisville to remain unbeaten in the ACC (6-0).  Syracuse beat Va. Tech; Wake dumped Florida State; and Miami beat BC.

Clemson (6-0), though unranked in the polls, is first in the ACC.  Miami is second in the ACC at 5-1.  There are five teams (Duke, Wake Forest, Virginia,  Syracuse, Pittsburgh) that are 4-2. .  UNC,  N.C. State, and Florida State  are 3-3. BC is 2-4, while the technical schools– Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech – plus Notre Dame are 1-5.  Louisville is winless at 0-6.

No seasonal goals for the Duke Blue Devils are as yet foreclosed. The game on the road against unbeaten (in league play) Clemson, will be another cliff to climb … or plunge off of. 

Next Play: Saturday, January 14, 2023, vs. at Clemson in Death Valley at 5:00 p.m. on ACCN.

Scheyer and Jeff Capel – Two coaches from the Coach K tree, who played for him and coached with each other under Coach K . Photo credit: Goduke.com
Flip eats up the plaudits of The Crazies for his 28 point, 15 rebound performance against Pittsburgh
Photo credit: Goduke.com



Duke Blue Devils 64 v. Clemson Tigers 72 (Season 14; Issue 17; Game # 18) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (January 14, 2023)

Come on back” (we need you!)
Photo credit: Lance King
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

While Duke’s young team competed well for most of both halves, Clemson’s young men closed both halves with the maturity of an experienced team in the friendly confines of Littlejohn Coliseum. Chalk up another one for staying more than one year and learning tough lessons!  Laettner and Hurley were different players in their last two years than they were in their first two at Duke. Two players who are not named, Jordan and Bird, can’t take over fifty per cent of the shots for a team and consistently win; Duke attempted 63 field goals, 37 of them by Flip and Tyrese combined.  Kyle Filipowski took 22 shots to score his 18 points while Tyrese Proctor scored his 17 points on 15 shots. Whitehead has an NBA body and skills, but 2 points in 28 minutes in a close game does not validate that assessment. Proctoor has improved significantly each game that Roach has missed,, but he should not be the one creating a shot with the game on the line. Young vs. Lively is a tough call. Young is an experienced, heady player who produces above his athletic level against all exceptexcept elite big men. Lively brings another level of athleticism to rim and lane protection against all competition, but he needs playing time to mature. Mitchell needs to be more assertive offensively. And on and on!

It is easy to second guess coaching decisions –  – rather I am trying to understand why Duke gets the cream of the recruiting crop, but then only does very good not great. Even Zion Williamson and R.J. Barrett and Co. blasted a talented Kentucky team early in their freshman year, but lost to an experienced Michigan State and did not make the Final Four at the end of that same year. And speaking of Kentucky, the only team who attracts as many one-and-done talents as Duke, is reportedly unhappy* with their Coach Calipari–and vice versa.

Welcome to the new era of College Basketball. The bottom line is that with the transfer portal and college athletes getting compensated (paid for image & likeness) coaching is a tough profession and getting tougher all the time.   

*A college basketball fan sent this message to John Calipari: “Please go to Texas.” 

ALANALYSIS:

On December 8, 2022, the Blue Devils played what this DBP said was their best game of the season, beating Iowa in Madison Square Garden.  Not coincidentally, Jeremy Roach had his best game of the season against Iowa against Iowa, scoring 22 points and looking as if he was having a season for the ages.  But, Jeremy’s toe kept him from playing well, and now from playing at all. kept him from playing well, and now from playing at all.  His injury has not yet healed, and the Duke season has simply unraveled since then.  Duke has great difficulty playing well for both halves.  Inconsistency has been a theme of our analysis.  After the last game against Pittsburgh, we wrote: 

“The Duke seasonal theme of “inconsistency” continued against the Pitt Panthers by playing a first half (giving up 43 points and trailing by 12) that resembled the Blue Devil humiliations at the hands of N.C. State, Purdue and Wake Forest, while playing a second half that was its best of the season (outscoring Pitt by 45 -26 – while going only 1-11 from behind the arc).”

While Duke trailed the Clemson Tigers by only a single point with 3:57 left in the game, it photographed that the Blue Devils’ scoring drought, from that point to the final buzzer, was the Achilles heel.  However, scrutiny of the entire second half reveals that the Tigers disemboweled the Devils in the second half the way the Panthers previously had in their first half.  Duke scored only 30 points in the second half (0-12 from behind the arc), just 20 from the field (10-33) while adding 10 points from the foul line where they shot 10-13 (5-8 from the foul line were Duke’s only points in the final minutes). The Blue Devils managed only 3 assists in the closing stanza.  

The Duke defense was no better than the Blue Devil offense, allowing the Tigers to score 42 second-half points on 50% shooting (15-30).  Being outscored by 12 was precisely what had happened in the first half against Pitt.   The second half against Clemson sadly resembled the full game humiliations that Scheyer’s team has suffered against Wake Forest and N.C. State (on the road), and Purdue (on a neutral court).

Duke is now 1-3 in ACC road games – with 2 of the next 3 games on the road.  After a home game against Miami, Duke travels to Blacksburg (Va. Tech) and Atlanta (Ga. Tech).  Wins on the road are required for Duke to have a good season. [The Editorial Staff implores Coach S and his team “so, get on it!!”]

This loss is actually much worse than it appears.  Jeremy, how does your toe feel???

The Offense

Duke led 34-30 at the end of the first half (by 7 with 1:43 left in the half), shooting 46% (14-30, including 3-8 from deep and 3-5 from the stripe), with 6 assists and 6 turnovers.  Not great, but so much better than the desultory second half would turn out to be. 

The closing minutes of the second half are a terrible tale.  With 5:07 left in the game, the Blue Devils pulled to within 2 points when Mitchell made a put back (after he missed at the rim and got his own rebound), 58-56.  From that point, Flip missed a 3, Tyrese missed a jumper, Flip went 1-2 from the stripe, Tyrese turned it over and then missed a free throw before Flip had his shot blocked.  60-57 with 2:43 left.  Dariq committed a foul, Mitchell turned it over, before each team made about the same number of foul shots to complete Duke’s disastrous 8 point loss.

The Defense

The theme for the Duke defense since ACC play began has been Scheyer’s post-game lament in his press conference, “I think it came down to them getting in our paint too easily!”  We have heard that lament frequently.  The Blue Devils not only miss Jeremy’s leadership on offense, but because Jeremy is their best on-the-ball defender, he was also Duke’s leader in preventing penetration by quick driving guards.  

Scheyer added, “[Clemson is] physical, their pick-and-roll defense is good as anybody that we’ve played. And it’s, for us, learning how to play through that. You’re going to play really good defenses, and down the stretch, knowing how to manufacture points for each other, it’s not going to be as much on your own getting one. And we’re still learning that.”

THE ROTATION

Tyrese Proctor (36:59) was only out of the game for 3 minutes (all in the first half), as he was the point guard for all 20 minutes of a flawed second half.  In just two first-half minutes (from 5:37 left in the first half to 3:58), Proctor scored 9 straight points (2 shots from deep and a traditional 3 point play on a drive) to take Duke from a point behind to a 4 point lead (26-22), but then didn’t score for the rest of the half.  For the game, Tyrese scored 17 points (5-15 from the field, including 2-9 from behind the arc and 5-6 from the line) to go with only a single assist against 3 turnovers.  He grabbed 5 boards.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (35:11) notched yet another double-double, scoring 18 points on 22 shots (8-22, including 1-5 from deep and 1-3 from the foul line), while hauling in 14 rebounds (5 offensive) plus a blocked shot.  He turned it over 4 times.    

Mark Mitchell (28:18) was 4-8 from the field to score 8 points (without a free throw attempt and 0-1 from behind the arc).  He had 2 rebounds, a steal, and a turnover.  He played very solid defense on Clemson’s star, Hunter Tyson, holding him to 7 points.

Ryan Young (24:39) is still starting ahead of, and playing more minutes than, D-Live, who was last year’s #1 rated recruit.  Ryan scored 10 points on 3-4 from the floor and 4-4 from the stripe, blocked a pair of Clemson shots, but grabbed only 2 rebounds (1 offensive).  He contributed an assist, a steal, but also committed a turnover.

Dariq Whitehead (24:06) did not turn the ball over, which was his best statistic of the game, even though he had 2 assists and a steal.  What Dariq didn’t do was score the ball as Duke needed him to do.  He scored only 2 points (1-6, including 0-3 from 3land without a foul shot attempt).

Jaylen Blakes (18:51) scored 5 points (1-4, without a shot from behind the arc and 3-5 from the stripe) to go with 5 boards and 2 assists without a turnover.

Jacob Grandison (17:08), Duke’s most accurate long-distance shooter this year, failed to score a point! (0-2 from deep), but grabbed 3 boards and distributed an assist.

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (14:48) was improved from recent outings in his 8:38 first-half minutes, where he scored his 4 points (2-2), with 2 rebounds, 2 assists and a steal.  Still, committing 2 fouls and 2 turnovers in that short stretch will keep him behind Young in the rotation.  In the second half, D-Live retrieved 2 more rebounds, without committing another foul.  It is hard to believe he will be yet another one-and-done while his play continues to be this disappointing.

SUMMING UP

The stretch from December 8 against Iowa at Madison Square Garden to now has been… disappointing.  Jeremy’s injured toe brings back memories of Kyrie’s lost season in 2010-11, when Duke was favored to repeat as NCAA champions, s until Kyrie’s injured toe kept him on the bench. The anticipated return to form of Dariq Whitehead and D-Live from injuries is happening only slowly with Whitehead and not at all, it appears, with Lively II.  All 3 of these circumstances are contributing to the current pessimistic state of affairs.

We offer some insight from Kara Lawson, the Duke women’s coach who so far has been producing amazing results, while expressing disappointment in her team’s play despite their almost miraculous run to National prominence.  Give a listen to Kara after her team beat Clemson, to remain undefeated in ACC play (and 15-1 overall):

“I didn’t feel like we played well, but I’m proud of them for fighting in the second half. I was more proud of their second half than I was their first half; I think we were noncompetitive in the first half and that was very frustrating to see, but in the second half  I thought we played with a little more fire. … our defense was poor, and we need to be better on that end, and so we’ve just got a lot to work on that end. We had some breakdowns and thankfully Kennedy [Brown] and Mia [Heide} were back there to save layups after guard after guard was getting beat off the dribble. We just have to be better one on one defensively if we expect to win more games in this league.”  

Clemson scored only 56 points – not exactly a shoddy defensive performance.

“When I say that, please understand me, I’m not saying that we were awful. I’m just saying that there are so many correctibles and that we could be better. What you’re trying to do as a coach is you’re trying to, through a win, still have them be sharp and understand that there are correctibles, because winning is like taking like an Aleve or a Tylenol. It dulls the pain that you have but it doesn’t fix the problem. Winning will do that; you think everything’s okay and we’re doing good enough, and then you start to slip. And so that’s my job, to keep us sharp!”

The Duke men have not been sharp since Jeremy’s injury.

Next Play: Saturday, January 21, 2023, vs. Miami in Cameron Indoor Stadium at 12:00 p.m. on ESPN.

Back to the drawing board!
Photo credit: Grant Halverson

Duke Blue Devils 68 v. Miami Hurricanes 66 (Season 14; Issue 18; Game #19) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”(January 21, 2023)

Jeremy demonstrates what team leadership is all about as the freshmen concentrate intently.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke had almost everything going for them today: playing a formidable, well-coached, but relatively small, Miami team in Cameron (where Duke is undefeated this year); Isaiah Wong, best player for the Hurricanes, weakened by an illness; a week of rest; and Jeremy Roach, their veteran point guard and leader, playing for the first time since January 4. The Blue Devils needed all of that plus a miracle three-point shot from mid court by Whitehead as the shot clock expired for the margin of victory. Still, a win is a win. But it’s getting a little late in the season for these highly rated freshmen not to be playing well enough to win more comfortably at home. Duke fans expect more, even though these are predominately precocious teenagers masquerading as grown men.  And if you ever raised teenagers, just remember how frustrating that was.

Unlike good Duke teams of the past, this team rarely makes those patented runs that separated the Blue Devil score from that of their opponent. This group has not demonstrated the killer instinct to put an opponent away. Today was a good example – they would go up five or six points, then not execute either the offense or defense effectively and lose their opportunity.  It’s a simple game: make shots and make stops!  Otherwise, the game can be determined by a lucky shot or play. Finally the entire team –  not just  Filipowski or Young – appeared to understand how to play Duke Basketball by rebounding, diving for loose balls, not getting discouraged when the shots don’t fall–and playing hard for a full forty minutes. They aren’t in high school anymore but wear a Duke uniform with a target on their back.

Young is an admirable, mature player who plays above his athletic level and is a good role model for Filipowski and Lively, both of whom appear to be fulfilling their potential — albeit at different rates.  Whitehead is too skilled not to be a first or second option offensively.  Mitchell is a lock-down defender who needs to be more assertive offensively.  Procter, who skipped his senior year of high school (and sometimes plays like it), has demonstrated genuine potential, and has benefited from Roach’s absence, but is not yet the starting point guard for a championship contender.  Blakes brings a needed energy and enthusiasm to the floor.  Grandison, a  25 year old grad student, is a valuable spot player and scorer.

It is easy to forget that as a freshman, and for the first part of his second year, Jeremy Roach was not yet the player that he is today.  It took time. It always takes time! That is the frustrating crux of the One-and-Done culture. Schools like Duke and Kentucky are reduced to finishing schools for precocious high school basketball players waiting to become millionaires. Some make it, others don’t. 

ALANALYSIS:

Duke made one more winning play than the Hurricanes did; the game was that close. It was tied 38-38 at the half.  There was only one lead change in the second half when the Hurricanes hit 2 shots in a row to lead the Blue Devils 47-45. Even though Duke led for almost the entire second half, they couldn’t get the separation needed to make it a comfortable lead. The Blue Devils led by as much as 8 during the closing half, and, critically, by 7 (64-57) with 5:19 left in the game after Tyrese made a 3 from the corner on a pretty assist from Jeremy. What a difference Jeremy is starting to make in just his first minutes (more than 27 of them) back! 

Isaiah Wong, Miami’s star, countered with a deep 3 (64-60).  In the next Duke possessions, Jeremy missed a jumper and Grandison threw a bad pass.  Norshad Omier, Miami’s high-scoring Big, cashed an offensive rebound, which became a three-point play when he converted the foul shot (64-63 with 2:54 left in the game).  Roach had his shot blocked ……but then he stole the ball back! and got it to Flip, who was fouled and made both free throws (66-63 with 2:05 left).  Roach fouled Omier, who made 1 of 2 (66-64 with 1:45 to go).  Grandison missed a jumper, which the Hurricanes rebounded, and fired up the jump shot to try and tie the game with 54 seconds left.  The game turned on the results of that Hurricane miss.  

Setting the scene for the play of the game: first, the Hurricanes retrieved the offensive rebound but missed a second jump shot; Omier got that offensive rebound too, but missed the layup. The game turned on the rebound of that Hurricane miss at 66-64.  Ryan Young finally corralled the rebound of the game with 40 seconds left; it was not only the rebound of the game, it was the play of the game!

Flip then hit 2 clutch free throws to put Duke ahead by 4 (68-64) with only 19 seconds left, lifting Duke to an almost-secure position.  But, the Blue Devil back court then missed crucial foul-shot-opportunities to ice the game.  With 10 seconds to go, and Duke leading by 4, Jeremy missed the front end of a 1-and-1.  The Hurricanes rebounded the miss and scored immediately to have one more chance (68-66).  Proctor, fouled with 3 seconds left, also missed the front end of a 1-and-1.  If the Miami desperation 3 point shot had gone in, Duke would have lost.  Your guards must close out the game at the foul line when the opportunity is there.

The Defense

While the Blue Devil defense struggled in the first half, giving up 38 points, Duke held the usually high-scoring Hurricanes to only 28 second-half points by mixing it up on defense.  Duke went to its zone often, interspersing the 2-3 zone it had shown in other games with a new 1-3-1 (used sparingly, but to good effect).  After the first two minutes of the second half (when D-Live and Ryan each picked up their third foul), Duke only committed 4 fouls for the rest of the game.  That’s a sign of excellent defense.

Scheyer: “I thought we had to change our defenses up. Miami is an explosive team. You never relax when you’re playing against them and hold them to 66 points.… but our defense has been our backbone and I think we are the type of team we have to gut it out and scrap and crawl and we did that. 

“They’re a tough team to control the ball one-on-one. They have literally four guys that can create at all times. Omier is a load in the post. So just being able to switch it up and give different looks — when Ryan’s on the floor it’s different than when Dereck’s on the floor.  In the second half, to hold them to 28 points, that’s a big deal. That’s not an easy thing to do.

“Dereck Lively, he’s been working his butt off every day with Coach [Amile] Jefferson. He keeps getting better, and for him to have six offensive rebounds, 10 rebounds overall, five blocked shots.” 

Men's basketball vs. Miami
Flip earned his 9th double-double of the season and his third in a row with 17 points and 14 rebounds. Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (34:27) was Duke’s best and most valuable player, notching another double-double with 14 boards and 17 points (5-12, including 1-3 from behind the arc and 6-8 from the stripe – the last two being the winning shots).  Flip played solid defense, with a pair of steals and a blocked shot.  On offense, he had 2 assists without a turnover.  Game ball!

Tyrese Proctor (Ty) (29:49) played an excellent game, especially in the second half, where he logged almost 18 minutes.  Tyrese scored 11 points (4-9 from the field, including 3-7 from deep, and 0 for 1 from the foul line).  In the second half, Tyrese handed out a pair of assists without a turnover.

Jeremy Roach (27:24) played in his first game since January 4.  His presence provided an emotional revival for  his teammates and coaches –  not to mention us – readers  and  fans.  Jeremy scored 14 points in his return, on 6-10 from the field, including 1-3 from deep, plus 1-3 from the stripe.  He had 4 assists, 2 steals and a rebound.  Two turnovers. Jeremy will be even better when the rust from not playing dissolves.  He looked less rusty than could have been expected.  A big whew – Welcome back, Jeremy!

Jacob (Jake) Grandison (24:14) played his most minutes yet while at Duke, displaying deft passing skills (6! assists) to go with making a pair of  3-pointers for his 6 points (2-7, including 2-5 from deep).  His defense is improving and he was on the court when the game was on the line at the end.  Scheyer praised him, “Jake is just a calming force. He makes really easy plays. Ball doesn’t stick with him. He’s the best post passer that we have.  He’s always a threat.  He shot 40 [percent] from three today still, but he’s a guy you have to guard.  He’s capable of having a five, six three game which I believe he’s got in him still.  And he battles, he knows how to compete. He’s battle tested. He’s been in big-time environments, and I just thought when he was in there, he made us better today.” 

Dariq Whitehead (23:40) scored 10 points (3-9 from the field, including 2-3 from deep, and 2-2 from the foul line) to go with 3 boards, 2 assists, and a blocked shot.  However, Coach Scheyer played him for fewer than 9 minutes in the second half, where his only points came on a wild desperation fling from very deep as the shot clock expired.  It hit the backboard and went in to bring Duke from behind 47-45 to a 48-47 lead.  To consider how slim Duke’s margin of victory was: if that heave had missed, Duke would have had only 65 points and lost the game.

Mark Mitchell (20:10) had one of his intermittent, low-scoring games, only 2 points (1-4 from the field, including 0-1 from the foul line), with a steal.  Mark played some excellent defense and grabbed 5 rebounds.

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (18:16) played his best game at Duke so far, with 10 rebounds and 5 blocked shots.  He scored 6 points on 3-9 shooting.  It’s worth looking closer.  D-Live played only 4 minutes in the first half, but scored 4 points (2-5) and grabbed 4 boards.  However, he picked up 2 fouls (again) and added the 3rd foul before 2 second-half minutes had passed.  It seemed like the story we have been seeing all season.   But Dereck played the rest of his 14 second-half minutes without fouling, while blocking 5 Miami shots and securing 6 rebounds.   He played twice as many minutes as Ryan Young in the second half because of his dramatic contributions. This feels like a breakthrough development both for D-Live and for Duke’s offense and defense – a positive for the Blue Devils’s future this season.

Ryan Young (16:43) was in early foul trouble – 2 in the first half and his 3rd in the first minute of the second half.  He scored only 2 points on 2 attempts but was a stout rebounder (5) and defender (a blocked shot), and steady on offense (2 assists, but 2 turnovers).

Jaylen Blakes (5:17) broke his nose in practice last week and tried to play with a mask.  He failed to score in his short time on the floor in the first half and did not play in the closing period.

SUMMING UP

Four positives: 

  1. Jeremy’s return and relative effectiveness;
  2. Dereck Lively’s second half – 14 minutes on the court, playing with 3 fouls and not fouling again, while blocking 5 shots and grabbing 6 boards; 
  3. Kyle Filipowski’s overall play, especially in the clutch; and
  4. Duke won and is now 14-5 on the season and 5-3 in ACC play.

Beating Miami was critical for Duke after the Clemson loss.  However, Monday’s game at Virginia Tech may be even more critical.  Duke has had three very bad road losses, and Blacksburg has been a horror show for the Blue Devils over the years.  Another road loss would be seriously deflating.  

Va. Tech barely lost last night at Clemson.  The Hokies led by a point and were shooting 2 free throws with 9 seconds left.  When the Tech player missed his second free throw, Va. Tech led by 2 points instead of 3.  Clemson then hit a 3, literally at the buzzer, to win.  Heartbreaking loss for Va. Tech.  Tech will be fired up from that heartbreak when Duke meets them on the court in Blacksburg. 

In the ACC, Clemson, (8-1) leads the league, with UVA (7-2) in second.  There are 5 teams at 6-3 (Miami, UNC, Wake Forest, Syracuse and Pittsburgh), while Duke is 5-3.  Florida State and NC State are each 5-4.

None of Duke’s goals for the season have been foreclosed, but Clemson leads Duke by 2 ½ games for the regular season ACC title, and holds the tiebreaker by virtue of the Tiger win over the Blue Devils last weekend (if teams are tied, the first tie breaker is who won the head-to-head games. As Duke only plays Clemson once this season, Clemson holds the tie-breaker as a result of the win in Death Valley).

Next Play: Very quick turnaround to Monday, January 23, 2023, at Virginia Tech, in Blacksburg, Va at 7:00 p.m. on ESPN.

“I’m back! Let’s go!” Photo credit: GoDuke.com

Men's basketball vs. Miami

Men's basketball vs. Miami
It was a welcome sight for all Duke fans to see Jeremy again running the team. Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Duke Blue Devils 75 v. Virginia Tech Hokies 78 (Season 14; Issue 19; Game # 20) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (January 23, 2023)

Flip continues dazzling play with his 9th Double-double (4th in a row)!
Photo credit: GoDuke.com
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

If there is such a thing as a pyrrhic loss, Duke had one tonight in Blacksburg. They not only lost a winnable game but, more importantly, they lost Dariq Whitehead just as he appeared to be emerging as a functioning, crucial component of the Blue Devil team. Dariq watched the end of the game from the breezeway to the dressing rooms on crutches, which is not a good sign.

Filipowski had another double-double (29 points & 10 rebounds) plus a punch in the neck and/or mouth and was brought to his knees by a Hokie player celebrating too vigorously in the last minute of the game. Referees stopped play and went to the monitors. No foul. They determined it was not intentional. No matter, it added insult to injury and negated a possible fast break opportunity in the last minute of a close game.

The only thing consistent about this Duke team is their inconsistency: up seven at the start, down seven at the break. Flip had another career game, but the supporting cast did not support him for a full forty minutes. Tech outshot Duke 57-43% from the floor; 53-39% for threes: 67-63% from the line–not numbers of a good defensive or offensive team.

Bottom Line: Prospects for the rest of the season are not what they were at the beginning of the season.

ALANALYSIS:

Coach Scheyer’s post game analysis: “Our guys really competed, really battled, put ourselves in a position to win that game coming back from down 13. And really, at halftime, just for us to dig down and get some stops, trust the pass, work together, I thought we had some beautiful connecting passes. But ultimately, just really one play short.”  

The Blue Devils trailed for almost all of the latter part of the second half despite Kyle (Flip) Filipowski’s spectacular performance (29 points, 15 in the second half).  With 38 seconds left in the game and the Blue Devils trailing by 3 (75-72), Flip drove, drawing the Hokie defense to him and setting up a superb pass to Tyrese (Ty) Proctor, who drained a 3 pointer to tie the score at 75.  

The Hokies then made their one play to win the game, when M.J. Collins (6 points in the game) got loose in the lane to sink an open 12-foot jumper giving the Hokies a 2-point lead.  But, Duke still had a chance.

As the Hokies’ celebrated Collins basket, a Hokie fist bump of triumph turned into a solid punch to Flip’s face.  Scheyer: “he got hit so hard that he was throwing up in the huddle. He was full-out throwing up, but he wasn’t about to be out for a second. He was ready to come back in, and we ended up drawing up the play, and put the ball in his hands.  He’s a big-time warrior, man.  He’s a competitor.  He hates to lose.  I thought you could see that tonight.  He really put us on his back and willed us to put us in a position to win that game.”

The one play that would have won the game, that Duke didn’t make, as Scheyer described it: “We wanted the ball in Flip’s hands, good things happen, really almost every time he touched it — we get either a wide-open shot, or he got a great look himself.  And he made a read, made a really good pass to Tyrese. They happened to get caught up on that initial action, and Tyrese is wide open. It hits the back rim, but it’s right there. Sometimes it goes in, and sometimes it doesn’t.” 

Good teams win close games, while bad teams lose close games.  Mediocre teams tend to win at home, lose on the road, ending up in the middle of the pack.  The Blue Devils have now lost 4 ACC road games while winning only at Boston College.  One of Duke’s pre-season goals was to win the Regular Season ACC title.  Given that Clemson has a 3-game lead and holds the tiebreaker, not to mention UVA’s 2-game lead and high national ranking, the Blue Devils seem out of contention for the ACC regular season championship.  There are 5 teams at 6-3 and 2 others tied with Duke at 5-4.

The Blue Devils’ season going forward needs to  focus on the effort to gel, and to become formidable for their other pre-season goals — namely, post-season championships.

The Offense

Duke scored 38 first-half points and 37 in the closing stanza.  The distribution of Blue Devil scoring in the second half illustrates a problem with the offense when two players are scoring ⅔ of Duke’s points. Flip (15) and Ty (10) scored 25 of Duke’s 37 points.  Ryan Young and Mark Mitchell each tallied 4, while Dereck (D-Live) Lively II, and Jeremy Roach scored 2 points each, in the second half.  The Blue Devils need significant scoring from the roster outside of Flip and whoever else is hot that day.

Jeremy Roach’s return has not been as impactful as expected.  He is not yet in game shape, and his shot is off (0-4 from deep on uncontested 3s).  Duke’s offense will get better (even without Dariq) if Jeremy can return to the form he showed before his injury.

Dariq’s shooting has returned, even if his handle and ability to finish consistently on his drives has not yet.  If he is badly injured and misses substantial time or the remainder of the season, the Duke offense cannot help but suffer.

The Defense

What can you say about a defense that gives up 45 first-half points?  Duke has allowed a series of 40-point halves against good ACC teams on the road – sometimes 2 in the same game – (Wake Forest, N.C. State, Clemson, and now Virginia Tech have scored 40 or more against Duke in one or both halves).

The Hokies shot over 50% for the game, both from the field and from behind the arc.  They torched the Blue Devils in the first half before the Duke defense adjusted.   Scheyer: “They’re 7-of-10 in the first half [from 3land]. So, you have to adjust. And we ended up switching, probably a little bit more than we would’ve liked to, and [Grant Basile, the Hokies’s star Big] took advantage of those switches. He’s a really good player. … Too many times we got caught without talking. You have to talk really well on switches, when they screen, and they get all of these zoom actions. But I thought in the second half, we really dug down, held them to 33 points and did a better job. And they still, they almost shot 50 [percent] from the field.” 

Duke always emphasizes on-the-court-communication among the players, especially when playing defense. But that communication seems to fade when the game tightens. Maybe the players get too hyperfocused on their individual effort. For a team claiming its calling card is Defense, it is indisputable that the Blue Devil defense has been disappointing, to say the least, in ACC road games. 

THE ROTATION

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (33:53) was Duke’s best and most valuable player, notching yet another double-double! with 10 boards and 29 points (9-17, including 4-8 from behind the arc, and 7-9 from the stripe).  Flip played solid defense with a pair of steals and a blocked shot.  On offense he had 2 assists with a turnover.  Game ball! Again!  He just put the team on his back and gave it his all.

Mark Mitchell (31:59) scored 8 points (1-3 from the field, including 1-2 from behind the arc and 1-2 from the foul line).  Mark played some excellent defense, probably logging more minutes than he would have if Dariq had not been severely injured early in the second half.   

Tyrese (Ty) Proctor (31:27) played an excellent game, especially in the second half where he was on the court every second and scored all 10 of his points (4-12 from the field, including 2-6 from deep) to go with 6 assists, a steal, and a blocked shot, with only a single turnover.  In the first half, Tyrese was 0-2, including 0-1 from deep, while handing out 3 assists. Only one turnover. With 38 seconds left in the game, Ty made a wide open 3 on a superb pass from Flip to tie the game at 38. But with 13 seconds left, and Duke trailing 77-75, he missed yet another wide open 3 on yet another wonderful pass from Flip.

Jeremy Roach (31:18) is not yet back in game shape but was forced to play almost 18 second-half minutes as a result of Dariq’s injury.  His rust was apparent because Jeremy scored only 6 points (3-9 from the field including 0-4 from deep, on uncontested shots).  Worse, he missed his only free throw, the front end of a 1-and-1 with Duke trailing by 3 points late in the game.  He had 3 assists (all in the first half) and 2 rebounds.  Jeremy tried to lead, but kept missing open shots and that crucial front end foul shot.  Jeremy is there, but not yet there.

Ryan Young (26:30) played the majority of his minutes with respectable offense statistics.  He scored 8 points (4-6 from the field), to go with 8 boards, 2 assists, and a steal.  But on defense, Ryan had the primary task to guard the star Hokie Big, Grant Basile, who nevertheless flourished in the paint on offense, scoring 24 points.

Dariq Whitehead (17:34) scored 10 points – all in his 14:33 first-half minutes before he suffered what may be a serious injury early in the second half.  Dariq hit both of his 3-point attempts and was 2-4 from inside the arc.  An assist and 2 turnovers.  Dariq’s injury is troubling, if not downright scary for Duke’s future this season.

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (13:30) after playing well for substantial minutes against Miami, D-Live played only sparingly against Va Tech.  He scored  4 points on 2-3 shooting and  grabbed 2 boards, but committed 2 fouls.  The announcers offered no explanation for D-Live’s reduced minutes, but it may have had to do with match-ups. He had no success slowing the Hokies and Basile’s offense. 

Jacob (Jake) Grandison (9:07) after earning Scheyer’s praise for his 24 minutes played against Miami, Jake played little, failing to score (0-1 from deep).  He had an assist and a rebound.   

Jaylen Blakes (4:52) is still not recovered from his broken nose.  He failed to score in his short time on the floor in the first half and did not play in the closing period.

SUMMING UP

Duke must start winning ACC road games in order to save the season! No other way exists.  There are 11 ACC games remaining, 5 on the road (Georgia Tech, Miami, UVA, Syracuse and UNC).  All those teams, except for Georgia Tech, are ahead of Duke in the ACC standings.

Next Play: Saturday, January 28, 2023, at Georgia Tech in Atlanta, Ga. At 3:00 p.m. on ACCN.

A terrible sight for Duke fans to behold.  We are all hoping Dariq will be able to play again this season.  Photo credit: USATSI

Duke Blue Devils  86 v. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 43 (Season 14; Issue 20; Game 21) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (January 28, 2023)

Swish! Roach is back! Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Raise your hand if you thought that Duke would be without their highly rated freshman Dariq Whitehead, be on the road where they have only won one game in ACC play, and play their best game of the year winning 86-43.  Even with Georgia Tech being one of the worst teams in the league, and their coaching staff making an interesting choice  to focus more on defending against Duke’s big men (that backfired, giving the Blue Devils threes), the circumstances made it a real challenge. But it was a challenge the Devils embraced, as Jeremy Roach hit two straight threes to start the game, and even Dereck Lively made one.  It was that kind of game! as Duke kept playing with enthusiasm and efficiency–making shots and getting stops (and rebounds).  Lively, who started in place of Ryan Young, had 9 points, 10 rebounds, and 2 steals.  Bottom line is that after a frustrating and disappointing run of games, and another injury, Duke recovered to play their best basketball. Now let’s see how they deal with better teams of the ACC that they will face to finish the season.

Other Comments:

Billy Packer died this week. He was a terrific point guard for Coach Bones McKinney at Wake Forest, where he teamed with center Lenny Chappell and Dave Budd to make the Demon Deacons a formidable force in ACC and NCAA play. “Packer did all the talking and I did all the work,” Chappell wryly (and inaccurately) joked in an interview before Wake Forest played in the first round of the 1996 N.C.A.A Tournament. I had an opportunity to talk to Billy in 1959 and he said Duke was his first choice and was recruited, but was never extended an offer from then Coach Harold Bradley.  Too small to make the NBA, Billy became a college television announcer and analyst, teaming with Jim Nance at CBS where they did decades of NCAA Final Four Games. He was knowledgeable and incisive in his explanation of what you were seeing, and made many fans, including me,  for college basketball.

Coach Scheyer: “we’re at our best when Tyrese is doing this.”  Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
ALANALYSIS:

Duke, as the road team, doubled Georgia Tech’s point total.  Georgia Tech may be deficient (8-13; 1-10 in the ACC), but no matter who the opponent, Duke scoring 86 points (43 in each half) while holding the other team to only 43 points, is a prodigious feat.  As Coach Scheyer said, “I thought it was probably the best collectively on defense that we’ve played. And then on the offensive end, to share the ball and get 24 assists, to hold them to 43 …” 

As a team, the Blue Devils were amazingly cohesive and organized.  The backcourt ran the show.  Tyrese Proctor is growing as a point guard so fast it is hard to remember how young he is, and how green at the start of the season.  He distributed 8 assists (a handful of beautiful lobs to Dereck (D-Live) Lively II for gorgeous throwdowns), without committing a turnover. Coach S was enthusiastic, “Talking about getting better, Tyrese from the start of the season to now has just grown tremendously. And we’re at our best when Tyrese is doing this. And we have weapons on the floor, and I thought he put them in a great position to be really successful.”

Jeremy Roach made an eloquent statement, hitting a brace of 3-pointers from deep on Duke’s first two shots of the game.  Jeremy was 4-7 from behind the arc for the game. “Jeremy played just an incredibly solid game, and when he’s ready to shoot like that, he’s heard me say it all the time, I think every shot he shoots is going in.  He and Tyrese [Proctor] had really good control over our team,” Scheyer opined.

The frontcourt was unstoppable on offense and controlled the paint and the backboard at both ends.  Kyle (Flip) Filipowski continued his superb play and leadership (18 points and 7 boards), D-Live showed what he can do at both ends, scoring 9, grabbing 10 boards, and blocking 3 shots.  He even made his first 3-pointer of the year.  If D-Live is trending back to the player he was last year, that is great news for Duke.  As the coach said, “like he’s on a launching pad right now. And he’s got a chance to take off, and today was the start of it. Ryan Young was a great substitute for D-Live, scoring 10 points on 5-6 shooting.”  Ryan is clearly appreciated by his coach, “Ryan has been so solid, we need him to stay ready for us. And he’s going to be in there.”

The other piece of excellent news is that Dariq’s injury is not as serious as feared at first.  It’s not an Achilles problem.  It is a ligament strain that forecasts his return to the rotation within a reasonable time.  Coach Scheyer reports, “Dariq’s progressing really well. Just fortunate that it wasn’t worse. It was scary at the time when he went down. And we want to make sure with him that we give him the right practice time to get back on the court where he can actually – we don’t want to just throw him out there where he hasn’t had a chance to get reps in practice.   He hasn’t been able to do more than what he did on the court today [Dariq was in uniform, and took shots in the warmup, but he is not yet jumping].  But obviously, he’s out there working every day with our medical team and strength and condition team, and we’ll just continue to take it day-by-day with him and make sure we don’t rush it with him, but also, we want him back as soon as possible.” 

All the news from this game is good.  The offense was smooth, with great ball movement and over 50% shooting.  Duke’s defense was even better than its offense.  The Yellow Jackets scored just 43 points, only 18 in the second half.  And, even better, Duke never committed enough fouls for the Yellow Jackets to reach the bonus; no Duke player had more than 2 fouls for the game.  That is the mark of tough, good defense.  The Blue Devil Bigs made life intolerable for Georgia Tech in the paint, while the perimeter closed down any hope of open shots from deep.

The test is to play like this against the best teams in the ACC and in the postseason. The Blue Devils’ challenge now is to be consistently at this high level against quality teams. 

THE ROTATION

Jeremy Roach (27:36) played more minutes than any other Duke player, and looked back in charge!  He nailed Duke’s first 6 points with a pair of 3s in the first two minutes of the game.  He nailed two more 3s in the second half to account for his 12 points (4-9 from the field including 4-7 from behind the arc).  Jeremy played great defense against Georgia Tech’s best guard, holding him to 5 points.  Jeremy grabbed 5 boards.

Tyrese (Ty) Proctor (27:05) played a superb floor game handing out 8 assists without a turnover.  He scored when it was appropriate (7 points on 3-6 from the field, including 1-3 from deep).  The Duke backcourt was in control and made the game smooth and fun.  

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (26:47) was again Duke’s best and most valuable player, scoring 18 points (6-9, including 1-3 from behind the arc and 5-6 from the stripe).  Flip played solid defense, blocking a shot and intimidating Tech at the rim.  Flip dominated the first half, scoring 14 of his 18 points in the opening stanza, as Duke opened a large lead.

Mark Mitchell (25:55) scored 11 points (4-10 from the field, including 0-1 from behind the arc and 3-5 from the foul line).  Mark grabbed 6 boards and handed out 4 assists. Mark also played excellent defense.   This time, he had a good game and if he can consistently do that his value will continue to grow.

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (23:30) played his best game at Duke – (even better than he played against Miami), scoring 9 points on 4-6, including a wide open 3 — he was 1-2 from deep, firing up but missing a second 3 in the final half — he is finally beginning to shoot 3s, like he did last year.  D-Live grabbed 10 boards and committed only 2 fouls; he appears to be learning how not to foul out. Scheyer: “I thought he did a great job of playing without his hands, not putting his hands on guys. We need him in the game, but we’ll see if we can do that again coming up.” 

He enhanced the efficiency of Duke’s defense and blocked 3 shots.  This was not less than a transformation.

Jacob (Jake) Grandison (19:41) led the bench in minutes played and points scored (tied with Ryan Young, each scoring 10 points).  Grandison was 4-6 from the field, including 2-4 from 3land.  Jake played  excellent defense also, contributing 2 rebounds and 2 assists.

Ryan Young (10:20) played the role for which he was recruited, giving D-Live a breather without Duke losing efficiency in the paint.  He did a simply great job at that, scoring 10 points (5-6 from the field) to go with 2 boards and an assist.  

Jaden Schutt (12:49) played enough at game’s end to warrant making it into the rotation.  He scored 4, on 2 excellent drives, after missing 3 from behind the arc (his high school reputation was as a deep shooter).  He may yet ascend to earn playing time when the game is on the line, according to Scheyer, “He’s improved, I’ve been able to see that throughout the course of the year.  He’s kept a great attitude, even though nobody likes not-playing. He gave us some really good minutes today.  Didn’t hit a three, but I thought every one he took was going in. I’ve seen that many times in practice. “

Jaylen Blakes (12:30) is getting better from his broken nose and is looking like his energetic self.  Jaylen made a spectacular steal late in the game leading to a layup, and completed the 3-point play when he cashed the foul shot.  He only had those 3 points, but he also adds depth and value to the roster.

SUMMING UP

Duke is now 6-4 in the ACC. There are 6 ACC teams ahead of Duke in the standings: Clemson (10-1), Virginia (8-2), Pittsburgh (8-3), UNC (7-3) NC State (7-4), Miami (7-4), Syracuse is 6-5. UNC next Saturday  

Next Play: Tuesday, January 31, 2023, v. WAKE FOREST in Cameron. At 7:00 p.m. on ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 75 v. Wake Forest Demon Deacons 73 (Season 14; Issue 21; Game 22) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (January 31,2023)

Roach guides his talented freshmen teammates.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Wake Forest coach Steve Forbes chose to play Basketball Russian Roulette by fielding a small lineup against a taller Duke team – undefeated in Cameron so far this year.  Fortunately, Duke has improved since the Demon Deacons beat them decisively earlier in January at Joel Coliseum.  Mainly, Jeremy Roach has moved to shooting guard, where he is flourishing (when healthy), and Tyrese Proctor has dramatically improved at running the point (he had his best game yet tonight). Even so, the Deacons got hot in the last few minutes and closed their double-digit deficit dramatically.  However, Filipowski iced the game with a three, and then a dunk when Grandison threw a long strike while putting the ball in play from out of bounds..  Also, Duke has been strengthened by starting Dereck Lively, who apparently has paid attention from his seat on the bench to how the clever Ryan Young operates in his place at center.  These improvements – including the Twin Towers of Lively & Filipowski staying out of foul trouble –  make for a better team. Going forward against a team that seems to have had Duke’s number the last few meetings—the North Carolina Tar Heels– will be a better test.

This has been a frustrating, inconsistent year for the talented, but young and often immature, Duke team. To start the season, Lively and Whitehead were injured and not available. Then Roach, their most critical player, injured his toe against Purdue, followed by Whitehead injuring his leg against Boston College. If the players can recover and avoid further injuries, the Blue Devils should be a more consistent, formidable contender going forward.

OTHER COMMENTS:

  • Wake Forest’s Tyree Appleby is about as lethal a guard as there is in the ACC.  In addition to 27 points, he hit a three well after the buzzer, ending the game from what can best be described as the furthest reaches of Steph Curryland. He is six feet tall and can dunk; however,it took him three seasons to average double digit points.  He played at Cleveland State and Florida before transferring to Wake Forest for his fifth season.  This transfer portal and extra Covid year are making a mockery of college basketball.  But it further points out the age and experience differential between Duke freshmen, who look like men but are still boys, and their opponents, some of whom are, literally, grown men.
  • Coach Scheyer made an interesting and savvy adjustment on the final, crucial inbounding play to end the game.  Mitchell, who played a scrappy, blue-collar game, couldn’t make the inbounds pass and called time out. Scheyer replaced Mitchell with the more experienced grad student Grandison to make the pass in; he made a terrific pass (flip in) to Filipowski (who, incidentally, had another double/double game, and made all the points in the last minutes) for a dunk to seal the game.
  • This game demonstrated again how the three point line has changed basketball. Trading threes for twos, or threes for stops, can negate size and make for uneven but exciting games. 
Scheyer confers with his leader on the court.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
ALANALYSIS:

A win is a win in the ACC; Duke held serve at home against Wake, after being badly beaten by the Demon Deacons in Winston-Salem.  The Blue Devils looked excellent for almost 35 minutes, but they spent the final 5:28 watching  the 14-point lead shrivel to the final margin of 2 points.. Still, it never seemed as if the Blue Devils were in danger of losing, but the sloppiness at crunch time is nevertheless troubling.  Scheyer, “I felt we were in pretty good control down the stretch.  Jeremy’s steal and Tyrese’s tip-in was a big-time play. [Jeremy’s best play was this amazing steal of a pass meant for Appleby, where he had to spin to gain control of the ball.  He didn’t cash the layup, but Tyrese tipped the miss back in for a spectacular play!!]  Flip obviously hitting the three and then heads up play by Jake and Flip to connect and hit him long to finish.”  [The Grandison long pass to Flip for the dunk combined with Flip’s 3-pointer and Jeremy’s steal are the 3 winning plays Scheyer described]  Stellar moments, for sure.

Duke led 68-54 with 5:28 left in the game and looked exceedingly safe until Duke started to unravel.  With 5:09 left in the game, Ryan Young committed his second foul, and the team’s 9th.  Wake’s best player, Tyree Appleby (27 points in the game), made both foul shots.  68-56.  Kyle (Flip) Filipowski missed a 3-point attempt.  Wake rebounded and scored a 3 (68-59).  Young committed an offensive foul (his 3rd; Duke’s 10th).  Roach missed a jumper with 3:38 left; Proctor missed a 3-pointer before Wake scored on a fast break with 2:55 remaining (68-61).  Duke finally scored on a layup by Flip on a sweet assist from Mark Mitchell (70-61 with 2:37 left).  Wake’s Monsanto hit his 2nd straight 3-pointer with 2:08 left in the game (70-64).  Flip missed a 3 pointer (wide open) with 1:35 remaining. Appleby scored on a drive, and he was fouled by Roach on the play, with 1:23 left in the game (Roach’s 4th and Duke’s 11th).  Appleby missed the foul shot (70-66 with 1:23 left).  Then Duke won the game!  Flip hit a big 3-point shot on a wonderful pass from Proctor (73-66 with 47 seconds left).  Proctor drew a foul and, after a timeout, Grandison threw a full court inbounds pass to a streaking Flip for the dunk (75-66 with 39 seconds to play). 

But the Deacons were not done. Wake missed a pair of 3s but collected 3 offensive rebounds – the third was an Appleby put-back. (75-68 with 18 seconds left).  Wake had to foul, and Mitchell went to the line for a one-and-one with 12 seconds on the clock.  When Mitchell missed the front end, the Deacons scored on a fast break (75-70 with 5 seconds left).  Flip was fouled and he missed the front end of a one-and-one.  Appleby hit an incredibly long 3 at the buzzer for the final 75-73 score.

Jeremy Roach had a wonderful first half, scoring 17 points — 21 for the game in 37 minutes.  Scheyer, “We need Jeremy in attack mode and that’s what we need to continue him to do.”

Maybe the best news from yesterday is Dariq Whitehead’s speedy recovery from what looked like a devastating injury.  Scheyer suggested he might play against UNC on Saturday. “It’s too early to say for Saturday, but he’s recovered really well.”

The Defense

Duke gave up 39 second-half points, which is not great defense.  Duke held the Deacons to 34 first-half points.  Not gaudy, but a win.  The greatest defensive concern is that Blue Devil players cannot stop consistently fouling.  Duke committed 20 fouls in the game.  D-Live and Roach committed 4, while Ryan Young, Proctor, and Flip each committed 3.   The Blue Devils’ 11 second-half fouls are especially troubling. Scheyer identified the fouling as a place where Duke has room to grow.  Another concern was the 8 offensive rebounds that Wake grabbed in the second half.  On the positive side, Scheyer mentioned Lively II.  “D-Live to have 3 assists and no turnovers, four blocked shots, he’s just getting better and better.”

The Offense

The Blue Devils shot 50% from the field for the game (27-54 — including 6-17 from deep – plus 15-20 from the stripe).  Duke scored 41 first-half points but scoring tailed off in the closing half – only 34 and failed to close out the game definitively. 

Roach (17 points) and Proctor (7 points) carried Duke’s scoring in the first half; Flip (11 points) and Proctor (10 points) carried the Blue Devils in the closing stanza.  While Duke handed out 13 assists, the 14 turnovers are a continuing, albeit consistent, problem. 

Flip flips it in!
Photo Credit: GoDuke.Com

THE ROTATION

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (37:54) notched another double-double with 11 rebounds, while scoring 16 points (6-14, including 1-4 from behind the arc and 3-5 from the stripe).  Flip played solid defense blocking a shot and intimidating Tech at the rim.  Flip dominated the second half, scoring 11 of his 16 points in the closing stanza.  His lone 3 and the dunk on a fabulous inbounds pass from Grandison were Duke’s key winning plays. 

Jeremy Roach (37:22) played more minutes than he has since his injury, and looked as if he was back in charge – especially in a glorious first half, where he led Duke’s offense with 17 points on 7-10 from the field and 2-3 from deep.  He scored 21 for the game (9-16, including 2-3 from 3land and 1-2 from the foul line). Jeremy guarded Wake’s best player, Tyree Appleby.  It was nice to watch them clearly having fun competing against each other, but Appleby did manage to score 27 points.  

Tyrese (Ty) Proctor (31:07) played a superb floor game scoring 17 points (6-11 from the field, including 3-7 from deep plus 2-2 from the line).  Ty’s second half was perhaps his best half of the season.  He scored 10 in the second half to save the Blue Devils.

Mark Mitchell (32:27) played a quiet, valuable game, without much offense.  He scored only 5 points (1-4; 0-1 from behind the arc and 3-4 from the foul line), but had 8 rebounds, an assist, and played hard defense with a pair of steals.  

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (20:14) scoring 7 points on 2-4, including a wishful 0-1 from deep, and 3-4 from the stripe.  D-Live grabbed 6 boards and blocked 4 shots, but was once again in foul trouble (committing 4) which limited his playing time. When D-Live was on the floor, Duke scored 10 more points than Wake did.  He enhanced the efficiency of Duke’s defense and blocked 3 shots in the second half to help preserve the Duke lead.  

Ryan Young (18:44) played almost half the game, as a result of D-Live’s foul problems.  He did a good job on offense, scoring 9 points (3-4 from the field and 3-3 from the stripe) to go with 4 boards and 2 assists.  He committed 3 fouls and had trouble defensively with the Wake Bigs.  When Ryan was on the court, Duke scored 3 fewer points than the Deacs did.

Jacob (Jake) Grandison (10:09) was one of 3 Duke players who failed to score (0-1 from deep, with a rebound and two assists).  One of the assists was really the game winner – when Grandison made the great inbounds pass to Flip who was racing for the basket and a crucial dunk to give Duke a 9 point lead with only 39 seconds left in the game.

Jaylen Blakes (7:53) also failed to score or even take a shot, while committing 2 fouls. It was not his finest game.

Jaden Schutt (3:50) was handed a first-half opportunity to see if he could add to Duke’s outside shooting.  However, he did not get a shot up, while committing a foul.  He did not play in the second half. 

SUMMING UP

Scheyer: “We came out and really competed for the whole game. There wasn’t a drop off with that.  We made mistakes and maybe turned the ball over, missed some stuff at the rim, but the competitiveness and the job we did on the backboards [Editorial staff: except for those 8 second-half offensive rebounds] was a big difference.

The Blue Devils need to hold serve against the Tarheels in Cameron.

Next Play: Saturday, February 4, 2023, v. UNC in Cameron. At 6:30 p.m. on ESPN.

Ty- on point! becoming the full package: ball handling, scoring, and leadership.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Duke Blue Devils 63 v. UNC Tarheels 57 (Season 14; Issue 22; Game # 23) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (February 4, 2023)

D-Live Flying high, with a great block out by Grandison. Photo Credit: News & Observer/ Ethan Hyman & Robert Willet
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

After several injuries and a disappointing start to the ACC season, Coach Scheyer made a couple of changes to the Blue Devil line-up  as well as changing how much playing time his bench gets.  The changes produced an impressive win against a struggling, but always dangerous, North Carolina squad, four members of which started for, and almost won, the NCAA Championship last year. By rearranging the Duke players on the deck of the proverbial floundering Titanic, the coaches may have found the key combination to this young team.  Moving Proctor to full time point guard to give Jeremy Roach time to heal, and lo and behold Tyrese became a much more productive contributor, and Jeremy (four 20 point games), a very effective shooting guard. Secondly, he started and gave more playing time to Dereck Lively (8 blocks & 14 rebounds) who has matured into a wonderful rim protector and rebounder. [Editorial Staff: some of those changes were necessitated by Dariq’s injury.]

Teaming Lively with Filipowski gives Duke two tall, tough defenders and rebounders (with Ryan Young as a savvy replacement for either player) who are prone to committing too many fouls.  If this team can find a consistent offense, they will be a formidable contender as the ACC does not yet have a dominant team this year.

I watched the game with Johnny Tar Heel. He commented that Carolina’s departed versatile power forward Brady Manek was the key to last year’s team and that his replacement, Pete Nance, has proved to be anything but.  It is interesting how one player can upset the chemistry and effectiveness of an entire basketball team.

Nationally, Purdue appears to be the best, but was beaten by Indiana yesterday. The rest of the season will tell the tale of which teams have learned the most, have avoided major injuries, are the toughest, and are playing the best basketball.

ALANALYSIS:

Duke’s best performance of the season came in the same game as Dereck (D-Live) Lively II’s best performance of the season.  There was no coincidence involved.  D-Live dominated the paint, and eventually gained the advantage over Tarheel super star Armando Bacot.  In the first half, D-Live blocked 4 shots and garnered 4 offensive rebounds, but could not stop Bacot.  Armando scored 12 of his 14 game-points and grabbed 7 of his 10 rebounds in the opening stanza.  The key to D-Live’s first half was committing only a single foul in his 16 minutes! 

The second half, however, belonged totally to D-Live. He held Bacot to a single field goal (1-4 in the second half) while out scoring Bacot 4-2.  D-Live was 2-2 on dunks for his 4 points — the second dunk put Duke ahead 59-57 with only 1:35 remaining in the game.  Bacot retrieved only 3 second-half rebounds; he turned it over once without an assist, a steal, or a blocked shot.  In contrast, Lively dominated the backboard, hauling in 10 second-half rebounds (5 on offense), and blocking another 4 Carolina shots (several of the blocks were simply spectacular).  Basically, Lively II took Bacot out of the game in the second half.  If we remember Bacot’s absolute domination of Mark Williams in the National Semi-Final last year that cost Duke the game, D-Lives’s achievement gains even more stature. 

Jeremy Roach played like a captain.  He showed his young teammates what being superb in the clutch is all about on both offense and defense.  The game was tied at 55 with 5:24 left in the game, and again at 57 with 3:58 remaining.  The Duke defense (and some bad Carolina plays) limited the Tarheels to 4 points in the last 6:20 of the game.  That is team defense.  Carolina finished with the same 57 points as the team had had with 3:58 left in the game.  And, the Blue Devils did it without fouling (UNC was limited to 2-3 from the foul line for the game).

With  4:20 left in the game, Jeremy made a driving layup to break the 55- all tie; he was also fouled, but missed the foul shot. 57-55 Duke.  Nobody scored for a bit.  D-Live blocked a UNC driving layup on a play where Flip was injured while also going for the block, with 4:09 left in the game.  Flip had to come out of the game.  Carolina tied the score at 57 – 3:57 left.  Roach had his layup blocked (3:42 left) before Carolina missed another jump shot 5 seconds later.  Lively II corralled that rebound, but Proctor turned it over on a bad pass with 3:04 remaining.  Flip stole the ball and was fouled with 2:41 still to play, but missed the front end of a one and one.  Tyrese blocked a Davis drive and Flip collected the ball to set the scene for Duke’s winning plays.

With 1:57 to go Flip missed a layup, which D-Live rebounded.  Roach missed on a drive 20 seconds later, but D-Live again grabbed the offensive rebound and slammed it home for a 59-57 Blue Devil lead with 1:35 left in this exciting game.

If D-Live’s dunk with 1:35 left to put Duke ahead was not the play of the game, then the play that occurred in the last minute of the game was.   After D-Live’s dunk, Carolina called a timeout, trailing 59-57.  With 1:05 left, star UNC guard, Leaky Black (13 points, including 3-6 from deep), launched a 3-pointer that missed.  Kyle (Flip) Filipowski rebounded his miss.  With only 38 seconds left, Flip drove to the basket, but missed. …….. Here comes the Play of The Game: Flip rebounded his own miss, and Duke called time out to regroup, with 16 seconds left on the shot clock.  With 23 seconds left in the game, and the shot clock winding down, Duke’s captain spectacularly iced the game for the Blue Devils.  Jeremy used a screen and drove to his right and down the lane.  Bacot slid over to block the shot, but Duke’s captain shifted to his left and dropped in a gorgeous layup with his left hand.  Duke 61 – UNC 57.  Jeremy closed out the game going 2-2 from the stripe with 9 seconds left.  Jeremy was clutch on both ends of the court.

Tyrese Proctor’s play at point guard continued to be scintillating.  He scored 11 points and handed out 5 assists.  His control of the offense has let Jeremy reach toward his potential as a scorer – 20 points to lead Duke in scoring against the Tarheels.  The Captain played all 40 minutes of the game with energy and aplomb.  To the great relief of Duke fans, his toe seems to be healed.

The Defense

Duke allowed the Tarheels only 25 second-half points, which is great defense.  D-Live gets much credit for that result from his domination of the paint and protection of the rim.  The greatest defensive improvement is that Duke played effective defense without fouling.  Duke committed only 11 fouls in the game – and the last 2 in the game’s waning seconds were intentionally committed to drain time away from UNC’s offensive effort; so really 9.  UNC never made it to the bonus in either half, taking only 3 foul shots for the entire game!  Carolina has averaged 18 foul shot attempts per game, scoring above 14 points per game from the foul line.  Limiting UNC to a pair of points from the foul line was great defense. 

At the press conference after Duke beat Pittsburgh last Tuesday,  Scheyer prophetically said,  “D-Live to have 3 assists and no turnovers, four blocked shots, he’s just getting better and better.”  He certainly was “better and better” against Bacot and UNC.

The Offense

The Blue Devils were 24 -61 from the field, including 4-11 from deep, plus 11 – 15 from the stripe.  Duke scored 33 first-half points, but only 30 in the second half.  Critically, Duke closed out the game definitively and dramatically for the win.

Roach (20 points), Flip (14 points), and Proctor (11 points) carried the Blue Devils on offense.  While Duke handed out 10 assists on 24 baskets, the 12 turnovers are a continuing problem.

Jeremy’s winning left handed layup with 23 seconds left in the game. Photo Credit: News & Observer/ Ethan Hyman & Robert Willet

THE ROTATION

Jeremy Roach (40:00) is back!  Captain Jeremy scored 20 points, 10 in each half, including the outcome-determining last 4 of the game.   Jeremy shot 8-20 from the field, including 1-2 from deep,  plus 3-4 from the foul line.  Jeremy  aggressively guarded Wake’s best guard, R.J Davis.  Duke’s captain had 7 rebounds; Duke outrebounded UNC 46-40.  He played with heart and leadership, and never came out of the game, not even for a minute, an excellent example for the team from The Captain. 

Tyrese (Ty) Proctor (37:45) played a superb floor game, scoring 11 points (5-13 from the field, including 1-2 from deep).  Ty’s confidence is growing visibly as he takes charge of running the offense.  He handed out 5 assists.  He is a tenacious defender, exemplified by his 2 steals and a block.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (35:00) scored 14 points (4-14, including 1-3 from behind the arc and 5-7 from the stripe).  Flip grabbed 7 boards and played solid defense, blocking 2 shots, and joined with his fellow 7-footer D-Live to intimidate the Tarheels at the rim.   

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (33:38) played what is undoubtedly his best game since coming to Duke.   He was finally the eagerly-awaited Freshman super star! as his 14 rebounds and 8 (yes, 8) blocked shots demonstrates.  He held even with UNC’s star big man, Armando Bacot (already the leading rebounder in the history of Tarheel basketball), and began to dominate him as the 2nd half wound down.  D-Live committed 2 fouls while blocking 8 shots.  In addition, he scored 4 on a pair of dunks – the second dunk broke the 57-57.  He and Jeremy willed the Blue Devils to the win. 

Mark Mitchell (27:58) played yet another quiet, but valuable, game.  Mark does a bit of everything.  He scored 6 points (2-5 from the field, plus 2-3 from the foul line).  Mark had 8 rebounds and an assist.  He played aggressive defense.  He is what has become known as “a glue guy”.

Jacob (Jake) Grandison (17:25) scored 6 points in a valuable role off the bench (2-5, including 1-3 from deep, plus 1-1 from the stripe). He made a great pass to Ryan Young for an assist and a sweet hoop.

Ryan Young (5:59) was 1-1 from the field for his 2 points and garnered a pair of rebounds.  His playing time was dramatically curtailed as a result of D-Live’s spectacular performance. 

Jaylen Blakes (2:15) failed to score or even take a shot (again), while handing out an assist.  His broken nose is obviously adversely impacting him, which has reduced his playing time.

SUMMING UP

If  Dariq can return to his form of last year, as D-Live did against the Tarheels, and D-Live continues to play at the level he did in the second half against Bacot and UNC, the season’s prospects – which darkened dramatically when Dariq went down in the Boston College game while Jeremy was slow to return to form post-injury — have brightened. D-Live seemed transformed.  He was so athletic, moving like a lead ballet dancer with a high basketball IQ.  Duke ascends into being an elite team if and when D-Live’s level of play is consistently what it was in the second half.  There is still a potential for this to be a season to remember.

Moreover, Duke is only one game behind in the loss column  in the hunt for the ACC regular season title –Clemson and UVA both lost yesterday, and now have 3 losses: Clemson (10-3); UVA and Pittsburgh (9-3); NC State and Miami (9-4); while Duke is 8-4; and UNC (7-5).  A regular season championship, which looked impossible just a couple of games ago, is again within Duke’s reach.

Perhaps the most important game of the season was not UNC, but rather will be this coming Monday night (only a day of rest) in Coral Gables against a surging Miami team that beat UVA while Duke was beating UNC.  A loss would take all the air out of Duke’s balloon (newly infused by the performance against the Tarheels).

Next Play: Monday, February 6, 2023, at Miami in Coral Gables, Fla. at 7:00 p.m. on ESPN.

Two former players who bring their understanding of the true significance of college basketball’s best rivalry to their coaching. Photo Credit: News & Observer/ Ethan Hyman & Robert Willet

Duke Blue Devils 59 v. Miami Hurricanes 81 (Season 14; Issue 23; Game 24) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (February 6, 2023)

Duke Blue Devils women’s head coach Kara Lawson speaks wisdom.  Photo credit: Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Welcome to big-time college basketball. A rule of thumb in sports is this: the game after a big, emotional win is a very difficult game, one which validates the quality, focus, and maturity of a team.  You often see it in tournament basketball — especially with a short two-day turn around.  Certainly, Coach Scheyer and his staff know this all too well–they have been there and done that.  Obviously, his players, if they did, were not prepared for a team as talented and well coached as the Miami team, which beat them in every phase of the game at every position, from the opening tip until the final buzzer.  Whoever scheduled this away game two days after the Duke-UNC game, didn’t do the Blue Devils any favors.  But that is beside the point.  Life and schedules are not always fair.  You must give Miami Coach Jim Larrañaga and his players all the credit.  You don’t often see a college basketball team give away this much height, and play all phases of the game this impressively, for forty minutes of an epic 22 point win, against a team that the Devils beat just a few weeks ago.

Lesson learned.  Suck it up.  Next game!

ALANALYSIS:

Jim Carroll wrote a book about his counter-culture life as a high school basketball star in New York City.  He later became a well-known musician, who was friends with Patty Smith.  His high school team was a powerhouse.  The team went to Central Park before games to buy illegal uppers and downers – the uppers for before the game, the downers for after.  Carroll writes about one time where they mixed up the pills and took the downers before the game.  It felt as if their feet were stuck to the floor, and they moved in slow motion.  The Coach had to replace the starting lineup early.

Duke’s performance against the Hurricanes in Coral Gables floated that story to the top of my mind.  Miami’s opening run in the first nearly 3 minutes was emblematic of the entire game.  In that time, Miami led 13-1, made shots, stole the ball from the Blue Devils, and generally made it look like professionals playing against a Junior High team.  Was it that bad?  Yes, it was. Duke committed 21 turnovers.  With 5 seconds left in the game and nothing going on, Blakes lost the ball while dribbling.  Duke had Miami players simply rip the ball out of their hands, after grabbing a rebound or starting a drive.  Miami got every 50-50 ball. That’s the way the game went….. all night.  It was, for me, and I hazard to say for every other Duke fan, painful to watch, which is why I would rather write about Jim Carroll than about this game.  

The Defense

Duke gave up a pair of 40-point halves (41 in the second) – allowed the Hurricanes to shoot 48% from the field and 41% from behind the arc.  Miami was 10-11 from the stripe.  Miami grabbed 16 offensive rebounds, outrebounding the – much taller – Blue Devils 38-31.  Duke did collect 12 offensive rebounds, but failed to score on put backs with any consistency.  Miami scored at will.

The Offense

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II tied with Ryan Young to lead Duke in scoring with 11 points.  Kyle (Flip) Filipowski scored 9 first-half points and grabbed 9 first-half rebounds.  Those were also his totals for the game.  He looked to me as if his effort against UNC and the punishment he took in that game took the gas out of his tank for this game.  The second half is the first time D-Live and Ryan have playing at the same time. Possibly trying to make up for Flip’s state of exhaustion?

The backcourt was abysmal.  Jeremy Roach and Tyrese (Ty) Proctor each had 5 turnovers and Jaylen Blakes had 3.  Ty scored 3, Jeremy 10 (but only 3 in the first half).

THE ROTATION

Jeremy Roach (31:09) scored 10 points, but was outplayed by the Miami backcourt on both ends of the floor in each half.   Jeremy shot 3-8 from the field (1-6 in the first half), including 1-3 from deep, plus 3-3 from the foul line.  Duke’s captain handed out 4 assists against 5 turnovers.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (28:07) scored 9 points (4-12, including 1-4 from behind the arc, without a free throw attempt).  Flip grabbed 9 boards, handed out 2 assists, and had 4 steals. He committed 3 turnovers.  He left the game when he committed his third foul early in the second half and did not return.  

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (26:27) tied for being Duke’s leading scorer with 11 points (5-6 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land, plus 1-2 from the stripe).  He did hold on to 6 boards and blocked 5 shots.  The good news is that he only committed 2 fouls.

Mark Mitchell (24:10) played yet another quiet game.   Mark does a bit of everything.  He scored 5 points (2-8 from the field, including 0-1 from deep, plus 1-1 from the foul line).  Mark also had 3 rebounds, two steals, and a block. 

Jacob (Jake) Grandison (23:01) scored 2 points in a valuable role off the bench (0-3 from the field, including 0-2 from deep, plus 2-2 from the stripe. He garnered 4 rebounds and handed out 4 assists.

Ryan Young (17:47) was tied with D-Live for being the Blue Devil scoring leader with 11 points (5-6 from the field, plus 1-1 from the stripe) to go with four rebounds and an assist.  He did turn it over 3 times. 

Tyrese (Ty) Proctor (18:55) was off his game, scoring only 3 points (1-6 from the field, including 1-3 from deep).  Tellingly, Ty did not take a foul shot.  He handed out 4 assists but committed five turnovers.  Miami drove around him to the basket at will. 

Jaylen Blakes 16:59) scored 5 points (1-4 from the field, including 1-3 from behind the arc, plus 2-3 from the stripe).  Jaylen contributed 3 rebounds and 2 assists, but 3 turnovers.

Jaden Schutt (11:24 ) was 1-2 from deep for his 3 points, to go with an assist.

SUMMING UP

After the UNC game, we wrote, “perhaps the most important game of the season was not UNC, but rather will be Monday night (only a day of rest) in Coral Gables against a surging Miami team that beat UVA while Duke was beating UNC.  A loss would take all the air out of Duke’s balloon (infused by the performance against the Tarheels).”   If you listen closely, you might be able to hear the air escaping.

My new favorite coach, Duke women’s basketball coach Kara Lawson, imparted great wisdom in a press conference.  The women lost to UNC and then played Syracuse and won.  Her comments were profound. “no one goes undefeated in life.  How you deal with the loss is what matters.” She said that after a loss, you should own the bad feelings, but then it was time to move on.  “Everybody loses … in basketball and in life.  If you stay with the loss, it can linger, one loses confidence, and the loss builds into a losing streak. That’s what we teach our team.  And, yeah, we also teach Xs and Os.”

Next Play: Saturday, February 11, 2023, at UVA in Charlottesville. at 4:00 p.m. on ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 62 v. Virginia Cavaliers 69 (Season 14; Issue 24; Game #25) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (February 11, 2023)

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

This Duke team can’t seem to catch a break.  Playing at Charlottesville against a typical Tony Bennett veteran team, which consistently punches above its weight class (in more ways than one), Duke got the business end  of what the ACC termed “an incorrect adjudication of the playing rules.”  This resulted in the game going to overtime, where No. 8 UVA won 69-62 – an outcome which enhances the Cavaliers’ chances of winning an ACC regular-season championship while simultaneously damaging Duke’s hopes of earning a top four-seed and a double-bye for the conference tournament in Greensboro, N.C. next month. 

“A foul was called onVirginia’s Ryan Dunn during a shot attempt by Duke’s Kyle Filipowski as time expired,” the ACC statement said. “Upon the officials’ review of the play,it was determined that the foul committed occurred after the clock reached 0.0.  However, the play should have resulted in two free throws for Duke.” (If Thomas Jefferson were still alive, he surely would have rectified the situation and awarded Kyle the free throws. Even Johnny Tar Heel said it was the worst, most crucial call he had ever seen!) That does not account for the play clock starting too soon.  And that doesn’t mean Filipowski would have made one or two free throws – he had not scored a point in the game, but shoots 76.6% from the foul line and never got the chance to win the game. Time had expired.  The game went into overtime, and the Blue Devils lost that quite decisively.

For the second game in a row, Duke had an unacceptable 20+ turnovers but, on the other hand, the Cavaliers missed 13 free throws.  When Duke was up by 7 points in the first half, they had three possessions in a row where they made several consecutive turnovers without getting off a shot.  That is one of the reasons this team rarely makes the kind runs, which, in the past, have determined close games.  And how does Roach score like an All-American in one half and disappear in the next?  And why does seven-foot Filipowski have so many shots blocked and make so many offensive charges?  Jon Scheyer was one of the smartest and most productive players in Duke history.  Surely, he knows the answers…..

I guess you could say Virginia is more than the sum of their parts, and Duke is less than the sum of their parts. The good news: perhaps some of the freshmen will look at the season, and their play, and decide that “one and done” is not in their best, long-term interest.

ALANALYSIS:

As a criminal defense lawyer, I have vast experience in absorbing “result-oriented” decisions.  A result-oriented decision is one made where the facts and applicable rules give way to the arbiter’s desire for a given result. While I am used to it in my profession, I was flabbergasted by the referees at the end of regulation.  

As we all saw in exquisite close-up detail  (reproduced above) there was still time left in the game when Flip was fouled.  This is critical when we examine the ACC’s ruling below.  

It calls to mind the old saying that “one picture is worth 1,000 words”.  In a tie score game, Kyle (Flip) Filipowski was fouled – in the act of shooting – while there was still time on the clock.  The correct decision was obviously to have  awarded him 2 foul shots.  In all likelihood that would have sent the UVA fans home in sadness (if Flip made just 1 of the 2 foul shots he had earned).  The “result-oriented” decision – dramatically impeached by visual evidence – gave Virginia an overtime.  My lawyer instinct was “objection!” or file an appeal – available in law but not in ACC basketball.

Scheyer: “Well, they told me after the fact that the call was made after the buzzer. And you can see the ball left his hands before point-zero.  So, I don’t know exactly what the rule is.  I’d like to get some clarification, understand.  But the call was made, so I don’t know how the call can be taken away.  But again, I just would like clarity.  Jacob Grandison hits a big-time three to tie it.  You have a chance to win. And to attack the basket like that, that’s a big-time move.  To not be rewarded, I feel for Flip and our team.  And then you have to move on in overtime.  And we needed one more stop that we couldn’t get down the stretch in overtime.”  Duke trailed 63-62 with 1:11 seconds left in overtime when the Blue Devils did not get the needed stop.  Instead, Virginia’s Arman Franklin’s 3-pointer with 40 seconds left was the shot of the game, and sent Duke to defeat.

This was not a controversial block-charge call, where mistakes are frequently made.  There is a huge difference between a bad call and a “result-oriented” decision.

 (… Buckle up for the Alanalysis Legal Seminar)  

The ACC tries to dodge the appearance of a “result-oriented” decision in favor of the “ bad call”  by deeming it an incorrect interpretation of the rules – but begins with a glaring factual error.  “The referees stated that the foul occurred after the clock hit 0.0”   That is pure, unadulterated bovine excrement as the photo shows indisputably that there was still time left on the clock when the foul was committed.  Using the false premise that the foul was committed after time had expired but while the ball was still in flight, the ACC created the “bad call” story of a rules violation, which, of course, contains no remedy for the error.  

“Rule 5, Section 7, Article 3c:  when a foul occurs so near the expiration of time that the official timer cannot stop the game clock before time expires, or the foul occurs after time expires but the ball is in flight during a try, the period shall end when the free throw(s) and all related activity have been completed..”

A.R. 130, Section 2 – “Where the shooter A1 releases the ball, time expires, A-1 is fouled while the ball is in flight and the try is unsuccessful, since the try was released before the expiration of time and since the foul occurred after time expired but while the ball was in flight and A1 was an airborne shooter, A1 shall attempt two free throws even if the first is successful.”

So, per ACC’s rules, Flip still should have gotten the foul shots, but “The conference considers the matter closed and will have no further comment.”

THE GOOD, BAD AND UGLY

The Good

The Return of Dariq Whitehead

After missing 4 games, Dariq played more than 25 minutes and scored in double figures – 10 points.  It’s been an injury plagued mess of a season for Dariq, but there is still time for him to lift the Blue Devils into being a tough out in the postseason.  It’s time for him to blossom.

Scheyer: “I’ll tell you what … Dariq, to come back after not playing for a couple weeks, in this environment, against their defense, and to give us that lift says a lot about him. We want him to really be ready and feel confident to play.  To come out and hit those shots and be able to create.  He played more minutes than I thought he even could tonight, so that’s encouraging.  He needs to use this as a launching board to just go from here.  But I’m really proud of him for coming back and stepping up and again, making plays to give us a chance to win that.” 

Tyrese (Ty) Proctor’s Growth

Ty and Jeremy Roach were Duke’s scoring in the first half (20 of the Blue Devils’ 27 points – 8 for Proctor in 16:26).  With Jeremy in foul trouble (he fouled out with 3:15 left in OT), Ty played every minute of the second half and the overtime.  He scored all 4 of Duke’s overtime points, including a nifty drive to the basket, to bring Duke within a point (63-62) with a little over a minute left.

The Return of Duke’s Fighting Spirit

Unlike the last game against Miami, where the Blue Devils rolled over and played dead for 40 minutes, Duke never gave up, and played hard, with genuine passion, every single minute. 

Scheyer: “Our guys, they battled their asses off for 40 minutes.  Did some really good things, there’s of course some things we could’ve done better, but to put ourselves in a position to win and it was disappointing. …   But still, putting ourselves in a position to win, we competed like crazy. We battled like crazy, and we were able to overcome some of those mistakes.” 

The Bad

Flip

Flip has been Duke’s best player all year, and one of the best freshmen in the country.  Yet, he has now played three full halves in a row without scoring a single point!  He was scoreless in the second half against Miami, and he failed to score a single point against the Cavaliers.  

Scheyer: “He just didn’t have that same pop that he normally does. And for whatever reason, had a hard time getting out of it.  You still think though, he’s going to make a play. Every time, even when he hasn’t played as well, he comes through. And at the end of the game, we wanted him in, he made a big-time play attacking the basket, and there’s no doubt he’s knocking down those free throws, in my mind. That’s the kind of competitor and who he is as a person. But obviously, it was a tough night for him that he couldn’t quite shake.” 

Flip is committing turnovers, having his shots blocked, and doesn’t seem to be the same player he has been since the season began.  If it is more than a slump –profound exhaustion or worse – it is very bad.

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II 

After a breakout game against UNC that had the announcers searching for adjectives (and Bill Russell statistics), and a solid game against Miami (11 points), D-Live returned to his fouling ways, scoring only 2 points, while earning him a prolonged seat on the bench.  In under 6 minutes, he committed his first 2 fouls, which caused Scheyer to take him out for the remainder of the first half.   He played less than 5 minutes in the second half (3rd foul) and not at all in the overtime. The result was that D-Live simply did not impact the game.  He didn’t take a shot from the field, scored only 2 points (2-2 from the stripe) in the game, without a blocked shot.  It’s amazing Duke came as close to winning as they did with their two star freshman contributing just 2 points.  D-Live has demonstrated his ability to impact a big game.  He needs to do it consistently if Duke is to save its fast-crumbling season.

The Overtime

Ty, Dariq, and Grandison played all five minutes. Ryan played  4:15.  Mark Mitchell played 2:04, Roach 1:45, and Flip 1:56.  Duke  had 10 overtime possessions. Duke committed turnovers on its first 3 possessions of the overtime – offensive foul by Flip, a travel by Proctor, and a charge by Roach (his fifth). The Blue Devils trailed 63-58 with 2:58 remaining.  Ty scored on a layup with  2:45 left for Duke’s first overtime points.  63-60. Grandison stole the ball, but Ryan missed a layup (his only shot of the overtime).  2:07 remaining.  UVA missed; Ryan retrieved the rebound with 1:40 left. Ty made his second driving layup to make the score 63-62 with 1:11 left.  After Franklin swished his game winning 3 with 40 seconds left, Duke trailed 66-62, and Proctor lost the ball for a turnover with 34 seconds left. The Blue Devils had to foul.  When the Cavaliers missed the second free throw, Ryan got the rebound. Tyrese missed a 3 with 22 seconds left, but Flip corralled the offensive rebound and was fouled.  He missed the front end of the 1-and-1 with 18 seconds left.  Ty missed a driving layup with 9 seconds left and Dariq threw up a desperation 3 that missed with 3 seconds on the game clock.  Not counting Dariq’s late 3-point miss,  Duke had 10 possessions (11 if Flip’s offensive rebound is considered) and took only five shots, but turned it over 5 times.   Flip missed Duke’s only overtime free throw (UVA shot 10).  10 possessions; only 5 shot attempts and only 4 points.  Bad.

The Ugly

Turnovers on Offense

The Blue Devils turned the ball over 22 times – 8 by the starting backcourt: Jeremy Roach 5 and Ty 3 (all in the first half).  Flip turned it over 5 times (seemed like more).  Duke out-rebounded UVA by 15 (39-24) but turned it over 13 times more than Virginia did.  So, the Blue Devils earned 5 fewer shot attempts.  It is amazing Duke almost won despite the turnovers.

Scheyer: “The fact that we put ourselves in a position to win despite the 22 turnovers, it’s not going to be a winning recipe for us. And that’s on us. Our guys, we need to do a better job of that.  … too many gifts for them.” 

Fouling

Duke committed a whopping 24 fouls in the game.  Allowing that Duke was forced to foul twice in the last 18 seconds of the overtime, 22 fouls is still a disaster.  The Blue Devils fouled 10 times in the first half, 7 in the second half, and 7 (really 5) in the overtime.  Duke commits many offensive fouls (that are not controversial) which escalates the turnover amount (an offensive foul is recorded as a turnover).  When the Blue Devils avoid fouling (as against UNC), Duke’s defense is excellent.

The Defense in the Paint

UVA scored 42 of their 69 points in the painted area beneath the foul line, 18 more points than Duke scored in the paint.  It is obvious and statistically corroborated that the Blue Devils do not defend in that area nearly as well when Ryan Young is playing center as they do when D-Live does, as he did against UNC and Armando Bacot.

Scheyer: “We gave them a lot of layups. Another number for me, 42 points in the paint, not a good recipe.” 

Lack of Balanced Scoring on Offense

Mark Mitchell (3 points), Flip (0 points),  D-Live (2 points). and Ryan (6 points, all foul shots) constitute 4 players, three of whom played more than 27 minutes, contributing only 11 points.  

THE ROTATION

Tyrese (Ty) Proctor (41:26) was the glue for Duke in a helter-skelter game.  After sitting out 3:34 in the first half, Ty played every minute of the game after that – 20 minutes in the second half and all 5 minutes of the overtime.  He scored 14 points (6-12 from the field, including 2-5 from deep, without a free throw attempt.  He scored all 4 of Duke’s points in the overtime (2-4 from the field, but 0-1 from deep), with 2 turnovers in the overtime.

Jeremy Roach (31:21) was Duke’s high scorer with 16 points, (7-11 from the field, including 2-5 from 3land, without a free throw attempt), but scored 9 of his points (9 of Duke’s first 11 points) in the first 8:46 of the game, and 12 of his 16 in the opening half.  Jeremy had 5 turnovers and 2 assists without a rebound.   The Captain was in foul trouble the entire game – 2 in each half; fouling out after 1:45 had gone by in the overtime.

Jacob (Jake) Grandison (31:19) scored 11 points in a valuable role off the bench (4-7 from the field, including 3-6 from deep, without a free throw attempt. He garnered a rebound and had a steal.  He made Duke’s biggest shot of the game, a 3 from the corner to tie the game at 58 with 51 seconds left in the game.  He played all 5 minutes of the overtime.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (29:51) had a nightmare of a game.  He was scoreless (0-6 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land and 0-2 from the stripe). Flip grabbed 6 boards, handed out an assist, and blocked a shot. He committed 5 turnovers.  Flip has not scored in 60 minutes of play, having been scoreless as well in the second half against Miami.  He is a ship that has to be righted if Duke is going to have any postseason success.  

Ryan Young (27:49) was Duke’s anchor in the middle for a majority of the game.  While he did not score from the field (0-2), Ryan was 6-6 from the stripe for his 6 points.  He was a valuable rebounder with 11 (4 offensive) to go with 3 assists and 2 turnovers.  Ryan was 0-1 with 3 rebounds in his 4:15 of the overtime, while  committing his 4th foul in the overtime.  

Mark Mitchell (27:21) played yet another quiet game.   Mark did a bit of everything but scored only 3 points (1-4 from the field, including 0-2 from deep, plus 1-2 from the foul line).  Mark had 8 rebounds, a steal, and a block.  Two turnovers.

Dariq Whitehead (25:05) returned to playing after missing 4 games, which was high on the list among Blue Devil bright spots.  He scored 10 points (4-7 from the field, including 2-4 from 3land, without a foul shot attempt) in a much longer time on the floor than was anticipated.  Dariq played all 5 minutes of the overtime.  

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (10:35) committed 2 fouls early in the game and was inexplicably not a factor. D-Live scored 2 points (without a field goal attempt; 2-2 from the stripe).  He did hold on to 3 boards but did not block a shot. D-Live played only 4:15 in the second half and not at all in the overtime.  

SUMMING UP

While Duke did not deserve to lose to UVA, neither were the Blue Devils (in Coach K’s vernacular) “worthy of winning”, given the turnovers, the fouls, and sloppy play.  

Inconsistency continues to plague the 2022-23 edition.  Jeremy is brilliant and then not; Flip is ACC rookie of the week multiple times and then doesn’t score at all for 3 consecutives halves. D-Live stars against UNC (8 blocks, 14 boards in 34 minutes, while committing only 2 fouls) and then warms the bench without meaningful contributions in a crucial game against UVA.  

The season is a long way from being over for such a young team.  Will Scheyer be able to banish the inconsistency and blend the obvious talents of his players into a force in the postseason?  That begins with the…

Next Play: Tuesday, February 14, 2023, vs Notre Dame in Cameron Indoor Stadium. at 7:00 p.m. on ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 68  v. Notre Dame Fighting Irish 64 (Season 14; Issue 25; Game #26) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (February 14, 2023)

Special guest stars!  A wonderful gesture of respect for Mike Brey and his years at Duke. Photo credit: Rob Kinnan/ USA TODAY Sports
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke Basketball returned to normal in Cameron tonight as the Blue Devils beat Notre Dame. Coach K and wife Mickie were in the house!  The reason may have been that Irish Coach Mike Brey, the winningest coach in Irish history, had been an assistant to Coach K during the heady years of the early 1990’s when Duke ascended to the stratospheric heights of the intercollegiate basketball world. No matter their record, Notre Dame has always been a tough out for Duke, and tonight was no different, as the Irish are well coached (even if they are undersized and having a disappointing season).  

Kyle Filipowski took full advantage of his height differential and often posted down low for his critical 22 points, as no other Duke player scored in double digits. However, for the second straight game, Coach Scheyer drew up the perfect game ending play—only tonight the referees did not disallow it– when he spread the floor, gave Captain Jeremy Roach the ball at the top of the key to drive the lane, with forwards Mitchell and Whitehead in each of the far corners.  Roach drove the lane, was challenged, and passed to an open Mitchell in the left corner. Mitchell drained a three to ice the game! 

The Blue Devils did not play a perfect game, but they led for 32 of the 40 minutes and made about half as many turnovers (10) as they did in losses to Miami & UVA.  Now they must play like this on the road.

ALANALYSIS:

The Big Picture: Duke bounced back with a win!  And Kyle (Flip) Filipowski bounced back with a 22-point performance, after not scoring a point in his last 3 halves of play. 

However, it wasn’t pretty, with Duke again losing a 14-point lead (42-28 with 15:37 left in the game) and needing (and getting) dramatic winning plays.  The last double-digit Blue Devil lead was with 8:22 left in the game (52-42) before Irish Dane Goodwin put on a show; he scored 5 in the next 2 possessions to cut the Duke lead to 5 (52-47 with 6:26 remaining).  After Flip added a layup, Goodwin scored on a layup and a free throw (54-50 with 4:25 remaining).  Flip and Dane traded baskets (56-52 with 4:29 left in the game) before Tyrese (Ty) Proctor made an acrobatic driving layup.  Then, Jeremy Roach also drove for a dramatic layup.  The Fighting Irish scored on a layup, which was matched by Flip’s 2 free throws.  Duke had an 8-point lead (62-54 with 2:17 on the clock) before things got really tight.

Duke failed to corral a defensive rebound, allowing Dane Goodwin to grab an offensive rebound and find a teammate for a 3-pointer.  62-57 with 2:03 left in the game.  Flip had a layup blocked, which Goodwin rebounded and made an assist to a teammate for a deep 3 (62-60 with 1:27 to go).  Roach was fouled with 55 seconds left in the game.  He made the first but missed the chance to extend the Blue Devil lead to 2 possessions when he missed the second foul shot. 63-60.  Then Scheyer made a dramatic substitution removing Grandison and Dariq Whitehead in favor of Dereck (D-Live) Lively II and Mark Mitchell.

Goodwin rebounded Jeremy’s missed foul shot before Notre Dame hit a driving layup, cutting the Duke lead to 63-62 with 36 seconds left.  Scheyer did not call a timeout, rather trusting Jeremy and Flip to get a score.  Jeremy drove and dished it off to a wide-open Mark Mitchell in the corner for the game’s biggest play – swish for 3 points to give Duke a 66-62 lead with 12 seconds left!  Scheyer, “I don’t think Mark has played his best as of late, and every day he [shoots an extra] 100 corner threes, and he works religiously on shooting before and after practice.  Our coaches do a great job with him.  So, to come back in late, they plug off of him in the corner, Jeremy kicks it to him.  That is a big-time shot!”

But, the Irish were not quite done, missing a layup, but grabbing an offensive rebound to score.  66-64 with 3 seconds left.  Ty was fouled and stepped to the line for 1-and-1; if he missed either, it would open the door for a last desperation-shot to tie or win.  Ty hit both free throws without touching the rim!  Final score Duke 68 Notre Dame 64.  Not pretty, but a win.

THE GOOD, BAD, AND UGLY

The Good

Flip’s Return to form 

Flip has been pummeled in recent games, frequently landing on the floor, punched in the face, etc. That may have contributed to his not scoring for 3 complete, consecutive halves.  Against Notre Dame, Flip seemed his old self, leading Duke in scoring with 22 points. 

Scheyer: “Flip coming off of a really tough game at Virginia to bounce back the way that he did, to carry the load throughout was huge….He handled it great.  I think that the toughest part: he didn’t even practice these last two days.  He could hardly walk on Sunday; yesterday, it was better, where he could do some light jogging, and spot shooting, but he couldn’t even go contact or five-on-five.  So, to come out, he just looked great to start the game.  He’s such a difference maker for us, the attention that he gets.  He’s resilient.  He’s been The Guy since day one of this summer. It has not been smooth sailing; he has had his ups and downs, and he’s taken coaching every step of the way.  He continues to work, and he just wants to win.  I thought you saw that tonight and really, they had to change their defense because of him.” 

The Defense in the First Half

The Blue Devils held the Fighting Irish to 23 points on 10-28, including 1-11 from deep.  Duke committed only 4 first half fouls.

Mark Mitchell’s Second Half

After a scoreless first half (6:35 on the court, missing his only shot without a rebound), Mark simply blossomed in the closing period.  In a bit over 8 minutes, he scored 8 points (2-3 from 3land and 2-2 from the stripe) to go with a pair of rebounds.

The Bad

The Second Half Defense

Once again, Duke allowed a 40+ point half! The Fighting Irish scored 41 second-half points on 16-33 from the field, including 5-10 from 3land.  Dane Goodwin was unstoppable (until Ty guarded him), scoring 19 of his 25 points in the second half, on perfect 8-8 shooting, including 2-2 from deep.

The Ugly

Blowing a 14-Point Lead in a Home Game Against a Not Great Team to Allow The Game to Go Down to the Wire

To almost let the game get away, at the moment when Coach K came to his first game this year (to honor Mike Brey’s last game at Cameron) made it that much worse.  

Brey was a Coach K assistant from 1987 to 1995, during which Duke went to five final fours, winning 2 National Championships. This may have contributed to ND’s gallant effort. 

The expression on Coach K’s face during the game said much about Duke’s performance.

THE ROTATION

Jeremy Roach (36:49) scored 9 points, (3-12 from the field, including 0-5 from 3land, plus 3-4 from the foul line), in a checkered performance.  He made crucial shots down the stretch – with 2:53 left, he made a driving layup  to stretch the Blue Devil lead to 8, but then missed the second free throw and, thus, the chance to give the Blue Devils a 2 possession lead with 55 seconds left.  He made a brilliant pass to a wide-open Mark Mitchell, who made his 3 from the corner, with 12 seconds left, to clinch the game.  Jeremy had 3 assists with 2 rebounds – one was a spectacular offensive rebound and then a short jumper for a score.   

Tyrese (Ty) Proctor (35:02) was the glue for Duke after a shaky start; he scored only 6 points (2-6 from the field, including 0-1 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line) – but what a 6 points they were! —  2 driving layups to stop Notre Dame runs, and then, with Duke ahead by only 2 with 3 seconds left, he swished both free throws to ice the game!  Scheyer was admiring, “Tyrese [Proctor] at the end, two free throws. I don’t even know if it hit the rim, went right through the net.”  Unnoticed, but crucial –late in the game Ty switched onto the Notre Dame scorer, Dane Goodwin (25 points), who was torching Duke, regardless of who guarded him.  Because of Proctor’s amazing defense, Goodwin not only didn’t score again, but he also almost didn’t touch the ball. 

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (30:53) had a superb “comeback” game.  After 3 halves without scoring, Flip put up 22 big points to lead Duke in scoring (9-16 from the field, including 0-3 from 3land, plus 4-4 from the stripe). Flip grabbed 6 boards, handed out 3 assists, and blocked a shot.  He committed 2 turnovers and had 3 of his shots blocked.  His fighting spirit is back!

Dariq Whitehead (27:21) is playing his way back into shape, and is the heart of what Duke can be by the postseason.  He scored 9 points (3-7 from the field, including 3-4 from 3land, without a foul shot attempt) in substantial playing time. He still plays better in his first half (3-3 from deep for all 9 of his points), which may mean he is not yet fully in shape.  Dariq had 4 boards, 2 assists, and a steal.  He was on the floor at “winning time”.

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (26:31) committed his first foul in the first minute of the game, but then only one more in the entire game. (He might be learning to stop his penchant for fouling).  D-Live scored 6 points (3-5 from the field, including 0-1 from deep, without a free throw attempt).  He did capture 6 boards and blocked 2 shots.  

Mark Mitchell (14:53) made the shot of the game! – a wide-open 3-pointer from the corner with 12 seconds left, to increase Duke’s lead from 1 to 4 points.   Mark scored all 8 of his points in the second half (2-4 from the field, including 2-3 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line).  Mark also had 2 rebounds.  He said after the game, “I worked on that shot all week, and I’ve been in the gym late nights, after practice, before practice, so when the time came, my work showed.  … I’ve been in a little bit of a slump lately, so it felt good to hit one like that, especially when you work on it a lot.  Your work will eventually show.  Whatever you do in the dark will eventually come to light, and it did in that moment.” [Editorial Staff: Couldn’t have said it better.]

Jacob (Jake) Grandison (14:52) scored 2 points in a valuable role off the bench (0-2 from the field; 0-2 from deep; 2-2 from the stripe). He handed out 4 assists, garnered 3 rebounds, and had 2 steals.  He was on the floor for 4 of the final 5 minutes of the game.

Ryan Young (9:10) had an amazing stat line for his short time in the game. Ryan was 3-4 from the field (0-1 from the foul line) for his 6 points.  He was a valuable rebounder, leading Duke in that department, with 8 (4 offensive) in only 9 minutes!  

Jaylen Blakes (4:29, all in the first half) again failed to score (0-2, including 0-1 from 3land).  He has not contributed much since he broke his nose.

SUMMING UP

Inconsistency continues to plague the 2022-23 edition.  Jeremy is brilliant (great layups) and then not (3-12 with a crucial missed free throw); Dariq is 3-3 from deep in the first half, and then doesn’t score again.  Ty has a scoreless first half with turnovers, and then is a star at crunch time in the second half.  

To steal the title of John Feinstein’s book, this is still a “season on the brink”, and continues with the…

Next Play: Saturday, February 18, 2023, at Syracuse at 6:00 p.m. on ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 79 v. Louisville Cardinals 62 (Season 14; Issue 27; Game 28) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (February 20, 2023)

Tyrese Proctor and Mark Mitchell are reaching their potential and taking Duke with them.
Photo Credit: Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

I don’t want to get carried away, but it seems as though this young group of Blue Devils is finally maturing, and, at times, playing some very impressive basketball – by accepting their roles, trusting each other, and playing together.  As Coach Scheyer said of the team’s overall play: “I could go on and on about each of our guys.  They all stepped up.”

As we know, teenagers mature at different rates.  Filipowski has been the most precocious.  Because of injuries and other factors, it took Dariq Whitehead, Dereck (D-Live) Lively II, Tyrese (Ty) Proctor, and Mark Mitchell more time to be consistently productive.  Tonight, Mark’s talents were on full display.  Coach Scheyer says of Mitchell:  “He’s been so consistent as far as from a work standpoint, and it’s translated to what he does on the floor.  He can guard one through five, literally, Offensively, he can hit open threes, slashes, rebounds. He does it all.” 

Of the transfers, Ryan Young has been ready from the first opening tip.  Jacob Grandison   a reliable, all-round, utility sub.  Sophomore Jaylen Blakes impressed earlier, but has recently been hampered by a broken nose.  Captain Jeremy Roach is the reliable, steady Junior who has made a rather seamless transition to shooting guard as well as backup point guard.   And let us not forget the coaches, first-year Coach Scheyer and his excellent staff, who have managed 20 wins so far through all the injuries, inconsistencies, and lineup changes. 

If this trend continues and Duke stays healthy, they could be a surprise contender rather than simply a pretender.

Ryan Young is Duke’s Super Sub.  He scores, rebounds, and plays excellent defense.  His plus-minus against Louisville was + 24 in just over 14 minutes.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
ALANALYSIS:

It is hard to believe, but Duke’s biggest game of the year will be this Saturday against Virginia Tech, the second of three consecutive home games.  The win against Louisville leaves Duke tied with NC State for fifth place (11-6) in the ACC conference – just a half game behind Clemson (11-5) for fourth place and a double bye in the ACC tournament.  

On Wednesday, Clemson hosts Syracuse, while Wake Forest visits NC State.  If both Clemson and NC State win, Duke will again be half a game or a full game behind the winner.  Then comes “Showdown Saturday” when Clemson hosts NC State while the Blue Devils face Virginia Tech.  

THE GOOD, AGAIN THERE WAS NO BAD OR UGLY

The Good

The Defense 

Duke held the Cardinals to 29 second-half points!  Duke switched seamlessly, making the Cardinals work for every point.  The Duke intensity never slackened, but, thankfully, Duke’s frequent fouling did.  Duke committed only 11 fouls in the entire game!  The Blue Devil perimeter is efficient, and Duke’s Bigs are protecting the rim.  Scheyer: “our starting perimeter – and we come in the same way off the bench –  Jeremy, Tyrese, and Mark – that’s a big-time defensive group. That’s why our numbers have been really good on that end.”

Scheyer on Ryan Young – “we were plus-24 when he was in the game [meaning Duke scored 24 more points than Louisville during the time that Ryan was on the floor]. He and Dereck have a great one-two punch. We have two great guys there.” 

The Offense

19 assists on 29 field goals with only 6 turnovers shows dramatic improvement in a crucial area.  The Blue Devils are sharing the ball and making the offense look smooth.  The result was wide open shots, 29-59 including 9-22 from 3land. When the passes are plentiful and accurate, the ball tends to go in and the game is aesthetically pleasing.  The scoring was so balanced that Louisville could never concentrate on stopping just one or two Blue Devils.  All the starters scored in double figures: Roach led the scoring with 14 (12 in the second half). “Then Jeremy [Roach], to close, I thought he was really good,” said Scheyer.  Mitchell and Filipowski scored 13, Proctor 12, and Lively II reached double figures with 10 points.  

The bench contributed as well: Grandison scored 9 on 3-5 from deep, Whitehead 5 (with great defense and ball handling), and Young 3 (but also with 6 rebounds, 3 assists and 2 blocks!).

It was a complete team effort.

THE ROTATION

Tyrese (Ty) Proctor (35:14) was again the glue in the backcourt for Duke, both offensively and defensively, handing out 3 assists, grabbing 4 rebounds, and making a steal.  He scored 12 points (4-13 from the field / 4-8 from deep).  Scheyer: “Tyrese – coming in, the last couple of weeks – he’s been, percentage-wise, in the 90th percentile in the country when he’s guarding the ball. He does a great job. Anybody gets scored on, but he makes life really difficult [for the opposing team]. He’s incredibly disciplined, he has great balance, really good attention.  He did a great job tonight.  [Louisville high-scorer El] Ellis is going to score and all that, but we have a lot of confidence in him [Ty].”

Mark Mitchell (31:47) scored 13 points (5-8 from the field, including 0-1 from deep, plus 3-3 from the stripe).  Mark had another all-around game, contributing great defense and reliable offense. He handed out an assist without a turnover; made 2 steals, and blocked a shot.  His value is increasing.  Only Ty played more minutes against Louisville.

Jeremy Roach (30:12) was Duke’s leading scorer with 14 points (6-9 from the field, without an attempt from 3land, plus 2-4 from the foul line), in a superb performance.  He scored 12 in the second half. The Captain had 6 assists without a turnover.   Jeremey has not been efficient recently from 3land, so he stopped shooting 3-pointers – and was a star.

Dariq Whitehead (26:36) Scheyer: “it was one of Dariq’s best games actually. I know he didn’t shoot the way he has been, but he didn’t let it impact his game. He made some really nice passes; I thought his defense was really good.” Dariq scored 5 points (2-9 from the field, including 1-6 from behind the arc).  He grabbed 3 boards, made a steal and handed out an assist, without a turnover.   His improved defense, solid ball handling and increased minutes are great signs for this team. 

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (25:16) blocked 2 shots and anchored Duke’s interior defense.  He grabbed 4 boards (2 offensive) while scoring 10 points (3-4 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land, plus 4-6 from the foul line).  He is a unique asset and is starting to thrive.  Recently, D-Live has not been in foul trouble, which is one reason he has become so effective.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (22:42) scored 13 points (5-7 from the field, including 1-2 from 3land and 2-3 from the stripe). Flip grabbed 7 boards (4 on offense) and handed out 3 assists and made a steal. He committed 3 turnovers. He is being doubled every time he tries to spin, his signature move.  Teams prepare diligently to play their opponents. Coaches scout those opponents and watch film; clearly word is out about Flip’s proclivities. . In short, this ain’t high school!

Ryan Young (14:44) was the perfect backup for his short time in the game. Ryan was only 1-3 from the field, plus 1-2 from the foul line, for his 3 points, but his other contributions were amazing.  He snared 6 rebounds, handed out 3 assists without a turnover, and blocked a pair of shots.  That’s worth a wow! 

Jacob (Jake) Grandison (13:29) scored 9 points in a valuable role off the bench (3-5 from deep, without an attempt from the stripe). He grabbed 3 rebounds and handed out an assist.  He is now the primary backcourt backup to both Ty and The Captain.

SUMMING UP

Again, only a single day between games — just like an NCAA tournament weekend. Duke gave a far better performance against Louisville than last time, when the Blue Devils traveled to Miami and were badly beaten. 

Now, Duke has 2 more home games to complete February – Virginia Tech and NC State.  Then the season concludes in Chapel Hill.  A loss to Virginia Tech would be devastating to Duke’s chances for the double bye, and is a classic “trap game”.

The Blue Devils finish the regular season the following week, first hosting the rival Wolfpack on Tuesday– the winner might lead for the coveted 4th seed –  before concluding the season Saturday against the Tar Heels in Chapel Hill.  You  see why the Virginia Tech game is a classic “trap” game.  Devils, beware!

While Duke’s chase for the double bye is daunting, the Blue Devils are giving every appearance of having taken the next step of development as they have been playing their best basketball of the season in the last two games.  Reality check: neither Syracuse nor Louisville are elite teams.  NC State is playing like an elite team.  The Tarheels can save their disappointing (so far) season by dispatching the Blue Devils at season’s end (again). However, Duke still has a chance for one of the top 4 seeds.  Stay tuned for an exciting finish to this season!.

It’s all about the progress the Blue Devils are making to prepare for the ACC and NCAA tournament, which continues with the crucial…

Next Play: Saturday, February 25, 2023 v. Virginia Tech in Cameron Indoor Stadium at 8:00 p.m. on ESPN.

The Captain is the perfect team leader on both ends of the court. 
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com 

Duke Blue Devils 81 v. Virginia Tech Hokies 65 (Season 14; Issue 28; Game 29) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (February 25, 2023)

The Captain scoring on a drive while Mark looks on and Ryan lurks in case of a rebound. 
Photo Credit:GoDuke.com
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

From beginning to end, Duke played their best game of the season in an impressive defeat of a well-coached, dangerous Virginia Tech. This is the same team that beat the Blue Devils earlier this year in Blacksburg and essentially the same squad that won the 2022 ACC tournament, beating North Carolina in the semi-finals and then a Duke team (which had Paolo Banchero and three other NBA draftees) in the final.  

Two things were most impressive: 1) the precision and efficiency of the execution both offensively and defensively with all five starters scoring in double digits and 2) that Duke was never behind in the game. Not to be overlooked, Captain Jeremy Roach had a double/double of points and assists. As long as everyone stays healthy, it appears as though this Blue Devil team is poised to play their best basketball in March at Tournament Time. The path gets no easier as they face N.C. State and UNC next week to end the ACC regular season.

The freshmen are not only getting used to college competition, but they are getting used to playing unselfishly together.  Moving a more improved Dereck (D-Live) Lively II into the starting rotation, combined with the maturation of Tyrese (Ty) Proctor at the point and Mark Mitchell on the wing (as well as the availability of Dariq Whitehead, Ryan Young, and Jacob (Jake) Grandison as substitutes), makes this Blue Devil team not only more talented but also deeper than most of their opponents. Statistically, the bench has outscored the opposition by a larger differential than the starters.  However, I missed the memo to the referees that said it was OK to hit Filipowski in the nose, neck, or head for a mandatory nine count and not get called for a foul. I guess it was the same memo that said Duke has always been soft and now that Coach K has retired the Blue Devils would no longer get all the calls.

Well, it has been a wild and crazy ACC regular season where up is down and down is up. But both North Carolina and Duke won decisively last night. There is still a lot of basketball to be played this year. Hopefully, the trendline for Duke will continue.

Mark can do it all – shoot, slash, and defend.   This is the slash!
 Photo Credit:GoDuke.com
ALANALYSIS:

It is heartwarming to ingest one’s own words in the last edition (“Virginia Tech is a trap game”), because the Blue Devils fed them to me by playing at such a high level, destroying the Virginia Tech Hokies.  It was so much fun to watch a stressless rout!  The freshmen are playing like veterans – “growing up before our eyes” was one insightful comment.  Coach Scheyer is right when he enthusiastically reports that each of his highly ranked freshmen have improved dramatically:  “Each of them has gotten better. We spend a lot of time in practice working on individual work. Individual player development, which I think you can see the growth that our guys have made throughout the course of the season and, of course, understanding who you are playing with and how to play to each other’s strengths. I thought that was evident tonight.” 

Scheyer made another interesting point about his freshmen each morphing from the best player in high school to adapt to the rigors of Power Conference play. “Now teams have game plans and I also think that’s a huge thing for freshmen to adjust to. As you get into ACC play people have different game plans against you.”  Flip is learning that his spin move – unstoppable in high school and earlier in the season – began to end in strips and turnovers instead of baskets. Scheyer’s point is that Flip and all the freshmen are learning.

In the last 3 games – Syracuse, Louisville, and Virginia Tech, the Blue Devils have played like an elite team.  If Duke can maintain that level of play when the competition gets tougher (as it will in the tournaments), the postseason could be compelling.

Duke’s bench was quiet against the Hokies, scoring only 10 points (Ryan Young 4, Whitehead and Grandison 3 each) in briefer than usual playing time. s.  The starters all scored in double figures – led by the Captain with 19, then Mark Mitchell with 17, D-Live with 13, Flip with 12, and Ty with 10.  The Blue Devils passed the ball beautifully and handled the rock with care and aplomb.  The defense was superb.  In short, the trap game wasn’t!

THE GOOD! FOR THE THIRD STRAIGHT GAME, THERE WAS NO BAD OR UGLY

The Good

The Defense 

When D-Live anchors the interior defense, Duke is different from other teams.  He is so quick at 7’1” that he can guard the other team’s perimeter players.  Duke, unlike most other teams, can then switch on every offensive exchange. If a Big cannot guard the smaller player, it makes it easy for the adversary to attack the basket. Duke’s ability to switch all 5 positions enhances the defense against the 3-point shot.  Scheyer: “We’re lucky to have bigs that can really switch too. On a lot of those hand-offs, top of the floor [the perimeter], we switched them, took away the three and then we have guards that can move their feet, keep guys in front, and that was a big key.”  Duke controlled the backboard (37-26) and never let the Hokies believe that they had even a slight chance of winning.

 The Offense

Duke handed out 19 assists on 30 made field goals, and committed only a modest 9 turnovers.  The Blue Devils are sharing the ball and making the offense look smooth, efficient, and cohesive.  The result was wide open shots, which produced a 57% shooting percentage (30-53, including 7-18 from 3land). When the passes are plentiful and accurate, the ball tends to go in and the game is aesthetically pleasing. The scoring was again balanced as it was against Louisville when all 5 starters scored in double figures. If the Virginia Tech defense concentrated on one offensive move or one Duke player, a different Duke player made a different move to score the basket or make a pass for the score. 

The balanced Duke scoring was impressive (again)!  Roach led the scoring with 19 (10 in the second half), followed by Mitchell with his best game of the year, scoring 17.  Lively II was 6-6 from the floor and 1-1 from the stripe for 13 points while Filipowski overcame a slow first half (2 points) to score 10  second half points (game total 12).  Proctor scored 10 points, 7 in the opening stanza.   

The coach was ecstatic, “Jeremey Roach was on another level. He’s been playing that way, 19 [points] and 10 [assists]. I thought he and Tyrese … played close to a perfect game. Their defense, they played both ends.”  It was a complete team effort on both ends of the court.

THE ROTATION

Jeremy Roach (34:27) played another outstanding game by leading Duke in scoring while handing out 10 assists and playing excellent defense.  The Captain scored 19 points (8-13 from the field, including 2-4 from behind the arc, plus 1-2  from the foul line). He scored 10 in the second half.  Jeremey had not been efficient from 3land for a while, so it was comforting for Jeremy to be 2-4 from deep.

Tyrese (Ty) Proctor’s (32:36) growth as a player mirrors the growth of this year’s team.  That is not a coincidence.  He is now the primary ball handler and guards the best perimeter player on the other team.  He scored 10 points (4-7 from the field, including 2-5 from deep).  He contributed 4 rebounds, 4 assists, and a fabulous steal. He limited Hokie star Hunter Cattoor to just 4 attempted shots.  Scheyer: “Give Tyrese a lot of credit. You have to be incredibly disciplined chasing him all over the court. Cattoor had 12 threes against us the last two times we played them, and we know very well how good he is. Tyrese wanted that challenge. … Credit to Tyrese and the job that he did, especially to start the game, on him.”

Mark Mitchell (31:23) played as well as he has all season, scoring 17 points (6-8 from the field, including 1-1 from deep, plus 4-4 from the stripe).  Mark had another all-around game contributing great defense and grabbed 8 rebounds while blocking a shot.  His value is increasing.  Scheyer: “Mark Mitchell’s best game. I thought Mark gave us a huge boost consistently throughout the whole game and we were able to avoid some foul trouble with Dereck and Flip in that first half .”

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (23:37) blocked 3 shots and altered others while he anchored Duke’s interior defense.  D-Live grabbed 7 boards and scored 13 points on perfect shooting (6-6 from the field, including 1-1 from the foul line).   Scheyer, “Dereck is unique. He is a difference maker with his ability to screen and rim run for a lob threat and play behind the defense. He is just a different kind of guy.”

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (22:29) had what commentators said was a subpar game for him.  That is a compliment, because if 12 points (3-7 from the field, including 0-2 from 3land and 6-7 from the stripe) to go with 3 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 steals is sub-par, Flip’s par is truly terrific! Flip scored 10 of his 12 in the second half to help preserve Duke’s ample margin.

Dariq Whitehead (18:47) didn’t shoot the way he has been, scoring only 3 points (1-5 from the field, including 1-3 from deep).  He grabbed 2 boards, and made a steal.  The Duke bench overall was less involved than usual. 

Ryan Young (15:06) While Ryan was only 1-4 from the field, he scored 4 points  by adding 2-3 from the foul line.  His other contributions were substantial.  He snared 4 rebounds, handed out 2 assists without a turnover, and blocked a shot.  That’s great backup.  

Jacob (Jake) Grandison (12:37) scored 3 points off the bench on 1-2 from deep (without an attempt from the stripe). He also grabbed 2 rebounds.  Jake has become the primary backcourt backup to both Ty and The Captain – they each played big minutes, limiting Jake’s time on the court in this game.

SUMMING UP

The Blue Devils are finally arriving at their potential.  Much of the frustrating delay has been the injuries that kept key players on the sideline.  Finally, Scheyer noted, “this group has been able to play on the floor together. That is where you can really grow. For Jeremy, knowing how to play with Dereck, Tyrese, Flip, Mark, and Dariq or Jake …   For Jeremy he came back with a completely different team. I am just proud of him for playing aggressively but also playing instinctually…   Right now, we are connected. The assists were well over 2-1 [ratio over turnovers]. Our offense is pushing it more and flowing into things and that’s how I want to play.” 

Does Duke have a chance for one of the top 4 seeds (to get a double bye in the ACC tournament)?  Doubtful, but still a possible long shot.  Pittsburgh leads  the conference at 14-4 with games against Notre Dame and Miami.  Miami is 14-5 with a game against Pitt next Saturday. UVA is 13-5 (after losing its last 2) with games against Louisville and Clemson. Clemson is 13-5 with games against Louisville and UVA. Pitt, Clemson, UVA, and Miami are the four teams currently ahead of Duke for the double bye. Duke is in 5th place (12-6).  If Duke can beat NC State in Cameron on Tuesday and UNC in Chapel Hill on Saturday, we will see if Duke’s 14-6 record is good enough.  

Next Play: Tuesday, February 28, 2023, v. North Carolina State in Cameron Indoor Stadium at 7:00 p.m. on ESPN.

D-Live is, as Scheyer has said, “a unique asset”.  He was a perfect  6-6 from the floor.   
Photo Credit:GoDuke.com

Duke Blue Devils 71 v. NC State Wolfpack 67 (Season 14; Issue 29; Game 30) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (February 28, 2023)

Duke’s Big Men combine to keep NC State star D.J. Burns contained.
Photo Credit: Grant Halverson/Getty Images
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

The test of a really good team—especially at tournament time when it is single elimination — is finding a way to win when they aren’t playing their best.  When N.C. State came to Cameron tonight, this Duke team did it and clinched its first perfect home record in nine years.  So how did the Blue Devils get it done? Everyone played their role, especially Dereck (D-Live) Lively II, Kyle (Flip) Filipowski, and Captain Jeremy Roach — and they relied on their calling cards of sharing the ball, attacking, defense, and making free throws.  Duke shot 23-of-29 free throws, while the Wolfpack were only 7-of-8 from the foul line.  Proctor and Mitchell did their part too, which was critical.

This was a “Big Boys” game –7+ footers Filipowski and Lively controlled the glass for the Blue Devils, combining for 26 rebounds as Duke won the rebound battle ( 44-35), as they often do.  Even on a tough shooting night, Filipowski had a double-double, with 11 points and a game-high 14 rebounds.  But it was  “Little Man” Captain Jeremy Roach who carved up the Wolf defense early – and late – to bail out the inconsistent Blue Devil offense.

NC State coach Kevin Keatts, whose “live by the three, die by the three” Wolfpack team defeated the Blue Devils 84-60 in January, said after the loss: “That Duke team, they’ve grown so much.” Make no mistake – N.C. State is a good, tough team that plays with a chip on their shoulders (which is not always to their benefit) a lethal back court, and a talented, clever center transfer D.J. Burns, who can put points on the board either by shooting or passing. Tonight, Duke somewhat neutralized him by doubling him with Lively and Filipowski. 

On the other hand, Jarkel Joiner put on a show with threes from ‘Steph Curry territory’ including two in the last minute to put the game in jeopardy.  Roach and Proctor sealed the deal with perfection from the foul line.

“We’re trying to get a top-four [seed] going into the tournament, and this was a huge game for us,” Filipowski said. “We’ve had goals this whole season. And, I mean, we’re starting to get where we want to be.”

Next Play: The Tar Heels in Chapel Hill.

Good News: After the game, graduate center Ryan Young — who had four points and six rebounds in 10 minutes today — confirmed that he will return to Cameron Indoor next season for his final year of eligibility.  He will continue to pursue an MBA at the Fuqua School of Business.

Men's Basketball vs. NC StateTyrese is becoming a complete point guard and defensive specialist.  As he grows, so grows this Duke team 

Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

ALANALYSIS:

The Wolfpack shot the lights out in the early going to maintain a slight lead for the first 11 ½ minutes of the game before the Blue Devils tied it at 17-all with 8:22 left to play in the first half.  Duke then led for the rest of the game. In the first half, the lead reached as high as 7 points with 6 minutes left, before shrinking to 2. Duke led 33-29 at the half.

The Blue Devils looked in control for almost all of the second half, reaching a double-digit lead for the first time with only 3 minutes having elapsed.  NC State got as close as 2 points early in the second half, but otherwise the Blue Devils controlled the second half with leads of between 7 and 12 points.  Excellent defense and solid offense.  

With 1:47 left in the game, Duke led by 12 (65-53) with Proctor shooting a foul shot.  55 seconds later, the Wolfpack was back in the game, trailing by only 4 (65-61) with 52 seconds remaining in the game.  Clutch foul shooting by Captain Jeremy Roach and Tyrese (Ty) Proctor preserved the Duke lead that was only 3 points with 32 seconds left in the game!  Losing intensity with less than 2 minutes remaining in the game –not to mention  almost the lead – changed the level of supreme confidence that preceded NC State’s late charge.

THE GOOD, THE BAD, AND THE ALMOST UGLY

The Good

The Defense 

Scheyer: “Our defense was the key to the game.  It’s been really what we’ve hung our hat on all year long.  Dereck’s job on Burns. Tyrese with Smith [were part of Duke’s effective defense].  We did a great job making them a half-court team. They’re fast. They [the Wolfpack] get down the floor as quickly as anybody we’ve played. … I thought [our] five guys were just moving together [defending].  We did a good job controlling the ball. The fact that we had more points from turnovers than they did speaks for itself.”

Burns was held to 13 points by D-Live, who was greatly aided by stealthy, surprise double-teaming at times from either Flip or Mark Mitchell.  Ty’s defense on Smith was awesome and is enhancing Proctor’s growing reputation as a defender.  The Captain was guarding Jarkel Joiner, who had a 26-point performance.  Joiner made shots that were, as Bill so eloquently put it,“ threes from Steph Curry territory.”  Despite Jeremy’s solid defense, Joiner’s 3s connected spectacularly.  Scheyer praised Duke’s avoiding fouling in the defensive effort and concurred about Joiner’s amazing shooting, “We played without fouling for the most part and give them credit, I thought in the first half, they made some tough shots and that’s what they do.”

Bottom line: NC State scored a meager 61 for the game, but, tellingly, had just 53 points with 1:47 left in the game. That’s great defense!

The Offense

The offense revolved around Captain Jeremy even though it was a complete team effort.  Scheyer on the Captain: “Jeremy’s a winner. He’s been through it. It reminds me of last year at the end with Jeremy in the tournament.  He’s done that for us in stretches all year long, and this is the most consistent that he’s played.  We ask a lot of him. … We need him to score and create, but he just has a knack for making timely baskets.  We put the ball in his hands, down the stretch to carry us and finish a game.  It’s just who he is.  He’s done it really since high school.  We need him to continue to do it.” 

 Coach Scheyer gets major credit for reshaping his team even as he developed Ty into a true point guard. (Coach K did precisely that with his senior captain in 2010 [Scheyer, of course ] ) This crucial development created the opportunity for Jeremy to do what he does best. Pretty good rookie coaching!

Even though Duke was simply dreadful from behind the arc (2-19; 10.5%), the offense was otherwise efficient.  The Blue Devils were 21-36 inside the arc and 23-29 from the foul line.  Four of the starters scored in double figures (Roach, 20; Mitchell and Proctor, 12 each; and Filipowski, 11).  Lively II and Whitehead scored 6 points each. 

THE BAD THAT COULD HAVE BEEN UGLY, BUT NEVER WAS

The last 1:47 of the game, beginning with Ty’s missed free throw while Duke held a commanding 12-point lead, was troubling to say the least. The game was over!  And then it wasn’t!  Smith grabbed the rebound and fired up a deep 3.  Swish! Roach had a layup blocked, and Flip fouled Joiner, who made both foul shots.  Duke 65 v NC State 58 with 1:21 left.  Tyrese missed a driving layup, which Smith rebounded and fed Joiner for another long 3-pointer.  65-61 with 52 seconds remaining.  The Wolfpack was forced to foul.

The Captain sunk 2 clutch foul shots (1-and-1; so the first one was critical).  Duke 67-61 with 40 seconds left.  Joiner got NC State as close as the Wolfpack would get in the game when he hit a deep desperation 3.  67-64 with 32 seconds left.  NC State fouled Ty, who had missed his last foul shot–but he coolly nailed the front end of this 1-and-1 as well as the second shot. 69-64 with 18 seconds left.  Joiner at last missed a 3,  with 15 seconds left, and Ty retrieved the rebound and was fouled  Game  over, for real.  Proctor hit both free throws with 6 seconds left before Smith made a 3 at the buzzer to make the final score – 71-67 –appear closer than it actually was.

The ending was not good (perhaps even bad), but Duke made the key free throws and kept “ugly” at a distance.

THE ROTATION

Jeremy Roach (36:51) continued his outstanding play and leadership.  The Captain led Duke in scoring (again) with 20 points (9-19, including a disappointing 0-5 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 clutch free throws), while playing excellent defense.  Thus, Jeremy was 9-14 from inside the arc, scoring on acrobatic drives through the entire Wolfpack defense, helping to maintain the substantial Blue Devil lead.  The Captain scored 6 of Duke’s 10 points during the final four minutes of the game. He and Tyrese Proctor (who scored the other 4 on clutch free throws) are morphing into a reliable and cohesive backcourt. 

Tyrese (Ty) Proctor (32:07) is now the primary ball handler and guards whomever is the best perimeter player on the other team.  He scored 12 points (2-8 from the field, including 0-3 from deep, but a gaudy 8-9 from the foul line – the last 4-4 in the final 18 seconds of the game to preserve the win).  He contributed 3 rebounds and an assist. Ty is justly earning high praise for his 1-on-1 ball defense.  This past January 4, Terquavion Smith lit Duke up for 24 points (including 4-8 from deep) when the Wolfpack creamed Duke 84-60 .  Last night, Ty limited Smith to 2-9 from the field, including 2-5 from deep, plus 2-2 from the stripe – for just 9 points.  He frustrated Smith into committing a stupid technical foul (pushing Ty and knocking him down).  Ty handled the Wolfpack pressure, bringing the ball up like a veteran senior, not an 18-year-old who would still be in high school (but for his reclassifying).

Mark Mitchell (33:58) is playing terrific basketball on both ends of the floor.  His defense and rebounding are among the reasons that he was on the court for longer than any other Duke wing. Mark scored 12 points (3-6 from the field, including 1-3 from deep, plus 5-6 from the stripe.) to go with 5 tough rebounds.  Mark is a critically important part of this team’s recent development (5 game winning streak).  In his last 3 games, Mark has scored 42 points (14.0 per game) on 14-of-22 shooting (.636) and 12-of-13 at the free throw line (.923), while grabbing 17 rebounds. His defense has been excellent.

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (32:13) notched his 13th double-double of the season, the most of any freshman in the country, even though he did not shoot well from the field. Flip scored 11 points (on only 2-11 from the field, including 0-3 from behind the arc, but a crucial 7-9 from the foul line).  He grabbed a team-leading 14 rebounds while drawing 5 Wolfpack fouls.  His defense, especially helping Lively II contain the Wolfpack Big, D.J. Burns, Jr, was a valuable asset.

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (29:29) blocked 2 shots and altered others while anchoring Duke’s interior defense.  D-Live grabbed 12 boards while scoring 6 points (3-4 from the field, including 0-1 from deep with the shot clock expiring).  D-Live’s defense against Burns was one of Duke’s defensive keys. Scheyer: “We ended up not really doubling much because Dereck just did a great job battling him.”  D-Live helped Duke control the boards and defend so effectively.  

Dariq Whitehead (17:15) scored 6 points (2-2 from the field, including 1-1 from deep, plus 1-3 from the stripe).  He also grabbed 2 boards.  Dariq is becoming Duke’s 6th man, injecting energy and talent when he replaces a starter.  He brings multiple skills to the role —  deep shooting, slashing to the rim, an effective defender against both guards and Bigs, and a formidable rebounder.  He still has the most growth potential for the postseason of any Duke player.

Ryan Young (10:31) Ryan contributed so much in such a short time. Consider just his second half, where he played only 3:54.  In that brief time, Ryan garnered 4 rebounds (2 offensive), handed out an assist, blocked a shot, and scored 2 points on 1-1 from the field. For the entire game, he scored 4 points on 2-2 from the field, he grabbed 6 boards (2 offensive), handed out an assist, and blocked a shot.  Scheyer: “It’s such a luxury for us to have Dereck Lively and to have Ryan Young who are two very different players. Ryan can be very physical when he’s in.” That’s valuable!

Jacob (Jake) Grandison (7:36) missed each of his three wide open 3-point attempts off the bench, without an attempt from the stripe.  He is now the primary backcourt backup to both Ty and The Captain, who each played big minutes, limiting Jake’s time on the court.

SUMMING UP

There are 5 teams that have the potential of finishing the regular season on March 4 with 14-6 records.  Pitt lost to Notre Dame and is now 14-5 with a game still to play against the Miami Hurricanes, also 14-5.  UVA is 14-5 with a game against last place Louisville.  Duke and Clemson are 13-6.  The Tigers play Notre Dame; Duke faces the Tar Heels.  Duke beat Pitt in Cameron and thus  holds the tie-breaker against Pitt. Duke split with Miami, with Miami winning by the wider margin. The Blue Devils lost to both Clemson and UVA, giving each the tie-breaker against Duke.  Wouldn’t it be a shame if Duke and UVA tie for the double bye and UVA wins the tiebreaker on that terrible end-game call that deprived Flip of his deserved foul shots?  

We await the results of ACC action among those 5 teams, but also concentrate on the upcoming  re-match with UNC.

UNC basketball has been raining on the Blue Devil parade since last season’s Senior Night game (Coach K’s farewell).  Then, The ‘Heels beat Duke in the National finals.  

The women have beaten Duke twice in February, denying the Blue Devils the regular season ACC championship.   It is likely that the Duke women will meet UNC for the third time this season on Friday, March 3 in the women’s ACC tournament right before the men’s …

Next Play: Saturday, March 4, 2023, v. University of North Carolina in Chapel Hill at the Dean Dome at 6:30 p.m. on ESPN.

Men's Basketball vs. NC State
The Captain’s drives were acrobatic, controlled, and unstoppable.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

MOST RECENT GAME

Duke Blue Devils 62 v. UNC Tarheels 57 (Season 14; Issue 30; Game 31) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (March 4, 2023)

With a Devil Yell: Flip and the Blue Devil celebrate in Cameron (in preparation for celebrating in Greensboro). Photo Credit: Clutchpoints
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Founded in 1789, the University of North Carolina is one of three schools to proudly claim the title of the oldest public university in the United States, in addition to being known as one of the most accomplished, admired, and desired state institutions in the country.

Trinity College, established modestly in 1838 was renamed several times.  Trinity eventually became Duke University when James B. Duke established the $40,000,000 Duke Endowment in honor of his father Washington B. Duke. Trinity was renamed in honor of the donor and his father, also to distinguish it from other Trinity Colleges and Universities. As it added a beautiful, Gothic style campus, a world class hospital, a law school, and others, it rapidly became perennially the youngest Top Ten School in the country. 

Thus, there developed an understandable jealousy between the two schools. Nowhere is this truer than on the basketball court. The nadir of rivalry was a 1961 fistfight and melee in Cameron between Duke’s Art Heyman and Carolina’s Larry Brown, both Long Island N.Y. natives and former friends. [Editorial staff notes: Mark Mitchell received permission of Heyman’s family to wear Art’s retired number this season] Tensions over the years and decades only escalated as Duke’s Coach K challenged UNC’s Dean Smith and his basketball program as the premier one in the country.

Regardless of their records, the basketball games are often decided by which team has the ball last, or which player has the hot hand, or who gets the calls.  Last year, Carolina beat Duke (who had all five of their starters selected in the NBA draft – 4 in the first round; 3 of the first rounders were picked in the lottery) not only on Coach K’s final game in Cameron! but also in the semi-finals of the NCAA Tournament. They eventually lost in the title game by a basket.

This year, the Tar Heels, with four of their five starters back from last year, have been, inexplicably, very disappointing. So disappointing that these defending champions are on the cusp of not making the 68 team draw for the NCAA Tournament! So, this game was crucial for the Tar Heels’ NCAA ambition.

The Blue Devils beat the Tar Heels in a hard-fought contest, even as they overcame a rare coaching error by Scheyer & Company, who let Dereck (D-Live) Lively II stay in the game early in the second half after he had committed his third foul. Predictably, the fourth foul came shortly thereafter.  Duke is not the same team without him.

However, Kyle (Flip) Filipowski went to work offensively by more or less carrying the scoring load (with a big assist from Jeremy Roach) to secure the win. Filipowski apparently decided to make a statement that he not only was the Freshman of the Year but was also the Player of the Year in the ACC with 22 points and 13 rebounds. 

Neither team shot particularly well – this was Duke v. Carolina in The Dean Dome in Chapel Hill and both teams defended intensely. UNC shot just 30.4 percent to Duke’s 37.9.  UNC had 8 assists and limited Duke to just 4. Rebounding was dead even, with 29 defensive and 10 offensive for each. 

Mark Mitchell’s stepped up play has contributed to the six game Blue Devil winning streak.
Photo credit: GoDuke.com
ALANALYSIS:

As Jay Bilas intones every year (accurately) “Duke v Carolina NEVER disappoints.”   That was certainly true last night, where we were treated to a great college basketball game.  It did not matter that neither team was ranked in the top 25.  It was Duke-Carolina.  It is worth adding that these are two teams capable of beating any college team regardless of ranking.

Scheyer thought it was crucial that Duke “matched their physicality to start. And our players made some big-time winning plays down the stretch.” 

D-Live committed the first two fouls of the 2nd half (his 3rd and 4th of the game) before 3 minutes had elapsed.   He remained on the bench for over 11 minutes, before returning with just 8:08 left in the game.

THE GOOD THE BAD AND THE WONDERFUL

The Wonderful last 8:08 of the Game

With the Blue Devils trailing by 2 points (49-47), Scheyer sent D-Live back into the game with 8:08 left on the clock.  First, D-Live grabbed the defensive rebound when Leaky Black missed a Carolina jumper with 7:51 left.  Second, he scored a dunk on an assist from Tyrese. 49-49 with 7:23 left.  

Then came spine tingling excitement with each team scoring to take a 1-point lead when in possession.  Black and Flip traded baskets; then UNC guard Caleb Love and Ty did the same. Duke led 54-53 with 5:55 left.   Davis scored to give the Tar Heels a 55-54 lead with 4:20 to go.  Black fouled Flip, who made both free throws to provide Duke with the lead at 56-55 with 3:30 left in the game.

D-Live blocked Black’s shot, giving Duke possession with 3 minutes remaining.   Proctor and Filipowski both missed for Duke while Davis missed for the Tar Heels before Flip fouled Bacot.  Bacot made both to give UNC a 57-56 lead with 1:57 remaining in the game.  Flip was fouled and made both free throws to return the lead to Duke, 58-57 with 1:38 left.  Black missed a jumper, but retrieved his own miss, only to miss again on the put back.  Mark Mitchell grabbed the most important rebound of the game – 1:10 left.  Then the Captain stepped into the spotlight with a creative acrobatic drive using his left hand to give Duke a 60-57 lead with 48 seconds left in the game. 

Davis missed; Mitchell grabbed another crucial rebound, and was fouled with 19 seconds left in the game.  However, it was only the 6th foul that UNC had committed (therefore, non-shooting but still Duke’s ball).  UNC had to foul immediately (the Tarheel’s 7th) and Flip was now shooting 1-and-1.  With a chance to ice the game by expanding the Blue Devil lead to 2 possessions, with only 18 seconds left in the game, Flip shockingly missed the front end, which Bacot rebounded.

Love then had a chance to tie the game when he launched a 3-point attempt from the corner with just 8 seconds left. All of Dukedom exhaled with relief when it missed.  D-Live rebounded it and hit Flip with a full court pass for the winning dunk and margin!  62-57. It was a classic Duke-UNC finish!

Scheyer on Jeremy Roach’s game winning drive with 48 seconds left and the shot clock winding down: 

“I did say, ‘go get us one.’ We’ve got great trust in Jeremy. Doesn’t matter what happened for the 35 minutes before.  He and Flip have had a great two-man game. Jeremy wasn’t as decisive as he normally is, but on that last play, he was decisive. And he’s a winner.  Game’s on the line, he’s going to go.  You trust the ball in his hands.” 

On Kyle’s brilliant game: “big-time free throws. … But for Flip, we just went to him.  And he found a way to manufacture points when we needed them the most.” 

THE GOOD

The Defense 

Scheyer: “Our defense has been top-10 in the country in the month of February. We’ve been as consistent as anybody in the country down the stretch. …   It was a little bit of a disjointed first half because of the foul trouble.  When Dereck is not on the court — and Ryan did a really good job keeping us afloat — it just changes our team on the defensive end.  And Flip, he’s been right there.” 

Duke held UNC to 26 second-half points, not to mention just 57 for the game.  That is simply excellent defense!  Duke’s defense, good in the early season, is improving dramatically.  Tyrese, D-Live, Mark, and Flip have all improved and have learned how to play defense together.  Dariq is also a real defensive asset. 

The Captain is the glue.  

The Offense

Credit the Carolina defense for making the Blue Devil offense look a bit ragged.  Flip was the difference with his 22 points and 5 offensive rebounds.  Ty with 13, and Mark and Jeremey each contributed 10.  It was just enough.

THE BAD 

Fouling

Duke’s first-half fouling – a total of 8, with 2 each on D-Live (limited to playing only 5:38 in the opening stanza), Ryan, and Dariq – was a barrier for the Blue Devils to overcome.  Duke was much better in the second half, not putting UNC in the bonus (7 fouls in a half), until only 19 seconds were left in the game.  Unfortunately, Duke’s first two fouls of the second half were each committed by D-Live, giving him 4 personals with 17:10 still left in the game.  However, to his credit, he played the last 8:08 without fouling out. Kudos! Dariq also finished with 4 fouls.

Defending Bacot

Ryan could not do it effectively when D-Live was confined to the bench.  The UNC superstar scored 17 points (4-8 from the field, plus 9-10 from the stripe) while garnering 11 boards and blocking 4 shots.  Bacot’s only points in the last 9 minutes of the game (most of which with D-Live back in and guarding him) were his 2 foul shots which gave UNC a 1-point lead with 1:57 to go in the game.

Jeremy’s Off-Night Brilliance

The Captain had a dreadful shooting night (4-16), but made the Shot of the Night with 48 seconds left, to stretch the Blue Devil lead to 3 (60-57).

Scheyer says to the Captain: “Go get us one!”
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE ROTATION

Mark Mitchell (37:31) played the most minutes of any Duke player because he is playing terrific basketball on both ends of the floor.  Mark scored 10 points (4-8 from the field, including 1-1 from deep, plus 1-2 from the stripe), to go with 4 tough rebounds.  Mark is a critically important part of this team’s recent development (6 game winning streak).  In his last 4 games, Mark has scored 52 points on 18-of-30 shooting and 13-of-15 at the free throw line, while grabbing 21 rebounds.  Scheyer: “he probably had two of the biggest plays of anybody on our team all year.  He had two rebounds in traffic that were — both of them at a key time. And then he probably had the biggest basket of the game, we got down five. He had a great drive to cut it to three.”

Jeremy Roach (37:22) had a subpar shooting night, scoring only 10 points on 16 shots (4-16 from the field, including 2-6 from behind the arc without a free throw attempt, or an assist). The Captain had 3 steals! while playing excellent defense.   In the closing stanza, even though Jeremy was only 2-8 from the field, including 0-2 from deep, he scored the tough, crucial game winner when he slithered through UNC’s defense with an acrobatic layup that gave Duke a 3-point lead with 48 seconds left in the game.  Scheyer: “he’s a big-time winner.  He really helped us, in the middle of the second half, we just had a hard time scoring.”

Kyle (Flip) Filipowski (34:16) carried Duke offensively, notching his 14th double double of the season, the most of any freshman in the country!  Flip scored 22 points on 7-17 from the field, including 1-4 from behind the arc, but a crucial 7-8 from the foul line. (That one miss was a bad one).  He grabbed a team-leading 13 rebounds while drawing 7 Wolfpack fouls.  His underrated defense is a valuable asset.

Tyrese (Ty) Proctor (32:15) was Duke’s second leading scorer with 12 points (4-10 from the field, including 0-1 from deep, but a gaudy 5-7 from the foul).  He contributed 2 rebounds and 3 assists. Ty is justly earning high praise for his 1-on-1 on the ball defense.  Ty continues to handle pressure defenses, bringing the ball up like a veteran senior in college rather than a senior in high school, which he was scheduled to be before he reclassified.

Ryan Young (19:06) Ryan played more than expected because of D-Live’s early and enduring foul trouble.  He only scored 2 points on 1-2 from the field, but he grabbed 6 boards (2 offensive), and made a steal. Ryan cannot defend Bacot the way D-Live does; so, Bacot thrived while Ryan was in the game.  Scheyer gave credit to Ryan’s crucial role in this game, “When Dereck was not on the court, Ryan did a really good job keeping us afloat.”

Dereck (D-Live) Lively II (16:39) blocked 3 shots and altered others while he anchored Duke’s interior defense.  D-Live grabbed 6 boards while scoring 2 points on a dramatic dunk (1-1 from the field, his only shot attempt). However, his playing time was limited to the first 5:37 in the first half when he committed 2 fouls.  D-Live started the second half, but committed 2 quick fouls – the first after just 2 minutes had gone by in the second half.  Scheyer did not take him out then (as Bill points out) and Dereck committed his 4th foul about 48 seconds later. D-Live did not return until the last 8:08 of the game.  His return was one of Duke’s defensive keys to win the game. 

Dariq Whitehead (15:34) has not been as effective in his recent games.  He scored only 3 points (1-3 from the field, including 0-1 from deep, plus 1-1 from the stripe).  He also grabbed 4 boards.  Dariq is Duke’s 6th man, injecting energy and talent when he replaces a starter.  He brings multiple skills to the role — deep shooting, slashing to the rim, an effective defender against both guards and Bigs, and a formidable rebounder.  However, he has not displayed those skills in his recent games, including this one.  He had a dramatic turnover (kicked it away unforced, leading to an easy UNC layup) and committed 4 fouls in a truncated appearance. He still has the most growth potential for the postseason of any Duke player.

Jacob (Jake) Grandison (7:15) had his only shot blocked, a 3-point attempt without an attempt from the stripe.  His court time has shrunk as both Ty and The Captain are playing big minutes.

SUMMING UP

The regular season has ended, and it is now single elimination tournament time. 

Duke’s win over the Tar Heels gave Duke the fourth seed in the ACC tournament, and a double bye into the quarterfinals on Thursday, March 9!  Jeff Capel’s Pitt lost its hold on the regular season title by losing both of its last two games – to Notre Dame and Miami, respectively – finishing at 14-6.  The Miami Hurricanes won the title and # 1 seed with a 15-5 record (tied with UVA at 15-5, but Miami beat UVA in the regular season to get the #1 seed).  Duke and Clemson both finished at 14-6. 

Thus, the seeding for the ACC tournament is: 1) Miami; 2) UVA; 3) Clemson; 4) Duke; 5) Pitt; 6) NC State; 7) UNC and 8) Syracuse (omitting seeds 10-15 who play on opening day). 

It turns out that if the correct call (as the ACC later officially admitted) had been made at the end of the UVA game, and if Flip had made even one of his deserved two free throws, Duke, and not UVA, would have tied for the regular season title. (even though the only recognized ACC champion is the winner of the postseason tournament). To channel Duke women’s coach, Kara Lawson, who took the ACC to task about a men’s ball being used in the first half of a woman’s game, “these are important issues because they impact post-season seedings and invitations.  Important stuff.”

UNC basketball has been raining on the Blue Devil parade since last season’s Senior Night game (Coach K’s farewell), and then again painfully in the National semi-finals.  Winning last night at UNC’s Senior Night in the Dean Dome was a great way for the Blue Devils to get ready for this year’s postseason.

Next Play: is the quarterfinals of the ACC Tournament in Greensboro, NC, where Duke will play on Thursday March 9, 2023, at 2:30 on ESPN.  

Duke’s opponent will probably be #5 seeded Pittsburgh, if the Panthers beat on Wednesday the winner of Tuesday’s Georgia Tech v. Florida State game.  One of those 3 teams will be Duke’s opponent on Thursday, March 9th. The Semi-Finals (Friday, March 10) and Finals (Saturday March 11 at 8:00 pm on ESPN) are at night, should Duke qualify.

The DBP will publish only one ACC Tournament edition covering Duke’s games (as many as 3, if the Blue Devils reach the finals on Saturday, March 11; or as few as one, if Duke loses in the quarterfinals). 

D-Live’s volleyball-style block in the final minutes of the game.
Photo credit: GoDuke.com
Flip does his signature spin and uses his height to pierce the Tar Heel defense.
Photo Credit: Abigail Bromberger | The Chronicle 

ACC Tournament Edition DBP (Season 14; Issue 31; Games 32, 33, and 34) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (March 9, 10, and 11, 2023)

  • (Quarterfinals on March 9) Duke Blue Devils 96 v. Pittsburgh Panthers 69
  • (Semifinals on March 10) Duke Blue Devils 85 v. Miami Hurricanes 78
  • (Finals on March 11) Duke Blue Devils 59 v. UVA Cavaliers 49
Coach Scheyer and the team he developed hoist the well-earned Championship Trophy high
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
The ACC Tournament Edition

This one edition – the ACC Tournament Edition –  will cover all of the Duke games in the ACC tournament.  Alanalysis was written after each Duke win, but before the next game. “Next Play” encompasses the NCAA draw and schedule.  Cliffnotes is a Bill summary of this tournament and the season.

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

To quote Michael Corleone: “Revenge is a dish that tastes best when served cold.” Duke’s mid-season metamorphosis – from a disappointing pretender to a stone-cold contender that swept UNC in the final game of the regular season, and then finished off Pitt and former defeaters Miami and Virginia in dominating fashion in the ACC Tournament – was spectacular! The Blue Devils were behind only against Miami in the ACC Tournament (humorously known as The Duke Invitational as the Devils have won a record 22).

Although every player in the eight-man rotation made significant contributions, Duke was led by Captain Jeremy Roach and Kyle (“Flip”) Filipowski, the tournament MVP. Flip is the only Division I freshman in the last 25 seasons to have had 20+ points, 10+ rebounds and 3+ steals in a conference tournament title game! And Jeremy, the only non-freshman starter, and the Captain, was the steady closer.  It remains to be seen what the NCAA Tournament holds for the Blue Devils, but after their beat down by Miami in Coral Gables, and the stolen Virginia game in Charlottesville, who expected this kind of finish to the regular season and league tournament?

MVP Flip says he is ready for the NCAA!
Photo Credit: Duke Chronicle
ALANALYSIS:

ACC TOURNAMENT OVERVIEW

Duke’s dominance in this tournament – as unexpected as it was sweet and complete!  The semi-final game against Miami was nip and tuck for the first 18 minutes of the game.  With 2:06 left in the first half, Dariq Whitehead was fouled while shooting a 3.  He made all 3 foul shots to give Duke a 36-34 lead, which Duke never gave up in that game.  Duke led for every second of the games against Pittsburgh in the quarterfinals and against Virginia in the finals.   Pitt got the lead down to 1, and Virginia reduced it to 2, but Duke never trailed in either game.

The Blue Devils met the challenge of playing 3 teams, each with their own particular style.  Scheyer, “We played three really good teams but also three different styles. Pitt is a great three-point shooting team, so they spread you and you have to really defend the three. Miami is one of the most athletic teams in our league but also the country. They really pressure the ball.  Obviously, Virginia is tough as can be, slower paced, they grind you. And to prepare for them in 24 hours and to defend them the way that we did, it’s a credit to these guys and their focus and their fight on the defensive end.”

Here is DBP’s game by game analysis, in order, starting with the Quarterfinals decimation of Pittsburgh, then the taut Semifinal against Miami, followed by the Championship victory over UVA.

THE QUARTERFINALS – Duke 96 v. Pittsburgh 69 (Thursday, March 9)

Without a doubt, this was Duke’s finest performance of the season to date.  As in all single elimination tournaments, it makes the next game the most important of the season.  For the Blue Devils, it will be a first game against an elite team since their 7-game winning streak began.  A Duke players-only meeting on February 6, after Miami had destroyed the Blue Devils 81 -59,  is described as a turning point for the season.  Although Duke lost the next game to Virginia in Charlottesville under “murky” (incorrect foul call) circumstances, you could see the team coming together and growing.  Seven straight, but not an elite team among the victims.  Miami is an elite team.  That makes the semi-finals against the Hurricane the most important game of the season.

The Offense

Duke ran an offense that was smooth and cohesive.   The Blue Devils scored 96 points, setting season highs for points, assists, and shooting percentage. Duke was 36-58 for 62.1%.  The Blue Devils handed out 27 assists on 36 field goals, and turned it over just 8 times — only 2 by the starters.  Tyrese (Ty) Proctor and Captain Jeremy Roach combined to hand out 16 of those assists.   The 27 assists set a tournament record. 

For the fifth straight game, at least 4 of the 5 starters scored in double figures.  Against Pitt, Kyle (Flip) Filipowski led Duke in scoring with 22 points (8-10 from the field, including 4-6 from behind the arc and 2-2 from the stripe).  He was unstoppable!  Shockingly, zero rebounds.  Dereck (D-Live) Lively II was 5-6 from the field, including 1-1 from behind the arc, plus 2-3 from the foul line for 13 points.  D-Live blocked 2 shots and grabbed 4 boards.  

Mark Mitchell scored 12 points (4-8 from the field, including 0-3 from deep, plus 4-4 from the foul line).  Mark garnered 5 rebounds, handed out an assist, and made a steal. Proctor scored 11 points (4-6, including 3-5 from behind the arc) to go with his 10 assists, 3 boards, and 2 steals.  

The Captain scored 9 points (he only scores when Duke needs him to, and the Blue Devils did not need his scoring against Pitt) on 3-5 from the field, including 1-2 from deep and 2-2 from the stripe.  He handed out 6 assists.  Whitehead and Grandison each scored 8 points off the bench.  It was easily Duke’s best offensive performance of the year  

Coach Scheyer was gleeful and proud of his offense, which he said is finally catching up to Duke’s defense.  Duke has been enjoying a terrific defensive season.  That continued against the Panthers.

The Defense

Even though Duke’s defense has been its calling card, and been very effective during the season, the Blue Devils are morphing into one of the best defensive teams around.  In the post game interview, Scheyer had 2 Duke players with him.  They are the two (mostly unheralded) players whose improvement is dramatic and has contributed to the team’s growth.  Ty Proctor and Mark Mitchell have ramped up their defensive intensity, which has made the Blue Devils a team flying under the radar.

Pitt was not able to generate any consistent offense. Pitt shot only 22-52, including 5-18 from deep.  Duke held Pitt scoreless from the field for the first 5 minutes of the game (to lead 12-0).  Duke led by as many as 18, finishing the half with a 16 point lead 48-32.  Then Duke held Pitt scoreless for another 4 minutes to begin the second half on another 12-0 run.  62-34 with 16 minutes left in the game.  Duke’s largest lead was 36 when Scheyer put the bench into the game with 6:10 left in the game. 

THE SEMI-FINALS  – Duke 85 v Miami 78 (Friday, March 10)

If the quarterfinals against Pittsburgh was Duke’s best game of the year, the Blue Devils’ win over Miami was Duke’s best victory of the year.  Admiration was mandatory for the Miami offense, and the individual Hurricane players’ ability to score against genuinely formidable defense.  Miami scored 42 second-half points, shooting 11-17 from inside the arc.  Duke kept the Hurricanes at bay behind the arc (3-14 in the second half), which won the game for Duke.  

Duke scored 41 points in the first half (and 44 in the closing stanza). They simply outscored Miami.  The game see-sawed in the first half with 7 ties and 12 lead changes.  After Dariq Whitehead made the first of his 3 foul shots, the game was tied at 34 with 2 minutes left in the first half.  Duke took the lead and never relinquished it after Dariq connected on his next two, for a 36-34 Duke lead.   Duke led 41-36 at half time.

While Miami clawed at the Duke defense to stay within striking distance – the Hurricanes were within a point — 66-65 with 5:15 left in the game – the Blue Devil offense was amazing at “winning time”.  Isaiah Wong, Miami’s star guard and ACC Player of the Year this year, picked up a crucial 4th foul with 5:12 left in the game when he fouled Dariq on another 3-point attempt.  Whitehead made all 3 (Duke 69 v. Miami 65).

Flip fouled, and Miami cashed both shots.  Duke by 69-67 with 4:57 remaining.  Flip scored on a floater; Miami missed.  Mark Mitchell was fouled and made both shots (Duke leads 73-67  with  4:12 left).  Miami scored on a dunk. (73-69 with 3:54 left in the game).  

Miami created a ‘jump ball’ by tying up Roach (Duke ball on the alternate possession), but then the Captain missed a shot on that possession.  Flip scored on an offensive rebound.  Duke led 75-69 with 3:05 left.  Wong assisted on a Miami jump shot followed by Miami blocking a Jeremy layup. 

Duke by 75-71 with 2 minutes to go when THE CAPTAIN won the game by launching a well-defended 3-pointer with the shot clock running down.  Swish.  Duke by 7, 78-71 with only 1:58 in the game.  Duke maintained that 7 point  lead to the ending, with free throws by Mark, Jeremy and Dariq, for the best Blue Devil win of the year!

The Good

The Offense

Despite Miami’s intense defense that has earned a reputation for creating turnovers (created 8 Duke turnovers in the first half) and getting deflections, the Blue Devil offense never wavered.  Miami forced 22 Blue Devil turnovers when they last met in Coral Gables, but was able to force only 4 second- half Duke turnovers, a revealing statistic. Huge credit to Ty and the Captain.

Five Duke players scored in double figures.  In 31:20, Flip notched his 15th double-double of the season (17 points on 8-9 from the field plus 1-2 from the stripe, plus 11 boards). Dariq Whitehead was the explosive 6th man, scoring 16 points – 4-8 from the field, including 2-3 from 3land and a crucial 6-6 from the stripe — in 18:35. He was a star!  So was Tyrese (37 minutes), who scored 15 points on an efficient 8 shots (5-8, including 3-5 from behind the arc and 2-2 from the foul line) to go with 5 assists, 3 boards, and a steal, with only 2 turnovers against a passionate Miami defense.  The Captain also played 37 minutes, scoring 13 points (3-9 including 1-3 from deep and a crucial 6-7 from the stripe.  Let us not overlook Mark Mitchell, whose improvement is both under the radar and dramatic.  Mark, in 34 minutes scored 14 points (4-9, including 1-2 from deep and 5-8 from the foul line) to go with 5 rebounds and a steal.

D-Live was the only player in the 6-man rotation who did not score in double figures.  In 34 minutes, he scored 8 points on 4-5 shooting, but he blocked 3 shots, handed out 3 assists and corralled 6 boards.  His value may be harder to measure, but is undeniably immense.   Now D-Live is looking comfortable on offense.

The bench was almost non-existent — Grandison played 3:21 in the first half without scoring, while Ryan Young played just 5 minutes and sunk 2 foul shots and grabbed 3 boards.  

THE NOT GOOD; MIAMI’S OFFENSE WAS UNSTOPPABLE

The Defense 

It is hard to praise a defense that gave up 78 points in the game, including 42 in the hard-fought closing half.  Yet, Duke played intense, cohesive defense.  Jay Bilas, the excellent Duke alum color analyst, said several times, “that was excellent defense; it was just better offense.”  Miami is really good, and far better than the so-called “bracketologists” who predict a low NCAA seed.   The Hurricanes will not get a high seed, but might well win some gaudy victories in The Big Dance.

Fouling

Both D-Live and Flip finished the game with 4 fouls.  The good news is that neither fouled out.

The Captain stretches to reach for his Championship.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

THE FINALS – Duke 59 v. UVA 49  (Saturday March 11)

The Blue Devils defended the Cavaliers in breathtaking fashion, holding Virginia to just 17 first-half points (6-22 from the field, including 1-7 from deep and 4-8 from the foul line).  Duke had 6 steals (forced 7 turnovers) while Dereck (D-Live) Lively II blocked 2 shots and altered many others at the rim.  The usually unflappable Cavaliers were in complete offensive disarray.  Duke led 24-17 at half time.

Duke led by as many as 14 points, and as few as 4 during the second half, but always had a lead of at least 2 possessions (4 points or more) and frequently  10 points.  Virginia pulled within 7 points (45-38 with 5:30 left in the game) before The Captain took over the game with 4:52 left.  Jeremy scored 11 of Duke’s last 14 points – in under 5 minutes! – to preserve the Duke lead.  Flip was fouled twice within a few seconds.  Both were 1-and-1s.Flip swished only one of a possible 4 points..   UVA again got as close as 4 points (49-43) with 40 seconds left, but never closer.  Mitchell made 2 free throws with 22 seconds left for the final 59-49 margin.

Jeremy scored 19 of his 23 game points in the second half, while Flip scored 9 of his 20 in the closing period.  Thus the Captain and Flip scored 28 of Duke’s 35 second half points! (Tyrese (Ty) Proctor scored 5 and Mark Mitchell was 2-2 from the foul line.  Jeremy Roach played one of the very best halves of his career to help win this championship.

The Offense

Flip recorded his 16th double-double of the season with 20 points (8-17 from the field, including 1-5 from behind the arc plus 3-5 from the stripe) to go with 10 rebounds and three steals.   He finished the tournament with 59 points across 3 games (avg 19.7 per game) and 21 rebounds (avg 7.0) and sinking 24-of–36 (avg shooting  66.7%) from the field.  For that amazing 3 game performance, Flip was named the winner of the Everett Case ACC Tournament MVP trophy, becoming the seventh freshman ever to win. It was the 21st time a Duke player has won that award (no other team has come close).  Remarkably for his height, Flip has led Duke in steals 6 times during the year, each time with 3 steals or more.

Flip made a couple of  spectacular plays midway in the second half, when UVA cut the Duke lead to 6 (38-32). He threw a cross court pass over top of a Virginia player from corner to corner, to Procter, who swished a wide open three, to restore a 9-point lead.  Flip followed up immediately by stealing the pass on Virginia’s very next possession and then racing full court for a dunk. Duke’s lead was back to 11 with 7:33 left in the game.

Jeremy (The Captain) Roach scored a career high 23 points – 19 points in the second half – on 7-of-12 shooting for the game, including 2-2 from deep, plus 7-of-7 at the free throw line. His 19 second-half points were the most by any Duke player in a second half this season.  Scheyer was appreciative and admiring, “He just willed us; he just absolutely willed us.”

Jeremy and Flip combined for 43 of Duke’s 59 points. Both made the sportswriter’s All-tournament “first team” (along with Isaiah Wong of Miami; Jayden Gardner of UVA; and Terquavion Smith of NC State).  D-Live was selected to the “second team” along with Jordan Miller of Miami, Arman Franklin and Reece Beekman of Virginia and R.J. Davis of UNC.

The Defense

Virginia entered the game, averaging 68.4 points per game for the season.  Duke has now held 30 of 34 opponents to below their season scoring average.  The 49 points Virginia did score were Duke’s fewest allowed in an ACC Tournament game since a 57-46 win over Virginia in the 2010 quarterfinals.  Duke allowed 17 points in the first half, the fewest allowed in any half, against any team this season. Duke held Virginia to 27.3% shooting in the first half, matching Duke’s best first-half field goal defense against any team this season.  

The Blue Devil’s awesome intensity on defense impressed the announcers and color commentators. They all kept commenting that this Duke team was NOT the same team as even 6 weeks ago, while also noting that the injuries which had plagued various Duke players throughout the season had delayed development.  Duke is finally healthy, and is now perceived differently than the Blue Devils were before such a dominating performance in the ACC tournament.  The Blue Devils have only lost once with a completely healthy roster.

Proctor and D-Live doin’ the dance of joy while the chorus gets ready to join.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

SUMMING UP

It feels so right that Duke played UVA for the ACC Tournament crown after the referees botched the final call when UVA beat Duke in overtime in Charlottesville, February 11th.  So, it was poetic justice for Duke to play a terrific game to defeat UVA for the ACC tournament win!  

These last 9 games have been Scheyer’s time to shine.  He has built the backcourt, making Ty the primary ball handler with The Captain and Flip as the leading scorers.  He resurrected D-Live’s game and Duke’s interior defense.  

The 2023 ACC Tournament Champions are the Duke Blue Devils.  Duke was so dominant that for the entire tournament, they trailed for only 4:32 (against Miami in the early going).  Neither Pittsburgh nor Virginia ever had the lead in their games against Duke. 

The NCAA tournament awaits, and Duke, the 5th seed in the East Region, is at their pinnacle of confidence at this point in the season.

Next Play: is the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Thursday, March 16,2023 Duke plays Oral Roberts (30-4; 18-0 Summit League Champions, who are on a 17 game win streak) in Orlando, FL at 7:10 p.m. CBS. 

If Duke  wins that game the Blue Devils will play against the winner of Tennessee (4th seed) against Louisiana on Saturday, March 18.

The DBP will publish only one NCAA Tournament edition for each weekend that Duke plays (as Coach K thought of it, the tournament consists of  3 weekends of 4-team tournaments).  Duke will play until they lose – or win the NCAA national championship!


NCAA Tourneament Edition DBP (Season 14; Issue 31; Games 35 and 36) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (March 16, 2023 and March 18, 2023)

Final DBP for 2022-2023 Season

  • Duke Blue Devils 74 v. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles 51 (opening round)
  • Duke Blue Devils 52 v. Tennessee Volunteers 65 (second round)
No one will ever question Flip’s courage or competitiveness after he took Tennessee’s punishment and was not intimidated.
Photo Credit: Morgan Chu | The Duke Chronicle

NCAA First RoundTournament Edition

Alanalysis for Oral Roberts was written after the Duke win, but before the next game. “Next Play” encompasses the NCAA draw and schedule.  Cliffnotes is a Bill summary of this tournament and the season.

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

My son called me yesterday to say that he turned on the Duke-Tennessee basketball game and a street mugging broke out. It did in the first few minutes when a couple of Rocky Top thugs led by 24-year-old center Uros Plavsic beat up Filipowski by knocking him down and throwing elbows, putting a deep cut under his left eye. Proctor was knocked over by a ball swung at his face. Both got back in the game, undeterred in the face of attempted intimidation, but it was more than that.  It set the tone for officiating and made the game the Duke boys against the Tennessee men, who, in truth, ultimately had a basketball answer for every Blue Devil run. It’s a shame. The eastern brackets had more or less opened up because #1 seed Purdue was upset by #15 Fairleigh Dickinson Friday night as Duke wired Oral Roberts with no trouble.  

Tennessee Coach Rick Barnes previously coached at Clemson in the ACC where he won less than 50% of his conference games and is best known for his feistiness by taking a swing at North Carolina Coach Dean Smith and teaching his players all-round aggressiveness and physicality.  I would rather be beaten by North Carolina, who plays the right way, than a Rick Barnes team.  I prefer basketball played as a non-contact sport, a ballet of grace and style rather than an ugly “mud wrestling contest”. Tennessee played better this day, won most every metric, and deserved to win.  

Whatever, Duke made an impressive run to finish the season by winning ten games in a row and the ACC Championship before ultimately running into a mature Tennessee team who played their best game of the year and simply manhandled the freshmen laden Devils . The good news is that it might give some of the young Blue Devils second thoughts about whether they are ready for the NBA as talented “One & Done” boys.

The Captain had a season to be truly proud of.  Ty looks on in awe at the left.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
ALANALYSIS:
Duke 74 v. Oral Roberts 51 in the First Round

The Blue Devils announced from the opening tip-off that there would be no overconfidence leading to the type of upset that befell # 1 seeded Purdue (lost to #16 seed Fairleigh Dickenson).  Duke’s defense was as good as it has been all season to start the game.  Oral Roberts did not score for the opening 4+ minutes, while the Blue Devils opened an 11-0 lead.  In fact, the Golden Eagles first points came with 8:04 remaining in the first half.  Duke 15 – Oral Roberts 2.  With only 1:06 left in the first half, the Blue Devils led by 20 (38-18).

The complexion of the game did not change in the second half.  Duke scored the first 8 points of the second half to take a 25-point lead (48-23) in the first 3:45 of the second half.  The Golden Eagles did fight back, and reduced the lead to as low as 14, but the Blue Devils closed the game out efficiently, leading by 25 with 2:47 left in the game.  

Scheyer then emptied the bench.

The Defense

What a defensive performance!  The Golden Eagles entered the tournament on a 17-game winning streak, averaging 84 points per game.  Duke held them to 51 points, 33 points below their average.

Max Abmas is the Oral Roberts star, who was averaging 22 points per game and had been the key player in the Golden Eagle’s run to the Sweet 16 two years ago.   Duke completely closed him down.  Tyrese (Ty) Proctor has been the defensive ace of the back court.  He hounded Abmas, but picked up 2 early fouls.  Mark Mitchell then hounded Abmas (4-15, including 2-9 from deep).  Abmas only attempted (and made) a pair of free throws. 

Duke controlled the interior.  Dereck (D-Live) blocked 6 shots and grabbed 12 boards in a dominating performance.  Kyle (Flip) Filipowski contributed 9 rebounds and 4 steals. Captain Jeremy Roach, Super Sixth Man Dariq Whitehead, and Proctor each made a steal.  Duke won the rebounding battle by a wide margin (46-32)

The announcers fell all over themselves as if just discovering how good this defense really is.

Mark Mitchell had a stellar season.  Duke really missed him against Tennessee.  Will he return for his sophomore year?
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

The Offense

Jeremy Roach led the Blue Devil offense, scoring 23 points for the second straight game.  The Captain was 9-17 from the field, including 1-5 from deep, plus 4-4 from the line in his 36:33 of playing time.  Remove his deep shooting and Jeremy was 8-12 from inside the arc as he drove to the basket on a variety of deft layups and floaters.

Dariq was Duke’s only other double figure scorer.  Whitehead scored an efficient 12 points on only 7 shots (5-7, including a gaudy 3-3 from deep). Mark Mitchell scored 8 (4-11, including 0-2 from behind the arc), while Ty scored 7 (all in the second half) on 3-11 from the field, including 1-3 from deep.  Flip scored only 6 (2-7), while D-Live contributed 4 points (2-3).  But Duke was so dynamic that their scoring was not needed.   

Duke’s two freshmen 7-footers protecting the Duke rim, part of what made Duke’s defense so good all year.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com
Duke 52 – Tennessee 65 in the Second Round 

A tale of two very different halves, with the same Tennessee success in each (27-21 in the first half; and 38-31 in the second half).  

First Half

In the first half, Duke led 21-18 with 4:51 left ….. and did not score in that half again.  The Volunteers hit a jump shot; Dariq Whitehead missed a 3-point attempt; Tennessee converted an offensive rebound to take a 22-21 lead with 3:48 left.  Each team missed its next 3 shots before Dereck (D-Live) Lively II committed an offensive foul.  Still 22-21 with 1:21 left in the half, when the Vols finally hit a 3 to make it 25-21. Then, the teams traded turnovers before the Vols grabbed yet another offensive rebound and hit another 3-pointer, as the first half expired.  27-21.  What a desultory way to wrap up the half.

While each team committed 8 fouls, Duke’s fouling was especially costly as the half wore on. Tennessee put Duke in the bonus early (committing its 6th foul with 9:46 to go in the half).  Duke did not commit its 3rd foul until there was only 7:07 left in the half. However, in those last 7 minutes, Duke fouled 5 more times, including 3 committed by Captain Jeremy Roach.  With 1:38 left in the half, D-Live picked up his second foul.  Ouch!

Not only did Lively IInot even attempt a single shot, but Ryan Young, who replaced D-Live for 3:57 in the first half (Ryan  didn’t play in the second half), also failed to score a point. or even take a shot.  

Duke’s main first half offensive woe was turnovers.  11 of Duke’s 15 game-turnovers came in the first half, Roach committing 4, Ty 2, and Kyle (Flip) Filipowski 2.  Much of the turnover problem was caused by the vaunted Volunteer defense, but many by Blue Devil carelessness.  21 points was Duke’s lowest single half scoring of the season: Proctor was 1-3 for 2 points; Roach hit a pair of 3s for 6 points, while Flip was 2-8 including 0-2 from deep and 1-2 from the stripe for 5 points.  The Blue Devils were 8-22.  Only Roach’s 2-2 from deep and Dariq’s 2-5 from behind the arc (12 of Duke’s 21 points) kept the Blue Devils in the game.

Ty in maximum effort with a touch of desperation as he scored 14 second half points against Tennessee.  
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

Second Half

Mark Mitchell was injured but was not officially ruled out of the game until just before tip-off.  His absence caught up with Duke in the second half when the Blue Devils ran out of gas.  Dariq Whitehead has been a force off the bench during the winning streak, but never played more than 23 minutes in any game.  He scored 8 points in the first 11:35 of the first half.  He played over 16 minutes in each half, but never scored in the game again after those first 11 minutes.  He simply was not in good enough physical condition to play that many minutes..  In his 16:21 second-half minutes, Dariq did not attempt any shot, from the field, from deep or from the stripe.   D-Live played all 20 minutes in the second half without scoring – without attempting a shot from the field or a foul shot. 

That’s 36 minutes of Lively II and Whitehead, the # 1 and #2 rated high school players last year, without a single shot attempt!  

Each team was 13-27 from the field.  For the Volunteers, that included 6-11 from deep, while the Blue Devils shot only 2-11 from deep.  That 12-point difference in 3s is the Tennessee margin of victory.  Only three Blue Devils scored in the second half: Proctor was heroic, scoring 14 second-half points (5-10 from the field, but only 1-4 from deep, plus 3-3 from the stripe); Flip was 4-8, including 0-3 from deep without a free throw attempt; and the Captain scored 7 (3-8 from the field, including 1-4 from behind the arc without a free throw attempt).  The only bench support was Grandison’s 7:38, in which he scored 2 points.  

Olivier Nkamhoua scored 8 points in Tennessee’s 3-point win over the Ragin’ Cajuns from Louisiana (13th seed) last Thursday.  He scored 23 against Duke in the second half alone (8-10 from the field including 3-4 from deep plus 4-5 from the stripe).  Every time Duke scored to bring the lead down (on different occasions to 2; 4; and twice 5 – the last time with 5:04 left in the game), the Blue Devils could not get a stop. Olivier was a one-man wrecking crew.  Duke went to a zone defense when Roach picked up his fourth foul after only 5 minutes of the second half had been played. Nkamhoua was shooting uncontested shots.  By then, Duke was no longer the excellent defensive team it had been all year.  The Devils looked exhausted.

Jacob Grandison with Scheyer – The Brotherhood remains strong and in good, albeit new, hands.
Photo Credit: GoDuke.com

SUMMING UP

The Game

For all 36 of his game-minutes, D-Live did not attempt a shot or score a point!!  For his last 20 minutes of game action, neither did Dariq.  The scoring malaise for D-Live for the entire game and Dariq for the latter part of the first half and the entire second half was a shocking negative from which the Blue Devils could not recover.

Duke was 16-1 when all the players in the rotation were healthy and only 11-8 when key players were missing. Mark Mitchell, who is one of Duke’s best defenders and rebounders was scratched from the game because of a late injury.  The lack of depth that Mitchell’s injury caused was a real blow for the team.  It was like that for several of Duke’s vanquished opponents — UVA when they lost a starter for the season, and Miami when their star Big was injured in the first minute against Duke.  It is why talented depth is so important.  

Tennessee played its best game of the season and completely earned its Sweet 16 berth.  

The Season

The 2022-23 Duke Blue Devils hung a banner in Cameron by winning the ACC tournament.   That crown and the way Duke fought back from 8-6 in the conference to 14-6 to earn a double bye in the ACC tournament were not less than crowning achievements.

Jon Scheyer, first year head coach, developed a team that closed the season with a 10-game winning streak and went 16-0 in home games.  Not bad!  His most impressive accomplishment in doing that was the development of the backcourt – moving Ty to the point, allowing the Captain to play mostly off the ball as a scorer.  Scheyer also nurtured D-Live into a game-changing defensive force.

The disappointing second round loss was especially disheartening because of expectations and hopes – especially after FDU eliminated the # 1 seed in the Eastern Region (where Duke was placed).

For Bill and me and our superb editorial staff [Alan’s daughter and her mum], it was an exhilarating season with much drama. The drama began with preseason injuries to Dariq and D-Live, and heightened with  Jeremy’s toe injury.   The health problems delayed the development of this team, subjected Scheyer to Monday morning quarterbacking, and left the Blue Devils with an 8-6 conference record and almost no chance at the ACC title.  Then came the exhilaration of their 10 game winning streak, which included the 3 wins to become ACC tournament champions.   

Questions for Next Season

The most important one is: “will there be a DBP next season?” 

While almost every Duke player would improve, and improve their opportunities for future professional play, by returning to Duke (except Flip, who is likely ready for the NBA), experience teaches that most, if not all, will leave.  I wonder if Trevor Keels wishes he had returned for his sophomore year at Duke.  He played only in the G League until March.  He has so far scored 2 NBA points this season. He could not be buried any deeper on the Knick bench.

Big decisions to come from D-Live, Dariq, Jeremy, Proctor, and Mitchell.

See you next year??


Duke Basketball Playbook 2021-2022


I WANT TO READ ABOUT THE MOST RECENT GAME

“Lucky Devil” Extra: COACH K’S FINAL SEASON (Season 13 Preseason Issue) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

BILL’S CLIFF NOTES

Some of the same reasons that I suspect played into Coach K’s decision to retire had caused me to seriously question whether I really wanted to make the commitment for another season of Duke Basketball Playbook. Primarily, it is this: if the players are not willing to commit to the school, their education, and their teammates for more than one  single season—or in Jalen Johnson’s case (had to look his name up), only part of a single season—why should I? For me, the memories of Laettner, Hurley, Hill, Brand, Williams, Battier, Redick etc. maturing and getting better are everlasting, while I cannot even remember most of the names of the one-and-doners from the last few years.

However, when I read that Coach was lacing them up for one more season, I texted Alan: “We can’t quit now. We should go out with Coach K.”

ALANALYSIS:

Both Bill and I are admiring  of how Duke is handling the coaching transition from K to Scheyer (especially in light of the desultory UNC handling of Ole Roy’s retirement).  Ole Roy commiserated that “the game has passed me by.”   There was no planning for “next year”; no introduction or announcement of a new coach.  Nothing to encourage the fans.  Duke’s year certainly ended unceremoniously, with positive COVD-19 tests and, therefore, a quiet exit from the ACC postseason.  Last year’s COVID-ridden season, combined with the wholesale departures (especially the mid-season desertion of Jalen Johnson plus DJ Steward’s unwarranted — by talent — post-season departure) was depressing for this august publication.  Most certainly it was so for Coach K, too.  Thus, Bill had already said he did not want to participate in the DBP for next season, and I had said I was seriously considering abandoning it too.  But the dynamic editorial duo of Jeanne and Laramie remained steadfast with the team.  When Coach K announced his quintessentially K-type exit, then we just couldn’t resist.  

As ESPN insightfully wrote, “Did you really think [Coach K] would let that [13-11; no tournaments] be his finish line? Of course not.  Call this upcoming campaign a retirement tour, call it a victory lap, call it whatever you want. But if we have learned anything about Krzyzewski over the last half-century, it’s that he will never pass up a chance to win basketball games. Duke has a chance to win a lot of them between now and April.”

The Duke transition – unlike the UNC transition —  set up real renewed energy for the 2021-2022 Duke season,and therefore an impassioned pursuit of a National Championship to cap the last year of Coach K’s magical Reign: “Now that there’s clarity for our team, I think for everyone, we can focus on the task at hand. Which is to win the whole damn thing this year and have the best season we possibly can.”

I doubt there would have been a DBP for this coming season save for the excitement newly generated for Coach K’s final run at a National Championship (I’ll settle for an ACC tournament or regular season title).  But the excitement is real and is the catalyst for Bill’s and my continuing the DBP for this coming season.  We plan it as our last season as well.  It’s hard to do better than going out with Coach K.

So, let’s take a peek at the pieces that will make up Coach K’s last team in pursuit of excellence.  COVID prevented me from seeing the newcomers in action during high school all-star games last year as I usually do, so for the four freshmen (and one transfer), we will have to depend on ESPN’s scouting.  Btw, ESPN says that “Duke will enter the season with a team that should be poised to make a deep run in the NCAA tournament. The Blue Devils are ranked No. 13 in ESPN’s most recent Way-Too-Early Top 25.

THE FRESHMEN [all quotes in this section are from ESPN

“It might come as no surprise, but Coach K’s final season will be largely impacted by the play of his highest ranked prospect – Paolo Banchero (ESPN #2).  Banchero exits high school with a college-ready game and frame.  Standing 6-foot-9 and 235 pounds, Banchero possesses tremendous size and strength for the position. Not only is his frame mature for a prospect exiting high school, but he also plays a mature game with powerful athleticism. Paolo not only is highly effective and efficient in the paint and as a rebounder, but he has expanded his skillset to the perimeter, able to make shots off the catch and put the ball on the ground to attack slower bigs.”

I note that these are almost exactly the same words that were written about Jalen Johnson before the start of the 2020-2021 season.  That Jalen deserted, showing no loyalty to teammates, team, or university, doesn’t mean Banchero won’t live up to his lofty pre-season expectations.  But it does mean that assuming an incoming freshman will lead the team is not without serious risks. [Wouldn’t it be nice if Matt Hurt re-thought his NBA departure for the last ride with Coach K?  A pure fantasy, of course.]

“Another big addition for Duke happened to be their first [signee] in the 2021 class – AJ Griffin (ESPN #26). The five-star prospect is a tremendous athlete who can function both at the three and four on both ends of the court.  Coach K will need him bringing a motor and energy to the floor next season as he can impact the game at a high level as a rebounder and defender when he’s locked in and engaged.”

“An important addition to Duke next season is Trevor Keels (ESPN # 20), who has a college-ready game with his [length], skillset and feel for the game. He is a serious threat from three but also is a good passer and rebounder for the [guard] position who has improved his scoring off the bounce this past season.”  He had been Jeremy Roach’s backcourt partner in high school – though a year younger — where they both had much success.

“Given the lack of depth at the point guard spot next year, Jaylen Blakes (ESPN # 89) will come in and have a role to fill behind Roach. Blakes is a tough, strong and competitive guard who can provide valuable minutes for Coach K […]  He is a capable scorer from all three levels which is a nice bonus but his motor, energy and toughness will be his most reliable asset.”
THE TRANSFER

Theo John is a grad transfer out of Marquette who averaged eight points, five rebounds and 1.5 blocks this past season.” John is a burly rebounder who will do the dirty work inside and reinforce Duke’s front court, while bringing needed experience to the roster.

KEY RETURNERS: WENDELL MOORE, MARK WILLIAMS, JEREMY ROACH plus JOEY BAKER

Coach K’s key returners start with sophomore Mark Williams, who had a monster end to the 2020-21 season. In his final four games of the season, Williams averaged 18.5 points, 7.5 rebounds and 1.7 blocks, including a 23-point and 19-rebound performance in a win over Louisville in the ACC Tournament.  

It was a performance that has stardust dancing in the eyes of Duke fans.  If Williams can maintain that level of play, Duke will have the kind of season we are hoping for.  His game against Louisville has “visions of sugar plums” dancing in the eyes of Duke fans.  Let’s see if the sugar plums are in view when reality sets in and the season is underway.

Wendell Moore, who averaged 9.7 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.7 assists this past season. Moore, a former top 30 prospect in the 2019 class, is the last man standing from his high school class at Duke and brings important experience to the roster next season.”  Wendell, a Junior, has been an enigma in his two years.  He has made some spectacular plays (ask UNC) and is clearly a superior athlete.  Yet he has been a mediocre to poor shooter, with a penchant for turnovers (and great passes).  I predict he will be the valuable sixth man, who can play all positions, except center.  Moore is a talented slasher who can impact the game as a rebounder and playmaker and could develop into a force in guiding this Duke team out on the floor.

Sophomore Jeremy Roach, a former five-star guard in the 2020 class, may be the key to the season. Last year was  a bit of a rocky season for Roach, who averaged 8.7 points, 2.2 rebounds, and 2.8 assists in his first year at Duke.  His ability to use that experience to make a jump in year two will be key for the Blue Devils next season.  Roach was a disappointment early, but Coach K has stuck with him.  We say we like to watch the young guns develop.  For Duke to chase glory this season, Roach will HAVE TO DEVELOP — 2.8 assists per game will NOT get the job done!  He is the only player on the roster with the talent to become an  elite leader at point guard.  I admit to being positive about Roach’s development, but it is no sure thing.

The last of the returners is Joey Baker, a 6-foot-6 senior who played an average of 11.5 minutes a game last season.  While Baker had had a reputation as a marksman from deep, he did not shoot as well last year as he had in his sophomore year.  If he can provide a helpful boost off the bench and make shots for the Blue Devils and provide poise taught by his three years under Coach K, he will offer value. However, in 3 years, Baker has shown the hustle and the desire, but not ACC elite level talent.  

As ESPN concludes, “this winter, smiles will come only if his last Duke Blue Devils team is winning games. Then again, it wouldn’t be a true Mike Krzyzewski season if there weren’t plenty of snarls to go around. Even now, the last time around.”  But in reality, the smiles should be, and are, an appreciation of Duke basketball, the principles that guide it, and a deep appreciation of Coach K’s 42 years of contributing to and creating this special journey.  We want to be part of that legacy to the end.


Season 13 Issue Zero – with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

I don’t know about you, but I welcome anything that passes for normal in these abnormal times when so much is politicized and civility, logic, and common sense are forgotten and, perhaps, lost arts. So, I welcome throwback sporting events with stadiums full of energized fans. But especially, I look forward to the 2021-22 Duke Basketball season for the following reasons:

  • Cameron and opponent venues will be rocking (for different reasons) in response to The Coach K Farewell Tour. Four tickets for his final game against the Tar Heels in Cameron were auctioned off for $1,00,000 (proceeds going to the charitable Dickie V Foundation).
  • Duke is loaded with more depth, talent, size, and chemistry than any team since the 1991-92 National Championship team. And by the way, Coach K’s teams have rarely won with size and strength alone — but this team is deep in both. Also, unlike some recent Blue Devil teams that appeared to enjoy playing offense more than defense, these players demonstrate an appetite for playing a very aggressive man-to-man defense– so do not expect to see much zone.

I base my assessment on rather thin data except scouting reports, one scrimmage, and one exhibition game. The exhibition game against Winston-Salem State (WSS) was relatively meaningless, but the WSS team is hardly The Little Sisters of the Poor; however, the scrimmage against a veteran and highly rated Villanova (#5-9) was whispered to have been won in the mid-teens. Obviously, we will know a lot more after the  November games against Kentucky, Gonzaga, and Ohio State.

Alan is writing a very comprehensive pre-season assessment, so: “That’s all for now, folks”.

ALANALYSIS

Coach K’s Approach to the 2021-2022 Duke Basketball Season (and Ours)

“I told my staff and everyone around me not to use the word ‘last’. This is my 47th year, my 42nd year at Duke. … For the last four decades we’ve made a mark on college basketball, and I’d like to make another mark before I leave.”

Duke Men’s Basketball team opens its intriguing season on November 9, 2021, at Madison Square Garden against Kentucky, to be aired on ESPN.  To whet your whistle for Coach K’s swan song (not to mention mine and Bill’s), here is the pre-season Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) for what we hope will be a memorable season in many enduring ways. 

Duke played two 12-minute intrasquad games at Countdown to Craziness on October 15, a closed scrimmage with Villanova on October 23 in D.C., and an exhibition game against Winston Salem State on Oct. 30.  The intrasquad games were fun but not illuminating.  The Villanova scrimmage was split into a 20-minute game; a 10-minute game; plus substantial time was spent working on specific game situations.  No statistics or descriptions were permitted, but scuttlebutt says the Blue Devils held their own against a team rated in the top 5 pre-season. 

But the first half of the Winston Salem exhibition game gave us a mouthwatering glimpse of what this team might become.  

                                                    THE ROSTER

            DUKE (106) v. WINSTON SALEM STATE COLLEGE (38)

                        SCORE AT THE HALF: DUKE (63) v. WSS (13)

WSS did not score its 10th point until 4:37 was left in the first half. With 9 minutes and 37 seconds gone in the first period, Duke had 37 points (full game points at that rate is 145). With 40 seconds left in the first half, Duke led by 53; with a score of 63-10.  What a devastating performance!  

But the opponent was not Kentucky. 

                                                   THE STARTERS

Mark Williams (7’0” sophomore) looked as good as he did during his late season performances last year. In 19:06 minutes, he blocked 5 shots and scored 14 points (6-7 from the field; 2-3 from the stripe) to go with 5 rebounds.  WSS is undersized.  Let’s see how Mark handles players of the first rank, like in the game against Kentucky, and if he can handle it consistently.

Wendell Moore (6’5” junior) has drawn a significant amount of praise for his improvement, and corresponding level up in confidence. He can play three positions and run the team when Roach is out. In 17:53 he scored 8 (3-4 from the field; 2-2 from deep) to go with 6 assists — with 0 turnovers. Moore seemed  comfortable playing both on the perimeter and up front, and was defensively intense with 2 steals. 

Jeremy Roach’s (6’1” sophomore) potential for leadership and improvement in running the team may be the key to this season.  He did not have the year that he, and Duke, had hoped for last year, but he looked simply terrific at both ends in the exhibition opener, scoring 10 while handing out 7 assists, with only one turnover during his team-high 21:48 minutes.   

Paolo Banchero (6’10 freshman) is Duke’s most celebrated recruit (Pre-Season Player of the Year in the ACC; Newcomer of the Year and Pre-Season first team ACC). In 20 minutes, he scored 21 points (8-13; 1-2 from deep; 4-7 from the stripe), while pulling down 9 boards and handing out 2 assists, plus a steal.  He is comfortable both inside and outside. In fact, Coach K lists him as one of the team’s 4 or 5 best ball handlers.

Trevor Keels (6’4” freshman) was Roach’s backcourt partner in high school.  He is a mere 18 years old with a grown man’s muscular body.  He led the scoring at Countdown to Craziness and looked impressive on both ends of the floor in his 20:18 against WSS, scoring 12 while dishing out 4 assists (0 turnovers).  He may be in the starting lineup to stay.

                                                   THE BENCH

Adrian Griffin (6’6” freshman) was projected as a starter until he hurt his knee a few weeks ago.  He wasn’t expected to play at all in the exhibition game, but he logged 17:39 with the second unit. You could see the rust start to come off as he scored 10 (3-6; 0-2 from deep and 4-9 from the stripe), all in the second half. He drew 5 WSS fouls while grabbing 6 rebounds. Coach K loves him because he’s passionate about defense and comes from a basketball family.  His dad played 10 years in the NBA and now is an assistant coach with the Raptors.  He will either replace Keels as a starter or be the valuable 6th man (think Mike Dunleavy in 2000).

Theo John (6’9” graduate transfer from Marquette) is a big, strong rebounder and defender. He logged 17:01, scoring 6 (2-4; 2-2 from the stripe) while grabbing 5 boards and demonstrating a good passing ability.  He looked solid and will be valuable.

Jaylen Blakes (6’2” freshman) is a point guard, who played well and could lead the team if Roach went down (though I think it would more likely be Moore).  He played 21:51, looking good against this level of competition even though his shot was off (2-9; 1-3 from deep without getting to the line). He did grab 6 boards with 2 assists, 0 turnovers, and 2 blocked shots.

Joey Baker (6’6” senior) played the fewest minutes (16:56) scoring 8 (3-7; 2-5 from deep without getting to the line). He did grab 6 boards but committed 4 fouls and had a shot blocked.  He will get a chance to earn his way into the rotation.

Bates Jones (6’8” graduate transfer from Davidson) is Daniel Jones’s brother (former Duke and current NY Giant QB; his sister, Ruthie, is the current goalie for Duke’s women soccer team).  To me, he looked the best of the bench candidates (after Griffin).  In his 18:12, he scored 11 (3-5; 2-4 from deep and 3-3 from the stripe) to go with 4 boards and a blocked shot. At 6’8”, he demonstrated that he can shoot, rebound, and pass.  He might surprise and make the rotation.

How good Duke becomes defensively will define the season. 

Next Play: Kentucky on November 9 at 9:30 p.m. EST at Madison Square Garden on ESPN.  We’re on! 


Duke 79 – Kentucky 71 (Season 13 Issue 2 Game 1) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS:

DUKE 79 V KENTUCKY 71

Madison Square Garden– Duke & Kentucky about to take the stage for the  Championship Classic game. The atmosphere: simply electric.  Coach K was honored. Duke fans filled the arena, buzzing with high anticipation for the season.  The entire Knick team and celebrities were everywhere. Does it get any better than that?  Well, yes. The game not only lived up to the hype, it over-delivered the hype. It was a great college basketball game between two really good teams. Both teams played with Final Four intensity (not always pretty, but always in breathless overdrive).  

While most game stories lead with the spectacular offensive performances of heralded freshmen Paolo Banchero and Trevor Keels (and they were both amazing), it was Duke’s defense that determined the outcome.  Duke clamped down for two amazing defensive runs in the second half that created safe leads.  However, Duke was badly beaten in the interior by Oscar Tshiebwe, a 6’9” Man Mountain who – for stretches – controlled both backboards.  In 29 minutes (a burden of first half fouls limited his game minutes), he scored 17 points (8-14 at the rim and 1-1 from the stripe) to go with a jaw dropping 19 rebounds (12 on the offensive boards).  He took Mark Williams virtually out of the game.  Theo John was stronger than Mark and logged more minutes.  Both were seriously destroyed by Tshiebwe.

The Defense

In the first half, Duke was superb inside the arc, holding the Wildcats to just 7-30 there.  There were no open looks.  Tshiebwe retrieved 7 offensive rebounds, but he only scored 4 points on 2-6 shooting.  However, his astounding offensive rebounding gave Kentucky 13 more field goal attempts than Duke (41-28). Duke’s defense held Kentucky to the same number of baskets (13), but Kentucky was able to stay in the game by going 6-11 at the 3-point line.  Duke adjusted at half time, holding Kentucky to 1-7 from behind the arc in the closing stanza while pulling away for a quality win.

With 16:33 to go in the second half, Kentucky took a 48-47 lead.  Kentucky’s next score came a full 3:07 later (with 13:40 remaining) when the Wildcats converted two free throws to cut the Duke lead to 5.  The Wildcats didn’t score again for another 90 seconds while Duke’s lead grew to 11.  With 8:56 left, Duke’s lead was 15, primarily because Kentucky had scored just 6 points in 7 minutes and 37 seconds!  This Duke team is going to be a really good defensive team.

Then, Kentucky caught fire and the Devils stalled on 69 for over 4 minutes (cramping took both Moore and Paolo out for a spell) while the Wildcats rode Tshiebwe back into contention.   The Man Mountain scored 7 points while grabbing 3 offensive and 3 defensive boards, and he blocked a shot.  His foul shot drew Kentucky within 4 points (69 – 65) with 6:07 remaining.  Then the Blue Devil defense became dominant again, and the Wildcats could score only 4 points in the next 5:05. By then Duke led by 8 with just over a minute left and the game was securely in hand.

Keels, Roach, and Moore were brilliant defenders on the perimeter.  Banchero can guard several positions – unusual for a 250 pound 6’10” player.  He had 2 great steals.  Tshiebwe made life a challenge for Theo John and neutralized Mark Williams; however, Williams did make two winning plays in the clutch. With 5:34 and 4:31, respectively, left in the game – Williams made two sensational blocks on a driving Sahvir Wheeler, Kentucky’s point guard.  Coach K emphasized how crucial those two plays were to the Duke final run.

Another great unexpected perk for Duke came when A.J. Griffin (highly rated freshman who has been injured and was not expected to play) replaced Paolo when Banchero had to come out of the game due to cramping.  A.J. gave Duke a real lift on defense and the boards.  He played over 10 minutes.  Duke started to pull away when A.J. came in, but it was Keels who broke the game open.

The Offense and Rotation

The Rotation

In the first half, Mark Williams (8:42) and Theo John (11:18) divided the center position.  Joey Baker played 5:27 (0-2; 0-1 from deep; 2-2 from the stripe) and grabbed a pair of rebounds.  Griffin had a 1:37 cameo.  Jaylen Blakes played a shade under 3 minutes, but missed a wide-open corner 3, which relegated the freshman backup point guard to the bench for the remainder of the game.  Jeremy Roach played all 20 minutes of the second half.  Williams (9:04) and John (10:56) again split the center duties as they had in the first half.  Griffin logged 9 second-half minutes and earned Coach K’s praise.  Griffin is a very gifted player, and his return is significant for this team’s development.  Baker played 6 minutes without a statistic.  Otherwise, it was the starters who were on the court: Roach, Keels, Banchero, Moore and the two splitting center duty.

The Offense

The negative was that Duke had more turnovers (9) than assists (7).  But even that drawback could not diminish the offense, led primarily by Keels and Banchero.

Trevor Keels emerged as a potential lottery pick, according to the announcers.  He was, in fact, that amazingly good.  In the second half, when the cramping hit Duke, Keels carried the team.  He was 7-11 (2-3 from the stripe) for 16 points.  He led Duke in scoring for the game with 25 points (10-18; 1-4 from deep and 4-6 from the stripe) to go with 3 steals and 2 assists. He was simply a revelation in his 33:27 on the court.  

So was Banchero in his 31:30. He scored 22 on just 11 shots (7-11; 0-3 from deep and 7-8 from the line).  He drew fouls and converted free throws.  His shots came from everywhere – the perimeter, the post, at the rim (but only from inside the arc).  Paolo added 7 defensive boards and a couple of steals.  In short, he lived up to the considerable hype, and may have even surpassed it.

Wendell Moore played an excellent game in his 33:24, scoring 12 (6-10; 0-2; 0-1) with 4 boards and 3 assists.  He is an intense defender and an able leader — he and Baker are co-captains this year.

Although Jeremy Roach did not light up the box score (6 points on 3-8; 0-1 from both deep and the foul line; only 1 assist against 2 turnovers), he played more minutes than any other Duke player (36:33).  Coach K’s faith and reliance on Jeremy is demonstrated by his presence on the court for the entire 20 minutes of the second half.  Jeremy is improved, confident, and showed an athleticism that I did not see from him last year. Roach grabbed as many rebounds as Paolo and Williams did (7) and had a brace of steals.  

I think (and fervently hope) that  Duke’s failure from behind the arc (1-13) was an aberration because 1-13 from deep won’t cut it.  Keels made the only deep shot but was 1-4 for three-pointers overall.  Banchero was 0-3.  Moore 0-2.  Griffin, Blakes, Baker and Roach were all 0-1.  

Theo John and Mark Williams each scored 5 (each was 2-4 plus 1-2 from the stripe).  They each tailor their defense style to their individual talents.  John (who Bilas says protects the lane rather than the rim) had 2 blocks and 2 rebounds.  Mark (who Bilas says protects the rim) had 7 boards and 3 blocks, including the two dramatic ones down the stretch.  Williams has more raw talent than John, but Tshiebwe was simply too strong for him.  How the center position develops will be an ongoing saga.  I predict a good year for Mark.  There are not too many centers like Tshiebwe.

BILL’S CLIFF NOTES:

Tonight’s early, pressure packed test against intense rival Kentucky in sold out mecca Madison Square Garden on national TV confirmed what I wrote in the DBP Preview: This is the deepest, most talented Duke squad since the 1991-92 Laettner, Hurley, Hill NCAA Championship team. That doesn’t mean they will win the championship, but barring injuries, they will surely be a contender.

 Duke was ahead most of the way but was unable to shake a very persistent, resilient Kentucky team led atypically by two older, grad transfers: center Oscar Tshiebwe, a rebounding machine, and guard Sahvir Wheeler, a multi-talented point guard. However, after giving up six threes in the first half, the Blues Devils limited the Wildcats to only one in the second. It is not often a team is outscored by six three pointers and still wins, but Duke’s Trevor Keels (25), Paolo Banchero (22), and Wendell Moore (12) made sure it didn’t matter—that’s versatility. Banchero (“We’re a great team. We’re going to play together. We’re going to play hard all 40 minutes. And, yeah, I mean, we’re going to play like Duke.”) was as good as advertised, but when Banchero was out suffering from leg cramps, it was Keels, a basketball version of the Tennessee Titans great running back Derrick Henry, who virtually took over the game and made the difference. (“So, I knew when P went out somebody had to step up and that’s what I did. I kept looking at the score and I just made sure we were up and we were winning. That’s something that I look at all the time. I don’t really care about my points or anything like that. It’s that we come out with the victory.”) 

The Good news:

  • Duke led for 35:46 of game time, while Kentucky led for just 2:07.
  • Before he developed cramps, Wendell Moore demonstrated he is a much better player than last year.
  • Grad transfer John Theo’s physicality gives Duke two very different options at center.
  • This team will not go 1-13 from three point land again or all bets are off.
  • AJ Griffin is recovering from a knee injury and only played 11 minutes, but nevertheless he really gave The Blue Devils a big lift. When totally healthy, he will be a major contributor in multiple ways.
  • The cramping issues will be solved before the Gonzaga game.

The Concerns:

  • Jeremy Roach did not appear much improved from last year. He couldn’t contain Wheeler (who was All SEC at Georgia last year) and only had 1 assist and 6 points. However, Moore, Banchero, and Keels all can initiate the offense. Obviously, Coach K does not agree as Roach played more minutes than any other Duke player. 
  • Co-Captain Joey Baker still appears athletically overmatched and, unless opponents play a zone, does not bring much to the floor except reliable three point shooting.

Miscellaneous:

  • Why Kentucky hates Duke (Other than the Laettner shot in the NCAA Tournament): Barring another meeting in March Madness, retiring Duke Coach Mike Krzyzewski will finish his iconic coaching career with a 7-2 record against Kentucky.
  • Mike Krzyzewski is in his 42nd season as Duke’s head coach, and his record is now 1,098-302 at Duke, and 1,171-361 overall in this, his 47th season overall. 
  • The game marked Duke’s 100th time playing in the greater New York City area, where the Blue Devils won 73 of those games, including 45-25 at Madison Square Garden, 7-1 in Brooklyn, and 21-1 in East Rutherford, N.J. 

Next Play: Duke’s Veteran’s Day Weekend Showcase (two games over the weekend, both in Cameron).  Duke plays Army on Friday, November 12 at 7 pm.  ACCN (I get those games on ESPN+) and Campbell on Saturday, November 13 at 8 pm.  The first home games of the season.  The next DBP will cover both of those games in one edition.


Duke 82 – Army 56 & Duke 67 – Campbell 56 (Season 13 Issue 3 Games 2&3) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

DUKE 82 V ARMY 56 (Friday Nov 12, 2021) – – DUKE 67 V CAMPBELL 56 (Saturday Nov 13, 2021)
ALANALYSIS:

Duke cannot be satisfied with two performances against unranked teams that were as close (though the final score does not show it) as the games against Army and Campbell were; however, the team’s potential is there, even though it was not visible until late in the second half of each of these last two games. The Duke offense looked sloppy and disjointed in the first half against Army.  After Duke led by 10 with 17:17 left, Army out-scored Duke by 5 points in the next 16:32 to cut Duke’s lead to 30-25 with 1:49 left. Then, the game announcer insightfully reflected on Duke’s prestigious win against Kentucky on November 9: “Duke really didn’t play that well against Kentucky.  The Blue Devils were 1-13 from behind the arc and were badly beaten on the interior.  While Duke defended ferociously, Kentucky playmakers had success penetrating.”  This reflection emphasizes Duke’s 2021-2022 potential upsides, as well as what needs improvement to reach that potential.

Coach K is now constructing a different offense.  Consider Coach K’s past reliance on (and leadership given to the team by) his past elite point guards like Tommy Amaker, Bobby Hurley, Jay Williams, Jon Scheyer, Trey and Tyus Jones. This 2021/2022 team really does not have a true point guard, but they do have at least 4 excellent ball handlers.  Duke looked so good in the later stages of the closing half in each game because Jeremy Roach became a true lead guard (more scoring than assists) while leading the offense.  Downside is: Duke is still turning the ball over with troubling consistency.  Roach has the potential to be the point guard, but he is not there yet. Coach K is hoping these factors will be sufficient to produce a cohesive offensive. 

The Good

The Defense!  Duke held Army to 56 points and forced 21 turnovers.  Against Campbell, Duke trailed by 10 (18-8 with 13:55 left in the first half) when the Devils turned up the defense to hold Campbell scoreless for 4 minutes (18-17), and then to allow only an additional 3 pointer (on a possession occuring after Campbell corralled 3 offensive rebounds); thus holding Campbell virtually scoreless for a few seconds more than 8 minutes!  The Blue Devils have terrific one-on-one perimeter defenders in Moore, Roach, Keels, and Banchero.  Keels is a ball hawk with 10 steals in 3 games (6 just against Army).  Against Campbell,  Banchero was frequently the center; Duke was able to switch every screen because Paolo can guard on the perimeter.  Duke is still overplaying and therefore giving up backdoor cuts and lay-ups.  But overall, this edition of Duke basketball has the potential to be the best defensive team since winning the NCAA in 2010 and 2015.

Wendell Moore, Jr.!  Against Army, Moore posted the fifth triple double in Duke basketball history scoring 17, grabbing 10 boards and handing out 10 assists.  Moore has provided steady leadership, outstanding defense, excellent ball handling, and scoring.  Above all, he has been consistent.  He is the acknowledged team leader.

Paolo Banchero! The highly decorated freshman has more than lived up to the pre-season hype.  He is so efficient that though he has taken only the 3rd most shots on the team, he leads in scoring (19.3 p.p.g) by a wide margin.  He also leads the team in rebounding (8.7 r.p.g.), handles the ball adroitly, and defends well on both the perimeter and the interior.  Let’s not forget his 15-17 (88.2%) free-throw shooting, which is fantastic considering how frequently he gets fouled.

The Bad (Not Really Bad, but Needs Big Improvement if Duke is to Reach its Potential)

Backcourt Consistency on Offense! Trevor Keels looked All-World against Kentucky but has not scored in double figures since then, and was, in fact, entirely scoreless in the second half against Campbell (6 points for the game).  Since the Kentucky game, he has unsuccessfully forced some shots and has turned the ball over.  Coach K has commented that Keels was exhausted after his fabulous performance against Kentucky.  Keels’s backcourt partner, Jeremy Roach, has also been inconsistent, though his performance improved this past weekend.  Roach didn’t light up the box score against Kentucky but has impressed Coach K enough to make him the player on the team who has logged the most playing time.  He has started to score on driving layups (14 points against Campbell on 5-6 from inside the arc; 1-4 from deep; 1-2 from the stripe).  He added 3 assists without a turnover for his best game.  But he is not (yet) a Coach K true point guard.  Stay tuned.

The Bench! Joey Baker has emerged as the first player off the bench, averaging 20 minutes of playing time per game (his 31 minutes against Campbell boosted this average significantly).  12 seconds into the Campbell game, Wendell Moore went down with an injury and Baker replaced him before being pulled back out when he didn’t score.  Then, surprisingly, Baker had a great second half against Campbell, playing all 20 minutes while leading the team in second half scoring with 11 (all his points against Campbell came in the second half on 3-5 from deep and 2-2 from the stripe).  It was the first time he was an efficient and critical contributor.  

A.J. Griffin is playing around 9 minutes a game as the heralded freshman returns from a significant knee injury.   So far, Griffin has shown flashes of potential, but is still a long way from being the contributor he was anticipated to be based on being a McDonald’s All-American in high school.  Whether and when he reaches that potential will have a large impact on this Duke season.  We wish him continuing recovery.

Jaylen Blakes has played about 15 minutes per game so far this season, scoring only 2 points (1-5, including 0-3 from deep).   Whether he is in the rotation when the ACC season begins is still an open question.

Perimeter Shooting!  As a team, Duke is shooting under 30 % from behind the arc, even after hitting 9 for 23 from deep against Campbell.  In addition to Baker’s 3-5, Keels and Moore were each 2-5, while A.J. Griffin hit his only 3 (8-16  overall for those four players).  Banchero is shooting 14% this season (1-7) from deep; Moore (14- 46 for 28%); Keels (4- 15 for 26%) and Griffin (1-4 for 25%).  Duke has been simply dreadful from behind the arc.

The Ugly 

Interior Rebounding, Scoring and Defense!  Mark Williams finished last season so strong in scoring and rebounding that his continued progress (pre-season second team All-ACC) was a primary reason for Duke’s pre-season optimism and top 10 ranking.  But he has not played much or well.  Against Campbell, he played 5 first-half minutes without scoring and did not leave the bench in the second half.  He is averaging only 15 minutes a game with modest scoring and rebounding numbers.  He is, however, a shot blocker, averaging 1.7 even in those few playing minutes.  He has also been a disappointing 50% free throw shooter so far.  For Duke to be a contender, Mark has to return to his form from last year.

Theo John supplies toughness but, like Williams, has languished (15.7 minutes per game) with even lower scoring and rebounding than Williams.  He has played pretty good defense, but the center position has not been even close to productive, unless Duke has Banchero play center with an otherwise small lineup.

No matter who is manning the middle, Duke has been killed on the backboards, giving other teams a large offensive rebounding advantage.  Campbell played small (4 guards) and still outrebounded Duke 34-31, grabbing 15 offensive boards.  Kentucky simply demolished Duke on the glass.

Duke’s interior play must improve; Williams is the key to that in all aspects of interior play. We also wish him a speedy recovery!

Going Forward

Duke has 3 more games against lesser opponents – Gardner Webb, Lafayette, and The Citadel — in Cameron  in the next 8 days to work on the weaknesses that have appeared.  Then comes another nationally televised test on November 26 against Gonzaga, on the West Coast (10:30 EST tip-off.)

Bill’s Cliffs Notes:

Raise your hand if you thought the filler games between Kentucky and Gonzaga were just against stiffs. Seriously?  Campbell (formerly Junior College in Buies Creek, N.C. alma mater of Country Music Hall of Fame country writer John Loudermilk, author of  “Abilene” & the haunting “Indian Nation”.) Note to file: There are no stiffs anymore. The world is full of people of all sizes and shapes who watch Steph Curry and think they too can fire up shots anywhere inside the half court line. However, Coach K schedules teams for a reason. Army and Campbell are likely potential NCAA Tournament first round opponents and are scheduled closely together so his young team gets used to playing different styles and playing through fatigue.

Coach K: “ The experience of playing against older teams that are going to be ahead of us as far as their ability to work together because they’ve worked together. In the military, you call it ‘on the job training’. No matter what you would do in the classroom or in practice, there’s nothing like on-the-job training.”

So, what did we learn?

  • For all the well-deserved hype of the freshmen, Junior Wendell Moore has matured into the most versatile, intense, and most indispensable player. Against Army (the final score was not indicative of the closeness of the game), Wendell became only the fifth Duke player—and the first guard—to achieve a triple double. (The others: Art Heyman, Gene Banks, Sheldon Williams, RJ Barrett).  When he collapsed and went down and off to the locker room last night just 12 seconds after the tip-off, the season flashed before many eyes—especially the coaches. Fortunately, he returned, apparently none the worse for wear, and had a stellar game. But in the meantime, the Blue Devils fell behind 8-18,  to rally only after Moore returned.
  • As precocious as this team is, and as exhilarating as the Kentucky win was, this is still a young team. After just three games, it appears that, so far, it is inconsistent and less efficient than the sum of the parts.  Each of these players was the best player on their high school team and dominated the offense. A case in point is that in the impressive Kentucky win, Duke only achieved a comfortable working margin in the second half when three starters were off the court suffering from leg cramps and Trevor Keels took over and singlehandedly increased the margin to +16. After starters Banchero and Moore returned, the offense inexplicably stagnated and the margin was cut to 5. What that would seem to indicate is that with so many offensive initiators, they tend to stand around waiting for someone to go one-on-one rather than move without the ball, setting picks or getting open.
  • Having made just 10 of 41 3-pointers (24.4%) while starting the season with wins over No. 10 Kentucky and Army, Duke hit 9 of 23 (39.1%) against Campbell. The Blue Devils hit three 3-pointers during a 15-4 run midway through the second half that allowed them to build their first double-digit lead of the night. This was reassuring, because I am quite sure Duke will see more of their share of various zone defenses this year.
  • Last night, Duke was basically playing from behind for the first time all season. It was unclear how the temporary loss of Moore and that pressure was going to affect the Blue Devils. However, in winning 1,000+ games, Coach K  has seen it all and seemingly willed them back into the game with timely lineup changes (sitting centers Williams and Theo), and relying on his more experienced players, Wendell Moore, Jeremy Roach, and Joey Baker, who played a surprising 31 minutes. This lineup shot 50%/ 39%/ 73% and needed all of it plus much better second half defense to avoid an embarrassing loss. Chalk it up to a learning experience.
  • It was a pleasure to see Joey Baker play an instrumental role last night, as he has been nothing but “True Blue Duke”, while so far experiencing a disappointing roller coaster of a career. It seems like a decade or so since he passed on his high school senior year to enter Duke, joining that great Sports Illustrated cover class of Zion, R.J., Cam, and Trey.  Likewise, it was reassuring to see the overlooked and sometimes seemingly over-whelmed Jeremy Roach rise to the occasion.

Miscellaneous: 

Bates Jones, a graduate transfer from Davidson, and former  Duke QB Daniel Jones’ brother,  played 7 minutes against Army, scoring 3 points with a rebound. It was a good night for his family as his younger sister, Ruth, recorded a shutout as Duke Soceer’s goalkeeper in a 1-0 NCAA tournament win over Old Dominion at Koskinen Stadium.

Next Play: Gardner-Webb on Tuesday, November 16 at 7 pm; ACC Network.


Duke 92 – Gardner Webb 52 (Season 13 Issue 4 Game 4) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

After ten minutes of last night’s game, I thought I had mistakenly activated a rerun of the Campbell game. Holy Upset, Batman! Where is the Top Ten Team that beat Kentucky? Slowly, then all at once, relentless defense and Cameron Crazy pressure prevailed, and the young Blue Devils began to play as advertised! Mark Williams (13 pts. 6 blocks) was protecting the rim. Good ball and player movement abounded, shots were falling (57%/46%/71%).  Duke finished with 24 assists on 36 made field goals.

Two more cupcake games and then another early midterm exam with Gonzaga that will be a reality check.

Some things are becoming apparent:

  • There are three exceptional scorers: Keels, Moore, and Banchero.
  • For this team to be a contender, Williams must be a consistent performer.
  • Roach must continue to provide on-the-ball pressure and improve offensively as a complementary fifth man.
  • Joey Baker appears to have developed into a reliable sixth man.
  • AJ Griffin is the sleeper/wild card. After not playing for two years (due to injuries), AJ is a major talent who could play a significant role.

Miscellaneous:

The elephant in Cameron: Michael Savarino, Coach K’s grandson, was arrested 1:10 a.m. Sunday for a DUI while driving Paolo Banchero’s Jeep. Paolo was in the back seat and cited (not charged) with “Aiding and Abetting”. The Orange County arrest report stated Savarino submitted to two breathalyzer tests and blew a .08 BAC. “He stated that he had several shots,” the report read. North Carolina law states that aiding and abetting DUI is classified as “when a person knowingly encourages, aids, advises or instigates another person to drive, or attempt to drive, while impaired. There are numerous different behaviors that this could encompass, but the most common scenario involves a person turning their keys over to an impaired driver, and/or being present as a passenger when the driver is arrested for DUI.”

Coach K: “We had a violation of our standards, and we’ll handle that internally. We’re already handling it, but it’s a violation of our standards. It’s two entirely different situations. [Coach K then made the distinction between Savarino’s and Banchero’s] Headlines might make it look like it’s the same, but it’s not. The decisions we made are in conjunction with our authorities and my superiors. We’re taking action and will continue to take action.” 

ALANALYSIS:

The Blue Devil defense has been uncommonly outstanding so far in this young season. Duke held Kentucky to 71 points and followed that opener with suffocating defense against lesser teams, giving up 56, 56, and 52 points, respectively, in the next 3 games. Even though there have been some lapses, all the signs are positive; most importantly, this team is defensive minded and truly talented.  Wendell Moore, Jeremy Roach, Trevor Keels, and Paolo Banchero have been superb individual defenders.  

Against Gardner-Webb last night, Mark Williams began the process of morphing back into the form he displayed last March, blocking 6 Gardner Webb shots and diverting others.  So far, the emphasis has been on creating “team defense” and Duke has been steadily building their cohesion.  As Coach K pointed out in his post-game press conference, “I was really pleased with our effort tonight. We’ve been playing really good defense in the first three games but tonight we were even better. Our goal was to take away their three-point shooting, and we did a great job of that.   It’s tough to single out one guy [for post-game praise] when you play good team defense.”  K’s strategy was clearly successful as Gardner Webb went an anemic 2-16 from behind the arc.

It took the Blue Devils some moments to get back on track from a rough start before they steamrolled the Running Bulldogs.  More than 12 minutes elapsed before Duke took its first lead, 14-13.  They were able to increase it only slightly in the next 4 minutes (to 23-17) before the Blue Devil defense clamped down and started brewing offense.  In the last 8 minutes of the first half, while the Devils rolled to a 23 point lead, GW managed only 5 points (not counting the 3 GW points in the last seconds of the half  because Roach’s foul was just too silly to acknowledge).  Duke won each half by 20 points; this with Duke playing its bench rather than the starters for most of the second half!

Trevor Keels returned to his Kentucky form in the first half, scoring 16 of his 18 points in the opening stanza.  Moore took over the lead offensive role in the second half, scoring 12 of his 14 game points.  All the Duke starters and Joey Baker scored in double figures.

The Interior

As encouraging as it was to see Mark Williams get 21 minutes of playing time, his impressive statistics and fluid movement once on the court fueled the encouragement. He scored 13 points (6-9 from the field and 1-2 from the stripe) to go with his career high 6 blocks, 3 boards, 2 assists, and a steal.  Improvement in rebounding — still needed –against Louisville last March, Williams had 19; last night he had 2 offensive rebounds and only a single defensive board.  But his playing last night showed clear movement in the right direction

Paolo Banchero did seem affected by the DUI, scoring only 5 points in each half (4-9 from the field; 0-1 from deep; and 2-3 from the stripe).  These are modest numbers compared to his first 3 games (19.5 p.p.g).  He grabbed 8 defensive rebounds, 2 assists, a steal, and a block, but also committed a turnover.  He played with both Williams and Theo John, as well as being the center himself, when Duke had four smaller players on the floor with him.

Theo John played 15 minutes, grabbing 5 rebounds while scoring 4 points (2-3), with an assist and 2 turnovers.  

Bates Jones played 9 second-half minutes, hitting 1-2 from deep with 2 boards and an assist.

The PerimeterJeremy Roach again led the team in minutes-played with 28.  He handed out 6 assists, with only 2 turnovers, and played ferocious defense.  The Gardner Webb coach mentioned Roach’s defense in his post-game assessment, even though Roach had only a single steal.  He is a talented on-the-ball defender forcing GW to start their offense further away from the basket.  Jeremy scored 10 (4-7; 0-1 from deep and 2-3 from the line).  He is getting to the rim on his drives; Coach K wants him to shoot more from the outside.

Trevor Keels logged almost 26 minutes, leading the team in scoring with 18 points (6-9; including 4-6 from deep; 2-2 foul shots).  He contributed 7 defensive rebounds and 4 assists.  He and Roach play so well together on both ends of the floor.

Wendell Moore Jr. was a force! with his scoring, rebounding, passing, and leadership.  This is becoming his team.  He scored 14 (6-9; including 2-3 from deep), to go with 4 rebounds and 3 assists.  He is a defender extraordinaire.

Joey Baker played his best 21 minutes of the year.  He scored 12 points, even though he was only 1-4 from behind the arc.  He was 3-3 on drives, and he had 2 assists and 3 steals, without a turnover.  Coach K is pleased with his progress and currently has him as his first player off the bench.

Jaylen Blakes finally made a 3, for his only points (1-3 from the field, including 1-2 from behind the arc) in 11 minutes.  He had a rebound, assist and turnover.

A Critical Factor

A.J. Griffin is that critical factor. He had not played for 2 years because of injuries; then he was injured again early in the pre-season.  His play had been spotty (averaging only 9 minutes per game)–that is, until the second half last night where Griffin played 15 scintillating minutes.  He is so athletic, with superior hops and strength that allows him to play bigger than his 6’7”.  He led the team in rebounding in the closing period with 6, scored 5 (2-5; 1-3 from deep), with 2 assists and a steal.  AJ’s improvement was apparent; Coach K applauded, “He has a strong body and tonight he played strong, and he can play even stronger with that body. He really worked hard tonight, and we just have to keep working with him. He has a great attitude. He’s got one of the better shots and a really soft shot but he’s behind the guys who are in the starting unit. Obviously, it’s a long season and we hope he can continue to get better, and he will be able to help us become a much deeper team.” 

A catalyst to tap the depths of their potential is precisely what this team needs.

Next Play: Friday, November 19 vs. Lafayette in Cameron at 8 pm.  ACCN


Duke 88 – Lafayette 55 (Season 13 Issue 5 Game 5) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

Playing good, tenacious defense compensates for lapses or lulls in offensive productivity. However, executing inefficiently and misfiring for extended periods against Lafayette, Campbell, Army, Gardner-Webb is troubling because the three-point shot is a potential equalizer, and embarrassing game changer. Last night, despite another strong start by Mark Williams, the winless Lafayette Leopards made a perplexing first half run to close within five points, just before a Duke 3 and the break. At the start of the second half, Wendell Moore once again took over, and the Blue Devils cruised to a misleading thirty-point victory. 

Make no mistake, I think Coach K is the greatest college coach of all time. I have exactly 1,175 fewer wins than he has, and K is the last coach I would second guess. However, I do not believe that Jeremy Roach is talented enough to be the starting point guard on a championship team —  but Wendell Moore is, and Duke would be more of a contender than a pretender with AJ Griffin, who can play the 2-5 positions, replacing Roach in the starting lineup. 

But don’t take my word for it. Wendell Moore: “I knew he [AJ] was a phenomenal player. It was only a matter of time before the rest of the world was going to be able to see it.… The work he’s been putting in in the offseason and in practice, I’m just really so proud of him that he’s able to come out here and show this tonight because these past two years haven’t been easy for him at all… Really, for him, he hasn’t played basketball in two years, so we knew it was going to be an adjustment for him.”

One more warm up game Monday against The Citadel, then early midterm exams against Gonzaga and Ohio State will give us a better idea of how well this team has matured.

ALANALAYSIS: 

The Defense

Against Lafayette, Duke held an inferior opponent to under 60 points for the fourth straight game.  Still, it is true that we will not be able to assess where the Blue Devil defensive development is until Gonzaga (November 26) and Ohio State (November 30) are the opponents.  So far Duke has been truly exceptional in stretches, but, as Bill noted, Duke has also had moments when the defense waned and lost intensity.

For example, against the Leopards, Duke gave up only 5 points in the first 5:31 of the game and then held Lafayette scoreless for the next 5:27.  Think about the fact that the Duke defense held Lafayette to only 5 points in virtually 11 minutes, while forcing 14 turnovers and building a 16 point lead.   Then the offense went cold, which translated into the loss of that defensive intensity.  Coach K: “I think in the first half we got off to the 23-6 lead, and we didn’t let up, but we couldn’t hit a shot. [W]e fell into that trap that can happen to basketball players and teams where you let that influence the next play. You’re not thinking or talking on defense, and that’s what happened. In transition, we weren’t pointing and talking. We had three open threes and it all had to do with ‘Man I should’ve hit that shot.’ No, you should run down the court and play defense. We talked about it at halftime and how the only consistent part of a game you can have is to play good defense, and we’ve been playing great defense. Our offense has affected our defense, and in the second half, it didn’t do that. We played much more mature.” 

With 4 minutes having elapsed in the second half, the score remained competitive with Duke leading by single digits 43-34.  Then the defense simply roared!  Moore shut down Kyle Jenkins, who had scored 12 points in the first half.  Jenkins made only a single second half field goal.  In the next 6:24 of the final stanza, the Blue Devils allowed only 5 points while stretching the lead to 26 (67-41) with 10:23 to go in the game, which ended any thoughts of a competitive finish.  With 1:12 left in the game, Duke led by 35 points.  Lafayette had scored only 14 points in the preceding 9:23!!

While Duke gave up a series of well executed backdoor layups to Lafayette when the Leopards were scoring against Duke and keeping the game competitive in the first half, the adjustments Duke made at half time completely cured that defect.  

Mark Williams is returning to form on the defensive end with 4 blocks, 7 defensive rebounds (15 overall) and a steal, in only 21:23.  Moore (29 minutes) and Roach (33 minutes) each had 2 steals; Banchero (a steal and a block in his almost 20 minutes), and Keels (25:31) all played beautifully together on the perimeter.  AJ Griffin (a season-high 21 minutes) is also a talented defender.  He had 2 steals and was on the floor to grab a loose ball.

It is time to test the Duke defense against the nation’s top teams.

The Offense

In recent past editions, I have made the point that Duke needed Mark Williams to return to his last-March form on both ends of the Court.  Mark’s offense had been well below that level — he was not rebounding, and his scoring was anemic.  At the same time, I urged that A.J. Griffin’s return to the form he showed a couple of years ago when he was a young high school player was also necessary for this Duke team to reach its full potential.  Against the Leopards, Duke took significant steps toward both of those crucial transformations.

Mark Williams was a force for whom Lafayette simply had no answers.  He scored 14 points (7-13; 0-2 from the line), to go with 15 rebounds (8 on offense), 4 blocks, and a steal.  Coach K pointed out one special play for how it reflected Mark’s attitude adjustment, “the one play for Mark; I would call it persistence where he tried, and tried, then all of a sudden dunked it. That was a great play for him because he fought through that adversity.”

A.J. Griffin dramatically returned to his old high school form for the first time in a Duke uniform.  He was 5th in minutes played (starter minutes); second in points scored (18 on 7-10, including a scintillating 4-6 from deep) to go with 2 rebounds.  From the last DBP edition regarding Griffin: “A catalyst to tap the depths of their potential is precisely what this team needs.”  Griffin provided that exquisitely against Lafayette.  If Griffin can be consistent going forward, he will indeed be a critical factor for Duke’s season.  Coach K knows this: “He’s getting in shape. He was out [this season] for two and a half weeks, and just so you know, he didn’t play in high school for two years. It’s a big learning curve, but he’s in better shape now. It’s not just one or two plays, he can play multiple plays. Obviously, he shot well but he can shoot. He has one of the softest shots. Just keep coming and he’ll make us better.” 

Wendell Moore is playing superb basketball on both ends of the floor.  Duke has upperclassmen leadership from him, which includes stepping up on offense when Duke falters, and making game winning plays on the defensive end.  In the early second half, when Duke’s offense was still struggling and the Leopards had cut the lead to 7, Moore took over.  He created an assist for himself and a basket for Williams, scored on a fast break triggered by a Williams block (and made the foul shot for a 3-point play), hit a pullup jumper, followed by a defensive rebound where he outletted to Keels, who fed him back for a 3-pointer.  Moore created 10 points in under 2 minutes to stretch Duke’s lead to 14 and start the rout.  How is this for an efficient stat line — 23 points in a little under 29 minutes (9-14, including 2-6 from deep; and 3-3 from the stripe) to go with 6 rebounds, 4 assists (to only a single turnover), and 2 steals.

Paolo Banchero is still a bit off, likely from the impact of the DUI issue, but still shows championship form.  Although he was 0-6 from inside the arc in the first half, he played very well in all other aspects of the game.   In 19:44 (he picked up 3 second-half fouls thus limiting his second half playing time to less than 6 minutes), he scored 11 (4-12, including 2-3 from  deep in the second half; 1-2 from the stripe), while adding 6 rebounds, 4 assists (against only one turnover), a block, and a steal.  His 7 second-half points in 6 minutes came at a crucial time. 

Trevor Keels is so valuable, whether or not he is scoring dramatically (as he did against Kentucky and in the first half against Gardner-Webb).  He is a superb perimeter defender, tough rebounder, and excellent passer.  In his 25:31, he tallied 10 points (4-10, including 2-6 from behind the arc), 4 assists (only 1 turnover), and a steal.  

Jeremy Roach failed to score in 33 minutes (0-6, including 0-1 from deep).  He had 5 assists (4 in the second half) and only 2 turnovers.  The Duke half-court offense looked stagnant to me.  Duke has several good ball handlers, but not a true point guard.  This is what fuels Bill’s insights about Roach.  However, it seems clear that Coach K is pushing Roach to learn on the fly.

The Bench was a bit ineffectual, if you classify Griffin with the starters (6-person rotation is possible if not probable by tournament time).  Joey Baker logged 15:23 of eradicate shooting: 5 points on 2-8, including 1-5 from deep, to go with 2 boards and an assist.  Theo John backed up Mark Williams for 17:08, grabbing 6 boards and making 2 steals.  He scored 4 (2-3; 0-1 from deep), including a sensational layup following a great steal, then dribbling the length of the floor to make an acrobatic shot.

Jaylen Blakes and Bates Jones played at mop-up time with the walk-ons.  Savarino did not play.

Coach K on What It Takes To Win

“About three weeks ago on my XM show, we had Jason Kidd. He’s a good friend and was my captain in Beijing, and I asked him about playing with the best European player ever, Dirk [Nowitzki]. I said, ‘Now you have one of the top five or 10 players in the country, what about him (Luca Dončić)?’ and he said, ‘Coach, God gave him a lot of great genes. But the best gene he gave him was competitiveness.’ The only thing Dončić is concerned with is the score, and that’s my thing with the ‘next play.’ A basketball player, to be really good, has to have that, the only thing they’re really concerned about is the score, and what’s happening now, because you don’t have time to think between plays. Otherwise, you’re hurting yourself and that’s the thing we’ve been trying to develop with our guys. It didn’t work for 8-10 minutes today, but overall, it’s going pretty well.” 

Next Play: Monday, November 22 against The Citadel at 9 pm in Cameron.  ACCN.  [Note: The Citadel beat Jeff Capel’s Pittsburgh Panthers by 15 on November 9.]


Duke 107 –The Citadel 81 (Season 13 Issue 6 Game 6) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Gonzaga On Friday

Duke fans have been salivating for this game since the schedule was announced.  Bill and I decided to delay the DBP so as to provide a bit of a preview after Gonzaga (#1) had played UCLA (#2) on Tuesday, November 23.  Gonzaga was #1 last year and undefeated until beaten by Baylor in the NCAA championship game.  UCLA was beaten by Gonzaga in an overtime buzzer-beater in the NCAA Semi-Finals.  Yesterday’s game was different.  It was never competitive.

Gonzaga dominated from start to finish, looking like the best college team in the nation.  The Zags led by 20 or more for most of the game as they blitzed the Bruins from the opening tip to a crashing victory of 83-63.  Gonzaga has a freshman — Chet Holmgren — even more highly rated than Duke’s own Paolo Banchero, .  Holmgren is a 7 ft powerhouse who can do everything we have seen Banchero do.  Twice he blocked the shot so softly that he recovered the ball, dribbled the length of the floor, including a behind the back move, for a thunderous dunk.  Gonzaga’s other big front court player is Drew Timme, who,along with Holmgren, is a candidate for Player of the Year.   At 6’10” he can do everything on a basketball court, including play 39 minutes last night, score 18 points, grab 8 boards, and hand out 2 assists.  We will get an accurate fix on the quality of Duke’s front court on Friday.  Gonzaga’s best player, 6’5” Andrew Nembhard, leads the backcourt.  He was on the floor for the entire game last night, scoring 24 (9-13, including 2-6 from 3land; 4-4 from the line) to go with 5 boards, 6 assists, and 3 steals.  Duke’s defense has been very good this year against lesser opponents. Gonzaga’s offense has been very high scoring. Coach K will get an accurate read on how good his defense is against such an elite team, and so will we.  

Likewise, Coach K will be able to better measure Duke’s offense against an elite defense, as Gonzaga’s defense has been stifling this season.  Gonzaga allowed only 63 points to UCLA (the #2 team in last week’s polls).  Only Texas has scored more than 63 points this season against the Zags; the Longhorns scored 74, while still losing by 12. We’ll see how Coach K’s offense — 4 ball handlers, but no true point guard — works against this tough defense.   Roach especially will be tested. 

Dick Vitale made an emotional return as color commentator even while he is very publicly dealing with cancer.  I suspect much of the audience was in tears right along with him in his first moments back. With Gonzaga ahead 33-10 after only 12 minutes of play, Dickie V looked forward to the Duke – Gonzaga game in typical Dickie V fashion, warning us that “Gonzaga is not The Citadel.”

DUKE 107 v. CITADEL 81 (Monday Nov 22, 2021)

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Steph Curry has changed the way the game of basketball is played, and it has made for more exciting, interesting, and competitive contests. The Citadel, who beat Pittsburgh by 15 points to open this season, is a prime example. Last night they, characteristically, came out firing and made a Cameron-record of 18 of 34 threes, yet lost 107-81; this only because Wendell Moore and Paolo Banchero combined for 50 points, 16 rebounds, and 15 assists, while the Blue Devils made only 3 turnovers and made 27 of 29 free throws. Wendell is having a Player-of-the-Year start to the season, and is the poster child for not being a one-and-done fly by athlete-student. (Incidentally, Matthew Hurt, who left Duke early, was cut by two NBA teams and is toiling for The Memphis Hustle in the G League). Banchero, a wonderful, multidimensional talent, is figuring out that at this level, he is a lot more effective in the half court playing like Art Heyman, than wandering around the perimeter firing up pretty jump shots.

The Friday night game against Gonzaga, which is not Kentucky, will be a good test as to how far this team has come and how far they have to go to be a serious national contender.

Other Comments:

  • Mark Williams allows this team to play at a different level at both ends of the floor.
  • Trevor Keels seems to have hit the freshman wall offensively; however, it has not affected his defense.
  • John Theo gives The Blue Devils a Big East type toughness they will need during the season—and he can hit free throws.
  • If Jeremy Roach can’t get to the basket against a smallish Citadel, what hope does he have trying this against Gonzaga, UNC, et al?
  • Joey Baker is demonstrating a lot more diversity to his game.
ALANALAYSIS: 

The Citadel put on quite a 3-point shooting exhibition (18 for 34), setting the Cameron Indoor Stadium record for most 3s in a game.  The Bulldog 3-point barrage kept them close until the second half; however, their deep shots were not enough for the Bulldogs to remain close late in the game.  Duke’s offense played its best of the year, against a team that seemed disinterested in attempting to keep the Blue Devils from scoring.

The Good

The Offense

Duke blew the game wide open in the second half when the Blue Devil offense simply went into overdrive.  After tallying 52 in the first half, Duke scored 55 points in the final period with these dazzling statistics – 15 assists without a single turnover, 12-13 from the foul line, and 17-26 from inside the arc.  Duke’s only weakness: 3-11 from behind the arc. Duke’s inefficiency from deep has been constantly troubling so far this year!  In the closing stanza, Banchero notched 15 points (6-9, including 1-2 from deep; 2-2 from the stripe), grabbed 3 rebounds, and handed out a pair of assists, all without a turnover.  Moore was equally superb, scoring 13 (5-7 including 1-2 from 3land; 2-3 from the foul line), to go with 3 rebounds and a team-high 4 assists.  This was just in the second half where Banchero and Moore each played 14:12. Mark Williams made it a trio of stars, scoring 10 (5-5 at the rim) in 12 minutes to go with 4 rebounds, 3 assists without a turnover (obviously), and 2 blocks.

Paolo Banchero seems to have returned to his pre-DUI form (in the second half).  He dropped 28 on The Bulldogs in 31 minutes (10-19; 2-5 from 3land; 6-6 from the line) with 8 rebounds, 6 assists (without a turnover), 2 steals, and a block.

Wendell Moore, Jr. played a superb 34 minutes, approaching a triple-double.  He dished out 9 assists without a turnover and corralled 8 rebounds in addition to scoring 22 (8-14, including 2-7 from deep; 4-5 from the stripe).  He is drawing superlatives from the experts for his on-the-ball defense and his stepped-up leadership.

Mark Williams scored 14 (6-7; 2-2 from the line) while grabbing 7 boards and dishing 3 assists in his 20 minutes.  His defense is improving.  He was a difference maker.

Theo John made his 12:31 count on both ends of the court.  He adds toughness to the team when he replaces Mark W.  He scored an efficient 8 points (3-3; 2-2 from the stripe), with an assist (0 turnovers), a block, and a steal.

The Not Bad But Could Be Better

Trevor Keels had another difficult shooting night (2-9; 1-7 from deep), but was still a force for Duke in his 29 minutes.  He drew fouls ) to score the majority of his 11 points, from the line ( 6-7), and he was a fierce defender (3 steals).

Jeremy Roach is playing with confidence, but not with consistency.  His 33:37 was the second most minutes played by a Duke player.  Roach dished a pair of assists against one turnover, scoring 10 (4-11, including 2-6 from 3land, without getting to the foul line). An effective point guard draws fouls when driving efficiently to the basket. Coach K is willing to put up with Roach’s less than stellar offensive performance in order to keep his sparkling on-the-ball defense.

Joey Baker has not been the shooter that he is reputed to be (1-5; 0-1 from deep), but he has diversified his offensive game by driving more, and getting to the foul line more–most of his 9 points last night were from the line (7-7).  He grabbed 4 rebounds as his game near the basket has improved.

Not Ugly, But Disappointing

A.J. Griffin played about 5 minutes in each half.  He missed his first two shots which seemed to drain his confidence and left him looking a bit lost in the first half.  In the second half, he scored, rebounded and began to look confident again.  Still, after his ACC Freshman-of-the-Week 18-point outing against Lafayette, scoring only 2 points against the Citadel (1-4; 0-2 from deep) was disappointing.

The Bench played little.  Jaylen Blakes played almost 5 minutes, making one of his two 3-point attempts, while Bates Jones played 2:42 in mop-up time. 

Next Play: Friday, November 26 against Gonzaga at 10:30 pm in Las Vegas.  ESPN. 


Duke 84 –Gonzaga 81 (Season 13 Issue 7 Game 7) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

I do not know how the Coach K Farewell Tour will conclude but it is certainly starting off as if scripted by his fans.  There have been two thrilling games against Kentucky, a perennially embittered Blue Blood rival, and Gonzaga, a New Blood rival, in classic, tough wins on national TV in packed, deafening arenas. Gonzaga was deservedly ranked the number one team in the country. Just three nights ago in this same arena, they had blown out #2 UCLA by 20 points, holding the Bruins to 63 points.

With Paolo Bancharo demonstrating in a multiplicity of ways why he is such an exceptional basketball talent, Duke led at the half 45-42. Johnny Tar Heel, who watched the game with me, and I agreed, that Gonzaga had been knocked back by Banchero’s 20 points but, other than that, the rest of the team had not shot well.  We thought that Gonzaga was just too good and too well coached a team to let that happen again in the second half as it did in the first.  In order for Duke to win, we thought that Moore and/or Keels had to step up and start scoring.

The game showed similarity to the Kentucky game, when during  the second half Banchero and Moore went out with leg cramps, and Trevor Keels attempted to take over the scoring.  However, unlike the Kentucky game, Trevor was unable to even hit free throws. Yet, Duke’s defense, as it did most of the game, kept the Zags from gaining a working advantage. Ultimately, Moore returned, took over, and scored 16 points in the second half (20 in the game), including  seven of his last eight critical free throws to seal the deal (this is Las Vegas after all), to beat the 7 ½ point favorite. Banchero returned but was obviously physically limited. Joey Baker contributed two timely threes and Jeremy Roach drove for a clutch left handed layup with a minute to go. However, it was Coach K’s core value–team defense– anchored by Mark Williams, who had a team-high 9 rebounds, 5 blocks, and many intimidations while battling Holmgren and Gonzaga star Drew Timme in the post that contributed mightily to the upset of a very talented, well coached Gonzaga team. 

Coach K: “Mark had a sensational game…. he blocked five but he also altered a lot of shots. I wonder if there’s a—there’s gotta be a stat for that. Some analytics person’s gotta figure that out.”

Duke’s coaches contributed a strategic defensive gamble: Rather than have its biggest player guard Gonzaga’s 7+ foot freshman center, Chet Holmgren, they took a different tactic against the Zags’s two big men. Duke started with 6-10, 250-pound freshman Paolo Banchero guarding Holmgren, while Gonzaga 6-10 junior Drew Timme was guarded by 7-foot sophomore center Mark Williams. Theo John, Duke’s 6-9, 242-pound reserve center, tag-teamed with Williams on Timme. One result was that the defense forced 17 turnovers to help counter making only 15 of 25 free throws (after going 27-29 against The Citadel).

As critical as Banchero and Moore’s offense was in each half, it was Williams who played the most consistently as Keels struggled mightily to score (but had a team-high 5 assists).  Trevor was only 1-4 from the foul line, but two of those misses were the front end of a one-and-one, so that’s really one point scored out of a potential six points, if he had been able to maximize the opportunities. Roach missed one with a second left leaving Duke to slightly sweat out a full-court prayer.​Gonzaga: Before Friday night, the Bulldogs trailed for a total of 3:18 in four games — against Texas, Alcorn State, Bellarmine, and UCLA. Gonzaga trailed for more than 20 minutes against Duke until retaking the lead on a pair of Timme free throws at the 17-minute mark of the second half.

An appreciative crowd of 20,389, seemingly split 50/50, was the largest to ever see a basketball game in Nevada. Among the record crowd: former boxing champion Floyd Mayweather, former Cy Young winner and World Series champion Orel Hershiser, PGA golfer Brooks Koepka, former NBA player Marcus Banks and sports agent Rich Paul.

Coach K summed it up best:  “It was really a players game…. It was just a big-time game. And I love it. I just love being a part of it and seeing how players take over.” 

ALANALYSIS:

What a great college basketball game!  The quality of play by each team on both sides of the ball was jaw-droppingly dazzling.  These were two excellent teams competing against each other at the absolutely highest level.  If this was, as Bill has said, an interim exam for these young Blue Devils, Duke got straight A+s in: 1) heart and leadership facing adversity; 2) Defense against a great offensive team; 3) Defense against a great offensive team (the defense was so good, I had to repeat the praise); 4) Paolo Banchero’s first half; 5) Wendell Moore, Jr; 6) Mark Williams; and 7) Theo John.

Peering into the emotional center of the game to extract (hopefully) useful nuggets of analysis led me to focus on the second half.  And what a half that was!  There were eight lead changes, but neither team led by more than 5 points.  Duke had to go it without an effective Banchero (only played 13:33 because of cramping; 0-4, including 0-2 from deep and 1-2 from the line for a single point to go with a single rebound — cramping his style and overall performance). Duke’s guards shot terribly.  Trevor Keels played all 20 minutes while scoring just 1 point (0-6, including 0-3 from deep and 1-4 from the stripe).  Roach played 15 minutes without scoring until he made 2 crucial shots down the stretch (2-5, 0-2 from deep and 1-2 from the line).  In contrast, Wendell Moore, Jr. played the best half of his Duke career after scoring only 4 in the first half.  He played the entire half (minus 18 seconds), scoring 16 (4-7, including 1-2 from deep and a critical 7-8 from the line — for a 20-point game); add 3 rebounds, 3 assists, and 3 steals (and 3 turnovers) for a great second half for Moore. That’s where Duke’s heart and Moore’s leadership emerged big time!

The first half was fabulous; Banchero’s 20 points were breathtaking.  Duke came up empty on its last two first-half possessions, while the Zags scored 5 to cut the Duke lead to 3.  The Zag defense has been tremendous all year.  Only Texas scored more than 63 points against them  (even UCLA was held to 63).  Duke dropped 45 on the Zags in the first half!  Banchero and Williams together scored 31 of those first-half points.  

The Good

The Defense

Gonzaga is a wonderful offensive team that passes and moves the ball with poise, skill, and shot-making.  Going into this game, the Zags were averaging over 91 ppg. Duke’s pressure defense neutralized and defeated a great offense. For me, the statistic of the game was that Duke scored 23 points off Gonzaga’s 17 turnovers. Gonzaga committed turnovers on nearly one-fourth of its possessions against the Blue Devils.  Holding Gonzaga to 81 points in a 79-possession game and especially harassing the Bulldogs into 17 turnovers most certainly qualifies as excellent defense.  Six Duke players were credited with at least one steal.  Mark Williams had 5 blocks in the first half. His perfect defense on Drew Timme’s shot in the paint with nearly 30 seconds to go was just one of the many clutch plays he made. Williams is turning into one of the best rim protectors in the country.  

The experts have anointed Andrew Nembhard as the best point guard in the country.  He had 11 assists last night (Gonzaga had 22 total assists on 34 hoops), but the key stat was that Duke forced him to turn it over 6 times by being very aggressive in its ball-screen coverages against him, limiting the time he had to make decisions and find teammates. Duke forced him to speed up his decision-making.  

And lastly, Duke played great transition defense and won the transition game.  The Blue Devils got back defensively, eliminating the Zags’ MO of getting easy baskets off of makes or misses, thus forcing them to play in the half-court. Transition offense is ignited by the defense.  Duke had success beating Gonzaga downcourt.  Banchero led one fast break ending in a true Magic Johnson-like assist.

That is why Keels played all 20 second half minutes in spite of his shooting woes.  That is why Roach was on the floor for 19 first half minutes in spite of 1-8 shooting.  Mark Williams was brilliant and played Timme and Holmgren (player- of- the- year candidates) at least even, and maybe even outplayed each.  Williams also scored 17 points on 8-9 shooting (his one miss was a 3-point attempt where you could hear Duke fans across the country imploring him not to launch that shot), to go with 9 boards. 

Theo John was more valuable than the box score reveals.  In 11:24, John held his own against the Zag big guys and scored two critical second-half baskets over Timme (a right-handed hook shot followed by a left hand one), taking advantage of Timme’s foul trouble.  He also grabbed a pair of tough rebounds and had a steal.

Even though we have already acknowledged Moore, Williams, and Banchero’s first half above, it is worth sharing Coach K’s lauding of Wendell Moore: “The leadership of my captain was, I think, the key to the game. Wendell Moore was absolutely spectacular in his leadership, especially at the timeout when they took the lead and we had turned the ball over, the things he said and his demeanor and what he said to his team – he really led us to a victory. It was really a player’s game.  Sometimes when a leader says stuff, he doesn’t remember what he said. But, I remember what he said. He said, ‘Be strong with the ball. Let’s get going. We can’t be giving up layups.’ He was saying the things I should’ve been saying, but when it comes from a player, it’s better. Especially that moment – that was a critical moment. I’ve been in a lot of games. We could’ve gotten knocked out right there, and what that kid did at that time out was big time. It was really big time …. That kid is really having a hell of a year. He’s my captain. I love what my guys did. I love my team. They’re really good guys.”

The Not Bad but Could Be Better…

….the offensive play of Keels and Roach, as described above.  Although not yet showing up in the box score, I am watching a much more confident Roach beginning to blossom as a point guard.  With 4:41 to go, Roach grabbed an offensive rebound and scored on a soft 12-foot jumper to tie the score at 73.  Then came what I thought was the offensive play of the game.  Duke’s lead fluctuated between 3 and 1 after Roach’s basket.  With 48 seconds left, Duke had the ball and led by 1.  A loss loomed if Duke did not score.  With the clock running down, Roach drove to his left, and laid in as pretty a left hand layup as you have ever seen, for his 4th and 5th points of the game.  Thus were the Zags finally dead.

The Not Quite Ugly 

Joey Baker made two 3s for his 6 points.  The first one seemed like a lucky bad shot off the backboard .  He was wide open on the second one.  In 14:20 those were his only points (2-3 from deep).  He also grabbed one rebound and had a pair of steals.  Other than Theo John, Baker was Duke’s only effective sub.

A.J. Griffin has returned to his pre-Lafayette funk (0 points in 6 minutes without any other stat besides 0-1 from the floor).  Troubling because Duke’s bench is not strong unless he returns to his McDonald’s All-American form.

No other Duke players played.  It will be illuminating to see if Duke can avoid the normal human letdown after such an emotional win over Gonzaga when the Blue Devils journey to Columbus to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes in the Big 10 – ACC challenge.

Next Play: Tuesday, November 30 at Ohio State in the ACC-Big 10 Challenge at 9:30 pm.  ESPN.


Duke 66 –Ohio State 71 (Season 13 Issue 8 Game 8) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

The test tonight was whether this relatively young Duke team had the mental and physical maturity to transition from the hunter to the hunted. John McEnroe once commented that life was much more enjoyable when he was a challenger — the rebellious underdog chasing Bjorn Borg.  Once he became number one, suddenly everyone literally and figuratively wanted a piece of him. 

Duke ended the first half—with a big assist from the Buckeyes–with a faux 15-point lead and flunked the test badly by playing as disappointing a second half as I can remember a good Duke team playing. Duke lost by 5. The danger warnings were obvious for anyone who paid attention. Monday night Gonzaga was behind 25-26 at the half at home against unheralded Tarleton State (1-6), and only won by nine.

So, what does that tell you? Grow up, play smart and hard like you are the best. The 91-92 team should be their model. They reveled, even thrived, on being number one and rock stars that opponents and their fans hated. However, it took them two or three years to develop that level of mental toughness to overcome bad breaks and off nights. Only time will tell if this was an early lesson well learned or if they are not mature enough to learn from a painful lesson. As Rip, the ranch foreman in Yellowstone, said: “There’s two roads in life. One is you’re winning or learning and the other is that you’re losing all the way to the fucking grave. Kid, you better choose quickly or life’s gonna choose it for you.”

An anatomy of a collapse: basketball is a simple game — make stops and hit shots. In the second half, the Devils shot 23%, got in serious foul trouble as Ohio State finally took advantage and finished the game on a decisive 12-0 run–the kind of decisive run Duke usually makes on other teams. Maybe the Blue Devils needed to have key players cramp up in the second half to make everyone realize everyone needed to go into overdrive. Instead, they got in foul trouble, played ineffective one-on-one offense, and passively on defense.  Theo John fouled out, Mark Williams, the defensive eraser, had four fouls, was nailed to the floor for fear of fouling out, and the Buckeyes took full advantage in the paint.

Kentucky, Gonzaga, Ohio State. Three tough, tournament type games (two neutral, one away court) in three weeks. This is a very challenging schedule for any team, much less a young, inexperienced one. I suspect that Coach K made this schedule because he realizes he only has one year, not three or four, to mold this talent into championship shape. The team came within ten minutes or so of acing this test. The good news is that it is better to have this loss now and learn from it rather than going into the NCAA Tournament thinking you are better than you are.

 Next play!

ALANALYSIS

Even before the Ohio State game, I worried about the complacency that can set in after a spectacular win: Duke came into this game being celebrated far and wide after a stellar outing in Las Vegas against Gonzaga, for which the Blue Devils earned #1 in the polls . Even before this stunning setback, Duke’s #1 ranking in the latest November poll was not significant –“November” being the most important word in the previous clause.  Let us remember that Duke was rated #1 in November of 2019 on the basis of a string of impressive early-season triumphs … with a game against lowly rated Stephen F. Austin next.  Duke never got a sniff of a high poll ranking for the rest of the year.  Remember also those awful back-to-back losses to Wake and NC State in February, 2020, that almost slid Duke out of the top 25.  Even before the Ohio State game, my memory of 2020 was triggered by one writer’s warning made after the Duke victory against Gonzaga: “a letdown would be human.”  That writer mirrored my concern.

On Monday, Gonzaga had had just such a letdown when they barely squeaked out a victory against the Tarleton State Texans, a school in Stephenville, Texas that none of us have ever heard of.  The Texans had lost 5 of their first 6 games, with its only win being against another school none of us have never heard of (The Paul Quinn Tigers; I am not making this up).  The Texans trailed Gonzaga at the end of the first half by a mere 1 point, 26-25.  The Zags won by only 9, pulling away in the last 4 minutes.  My thought going into last night’s game was: Ohio State may not be ranked in the top 25 and is missing 3 important players, but the Buckeyes would be favored over Stephen F. Austin who stunningly upset Duke (85-83) in 2019 Cameron on an overtime steal and layup at the buzzer.  I thought it worth remembering that Duke was ranked #1 going into that game.

Then I watched last night’s game against Ohio State. “The words of the (writer) prophet were written (not on subway walls or in the tenement halls)”, but in the analysis of what happened to the high-flying Blue Devils in the second half. A partial explanation came from Coach K, which  comports with my observations, “We were just worn out at the end.” … We fouled so much – this is the worst that we’ve fouled. We’ve been really good at not turning it over and not fouling, and tonight we had 23 fouls. I think part of that shows [us] being tired, just not playing with the same foot speed that we normally have.” 

The first half was pleasant to watch.  Almost all the players in the Duke rotation gave good performances, though there were signs of trouble.  

The Good

Duke played its aggressive defense extremely well, as it has all season.  Seth Greenberg described this as “old school Duke defense” — designed to disrupt, create turnovers and transition offense, rather than just stop the other team from scoring.  That old school defense produced 9 Ohio State turnovers in the first half, which in turn led to 13 points off of those turnovers.  Banchero (4-7, including 1-1 from deep and 1-2 from the line) and Moore (4-6, including 2-3 from the stripe) each scored 10 in the opening stanza.  Moore was Duke’s best player throughout the game (17 points; 0-2 from deep and 3-5 from the foul line).  He grabbed 8 boards, handed out 5 assists, and made 2 steals.  Still, he was only 3-9 in the second half when Duke really needed him to be better. 

Jeremy Roach had his best half of the year — 7 points (3-6, including 1-3 from deep), without a turnover, while controlling the offense.  While Keels scored only 5 points (2-7 from the field, including 0-1 from deep and 1-1 from the stripe), he played great defense with 2 steals and had 2 assists without a turnover.

The bench really contributed in the first half.  Joey Baker scored 5 (2-3, including 1-1 from deep), to go with a rebound and a steal, in his 11:36 first half minutes.  Duke’s backup center, Theo John scored 4 (2-3) with 2 boards and an assist in his 9:23, but he was even more effective than the box score showed.  

The Not Bad, But Disappointing

Williams, after a slow early-season start, who has been sensational in his most recent games, reverted to early-season form last night.  He sank his only shot attempt (2 points) of the first half, and paired it with a rebound, a block. and a turnover.  For the game (21:38) he scored 8 (3-6; 2-2 from the stripe), with 7 rebounds and 2 blocks.  

The backcourt of Roach and Keels played big minutes and good defense for most of the game , but neither shot particularly well and only scored 9 points each.  Keels played a game high almost 37 minutes (3-12, including 1-4; 2-3 from the line).  Roach played 35 minutes (4-10, including 1-4, without getting to the foul line – again).  Keels had 4 rebounds and 3 assists, but 2 turnovers; I thought he lost his poise as Duke’s offense deteriorated in the closing minutes of the game.  Roach had 3 boards but only a single assist (without a turnover).

Duke’s half-court offense has not looked smooth and efficient at any time so far this season.  Perhaps this has been concealed because Duke’s transition game has been so ferocious.  There is no point guard orchestrating the offense.  In the second half, Duke had only 3 assists.  

Duke committed 11 first-half fouls which is cause for concern: Banchero had 3, Keels, Williams, and Moore had 2 each.  Fouling can be a sign of fatigue.  Coach K agrees.

The Ugly

Duke had a 13 point lead at the end of the first half.  They scored 43 points in the first half, 13 of them off their strong transition defense and live turnovers, and held OSU to 30. Three times in the second half, Duke had leads of 15 before it started to shrink. Then the wheels started to come off. The Ugly reared its head in the last 10 minutes of the second half. 

With 7:18 to go in the game, Duke led by 11. With 4:29 left, Keels went to the line for two foul shots with Duke leading by 6.  He missed the first and moved the lead to 7 (66-59) when he made the second.  That foul shot with 4 and ½ minutes left in the game was Duke’s last point.  Keels missed a jumper; OSU cut the lead to 5 with 3:31 left.  Keels missed a 3; OSU cut the lead to 2 on a Russell 3 with 2:32 remaining.  Paolo committed an offensive foul allowing OSU to cut the lead to 1 when Russell made 1-2 from the line with 1:46 left.  Keels missed a 3 pointer with 1:20 to go.  Moore fouled Liddell who gave the Buckeyes their first lead by a point when he made them both with 1:03 left in the game.  Banchero missed a jumper; Williams missed a follow when he got the offensive rebound.  A scrum created a jump ball (OSU possession). Liddell scored to give OSU a 3-point lead with 15 seconds left.  Banchero missed (a pretty open) 3 that would have tied it with 7 seconds to go.  When OSU retrieved the rebound, the game was over (Roach fouled in desperation and the Buckeyes sank both foul shots to create their winning margin).

Duke scored only 23 second-half points on horrendous shooting (7-31, including 1-8 from 3land; but, bright side, 8-10 from the line).   Banchero was 0-7, including 0-2 from deep to go with an assist and a turnover.  Moore was 3-9, including 0-2 from behind the arc and 1-2 from the line.  The Keels-Roach combo was even worse (Roach was 1-4, including 0-1 from deep; while Keels was 1-5, 1-3 from deep).  Roach had neither an assist nor a turnover, while Keels had a single assist against 2 turnovers.  Duke had 4 shots blocked by the Buckeyes and managed only 3 assists, while committing what the stats say were 3 turnovers (though it seemed like more to me).  Duke’s defense completely lost its intensity, forcing only 3 turnovers and only making a single steal (Moore) and a single block (Mark).

The Bench was absolutely no help.  In Joey’s 8:43, he missed his only shot with no other statistical entry.  Theo played only 6 minutes in the second half, committing 4 fouls in that brief time on the court, adding to his 1 foul from the first half and resulting in his disqualification.  He contributed a rebound.  A.J. Griffin was a virtual no-show, playing less than 2 minutes in the first half (0-1) without even getting into the game in the second half.

Duke could not defend without fouling, committing 12 second-half fouls.  Moore, Williams, Roach, and Banchero all finished the game with four personals. Add John’s 5 and that is 21 fouls which Duke’s important players committed. OSU outscored Duke in the closing stanza by 18 points.

The Significance of the Performance and the Loss 

It is not difficult for the commentators to dismiss the performance as nothing more than youth and inexperience. Moreover, the way the game went corroborates Coach K’s (“we were just worn out”) analysis.  Duke has played many games in a short stretch, but now has 2 weeks off for finals, so exhaustion should not be an immediate future problem.  A loss at this time can be a good lesson, especially since the Gonzaga game apparently did produce some damaging complacency. However, there are flaws showing that may be more than just youth and inexperience.

Duke’s shooting woes – season long rather than unique to the OSU game — are troubling.  It is not easy to make good shooters out of bad ones during the season.  Duke has not yet achieved balanced scoring where opponents need to be concerned about all the Devils, not just Banchero and Moore.  Keels has not replicated the superb scoring game he demonstrated against Kentucky in the season’s opener, a bad sign.  

This was the young team’s first game in the opponent’s gym, and Duke seemed to come undone as the home crowd screamed its delight at Duke’s poor play.   Even though the ACC has no Top-25 ranked teams (other than Duke), winning in the other team’s gym will always be a test of skill and character.  For Duke to have the season that Coach K and the DBP readers are hoping for, Duke will have to win consistently on the road in ACC arenas.  So, the meltdown at “winning time” in the first road game is a bad harbinger.

Winning time is a state of mind. We have always been able to count on Duke to be at their best in the clutch. Last night, they simply were not.  It raises questions not about youth or exhaustion but about the very character of the team, and those questions will be answered in the ACC season–mostly in away games. 

When Duke returns from exams, it will be a “State examination” – games against South Carolina State, Appalachian State, and Cleveland State.  Duke opens the ACC schedule on December 22 against Virginia Tech in Cameron.

Next Play: Tuesday, December 14 against South Carolina State at 8:00 pm.  ACCN.


“Lucky Devil” Extra (Season 13) — Reduced Schedule for December 14 through 18 games

Duke plays South Carolina State tonight ( Tuesday) at 8; Appalachian State on Thursday at 7 pm; and, Cleveland State on Saturday at 4 pm, before opening the ACC campaign on December 22.

Work-related responsibilities prevent a DBP for each game (3 games in 5 days).  We will distribute a DBP after Thursday’s game against Appalachian State to cover the first two games this week.  Then, an issue after the Cleveland State game will cover that game and talk a bit about the coming ACC campaign.

We take this Lucky Devil Extra opportunity to direct your attention to the Women’s team.  Unranked at the beginning of the season (picked to finish 8th in the ACC; top 5 ACC teams were ranked in the top 25), without a single player in contention for ACC honors of any type, coach Kara Lawson faced a challenge.  Her first year as coach (last year), the team voted to close the season after 4 games.  Lawson then coached the USA 3 x 3 team to a gold medal in Tokyo.

The women started out winning against inferior opponents, but did beat Dayton and Alabama (neither team was ranked).  Then  came the ACC-Big 10 challenge against 9th ranked Iowa.  Duke blew Iowa by 15 out for Kara’s first signature win, followed by a win over Penn that  dodged a potential trap game.  Duke was ranked 15th in the last AP women’s poll, one place behind Iowa.  In the ACC, NC State is # 2, Louisville # 6, with Duke 3rd in the ACC (followed by Ga. Tech and Notre Dame in the top 25).  

Which brings us to Wednesday night’s game between Lawson’s emerging Duke team and defending national champions, the undefeated and top ranked South Carolina Gamecocks,  in Cameron on Wednesday (December 15) at 7pm on ACCN.

Might be a fun watch, or the Blue Devils could get blown out.  Big test for new coach, Lawson. South Carolina beat # 2 NC State 66-57 earlier this year and #9 Maryland last Sunday 66-59..


COVID is impacting sports dramatically, and has a feel for coming disruptions, if not cessation of play.  Cleveland State’s outbreak caused it to cancel the game scheduled for December 18; Duke has been fortunate to schedule Loyal (Md) as a substitute to keep a game on the schedule. 

Duke will have played 3 games in five days after exams to get set for the ACC schedule beginning on December 22 in Cameron against Virginia Tech.  Therefore, instead of the DBP analyzing the first two of the three games in general terms, we will now include all three games as part of an assessment of what the first eleven  pre-season game tells us about this team’s chances for an  ACC and National title. 

We will circulate the next edition of the DBP after the Loyal (Md) game, well in advance of the Virginia Tech ACC opener


Duke 103 –South Carolina State 62; Duke 92 – Appalachian State 67; Duke 87 — Elon 56 (Season 13 Issue 9 – Games 9, 10, and 11) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

Duke 103 v. South Carolina State 67 (Tuesday, December 14) Duke   92 v. Appalachian State 67 (Thursday December 16)Duke   87 v. Elon 56 (Saturday, December 18)

This edition of the DBP analyzes these three games in general terms.  How did these games contribute to Duke’s preparation for seeking ACC and National titles? 

COVID is impacting sports dramatically, and may be a harbinger for coming disruptions, if not cessation, of play.  Cleveland State’s outbreak caused it to cancel the game with Duke scheduled for December 18; Duke was able to schedule an alternative game against Loyola (Maryland), but that also now has had to be COVID-canceled. Elon was substituted in to keep a game on the schedule.  Duke will have played 3 games in the six days since exams, to get set for the ACC schedule beginning on December 22, in Cameron against Virginia Tech.  

Here is the ACC’s forfeit policy: “if a game cannot be played on its originally scheduled date by a team unable to play due to an insufficient number of available players related to COVID-19, that team shall be deemed to have forfeited, with a loss assigned to the team unable to play and a win assigned to its scheduled opponent, with both the loss and win, respectively, applied to the conference standings.”  Duke’s women won today’s game against Miami by forfeit, when Miami could not field a team because of COVID restrictions.  Cancellations and postponements for college games, and in all professional sports, are multiplying.  Coach Nolan Smith tested positive.  He was not on the bench for the game.  Duke tests twice. Every day. Rapid and PCR.  Coach K advocates for an NCAA rule that all teams be tested before every game.

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke Pre-Season:

The Blue Devils have just concluded what might be considered their pre-season schedule of eleven games, that included only three presumably difficult opponents (Kentucky, Gonzaga & Ohio State), with a 10-1 record. One way to look at it is this – the Blue Devils were just five minutes short of being 11-0. Another is that the Devils were about ten minutes away from being 8-3. I subscribe to Bill Parcells’ famous mantra: “You are what your record says you are.  Good teams win more close games than bad teams.”  Whatever your perspective, Duke is ranked as one of the top four teams in the country, with legitimate opportunity to win ACC and NCAA Titles.

STRENGTHS:

Chemistry– What impressed me the most was at the end of the South Carolina State blowout, Duke’s seldom-seen junior forward Keenan Worthington elevated and emphatically slammed down a buzzer-beater rebound dunk, bringing the entire stadium to their feet. His teammates could barely control their joy, with freshman Trevor Keels holding his teammates back from storming the court.  Instead, all the starters and the rest of the squad on the bench celebrated by jumping up and down, waving towels, mimicking the shot like it was the winning basket against North Carolina. That reaction speaks volumes about the camaraderie and chemistry among all the players!—no small component of successful teams.

Leadership: As talented as Paolo Banchero is, Wendell Moore, the poster player for staying in school, has matured into the most versatile, valuable, and important player on this team. With the game on the line, you want the ball in his hands.

Starters: A very balanced team, with a marvelously talented, potential #1 NBA pick Banchero, who can play effectively anywhere he wants on the floor. In close games, I feel he will be deployed in the elbow of the lane and/or high post. Mark Williams gives this team a low post presence that most recent Duke teams have lacked, which was a handicap against big man-centric teams like North Carolina. Trevor Keels is a compact, Energizer Bunny/ Swiss Army knife player. He can play shooting guard, point guard, score from anywhere, and never takes a breather playing in-your-lap defense.  Jeremy Roach is nominally the point guard, but that position is actually played by committee (Moore, Keels, Banchero, or Roach). Because no one player is fatigued from point guard duties, Duke can pressure opposing point guards, which obstructs an opponent’s offense flow. Keels and Roach have apparently used the exam break to work on their three-point shot. If the last three games are any indication, that will make this team even more lethal, because they are the best Duke free throw shooting team (Banchero shoots 80%) in quite a few years. And finally, unlike some other talented but more offensively focused editions, this team enjoys playing defense, because, among other things, they realize that good defense wears opponents down, produces easy offense, and was one of the keys that enabled Baylor to win the NCAA Championship last year.

Depth: Transfer Theo John, a strong substitute for Williams, brings a Big East muscular mentality to the paint, yet he has a surprisingly good touch. AJ Griffin, recovering from two years of injuries, is a 6’ 6” multi-dimensional player who may end up starting or playing starter minutes as a sixth man. Joey Baker has matured athletically to complement his shooting touch. 

Weaknesses: Offensively, the players have a tendency to stand around without good spacing, waiting for a talented teammate to go one-on-one. That, in part, cost them the Ohio State game. I’m certain the coaching staff will continue to deal with this flaw. Defensively, despite Duke’s size advantage in these last three games, there is some concern over lack of defensive rebounding margins, which are somewhat masked by positive turnover margins.

Questions: While acknowledging Paolo Banchero’s talents, and being thrilled by his performance in big games, I am somewhat puzzled by his recent placid demeanor and recent whining about referee calls, as he did this afternoon against Elon. It reminds me somewhat of Bobby Hurley as a freshman. Undoubtedly, he will get the same coaching advice: “Just shut up and play smarter and harder.” Combine this with missing two open dunks, shooting 60%, not 80%, from the foul line, which contributed to subpar scoring in the last two games, as well as aiding and abetting a DUI, and you have to wonder: “What’s going on with this exceptionally talented teenager? He doesn’t seem to be enjoying himself.”  

Maybe it’s just me, but I am much more impressed by the intensity and relentless defense of Trevor Keels, Wendell Moore, Jeremy Roach, and even the less athletic Joey Baker. Add to this the fact that, despite having an intimidating height and athletic advantage in the paint, and blocking shots against mostly overmatched undersized opponents, Mark Williams has been sort of a one trick pony. Maybe all this is nitpicking or being hyper-critical; however, the schedule ahead is a relentless slog through a much-expanded Tobacco Road type competition that has been expanded well beyond the Atlantic Coast with a “Beat Me and Spoil the Coach K Retirement Tour” target on your back. 

Bottom line: Grow up! buckle up! From now on there are no easy games. You are the best team. Play like it for forty minutes. 

ALANALYSIS:

Coach K’s take on the early season:beating Kentucky, Gonzaga, losing to Ohio State – that’s like a year ago; we have to be in this moment.”   Duke’s next 20 games (10 at home and 10 on the road) will be against ACC opponents.  This is, of course, where the Blue Devils will be measured – in the polls and for post-season seeding.  The first 11 games were preparation.  Let’s take inventory.

The Good

The Offense 

During their stretch without games, Coach K put in some new plays.  While Duke didn’t use them much against South Carolina State  [SCS] because Duke was able to use its transition game so frequently.  Coach K: “We were working on sets that we could run in the half-court. When we can run, we will run. But when we get stuck, we can’t just dribble the ball, we need movement. I would hope that our guys would move without having a set, but sometimes you need to call a set to get that movement.” 

Coach K analyzed his offense so far: “We had a few too many turnovers, but I think we’re a pretty unselfish team.  We should be a really good offensive team. We’re sharing the ball, running to corners, making one dribble penetration. We have hit 15 threes the last two games [plus another 8-25 vs. Elon] because we’ve had really good shots.  We have a team of willing passers, we’ve had a lot of assists all year.  Our guys like [the extra pass]. To me, it’s the most beautiful part of our game. The most beautiful part of our game is passing and connecting baskets. …We could have some hockey assists in how we play, and I like that.”

  • SCS — 23 assists on 33 field goals, but 16 turnovers; 15-27 on 3s.
  • AS — 21 assists on 33 field goals. Only 9 turnovers. 15 – 30 on 3s.
  • E — 18 assists on 32 field goals. Only 8 turnovers. 8-25 on 3s.

The Emergence of A.J. Griffin

Coach K: “AJ [Griffin] has been coming on. These last two weeks, he’s got in a lot of individual work, making up for time lost with his injury. He didn’t play basketball for two years, so it’s a matter of his continuing to work. Our team is unbelievably supportive of him and they want him to do well, it’s neat to see.”

AJ – 35 points in 3 games (in 60 minutes total):

  • SCS — 19 points, 4 boards, 4 assists, 0 turnovers, 2 blocks in 21 minutes.
  • AS — 11 points, 2 boards, 1 assist in 19 minutes.
  • E – 5 points, 5 boards, 2 assists, 0 turnovers, 1 steal,1 block in 20 minutes.

He is on the way to being Duke’s valuable 6th man this year.  He is closer to ready on the offensive end.  He was embarrassingly beaten twice on straight line drives to the basket by the Elon player he was guarding.  He just needs the playing time.

The Defense 

Elon’s Coach Schrage (Dir of Basketball Operations under Coach K for 6 years) compared this Duke team’s talent for forcing turnovers and creating steals to Duke’s championship teams. Coach K: “[Our team] is not at the level but there is potential. In other words, let’s see if we can do it against ACC opponents. We have done it in non-conference, but we should be a very good defensive team. The thing that we’re not doing is rebounding defensively. We’re good defensively, but we’d be very good defensively if we could complete the defensive exchange with a rebound.” 

“When we rebound defensively, that’s what leads to our fast-break, more so than from turnovers, because we have four ball-handlers in the game, and we can advance the ball very quickly and space the court. The defensive rebound can naturally lead to the open three, if we do it the right way. We have to do a better job of it. Sometimes, we anticipate someone else getting the ball, and we start going [away from the ball] instead of having our hands ready for the rebound.”

  • SCS retrieved 21 offensive rebounds. Duke forced 17 turnovers, including 11 steals.
  • AS retrieved 13 offensive rebounds. Duke forced 13 turnovers, including 6 steals.
  • E retrieved only 2 offense rebounds. Duke forced 23 turnovers, including 14 steals.

Duke’s on-the-ball defense has been superior, though there have been lapses – the first 11 minutes of the Appalachian State game, for example; Duke gave up 24 points in the first 11 minutes.  Roach, Keels and Moore are just terrific on-the-ball perimeter defenders.  Mark Williams has been a force defending the rim (8 blocks in a total of 58 minutes).  It’s team defense at its best.

Getting Better

In the early going, Duke’s half-court offense was inefficient.  Though there was no “point guard”, Jeremy Roach was handling the ball more than anyone.  That has changed.  Wendell Moore is closer to being a point guard and is having a superb season.  Although Wendell had no assists in 23 minutes against SCS (my instinct is that he produces his best when the team needs him the most and Duke didn’t need him against SCS), for the next two games he dished out 11 assists in 57 minutes.  The more Moore directs the offense, the better Duke is in the half-court and the less standing around there is.  Jeremy’s offense is coming on as he has decreased point guard responsibilities.  

Both Roach and Trevor Keels have improved offensively.  Trevor had such an outstanding game against Kentucky, and then just stopped shooting well.  He scored 44 points in these 3 games, including 19 against Elon.  Roach scored 30. Both were 2-5 from 3land.  Both are on the upswing.

Good But Needs Work

The hardest aspect of the game for a young team is to develop consistency.  Duke’s defense has been excellent but has suffered lapses in intensity.  Possibly the lapses are just being lazy, easy to give in to when you are aware of how athletically superior your team is to your adversary’s team.  Overall, the players have demonstrated that they are committed to becoming an excellent defensive team.  

Duke’s rebounding will have to improve.  Kentucky and Ohio State dominated the Blue Devils in the paint and on the boards at both ends of the court.  So did SCS and Appalachian State, not on offense, but in rebounding.  Then, Coach K issued the call to arms, which may have been answered against Elon, but should be taken with a salt-sprinkled understanding of how undersized Elon was.  With Paolo, Williams, Theo John, and A.J. Griffin, Duke has the horses to compete with the elite on the interior.  The ACC awaits.

It looks as if Duke will have an 8-man rotation.  Neither Bates Jones nor Jaylen Blake will play much when a game is in doubt (barring injury).  Theo John is a good backup for Mark Williams.  Joey Baker has played well (but surprisingly has not shot well from behind the arc) against the lesser competition.  He has worked on his game and supplies a steady hand.

Individual Statistics for These 3 Games (omitting A.J. Griffin – previously given)

Wendell Moore, Jr.:

Coach K: “He’s been our stud. He’s doing that on offense, and he’s also doing it on defense. He’s having, right now, an All-American year. He’s played as well as anybody and he’s been a leader.”

  • SCS — 11 points, 2 boards, 0 assists, 2 turnovers in 23 minutes.
  • AS – (when the team needed him) 21 points, 5 boards, 6 assists, 2 turnovers in 32 minutes.
  • E — 12 points, 3 boards, 5 assists, 0 turnovers, 1 steal in 25 minutes.

Paolo Banchero:

  • SCS – 12 points, 7 boards, 6 assists, 2 turnovers, 3 steals, 1 block in 21 minutes.
  • AS — 16 points, 6 boards, 1 assist, 3 turnovers in 31 minutes.
  • E — 12 points, 9 boards, 1 assist, 2 turnovers, 1 steal, 2 blocks in 23 minutes.

Mark Williams:

  • SCS – 10 points, 5 boards, 3 blocks in 20 minutes.
  • AS — 6 points, 4 boards, 1 assist, 0 turnovers, 2 steals, 3 blocks in 24 minutes.
  • E — 8 points, 3 boards,  1 turnover, 1 steal, 2 blocks in 14 minutes.

Trevor Keels:

  • SCS — 14 points, 3 boards; 3 assists, 2 turnovers in 21 minutes.
  • AS — 11 points, 3 boards, 5 assists, 2 turnovers, 1 steal in 33 minutes.
  • E — 19 points, 1 board, 0 assists, 0 turnovers, 3 steals in 25 minutes.

Jeremy Roach:

Coach K “He’s just working at it. He’s the guy who is pressuring the ball. He’s our best on-ball defender. As you start the season, I don’t care what you did in the preseason, you are not accustomed to spending that amount of energy on defense and then having the same shot. It’s kind of a period of adjustment in that regard. Not that he was in bad shape, but he is now in game shape – and he’s worked on it. Bottom line, he’s a good shooter but you have to get accustomed to a game environment. We play really hard on the defensive end, and he is the key up top, it’s just an adjustment he has gone through.” 

  • SCS — 9 points, 2 boards, 2 assists, 5 steals, 3 turnovers in 26 minutes.
  • AS — 10 points, 3 boards, 6 assists, 1 turnover in 32 minutes.
  • E — 11 points, 3 boards, 3 assists, 2 turnovers, 2 steals in 28 minutes.

Joey Baker:

  • SCS — 13 points, 5 boards, 1 assist, 3 turnovers, 2 steals in 20 minutes.
  • AS — 8 points, 1 turnover, 1 steal in 11 minutes.
  • E — 6 points, 3 boards, 1 assist, 1 turnover, 1 steal in 18 minutes.

Theo John:

  • SCS – did not play due to injury.
  • AS — 6 points, 3 boards, 1 assist, 1 steal in 14 minutes.
  • E  – 2 points, 0 boards, 2 assists, 0 turnovers, 2 steals in 12 minutes.

Facing the ACC

Until this year, we have never seen the ACC evaluated as being so weak.  Duke is the only ACC team in the Top 25.  UNC, Wake Forest, and Virginia Tech were the only ACC teams receiving any votes at all in the poll besides Duke.  Because there are no other ranked teams in the ACC, any losses in the conference will count heavily against Duke,adversely impacting post-season seedings for tournaments.  How Duke does in the 10 ACC-road-games will go a long way to evaluating the success of the regular season.  On the road, Duke will play: Clemson, Notre Dame (beat Kentucky 66-62), Wake Forest (11-1; only loss to LSU), Florida State, Louisville, UNC, Boston College, Virginia, Syracuse, and Pitt. 

Next Play: Tuesday, December 22 against Virginia Tech (5 votes in AP poll) in Cameron at 9:00 pm.  ESPN2.  Virginia Tech beat a good St. Bonaventure team (The Bonnies were 9-4 with a win over Clemson) like a drum (86-49) on Friday (Dec. 17).


Duke 76 –Virginia Tech 65; (Season 13 Issue 10 – Game 12) Alanalysis and Bill’s Cliff Notes

Bill’s CliffNotes:

During opening minutes of the game, the Blue Devils were as impressive as their new Gothic lettered “Brotherhood” uniforms; however, they quickly found themselves being schooled by a mature, well-coached, Virginia Tech team, which featured both accurate three-point shooters and two lethal big men. A four-point half-time Duke deficit quickly became eight and Coach K had seen enough. He went smaller, by replacing an ineffective Mark Williams with the more versatile AJ Griffin.  Coach K then challenged the recently unproductive Paolo Banchero by putting him in the post opposite Aluma, the Hokie center, who had torched the ineffective Duke big men – Williams, John, and Jones – for 17 first-half points. BINGO! New chemistry, new game: Griffin, Banchero, and Moore all became different players. An eighteen-point turnaround in ten minutes! How many times have we seen this scenario? A “Patented Duke Run” that, once again, determines the outcome of a tight game! The Maestro hasn’t won almost 1,200 games by accident! And he did it this time without even raising his voice.

 One of the joys of following Duke Basketball is watching players improve. Wendell Moore has taken three years. AJ Griffin, on the other hand, is doing it at warp speed in real time. How impressive is that? Jeremy Roach is much more effective as he settles into his role by understanding that, surrounded by this much talent, “Less is More.” 

Stay Tuned!

Note: The ACC changed its COVID-19 protocols on Wednesday, by changing the forfeit rule.  Previously, teams unable to play a scheduled league game due to positive COVID-19 cases forfeited the game. The new ACC rule stipulates that if a team does not have a sufficient number of participants, the game will be declared a no contest. Previously that had been a forfeit. However, if a team does have at least seven scholarship players and a single member of the coaching staff, and still decides not to play, the result would then be a forfeit.

ALANALYSIS: 

Duke played a superb second half, outscoring Virginia Tech 44 to 29, (shooting 16-26 from the field, 2-5 from deep) and 10-10 from the foul line. Defensively, the Blue Devils sparkled, shutting down the vaunted Hokie 3-point attack (1-9) and holding Virginia Tech to only 29 second-half points.  What was different about Duke’s second half? Coach K basically went with an “Iron Man 5”, with no appreciable help from the bench.

Duke played well in the first half, but the Hokies played better.  Significantly, Duke’s defense did not have its usual intensity.  The perimeter did not pressure the ball; the defense produced only 2 Hokie turnovers (only 1 steal, by Mark Williams). The Virginia Tech big men had their way on the interior. Keve Aluma (17 points on 7-12; 1-2 from deep and 2-2 from the line) and Justyn Mutts (8 points on 4-9) outscored the Duke big men 25 to 6.  Theo John (7:34 minutes played), Mark Williams (8:39), and Bates Jones (2:33) were all scoreless for the entire game.  Paolo Banchero looked lost and out of sync in his 14 first-half minutes, scoring 6 (3-9; 0-2 from deep, without getting to the foul line), adding a pair of rebounds, 2 assists, a steal, and a block against 3 turnovers.  Wendell Moore kept Duke in the game, scoring 12 points (4-6; 2-2 from deep and 2-2 from the stripe) in his 19 ½ minutes.  Joey Baker failed to score in his 5:33 minutes, while A.J. Griffin scored only 3 (1-3; 0-2 from deep and 1-1 from the stripe), with a rebound and turnover in almost 9 minutes….  Duke was behind 36-32 at the break.

Coach K began the second half with his starting lineup: Williams, Moore, Banchero, Keels and Roach. Duke immediately fell further behind.  Trailing 42-36, Coach K made the substitution of the year, when he replaced Williams with A.J. Griffin after 3:07 had elapsed.  A.J. played the remainder of the second half, except for 1:28.  The score during that period tells a fabulous Duke story.  In the stretch from 16:53 to go in the second half when A.J. entered the game, until there was 6:50 to go, when Griffin was given a brief rest, Duke was + 18 and had a 12 point lead.  As soon as Griffin went out, Duke’s lead shrunk from 12 to 7 (in only 1:28). Coach K rushed him back into the game.  In the next two minutes, the Blue Devils stretched the lead back out to 12.  

A.J. played 15:25 in the second half, scoring an efficient 10 points on only 4 shots (4-4, 1-1 from deep and 1-1 from the stripe), to go with 3 rebounds, an assist, a block, and a steal.  Although unmentioned by coaches or commentators, it is my quibble that A.J. was beaten a couple of times on defense and picked up his fourth foul with 3 minutes left.  His stamina may have just been diminished with his time away from the game in past years and months from injury, and because Coach K had to rush him back into the game to rescue Duke’s deteriorating lead. 

Coach K was appropriately ecstatic. “Wow, he played well. And he played well for a long time. I was talking to Jon [Scheyer] and Chris [Carrawell] on the bench and saying I wonder how long he can play. He kept playing. He showed, not just me, but himself something tonight that he can do that. If he doesn’t play like that we don’t win. This last week for him has been a good steady progression. Hopefully we can continue to build on it.” Another part of Duke’s marvelous second half was the performance of super-star freshman Banchero, after his sub-par first half.  Coach K: “We got down by eight, so we went and put Paolo [Banchero] on him [Aluma]. Paolo had a great second half, not a good second half. Both offensively and defensively.”  Banchero actually had an all-world half – 17 efficient points on only 11 shots (6-11, including 1-2 from deep and 4-4 from the stripe) to go with 6 rebounds and a highlight-reel assist. “That one pass he made was spectacular. That was as good as it gets, right there.” 

Duke used only 5 players for virtually the entire second half.  Williams never returned to the game after his opening 3:07.  Bates Jones (in the backup role usually played by Theo John) spelled A.J. for 1:28. Joey Baker spelled Keels and Roach for a 1:30 breather each.  That was it for the bench.  Moore and Banchero played the entire 20 minutes; Roach and Keels played about 18:30 and A.J. 15:25. Iron Man 5 it was!  It will be interesting to see how the success of the Iron Man 5 strategy impacts playing time in future games.

Coach K with the last word: “I told the guys at halftime, ‘Look, this game is even. We should be up by four points.’ Part of becoming a really good team is learning that in games like this is you have to do the little things. You have to do them, or you are punished by a good team. We grew up a lot in that second half. It was a big-time game for us.” 

Next Play: Wednesday, December 29 at Clemson in Duke’s first ACC road game at 2:00 pm.  ACCN.


Duke 69 –Georgia Tech 57; (Season 13 Issue 11 – Game 13) Alanalysis and Bill’s CliffsNotes

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2021-2022  game #13 (January 4, 2022)

Weird Circumstances

After defeating Virginia Tech on December 22, 2021, the Duke team left school and went home for a 3-day holiday.  When the team reported back, the entire team and coaching staff tested positive for COVID, necessitating a 10 day quarantine (confined to room; no practice or any interaction) and the cancellation of the away games against both Clemson and Notre Dame.  All the players and coaches were cleared for the Georgia Tech game last night.

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke played like a team that had been in covid quarantine for two weeks. Oh wait, they have been in quarantine for two weeks. It’s a good thing that the Blue Devils were playing in Cameron against a conference bottom feeder tonight, because against a decent ACC team, on the road, they might have lost from being tired and rusty . Duke shot 37% from the floor and 65% (26-40) from the line. When was the last time you remember Duke missing 14 of 40 free throws!?!! These are not usually winning numbers.

 For most of the game, Wendell Moore looked as if, on offense, he had reverted to last year. However, he had flashes of brilliance. In the clutch, Moore drove to the basket and was cut off.  A.J. barreled down the lane to the basket, and Moore hit him with a perfect pass which AJ slammed home dramatically.  A timely dunk late in the game; it was a key play to stop Ga. Tech’s mini comeback.

Defense was a different story. As we have pointed out, this team likes to play defense. As Coach K commented in his post-game press conference: “Defense was a key to the game. We are a good defensive team. When we played Ohio State, we got tired but that was more [because] of travel. They make you tired, and we stopped playing defense. Tonight, we did not do that. We talked about it at halftime. I told them, ‘I know you guys are tired, but you cannot be tired on the defensive end.’ We couldn’t be (like we were at) Ohio State, when we gave up buckets like that. We are maturing and hopefully we learned from that game. Defense is really a key to our team.”

ALANALYSIS:

The Good

    The Defense

Bill’s closing Coach K quote sums up Duke’s defensive effort with accuracy.  This was not Duke’s pressing, turnover defense, but rather one that contested every Ga Tech shot. This was in-your-grill-defense for the full 30 seconds of the shot clock.  Duke had 8 blocks (3 each by Paolo and Mark; 1 each by A.J. and Theo), but forced only 9 turnovers, including 3 steals.  It is comforting to understand the commitment that this group of players has to the defensive end; both Paolo and A.J. talked in post-game comments about their individual and team commitment to the defensive end.  Jeremy, Wendell (despite his offensive woes), and Trevor were and are superb defenders.

A.J. Griffin

It is fascinating to see in which game circumstances Coach K turns to A.J. Griffin. A.J. is like Coach K’s aspirin when the headache strikes. Duke was down a point, with 14:32 left in the first half, when A.J. made his first appearance in the game.  When he was replaced 4 minutes later, Duke led by 6.  In that stretch, A.J. garnered 2 rebounds, handed out a nice assist, and blocked a shot.  He changed the game without scoring. Griffin returned with 6:58 to go in the first half; Duke’s lead had been trimmed to 5 and momentum was beginning to tilt toward Ga. Tech.  By the time A.J. was replaced, with 1:59 to go, Duke’s lead was 9.  In the second half, A.J. played 8 consecutive minutes, leaving the game with Duke ahead by 12 with 7:39 left in the game.  When the Duke lead shrunk to 8, Coach K put A.J. back in the game.  Griffin scored 3 and fed Keels on a beautiful assist for another 3, setting up an 11-point Duke lead with only 2:09 left.  He made 2 free throws with 1:13 left in the game to cement the Duke win.

In 22:35 of floor time, he scored 12 (3-5, including 1-2 from deep and 5-8 from the stripe) to go with 6 rebounds, 2 assists (0 turnovers), and a blocked shot.  A.J. was Duke’s leading scorer in the second half, playing almost 14 minutes, scoring 8 points (2-3, including 0-1 from deep and 4-6 from the line) to go with 3 boards and an assist.  He was +17 for the game (which means that in his 22:35 on the floor, Duke outscored Georgia Tech by 17 points). A.J. was Duke’s force in the second half as Paolo was in the first half.

    Paolo Banchero

Paolo was, in my opinion, the defensive star of the game in his game-high 36:15 minutes played.  His offense was good – Duke’s leading scorer with 17 points on only 8 shots (4-8, including 0-1 from deep and 9-16 from the line).  Getting to the line for 16 attempts is dominating.  Missing 7 is disappointing if not horrifying.  Tired shooters do miss.  Paolo had 4 assists against 3 turnovers.  His on-the-ball defense was outstanding, whether he was defending Ga.Tech big men in the paint or guards on the perimeter.  Not many 6’10”  250 lb players can do that!  He plays such intelligent defense, knowing how to switch and when to hedge.  He had 8 defensive rebounds (11 boards in all), 2 steals, and 3 blocks.  Paolo was +10 for the game.

    Mark Williams

Coach K had not been happy with his 7-footer’s rebounding so far this season.  He had to have been happy with Mark’s rebounding last night against Ga. Tech.  In only 20 minutes, Williams snared 14 rebounds (9 defensive) – a stupendous effort and accomplishment!  Mark had a double-double, scoring 10 points (4-8 from the field and 2-2 from the stripe) to go with 3 blocks and countless alterations at the rim which prevented Ga. Tech field goals.

    Rebounding

Ga. Tech is not a big team (also the Yellow Jackets were missing their best big man) and does not rebound well.  So, Duke’s rebounding success (a 48-35 margin) has to be taken with a grain of something.  Still, it was a needed improvement by the Blue Devils.

The Almost Good

    Jeremy Roach

Roach is playing substantial minutes (36:10 last night) because of the defensive intensity he brings as well as his ball handling skills.  Even though he is not scoring as well as some (and I) think he is capable of, his defense is so valuable he will be in the lineup.  He would be up in the “good” if he could just put the ball in the basket more frequently.  He scored 9 (1-5 from the field, including 0-2 from deep; plus 7-9 from the line).  Jeremy is very aggressive and drew fouls with his drives.  He was + 11 for the game.

    Trevor Keels

Trevor is also a wonderful on-the-ball defender, who would move up to “good” if his shot went in more frequently.  Keels scored 10 (3-10, including 2-6 from deep) with a steal and a turnover.

    Foul Shooting

40 free throws is an accomplishment, but missing 14 of them is Not Good and will cost Duke in big games should that affrontery continue.  Maybe the Covid circumstances and quarantine (no practicing at all) are an explanation –  worth watching going forward.

Not Championship Caliber (AKA The Bad)

    The Bench (Besides A.J.)

         Joey Baker

Joey played 7:19, sinking his only 3-point shot and his only foul shot.  In contrast, his defense was awful.  He looked as if he must maintain social distancing while attempting to defend.  He can make baskets, but his defense will continue to limit his playing time as I think it did last night.

         Theo John

In 3:59 of playing time, Theo missed both of his attempted shots, while blocking one.

Jaylen Blakes

Jaylen played less than 2 minutes, missing his only shot, a wide open 3-point attempt.

     Wendell Moore, Jr.

Wendell had his first bad offensive outing of the season.  He has been Duke’s best player, but he stunk on offense last night. In 35:32, Moore scored only 8 (2-11, including 1-3 from deep and 3-5 from the stripe).  He had 2 assists, 2 rebounds, and 3 turnovers.  Admirably, Wendell did not let his offensive woes impact adversely on his defense, which was superb (as usual).

    The Offense

Duke looked out of sync on offense, committing turnovers (10) and having shots blocked (7).  The plausible explanation is the long layoff between December 22 and January 4 plus the 10-day quarantine.  Still, in the game-winning last 4 minutes, the freshmen – Keels, Banchero and Griffin — scored all of Duke’s points, stretching the lead back out to 11.  Griffin had a monster dunk off a great Moore feed to top off the game, stinging the Yellow Jackets dead.

Next Play: Saturday night (Jan 8) against Miami in Cameron at 8 pm. ACCN.  Miami had a 7-game winning streak in Dec 2021-Jan 2022 [after a rocky November (4-3)], including 3-0 in the conference (wins over Clemson, NC State, and Wake Forest).  Miami may make it an 8-game streak with a home game tonight (Jan 5) against Syracuse. 


Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) Duke 74 – Miami 76; (Season 13 Issue 12 – Game 14) Alanalysis and Bill’s CliffsNotes

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

It’s games like this that must make Coach K think he should have retired a few years ago. Miami, the undersized senior citizens of college basketball (Charlie Moore is 23 and counting), gave Duke’s (sometimes) precocious teenagers a postgraduate course in Basketball 101 by schooling them in fundamentals and by forcing them into 17 turnovers, scoring 52 points in the paint by spreading the floor and making basic cuts and passes. Miami’s offense was so lethal that Coach K went to a 2-1-2 zone. Only briefly though, because Charlie Moore hit a 3 from somewhere near Greensboro.  K promptly returned to-man-to-man, which was no more successful than it had been before the zone infinitesimal interlude. Conversely, Duke’s inability to force turnovers was as important as Miami’s success in forcing turnovers.

This team cannot play fifteen or so minutes of their best basketball or twenty-five of so-so basketball and expect to beat decent teams. They cannot have 18 turnovers and still beat decent teams. Even so, Duke led by three points with 34 seconds to go, but then they blew it.  K’s instructions: “No three point plays”! When Charlie Moore drove to the basket, Jeremy Roach was beaten (once again) and fouled him as Charlie threw up a wild prayer of a shot.  That is when the basketball gods intervened and said: “Not this time, Duke you don’t deserve the win” and somehow Charlie’s no-look layup bounced around and miraculously went in

Charlie, who shoots and makes threes from Steph Curry’s range, missed a foul shot, the rebound of which  was somehow snatched by the smaller Jordan Miller from the midst of Duke’s bigs, before Kameron McGusty hit a floater to put the ‘Canes ahead.  Duke still had a chance to win the game but could not capitalize on the opportunities.  Wendell Moore had a wide-open look for the win and missed. Duke got another shot on an out-of-bounds play, but Keels missed a prayer of a three.

Coach K was left to make the excuses for his team’s inconsistent play by blaming the residual effect of the Covid virus. Who knows, but it does not explain the inability of players to be able to stop an undersized, three-point-shooting team from making threes and also beating the larger Blue Devils with points in the paint. Nor Mark Williams’s lack of  understanding that when he brings the ball low, he gives up his considerable size advantage and allows smaller players to steal the ball.  Banchero has impressive guard skills for a man his size, but in close games he is more effective down low.  

How much defense is needed to cover for periods of inconsistent offense?  These players must play Duke Basketball consistently in order to win close games! “Sometimes” is simply not good enough. 

ALANALYSIS:

It turns out that the game was even more depressing to write about than it was to watch — and that’s saying something.  With the exceptions of Paolo Banchero and Mark Williams, the Blue Devils were so far below form that the team was almost unrecognizable.  Duke committed 13 first-half turnovers (17 for the game), while scoring just 2 points off the only live ball turnover that the defense forced.  Though Duke was bigger and outrebounded Miami by 14 (44-30), the Blue Devil offense was so sloppy that Miami took 11 more shots than Duke (70-59).  In short, Duke made Miami look good.

The Good

    Banchero

        Paolo played a great game [in 35:18, he scored 20 points on only 10 shots (6-10, including 2-4 from deep; and 6-7 from the stripe), to go with 7 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 blocks, and a steal], but it was his second-half effort that was even more spectacular.  Paolo played every second of the last period, scoring 13 points on 6 shots (5-6, including 1-1 from deep and 2-3 from the stripe.  With Duke behind by a point with 1:17 to go in the game, Banchero blocked Wong’s layup attempt and retrieved the rebound.  He then scored a hotly contested layup to give the Blue Devils a 1 point lead with 1:01 to go.  Fourteen seconds later, Paolo poked the ball away from Miami to Wendell, who hit Banchero with a great pass for an easy layup and a 3-point Duke lead with 45 seconds to go.  Banchero never touched the ball again and Duke never scored again.

    Williams

        Mark was very efficient in his 26:33 on the court (his most court time in a game this year), scoring 12 (6-8; missed his only foul shot) with 7 rebounds and 6 (6!) blocks.  He had 2 assists, but also 3 turnovers.  Even when Mark doesn’t block the shot, he has a knack for altering opponents’ shots so that otherwise easy shots don’t go in.  Frequently, Mark and A.J. Griffin substitute for each other.  Duke tied the game at 63 with 6:36 to go.  Mark turned it over with 5:53 left; the Hurricanes scored to take a 2 point lead and Coach K replaced Mark with Roach.  With Duke still down 1, Williams returned, replacing A.J. with 2:27 left.  Williams delivered immediate dividends after a Miami hoop (3-point Hurricane lead with 2:05 left) when he grabbed an offensive rebound off a Roach miss and slammed it home to bring Duke back within 1.  A.J. Griffin then replaced Williams. Therefore Williams was  not in the game for the final 1:33 , including for Charlie Moore’s missed foul shot, which wound up being rebounded by Miami.  If Duke had secured that defensive rebound it is likely the Blue Devils would have won. 

Not Bad, But Could Be Better

    A.J. Griffin

        A.J. made his first two 3-point attempts to score 6 quick points in the first half, but then missed his next 3 shots (2 from deep). Those first 6 points were his only first-half points  in 13 minutes on the court, also contributing 4 first-half rebounds (1 turnover)  He scored 4 in the second half (2-4, including 0-1 from deep and 0-1 from the stripe) with 2 boards.  He scored 10 in a little over 24 game minutes.  He is clearly the sixth man, and in the second half was Duke’s only substitute.

    Joey Baker

        Joey played only 6 first-half minutes, without scoring. One rebound.  His (lack of) defense at the end of the first half may explain why he did not get into the game in the second half.

    Theo John

        Theo played even less than Baker, appearing for only 2:29 in the first half (scoring 2 points on 1-1, a dandy lefty hook, and a board). He did not enter the game in the second half. His playing time is being curtailed by Coach K in favor of more time for A.J.

The Ugly Perimeter

For the first 13 games of the season, Duke’s perimeter defended brilliantly, and on offense scored consistently with four ball handlers, even without a traditional point guard (though Wendell could object to my take on that).  Against Miami, the defense was porous, allowing Miami’s guards to penetrate at will, whether on straight drives or back door cuts.  The Blue Devil pressure defense that had thrived on forcing turnovers – especially live ball turnovers that led to transition points — failed to turn the Hurricanes over and produced only 1 basket from a live ball turnover in the entire game!  Miami outscored the taller Blue Devils in the paint 52-38 because of Duke’s sloppy turnovers and shoddy defense.

Coach K: “First of all, points off turnovers give you points in the paint. If we don’t turn the ball over, we would hold them in the 60s and they’ve been averaging 90. The backdoors were the ones because we didn’t want to contest. We’re not going to get steals, so we’re playing half a man below and they still backdoored. That shows you’re tired, I think. … I thought a key point of the game was when we were up 26-18 and we were playing well, and we came down three or four straight times and turned the ball over.” 

Wendell put it this way: “A lot of our turnovers were kind of unforced errors, just lazy passes, dribbling the ball off our legs, dribbling into double- teams … just things that we know we really can’t do. It’s stuff that we went over in the scouting report. I feel like if we clean up some of that, the outcome is definitely a little different tonight.”   

     Roach

        Jeremy played 32 minutes, scoring 9 (3-8, including 1-2 from deep and 2-2 from the line), with a rebound, 4 assists, and 3 turnovers.  Roach’s calling card for playing time is his defense.  Ineffective is a fair adjective to describe his defense against Miami.  He simply could not guard Miami’s Charlie Moore, who torched him (other defenders as well, but Roach was primary) for 18 points on 13 shots (6-9 inside the arc) with slick drives and back door cuts.  Roach was embarrassed through the back door.  Even the announcer wondered if Duke would adjust to the stream of back door layups from Miami (the answer turned out to be “no”).  With Duke leading by 3 and only 34 seconds left, Charlie Moore had the ball for Miami.  Coach K: “Our thing is no threes and no fouls in that situation … and we (Roach) fouled. We were too spread out, we wanted to be condensed but we were not.”

    Keels

        Trevor played 36:11 in the game (all 20 minutes of the second half), also scoring 9 points, but taking 11 shots (2-11, including 1-6 from 3 and 4-4 from the stripe).  Keels had good statistics aside from his abysmal shooting: 6 rebounds, 4 assists, without a turnover.  Moore had previously told the press that the Duke perimeter triumvirate put such intense defensive pressure on an offense that opponents were unprepared for its intensity.  Miami gave every appearance of being so completely prepared for the Duke pressure that there did not seem to be a Duke pressure defense.  Keels had a chance to win the game with 12 seconds left and Duke trailing by a point.  Trevor raced down court and looked to be loose in the paint before Miami defended him effectively and retrieved his missed shot.

    Moore

        Wendell has, I believe, understood how dramatically his game has fallen off in the last two games from the high standard he set for himself in the first 12.  Even though Moore had a double-double (12 points and 12 rebounds), he did not play well.  Wendell is aware that Duke depends on him for leadership and to play well.  “I really think that all starts with me. Tonight, I didn’t lead the guys the way I’m supposed to. Up three with 30 seconds left, I feel like, as a leader, I can’t let our team lose that game. So really I kind of put this one on me as a leader.  … But at the end of the day, I feel like if we follow our scouting report and I lead our team better, I feel like the outcome is different.”  Wendell played a team high 37:14 (all 20 minutes of the second half). His 12 points came from 5-12 shooting, including a sad 0-4 from deep; 2-2 from the stripe) to go with his 12 rebounds and 7 assists (but 6 turnovers).  He also had a block and a steal, which makes for a misleading stat line.  Moore didn’t lead as he had done earlier this year, and it cost Duke dearly.

    Even so, Miami left the door open.  After Miami scored to take a 1 point lead with 20 seconds left, Keels drove into the lane, but missed with 12 seconds remaining. When Miami grabbed the rebound, Griffin had to foul with only 8 seconds left. When Miami’s Wong missed the second foul shot with 6 seconds to go and Duke behind by 2, A.J. got the rebound.  With 2 seconds left, Wendell received a great pass and had a wide open 3 for the win …but clanged it.

Conclusion

Coach K: “I thought Wendell [Moore Jr.] had a good shot, I thought Trevor [Keels] really took the ball hard and had a chance to maybe get a foul. We had a chance to win the game, but we did not. It’s a very tough loss for us and we just have to keep moving. We’re not in shape.”

The reason it has been depressing to write about this game is that the game perhaps demonstrated that Duke is vastly overrated as the only ACC team worthy of being in the top 25. Based on the Miami game, Duke is clearly not a top 10 team. Was this desultory performance an aberration caused by the weirdness of the COVID disruption, or is Duke simply not as good as we had hoped and predicted.  Time will tell, but the evidence from the Miami game is no reason for optimism. 

Next Play: Wednesday night (Jan 12) at Wake Forest at 7 pm. ACCN.


Duke 76 – Wake Forest 64; (Season 13 Issue 13 – Game 15) Alanalysis and Bill’s CliffsNotes (January 12, 2022)

“What do you say we start Griffin and not tell Coach K?”       Credit: Raleigh News and Observer                                                                         
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Coach was missing-in-action with a non-Covid virus (aka severe indigestion after watching loops of tape of the Miami game where Duke made 17 turnovers and blew a 3-point lead with 30 seconds to go.  (Instead he might have watched Georgia demonstrate how to close out a close game in beating Alabama for the N.C.A.A. Football Championship. Go Dawgs!!!) Not to worry, head coach in-waiting, Jon Scheyer, filled in admirably for head coach Mike Krzyzewski by replacing Jeremy Roach in the starting lineup with A.J. Griffin, who responded by scoring 22 points on only 11 shots! (Jon is 2-0 as head coach. He won at Boston College last year, only about 1,081 wins to go to match Coach K.)

The Devils started fast with Banchero working down low and scoring almost at will to get an early eight-point advantage. Then, they played like they did  in the Miami game and lost the lead until 42 seconds before the half ended when the Blue Devils turned the game around. Moore hit a layup, Keels had a steal then a 3, Griffin drew a charge then nailed a three — an 8-0 run in the final 42 seconds and Duke was up 35-29 at the half. They continued to play outstanding defense and offense to start the second half, scoring on their first nine possessions making the Duke lead 55-35 — after the 20 – 6 run. Then Duke cooled off, and Wake cut the lead to the low teens where it stayed until the final buzzer.

Duke showed how lethal this team can be at their best, but how ordinary they can look when they get stagnant on offense and lazy on defense. Hopefully, COVID can explain some of their uninspired play, but you never know what goes through a teenager’s mind—even a precocious one.  One thing for sure, Banchero and Griffin need the leadership and scoring of Moore, the defense of Williams and Keels, and occasional breathers from the bench to beat the best teams.

ALANALYSIS: 

Duke won each half by 6 points, for its total 12-point margin of victory: opening stanza 35-29; second half 41-35.  In a stretch of time that included the last 42 seconds of the first half + the first 4 minutes 42 seconds of the second half (total 5 minutes 22 seconds), Duke outscored the Deacons by 22 points (25-3), scoring on the Blue Devils’ first 9 possessions of the second half.  The defense made it happen by holding Wake to a single field goal and a single made foul shot in that 5 minute stretch.  

Wendell Moore explained how it felt: “It all really started with our defense. Our defense led to easy shots on the offensive end, it gave guys confidence to come in and hit huge shots. … I really think this win was big for us, not just because we won, but the way that we played as a team.  … [T]his game was so fun to play in as a team. It felt kind of like how we were playing at the beginning of the season. It was a lot of fun – guys sharing the ball, a lot of guys smiling. You don’t even know who’s scoring, you just know that Duke’s scoring. We’re getting stops at the other end. That’s what it’s about. Any time we come out and play like that, I think we’ll be a very hard team to beat.” 

All the starters, except Moore, scored during that amazing 4:42.  Banchero scored 9 of his 11 second-half points during that run. The defense was intense, led by Mark Williams, who made all 3 of his blocks during that special run.   

However, it is worth noting that for the other 34 minutes and 38 seconds of the game, Wake outscored the Blue Devils 63 to 51.  What do we make out of those two different sections of the game, as well as for the streaks for each team within the game in the second half?  Wake cut the Duke lead to as low as 11 at the midpoint of the last half, but twice after that, the Blue Devils pushed the lead back out to 20, the last being with 7:37 left in the game.  Duke had an 18-point lead with only 4:02 left in the game, and the lead was 16 before Wake scored the last two baskets during garbage time at the end.

The Defense

While Duke’s offense was inconsistent, the defense was stout throughout and visibly flummoxed the Deacons.  Duke forced 15 Wake turnovers; Wake had only 7 assists.  So even though Duke was outrebounded (36-29), Duke still took 7 more shots than Wake (61-54).  Wake’s star, Alondes Williams, scored 25 and may have seemed unstoppable at times.  A closer look shows that Duke defended Alondes quite effectively, thereby slowing down a Wake offense that has been formidable this year (until last night).  To achieve 25 points, Alondes had to launch 21 of Wake’s total of 54 shots.  Moreover, though he is Wake’s leader in points and assists, and did dishe out 4 assists last night, Duke hounded Alondes into 7 turnovers from which Duke scored a bunch.  Moore had primary responsibility, but like all great defenses, it was team defense that stymied Alondes and the Geek Deacs.

The Rotation

A.J. Griffin replaced Jeremy Roach in the starting lineup, which obviously changed the rotation.  Coach Schyer: “First of all, it gave us great size. That group that we put out there to begin the game, it’s a big team. Trevor Keels and Wendell Moore Jr., as your two smallest players – they’re big guards that can switch really well, switch one through four at times, one through five. AJ Griffin has just been coming on. He’s just been playing really well. We still need Jeremy [Roach] to come through big for us, and he did that in the second half. But it was really AJ’s emergence, the consistency that Mark Williams has had, and then really to spotlight and highlight Paolo Banchero. Paolo played a terrific game.”

Moore was on the court for the entire game (except when Scheyer took him out with 43 seconds to go); Banchero played 37:36; Griffin 35:44 (his longest of the year by far); Keels 28:01 (he was injured and couldn’t or didn’t play the last 6:54); Mark Williams 21:45 (his second half was limited to 9 minutes because of foul trouble –  he picked up his 4th with more than 13 minutes left in the game); Roach 19:35 (14 minutes in the second half where he scored all 5 of his points.)

Theo John committed 4 fouls while failing to score in 6:27 inefficient minutes.  Joey Baker scored a point (0-2, including 0-1 from deep; and 1-3 from the foul line) in his 11:32 appearance.  In those minutes, he also committed a foul and a turnover.  I find his defense a liability.

As a team, Duke committed 18 fouls for the game.  Too many!

The Offense

The most critical improvement for the offense after the Miami game is that there was no rash of turnovers the way it happened against Miami (13 in the first half).  Against Wake, Duke only turned it over 7 times.  The ball handling was crisp, with Moore in charge.  Duke hit 7 of 15 from deep (21 points on 15 shots); but not much better from the foul line (7-13).

    Banchero

Paolo scored a team high 24 points, but took 23 shots to do it (11-23, including 2-6 from deep, and, strangely, did not even attempt a free throw).  He added 5 rebounds, an assist, and a block. Paolo’s 23 (of Duke’s 61) shots were more than the other 3 starters (except for A.J.) combined (Keels 9; Mark 6; and Moore only 5, for a cumulative 20).  Paolo’s defense is sometimes not appreciated as much as I think is deserved.  With Mark on the court for only 9:31 second-half minutes, and Theo limited by his four fouls to 2 second-half minutes, Paolo played as center with Duke’s small lineup for almost half of the last stanza.  Paolo said after the game,  “I think the mindset in the second half was ‘Don’t let up.’ … We didn’t want to let up because last time we were on the road against Ohio State, we were up 13 at halftime and obviously we know what happened. We didn’t want to have that happen again, and so we just wanted to come out and keep our foot on the gas.”  

    Griffin

A.J. was simply the star!  He scored 22 points (11 in each half) on only 11 shots (8-11, including 3-5 from behind the arc) and 3-5 from the stripe.  His 3-pointer at the first half buzzer was a great finish to the half and the start of the Duke run.  He also contributed 4 key rebounds, an assist, and a block.  It was A.J.’s night!  His teammates and coaches showed their delight at A.J.’s superb outing.

    Moore

Wendell showed how to dominate a game without scoring much.  He scored only 7 (2-5 from the field and 3-5 from the foul line).  Moore led by grabbing 5 rebounds, handing out 6 assists, without one turnover, while making 3 steals.   His dramatic improvement from the sluggish effort against Miami was just what the Blue Devils needed to eradicate the bad taste left by the Miami loss.

    Keels

Trevor scored 11 (5-9, including 1-2 from deep without attempting a free throw).  He was 3-3 in the second half before his injury, handled the ball with aplomb (4 assists; 2 turnovers), and defended well (2 steals).  He garnered 3 boards.  I am not in love with the +/- statistic, but it is worth noting that Trevor was + 17 in the second half and + 27 for the game, both well above any other Duke player.

    Williams

Despite his foul trouble and limited second half playing time, Mark was efficient in his almost 22 minutes on the court.  He scored 6 (3-6).  His value was demonstrated with his team high 7 rebounds and 3 blocks. 

    Roach

Jeremy contributed, mostly in the second half, when he scored all of his 5 points on 2-2 shooting, including 1-1 from behind the arc.  His 3 halted a Wake mini-comeback and gave Duke breathing room.  He played almost half of the game, where he also contributed 2 steals and an assist, all without a turnover.

Concluding Thoughts

Evaluating this team’s progress, potential, and quest for ACC and National Championships is more difficult this year than in a non-COVID normal year.  However, this makes every game highly anticipated as the unexpected is likely to happen.  The league may be down (only Duke in the top 25), but the games are fascinating, close, and it is impossible to predict their outcomes.  Miami beat Duke IN CAMERON but then lost last night by one point to Florida State.  I plan to enjoy this season somewhat uncritically (and if you believe that…).

Next Play: Saturday afternoon at 2 pm vs. NC State in Cameron. TV: ABC


Duke 88 – North Carolina State 73; (Season 13 Issue 14 – Game 16) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (January 15, 2022)

Mark Williams reaches for a triple-double, executing one of his eight critical blocks against NC State. Photo credit: AP Photo/Gerry Broome
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Johnny Tar Heel told me that the Miami loss might be the best thing that could have happened to Duke. Well, only if it was an impetus for moving A.J. Griffin into the starting lineup and using Jeremy Roach strategically as the sixth man. This should solve some of the problems by making the Blue Devils bigger and more lethal offensively, and more consistent defensively. Trevor Keels (9 assists, 5 steals, 12 points) is a better defender, and demonstrated an ability to share, if not run, the point, which allowed Wendell Moore to replace Banchero on the wing, permitting Paolo to operate around the lane where he is most effective.

The wins against both Wake and NC State showed periods wherein the Blue Devils were capable of playing better, if not more consistently, than they did before the Christmas break when the team contracted the COVID virus.  Having said that, we must acknowledge some areas that need to be addressed: the tendency to fall behind early; the drop off in free throw shooting efficiency from nearly 80% to about 60%; and defensive rebounding.

Mark Williams took full advantage of Manny Bates, the Wolfpack’s big, mature center being out for the season, by having a Career Game (19 points, 11 rebounds, 8 blocks).  He also made the highlight play of the game by running down a fast break pass and, while leaping out of bounds directly under the basket, in one motion caught it and threw a no-look bounce pass to a following Banchero for an uncontested dunk. 

Wendell Moore has shown flashes of playing like he had in the first eleven games of the season. All in all, the two games were a good response to a disappointing performance against the Miami Hurricanes.

Duke’s Tuesday game against Florida State, which beat Miami by a point this Friday in Tallahassee, will be a better test of how far the Blue Devils have come back and how far they have to go to be a formidable contender.

ALANALYSIS: 

Paolo Banchero has earned my leadoff spot today with his accurate post-game summary of where the Blue Devils are now: “We’re getting there. Like Coach [Mike Krzyzewski] said, we’ve still got a long way to go and still some things to figure out. But we’re definitely trending in the right direction as a team. We’re playing a lot more together, we’re communicating better on offense and defense, and we’re holding each other accountable, just as a team, and everybody listens to each other. Nobody’s stubborn. Nobody doesn’t listen. Everyone takes what someone has to say and puts it to use, so we’re definitely taking good steps.” 

The team, and individual statistics, against NC State bear that out.  Duke shot an amazing 66% (31-47) from inside the arc. The Blue Devil bigs ran circles around the smaller Wolfpack.  Coach K: “Our big guys were terrific. Mark [Williams] almost had a triple double. Theo [John] really contributed well in the first half when we got a little lead. We got 29 points, 13 rebounds and nine blocks from our bigs. Let’s get that every game.”

Paolo’s “we’re playing a lot more together” is demonstrated by Duke’s 23 assists on 35 field goals – 9 for Keels, 4 each for Roach & Paolo, plus 2 each for A.J. and Williams – against only 8 turnovers.  As Bill describes, one assist from Mark was special.  Keels pitched ahead to Williams in transition, but the pass was a little too long. Mark caught it underneath the basket, but his momentum was carrying him out of bounds. Amazingly, he maintained his balance and had the composure, while in midair, to drop a short bounce pass back for an oncoming Banchero to finish with a dunk.  (I couldn’t resist also describing the play; it was just so pretty.)

On the defensive side of the ball, Duke blocked 10 Wolfpack shots – 8 by Williams and 1 each by Banchero and John.  Five of those blocks were on State’s offensive star, Dereon Seaborn, who has earned a reputation with his athletic drives to the basket and 20 points per game average.   Duke limited State to 41% shooting (31-75).

However, there were aspects of the game that also support Paolo’s “we still have a long way to go and still some things to figure out.”  NC State grabbed 22 offensive rebounds, which resulted in the Wolfpack attempting 15 more total shots than Duke (75-60).  Coach K on his team giving up 22 offensive rebounds: “With our bigs helping, when there was a missed shot, they weren’t able to block out the [NC State] big because they were helping the perimeter. The weak point of our game was the offensive rebounds against us. However, you’re going to give some up … we limited their threes, limited penetration, but it’s difficult to limit everything.”  

Duke’s defense was amazingly lax (as in way too relaxed) during the first 5:16 of the game.  NC State shot 6-7, including a 3, from the field plus 2-2 from the line for 15 points to lead Duke 15-8.  Scoring continuously at that rate would produce almost 120 points for NC State for the game.

Duke shot only 31% from behind the arc (4-13), but even worse from the foul line — 14-24 with Paolo and Joey each missing 3 while Mark and Theo each missed 2.  Mark’s 2 misses were “and one” as he was fouled while scoring. Thus, Duke’s bigs missed 7 free throws.  

Williams, Banchero, and Keels had excellent outings.  Theo John had his best game of the season.  Moore didn’t look himself until NC State made a late run, then he  morphed into his pre-Xmas leadership role.  Griffin, Roach, and Baker contributed, but each has contributed more in previous games.

    Williams

Mark in 26 minutes was just two blocks short of an amazing triple-double (19 points, 11 boards, and 8 blocks) with 2 assists, including the one that Bill and I loved to describe, and a steal.  Mark committed only one foul and one turnover.  I believe that warrants a “wow”!

    Keels

Trevor was even better than his impressive stat line that Bill set out above. In 35:15, he was 5-13, including 2-6 from deep, for his 12 points while snaring 5 boards, and handing out those dazzling 9 assists (only 2 turnovers).  Even more important to Duke was his dominating defense that resulted in 5 steals and intimidating harassment of the Wolfpack backcourt.  Coach K: “I thought Trevor [Keels] played his best game since the beginning of the season, with nine assists and five steals. He made a couple passes to Mark when the momentum was changing a bit, and Mark made good catches and finishes. … With the starting lineup we have, he ends up being a point guard at times, and with the other lineup, he really never was, unless we put him in a ball screen. He’s a very smart player and he’s strong with the ball. He can get in certain positions and make passes because of his strength. He’s had a really good week of practice.  I think he’s getting sharper, and he had a terrific game for us tonight.”

    Banchero

Paolo is so good, it’s easy to take his game for granted.  Coach K: “Paolo played his normally solid game.”  Normal?  In the second half, Paolo’s “normal” was 13 points on 4 field goal attempts (4-4) + 5-8 from the line.  Paolo was so distraught at his 3 misses that when he made his last 2 ( which clinched the game) he gave himself cynical applause.  Paolo’s “normal” in his 32:39 game minutes was 21 points on 11 shots, 8 rebounds, 4 assists, and a steal.  Coach K will be even happier if Paolo does not make the 4 turnovers he committed during last night’s “normal”.

    Moore

Wendell logged 33:13, scoring 15 (6-8; 3-3 from the line) and corralling 4 boards.  But Wendell had 4 turnovers with only a single assist.  However, when NC State cut the Duke lead to single digits late in the game, Moore took over.  In the second half, he scored 9 on 4-5 shooting and 1-1 from the line (a 3-point play) and solidified Duke’s win.    Coach K was insightful about Wendell and the playmaking help he received from Trevor, which: “took off some of the load from Wendell [Moore Jr.]. Wendell is not back to where he was before this. He had one assist and four turnovers … he used to have four assists and two turnovers. We put a lot on him, and maybe we can take a little off so he’s not playing so tired. In the last six minutes of the game, I thought he was our best player. He didn’t have a great game until then, but he’s guarding Seabron …[one of the] best players in the league and probably…first team All ACC. That’s had an impact on his offense.”

John

Theo logged 10:33 in this, his best game as a Blue Devil, scoring in double figures (10 points on 4-4 sho0ting and 2-4 from the line), grabbing 2 boards and blocking a Wolfpack shot.  Great contribution.

    Griffin

A.J. played 27:31 (1-6 from the field, including 1-4 from deep) with a pair of rebounds and a pair of assists. He gave Duke a 23-21 lead that the Blue Devils never relinquished when he scored his only points, a 3 with 9:26 left in the first half.    Still Coach K understands what A.J. brings to this team.  When assessing Duke’s return to pre-pause strength, Coach K said: “the element that’s changed is A.J. [Griffin]. A.J. did not have that spectacular game today. He’s 18 and I thought he played hard and well. I think our fans think that every shot he takes will go in. I wish that were true, but today he didn’t. He’s the new element.”

    Roach

Jeremy played 23 minutes without a field goal (0-1, a layup that was blocked) but made 2 critical foul shots when NC State had cut the Duke lead to 9 with 5:15 left to play.  As Coach K pointed out “Jeremy [Roach] didn’t give us points, but he gave us defense, four assists and no turnovers.”

    Baker

Joey played 12 minutes, scoring 6 points  (2-5 from the field, including 1-3 from deep;  1-4 from the stripe (ugh!).  He added 2 boards and an assist.  Coach K: “Joey gave us some really good minutes.”

The Last Part of the Second Half When It Counted

NC State never quit and made things a bit nervous for Duke fans as the Wolfpack cut into the substantial Blue Devil lead.  Duke stretched the lead to 19 with 12:11 to go and again with 10:59 left.  Duke still led by 17 with 7:31 to go.  Then NC State made its run, trimming the Duke lead to 11 with 6:04 left.  Coach K called a timeout that didn’t help because after, Paolo made a bad pass allowing the Wolfpack to draw within 9 on a 3rd offensive rebound and dunk by Dowuona.  75-66 with 5:20 left.  State fouled Roach in the backcourt, and he made both free throws; Moore scored on a drive that resulted in a traditional 3-point play – lead 14 with 4:30 left.  State twice again cut the lead to single digits: first on a Seaborn offensive rebound and dunk (80-71 with 3:21 left), and then on a fast break layup (82-73 with 2:50 left).  That is when Paolo took over and sealed the deal. First, Paolo hit Moore with a beautiful pass for a layup; and then Paolo scored on an assist from Keels and closed out the scoring with 2 foul shots to create the winning margin before being taken out of the game with 38 seconds left, to cheers from the Cameron Crazies.

Next Play: Tuesday evening at 9 pm at Florida State. TV: ABC/ESPN


Duke 78 Florida State 79; (Season 13 Issue 15 – Game 17) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (January 18, 2022)

an 18, 2022; Tallahassee, Florida, USA; Duke Blue Devils center Mark Williams (15) tries to block a shot from Florida State Seminoles guard Caleb Mills (4) during the first half at Donald L. Tucker Center. Mandatory Credit: Melina Myers-USA TODAY Sports
FSU ties Duke up. Photo credit: USATSI. Melina Myers-USA TODAY Sports
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

There is something about teams from Florida. Big or small, they know how to play Duke. Both Miami and Florida State not only exposed  Duke’s weaknesses—inconsistent play, turnovers, rebounding (the Seminoles had four point-blank misses at the rim before finally getting the ball in the basket to start the second half – Where were the Duke defenders?).  But surprisingly FSU also outhustled Duke for most of the game. Tonight, the Seminoles deserved to win. But, the Blue Devils were beaten by the same play as they were in the Miami game: a guard driving right and putting up a difficult shot—one a prayer while being fouled by Roach (Miami), the other a beautiful lay-up high enough off the backboard to keep from being blocked by both Banchero and Williams (FSU).

Banchero, who somehow did not take a shot for the first fifteen minutes of the second half, put the team on his back the rest of the way. Somewhat surprisingly, if not amazingly, Duke made a determined run of 12-4 in the last five minutes, without Trevor Keels who injured his calf before the stretch drive, to go ahead, before Evans’ great shot to tie the game as the buzzer went off. The impetus to the dramatic late comeback was Duke switching to a zone defense, which kept the Seminoles out of the paint.  However, Duke switched to a man-to-man on Evans’ drive to tie the game in regulation—possibly to avoid a winning three point shot.

It was an exciting college basketball game; Florida State deserved the win by executing a terrific game plan with enthusiasm. It is obvious from the stats what Duke needs to work on: Florida State had 19 offensive rebounds to Duke’s 7 and forced 15 turnovers while committing only 5. They also had 18 more field-goal attempts than Duke. The good news for the rest of the season is that the Blue Devils, playing as poorly as they did for most of the second half, nearly won and could have won by making a stop at the end of regulation or a shot at the end of overtime. Who should take the last shot—the man with the hot-hand. In this case, it is obviously Paolo Banchero, not Wendell Moore, who has played erratically since the break. That’s what good teams do.  

ALANALYSIS: 

THE LEAD

The key statistic – where analysis starts, is that FSU fired up 73 shots –18 more than Duke’s 55, including 2 more from deep (25-23).  Duke gave up 19 offensive rebounds to the hustling Seminoles (I have heard no calls for a new mascot or new nickname), while committing 15 turnovers and a damaging 19 fouls.  FSU shot 80% from the foul line and outscored Duke by 6 from the stripe (20 points to14).  Duke survived the turnovers and the Seminole rebounding — Duke scored 1 more field goal and 3 more 3s from deep (10 baskets to7 ), but Duke’s fouling on defense turned out not to be survivable.  Of all the Duke failings, Duke would have still won if they had not committed so many fouls and if FSU had not shot such a high percentage from the line. 80% is excellent.  Duke lost by 1 — on foul shots.  No one has mentioned it, but it was not a smart or necessary foul. FSU’s victory in the last 12 seconds of the overtime came on 2 foul shots following an inexplicable Roach foul.

When Bill and I spoke at half time, I said, “FSU is just playing harder than Duke.”  It was true.  The Seminole effort on defense was prodigious, turning Duke over and destroying Blue Devil offensive cohesion. One play stands out:  Banchero tried to bring the ball up court and just couldn’t (a timeout saved the Duke possession, but the Seminole intensity was at zenith.)  Then in the second half, the wheels fell off for Duke.  In the first 3:35 of the second half, Duke failed to score; the 5-point Blue Devil half time lead became a 4-point deficit by then.  After 7:14 had elapsed in the closing stanza, Duke had managed to score just 3 measly points.  FSU’s largest lead was 9 (59-50) with 7:32 to go.

Coach K: “Florida State’s depth and their physicality – they played hard, and it was tough to get entry passes. It was tough to run plays against them.  I thought their defense dominated our offense. It was really not kind of an x and o game – they’re going to take you out of every play, so you’ve got to make plays.  [I]t was the most physical game we’ve been in. They knocked us back for most of the first half, and at the end of the first half we took some control. And then right away at the start of the second half, they dominated those first four minutes and set a tone where we could’ve been knocked out. We kind of hung in there, and in the last seven-eight minutes, we changed defenses.  [From man-to-man to a 2-3 zone.] That gave us a little bit of rest and I thought it slowed down the momentum of the game. The momentum of the game was definitely going in their favor for most of the game.” 

First Half 

Even though FSU attempted 9 more field goals, forced 5 more turnovers than Duke (and had 3 more steals), Duke’s offensive rush in the last 1:54, scoring 5 straight points (Keels a basket and 1-2 from the line; Williams 2-2 from the stripe) snapped a 33-33 tie and gave Duke a 5-point lead at half time.  Nevertheless, the Seminoles had played harder.

Banchero scored 9 on 4 field goal attempts (3-4, including 0-1 from 3land) and 3-4 from the foul line. He had 6 rebounds. Keels scored 9 on 8 shots (3-8 from the field, including 2-6 from deep) and 1-2 from the line, but committed 3 turnovers and only a single assist.  Joey Baker (2-3, including 1-2 from deep) & Wendell Moore (2-2 from the field, including 1-1 from deep) each scored 5.  Mark Williams was 1-2 from the field and 2-2 from the stripe for 4 points to go with a block and 3 boards.  Jeremy Roach (1-2 from the field and 1-1 from the line) and A.J. Griffin (1-1 from deep) each scored 3 for Duke’s 38 first-half points.

Second Half

After 7:32 had been played in the closing period, Duke stopped falling further behind the ‘Noles. But, the Blue Devils still trailed by 9 with 6:52 left in the game. With 4:53 to go, Paolo made two foul shots – his first second-half points. The Seminole lead was a substantial 8 with 4:29 left and 6 (65-59) with just 2:55 left.  In the next 2:25, Duke scored 8 straight points as Paolo’s full game went on display (after he had failed to score in the first 15:07 of the second half).  First, he got a rebound of a shot he had missed, and dunked it (65-61). Then he fed Mark with a lovely lob for a Mark Williams dunk, cutting the Seminole lead to 2 (65-63).  With 1:09 left, Paolo fed Griffin for the game-tying jump shot (65-65).  And finally with only 30 seconds remaining, Banchero again fed Williams for a dunk and a 2-point Duke lead.  FSU had 14 seconds left on the clock after calling time out.  Duke had been in a zone to stop the bleeding, which had fueled the necessary defensive part of the comeback.  But for this last possession, Duke switched to a man-to-man defense, which Evans defeated on a superb drive and layup over both Paolo and Mark to send the game into overtime.

Trevor Keels had a terrible second half (0-3, including 0-2 from deep and committing 2 fouls) before being hurt with 10:11 left in the game.  Coach K: “we think it’s not a knee, it’s a calf injury, but we don’t know the extent of it.” 

Jeremy Roach took up the slack.  While he only scored 3 (1-3, 1-2 from the line), he handed out 3 assists without a turnover.  Coach K said that in the latter stages of the half, “we started making plays and Jeremy and Paolo were a key to that. I thought Jeremy Roach really played one of his best games and was strong with the ball, and so was Paolo [Banchero]. We were just much stronger with the ball during that time period and made really good plays as a result of it.” 

Mark Williams led Duke’s second-half scoring with 9 points (4-5 from the floor; 1-1 from the stripe) to go with 3 rebounds and 2 blocks.  He was superb at crunch time.  Moore scored 6 on 2-3 from deep, but committed 3 turnovers without an assist.  A.J. scored 2 on 1-3 shooting while Theo John missed both of his field goal attempts, but made both of his free throws for 2 points.  Joey Baker missed both shots, failing to score while committing 3 fouls.

In the closing stanza, Florida State attempted 11 more shots than Duke because the ‘Noles had grabbed 13 offensive rebounds off of Duke’s backboard while Duke had only 12 rebounds off the same backboard,  Not common–a defensive team doesn’t usually allow the offense to get more rebounds off of its own backboard.  Duke’s 7 second-half turnovers also contributed to Florida’s advantage in shots attempted.  Finally, Duke committed 10 fouls, which FSU turned into 13 points (13-14 from the line in the second half).

Banchero: “I think some of the struggles, they were denying and switching everything, so they were in all the passing lanes, making it hard to catch the ball. [They were] making us catch outside of where we wanted to start our offense at. They put good pressure off the ball and on the ball.  Then, we turned it around I think by getting out in transition and then driving and kicking. That worked for us pretty much all game, was driving and kicking out. …  The zone, I think, worked just because we were able to keep them out of the paint for the most part. Then, just staying engaged and finding their shooters – [John] Butler, for the most part, we didn’t let him hit any threes in the second half and down the stretch.”

The Overtime

The offensive prowess of both teams returned for the overtime (ie the ball started to actually get in the $&^* basket). The lead changed 6 times and the game was tied thrice in the 5 minute session. Florida State scored 12 to Duke’s 11.  Banchero scored his 4 overtime points in the last minute of the overtime, including 2 foul shots that gave Duke a 78-77 lead with 36 seconds to go.  In the overtime, A.J. hit a 3, then Moore and Williams each scored a 2-point basket for Duke’s 11.  With 12 seconds left and Duke leading by one, Roach fouled Evans, who made them both, giving the Seminoles their winning margin.  Duke still had those 12 seconds.  Moore flew down court but made an ill-advised drive against 3 large waiting FSU defenders.  He turned it over and that was the game.  The pre-pause Moore might have made a different play. 

Closing Thoughts

It turns out not to be too much more complicated than that, with just a handful of seconds left in both regulation and the overtime, the ‘Noles scored and Duke failed to. 

As Coach K said, “It was a tremendous basketball game. Great crowd, two teams that played their hearts out. [When] you’re the road team, the home team benefits from that, which is why it’s tough to win on the road.”  Duke, as Bill wrote, is too inconsistent to be a national (perhaps not even ACC) contender.  Yet, the Blue Devils could have easily folded after the disastrous first five minutes of the second half on the road, but didn’t.  Duke stormed back against all odds to lead by 2 with 14 seconds to go.  Duke fought through the overtime (and the loss of Keels) to lead by 1 with 12 seconds to go in overtime.  Great spirit.  On the other hand, this is exactly the type of game that really good teams win (especially on the road against an unranked team – that I predict will be ranked next week) but lesser teams lose.  

Part of Duke’s inconsistency comes from not having a true point guard (not a new theme for me). I watched Oklahoma play Kansas in a close, tough game.  Jordan Goldwire is the Oklahoma point guard, and he has grown tremendously.  He led Oklahoma, took all the key shots down the stretch and was a true leader.  Watching both Duke and Oklahoma last night made me wish Jordan had remained at Duke for this year.

[Note: all of Coach K’s quotes are accurate.  I did re-order some of what he said for better organization and comprehension.]

Next Play: Saturday Jan 22nd afternoon at 2 pm vs. Syracuse in Cameron TV: ESPN


Duke 79 Syracuse 59; (Season 13 Issue 16 – Game 18) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (January 22, 2022)

Moore drives and dunks (better than driving drunk). Photo Credit: Duke Chronicle
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Coming off two recent, tough, one-possession losses, Duke’s game was a test of commitment to fix weaknesses. On paper, it looked like a walk in the park for Duke. But Syracuse has always been a tough out for Duke. If a team is not shooting the three well, they are in for a long, difficult game, because Syracuse‘s zone can make life miserable for you when you are not—and Duke was without Trevor Keels, who is one of the Blue-Devils best outside shooters. Fortunately, A.J. Griffin got the Devils off to a good start by hitting his first two threes (and five 3-pointers overall).  And the Blue Devils played their best defensive game of the year, holding ’Cuse to 5-29 threes and 35% from the floor. The Blue Devils were ahead by thirty before Coach K substituted liberally. Duke was most impressive in playing a spirited defense, shared the ball well—four starters scored 15 points, there were 25 assists on 30 baskets. Wendell Moore had a very active game (15 points, 8 assists, 6 rebounds, 2 steals) and seems to be regaining his pre-break mo-jo, which could give Duke a much needed edge in the predictably close games coming up.

“We played really well,” Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski said. “We’re getting better. It’s been a tough time since Christmas with COVID and Trevor’s injury. These kids are hanging in there, getting better,and today they played really well, especially on the defensive end. We were connected on the offensive end with balanced scoring. For a few minutes there in the second half, I thought it was the best we’ve played.”

P.S. After North Carolina gave up 85 points to Miami and 98 to Wake Forest, Johnny Tar Heel says that he is changing his name for the season to Johnny Blue Devil.

ALANALYSIS:

Bill wrote in his CliffsNotes, after Duke lost to Florida State, “Both Miami and Florida State not only exposed Duke’s weaknesses — inconsistent play, turnovers, rebounding (the Seminoles had four point-blank misses at the rim before finally getting the ball in the basket to start the second half – Where were the Duke defenders?).” ALANALYSIS also identified Duke’s failures to both defend against the drive and to foul excessively in the attempt to defend, as major flaws.  

It is worth exploring how well Duke has done in correcting and improving those deficiencies against Syracuse, a team whose talent is not equal to Duke’s (or FSU or Miami for that matter).

The Defense

Saturday’s game  was, especially in the first half, perhaps Duke’s best defensive effort of the season.  Duke held The Orange to 22 first-half points on 26 % shooting, including 2-16 from behind the arc (12.5% in the first half; 5-29 or 17% for the game).  While it appeared that Syracuse just happened to miss a bunch of open shots that the Boeheim Brothers and Joe Girardi usually make, Coach K pointed out that those misses were the result of the intense defense Duke played overall, which makes shooters rush a bit even when they’re open.  Coach K acknowledged in understatement “We played good defense.”  It started with Wendell Moore, Jr. defending the lethal Buddy Boeheim.  Coach K: “His [Wendell’s] defense today started it off.  He had a tough assignment.  He did a good job with it.”

Jeremy Roach and Wendell locked down on Syracuse’s 2 best scorers, Buddy Boeheim and Girardi.  Wendell: “Their two guards, Joe Girardi and Buddy Boeheim, are two of the best shooters we have in our conference, two of the best scorers we have, so basically on the perimeter we knew we had to come locked in early and it started with myself and Jeremy – with those two assignments we knew we needed to win those matchups.”   And win it they did!  Buddy (averaging 18.6 p.p.g) was held to 7 points on 2-15 shooting, including 1-10 from deep; while Girardi (averaging 13.6 p.p.g.) was also held to 7 points on 3-13 shooting, including 1-9 from behind the arc.   Roach: “I think Wendell did a heck of a job on [Buddy]. Just knowing your personnel, knowing your scout. Knowing what he likes to do, knowing tendencies. I think that was a big thing for us. They love to run those floppy actions, so just knowing to stay on top of that, knowing to go over the screen, because he likes to come off and shoot the ball. Try not to foul him too. Buddy only got to the line once (2-2).  Wendell did a great job of not fouling him on his jumpers too, so give a lot of credit to him.” 

A.J. Griffin’s defense is catching up with his offense.  His improvement defensively is impressive and was acknowledged by Coach K in his press conference. “[A.J.]’s a really easy guy to play with because he keeps spacing, he plays defense, he makes simple passes, and today he did a really good job on [Cole] Swider, that perimeter is a very difficult guard.”  Griffin is now secure in the starting lineup and playing starter minutes (31 yesterday).  

Defensive Rebounding

While Syracuse actually took more shots than Duke, and did grab 15 offensive rebounds, Duke pulled in 32 defensive rebounds (retrieving over 2/3 of the rebounds off its defensive backboard – quite respectable).  Paolo Banchero was an excellent rebounder with 13 (10 defensive boards), as was Mark Williams with 7 (5 defensive) and A.J. Griffin with 6 (4 defensive).  Duke outrebounded the Orange 45-35, and thus scored more second-chance points than ‘Cuse. Satisfactory improvement from Florida State’s flood of second chance points, but then again, Syracuse is  a weaker rebounding team than FSU.

Fouling

Duke committed only 12 fouls in the game, but a close analysis makes that statistic even better.  Duke’s starters committed only 5 fouls the entire game (Moore had 2; Banchero, Roach, and Williams each had only 1; Griffin did not foul.)  No Duke player had more than 2.  Syracuse only scored 6 points from the stripe in the entire game. Major Duke Improvement! 

Turnovers

Duke scored 20 points off Syracuse turnovers while giving up only 13 to the Orange as a result of Duke turnovers.

The Offense

Duke’s Excellent Passing

Coach K: “I think we shared the ball well. In the last two games Jeremy [Roach] has like 20 assists and two turnovers, or something like that, and he and Wendell [Moore] were 17-2 today for assists and turnovers. So, they were sharing the ball and balanced scoring.” Impressively, Duke had 25 assists on 30 made field goals.  That earns a Wow!

Duke’s Balanced Scoring

The balanced scoring that the Duke team exhibited may set them up in a good way for the rest of the season, not being dependent on any single scorer will help them be more adaptable.  Moore, Banchero, Williams and Griffin each scored 15, while Joey Baker had 11.  Roach 6 and Theo John 2 = Duke’s 79 points.

    Moore: 6-12, including 3-7 from deep with 6 boards, 8 assists (only 1 turnover), and 2 steals. Coach K: “In non-conference, he was a beautiful player, one of the best in the country.  With the stoppage he lost his rhythm.  Maybe tried to do too much instead of doing too much of what he had done before.  I told him, ‘don’t bring the past into the present.  The only thing good about the past is if you learn from it.’  Today he was smiling.  He’s playing.  He’s our leader on the court.”

    Banchero: 6-11, including 1-4 from 3land, 2-4 from the stripe with 13 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 steals, and a block.  Paolo: “We’re just shooting our shots now. One thing Coach says is don’t hesitate – if it’s there, shoot it. Let it go. We work a lot on shooting before and after practice, so we’d be wrong not to take those shots. We should want to go out there and shoot confidently.” Paolo’s high basketball IQ helped him orchestrate Duke’s attack against the zone. “Yeah, … just catching it in the middle and then making reads trying to find the open guy and not doing anything too special. We just threw it to the open player and tried to get guys good looks, and obviously looking for my shot when it was there.” 

    Williams: 6-7 from the field and 3-3 from the line, with 7 boards and a block (but 4 turnovers). Mark played only 23 minutes and was dominant inside.  His big sister, Elizabeth, an All-Time Great Duke player, congratulated Little Brother on his career-high 8 rebounds against Florida State.  However, she reminded him that she had the family record for blocks in a game with 12!  “You have a way to go, little bro.”

    Griffin: 5-10 from the field, including 5-9 from behind the arc with 6 boards, a steal, and a block.  A.J. made all four of his attempted 3s in the first half (plus one more 3 in the second half).  Coach K: “AJ is our best shooter and I’d really like for him to be more aggressive. I think A.J. keeps it really simple. He’s a really easy guy to play with because he keeps spacing, he plays defense, he makes simple passes.  He’s a key guy, there is no question about it.”  K compared him to Reddick as a shooter.  That may be exuberant or maybe not.  The ascent of A.J. may have only just begun.

    Roach: 2-10, including 2-8 from deep with 9 assists (a turnover) and 3 boards.  Jeremy earned praise from Coach K, “He’s had a great attitude.  He is a good kid, all team.  A lot of pressure on him today because we switched and put Jeremy on top instead of Wendell.  He had 2 great days of practice.  I’m proud of him because he didn’t shoot well, but he didn’t let it affect his defense or his passing.  And that’s a sign of a really good player.”

    Baker: 4-8 from the field, including 3-6 from deep with an assist, a steal, and 2 turnovers. Joey is energetic and made his open shots.  He had 2 turnovers and was beaten on defense a couple of times. Good support off the bench in the absence of Keels. 

    John: 1-2 from the field with 4 boards and an assist. Theo provides support for the Duke interior on both ends of the floor.

SOME CLOSING THOUGHTS 

Wendell: “That last game we lost before this one was definitely a tough one, personally and team wise. But the second we came back it was this fire that was inside all of us, like this game on Saturday is one that we need to win. It was a bigger game than just a regular game for us. We called it a ‘program game’ in our locker room. So, we all just came out here with that mentality and it really showed with everybody who checked in today – checked in with a different fire, different energy.” 

Coach K: “It’s coming along, we just have to run our own race. I’m not paying attention to anybody except the team we’re playing next, and my team obviously. We’re going to run our race, keep getting better, and see what happens. Any other things that are put on us, I don’t care. I don’t care about rankings; I care about winning and playing well and getting better. Our kids did that this week. They responded well. We had two bad end-of-game situations since this part of the conference has started. Sometimes this can really knock you back when you lose one-possession games but thank goodness it didn’t do that for our guys today.” 

There is a saying that “one Swallow does not a summer make.”  Duke has been described, not inaccurately, as “inconsistent”.  Excellent wins over Kentucky and Gonzaga. A final possession loss at Ohio State. Nice opening ACC win over Virginia Tech, but then disappointment against Georgia Tech and a final possession loss to Miami.  Improving nicely against NC State and Wake Forest, before another final possession loss to Florida State. That’s three shocking losses on the final possession of the game.

Now Duke is back to “improving nicely” against Syracuse.  January holds three more games: Clemson, Louisville, and Notre Dame.  February opens with UNC in Chapel Hill. The jury is still out on whether the Blue Devils will remain a few Swallows (avian not alcoholic) short, or if they will usher in a sunny summer by morphing into the National contender we all hope them to be.  

Next Play: Tuesday January 25th  at 7 pm vs. Clemson in Cameron TV: ESPN2


Duke Blue Devils 71 v.Clemson Tigers 69; (Season 13 Issue 17 – Game 19) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (January 25, 2022)

The Baker rises. Photo by Winnie Lu | The Duke Chronicle
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

It’s one thing to lose to good teams like Miami by a basket at home and to Florida State in Tallahassee in overtime. It’s another to almost lose to Clemson after Duke having beaten them the last 19 times they faced off  in Cameron. Rebounding and turnovers are still a problem for Duke: Clemson outrebounded Duke 39-31, had two fewer turnovers, a 15-6 edge in transition.  And took 19 more shots from the field than Duke. The good news is that Joey Baker and Bates Jones picked up the scoring slack when Banchero sat out about ten minutes of the first half after picking up two silly fouls in the first 5 minutes of the game. 

However, playing hard and smart consistently on defense was another problem.  Duke led virtually the entire game and seemed poised to deliver the knockout blow time and time again in the second half–but even with Banchero back they didn’t.  Duke led 41-36, 43-38, 47-41, 52-46, 55-48 and 60-53 and yet somehow trailed 65-63, with 3:19 left.

These players need to understand they are not in high school anymore—everyone in college can play and shoot the three and are not intimidated, but rather energized, by playing against one-and-doners wearing jerseys with Duke on the front and targets on the back. When Banchero and Williams and Moore are on the floor with any two other players, Duke is formidable if the five are playing hard, and smart, and taking care of the ball. When they aren’t, it’s a jump ball.

OTHER COMMENTS:

  • A case for A.J. Griffin: He is 9-for-17 from the left corner of the 3-point arc and 8-for-13 from the right — miles ahead of NCAA averages from either location. Griffin started off the season slowly due to his pre-season knee injury, but he took coming off the bench with the maturity of a seasoned veteran, waited his turn to start, and is now cooking ACC defenses when he gets in rhythm.  The approach to a Duke offense hitting on all cylinders is simple—when you have a player uniquely capable of making shots worth 1.5 times more than anyone else in your lineup, you should use him as much as you possibly can.
  • Dick Vitale’s grandsons are on the Duke tennis team, coached by Ramsey Smith, son of legendary tennis player Stanton Smith. The Vitale grandsons are both top-20 recruits, with Connor coming in at No. 8 overall and Jake checking in at No. 19. The Krug brothers are finally here, and they’re ready to make an impact. *see photo below
ALANALYSIS:

INTRODUCTION

Duke was back to “improving nicely” when they demolished Syracuse last Saturday.  It is hard to deduce whether “Duke is improving nicely” from the 2-point win over Clemson last night.  

Before last night’s game, Clemson had won 11 while losing 8 — with losses to St. Bonnie, W.Va, Rutgers, Miami, Virginia, Notre Dame, plus a loss on January 18th (91-78) to the same Syracuse that Duke had shellacked! A 2-point win in the last minute – in Cameron – is less than a status-raising / stellar performance.  Head Coach in Waiting, Jon Scheyer, told the ESPN sideline reporter at halftime, “they played harder than we did.”  Not the first time a comment like that has been made about a Duke performance this year.  

Duke was well scouted by The Tigers, as you could tell from the opening two plays.  On the opening jump, Mark Williams, who has been winning every tap all season long with a back tap to Jeremy Roach, again did the back tap to Jeremy.  However, Clemson knew what was coming, and attacked Roach before the ball reached him.Roach had to foul in the first 2 seconds of the game trying to outfight Clemson for the ball.  On Duke’s first offensive possession, A.J. Griffin tried to feed Paolo Banchero in the post, but Clemson met the pass before it even reached Paolo.  Clemson demonstrated from the opening tip that the Tigers had come to play.

Yet, Duke did not wilt under the Clemson energy. Rather, in the second half, the Blue Devils adjusted to the intensity of the back-and-forth game to make winning plays when it counted.  A dramatic turnaround from the final possession losses to both FSU and Miami.  Making the plays that count at “winning time” is no small matter.

The second half was vastly different from the opening stanza; therefore, taking a separate look at each half is the way to obtain the clearest analysis of this game.

FIRST HALF: TIE AT 36

Coach K acknowledged the intense defense that Clemson played throughout the game (part of “playing harder” than Duke in the first half): “They were denying entry passes, applying ball pressure…for Jeremy [Roach] to finish the game with nine assists and only one turnover is fantastic because their guards played outstanding defense. The Trevor [Keels] thing…we’re not who we are without him, … They knocked us back because it wasn’t just pressure on the ball, it was old-time man to man defense where you had a hard time making an entry, or if you did, you’re out of your normal area of deployment—getting a ball to the elbow. Every single one of their kids played hard.”

Duke’s scoring was (to say the least) “unusual”.  Joey Baker scored 9 points in 7 minutes, on 3-4 shooting from deep to lead Duke’s first half scoring.  That was a first!  

Bates Jones came off the bench for 9 first-half minutes, and scored as many points as Duke’s season-long high scorers – Banchero, A.J. Griffin, and Wendell Moore – scored in the opening period.  All four of those players scored 5 points.  Bates was  2-3 from the field, including 1-2 from deep.  Another first! 

Mark Williams was the second highest scorer, with 6 points (1-1 from the field and 4-5 from the stripe).  Roach only scored 1 to complete Duke’s first-half scoring (1-2 from the line), but he had 5 assists against only a single turnover.

A.J. Griffin had a difficult game.  His ineffective 12 first-half minutes limited his playing time in each half.  In the first half, Griffin was 1-5 from inside the arc without attempting a shot from deep.  He did sink all 3 of his foul shots for his 5 first-half points, his only points of the game.  A.J. played fewer minutes than Joey Baker did in the second half. and was not even on the floor at crunch time.  Coach K: “He is young, that physicality – he has to learn how to respond to the physicality.”  Duke shot well in the opening half  – 11-24 from the field (including 6-10 from 3land) plus 8-10 from the stripe  –  but allowed the Tigers to force 9 first-half turnovers from Duke and to grab 5 offensive rebounds, which gave Clemson 11 more shot attempts than Duke had.

Duke’s defense was visibly less intense than Clemson’s.  Duke forced only 5 turnovers (truthfully, most Clemson turnovers were not forced; Clemson was just careless with the ball), while Clemson scored 12 points off Duke’s 9 turnovers.  Duke had half as many steals (3) as Clemson had (6).  Clemson had not been a good 3-point shooting team, but then last night shot 50% from behind the arc in the first half (6-12), because Duke.didn’t have the energy or will to guard the 3 point line and contest the Clemson shots.

SECOND HALF – DUKE 35 v. CLEMSON 33

The Rotation

In response to Clemson’s intense defensive pressure, Roach and Moore each played 40 minutes.  After being harried into 9 first-half turnovers, Duke committed only 3 in the closing half.  Astoundingly, neither Roach nor Moore committed a single turnover in the last stanza.  

The reduction in turnovers was a remarkable second-half improvement which was a significant factor in Duke’s win.  Three Duke players played every second of the latter stanza – Banchero was the 3rd.  Mark Williams played almost as much; he was out of the game for less than 2 minutes (Theo John played only those 108 seconds that Mark sat out).  Joey played 10:39, scoring a crucial basket to give him 11 points for the game, while A.J. played only 9:21 (0-2, including 0-1 from deep to go with a board and an assist).  Incredibly, it was Baker in the game rather than A.J. for the last 7:26 of the game.

Paolo was superb in the second half after having been limited in the opening period by the 2 quick fouls he picked up.  He scored 14 second-half points (6-11, including 1-3 from deep plus 1-1 from the stripe,) while grabbing 5 rebounds, handing out 3 assists and blocking a shot.  He scored 19 points for the game.  That is star stuff!

Moore scored 8 (2-6, including 2-4 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line), in addition to 4 boards and an assist.  He is almost back to his pre-pause standard. 

Roach scored 7 (3-6, including 1-2 from behind the arc) with 4 assists – Paolo, Wendell, and Jeremy accounted for 29 of Duke’s 35 second-half points.  Coach K pointed out that with Keels and Moore handling the ball in recent games, Jeremy has “been playing off the ball because Wendell [Moore] was out there. With Trevor [Keels] being hurt we put him back on top, and (chuckle) he probably wants to stay on top. He was really strong, in addition to hitting those two shots after all that ball pressure…he’s in really good shape physically and mentally. He’s worked really hard. He and Nolan [Smith] have worked on extra stuff, and whenever guys do that, they play better. They just don’t do what you do in practice, they do extra, and the extra can’t just be practice-work, it’s got to be an investment.”  Roach’s recent games have been extraordinary; he has logged 28 assists against 3 turnovers in the last four games.

Jeremy added, “In the Miami game, we kind of did a little one-hand rebound and they got the ball back. So just rebound with two hands, execute and don’t turn the ball over, and no fouls. You saw we slapped the floor [late in the game] and that was a big Duke moment out there to get some stops.”

Mark was 2-2 for 4 points.  Coach K: “Mark is becoming more athletic laterally. You always see him being athletic vertically, but his lateral movement has really gotten better, and he’s more athletic. He’s playing wider, he’s moving his feet, and he had to tonight, playing against [Hall]. You know, we’re moving forward here, and I see him improving in that area and I needed him to do that tonight because Hall was a big-time matchup problem—I think he had 10 defensive rebounds, too.” 

Baker made a crucial layup for his 2 second-half points. His basket plus those by Paolo, Wendell, Jeremy, and Mark, account for all  of Duke’s second half points.  Baker may have had the fewest points, but arguably the most crucial. Coach K: “The very first guy you should talk about is Joey because when Trevor went out, in our practices, Joey elevated his talk, his enthusiasm, and as hard as he works, he worked harder and was really a co-captain—and it translated. You didn’t see it much against Syracuse because we played lights out, but again, he did it in preparation for this game, and did it again tonight. In fact, I just talked to him privately about it—that he’s [become] a big-time Duke veteran in these last couple of games.”   

Winning Time

The second half was nip and tuck with Duke leading by between 1 and 7 points, until Clemson took its first lead with 61-60 at 6:11 left in the game.  I think of the final five minutes of a game as “winning time”. With 4:40 left, Paolo threw a beautiful cross court pass to Jeremy who hit a 3 (Duke leads 63-61).  Hunter tied it at 63 with 4:10 left before Clemson converted yet another offensive rebound to lead 65-63 with 3:19 left.  Roach penetrated inside on a drive to tie it at 65 with 3:05 left.  After the media timeout, Hall, well defended by Mark, missed and Jeremy got the rebound. Crucial! 

With 2:15 remaining, Joey Baker made a great driving hook shot to give Duke a 2-point lead, which it never relinquished.  When Clemson missed a 3 with 1:53 left, Wendell grabbed the critical rebound, raced the ball down court himself,  and made the assist of the game with his entry pass down low to Paolo.  Banchero made a difficult turnaround jump shot out of the post that gave Duke a 4-point lead (69-65 with only 1:27 left).  But the Blue Devils transition defense failed after Paolo’s next shot missed, giving up a fast break dunk by Clemson  to make it 69-67 with 37 seconds left.  Jeremy then won the game. when he fed Paolo with a perfect lead pass for Paolo to lay it in, giving Duke a 4-point lead with only 10 seconds left.  Clemson cut the lead to the final two point margin with a meaningless offensive rebound put back with 1.2 seconds left.  A thrilling, yet disappointing win!

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS

Coach K: “The big three tonight were Joey, Bates, and Jeremy. … With Bates he’s on the scout team so he doesn’t get much time because he’s playing behind Paolo, and a lot of times we put A.J. in for Paolo. Banchero wasn’t in and A.J. wasn’t having his game, so Bates stepped up. Again, we made mention of that in front of the team because that’s how you win —when others step up.”  

One writer asked in the post-game press conference how Duke was going to fix its rebounding problem (the other team getting so many offensive rebounds creating so many extra shots).  K’s reply was interesting (maybe even enlightening), “Keep working at it.  We won! So, we did some things to make up for that disadvantage.  We are not a perfect team.  We’re young and playing our butts off.  As we move forward, let’s keep seeing individual and collective improvement.  I haven’t seen a perfect team yet and we are certainly not one of them.”

That leads me to ask: Even though Duke is still the only ACC team ranked in the top 25 in both polls, is Duke the best team in the ACC, or are they overrated?. Facts to consider: Duke is tied with Miami and Florida State for the ACC lead at 6-2 (each of those teams beat the Blue Devils; Miami in Cameron).  Notre Dame also has 2 losses, but only 5 wins.  Of Duke’s 6 wins, only one was against a team with a winning ACC record (Wake at 7-3).  Duke’s other wins are against bottom teams – Ga. Tech (1-6); Virginia Tech (2-6); NC State (3-6); Clemson (3-6); and Syracuse (3-6, after last night’s loss to Pittsburgh).  

Louisville (on Saturday) is 5-5, but in disarray.  Their coach was  just fired today.  Virginia, Duke’s other game in January, is 6-4.  This Duke team is hard to evaluate at this point in the season.  February will be the month to get a real feel for how Coach K’s last team, the 2021-2022 Duke Blue Devils, will be remembered.

Next Play: Saturday afternoon, January 29th, 2022 at 12 pm at Louisville. TV: ESPN2

Dick Vitale and his tennis-playing grandsons, the Krug Brothers

Duke Blue Devils 74 v. Louisville Cardinals 65; (Season 13 Issue 18 – Game 20) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “Cliffsnotes” (January 29, 2022)

A.J. channels J.J., eyeing up the three. Photo Credit: Duke Chronicle
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Head Coach-in-Waiting Jon Scheyer said in an interview: “We are a different team with Mark Williams on the floor.”  If there is any doubt about that, you only needed to watch yesterday’s game at Louisville.  The Blue Devils quickly built a lead that fluctuated between 12-16 points in the first half, then Williams went out with two fouls. Before you could say “WTF “, the margin was only two points – until A.J Griffin hit a three with .6 seconds left to play in the half, from what can only be described as Steph Curry territory. 

Starting the second half, predictably Louisville went right at Williams, who was called for his third foul and took a seat on the bench. It was a re-run of the Clemson game until shortly after Mark came back in and took control of the boards and, with an assist from Banchero, made what can only be called one hellacious / vicious/ all-ball blocks by a big man on a big man you will ever see, followed by a block of a three, recovering the ball to create a turnover….well you get the idea.  Basketball is a game of momentum-changing moments—and these were two of them. They were the impetus for a Duke 14-5 run to salt the game away.  Mark’s dominance gave the opportunity for Banchero to be Banchero, for Griffin to be Griffin, Moore to be Moore…well you get the idea. Mark Williams is the catalyst for the rest of the team to play inspired Duke Basketball!

Mike Krzyzewski on the end of the game: “We were able to hang in there and keep it either tied or a two-point lead until Mark came back in and Mark had been a tremendous influence on the game in keeping balls alive on offense and protecting the basket. Our half court execution was really good, and AJ was terrific. When it was 62-60, he hit a three and then he hit another three, if they don’t hit threes, that puts you up four possessions and then we were able to get a stop and then we had two really good offensive executions which took some time, and we were able to stop them and got that margin.”

The puzzling thing is why the Blue Devils at this stage of the season cannot play a complete game? How can teams like Louisville and Clemson play them even or make up big deficits? One reason today was that the Devils were 8-18 free throws and 6-20 for threes (Griffin was 5-5, so the rest of Duke was 1 for 15 ). Maybe, it’s that teams are playing Duke very, very physically. The refs had to take time to calm the players down. These Duke players don’t back down but maybe it distracts them—is this a basketball game or a test of one’s manhood?  Whatever the case, it’s getting a little late—even with the Covid and injuries—to be coming together. However, if anyone can do it, Coach K can.

One more comment: our Hall of Fame Coach certainly has the pieces. Banchero contributes in more ways than scoring. He is a Swiss Army Knife type of a player: scores, passes, and rebounds with equal efficiency. A.J. Griffin is the most lethal three-point shooter since JJ Reddick. Moore and Keels are terrific defenders and explosive, if not consistent, scorers. Roach is a steady point guard, who has settled into playing to his strengths as the season progresses.

Next play: Road Trips.

ALANALYSIS:

Winning Time (for this game, the last 5:45 of play)

Louisville was tied at 2-2, never led in the game, and finally tied the game again at 60, with 8:28 left to play in the game.  Wendell Moore was fouled twice, making 1-2 each time, to give Duke a 2 point lead with under 6 minutes to play.  Then, the Blue Devils were given a magical boost by A.J. Griffin, for the best “winning time” basketball of Duke’s season so far!  

When Paolo Banchero blocked a dunk attempt by Louisville’s 6’9” strong man, Sydney Curry, Mark Williams grabbed the deflection.  Jeremy Roach fed A.J. Griffin, who swished his fourth 3-pointer of the game, with 5:46 to go.  (65-60).  

Then came the sequence that changed the game.  Falkner, a Cardinal sharp shooter, had a mid-range jump shot blocked by Mark; Williams also managed to keep control of the ball.  When Jeremy missed a layup, Paolo grabbed the offensive rebound, but missed his put back.  Mark grabbed yet another offensive rebound and passed to Wendell.  Moore passed to Griffin, who swished another wide open 3-pointer.  (68-60) with 4:50 to go.

Locken of the Cardinals missed a layup, but then  Wendell had his drive blocked.  A.J. missed on a mid-range jumper for Duke followed by Ellis missing for the Cardinals, also from mid-range.  Banchero secured the rebound, with 3:54 remaining, and made a difficult turnaround jump shot from outside the paint with 3:28 left. (70-60).  When Louisville missed another jumper, Paolo got the rebound.  He then missed a pullup jumper, which Mark rebounded and laid it in off the backboard, with 2:38 remaining.  (72-60).  The game seemed to me to effectively be over at that point.  Louisville wasn’t quite ready to give up though.

The Cardinals converted an offensive rebound, with 2:17 left (72-62).  In the ensuing minute and 32 seconds, Banchero missed 2 driving layups for Duke, while the Cardinals missed 4 shots.  First, Cross missed a jumper.  Then, Louisville missed 3 times (grabbing 2 offensive rebounds) before Paolo secured the ball for Duke, with 1:11 left.  He made the assist to Mark Williams for his dunk and Duke’s final points, with 50 seconds left.  Louisville did score the final basket, a meaningless 3, with 45 seconds left, for the final score of 74-65.

The Rotation

    Mark Williams

The game statistics corroborate Bill, Scheyer, and Coach K’s (inverse order of consequences) analysis of Mark’s value to Duke in this game (and for the season going forward).  In the first half, the two early fouls Williams committed limited his playing time to just under 10 minutes, but in that limited time, hee still scored 8 points (4-6 from the field), with 2 boards.  

Before Mark had committed a foul, he was taken out for a quick rest, replaced by Theo John, after 5:20 of the game had elapsed with the score 14-2 for Duke (Mark scored 6 of Duke’s 14.)   His rest was short; Mark re-entered the game with almost 12 minutes in the half remaining, and soon committed his first foul (with 10:35 left in the half) and his second (after 2 more rebounds and a put back), with 7:31 to go, and Duke leading by 11 (28-17).  In the next 7:30, which the Blue Devils played without Mark (it was Duke by 37-35, before A.J.’s buzzer-beater 3 at the close of the half), Duke had been outscored 18 to 9 while Mark was on the bench. 

Mark’s performance in the last part of the second half was scintillating, especially at winning time!   Early in the second half, Mark  committed his 3rd foul, when Curry beat him badly on a drive.  Coach K replaced Mark with Theo with Duke leading by 2 (47-45).  When Williams returned with 10:25 to play, Duke was leading (58-55).  Mark played the rest of the game (13:24 in the entire second half), with 6 second-half points (3-5 from the field) and a critical 9 rebounds and 2 blocks (one of which was absolutely sensational at crunch time!).  He confirmed all that Coach K, Jon and Bill have concluded about Mark’s value.  In 23:11 for the game, Mark’s double-double was 14 points (7-11 from the field) and 11 rebounds (5 offensive) and 2 blocks. Mark committed only a single turnover.

    A.J. Griffin

A.J. had a monster game, leading Duke in scoring with 22 points (8-13, including an astounding 5-5 from 3land; plus 1-3 from the stripe).  He added 4 tough rebounds and 2 steals to his well-rounded almost-34-minute performance.  His clutch shooting won the game for Duke and will make future opponents prepare game plans that concentrate on stopping A.J.  Duke’s inconsistency is exemplified by A.J.’s terrible game against Clemson, and now magical play against the Cardinals.

    Paolo Banchero

As Bill emphasized, Paolo’s value to Duke extends beyond his dynamite scoring.  Even though he can score at all 3 levels – behind the arc, mid-range, and at the rim – he did not score well against the Cardinals.  In 36:30 he scored only 11 (5-15, including 0-2 from deep and 1-2 from the line), but he added 15 rebounds to lead Duke in that department, plus provided 3 assists and valuable rim protection that added a block.  Paolo is an all-around player.  He re-entered the game for the final 9 minutes.  In that short period, while he missed four shots, he contributed 4 rebounds, a block, an assist, and a field goal.

    Wendell Moore, Jr.

Wendell had a disappointing first half and a valuable second half.  In the opening period, Moore played 18:18, scoring only 2 points on 1-6 from the field, (including 0-3 from behind the arc), with 3 assists, 2 steals, a rebound, and a turnover.  He was much better in the second half, playing all 20 minutes,while scoring 8 (2-3 from the field and 4-6 from the stripe).  He added 3 rebounds and 2 assists.  Thus, for the game, Wendell scored 10 with 5 assists (2 turnovers), 4 boards and a pair of steals.  Wendell is still not quite the Wendell we saw in November and December, but if he continues like he did in this second half,he will be back to the player that Coach K described as one of the best in the country.

    Jeremy Roach

After the first half, I was prepared to anoint Jeremy as Duke’s MVP.  He played all 20 first-half minutes, scoring 7 (3-7 from the field, including 1-4 from 3land).  He added 4 assists without a turnover and corralled a pair of rebounds.  He was the glue.   Then his effectiveness waned in the second half, I believe due to his simply finally getting tired.  He actually was given a minute and 45 second rest in the closing stanza. In the second half,  Jeremy scored only 2 points  (0-2 from the field, including 0-1 from deep; and 2-3 from the foul line).  He had only 1 assist and committed his only turnover of the game.  

Jeremy’s 5 assists in this game gives him 28 total in the five games where he has been the point guard since Keels was injured.  His only turnover today was his fifth in those games.  That is close to otherworldly!

    Theo John

Theo spelled Mark Williams for about 6:30 in each half, scoring all 6 of his points in the first half. For the game, Theo was 3-4 from the field; an embarrassing 0-4 from the stripe, to go with 5 boards, an assist and 2 turnovers.  In the second half, Theo did not take a shot from the field and missed both of his foul shots.

    Joey Baker

Joey played 12 unremarkable game minutes – 6 in each half, scoring his only 2 points in the second half (1-5, including 0-3 from deep) with an assist and a steal.  There are times when Duke needs his offense–last night it was MIA.  One more example of the inconsistency that has plagued this team. 

Rebounding

    Duke outrebounded the Cardinals 47-34, with Banchero’s 15 and Williams’s 11 leading the way.  At one point, the announcer highlighted that after collecting 10 offensive rebounds in the first half, Duke had played a substantial portion of the second half without securing a single offensive rebound.  The announcer gets credit for extending the “announcer jinx”.  Duke immediately started to dominate the offensive glass,  ending up with 10 in the second half — all in the last portion of the second half.  Duke took 9 more shots than the Cardinals in the game.

A.J. put it well, “I think when you see the adjustments we have to make, we knew we had to rebound and box out. You just look at what we’ve got to work on, and you’ve got to capitalize on it.  Having Mark Williams, Paolo Banchero in the paint working, helping us get rebounds, having big blocks at the end – that’s what wins games is defense.” 

Assists to Turnovers

Duke had 15 assists on 30 made field goals.  Good.  While Duke turned it over 7 times, only Moore had as many as 2. 

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS

The challenging part of the Duke schedule is upon us.  Duke now faces the ACC teams with winning records … many on the road.  This week, Duke travels to Indiana to face Notre Dame (14-6; 7-2 in the ACC) tomorrow, and then on Saturday to Chapel Hill to play the Tarheels (15-6; 7-3 in the ACC).  

Of the 9 February games, 6 are on the road. Inconsistency in this stretch could derail Duke’s post-season preparation and hopes.

Next Play: Monday evening, January 31st, 2022, at 7 pm at Notre Dame. TV: ESPN.  

Notre Dame is the make-up of the Covid-canceled game from New Year’s Day.  Notre Dame also played yesterday (also in South Bend), defeating UVA).   Play in Louisville on Saturday, travel to South Bend and play on Monday–logistically this is a difficult travel schedule.  Next Play indeed!


Duke Blue Devils 57 v. Notre Dame Fighting Irish 43; (Season 13 Issue 19 – Game 21) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “Cliffsnotes” (January 31, 2022)

Let the Block Party Begin!                         Photo Credit: Duke Chronicle
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

I am apprehensive about all away ACC Basketball games, but Notre Dame is the only institution which issues Leprechaun outfits instead of beanies to all first-year students.  Then, for basketball games, they skip afternoon classes for Pub 101 to participate in pre-game warmup.  Now, they are ready to support Coach Mike Brey and his team!   And support them like they are the football team they do—even when the team is down double digits.  This year, ND is short on big men, so Brey lives or dies by a deliberate offense and the three-point shot, which has led to nine straight wins at home and the same ACC record (7-2) as Duke.  Add to this, the arena is sold out for the first time since Duke was last there and the Blue Devils had just played a very physical game at Louisville; therefore, you have the makings of an upset (or as Alan likes to phrase it, a trap game) .

Not to worry tonight. A combination of Duke defense plus a score reminiscent of my prep school days, had Duke leading 27-14 at the half  (I wondered if both teams would play the second half in Chuck Taylor Converse All Star high top canvas sneakers and take two handed set shots from beyond the arc), and beating Notre Dame with a 1950s prep school type final score of 57-43.  The Blue Devils did not shoot well either, but Duke had Mark Williams and Paolo Banchero, who controlled the paint, and superior overall talent. And, speaking of talent, Trevor Keels returned and played more than half the game.

Coach K on the mental toughness required to play six ACC games in such a short span, made tougher because five of them are on the road, “It just turns out this way because of COVID. We were shut down for 10 days where we didn’t do anything. We had over 40 COVID cases in our entire program, with families. I’ve never been through anything like that. My wife is just recovering right now. She had the monoclonal infusion; so, it’s been a hell of a month. We missed two road games; so, they have to be fit in. This is how they fit it in. You’ve got to do what they ask you to do and try to use it as a positive. Being at Louisville at noon on Saturday and being here on Monday, and winning both games, that’s good. We have a young team. Trevor [Keels] is 18 and so is AJ [Griffin]. They both [turned] 18 in August. It’s a young team, so going through this, you get confidence, you get older.  I’m only paying attention to our team and how we develop, because I can’t compare it to anybody. I don’t watch anybody else. But I do think we’re getting better and we’re in better shape.”

“Actually, I was surprised where Trevor was today. He really helped us in the first half, because we were kind of playing wild offensively, and he settled us down. In the second half, we put some things in there where he had a chance to maybe get 12 points, but, you could tell, it’s 25 minutes – he’ll [get] there. But having him back will help us and give us that depth on the perimeter.”  Coach K was referring to Trevor being wide open to score, but rusty (0-4 in the second half, including 0-2 on wide open 3s). The fact that Trevor played so much was the real headline.  He is knocking the rust off quickly.

ALANALYSIS:

The Notre Dame Game Loomed Daunting 

The day after a thrilling road win over Louisville last Saturday, Duke traveled to Notre Dame to play last night’s game that was re-scheduled from New Year’s Day.  Notre Dame, with a team of all seniors and one heralded freshman, was on a roll, having beaten both Kentucky and UNC on the Irish  home court.  Notre Dame features a potent 3-point attack – Dane Goodwin (16.6 p.p.g) was shooting 50% from behind the arc, while 6’10” Nate Laszewski was at 45% and they are both volume shooters.  Blake Wesley, the athletic freshman, made the Wooten Watch List at 14.6 p.p.g.  Notre Dame is the only other ACC team receiving points in both polls (but well out of the top 25) besides Miami and Duke (who is the only ACC team in the top 25, albeit still at #9).

My pre-game note “Defense against ND’s 3s will be the key.”  And so it was!

BEATING NOTRE DAME 57-43 WAS A GREAT (NOT JUST GOOD) GAME FOR DUKE, IN SPITE OF WHAT THE ANNOUNCERS SAY.

On the ACC Network, the quality of basketball played by Duke was denigrated by Matt Packer and Wes Durham.  Packer and Durham were giving us an example of commentary that only scratches the surface.  Go kick rocks!

The Defense

Duke’s defense was so good against the Irish that I thought Coach K had morphed into George Balanchine because the Blue Devils defense looked as synced and together as a New York City Ballet.  It was simply beautiful.

Coach K: “We played really good defense.  To me that was the story of the game.  With one day of preparation!”  

“Mike [Brey]’s team has been an offensive juggernaut.  Tonight, we were able to defend them.  I thought our big guys did an excellent job. They have that five-out, and so it’s not a low post game. …  It’s team defense. We have good players … we’re athletic. Wendell [Moore Jr.] did a really good job on Wesley. Our bigs, too, on the ball screen in an ice where we didn’t have to switch it all the time. With Goodwin, we were lucky, I guess. He’s so good. When I looked at the box score [Goodwin was held scoreless for the entire game!!!], I said, ‘You’ve got to be kidding me.’ He’s one of the best players in the league. He’s played as well as anybody in the league. [He is shooting] 50 percent from three for the season and just solid. He wasn’t able to get his post move because AJ [Griffin] was on him. We have a big perimeter, a lengthy perimeter, so it’s something they probably haven’t seen.”

Paolo Banchero added at the post-game press conference where he appeared together with Coach K, “We had a good game plan coming in. We knew they were a great three-point team; so, we wanted to run them off the line, and with our Bigs protecting the paint as well. We were going to be switching and icing ball screens, so just protecting the paint, and then keeping them off that three-point line. We did a real good job.” 

Not only did Paolo, Wendell and A.J. smother the feared ND attack, but Duke also got terrific perimeter defense from Trevor Keels in his first game back from injury.  While he was rusty offensively (at least scoring wise – 3 points on 1-8 shooting from the field, including 0-4 from behind the arc and 1-2 from the stripe), he had 4 assists without a turnover in 26 minutes (only Paolo and Wendell logged more game minutes than Trevor did).  Good news for Duke.

Duke’s interior defense from Mark Williams, Theo John, and Paolo was ferocious.  Mark had 3 blocks, Theo 2 (in only 13:32), and Paolo had 1.

ND was averaging well over 70 points per game coming into this one – The Blue Devils allowed the Fighting Irish only 14 points in the entire first half.  For a team that relies on its deep shooting, ND was 6-23 from the field, including 0-8 from behind the arc.  It will be hard to find another game this year where a good team was held to a 14 point half.

Duke’s reserves gave up a run of 6 meaningless points at the end of the game, or ND would not even have reached a rate of a point per minute in the game.  It is as if Duke had held the Irish to 37 points for the entire game.  Either way, it was the defensive performance of the season and maybe for the decade!

The Bench

With the return of Trevor, and the emergence of Bates Jones as a valuable reserve while Trevor was rehabbing, Duke now goes 9 deep.  It’s as if Duke has 6 starters (with Roach and Keels) and a solid three experienced reserves:  John played 4 years at Marquette, Jones played 4 years at Davidson, and Baker is a senior.  This is becoming a deep bench that contributes to Duke’s success, which is very different from earlier in the year.  Very good for Duke!

    The Return of Trevor Keels

Bill posted Coach K’s assessment of the value of Trevor’s return and 26 minutes of play in his first game back (3rd most for any Duke player against the Irish).  While Jeremy did not play well last night  in the wake of Trevor’s return, he has been a godsend as the starting point guard (“playing on top”) in Trevor’s absence.  We now know that Coach K has 6 players that he trusts as starters (even though only 5 may start.)

    Theo John

Theo had a marvelous game, scoring 6 on 3-4 from the field to go with 9 rebounds and 2 blocks (in only 13 + minutes).

    Joey BakerJoey gave the starters almost 16 minutes of rest, with energetic defense but less than he usually provides on offense (0-3 from deep for 0 points).  Nevertheless, he is giving the team genuine senior leadership.

    Bates Jones

Bates took advantage of the opportunity presented by Trevor’s injury and has played his way into the rotation.  Bates is a good shooter and reliable player.  In his 10 minutes, he scored 5 points (2-3 from the field, including 1-1 from 3land).  He added a steal and a rebound.  Bates entered the game with 4:58 left in the first half and Duke leading by 4 (18-14).  The team on the floor was: Baker, John, Jones, Keels and Roach.  In that last 4 and ½ minutes, those reserves pushed the lead from 4 to the halftime margin of 13 (27-14)!

Coach K: “I think a key part of the game was the end of the first half, where we went on a 9-0 run with our bench out on the court. Theo [John], Bates [Jones], Joey [Baker] – they did a heck of a job. We got that double-digit lead and were able to maintain the defensive intensity throughout.”

Rebounding

Last night,  Duke exhibited not a hint of their previous rebounding deficits.  The Blue Devils built a 51-36 rebounding advantage.  Duke’s interior controlled the boards: Paolo had 9 rebounds, Theo had 9, A.J. had 9 in only 22 minutes, and Mark had 8 in 23 minutes.  Wendell added 5. 

Offense

Duke’s 54 point game score is close to what the Blue Devils have scored in a single half elsewhere.  Though Duke did not shoot well (under 40% total for the game (26-66), and under 16% from behind the arc (3-19), Duke led by as many as 22 late in the second half, and were never even threatened.

Scoring

  • Little or None: Keels scored 3, Moore scored 2, Baker and Roach did not score.  
  • Banchero – In 30 minutes, Paolo scored 21 points (10-22, including 1-5 from behind the arc, without a foul shot).  Paolo scored 14 of his points in the second half – more than half of Duke’s 27 second-half points.
  • Griffin scored 13 points (6-11, including 1-2 from deep).
  • Williams scored 7 points in 23 minutes (3-4 from the field to go with his 1-1 from the stripe.
  • As previously noted, the bench added 11 (Theo 6 and Bates 5).
  • Astoundingly, Duke took only 3 free throws in the entire game (2-3: Mark was 1-1 and Trevor 1-2).

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS

The upcoming schedule is daunting.  The final road game on this 3-game swing is Saturday in Chapel Hill.  A second Saturday/Monday weekend in a row occurs (because of COVID rescheduling) when UVA comes into Cameron on Monday (Feb 7) following the UNC game.  Brutal.  Duke then heads out on a second 3-game road trip: Clemson on Thursday (Feb 10), B.C on Saturday (Feb 12 – another two games with only a day in between) followed by a trip to Wake Forest on Tuesday (Feb 15).  Definitely daunting!

Coach K described the carnage from Duke’s experience with COVID that caused the postponement of two games (causing this brutal Louisville & Notre Dame weekend) and the shutdown of the whole program for 10 days.  Physically and emotionally devastating.  No wonder it took a while for the Blue Devils to shake off the consequences of that horrible experience.

Playing with only a day between games is getting the Blue Devils ready for the NCAA tournament. By the end of the second road trip, Duke will have played 3 times with just a day between games.  This is good NCAA practice because each of the four game tournaments (Coach K says that to win the National Championship, one must win three 4-team tournaments) requires playing a second game with only a day in between. 

I agree with Coach K when he says, “I’m only paying attention to our team and how we develop, because I can’t compare it to anybody. I don’t watch anybody else [not SportsCenter, the polls, Joey Brackets, or even Jay Bilas]”  I, too, support not paying attention to the rankings, what other teams look good on any given day or for any given game, or any of that stuff.  The rankings are truly bovine excrement, depending far too much on where a team starts in the pre-season poll.  Look at this comparison between Duke and Miami:  

Duke is #9 in the AP poll with 1107 points, and #6 in the UP poll with 604 points. Miami is unranked, though garnering 29 points in the AP poll and 19 points in the UP poll (30th place in each).  Now let’s look at the records of the two teams.  Miami is 16-5; 8-2 in the ACC; Duke is 18-3; 8-2 in the ACC.  Each team lost close games to Fla. State – Duke by one in overtime and Miami twice by a point.  They each beat Va. Tech, Ga. Tech, Wake Forest, NC State, Syracuse, and Clemson.  But Miami beat Duke … in Cameron! Even so, Miami trails Duke in the AP poll by the huge margin of 1078 points and in the UP poll by 585 points.  Bovine excrement!No wonder Coach K says, “I’m paying attention to our team and how we develop. I don’t watch anybody else.”  Me neither.

Next Play: Saturday, February 5th, 2022, at 6 pm at UNC. TV: ESPN.


Duke Blue Devils 87 v. UNC Tarheels 67; (Season 13 Issue 20 – Game # 22) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “Cliffsnotes”

The Rise of Skywalker: A.J. makes elbow room            Photo Credit: The Duke Chronicle
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

It was not a warm welcome for Duke’s Mike Krzyzewski as he walked out onto the court at the Dean Dome for the last time. There was no polite applause. No embrace from Roy Williams. No show of respect for the man who took an intense regional rivalry to a national level, making it the best in college basketball—if not all of sports.  No “Thanks for the Memories” of all the great contests decided at the final buzzer. No respect was given to the man with the most wins in NCAA basketball history.  Rather, he was greeted by a chant that inserted a four-letter word f**k in front of his name–not a smart, classy move. To quote Julia Roberts’ wonderful “Pretty Woman” retort to the snooty saleswoman in the Rodeo Drive boutique shop who dissed her : “Mistake. Big mistake” as she flaunted thousands of dollars of dresses she had purchased at a nearby competitor.

Coach K’s revenge was to have his players amped up and ready to play, starting both halves with vengeance by playing the best basketball they have played all year. They played so well, it turned the raucous crowd of 21,000 in the Dean Dome into an inebriated “Wine and Cheese” crowd who cheered mindlessly but hopefully whenever the Tar Heels closed the lead to the mid-teens. 

Jim Summers summarized on Dukebasketballreport.com, “Griffin ended with 27 points, hitting 11 of 17 shots. Moore added 13 points, 8 rebounds, 5 assists and zero turnovers. Banchero struggled with his shot, only hitting 5 of 15 but 10 rebounds. Trevor Keels hit three triples for 11 points, Jeremy Roach had another solid game—8 points, 4 assists, 1 turnover and Mark Williams’ stat line doesn’t begin to suggest his value in keeping Bacot in check and [William’s] intimidating presence altered many shots.”

Johnny Tar Heel called it.  He predicted Carolina would get blown out because their guard play is clueless– they can’t dribble and think at the same time—and that no Carolina player was good enough to be in Duke’s stop six rotation.

The breakout star of the game—and you could see this coming in the last few games– was A.J. Griffin.  He had 27 points, 3 of 6 threes, and the rest by putting the ball on the floor and driving to the basket.  A.J is now a complete player, and the Blue Devils are a much more formidable team with what he brings to the floor.

Wendell Moore, Duke’s captain, expressed the feelings of the entire squad: “It was more than just about us and Carolina. I mean, obviously it was about Coach. His last time coming to Carolina, we wanted to send him out with a win, because he definitely deserves it.”

Coach K: “Our guys really played well today. We beat a very good and hot team. It was a great atmosphere. I thought we started out so well. We really won the first 12 minutes of the first half, and then they won the next eight minutes.  I thought they seized some momentum in the game – The stop we had at the end of the half and then having the arrow to start the second – At least we kept a double-digit lead. 

“Then AJ [Griffin] exploded. We wanted to run a couple things for him, but we ran one thing, and he just went off.  Our guys found him, which is really good. We rebounded well, we didn’t turn it over, and we played a really good game. AJ was a star today.” 

Coach K regarding what he told the team at halftime: “There are no magical talks. I just told them that we won the first 12 and they won the next eight.  If they start out the first four like the last eight, they’re going to beat us. But if we start out the first four like we did the first twelve, then we’re going to win. In our really good games, we’ve come out well in the second half.  Tonight, we came out great, because of AJ [Griffin].  And we played defense and our defensive rebounding was excellent.  It was a 10-0 run, but that means you’re playing defense.  They didn’t turn it over – we had stops there too.” 

Part of an interview by The Duke Chronicle with Bobby Hurley, current coach of Arizona State, who was Coach K’s treasured 4-year point guard and who is still holds the record as the All-time career assist leader for college basketball (*see photo at end):

DC: How does the Duke-UNC rivalry stack up against other rivalries you have seen throughout your career?

BH: It’s the greatest I’ve ever been a part of.  It’s really not close to anything else that I’ve seen. I’m sure that there’s other sports and other rivalry-type games within other sports, but college basketball, I think it’s an elite rivalry matchup.  I don’t know if there’s one better.  But I’ve had it out here. I’ve had Arizona-Arizona State and I’ve been a part of that.  It’s a heck of an environment when those games are happening here. Duke-Carolina is just a touch different.

DC: Say you’re having a conversation with Coach K and the team before the game—what would you say to them?

BH: Good luck. It’s a war man.  It’s like if you’re a competitor, it’s why you’re involved in sports, to be a part of games like this where there’s a lot at stake locally, bragging rights.

Next (trap) game: Virginia (which just beat Miami) at Cameron.

ALANALYSIS:

When Coach K said at the Notre Dame press conference, “I’m only paying attention to our team and how we develop”, his hope was to see the 2021-22 Duke Blue Devils develop into precisely the team that disemboweled, smothered, and dominated the Tarheels!  One might write truthfully, “the ‘heels never had a chance.” 

However, another test for the 2021-22 edition of the Blue Devils looms immediately and requires me to get out the old, tried, but unfortunately, true designation of Duke’s next game – “a trap game”  [Bill is obviously coachable]. With only today (Sunday, February 6, 2022) between the celebration of humiliating Carolina, and facing a resurgent Virginia team in Cameron tomorrow (Monday, February 7, 2022), this is the perfect definition of a trap game.  

The UNC game was indisputably Duke’s best performance of the 2021-22 season, but raises the question of whether it was truly a quality win.  UNC was on a roll, having won 4 in a row, moving into second place in the ACC, and remaining unbeaten on its home floor.  All of those accomplishments earn a team the status of “elite”.  On the other hand, UNC has no wins over ranked teams, with losses to Purdue, Tennessee, and Kentucky (the only ranked teams in its non-conference schedule).  The Tarheels have lost on the road in conference games  to Notre Dame, Miami (by 28 points), Wake Forest (by 22 points), and now Duke by 20 points.  That is not the record of an elite team, making it hard to measure the true development of these Blue Devils.  But a team only plays the opponent on the schedule, and Duke played UNC to almost-perfection.

The First 10 Minutes of the Game

I’m not sure an NBA All-Star team could play better basketball than Duke did in the first 10:01 of the first half.  Joey Baker’s steal and layup pushed Duke’s lead to 23 points (31-8) by the midpoint of the first half.  Duke’s defense was dominating.  The Tarheels scored only 8 points in 10 minutes (a Bacot layup and two Manek 3-pointers); at that rate, UNC would have scored only 32 in a full game 40 minutes.  The Blue Devil defense just squeezed the life out of the Tarheels, while the offense was dissecting the UNC defense with lab-like efficiency.  Duke scored 31 in 10 minutes; at that rate Duke would have scored 124 points in 40 minutes.  124-32  would be an evisceration of the highest order.

Paolo Banchero scored; A. J. Griffin hit a 3; Banchero hit a 3; Mark Williams layup and foul shot made it 11-2 after only 2:30 had elapsed!  A.J. scored on successive  drives, Paolo passed to Wendell Moore for a layup; Jeremy Roach assisted a Mark jump shot from 15 feet out; Trevor Keels entered the game and immediately assisted Moore’s layup before he sank a deep 3 of his own after a neat pass from Theo John; John then stole the ball, passed to Paolo, who fed Wendell for the layup (and free throw from the foul); Griffin and Joey Baker each made layups to masterfully create Duke’s 31 points – in 10 minutes!  It was Duke’s dominating defense that set up the offensive explosion that decimated the Tarheels.

 The Second-Half Slaughter

UNC had cut Duke’s lead to 11 by the end of the first half.  Duke removed any doubt of the game’s outcome in the first 3:27 of the second half with increasingly intense defense, holding the ‘heels scoreless while running off 12 quick points – 10 by the smoking hot A.J.  With 16:49 left in the game, Duke led by 23 (51-28), and the game was effectively over.  UNC got as close as 16 twice, and Duke led by as much as 28 with 1:09 left in the closing stanza.  UNC scored a meaningless 8 points in the last minute; Duke’s real margin of victory was 28 points.  Duke scored 48 second-half points, while holding UNC to just 31 (if you don’t count the last 8 meaningless points scored in the final minute when Coach K’s grandson and other Duke reserves entered the game).

The Defense

The Blue Devils perimeter defense simply took the Carolina guards right out of the game!.  Wendell was spectacular, Jeremy was steadfast (even when rocked by devastating screens), Trevor was his old intense self, and A.J.’s defense is improving just as dramatically as his offense is.  The defense against UNC was every bit as efficient as the amazing perimeter defense against Notre Dame.  As Bill and I have been singing: consistency is critical!! This just might be Duke’s best defensive team in a long time.

Duke’s interior defense slowed Armando Bacot, whom Coach K described as “one of the best players in the country and  having a fabulous year.”  Bacot is UNC’s leading scorer, averaging 16.8 points per game; he was held to 12 last night (only 4 in the second half).   Mark Williams and Theo John played him very well.  Coach K: “he had a good game but not his normal game. I thought Mark did a good job against him, keeping his feet [moving], and he [Bacot] didn’t get easy buckets. As a result, he was 4-for-10. Normally, he could’ve been 8-for-10.  Mark’s playing really well helped tone him down a little bit.” 

Rebounding

Bacot has been one of the leading rebounders in the nation (12.2 rebounds per game).   Holding Bacot to only 5 rebounds (only 1 offensive), while out-rebounding the Tarheels 40-24, Duke had its best rebounding game of the season.  Carolina got only 6 offensive rebounds in the entire game, scoring only 2 second-chance points in the entire game!  2!!!  Paolo doubled Bacot’s rebounding total, snaring a game high 10.  Wendell had 8, Mark Williams had 6, A.J. had 4, and Trevor garnered 3.

A Quick Synopsis of the Rotation

    A.J. Griffin (31:09 minutes played)

A.J. had his best game of the season as he continues to get healthier and into game shape.  Coach K: “He’s become more athletic and in better shape. That left-handed dunk – three weeks ago he wouldn’t have been able to do that. I think a big part of it is how well he’s playing on defense.  He had Goodwin in the Notre Dame game.  He’s moving his feet, and as a result, his whole game is getting wider. So, his first step – he’s driving the ball better. He’s getting somewhere with his first dribble instead of having his dribble within his body. As a result of that, because he can shoot, you gotta be up on him.  And he can drive the ball too. He’s really done a great job of finishing. You know, he’s worked hard. No one has worked any harder than that kid.” 

    Paolo Banchero (31:18 minutes played)

Paolo did not shoot well after making his first 2 shots for 5 points (5-14, including 2-4 from deep, plus 1-2 from the stripe for 13 points), but did have a double-double (13 points; 10 rebounds).  He did the “dirty work” of defending, rebounding  – unusual for a star player.

    Wendell Moore (32:53 minutes played)

Wendell quietly had a simply superb all-around game. He scored 13 points (same as Paolo, but on 8 fewer shots: 5-6 from the field and 3-3 from the foul line) to go with 8 rebounds, 5 assists, 2 steals, and 0 turnovers.  Superb!

    Mark Williams (25:26 minutes played)

His stats mask his true value to Duke’s superior effort.  Mark was 4-4 from the field and 1-2 from the free throw line for 9 points, to go with 6 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 blocks, zero turnovers.  While Mark had only 2 blocks, he visibly altered many other shots around the rim.  

    Jeremy Roach (22:31 minutes played)

Jeremy continues to contribute on both ends of the court.  He had another 4 assists with just a single turnover.  Jeremy scored 8 (3-5 from the field including 1-2 from deep, plus 1-2 from the foul line).  He added a rebound and a steal.

    Trevor Keels (19:58 minutes played)

Trevor looked much better in his second game back from injury.  He played half the game, scoring 11 points (3-6 from the field, including a gaudy 3-4 from deep, plus 2-2 from the stripe).  His shot was falling against UNC as it had not in his return-game against Notre Dame.  In addition, Trevor grabbed 3 boards, handed out 2 assists, and made a steal.  Welcome back!

    Theo John (13:48 minutes played)

Theo had 3 rebounds, 2 assists, and a steal in addition to scoring 2 points, making his only shot.  His value is unmistakable.

    Bates Jones (9:28 minutes played)

Bates continues to contribute with good defense, passing, and experience.  Bates scored 2 on 1-3 from the field, 0-2 from deep, with a rebound and 2 neat assists.

    Joey Baker (9:40 minutes played)

Joey made one good play – a steal and layup – for 2 points (1-2, including 0-1 from deep), but had 3 turnovers.  Joey provides rest for the starters and leadership for the team on the perimeter.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS What comes after a spectacular performance such as Duke displayed?  First, comes satisfaction from destroying an old rival, especially one that was so classless as to fail to acknowledge the icon that is Coach K, mocking rather than lauding him.  It was the classic divine retribution for a bunch of non-achievers having failed to understand respect for the level of competition that  Coach K fostered for all of us.  Duke fans NEVER would have treated Dean Smith so disrespectfully. 

Second, comes the acknowledgment of human nature.  Satisfaction can eat up the hunger necessary to produce the same type of superb performance in the next game.  That’s why such a game earns the adjective trap. The “trap” game against Virginia concerns me. Virginia stomped the same Miami team that beat Duke in Cameron.  Human nature suggests Duke may be thinking highly of itself after the Carolina game, which could defuse the hunger;  instead, may the Blue Devils whet their appetite for filet of Cavalier.

Next Play: Monday, February 7th, 2022, vs. Virginia at 7 pm in Cameron Indoor Stadium. TV: ESPN

Bobby Hurley — arguably Duke’s most important point guard ever — scoring Duke’s most important 3-pointer against UNLV in 1991 (on the way to winning Duke’s first National Championship).
Photo Credit: AP

Duke Blue Devils 68 v. UVA Cavaliers 69; (Season 13 Issue 21 – Game # 23) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “Cliffsnotes” (February 7, 2022)

Last second HEARTBREAKER!                  Photo Credit:Samantha Owusu
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

The Basketball Gods decided that Duke would not win this game. How else do you explain Griffin missing a point-blank dunk or Banchero missing so many layups and going scoreless in the second half?  So, They decided that Virginia would break our hearts just like the Blue Devils have broken many hearts over the years with last minute shots. Virginia had bested Duke every which way, yet somehow the Blue Devils had the lead in the final minutes until Roach fell asleep and let Beekman steal the ball from him and make a layup right under Duke’s basket. Then, with seven seconds to go, Theo John, who otherwise played a stellar game, got a rebound but brought the ball down and allowed the Cavaliers to tie him up with the arrow favoring Virginia. Then, someone let Beekman get an open-but-difficult three and the result was a well-deserved win for UVA, but a heart-breaking loss for the Blue Devils and their fans.

There is another explanation: Virginia Coach Tony Bennett is the best damn defensive coach in college basketball and does more with less than anyone. His defense on Banchero (9 pts) and Griffin (2 pts) was well conceived and executed – Bennett shut down Duke’s high scorer’s and dared the other Duke players to beat the Cavaliers.  Duke  did not respond well. Only two players scored in double digits: Williams 16 in 19 minutes and Keels with 12. It’s a wonder that Duke scored 68 points and was in the game at all.

Anatomy of a defeat:

  • Coach K has often said that the best time for another team to play Duke is before or after a game with North Carolina.
  • Duke’s man-to-man defense was carved up by less talented, but more disciplined players. Only when the Blue Devils went to a zone did they close Virginia’s double-digit lead.
  • Williams made two silly fouls in the first half —one on defense, one on offense – that limited his minutes to only 19 in the game.  His 3rd and 4th second half fouls limited his second half playing time to 8+ minutes. Fortunately, Theo John filled in admirably, but when Mark Williams is on the floor, Duke is a different team both defensively and offensively.
  • Duke had 15 turnovers to just 5 for UVA.
  • Only two players scored in double digits: Williams 16 in 19 minutes [12 in only 8 second-half minutes], and Keels with 12 [all in the second half].
  • Out hustled. Example: Williams jogging leisurely back on defense allowed his man to beat him down the floor for an open layup.
  • Banchero is struggling offensively.  He has to read the defense quicker and make decisive moves to the basket.
  • Have the outcome of the game come down to the referees’s whim in the final minutes. Need to make stops and make shots instead.

NEXT PLAY

ALANALYSIS:

Overview

The most insightful fact about the weirdness of Duke’s loss: In 8:33 of playing time, Bates Jones scored 3 times as many points in this game as A.J. Griffin did in his 23:37 minutes of playing time.  Bates scored 6 (2-2 from deep) while A.J. was 1-7, including 0-2 from behind the arc to make his 2 points.  The next weird fact is that Paolo Banchero scored only 9 in 38:09 (3-9, including 1-3 from 3land, plus 2-2 from the foul line).  Even more shocking is that in 20:00 second-half minutes, Banchero’s only shot attempt was a wild, improbable fling as time in the game expired.  0 second-half points!!  

The final insightful fact may be the worst one: this is the fourth game that Duke led right up to the final buzzer – but then lost.  Yesterday, Duke led by 2 points with 2 seconds left in the game.  Duke led with 1:03 to go but lost to Ohio State; Duke led with 23 seconds to go but lost to Miami; Duke led with 14 seconds to go in regulation, and again with 12 seconds to go in the overtime, but lost to Florida State.  National contenders do not lose games like that, and not at home (Miami and Virginia) and not to unranked teams (only Ohio State is ranked in the top 25).

UVA fully deserved to win the game.  The Cavaliers played their A-game –  a controlled offense, with sharp cuts, good passing, and scoring efficiently in the paint; paired with a tenacious defense that kept the Blue Devils off-balance and forced turnovers.  Duke on the other hand played terribly.  

UVA simply played harder than Duke in the early going, as occurred in the losses to both Florida State and Miami.  It was as if the Blue Devils had a Tarheel hangover (as was feared). Mark Williams acknowledged, “In the first half, we didn’t fight. In the second half, we gave ourselves a chance. We were fighting a little bit more in the second half, but we didn’t close it out.”  Coach K (and I) feared human nature after Duke had blasted UNC:  “We’ve got to be hungry after we’ve eaten. We had a big meal, but we have to be hungry again, and I thought they were hungrier than we were tonight. …  we were not worthy of winning most of the game.”  Trevor Keels: “I think we could’ve prepared better.  We started off the game a little slow.”

The Good

Duke came back from a terrible stretch in the first half when the Blue Devils trailed by 12 (32-20) with only 2:11 left before halftime  to cut the UVA lead to 34-29 at the half.  Even though Duke was not playing its best basketball, while Virginia was, the Blue Devils came all the way back in the closing period to take the lead with 4 minutes left in the game (64-63) and hold it until the last second.  This is what Character looks like.

Mark Williams was absolutely gallant in the second half.  While his foul trouble limited his court time in the final period to 8:44, he was 4-5 from the field and 4-5 from the foul line for 12 points, to go with a block and 2 rebounds.  He was Duke’s high scorer with 16 game points, even while playing less than half of the game minutes (18:33).Trevor Keels in 14:49 second-half minutes, scored all 12 of his game points to tie Mark for Duke’s scoring lead in the concluding stanza.  Trevor drove into the Cavalier defense, getting fouled 3 times (5-6 from the foul line).  Keels was 3-8 from the field, including 1-2 from deep, to go with 4 boards.  

The Bench in the first half:  When the Duke starters went almost 10 minutes without scoring, it was Bates Jones,Theo John, and Joey Baker who scored 10 points collectively, to keep the Blue Devils close enough to compete.  Bates played 8:31, hitting 2-2 from deep for 6 points,2nd most for Duke in the opening half (Paolo had 9 points). Theo played 3:21, scoring 2 points (1-1), with a rebound and block. [Theo was even more valuable in the second half when he logged 11:14 because of Mark’s foul trouble.]  Joey Baker played only 1:51, all in the first half, when he scored from the field (1-1) and grabbed a rebound.

The Bad

Human Nature – Theo John said “Coach K talked to us at the half. He talked to us before the game. He told us it’s not going to be easy. You’ve got to beat human nature. You just beat a Carolina team by 20 on the road, and you’ve got to come out here on a Monday, just two days later, and beat another tough team. We didn’t do that tonight.” 

Duke’s Man-to-Man Defense – After one of the great defensive efforts of the year against UNC, Duke was completely ineffective against the Cavaliers.  Coach K: “They carved us up where 20 of the first 22 points were in the paint—they had 52 in the game—but in the beginning, it was more the cuts …”  The zone was not much more effective.  UVA was getting uncontested jump shots  against the zone. 

 Duke’ offense also had serious flaws – 37% shooting in the first half, 15 turnovers for the game (while the defense forced only 5 turnovers from Virginia). Virginia had twice as many second chance points as Duke, grabbing 9 first-half offensive rebounds.  The Cavaliers controlled the paint for the game.  Duke somehow allowed Kadin Shedrick (who did not start, and averages less than 7 points per game) to clean the glass with put-backs: 8-8 for 16 points, to lead Virginia in scoring)!

Wendell Moore played 38:09, scoring 9 (3-8, including 1-5 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the stripe).  Moore had only 1 assist and 2 turnovers, without a steal.  It was not Wendell’s best defensive game, though he still managed to be Duke’s second leading rebounder with 7 (Duke out-rebounded UVA 39 to 32).

The Ugly

Jeremy Roach would not have been in this category but for his final turnover (3 total for the game).  Such an outrageous lapse in concentration would not happen on the playground, let alone at a crucial time in an ACC game.  It changed the game.  Duke led by 66-64 with 1:48 left in the game when Theo blocked Reece Beekman’s driving layup and Roach grabbed the rebound.  Roach looked around and apparently forgot Beekman was on the ground behind him.  Beekman just came in from out of bounds and swiped the ball from the oblivious Jeremy to lay it in the basket.  Jeremy’s reflex committed the foul.  When Beekman converted the 3-point play, Duke had gone from a 2-point lead with the ball to a 1-point deficit.  Ugly.  Otherwise, Jeremy was not ugly, though he had more turnovers in this game than in any since Jeremy moved to be the prime playmaker when Trevor was hurt against Florida State.

A.J. Griffin and Paolo Banchero scored 2 points collectively in the second half.  Paolo played every second of the closing period without scoring.  A.J. scored 2 (his only score of the game) in his 7:48 minutes played in the final period. He was 0-5 in the first half. And those guys are usually bagging ~20 points each per game–Paolo is the leading freshman scorer in the nation. Ugly.  

Virginia scored 20 points from Duke turnovers, while Duke, in contrast, scored only 2 points from UVA turnovers.  In the first half it was 11 Duke turnovers to 0 for UVA .  The Cavaliers scored 52 of their 69 points in the paint.  Ugly defense.

The last plays of the game: Paolo’s turnover and Beekman’s 3 pointer with 1 second left.  

Coach K: “We put ourselves in a position to win, but we made two bad plays, two really bad plays—one on offense and one on defense, and that’s all it takes. You have to make a play. If you get the ball in the lane, you have to get a shot, and we weren’t able to get a shot. Then we missed the defensive assignment on the last play and when you do that, you lose.”

With 30 seconds left and Duke nursing a 2-point lead, Duke was not able to get a shot up when Paolo tried to dribble through two Cavaliers, but could only dribble into a turnover.  Ugly.

Mark Williams, who missed the defensive assignment on Beekman: “It was on me. I lost Beekman. I should’ve stayed with him off the inbounds, and he got an open look and he knocked it down. There’s not much more to it. I take full responsibility for it. I let my teammates down.” 

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS

consistency, Consistency, CONSISTENCY! – Duke must still find consistency if the Blue Devils are to be the National contender for a final Coach K championship!  

  • A.J. Griffin and Paolo Banchero are still freshmen, who can be (and indeed have been) inconsistent.  These freshmen now have about a month before it is tournament time.  Inconsistency will end the season. 
  • The Blue Devil penchant this year for losing games at the buzzer is more than troubling.  That’s not the consistency Coach K is looking for.

This 3 game road trip coming up – Clemson, Boston College, and Wake Forest (newly #25 in Monday’s poll) will give Duke a chance for redemption … or disaster.

Next Play: Thursday, February 10th, 2022, at Clemson: 8 pm on TV: ACCN


Duke Blue Devils 82 v. Clemson Tigers 64; (Season 13 Issue 22 – Game # 24) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “Cliffsnotes” (February 10, 2022)

Keels: First & Ten                                        Photo Credit: Simran Prakash/The Duke Chronicle
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

So far, this Duke team has been inconsistent—being at critical times less than the sum of its parts.  However, to their credit they have responded to losses well.  Duke’s winning margins in the four games following a loss this season were 41, 12 and 20 points. Tonight was more of the same with an 18-point win against a short-handed Clemson team. 

Krzyzewski said Duke’s successful response was no accident: “The very first thing you have to do is take accountability for why they [Virginia] played better – not just [at] the end of the game. We had long meetings with our guys, and then they had meetings.  A big thing was for them to hold each other accountable more.  For a young team, they have really good attitudes. They all want to play well, but you can get caught up with you playing well.  Not trying to score a lot of points, but you don’t see globally- you see locally.  That’s part of the maturity of a player and a team, is to see globally.”

We will see. The question is whether it was bad luck, or was something missing from this team’s losing three games, two at home, by a point or two in the final minutes!  As talented as the players on this team are, when it comes time for someone to complete a stop or someone to make a shot, there is no there there. Well, tonight, Trevor Keels, as he did against Kentucky, took charge of the game in the second half as Duke’s eleven-point half time lead was cut to five. Trevor hit 8 of his 9 second-half shots to put this important road game on ice, in front of a very hostile crowd just ready to explode.  Keels explained: “When you get a lead like that, just keep fighting and keep pushing.  Don’t let the team get back and get their crowd into it.  It was loud in there, so in games like that, you don’t want their crowd to get into it.  You want to keep that lead and finish the game.”  He scored all but two of his game-high 25 points in the second half, making all of eight-straight field-goal attempts.  He also had 11 rebounds.  “I feel like I’m getting back to myself.  Missing three games is tough, especially when you can’t be out there with your brothers and fight.  But inside the locker room, Wendell talked to me before the game and told me: ‘Play like yourself.’ It really helped me.”

Near the end of the first half,   another play fired up the Blue Devils.  Wendell Moore stole the ball from Clemson senior guard David Collins and drove for a breakaway dunk. Collins, apparently angry at a no call or being humiliated, and trailing well behind, blocked Moore’s hip and legs while Moore was dunking the ball.  It was as if a defensive back hit a defenseless receiver.  Moore came down parallel to the floor simultaneously on his back and head with a sickening thud. It was as vicious a play as I can remember seeing in basketball! 

https://www.barstoolsports.com/blog/3405561/dude-on-clemson-straight-up-forgets-hes-playing-basketball-delivers-one-of-the-dirtiest-fouls-youll-see

Duke’s coaches and players leapt to their feet and onto the floor incensed with the takedown and concern for their teammate.  Amazingly, Wendell got up and shook it off.  However, that seemed to give the Blue Devils extra incentive to close out Clemson.  Collins was ejected for a Category 2 Flagrant Foul, and, therefore, it took a valuable Clemson starter out of the game.  

The rest of the season will tell whether this young Duke team is maturing into a battle-ready contender or is just a talented, but inconsistent, immature pretender.

ALANALYSIS:

Introduction

It was a very satisfying bounce-back win for Duke after the disappointing loss to UVA in Cameron on Monday.  The Blue Devils were better  in shooting, rebounding, and ball handling.  Perhaps the gaudiest statistic was that A.J. Griffin (2-2) and Trevor Keels (3-6) collectively shot  5-8 from 3land.  That’s 15 points on 8 shots. Perhaps the best news from the game was Trevor morphing back into the potential lottery player he was in the season opener against Kentucky.  Keels scored 23 of Duke’s 44 second half points.  After Monday’s heartbreak, it was just the stress-free game Duke fans needed on a Thursday night!

Coach K’s final year is strange because the regular season is where our Hall of Fame coach is simply getting ready for the post-season.  Duke’s bench has been longer, and rather than shrinking as the season progresses (Duke fans watch that phenomenon every year), the number of players and the roles of the bench has expanded.

We will examine the game half by half, followed by the status of the team in Coach K’s rotation, which has been quite different this season.

Duke v Clemson – Each Half Was Different

Coach K, echoing what we mean when we say that ACC road games are just different, “For us, it was a great response after a difficult loss against Virginia.  They [the Duke players] were tough-minded.  They’ve lost some really tough games, close games and we knew that they [the Clemson team] would be ready and the crowd [would be raucous].  I like the way my team responded to them[the crowd + the team]”.

“I thought our defense was very good. The second half, Trevor took over.  Wendell Moore did a great job of leading our team; he had eight assists and no turnovers, and was more like he’s played in the early part of the season. We’re moving along.”

The First Half (Duke 38 – Clemson 29): 

With 8:11 remaining in the opening period, Duke led by 4 (18-14).  In the next 2:38, Duke scored 9 straight points to lead by 13.  Mark Williams scored twice, Wendell scored, and A.J. hit a 3.  While Clemson did cut the lead to 5 in the second half, the Tigers never led in the game.  The Duke players had balanced scoring in the first half and a 26-15 rebounding edge with 8 offensive boards. 

Williams, in his 12 first-half minutes, led the scoring with 10 points (5-5 from the field), to go with 5 rebounds, a steal, and a block.  Dominating.  Paolo Banchero and Wendell each scored 8 points.  In his 18:22, Paolo was 3-8 from the field, (including 0-1 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line), to go with 5 rebounds, 2 assists, and a steal (2 turnovers); while Wendell, in his 14:22 of playing time, was a more efficient 3-6 from the field, including 1-1 from behind the arc plus 1-2 from the stripe.   Wendell became the main ball handler as he had been before Trevor was injured handing out 4 assists without a turnover.  Wendell added 2 rebounds and a steal to round out his excellent first half performance. 

A.J. played 13:39 and scored 6 first-half points (2-5 from the field that included 2-3 from deep.  A.J. did grab a single rebound and handed out an assist, but committed 2 fouls and 2 turnovers.  Theo John (6:49), Trevor (12:55) and Jeremy Roach (12:00) each scored 2 points on 1-4 shooting.  Trevor had 6 rebounds to lead Duke in that department.  Theo had 2 boards, a block, and, astoundingly, attempted a 3. Clang.

The defense held the Tigers to 29 points on 36% shooting.  

The Second Half (Duke 44 – Clemson 38): 

Duke shot 58% from the field, including 55% from behind the arc and 80 % from the foul line. 

The big story of the concluding period was Trevor Keels, who had a second half that is the stuff of legends.  In 17 minutes, Trevor scored 23 (8-9, including 3-4 from behind the arc plus 4-5 from the line) to go with 5 boards.  0 assists, turnovers, steals, or blocks.  As all announcers and Bill have noted, Trevor has not played like this since the opening game against Kentucky in Madison Square Garden.

Astonishingly, Mark, A.J., and Trevor were a combined 13-14 from the field, including 5-6 from deep and 4-5 from the stripe for a total 35 of Duke’s 44 points.  Paolos’ 7 second-half points in 15:25 (2-7, including 1-3 from 3land plus 2-3 from the stripe) and Jeremy’s 2 in 13:21 completed Duke’s second-half scoring. Contrary to the balanced scoring in the first half of the game, in this second half Keels was responsible for scoring more than half of Duke’s 44 points.

Mark Williams was not in any foul trouble and yet played only 8:55 in the second half.  Mark was 3-3 for 6 points, with a rebound, an assist, and a block.  A.J. took only 2 second-half shots in his 14:24 and made both 3s for his 6 points.  A.J. also contributed 2 boards, an assist, and a block.

Human nature reduced the Blue Devil aggressiveness on defense versus the first half. Clemson scored 38. Duke’s lead ballooned to 22 with a little over 5 minutes left.  The Tigers never got closer than 5 (45-40 with 16:38 left).  The last time Clemson reduced the lead to single digits (9) was with 12:20 left in the game.  Then the Blue Devils went on a tear over the next 7 minutes that put the game away.

Evaluating The Rotation –  it is Different

Coach K’s final season will be evaluated by the results of the post-season.  Duke could win every game in the regular season but failing to win a post-season title, and the season will not be the stuff our dreams were made of.  More than in other years, the regular season is mainly building Duke for the post-season, which is why Coach K’s rotation this year has been deeper with mixed lineups so that everyone will get used to playing with everyone else in any new situation.  Coach K’s team has at least 4 competent ball handlers who can bring the ball up and initiate the offense, but no traditional point guard in the Hurley, Jay Williams, Tyus and Tre Jones tradition.  That has contributed to Duke’s inconsistency.

Duke has 6 in the regular rotation: 3 freshmen (Paolo, A.J., and Trevor), 2 sophomores (Mark and Jeremy) and 1 Junior (Wendell).  Duke goes 9 deep with the addition of an experienced bench: graduate transfers that have already played 4 seasons of NCAA basketball (Bates Jones from Davidson and Theo John from Marquette) and one senior (Joey Baker).  Looking at the rotation by class year provides unique insights:

The 4 Freshmen 

Paolo Banchero – has been in a bit of an offensive slump recently, which can camouflage his effectiveness in all aspects of the game.  Coach K played him a ton of minutes early in the season, and, it seems to me, Paolo has worn down a bit.  However, he is special whether or not he is scoring at a high rate (he’s the leading freshman scorer in the nation with a 17.1 points per game average).  But his average was higher earlier in the year.  He has personally been the major factor in Duke ceasing to give up offensive rebounds and second chance points.  He has been Duke’s best rebounder, especially on the defensive backboard.  He is a versatile defender.  His rebounding, passing, and defense – not to mention his scoring – have been key components for Duke’s improvement.  But his inconsistency – 0 points and shots in the second half versus UVA, for example – are exactly what Duke must cure for a successful post-season.  Hopefully, he is being rested more, and his offense will return to the dazzling heights of earlier in the season.

A.J. Griffin – is in the midst of a roller-coaster year.  He came slowly back from injury and rust to lead Duke (and practically the nation) in 3-point shooting and to score prodigiously in several recent games.  But inconsistency remains a concern.  After a monster game against the Tarheels last Saturday (27 points), A.J. scored just 2 against Virginia. Unsurprisingly, Duke creamed UNC and was nipped by UVA.  A.J. is such an important part of Duke’s team that when his scoring fails, Duke is in Big Trouble.

Trevor Keels – has displayed amazing potential, playing like an NBA lottery pick against Kentucky and Clemson, but also demonstrating erratic shooting in many other games.  His potential is indisputable.  Whether he, and his freshmen brothers, can consistently realize that potential in the post-season is Duke’s biggest challenge.

Jaylen Blakes, the 4th freshman, has not played much.

The Sophomores and Wendell

Mark Williams – is the only player from the ACC on the final list of 15 players from which the National Defensive Player of the Year will be chosen (his sister Elizabeth won the award in her senior year at Duke).  His improvement has been dramatic.  As Associate Head Coach Scheyer has said, “Duke is a different team when Mark is in.”  He not only blocks shots, he alters many that he doesn’t block.  His rebounding has improved and can get even better.  Coach K rests him quite a bit and is appreciating his overall defense.  Mark guarded Clemson star P.J. Hall; Coach K said, “He had a tough matchup. I think [PJ] Hall is one of the best players – I love that kid. He puts so much pressure on you.  It’s a different cover for Mark, so I’m proud of Mark because you’re all over the court covering him, but you were able to finish.”  His offense has been excellent.  He still has a long way to go to reach his full potential.  Coach K is hoping he comes closer to it in the post-season.

Jeremy Roach – is having a checkered year.  He lost his starting position when his shooting and offense were not contributing.  Then Trevor was injured against Florida State, and Jeremy was not only back in the starting lineup, but he became the prime ball handler and was a revelation.  Fantastic assist to turnover ratio.  His scoring began to expand.  Then Trevor came back and replaced Jeremy in the starting lineup against Clemson.  Jeremy returned to a diminished effectiveness.  His on-the ball-defense is Duke’s best.  Having 6 dividing the prime minutes keeps everyone a bit fresher.  Jeremy is in an interesting position.

Wendell Moore – was the team leader and chief ball handler early in the season, and now he’s back.  He was playing at an elite level. He has seemed more adversely impacted by the COVID 10-day quarantine than any other player.  Coach K after Moore’s performance against Clemson yesterday: “Wendell Moore [Jr.] did a great job of leading our team. He had eight assists and no turnovers and was more like he’s played in the early part of the season.”  A bravura performance!

Theo John, Bates Jones and Joey Baker – have provided depth and, on occasion, valuable minutes.  Joey is the most inconsistent.  Bates is newly earning time in the rotation because he can shoot, pass, rebound, and defend – just not as well as the starters.  There are some situations that favor Theo (he is physically tougher than Mark) when he is extra-valuable.

The Road to the Post-Season

Assuming Duke will earn the double-bye for the ACC tournament, which opens at the Barclay Center in Brooklyn on March 8, Duke’s first game would be on March 10 in the quarter finals.  Coach K will want to win his final ACC tournament; he will be entering the tournament with the most talented team. However, we all know that the best team does not always win in the post-season.

Then it is on to the climax.  It doesn’t matter what Duke is seeded or to what region the Blue Devils are assigned.  Coach K’s team must have achieved consistency or their effort for the coveted NCAA championship will be short-circuited.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS

The Duke freshmen have been inconsistent for sure.  Paolo leads the nation’s freshmen in scoring and blanked in the second half of a crucial loss to UVA.  A.J. pours in 20+ points one night followed by a low scoring game.  Trevor pours in points in two big games and scores almost nothing in other games.  Why?  Perhaps,it is worth remembering how young Duke’s key players really are.  Coach K: “We are a very young team. [Trevor turned] 18 in August, AJ Griffin is 18, Paolo [Banchero] is 19. These guys aren’t hardened veterans, so they have to learn.”  It is only in the regular season the Blue Devils can appreciate these lessons.

Coach K. “With a young team, they have really good attitudes, and they all want to play well, but you can get caught up with you playing well. Not trying to score a lot of points, but you don’t see globally – you see locally. That’s part of the maturity of a player and a team, is to see globally, like how are we doing? By holding each other accountable, that helps you in that. I thought we did a really good job of that tonight.”  Learning is what the regular season has been, and is, all about.

This has been a difficult eight-day stretch beginning with Carolina, followed by Virginia, Clemson, and ending Saturday with B.C., caused by the December  COVID cancellations. Playing through difficult circumstances is how a team grows.   

Wisdom is part of growth.  We would be remiss if we didn’t mention Coach K’s wise reaction to David Collins’s vicious foul on Wendell.  And Brad Brownell’s.  The Clemson coach brought Collins over to the Duke bench to apologize.  Rather than escalate a tense situation, K completely defused it by giving Collins a hug to symbolically accept the apology.  This is rare in competitive sport, but should not be. 

Next Play: Saturday, February 12th, 2022, at Boston College: 5 pm on TV: ACCN


Duke Blue Devils 72 v. Boston College Eagles 61; (Season 13 Issue 23 – Game # 25) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “Cliffsnotes” (February 12, 2022)

Paolo flyin’ high & Duke grabs another win 
Photo Credit: Winnie Lu for The Duke Chronicle
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke wore down a well-coached but out-manned Boston College team tonight 72-61. Duke won because Paolo Banchero, operating in the high post, took advantage of his matchup and finished with 16 points and 14 boards, and because Duke outscored BC 21-3 on three pointers. Early on, the Eagles carved up the Blue Devils’ man-to-man defense with a high post offense, back door cuts, and precise passes, but as the game progressed Duke’s size and talent won out.

Feel for the flow of the game and savvy substitutions have always been Coach K’s strength (ref. NCAA Championship game against Wisconsin with his substitution of seldom used Grayson Allen, whose play off the bench was the impetus for the Blue Devils’ victory). However, this year he seems to be eschewing his limited six- or seven-man rotation for more liberal minutes with a seven- or eight-man rotation. Banchero, Williams, Moore, Keels, and Griffin are the difference makers. Jeremy Roach and Theo John are solid subs. Joey Baker and Bates Jones are situational players, who have their moments, but are often taken advantage of defensively, and do not strike fear in an opponent’s heart. Perhaps the deeper rotation is intended to keep the players fresh..  Time will tell if Coach K reverts to form or not.

The “History of the ACC Tournament” is showing on the ACC channel and is an interesting and accurate trip down memory lane for some of us, and a history lesson for those who were not there for the maturation of basketball mania in North Carolina.

ALANALYSIS:

Duke’s final 11-point margin of victory deceptively minimizes Duke’s dominance in the game.  That dominance was better shown by the almost 20-point lead the Blue Devils maintained throughout the second half, until Coach K called off the dogs with over 4 minutes left in the game.  Duke had stretched the lead to its largest margin, — 21 points (69-48) with 4:38 left when Trevor Keels made 2 free throws.  Then, Joey Baker came in for Keels and Bates Jones replaced Paolo Banchero.  In the last 4:38, Duke’s lead shrunk with its bench on the floor closing out the game.  Jaylen Blakes played the last 38 seconds, committing 2 fouls and missing his only shot.  The point is the game was not close to competitive in the latter stages of the second half.

A Return to Form for Banchero and Moore; Trevor’s Resurgence Continues

The victory over BC was good news because of the return to form for Paolo, Wendell Moore, and Trevor, each of whom had been either shooting erratically or had been injured. 

Paolo, whose scoring fell from an 18.6 points per game average to 14 over the last few games, returned to the form that has him in the discussion for #1 NBA draft selection in the spring.  In 34:20, Banchero had a double double – 14 rebounds and 16 points (7-14 from the field, including 0-2 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line).  Paolo’s 11 defensive rebounds matched B.C.’s total of offensive rebounds.  He continues to do the needed dirty work.  Overall, Duke out-rebounded the Eagles 41-31. 

Wendell acknowledged how much Paolo’s return to form means to the Blue Devils, “One thing was for sure Paolo established himself early. When we needed him most, he came through. He really led us out there tonight. He was real strong with everything he did. We ran our version of Iso [isolation offense] for him, and he just made strong drives every time.  He might not have scored every time, but he made the right play.  In the first half, he hit Mark [Williams] for an assist, he got a layup and then he kicked it out to AJ [Griffin] for a three. So, just him making plays makes us a lot better.” Typically, an Iso would put 4 guys on one side of the floor and the scorer (Paolo in this case) on the other to make a double team very difficult.  But Duke was a bit different; the Blue Devils spread the floor and got the ball in the post to Paolo.  What made the Iso work was Paolo made his move as soon as he touched the ball. Fake!  Drive!  Crossover! No one BC player could defend him, and Paolo’s instant moves deprived BC of the time to bring a double team. 

Wendell was also inspirational in his superb play, especially after taking such a bruising fall when fouled by David Collins at Clemson only 2 days before.  He was the only other Duke player, besides Paolo, on the court for more than 28 minutes (31:15), scoring 14 points on only 7 attempts from the field (4-7, including a dazzling 4-5 from behind the arc!, plus 2-2 from the stripe), while adding 5 rebounds and 2 assists, but did commit 4 turnovers (2 in each half).  Wendell: “I feel like my shot preparation was there tonight. I feel like my hands were ready.  Whenever one of my teammates drove today, I was calling for the ball.  Most of all, I wasn’t thinking – I just shot it.  Every time I shot it, I believed it was going in.  Really, one went well for me, and with the confidence my teammates have in me, pair those two things together, it makes a pretty good night for me.” 

Trevor was again superb, coming off the bench to log the 3rd most minutes on the floor of any Duke player (28:37).  Keels scored 13 points (5-7 from the field, including 1-2 from 3land, plus 2-4 from the stripe) — 9 in the second half.  He added 4 rebounds but turned it over 4 times.  Over his last 4 games, Trevor has averaged 15.8 points per game.  Trevor has scored in double figures in 16 of Duke’s games.  When he scored in double figures Duke won 15 of those 16 games.

Duke’s Centers 

Mark Williams (20:36 minutes), Theo John (17 minutes) and Bates Jones (8:36) were Duke’s big men on the court throughout the game.  Paolo was never the sole big man on the court.  

Mark has been having a remarkable season.  In Duke’s last 10 games, he has been 54 of 68 from the field (.794), and in his last 5 games was 23 of 27 (.852).  His two jump shots – one from the foul line against Clemson, and from the top of the key against Boston College – showed another potential phase of his game.  Against the Eagles, Mark scored 10 (3-4 from the field and 4-4 from the foul line), to go with 3 boards and 2 blocks.  In Duke’s 25th game this season, this was Mark’s 22nd game with at least 2 blocks.  Williams missed only one shot from the field, at the beginning of the second half, which snapped his streak of 14 consecutive field goals – his final 4 in the second half against Virginia, 8-8 against Clemson, and his first 2 against the Eagles.

Theo played one of his best games, giving Mark substantial rest without leaving Duke to falter.  Theo grabbed 4 boards and blocked 3 shots (1 more than Mark), while scoring 2 points (1-4 from the field).  Theo’s defense against Boston’s high-scoring big man, James Karnik, was more effective than Mark’s.

Bates Jones has played his way into Coach K’s rotation.  In this game, he played at the end when the game was not in doubt (called garbage time by the cognoscenti) and did not score.  He did get 2 rebounds though.

The Defense

Boston College has been a fearsome 3-point shooting team.  Duke’s defensive game plan was to contest BC’s 3s.  The Eagles were held to 1-12 from behind the arc.  The concentration on running BC off the 3-point line and contesting 3-point attempts allowed Eagle guards to pump, fake, and drive.  Duke was “carved up” a bit by BC forays into the lane, but the Blue Devils held the Eagles to 61 points (and the last 8 were against Duke’s bench and didn’t impact the game).  Duke was not as aggressive in the passing lanes and forced only 9 BC turnovers.  It was the right defense against BC.  

In its last 14 games, Duke has held opponents to 30% or an even lower shooting percentage from behind the arc in 11 of them (17 games for the entire season so far).  Duke’s success over the year against the 3-point shot has been helped by having Mark and Paolo to protect the rim.  Duke’s perimeter defenders can be aggressive because even if a drive gets the shooter into the paint, Duke still has a formidable defense from its bigs.

Jeremy Roach

Jeremy is acknowledged as Duke’s best on-the-ball defender.  He began the season as a starter, played his way out of the starting lineup, and has again been a starter since Trevor was injured. Jeremy remained in the starting lineup even as Trevor returned.   His defense remains premier; it is his offense that has been inconsistent.

Jeremy stepped up to play an inspirational point guard during Trevor’s absence and his offense began to thrive.  His assist to turnover ratio was second in the nation, and even began to find his shot. .  However, since Trevor’s return, Jeremy’s offensive game has regressed.  His shot has again deserted him and his turnovers have increased.   Against the Eagles, Jeremy started and played 26 minutes, scoring 5 points (a depressing 1-7 from the field including 0-4 from behind the arc, plus 3-4 from the stripe).  Roach had only a single assist against 2 turnovers.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS

It is fascinating to watch Coach K bring this very young team along to the point of being a contender for the NCAA championship.  Every move he makes is a teaching move to create a consistently cohesive balanced team for a championship run.  As always, Coach’s insights about the team are really about our lives as much as about basketball: 

“When you coach for 47 years, there’s a lot of things that you’ve failed at,” he said. “When you fail, failure is a part of learning about a new limit. That’s why a lot of parents don’t allow their kids to get C’s. You’re not going to get better unless you’re told the truth. When you lose and you don’t do well, you should tell yourself the truth, and move on. And when you win, move on. Learn from both and get better. That’s what I’ve tried to do.”

“I’ll look back at it, but not now. Not when [BC is] making an 8-0 run to cut into a 16-point lead.”

Next Play: Tuesday, February 15th, 2022, vs Wake Forest in Cameron: 7 pm on TV: ESPN


Duke Blue Devils 76 v. Wake Forest Deacons 74 at Cameron ; (Season 13 Issue 24 – Game # 26) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (February 15, 2022)

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Duke played some of their best basketball for about 29 minutes against a very big, tough, talented, and mature Wake Forest team that has been on a roll. The Blue Devils led by 9 at the break, by as much as 19 early in the second half and was still up 61-46 with 11 minutes remaining. Then, they played like they did for much of the Virginia game and were extremely fortunate to survive the closest finish, decided by a fraction of an inch, within the final 0.4 seconds. 

First, with the score tied and the clock winding down, Banchero drove down the right side and put a layup high off the glass—a fraction of an inch too high.  Because it came down on the front of the rim, multiple players jumped for the ball.  Mark Williams got the ball.  And Mark slammed it home. The ref on the baseline waved it off, because from his angle, the ball appeared not to have totally cleared the cylinder of the basket. After reviewing the monitor, the referees determined the basketball was just outside the cylinder and put 0.4 seconds back on the clock. Wake inbounded the ball to Domari Monsanto, who threw a three quarter length shot baseball-style, hitting the backboard hard and a little off center. It ricocheted off the front of the rim. It might have counted, or it might not have counted—no one checked, but that is how close the Blue Devils came to an embarrassing loss. Give Wake Forest a lot of the credit for making stops and making shots during those eleven minutes. They are a dangerous team. 

The frustrating and puzzling aspect of this team is that since the break, except for the Carolina game, they have not played forty minutes of consistently good offensive and defensive basketball —and in the last minutes of some games find themselves left at the mercies of the referees and the basketball gods. One obvious solution is for Paolo Banchero to break out of his shooting slump. To his credit, he has made up for it by excelling at the “mundane stuff” like defense and rebounding.

Coach K did not appear for the second half because he was feeling sick, but is reported to be  feeling better. After the game, he told his players they had to play smarter and harder until the final whistle.

Cameron Indoor Stadium has earned its reputation and mystique: Duke has won more games at its current home venue than any team in college basketball. Now in its 83rd season as the home of the Blue Devils, Duke has averaged 11.1 wins since it opened January 6, 1940 with a 36-27 win over Princeton.  The Blue Devils have 18 undefeated home seasons, including 11 under Coach K who has posted an all-time record of 928-170 (.845) at the venue.

ALANALYSIS:

After 4 Last-Second Losses; A Last-Second Win!

Ambivalent is a fair adjective to describe how Duke fans felt after the Blue Devils squandered a 19-point lead in 14 minutes to be faced with a tie score 20 seconds away from the end of the game.  After four devastating losses when Duke was leading with just seconds to go, desolation loomed if Wake forced an overtime and won the game (as Florida State did in its visit to Cameron last month).  

Joy replaced desolation when Mark Williams scored on an offensive rebound, literally at the buzzer.  Thus ensued a series of  heart clenching ups and downs.  Initially, the basket was waived off as offensive basket interference.  But the replay showed a legitimate winning field goal.  One last heart stop:  Wake had 0.4 left and fired a desperation 70-foot heave that went around the rim – but then rimmed out.  So, Duke finally won a nail-biter, but it was far from glorious.  One sports outlet had a headline, “Duke loses Composure Down the Stretch”.  Unfortunately, the headline was indisputably dead on.  The Blue Devils seemed stuck to the floor on defense and disorganized when they had the ball.  Scheyer tried to say it “nicer”.

“I think for us, we’ve been in positions now multiple times at home where it comes down to getting stops. We had a lead there down the stretch and we weren’t able to get the stop. In the history since I’ve been a part of this program, and obviously way before, when we’ve needed a stop in this building, or multiple stops, we’ve gotten them. We weren’t really able to do that tonight down the stretch, and it’s cost us in other games, but we did make enough plays throughout the game that put us in that position.” (Emphasis added because these late game collapses are not usual for Coach K teams)

The First Half

Duke had an excellent first half both on offense and defense (except for the last 7 seconds when the Devils gave up an open 3 — forgot to defend? — to allow Wake to cut the lead from 12 to 9).  It was a harbinger for the latter part of the second half.  

Inconsistency at its most glaring – or WTF!?However, even with an overall excellent performance in the first half, Duke’s “inconsistency” was evident.  Each of Duke’s most dangerous scorers were held without a point in one half.  Paolo Banchero failed to score a point in the first half, while A.J. Griffin failed to score in the second half even though he played 19 minutes!  Paolo scored 13 in the second half; A.J. had scored 12 to lead Duke’s first-half scoring.

The Loss of a 19-Point Lead From 14:36 to 0:20 

Duke gave up 41 second-half points, 36 of them in less than 15 minutes!  This, after the Blue Devils had stretched the lead to 19 (57-38).  Is complacency after gaining a big lead human nature?  Not for National Championship caliber teams.  The defensive collapse mirrored an offensive decline. – Duke had scored 15 of its 34 second-half points by the 14:36 mark.  Duke scored just 19 more points in the next almost 15 minutes (to Wake’s 36).  In the closing stanza, Duke shot 37% (10-27 from the field, including 2-10 from behind the arc (25%), and turned it over 9 times (only 5 assists).  Duke’s 12-15 from the stripe is all that staved off complete collapse and certain defeat.

Duke had substantial dry spells – significant minutes without scoring.  Banchero hit a 3 to move the Blue Devils from 57 to 60 total points with 13:45 left.  Duke did not reach 61 points until fewer than 11 minutes were left in the game.  Then another 2+ minute drought strangled the offense.

For a wishful minute, it looked as though Duke had shut the Deacons down and locked up the game, leading by 9 (74-65) with 3:58 remaining, after Paolo made 2 free throws — (his final points).  

Then, at 3:16, Paolo committed his 4th foul. Wake converted both free throws–74-67.  A.J. Griffin missed.  And Duke committed a shot clock violation with 2:14 left.  A.J. turned it over again with 1:52 left, before Wake’s Williams hit a 3 to cut the Blue Devil lead to 4 (74-70) with 1:05 left in the game. 

Trevor Keels immediately turned it over (with 59 seconds left), which Wake turned into a breakaway layup (74-72 with 55 seconds left).  Moore turned it over (backcourt violation; I thought he was fouled) with 35 seconds remaining.  

Williams (Duke) fouled Williams (Wake) with 20 seconds left.  Wake’s 2 free throws tied the game at 74.  Paolo drove, but missed; Mark rebounded, missed, and then finished with less than a heart-stopping-second left in the game (as Bill so aptly described above). 

Duke did not score from 3:58 until the last second, while Wake poured in 9 points in the same amount of time!  

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS

Coach Scheyer was clearly disappointed.  He understood how deficient his team’s performance was for this late in the season, “  I mentioned the stops, clearly if we get stops that puts us in a different position to finish off that game.  Knowing time and score and having poise and working for great shots. I think we got a little panicked down the stretch just with making quick plays. When we have poise and break the defense down, because we can put so many weapons on the floor, we’re a tough team to defend. Really just knowing time and score and managing the clock is something we need to learn to do a better job of.”    

 Wendell described how the team reacted positively even as Duke’s substantial lead melted away: “Really just our will to win. If you looked at our huddle, no matter how big of a run [Wake Forest] went on, everybody’s face in the huddle, we all knew that we weren’t going to lose this game. We were determined that we needed a stop, and we were able to get the stop that we needed.” 

Duke’s determination to win transcended/overcame formidable barriers.  Even though the calls seemed to damage Duke (Mark made what appeared to be a clean block — it was very clean at the top, but a foul against Mark was called), the Blue Devils dug in and fought back successfully. 

Coach K gets the wise closing word. He understands both the good and the bad from the game, and the final result. It was positive (mostly) and encouraging without being disingenuous, discordant or naive.  Here’s what he said to the team after the game: “Way to fight, have to be smarter. We shouldn’t have even put ourselves in that situation, but we still found a way to win, which was the most important thing. We’ve been in a lot of situations that have been close and been on the wrong side of that, so just to get a win was huge.”

That is undeniably true.  Unlike the four last-second losses that continue to haunt, Duke did not lose this game! 

Next Play: Saturday, February 19th, 2022, vs Florida State in Cameron: 6 pm on TV: ESPN


Duke Blue Devils 88 v. Florida State Seminoles 70 at Cameron ; (Season 13 Issue 25 – Game # 27) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (February 19, 2022)

Baker fires up the oven for four 3s.                  Photo Credit: Duke Chronicle
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

Florida State’s deep, but depleted, team started by matching Duke point-for-point as they easily broke down the Blue Devil’s too aggressive switching position 1 through 5 man-to-man defense. Suddenly, with only ten minutes played, Williams and Banchero were on the bench with two fouls each, in what appeared to be a much tougher game than anticipated.  But, it was Joey Baker, doing a very good impression of J.J. Redick, who was the catalyst to changing the complexion of the game.  Joey entered, Williams and Banchero came out, and the fifth-year senior had a night to remember— 4 three-pointers and a defensive charge taken within a span of seven minutes! that gave the Blue Devils separation from the Seminoles, who had been carving up Duke’s man-to-man defense, shooting 55% from the floor. 

Joey was so hot that everything was going in– in the second half a short lob to Williams looked as if it was going in the basket [Williams got credit for the deuce]. Joey had another 3-point swish  waived off because he shuffled his feet before releasing the shot.  His game changing performance sparked the offense that featured a spectacular transition sequence, with Wendell Moore Jr. throwing a halfcourt bounce pass,to A.J. Griffin for a rim-rattling dunk and a 52-41 lead in the final minute of the first half.  It was  reminiscent of Zion Williams’ famous full court bounce pass. All this was too much for the short-handed Seminoles, who cooled off considerably in the second half. 

Six Blue Devils scored in double figures as Duke as beat the Seminoles 88-70, much to the delight of the fans in Cameron, on this penultimate home game of Coach K’s record-breaking career. The Blue Devils shot 52%, and had 25 assists on its 32 field goals. Coach K said,  “I thought we assisted well.”  It was a team win –Paolo Banchero scored 17 points to lead. Wendell Moore had 16 points with 7 assists, while freshman A.J. Griffin added 15 points.  Freshman guard Trevor Keels, who played the point for much of the game, had 13 points and 8 assists. Joey had 12 points and Mark had 10 to round out the six double-figure scorers.   Mike Krzyzewski said. “Some of the passes from Trevor were spectacular. I really thought Paolo had a different gear in the second half.”

 Comments: 

Lesson learned: After halftime, the Duke defense ratcheted up, the Seminoles tired and shot just 11 of 27 (41%), for the kind of closeout a veteran Duke team makes. Krzyzewski said Duke thought it could turn Florida State over early, but it was going about it the wrong way, trying for individual steals rather than concentrating on team defense, and were burned as a consequence.

It is still puzzling to me that Mark Williams, whose defense and offense and mere presence on the floor makes Duke a different and more potent team, was limited to twenty minutes.  I can see protecting Mark from getting in foul trouble in the first half, but at tournament time…..

ALANALYSIS:

Introduction

Even though Duke won against Wake Forest last Tuesday, it was a confidence- and  ego-deflating win. Duke, which had led Wake by as much as 19 with a bit over 14 minutes to play, was inexplicably in a tie game with 20 seconds left to play!  So, even though the outcome against Wake was a victory, this game against Florida State was still a bounce back game.  Coach K knew that and spoke to it:

“The game is a long game.  We show our youth when we don’t have the discipline to maintain that lead or add to it or only lose a little of it.  I thought we did a little bit better job tonight.  But still, it’s like you are saying whoa, just settle down.  No one-handed passes.  You don’t have to make a flamboyant play.  We just have to take care of the clock.  Doesn’t mean you are holding the ball.  Be smart. Time and score.  And end up with more points than them.  It’s simple.  If you get that far ahead, you should win.  You shouldn’t have to go to the last play of the game, the way we did in the last game, no matter how good the other team is.  We were contributors to that.  Tonight, we were not.  Hopefully, going forward, we won’t be.  You have to learn from all these things.  Our guys are very confident; you have to be careful not to be too confident.  That’s what we are working on.”

Duke’s offense was exceptional –52 first-half points; 88 for the game,25 assists on 32 field goals, a solid rebounding advantage (including dominant offensive rebounding), and good ball security.  Duke’s scoring for the game was balanced, but the Blue Devils were carried by A.J. Griffin and Joey Baker (12 points each) in the first half, and by Paolo Banchero (13 points) and Wendell Moore, Jr. (8 points) in the second half.  

But, once again, Paolo had a low scoring first half while A.J’s scoring was limited in the closing period.  For example, in the second half A.J. Griffin and Michael Savarino scored exactly the same – 3 points on 1-1 from 3land.  Mark Williams had 4 points and Trevor Keels scored 5 points.  Joey Baker, Jeremy Roach, Theo John, and Bates Jones failed to score at all in the closing stanza.

Duke’s defense was once again carved up in the first half.  The Seminoles got into the paint on drives for layups to score 41 first-half points.  Half-time adjustments stymied Florida State in the second half–the Seminoles scored only 29 in the closing period.

The Defense

Coach K explained the problem with Duke’s first-half defense and the half-time adjustment that Duke made to solve it: “My feeling is we were ready to play.  In the first half we felt that we could steal the ball, pressure, and get on them.  They’re strong with the ball.  Their kids played really well.  When you try to steal, you commit [yourself].  You don’t steal the ball with two hands, you steal with one.  And when you do, you get narrow.  When you get narrow, they go by you.  When you control the ball, you have two hands out and you get wide.  In the second half, we controlled the ball.  That was the adjustment we made.”   I find myself agreeing with Johnny Tarheel that Coach K is worth 5-10 points per game just due to his brilliance at being able to switch up and find the right strategy to fix the problems midstream. The Blue Devil defense forced turnovers in the second half, but not in the opening stanza: “When you try to steal, you’re not going to get turnovers.  You might get one steal, but they’re going to go by you.  When you control the ball, you have a chance to do stuff off the ball, and that’s what happened in the second half.  By controlling the dribble, we were able to keep them out, and then we had good hands.  We thought we could do that in the first half by over-pressuring and that didn’t work.  So, that was a big part of the game – the points off turnovers – 16, but most of them in the second half. …  [In the first half], they took advantage of us.  They were strong.” 

The Rotation With Offensive Statistics

The Starters

Trevor Keels

Coach K made it clear in his press conference that Keels is back in the starting lineup to stay.  “Keels has been a starter pretty much the whole year until he got hurt.  To me, he’s gotten back from the injury he had and is in a condition now that he wasn’t coming off that injury when he missed some games.  So, Trevor is one of our best players. He’ll be in the starting lineup.” 

“He doesn’t just make passes from the 3-point line.  Because of his physicality and strength, he gets within 12 to 15 feet into the lane. … He makes passes within that perimeter, not outside the perimeter.  He did it in the normal course of the offense tonight and he likes doing it.  It’s a big asset for us when he is doing it.”  Keels is beginning to feel like a more traditional point guard and the Duke offense is growing around him.

Paolo Banchero

Paolo had a brilliant second half, to finish the game as Duke’s high scorer with 17 points (6-12, including 0-3 from behind the arc, plus 5-5 from the stripe).  He was also Duke’s leading rebounder with 8, as well as contributing a block, a steal, and an assist.  Shooting stars do not usually do the dirty work of defending and rebounding, but Paolo does that.  He was limited to 11 first-half minutes by his two early fouls, but he finished the game with still only those 2 fouls.  He is actually better than his formidable scoring statistics.  In the second half, Banchero carried Duke with 13 points (on 5-11, in spite of 0-3 from deep, plus 3-3 from the foul line) and 5 rebounds.

A. J. Griffin

A.J. had a superb first half, in 17 minutes scoring 12 of his 15 total points and grabbing 3 of his 5 rebounds .  For the game, A.J. played 28 minutes (5-10 from the field, including 2-6 from 3land, plus 3-4 from the foul line).  A.J.,  after avoiding any fouls in the first half, committed 3 second-half fouls, which limited him to 11 second-half minutes (1-1 from deep).

Wendell Moore, Jr.

Like Trevor, Wendell is rounding back into the game shape he was in prior to the COVID episode in December.  It has been a gradual rebound but appears to be now complete.  Moore played 37 minutes (most for any Duke player) of outstanding basketball on both ends of the floor.  Wendell scored 16 points, grabbed 5 rebounds while handing out 7 assists and making 6 steals.  That is worth a wow!  Wendell’s 16 points were scored on only 10 shots (5-10, including 1-3 from behind the arc, plus 5-7 free throws).  

Mark Williams

Mark’s early foul trouble (2 in the opening stages of the first half, and a 3rd early in the second period) limited his playing time to less than half the game (19:14), and, “shockingly”, he missed 2 shots.  But, in his limited playing time, Elizabeth’s baby brother tallied 10 points (5-7 from the field) and garnered 6 boards, while blocking a shot.  He played only 7 first-half minutes.  His absence for the majority of the first half partially explains Duke’s defense being carved up in the paint by the Seminoles.

The Bench

Jeremy Roach

Jeremy is having a hard time scoring with his role reduced by the return of Trevor Keels.  Jeremy failed to score a single point in his 17:30 of playing time (0-2, including 0-1 from deep).  He is still a terrific on-the-ball defender who is all over the floor.  Although he did not score, he did grab 4 boards and hand out 5 assists (some of them really pretty), but uncharacteristically turned it over 3 times.  He is a quality backup.

Joey Baker

Joey is Bill’s player of the game (I award him Player of the First Half).  It was Baker’s best game of the season, even without bringing in a single point in the second half.  Baker scored all 12 of his points in the first half on 4-5 from deep.  

Wendell expressed how the team feels about Joey: “Joey came in and he played his butt off.  He hit four huge threes and not only that, but he was defending.  He was defending probably the best I’ve seen from him in a long time.  When he does that, it just takes our team to another level.  It gives us more spacing on the floor because teams, they certainly can’t help off of him when he’s shooting the ball like that. Joey’s a great player.  He’s been through it all, he has the experience, he has the knowledge, and he’s a great leader for us.” 

Theo John

With Mark in foul trouble from early on, Theo played almost 17 minutes with 2 points (1-1 from the field), 2 rebounds, 2 blocked shots, and a steal.  A very solid backup.

Bates Jones

With A.J. now in the starting lineup, Bates has been getting more playing time.  Earlier, A.J. was coming off the bench to spell Paolo. Bates  now replaces Paolo when Paolo comes out of the game.  Not so much against Florida State last night as Bates  played only 2:34 (0-1 from deep).

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS

Duke starts its last road trip of the year on Wednesday when the Blue Devils take on a resurgent UVA in Charlottesville.  The Cavaliers just beat Miami in Miami yesterday, and are making a late season run for a postseason bid.  Next Saturday, the Blue Devils journey to Syracuse to take on the Orange, who just beat Boston College like a drum last night. 

 In March, Coach K meets his protégé,  Jeff Capel, in Pittsburgh (coming off thumping UNC last week)before heading home for Senior night in Cameron against the Tarheels, who just broke Virginia Tech’s six game winning streak yesterday with an impressive win.  Duke does have a two-game lead for the regular season ACC title.  Wendell explained the Blue Devil goals and cautions:

“Our goal is to win three championships here.  The first one is an ACC regular season championship.  That’s our first goal.  We have four games left to accomplish it, so we’re taking it one game at a time.  We’ve got three road games, and no road games in the ACC are easy; so you can’t look ahead to Coach’s last game against Carolina. We’ve got to head to Virginia on Wednesday, and they came in here and beat us.  Coach says we have the chance to do something special, but at the same time, we have our mind set on one goal right now – that’s to win the next game against Virginia, because if we win that game, we’re one step closer to our bigger goal in four games.” 

And then there is Coach K’s last game in Cameron on March 5 (senior night for Joey Baker; freshmen night for Paolo, A.J., and Trevor). No time to think about that now, but for an interesting side note, top price paid for a ticket to this legendary game is reputed to be $80,000 – so far.

It’s being a helluva ride.

Next Play: Wednesday, February 23rd, 2022,  at Virginia: 7 pm on TV: ESPN


Duke Blue Devils 65 v. Virginia Cavaliers 61, in Charlottesville; (Season 13 Issue 26 – Game # 28) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (February 23, 2022)

A.J. Griffin Closes Out Virginia Photo Credit: Duke Chronicle
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

The frustrating characteristics of this talented but young Duke team has been their inability to execute consistently for an entire 40-minute game, and to close out tight games. Early in the season it was Keels, Moore, and Banchero, who were the closers in the close wins. Then Keels got hurt and, after the break, Moore and Banchero turned cold offensively.  Consequently, the team has lacked a go-to player. Tonight, Jeremy Roach, recently relegated to 6th man, played the best game of his college career, and AJ Griffin, who couldn’t buy a basket in the first half, sealed the deal in the last minutes with two 3s, a drive, and two free throws. And, oh yes, another metaphorical game ball to Coach K, whose savvy substitutions and strategy intuitively put the right players in the right place at the right time to excel.  In the final minutes, he substituted Williams on defense and Griffin on offense. 

The game was a chess match between two great coaches.  In Duke’s loss in Cameron, Virginia scored most of their points in the paint, and won by a long three in the last seconds.  Tonight, Duke packed the paint, and UVA senior guard Kihei Clark made them pay by hitting six 3s in the first fifteen minutes but, due primarily to Jeremy Roach’s defense, not a one after that.  

The Blue Devils’ inconsistent offense (Banchero 2-13 & Moore 1-3) was offset by Roach scoring 15, Keels and Griffin 13 each, limiting turnovers, and matching the always tough Cavaliers in other defensive categories.  It was a testament to their maturing that they won in spite of the subpar offensive performances of Banchero and Moore. One reason was Duke’s  defensive effort matched the Cavaliers famous pack line defense. 

COACH K: “AJ [Griffin] made big plays and we were able to do a couple things there, but I thought Jeremy’s performance was the differentiator. We defended their bigs.  They had 24 and 16 last time – they had two points this time, and I think we only gave up only single digits in the paint, where we gave up 52 last game.   And still, it was that close to losing. We did so many good things, and that means they did a lot of good things. [It was] just a great ACC game.” 

On substituting AJ Griffin and Mark Williams down the stretch on offense and defense: “We went to an open set, and we were going to attack the big match up if they stayed big. Attacking it is one thing, for our guys to see it is another.  It just worked.  Sometimes they work, sometimes they don’t work. I was proud of our guys and I’m really proud of AJ because he had such a tough shooting night, but we have confidence in him that his next shot is going to go in, and three of his next shots went in in the last four minutes, and God bless. So, it just happened to work.  I thought his best move was the two-point [basket] because he had to really muck it out.”

COACH TONY BENNETT (whom I consider in a category with Coach K, Smith, and Wooden) “Both teams played I thought extremely hard.  You could feel that electric atmosphere and all that stuff was there.  I’ve got to say, sometimes the game comes down to, ‘Can you make a play,’ and they made some really impressive plays.  Roach hit some tough shots.  Yes, we had a turnover and a couple of breakdowns, but (AJ) Griffin hitting some of those shots and then the plays that they made were tough. We had Kadin [Shedrick] in, and we wanted to put him on Paolo [Banchero] when they went small. We didn’t quite have a matchup, we tried Kody [Stattmann].  So, a lot of things you looked at, and he did hit some tough shots, and you know, I’ll see on film if they were real tough.  They felt like a lot of big time plays were made down the stretch.  We made some plays at their place that just pushed over the edge, and they certainly made a few more here, and they were tough defensively, you know around the lane.  I thought we got some good looks and all that but, we had some trouble finishing around the basket and just some key plays here and there that were costly.” 

On his farewell gift to Coach Krzyzewski: “It was the right thing to do. I mean, I thought about some remarks right before the game.   You know, I didn’t know if we were going to do that or not. I appreciated our crowd being classy.  His contributions are monumental to the game, to the modern game of basketball and college basketball, and when someone can last that long and do what he’s done. Again, it was the right thing to do.”  [Alan Adds: nice juxtaposition to the UNC fans and University reaction to K’s last game in Chapel Hill!] [Coach K Adds: the gift was a plaque that “weighed 800 lbs. I figured they were trying to take me out of coaching the game by giving me a hernia.”

ALANALYSIS:

This was a wonderful basketball game between two very good teams playing great defense and good offense.  Coach K: “Just another Duke-Virginia game! What a great game for the conference and for our two programs, really to celebrate the talent of both teams and the teamwork.  Just like the last game could have been ours, this game could have been theirs.”

The defense played by each team was so intense and strategic that it could be used in an instructional video!  UVA defended Paolo Banchero better than any other team this year.  Duke wanted Paolo to be more physical and he tried.  When Duke got him the ball in the post, the Cavaliers doubled immediately and denied Paolo any shooting space.  UVA concentrated on stopping Duke’s 3 leading scorers, Wendell Moore, Paolo, and A.J. Griffin.  The Cavaliers were dramatically successful … until the last 3:29 of the game when A.J. scored 10 of his 13 game points.Duke changed its defensive strategy from that used in their first UVA matchup with excellent results.  Coach K: “I thought our defense was excellent.  We defended their bigs. They had 24 and 16 last time – they had two points this time, and I think we only gave up single digits in the paint, where we gave up 52 last game.”

Although each half was competitive, each stanza played out differently.  It is worth analyzing each half separately.

First Half

Offense

Duke’s scoring was evenly distributed, with Jeremy Roach leading the way with 7 points off the bench in his 15 first-half minutes (3-4 from the field, including 1-1 from behind the arc).   Theo John added 4 bench points in 6 minutes, to make 11 bench points (with Jeremy’s 7).  Mark Williams, in 14 minutes, was 3-4 from the field for 6 points, to go with 5 rebounds (team high) and 2 blocks.  Trevor Keels also scored 6 points (2-4 from the field, including 1-3 from deep, plus 1-2 from the stripe).  

Duke’s big guns were shut down by Virginia’s well-conceived defense.  Neither Wendell Moore (limited to 11 minutes by his 2 first-half fouls) nor Joey Baker (4 minutes) scored a single point.  Moore was 0-1; no field goal attempts for Joey.  A.J. Griffin, in 15 minutes, was 1-7 from the field, including 1-4 from 3land for 3 points.  Griffin did contribute 4 first-half rebounds, blocked a shot and made a steal.  Still, only 3 points from A.J. was disappointing.

Paolo was UVA’s main defensive focus.  Banchero played more than 18 first-half minutes, but scored only 4 points (2-6 from the field, including 0-2 from deep and 0-1 from the free throw line).  Paolo was harried into 3 turnovers, but did hand out 4 assists.  UVA brought an immediate double team, literally whenever Paolo touched the ball down low.  It really flummoxed him (as one could discern even more dramatically from his 0-7 from the field in the second half.)

The score was tied at 25, with 54 seconds left in the half, when Keels hit a 3, followed by a Banchero layup as the half expired.  Duke 30 v. UVA 25.

Defense

First and foremost, UVA only scored 25 first-half points!  Kihei Clark scored 18 of the Cavaliers’ 25 on 6-9 deep shooting.  Clark made his 6th 3 pointer of the half with 4:32 left;he had scored 18 points on those 6 deep shots. At that point, the entire Duke team had scored only 17 points – thus, Clark himself led Duke 18-17 (the score was actually 22-17).  But, that was the last 3 pointer Clark made in the game as Jeremy stepped up the intensity of his defense and brought Clark back to earth!  Clark had the best game of his life (25 points) with 21 of his family and friends from the West Coast in attendance. 

The entire rest of the Virginia team scored only 7 first-half points (no other player had more than 1 field goal).  Gardner (1-4, plus 1-2 from the foul line); Beekman (1-3) and Franklin (1-6) had the remaining Cavalier first-half points. TheVirginia bigs failed to score at all in the first half.   Duke defended its rim; Virginia could not get a single offensive rebound!

Second Half

The Blue Devils never lost the lead in the second half, which fluctuated between an 8 point lead (with 6:48 left in the game) and a 1 point lead (with 5:02 left).  Then came lots of heroics by each team, with Jeremy, A.J., and Trevor leading Duke to victory.

An example of Coach K’s genius: for the first time this year, he began substituting Griffin (in for offense) for Mark Williams (in for defense).  It turned out to be the strategy that won the game.  Williams blocked shots; Griffin put points on the board. Metaphoric game ball for K!

Neither team scored from 5:02 remaining until there was only 3:39 left.  Griffin substituted in for Williams with 4:29 left;  Duke took possession.  That substitution was reversed 12 seconds later after Paolo committed a turnover.  Griffin replaced Williams with 3:49 left and began his scoring spree (10 points in the last 3:39) with a deep 3.

Williams and Griffinagain switched.  UVA’s Franklin retaliated with a floater (Duke led 55-53 and A.J. returned to the game).  A.J.’s second 3 came at the 2:40 mark (Duke 58 -UVA 53).  UVA’s Gardner came right back with a layup with 2:22 left (Duke 58-UVA 55).  With 2:05 left, A.J. made a difficult driving lay up (Duke 60-UVA 55).  Moore fouled Beekman, who made both free throws (Duke 60-UVA 57 with 1:47 left).

Banchero missed a pull-up jumper; Clark turned it over when Keels stole the ball and drove for the layup with 54 seconds left in the game (Duke 62-UVA 57).  Gardner responded with a driving layup (Duke 62 – UVA 59 with 41 seconds left). 

Coach K called time out with 25 seconds left in the game and 15 seconds left on the shot clock.  Shedrick fouled Keels with 15 seconds still left in the game and 5 on the shot clock. Trevor missed the first free throw that would have made it a 2 possession game.  Visions of Miami, Florida State and, yes, UVA danced in my head, I admit.

We all exhaled when Keels made the next free throw (Duke 63 – UVA 59), which felt like the game clincher. But then, Clark made a layup with 3 seconds left on the game clock (Duke 63 – UVA 61).  UVA was forced to foul, and when A.J. made them both, Duke was the winner of a great game!

A.J. scored 10 second-half points. He played only 9:34 second-half minutes, but all his scoring  was in the final 3:39 of the game (3-4 from the field, including 2-3 from deep and 2-2 from the foul line).    

Roach was superb in the closing stanza, scoring 8 points (3-3 from the field, including 2-2 from deep) in 17:16 minutes!  He even blocked a Clark 3-point attempt.  Coach K: “I really thought the key guy for us in the game was Jeremy.  Jeremy came in and not that he stopped Clark, but he defended him. But then his verve on offense really lifted us.”Jeremy, A.J., and Trevor scored 25 of Duke’s 35 second-half points.  Trevor played 18:12 in the closing stanza, scoring 7 (3-4 from the field, including 0-1 from deep, plus 1-2 from the stripe). 

 Paolo scored 4 in 18:19 (0-7 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land; he scored all of his second-half points on 4-5 from the foul line).  Coach K pointed out that Paolo tried to be more physical but was so very well defended, saying that Paolo’s seemingly ineffective  effort, “will translate into something really good. You have to go through things; it’s how you improve.  They are a good defensive team, and Gardner is a very good defender.  They also double.  He learned a lot tonight.  He never put his head down.”

Wendell, who played all 20 second-half minutes, also scored 4 (1-2 from the field and 2-3 from the stripe) with 2 rebounds and 2 assists.  Mark scored the remaining 2 points of Duke’s total score on 1-1 shooting in 13 minutes, to go with his team-high 5 second-half rebounds and 2 critical blocks.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS

Preparation is my key effort towards avoiding flagrant fouls in  life, and certainly the key to any team’s success and development.  Jeremy referenced it in his postgame interview, “We did a hell of a job in preparation this week, so I think that was the key. Preparation is key for every game.  If you don’t have good preparation, it’s going to lead to a bad performance.  We just wanted to stay locked in on the preparation, have great energy and follow the game plan like I said, and do the main things that Coach said – [play] smart, tough and together.  I think we did that tonight.” 

Coach K interrupted to say: “Let me add one thing.  This is our 28th game and so is our 28th preparation.  I thought the maturity of our team in preparing went to a different level.  They are getting it.  Chris Carrawell [former star Duke player and now one of the Duke coaching staff] had the scout [team] and watching our preparation yesterday, said, “We look like an old Duke team in how we are going to defend.  I knew we were going to defend well tonight; we did it for two days [in practice].”  I added the bold because this is the most important insight to take from beating UVA in Charlottesville.  This very young team is (finally) maturing and developing as we have all been hoping it would.  They proved that in the game last night against UVA. 

The final test of growth will be whether this edition of the Blue Devils can prepare and perform at this kind of high level – consistently.  Can the Blue Devils do it for 2 more games in the regular season, 3 games in the ACC tournament and, of course, The Big Dance? 

Duke is closing in on the first of its season goals – the ACC regular season championship.  Duke plays 2 more games on the road – Syracuse on Saturday and Pittsburgh next Tuesday, before the season concludes on senior night next Saturday at Cameron against the Tarheels.  Duke, with 3 losses, holds a 1 game edge on Notre Dame (4 losses) but it is really a two game edge because Duke holds the tie-breaker for having defeated ND in the regular season.  Duke holds a 2-game edge on Miami and UNC.  Wins at Syracuse and Pitt will clinch the ACC regular season title.

The first four finishers in the ACC regular season earn a double-bye to the quarterfinals of the ACC tournament – the Blue Devils have already secured the double-bye.  The fifth and sixth place teams (Wake and UVA) have 7 losses each and cannot catch Duke who has only 3 losses with only 3 games left to play.  So, Duke will be in the quarterfinals of the ACC tournament on Thursday, March 10 at the Barclay Center in Brooklyn, NY. 

Next Play: Saturday, February 26rd, 2022, at Syracuse: 6 pm on TV: ESPN


Duke Blue Devils 97 v. Syracuse Orange 72, in Syracuse; (Season 13 Issue 27 – Game # 29) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (February 26, 2022)

Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid         Photo Credit: The Duke Chronicle 
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

On a Saturday when history was made, when seven of the top ten college basketball teams lost (#1. Gonzaga, #2. Arizona, #3. Auburn, #4. Purdue, #5. Kansas, #6. Kentucky, #9. Texas Tech), Duke showed how impressive they can be, for parts of a game, by starting so white hot against Syracuse that they shocked and silenced the 31,803 fans in the carrier Dome—the most at a college basketball game this season– going up 14-0, and then extending that to 41-13, before the Orange men made a mini run to end the half at 51-34.  In starting fast (especially on the road – something that Coach K stresses), the Blue Devils avoided a Trap Game, like the Virginia game following the impressive win at Chapel Hill.  Not to worry; lesson learned.  Duke was unbelievable for about twelve minutes; they were hitting 91% overall and 83% percent on 3s.

Despite the mild slump at the end of the first half, Duke shot 18 for 30 for the half (a mind-boggling 10 for 17 on 3s) and assisted on 15 of 18 made field goals.  Banchero had 18 points and 6 assists; Griffin 15 points; and Williams 11 points, 5 rebounds, and 2 blocks.  Banchero was 4 for 5 from beyond the arc, Griffin 4 of 6.  For the game, Mark Williams proved too much to handle inside, as he scored a career-high 28 points while gathering 12 rebounds!

Winner of six games in a row, first-place Duke (25-4 overall, 15-3 ACC) has the Regular Season Championship within their grasp: They hold a one-game lead over Notre Dame (21-8, 14-4) in the league regular-season standings with two games left to play.  Because the Blue Devils beat the Irish 57-43 on Jan. 31 to claim a tiebreaker, Duke only needs to beat Pittsburgh on Tuesday night, or North Carolina on March 5 to clinch their first-place finish in the ACC regular season (first time since 2006; Duke tied with Maryland in 2010), one of Coach K’s goals for this team. But that’s not quite good enough. If they win out, and do not stumble in the ACC Conference Championship, they will move up in the seedings of the NCAA Championship.  It is really an opportunity to put an exclamation point on Coach Ks’ career.  But let’s not get ahead of ourselves. There is still a lot of basketball to be played.

Coach K: 

On the team maturing: “We’ve been a much more mature team [since our Virginia loss], an older team.  Again, you only have a year with a team – it’s a matter of how old you can get them.  With that stoppage for about 10 days, when we had nothing for a week, that really hurt us.  We’re beyond that now.  We played like an older team today.  Same thing against Virginia.  We prepared that way.  We’ll have a challenge now, going back tomorrow and getting prepared for Pitt on Tuesday, because we have to travel again on Monday.  If we can do that, that will really develop the character of our team.”

On how freshman Paolo Banchero was able to perform at a high level tonight after recent offensive struggles: “Working through it is the main thing.  We’ve talked.  He and Jon [Scheyer] have worked a lot. The workouts have been at a greater speed to try and get him to play at a greater speed.  I think he’s been trying to analyze too much instead of getting it and go. I told him, ‘Analyze it before you get the ball and be more instinctive.’  He was a lot quicker today.  He was the guy in the middle of the zone.  That hurts any zone when you have a guy like that doing that – nine assists, one turnover.  And he hit four three’s. Really, a very outstanding performance.” 

ALANALYSIS:

My pre-game email to Bill warned that Syracuse might constitute a trap game – I believe Bill is still laughing.  I did however also write something cogent: 1) I believe Paolo will have a great game;  2) the key will be Duke shutting down the Orange 3-point game.  The Orange have relied heavily on the 3-point game this year, shooting almost 38% from behind the arc.  Syracuse was, in fact, dramatically shut down from 3land.  The Orange shot only 5-19 from behind the arc (26%) for the game and even worse in the second half (2-10; 20%).  Paolo Banchero did have a great game, scoring 21 points, handing out 9 assists (only a single turnover), and blocking a shot in his 35 scintillating minutes.  

Duke won the game in the opening minutes.  I like to channel Jake Rupert, an early Yankee owner’s view of a good Yankee game, to my view of a great Duke game – Duke scores the first umpteen points of the game, and “then slowly pulls away.”  That is surely what befell the Orange from the moment that Mark Williams won the opening tip-off.

The First Half

The game was basically decided in the first portion of the first half; Duke played its very best basketball of the season!

            The Defense

Duke held Syracuse scoreless for the first 4:33 of the game.  Syracuse broke double figures (11 points) only after 9:26 had been played.  After 11:23, Syracuse had 13 points and trailed by 28 (41-13).  Syracuse did not score its 20th point until 15:08 had been played.  The Orange’s 20th point cut Duke’s 30-point lead to 28 (48-20).  With 3:33 left in the first half, Duke led 51-23, before the Blue Devils turned back to human and gave up 13 straight points – 11 to end the half (51-34) plus the first basket of the second half.  Buddy Boeheim scored 17 first-half points, half of Syracuse’s 34 points.   

            The Offense

Defense was almost unconscious in the early going and superb throughout the rest of the game.  

Duke was up 11-0 at the first media time out.  Paolo Banchero had a hand in all 11 points (1-1 from the field; 2-2 from the line with 3 assists (including one on A.J.’s 3).

Duke had amassed 34 points with less than 10 minutes played (144 p.p.g. at that rate).  Paolo scored 15 of those 34 points and also handed out 6 assists as he led Duke’s offense.  Duke had 12 assists on 15 baskets at that point.  For the entire first half, Duke shot 60% from the field (18-30) and 59% from behind the arc (10-17), with 15 assists on 18 baskets. 

Duke’s front line players were unstoppable.  Banchero, in 18:11 scored 18 first-half points (6-10, including 4-6 from deep plus 2-2 from the line) with 6 gorgeous assists (some of his passes were so pretty that his assists deserve the double mention).  A.J. Griffin scored 14 in his 18:29 first-half minutes (5-6, including 4-5 from deep).  Mark Williams scored 11 (4-6 from the field plus 3-3 from the foul line) to go with 3 boards and a pair of blocked shots.  Those three players scored 44 of Duke’s 51.  Trevor Keels, Jeremy Roach, and Theo John each scored a basket (Keels and Roach were each 1-2 from the stripe for the remainder of Duke’s scoring).

The Second Half

The first basket of the second half belonged to Syracuse; the Orange’s 13th straight point cut the Duke lead to 15.  That was as close as Syracuse ever got.  The Blue Devils played excellent offense and sufficient defense to keep the game from ever being in doubt.  After the Orange opened the half with that basket, Duke’s lead fluctuated from a low of 16 (twice) to a high of 28 (twice).

The offense belonged to Mark Williams who poured in 17 points (7-8 from the field and 3-4 from the stripe) to go with 7 second-half boards, an assist, and a block in 13:27 minutes of play.  He was simply unstoppable. 

Jeremy Roach had a superb second half, scoring 7 (2-4 from the field, including 1-3 from deep plus 2-2 from the free throw line).  His game is improving again after a short slump, and his value continues to grow.

THE ROTATION

            Mark Williams

Dominant is an accurate adjective to describe Mark’s play against Syracuse at both ends of the floor.  On offense, in only 26 minutes, Mark had a career-high 28 points (11-14 from the field and 6-7 from the stripe) to go with 12 rebounds, 3 blocks (and countless altered shots) with an assist (0 turnovers).  On most of his 3 misses,  he seemed to rebound his own miss for yet another score.  Mark has an amazingly quick second jump, so he taps in his own misses more frequently than anyone I have seen recently.   

He was also the recipient of many of Banchero’s assists.  Paolo on Mark: “He’s automatic, especially in the paint around the rim. You just want to get him the ball there and he’s going to do the rest.  He’s been doing that all year.  We knew coming in with the zone that we’d be able to have an advantage inside and get easy buckets around the rim.  We just wanted to feed him.”   

Williams was instrumental in Duke’s opening 14-0 run at both ends of the floor. Mark: “It was great. Obviously, we were flowing really well on the offensive end, and I think we were really locked in on the defensive end too.  Offensively, we were moving the ball.  Everybody was getting good shots, and defensively, we were communicating well, moving and just playing great Duke defense.” 

Paolo Banchero

The Syracuse zone is famous and well respected in all college ball – Boeheim is considered the best zone defense coach.  Syracuse might be the only team I know that never plays man to man defense.  But Paolo shredded that vaunted Syracuse zone with his first-half shooting and his game-long passing.  He did much of his damage by sliding into the middle of the zone below the foul line.  The Orange have not seen passing against the zone like that.  Paolo to Mark Williams for a dunk happened enough times that Coach Boeheim will have nightmares replaying it. In 34 total minutes, Banchero scored 21 (18 in his jaw-dropping first half).  For the game, Paolo was 7-16, including 4-7 from 3land, plus 3-6 from the line.  All season, TV coverage has posted a visual of an NBA scout’s assessment, which grades Paolo a C+ on defense.  Anybody watching Duke’s wonderfully effective defense will see Paolo’s contributions everywhere – on the defensive boards, guarding smaller players on the perimeter, taking on the adversary’s best interior scorer.  He does the dirty work.

            A.J. Griffin

A. J. was a force throughout his 31 minutes of playing time as Duke’s 3rd 20+ point scorer.  Griffin scored 20 (7-11), (including 6-10 from deep – that’s 18 points on 10 shots) as he punished the Syracuse zone from the perimeter.  A.J. is an excellent defender, with the size and toughness to defend the interior, and the speed and quickness to defend on the perimeter.  A.J.’s resurgence, from playing only a few minutes a game early in the season to being a high scoring  starter, has been a substantial factor in this team’s steady development.

            Wendell Moore, Jr.

Wendell doesn’t score as much when Duke doesn’t need his scoring.  In 31 minutes, Moore scored 5, all in the second half, on 2-7 from the field, including 1-3 from 3land.   In addition to contributing 6 rebounds and 6 assists, Moore plays great defense, too (Corey Alexander picks him as ACC defensive player of the year).  Wendell made the dunk of the game when he stole the ball, bobbled it, and then soared for a dramatic slam!  He also had a deep 3 and  an infectious smile on his face for the whole time.

            Trevor Keels

In 28 minutes, Trevor scored 4 (1-4 from deep and 1-2 from the stripe) while running the offense.  Keels had 4 assists without a turnover.  He is secure with the ball and makes excellent passes.

            Jeremy Roach

Jeremy scored 10 points and was Duke’s 4th double-digit scorer.  In 23 minutes, Roach was 3-7 from the field including 2-5 from behind the arc, plus 2-2 from the stripe.  Jeremy also grabbed 3 defensive rebounds and handed out 3 assists (against 2 turnovers).  You can see that Jeremy’s confidence, which soared with his terrific game against Virginia, continues to grow.  He plays when the game is on the line whether or not he starts.

            Theo John

Theo was a valuable contributor in his 11 minutes of playing time.  He scored 4 on 2-2 from the field and garnered 4 boards and blocked a shot.  It was one of his best games.

            Joey Baker and Bates Jones failed to score.  Joey played 5:35 without any statistics; Bates played less, missed his only shot (a 3-point attempt) but grabbed a board and handed out an assist.  Each has given more in other games.

            Jaylen Blakes played only 2:22 of garbage time, but deserves a mention for taking 3 shots in his short time on the court and scoring 5 points (2-3 from the field, including 1-2 from deep).  He might be the only player returning next year from this team.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS

Duke is seeking its first regular season ACC title since 2006.  Duke is 15-3 in the conference with a 2-game lead over Notre Dame and UNC, with each of the three teams having 2 games left.  Of course one of those games is Duke-UNC next Saturday.  If Duke wins either game (at Pittsburgh on March 1 or UNC), the title goes to the Blue Devils.  Notre Dame plays Florida State and Pitt; UNC has a date with Syracuse on Monday before preparing for Coach K’s last home game at Cameron.

The 2021-2022 Blue Devils have been fascinating to watch as this very young team is being developed into a national contender!  Duke, ranked 7th in both polls last week, won on the road yesterday while the first 6 ranked teams lost on the road –  a very wacky day indeed in college hoops.   

Coach K’s wise and optimistic insight was quoted by Bill in CliffNotes, but is so to the point that it is worth repeating: “We’ve been a much more mature team, an older team. Again, you only have a year with a team – it’s a matter of how old you can get them.  With that stoppage for about 10 days, when we had nothing for a week, that really hurt us.  We’re beyond that now.  We played like an older team today.  Same thing against Virginia.  We prepared that way.  We’ll have a challenge now going back tomorrow and getting prepared for Pitt on Tuesday, because we have to travel again on Monday.  If we can do that, that will really develop the character of our team to a deeper level.” 

Duke’s defense has been excellent this season as exemplified by 4 categories: 1) defending the three-point line (29th nationally, holding opponents to .301),  2)  field goal defense – Duke is 45th nationally (.407), 3) blocked shots (5.6 per game for 11th nationally) and 4) scoring margin (7th nationally at +14.4).  Duke leads the ACC in each category.  Defense has been a Duke calling card this year so far. 

So, Mark Williams’ comments are purposely focused, because Mark understands how much better the Duke defense can be: “On the defensive end, I think we can be as special as we want to be.  I think we showed glimpses of that today.  It’s going to be game-by-game, obviously.  Coverages are going to be different, knowing personnel, scouts – that sort of thing.  But when we’re locked in on the defensive end, we can be really special.” 

First things first:  The first ACC regular season title since 2006!  It can be done on the …

Next Play: Tuesday, March 1, 2022, at Pittsburgh: 8 pm on TV: ACCN


Duke Blue Devils 86 v. Pittsburgh Panthers 56, in Pittsburgh; (Season 13 Issue 28 – Game # 30) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (March 1, 2022)

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

“I like where my team is right now.”

– Coach Mike Krzyzewski

After three road wins in six days—a gut check win against Virginia and blowouts of Syracuse and Pittsburgh, this precocious but young team is playing its best, most mature basketball!  As a matter of fact, during the beat down of Pitt, Johnny Tar Heel asked me if I thought this was the most talented Duke team ever?  My answer: “Four potential first round NBA picks.  Most talented, yes.  Best team: Wait and see.”

After starting the season by beating Kentucky and Gonzaga, Duke stumbled against Ohio State and, after the COVID break and an injury to Trevor Keels, struggled to find their groove in conference play.  However, the emerging of AJ Griffin, (recovering from a pre-season knee injury) as a starter, a 50% three- point shooter, and more; as well as Keels quickly recovering from a leg injury; and Banchero rebounding from a shooting slump, makes the Blue Devils a more formidable opponent than they were at the beginning of the season.  Whom do you double team?  

Only thing that stands in the way of an impressive finish to the first Regular Season ACC Title since –gasp—2010 is what my partner Alan loves to call a Trap Game –the pressure of Coach K’s final home game against North Carolina, who recently lost to Pitt and was taken to overtime by Syracuse (both at Chapel Hill).

However, when it comes to Duke versus Carolina, history tells us: “Forget their record. You never know!!!”

Miscellaneous:

You really might need to watch “The History of the ACC Tournament”, a ten-part documentary on the ACC Network. It will bring back memories for some of us and fill in gaps for others. 

 ALANALYSIS:

Introduction

The raw talent on the 2021-22 Blue Devils was unmistakable even before the season began.  After the season started, we analysts critiqued Duke’s continued inconsistency and failure to develop to its full potential.  Four losses in the last seconds embodied the inconsistency and unreached potential.  However, after Duke was still playing terribly but managed to hold on to beat Wake Forest by 2 points on February 1, that all changed dramatically because the next four games were a revelation.  

Duke blew out Florida State in Cameron, beat a tough UVA team in Charlottesville, and then crushed both Syracuse and Pittsburgh on the road.  Now, Duke has been consistent and looks to reach full potential with five star starters.  For example,  Mark Williams has been named one of 10 semifinalists for the Naismith Men’s Defensive Player of the Year Award.  Wendell Moore Jr., as one of five finalists for the 2022 Julius Erving Small Forward of the Year Award. The other three freshman starters will be first round NBA draft picks.  Paolo Banchero is potentially the first pick in the draft.  A.J. Griffin will be a lottery selection according to most experts, and Trevor Keels will also go in the first round, said Corey Alexander on TV last night.

Let’s hope Jeremy Roach returns next year.  He has developed into a valuable player.  He has the potential to be the veteran (he’ll be a junior) point guard leading the highly regarded freshman in Jon Scheyer’s first year.  But that’s next year.

The Defense 

Defense has been Duke’s calling card all season and is actually continuing to improve.  In the last four games since the Wake win, the Blue Devils yielded 70 points, 61, 72, and 56, respectively, even with the starters on the bench at garbage time in 3 of the 4 games.  The players emphasize defense, even when the reporter’s question is about offense.  Trevor was asked about the 27 points he laid on The Panthers.  He responded, “I think it started on defense for us.  When we defend, we pick up, we’re talking on defense together, the guys’ shots just fall.  Like Coach always says, basketball gods look out for us. When we defend like that and start off the game defending, worrying about defense, we’re good shooters so the ball is going to go in.”  

Duke’s switching has been beautiful to behold and now has taken on the symmetry of a world class ballet troupe.  The defense is cohesive and all five players on the court are working together.  It’s one of Duke’s very best defensive teams.

The Offense

Duke shot 70% from the field in the second half; 50% from behind the arc for the game.  Coach K on his team’s improved offense: “They are taking really good shots, too.  They are more and more comfortable playing with each other.  So, they know if a guy is in a rhythm; who’s hot.  They make the extra pass.  It’s the second game in a row we’ve only had 6 turnovers.  They are really getting to know one another!”  Development!   Consistency! 

Four Duke starters accounted for 73 of Duke’s 96 points: Trevor Keels scored 27; Paolo Banchero, 21: Wendell Moore Jr., 13; and A.J. Griffin, 12.  

Keels played 34 minutes, scored 27 points on 15 shots (10-15, including 5-8 from deep, plus 2-2 from the foul line) to go with 3 rebounds, 2 assists without a turnover, and a steal.

    • “I think my teammates found me.  I made a couple 3’s to start off the game. P [Paolo Banchero] found me, Dell [Wendell Moore Jr.] found me.  Like Coach said, our chemistry is unbelievable.  Two games in a row with six turnovers is crazy.  Mark is setting screens for me, Theo – I think none of this happens without my teammates finding me, setting me screens, looking for me, and me finding them too.  I think it was a great team effort, and it got me going.” 
    • Coach K: “ He [Trevor] has great balance right now.  His shot is the same.  He’s got a good base. He’s always been a good shooter, but right now he’s a very good shooter because of having great balance.”

Banchero played 33:13, scoring 21 points on only 10 shots (7-10 from the field, including 3-3 from 3land, plus 4-6 from the free throw line).
Moore played 27 minutes, scoring 13 points on just 6 shots (4-6, including 1-2 from behind the arc, plus 4-4 foul shots) while handing out 5 assists and grabbing 6 boards.
Griffin logged 26 minutes, scoring 12 points (5-7, 1-3 from deep and 1-1 from the stripe) while garnering 7 boards (some were exceptional on the defensive end) with an assist (0 turnovers) and 2 steals.
Williams had an odd ‘triple double’: 2 points, 2 rebounds and 2 blocks in 21 minutes.
Roach, whose on-the-ball defense continues to dazzle, played 24 minutes with 3 assists and 0 turnovers.  He scored 4 (2-6, including 0-3 from deep)

A reporter noted that in the last five games, Duke has had five different leading scorers. Coach K’s great quote: “These guys take turns.  They don’t care who leads the team in scoring.  They just want us to lead the other team in scoring.”  

UNC ON SATURDAY (MARCH 5)

Keels: On clinching the No. 1 seed in the ACC Tournament: 

“It’s great, but we’ve still got Saturday to look on. We’ve got to take care of Saturday, but then we can look and really celebrate it.  We’re happy we’re first place, but we’ve still got a huge game Saturday to take care of, and then we can really celebrate after that game.” 

Coach K: The main thing is that we’re 16-3 [in the ACC] and 26-4 [overall], and we got a chance to play against an outstanding team on Saturday in what will be a great setting and that’ll help us going into next week.  And then let’s see what happens after that.”  Coach K is adamant that the final game in Cameron is not about him.  “I want to live in their moment.  If I make it about me, I’m being selfish.  It’s about my team.  Always! Always! Always!”

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS

Last night, Florida State beat Notre Dame 74-70, giving Duke its first – undivided -ACC regular season championship since 2006.  The first goal for this season has been accomplished!

I do not believe that having won the championship will diminish the Blue Devil’s motivation to finish the season, and give Coach K a win in his final home game at Cameron.  UNC might be highly motivated after having been totally embarrassed on their home floor when Duke thrashed them on Feb 5 by 20 points!  Who cares! We suspect that Duke fans will not forget the Carolina reception for Coach K in Chapel Hill, especially in contrast to how he has been feted in every other visitor’s arena. If Duke has developed as Coach K believes and we all hope, Duke will finish the regular season with a flourish.   

As Jay Bilas always repeats, “Duke v Carolina NEVER DISAPPOINTS!”  Every TV camera, sports celebrity, and wealthy fan will be there.  The price of the ticket will be the stuff of future legend – ESPN says the cheapest ticket was $2,800 (the most expensive – so far –  ticket was auctioned off for charity at $80,000) A final home loss to UNC in Coach K’s final home game would be so deflating that it is crushing to even think about.  So, I channel Mr. Sensitive, who writes amazingly, dexterously, hilariously, and insightfully about Duke basketball.  Here is hilarious and dextrous:

“I pride myself on being a master of overhyped hyperbole (overhyperbole?) for all things Devil.  But this next game is un-overhypeable.  There ain’t no thesaurus big enough, no sobriquet fawning enough, no language that can adequately capture the portent of this next game.”  Mr. S describes his take on the UNC game as his “hubris strut”.  He wishes to capture the emotions “as we humiliate our archrivals.  We’ll beat them down into a rare halftime surrender.  Having barely escaped our cat toy, Syracuse, Carolina will not be favored.  We’ll have talent, emotion and full throated Devildom on our side.  They’ll have some weakass Hube speech about spoiling our party.”

This is Mr. S’s Next Play: “Get your extra absorbent facial tissues, a whole case of ‘em.  Get your DVR ready to capture the game, the pre-game, the pre-pre-game, the post-, pre-post-, post-pre, etc… video spectacle of the FINAL GAME OF COACH K LEADING THE DEVILS IN CAMERON.  Get your Grandma to tune in, because it’s gonna be one for all the inhabitants of the vast Devil universe.” 

Next Play: AS EVERYONE KNOWS — COACH K’S SWAN SONG AT CAMERON INDOOR STADIUM ON Saturday, March 5, 2022, 6 pm on TV: ESPN  


Duke Blue Devils 81 v. UNC Tarheels 94, in Cameron; (Season 13 Issue 29 – Game # 31) Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes” (March 5, 2022)

K-ommunity: “The Brotherhood” of 96 of Coach K’s former players returning to celebrate the GOAT.
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

North Carolina outplayed, out-hustled, and, yes, even out-coached Duke in the second half of Coach K’s last game in Cameron.  If a team of four or five projected first round NBA picks cannot rise to the occasion of outplaying a bitter rival for most of forty minutes before a packed, supportive home crowd that included 100 or so former players–and some of the best players ever to wear a Duke uniform– it is beyond disappointing.  It is inexplicable, But then again, it’s Duke-Carolina. Inexplicable is the norm!

If there was a turning point in the game, it was late in the first half with 3:52 remaining. Duke went on a 14-0 run to take a 9 point lead.  However, the Blue Devils failed to capitalize on the opportunity. With the score 37-30, Banchero missed the first end of a 1-and-1.  Keels did the same.  Missing the front end of a 1-and-1 is the functional equivalent of a turnover.  So two turnovers instead of 4 points. Then came a controversial charge-block call, one that would have sent Armando Bacot to the bench with three fouls.  Instead, Williams was called for the foul, and Caleb Love hit a 3-pointer.  R.J. Davis closed the half with another triple — even though Duke had two fouls to give before being in the bonus.  Opportunity lost.  That never would have happened to a good, veteran Duke team.  Duke still led 41-39, but it felt like Duke could have –  should have –  taken a 10-12 point lead into the locker room.

Still, Duke started the second half strong and had  7 point leads at 52-45, 54-47 and 56-49. Then, this team’s inability to play close to forty minutes of good, tough basketball resurfaced. The Blue Devils couldn’t get a stop or make a shot. 

A one-on-one offense works until an opponent makes an adjustment; then it doesn’t work.  How does it make sense for Banchero to take 26 shots and Griffin only take three 3’s & 5 total shots in 35 minutes?  The same inattention to execution can be said of sloppy man-to-man defense. 

Next play. Coach K’s impromptu comment:  “This afternoon is unacceptable.  But the season is very acceptable.  The season is not over.”

Addendum: In 1991, Duke lost to North Carolina in the finals of the ACC Tournament by 22 points. Then, the Blue Devils ran the table beating UNLV, then Kansas for the NCAA Championship!

ALANALYSIS:

Bill sacrificed to be emotionally ready for the game.  (His dedication to Duke’s season was apparently superior to Coach’s K’s young charges.)  Bill gave up his Saturday golf game (canceled his tee time!!!) in order to be perfectly situated in front of the TV.  I believe Coach K would admire Bill’s wise choice.

It was a superb Duke Day from beginning to end, if we can simply forget about the desultory 40 minutes (the actual game) that temporarily cast a bad shadow in the middle of the festivities. The plaudits were ample and the cliches were presented in world record abundance (commemorative benches! five annual scholarships in Coach K’s name! Cameron Crazies camped out since January!)  

96 of Coach K’s former players returned to honor his Hall of Fame career (current NBA stars were scarce because of NBA games and schedules or there would have been even more).  The juxtaposition of former Duke stars who spent 3 or 4 years in the program with this year’s very young team may go a long way towards our understanding of not only the poor quality of yesterday’s play but also the lack of ability to maintain poise in the midst of such an unprecedented emotional outpouring comes with experience.

The truly dispiriting performance by the young Blue Devils brought out the best in Coach K as he used the post-game ceremony to instill motivation for the next two tournaments.  In the midst of his address, he turned to his team: “We didn’t play well, and (pointing to his 96 former players) there were times when you didn’t either!  But, not for long.  Not for long,” he said. “Hopefully, today, for our program — this program right now — it’s a great learning experience. It’s a great learning experience. First of all, to learn, look at what you’re a part of.  Are you kidding me? Are you kidding me?! [Meaning you are so fortunate to be among The Chosen; to be invited into this unique Brotherhood; time to be worthy of that and understand you are The Chosen.]

He continued, “We need to fight for Duke. We need to fight for the brotherhood.  And we need to fight with all of our might through the remainder of the season.  Then, I’ll be ready to get the hell out of here.”

He concluded, “you may not know it now, but I love you guys, and I’m going to love what we will do, learning from this experience, going forward!”  Then, to restore his team’s shattered confidence – even a bit of shame at losing during this much-anticipated and ultra-hyped Coach K celebration – he  emphasized that the 2021-22 Duke Blue Devils have already earned a form of Duke immortality that will enshrine them in the Brotherhood forever; this team will have a banner forever in Cameron – winner of the 2021-2022 Regular Season ACC Championship.  That’s coaching!

Why Did Duke Lose?

  • UNC played its best game of the year.  The Tarheels were highly motivated from being humiliated when Duke obliterated them in early February, intense, and ready.  Coach K: “we had just played the three road games in six days, and we won the regular season. When that happens, you just don’t win a game, you win a culmination of games, so it’s an accomplishment.  Then you have this game, which is like its own entity, and we were never able to move to that level, and that’s on me to do that.”
  • Duke was just the opposite.  Wendell Moore: “Really, from start to finish, [North Carolina] kind of out-played us.  That’s on me as a captain, as a leader, to really get our guys ready for a game like this.  It was a big moment, actually, a huge moment this whole week.  I feel like we kind of got lost in everything.  It’s easy to get lost in it.  Even I got lost in it a little bit.”
  • Duke’s defense was beyond awful. Duke gave up 55 points in the second half!!!  The Blue Devils led by 7 points (56-49) with under 13 minutes left in the game; UNC then blitzed the defense for 45 points – leaving Duke outscored by 25 points in that final 12:50.  That is called a total collapse of the defense, which has been Duke’s calling card this year.  Truthfully, it was a bit shocking after Duke’s defense has been so stellar in recent games.  It is even more shocking for the collapse to be on the most center of center stages.  
  • Coach K: “It started with [our] defense. Their guards we couldn’t keep in front of us and [Armando] Bacot has been player of the year in our conference, and he showed that again today.  They’re a really good team and they played a lot better than we did today.”  Paolo: “We had some key miscommunications on defense, and that gave them some threes and some easy buckets.  That’s how they pulled away.”

The Regular Season is Over; Time to Focus on the Post-Season

The Blue Devils have responded this season with gaudy performances after the lackluster ones.  We are counting on that to continue.  Duke has lost five times this season, but the Blue Devils have never lost 2 in a row this year.  Coach K and the DBP, are both turning the page on the regular season and Duke’s outright ACC Regular Season Championship and preparing for the ACC Tournament.

Coach K: “I want to put this away, the regular season. Now we’re in the 0-0 part of our season and we’ll be that twice [ACC & NCAA tournaments]. We’ll be that right now until next Sunday or before, and then next Sunday we’ll be that again.  Hopefully the lessons that we learned from playing 31 games, especially this last one, will help us in both of those situations.” 

Paolo pointed out a paradox in Duke’s home season (losses in Cameron to Virginia, Miami, and UNC) and the need to focus on the post-season: “We just didn’t execute as we should have.  It’s kind of been a theme for us at home, losing games like that.  On the road, and everywhere else, we’ve been hungry.  We won’t be playing the NCAA Tournament here [in Cameron], so we look forward to going on the road to Brooklyn for the ACC Tournament and then wherever we are for the NCAA Tournament and making up for it.”

The ACC Tournament

The ACC Tournament begins on Tuesday, March 8, at the Barclay Center in Brooklyn, NY (Home of the NBA Brooklyn Nets).  The first four seeds – 1) Duke; 2) Notre Dame; 3) UNC; and 4) Miami receive a “double-bye” to Thursday’s quarter finals.  Duke and Miami will meet in Friday’s semi-finals, if both win on Thursday.  

Duke plays in the first quarter final on Thursday against the winner of Wednesday’s game between Florida State (8th seed) and Syracuse (9th seed).  Wake Forest is the 5th seed.  Miami will play Wake Thursday, if Wake can beat the winner of Tuesday’s Pitt (12th seed) – BC (13th seed) game.  UNC has the toughest draw; the Tarheels might have to face Virginia (6th seed) Thursday in the quarterfinals, Notre Dame in the semi-finals Friday, and then, if they win both, they will be allowed to face off against Duke in the finals, all in 3 days.

Duke is the favorite to win the ACC Tournament, but, as proved by this UNC debacle, it will not be easy.  Remember, no one on this young team has had any tournament experience due to cancellations in the last two COVID years.

Sunday, March 13 is Selection Sunday when the NCAA draw is announced, and we learn in which of the four regions Duke has been placed, as well as what seed they have been awarded.  The college President, Vincent Price, offered this Duke team a great motivation to win the NCAA tournament – to grant a sixth scholarship in honor of Coach K’s sixth NCAA title. 

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Celebrating an upset that will be motivation for the Blue Devils in the tournaments.        Photo Credit: Raleigh News Observer

Next Play: Duke v Florida State or Syracuse in the Quarterfinals of the ACC tournament at the Barclay Center in Brooklyn, NY, at 12:00 p.m. on Thursday, March 10 against the winner of Florida State vs. Syracuse (Wednesday, March 9 at noon).


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Vincent Price offering a sixth basketball scholarship?


Duke Blue Devils in ACC Tournament at Barclay Center in Brooklyn, NY (Season 13 Issue 30 – Game # 32, Duke Blue Devils 88 – Syracuse Orange 79; Game # 33 Duke Blue Devils 80 – Miami Hurricanes 76; Game #34 Duke Blue Devils 67- Virginia Tech Hokies 82; with Alan Silber’s “Alanalysis” and Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

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Falling short against Virginia Tech.          Photo Credit: Duke Chronicle
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

     The keys to the win against Syracuse are instructive going forward:

  • Less reliance on Banchero to score. He does everything well—defense, pass, rebound, and draws attention away from the other four on the floor.
  • Play Williams more minutes—35-38 minutes. He is a difference-maker at both ends.
  • Moore must play like he did at the beginning of the season and today.  He was the MVP then and now.
  • Obviously, Jeremy Roach’s 5 threes were huge.

I believe that for this team to be successful going forward, it has to be less Banchero-centric— and they cannot fall in love with the three.

Duke v Miami

The thing that impressed me the most about the win—other than the maturity with which Duke closed out this game as well as the Syracuse game– was that it was a total team win, one in which everyone contributed. 

Paolo Banchero’s sharpshooting in the early win against Gonzaga gave everyone unrealistic expectations of his shooting skills.  At this stage, Paolo is more of a scorer than a pure shooter.  As the season has progressed, the further the star freshman has been from the basket on offense, and the less effective he has been. Recently, except for the Carolina game, Paolo has operated closer to the basket and let others take the majority of threes.

Again, Duke gets everyone’s best shot (editorial note: Because of Duke’s reputation at the top for so long, beating Duke is huge for everyone.  So each of the teams on Duke’s schedule prepares for the Duke game as the big game for national prestige). If the defense is not at its best, the Blue Devils often find themselves in a dogfight. Tonight was no different.  Banchero kept the score close until A. J. Griffin heated up and scored 12 straight points. Then Jeremy Roach, playing the point, hit a layup at the halftime buzzer to tie the score (which eerily resembled the Miami’s Moore (Charley’s) buzzer beater in Cameron back in January). The Blue Devils were barely ahead most of the second half.  Then Duke’s Moore (Wendell) made the plays of the game—all consecutively.  First, Wendell hit a three; then he blocked a Miami fast break layup from behind, grabbed the loose ball off the backboard, and streaked down the floor to make a fast break layup of his own!  

Roach, Keels, and Moore closed the game out flawlessly from the line. (This is why I stress hitting free throws.  All of Coach K’s better teams have attacked the basket and made more free throws during the season than their opponents attempted.)  Oh, and yes – Mark Williams played major minutes. With the game still in doubt, Miami’s star, Kameron McGusty, penetrated, came to a stop down low and – intimidated by the presence of Williams – shuffled his feet for a crucial turnover.  This was neither the first nor last time that Williams had a subtle impact on an opponent.

With Griffin coming off an early-season injury, and the dramatic offensive improvement of Jeremy Roach, this is a much more versatile and dangerous team than the one which beat Gonzaga and Kentucky early in the season.  They have five potential first round NBA picks. However, in the one-and-done era, young teams have seldom won the NCAA Championship! 

Duke v Virginia Tech

Duke may have five first-round picks in the NBA draft this year, but they were thoroughly out-hustled and out-played by Virginia Tech in the ACC Tournament final. Duke’s man-to-man defense was exploited by the Hokies all night, led by Hunter Cattoor hitting 7 of 9 from beyond the arc on the way to a career-high 31 points.  Aluma had 19 points, 10 rebounds, and 7 assists. 

Virginia Tech deserves all the credit for recovering from tough, close losses at the beginning of the season and transitioning to winning four straight tournament games against Clemson, Notre Dame, North Carolina, and Duke. On the other hand, Duke played as though they were the team that was playing their fourth game in four nights, getting beaten in every statistic, shooting a woeful 4 for 20 from 3-point range and 15-23 from the foul line.  The fact that, after Moore threw the ball away on a sloppy pass to Banchero to start the first half, Coach K called a timeout in less than a minute says it all.  How many times do you see a coach call a timeout one minute into a half?

Next play.

ALANALYSIS:

Duke v Syracuse

[Duke had an illness – perhaps food poisoning – hit some team members.  A.J. was throwing up; whether he would play was unknown until right before the game.  He played, but sparingly and ineffectively.]

When it became apparent that Syracuse was scoring virtually at-will against the Duke defense (40 first-half points; 39 second-half points), the scenario gave me flashbacks of Duke’s failed defense in the last part of the game against UNC in Cameron last Saturday.  Coach K agreed, “We’re not playing very good defense right now.  We did not against North Carolina, and we did not in this game. We’re missing a lot of assignments, and we fouled a lot of three-point shooters.  I mean, we fouled at least three today.  You just can’t do that.  So, we can improve definitely on that end of the court.” 

Duke’s defense gave me a sinking feeling of how unpleasant writing the DBPs would be.  The Orange were not less than gallant in their magnificent effort.  The extraordinary Syracuse shot-making as well as intense hustle were part of the reason for Duke’s subpar defense.  Offense was a different story.

First-Half Offense

Duke started very well, leading by 11 points (24-13) after 9 minutes of play.  However, in the next 11 minutes the Orange scored 27 points to take a 40-36 half-time lead.  The Blue Devils hit 4-6 from behind the arc in the early going.  After falling ‘in love with the 3-point shot’, Duke kept firing blanks (2-16) for the rest of the half.   22 of Duke’s 36 first-half shots were from behind the arc.  “I thought we started the game well; then fell in love with the three-point shot. I thought it was going to be easier, but they got momentum. We started fouling, and they saw the ball go in a lot, and then it was a helluva game,” said Coach K.

Second-Half Offense

Duke’s offense came alive in the second half, playing basically only five players.  Tellingly, Duke had 15 assists on 19 field goals, which means they were playing cohesively as a team, sharing the ball to get open shots. The rest of the stats for the half weren’t too shabby either: 52 points on 19 for 31 shooting, including 5-10 from behind the arc, plus 9-13 from the stripe

Jeremy Roach, in only 13 minutes, led the second-half scoring with 16 points (5-6 from the field, including 4-5 from 3land plus 2-3 from the foul line), after scoring just 3 in the first half.  Mark Williams, Wendell Moore, and Trevor Keels played all 20 minutes of the second half.  Mark had a fabulous second half, after a scoreless first half.  Williams scored 15 second-half points (7-9 from the field and 1-2 from the stripe) to go with 8 rebounds, 3 blocks, and a steal.  Wendell was superb in the second half, dishing out 8 assists (1 turnover) while scoring 13 points on just 6 shots (4-6 from the field, including 1-1 from behind the arc, plus 4-4 from the stripe).  Honestly, Wendell had a great first half as well, scoring 13 for 26 points in the game (high scorer for Duke).  Keels scored only 4 (2-5, 0-2 from deep), but defended Joe Girardi, holding Girardi to 5 second-half points, after Girardi had torched Duke in the first-half for 18 points. Paolo Banchero played 18 minutes, only scoring 4 points in the closing stanza (1-4 from the field, including 0-1 from deep, plus 2-4 from the stripe), but grabbed 7 rebounds, handed out 4 assists, and had 2 steals.  

Duke essentially only played those five in the second half – A.J. Griffin was the only other Duke player that got any court time in the closing stanza (in 9 minutes, A.J. failed to score, missing his only attempt – from deep).

Duke Becomes Duke in the last 11 Minutes of the Game 

With 11:41 left in the game, the score was tied at 60; Duke took the lead with 11:17 left in the game, and held a lead of between 2 and 5 points until Girardi made a jumper at 4:25 to draw the Orange within one point: 78-77.  Syracuse never led in the second half until 3:38 was left in the game when Girardi missed, and Jimmy Boeheim put in the offensive rebound to give the Orange a 79-78 lead.  That’s when my I-don’t-want-to-write-about-this-loss kicked in.  Then the game changed.

Winning Time

Keels fought for and retrieved an offensive rebound; Moore made 2 free throws – 80-79 with 2:57 left.  Williams rebounded a Jimmy Boeheim miss, for Keels to assist Banchero on a jumper – 82-79 with 2:15 left. After Jimmy missed a pair of 3-point attempts (made possible by a Syracuse offensive rebound), the Orange retained possession when Jeremy committed a non-shooting foul.  Banchero then made a steal to give Duke the ball with a 3 point lead with 1:36 to go.  Moore drove for the basket, pivoted, and kicked-out for a wide open 3 point basket by Jeremy.  Duke 85-79 with 1:08 to go.  Girardi and Jimmy Boeheim missed 3s. Trevor grabbed a contested rebound and found Mark for a game-sealing dunk  (87-79 with 49 seconds left).  Girardi and Swider missed 3s.  Williams got the board and was fouled.  He made one of two for the final 88-79 margin with 38 seconds left.

Duke v Miami 

The ACC semi-final game produced  an even higher quality game than the quarterfinal win over Syracuse (which was high quality), and played out in similar fashion.  Miami, like Syracuse, began the game on fire; it took the Blue Devils some time to recover equilibrium and begin to compete.  Paolo Banchero (11 first-half points) and A.J. Griffin (15 first-half points) stopped the Blue Devil’s bleeding and brought Duke back.  Paolo and A.J.  accounted for 26 of Duke’s 36 first-half points (Moore, 4; Williams, 2; John, 2; and Roach’s layup as the first half ended completed Duke’s first half scoring). 

Coach K: “They almost knocked us out. The plan we had didn’t work or wasn’t working defensively, and we weren’t aggressive in the plan we had, and that’s on us, on the coaching staff, on me. Then we changed it and got back to playing our regular stuff, and we were able to tie the game.”  Paolo (5-6) and A.J (6-8) together were 11-14 from the field; the rest of the team was 4-17 with 7 turnovers.  Miami’s defense typically relies on creating turnovers – the 17 turnovers Miami created against Duke in Cameron last January goes a long way toward explaining that Miami victory.

The second half was well-played, intense and competitive.  Duke’s defense improved perceptibly and dramatically – better than it was in the first half, better than the porous defense the Blue Devils had played against UNC on Senior Night, and better than the subpar defense against Syracuse in the quarterfinals.  A reporter in the press conference put the obvious assessment in a  question to Mark, “Coach had said you guys didn’t play very well defensively against Carolina, and then yesterday, early today was kind of a struggle.  What flipped the switch for you guys?  How did you play so much better the rest of the game to get that win?”  The question revealed more than Mark’s  cliche answer about never backing down.

Wendell Moore was simply outstanding on defense.  He blocked 3 shots; 2 of them by chasing the fast break from behind , leaping and slamming the ball from the shooter’s hand into the backboard; then grabbing the ball and starting his own fast break.  Breathtaking!  Williams blocked and altered shots. Roach, Paolo , and Trevor ratcheted up the intensity.  It was high level basketball where, as Coach K said, “both teams were worthy of winning.”

Duke’s offense became efficient, limiting second-half turnovers to 3.  Duke had 6 assists on 14 field goals.  In spite of 2-10 from behind the arc, the Blue Devils shot over 50% from the field – an efficient 12–17 from inside the arc.  The Hurricanes employed a switching man-to-man defense, which allowed Duke to create mismatches – especially down low.  The result was that the smaller Hurricane players fouled Duke’s bigger guys.  The difference in free throw points (Duke: 17 vs Miami: 6 in the game; Duke:14 vs Miami 5 in the second half) made the difference in the game.

The Rotation, With Game Stats

Paolo (sat out less than 1 minute in each half) had an amazing double-double, scoring 18 points on 10 shots (8-10, including 0-1 from deep, plus 2-4 from the stripe) to go with 11 rebounds, 4 assists, a block, and a steal without a turnover.  He defends on the perimeter and protects the rim.

Wendell (36 minutes) scored 17 points on 12 shots (6-12 from the field, including 1-4 from deep, plus 4-4 clutch free throws to clinch the game), to go with 6 rebounds and excellent defense.  Coach K: “I thought two of the key plays were the blocks when they had fast breaks. Our guys made magnificent plays on them, but we also turned them into a bucket. So there were two four-point turnarounds during that time.”  Like Paolo, Wendell excels at so many different parts of the game.

A.J. was Duke’s high scorer with 21 points; 15 in the first half – 12 in a row at one point, to bring Duke back into the game that looked as if it was getting away.  In 30 minutes, A.J. was 7-12 from the field, including 4-6 from 3land, plus 3-4 from the stripe. Griffin grabbed 7 defensive rebounds.

Mark grabbed 10 boards in his 32 minutes, and blocked 3 shots (and altered others), while scoring 9 points (4-8 from the field, plus 1-2 from the stripe).

Jeremy (23 minutes) also scored 9 points in the game (7 in the second half, where he was so valuable).  While he missed all three of his 3-point attempts, he made 3 tough layups and 3 clutch free throws. (3-8 from the field, including 0-3 from deep, plus 3-4 from the line.  He craftily drew 4 Miami fouls and grabbed 3 boards.Trevor scored only 4 points (all in the second half) in 33 minutes (1-7 from the field, including 0-4 from 3land, plus 2-2 from the stripe).  He handed out 3 assists but committed 2 turnovers.

Theo played 5:37 (all in the first half) scoring 2 (2-2 from the stripe) and blocking a shot.  He committed 2 fouls.

Joey played 3 minutes (0-1 from deep) all in the first half.

Winning Time

5:07 Miami tied Duke at 65 on a Waardenburg 3, after Duke had led by between 2 and 7 points for almost 15 minutes. 

When Miami’s Moore fouled Jeremy (Miami’s 7th), Roach made both free throws.  67-65 with 4:42 remaining.  

With 4:15 left, Williams altered 2 Hurricane shots at the rim and got the ball. Mark whipped it to Wendell, who fed Trevor for a fast break that took less than 2 seconds (Trevor’s only basket of the game).  69-65 with 4:13 left.  

Williams rebounded a McGusty miss; Paolo was fouled but missed the front end of a 1-and-1 with 3:26 remaining.  Keels stole the ball with 3:08 remaining but missed a 3-point attempt.  Miami time out with 2:30 left.  

Paolo fouled Wong, who made both foul shots.  69-67 with 2:09 left in the game.  Waardenburg fouled Paolo, who missed the first, but cashed in the second.  70-67 with 1:42 to go.  Paolo fouled Wong, who made them both.  70-69 with 1:22 remaining.  Miller fouled Moore, who made them both.  72-69 with 58 seconds left.  

With 47 seconds left, Mark’s presence caused McGusty to commit a costly turnover by traveling.  Duke ball. When Roach cleverly induced a Miami foul,  he made 1-2; Duke by 73-69.  Paolo retrieved an offensive rebound from Jeremy’s miss and fed Trevor, who was fouled.  Trevor scored his final two points (4 points for the half; he did not score in the first half) by making both free throws.  75-69 with 33 seconds remaining.  

Miami scored quickly on a drive.  75-71.  With 25 seconds left, Miami had to foul; Wendell made them both.  77-71.  Paolo made a defensive mistake leaving Waardenburg wide open for a 3.  77-74 with 15 seconds left.  Paolo inbounded to Griffin, who made 1-2 when he was fouled.  78-74.  When A.J. rebounded his own miss; Miami had to foul.  A.J. made both with 7 seconds left, Making Miami Moore’s final layup with 3 seconds left meaningless — for the final 80-76 score.

Coach K: “But we did right the ship, and then the second half was just back and forth. We hit on a little thing we do and got some multiple looks and got a little bit of a margin.” 

Concluding Thoughts

Duke won exactly the kind of game the Blue Devils lost (to Miami, to Virginia, and to Florida State) during the season.  Mentally, this is critical for the Championship game against Virginia Tech and for the NCAA tournament.  Mark was asked what it meant to win two games at clutch time. “I think plays like that show our growth as a team. Those moments where we didn’t make those plays or didn’t convert, but now later in the season, we’re making those plays, making the right decisions or whatever it may be.  I think it’s just a testament to just our hard work and perseverance throughout the season.”

The game against the Hokies will tell much about Duke’s consistency and maturity.  It’s not about NCAA seeding; it is about achieving Coach K’s second stated goal – winning the ACC Tournament.

Coach K is optimistic (and so am I).  “We have good kids, and they’re getting better.  I don’t know what will happen tomorrow night or whatever, but we should be a real high seed.  Then hopefully, especially from these two games — and we’ll learn from tomorrow’s game no matter what — this team really needs that [to play smarter and more mature], really needs that because they didn’t have it. …  But that’s how we’ve tried to adjust…A couple weeks ago, I said I wish they would be smarter. The last two games they’ve been very smart. They’ve been really smart.” cohesive.image.jpg

In sync — Duke gets smart.                                                Photo Credit: John Minchillo, AP

Duke v Virginia Tech

For a whole host of reasons, Virginia Tech’s dismantling of Coach K’s last team in the finals of the ACC Tournament is one of the most depressing Duke games I have ever had to write about.  But, if Coach K has taught us anything about the game of life (and a bit about the game of basketball), it is both to learn from the experience and to move on to the next challenge (“next play”).  

The second half of last night’s debacle eerily re-created the debacle of the second half against UNC on Senior night last weekend.  What do we make of that?

Second Half: Va Tech 40 – Duke 28 & Second Half: UNC 55 – Duke 40

With under 13 minutes left in the game, UNC blitzed the Blue Devil defense for 45 points – leaving Duke outscored by 25 points in that final 12:50.  That is called a total collapse of the defense, a defense which had been Duke’s calling card this year.  Against the Hokies, Duke trailed by 7 (67-60) with 6:30 remaining in the game.  Not an insurmountable deficit.  Then, Virginia Tech outscored the Blue Devils by 11 in the last 6:29 for an 18 point lead (Savarino’s 3 at the buzzer reduced the margin to 15!).  In each case, experienced veterans overwhelmed talented freshmen.

Duke’s defense had seemed to revive in the last half against Miami, having shaken off the emotional impact of having been blitzed in Cameron on Senior Night by the Tarheels.  The collapse against the Hokies obliterated those optimistic insights about this team’s development.  It’s hard to avoid the conclusion that the 2021-22 Blue Devils, while talented, are inconsistent and seem to lose focus, following good performances with unexpectedly bad losses.

In the second half against Virginia Tech, Duke’s shooting was genuinely awful – 9-23 (39%), including 2-12 from deep (16.7%).  Banchero and Moore played the entire half until the end, when Coach K put in his bench with 1:16 to go in the game.  Paolo scored 10 points (3-4 from the field and 4-7 from the stripe), while Wendell contributed 5 points (2-4 from the field, including 1-3 from 3land). 

No other Duke player made more than a single 2-point field goal in the half,  except for Savarino’s 3 at the buzzer. Roach played 14:28, scoring 4 points in the half (1-3, including 0-2 from deep, plus 2-4 from the stripe).  Trevor (2 free throws), A.J. (1 basket), and Mark (1 basket), each scored only 2 points.

Comparing the Duke 2021-22 team to the 2018-19 team For Why Having Future NBA Super Stars Does Not Automatically Translate to NCAA Success

Duke’s amazingly talented 2018-19 team did not reach the Final Four and finished 3rd in the ACC regular season.  Experience may be as or more valuable than individual talent.

As Bill points out, this Duke team starts five players who will likely be selected in the first round of the NBA draft on June 23, 2022.  The 2018-19 Duke team also also had five starters that are playing or played in the NBA, including 4 freshmen: the 1st (Zion), 3rd (R.J.),  and 10th (Cam) selections in the 2019 NBA draft, plus Tre Jones (now with the Spurs) and Marques Bolden (then a junior; he played with the Cleveland Cavaliers for a year before his continuing GLeague career).  A comparison of that team with Duke’s current one yields some insights that I explore below.  

In spite of that immense talent on the 2018-19 team (not only the starting five, but also DeLaurier (G League) and Jack White (Australian League) then juniors, still have ongoing professional careers), Duke finished third in the Regular ACC season (14-4) – behind both UVA and UNC (16-2 each).  Duke was 32-6 for the year.  This current Duke team is 28-6 going into the NCAA tournament.

The 2018-19 team started off All-World by beating Kentucky in the season’s opener 118-84 (never played that well again!), as the 2021-22 team did in its opener against Kentucky.  In 2018, there was an early season loss (89-87) to Gonzaga (neutral court) before the ACC season began.  The current team lost to Ohio State in 2021for its only pre-ACC season loss.

In the regular ACC season, the RJ-Zion team lost to Syracuse (January 2019 in Cameron) 95-91; and then faded in late February and early March, losing 3 of their last 6 games.  In 2018-19, Duke lost to UNC 88-72 in Cameron and Virginia Tech 77-72 in Blacksburg in February.  In March, Duke eked out a 71-70 win against Wake Forest (4-14; 11-20) in Cameron before being again beaten by UNC in Chapel Hill 79-70.  

Duke won the 2019 ACC tournament title, getting revenge against Syracuse and UNC before beating Florida State for the championship.  Reverse the Regular Season and ACC Tournament titles and the results are eerily similar this year.  

THE NCAA TOURNAMENT

Rather than one single massive tournament of 68 teams, Coach K views the NCAA tournament as a pod of four-team tournaments each weekend – Sweet 16 is the second weekend’s tournament pod and the Final Four is the third weekend’s four team pod. 

This team needs to not be thinking about NBA drafts or four team tournaments or NCAA titles,  or anything except the court they’re on in that moment –forget ‘eyes on the prize’, eyes on the damn game in front of you.

  • 2019

Duke was #1 seed in its Region.  In Duke’s first four-team tournament, the 2018-19 team beat North Dakota State (#16 seed) 85-62, before almost being upset by Johnny Dawkins’ (the super star from Coach K’s first successful recruiting class) University of Central Florida team.  Duke prevailed 77-76 when Aubrey Dawkins (Johnny’s son) missed a point blank put back at the buzzer.  Duke managed to hang on to beat UCF even though UCF out-scored the 2018-19 team 40-33 in the second half.  Thus, Duke was fortunate to win their first four-team tournament.  Duke got revenge against 4th seeded Virginia Tech, defeating the Hokies in the Sweet 16 by 75-73 before losing to #2 seed Michigan State in the Elite 8 by 68-67.

  • Lessons from 2018-19

No other team in 2018-19 had the kind of talent that Duke hadd. Yet, the season – a success at 32-6 – was full of bumps, including the failure to reach the third four-team tournament.  After the first game, Duke had all it could handle against UCF, Va. Tech, and more than it could handle from Michigan State.  It doesn’t matter how talented the freshmen are.  Experienced teams are difficult opponents.

  • 2022 

Coach K said after the Miami game “We hit on a little thing we do” … let’s hope he and this team can find that “little thing” again in time to make Vincent Price hand over that 6th scholarship!

Duke is the #2 seed in the West Regional.  The top four seeds in that region are: 1) Gonzaga; 2) Duke; 3) Texas Tech; 4) Arkansas.  Duke will play on Friday, March 18 against # 15 seed  Cal-State Fullerton in Greenville, South Carolina  The other two teams in that four team tournament are # 7 Michigan State and # 10 Davidson.  If Duke beats Cal-State Fullerton, the Blue Devils will play the winner of Davidson-Michigan State on Sunday, March 20 to try and reach the Sweet 16.

Next Play:  NCAA Tournament against Cal-State Fullerton on Friday, March 18 at 7:15pm in Greenville, S.C.


ROUND # 1 – 2022 NCAA TOURNAMENT ( # 2 seeded) Duke Blue Devils 78 v (# 15 seeded) Cal State Fullerton Titans 61 in Greenville, SC (Season 13; Issue 31 – Game #35) Alan “Alanalysis” and Bill’s “CliffsNotes”

(March 18, 2022)

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“We gotta win this one first, guys”           Photo Credit: Duke Chronicle
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

The Blue Devils are a frustrating team. When they are good, they are very impressive. When they are bad, they are not very impressive and very beatable. Unfortunately, they are often both during the same game. Tonight wasn’t one of those games. Against an undersized, overmatched but game opponent, Duke scored well:  Williams had 15 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 blocks; Banchero 17 points, 10 rebounds, 4 assists; Moore 13 points, 6 rebounds, and 6 assists; Roach 12 points and 5 assists; and Griffin 10 points, 6 rebounds.

Coach K: “I thought they took a deep breath”  he said of his impressive group of one-and- doners, who helped their coach improve his lifetime tournament record to 98-30 in March Madness and avoided any hint of what befell #2 seed Kentucky on Thursday night against Saint Peter’s, or any hint of what befell Duke themselves on those few odd occasions through the years when teams like Lehigh, Mercer, and VCU beat Duke in the opening round.  But this is the nature of March Madness.  There are a lot of good basketball players out there.  Not all of them are 6” 6’ to 7’0’ and under 20 years old.  Some are shorter but more seasoned and just as talented. And, as we have seen, on any given night with the three-point line, anything can happen.

The good news is that Krzyzewski’s record is 12-3 over Izzo. But Michigan State is always a tough out and they beat Duke with Zion, RJ, and Jones in 2019.

One loss and you are done in more ways than one.  

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Coach K hasn’t lost any of his passion in his 42nd season.  Photo Credit: Duke Chronicle

ALANALYSIS:

Defense was Coach K’s stated concern: “we’ve been a really good defensive team [all season], but the last four games we were a really bad defensive team.”  Duke held the Cal State Fullerton Titans (CSF or Titans) to 27 first-half points and 31% shooting; 61 points for the game.  Duke’s major (only) defensive lapse was giving up 12 offensive rebounds to CSF, 7 coming in the first half.

Jeremy Roach replaced Trevor Keels in the starting lineup and corroborated Coach K’s judgement by playing as the glue (superb point guard play) on offense and aggressive on-the-ball defense.  It was his best game at Duke!  

After A.J. Griffin had a disappointing first half, Coach K gave him a short pep talk as the second half was about to start.  AJ then played a superb second half.

Paolo Banchero and Mark Williams dominated the paint on offense and protected the rim on defense.  

The floor was slippery, causing turnovers and chaos.  That is ridiculous for a tournament game of this magnitude!  Wendell Moore was injured (hopefully not badly; he appeared at the post-game press conference) when he slipped on the floor twice, once in a quite painful looking split position.  Jeremy was charged with a turnover when he fell on a wet spot.  Apparently, the arena is used for hockey, and it was speculated that the ice under the court was causing condensation on the floor.  In any event, the slips clearly cost Duke a bunch of points.

The Defense

The Blue Devils were intense on defense from the opening tip.  After 7 minutes and 5 seconds had elapsed in the game, CSF had managed only 4 points.  Duke led 17-4!  In that short period, the Blue Devils terrorized CSF by blocking 6 shots (10 for the game) – 2 by Paolo, 2 by Theo John, 1 by Mark (who had Duke’s other 4 blocks for the rest of the game), and 1 by Jeremy.  It is a tribute to CSF’s resilience that the Titans not only avoided being blown out by the Blue Devil start, but clawed back to within 6, twice, before the half ended.  

Coach K: “I just thought it was a great game for us to play.  We played better tonight than we have been playing.  I thought our defense overall was a lot better, especially on Anosike and Milstead, who we felt coming into the game, if they had big games, we had a chance to get knocked off.  So, it’s a big improvement.”  

A major point of emphasis, in the week of practice for the Blue Devils, was communication on the defensive end.  Both Paolo and Mark talked about that improvement in the postgame press conference.  Paolo said he thought it was better than it had been recently.  Mark emphasized, “Yeah, I thought we did a good job on that. Obviously, we can always improve. For us to do well, defense is going to be really important. Communicating, making all those right decisions, rotations, whatever it is.  Then that translates into offense, transition, whatever.  So that’s huge for us.”

Williams not only had 5 blocks, but he also visibly altered or prevented other shots.  A few times, the Titans had penetrated, and passed back to the perimeter when Mark loomed near.  Banchero, who is an outstanding defender, earned Coach K’s praise, “Paolo did a really good job on [Anosike] because he’s the leading scorer in their conference.”  Banchero held Anosike to a 2-point first half (10 for the game).  Jeremy’s on-the-ball defense flummoxed The Titans all night.

The Offense

Duke shot 52% for the game (30-58, including 40% from behind the arc – 9-22), with 21 assists on the 30 baskets.  Duke scored 40 of its 78 points in the paint, where Mark and Paolo were unstoppable.  Duke broke the 0-0 tie with a Williams dunk after 24 seconds had elapsed to take a lead that the Blue Devils never relinquished.  Duke led by 10 at the half (37-27).  

The Titans scored the opening basket of the second half to reduce the Blue Devil lead to 8.  Duke answered with an awesome run.  A.J. hit a triple, Jeremy made 3 foul shots, Jeremy hit Mark for a dunk and foul shot for a traditional 3-point play, A.J. hit another 3-pointer, Paolo went 1-2 from the stripe before Moore hit a triple to give Duke a 20-point lead with 12:40 remaining in the game.The Titans were not done and crept back to within 13 (close as they would come) with 5:52 left, making for just a bit of nervousness.  A.J. made a crucial basket on a drive with an assist from Paolo to restore order and the 15-point lead.  The lead was 19 with under a minute left to play.

The only down aspect of Duke’s performance was CSF scored 16 points off 13 Duke turnovers.  Between the turnovers and CSF’s offensive rebounds, the Titans actually took 6 more shots than Duke, but made 6 fewer.

    The First Half

Banchero with 12 points and 7 rebounds led Duke in the opening stanza.  Williams and Roach each scored 7 to account for 26 of Duke’s 37 first-half points.

    The Second Half

A.J. scored the team-high in the second half with 8 points, augmented by 7 each from Mark and Wendell.  Both Paolo and Jeremy contributed 5 points, while Trevor added 4. They collectively scored 36 of Duke’s 41 before Coach K gave his bench playing time with the game obviously decided.

THE ROTATION (AND MINUTES PLAYED)

Jeremy Roach (34: 58) 

Jeremy was seemingly everywhere, on both ends of the court.  He scored 12 points (3-8 from the field, including 1-3 from deep, plus 5-5 on clutch free throws), to go with 5 assists, a steal and a block.  Jeremy will keep his starting job for the next game because he was the glue that held the Duke offense together in the face of intense trapping pressure.

    A.J Griffin (33:14) 

For the game, A.J. scored 10 (4-9 from the field, including 2-7 from deep) to go with 6 rebounds.

A.J. had a slow first half with only 2 points (1-4, including 0-3 from deep).  I could tell from early on that A.J. was not comfortable in his first NCAA game.  As the second half was about to start, Coach K told him, “Relax. Those are good shots.   Have fun out there. Just don’t worry about the first half.”  Coach K told us, “I didn’t want him to be down on himself.  He’s only 18 years old, and he wants to do well.”  A.J. then had a superb second half, scoring 8 crucial points (3-5 from the field, including 2-4 from deep). 

Paolo Banchero (33:01) 

Paolo had his 10th double double of the season and his 3rd in the last four games.  He scored 17 points on 14 shots (7-14 from the field, including 2-4 from 3land, plus 1-1 from the foul line), to go with 10 rebounds, 4 assists, a steal and 2 blocks.

Mark Williams (31:44) 

Mark put up simply amazing numbers!  He scored 15 points on 7 shots (6-7 from the field and 3-3 from the stripe), to go with 7 rebounds, 5 assists – a career high – and 5 blocked shots.  Coach K, “I thought Mark made two consecutive plays there in the second half that produced six points.  A.J. got a three [on a pass from Mark who had picked up a loose ball].  Then he [Mark] made a terrific pass to Paolo who scored [and was fouled].  Paolo hit the free throw [Duke] got six points.  When your 7’1″ center is doing that, you’ve got a good chance of winning.”

Wendell Moore (29:05) 

Wendell hurt his hip when he slipped twice on the watery floor.  It is a good sign that Wendell wasn’t seriously injured in that he continued to play efficiently.  He scored 13 points (5-8 from the field, including 3-4 from behind the arc), to go with 6 rebounds, 6 assists and a steal.  Wendell said the team is developing, “We’ve got some work to do on the defensive end, on our defensive rebounds.  For the most part, I feel like our offense was good.  We didn’t turn the ball over too much.  We got some good shots.  Also, we took some bad shots.  There’s always something we can clean up.” 

     Trevor Keels (20:58) 

In the second half, Trevor adapted much better to coming off the bench instead of starting.  He played less than 8 minutes in the opening period, scoring 2 points, but committing 3 turnovers.  Trevor improved in the closing stanza, scoring 4 crucial points.  For the game, Trevor scored 6 (3-7, including 0-2 from 3land).  Keels had 2 rebounds, an assist, and 4 turnovers (but only 1 in the second half).
Bench

    Theo John (8:16). In that short span, Theo scored 2 points (1-1) with 4 boards, 2 blocks, and a steal (but 3 fouls).

    Baker (5:24) made a 3 pointer during end game garbage time.  He is not defending well and therefore not playing much.

The deep bench – Bates Jones, Jaylen Blakes, and Michael Savarino – got to see the floor for a minute or so in an NCAA tournament game.

THOUGHTS ABOUT NCAA ROUND 2 – THE MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS 

Tom Izzo, the Spartans’ Hall of Fame coach, and Coach K square off frequently in the NCAA.  While Coach K has the edge, Izzo won the last encounter – that left a disappointing taste for Duke.  In 2019 (Duke’s last NCAA appearance), the Duke team with Zion Williamson, R.J. Barrett, Cam Reddish, Trey Jones, and Marquez Bolden lost to Michigan State in the Elite 8 by a single point.  Duke was # 1 seed and favored to win the entire tournament.  We hope it’s payback time – or, at least Survive and Advance to next week’s Sweet 16 time.

The Spartans opened the year unranked, then spent 12 weeks in the Top 25, peaking at No. 10 before falling off the ranking chart again by February.  Michigan State lost 7 of their last 10 regular season games, then lost to Purdue in the Big Ten Tournament semifinals.  This is their 24th straight NCAA Tournament; they have won at least one game in the Tournament 19 times.  Izzo made eight trips to the Final Four, winning one National Championship. And in the meantime…….

Next Play:  NCAA Tournament against Michigan State on Sunday, March 20 at 5:15 pm in Greenville, S.C.; TV: CBS


Duke Blue Devils v Michigan State Spartans – 2nd round of NCAA Tournament; Season 13; Issue 32; Game #36 Duke 85 v. Michigan State 76

(March 20, 2022)
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Coach K’s longtime rival, and dear friend, Michigan State coach Tom Izzo: “We were up 5 and …like a championship team, [Duke] dug down and made the plays.” Photo Credit: Duke Chronicle

Bill’s CliffsNotes:

It was a defensive and offensive team win—everyone contributed as this Duke team may be maturing before your eyes. Make no mistake. Talent be damned. Tom Izzo’s Michigan State teams are nothing if not tough. A win against his team is earned. Nothing is given to you. However, today, the Blue Devils were tougher down the stretch, 20-6 to be exact, with a deceptive 85-76 win over the Spartans that sends Duke to its record 26th Sweet Sixteen and 2,000th career win for Coach K! 

It was a team effort with Mark Williams, Paolo Banchero, Wendell Moore, Trevor Keels, and Jeremy Roach all making big plays in that closing run– big shots, big blocks, and big foul shots. And no one has improved during the year more than sophomore Jeremy Roach, who recently does a pretty good Bobby Hurley impression as point guard—especially hitting timely threes. Mark Williams and Paolo Banchero are a formidable duo defensively and on the boards.

Now the challenge is to build on this effort against # 3rd seed (in the West Region) Texas Tech, who is statistically the most efficient defensive team in the country.

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“Roach willed that ball in. They were some of the best drives I’ve seen as a Duke coach”
Photo Credit: Duke Chronicle

ALANALYSIS:

Introduction

I have viewed many postgame Coach K press conferences, but I cannot remember his tearing up as he did in this one.  With damp eyes, Coach K addressed the five players sitting next to him (no post-injury A.J. Griffin), “you guys were terrific, man. I’m really proud to be your coach. It had nothing to do with coaching those last four or five minutes.  It all had to do with heart and togetherness.” 

The last 5:10 of the game was what we have come to know and love about Duke basketball at “winning time”.  Coach K,  “My guys were so tough in those last six minutes of the game. The last four or five minutes, the defense was incredible.  They followed their hearts, and God bless them. We’re in the Sweet 16!”

The win over Michigan State was Duke’s 30th of this season — Coach K’s 16th 30-win season! It is also his 1200th career win and 99th NCAA triumph. 

Winning Time

Duke led during the second half with margins of between 9 points and 4–with 12:03 left in the game, Duke still led 54-46.  And then, the Spartans took charge and had the game tied at 65 with 5:43 remaining.  Williams committed a foul; Paolo missed the front end of a 1 and 1; then,  Spartan guard Tyson Walker made a 3-pointer. 68-65 Spartans, with 5:24 left.  Mark Williams committed another foul, and Bingham converted both shots.  70-65 with 5:10 left.  The Sweet Sixteen looked further away than K’s retirement.

Then the young Blue Devils morphed into the seasoned Duke team we have been anticipating all season– a team that had their heart committed to winning  and was becoming (in Coach K’s lexicong) “older”, avoiding the inconsistency and careless errors.  Compare Jeremy having Miami’s guard just take the ball from him when he wasn’t looking at crunch time to his spectacular play in the NCAA tournament.

First, Paolo made a driving layup. 70-67 with 4:55 left.  Walker missed (great defense by Jeremy), and Williams retrieved the rebound.  Roach made an exquisite driving layup.  70-69 with 4:17 left.  Banchero fouled Hauser, who made both free throws.  Duke still trailed, 72-69 with a  timeout was called at 3:43 remaining.

Wendell was asked if the thought of losing was used as motivation in that timeout.  Wendell: “Honestly, the conversation, I mean, losing didn’t come up one time. … Once we got in the huddle, we just looked in each other’s eyes, and we knew we weren’t going to lose.”

Trevor took a great pass from Paolo and hit a crucial 3-point shot to tie the game at 72 with 3:24 left.  Hoggard (the other Spartan guard ) made a driving layup to give the lead back to Michigan State 74-72 with 2:51 remaining.  Trevor drove the lane, was fouled, and made 1 of 2 free throws.  Duke down 1 (74-73) at the 2:44 mark. 

Then Duke’s defense took over and the winning time offense reminded us of the great Duke finishing teams of old!  

Williams not only blocked Hoggard’s next layup, but he also retrieved the ball.  Coach K, “We went to a little bit different coverage in the full court, like a soft, soft press, just so they didn’t get a run because they can really run. Then we started — we were going to switch 1 through 5.  Mark has improved so much during the year in his lateral movement that he can stay in front, and that’s what he did.  Like on that particular play.”  Mark said, “I’m not thinking too much about like ‘I want to get a block here’. It’s more ‘I want to win’.  If that’s the winning play, then I’ll do it.  That’s all that really happened right there.” 

Paolo gave Duke their first lead in winning time with a driving layup.  Duke 75-Spartans 74 at the 2:05 mark.  Banchero blocked yet another of Hauser’s attempted layups; Moore got the rebound and found Jeremy with 1:16 left on the clock for what one writer called “one of the ballsiest 3s for Duke in the NCAA tournament since Bobby Hurley hit that huge shot late against UNLV in 1991.”  Duke 78 to 74.  Duke closed out the game hitting 7-8 free throws (Moore 4-4; Keels 2-2; Williams 1-2).  

Coach K summed it up: “It’s great. I love these kids. They’re becoming men, and they’re so young, and we were young for a little bit at different times today. They [Michigan State] took advantage of it.  We were so good in the last part of the game.  I mean, just — I can’t tell you how proud I am of them because they — we had not been playing well. We had a helluva week of practice and camaraderie stuff and whatever. They believe in one another.”

Player of the Game – Jeremy Roach (37:15)

He not only shoots and drives, he makes magic passes. Photo Credit: Junfu Han, Detroit Free Press

Jeremy made 0 field goals in the first half (0-3, including 0-2 from deep), scoring his only 2 points on foul shots (2-2).  Then, in the second half, Jeremy played all 20 minutes and led Duke to victory, scoring 13 second-half points on 6-7 from the field – drives and floaters, including “the ballsiest 3-point Duke basket” since Hurley’s in 1991.  Coach K: “Jeremy hit a huge three for us, and in his drives, he willed that ball. He willed that ball in. They were some of the best drives I’ve seen as a Duke coach, really, especially in a pressure situation. … We started the week, we just said we need great ball pressure. He [Jeremy] can do that, and he did that today, but also to lead us. He made some big time baskets today. It wasn’t just that three. Those drives to the basket were huge.  And everybody got energy from them.  So, we’ve never stopped believing in him because he’s believable.  He deserves it.” 

Duke has had multiple ball handlers initiating the offense during the season – Trevor, Wendell and even Paolo – which was different from when Duke gave the keys to the team to a genuine point guard (think Hurley, Amaker, Jay Williams, and both Tyus and Tre Jones).  In the NCAA tournament, Duke has given those keys to Jeremy.

THE ROTATION (AND MINUTES PLAYED)

    Paolo Banchero (37:51) 

Paolo led Duke in scoring with 19 points (8-14, including 2-5 from deep, plus 1-3 from the stripe) to go with 7 rebounds, 4 assists, and a crucial blocked shot at crunch time.  He was fabulous on the defensive end, holding the high-scoring Spartan, Joey Hauser, to just 5 points for the entire game. 5 turnovers marred his otherwise extraordinary stat line.  Paolo went out of the game early for 1:16 so that Coach K could settle him down.  Banchero becomes just the fourth Duke player of all time to play back-to-back NCAA Tournament games with stats of 15+ points, 5+ rebounds and 4+ assists, joining Danny Ferry (1987 and 1988), Grant Hill (1994), and Jon Scheyer (2010). 

    Jeremy Roach (37:15) see above

    Wendell Moore (35:15)

After a potential bad injury due to slipping last game, Wendell – showed no ill effects and was simply terrific on both ends of the court!  He scored 15 points on only 6 shots. (3-6, without a 3-point attempt).  His 9-10 at the stripe, including 4-4 to preserve the win in the last minute was dramatic!  Wendell also contributed 2 boards, 4 assists with only 1 turnover, and 2 steals – the one steal – literally snatched a floating pass in mid-air – during “winning time” which contributed to breaking the game open and finishing off the Spartans.

    Mark Williams (30:26)

Mark also scored 15 points (7-9, including a beautiful fade away from almost 15 feet when Duke was having difficulty with the Spartan defense, plus 1-2 from the stripe).  Mark added 8 boards (Duke’s leading rebounder), 5 blocks, and 2 steals.  Coach K: “Mark looked like a hockey goalie the whole night, trying to protect our net. He did it enough to win the game.”  

Mark is the first Blue Devil in history to record consecutive NCAA Tournament games with 5+ blocked shots after adding last night’s five to the five he swatted away in the first-round win over Cal State Fullerton.  Williams has blocked 104 shots this season – fourth most of any player in any season at Duke.  The only other Duke player to have 100+ blocks in a single season was Sheldon Williams, who did it three times (137 in 2006, 122 in 2005, and 111 in 2004).  Mark racked up five dunks during the game and therefore moves into second on Duke’s single-season dunks list, with 88. Only Marvin Bagley III in 2017-18 had more dunks, with 98.

    Trevor Keels (25:12)

Trevor scored 12 (4-8, including 1-2 from deep – the one tied the game at 72 — plus 3-4 from the foul line) to go with 4 rebounds, and an assist.  He looked lost in the first half, playing only 9 minutes, and scoring only 2 points on 1-3 shooting.  Then he came alive and was crucial for Duke after A.J. was injured early in the second half.  Duke has now won 20 of 22 games when Keels scores in double figures. 

    A.J. Griffin (23:11)

A.J. played only 8 minutes in the second half, without scoring (0-2, including 0-1 from behind the arc), before he was injured.  A.J. had an efficient first half, scoring 7 in 15 minutes (3-5 from the field, including 1-2 from 3land) to go with 2 rebounds and 2 assists.  Unfortunately, we note complete  radio silence about A.J. Griffin’s injury, which occurred after only 7:30 had gone by in the second half.  Whether he will be at full strength next Thursday night could be key.

    Theo John (9:34)

Theo spelled Mark for almost 5 minutes in each half, scoring 2 points (1-2) to go with 2 rebounds.

    Bates Jones (1:16) briefly replaced Paolo in the early going to give Coach K a chance to talk with Banchero.  No statistics.

GOIN’ TO SAN FRANCISCO TO PLAY #3 SEEDED TEXAS TECH IN THE SWEET 16

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are a formidable foe.  The Red Raiders, ranked 11th in the final Coaches’ poll and 12th in the AP, are 27-9 for the season, finishing 3rd in the Big 12 at 12-6, behind Baylor and Kansas.  In the conference tournament, Texas Tech beat Iowa State (who beat Wisconsin last night) and Oklahoma, before losing to Kansas in the finals.  Duke’s offense must be ready to face the Red Raiders’ nation-leading efficient defense.

Texas Tech lost early in the season to Providence, Gonzaga, and, later, to Oklahoma and Oklahoma State. The Red Raiders beat Baylor twice in the regular season, as well as beating Tennessee and Texas.  They beat Kansas once at home but then lost in double overtime when playing at Kansas.  The Red Raiders likewise split one win-one loss against both TCU and Iowa State.  It will be a Sweet, but tough, game for these maturing Duke Blue Devils.moore and roach.jpg

Coach K: “They followed their hearts and we’re in the Sweet 16!” Photo Credit: Bob Donnan, USA Today Sports

Next Play:  NCAA Tournament against Texas Tech, in the West Regional Semi-Finals (Sweet 16) on Thursday March 24 at 9:39 pm EDT in San Francisco. TV: CBS

Editorial staff note: 

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My friend knit this for my daughter for the 1991 NCAA Championship. She wore it; Duke won!  Last night, when Duke was down 5 towards the end of the second half — seemingly the end of Coach K’s reign  — I grabbed the sweater and nailbitingly hung on till Duke won, again!  I will be keeping the sweater close by during Duke’s trip through the NCAA tournament.. 

And if the basketball gods should bless the Blue Devils once again, I’ll recreate the 1991 celebratory menu of duck and lobster.


Duke Blue Devils v Texas Tech Red Raiders – Sweet 16 round of 2022 NCAA Tournament; Season 13; Issue 33; Game #37 Duke 78 v. Texas Tech 73

A fearless Jeremy Roach drive Photo credit: Raleigh News and Observer
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

This was Duke’s most impressive victory since the win in the 1992 Final Four against the previously undefeated UNLV Runnin’ Rebels.  As I wrote last week: “ You could see this team mature and grow up before your eyes.  Duke shot lights out down the stretch, making big shots and big stops– and they needed every single one of them.”

  • “It certainly took the Blue Devils some time to get it figured out. Duke shot air-balls on three of its first four possessions and then had two live-ball turnovers that led to fast-break baskets [for Tech].  Mike Krzyzewski was forced to call a timeout with his team down 10-2, barely four minutes into the game.  [However, it’s how you finish a game, not how you start it.]  Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the face.  And Duke was punched in the face.  But they responded, after one of the best timeouts of Head Coach Mike Krzyzewski’s career.  After the timeout, the Blue Devils made its next four shots and tied the game at 12-12.” [“Duke Was Golden In The Clutch Against Texas Tech” by Jim Summer on dukebasketballreport.com]

“I’ve never played in a basketball game like that.  When you’re out there, it’s not like you’re even thinking.  You’re just playing to win,” freshman man/child Paolo Banchero, who finished with a team-leading 22 points, 4 rebounds, 4 assists and 3 steals, said after the game.  With four minutes left in the game, despite four players being in double-digit points, the Blue Devils were down one point. Two Jeremy Roach drives, a Banchero triple, and a Mark Williams block later, Duke was up three with one and a half minutes to go.  It was then Roach sank yet another clutch jumper to put Duke up five with under a minute to go. 

 Sophomore Jeremy Roach is a good example of how much being in a program for more than one year can improve a player.  Head coach Mike Krzyzewski commented after the game: “The resolve and improvement of Jeremy Roach has been incredible. His drives against that defense were so strong, so determined.” Roach, who ended with 15 points (11 in the second half) and 5 assists, continued his timely play from the opening period with fearless, slick drives and jump shots that he has been pulling out more and more in the postseason.  

Similarly, Sophomore Skywalker Mark Williams, an important key to both the defense and offense, grabbed a quick eight points in the first five minutes with three dunks and two free throws, and graduate transfer Theo John got on the board with a put-back layup.  Finally, a three from AJ Griffin put an exclamation point on a Duke run that tied the score at 47 with 12 minutes to go.

All in all, a very mature and impressive start to the 2022 NCAA men’s Basketball Tournament.

ALANALYSIS:

What a potpourri of intense competition at the highest level –great plays, strategic coaching decisions, and a Duke performance at winning time that was breathtaking in execution and high in drama.  Or, as Coach K put it, “what a tremendous game!”

Texas Tech lived up to its advanced billing as a great defensive team, especially in the early going (The Red Raiders raced out to a 10-2 lead because as Coach K put it, “we weren’t ready for that level of expertise on defense and their strength”).  However, in the second half, the Blue Devils simply shredded the vaunted Red Raiders defense, shooting 71% from the field (13-16 inside the arc, including 4-8 from deep), and making their final 8 shots attempts, to put the game away at winning time.  Duke scored on 12 of its last 15 possessions.  The Red Raiders simply could not defend as Duke scored 49 second-half points.

The Red Raiders may be ranked #1 nationally on defense, but Duke was every bit as good as the Red Raiders on defense, especially in the second half.  Coach K turned the game around by playing a zone defense that Texas Tech had not anticipated.  After a needed adjustment, the zone confused the Red Raiders.  Coach K’s young charges then successfully lobbied him to return to the man-to-man defense to finish the game. Coach K agreed.  They slapped the floor!  Then the Blue Devils got the stops that won the game.

With 3:15 left in the game, Duke trailed 68-65.  Duke scored 49 in the second half.  The reason the game was a nail biter, was Duke’s defense didn’t stop the Red Raiders …until it did! The Red Raiders did not score again until only 27 seconds remained in the game, when Arms drove the length of the court for a dunk and then hit a 3-point shot with 13 seconds left to bring Texas Tech to within 2 (75-73; only 13 seconds left). The Blue Devils outscored Texas Tech 14-5 in the last 3:55 of the game with a 3-point play (“and one”) at the rim by Paolo; 3 jump shots by Roach, 2-2 free throws by Moore, 2-2 from the stripe by A.J. Griffin and 1-2 from Paolo to win the game.

WINNING TIME

The Offense

Duke was behind by 4 at half time (33-29) and continued to trail by between 1 and 6 for the first 7 minutes of the second half.  The Blue Devils finally tied the score, and for the next 9 minutes, the game see-sawed back and forth, with 7 lead changes and 6 ties.  

Then, in the last 8:19, the Blue Devils made every one of their last 8 field goal attempts!! (Banchero 3, including two 3-pointers; Roach 3; Moore and Williams each 1), while adding 8-9 free throws (Moore 3-3; Williams 2-2, A.J. 2-2; and Paolo 1-2) in that same last 8:19. 

With 4:04 remaining, Texas Tech led by 65-64.  Roach scored on a driving layup, giving Duke a 66-65 lead at the 3:35 mark.  Texas Tech’s last lead came on McCullar’s 3-pointer (68-66) with 3:15 remaining.  Then came Duke’s “Finest Hour”: Paolo drained a 3 pointer (Duke 69 v Raiders 68 with 2:55 left).  Williams made his 3rd crucial block of the game, and Jeremy came up with the ball.  Roach took it himself on a beautiful step-back jumper (Duke 71; TT 68 with 2:16 to go).  Paolo stole the ball with 1:56 left and fed Jeremy for another wonderful jump shot under pressure.  Duke led 73-68 with 1:30 left in the game.  When Moore rebounded the Red Raiders next miss, with 49 seconds left, Duke looked to be home free.

Looks, however, can be deceiving.  Jeremy was fouled, but missed the front end of the 1-and-1 with 34 seconds left. Texas Tech then hit a dramatic 3-pointer to draw within 3 with just 27 seconds left.  Moore made both free throws before Tech cut the lead to 75-73 with a dramatic 3 with only 13 seconds remaining. A.J.’s final clutch foul shooting preserved the win.

Duke dismantled the nation’s best defense, shooting 71% from the field in the concluding period.  Wow!

The Defense

Duke turned the game around and tied it when Coach K went to a zone defense midway through the second half.  The Red Raiders were not prepared for it, perhaps because Duke has played zone so seldom this year.  Coach K, “we practiced it a little bit during the year where our guys just know to keep the wings high and whatever. Today during our walk-through, we just mentioned it, like, look, there’s a chance we’ll use it, but you really couldn’t practice it in the walk-through, and these guys are smart players. They were able to do it.  It kept out the amount of physicality because they were wearing us down, so the zone gave us a chance to kind of dance around the ring a little bit instead of being in a corner.”  Texas Tech shredded the zone at first, but Duke stuck with the zone, “What happened was the zone was too far out, and so at the timeout, Jon Scheyer and Chris Carrawell said ‘they’re beating us on cuts, not on threes’, so we made that adjustment.”  When Duke pulled the zone closer to the basket, the Red Raiders could no longer initiate the cut to get open and receive a pass. The Tech scoring stopped.

“These guys, with a few minutes left said, ‘Coach, we want to go back, man.’ It was like a Catholic boys’ choir.  It was a chorus. They all said it. They all said it, and they said it with enthusiasm. ‘We want to do this. We want to go man.’ So, they were playing so well, I figured I would listen to them.”

Coach K went with the players’ suggestion: “With this team they’re so young and they’re still growing. Whenever they can own something, they’re going to do it better than if we just run it. When they said that, I felt they’re going to own it. They’ll make it work, and that’s probably more important than strategy during that time.  So that’s the way I looked at it.  I’m not sure I’ve been in that many situations like that before, but again, the ownership of doing something I think is key.” 

Duke paid homage to earlier days by slapping the floor with a minute to go.  Coach K: “The slapping the floor, what the hell? Why not? Our guys really wanted that because it’s kind of like crossing the bridge to the Brotherhood. They can now say they did that. Hopefully they can say that again at least on Saturday.”

I wonder if anyone in the Brotherhood remembers players asking Coach K to run a specific defense!  I have a strong suspicion that that was a Duke first!

THE ROTATION WITH MINUTES PLAYED

Duke’s starting five played most of the minutes.  Trevor Keels played only 14 minutes – spelling A.J. for 3:10, Wendell for 6 minutes, and Jeremy for 4:32 – without scoring.  Theo John spelled Mark for approximately 5 minutes in each half, scoring 2 points on 1-1 from the field.  Bates Jones gave Paolo a 2:49 break in the first half, but did not score.  Thus, 76 of Duke’s 78 points came from the starters.  Jeremy and Paolo each played all 20 minutes in the second half.

    Paolo Banchero (37:11)

Paolo had an All-World game!, scoring 22 points (11 in each half) on 12 shots (7-12 from the field including 3-4 from behind the arc, plus 5-6 from the foul line), to go with 4 rebounds, 4 assists, and 3 steals.  Paolo shares Player of the Game (POG) with Jeremy.  Coach K: “Paolo did a couple of things tonight that he has never done in his life, and he did it instinctively.  He just wanted to win so badly, and it was so beautiful to see. … I’ve been around so many good players, and when they just go into their own thing, where it’s stuff you can’t teach them and they just do it, that’s what he did.  For that little bit of time and it gave us such a verve. … I’m just so happy that I was there for that moment with him because it’s his. It’s his, but it benefited all of us.”  In the post game interview courtside, Coach K was prideful, “I get to coach that guy!”

    A.J. Griffin (36:50)

A.J. scored 11 (3-9, including 3-7 from deep, plus 2-2 game-sealing free throws) to go with his 7 key rebounds, an assist, and a block, without a turnover.  It was surprising that A.J. played the second most minutes of any Duke player after his injury in the Michigan State game.  He appeared healthy; good news for the Arkansas game.

    Jeremy Roach (35:28)

Jeremy had another Player of the Game performance!  He scored 15 points (7-11 from the field, including 0-1 from 3land and 1-2 from the foul line) to go with 4 boards, 5 assists (but 4 turnovers), and a steal. His 11 second-half points were crucial to Duke’s win.   When Jeremy was asked the source of his (seemingly new) confidence to take the crucial shots he made at winning time, he replied, “Just trust in your work. These guys — like Paolo just said, these guys trust me, and the coaching staff trusts me. Trust in your work and being instinctive was the biggest key out there.” He and Paolo share POG.

    Wendell Moore, Jr (33:59)

Wendell scored 12 points (4-7 from the field, including 1-3 from deep, plus 3-3 from the stripe), augmented by his 4 rebounds and 2 assists.  His free throws were clutch.  Wendell described his foul shooting routine.  He closes his eyes briefly to lock himself in and everything else out.

    Mark Williams (30:04)

Mark also has a strong case for POG; he scored 16 points on 9 shots (6-9 from the field, plus 4-4 from the stripe) to go with his team high 8 boards and 3 blocks.  At 5:37 left in the game, Mark made a galvanizing dunk that he was asked about in the press conference, “As far as that dunk, I mean, it felt like it gave the team some life.  Obviously [Paolo] made a great pass, and I just finished the play.  I was really amped up. I think it got the team going, and I think that translated to the defensive end as well.” 

Paolo: “We had, like, three straight stops after that dunk.” 

DUKE v. ARKANSAS IN THE ELITE 8 ON SATURDAY, March 26 

Regular Season

The Razorbacks finished the regular season 28-8 ranked 17th.  Arkansas was 4th in the SEC with a 13-5 record behind Auburn, Kentucky and Tennessee.

SEC Tournament

The Razorbacks beat LSU, but lost to Texas A&M by 18 points.

NCAA Tournament

Arkansas beat Vermont 75-71 in the first round and New Mexico State 53-48 in the second round.  Then the #4 seeded Razorbacks took out the # 1 overall seed, Gonzaga 74-68. Arkansas just played better; Gonzaga might have been overconfident because Arkansas didn’t look that formidable on paper.  (Duke better not do that).

In 1994, the Razorbacks won the NCAA National Championship by beating the Blue Devils on a last second 3-pointer by Scotty Thurman. If Thurman had missed, it would have been Duke’s 3rd championship in 4 years. Still hurts.

Next Play:  NCAA Tournament against Arkansas, in the West Regional Finals (Elite 8) on Saturday March 26 at 8:39 pm EDT (5:39 p.m. PDT) in San Francisco. TV: CBS


Duke Blue Devils 78 v Arkansas Razorbacks 69 – Elite 8 round of NCAA Tournament; Season 13; Issue 34; Game #38 Duke v. Arkansas

DUKE TO MEET UNC IN NATIONAL SEMI-FINALS NEXT SATURDAY

Duke and UNC have faced off 257 times in basketball, but never before in an NCAA tournament game.  Memories of the thrashing the Tarheels gave the Blue Devils on March 5 in Cameron is not far from Duke minds.  Coach K interrupted the post UNC festivities to tell the fans packed into Cameron and watching around the world, “This afternoon is unacceptable.  But the season is very acceptable.  The season is not over.” In his more formal address, he turned to his team: “We didn’t play well, and (pointing to his 96 former players) there were times when you didn’t either!  But, not for long.  Not for long,” he said. “Hopefully, today, for our program — this program right now — it’s a great learning experience.  We need to fight for Duke. We need to fight for the brotherhood.  And we need to fight with all of our might through the remainder of the season. You may not know it now, but I love you guys, and I’m going to love what we will do, learning from this experience, going forward!  Then, I’ll be ready to get the hell out of here.” 

When Duke was preparing to play the winner of the UNC-Virginia Tech game for the ACC championship, Paolo Banchero was asked in an on-camera interview which team he wanted to play.  That Senior Night loss in Cameron still rankled, and Duke, 1-1 against the ‘heels this year, wanted a third game. Without any hesitation, Paolo smiled and said “UNC!”.  He was appropriately chastised by his coach, who explained that it was an honor to play whomever, etc.  In the Arkansas post-game interview, Paolo was again asked if he was rooting for St. Peters or UNC.  “No, you are not going to get me again on that!” he laughed.  At least not publicly!

Coach K rhapsodized about the beauty and magic of the upcoming Saturday National Semi-Finals. “There’s no greater day in college basketball than when those four regional champions, four champions, get in one arena and play. It’s the greatest day for college basketball, and we’re honored to be a part of it. We already know Villanova is there.  … and then whoever wins tomorrow, it will be an honor if we ever get a chance to play them.”So, it is Duke v Carolina for the first time in NCAA history – Coach K’s “Last Hurrah” Tour!  Win, lose or draw, this is being a magical season. 

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DUKE WINS WESTERN REGIONAL! Mike Krzyzewski heads to his 13th Final Four. Photo Credit: Raleigh News Observer   

             

Bill’s CliffsNotes

Going into the game, I felt confident that Duke would win because the Blue Devils had more talent and size at every position and because Arkansas was coming off an emotional win against the #1 Seed Gonzaga—and it is difficult to play two exceptional, emotional games back-to-back in this tournament. In addition, every Duke player was playing with increasing confidence — especially Mark Williams, who is the key to the Blue Devil’s defense and offense. 

And tonight, Duke proved they could not only come from behind to win, they could also hold a lead and close out the game.

Duke led for most of the first half but struggled to pull away from its persistent opponent. That changed in a flash at the close of the first half, as the Blue Devils stretched a four-point lead to a 12-point halftime advantage in a breakneck final sequence highlighted by freshman guard Trevor Keels’ transition 3-pointer on a selfless assist from Paolo Banchero at the buzzer.

“They’ve been beautiful. They’ve been sensational. And they were really good, ” Coach Krzyzewski said. “I loved them before, but now I respect them so much, how much they’ve done.”

Duke was getting equally important stops on the other end, with Mark Williams patrolling the paint.  “Mark really was the difference maker for us today,” Krzyzewski said.  “I just tried my best to protect the rim,” Mark said in an understatement. “I thought that was important for us.”

And we saw some more zone defense, a maneuver Coach K said that allows Mark to stay in the lane and protect the rim–another gadget  in the toolbox heading to New Orleans.  “For this group to do that in that half—because we were not playing well and we were ready to get knocked back. But the last 12 minutes they didn’t get knocked back,” Krzyzewski said. “They played beautiful basketball!”

Duke led by as many as 18 points, at 72-54. The Blue Devils had some sloppy turnovers in the final stretch, but the outcome was never really in doubt during the final ten minutes.

The win was the kind of team victory that makes coaches proud, where everyone contributes . Griffin led Duke with 18 points, two more than Banchero, who had 7 rebounds and 3 assists. Moore added 14 points; Mark Williams 14 points, 12 rebounds and 3 blocks; Jeremy Roach and Keels 9 points each.  Duke out-rebounded Arkansas 34-25 and out-shot them 55 percent to 42 percent. The foul shooting was sensational: 11-11 for Arkansas, 16-18 for Duke.  Duke held Arkansas to 6-20 on 3s and their leading scorer J.D. Notae to 14 points on 5-14 shooting.

The Blue Devils have played this tournament not only with increased confidence but also with a purpose that has allowed them to approach their potential—something that eluded them both in the final game of the regular season and in the final of the ACC Tournament.

Coach Krzyzewski : “When you only have them for a year, you’re trying to avoid as much adversity, but in the last 10 days or so of the regular season and the tournament, we experienced a very deep level of adversity.  And in some respects, it really helped us.  I would rather not have experienced it, but I think it helped us.  It hurt, but they grew together, and we all took responsibility and figured out what was wrong, and then we tried to correct it.  It was actually, in some respects, a good thing, but that usually happens over a period of time.”  When asked to rate where this team is in Coach K’s history, he deflected the question: “Just like I don’t rate my [three] daughters or my [eight] grandchildren, I’m not going to rate [the team]; my other teams might get mad,” Krzyzewski said, “but obviously, this is 1 of 13 that have gone to a Final Four, so they’re right up there.”

ALANALYSIS:

Coach K was asked about his team’s character. Q:Even with great athletes like these you can’t really tell how they’re going to respond until they’re five down to Michigan State with five minutes to go and when that happened, you learned something significant about them that you didn’t know?”  Coach K’s response (slightly edited for clarity), “Your question is a great one, and it really smacks of what’s happened over these last two weeks. … You really find out about character in those situations.  It’s not luck.  It’s them. That’s what I’m trying to tell you, it’s on them because they’re the ones.  No matter what you do as a coach, they have to show that level of character, and in this tournament, it really lifted them. They’ve been beautiful. They’ve been sensational

In this NCAA Tournament my team has just played such good basketball in pressure situations.  I mean, they were a close team before the NCAAs, but during these last four games they have been terrific.  I’m so proud of you guys and happy for you.  You crossed the bridge! They’ve won a regular season championship, and they’ve won the western regional championship.  They did that.  They did it for us, and enough about doing it for the old man here.  We’re not going to do it unless we all own it, and we all owned this. We all owned this moment together. That’s what we’re playing for.” 

The Blue Devils were surprisingly beautiful and shockingly sensational.  None of the pundits predicted that Duke would have a 17-point lead over the Razorbacks with only 3:06 left to play in the game.  In spite of Duke’s loss of intensity in those last minutes, even the loss of 8 of its 17-point lead didn’t throw the outcome of the game into doubt.  The writing on the Blue Devil Mascot’s temporary bandana, turned out to be the best pre-game predictor: “Smells like bacon!”.

THIS TIME, WINNING TIME CAME WITH 13:13 LEFT IN THE GAME

The Important First Half Close

As Bill succinctly described, Duke’s first run, which changed the game, came with 2:14 left in the first half.  Duke led by 4 when the Blue Devils got a stop on defense; Paolo hit a 3-pointer (assist from Keels), Mark Williams grabbed a defensive rebound, followed by an offensive rebound that became a dunk (assist from Paolo).  With 4 seconds left in the half, Mark grabbed yet another rebound, passed to Paolo, who hit Trevor with the assist for a half-ending 3-pointer and 12-point half-time lead.

The Offense in the Second Half

But the Razorbacks had plenty of fight left.  Coach K: “At the start of the second half I thought they just took control of the game, and we were not playing well — they were making us not play well — and got it down to five.”  Duke led 53-48 when the Blue Devils called time out with 13:13 remaining in the game.  “At that timeout our guys really got organized offensively.  We scored on four or five straight.  We hit on a set that gave us some good looks, got the ball to Paolo, and then reversed it after a couple to A.J.  From then on, we just had control over the game.  In the last 12 minutes, as Coach K said,  “Duke played beautiful basketball.”

The Defense in the Second Half

Duke held Arkansas scoreless for 3:10 (from 13:13 until there was 10:03 left in the game).  Then, Arkansas’s Williams made a dunk to finally give the Razorbacks their 50th point.  But in the meantime, Duke had scored 10 points (Paolo 4, A.J. 4, and Wendell 2) to lead by 15 (63-48).  It was The Run of the game, from which the broken (Razor)backs never recovered.  Duke’s lead maxed out at 18, with 6:31 left in the game, and was still a 17-point lead with just over 3 minutes left. 

As Coach K said in classic understatement, “changing the defense helped.”  Once again, Duke went to its seldom-used zone defense to stymie a team well-prepared for The Blue Devils’ man-to-man defense.  J.D. Notae is the Razorback’s leading scorer, who primarily attacks the basket from the perimeter.  The zone defense allowed Mark Williams to protect the rim instead of switching on ball screens as is required in Duke’s man-to-man defense.  Mark: “I think going to the zone helped.  I think it gave them a different look, slowed them up a little bit. Obviously, [Notae] was trying to get downhill [full steam to the basket] a lot, so I tried my best to protect the rim.  I thought that was important for us.  I just tried to do that.”  Coach K: “One thing with the zone, we’ve just put Mark right in front of the bucket, so he didn’t have to defend the ball screen and then come back there.  Look, he was the player [of the game for Duke].  I mean, all these guys played well, but Mark really was the difference-maker for us today.” 

Jeremy was asked about how Mark’s ability to protect the rim impacted the perimeter defense. Jeremy: “Talking about Big Mark right here? (Laughing).  His presence back there is why we’re one of the top defensive teams in the country.  When guys go to the paint, you know he is there to either contest the shot or beat it off the glass.  He is a hell of a defensive player.  Love having him on the court.  Makes it so much easier for the guards to really try to pressure the ball.  So, they really don’t have to worry if a guy gets past you, you know the big fellow is always back there to back you up.  He is a huge part of this team.  We wouldn’t be here without him. 

Coach K made a further crucial point: “[Mark’s] defensive rebounding is one of the biggest one or two things in this game.  He had nine defensive rebounds, and that’s a possession time; and if you score, a stop and a score, and we needed that.  His defensive rebounding along with the blocks, huge.”  Duke curtailed the Razorbacks’ offensive rebounding in the second half because of Mark’s dynamic work on the defensive boards. 

THE ROTATION WITH MINUTES PLAYED

    Paolo Banchero (37:57, including all 20 minutes of the second half)

Paolo was a force all over the court.  He scored 16 points (4-11, including 1-2 from 3land, plus a crucial 7-8 from the stripe), grabbed 7 rebounds, handed out 3 assists, and made a steal and a block.  He guarded Razorback star Au’Diese Toney, holding him to just 4 points and drawing 4 fouls from him.  Outstanding defense!

Paolo: “I was just trying to take my shots and make strong moves. [Toney] was playing solid defense, and I drew two fouls up top on jump shots, but, yeah, I just wanted to be aggressive, and I wanted to get to the line and convert.  We needed a boost.  I think they cut the lead to five or six, so [I]wanted to make aggressive moves to the basket and either score or get fouled.”

Mark on Paolo: “I mean, I’ve seen it all year. Obviously, [Paolo] is a great player, and we’ve seen that since the beginning of the year.  We all know what he is capable of doing every time he steps on the floor.  He makes everybody better, and playing with a guy like that, it always makes it a little more fun.” 

    Wendell Moore, Jr. (36:26)

Wendell scored 14 on 10 shots (5-10 from the field plus 4-4 from the stripe). Moore upped his play in the second half, scoring 8 key points during Duke’s excellent run in the second half.  He was thoughtful in the post-game press conference (K was present together with all the Duke starters): “For me it means everything.  I preach it all week, but for me it’s been a three-year wait. You come to Duke looking to get to moments like this, and, unfortunately for me, those first two years that moment was taken away [by Covid].  So, to be able to do it with these guys right here, I wouldn’t want it any other way.  This moment right here is definitely pretty special to me.” For the NCAA Tournament, Wendell is 16-of-17 (.941) at the free throw line! His closed-eye ritual where he centers himself and locks in appears to be working.

    Mark Williams (34:55, including all 20 minutes of the second half)

Mark recorded his 12th double-double this season with 12 rebounds and 12 points (6-of-6 shooting from the field), plus three blocked shots. Mark only took (and made) a single shot in the second half. 

Mark has now blocked 16 shots in this NCAA Tournament, tying Shane Battier’s record 16 in 2001 for the most blocks in a single NCAA Tournament by a Blue Devil. And, unlike Shane, Mark still has more games to play. He is shooting .806 from the field (25-of-31) through four games in the NCAA Tournament, which stands as the best field goal percentage by a Blue Devil in a single NCAA Tournament (in order to be counted for the best field goal percentage, the player had to have attempted at least 25 shots). 

On one layup, Mark drove and Euro-stepped around a defender.  When he was asked about it in the press conference, Mark said, “And then as far as the Euro step, it just happened.  Didn’t really think too much.  Just made a move and finished the jump.”  It was such a graceful move for a 7’1” player and Mark just treated it as nothing special.  The announcers, however, knew it was special.

Jeremy Roach (34:47)

Jeremy came back to earth a little bit in this game.  He scored 9 points in the game, but only 2 (foul shots) in the second half (3-8 from the field, including 0-1 from deep, which was blocked, plus 3-3 from the stripe).  He garnered a rebound and had 2 assists (but 5 turnovers) and 2 steals.  It wasn’t his best game, but it has been a great year for Jeremy. 

He was asked, “Can you give your emotions on what you guys accomplished tonight after what you have been through?”His response: “Definitely high emotions.  Obviously, last year didn’t go as we planned it, but this year we came back hungry.  I think just getting to this point, all the hard work has paid off since June, since obviously last year too, and it’s just paid off.  I’m very happy for that.” 

A.J. Griffin (25:51)

A.J. had a Player of the Game type performance, scoring a team-high 18 points on 7-of-9 shooting, including 2-of-3 from three-point range, plus 2-2 from the foul line.  A.J. also contributed 3 rebounds, a steal, and a block. 

Critically, A.J. led Duke’s second-half scoring with 12 points in the concluding half (5-5 from the field, including 2-2 from deep).  Arkansas simply had no answers for A.J. Griffin has scored 10 or more points 23 times – Duke won 21 of those 23 games.

    Trevor Keels (24:59)

Trevor scored 9 (4-9 from the field, including 1-4 from 3land) with an assist, a steal, and 2 turnovers.  Trevor is returning to form, and was a good Sixth man.  He will be needed in New Orleans. 

    Theo John

Theo played five first-half minutes, effectively spelling Mark.  Theo retrieved 2 rebounds in that short stretch.  The Duke defense remained stout when Theo played.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS FOR THE UPCOMING FINAL FOUR

The Blue Devils are flying high emotionally as they prepare to head to the Big Easy and The final Final Four of Coach K’s unique career.

duke basketball Coach K cuts down the net
 Cuttin’ down the net as Champions of the West Regional Finals
Photo Credit: Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Wendell was asked, “Has it sunk in yet that you’re going to have a banner in Cameron?” 

WENDELL: “For sure it’s sunk in. The moment after we won the game, it started sinking in. For us that’s our second banner we’ve hung [the 1st was for the ACC regular season], and the thing is we’re not happy about it. For us the job is not finished. We want to hang one more banner. Two more if we get two games. We for sure want to hang another banner in there.” 

It’s nice to see this team has grown mature enough to understand that even though they got handed Final Four swag and all ceremonially cut down the net, this is not the moment to lose focus or intensity.

“We’re going take this five-hour trip back to Durham and going to be happy about it, but once we get in to practice tomorrow or the day after, it’s time to move on.”

Next Play:  NCAA Tournament against UNC , in the National Semi-Finals (Final Four) on Saturday April 2 at 839 p.m. EDT in New Orleans; TV: TBS


MOST RECENT GAME

Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) Duke Blue Devils 77 v University of North Carolina Tar Heels 81 – National Semi-Finals of NCAA Tournament (Final Four); Season 13; Issue 35; Game #39 Duke v. UNC

[This Issue # 35 will cover the National Semi-Final game against UNC.  We will publish Issue # 36, a season ending analysis by Friday of this coming week.]

The many faces of Coach K…which one for Mt. Rushmore?  Photo credit: Duke Chronicle
Bill’s CliffsNotes:

If you appreciate basketball and competition, you have to appreciate how the North Carolina Tar Heels responded to adversity during this season and in this game. With a one-point lead and both the game clock and the shot clock winding down, Caleb Love made an NBA-three over Duke’s best defender to seal the deal. It doesn’t get any better than that.

The game lived up to the hype. It came down to making shots and making stops. Carolina did the better job. The Blue Devils couldn’t stop RJ Davis in the first half nor Caleb Love in the second half.  North Carolina rallied from a 41-34 disadvantage early in the second half.  They were aided and abetted not only by out-rebounding Duke 50-41 but also by Duke’s shooting a woeful 5 for 22 (23%) from beyond the arc and 12 for 20 (60 %) from the foul line. The Tar Heels, on the other hand, made 10 of 26 from 3-point range and 17 of 24 from the line. That’s 15 more points on 3s, five more from the line

.And a Duke team that had made all the big plays down the stretch against Michigan State, Texas Tech, and Arkansas simply could not call upon the magic one more time. For example,  Mark Williams, a 75% free throw shooter, missed two free throws that would have given the Blue Devils a one-point lead with 46 seconds to go.  Game, set, match, season.

The win gives the Tar Heel fans a full set of bragging rights to claim that they ruined Coach K’s Farewell Tour—bagging both the final game in Cameron and knocking Duke out of the NCAA Tournament—as if these two wins cancels out the fact that he is the winningest Coach in Division One Men’s Basketball and various other sundry records that probably will never be broken– Krzyzewski’s Retirement Tour concludes a career of 1,570 games overall, 1,438 games in 42 seasons at Duke, which include 132 NCAA tournament games. Coach K has won 101 tournament games among his 1,202 games won. 

UNC, which was founded in 1789, is one of the three oldest public universities in the country, and has more graduates residing in the state of North Carolina than Duke (established in 1924)has graduates across the entire world. Consequently, they resent Duke and all that it represents—especially anything that threatens “Dean Smith” and “The Carolina Way”. Dean was a terrific coach and, perhaps, even a better man*, but he did not invent the game of basketball. He invented the “Four Corners” offense.

Coach K: “I’ve said my entire career — or when I knew what the hell I was doing — that I wanted my seasons to end where my team was either crying tears of joy or tears of sorrow, because then you knew that they gave everything. And I had a locker room filled with guys who were crying. And it’s a beautiful sight. It’s not the sight that I would want. I’d want the other. But it’s a sight that I really respect and makes me understand just how good this group was.”

*Dean did much in the late 50s and early 60s to integrate Chapel Hill by requiring restaurants to serve all of his players – at some personal risk.

 ALANALYSIS:

Introduction

There was never a time in this game that I thought that Duke would lose … until the very last 46 seconds.  While Duke was clearly the better team, the better team lost because the Tarheels simply PLAYED better.  In this game, Duke lost hold of the magic that Coach K had somehow instilled in the Blue Devils for his last NCAA tournament run.  After the Tarheels spoiled Coach K’s farewell at Cameron, and Coach K made such a dramatic speech to his team, I could not envision Carolina beating Duke 2 out of 3 for the season.  Well, so much for my pre-game intuition.

All the bugaboos of the regular season came out on Saturday– bad shooting from deep (5-22), bad foul shooting (12-20), giving up critical rebounds to UNC for second (and third, fourth) chance points, and the worst of all, porous defense with the game on the line (UNC scored 47 second-half points, 22 of them by Caleb Love)!  Inconsistency plagued Duke all year.  For example, A.J. and Jeremy shot a combined 3-18 from the floor, including 0-9 from deep, when each had scored and played brilliantly in the previous four NCAA tournament games.  A.J. took only a single shot in the second half (0-1 from deep).

  • The First Half

Pre-game, I wrote to a friend  that the Mark Williams – Armendo Bacot confrontation would be the one that determined the outcome of the game.  Mark has had an amazing season.  But, so has Bacot.  I thought Mark would keep Bacot from his offensive rebounding and protect the rim against the UNC guards.  However, Bacot won that matchup in the first four minutes of play, which turned out to settle the question for the entire game –Mark committed his second foul with only 4:41 played and went to the bench for the remainder of the first half.  Bacot grabbed 9 first-half boards (4 on offense).  The stage was set for Bacot to simply dominate in the second half, and he did just that (21 rebounds for the game, 8 of them offensive).

Duke committed five team fouls in the first 4:58 of play (1 each for Moore, Griffin, and John, plus Williams’s 2), which is a sign of bad defense.  Theo John was gallant – 4 boards and 6 points on 3-4 shooting — in replacing Mark, but he committed 4 first-half fouls of his own in his 11:25 minutes. 

Duke led by 6 with 1:30 to go when the Blue Devils got sloppy: a Paolo turnover, a missed 3-pointer by A.J., and UNC baskets by Davis and Manek tied the game at 34 before Jeremy closed out the half with a spectacular driving layup and foul shot.  Duke led 37-34.

  • Duke’s Defense

In four of the games that Duke played in March – UNC on Senior Night, and the two ACC tournament wins before losing in the finals to Virginia Tech – Duke’s defense was just plain bad after having been Duke’s primary asset all season.  There were two runs in those 4 games that were especially disastrous.  The first was on Senior Night against UNC when, with under 13 minutes left in the game, the Tarheels blitzed the Blue Devil defense for 45 points (Duke was outscored by 25 points in that final 12:50).  The second was against Virginia Tech in the finals of the ACC tournament.  The Hokies outscored the Blue Devils by 11 in the last 6:29 for an 18-point lead.  In the NCAA tournament, with the insertion of Jeremy Roach into the starting line-up, Duke played superb team defense in all four games.  But that consistently good defense fell apart against UNC.  That was caused partly by Duke’s big men fouling so early and frequently, which created the disastrous chaos in the middle of the defense and partly terrific offense by the ‘heels.  Duke gave up 47 second-half points.

The UNC run early in the second half was reminiscent of the two disastrous runs described above.  Duke led 41-34 with only a minute and 9 seconds having elapsed in the second half when the defensive wheels (and offensive ones too) came off.  In 2:53, UNC scored 13 straight points to go from down 7 to leading by 47-41 with 15:58 left in the game.  Then the game turned into an instant Duke-UNC Classic, only because Duke’s offense made up for the points the Blue Devil defense allowed to slip through.  As Jay Bilas famously intones for every Duke-UNC game, “Duke-UNC NEVER DISAPPOINTS!”

Duke’s defense has relied upon the ACC Defensive Player of the Year, Mark Williams, to protect the rim and (lately) and to dominate the defensive backboard.  Mark was playing more than 30 minutes a game, shooting lights out from the field and stripe, while blocking and altering shots at the rim.  Coach K deemed him “the difference maker” against Arkansas in the Regional Finals.  When Mark picked up his second foul with only 4:41 having been played, Duke’s defensive game plan was shattered.  Mark played only 4:41 in the first half, scoring 4 points (2-2 from the field) with only 1 rebound and 0 blocked or altered shots.  For the game, Mark played only 16:16, being limited to 11:35 second-half minutes, scoring 4 second-half points (2-3) with 3 boards and 2 steals.  He blocked 0 shots and had his second-half playing time limited by committing 2 more fouls (total 4) – 3rd one after 5:40 of the second half had been played and the 4th after 9:29 had gone by in the closing stanza.  What a disaster!  Williams’s woes combined with Theo’s 4 first-half fouls to make the Duke foul disaster that allowed Bacot to simply dominate the interior on both ends. And the Blue Devils made a heroic effort to nearly overcome that fatal disaster.  That is why I opine that Duke was the better team.

Duke’s interior defensive troubles were mirrored by the Blue Devil inability to protect the perimeter.  Davis in the first half (14 first-half points; 18 for the game) and Love in the second half (22 second-half points; 28 for the game) were the keys to UNC’s shredding Duke’s previously superb NCAA tournament defense. 

  • Winning Time

When Duke tied the game at 47 with 13:51 left in the game, it turned into a Duke-UNC classic.  In the second half alone, there were 13 lead changes, and the game was tied 7 times.  It was not a classic defensive struggle. Rather, it was amazing offense by each team. UNC scored 34 points in those 13:51 while Duke scored 30.  UNC scored on 6 second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds.  UNC led by as many as 5 points, Duke by as many as 2 points.  The score was tied at 67 with 4:36 left to play.  Paolo was fouled and gave Duke a 1-point lead 68-67 when he converted 1-2 with 3:32 remaining.  Love made a layup with 3:03 left.  69-68 UNC.  Duke could not manage to score even on three tries in its next possession when  Banchero, Roach, and Moore all missed consecutive shots at the rim (Moore and Roach each with an offensive board, but still could not score)  Then, Moore fouled Manek,  who made 1-2– UNC led by 70-68 with 2:29 remaining.  Trevor hit a crucial 3-pointer to put Duke up 71-70 with 2:07 left.  Manek responded with a 3-pointer from the corner.  UNC led 73-71 with 1:41 to go.  Keels missed a 3-point attempt, but Banchero retrieved the offensive board and fed Wendell for a crucial deep 3.  Duke 74 v. UNC 73 with 1:18 to go.  Williams replaced A.J. in the lineup. 

Roach had a foul called at 1:01 that the replays showed was non-existent.  Love made them both for a 75-74 Carolina lead. Then came the defining play of the game.  Bacot fouled Mark with 46 seconds left; it was Bacot’s fifth foul.  Mark stepped to the line (an excellent free throw shooter) with a chance to give Duke a 1-point lead in the final minute.  However, he missed not only the first attempt but the second one as well.  This was the first moment that I even contemplated that Duke would lose.

Love rebounded and then fired a deep 3-pointer under defensive pressure that went in.  78-74 Carolina with 25 seconds left.  Roach roared downcourt for a layup.  78-76 with 19 seconds left.  Keels had to foul.  Love made only 1-2 so that when A.J. retrieved the rebound, Duke was down 79-76 with 17 seconds left.  Trevor drove, scored, and was fouled.  However, the referee (correctly) ruled the foul was before the basket; so Keels went to the line for two shots with Duke still down 3.  He missed the second one with 10 seconds left in the game.  Duke had to foul; Love made them both with 3 seconds left for the winning margin.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS 

Paolo Banchero (39:11 minutes played) – exceeded all pre-season expectations to be one of Duke’s All-Time great freshmen.  There is nothing that Paolo does not do well on the court.  The focus is (rightfully so) on his scoring from all levels (at the rim, in the post, mid-range, and from deep).  He had his 12th double-double of the season scoring 20 points (8-17 from the field, including 2-4 from deep, plus 2-4 from the stripe) to go with 10 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 blocks (one was a beauty against Bacot).  He has demonstrated he is unselfish, a superb passer, an improving rebounder, and a competent defender on both the perimeter and near the rim.  Moreover, he has been a great teammate according to all reports.  Also, an excellent journalist: “We gave it our all, and it sucks we came up short!” 

Trevor Keels (29:45 played) – had a great game and absolutely superb second half.  He scored 19 in the game (8-14 from the field, including 2-7 from deep, meaning he was 6-6 inside the arc, plus 1-3 from the line.)  He led Duke in second-half scoring with 11. 

Roach (33:37 played) and A.J.(29:02 played)—both had truly terrible shooting games.  A.J. scored only 6 points (1-7 from the field including 0-4 from deep, plus 4-4 from the foul line) to go with 4 rebounds, an assist and 2 great blocks.  In the second half, A.J. played only 12:23 and took only 1 shot (he missed a crucial wide open 3 from the corner).  Jeremy made 2 field goals – a great drive at the end of the first half and a layup with 19 seconds left in the game for his 8 points (2-11 including 0-5 from 3land and 4-5 from the foul line) to go with 6 rebounds, 5 assists, and 2 steals. 

Moore (37:57 played) – scored 10 points (4-14, including 1-2 from deep and 1-2 from the stripe) to go with 8 rebounds, 3 assists (without a turnover), and 2 steals.  He scored 7 of his 10 in the second half.

Small Forward of the Year – The Naismith Memorial Basketball Hall of Fame today announced Duke junior Wendell Moore Jr., as the 2022 Julius Erving Small Forward of the Year.

3 Point Shooting – had been a weakness all year for the Blue Devils.  It really caught up with Duke against UNC in the Final Four – 5-22 for the game (2-12 in the first half).  A.J. was 0-4; Jeremy was 0-5; and Trevor was 2-7.  At least, Wendell was 1-2 and Paolo 2-4.  In stark contrast, UNC scored 30 points from deep.

Foul Shooting – UNC was 17-24 for 70% while the Blue Devils were 12-20 (60%).  UNC scored 20 more points than Duke from the combination of 3land and the foul line.

Interior play by Duke’s post-up players (The “Big Guys”–Mark and Theo)  – which had been great all year – with Mark scoring, blocking shots and rebounding –  turned into a foul-plagued disaster –  when Mark picked up 2 quick fouls in the first half and two more early in the second half and Theo committed four in the first half – that ultimately cost Duke the game.

Next Play:  Jon Scheyer begins his career as Duke’s head coach for the 2022-2023 season

Duke Basketball Playbook 2020-2021


Season 12 Issue 2 -Preseason edition

ALANALYSIS:

It is understandably strange to be writing my first DBP without Bill leading off, followed by my “Alan Adds”.  I never sent Bill my first draft without having read a draft of what his piece focused on.  In our partnership, my job was digging deeper into the statistics and to analyze and speculate on what they might mean.  But in the current new circumstance, “Alan Adds” is being retired until and unless there is something worthwhile adding to.  For now: Alanalysis.

My millennial daughter has made changes to the way you will receive the 2020-2021 DBP– they will come to you through GoogleGroups (please add Duke-Basketb…@googlegroups.com to your contacts so your spam filter doesn’t flag it).  Let me know if that causes any problems and bear with us as we iron out any bugs.

Early Schedule – Not Wednesday, November 25 vs Gardner-Webb at 8 pm because Duke’s opener against Gardner-Webb has been postponed due to a Covid breakout at Gardner-Webb. The player involved is fortunately asymptomatic. G-W’s Covid protocols now kick in as the university tries to contact trace and to contain the outbreak. There is no word yet on rescheduling the game and no guarantee it will be although both schools would like to. So as of now, the opening game for Duke shifts to Saturday, November 28, against Coppin State at 2 pm in Cameron Indoor followed by the season’s first “big game”: Tuesday, December 1, State Farm Classic vs. Michigan State at 7:30 pm.  

Getting to Know Our 2020-2021 Blue Devils 

We have much less information about our newcomers because the pandemic closed down tournaments and high school all-star games where we usually were able to watch them.  Much of what follows comes from what others have observed from our freshmen in high school, and from an 8-minute video of the first pre-season scrimmage.  I have put the uniform numbers in bold for TV watching.  Of course, we know even less about the other ACC teams.  The season has great potential for success and also failure.  In other words, a real toss up.

Only four players (mostly reserves, but all starters at one time or another) return: senior Jordan Goldwire (14), junior Joey Baker (13), and sophomores Matt Hurt (21) and Wendell Moore (0).  Both Moore and Hurt will start.  Moore was Pre-Season 2nd All ACC team and got 7 votes for predicted ACC Player of the Year.  Hurt, who has put on 20 pounds and appears much stronger than last year, got 3 votes.  JGold will be as important as any player next year.  Even Seth Greenberg figured that out, in an ACC network preview show.  JGold’s offense is apparently blossoming.  He led the White team in the Blue-White scrimmage with 17 points and 7 assists.  His blossoming into such a valuable player is why we all loved to watch four-year players develop; and why we are disappointed in the one-and-done era (part of what has disillusioned Bill). Baker has been stunningly good at some moments and stunningly sub-par at others.  In the scrimmage, he was deadly from the perimeter, looking very good.  Whether he will develop into a major contributor is yet unknown.

Duke has seven new players for next year – 6 freshman and a graduate transfer.  For the first time in quite a few years, Duke did not sign a recruit rated in the top 10 (although Jalen Johnson, was top 5 after his junior year in high school).  While there is no sure fire “one-and-done” player, there are 4 five-star recruits and 2 four-star players, according to ESPN’s recruiting analysis.  

The Five-Star recruits are:

 (1) Jalen Johnson 6’9” forward from Wisconsin

Even if not rated in the top 10 nationally, the ACC writers voted Jalen to Pre-Season First Team All ACC and runner up for Freshman of the Year (got 60 votes; lost by 4).  Jalen, who was the star of the scrimmage, is a tall, strong-bodied, versatile forward. He is equally able when taking direct control of the ball and in assessing the court-wide picture and making the right pass.  Jalen scored 25 points, plus 9 rebounds and 5 assists. He is not a point guard but plays like it at times.  If Duke’s front court starters are Jalen and Matt Hurt (as seems probable), his defensive rebounding and rim protecting abilities will have to be adequate or better.  

Jalen is one of the top prospects in his class and reputedly has a great combination of size and skill that you don’t see very often. He is an all-around player who you could see having triple doubles down the road with his ability to score, rebound, and pass. 

 (3) Jeremy Roach 6’1” point guard from Virginia.  Third rated point guard in the class.

Roach, who received 3 votes for ACC Preseason Freshman of the Year (the winner got 64), is a playmaking point guard with a wealth of tools at his disposal.  He is the one freshman I did watch last year and was impressed by his court presence and leadership.  He has been projected as the other freshman starter, but he has not been handed the ball the way Coach K has done with other top-rated freshman point guards in the past.   Reports from practice have praised his improved perimeter shooting.   He has been adept at creating offense for himself and others when the ball is in his hand and he also has shown a pretty good acumen for the defensive end of the floor where coaches say he communicates and rotates well.

(2) D.J. Stewart 6’2” shooting guard from Chicago.

D.J. is intriguing.  He received 4 votes for Pre-Season ACC Freshman of the Year and has been placed on the Wooden Watch List.  He has dazzling moves around the basket as a finisher.  He has an obvious sizzle.  In the scrimmage he and JGold were terrific together.  D.J. scored 16, with 6 rebounds (at 6’2”) and 5 assists.  He could be integral and a star, but his defense may decide how much he plays.  Note how small the backcourt seems to be.

 (5) Jaemym Brakefield 6’8” power forward from Mississippi.

Jaemyn is big, strong, skilled, and has earned being called a slasher.  The lefty has been described as a solid, though inconsistent, shooter with range to 17 feet. He scores in transition and with his face up game in the half court. By reputation he is an above average rebounder and can be effective defensively when he is active and engaged.

He can apparently do a little of everything on the floor. It has been said of him, “Once all of the pieces come together, he should be one of the best players in his class.”

 The Four-Star Recruits are:

 (15) Mark Williams 7’0” center from Virginia.  

Mark’s sister, Elizabeth, starred on the Duke women’s team for four years and has been a WNBA stalwart.  We hope Mark is for the Men’s team what Elizabeth was when she was a Blue Devil.  He may be a key, since he is the only freshman taller than 6’9” and all of the Duke bigs from 2020 have departed (White, Robinson, and DeLaurier graduated, while Carey was drafted in the NBA).  He has been a pleasant surprise in practice and looked very good in the scrimmage.  Of course, there is nobody with his length on the team as there will be on other ACC powerhouses.

 (34) Henry Coleman III 6’7” power forward from Virginia.

Although just 6’7”, Henry is a force on the interior with a big bruising body.  Coach K mentioned Justise Winslow and Matt Jones when describing the role he foresaw for Coleman.  He is reputed to be an excellent defender as well as rugged rebounder.  He has been a revelation in practice because of his strength.

 Graduate Transfer:

Patrick Tape 6’9” graduate transfer from Columbia U.

A 6-foot-9 Charlotte native, Tape averaged 11.3 points and 5.9 rebounds in the 2018-19 season before sitting out last season because of injuries, while finishing up his coursework at Columbia. Duke coaches have been enthusiastic about his defense and rebounding.  He is not expected to be an offensive force, though he was in the scrimmage. Tape must adjust to the superior level of competition he will face in the ACC.  He is an interesting question mark. 

This Season’s Prospects?

Who knows what to make of this mix?  Duke is picked second in the ACC behind Virginia, with Florida State and UNC making up the top 4.  Saturday night (11/20) on an ACC network show, three of the four hosts picked Duke for 4th (behind Virginia, Florida State, and UNC).  But so much is unknown that predictions seem at the very least unwise, if not as downright useless as presidential election polls.  This team has talent for sure, but a potential front court weakness (rim protection and rebounding as well as offense from the post).  As always, I believe the key will be how fast Duke can become a formidable defensive team.  

I look for Goldwire and Roach to start in the backcourt, along with Wendell Moore and Matt Hurt. Jalen Johnson comes in highly rated and will play (probably start).  Duke could become a pony team playing five out and relying on athleticism to defend (trapping and pressing). In the scrimmage the starters (Blue team) had Williams at center and JGold with the White team.  Duke needs Tape and Williams to be better than advertised.  Help could come from Coleman or Brakefield. In short, there is no way to even speculate at this point (beyond speculating whether there will actually be a season) about how the team will develop, and what its championship possibilities are.  

I believe we will all have fun watching.  It starts next Saturday.


Duke 81 Coppin State 71 (Season 12 Issue 2 Game 1)

ALANALYSIS:

Our first glimpse of the 2020-2021 Blue Devils was predictably checkered, but on balance disclosed more issues than bright spots.  It is difficult to assess the quality of the opposition that was Coppin State, which makes a revealing analysis difficult.  Coppin State is small, veteran, but finished only 7th last year in the MEAC Conference (10-20; 7-9).  Hardly an imposing opponent on paper; the game, however, was not played on paper, as the cliché goes.  There were moments when it seemed as if the ghost of Stephen F. Austin had circumvented security at Cameron.  

Duke used its tremendous size advantage to out-rebound Coppin State by 50 to 31.  Jalen Johnson looked All-World in the first half.  D.J. Steward truly dazzled above and beyond expectations.  Duke’s woes were with offensive continuity and defensive passivity, plus the rotation was shockingly short.

 Like Sergio Leone we will look at “The Good, the Bad and the Ugly”, but not necessarily in that order.


Critically Bad (Really Ugly)

Duke has a major point guard problem.  Coppin State had 12 steals! Duke turned the ball over 22 times – 13 of them in the second half, producing one of Coach K’s great post-game quotes, “If we don’t turn the ball over like we did today, we would be jumping up and down saying ‘wow’. But when you have 22 turnovers, you don’t want to jump because you might turn the ball over again, even though the game is over.”  It was that bad.

Goldwire was ineffective (a couple of nice assists early and then he fell apart) on both ends.  He picked up 2 first-half fouls with aggressive defense, but foul trouble and ineffectiveness limited his playing time to 24 minutes.  He committed more fouls (3) than points scored (2; 1-5 from the floor and 0-2 from deep).  He had 4 assists but 3 turnovers.  The real knock was when Duke’s lead began to crumble and leadership was needed to restore confidence and organization, JGold was clearly not up to the task.  Jeremy Roach had similar statistics (4 assists; 3 turnovers; 6 points (2-5; 1-3 from deep and a depressing 1-4 from the line) in 29 minutes; though his single 3 was crucial to restoring Duke’s lead.  

 Second Half Score: Coppin State 43 Duke 36.  Coppin State outplayed and outscored Duke in the second half.  Duke’s 17 point (45-28) first half lead dwindled to 6 after less than 8 minutes had gone by.  The lead see-sawed between comfortable (10 +) and the Stephen F. Austin ghost (Duke led by 6 with 8:33 left in the game).  Duke pushed the lead to 14 with only 3:40 left, giving Duke fans breathing room and comfort.  Breathlessness returned in a minute and 12 seconds when Duke’s lead had been cut in half.  Jalen Johnson, who is a wonderful passer, made a lazy pass when Duke was running clock, which was intercepted for an easy layup.  Roach missed a 3 and Coppin State converted a 3 before a clutch 3 by freshman star of the game, D.J. Steward, who put the game away 26 seconds later.

 Duke played lackadaisical defense, which failed to pressure Coppin State (Duke forced only 8 turnovers for the entire game), while producing a tsunami of fouls – 19 for the game.  Hurt and Moore each picked up their third before 4 minutes of the second half had gone by.  Each had his playing time limited by foul trouble: Hurt committed 4 fouls in 29 minutes, while Moore also had 4 in 26 minutes.  Both Goldwire and Roach each finished with 3 fouls.  In the second half, Duke failed to contest the Coppin State 3 point attack, yielding 7-16 from behind the arc. 

Duke was 4-10 from the free throw line.  Hurt 0-2; Roach 1-4.

The Good

Jalen Johnson’s first half, demonstrating charisma on the court (19 points and 19 rebounds in 35 minutes), and D.J. Steward’s energy, athleticism and leadership in 33 minutes (24 points; 10-18 from the field; 4-9 from 3land to go with 9 rebounds for the 6’2” guard) were The Good.    Johnson and Steward were the only Duke players to log over 30 minutes.  Noteworthy: Steward committed only a single foul and a single turnover against 2 assists, a steal, and a block.  He was a highlight by himself.  Johnson’s first half was crafted by the gods.  He did not miss a shot in the entire game (8-8 from the field; 1-1 from deep and 2-2 from the line).  In the first half, he scored 15 of his 19 and had 11 of his 19 rebounds to go with 2 blocks and an assist with only a single turnover in 17 first half minutes.  His second half was good, but more pedestrian (2-2 for 4 points with 8 boards and 2 blocks in 18 minutes) because he committed 6 second half turnovers. 

Mathew Hurt played well, but a bit inconsistently.  The 0-2 from the stripe was bad.  All Duke players were inconsistent on the defensive end.  Much defensive improvement – one might even say dramatic improvement – is a must on the defensive end if Duke is to be in contention for post-season honors.

The Rotation 

For a first game against a non-power team, the rotation was shockingly short.  Patrick Tape did not play.  Mark Williams and Henry Coleman each played only 1 minute in the first half.  Jaeman Brakefield played 3 minutes (1-2 from the foul line).  This left a rotation of only 7.  Coach K started his veterans – Goldwire, Moore, Baker, and Hurt + Jalen.  While Baker played 12 undistinguished minutes in the first half (2 points; 1-3 from the field, missing both open 3 point attempts, while corralling 4 boards), he was only on the floor for 3 second-half minutes (a missed 3 and a turnover).  Not a good start for Baker.  Coach K used basically 6 in the second half effort – D.J. 19 minutes, Jalen 18, Moore 17, Roach 16, Hurt 13 (foul trouble) and JGold 11.  D.J. was the star tallying 14 second half points.  Moore contributed 8.

Some Bad, But Not Ugly 

Wendell Moore had a checkered game.  He regressed into his last year’s problematic aggressiveness by driving into set defenses and fouling or turning it over.  He was not nearly as good as he was at the end of last year, but showed enough to make fans hopeful that he would reach some of his awesome potential soon.  Matt Hurt was inconsistent.  He and Baker were badly beaten on defense several times.  He was good and aggressive, but not efficient.   Improved play from each will be required if Duke is to morph into a contender.

Johnson dominated the interior on both ends.  But this was only Coppin State.  

Next Play: Michigan State

We will get a much better read on Tuesday (December 1) against Michigan State in Cameron.  The Spartans beat Notre Dame by 10 (same margin as Duke beat Coppin State by), but the games were totally different.  Michigan State simply blew Notre Dame right off the court.  With a little over 10 minutes to go in the game, Notre Dame trailed by 28 points, and The Spartans looked like the Los Angeles Lakers.  Tuesday will tell us more about the 2020-2021 Duke  team and the season.


Michigan State 76 Duke 69 (Season 12 Issue 3 Game 2) with Bill Miller as “guest” contributor

ALANALYSIS:

When this week’s AP writers’ poll came out with Duke ranked 6th and Michigan State 8th, I wondered which games the writers might have watched last Saturday. Based on what I saw, I thought Duke would be lucky to make a game of it. In fact, the Blue Devils almost did… but not quite. For the first five minutes, the young Duke team completely outfought and out-hustled the Spartans, looking smooth and athletic, while racing to a 13-3 lead. Duke never stopped hustling and fighting, but slowly sunk from being competitive to barely keeping it from being a rout. There was some good, there was some bad that will improve, but there was much that was ugly and troubling.

The Ugly

Duke has a serious point guard deficiency, though for the last 11 minutes of the game Goldwire came alive to shake off three halves of terrible basketball. Duke’s two point guards – Goldwire and Roach – played 24 collective first-half minutes without recording a point or an assist! Actually, the first point guard assist, and the first points from a point guard, came with 11:57 left in the game (from Roach to Goldwire for a 3). Then Goldwire morphed from astonishingly ineffectual to the senior leader Coach K had hoped for, scoring 10 in the last 11:57. His total is a bit inflated since his last 3 was at the game ending buzzer. Roach also hit a meaningless 3 — with 21 seconds left. Worse, Duke’s point guards finished with just 2 meaningful assists. Roach’s other one came with 11:51 left. Goldwire’s only assist came with 21 seconds left.

To compound the point guard deficiency, Duke received no scoring from the field from the rest of its backcourt. D.J. Steward, who scored 24 dazzling points against Coppin State, failed to score from the field in 29 minutes (0-7; 0-3 from deep) while Wendell Moore was even worse (o-9; 0-6 from deep) in 30 minutes. Moore had 2 assists, but 3 turnovers to go with 3 rebounds. D.J. had 2 assists, and only a single rebound (he had 9 against Coppin State) with a turnover. Add Joey Baker’s 0-3 (all from behind the arc) in his 12 minutes, before fouling out, and you have a disappointingly ineffectual backcourt.

The Good

Mathew Hurt! I thought Hurt was heroic, logging 36 minutes as Duke’s only effective big player, fighting on the boards with the bigger, stronger Spartans (13 rebounds), while scoring 21 points (6-14 from the field; 1-3 from 3land; but a gaudy 8-8 from the foul line). He defended, and simply played his heart out as Duke’s best player last night. His best game as a Blue Devil!

Jaemyn Brakefield unexpectedly had a breakout game, scoring 11 points, grabbing 4 rebounds, dishing out an assist, and zero turnovers, all in only 15 minutes. In six second-half minutes, he scored 5. This cameo should earn him more playing time, I predict.

Foul Shooting: Duke shot 80% — 34-30 (14-17 in the first half). Although awful from the field, Moore and D.J. were perfect from the line – 10-10 (Moore 4, Steward 6). Add Hurt’s 8-8 and you have 3 players who shot 100% on 18 attempts.

The defense: Duke was stout on defense. There can be no complaint about the Devil effort at the defensive end. Coordination will come slowly, but I thought the defense was a cause for some optimism. While Duke was narrowly out-rebounded 46-40 (offensive rebounds were virtually even), Duke did much better defending in the paint than I had anticipated. As Hurt tired (36 minutes without much help inside), the Spartans became more of an inside force (especially Julius Marble).

The Bad (but will get better)

Jalen Johnson. After an All-World first half against Coppin State, Johnson’s play has steadily descended to ordinary. His talent is obvious, but against Michigan State he was out of control. On offense, he forced the issue without success. He defended well sometimes, but other times seemed lost. Jay Bilas took Jalen to task when he lost watching the ball while guarding his man–a Spartan drove right past him for the layup! It was dramatic because Jalen’s back was completely turned away from the play. Foul trouble limited him to 7 first-half minutes (5 points on 2-5 from the field and 1-2 from the line with only a single rebound. He played 15 second-half minutes (without fouling), but was not an offensive force (6 points; 2-6 from the field, 0-2 from deep; 2-4 from the foul line with 3 boards.) Not the statistics of an NBA lottery pick. It was probably a good wake-up call after the unrealistic hype that Johnson’s magical first-half against Coppin State produced.

The Rotation
The big men on the roster are not getting playing time. Neither Patrick Tape nor Henry Coleman appeared in the game. Mark Williams played 4 first-half minutes, grabbing 3 rebounds, but missing his only shot as the first substitute off the bench for Jalen Johnson. Joey Baker fouled out in 12 minutes. Brakefield was scintillating in his 15 minutes. The playing time for the six, who were the heart of the rotation were: Hurt (36 min), Moore (30), Steward (29), Roach (26), Goldwire (26), and Johnson (22). I’m not sure what to make of the shortness of the rotation juxtaposed to the words about the need for a deep bench. I guess we will see. The absence of the bigs in the rotation is a surprising disappointment.

Next Play:

Friday night at 7 pm in Cameron against Bellarmine (I had to look it up)

The game, scheduled for Sunday at noon versus Elon in Cameron has just been Covid-Cancelled, so Duke is scrambling to adjust.

MILLER MUSES:

Note: Fortunately ( I think), shoulder surgery is not required, so I can still type. However, there are other non-physical impediments to my not making the commitment to contribute on a regular basis. So, from time to time, I will feel compelled to add some comments. If the editor is so inclined, he will include them with his coverage in Duke Basketball Playbook.

[editor’s note: the editor is obviously so inclined]

For about the first ten minutes, Duke played and looked like a talented contender. Then, the young team learned what Tom Izzo’s Michigan State teams are all about. Good, tough defense usually is the deciding factor, because it makes scoring so much easier as virtually all college players can run, jump, and score in the open court. Then, for the next thirty minutes, Duke played like a pick-up team that had never played together as there was point-guard-by-committee. Consequently, there was no rhythm to the offense as, sadly, there was no Tre or Ty Jones to make the offense flow and go. Running a half-court offense is the test of a mature, disciplined team– traits none of which the Blue Devils demonstrated tonight. Shooting 32% from the floor and 22% from three point land (of which two were garbage time prayers) plus 12 turnovers is not Duke Basketball. And for sure, Tom Rizzo’s Michigan State is not to be confused with Coppin State.

There is talent: Jalen Johnson, Matthew Hurt, DJ Steward, and Jaemyn Brakefield are skilled and have had their moments (but they are young). Disappointingly, Wendell Moore and Joey Baker looked no better than they did last year, in spite of heralded optimism from training camp. Neither senior Jordan Goldwire nor freshman Jeremy Roach has consistently demonstrated the kind of point guard skills we have been used to over Coach K’s forty some years.

Not having the Cameron Crazies (who are easily worth ten points) sure changes the feel, look, flow, and presentation of the game.

This might be a long year.

Other Comments:

  • I promised Johnny Tar Heel I would watch some of the Carolina-Stanford in the Maui Classic (temporarily being held a little east in Asheville, NC) to see if this year’s basketball team could outscore the football team (excluding the Notre Dame game). Unfortunately, Bill Walton was camping out with his dog near Asheville, so ESPN invited him to do the game. Going to Stanford Law School apparently made Bill think he was really, really, smart–a virtual Oracle of Delphi– and that everyone is interested in every thought he has ever had, some of which even included basketball. He just will not shut up until, to maintain sanity, muting the audio is the only solution to watching the game in peace.
  • Last week, our very own Alan Silber argued a case before the New Jersey Supreme Court.

Duke 76 Bellarmine 54 (Season 12 Issue 4 Game 3) with Bill Miller as “guest” contributor

ALANALYSIS:

Bellarmine may have been exactly the opponent that Duke needed to face after not being in the game for the entire second half in the loss to Michigan State, in spite of great effort. This year’s Blue Devils have demonstrated how much work needs to be done: 1) to make the offense cohesive; 2) the defense more united; and 3) to establish an efficient rotation. One could see Coach K begin. All 11 scholarship players played in one game in one game for the first time. Coach K mixed and matched combinations designed to give him information rather than to instantly create cohesion. Lots of good information to glean, some of which we catalogue here. Coach K played big lineups – Johnson (6’9”), Mark Williams (7’0”), and Matt Hurt (6’9”) started up front, with Goldwire (6’2”) and Moore (6’5”) in the backcourt. He played with pony lineups – one such combination had Brakefield (6’8”) as the sole big with Goldwire, Roach, D.J. Steward and Moore on the floor with him. The defense was consistently really good regardless of who was on the floor. Not perfect, but greatly improved and encouraging. However, Duke’s biggest conundrum needing to be fixed is Jalen Johnson. Coach K, rather brilliantly in my opinion, addressed that issue.

Jalen Johnson

Nothing worse could have happened to this heralded freshman than his “All-World” first-half against Coppin State. Media descriptions of Jalen’s inaugural college game trumpet his 19 points and 19 rebounds with his perfect shooting for the entire game, an “All-World” first game for a freshman. That analysis clouds an understanding of the problem: Johnson did not have an “All-World” first game; he had an “All-World” first half. The following four and a half periods were a descending nightmare for Johnson. In his 18 second-half minutes against Coppin State, Jalen managed only 1 shot from the field and 2-2 from the line for 4 second-half points in 18 minutes. Four points in 18 minutes does not an “All-World” game make. In my opinion, Coppin State put Jalen in a bad head space. Against Michigan State, Jalen felt enormous pressure to again be the Duke offense, as he was against Coppin State, and, as a result, forced every issue in an overly aggressive way. In basketball parlance, he did not let the game come to him. As a result, one could see Jalen’s overwhelming desire to bounce back against Bellarmine, which led to his same overly aggressiveness at the start of last night’s game.

Two minutes and 35 seconds after the opening tip, Johnson was yanked, having committed 2 fouls and 2 turnovers! Coach K sat him for the entire remainder of the first half. Moreover, Jalen wasn’t much better when he returned to the court at the start of the second half. He missed a 3 and committed a turnover (one rebound), resulting in his being returned to the bench after only 4 minutes and 19 seconds elapsed in the second half. Johnson remained on the bench for the next 6 minutes and 19 seconds, re-entering with less than 10 minutes remaining on the clock. Coach K is the Psychologist. Jalen was a new man upon re-entering the game. He grabbed a rebound, and then, on Bellarmine’s next possession, stole the ball to feed Steward, who hit Hurt for a layup (“hockey assist”). With only 8:47 left in the game, Jalen scored his first points, making a cut and receiving a good pass from JGold for the layup. Johnson was back.

In an explosive 2 minute and 53 second stretch, Jalen scored all of his 9 points (the last layup coming with 5:06 left and Duke leading by 23). Coach K took him out with just over 2 minutes to play after Jalen missed a 3, committed a foul and a turnover. Let’s keep that explosive 2:53 in Jalen’s head for confidence. I predict an excellent game for Jalen on Tuesday night against Illinois.

The Good

Matthew Hurt is a dramatically improved player on both ends of the court. Last night was one of those sparkling nights that good shooters sometimes enjoy–Matt shot 75% from the field for 24 points (9-12; 6-8 from behind the arc). His shooting percentage was high because he only took excellent shots. Bellarmine inexplicably left him open, and Matt made them really Hurt. Unlike last year, Matt more than holds his own on the boards and on defense; last night he had 6 defensive rebounds, a steal and a block. Duke becomes much better with a consistent star, and Matt looks like he will deliver. He is demonstrating that he deserved being named to the preseason Wooden Watch.

Mark Williams had a first half that makes us wonder why he isn’t playing more. Coach K started his long freshman for the first time, after he had been on the floor for only 8 combined minutes in the first two games. The gaudy Williams stat line from his 9 first-half minutes speaks for itself: 3 points (1-1 from the field and 1-1 from the line) to go with 5 rebounds and a couple of tap outs to give Duke an extra possession or two. 5 boards in 9 minutes is dominant. So too is 3 blocked shots in 7 minutes Add in his 2 assists and you’re on the road to an “All-World” half (if Williams had been on the court longer and continued that scintillating play). His second half wasn’t as spectacular, but he acquitted himself well: in 6 minutes, he was 1-1 from the field with 2 rebounds, a block and an assist. Total excellent statistics for the game: 5 points, 7 rebounds, 4 blocks and 3 assists in 15 minutes! What else does Mark have to do to earn playing time?

Jaemyn Brakefield not only shot well (4-4 from deep for 12 points, Duke’s second best scorer), but also played aggressively on defense and on the boards (6 boards; 3 on offense). Coach K said that when Brakefield first arrived he was dribbling too much: “When we started the season, there was a bit more dribbling and he’s not a kid who should dribble a lot. He didn’t function as well in it because he wasn’t going to his strengths. Even before we made some changes offensively, we told him his game will adapt to ours … not to change his game. His is more limited dribbles [sic], he’s a smart player and can space the court and he’s a good defender. He’s a tough kid. He’s easy to play with …”

Jordan Goldwire has had a rough start to a season where, as a senior, he is expected to provide leadership. His game started to return in the second half against Michigan State, and that uptick continued against Bellarmine. This good is less about the Bellarmine game itself and more about the visible trending to competence. In 32 minutes, JGold scored 7 (2-4 from the field; 1-2 from 3land; and 2-2 from the stripe) and added 6 assists, 4 boards and 3 steals. 5 of his 7 points came in the first half where he had only a single assist against two turnovers. He guided the team with more assurance in the second half with five assists and 0 turnovers.

The Ugly

If the backcourt wasn’t ugly, it was awfully close to it. The three other guards (besides JGold) were frustratingly ineffective. Wendell Moore logged 20 minutes, scoring only 2 points (1-7 from the field; 0-2 from deep; and 0-1 from the stripe), a single assist, and two turnovers. For a player named to the pre-season Wooden Watch List, he is underwhelming big time so far. D.J. Steward played 31 minutes, displaying lots of energy but leaving a virtual empty stat sheet. He scored only 4 points (2-7 from the field; 0-3 from behind the arc; and 0-1 from the line. His verve was obvious with 6 assists and 4 rebounds, 2 steals, and a block; but this energy also created his 4 turnovers. Jeremy Roach played only 15 mediocre minutes, disappointing considering how heralded a point guard he was in high school. He scored 4 (1-4 from the field; 0-3 from deep; 2-2 from the line) with 2 assists and 2 turnovers. Those 3 were a combined 4-18 from the field; 0-8 from deep and 2-4 from the foul line. That is truly ugly.

The Rotation

All 11 played; Patrick Tape (5 minutes) and Henry Coleman III (8 minutes) made their season’s debut. Joey Baker is playing his way out of the rotation. After 8 undistinguished first-half minutes, Joey was limited to 3 minutes in the second half. He made 1 three-pointer, but was otherwise invisible. Coleman is an amazing physical specimen who is graceful and can move. He had 2 clean steals, one he flushed; the other he blew the dunk rather spectacularly. He grabbed 2 boards and scored 4 in that cameo, demonstrating potential.

Goldwire (32 minutes) and D.J. Steward (31 minutes) were the stalwarts on the perimeter. Moore’s 20 minutes (split between backcourt and wing) together with Roach’s 15 minutes comprised the backcourt that will be truly tested against Illinois.

The frontcourt was anchored by Hurt’s 32 minutes, with others providing front court support: Johnson (15 minutes); Williams (15 minutes); and Brakefield (15 minutes). They each played well, but the question is whether it will be enough to stand up to the powerhouse teams.

Next Play: Illinois in the ACC-Big Ten Challenge on Tuesday, December 8 at 9:30 p.m. on ESPN. This game seems like an early season cross-roads game. Bellarmine is not a good enough opponent for an accurate judgment on Duke’s progress. Illinois (3-1; loss was to #2 Baylor) will be.

MILLER’S MUSINGS:

One of the most interesting aspects of Duke Basketball is observing how Coach K constructs each year’s team. Unlike the last few years of the one-and-done era, there is no future lottery pick –maybe not even a first round pick–around which he can construct a team capable of contending for a national championship. That is not to say there isn’t talent, just that this team is a “work in progress.” Initially, it looked as if there were too many similarly skilled/sized players competing for the same positions, but no outstanding point guard or big dominant center.

Then, holy Minute Bol, seven foot Mark Williams, brother of Duke great Elizabeth Williams, was jumping center at tip-off tonight. Not only that, the guy is no stiff: He is athletic, he can play, and is savvy, corralling rebounds and/or tipping them to open shooters. He certainly looked like more than a “project” tonight and gives the Blue Devils a much needed front line size option.

Matthew Hurt again was the most consistent player as he showed off his Larry Bird three point shooting skills. Unfortunately, some of Larry’s other skills– like having eyes in the back of his head—are missing, but then why complain, Hurt is not alone. There is only one Larry Legend.

I like playmakers and since, as much as I admire the progress of Jordan Goldwire he does have his limitations, and Jeremy Roach has not shown the skills for Division One prime time, this team needs multiple playmakers. Therefore, choosing among the talented but recently chagrined Jalen Johnson; exciting, multi-skilled DJ Stewart; sweet stroking Jaemyn Brakefield (three time Gatorade POY in West Virginia); and 6’9” 233 lb. stud grad student Patrick Tape; plus struggling sophomore Wendell Moore, who has mastered dribbling full speed into traffic and/or off his foot; and Junior Joey Baker, whose jump shot is somewhere still on vacation, is not a fool’s errand.

Bottom Line: Stay tuned. This may be fun!

Other Comments:

Rafer Johnson, who won the decathlon at the 1960 Rome Olympics, died in Los Angeles at 86. He was among the world’s greatest athletes. From 1955 through his Olympic triumph in 1960, he won a national decathlon championship in 1956 and a silver medal at the Melbourne Olympics that same year. In addition, he was also an admirable competitor and person. The deeply religious Johnson was always a vocal advocate for fair play and good sportsmanship. He eschewed drugs and alcohol and, in track races, refused even to try to anticipate the starter’s gun, believing that it was a form of cheating. Among other notable details:

  • Followed his hero Jackie Robinson to UCLA, where he also played basketball for the legendary John Wooden and was elected student body president.
  • His decathlon battle with C.K. Yang — his training partner at UCLA — ranks among the classic moments of Olympics history.
  • He, along with Roosevelt “Rosey” Grier and George Plimpton, subdued Sirhan Sirhan, Robert Kennedy’s assassin. However, it was Johnson who twisted Sirhan’s fingers to get and secure the shooter’s gun.
  • His younger brother Jimmy Johnson was a first round selection for the San Francisco 49ers, was named as a first-string cornerback on the NFL 1970s All-Decade Team, and in 1994 he was inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame.
  • Rafer was selected to carry the U.S. flag at the 1960 Olympics and lit the torch at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to open the 1984 Games.

Illinois 83 Duke 68 (Season 12 Issue 5 Game 4) with Bill Miller as “guest” contributor

ALANALYSIS

I had an omen before tip-off last night because  I watched an early game where Coppin State played Georgetown (Duke had beaten Coppin last week  by 10, even though the Devils were outscored by 7 in the second half).  The Hoyas beat Coppin State 80-48.  Georgetown is not a ranked power house, but they toyed with Coppin State, while Duke had to fight to the end.had to fight to the end..  Coach K admitted the obvious in last night’s post-game interview, “We got beat by a team that is better than we are, and older, more mature. They kind of imposed their will on us. We are not as good as they are.” Duke played hard; no complaint concerning effort against Illinois is valid. In spite of sustained hard work and spurts of excellent defense (marred by some inconsistency), Duke was blown out and never really in the game.  The Illini raced to a 14-2 lead with less than 5 minutes having elapsed, and Duke never got closer than 8 points.  The lead fluctuated between 8 and 18.  It was painful to watch (easier with the sound off, I can attest).  

There was some Good on display last night, which creates hope for the future of the season (a season which seems more in doubt as games get canceled by the minute, but I digress).  There are conundrums that could fall to the Good or the Bad depending on whether they are solved.  And there was plenty that was just plain Ugly.

The Good

Mathew Hurt was extraordinary and had a second half that was strong on leadership.  After he picked up his third foul in the first half, Coach K pulled him.  He played only 12 first-half minutes.  But, Matt showed his leadership and maturity, playing 18 second-half minutes and being the best Duke player on the floor, while committing only one foul.  He not only snared 6 rebounds and shot 4-5 from the field when he was inside the arc, but also added a block and a steal without committing a turnover.  That was real leadership!  The only downside was 0-4 from deep in the second half; 0-6 for the entire game.  Matt led Duke in scoring for the game (19 points on 8-9 inside the arc; 0-6 behind) and tied with Johnson at 7 for the rebound lead .  He improves his defense with every game!

Jeremy Roach finally played up to his high school reputation and had his first excellent outing.  In 31 minutes, he notched 7 assists without a turnover.  He moved the offense and was himself a scoring threat (13 points on 5-11 from the field; 0-1 from deep; 3-4 from the stripe), plus contributing 4 rebounds.  He drove for points; he hit pullups.  If his scoring becomes more efficient, he may emerge as the backcourt leader.  Jeremy said in an interview that he had been deferring too much to teammates, and he was now back to his aggressive game.  A hopeful sign.

J.D. Steward’s second half was as good as his first half was crappy.  In his 10 first-half minutes he was a liability; 10 minutes (1-3; 0-1 from deep) for 2 points and 2 turnovers.  He was beaten more easily on defense than I had yet seen.  Then came his second half, where he logged 18 minutes and scored 11 points (4-6; 3-4 from behind the arc), with 1 rebound, 2 assists and a steal.  He was an asset when Duke went to the press (which was sometimes effective, but not consistently).

The Conundrums

J.D’s different halves could be included, but his second half was so good (and there was so little other good) as to save him.

Jordan Goldwire plays so hard and does so many good things – a scrappy defender, who brings some stability to the backcourt.  Last night he also turned it over and committed 5 fouls – all in the second half, fouling out virtually at game’s end.  His offense was simply non-existent.  He scored his 5 points in 23 seconds early on in the second half, but was otherwise scoreless in 36 minutes (0-7; 0-1; 0-1 without the 2 layups and free throw in those 23 seconds).  He made 4 steals and was all about effort.

Jalen Johnson is not playing the kind of basketball that his talent (and “All-World” first half against Coppin State) suggests he is capable of.  Coach K is clearly disappointed, limiting Jalen to 8 second-half minutes (without being in foul trouble) after his undistinguished 15 first-half minutes.  In 23 minutes, Jalen scored only 7 points (3-10 from the field; 1-3 from 3land; and 0-2 from the foul line).  At the opening of the second half, Coach K pointed out that Jalen had had an opportunity to score 7 points near the basket and produced 0 points.  Failure to convert those plays may have cost Jalen second-half playing time.

The Rotation became clearer, but still murky.  Mark Williams again started, playing 7 ineffective minutes (2 fouls and a turnover), demonstrating he is not ready to contest power players from elite teams.  He did not see the floor after that.  Patrick Tapé and Henry Coleman each got 2 first-half minutes (caused I think by Hurt’s foul trouble).  The players who logged more than 20 minutes on the court comprise the real starters: Goldwire (36), Roach (31), Hurt (30), Steward (28), and Johnson (23).  Jaemyn Brakefield was the most effective off the bench.  He grabbed 5 rebounds and blocked a shot in 18 minutes, to go with his 5 points (2-5; 1-2 from behind the arc).  Joey Baker played 16 minutes, scoring 4 points and hustling.

The Ugly

The Duke offense qualifies easily as ugly.  The Duke defense gave the Devils a chance with the press.  But every time the defense made a play that could have changed the momentum, the offense had a turnover or bad shot.  For example, D.J. came down court on a live ball turnover and looked for an alley-oop to a wide open Brakefield at the rim for an easy deuce.  But a defender blocked the pass (it was just not lofted high enough).  Duke’s shooting is simply awful.  In the first half, Duke shot 12-32, including 0-7 from behind the arc.  Illinois outscored Duke from deep in the first half by 18 points.  If you subtract D.J.’s 3-4 from deep, Duke was 2-17 from deep.

Duke’s second half foul shooting also stymied any hopes of a comeback (4-10).  At one point Hurt (2), Johnson (2) and Roach (1), collectively missed 5 consecutive free throws.

 Wendell Moore was a preseason selection for the All ACC second team and one of Duke’s two players on the Wooden Watch list (Hurt was the other).  He was hyped as one of Duke’s best players on both ends of the floor.  Last night he was on the floor for all of 7 minutes. Moore played 4 first-half minutes, going 0-2 and committing a turnover.  He played only 3 second-half minutes (0-1 and committed a foul).  His only positive statistic of the night was a single second-half rebound.  This is ugly and hurting the Devils in a fundamental way.

Next Play: Saturday (December 12) against Charleston Southern at 2 pm before the ACC season opens at Notre Dame on Wednesday, December 16, at 9 pm.

BILL’S COMMENTS:
  • After losing just two non-conference home games in front of the Cameron Crazies in this century, Duke has lost two non-conference games in a week in a fanless Cameron Stadium. Either A) the Cameron Crazies impact on the games is very underrated  or B) this year’s team is not up to previous year’s standards. 
  • Coach K’s take: “This is not inherited wealth where we have what we have had. What we have had was really damn good and it has produced a lot of championship teams. We do not have that [now]. You have to earn that with a new group, and this group is one of the youngest we have had. It creates a new dynamic that is difficult. Also, when teams play against us, for them to come into Cameron, not just to play Duke, but when they come into Cameron, with fans or not, they’re ready to play. You’re not going to get anyone looking ahead. Our guys, they’ve not experienced that yet. They’re experiencing that right now. Hopefully, that makes us tougher and better.”
  • Illinois and Iowa (who beat Carolina) are very impressive basketball teams. Despite what Johnny Tar Heel thinks, UNC is big, talented, but young. At the end of the year—or sooner– they will be a very tough out. Duke, I’m not so sure. 
  • Was Matthew Hurt in the Patrick Mahomes’ barbershop commercial? If he was, I missed him. The Mahomes cut didn’t help Matt’s three point shot, he was oh-6 tonight.

December 11, 2020 Cancelled games announcement

Duke Basketball has made the decision to cancel the remainder of their non-conference games. Thus, the next Duke basketball game currently scheduled is against Notre Dame in South Bend on Wednesday, December 16 (ESPN @ 9:30 pm). The rescheduled game against the Gardner Webb Bulldogs was canceled, and previously postponed games against the Elon Phoenix and the Charleston Southern Buccaneers will not be rescheduled. The stated rationale is to let the players take a short break for the holidays.

Coach K had suggested that the colleges should not be playing now, but should wait for the vaccine and the diminution of the current COVID-19 infection rate.  What is written about his suggestion is not nearly as cogent as what he actually said.  Coach K has an amazing ability to analyze, to select just the right words to calibrate sharply what he is communicating.  You can get his words from the postgame press conference on www.dukebasketballreport.com.

Alabama coach Nate Oats questioned Coach K’s motives after the Duke coach called for a reassessment about playing college basketball during a pandemic, openly wondering whether the comments were triggered by a pair of losses for the No. 10 Blue Devils.  “Do you think if Coach K hadn’t lost his two nonconference games at home that he would still be saying that?” Oats said 
at a news conference Thursday, adding, “We 100 percent should be playing basketball.”  You know who he sounds like.

Meanwhile, Coach K continues to demonstrate true leadership.


Duke 75 Notre Dame 65 (Season 12 Issue 6 Game 5) with Bill Miller as “guest” contributor

ALANALYSIS: 

 If we keep in mind that Michigan State and Illinois are potential Final Four teams, while Notre Dame’s talent is not close to ACC elite, Duke fans can enjoy and celebrate Duke’s surprisingly excellent performance at South Bend – a first conference away-game for Duke’s 7 new players (well, actually 5 for this game) — while still keeping perspective.  

 This game was much more important than a normal conference opener.  The combination of being soundly thrashed in two home losses in Cameron, together with the announcement that the jewel of Duke’s freshman class, Jalen Johnson, has badly injured his foot in practice and been declared out indefinitely (he’ll have another MRI in 3 weeks to see how he is healing) would test not only the talent, but the character of this starless 2020-2021 edition of the Blue Devils.  Duke produced an excellent performance to be celebrated.  This young Duke team responded to the adverse circumstances with leadership, offensive cohesion, and defensive intensity.  However, the “Fighting” Irish proved the participle in their nickname was warranted.  Every time Duke threatened to break the game open, the Irish fought back behind their amazing Dane Goodwin (25 points on 10-12; 4-6 from deep + 1-1 from the foul line).  Then, there was “the moment” that defined the game — and that Duke fans hope will define the season!

“The Moment”: 

The Irish stole the ball from Wendell Moore, which led to a Notre Dame 3, cutting the Duke lead to 5 (55-50) with 10:43 left in the game.  The home team had gained all the momentum.  Duke then produced the almost 6 minute long moment:  

Jordan Goldwire hit a jumper; Jaemyn Brakefield took a rebound the length of the floor for a layup.  D. J. Steward and Joey Baker replaced Jeremy Roach and Moore.  Brakefield stole the ball and hit D. J. for a 3.  Matt Hurt grabbed a defensive rebound and scored from the post on a jumper.  Roach returned, replacing Baker.  After a Goodwin 3 for the Irish, Brakefield fed D. J. for a layup.  Hurt and Goodwin traded jumpers.  Hurt hit another turnaround after ND had shredded the Duke defense for a layup.  Finally, Steward finished “the moment” with a steal, a layup and the free throw for a 3 point play the conventional way. 

In 5 minutes and 55 seconds, Duke had increased its lead from 5 to 17, effectively ending doubt about the outcome.  Coach K was beyond pleased, “It got down to five points, where there’s a lot of game pressure, and our kids made plays. We didn’t call a play, they just made some plays and then when they were pressing us, we never turned it over. It’s on my team. They got better tonight. I think, too, they’re becoming more and more comfortable playing with one another.”

The Rotation   

With Jalen unavailable, who would start and what the rotation would be was a pressing question.  There was much speculation, but I bet nobody correctly predicted that Patrick Tapé would replace Jalen in the starting lineup.  The rotation was more informative and revealing than previous games.  Duke played only 9 (Johnson and Henry Coleman III did not play).  I look at the “starters” more from who plays starter minutes than who actually starts.  For example, even though Tapé started, he did not play starter’s minutes  (6 first half minutes and 3 in the closing stanza).  Four players both started and played starter-minutes: Hurt (38 minutes), Roach (35 minutes), Goldwire (33 minutes) and D.J. Steward (29 minutes).  

Jaemyn Brakefield played an outstanding 24 minutes to be Hurt’s most efficient partner up front.  He is the only other big (besides Hurt) who can score from the perimeter, with the 3 (he was 2-2), the drive, or in the post.  Tapé and Mark Williams (8 minutes – 7 in the first half; 4 points on 2-2 shooting with a rebound) have offense from the post and at the rim. Duke’s trio of small fast guards (Coach K, “we are awfully small on the perimeter”) played better than they have all season.  However, the backcourt got little effective support from either Joey Baker (15 minutes; 10 in the first half, but only 2 points) or Wendell Moore’s 9 minutes without a score or an assist — his reduced playing time resulting from his persistent offensive woes.

The Front Court

It is time for me to give Matt Hurt real praise; actually more than Coach K did.  Coach K said Matt was “close to having a huge game.”  Other than missing his only 2 attempts from behind the arc, he was Duke’s most valuable player in all aspects of the game.  The offense was much smoother than in previous games because it ran through the versatile big guy from Minnesota.  He played every  second of the closing stanza and sat only for a brief 2 minutes in the opening half.  He is an able defender and a much more efficient rim protector and rebounder than he showed last year (and he is doing this now without fouling).  Moreover, last night Matt demonstrated that he is virtually unstoppable from the post, drawing the defense from the perimeter shooters.  He rebounds in traffic and can smoothly deliver a scintillating assist.  Coach K: “Matt [Hurt], we got him the ball more and he’s close to having a huge game, but even him touching the ball forces the other team to help and that opens it up for other guys.”  How about Hurt’s 18 team-leading points on 8-17 shooting from the field and 2-2 from the line (0-2 from deep), 5 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 blocks and a steal in 38 minutes for a huge game? Come on Coach K, can we make that “very very very close” to a huge game!

Brakefield has played himself into the rotation and was actually more effective than Jalen has been all year, except for his “All-World” first half against Coppin State.  Even though it was Jaemyn’s first conference game game and first road game, he played like a veteran, scoring 10 points (4-8 from the field; 2-2 from deep), grabbing 5 boards, with a block.  He plays excellent defense and had one spectacular steal.  Coach K: “Brakefield had a hell of a game for us.”

Mark Williams and Patrick Tapé both looked effective in their cameo appearances.  No indication has been given as to why Henry Coleman III did not play.

The Perimeter

All 3 starters in the backcourt were efficient and earned positive praise.  Let’s start with the early season disappointment, Jeremy Roach, who has turned his season completely around, finally earning Coach K’s trust as proven by Jeremy’s 35 minutes on the court running the offense.  While Roach still has more room to grow (0 assists last night), his improvement in running the team and providing energy and offense was the best it has been so far this year.   He scored 14 points on 5-6 from the field (2 gorgeous drives), including 2-3 from deep and 2-2 for free throws. 

 Jordan Goldwire was his usual reliable self on offense and a tiger on the defensive end.  He scored 9 on 4-8,with 3-4 at the rim, but only 1-4 from deep (the only player with starter minutes that did not reach double figures). However, JGold was superb on defense and the glue on offense.  D. J. Steward was even more  dynamic and athletic than he has looked all year.  The Duke guards were faster than Notre Dame, and D. J. is the fastest of the Devils.  At times he looks downright beautiful as he dances in the air.  A revealing fact about D. J.’s athleticism: he led Duke in rebounding with 7 last night.  He scored 16 in 29 minutes (6-11 including 3-4 from 3land and 1-1 from the stripe) and had an assist and 2 steals.  Coach K: “[At the] end of [the shot clock], DJ hit a couple huge buckets – a three and a drive. He played really good defense too. … Jeremy [Roach] played like a veteran tonight … Our guard duo of Jeremy [Roach] and J-Gold (Jordan Goldwire) was excellent. DJ [Steward] responded. We played a very good game tonight and beat a really good team.”   

As noted above, Duke needs better perimeter support off the bench than either Moore or Baker have so far been able to provide.  I still have an expectation that Moore will turn his season around.

10th man: 

Henry Coleman III, the only healthy Duke scholarship player without playing time last night, has drawn high praise from Coach K about more than hoops.  Here is an example:

“The Virginia Business magazine released its 100 People to Meet in 2021, with Duke men’s basketball freshman and Richmond, Va. native, Henry Coleman III recognized as the youngest member on the list.  As an unprecedented year comes to an end, Virginia Business published the annual list to “Introduce you to 100 Virginians who make the commonwealth a more interesting and innovative place to live and work.” The list includes categories like Builders, Educators, Impact Makers, and more, with Coleman named in the ‘Angels’ section.  A 2020 graduate of Trinity Episcopal School, Coleman made an early impression on the entire Duke community in August when he spoke at a peaceful protest on campus in front of fellow student-athletes, coaches and professors.”

Next Play:  With the cancellation of the non-conference schedule, Duke does not play again until December 29, in Cameron at 8 pm against Jeff Capel’s Pittsburgh Panthers.  Have a happy holiday season.  Stay safe – next DBP should be December 30

BILL’S COMMENTS:

Raise your hand if you saw this coming! After two pretty discouraging outings against Michigan State and Illinois and indefinitely losing Jalen Johnson, considered the most talented recruit, the Blue Devils went to South Bend and totally outplayed the Irish. Granted, this is not one of Coach Brey’s better teams, but Notre Dame is seldom an easy out.

What impressed me: Jeremy Roach played like the highly-rated point guard he was thought to be; D. J. Steward sometimes reminds me of a mini Earle the Pearl Monroe: Jaemyn Brakefield may be the most versatile player on the team; 7 foot Mark Williams is not a stiff. He has athleticism and touch. All he needs is bulk and strength. Matthew Hurt was the nexus of the offense that made a lot of good things happen. I think this team is a lot different than the recent one-and-done Super Star Juggernauts. If these players stay more than a long pit stop and sleepover, they could develop into a really interesting outfit. Watching Coach K operate is always fascinating. When the season is on the line, will he roll with his most talented five — Roach, Steward, Hurt, Brakefield and Johnson —  or mix and match?  Stay tuned!

What has happened to sophomore Wendell Moore’s offense? Is he morphing into Bill King? He is 1 for 19 from the field over Duke’s last three games. Same question for Joey Baker, who is no longer a defensive liability but, conversely, hasn’t been able to hit what had been his signature three.

The next challenge is for the young players to keep their minds focused and validate this win.

EDITORIAL STAFF NOTE:

In this perhaps not quite as merry as usual Holiday season, please remember your local businesses and restaurants.  It is oh so easy to shop Amazon, but if we want our small local shops to survive, please Shop Local whenever you can — many have online ordering and curbside pickup or delivery. Have a favorite restaurant or pub or bookshop you’d like to be able to go to after the pandemic? Consider a gift card for someone on your list, or even to give to yourself. It is up to all of us to act the values we espouse. 


Cancelled Games Announcement: Duke v Pittsburgh & Duke v Florida State

December 28, 2020

The Duke athletic department just announced that Duke v Pittsburg will not be played tomorrow night as scheduled due to COVID-19 outbreak among the Pittsburgh traveling group.  Coach Jeff Capel has tested positive and is quarantining.  A perfect end to 2020. The Florida State game is still scheduled to be played in Tallahassee on Saturday, January 2, 2021 at 8 pm (ESPN2).  

Let’s hope 2021 will be different.

January 2, 2021

Three events transpired yesterday to put the Duke basketball season in doubt.  First, Coach K came into contact with a person who had tested positive and is in quarantine protocol.  John Scheyer was scheduled to coach Duke against Florida State in Tallahassee tonight.  Second, I wrote “was scheduled” because Duke’s contest against Florida State has now been postponed due to an outbreak in the Seminole program.  Third, three cases of the new “more contagious” variant of the virus have been diagnosed in Florida – 2 in Miami and one in Martin County.

Last month, the Duke women decided to withdraw from the season. Duke was (is) testing daily–the ACC only requires three tests per week.  Duke players asked the league to require daily testing of all competitors; when the ACC refused, Duke withdrew from competition.  Both Coach K and the Awesome Kara Lawson (first year women’s coach) have advocated pausing the season until the vaccines have had an impact, and restarting the season then — even if as late as May.  The Duke women are allowed to continue practicing in case things change.

Many decisions remain to be made … by teams, conferences, and the NCAA.


Duke 83 – BC 82 (Season 12 Issue 7 Game 6) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS:

After the emotional roller-coaster of yesterday’s insurrection in D.C., I wasn’t sure that I even wanted to watch a basketball game, let alone write about it. However, watching last night’s Duke – Boston College game proved to be the perfect escapist balm to restore stability to one’s soul. Bill and I spoke after the game. Bill: “What did you think?” Alan: “I didn’t. Not a thought; I just thoroughly enjoyed the all-out effort of this really warm and fuzzy team.” Duke’s ball-hawking swifties not only put it all out there under difficult circumstances, but they also showed us the sheer joy of the game – great plays, freshman gaffs – playing with admirable youthful exuberance. Perhaps showing us all the joy in life.

Context

The circumstances were indeed difficult: 1) Coach K was quarantining in Durham, with Jon Scheyer stepping in as head coach for the game. 2) Jalen Johnson and Patrick Tape were out with injuries. 3) BC’s losing record (2-7) isn’t indicative of their quality — every loss was very close; they have real talent and are improving, making them a dangerous team. 4) And, of course, Duke had played only once since December 8 (beating Notre Dame in South Bend on December 16). As such, they proved to be beyond rusty in the opening 17 minutes of the game.

The Blue Devils were down 16 with 2:13 left in the first half when the rusty bumblers turned into the “fun team”. In some ways, this was the team envisioned pre-season: Duke’s returning players – Mathew Hurt, Wendall Moore, Jr. and Jordan Goldwire – as the team leaders, with D.J. Steward and Jeremy Roach supplying speed, pressure and pizazz in the backcourt. Only Johnson was missing from that pre-season vision of the team.

Hurt and Moore were (pre-season) on the Wooden Watch list for potential Player of the Year. Hurt’s performance has so far validated his selection, but Moore has struggled dramatically. From pre-season ACC second team, Moore had sunk to Duke’s second team, scoring only 19 points in the first five games of the season, while creating turnovers at a high rate. You love to see a guy who is trying so hard to just completely turn it around in one game. Moore did that and won the game for Duke last night scoring 25 points in 30 minutes, without even one turnover, while displaying excellent defense. He made the clutch defensive play at winning time when he took a charge that gave Duke the ball, negating a BC score. No doubt he was Duke’s player of the game!

Hurt played well after the rust wore off, but he was not the spectacular player who is the ACC’s leading ppg scorer. In 32 minutes he scored 17, while grabbing 11 boards. Hurt’s defense last night was not as intense as earlier in the season, but he was Duke’s rebounding mainstay against BC, which enabled Duke to hold even on the boards. His efforts were crucial as this small team has difficulty protecting the rim and defending the backboard, especially without Johnson.

The Rotation

With Jalen unavailable, the rotation was restricted to five who played starters’ minutes, without much bench contribution. Mark Williams played 6 minutes. Henry Coleman III was in for one play, in which he was so badly beaten on defense that he was immediately replaced and did not return. Jaemyn Brakefield logged 18 minutes without scoring (0-2 from behind the arc), contributing 2 steals, a rebound, but costing 2 turnovers. Joey Baker played 12 minutes and hit a 3 for Duke’s only bench points.

When Duke went to its “pony” team – Moore joining Steward, Goldwire, and Roach – BC began to cough up the ball at key times. Duke did this infrequently, but effectively. Duke’s trio of small fast guards play with all-out enthusiasm, especially when pressing or trapping on defense. Steward (14 points in 32 minutes) and Roach (12 points in 32 minutes) get to the basket on drives that are dramatic; whether the drive results in a hoop or a turnover keeps fans on the edge. Goldwire is solid. Logging a game high 37 minutes, he handed out 6 assists and 3 steals with only a single turnover. He also scored 12: 4-10; 1-3 from deep; and 3-4 from the line, including the two game clinchers with only 24 seconds left, which moved Duke’s lead from 1 to 3 (82-79). He is unquestionably the floor leader.

The three speedsters were, however, cold from behind the arc – collectively 2-10 (Steward 1-6; Goldwire 1-3; and Roach missed his only 3 point attempt). Nevertheless, Steward and Roach led Duke’s late first-half resurgence when they exploded in the last 2:13 of the first half and the first 2:25 of the second half, with Duke outscoring BC by 18, taking a 2 point lead after having trailed by 16. In those 4:38, Steward scored 8; Moore, 6; Roach, 6; and Hurt, 3.

Winning Time

For the next 15 minutes, the game see-sawed back and forth. Each team made great plays and committed grievous errors. The game was tied 10 times (9 times in the second half), the last time with only 1:42 left. Hurt, who had picked up his 4th foul with 4:05 left, hit a clutch 3 on a smooth assist from Roach, with 1:15 left. After BC cut Duke’s lead to 1, Hurt grabbed a key rebound, leading to a critical Duke possession. Steward almost turned it over, but a ref’s review gave the ball to Duke, with only 2 left on the shot clock. On the inbound, Roach found Moore, who hit a crucial acrobatic jumper to push the lead back to 3 (80-77) with 44 seconds left. BC did not go away; they scored to pull within one at the 24 second mark. With the shot clock turned off, BC had to foul. JGold was fouled immediately, but he made both clutch free throws. Now 82-79. Then, Steward made the winning play — BC’s cross court pass was lazy, and Steward made a great move to deflect the ball and cause a turnover. BC had to foul. Moore made 1 of 2 for a 2 possession lead (83-79) with only 11 seconds left. BC’s 3 at the buzzer couldn’t win the game for them, but did make the score appear closer than it was.

BILL’S CLIFFSNOTES

[CliffsNotes are a series of condensed study guides, for lazy and/or inattentive students, that present literary and other works in abbreviated form. Detractors of these study guides claim they let students bypass rigorous reading and understanding of the assigned literature.]

Duke hadn’t played in a couple of weeks—and it sure showed. Possibly the worst half of feckless offense and defense I can remember the Blue Devils playing, as they fell behind by 16 to a perennial ACC bottom feeder. When it seemed it couldn’t get any worse, Wendell Moore, who was about one-for-the-season, threw up a brick of a three that almost shattered the glass backboard, but luck was with him and it caromed in. Maybe Wendell just needed to see the basketball go through the net one time, because after that he seemed to make about every kind of shot, and played like the guy who won the amazing Carolina comeback game last year (eat your heart out, Johnny Tar Heel) and sparked this hard-fought win.

My guess is that the multi-talented (scoring, stealing, rebounding, defending, but passing needs work) Steward may develop into the go-to guy; Hurt is the wheelhouse of the offense that makes other scoring possible; Goldwire and Roach, steady contributors; Brakefield, a lethal sixth man; Jalen Johnson, a question mark; and, if Moore can consistently be half as productive as he was tonight, the team will go as far as its pressing defense and maturing talent can take them—which might be pretty good as the ACC is not as strong and deep as usual.

John Scheyer replaced Coach K, who is temporarily sequestered, as game coach and did an admirable job. Changing and staying with a pressing defense most likely avoided an embarrassing defeat. He probably will be deluged with head coaching offers.

Next Play: Saturday at noon against Wake Forest. Coach K hopes to be on the bench for that game.


Duke 79 – Wake Forest 68 (Season 12 Issue 8 Game 7) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS: 

Mathew Hurt … was the biggest story last night. 

The Wooden Award is given to the College Player of the Year in June.  Hurt, who like Wendell Moore, was named to the pre-season Wooden Watch list, was one of 25 players named to the mid-season watch list (no Moore; no surprise) based on his performance this year.  Before last night’s excellent [Coach K praised it as “workman-like”] outing, Hurt was averaging 18.5 points per game (1st in the ACC) on .512 field goal shooting (7th in the ACC) and a .400 clip from three-point range. He has also been the Blue Devils’ most consistent rebounder, bringing down 8.5 boards per contest (3rd in the ACC).  Last night, he was not less than heroic in his 31 foul-plagued minutes (4 total fouls) where he led Duke in scoring with 26 points (10-15 from the field: 4-7 from deep; 2-2 from the stripe) to go with 6 rebounds, 2 assists, and 3 steals.  Coach K gently chided Hurt for imagining he was a point guard, when Hurt snared the defensive rebound and led the fast break into one of his 3 turnovers, but our Hall of Fame coach points to Hurt as the reason the Duke offense has come together after the losses in Cameron to both Michigan State and Illinois.

The change in offensive philosophy began on December 16, in South Bend against the Fighting Irish.  Coach K pointed out that in the early season, Duke was playing “five out”, leaving the middle open for penetration, and Hurt was shooting (40%) from deep.  It was clearly not working as shown by Duke’s ineffective early-season offense.  Duke has moved Hurt into the post, so the offense works through him (he is still popping out and making it difficult for bigs to guard him on the perimeter).  Coach K insightfully noted that, “when Hurt gets the ball, our shooters get extra room.”  Hurt is lethal inside if he is not doubled, and a good passer when he is.  Coach K also explained that Hurt is guarding the opponents’ big guys.  When Duke goes small (plays what I call its “pony team”), with the three swift guards and Moore (as the second longest Duke player at only 6’6”), Hurt is Duke’s most efficient interior defender.  

The Backcourt

Besides Hurt, the heart of the 2020-2021 Blue Devils has become the three-headed, lightning-quick Duke backcourt, comprised of the reliable senior Jordan Goldwire, and freshmen D.J. Steward and Jeremy Roach.  Pressing defense that forces turnovers, paired with transition offense, has been their calling card.  The three  rely upon dazzling quickness, speed, and constant energy on both ends of the court, and are on the court virtually all the time.  Against Wake, D.J. logged 39 minutes (20 in the second half), while scoring 21 (8-15 from the field: a dreadful 1-7 from deep; 4-6 from the stripe), grabbing 6 rebounds, handing out 2 assists (only 1 turnover), while blocking 2 shots (he’s only 6’2”!).  JGold played 38 minutes, scoring 14 (6-10: 2-3 from behind the arc) along with 5 assists (0 turnovers!), 5 rebounds, and 5 steals (leads ACC in steals).  Roach played 36 efficient minutes with 12 points (5-11 from the field: 2-7 from deep), 4 assists (2 turnovers), and 2 rebounds.  They hounded the Wake backcourt, which collapsed down the stretch at “winning time” (in my opinion, worn out from the constant Duke defensive pressure). Coach K emphasized the improvement because “they are now reacting by instinct instead of being slowed by thinking what they have to do.  They are getting in the passing lanes.”  Goldwire leads that charge, but D.J. and Roach are right there with him.

The Rotation

The four Duke starters described above scored 73 of Duke’s 79 points.  Besides those 4, Wendell Moore played 28 minutes (fifth most), scoring only 4 (1-7 from the field: 2-2 from the stripe), disappointing after his superb 25 point effort against BC.  Coach K pointed out in the post-game press conference that earlier in the year when Moore’s shot wasn’t falling, the rest of his game also suffered.  However, it was different last night.  Moore defended intensely and had a crucial steal while emerging as Duke’s leading rebounder with 8 boards.  It was his offense that was missing. He handed out only 2 assists against 4 turnovers. 

Duke’s bench was essentially Jaemyn Brakefield up front, and Joey Baker on the perimeter.  Brakefield played well in his 17 minutes, but failed to score.  He was a good defender though, with 3 steals and a block.  Baker played only 7 minutes, but had an important sequence: he blocked the shot, ran the floor, and laid it in athletically on the break for his only 2 points.  Moore’s 4 and Joey’s deuce were Duke’s only bench points.  Mark Williams had 2 brief stints early (he started), which comprised his only 4 minutes in the game.  His play wasn’t scintillating – 3 turnovers and 2 fouls in just 4 minutes.  Henry Coleman III played one minute at the end of the first half and took a crucial charge.

Winning Time

It was an entertaining game.  Duke was not able to contest Wake’s shooting in the first half, but forced 9 turnovers.  Even though Wake shot 45% in the first half; Duke led by 4 at the end of the opening stanza.  The game continued close with neither team able to separate.  The last tie was 55-55 with 11:26 to go.  Then, Duke’s superior athleticism took over as the backcourt hounded Wake defensively, and Duke, surprisingly, took over the backboard dramatically.  At one point, Duke had 12 shots on goal over five possessions. In the next 8+ minutes, Duke outscored Wake by 13 to lead 75-62 with 2:45 left.  Duke broke from the last tie on a layup (spectacular) by Steward, who was fouled and converted it to a three point play.  Baker’s great play followed.  With 4:07 left and an 8 point lead, Duke exploded.   D.J. made 3 foul shots, and Hurt swished a 3 from deep, for Duke’s 13 point lead with 2:45 left.  Wake was done.

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES 

[Cliffs Notes are abbreviated study guides for lazy and/or inattentive students, that present literary and other works in condensed, summarized form (with which I was more than a little familiar). Detractors of these study guides contend they let students bypass rigorous reading and deep understanding of the assignment ]:

Today, Duke played the Wake Forest Bad Haircuts, who had not won a game in Cameron since about the Muggsy Bogues era. Today was no different. Unfortunately, Wendell Moore apparently forgot what it looks like for the basketball to go through the basket and reverted to his pre-Boston College play, with  1-for-7  from the field, 4 turnovers, and 2 air balls. Fortunately, Matthew Hurt had an outstanding game; my man DJ Steward supplied a lot of flash and excitement in multiple ways, and the rest of the team, especially Jordan Goldwire, played disruptive, pressing defense and contributed offensively. For their size, this team has been a very efficient rebounding team.

If any player on this Blue Devil team, which may need a year to fully develop, has any ideas about declaring for the NBA draft, they might consider that none of the three players from last year’s team who decamped early for the NBA has played any significant minutes.  In contrast, Seth Curry, who stayed in college through graduation, signed a contract with the Philadelphia 76ers for $7.8 million over the next three years — and is now a starter. 

Next Play: Tuesday, January 12 versus Virginia Tech in Blacksburg at 7 pm on ACCN


Duke 67- Virginia Tech 74 (Season 12 Issue 9 Game 9) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS: 

This Game Was No Fun For Duke Fans

It was not a joyful night watching Duke dramatic lack of defense in the first half (Virginia Tech scored 46 first half points on 64% shooting) and dramatic lack of offense at “winning time” in the second half (Duke drew within a single point – 56-55 with 12:52 left in the game and could score only 9 more points (I am not counting Roach’s 3 at the buzzer – this was a double digit loss even though the score says by 7).  Duke was 4-18 from deep in the second half; if you omit Roach’s last irrelevant 3 (Hurt was 2-3 in the second half), the futility of the Blue Devils from the bonus sphere spelled doom (Roach 0-4; Steward 1-5; Brakefield 0-2; Moore 0-1, didn’t hit the rim; Goldwire 0-2, also missed the rim with one).  Hurt is Duke’s only true threat, though  Roach was scintillating in every aspect of the game except long range shooting.  Finally, Duke’s scoring is not spread across the roster.  Consider the points scored in the minutes played by: Goldwire (1 point in 32 minutes); Brakefield (4 points in 27 minutes; he was making his first career start); Moore (4 points in 15 minutes – 2-6 from the field; 0-2 from deep and 0-1 from the stripe); Joey Baker (0 points in 13 minutes); and Mark Williams (0 points in 2 minutes).  

One more Duke bright spot to add to the play of Hurt and Roach – the return of Jalen Johnson.  He had 3 turns on the court for a total of 4 first half minutes, scoring on a layup for 2 points.  He is obviously out of shape, but his return will help this team.

However, the bottom line is this is not a good team right now, even though there are good players on the team, which has a Hall of Fame Coach.  This is a work very early in development.  How bad is the team right now?  Bad.  The 3 ACC wins coming into the game were against the three winless teams in the league.  Notre Dame, Boston College and Wake have yet to win an ACC game (0-9).  Virginia Tech is a good team, but closer to mid-pack ACC than title contender.  Neither Michigan State nor Illinois, that each blew out the Devils in Cameron, are among the top three teams in the Big Ten.  In short, this team is still waiting to achieve anything significant.

The Scoring

Hurt was heroic, scoring every way imaginable.  He played 38 minutes (all 20 in the second half) scoring 20 (8-16; 4-8 from deep, but 0-2 from the stripe) while pulling down 11 rebounds and blocking a pair of shots.  Roach was Duke’s high scorer with 22 points on 6-14 from the field but 2-7 from 3land with a gaudy 8-8 from the line.  However, the point guard registered only a single assist against 3 turnovers.  His play is improving as he gets more aggressive and more confident.  DJ Steward did not have a great game, scoring 14 in his 35 on court minutes (5-13; 2-8 from deep; 2-2 from the foul line).  He had a pair of assists and a pair of turnovers.  Two of his driving layups were sensational, but overall this was not one of his signature games.  Those three players scored 56 of Duke’s 67 points, while the entire rest of the team managed only 11 (Moore 4; Brakefield 4; Jalen 2; and Goldwire just 1).  If that doesn’t change, Duke is in for a long season.  

The Last 13 minutes

Duke had been down by as much as 18 in the first half, but battled back to trail by only a single point (56-55) with a little over 13 minutes to go.  Duke did not score for the next 4:14.  Hurt missed a 3; Moore missed a 3; Goldwire missed a 3; Steward missed a 3; Hurt turned it over; Roach missed a 3; Steward missed a 3; and Brakefield missed a 3 before Steward scored Duke’s next points on a sensational layup with 8:58 to go.  Duke was still only down by 4 (61-57).  After Cone hit a 3 for Tech, Roach missed a 3.  After D.J. pulled Duke within 5, JGold missed a pair of jumpers as Tech pulled ahead by 9.  Hurt hit a jump shot with 5:56 to go (68-61).  D.J. missed a jumper and Hurt misfired on a 3.  Goldwire was fouled; missed the first foul shot but gave Duke its 62nd point with the second shot.  68-62 with 3:43 left.  Goldwire missed a 3, but Roach was fouled on a difficult drive and converted both free throws.  Va. Tech 68 Duke 64 with 2:34 left.  This was a winnable game, but  those were Duke’s last points (again not counting Roach’s 3 at the buzzer since the game was over and Duke had lost).  In the telling last 2:34, Steward missed from deep; Roach missed a jumper; Hurt missed a jumper and Steward misfired again from deep with 42 seconds left. 74-64.

We have learned to love and have complete confidence in Duke basketball at what I call “winning time”.  This team will be trying to become Duke at winning time.  The players exist to do that – Hurt, Johnson, Moore, Roach, Steward, and Goldwire – but last night’s performance demonstrated the gap from where this team is now to where we hope it is going.   

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES 

[CliffsNotes are abbreviated study guides for lazy and/or inattentive students that present  literary and other works in condensed, summarized form (with which I was more than a little familiar). Detractors of these study guides contend they let students bypass rigorous reading and deep understanding of the assignment ]:

  • I don’t know why in the last five years or so winning at Virginia Tech has been so difficult for Duke teams. At first, I thought it was the venue and the raucous fans. Now, I have come to think they play with men and we are playing with boys. Whatever the case, you just cannot play well for twenty of forty minutes, spot an opponent 18 points, and beat a decent team.
  • Perhaps, it is the result of often seeming to be confused running a half-court offense, but if  you throw out Hurt’s three point shots, this team is not a good three point shooting team—and  their free throw percentage is also subpar.  Hopefully, this is a result of young players getting used to older, stronger, more experienced players in the ACC. For instance, staying another year has helped Hurt, who resembles a Danny Ferry with more range,  become a stronger, more polished player. Jeremy Roach is growing up right before our eyes. He is beginning to  like a third Jones brother. Notice that his year’s great Alabama team was seeded with senior players who passed on the NFL draft because they didn’t want to leave on the disappointing previous year. (Contrast that with the North Carolina stars who passed on participating in the first Tar Heel to a bowl game in years,  because they feared an injury would affect their draft status.)

Next PlayTuesday, January 19 away versus Pittsburgh at 9 pm on ACCN


Duke 73 – Pitt 79 (Season 12 Issue 10 Game 9) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS: 

Headlines: Jalen Johnson, who played his second “All World” half — the first being his first half against Coppin State in the first game of the season — was not enough to overcome Duke’s lack of defense — mostly a porous, foul-prone zone

Jalen Johnson’s return and absolutely amazing second half (18 points in 18 minutes with 10 rebounds, 4 blocks, 4 assists and 0 turnovers) was the best (possibly only good) news for Duke.  Yet, he was not the Player of the Game!  That honor clearly belonged to Pittsburgh’s Justin Champagnie, who dominated Matt Hurt defensively in the first half (he held Matt to 4 first half points) while torching Duke for 31 points in 39 scintillating minutes (12-15 from the field, including 4-7 from deep; 3-6 from the stripe), grabbing 14 rebounds, and blocking 5 Duke shots).  Duke had no answers for him.  

Actually, Duke had no defensive answers in the first half, period. Even though the defense improved in the second half, Duke simply could not get stops when needed.  Several times, the Blue Devils prevented the first Pitt attempt, but failed to corral the rebound, giving critical second chance goals to Pitt.  When a team commits bushels of fouls on defense, it is a clear sign of defensive inadequacy.   Duke committed 37 fouls (17 in the first half), losing Johnson to his fifth foul with the game still very much in doubt.  Jeremy Roach also fouled out with 8 seconds left in what must be the worst half of a basketball game that he has ever played in his entire life (20 minutes; 0-6, including 0-3 from deep; 1-2 from the line, while committing 4 fouls)!

Duke reinforced my conclusion from last week — this is not a very good team right now, even though there are good players on the team, and it is coached by a Hall of Famer.  This is a work less mature in development than usual by this time of the year, because of playing so many fewer games due to COVID.  It is way too early to give up on this team, but the early returns are indeed disappointing. How bad is the team right now?  Bad.  Pitt will get a false sense of grandeur from beating Duke, because the truth is Pitt is barely middle of the sub-par ACC pack.  Even though  Duke was playing as poorly as the Devils did,  Pitt led by only  two points with 2 minutes to go in the game.  Pitt has much growing to do to become a post-season contender.   But not as much as Duke.

The First-Half Defense

After the Virginia Tech loss, Coach K installed a 1-2-2 – morphing into a 3-2 — zone defense for this game.  Duke started with the ponies on top – D.J. Steward, Roach, and JGold – with Hurt and another big in the back line (Brakefield started; committed 2 fouls in 3 minutes and never saw the floor again).  Jalen, when he entered the game, took that spot.  Coach K’s assessment of the zone’s efficiency is much more favorable than mine.  Pitt scored 43 first-half points, shooting wide open uncontested shots.  Champagnie scored 17 first-half points on only 9 shots. Pitt took advantage of Duke’s fouling to add 12 from the foul line on 17 free throws –Toney was 8-11 from the foul line.  Duke committed 12 first-half fouls — giving four Duke players two fouls each to begin the second half.  

The Second Half Provides Both Positive and Negative Insights About The Season

Jalen’s performance was jaw dropping.  He put this team on his shoulders, and virtually willed the Blue Devils back into the game (Duke was down 15 – 55-40 – with 16:39 left in the game).  Duke fought to within 2 points of the lead on 3 separate occasions – with 5:38 to go; with 2:03 to go; and with 1:21 to go.  The initial 30 minutes of this game was Matt Hurt’s first sub-par performance of the season.  Then, he became a force at crunch time, scoring all 9 of his second-half points in the last 10:39 of the game.  Wendell Moore was also good in the closing stanza, scoring 7 points in 18 minutes (His best statistic was 0 turnovers).  Moore was 3-5 from the field, including 1-1 from deep, 2 rebounds and 2 assists.  

It is the first game in which the pre-season expected-to-star players – Hurt, Moore and Johnson – all scored in double figures.  I designate one play as demonstrating the potential of the 2020-21 Devils.  With 5:38 to go, there was a furious scrum under the Pitt basket.  Hurt had a shot blocked but Roach grabbed the deflection.  His quick pass was intercepted for a breakaway Pitt layup, except that Moore made an unbelievable effort to chase the ball down and block the shot at the rim (breathtaking).  Moore then moved the ball up court, and passed it ahead to Jalen at the top of the key.  Jalen had been hot and had an open (good) shot.  He faked the shot and made a slick pass to Hurt in the corner (he had a better shot), who swished a 3 to bring Duke within 2.  It doesn’t get any better than that.

But the flaws were also exposed – especially in the backcourt.  D.J. played 17 second-half minutes without scoring or assisting.  Roach scored 1 in 20 minutes, with 2 assists and a turnover (while committing 4 fouls).  For the game, Roach had 3 assists against 4 turnovers, while D.J. had 2 assists and 2 turnovers.  Which brings us to Jordan Goldwire and senior leadership.  

For most of the season, JGold had been the glue for the offense and spark for the pressing defense, logging the most minutes of the guards.  It is indisputable that JGold had a terrible game against Virginia Tech in Duke’s last outing, scoring only a single point in 39 minutes.  Coach K is known for his motivational tactics with players.  I believe Coach K sent JGold the message  that this team needs him to play up to his potential for the team to achieve its potential by dramatically reducing his playing time.  Although he started, Goldwire played only 5 desultory first-half minutes, without a point, assist, or steal.  He missed his only shot and committed 2 personal fouls in that brief stint.  He played 4 minutes in the second half – 0 assists, rebounds or steals, but 2-2 from the field (one on a spectacular blind over-the-shoulder pass from Jalen) on open layups.  

The backcourt regressed on both ends of the court.  Duke didn’t press – the forte of the ponies.  Duke needs a JGold revival for there to be a Duke revival.  On the other hand, watching Jalen Johnson handle the ball, make great passes, and direct the offense might suggest that Coach K  make him the “point forward” or even point guard to run this team.  Neither Roach nor JGold has been satisfactory this year.

There also needs to be a revival of Duke’s defense, which has been consistent only in its prevalent fouling.  37 fouls in regulation is a catastrophe because it saps the ability to be aggressive on the defensive end and on the boards.  Jalen committed 4 second-half fouls trying to guard Champagnie, eventually fouling out with 2:16 left and the game very much in doubt.  Roach committed 4 second-half fouls.  The defense is clearly in disarray.  

“Winning Time”

We have learned to love and have complete confidence in Duke basketball at what I call “winning time”.  This team is trying to become “Duke at winning time”.  The players exist to accomplish that – Hurt, Johnson, Moore, Roach, Steward, and Goldwire – but last night’s performance demonstrated, yet again, the gap from where this team is now, to where we hope it is going.   Winning time is about getting needed stops, steals, protecting your defensive back board, and making key shots.  Duke’s last points were scored with 1:21 remaining; Roach and D.J. missed Duke’s remaining attempts.  Duke gave up second chance points, missed free throws, committed fouls, and could not get stops when it counted.  That has to change, and against teams that are better than Pitt.

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES

[CliffsNotes are abbreviated study guides for lazy and/or inattentive students that present  literary and other works in condensed, summarized form (with which I was more than a little familiar). Detractors of these study guides contend they let students bypass rigorous reading and deep understanding of the assignment ]:

The Duke “boys” played the Pitt “men” last night, which Alan thoroughly covered. After about four minutes (Duke trailing 8-2), I called Alan and said that I couldn’t watch anymore. Apparently, Coach K felt the same way, and before I could hang up, called a timeout, and substituted Jalen Johnson, who had been rehabbing his injured foot. Characteristically, the Blue Devils fought back from a very steep deficit, but Pitt was too tough and too good for them. Poor shooting  and poor defense inhibited any chance of winning. However, Jalen Johnson alone (24 pts, 15 rebounds, 7 assists, 4 blocks, 2 steals) kept the Devils competitive. I don’t want to go overboard off twenty minutes of basketball, but Johnson showed more versatility and offensive poise than Jason Tatum did at the same point in his career at Duke—and that is saying a lot. Clearly, the offense needs to run through him.

In the ACC, the best teams play hard and tough offensively and defensively—and consistently make shots. Right now only Johnson, Hurt, and Moore play above their size and weight. The others have to figure it out and that will determine the rotation.

Next Play: Saturday, January 23 away versus Louisville at 4 pm on ESPN


Duke 65- Louisville 70 (Season 12 Issue 11 Game 10) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS: 

Headlines:

Two middle of the pack ACC teams – Louisville and Duke — met last night in Louisville, each seeking to change its fortunes after 2 straight debilitating losses.  It was a tight 
competitive game between two non-elite teams. Duke turned out to be slightly worse.

As readers familiar with my bias know, I have advocated that postseason success is powered more by defense than offense (although this applies to the regular season as well).  In discussing the upcoming season in our first issue, I predicted this team would go as far as its defense would take it, after losing most of its offensive firepower from the 2019-2020 roster – Vernon Cary, Tre Jones, Cassius Stanley (all who left for the NBA and are now each languishing on the bench with scant playing time). The graduation of the late-developing Justin Robinson was also a serious loss to the team.

In my memory, I have not seen a K-coached team perform this miserably on the defensive end of the court.  Duke rolled out a zone defense against Virginia Tech because Duke’s man to man has been so ineffective against quality opponents.  Coach K said he hoped the zone would help stop the easy penetration of opposition guards, help Duke defend its backboard, and cut down on the Duke fouling.  That obviously did not work so well. Duke was so porous in the zone against Louisville, that Coach K elected to return to the ineffective man-to-man down the stretch.  Louisville’s 8-2 closing run to win the game was against the man-to-man defense.  In that space, Hurt committed his fifth foul with 1:50 to go and the score tied.  Duke scored to lead by 65-64 with 1:30 to go.  Louisville’s star point guard, Carlik Jones, for whom Duke had no defensive answers at winning time (with 5:16 left in a tie game, he scored 9 of Louisville’s last 11 points), burned Moore for the go-ahead bucket (66-65) with 1:18 left.  

The decisive play of the game came with 1:02 left, when Jalen committed an offensive foul (his 4th), turning the ball over to Louisville!  Duke finally got a stop, but Baker misfired on a wide open 3 that would have given Duke a 2 point lead with 33 seconds left.  With the shot clock turned off, Duke had to foul.  Jones was deadly, notching 4-4 from the line at closing time.  Duke could still have tied the game in the last 25 seconds when first Moore (18 seconds left) and D.J. (13 seconds left) bricked wide open 3 pointers.

Duke’s Defensive Malaise Is Compounded by the Fouling Propensity

Coach K at the post-game press conference: “We have to not foul as much.  In the last four games – it’s kind of crazy – our opponents have shot like 100 free throws and we have shot 50.  Are we using our hands too much?  We have to evaluate that.  It’s an extraordinary differential.  I’ve never had that with our program.  Most of the time we shoot more free throws.  But not that kind of a differential.  That’s too much.”   The statistics last night were beyond dramatic – Louisville SUNK TWICE AS MANY FREE THROWS AS DUKE ATTEMPTED!  Duke was 7-9 (5-5 in the second half) while Louisville was 18-24 from the stripe. 

The excessive fouling on defense is a sign of bad defense and impacts the game more than just allowing the opponent to score.  Matt Hurt, who had an almost “All World” first half (15 points on 6-8 from the field including 3-3 from deep; with 4 rebounds and 2 assists), fouled out at “winning time” in a tie game.  Jalen Johnson committed 4 fouls  in 21 minutes (bad), but his second half was awful – Jalen was limited to 6 second-half minutes, where he committed 3 of his 4 fouls.  Perhaps even more critical, is that fouling enervates Duke’s swarming pressing defense, which is designed to create live ball turnovers leading to fast break points.   How is this for a telling statistic:  Duke scored only a single fast break basket! Early in the season, the Duke defense disrupted offenses, making deflections, causing turnovers, and getting steals. Last night, the defense produced only 4 steals (Goldwire 2; Steward 1 and Baker 1).  It is fair to classify the Duke defense as dramatically ineffective so far.

What came through to me, as I watched Coach K’s press conference, is that he is as flummoxed as we are at the lack of progress that this team has made and is making on both ends of the floor – but especially on defense.  He said he needs time to study, think and figure out how to improve (what political-speak!).   He’d better think quickly. Last week, Champagnie of Pitt torched the Devils; this week it was Jones of Louisville.  The Devil defense has to be fixed or Duke will fail to qualify for the NCAA tournament for the first time since 1995!

The Offense

Matt Hurt was the offense, scoring 24 points in his 35 minutes before fouling out (9-13 from the field including 4-5 from deep and 2-3 from the line).  He also garnered 8 rebounds.  However, Matt was missing in action for an extended period of the second half.  He scored the opening layup to start the concluding stanza; and followed a D.J. goal with a 3.  After less than 2 minutes, Hurt had 5 second-half points (20 for the game).  He only scored four more points in the half (2 free throws with 6:19 left; and a field goal with 4:51 remaining in the game).  Matt is asked to do so much for this team, that I believe he wore down and was not a force at “winning time”.  Still,  Matt was easily the best Duke player in the game.

Jalen Johnson is proving an enigma.  He committed his first foul 50 seconds into the game.  While Jalen scored Duke’s first five points in the opening 2:28 of the game, his turnovers caused Coach K to limit Johnson’s first-half playing time slightly (15 first half minutes).  Jalen’s first turnover came in the first 26 seconds of the game, and was followed by 4 more first half turnovers (with 0 assists).  Johnson had one more first half basket giving him 7 points for the half (1-5 after his opening 5 points, missing his only long range attempt).  His second half was worse. Only 51 seconds had elapsed before Jalen committed his second foul of the game.  Thereafter, his 3 second half fouls limited Jalen to 6 minutes of playing time in the concluding period.  He scored Duke’s last points with 1:30 left on a layup to give the Blue Devils the 1 point lead.  Jalen’s second-half cameo included 1 rebound, but yet another turnover.  There is no doubt that having Jalen blossom into fulfilling the potential he showed against Coppin State (season opener) and Virginia Tech (most recent game) is essential if Duke is going to qualify for the NCAA tournament.

The Duke backcourt has been regressing in recent games.  Duke has no guard to run the offense.  Coach K has installed Jeremy Roach as the principal lead guard with support from the senior leader, Goldwire, and the preseason Wooden Watch candidate Wendell Moore.  Shockingly, Duke managed only 7 assists against Louisville. Moore led with only 3 in 34 minutes (2 turnovers); Roach notched a pair of assists in his 26 minutes while turning it over twice.  He did not score a single point in the game!  Goldwire had 1 assist without a turnover in his 27 minutes, while Baker also added one without a turnover in his 17 minutes.  

It is not just the turnovers and lack of assists that is limiting Duke, it is the failure of the Duke perimeter to penetrate and make the defense switch and try to adjust.  As Coach K said (echoing what I had said to Bill at half time), Duke is not moving the ball with purpose.  The ball moves, but around the perimeter without penetration.  The only move to the interior is the pass to Hurt in the post.  This is, said Coach K, a major reason Duke is not getting to the foul line.  D..J. was 4-4 from the stripe, the only backcourt player to attempt a free throw.  Neither Moore, Goldwire nor Roach attempted a free throw against Louisville.  Ouch!

Which takes us to D.J. Steward.  He is fun to watch, with lots of sizzle in his game.  But it appears that he too has regressed; just not as dramatically as the rest of the backcourt.  D.J. was Duke’s second leading scorer against Louisville with 13 points in 29 minutes (4-8 from the field, including 1-4 from deep) without an assist (2 turnovers).  He had a steal and a block while committing 3 fouls.  D.J. has the most potential on the perimeter ( Moore’s production has not come close to matching preseason expectations), but D.J. seems to have regressed also.  His sizzle is in the open court.  The zone saps aggressiveness, limiting D.J.’s effectiveness on defense and in the open court. 

Finally, Duke’s attempt to find an adequate big man in the middle — allowing Hurt and Jalen to be the forwards — seems to have  fizzled.  The candidates recruited were graduate transfer Patrick Tapé, as well as freshmen Mark Williams, Henry Coleman IV and to a lesser extent Jaemyn Brakefield.  None of those four have cracked the rotation for consistent double digit minutes.  None of the four seem to be even close to ready for ACC competition (though I feel Brakefield is ahead of the other three).  A competent big would give Duke an additional desirable asset on offense, in rebounding, and in protecting the rim.  So far, just a forlorn hope.

Conclusion So Far

There are some good players on the roster, many of whom will go on to a successful professional hoops career.  But for reasons both understandable (few games, injuries, COVID’s distractions) and perplexing (talented players failing to play to their predicted potential), Duke has dramatically failed to live up to preseason expectations (Duke was ranked in the top 10 preseason and is now on the brink of failing to qualify for the NCAA tournament).  Why?  The whole is less than the sum of its parts! — so far.

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

[CliffsNotes are abbreviated study guides for lazy and/or inattentive students that present  literary and other works in condensed, summarized form (with which I was more than a little familiar). Detractors of these study guides contend they let students bypass rigorous reading and deep understanding of the assignment]

  • We are used to seeing Duke basketball teams make more free throws than their opponent takes, have more assists than turnovers, shoot nearly 50% from the floor, 70+% from the foul line, and nearly 40% from three point land. Subtract Matthew Hurt’s numbers from the totals and obviously, so far this year, this team neither shoots well, nor defends on an elite level. Having said all that, they still somehow manage to be in a position to close out these games. Tonight, they had 3 open threes in the last seconds to tie or win the game.  Didn’t happen. Both Hurt and Johnson had fouled out and were spectators on the bench. Solve one or two of these issues, and there could well be a different outcome. 
  • Coach K: “Our kids were prepared. They played hard. They played winning basketball. I feel so bad for Joey (Baker) because he has worked so hard. We’re down by one and he has the shot that he has dreamed of and worked hard for and the thing is in and out and I feel bad for him. Again, if the basketball gods are good to him then we would have benefitted. We missed two wide open shots again — good shots – to tie the game. It was a one-possession game most of the whole game, so you can take a play here or a play there. We turned it over too much to start the game. I am disappointed for these kids because they are a good group. It has been a really tough year for a whole bunch of reasons. And their attitudes are so good and they have worked so hard in preparations and during the game, you’d like to see them get rewarded. We lost to a good team. They had that Jones (Carlik) who can really control the game especially at the end of the game. It was a tough loss for us.”
  • Hate to point it out, but as Bill Parcells famously said when his players contended they were better than their record. “You are your record.” I don’t know what goes on in practice, but, sadly, Joey Baker’s record as a three point shooter has regressed over three years. As a matter of fact, other than Hurt, who is terrific at 47%, only Brakefield, Goldwire and Steward barely break 30%, which is terrible. Years ago, my tennis coach Don Henson told me a truism that holds for all sports: “There are three levels in this game. You have to be able to hit a shot in practice, in a match, and on a big point.”
  • Jalen Johnson is the key to this team’s season but his inconsistency is troubling. Tonight, he had almost as many turnovers as points—that’s not enough points and too many turnovers. And he was not on the court in many of the important closing minutes. Unless there is a larger Jalen-attitude or team-chemistry problem, this may be a fixable situation.  Johnson has shown periods of multiple talents – if he can sustain his good play consistently that would make this a different team on both ends of the floor.  An offense running through Jalen keeps Hurt from being double teamed, opens shots up for others, and strengthens the team defensively down low.
  • It’s a bad year for the Basketball Bluebloods: This was the first week since 1961 that neither Duke, Kentucky, or North Carolina are not ranked in the top twenty.

Next Play: Saturday, January 27, in Cameron versus Georgia Tech at 9 pm on ESPN


Duke 75- Georgia Tech 68 (Season 12 Issue 12 Game 11) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS:  Duke Basketball Playbook (DBP) 2020-2021 # 12

Headline:

  1. Duke’s defense stopped fouling, committing only 10 fouls in the entire game, while drawing 17.  The Devils allowed Georgia Tech to shoot only 5 free throws (4-5) while the Blue Devils went to the line 22 times.  The result was both a wonderful first half and “winning time” defense.
  2. Jordan Goldwire demonstrated how a solid lead guard runs an offense.  It was his career best performance – exactly what this team needs!  JGold didn’t start, but logged 35 minutes, including all 20 minutes of the second half.  He had 7 assists against a single turnover, while providing a steady guide.  On defense, JGold finally — at “winning time” —  shut down Georgia Tech’s star, Jose Alvarado, after Alvarado had had his own way for the entire second half (18 second half points). And, oh yes, Goldwire made THE WINNING PLAY OF THE GAME – with 1:01 to go and Duke leading by a single point, Georgia Tech had the ball striving to re-take the lead. At that crucial moment, JGold stole the ball from Alvarado. Duke ball with a chance to increase the lead. Duke did just that when JGold made 2 clutch free throws. Then he sealed the deal, by grabbing an offensive rebound with 18 seconds left, which closed out the game.
  3. D.J. Steward (19), Jalen Johnson (18; 16 in the second half) and Hurt (17) gave Duke a solid triumvirate of scorers.
  4. Mark Williams played 12 minutes (6 points; 6 rebounds and a steal).  He is earning more time and giving Duke a presence in the middle – especially on defense. 

Duke’s Defense 

Coach K at the post-Pittsburgh game press conference last Saturday: “We have to not foul as much.  In the last four games – it’s kind of crazy – our opponents have shot like 100 free throws and we have shot 50.  Are we using our hands too much?  We have to evaluate that.  It’s an extraordinary differential.  I’ve never had that with our program.  Most of the time we shoot more free throws.  But not that kind of a differential.  That’s too much.”   Those statistics were beyond dramatic – Louisville had SUNK TWICE AS MANY FREE THROWS AS DUKE ATTEMPTED!  Duke had been 7-9 (5-5 in the second half), while Louisville shot 18-24 from the stripe. 

Duke’s adjustments after the Louisville game were obviously effective.  This time, Duke beat Georgia Tech  at the foul line (18-22) just 3 days later, holding the Ramblin’ Wreck to a mere 5 attempts .  In the first half, the Blue Devils committed only 6 fouls – 2 by Roach, who started, but played less than 4 minutes in the second half (15 for the game); 2 by Jalen, which essentially took him out of the game in the first half (8 minutes; 2 points); and 2 by Moore.

In at least the first half, Devils played their best defense of the year, limiting the Ramblin’ Wreck to 10-31 from the field, including 3-13 from deep (32%), and kept Tech off the line (2-3).   Defensive woes reappeared in the second half, as Alvarado torched the young Devils with penetration, shooting, and passing.  Alvarado was simply unstoppable, shooting over Duke’s ineffective contests and then driving to the basket for layups or dazzling assists.  Duke’s defense had no answer… Alvarado was 7-9 from the field in the closing period, including 2-2 from behind the arc.  He dished 4 second-half assists and had 3 steals – 2 of which were hustle swipes from a Duke post (Hurt once and Johnson once).  Alvarado kept the Ramblin’ Wreck in the game almost single handedly.  But that changed dramatically with the game on the line and the clock winding down.

Against Virginia Tech, Pitt, and Louisville, Duke had been torched by the opponents’ respective stars in the last minutes, leading to 3 consecutive conference losses.  Last night against Georgia Tech, with the score so close and Alvarado in full swing, I was visualizing a fourth loss in the same fashion.  However, JGold stepped into the breach.  He hounded Alvarado, and made him give up the ball.  JGold and Duke gave up an Alvarado 3 with 3:21 to go, but the Tech star never scored again.  Goldwire was Duke’s most valuable player – especially with the game on the line!

The Offense

Scoring

Duke had four double digit scorers who racked up 65 of Duke’s 75 points.  D.J. Steward had a superb all-around game, while scoring 19 points in 37 and ½ minutes.  Steward was 5-12, including 3-6 from deep and, critically, 6-6 from the stripe.  He added 5 boards, 3 assists, and a steal, all without a turnover.  Matt Hurt likewise played 37 and ½ minutes, while scoring 17 points (6-11 from the field, but only 1-4 from deep and 4-6 from the line).  Matt was more valuable to the team than just his scoring —  he drew 7 fouls; he led Duke in rebounding with 8, and hit crucial difficult shots at crunch time.  

Jalen’s second half was his third “all world” half this season.   Being limited to a single field goal in the first half, Johnson flashed his “lottery selection” form in the second half with 16 points in 18 minutes.  After 1-3 in the first half, Jalen was 6-8 in the second, plus 4-6 from the stripe.  Johnson also grabbed 4 rebounds, while handing out 2 assists, and contributing 2 blocks and 2 steals, all without fouling.  While Jalen led Duke in the second half, Hurt also had 13 and D.J. 7, the three of them netting 36 of Duke’s 42 second-half points.  JGold’s 4 and Moore’s 2 were Duke’s remaining second-half scorers.

Leadership and Running the Offense

The fourth double digit scorer was Goldwire, who gets my “game ball” for this amazing all around performance.  JGold scored 11 in his 35 minutes (4-7 from the field, including perfect 1-1 from deep and 2-2 from the stripe) while handing out 7 assists against 1 turnover.  Coach K played him the entire second half because of his creative assists, reliable ball security, raptor-like defense, and, most of all, his compelling leadership.  JGold added 5 boards and 2 steals (one was the game winner).  Vindication after some serious struggles.  Duke will thrive with THIS JGold at the helm!

Future Potential

Mark Williams moved sharply ahead of the other big men, with 6 points and 6 rebounds (3 offensive).  Williams made the Tech defense contract in order to stop him from overpowering them down low.  Mark’s shooting range is still only one foot, but his potential – both personally and to the team – becomes apparent.

The Rotation

Matt and D.J. led the way with 37 and ½ minutes each, and JGold just behind with 35 minutes logged.  The remaining “starter minutes” were Wendell Moore with 29, and Jalen with only 24  —  as a result of being limited to only 8 first-half minutes because of his two quick personal fouls.  Duke used only two reserves for more than cameo appearances.  Mark Williams logged 12 potential-filled moments, and showed some excellent defense.  The other reserve was the slump-ridden Jeremy Roach.  

After his superb performance against Virginia Tech, Roach’s shot just stopped falling, and his floor game suffered as a result.  Against Georgia Tech, he logged almost 16 minutes, but less than 4 of those were in the second half.  His stats demonstrate why Coach K had no confidence in him with the game on the line.  Roach was (again) scoreless (0-3; all from deep) with 0 assists and 2 turnovers.  He contributed a rebound (in traffic) and a steal.  Duke needs him to return to his Virginia Tech shooting form.

In his press conference, Coach K complimented both Goldwire and Moore as providing great ball handling and much needed and valued leadership.  Moore’s play did not merit his inclusion with JGold, in my opinion.  K’s  praise, I believe, was more motivational for the future than an accurate assessment of Moore’s performance against the Ramblin’ Wreck.  In his 29 minutes, Moore scored only 4 (1-5; 2-2 from the line) while handing out 3 assists, but committing 4 turnovers and 3 personal fouls.  He grabbed 4 defensive rebounds, but had no steals.  Moore’s inconsistency is holding back this team’s growth.  He is still the player on this team that is the furthest from reaching his potential.

Cameo appearances were made by Jaemyn Brakefield (2 minutes; 2 boards and a missed shot); Henry Coleman III ( 3 and ½ minutes with a rebound); and the snake-bit Joey Baker, who managed 2 missed shots, including a wide open 3, and a turnover in his 2 minutes.

The Big Picture

This was a much needed win for Duke and is the reason for cautious optimism going forward.  The caution is warranted because Duke’s last four conference games have not been against elite teams.  For example, UNC visited Pitt last night and handed the Panthers, who beat Duke last Saturday, a 75-65 loss.  Duke has not faced the league-leading Virginia (11-1; 7-0 in the conference) or Florida State (8-1; 5-1).   Duke plays 2 more middle-of-the-ACC-pack teams next, Clemson and Miami, before being truly tested by UNC on February 6.  There is no question that this Duke win was positive medicine.

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

[CliffsNotes are abbreviated study guides for lazy and/or inattentive students that present  literary and other works in condensed, summarized form (with which I was more than a little familiar). Detractors of these study guides contend they let students bypass rigorous reading and deep understanding of the assignment]

  •  This was a pretty good imitation of Duke Basketball. Alan covered the details that tell the story: better defense, balanced scoring, getting to the foul line – and shooting 80%. As Ernie Lewis, my golf coach, always says: “Now, let’s confirm it (by repeating the shot)”. 
  • Mark Williams, who has been missing in action, was a productive force in the first half. In a year or so, I believe he will be the defensive center piece of a very good Duke team. Unfortunately, Joey Baker and Jeremy Roach are playing themselves out of significant playing time. I don’t understand why Brakefield isn’t the sixth man. He is big, athletic, and shoots the three better than anyone not named Matthew Hurt.
  • It was a pleasure watching Jordan Goldwire have such an instrumental role in this important win. I cannot remember any Duke player improving more in his tenure.

Next Play: Saturday, January 30, in Cameron versus Clemson at 12:00 pm on ESPN


Duke 79- Clemson 53 (Season 12 Issue 13 Game 12) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS: 

Against Clemson yesterday, Duke produced so many positives as the Devils’ played their best game of the season at both ends of the court that it is a pleasant quandary to decide which bag of goodies to open and analyze first.  ESPN’s so-called “bracketologist” opined Duke would not be invited into the NCAA tournament field.  ESPN statistics conceded only a 19.8% chance that Duke would  be invited, even after the win over Georgia Tech.  Duke’s performance against Clemson should send the resident “bracketoglogist” back to his Ouija Board to recalculate.  If, as Coach K and his players believe, the performance against Clemson constitutes the launching pad from which this young team continues to improve and “gel”, Duke is not only going to the NCAA tournament, but will also be a feared opponent for any team.  Duke’s performance against Clemson was transformational.  After 3 straight losses, I had written that “for reasons both understandable (few games, injuries, COVID’s distractions) and perplexing (talented players failing to play to their predicted potential), Duke has dramatically failed to live up to preseason expectations (Duke was ranked in the top 10 preseason and is now on the brink of failing to qualify for the NCAA tournament).  Why?  The whole is less than the sum of its parts! — so far.”

The Whole Was Dramatically Superior to the Sum of the Duke Parts

Duke was a fabulous cohesive unit against Clemson on both ends of the court.  On offense, the scoring was evenly balanced among 8 players.  Duke did not have a player in double figures in the first half even though the Blue Devils lit it up for 41 points.  Hurt led the first-half scoring with 8 points, followed by Jeremy Roach and Mark Williams with 7 each,  Moore with 6, Johnson and D.J. Steward with 5 each, and Joey Baker with a 3.   In the second half, Duke scored 38 points, with D.J. Steward’s 6 points leading the way.  Hurt, Moore, and Roach each scored 5; while Jalen, Mark Williams and JGold scored 4 each.  Joey Baker had a 3 (1-5 from long range in the closing stanza) and Mike Buckmire (walk on) scored his first basket for Duke’s last deuce.  That’s efficient balance! The team was a unified entity, whose cohesiveness came shining through. This was the Duke team finally in bloom.

Duke was just as in sync on the defensive end, shutting Clemson down so fiercely that, for all practical purposes, the game was over early in the first half.  In that opening period, Duke allowed Clemson just 16 points in the first 15:38; and only 8 points in the initial 12:37.  Duke’s switching was so smooth that an open look for a Clemson player was a rarity.  Duke led 41-22 at the half. It is a tribute to this young team that the Devils never allowed Clemson back in the game in spite of the human tendency to relax with such a big lead.  Coach K lauded, “At the start of the second half, we played like a veteran team and not allowing a big lead to determine how hard or how well we would play.”  Duke conceded just 53 points in the entire game to a team that won 9 of its first 10 games (before COVID caused an interruption to the Clemson season).  The Tigers beat Louisville (a team that beat Duke last Saturday) on Tuesday for its 10th win (10-4 prior to last night’s shellacking).  Duke put on a defensive performance worthy of Coach K’s philosophy.

The Continuing Tantalizing Emergence of Mark Williams

Elizabeth Williams’s baby brother, Mark, had his best game by far.  (Btw, her jersey hangs in the rafters with those of other all-time Duke greats).  In 14 minutes, Mark scored 11 points (4-6 from the field and 3-5 from the line), while grabbing 5 boards and blocking a shot.  Bill and I both believe that he had several back taps on offensive rebounds that resulted in Duke’s continuing possession that was not accounted for in the stat sheet.  Mark is Duke’s best rim protector and is learning both defense and how to be a force on the interior.  If Williams’ improvement continues, it is another reason no team will want to face Duke in the early rounds of the tournament (not in the later rounds either to be fair, but getting to the later rounds makes a successful season).  Coach K is pleased: “A big thing for Mark is because we weren’t able to play a lot of games in exhibitions, it took him a while to learn what college basketball is all about physicality wise. In the last week or 10 days, he’s really got a good understanding of that. He can be physical without fouling and someone can be physical with you and not foul. … the other thing is moving your feet and he’s done a good job with it.” 

Duke’s Defense Has Stopped Fouling in the Last Two Games

After a foul-prone and shoddy defense in the early going, the Blue Devils played a second straight game of efficient defense without fouling.  The improvement has been breathtaking, and allowed Coach K to retire the zone that had been employed as a band aid (primarily employed to protect Duke from fouling opponents who were driving to the hoop).  Duke played man-to-man the way Duke has done in the Coach K era.  The Blue Devils committed only 6 fouls in the opening half; 13 for the game.  Steward and Hurt each committed 2 first-half fouls, but only a single second-half foul apiece.  Moore committed 3 second-half fouls.  Those three were the only Duke players with as many as 3 fouls.  What a difference that makes!

Goldwire’s Floor Generalship Continued

JGold had lost his starting position for the game against Georgia Tech last Tuesday, and then came off the bench to play the best game of his career, leading Duke in his 35 minutes.  Goldwire was rewarded with the start against Clemson, and his play was just as good, maybe better.  He was the steady hand throughout, handing out 5 assists without a turnover.  JGold also contributed 2 steals and 6 rebounds while scoring 4 points (2-6 from the field including 0-3 from deep).  Coach K had Goldwire on the floor for 34 minutes (substantially more than any other Duke player) demonstrating who Coach K believes  has the ability to lead this team. JGold’s reemergence is a  big part of why the whole is beginning to exceed the parts.

The Offense and The Rotation

Transformingly, Duke had 20 assists against only 9 turnovers.  Jalen joined JGold with 5 assists each, while Hurt, Roach and Steward had 3 each.  Moore had the other assist.  D.J. did not have his best game, turning it over 4 times.  He committed 2 offensive fouls in 90 seconds in the early going, which resulted in Coach K substituting for him.  Duke’s scoring was efficiently balanced.  Hurt in 28 minutes led with 13 (4-7 from the field, including a cold 1-4 from deep, but 4-4 from the stripe); Roach bounced back with a solid game, scoring 12 (4-7 from the field, including 2-5 from deep and 2-2 from the foul line) while handing out 3 assists in 23 and ½ minutes; Wendell Moore (24 minutes), Mark (14 minutes) and D.J. (22 minutes) each scored 11.  Jalen added 9 in his 28 minutes of superb all around play.  Baker added 6 (2-6 from deep) in 14 minutes; and JGold’s 4 rounded out the scoring from those logging starter minutes.

Besides the 8 scorers above, Brakefield (4 minutes), Tapé and Coleman (2 and 1/2 minutes each) were all scoreless.

The Big Picture

As Coach K expressed, “We’re not this outstanding team. We’re a good team with great kids who are trying to get through this whole thing without the experience of a Fall and a non-conference. With a younger team, it’s going to take time.”  However, you can see this team grow as Jalen’s all around talent flowers, JGold and Roach emerge from slumps, D.J. burnishes his sizzle, and Elizabeth’s baby brother becomes a force.  Hurt has been an improvement over last year in every aspect of his game.  The potential for a season to make Duke fans smile has not been extinguished.

The calendar now turns to February with two games this week – at Miami on Monday and the initial game against UNC in Cameron next Saturday.  The test is for Duke to achieve consistency in its performances without serious backsliding.  This is a team that could fulfill its potential and make ESPN’s “bracketologist” eat every syllable of his dire prediction, or, if the improvement stagnates or dissolves, it will make him look like a seer.  We are all on for this ride, which looks far more promising than it did a week ago.

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

[CliffsNotes are abbreviated study guides for lazy and/or inattentive students that present  literary and other works in condensed, summarized form (with which I was more than a little familiar). Detractors of these study guides contend they let students bypass rigorous reading and deep understanding of the assignment]

  •  Two in a row! Well, I guess Coach K’s job is safe for a while longer. 
  • Deep into the first half, I thought ESPN2 was showing a tape from the good old days when Duke played good defense which led to good, loosey, goosey offense. Holy top ten, Dickie V, look at that ball movement and touch passes. These guys look like they have been playing together for years. And is that Elizabeth Williams’ not-so-little bro Mark (11 points, 5 rebounds and 2 blocks in 14 minutes) playing like his All-American Big Sis?
  • I couldn’t resist…. called Johnny Tar Heel to be sure he could see what a well-coached team looked like.
  • In Coach K’s words: “In the three losses, we were in position to win at certain moments. 55-55 against Virginia Tech and three straight exchanges, we were horrible offensively and it hurt us. Against Pitt, it was a one possession game. Against Louisville, we took a step up and really played well enough to be deserving of winning. It wasn’t like you messed up … you just missed. We’re not this outstanding team. We’re a good team with great kids who are trying to get through this whole thing without the experience of a Fall and a non-conference. With a younger team, it’s going to take time. They may never develop because you could lose confidence. Our guys are continuing to work hard and hopefully we can continue that against Miami on Monday.”

Next Play: Monday, February 1, in Cameron versus Miami at 7:00 pm on ESPN


Duke 75- Miami 77 (Season 12 Issue 14 Game 13) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS: 

Before the game began last night, I texted Bill that this was a classic “trap” game, which would make the game more of a nail-biter than the difference between the two teams suggested it would be.  Duke was a double-digit favorite after the best outing of the season against Clemson on Saturday.  Miami was 2-9 in the league, shooting under 30 % from behind the arc and giving up a league-high number of deep 3s on the other end.  But other human factors lurked.  Duke had only a day to savor the destruction of Clemson, which was based on Duke’s best defensive effort of the year (all man-to-man), handing out 20 assists and scoring at will on offense. And the young Devils were salivating for their first experience in the Duke-UNC classic rivalry on Saturday (February 6).  The Blue Devils had won two in a row, and would actually contend for the ACC title, if Miami and UNC were conquered as the calendar turned Crucial February.  In hindsight, it is obvious that Duke went to Miami expecting to win easily.  Although Bill dissents [See his CliffsNotes below], the”human factor” scenario is the classic set up for the “trap” into which these young Devils stumbled.

Humble crow will be consumed by your authors.  I retract my snarky reference to ESPN’s “so-called Bracketology guru”, whom I derided for predicting Duke would fail to be invited to the NCAA tournament.  There is no disputing that the Blue Devils did not appear to be NCAA worthy last night.  Bill’s snark to Johnny Tar Heel was a similarly rendered fandom-driven error by Duke’s soggy play against Miami.  (Nice response from Johnny Tar Heel in the CliffsNotes.)

Duke’s Descent to Previous Incompetence Is So Disappointing After the Transformation Against Clemson

Coach K’s perfect words are too bitter-tasting to put in my own mouth, so I’ll let him speak for both of us: “I’m disappointed in our team. It was a quick turnaround. We had two really good games and we acted like a really young team against a team that’s had a lot of—they’re still talented. Jim’s team’s talented. They’re older and they’ve lost close games  …  I don’t know on the quick turnaround if our guys felt this was going to be easy. We did not play well, bottom line. We can go through a whole bunch of things; I didn’t think we competed. I thought we were soft and I saw it in practice yesterday and tried to take steps to change that and we were not able to change it. I’m really disappointed in our team. They did not play like a Duke basketball team tonight and obviously I’m responsible for that. The last two games we won and were deserving to win; we were not tonight. We threw the ball to them about five times and threw it right to them and they got layups and we were very soft. We were very soft and just extremely disappointed, extremely disappointed. … When you get a one-possession lead, if you are really fighting this game, you get a stop. We did not get stops and a couple times just gave them the ball and they got something free. 

“They are really young and for us to win, we have to play really hard and well together. We’re just a good basketball team. We don’t have the old—we have talent, don’t get me wrong. We have to really play hard to win and if we don’t play hard, we’re going to lose. If we play hard, we still might lose. We’re going to get better and get after it, but we didn’t play hard tonight. It’s sad. It really is sad. … The best teacher is experience in anything and you have to learn from those experiences. Yeah, we brought that up like don’t be happy, be hungry. I told them, if we do the job, be happy on Tuesday and be really happy and giddy and so none of that worked. None of that worked. Again, that’s on me and I’m not just saying that. It is on me to get your message across. I wasn’t able to get my message across.”  (Emphasis added)

How Bad Was it?

Mark Williams, in just under 15 minutes, had twice as many assists as the combined efforts of D.J.(0 assists in 33 minutes), JGold (1 assist in 35 minutes), and Roach (0 assists in 12 minutes).  After dishing out 20 assists with only  8 turnovers against Clemson, against Miami, against Miami, Duke had only 8 assists (Moore, 3; Williams and Jalen Johnson each with 2 + Goldwire’s only 1), but 13 turnovers (Jalen, 4, JGold, 3, and Moore 2).  Duke threw the ball away repeatedly, had passes tipped and intercepted so frequently that 13 turnovers seems like an artificially low number.  In the second half, with the game on the line, Duke had only 2 assists (JGold’s only one plus one for Moore).  The Blue Devils were 5-18 from behind the arc and shot less than 50% from the field.  The offense was truly awful, but Duke lost the game on the defensive end.  As Coach K succinctly put it, “We couldn’t stop them. Our man-to-man was horrible.”  Duke retreated to the zone, and was destroyed.  Miami put the ball in the middle of the zone as soon as Duke’s perimeter edged out to prevent Miami’s 3 point shooting.  The zone was the same disaster that it has been recently.  Coach K: “It didn’t matter what we played, we didn’t play it well.”  Miami has been one of the worst deep-shooting teams in all of college basketball.  Last night, Duke “held” Miami to 5-6 from deep in the second half and over 50 % for the game.  Miami shot over 60% from the field in the second half (17-28), while torching the Blue Devils with 44 second-half points.  Duke did not even try to even try to contest Miami’s perimeter shots – sometimes there was not even a Blue Devil in the camera frame when Miami players launched.  Duke shots were contested; Miami’s were not.  Miami scored on layups, almost without resistance (40 points in the paint).  Even when Duke seemingly achieved a stop; the Devils could not complete the successful defensive sequence by securing the rebound of the missed shot.  Allowing second-chance points was one of Duke’s defensive soft spots..  

The final play of the game serves perhaps as a snapshot of Duke’s futility against the Hurricanes:  Miami kept the door open for Duke by missing crucial foul shots.  With 4.3 seconds left and Duke down by 2 (the final score), the Devils had to foul.  Astonishingly, Miami left the door ajar by missing the front end of the 1 and 1.  Duke had a chance to tie or win, but failed to even get a shot off.  Sloppy possession at the single most crucial moment of the game.

The Rotation

Coach K traditionally reduces the rotation when fine-tuning Duke for the run up to the post-season.  Last night, it was apparent that the calendar had changed.  If one discounts Joey Baker’s 2 minute cameo (without a statistic) in the second half, only 7 Duke players saw game action.  

Matt Hurt played a game high 38 minutes scoring a Duke-leading 21 points (7-14 from the field, including a disastrous 1-6 from deep, and a compensating 6-7 from the line).  However, Matt grabbed only 3 boards and turned it over once.  He added a block.

Wendell Moore played his best game in some time. In 35 minutes he scored an efficient 18 points on only 9 attempts (7-9 from the field, including 1-1 from deep and 3-3 from the stripe), while dishing out a Duke-high 3 assists (2 turnovers),  corralling 6 boards, and making a steal.  Moore is Duke’s most positive takeaway from this extremely disappointing game.

Jordan Goldwire played badly (after 2 great games) in his 35 minutes, scoring only 5 points (2-10 from the field including missing wide open layups; 1-4 from deep).  JGold turned it over 3 times (with only a single assist).  He had a pair of steals.  His play has mirrored Duke’s performances — both against Clemson (wonderful!) and against Miami (ugh!).

D.J. Steward scored 14 points on 13 shots in his 34 minutes (5-13 from the field, including 2-5 from 3land, and 2-2 from the stripe).  D.J. grabbed 6 rebounds (he is a terrific rebounding guard), but failed to dish out an assist, while turning it over once.  Duke was not able to press and run against Miami (D.J. thrives when the Devils do that); Duke had only 4 fast break points.

Jalen Johnson continues to perplex with his dramatic inconsistency.  The gurus believe he is a lottery pick and will be one-and-done.  Not judging from last night’s checkered performance!  In 26 minutes, Jalen scored 13 (6-12 from the field, including 0-1 from behind the arc and 1-1 from the stripe).  He led Duke in rebounding with 7, and handed out 2 assists against a troubling 4 turnovers.  Jalen played a strong second half after a desultory first period where he scored only 2 points in 12 minutes. Like the Longfellow poem, “when [he] was good, [he] was very very good, but when [he] was bad, [he] was horrid.”

Mark Williams, playing for 16 minutes, made his only field goal attempt,for 2 points.  However, he contributed 3 rebounds, 4 blocked shots, 2 assists and a steal, while committing 2 fouls and a turnover.  He played only 6 second-half minutes.  His upside is hard to miss or ignore.

Jeremy Roach failed to contribute meaningfully after his excellent outing against Clemson.  Jeremy scored 2 points in 14 minutes (1-3; 0-1 from deep) without an assist (1 turnover).  Roach played only 5 second-half minutes.

Duke went with the starters for the entire second half – Hurt 20 minutes, Moore and Goldwire 18 minutes each, D.J. 17 minutes, and Jalen 14.  It is hard to imagine how that unit could have played worse on defense, allowing Miami over 60% shooting, while giving up 44 points. 

The Big Picture

Carolina comes to Cameron on Saturday, giving the young Blue Devils a chance to earn their way into The Big Dance.  They were well on the outside of the tournament even before last night’s humiliation, according to ESPN “bracketology”.  If the Duke team that slaughtered Clemson shows up, Duke will have better than a fighting chance.  If the team that traveled to Miami plays Carolina on Saturday, I am not looking forward to writing the next DBP.

Game on!  Season On!

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

[CliffsNotes are abbreviated study guides for lazy and/or inattentive students that present  literary and other works in condensed, summarized form (with which I was more than a little familiar). Detractors of these study guides contend they let students bypass rigorous reading and deep understanding of the assignment]

Alan called this a “trap game”.  I disagree, because a definition of a “trap game” is one in which a playoff contender faces a losing team, but one that still has some motivation for playing hard, and possesses some matchup advantages. That is oh for two, because:

 1). Duke is a pretender not a contender. A reminder of what the great NFL Coach Bill Parcells said: “ You are what your record says you are.”

2). Except for Boston College, Miami is the worst team in a suddenly mediocre ACC — AND was missing four starters.

After Duke’s disappointing start to the season and a couple of impressive wins, an inability to “get up” or whatever for a “gimme” momentum game is just inexcusable for such formerly highly rated players. And speaking of overrated, despite a number of impressive plays, even halves, Jalen Johnson is too inconsistent….makes too many silly, casual mistakes—travelling, sloppy passes, fouls, not consistently playing hard and smart—to make my draft list.

 Coach K: “I told them, ‘if you come down to Miami to play, you will lose. If you come down to Miami to compete, we will win’. . . . A single game is the most selfish thing in our game. It is selfish because it does not care about what you did in the previous game. It does not care what you’re going to do in a future game. If you do not come completely immersed in it, it will not reward you.”

Johnny Tar Heel texted me: “I liked what Coach K had to say. Let’s face it, these one-and-done hot shots don’t have the maturity or guts to compete consistently at this level. They’ve been pampered and told how great they were from the 9th grade. But do they know how to compete? Nobody is going to roll over for them particularly this year when Duke hasn’t been near as good or dominant as in years past.”

Next Play: Saturday February 6, in Cameron versus UNC at 6:00 pm on ESPN


Duke 87-UNC 91 (Season 12 Issue 15 Game 14) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS: 

I had a good feeling for a Duke win after the Jeykll-Hyde first half, in which the Blue Devils went from a somnambulist team that trailed the dominant Tar Heels by 10 with 8:21, to gaining the lead by 3 with 2:53 remaining — when Joey Baker cashed a 3.  Duke’s last lead of the half was by a point with just under 2:00 left in the half.  Duke never regained the lead, though the score was tied a couple of times down the second-half stretch..  My optimism was fueled by context and past performance.  UNC had shot 67% from behind the arc (6-9) in the opening stanza after its season-long frustration from deep.  The law of averages said UNC would return to bad form.  [Wrong: The Tar Heels continued at 67% — 4-6 from deep in the second half]. 

Going into the game, Mathew Hurt was scoring at almost 19 points per game, while shooting over 50%, including 40% from deep.  He has been Duke’s best and most (only) consistent player all year.  Hurt had been basically AWOL in the first half, failing to score a single point (0-1 from deep was his only shot attempt!) and grabbing only a single rebound (Hurt had been averaging over 7 a game).  Worse, he had committed 2 fouls while being dominated on the interior by the Carolina bigs.  (For example, Brooks, who is 6’10” and powerfully built, scored 10 first-half points).  Surely, the law of averages would contribute to Hurt having a superb second half. [Wrong: Hurt had still not scored when he committed his third foul with 11:22 left in the game.  Hurt got untracked with 5 points in the next 2 minutes, drawing Duke within 2 with 8:21 left.  Then,  Matt committed foul # 4 with 6:54 to go before tying the game at 77 with 4:43 left on a dexterous turnaround jumper.  However, optimism disappeared when Hurt fouled out seconds later, leaving Duke without its leading scorer at “winning time”.]

Duke started Jeremy Roach and D.J. Steward in the backcourt (along with Hurt, Wendell Moore and Mark Williams), while leaving Goldwire on the bench.  Duke’s turnover issues were apparent from the tip-off.  The Blue Devils turned it over on their first few possessions.  I believed that Goldwire and Jalen would steady Duke down in the second half. [Wrong: Duke gave up more points on live ball turnovers (29) than it had in many years.]

Carolina big guys had their way against the Duke defense, scoring at will on layups and put backs.  I thought Duke would emphasize rim protection and blocking out to cut down the Tar Heel advantage. [Wrong: UNC flat out killed Duke on the boards in the second half, out rebounding Duke 10-9 off Duke’s defensive backboard.  In addition to the 6’10” Brooks, Bacot (also 6’10”), and Sharpe (a 265 lb powerhouse) had their way when UNC missed a shot.  There were times when the Heels had 3 -4 shots on a single possession.  Duke’s only double digit rebounders in the closing period were Hurt with 2 and Jalen with 4.]

The Second Half was Different in Many Ways

There is no disputing that the Blue Devils did not appear to be NCAA-worthy last night.  A team that was ranked No. 9 in the AP’s preseason poll is on a trajectory to miss the NCAA tournament for the first time since 1995. “That is the Blue Devils’ fate, unless a miracle occurs and, indeed, starts occurring right now,” wrote ESPN on its website.  This team has players who have justly earned high level reputations, yet Duke has not at this point come close to “gelling into an efficient team.”  It is apparent that Coach K is as puzzled as we are. 

Coach K, “We just have to keep playing. I don’t have a long-term goal. My goal is to get ready for Notre Dame now. You start playing all those games, and again, people play those games, that’s what sports are about, but we can’t do that. We just have to work hard and take it one game at a time. Our guys are improving. They’re working hard. They’re coming in for extra work. They have great attitudes. They’re a young group. They were a team that were deserving to win too. And that’s all I ask for my teams is to keep playing that way. I believe in them and we’re going to keep working with them.”

Duke was efficient offensively in the second half, scoring 48 points by going small, to create penetration on offense and to press on defense.  The resulting Duke defense could hardly have been worse.  Duke gave up 50 second-half points!  Every Carolina 3 point attempt was uncontested and wide-open.  Carolina’s big guys creamed Duke’s rebounders.  Duke could not protect its own rim and ended up fouling excessively (12 in the second half).  Even in desperation, with Duke’s man-to-man being shredded, Coach K was unwilling to risk the zone defense which had proved so porous in recent games.

Essentially, Duke re-created all of its shortcomings against Miami last Tuesday, in this game against UNC. 

The Rotation Was Dramatically Different

Coach K traditionally reduces his rotation when fine-tuning Duke for the run up to post-season.  Last night, it was apparent that Coach K’s philosophy had changed to meet his team’s failure to develop an effective First Five and solid rotation.  Duke played 9, adding Joey Baker and Henry Coleman III to the 7 man rotation that Coach K had used against Miami.  Both contributed admirably. 

Baker hunted his shot and scored 11 points in just over 18 minutes (4-8, including 3-7 from behind the arc) to go with a rebound, an assist, and a blocked shot (2 turnovers). 

Coleman was a revelation, playing superbly on the interior both offensively and defensively.  He (and Jalen) gave Duke some grit inside.  In just over 12 minutes, Coleman scored 4 (2-2 on a layup and a put back) grabbed 2 rebounds, handed out 2 assists (without a turnover), blocked a shot, and drew 3 fouls (unfortunately, 0-2 from the stripe).  His performance will earn him more playing time, I predict.

Mark Williams is getting double digit minutes on the court, and producing – especially on the defensive end with blocked shots and rebounds.  Against the oversized Tar Heels, Williams pulled down 8 rebounds and blocked 3 shots in 14 and ½ minutes.  He added a field goal on two attempts. On the downside, Mark committed a foul and turned it over once.  Inexplicably, Duke was minus 19 while he was on the court.  

Jalen Johnson continues to perplex with his dramatic inconsistency – for the second straight game, his was a tale of two different halves.  Jalen played a strong second half after a mediocre first period where he scored only 4 points in just under 11 minutes.  However, Jalen turned it around in the second half,    scoring 10 second-half points, giving him 14 for the game (6-12, including 2-2 from deep), while he grabbed 5 boards, handed out 5 assists, to go with a block and a steal.  On the downside, he committed 3 fouls and turned it over twice. He (and Jordan Goldwire) led Duke in the second half. If Duke is going to make a run to qualify for the NCAA tournament, Jalen must morph into a consistently excellent player.  He has the talent to do that.

Jordan Goldwire played a great second half after a middling opening period.  He did not start, and contributed only 2 first-half foul shots without a first-half assist, while turning it over twice.  In the second half, JGold morphed into the floor leader Duke needs.  In the closing stanza, Goldwire scored 5 points in a little over 13 minutes (2-3, including 1-1, a crucial 3) while handing out 4 assists without a turnover.  On defense, he made 3 steals while disrupting the UNC half-court offense. 

Matt Hurt was rendered virtually useless by UNC.  When Coach K was asked how UNC accomplished that, he said,  “Well, the physicality of the game. They’re huge. When you have to guard those big guys, it wears you out. They played really good defense, especially early, and knocked us back. They knocked us back at the beginning of each half. And then we came back in each half but not far enough.”

Wendell Moore is regaining the form he showed last year, which landed him on the preseason Wooden Watch list.  In just under 30 minutes, he scored 15 (6-9 from the field, including 1-3 from deep and 2-3 from the stripe), while dishing out 4 assists (2 turnovers), corralling 5 boards, and making a steal.  But with 15 seconds to go in the game and Duke down 2 points, with possession of the ball, Moore turned the ball over by committing a traveling violation on a final drive to the basket.

D.J. Steward scored 11 game points in his 23 minutes (5-10 from the field, including 1-1 from 3land, but shockingly failed to get to the stripe).  But, in the second half, D.J. turned it over twice without an assist, while scoring only 4.

Jeremy Roach had a really good game, leading Duke in scoring with 16 points in 27 minutes (7-14 from the field, but 0nly 2-6 on wide open deep shots, and not a single trip to the line).  The best news is that Roach notched 5 assists against only 2 turnovers and added a steal.  Roach will develop into a solid ACC point guard.  The question is whether he can do it this season.

The Big Picture

Coach K, “People earn starting, and they have to keep earning it. That’s part of the growth. We have all these young guys; you have to keep earning it. That’s been part of our program.  Mark (Williams) has been playing really well. Tonight’s game was a very difficult one. It was so physical inside, and he was not ready for that level. He will be. Then offensively they really clogged up the lane when he was in. I thought Henry [Coleman III] gave us an amazing boost. We just have to keep looking at different things for our team and keep getting better. The kids have great attitudes and great work ethics, and that’s what I’m looking for. However that turns out, it’ll turn out the best that it could turn out based on good attitudes and work ethic. It may not reach the level of expectations of other people, but if our kids do that it’ll reach the level of expectation for me. I’ve coached some real young teams before and you gotta stay with it. You gotta stay with it.”

In past seasons, Duke has been superb in the final minutes of the games.  However, the final play against UNC again served as a snapshot of this season’s Devils’ futility in the clutch:  Duke failed dramatically against Miami last Tuesday even after the Hurricanes kept the door open for Duke by missing crucial foul shots.  With 4.3 seconds left and Duke down by 2 (the final score), the Devils had a chance to tie or win, but failed to even get a shot off.  Against UNC, Duke had the ball, down 2 with 15 seconds left.  Moore drove but then turned it over with a traveling violation.  Sloppy possession at the single most crucial moment of the game … again! 

The schedule gets more difficult now, with 8 conference games remaining before the ACC tournament.  After a game in Durham against The Fighting Irish (Feb 9), Duke travels to NC State and Wake Forest before returning home.  The Devils then play Louisville, Syracuse and UVA at Cameron.  Duke finishes on the road against Georgia Tech, and then on to UNC for the ever exciting Senior Night, this year in Chapel Hill.  Duke is now 5-5 in the conference and 7-7 on the season.  Not what the gurus predicted in November.

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

The last time Duke and North Carolina played a basketball game when both were unranked was 1960, which is so long ago Vic Bubas was in his first year as coach, Art Heyman was a freshman (not eligible to play on the varsity), and Alan Silber and I were seniors (in college, not in life, as is the case now). My kids used to refer to those as “the olden days”—and that was in the 1980’s.  Nevertheless, I must point out that was also the year Duke won their first Atlantic Coast Conference (established  June, 1953) Tournament Championship, beating South Carolina, North Carolina, and Wake Forest, therefore, being the only ACC team to play in the NCAA Tournament (that was the league rule in those days).

Needless to say, there is a reason both teams are unranked again in 2021, for the first time in 61 years. As Johnny Tar Heel, with whom I watched the game, says: “Neither is a very good team. However, it still is Duke vs. Carolina minus the Cameron Crazies– and still counts. The fact that the Tar Heels scored 91 points and Duke 87 (the most each team has scored this year) speaks volumes about the defensive deficiencies of each team. To their credit, the Heels, big but a notoriously poor shooting team, hit 10 of 15 three point shots and had 15 more free throw attempts than the Devils. However, to John’s point, they hit only 13 of 22 (59%) free throws. What does that tell you? It indicates to me that until the Blue Devils start playing better defense, and smarter (why are Hurt and Johnson so often in foul trouble?), they are a mediocre basketball team. And, when their 6’10” best scorer (Hurt) is pushed around, held to 7 points, 5 rebounds, and fouls out with five minutes to play, he is not NBA ready—nor frankly is any other player.

Coach K did not start Johnson and Goldwire, saying that all players earn starting and playing time in practice, and played ten men, which is not a rotation I can remember this deep into the season. So, apparently he and his staff have not yet solved the riddle of this group of young, inconsistent players who are not yet ready for prime time. Perhaps there is just no there there on this team– or, perhaps the Basketball Gods are punishing Duke for all the close games the Blue Devils have stolen from the Tar Heels over the years.

 Johnny Tar Heel says: “Payback is a bitch, baby. Deal with it!”

Next Play: Tuesday February 9, in Cameron, versus Notre Dame, at 4:30 pm on ACCN


Duke 89-Notre Dame 93 (Season 12 Issue 16 Game 15) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS: 

Defense

“I am most concerned about Duke’s ability to keep the opposition from offensive put-backs and rebounds and to defend the rim against drives.  My take is, this season depends on how well Duke can defend.”

As Thomas Jefferson sings in the musical “Hamilton”:
“These are wise words, enterprising men quote ’em
“Don’t act surprised, you guys, ’cause I wrote ’em!”

And in fact I did write those words in the preseason (DBP#1).   If you want to know why Duke will fail to qualify for the NCAA tournament for the first time since 1995, look no further than the defensive disaster this season has become.  Against a Notre Dame team that was coming off a devastating loss to Georgia Tech, and was overall 8-10 for the season, Duke gave up 48 second-half points, allowing the Fighting Irish to shoot 16 for 28 from the field.  The Irish shot 53% for the game and punished the Duke defense with every offensive move, whether on the perimeter or in the paint.  Unfortunately, Duke is displaying a disappointing consistency on defense.  UNC put up 91 points (50 in the second half), shooting the lights out with uncontested shot after uncontested shot.  Thus, Duke surrendered 98 points combined in the second halves of their last two games.  Duke’s celebrated man-to-man defense has not been this inefficient in decades.

         Guarding the Perimeter

The problem begins with the Devils’ defenders unable to prevent the offensive player from sweeping to the basket.  There were times it was downright embarrassing watching the Notre Dame guards use the pump fake, or refuse the screen, to create straight line uncontested layups.  D.J. was a consistent victim, as was Wendell Moore (who had an otherwise superb performance).  “In the first-half, we over-helped,” Coach K said. “Part of their scheme is, they have really good spacing. . . . They got three 3s in a row with our over-help. Ryan really went by us a couple of times. We pressured him like he picked up his dribble instead of controlling the dribble. Our guys are playing hard but you’ve got to play that smarter.”

         Guarding the Pick and Roll

The young Blue Devils were even worse trying to guard ball screens.  The Fighting Irish guards made wide open perimeter shots.  When Duke tried to go over the screen, Notre Dame fed their rolling big men  open layups.  When help arrived (usually late), the rollers then fed their interior partner for another uncontested lay up.  Duke was almost always a rotation short.  Wendell Moore said in his post-game interview. “We couldn’t get a stop. They got every shot they wanted, they got every 3 they wanted.”

         Fouling

Duke returned to its “icky” fouling, putting one of the best foul shooting teams in the nation on the foul line, repeatedly.  The Fighting Irish made Duke pay!  Notre Dame got into the bonus with around nine minutes left in the second half, and hit 18-of-20 from the charity stripe. “We’ve got to try not to foul . . . and listen to the scouting report,” Moore said. “They were getting fouled and getting to the foul line. . . . we can’t expect to win when we put a great free-throw shooting team on the line.”

         Options

It appears that Coach K, based on what he has seen in this seasons’ games, has given up on the zone defense as an option, even when his man-to-man has been shredded.  Early in the season, Duke had some success with a pressing, trapping, gambling defense.  It appeared to me that smaller quicker players like Steward, Moore, and Goldwire had success in deflections in the passing lanes leading to live ball turnovers and transition baskets.  Duke has not employed such a gambling defense in its last 3 losses (Miami, UNC and ND).

What Is The Jalen Johnson Story?

The announcers continue to describe Jalen as “a lottery pick” with amazing talent.  Certainly, he has had a few amazing performances (none lasting more than a single half), but his playing time has been reduced as Duke has been losing.  There is no question that he has failed to perform to reputation in recent games.  His lack of on-court time against the Irish is beyond puzzling.  Noteworthy: he was not on the floor for the last 5:04 of the game where the outcome was being decided.  He played only 8 second-half minutes, scoring just 3 points (1-3, only making the 1 shot from behind the arc) with 0 rebounds, and a crucial turnover.  Jalen re-entered the game with 8:51 to go.  Duke led 80- 78 with 6:21 to go when the wheels started to come off.  With 5:39 to go,  Jalen made a really bad pass, which was easily intercepted.  Notre Dame missed the layup, but their “big man”, Juwan Durham, dunked the offensive rebound giving Notre Dame a lead. Coach K then pulled Jalen, who never re-entered the game.  This “lottery pick” played a total of 15 game minutes, scoring 8 (3-6 from the field, including 2-2 from deep).  In that brief appearance, Jalen committed two fouls without drawing a foul, and made 3 turnovers without grabbing a single rebound.  Inexplicable…unless there’s a story we don’t know about?

Failure When The Game Is On the Line

Roach tied the game at 83 with a clutch 3 at the 4:49 mark.  Duke did not score again for the next 3:06, with Roach, Hurt, Moore, and Baker all missing their shots.  Duke failed to convert on two promising fast break opportunities.  Moore finally scored to pull Duke within 2 points (85-83) with 1:43 to go.  Duke got the ball back with a chance to tie or take the lead with 1:10 to go when the critical bad play occurred – just as it did against Miami; just as it did against UNC.  Duke advanced into the front court, where Roach immediately committed an obvious offensive foul.  Hubb hit a circus 3 from deep, giving the Fighting Irish an insurmountable 5 point lead with 37 seconds to go.  Juwan Durham was 5-5 for the Irish at crunch time, all on offensive rebounds — disastrous! Duke couldn’t get a stop, even when the first Irish shot missed.

The Rotation

         The Good

Wendell Moore notched a double-double, while playing his best game of the season. In almost 35 minutes, he scored 24 points (9-16 from the field, including 2-5 from deep and 4-4 from the line).  He led Duke with 10 rebounds, had 3 assists without a turnover, and committed only a single foul.  He led by example and is finally rounding into the form that was expected of him at the beginning of the year.  He was terrific!

Jeremy Roach also played extraordinarily well, leading Duke in scoring in his game-high 37 minutes.  He is now the Duke point guard.  Roach scored 16 (7-12 from the field, including 2-4 from deep, without getting to the foul line).  He handed out 2 assists against a single turnover.  He added 2 steals.  But committed 4 personal fouls.

Mark Williams continues to improve and contribute. In almost 19 minutes, he tallied 8 on 4-7 from the field (missed his only free throw attempt), while pulling down 4 boards, blocking a pair of shots and handing out an assist, all without a turnover.  Duke played especially well while he was on the court.

Henry Coleman III – had a brief 3 minute cameo where he scored on an offensive rebound and converted the foul shot for a traditional 3 point play.

         The Bad

Goldwire and Hurt both seem to have regressed.  Hurt played 32 minutes, scoring only a modest 13 points (5-10, including 1-4 from deep and 2-2 from the stripe).  He had only 4 boards; just one in the second half.  Hurt seemed a step slow on defense and without his usual  rebounding intensity.  JGold’s playing time was reduced to 20 minutes(11 in the second half), during which he failed to score. 

D.J. Steward seems to have lost his dazzle.  In his 21+ minutes, he scored 10, but committed 4 turnovers.  He was clearly more efficient earlier this season.

         The Ugly

Joey Baker has been woeful. He hit a 3 for his only points in 16 minutes (1-5, including 1-3 from deep), while committing 3 fouls.

Brakefield has made only cameo appearances recently, but did not appear at all in this game against Notre Dame.

Tapé may be hurt, or may have just played his way out of the rotation. With Mark Williams earning more playing time and Coleman beginning to contribute, Tapé will have a hard time getting back on the court.

The Big Picture

The schedule gets even more difficult now, with only 7 conference games remaining before the ACC tournament.  Duke travels to NC State and Wake Forest, before returning home to take on Louisville, Syracuse, and UVA at Cameron.  Duke finishes on the road against Georgia Tech, and then on to another UNC (Senior Night) showdown.  It is now clear that Duke’s only chance of qualifying for the NCAA tournament is a win or deep run in the ACC tournament.  Unfortunately, seeming completely unlikely.  

So what is the role of Duke Fans following and rooting for an under-achieving team?  Perhaps, as Duke fans, we need to experience what the rest of college hoop fandom routinely go through.  We need to be tough during the losing times just as well as we are giddy and snarky in the winning days.  And then there is always hope.  The Duke 2015 National Championship team lost in the semi-finals of the ACC tournament, but somehow made the changes that morphed into the awesome defensive team that won.  And, as I have heard said, “hope springs eternal.”

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

After the first seven minutes, during which the Blue Devils played like a contender and went up by fifteen, I held my breath as Notre Dame started scoring points. Then I thought I was watching a rerun of the Carolina game and had a very uneasy feeling about the outcome. The second half confirmed that feeling.

This year, there is something(s) wrong with this team that Coach K has been unable to fix. They have had two losing streaks of three games each. In each streak, the opponents shot over fifty percent from both the inside and outside the three point line, and were awarded more free throws. Recently, Duke has scored almost 90 points against two mediocre teams in a row, and still lost. What does this indicate? It indicates, inescapably, that this is a bad defensive team, and that Alan is right: This team is less than the sum of its parts, because none of the players are complete basketball players and, possibly, there is a lack of chemistry amongst them. No one — except Moore, Roach, and Williams — are improving (from a subpar floor).   And what’s up with Jalen Johnson? Is his foot bothering him or are his feelings hurt? Whatever, he has been very inconsistent. Joey Baker’s shelf life is expiring as his defense is marginally better, but his once promising shot is in a free fall.

Unless there is a miraculous turnaround, I suspect there will be a big turnover in the squad for next year—and it won’t be because this year’s players were drafted into the NBA.

Misery loves company: Kentucky, Michigan State, North Carolina are all also having uncharacteristically bad years. It seems as though the entire country is turned upside down.

Next Play: Saturday February 13, at Raleigh, versus NC State, at 4:30 pm EST, on ACCN


Duke 69-NC State 53 (Season 12 Issue 17 Game 16) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS: 

Defense

Coach K: “We’ve been working the last few days on our defense, and pretty much that’s all we’ve been working on. We played really good defense today. By working on our defense, we also got to be more physical. In the first half, our defense was outstanding and we got loose balls, we got scrums and we won some scrums.”

Just how good was the Duke defense against the wounded, undermanned Wolfpack?  With just under 6 minutes gone by, NC State had scored 10 points and trailed by 1.  Duke held State scoreless for the next 5:34.  By the time State had 12 on their scoreboard, Duke led by 16 (28-12).  State made a free throw before they finally scored a field goal on an  offensive rebound dunk to score their 15th point at the 5:09 mark.  In sum, Duke had allowed the Wolfpack a measly 3 points in 9 first-half minutes, leading by 20 (33-13) before the Wolfpack had scored 15.  In retrospect, the game was already over at that point. 

Mark Williams played a season high (for him) 28 minutes of outstanding defense.  His ability to protect the rim is one of the reasons the Devils finally morphed into an efficient defensive force.  May it continue.  Williams blocked 5 Wolfpack attempts and made a steal while anchoring the interior defense.  Elizabeth’s baby brother was also Duke’s second leading scorer (13 points on 5-9 from the field and 3-4 from the stripe) while pulling in 3 rebounds.  While Mark did turn it over 3 times, he committed only 2 fouls. “Mark [Williams] is getting better and better. He’s learning how to play physical,” Coach K gushed.

Duke’s perimeter defense was excellent, led by Wendell Moore.  The sophomore had only an average offensive game (5 points in 30+ minutes on 2-7 from the field, including 0-3 from 3land, and 1-2 from the foul line), but directed and organized the perimeter defense.  Moore gets credit for Duke’s morphing from discombobulated against UNC and Notre Dame into a smooth-functioning, coordinated switching machine against the Wolfpack.  All the perimeter defenders improved dramatically.  Moore had 3 steals, as did JGold in his 26 minutes.  D.J. was back sizzling (led Duke with 4 assists against a single turnover) at both ends of the court in his 29 minutes.  While Steward recorded a steal, the stat sheet does not show his successful pressuring the Wolfpack guards, which helped to disrupt their offense with his deflections.   Jeremy Roach led Duke in minutes with 32 and ½, in spite of a modest offensive game.  He scored only 2 (1-3, including 0-2 from deep, without drawing a foul) while committing 3 turnovers with only a single assist.  Coach K kept Roach on the floor because he was superb on the defensive end – keeping the Wolfpack guards out of the paint for the most part.

Matt Hurt’s defense in the second half was improved over his last several outings..  He committed his 2nd foul in the first half after only 7 minutes on the court and rode the bench for the rest of the half (though he had scored 11 on superb shooting — 4-4, including 3-3 from deep).  He played 18 second-half minutes (without fouling), blocking a shot and anchoring the interior.  Coach K praised his improvement, “He was quicker than he’s been in over a month today, and that’s after a couple really hard defensive practices. He seemed more alive today. He was quick and he got his shot off quick. He had a heck of a game. With this scoring game – it’s a lower scoring game – to get 24 points, 6-for-7 from three. But he got his shot off quicker. He just seemed bouncy. Our team hasn’t been that for some reason, but Matt had a great game today. Maybe it’s because his parents were here.”  Nice personal touch.

Jaemyn Brakefield made the most of his playing time with an excellent floor game.  He defends both the interior and the wings efficiently. He missed a few near the rim that should have been made.  Even so,  in 14 and ½ minutes he scored 6 (2-5, including 1-2 from behind the arc and 1-2 from the stripe) to go with 5 rebounds.  Coach K: “Jaemyn Brakefield really helped us and he was close to having an amazing game. He missed a couple right around the bucket, but he was right there. His physicality and Henry [Coleman III’s was] really, really good.”  Coleman had 2 brief cameos — one in each half.

It is noteworthy that Duke committed only 14 fouls, just  6 in the second half.  Thus, State was only in the bonus twice in the first half (0-1 on the first; 2-2 on the last foul with 4 seconds left in the half).  A wondrous improvement from the Notre Dame and UNC fouling debacles.

What Is The Jalen Johnson Story?

Although the announcers continue to describe Jalen as “a lottery pick,” his play has not been of that caliber.  Jalen did not play in the second half at all after logging only 8 minutes in the first half, where he scored 3 on 3-5 from the line while missing both of his field goal attempts.  He had a steal and turned it over once.  Coach K does not think Jalen is prepared for the physicality of the college game: “Today – you saw the game – it was really physical. We had him in there a couple times and he is not back.  I would’ve put him back in, but Jaemyn [Brakefield] and Henry [Coleman III] and those guys – it didn’t knock them back.  Jalen will keep playing.  That’s the thing that all freshmen have to learn.  Mark [Williams] now has learned that. The physicality of this game is huge.  I have confidence in him, we’re going to keep working with him and he’ll have opportunities.” 

I have heard this strange rumor that the NBA game is quite a bit more physical than NCAA hoops.  Lottery pick?  Really?

The Rotation

Coach K’s rotation was longer than usual – 9 players.  Joey Baker and Patrick Tapé did not play.  As noted, Jalen played only in the first half while Henry Coleman III appeared in a cameo in each half (5 minutes total).  Brakefield was the main player off the bench with 14:38 game-minutes.  The other 6 players who logged starter minutes were Roach (32), Moore (30), Steward (29+), Williams (28), JGold (26), and Hurt (25+).  This rotation allowed each player to remain fresh, resulting in non-stop intense pressure on the Wolfpack.

The Big Picture

Before we turn to next season for solace, it is worth evaluating this season’s struggles and Coach K’s approach.  For Alanalysis, this season has not been about wins and losses or conference championships or standings; rather it has been watching K’s efforts to augment this team’s growth and to become successful before the season ends.  It’s been a checkered ride.  Duke looked as if it would launch into a successful season when the Blue Devils demolished Clemson in Cameron on January 31 by 79-53.  The defense was glorious against a good team and the offense was smooth and efficient.  D.J. Steward proclaimed it “Duke’s launching pad.”  As we know, the launch failed and Duke lost its next 3 games embarrassingly badly (Miami, UNC and Notre Dame). 

 There is, of course, the potential that beating NC State in Raleigh will be the launch.  This year it is the quantum of improvement day by day that is worth scrutinizing.  Will Duke make the NCAA tournament?  It looks doubtful now, but there is a reason that we actually play the games.  Coach K: “[T]hese kids have worked hard everyday. They could’ve come in here down. You lose three in a row, you’re under .500, you lose some close games, you’re playing at Duke and all those things – they’ve not done that. They’ve really worked hard and have been enthusiastic, upbeat and we just have to keep doing that and don’t pay attention to anyone else. Just keep doing that and something good will happen. Something momentarily, because we won one game, happened today. You’ve just got to stay with it – that’s what our program has done – and see what happens if you do that.”

Indeed.  Let’s see what happens.  It just might be “good things.”

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

Duke gave Coach K a 74th birthday present near and dear to his heart– their best defensive effort of the year and a much needed win against a Tobacco Road rival. For his part, he made some changes that worked well. He started Hurt and Williams, who seem to complement each other very well, and substituted liberally a nine-man rotation, sometimes in waves. Everyone except Johnson and Coleman logged double digit minutes and Baker never left the bench. Make what you want about Johnson’s reduced minutes but the blunt truth is that he has been less effective than Hurt or Williams and today both Brakefield and Coleman played more enthusiastically, physically, and effectively. For whatever mysterious reason, since the sensational Chopin State game Jalen has played smaller than his height, weight, and reputation, while Williams has become much more impressive down low and Hurt’s range stretches the floor, opening it up for every other player.

Not to diminish the win, but North Carolina State is also a young team that has sort of hit the wall. Coach K says nice things about his players and is optimistic in a strong finish to an otherwise disappointing season. In the meantime, here is a column by Gary  Parrish of CBS Sports:

Duke lost again last week — for the eighth time this season, for the fourth time at home, for at least the fourth time to an opponent unlikely to make the NCAA Tournament. Consequently, at 7-8, the Blue Devils now have a losing record for the first time since November 1999. They’re 3-6 in the first two quadrants with two additional losses coming in Quadrant 3. So, barring a wild turnaround, Duke, arguably the biggest brand in the entire sport, is about to miss the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 1995.

“My advice: Get your jokes off now.

“They’ll likely be useless this time next season.

“I was asked the other day whether I believe these wildly disappointing seasons at Duke, Kentucky and Michigan State are just one-offs or the beginning of the end of the dominance these programs have demonstrated under Hall of Fame coaches for more than a decade. Honestly, I’d lean toward the former, as I genuinely expect the Blue Devils, the Wildcats, and the Spartans to bounce back next season.

“And I’m all-in on Duke.

“My optimism is largely rooted in the recruiting class Mike Krzyzewski is likely to enroll. And before you yell, “But Duke sucks right now even though it just enrolled a heralded recruiting class, Parrish!” let me remind you that all heralded recruiting classes are not created equal. According to 247Sports, Duke’s most recent recruiting class, the one that comprises this current team’s freshman class, featured four five-star prospects — namely Jalen Johnson, Jeremy Roach, DJ Steward and Mark Williams. On a surface level, that sounds great. But none of those players were ranked in the top 10 of the Class of 2020, which meant, for the first time since 2012, Duke did not enroll a single top-10 prospect in advance of this season.

“But that won’t be the case next season.

“Duke already has commitments from Paolo Banchero, a 6-9 forward ranked No. 3 in the Class of 2021, and AJ Griffin, a 6-7 wing ranked No. 7 in the Class of 2021. And the Blue Devils are also considered the leader for Patrick Baldwin, a 6-9 wing ranked No. 4 in the Class of 2021. So, at this moment, it appears Duke will eventually become just the fifth team in the past 11 years to enroll three top-10 prospects in the same year.”

Next Play: Wednesday February 17, at Winston Salem, versus Wake Forest, at 8:30 pm EST, on ACCN


Duke 84 -Wake Forest 60 (Season 12 Issue 18 Game 17) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS: 

Duke played so well that I am having trouble with the lead … Duke looked like a cohesive, strong team (worthy of a #9 ranking, which was Duke’s place in the pre-season poll).  I want to anoint the Duke team of these last two games as having been launched (finally) – as D.J. wrongfully predicted after Duke had whumped Clemson just before the triple disaster of losses at home to Miami, UNC, and Notre Dame.  Duke has been superb for the last two games at both ends of the court, but especially on defense;yet, neither Wake Forest nor NC State are even close to good teams. Wisdom teaches not to get burned on the flame of unjustified optimism … at least until the Blue Devils deliver this type of efficient performance against an elite team.  Saturday night, February 20 against UVA in Cameron at 8 pm.  Might just be worth watching. 

The Dramatic Transformation into Defensive Efficiency

While Duke has been efficient on offense, it is the dramatic turnaround on defense that produces new optimism about the eventual assessment of the 2020-21 season.  Coach K: “We changed our ball screen defense a week ago to better suit this team, and our kids have really done that well … We’ve had six straight days – the two before NC State and then [the game against] NC State – where we just had great practices and worked so hard, and then it translated to the NC State game. I gave them off Sunday. Again, we had two great days where these guys are working so hard, and then it translated tonight. My staff has done a good job.” 

Somehow, I doubt that simply making an “adjustment of ball screen defense” is the whole answer for this rather spectacular transformation.  I strongly suspect the adjustment was as much attitudinal as strategic.  Duke is simply playing harder on defense, communicating better, swarming in to help, and being really cohesive.  If this keeps on keeping on, Alanalysis can go back to treating ESPN’s “bracketologist” with renewed snark.  Duke’s first half was magnificent (held the Demon Deacons to 26 points, with only a late Wake flurry upping the score to even 26). Then human nature took over in the second half, where the Devils gave up 34 points after becoming a little lax due to leading by over 20 almost the entire second half.  It didn’t matter to the outcome, though, the game was effectively over by half time (45-26).

         The Perimeter

Duke begins with the trio of D.J. Steward (played one of his best games of the season; the sizzle has returned, but with discipline), Jeremy Roach, and Wendell Moore defending the perimeter.  Roach and Moore have been outstanding, even though it does not show in offensive statistics.  JGold is now coming off the bench; his insertion into the lineup has made the defense even more intense. The longer rotation has kept the perimeter defenders fresh and aggressive.  Only D.J. reached the 30 minute mark of playing time; Roach and Goldwire played 28 and 27 minutes, respectively, and Moore in at 24.  Coach K: “Wendell [Moore Jr.] is playing well. It doesn’t always translate into all the stats. His movement and talk – they’re just all getting a little bit more comfortable with one another. After those really tough, close losses, for these kids to have this great attitude and work ethic says something about them. Again, we’ve just got to keep it going.”  “[Jordan] Goldwire has been a key guy, too, for us because when you can bring in a veteran who is a starter, but bring him off the bench, he’s really our best athlete on the perimeter. He’s a heck of an athlete and he’s sharing the ball. Usually for Jordan – again tonight, he [had] four assists to one turnover – his assists to turnover ratio is outstanding. Not good, it’s outstanding. When he comes in, he’s strong with the ball and he’s sharing it, and then he’s as good of a defender as we have. So, coming off the bench like that, that’s been a plus for us.”

          The Interior

Duke’s interior defense has improved at the rate that Elizabeth’s baby brother, Mark, has grown – dramatically in the last few games.  Coach K: “Mark’s emergence – this is what happens with good, young guys – they get better. Mark is getting better. He’s a presence. Matt has felt good with him there. Also, it’s taken some of the load off of him [Hurt] defensively with a big guy. He never had to guard a five today.”  Jaemyn Brakefield replaced Jalen in Coach K’s substitution pattern.  He is a better (more willing) defender than Jalen had been.  Bill has been championing Jaemyn all season; yesterday’s 16 and ½ minute performance (including scoring 7 quick points – his only points – upon entering the game for the first time) was sufficiently impressive to make Bill preen.  Brakefield blocked a shot, got a steal, nabbed 5 boards, handed out 4 assists without a turnover, and drew four fouls from Deacon players.  Hurt was not only the scoring mainstay (22 points on 9 field goal attempts), he also played excellent defense, with a steal and 4 defensive rebounds.  He committed only 2 fouls (the second one was late in the first half) while logging a Duke game-high 31 minutes.  Joey Baker played for 16 minutes and was Duke’s 3rd high scorer with 12 points (4-7 from deep).

          Fouling

Duke committed only five fouls in the superb first half (only Hurt picked up a second).  While Duke committed 10 fouls in the second half, only Mark Williams and Brakefield had as many as 3.  For Duke to continue its newly found defensive prowess, the fouling has to remain under control.  It will be harder to avoid fouling against Virginia and Louisville (two elite teams that are next on the schedule).

          Rebounding, Steals, and Blocked Shots

Duke’s team rebounding was prodigious.  Everyone contributed (except Joey Baker), with Mark Williams (7 in almost 20 minutes), D.J. (7 in 30 minutes), Brakefield (5 in 16 minutes), Hurt (4 in 31 minutes), Moore (4 in 24 minutes), Roach (4 in 27 minutes), and JGold (3 in 27 minutes). Duke was in control of both backboards.  Duke had 5 steals (JGold 2, D.J. 2, and Hurt 1) and 4 blocks (Williams 2, Moore and Brakefield 1 each).  ‘The Devils’ pressure dramatically flustered the Deacons.

Offensive Efficiency

Coach K: “[W]hen you play that hard on the defensive end, you play better offense. You’re more physical and you run the offense harder. You can’t play that hard on defense and then not play hard on offense. [T]hey’re just playing hard and I think it’s translated. They’re sharing the ball. To have 17 assists and only six turnovers is really a good performance.”  Yes, 17 assists with only 6 turnovers is very worth celebrating and constitutes genuine improvement.  Hurt was astoundingly efficient (22 points on 8-9 from the field, including 3-4 from behind the arc; 3-6 from the stripe).  He scored whenever he wanted to.  D.J. scored 16 (7-12, including 1-4 from deep and 1-1 from the line), while handing out 3 assists without a turnover.  Add in 2 steals with those 7 rebounds and you have a helluva game for D.J.!  Baker’s 12 (I wanted to write “dozen”; if only he had scored 13!) and Moore’s 11 (5-9 from the field, including 1-3 from deep) completed the double digit Duke scorers.  Moore was a leader on the floor, even without gaudy statistics (2 assists; 4 turnovers; 3 fouls committed).  Mark Williams scored  9 (3-5 from the field and 3-4 from the stripe), Brakefield’s burst of 7 (3-5, including 1-2 from deep; 0-1 from the line), and JGold’s 5 (2-6, including 1-3 from 3land) completed Duke’s scoring.  Coleman failed to score in two cameos that totaled 6 minutes.  Tapé failed to score in his brief cameo (1 minute).

Duke Without Jalen

Jalen’s departure had  little impact on the game but big impact on the team

Going into the visit to Winston-Salem, who knew how Jalen’s departure from the team would impact the Blue Devil performance:  a) addition by subtraction, if Jalen’s attitude was a team problem, or b) a broken team because its most talented player decided to abandon ship.  It is too early for a final judgment, but it does appear that Jalen’s departure has been ‘addition by subtraction’.  Jalen’s performance on the court resulted in reduced playing time.  His shortened playing time had become an issue, even though he had little impact on recent games. Whether it was his health or his attitude we will never be known as Duke simply doesn’t engage in that kind of discussion.  However, Duke’s performance did not leave much doubt that Jalen’s departure did not damage the team – at least in the short run.  Time to remember when Duke won the NCAA tournament in 2015 whenCoach K kicked Rasheed Sulaimon off the team toward the season’s end.  Duke never revealed why (and nurtured Rasheed through graduation and transfer), but it was clearly his attitude.  Scuttlebutt is that Sulaimon wanted to lobby K for increased playing time.  There is no “i” in team. Not at Duke! The lesson from 2015 was that the team thrived after Sulaimon was terminated.  Addition by subtraction!  Grayson Allen moved into the rotation and Duke won its most recent championship.  Nice model to follow.

          Jalen and a (the) Team

I confess to a real antagonism (maybe even anger) at the cavalier manner in which Jalen Johnson has left Duke.  I am assuming he is eschewing his academics classes as he “prepares for the NBA draft.” His action makes a mockery of the term, “student-athlete.”  Duke is an elite institution of higher learning; the Duke brand on a resume is a huge asset in the real world (especially if the tag “brotherhood” goes with it).  Duke hoop scholarships are limited, and Jalen has “stolen” one from a deserving student-athlete who would have benefitted from not only from Duke’s world class education but also from being coached by K. .  Duke may be fortunate to recruit high-level players, but the players are lucky to have the Duke imprimatur into their future endeavors as an asset.  It seems to me Jalen’s actions are so irrational that there must be an unknown story that is driving the train.  I speculate (without knowing or having inside info) that Jalen’s role on the interior for this undersized team was not to his liking or his self-perceived strengths.  

 At the most basic level, a team member has to be committed to the team’s success for the entire season – regardless of the role assigned by the coach — in order to fulfill (their?) responsibility to the team.  Jalen had the option of not playing but still staying as a team member, cheering from the bench while working out at practices and using the support resources, including Duke medical, tutoring, trainers, etc.  Instead he chose to clean out his locker and leave.  I assume he is not attending classes either (I hope I am wrong, but I doubt it). In any event, an NBA team should (and likely will) weigh Jalen’s commitment to his college team when evaluating whether or not he will be a “team first” guy in the pros.  Jalen has not earned my best wishes for his future success.

The Big Picture

Will Duke continue to improve sufficiently to re-enter the NCAA tournament discussion?  Deeds are needed, beginning with the homestand coming up – Virginia on Saturday, followed by Syracuse and Louisville the following week.  The last two in March are on the road against Georgia Tech and UNC.  Opportunity for sure.  Then let’s not forget the ACC tournament.  Duke will have to be among the top 4 seeds in order to have to win only 3 games for the championship.  Let’s see if this year’s Duke can finally launch into the team we expected in the pre-season!

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

Jalen Who?

 Apparently Jalen Johnson did everyone a big favor by taking the advice of his family, friends, advisers, (future) agent, and various hangers on to, rather than play the remainder of this season, clean out his locker and move on to prepare for the NBA Draft. (So much for The Brotherhood, teammate loyalty, and getting a top ten education. Ya gotta love the new one half-and-done era!!) Despite what Corey Alexander kept saying on television about Jalen being a lottery pick, take the under on that bet, because he pulled the same stunt last year at the IMG Academy in Florida. So, in two seasons, Jalen Johnson has played less than one full season of basketball. (How long do rookie divas last in The Show?)  His former teammates celebrated by playing enthusiastically: tough defense and running a very effective motion offense in torching Wake Forest (a team that took Florida State to OT just before the Seminoles crushed Virginia) 84-60.

It appears this young Duke team is getting mentally and physically tougher, playing  pretty effective defense when anchored by Mark Williams and when running an offense through Matthew Hurt, who does a pretty good imitation of shooting a jumper like Larry Bird.

Coach K must have been reading my CliffNotes: I have been puzzled why, as multi-talented as he had appeared with limited minutes, Jaemyn Brakefield  had not been getting more playing time? Jalen’s funk and departure has opened up minutes and the West Virginia Player-of-the-Year responded with a second impressive outing, shooting 3-5, grabbing five boards, passing out four assists, and blocking a shot. (Remember when Rasheed Sulaimon was thrown off the team in midseason and it opened minutes for  Grayson Allen, who turned around the NCAA Championship game against Wisconsin?)  Joey Baker’s shot finally came off vacation, hitting four 3s. Duke also had an impressively low six turnovers, which looks even better when you realize that four of them were Wendell Moore’s– and the Devils shot more free throws than the Deacons.

Comments:

In the Miami post-game comments, Coach K said emphatically: “My team was soft and sad.  This is Duke and tonight was unacceptable. The guys who play from now on are going to be the guys who play hard and show toughness. I don’t care who that is – they’re gonna play. We are never doing this again.” After that, Jalen did not start nor play significant minutes. So, Duke may well have already made its decision about how to deal with Jalen Johnson and let the chips fall where they may. Jalen Johnson wouldn’t be the first player who might have thought that Duke needed him more than he needed Duke. This program didn’t get where it is by letting player egos dictate policy.

Jay Bilas, who bends over backwards to avoid the impression that he’s biased towards Duke, said that ”He’s coming off a game in which he played only eight minutes at NC State and it was a game that Duke played arguably its best game in the last month — essentially, without him — and for him to opt out now, optically, it’s very odd. But I’ll be interested to see what Duke winds up saying about this. I’m sure they’ll support the decision. But knowing how basketball works, that’s just an odd thing to do at this time of year.”

His ESPN colleague Seth Greenberg was more direct: “The Notre Dame game, the game’s basically in question, and he doesn’t even get into the end of the game. Here’s the thing, there’s a difference between opting out and quitting. See, if you opt-out, you don’t clear out your locker. You see, if you clear out your locker you’re basically quitting on your team cause he’s part of a group. He could say, ‘I’m opting out because I don’t feel good about myself. I kinda want to look in the mirror and reevaluate myself.’ That’s one thing, but you keep your stuff in your locker room. If you pick up and move out there’s a big difference there.”

Clean up on Aisle 5. Coach K:  “Our team loves Jalen. He’s a brother to these guys. For Jalen and his family, they were great – we talked. I’m a coach because of players, and these kids should have the choice to do whatever they want. We’re going to give them our guidance and talk to them about it, and then I’m 100 percent behind him. Our guys have followed up with that too. Especially with the pandemic, these guys have really gotten close. They haven’t been able to make friends anywhere else, so they’ve really developed a family atmosphere. We’re all supportive of Jalen and his family.” (Translation: Good bye and good luck. We won’t miss you, but don’t let the locker room door hit you on the way out.)

Next Play: Wednesday February 20, in Cameron, versus UVA, at 8:00 pm EST, on ESPN


Duke 66 -UVA 65 (Season 12 Issue 19 Game 18) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

DukeCelebrates.jpg
The Duke sideline celebrates a down-to-the-wire win against Virginia. Photo Credit: Nat LeDonne/Duke Athletics
ALANALYSIS: 

The Duke sideline celebrates a down-to-the-wire win against Virginia. Photo Credit: Nat LeDonne/Duke Athletics

DUKE 66 UVA 65 Was A Great College Basketball Game In Any Season

Coach K: “This was an epic game. This was a great basketball game tonight. Every possession was fought … seemed like every dribble at times. They are an outstanding team and program. They’re veterans and they played like it. They’re so poised and they play great defense.”

If you watched the spine-tingling basketball game between the Duke Blue Devils and the Virginia Cavaliers last night you saw stupendous college basketball played at a very high level!  Duke prevailed by the very slimmest of margins (1 point, and and the fraction of a second that elapsed between the game ending and what would have been the winning UVA dunk), 66-65.  I am not sure the “best team” won, but I am sure that the 2020-21 Blue Devils have never played together on both ends of the court as they did against the #7 nationally rated UVA.  A quality performance against a quality team!  The Wahoos are really good, and Duke stayed with them every step of the way.  The score was tied 7 times in the second half alone, even though Duke never led after the first minute of that half, until scoring the last 2 points of the game with 1:59 to go.  Then, the Devils  topped it off to win with desperately intense defense to preserve the lead.  The Cavaliers had a 3 point lead at 65 with 3:09 to go … and finished the game still with the same 65 points!  D.J.’s short jumper brought the margin back to 1.  Jaemyn Brakefield (who has replaced someone named Jalen Johnson in the rotation) made the winning plays with just under 2 minutes left and Duke trailing by a point.  UVA point guard, Clark, used a screen from UVA big man and star, Jay Huff, to make Brakefield switch off Huff to guard Clark (leaving Goldwire to guard the 7 foot Huff as the roller).  Brakefield stayed in front of Clark and blocked his shot. Then, Brakefield faked a handoff, and drove around Huff for an acrobatic reverse layup while being fouled by Huff.  Duke’s 66th, and final, point.  It would have been 67 if Jaemyn had made the foul shot.

Duke’s offense was beautiful in the first half (39 points) and sputtering in the second half (27 points; 2-11 from behind the arc).  Duke’s defense was beautiful the entire game, even when UVA was shooting 60% in the first half (sometimes good offense just beats good defense).

DE-FENCE!

Duke’s man to man was tenacious, coordinated, and swarming.  Duke switched mostly everything, and rotated fiercely.  The strategy was to keep the mercurial Clark from dishing to the UVA excellent 3 point shooters (mainly their big guys like Huff and Hauser).  Duke’s plan was to make Clark take the shot himself after he had penetrated (he scored 15 points, but on 15 shots).  Both teams shot well in the first half, even though well defended.   In the second half, Duke’s defense performed as much on sheer guts as on coordination and communication.  Coach K: “[Jaemyn] Brakefield was spectacular tonight. Henry Coleman III coming off the bench and giving us five minutes. Obviously Matt Hurt was outstanding. We had everyone contributing.”

         The Perimeter

As  Duke’s perimeter rotation has solidified into the four guards rotating in 3 positions, the perimeter defense has become more than satisfactory; it has become exceptional.  Wendell Moore and Roach have been the glue, while Goldwire and D.J. have applied laudable pressure.  Coach K: “Our kids played great defense tonight too and came up with some really great plays. A block, a stop, a three, foul-line jumper … it seemed like everyone contributed to making big plays at the end. … Wendell [Moore Jr.] had yeoman’s work tonight with seven assists and one turnover.”  Coach had praise for his two freshman guards, Roach and Steward, as well as his veterans, Moore and Goldwire. Coach K: “For freshmen they’ve been really good. They’re not playing with a veteran team. When Tyus [Jones] played, he played with Quinn Cook and Amile Jefferson and Matt Jones. You had stability around him. Jordan [Goldwire] has really helped them in the last few weeks. They are out there and learning from their experiences. Jeremy had one of his best games tonight and D.J.  hit a huge shot. They’re good players and they will keep getting better as they mature physically and emotionally. They’re great kids and have great attitudes.”  

What has impressed me is the energy and communication (and Coach K’s adjustment with defending the ball screen) has transformed the perimeter defense from a liability to a team asset.  Let us see if it remains an asset..

          The Interior

UVA, with Huff and Hauser, had the advantage on the interior and the backboards.  Mark Williams saw little action (6 minutes in the first half; 1 in the second) and failed to score or impact the game.   Enter Brakefield, who played 29 minutes, guarding the much taller and very talented Huff.  K Wisdom: “Jaemyn made it work because he played so well. [Jay] Huff is a great player. He and [Sam] Hauser are two of the top players in America. Jay is such a good basketball player … his footwork, his touch and his ball handling. Mark [Williams] hasn’t guarded anyone like that. Jay is so unique and Jaemyn was able to move his feet better. We didn’t want to switch every time but when we did, he was able to stay pretty much in front of [Kihei] Clark. [Jaemyn had 4 blocked shots] Our guards were able to fight off Huff and sometimes bump another big guy there and switch. [Duke’s rotations were outstanding and the guards switching somehow kept the Virginia bigs from dunks and layups.]  For our young team, they had to communicate a lot tonight. They made really outstanding decisions on the defensive end of the court.”  

In the second half, Henry Coleman III played 5 outstanding minutes on both ends of the court (4 points on 2 offensive rebounds, and spelled Brakefield guarding Huff).    

The Offense

This is where we gush over Matt Hurt, who played 38 minutes and scored 22 points on 13 shots (8-13, including 5-8 from deep and 1-1 from the line).  Hurt and Hauser guarded each other all night; each played excellent defense, but neither could not stop the other.  Matt had 4 boards, drew 3 fouls from Hauser, and had a block.  Roach and Brakefield were Duke’s other double-digit scorers.  Roach (33 minutes) scored 12 (5-10, including 2-4 from deep, without drawing a foul) and dished out 3 assists (but 3 turnovers).  Brakefield scored 9 in an early blitz that had Bill calling to remind me Brakefield was “his guy from the beginning,” followed by Jaemyn’s acrobatic crucial game winner.  D.J. scored 9 (2-7, including 1-5 from deep and 4-7 from the line).  He was 4-4 from the stripe in the first half and 0-3 in the second half, including missing the front end of a 1-and-1 with 9.4 seconds left in the game and Duke up by 1.  His miss gave UVA a last chance that almost won the game.  Clark lost his dribble and threw a prayer that Huff grabbed and dunked … but a nanosecond after the game had ended.  Moore (30 minutes), Goldwire (28 minutes), and Coleman (5 minutes) each scored 4 points.  Baker (4 minutes) and Williams (7 minutes) failed to score.

In the second half, Hurt had 10 of Duke’s 27 second-half points.  The remaining 17 points came from: D.J. 5 (but 0-3 from the stripe); Roach had 4; Coleman 4; Moore (1-5) 2 points, and Brakefield’s 2 (the game winner) in the closing stanza.  Defense won it.

The Big Picture

This was obviously Duke’s best win of the season and sets up opportunities for Duke to ascend to unimagined (as of 3 games ago) success … or descend from the optimistic perch the last 3 efforts have created.  Duke (8-6 in the conference) has Syracuse (7-5) and Louisville (6-4) this week in Cameron; and, the following week they play Georgia Tech (7-6) and UNC (8-5, after just crushing Louisville yesterday).  Florida State (9-2), Virginia (11-3), and Virginia Tech (8-3) currently lead the conference.  The first four teams get double byes in the ACC Tournament.  Hard to win the tournament without the double bye (Duke did it in Brooklyn a couple of years ago; the only team ever to do so).  How this current stretch of games play out determines if Duke gets the NCAA bid as well as determining my level of snark toward ESPN’s bracketology guru.  I do hope my snark is high.

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

After eight losses (none by more than 7 points) in half of a weird season, The Basketball Gods apparently decided “enough was enough” and helped the young Blue Devils finally prevail in a close game against the always tough #7 University of Virginia, the top team in the league. 

Down by five points with six minutes to go, tenacious defense and fearless offense earned Duke their third straight win! However, it was not a perfect closeout as Brakefield and Steward, who combined for Duke’s last 4 points, missed free throws in the last minute. With a one point lead and just 9 seconds left, Steward missed the front end of a one-and-one. UVA’s Clark, who up to that point had a terrific game, was pressed on a pick and roll and dribbled the ball off his ankle, recovered it, and threw up a long three that was partially blocked by Hurt, but caught by Huff, who dunked it just a second after time expired–a fitting end to a very close game against an always difficult opponent.

Among other things, we may have witnessed the culmination of an attitude adjustment on this team. Keep in mind that Virginia stars Hauser and Huff are 23 & 22 . Duke’s players are 18-20 years old—and not all years are equal in terms of maturity, strength, and ability to concentrate.

The Cavaliers were ahead 65-62 with three minutes remaining, but Steward drained a tough, contested, pullup jumper to make it a one point game. Then, as Clark received the ensuing inbound pass, the Blue Devils slapped the floor in unison– a patented program trademark blast from the past.  When it happened the announcer said, “haven’t seen that very much this year.” Virginia would not score the rest of the game. Then came the decisive sequence: Jaemyn Brakefield swatted away a Clark layup attempt, and followed the block with a reverse (fouled) layup past Huff at the other end to give the Blue Devils a slim 66-65 edge.

Here’s the post-game money quote by an ecstatic Brakefield, who incidentally was recruited by Virginia (among others): “That’s why you come to Duke, to make plays like that. That’s Duke basketball.” Not to pour salt on a fresh wound, but can you imagine Jalen Johnson making back-to-back plays like that, then excitedly saying something like Jaemyn did?

OTHER COMMENTS: 

Almost everyone played at  a consistently high level at both ends of the court: Hurt has Larry Bird-like range and accuracy; Steward, the leading freshman ACC scorer, is settling into an all-court asset; Moore is a Swiss-army knife type player who is an indispensable part of the puzzle; Goldwire, leads to league in steals, and is a steadying influence; Roach is settling in but has to remember he is not back in Chantilly anymore. He is point guard (think assist first, score second) and shoots 26% from three point land and does not have to jack up contested threes; Mark Williams has become a pleasant surprise and gives the defense a much more versatile option; Coleman has demonstrated that he can be a tough, blue collar contributor in this league; only Joey Baker failed to contribute last night. His ability against the better teams is still in question.

At the end of January, Duke had beaten Clemson on a Saturday and then went to play Miami on Monday with great confidence.  The confidence was misplaced and “stinkers” against Miami, Louisville, and UNC followed.  Duke has won 3 in a row, including UVA yesterday, and now plays on Monday.  Has Duke learned its “overconfidence” lesson?  Stay tuned.

Next Play: Monday February 22, in Cameron, versus Syracuse, at 7:00 pm EST, on ESPN


Duke 85 -Syracuse 71 (Season 12 Issue 20 Game 19) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

MarkWilliamsJuicestheOrange.jpg
Mark Williams de-juices the Orange Photo Credit: Nat LeDonne/ Duke Athletics
ALANALYSIS: 

It looked like a lost season after Duke had lost 3 straight games in early February in Cameron, giving the Blue Devils an under .500 record. Duke fans were understandably distraught [understatement].    However, it did not look like a lost season to Duke’s Hall of Fame coach.  After the loss to UNC, Coach  K said, “People earn starting, and they have to keep earning it. That’s part of the growth. We have all these young guys; you have to keep earning it. That’s been part of our program.  Mark (Williams) has been playing really well. Tonight’s game was a very difficult one. It was so physical inside, and he was not ready for that level. He will be. Then offensively they really clogged up the lane when he was in. I thought Henry [Coleman III] gave us an amazing boost. We just have to keep looking at different things for our team and keep getting better. The kids have great attitudes and great work ethics, and that’s what I’m looking for. However that turns out, it’ll turn out the best that it could turn out based on good attitudes and work ethic. It may not reach the level of expectations of other people, but if our kids do that it’ll reach the level of expectation for me. I’ve coached some real young teams before and you gotta stay with it. You gotta stay with it.”

After the Notre Dame defeat, this DBP asked, “what is the role of Duke Fans following and rooting for an under-achieving team?  Perhaps, as Duke fans, we need to experience what the rest of college hoop fandom routinely go through.  We need to be tough during the losing times just as well as we are giddy and snarky in the winning days.  And then there is always hope.  The Duke 2015 National Championship team lost in the semi-finals of the ACC tournament, but somehow made the changes that morphed into the awesome defensive team that won.  And, as I have heard said, ‘hope springs eternal.’ ”

Over the last 4 games, Duke somehow made the changes that morphed into the awesome defensive team that won!

Duke’s defense went from beyond porous (giving up 50 point halves to both UNC and Notre Dame) to awesome in wins over NC State, Wake Forest, #7 ranked UVA — and last night against the Syracuse Orangemen. Coach K talked about that process: “They are young but you get old through experience. Sometimes you get older by losing. As long as you don’t get down and lose confidence. We’ve been in a lot of tough games. When we were 7-8, you’re two possessions from being 5-10 but you’re a couple possessions from being 9-6. It’s not like they were horrible … we lost close games. They’ve learned from that without losing confidence. I’m really proud of them. They’ve been good the whole year and even when we lost, I told you they were good kids and they were working hard. We just wanted to play one game at a time and work to get better. We are getting better.”

“Getting better” is understatement for sure.  Duke’s defense in the last four games has been not less than awesome.  Years ago, Shane Battier explained a complex K-defense “Coach just said, ‘Shane, run around.’”  In this defense, there are five Duke players “running around” — but in cohesive harmony.  No longer do opposing guards penetrate.  Duke’s four guard rotation – only 3 play at a time – has been a revelation.  The freshmen have learned, especially Roach; he is playing great defense even though his offense has not been consistent (14 first-half points against Syracuse and 0 in the second half).  You can see him growing in confidence and maturity.  D.J. has also been learning and brings his special brand of sizzle to trapping and switching at the defensive end.  Both guards are rebounding.  Wendell Moore and Jordan Goldwire have stepped into leadership roles.  JGold comes in off the bench, but plays starter minutes.  He is Duke’s best point guard, bringing stability to the offense and aggression to the defense.  His steals have been fire starters!  

The interior has been fueled by Mark Williams and Matt Hurt.  Williams has been delivering eye-popping blocks and dunks, not to mention  passing and timely steals.  His transformation stands out so vividly that you might not notice the wonderful defender that Hurt has become.  Now guarding the other team’s forward instead of their center, Hurt has not been in foul trouble.  He is alert to where his help is needed and he has become part of Duke’s amazing switching defense that leaves very few uncontested shots for the opposition.  Jaemyn Brakefield and Henry Coleman III have made timely, and sometimes game-winning, contributions.

Coach K on the four game run within 10 transformative days, culminating in last night’s dismantling of Syracuse: “I’m proud of my guys. A lot of my veteran teams would not have won tonight in this type of turnaround. …  Four games in 10 days … after Saturday night’s amazing game, to be able to play the way we did tonight was outstanding. We had to change how we prepared and that helped. The kids played great. We had 27 assists and got Mark [Williams] involved right away. Our guys threw those lobs and Mark had his best game with 18 [points] and 11 [rebounds]. The freshmen backcourt had 14 assists with great leadership by Wendell [Moore Jr.] and Jordan [Goldwire]. Matt [Hurt] was just solid. We weathered two storms that we knew they were going to hit us with their press in the first half. It went from 22-14 and then we were able to get it back to 18. After the first TV timeout, they hit us again and you worry about us being tired and emotionally spent and instead, after turning it over a couple of times, we started breaking the press and started to score and gave us our mojo back again. A really big win for us. This is tough. You play four games in 10 days, that’s tough for any team. For our kids to have four wins is great.”

The Rotation

Coach K has settled on a basic 6 man rotation.  Against Syracuse, the four guards — plus Hurt and Williams– all played starter minutes, with support on the interior from Jaemyn Brakefield and Henry Coleman III (tailored to the game’s needs).  Brakefield is almost a 7th man in the rotation.  

The offense has been scintillating.  Duke scored 52 in the first half, with 16 assists on 20 field goals, including 11-18 from beyond the arc.  Beautiful!  While Duke’s offense diminished in the second half, the defense did not.  Duke was even better on defense when the offense stagnated a bit.  Syracuse’s Buddy Boeheim (the coach’s son) scored 8 straight meaningless (to anyone not named Boeheim) points at the game’s end to skew Duke’s second-half defensive statistics and drop the winning margin from over 20 to just 14.  

In a 11 minute stretch of the first half, Duke effectively won the game on both ends of the floor.  After 3 minutes 10 seconds had elapsed, Duke led 11-6.  For almost 11 minutes (from the 16:50 mark until there was only 5:55 left in the first half), Duke held the Orange to only 9 points while stretching the lead to 21 (36-15).  It was at that point that the game was effectively over.  When Syracuse made the small run based on its full court press, peeling the lead down to 14, Coach K inserted JGold who ran the fast break and squeezed the Orange press dramatically. 

Matt Hurt led in minutes played with 34 and ½ minutes, scoring 15 points (5-11 from the field, including 2-5 from deep and 3-5 from the stripe), to go with 5 rebounds, 5 assists, 2 steals, and 3 blocks.  Superb basketball!  His shooting reputation draws the defense and opens up the floor for his teammates.  

Jeremy Roach and D.J. Steward each played 33 and ½ terrific minutes.  D.J. scored a game-high 21 (7-18, including 4-11 from deep and 1-1 from the line), sizzling in the open court and on defense (7 assists and 2 blocked shots with 3 turnovers).  Roach notched 14 points, all in the first half — an efficient 5-7 from the field, including 4-5 from deep.  Jeremy tied for the team’s assist lead with 7.  All this with only 3 turnovers while pulling down 5 key rebounds.  Wendell Moore scored 7 points in his 29 minutes (3-7, including 1-4 from deep), to go with 4 rebounds, 4 assists, and a blocked shot.  He provides valuable leadership and maturity, and may be the team’s best one-on-one defender.  Goldwire played 26 minutes, scoring 6 points on 2-3 from deep, all in the second half.  JGold also handed out 4 assists, made 2 key steals and was most responsible for destroying the Syracuse press.  

Mark Williams was the Player of the Game with his first career double double in 25 minutes (9-11 for 18 points with 11 boards).  He was an efficient rim protector on defense, blocking two shots and altering a bunch more.  Coach K is slowly expanding Mark’s minutes.  I predict that by tournament time, Mark will be playing in the 30 minute range.   Brakefield and Coleman each scored 2 points in 7 minutes, spelling Williams.  Coleman had 5 rebounds in those 7 minutes.  

The comparison of the interior rotation between the UVA game and the Syracuse game demonstrates Duke’s current flexibility.  Against UVA, Brakefield played starter minutes and essentially won the game for Duke while Williams played little.  Last night was the reverse. Joey Baker played 3 scoreless minutes.  However, he has shown he can stroke the 3 when left open.  Duke’s flexibility is another newly developed weapon. 

The Big Picture

The ACC tournament could have an impact on Duke’s NCAA tournament hopes, though the last 4 games already reveal the Blue Devils as clearly tournament-worthy.  The first four teams in the regular season receive the double bye (though with the COVID driven discrepancy in number of conference games played, that calculation could be murky).  Here is how the contending teams stand before Tuesday’s conference games (with the remaining games listed).  The “maybe” is the games were postponed; the ACC has not yet decided if any will be played.

FIRST 3 PLACES:

  • FLA STATE (9-2): MIAMI, BC, UNC, NOTRE DAME
  • UVA (11-3): NC STATE, MIAMI, LOUISVILLE
  • VA TECH (8-3): LAST 3 GAMES were PPD (FLA ST, LOUISVILLE, UNC) — GA TECH, WAKE, LOUISVILLE, NC STATE

CONTENDERS FOR THE 4TH SEED

  • UNC (8-5): FLA ST, SYRACUSE, DUKE  – UNC HOLDS TIE BREAKER AGAINST DUKE (SO FAR)
  • LOUISVILLE (8-4): NOTRE DAME, DUKE, VA TECH, UVA (MAYBE SYRACUSE) – LOUISVILLE HOLDS TIEBREAKER (SO FAR)
  • CLEMSON (7-5): WAKE, MIAMI, PITT + (MAYBE PITT AND NOTRE DAME) – DUKE HOLDS TIEBREAKER
  • SYRACUSE (7-6): UNC, GA TECH (MAYBE LOUISVILLE) – DUKE HOLDS THE TIEBREAKER
  • GA TECH (7-6): VA TECH, SYRACUSE, DUKE, AND WAKE (MAYBE BC) – DUKE HOLDS THE TIEBREAKER (SO FAR)
  • DUKE (9-6):, LOUISVILLE, GA TECH, UNC
BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

The Trap Game was a snap game. Suddenly, after a frustrating, rocky, start to the season, these young players are individually and collectively maturing at warp speed: Mark Williams had his first career double-double, 18 points (9 of 11 shooting), 11 rebounds and 2 blocks and owned the paint. As Mark said after the game, “I’m just trying to protect the rim.  If they don’t score, they can’t win”.  Jeremy Roach scored 14 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists; while Steward had 21 points and 7 assists.

Anyone worrying about this Renaissance Run coming to an end tonight relaxed after about six minutes of play as the Blue Devils executed their best half of basketball. The defense was enthusiastic and effective; sharp passing and ball movement produced 27 assists. However, the opposition gets more challenging these next few weeks.

Horses for courses: Here is an example of how versatile this squad is: Jaemyn Brakefield, the hero of the Virginia game, only played seven minutes tonight and scored just 1 point against Syracuse. Mark Williams, who only played 7 minutes against the Cavaliers, played 25 minutes against Syracuse, posting his first career double-double.

Johnny Tar Heel text wisely noted: “The most important stat is 27 assists on 35 field goals, plus great shooting. To assist on 80% of your field goals says all kinds of good things about this TEAM.”

Other Comments:

  • How can Matthew Hurt be one of the deadliest all court shooters in the country and be such a mediocre (70%) free throw shooter?
  • The NCAA has granted an extra year of eligibility to winter athletes. Therefore, senior Jordan Goldwire will have another year of eligibility, allowing him to play next year. Goldwire has recorded 2+ steals in each of 18 of 19 games this season and his 18 multi-steal games are tied for the most by any player in college basketball this season.

Next Play: Saturday February 27, in Cameron, versus Louisville, at 6:00 pm EST, on ESPN


Duke 73-Louisville 80 OT (Season 12 Issue 21 Game 20) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS: 

Matt Hurt’s Game Deserves Special Mention

Matt’s game settled any discussion about whether or not he is athletic enough to succeed in the NBA.  He proved he is pro material by scoring in every conceivable way, with more than 50% of Duke’s points (37 of Duke’s 73, on just 21 shots).  Matt was 15-21 from the field (but only 2-6 from behind the arc; that is an astounding 13-15 inside the arc, many hotly contested) (plus 5-6 from the foul line). Hurt played 43 minutes (all 20 in the second half, fouling out with 17 seconds to go in the overtime). He grabbed 7 rebounds while creating a steal and blocking a shot — all that with 0 turnovers.  By himself, Matt scored more points than all of his teammates combined. (37 for Matt; 34 for the rest of the team).  His amazing performance would have been remembered in legend, if only Duke had won.  The Blue Devils lost a critical game partly by regressing into previous bad habits and partly because Louisville,  one of the ACC’s better teams, played exceedingly well.

Disappointing Regression – Against a Really Good Team (Louisville)

Louisville was the better team yesterday, but I’m not sure Louisville is an overall better team than Duke.  I had told Bill that I thought Duke would come out flat and fall behind in the first half.  After 4 scintillating performances – the Devils were not less than masterful in their last outing against Syracuse – you could feel a confidence that ultimately betrayed the Devils by scaling back their urgency.  Thus, Duke opened the game without any urgency, looking pancake flat.  Coach K:  “I thought they dominated the first half.  Their athleticism and maturity knocked us back, and I thought at halftime, we talked about it and our guys responded, and I thought we really fought the rest of the way at a high level.  Our kids were ready to play, but they did not realize the level that they had to be ready to play at and were knocked back, and we have the senior, we won four in a row, there’s a little bit of an edge that is taken off and we’re able to find that again at the half time, but to credit Louisville, if they don’t come out the way they do, you would have never noticed that we were not at that level. Louisville is responsible for that.” 

I did think the Devils, who had been playing so well in recent games, would come back to win this one in the second half.  I was almost clairvoyant: Duke overcame a 12 point deficit to lead 55-52 with 7:16 left in the game.  They had a chance at the end of regulation (leading 65-64 with 38 seconds left), but regression prevailed.

The Perimeter

Coach K nailed it, “their perimeter just knocked our guards back. They [D.J. Steward, Jordan Goldwire, and Jeremy Roach] did not have the games that they’ve had in the last couple weeks, but they’re also playing against high level guards.”   The three Duke quick guards had a disastrous game.   Besides Hurt’s 16 first half points, Duke scored only 10 in the first 20 minutes  (the Devils trailed 36-26 at the intermission).    The three quick guards combined for only a single point of those 10.   D.J. failed to score in 13 minutes (0-5, including 0-1 from deep) with an assist and a turnover;  JGold scored the trio’s only first half point in his 15 minutes (0-1, 1-2 from the line; 4 assists, 2 turnovers and a steal); while  Jeremey in his 11 minutes was scoreless (0-2, both from deep) with an assist and 3 turnovers.  The other 9 points in the first half were scored by Wendell Moore (5 points in 16 1/2 minutes; 2-4, including 1-3 from deep) and Mark Williams, who scored 4 points in his 13 minutes (2-3 from the field).   Joey Baker failed to score in his 9 first half minutes, and did not play in the second half. 

JGold, D.J. and Jeremy played big minutes in the second half when Duke used its press to fight their way back into contention.  While they were excellent in the press, the failure on the offensive end continued.  For the entire game, D.J. scored 8 in his 37 minutes (2-13, including 1-5 from deep and 3-4 from the stripe); Goldwire failed to score in his almost 19 second half minutes; while Roach was 1-3 from the field, including 0-2 from 3land and 1-2 from the stripe for 3 points in his 11 second half minutes. The backcourt certainly “did not have the games that they’ve had in the last couple of weeks”; that made the difference between winning and losing. 

The Interior

Mark Williams had a good game statistically, but did not impact the game as he had done  in the past few games. In 25 minutes, he was 4-8 for 8 points, had 6 rebounds, 3 blocks, 3 assists and a steal, while committing only 1 turnover and 1 foul.  However, Coach K does not play him when the Devils are pressing, so he was not on the court much in the latter parts of the second half.  He was a non-factor in the overtime.  In the first half, Louisville had 7 offensive rebounds and scored critical second chance baskets, while Duke did not have a single offensive rebound in the opening stanza.  In the latter part of the second half, no Blue Devil could score, except Hurt, and as one reporter put it, “the Cardinals simply mauled Duke on the boards.”

Jaemyn Brakefield played 13 minutes (7 in the first half), scoring 3 points (1-2; 0-1 from deep and 1-1 from the line), grabbing a rebound, but committing 2 fouls.  Henry Coleman III made a cameo appearance.  The supporting cast simply did not support!

That One Play at the End of Regulation

Moore put Duke ahead 65-64 with 38 seconds left to play in regulation.  Jones, Louisville’s unstoppable guard, attempted a game winning shot with 14 seconds left.  He missed but was fouled.  Jones tied the game on his first attempt, but missed the second.  Duke had a very small line up on the floor — Hurt, Moore, Steward, Roach and Goldwater — and they failed to secure the rebound.  Even though Jones missed another attempted game winner, the failure to get the rebound cost Duke a chance to win the game with about 10 seconds left.   Coach K: “You put yourself in a position to win, we got five, seven points behind, the press helped us, we got the lead, and it comes down to the one possession and we actually got (Carlik) Jones to go left, but our help side has to come over. It didn’t come over, and then we blocked out on the free throw, but we’ve got to grab the rebound. That would have given us at least a chance. Jones, he doesn’t miss often, but he missed then, and it would have given us like nine seconds or 10 seconds, or whatever it was to push the ball down the court. Our game boils down to stuff like that, that one possession, and we were able to win that possession against Virginia, and we did not win that possession tonight.”

The Overtime

Duke was completely gassed in the overtime.   The defense did not ever stop Louisville, who scored 15 points in those 5 excruciating overtime minutes. The Cardinal shot 4-5 from the field (including 1-1 from deep) and 6-7 from the line.  That took all suspense out of the game’s outcome.

D.J. played all 5 minutes without scoring (0-3); JGold played all 5 minutes without scoring; Jeremey played over 3 minutes without scoring.  Elizabeth’s baby brother played less than 2 minutes without scoring; and Brakefield played 20 seconds without scoring.  Hurt was 2-2 for 4 points before fouling out with 20 seconds left.  Wendell scored the other 4 on 1-2, including 0-1 and 2-3 from the stripe.

 The Big Picture

Duke has now dug a huge hole for an NCAA invite.  The two road games this week are an opportunity..  Both Georgia Tech (Tuesday) and UNC (Saturday) have better records than the Blue Devils and had great wins over the weekend.  UNC beat Florida State for a significant win, and unveiled its own spectacular freshman 7 foot center, who led Carolina’s second half comeback; maybe the best Tarheel win of the season. Georgia Tech beat Virginia Tech.  Duke will be an underdog in each game.  Duke is now 8th in the league and therefore would still earn a single bye in the ACC tournament.  It is conceivable that if Duke lost both games (that would make 9 conference losses), they could lose even the single bye.   

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

This improving Duke team, except for Hurt, is still not ready for Prime Time.  Big, physical teams push them around and figuratively kick sand in their faces.  No matter how lethal Hurt is, it’s nearly impossible to stay competitive against good teams when one player scores over sixty percent of your points.  And as hot as Hurt was, there were critical possessions where he did not touch the ball both early in the second half and in the overtime.

The Cardinals’ guards simply dominated the Blue Devils’ backcourt on both ends of the court.  Note: Carlik Jones, the star Cardinal guard, is 23 years old. Duke’s guards are teenagers.  

After the hard-fought comeback, which resulted in overtime, Mark Williams (in a first) lost the tip, Quinn Slazinksi, a sub, hit a three pointer, and Duke missed its first two shots.  Game, set, match.

To add insult to injury, Carolina, after losing to Marquette earlier in the week, rallied from 16 down to upset No. 11 Florida State.   7’1’’ freshman Walker Kessler had been languishing on the Tarheel bench; however, he did a pretty good Tyler Hansbrough impression against the Seminoles yesterday, leading UNC to the win with 20 second-half points.  Johnny Tar Heel has often commented that only Roy Williams could keep a guy as obviously talented as Kessler buried on the bench for most of the season.

Next Play:  Tuesday, March 2, 2021, versus Georgia Tech, in Atlanta, at 8:00 pm EST, on ACCN. 


Duke 77-Georgia Tech 81 OT (Season 12 Issue 22 Game 21) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS: 

Two mediocre teams played an important, tense, and hard-fought (but not a particularly well-played) game with a spot in the NCAA tournament seemingly on the line.  Georgia Tech won 81-77 in overtime and fully deserved the win.  Duke made two heart-stopping comebacks – one at the end of regulation to tie the game and open a chance to win; and one in the last 24 seconds of the overtime.  

In the overtime comeback, the Yellow Jackets led by 6 and had the ball  when Moore stole it and fed D.J. Steward for a fast break 3 pointer.  Duke then trailed by 3 with 8 seconds left.  Incredibly, Patrick Tapé, who had entered the game when Mark Williams fouled out with 28 seconds left, stole the inbound pass and made a great feed to D.J. who was WIDE OPEN at the 3 point line for the game-tying shot.  He missed!  Tapé got the rebound and was fouled.  He made the first one to make it 79-77, and intentionally missed the second one, but Duke could not get the rebound.  Oh that D.J. had connected!!  That last 24 seconds summed up the game, and might actually sum up the season.

Coach K summed it up perfectly  (I have bolded sections particularly insightful):

“Two in a row in overtime. Obviously, we had a great shot to win right at the end of regulation. The kids executed the full-court really well, and that group got us back. We were eight points down and Joey [Baker] did a couple really good things, but that group played really good defense and gave us a shot at winning. We’re just not getting any production at all from our perimeter, from our guards. It’s the second game in a row where they’ve had a tough time against veteran guards. [Jose] Alvarado obviously is outstanding and [Michael] DeVoe, but even [Bubba] Parham – they’re older guys and they knocked our young perimeter back. We had open shots. For about five minutes in the second half – [from] about 15 minutes [remaining] to 10 or somewhere in that – we just kind of went nuts. We were doing some things – what are we doing? That’s when they got the lead. What are we doing? We had no poise during that time. That period and then right at the end of the first half – I thought we played better in the first half than a three-point lead. But we didn’t hit shots and then we had the ball underneath the bucket in the last 40 seconds and didn’t get anything. We had a blocked shot, then they hit the three. It was kind of like a five-point turnaround. Instead of being up six-eight, you were up three. Our margin between winning and losing is a narrow one. You have a number of these plays and it’s tough to win, although we had that [opportunity]. Even in overtime, we got down and our kids fought. [We] hit a three and I think it was 79-76, we had another open shot. You’ve got to hit shots. Our guys on the perimeter have not done that lately. I’m not blaming them for the loss – they just didn’t. They’re good shots. If you hit them, we win. … It’s been a year of ‘Almost.’ That’s about the fifth or sixth one-possession game that we’ve lost. You’re almost having a really good year. Instead, you’re having a .500 year. That’s the way the game is.”

The Offense Shriveled and Died for Most of the Second Half and Overtime

The First Half

The Blue Devils scored 34 first-half points, led by Wendell Moore’s 16 points.  Wendell was simply on fire in his 15 opening-period minutes (7-9 from the field, including 2-2 from behind the arc) with 2 steals, a rebound, and an assist.  Matt Hurt had an efficient first half, scoring 10 in his 17+ minutes (4-7, including 1-1 from 3land and 1-1 from the foul line).  He had 3 boards and committed only a single first-half foul.  Mark Williams was 3-3 for 6 points and contributed 3 rebounds, 2 blocks, a steal, and an assist, all without a turnover.  However, he did commit 2 first-half fouls.  Jaemyn Brakefield scored Duke’s other 2 points in his 10+ first-half minutes (1-7, including 0-3 from behind the arc and 0-1 from the stripe).  He contributed 2 boards and an assist.  Critically for Duke,Jeremy Roach (15 minutes), D.J. Steward (15 minutes), Jordan Goldwire (12 minutes), Joey Baker (3 minutes), and Henry Coleman III (1 minute) all failed to score a single point in the first half — a real problem that got much worse when neither Moore nor Hurt could score efficiently in the second half.

The Second Half

Hurt scored 2 points to give Duke a  50-48 lead with 12:11 left in the game, and then didn’t score for the rest of the game! .  Bill and I chatted at that point.  I complained about our freshman backcourt turning it over and failing to run a cohesive and organized offense.  As if to prove my point, Goldwire turned it over on the very next play.  Patrick Tapé made his first appearance in a game in a long while and missed a layup.  Steward committed a turnover, which led to Hurt committing his 3rd foul.  Roach then turned it over.  Duke had gone a full 3 minutes without a point and trailed 54-52 when Williams slammed home a dunk at the 9:1o mark.  Hurt turned it over, committing an offensive foul (his 4th) with 8:26 to go.   He was done.  He played only 10 more seconds before fouling out.  Moore played all 20 minutes of the second half, scoring just 4 points on 9 shots (2-9) without drawing a foul.

Coach K: “The foul trouble for Matt [Hurt] absolutely hurt us. “You’re always better with a bunch of options, because if you only go to one, then they can key on him. Matt has been kind of the go-to guy. We don’t have another go-to guy, although Wendell [Moore Jr.] tried to do that. Wendell was a warrior, who has played his heart out and played well. But you have to score as a unit. We have  good talent. We’re not that talented that you just give somebody the ball and they’re going to do something. You’ve got to score together.”  

Duke did not ‘score together’ in the second half.  In fact, Duke hardly scored at all —  only 6 points in the 9:27 that elapsed from 12:11 until only 2:38 remained in the game.  Astoundingly awful!

Then, Duke made an amazing run, scoring 8 in just 1:15 –JGold made a jump shot, Joey Baker made a crucial 3 and bagged all 3 foul shots. That tied the game at 64 with 1:43 to go.  While neither team scored again, Duke had its chance.  Georgia Tech could not score, but got 3 offensive rebounds to keep trying.  Finally, JGold captured the fourth rebound with 1:04 to go.  But Duke did not (could not) make a genuine attempt at offense.  Moore finally threw up a contested prayer with 35 left on the game clock and the shot clock running out.  Nada. Duke had scored only 30 points in the entire second half. 

Overtime

Mark Williams scored a dunk almost immediately to give Duke a 66-64 lead.  2:42 later Duke scored its next point when Williams went 1-2 from the foul line.  Duke trailed 70-67 at that point.  With 2:04 left, Williams again went 1-2 from the line.  Duke trailed 72-68.  The defense simply could not get a stop; Georgia Tech went 4-5 from the field in overtime and was 9-12 from the stripe when Duke  fouled, scoring 17 points in the 5 minute overtime (that is a rate of 136 points per game.).  

Georgia Tech star big man, Moses Wright, and Mark Williams traded dunks.  Duke trailed by 4 with 1:18 left, but just could not score.  Baker missed 2 three-point attempts, and Goldwire missed a 2 point jumper.  Wright made 1-2 when fouled, giving Tech a 6 point lead with 35 seconds left.  J.D. missed a 3, and Wright again made 1-2, as Williams fouled out going for the rebound.  Duke down 7 with 28 seconds left.   Goldwire raced down court and hit a 3 with 25 seconds left.  Duke down 77-73.  Alvarado made 2 foul shots for the Yellow Jackets. 79-73.  JGold misfired and Tech got the rebound, but Moore stole the ball and fed D.J. for a shocking 3.  Duke trailed 79-76 with 8 seconds left.  The rest you know.  Tapé made the steal, but D.J. missed the game tying attempt.

 The Big Picture

          For This Year

Coach K: “These kids have fought all year.  They have never given up.  Again, you have a unit that you don’t really practice that much with, and they’re in there and they figure out a way where really, we could win.  You’ve got a great shot there and that would’ve been unbelievable.  This group just hasn’t had anything unbelievable happen for them, but they’ve continued to work hard and compete.  They’ve been a good group. I’m very disappointed about tonight, but they will keep fighting and we’ve got to do that again on Saturday.  Every time we line up, that’s what we have to do. Our guys have done that.  Over the years, we’ve been very fortunate, so I don’t know if the basketball gods are evening things up a little bit.  We respect Georgia Tech and we’re not going to make any excuses.  We’re going to keep fighting and see what the heck happens.”

          For Next Year – Mark Williams’s Simply Great Game

Coach K: “I thought Mark [Williams] played a great game. For him to play 35 minutes – sensational … I think one of the real big pluses of the season is his [Mark Williams] development.  He’s going to be a real special player. He really fought.  The free throws – he’ll be a good free throw shooter because he has good form.  [Mark was only a deflating 0-2 in the second half and 2-5 in overtime]. He played really well.  His progression has been outstanding.  It’s one of the reasons we had a chance to win – his play.”

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

This year we know how Maryland, Carolina, and all the other teams felt whose hearts Duke has broken during the Coach K decades by pulling out an extraordinary number of close games.  In today’s woke climate, I guess it should be called “Duke Privilege.”  However, this year, for the first time in decades of watching Duke Basketball, I never felt confident these Blue Devils were going to win close games.  Call it reversion to the mean, the law of averages, or whatever.  But the truth is, this is what your record says you are—a .500 team that, except for Mathew Hurt’s exceptional shooting touch, could never consistently develop the guard-play or chemistry to be, on balance, more than the sum of the parts. 

Now, we can better understand how Charlie Brown feels when Lucy pulls the ball away at the last minute as he tries to kick a field goal. 

Next Play.

Next Play:  Saturday, March 6, 2021, versus UNC, in Chapel Hill, at 6:00 pm EST, on ESPN. 


Duke 73-UNC 91 (Season 12 Issue 23 Game 22) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS: 

I have no idea how to write about this game.  Duke was ascendant after four straight wins – NC State (good bye, Jalen), Wake Forest, UVA (ranked team), and a perfect performance in dismantling Syracuse.  Visions of sugar plums danced in our heads, as we contemplated winning the double-bye in the ACC tournament and being a feared adversary in the NCAA tournament.  Then the clock struck midnight!  But the 12th stroke was not fully realized until Duke was simply humiliated last night by UNC 91-73.  Humiliating it indeed was because this is not The UNC-a-national-power; this is an unranked-UNC that is only a #6 seed in the ACC tournament. 

The midnight clock started sounding the chimes when Duke (on senior night, no less) lost its last home game, in overtime to Louisville, opening that game without any urgency and thus digging a hole for itself that proved inescapable.  The clock was probably on the sixth or seventh chime when Duke went on the road and lost another heartbreaking overtime game to Georgia Tech.  Perhaps we, as fans, did not understand how deflating those two overtime losses were.  Apparently, those losses took out all the hopes, dreams, and optimism that the four wins had generated.  The emotional deflation going into Chapel Hill — on UNC’s senior night — sealed Duke’s disastrous fate. 

Jim Carroll was an American author, poet, autobiographer, punk musician, and heroin addict.  Carroll is best known for his 1978 autobiographical work The Basketball Diaries; the book inspired a 1995 film of the same title that starred Leonardo DiCaprio as Carroll.  His Prep school basketball team was terrific and Carroll was the star.  He and his whole team were also hard core druggies.  Before each game, they would go to Central Park and score uppers and downers, taking the uppers before the game and the downers afterwards.  In The Basketball Diaries, Carroll describes one game where they mixed up the drugs and took the downers before the game.  The players’ feet stuck to the floor.  They couldn’t move.  The other team steamrolled them early before the coach could get them out of the game.  Duke’s first half against UNC last night brought Carroll’s stuck feet description to mind.  In the first half it looked as if every Duke player (except D.J. Steward) had downed  downers before the tipoff.

Coach K Took the Blame to Protect His Team

“Roy had his team really prepared.  I didn’t have my team prepared the way they did.  After two tough losses, I thought the things we did in practice were really good.  But they didn’t come to fruition; they didn’t work out.  They really played at a high level of intensity.  Their defense was outstanding. That’s on me because they knocked us back.  They played at a high level and we did not. They were excellent and we were not very good.  That’s on me. That’s my responsibility.  They completely knocked back with their level of defense, their level of intensity on the defense.  They played with intensity all the way, but the first 8-10 minutes they were at a high level.  They knocked us back.  I was not able to prepare them for the level of intensity and physicality they faced.  We couldn’t get shots.  They hit shots.  Their defense made their offense better.”

 “We had played outstanding basketball in the four games; then we were knocked back in the two games before UNC.  I need to help them more.” 

Coach K concluded by saying he would try and get the team back on track to face Boston College on Tuesday afternoon in the first round of the ACC tournament.

The Offense Shriveled and Died in the First Half; The Defense Was Dead for the Entire Game

The First Half

In the first 18 minutes of the first half of the game, Duke scored a measly 18 points and trailed by 22, (40-18) with 1:39 left in the first half.  The game was effectively over at that point.  D.J. had scored 8 of those 18, (including a four point play, which was Duke’s only free throw attempt in the entire first half). Roach, Brakefield, & Tapé each had a 2-point basket; Mark Williams added 2 hoops for 4 points.  Even though Duke finished the half scoring a flurry of 8 points (Hurt had a 3 and a layup for his only 5 first half points, and D.J. dropped a 3 bomb with 12 seconds left, bringing his total scoring to 11), Duke’s anemic first-half scoring was still only 26 points in total.  Duke never really cut significantly into the 22 point deficit that the Devils had faced with 1:39 left in the first half.  Duke trailed 42-26 at the half.  Duke’s ineffective man to man defense never stopped UNC’s offense. With 1:39 left in the first half, the game was over, leaving over 20 plus minutes of excruciating slow death for Duke fans who stayed through the second half.  WATCHING THIS GAME WAS NO FUN!

The Second Half

Duke scored 47 points in the second half, but UNC scored 49.  Duke simply could not get the defensive stops needed to make its offensive rejuvenation a comeback threat.  After having its man-to-man absolutely shredded by the Tarheels in the first half, Duke mixed in zone and a full court press.  The best the Blue Devils could do was make a little run with the press, reducing the UNC lead to 13 (44-31 with 18:39 left in the game).  The margin was never again that small.  Duke couldn’t manage a serious run as the game dragged on to its sorrowful conclusion.

 The ACC Tournament Starts Tuesday

I don’t think Duke has ever played in a first round ACC tournament since the league moved to 15 teams, necessitating the 5 round tournament.  The last five seeded teams (#10-15) play in the first round.  Duke, as the #10 seed plays #15 seed Boston College on Tuesday at 4:30 p.m.  On paper, this should be an easy game where Duke can get its mojo back.  BC has fired its coach after a terrible COVID-ravaged season (2-11 in the conference).  But as we have all learned this year, the games are not played on paper.  Note: Florida State gave UVA the league championship when FSU lost to Notre Dame (the # 11 seed) yesterday.  The winner of Duke-BC plays Louisville (#7 seed) on Wednesday at 6:30 p.m.  Louisville beat Duke twice in close regular-season games, but a Duke win is not unimaginable.  If Duke could beat Louisville (finally), that would set up a quarter-final game against Florida State.  In my opinion, three Duke wins will earn Duke a bid to the Big Dance.  Even two might.  

However, Coach K has wise advice against my way of thinking: “You can’t look at the tournament as a whole.  Look at the game in front of you.  If you look at the whole tournament it’s going to be daunting.  You will hear, ‘you can’t win 5; it’s never been done in the ACC,’ and a lot of other negative stuff.  We are all 0-0.  We have to get ready for Tuesday against BC.  One game at a time.  Let’s see how well we can play against BC.” 

Coach has promised he will have the Blue Devils ready to play BC on Tuesday.

In spite of Coach K’s sage advice, I need to point out that years ago, UConn’s season was so disappointing the Huskies had to play in the first of five rounds in the old Big East.  UConn not only won the Big East, but went on to win the NCAA tournament as well.  How is that for a warm thought to sleep with?

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

Congratulations to North Carolina. They outplayed Duke in every aspect of the game. It was a TKO from the first few minutes. The Devils did not hit shots or make stops—a deadly combination. Matthew Hurt’s atypically poor first half shooting clearly demonstrated how important he is for this team to be successful.

Question: With the depth of talent UNC has, how have they lost nine games?

Next Play:  Tuesday, March 9, 2021, versus BC, in Greensboro, at 4:30 pm EST, on ACCN. 


“Lucky Devil” Extra; Duke 70-Louisville 56; Duke 86 Boston College 51 (Season 12 Issue 24 Games 23 and 24) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS: 

Duke’s astounding performance in the first two tournament games is the catalyst for this unplanned “Lucky Devil Extra!”  Start with the fact that Duke gave up just 107 points in two games combined.  This is a direct result of simply superb Duke-defense, especially against Louisville, who had torched Duke at “winning time” in two regular-season games.  This analysis will focus on the second half of both games, paying tribute to the jaw-droppingly dominant Mark Williams in the paint on both ends of the court, Wendell Moore’s leadership, and Matt Hurt’s morphing into an effective Sundance to Mark’s new Butch Cassidy role.

Tonight’s game against second-seeded Florida State (The ACC’s highest ranked team nationally) will, in some ways, define the season.  A loss will in all likelihood deny Duke’s entry into the NCAA tournament.  A win opens all doors.  Uniquely, the teams did not play each other in the regular season because COVID required cancellation of the scheduled game.  Like UNC, Florida State is huge up front and will challenge Mark Williams’s new found star status.   This feels like the perfect opportunity for Duke as the season charges toward its championship climax (es).

GAME 2:  Duke 70 Louisville 56

Mark Williams scored 23 points and, even more importantly, corralled 19 rebounds (7 on the offensive boards).  He controlled the game against Louisville.  Matt Hurt added 20 points to keep the Blue Devils safely ahead by double digits throughout the second half, making one crucial turnaround jumper from the post as he was losing the ball.  That shot took Louisville’s heart out. Mark and Matt were in beautiful sync.

Duke led by 1 at the half.  Goldwire, Roach, and Steward majorly struggled in the first half (collectively 2-11 from the field and 0-6 from deep), but they turned it around in the second half. Duke’s defense controlled Louisville’s all-league backcourt in both halves and was just as valuable as William’s star turn.  Coach K was asked, “Looked like you guys were switching all over the place. What was the key to being so successful? What did the guys do so well?”  K’s answer was revealing: “Yeah, what we did was in the past … our program — it’s not a zone, but we call it 1-1.  It’s still man-to-man, but it’s a switching man, which really protects the paint.  Instead of like trying to put a matchup in or anything like that, in the past we — not this year, but some of our teams in the past we did that, and we decided the best way to try to keep those two guards out of the lane was to do that.”

“One of the first things is to get back and not allow transition, which we did a decent job of.  But then we just tried to smother the lane.  And exaggerated plugs is what we call, you know, plugging from another guy. You would do that somewhat, but today the defense we played was exaggerated.

“He still got in there a couple times but not like he has in the first two games that we played against them.  Our guys were able to pick this up in an — they got our game plan in an hour, and they were able to execute it.”

Louisville’s coach said in the interview that Duke had not switched like that all year and acknowledged such agility flummoxed the Cardinals.

The Second Half

The defense, and Mark Williams, was the story of the second half.  Elizabeth’s baby brother scored 15 second-half points (5-7 from the field and 5-6 from the line).  It is worth mentioning that Mark missed all 3 of his first-half foul shots and his first one in the second half.  Matt went up to him after that miss and spoke to him intently.  Mark made his next 5 in a row.

Matt and Mark’s intense focus kept Duke’s working margin from their 9-0 run to open the half all the way through to the game’s end.  Duke never let the Cardinals back into the game.  In addition to shooting, Mark’s rebounding was on point– 10 boards, 8 of them protecting the defensive boards from Louisville’s aggressive offensive rebounding.  Coach K: “Mark was fabulous, not good. He only had one rebound yesterday, so he’s averaging 10 a game. Just to keep his ego in check.  But to get 19 rebounds in a game, and those defensive rebounds in the last eight, ten minutes were the deciding factor in the game, really.  He had a great game, an amazing second half.  The number of minutes and the physicality of the game — really good players are able to play tired at a high level, and he did that tonight. I thought Matt did, our team did that, but Mark really did that. That was very, very impressive.”

Mark recalls watching Duke women’s games from behind the Duke bench, cheering for Elizabeth.  He has been a Dukie from that moment; he wanted to play in Cameron and be like his big sister.  He has the potential to leave a similar legacy.

The rotation was interesting.  Only 6 played big minutes —  Moore (4 points), Hurt (7 points), and Steward (7 points) each came out of the game only briefly.  Williams (15 points) played 33 minutes.  Roach (7 points) and Goldwater (0 points) played 12 minutes each.   Brakefield, Coleman III, Baker, and Goldwire were the bench; but none scored.

Game 1: Duke 86 Boston College 51

Duke defended and BC was outclassed.  Duke expanded a 14 point margin at half time into a 30 point lead during the second half.  Duke scored 45 second-half points, but the leading scorers in that stanza had 6 points each (JGold and Baker).  Everyone played; everyone scored, including the walk-ons.  K’s grandson scored his first college game point.  

One sportswriter had this quibble, “There are plenty of things to pick out as potential problems – Hurt had four fouls, Williams only had one rebound which is kind of hard to believe, and Duke had 16 turnovers, with about ⅓    of those by Wendell Moore with five.”  That may be legitimate critique on the BC game, but Duke did not repeat those weaknesses against Louisville.

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

One of the reasons I dislike the One-and-Done Era is that it does not allow us to watch the most talented players mature.  Part of the joy of Duke Basketball has been watching Laettner, Hill, Hurley, Battier, Zoubek (just to name a few) hone their skills as players and teammates. However, this year watching Mark Williams’s improvement and his impact on the team has been like watching a movie on fast forward.  And, to a lesser extent, the same is true for D.J. Steward, who, while inconsistent, shows flashes of exceptional athleticism and playmaking creativity.  In addition, both exhibit a genuine, infectious  joy and enthusiasm for playing the game.

So, while this season has been a disappointment in the win column, the prospect of watching another year or so of these and other non One-and-Doners is a reason to look forward to next year.

A trademark of Duke Basketball is lightning quick runs that define a game. So, you don’t often see a team make a 14 point strike against Duke. However, in the first half Louisville ran off 14 straight points in the 1:42 that Williams was on the bench. What does that tell you about his importance to the team?

Florida State is a much larger, stronger team than Louisville. It will be interesting how Williams handles the larger front line.

Next Play:  Tonight, March 11, 2021, versus Florida State, in Greensboro, at 6:30 pm EST, on ACCN or ESPN.

Note: There will be one DBP ACC Tournament wrap-up with selection Sunday news added.


End of Season Wrap-up (Season 12 Issue 25) with Bill Miller’s “CliffsNotes”

ALANALYSIS: 

Duke’s 2020-2021 team was never fully defined in this short-circuited, inconsistent (and Jalen-challenged) season.   Like last season, Duke played its best game of the year before its scheduled ACC tournament quarter final game.  In this season’s finale, the Blue Devils were superb in gaining revenge against Louisville, behind Mark Williams’s All World performance (23 points; 19 rebounds) and Matt Hurt’s 20 point game.  The backcourt came alive, and the defense was the best it has been all year!  

In last year’s finale, the Devils had looked simply awesome in defeating UNC on Senior Night at Cameron. The 2019-20 Blue Devils transformed when Justin Robinson earned a starter’s role in Blue Devils’ games down the stretch.  In both instances, the quarterfinal games (each against Florida State) were COVID-cancelled, ending Duke’s season – and preventing each team from being fully defined as it usually is, by tournament results.  We – at least I – will always wonder about the late season resolution that was denied to Duke’s last two teams.

Rumors have circulated that an additional seven Duke players have tested positive for the virus in the week since the season was canceled.  

This leads to the conclusion that we won’t really be able to evaluate this season until Duke’s 2021-2022 team begins to emerge.  By that I mean, let’s see who stays (Could Elizabeth’s baby brother leave on the strength of his last game?  Hurt might leave, but if he doesn’t, he will have a POY-type opportunity).  The NCAA has granted all players an extra year of eligibility, allowing all seniors (Goldwire; Tapé – who knows if grad students count?) to return if they choose.  Let’s see if the freshmen guards and Moore (+ potentially Goldwire) can morph into a reliable, steady and consistent backcourt.   It seems clear that Henry Coleman III, Roach, Steward and Moore will return.  Oh yes, and the heralded (aren’t they all) incoming recruits – for now, Paolo Banchero, a 6’9” power forward rated #3 by ESPN, and Adrian Griffin, a 6’7” small forward rated # 14 by ESPN.  Duke has 3 other offers extended. There has been speculation – but nothing official – that Joey Baker and Jaemyn Brakefield are contemplating using the transfer portal, given that the new recruits may reduce their already limited playing time

So, next year is a long way away from taking shape. There is potential for sure, and even possibly great potential.  Like this past season, next season could depend upon whether Duke’s backcourt can continue to improve, so that the absence of a true point guard does not derail the team at crucial times.  There were dramatic derailments that kept this year’s team from reaching its pre-season ranking.

 In retrospect, the whole Jalen Johnson kerfuffle might really have been a metaphor for the season.  I do not believe we have yet evaluated the destructive impact that the Jalen situation may actually have had.  I have no inside information, but unchallenged facts publicly exist:  

  1. Jalen was considered Duke’s best pre-season recruit and somewhat of a steal (his ranking dropped to # 10 because he was injured and did not play much in his senior year in high school).  He was, in fact, on the first team All-ACC Pre-Season team, to give you an idea of how much Duke was depending on him.  His reputation and skills exceeded his previous, actually demonstrated accomplishments (2020-21 did nothing to change that fact);
  2. The first half of his first college game against Coppin State set amazingly unrealistic expectations.  Here is what I wrote about it then, “Johnson’s first half was crafted by the gods.  He did not miss a shot in the entire game (8-8 from the field; 1-1 from deep and 2-2 from the line).  In the first half, he scored 15 of his 19 and had 11 of his 19 rebounds to go with 2 blocks and an assist with only a single turnover in 17 first half minutes.” It might have been the worst thing that could have happened for him and Duke; after that game, he was already publicly perceived as a one and done lottery pick; 
  3. Jalen was able to show his ‘Coppin State-form’ only twice more (both times he played a superb half in losses to Pittsburgh and Louisville); and 
  4. His play became even more inconsistent, turnovers more prevalent, and his sporadic defense effort caused a diminution of his playing time.  My speculation is that Jalen wanted to play on the perimeter, where his NBA future lies, but Duke needed him in the frontcourt (especially before Mark’s development), creating an underlying dissension that harmed the team.  

While the Duke team had a better attitude after he left school, the 2020-21 Blue Devils never possessed the talent level that had been anticipated, based on Jalen’s reputation and talent. What is so tantalizing: what if Jalen had had Mark Williams’ attitude and made that kind of team-oriented progress during the season.  If that fantasy had become reality, I believe this would have been a vastly more successful season, in line with Duke’s pre-season ranking (#9 Nationally).

Progress and Deficiencies This Year With a Bit of Prognosticating About Next Year

 The Backcourt

Duke’s backcourt never achieved the level necessary to be  National contenders.  Certainly, D.J. Steward and Wendell Moore showed flashes of playing that well, but neither could sustain that level of play consistently, and both had weaknesses that needed and need work.   If Moore can become an offensive threat and consistent ball handler; if D.J. can harness his natural sizzle at both ends of the court, the backcourt could become championship worthy.  JGoldwire, considering returning for a fifth year, could help (especially if his scoring improves) or could be complicated by holding back the improvement of others.  Jeremy Roach had a difficult year.  He had been projected as Duke’s point guard, but could never step comfortably into that role.  His play did improve as the year went on, providing hope that his improvement from freshman to sophomore could mirror the amazing improvement that Matt Hurt made between his freshman and sophomore seasons.  A Duke recruiting target is 6’5” shooting guard, Trevor Keels (ESPN # 19, to announce his choice on April 4).  Duke is not favored, but Keels was a high school teammate of Roach’s, so that draw keeps Duke in the running.

 The Frontcourt

Assuming Mark Williams returns, the frontcourt will be Duke’s calling card next year.  This is even more emphatically true if Hurt also returns (we hope so!).  Duke has inked Banchero as Hurt’s replacement if he leaves (or Danny Ferry’s freshman role on the 1986 Final Four team, should Hurt return).  Banchero is reputed to be a genuine stud.  Duke is also recruiting the #4 rated (ESPN) prospect, 6’10” center, Patrick Baldwin.  Inking Baldwin would be a coup; however, his father coaches Milwaukee, where the experts think he will wind up.  Adrian Griffin is a 6’7” wing, whose brother plays at Syracuse.  Duke could have really used a scoring wing this past season.

The First Year of Alanalysis

Bill’s participation – after several ball fakes at retirement – was one of the best events of the year for me. We have had so much fun and satisfaction over the years! This year was also the first that my daughter (Laramie) and  her mother (Jeanne) contributed to the synergy.  We (they) moved the DBP distribution to GoogleGroups (daughter in charge) and serious – highly competitive — editing was done in Google Docs.  Huge kudos for amazing editing and proofreading by both Laramie and Jeanne!!  Their participation made the product so much better and our mutual effort so much more satisfying.  

If the NCAA grants Bill, Laramie, and Jeanne another year of eligibility, we will all be back next year. 

BILL’S CLIFFS NOTES:

Alan’s very thorough summary of the season does not leave me with much to add, except that I have always thought success in any endeavor is very difficult and fragile; therefore, a challenge to maintain and sustain. Oftentimes, the skills required to build success are not the same as the ones necessary to maintain it.  That is why what Coach Mike Krzyzewski has accomplished at Duke University over the last forty years is so extraordinary.  However, it is becoming increasingly difficult in a sport where there is so much player turnover.

Ultimately, coaching matters and it takes time and luck to develop an outstanding team. For example, of Coach K’s five National Championships, only one team featured freshmen (but also was stabilized by three seniors: Co-Captains Quinn Cooke, Amile Jefferson, and Matt Jones). Even the team featuring the sensational future pros — Zion Williamson,  R.J.Barrett, Cam Reddish, and Tre Jones — did not make the Final Four.  The other necessary component is a strong point guard (which neither Duke nor Carolina had this year).  So, the obvious conclusion is that it takes time to mold a successful championship-caliber college basketball team and the extraordinary challenges of this year only further shortened the opportunity for coaches to coach.  This might explain why the so-called Blue Bloods—Duke, Kentucky, North Carolina — all had disappointing years.  A terrific case in point was when Wisconsin pounded UNC in the First Round on Thursday.  The Badgers’ Starting Five are seniors, none of whom were McDonald’s All Americans or even rated in the top 100 high school recruits of their year.  The average age of the Wisconsin Starting Five is older than the Starting Five of the Chicago Bulls.  The Badgers totally dominated North Carolina, a team loaded with McDonald’s All Americans, in every aspect of the game.

The same pandemic that short circuited last season, dramatically changed this season. For instance, consider this scenario:

The Duke players reported to the Washington Duke Inn on August 2nd where they underwent COVID-19 screening and checked into their rooms to begin a mandatory quarantine period.

I don’t know about other teams, but for the entire season, the Duke players were sequestered solo in the Washington Duke without a roommate, Zooming classes and team meetings, even picking up their meals in brown bags and eating them alone in their room.  Practices and travelling to games were about the only physical community times together.  They were so sequestered that they would probably need a map to get around campus. How is that for a freshman year?  

Do not assume next year will return to normal.  The NCAA’s recent decisions won’t allow it.  Every player has been offered another year of eligibility, and because of the new transfer portal rule, any player can change schools without sitting out a year, orcan jump straight to the NBA new minor league @ $100,00 a year– all of which presents a scholarship problem for college coaches.

The NCAA limits each team to just 13 scholarships.  Duke has three scholarship seniors: Graduate student Patrick Tapé, ex walk-on Mike Buckmire, who is moving on to medical school, and defensive specialist Jordan Goldwire.  Duke has two signees — Paolo Banchero, a 6’9” power forward and Adrian Griffin, a 6’7” small forward.  Does K bring Goldwire, a much improved and useful (but not topflight) point guard back or encourage him to finish his career somewhere else?  Does he encourage Joey (formerly “Buckets”) Baker, a disappointing role player, to transfer? Does intriguingly talented Jaemyn Brakefield take his skills somewhere he will be guaranteed more playing time?  Does Matthew Hurt notice last year’s three one-and-doners are all struggling away in the NBA G (Developmental) Minor League and not in the NBA.  Will he  think long term and determine he might be better off staying and being a Player of the Year candidate and a lottery pick in 2022, or does he take the money and run? Duke rarely takes transfers, but the new transfer portal changes everything.

Of those who we presume are staying: Mark Williams clearly is a potential breakout star; Wendell Moore may be the answer at the point; a late developing Jeremy Roach needs to develop a pass-first-shoot-second mentality to run the point; talented, versatile, and enthusiastic D.J. Steward could become the go-to shooting guard every true contender needs; Coleman will have to fight the two freshmen for playing time, and Joey Baker, having improved his defense, will have to find his jump shot to be useful.

One thing is for certain. There are a lot of very good basketball players one never hears of until tournament time.  The fifteen team ACC Basketball Conference has never been deeper or more mediocre (Virginia, Carolina, Georgia Tech, Clemson, and Virginia Tech all lost in the first round of the NCAA Tournament) in spite of higher paid coaches, and more heralded players (for example, every year Florida State rotates ten or so big, athletic men).  This year, Boston College and Wake were the only easy outs, but that could change in a heartbeat—as Georgia Tech demonstrated in winning the ACC Conference tournament. 

Next year will be interesting.

Next Play:  Next Year….. if this Damn Pandemic Recedes

Duke Basketball Playbook 2019-20

Welcome  to the eleventh edition of the Duke basketball Playbook. After watching only two exhibition games, it is difficult to make any definitive assessments about this year’s team, except that there is n0 Zion Williamson. But that has been true every year, because he is a once-in-a-lifetime player. However, there is more depth of talented … Continue reading “Duke Basketball Playbook 2019-20”

Welcome  to the eleventh edition of the Duke basketball Playbook.

After watching only two exhibition games, it is difficult to make any definitive assessments about this year’s team, except that there is n0 Zion Williamson. But that has been true every year, because he is a once-in-a-lifetime player. However, there is more depth of talented players than recently, just not an obvious top lottery pick—the kind of game changing talent to which we have become accustomed. That doesn’t mean one or two won’t develop into that kind of player. The question is: whom will that be and, more to the point, other than Tre Jones and, possibly, Vernon Carey and Mathew Hurt, whose  practice and play will deserve floor time?

Let’s hear what’s on Coach K’s mind:  “Well, Zion and RJ are not here. It’s a different approach every year. This group is going to be a unit, not a starting five. Everyone’s gotta be ready to play. I’d call it old school. Like older Duke teams, from years past. Not the (Christian) Laettner, (Bobby) Hurley, or (Shane) Battier, or those guys, but a team that plays really good defense. Our kids want to do that.” [Translation: This will be a coach centric, not player centric, team.]

If history is any guide, unless you can shoot like JJ Redick, defense will be the key to minutes played. We know that Coach K loves point guards and Jordan Goldwire, a demon on defense but who has, shall we say, limited shooting range, has been starting with Tre Jones. That may be an early message to the more highly touted freshmen, because it is hard for me (but not Alan) to imagine he and Tre (who appears not to have improved his three point shot over the summer) playing a lot of minutes together– except if a Louisville-like comeback is needed. We know what Javin DeLaurier (if he stays out of foul trouble) and Jack White (if he found his jump shot in Australia this summer) can do. They are experienced co-captains and will get PT. Wendell Moore, Cassius Stanley (who broke Zion’s vertical leap record but is 100 lbs. lighter) are intriguing players as are the enigmatic but talented Alex O’ Connell and Joey (almost redshirted) Baker, who had a JJ like three point explosion (6-9), 22 points in 21 minutes against Ft. Valley State. It will be interesting to see if he can do that against Kansas in the Garden this Tuesday. As Johnny Tar Heel told me Friday at lunch: “O’Connell, Jack White, and seldom used graduate student Justin Robinson are the only other players who have demonstrated they can throw it in the water from a boat in the middle of the ocean.”

After these exhibitions games, I agree with Buzz Mewhort’s comment that free throw shooting and three point shooting may again be the Achilles Heel of this team– but with no Zion or RJ to bail them out. [Note: This year, the three-point line in college basketball moved from 20’ 9” inches from the center of the basket to the international basketball distance of 22’ 1 ¾”. Fortunately, the free throw line remains unchanged.]

Bottom Line: It’s a long season with more unknowns than knowns. These are teenagers blessed with exceptional physical and athletic skills and but burdened by often unrealistic expectations not only by themselves, but also by their parents, friends, neighbors, and classmates. Their success and failures are broadcast on television twice a week, sometimes more, for all to see and celebrate or critique on social media. Millions of dollars of NBA and shoe money are on the line. And, oh yes, there are classes, homework, term papers, and tests. Then, there is teammate and parental jealousies, girlfriend issues, and being away from the comfort of home. This is a lot of pressure for anyone much less a teenager, no matter how talented, to shoulder.

Stuff happens: Last year’s preseason #1Duke team played it’s best game of the year in the first game of the season destroying #2Kentucky 118-84. They looked hands down like the best team in college basketball. Then, Zion got hurt, RJ wore down, and, for mysterious reasons, Cam Reddish never again was consistently as good as advertised. They won the ACC Tournament beating UNC in the semi’s. At full strength, the last two NCAA Tournament games of the year against Central Florida and Michigan State, were among their worst.  In 1991, UNC beat Duke 96-74 for the ACC Championship but three weeks later defeated unbeaten UNLV then Kansas to win the NCAA National Championship. Try to explain these oxymoronic outcomes. They are just some of the fascinating mysteries that makes sports so compelling to follow.

Alan Adds:

Why am I smiling as I excitedly start to write about the upcoming season?  I admit I am totally psyched for the coming Duke basketball year.  My heresy: “this year’s team will be better than last year’s.”  Really?  No team has ever had three of the previous year’s starters as lottery picks.  How could this team be better?

Last Year

In spite of having Zion and RJ, Duke played a desultory end game in February and March last year.  Remember, after the heroic comeback against Louisville on February 13, Duke lost by 16 to UNC on February 21; to Virginia Tech by 5 on February 27; to UNC again by 9 in the season finale in March.  In the penultimate regular season game, Duke held off a terrible Wake team by a point on senior night in Cameron, after giving Wake a chance to actually win with 7 seconds left.  Winning the ACC tournament was a feat, but may have obscured obvious weaknesses.  Duke beat UNC in the semi-finals by a point before defeating Florida State for the title.   Florida State had beaten UVA in the semi-finals, which might have dulled their fires for the final.  In any event, the Blue Devils were far from impressive in the Big Dance: unimpressive in beating North Dakota State, almost lost to Central Florida (when Dawkins missed the open put back), winning by 1; beat Virginia Tech by 2 after Tre missed the front end of a 1 and 1, which gave the Hokies a wide open bunny at the basket to tie the game; and, finally the loss to Michigan State.  Duke’s problem last year is easy to identify.  In the modern game, Duke shot thirty percent from deep; last in the ACC by a wide margin and 317 out of 371 Division I teams.  Duke also shot under 70% from the free throw line 13th in the 15 team ACC.  Those two statistics were Duke’s Achilles heel last year.

My Optimism for This Year

We have seen one half of basketball in an intra-squad scrimmage; and two exhibition games against teams that had no real inside presence (or at least nothing comparable to ACC and National class competition).  We have seen 11 players with enough talent to make the rotation and enough inconsistent play to make predicting the starting lineup and rotation next to impossible.  Readers know that I love defense and believe it is the key to championships.  Duke has many high level defenders who could be part of an extraordinary defense.  The best news is that the headlines from coaches and players coming out of practice are all about defense.  Here’s my analysis of the pieces of the puzzle that are Coach K’s to use:

The Bigs

There are five:  Justin Robinson (6’9” 5th year senior), Javin DeLaurier (6’10” senior), Jack White (6’7” senior) as well as two highly regarded freshmen, Vernon Carey (6’10) and Mathew Hurt (6’9”).

Vernon Carey – rated 6th overall last year and 3rd rated center.  He’s down to 250 lbs. from 270 for speed and mobility.  In the Blue-White scrimmage, he was the best player on the floor, posting up DeLaurier, scoring inside and out.  Coach K said he played mostly on the perimeter in high school, and is just learning to score on the interior.  He’s coordinated and a shot blocker.  Then, in the first exhibition game, he simply laid a shocking egg, committing 3 offensive fouls in the very early going and only seeing 9 minutes of playing time.  In the final exhibition game against a dramatically inferior and smaller team, he started and played very well.  I believe he will be a stud by the time Duke is deep in the ACC season.

Mathew Hurt –is rail thin  at 215 pounds, but can do everything on a basketball court.  He is a scorer and smart player.  He can shoot from the outside, has nifty post moves, can pass, dribble, drive, rebound and defend.  More than any other player, I want to see how he handles playing against a Nationally ranked team like Kansas, with its powerful front line.  The jury is out, but I very much like what I have seen so far.

Jack White – is so valuable.  However, his shot deserted him in the second half of last year, which really hurt Duke.  He had, by all reports, an excellent summer with the Australian National Junior team.  He is best as a rebounder; he is a versatile defender, with no real weaknesses (if his shot goes in this year)

Javin DeLaurier – seems to have acquired the maturity he needs to stop fouling and stay on the floor as the team’s best defender among the Bigs.  He will play many crucial minutes.  He is not a scorer, but a valued contributor.

Justin Robinson – All laud his value in the locker room as a team builder. I (maybe alone) have seen enough to think there may be a time this year when he is in the rotation.  I was impressed that when he guarded Tre Jones on the perimeter in the Blue-White scrimmage when he blocked two of Tre’s shots.  He can shoot from the perimeter and is a good rebounder.

Wings and Off Guards

It is very possible that Matt Hurt will play as the small forward with two of the more traditional Bigs up front.  The others who will compete for playing time in those positions are Alex O’Connell (6’6”), Joey Baker (6’7”) as well as freshmen Wendell Moore (6’6”) and Cassius Stanley (6’6”).

Joey Baker – had played himself well out of the rotation in the intra-squad scrimmage and the first exhibition game.  He looked lost at both ends of the floor.  I had him least likely to play until the last exhibition game, when he demonstrated that his reputation as a long range shooter wasn’t an alternative fact.  His shot lit up the Duke offense as he led Duke’s scoring.  He will get a chance is my prediction.  There will be a lot of pressure on his first shot.  He clearly has the potential to shoot himself into the rotation.

Alex O’Connell – has shown flashes of skill and talent, but suffers from being inconsistent and sometimes not intense on the defensive end.  He has matured and will see time on the floor.  As with most, how he takes advantages of his opportunities will dictate his playing time.  He has demonstrated hops and driving ability.  He can be a bit sloppy with the ball, but has played very well in spots.  If he overcomes his inconsistency, he will be a valuable contributor.

Wendell Moore – might be the most athletic player on this squad.  He’s been a ball hawk and intense one on one defender on the defensive end.  He has played some backup point guard.  He is not shy; will shoot from anywhere.  He is a ferocious driver, but can be over exuberant.  He has perfected the behind the back pass to the press in the front row.  A warrior on defense and a work in progress on offense.

Cassius Stanley – the lowest rated of Duke’s freshmen coming out of high school (a 4 star recruit), he has been (to me) the surprise of Duke’s pre-season.  I love this freshman and believe that in spite of being the lowest rated, he may turn out to be the most valuable.  He’s smooth.  He has never seemed rattled to me and has not displayed a freshman like inconsistency.  He’s quick (and since he broke Zion vertical leap Duke record), it is clear he has remarkable hops.  I have liked his passing, ball handling and defense.  He has a terrific handle, makes his free throws and has a high shooting percentage.  I will go out on the limb and predict that if he doesn’t start (I think he will), he will be first off the bench.  I like my limb.

The ballhandling guards

Tre Jones and his backup (maybe) Jordan Goldwire.  When they play together, they make a formidable defensive duo.  They have acquired the nicknames: Thing One and Thing Two, for their ferocious pressing defense.

Jordan Goldwire —  we saw last season – especially against Louisville and UNC in the ACC tournament – he is a superior defender who can steal the ball, execute the trap, and has amazing intensity.  His three point shooting has been woeful, but he has shown an ability to get to the rim with the ball – even against Tre in the scrimmage.  I believe he will log major minutes this year.

Tre Jones —  as Tre goes, so will Duke go.  He has had a slow start.  He was outplayed in the scrimmage and has not shot well from the perimeter.  Of course, his defense is the best, he handles the ball with aplomb and skill, and has increased his scoring on drives and a pull up mid-range game.  Whether he can turn into the player his brother was will depend on his long range shot and his ability to hit free throws at the end of games.  He is the player that Duke will rely upon more than any other.

Musing About the Season

Coach K’s starting lineup in the last exhibition game is my bet on who will start against Kansas.  Thing One and Two will start in the backcourt with three freshmen up front – Stanley on the wing; Hurt and Carey up front.  I think (and fervently hope) that this will be a pressing team that substitutes freely to keep the defensive pressure on.  Coach K will do much experimenting before we know who is starting and what the various roles are by February and March (and hopefully April).

In the last years (since the 2015 championship), Duke has been better in November and December than at seasons’ end.  I predict that will change this year.  I think Duke will have trouble in the early going and jell at the best possible time.

That’s why I’m smiling.

Tuesday November 5 at Madison Square Garden: Duke v Kansas.  Game on.

Duke 68 –  Kansas 66

A year ago in this nationally televised season opening Champions Classic, Duke’s precocious freshmen played like they belonged in the NBA. Tonight, this new class of freshmen sometimes played like they were suffering from stage fright but the upper classmen led the way with retro Krzyzewski basketball– tough, aggressive defense that trumped (a bridge, not a political, term) sloppy, inconsistent offense. I don’t know if the Blue Devil defense is this good or Kansas big players have hands of stone but the Jayhawks committed 18 first half turnovers and 28 overall. For sure, the defense appears much better than that of the last few years when defense was a seven letter word that seemed like an afterthought and led to (gasp) Duke Playing Zone. While the savvy point guard from appropriately enough Apple Valley (15 pts, 6 assists, 3 steals) led the Blue Devils to this win in the Big Apple, it was the tough Australian senior and co-captain Jack White, who was the enforcer at closing time. Although he hit an important three, it was his shrewd defensive manuevers with 2 steals, a block, and an offensive rebound in the final minute and a half that clinched the win.

All the freshmen settled down and had their moments: Vernon Carey held his own against older, bigger players; Matthew Hurt, hit some big threes but was not a strong presence inside; and Wendell Moore demonstrated unusual versatility and athleticism but was often out of control. However, it was Cassius Stanley, the only Duke freshman who did not to make the McDonald’s All-America team, who stepped into the spotlight in the second half going 5-6, including 2 dunks and a three for 13 points to spark the second half resurgence. In addition, Alex O’Connell contributed both offensively AND defensively. Of the top ten players, only Joey Baker, coming off a sensational shooting performance, did not receive any playing time.

Other Comments:

Both teams struggled from the foul line with Kansas going 16 for 26 and Duke 14 for 23. Only Ty Jones’ 5-5 at the end made Duke’s semi-respectable.

The win ended a three-game Duke losing streak to Kansas and extends Duke’s all-time record in the rivalry to 8-5. It also ran Duke’s record to 6-3 in the Champions Classic.

At games in Madison Square Garden, Duke is now 36-18 all-time and now 70—27 when playing in the greater New York City area. Under Coach Krzyzewski, they are now 31-11 at MSG and 33-18 in games between top-five teams.

Alan Adds:

As the announcers make unnecessarily clear, this year’s Duke basketball team will be a work in progress for most of this year.  As Bill emphasized, Duke’s defense, which has been distressingly un-Coach K like in the past several years, looked exceedingly formidable.  The Devils doubled the post frequently and effectively (except for one stretch in the second half).  It was coordinated team defense, led, of course, by Tre’s on the ball defense.  But Tre had plenty of help from his energetic teammates, who pressed and switched, giving Kansas fits and creating the raft of Jayhawk turnovers.

The game began to answer the intriguing questions about this team.  Who will earn minutes, start the games, be on the court at crunch time are all open questions.  I thought last night’s game against Kansas, especially the second half, began to illuminate some answers.  The second half was winning time (obviously), but also where Duke faced its first real adversity of the season (down 9 as Kansas ran off 13 in a row).  How Duke responded to that, fought tooth and nail for the entire half, and prevailed at the end with Tre Jones doing his best Tyus Jones imitation.  With Duke leading 62-61 and 1:34 left in the game, Tre scored Duke’s last 6 points with a tough mid-range jumper followed by 4 clutch free throws to clinch it.  Duke also established a Big 3.  Tre played all 20 minutes (39 for the game), while Vernon Carey was on the floor for 17 minutes and Cassius Stanley for 16.  Both Stanley and Carey played exceedingly well and got timely help from Jack White (11 minutes of scintillating play after a sub-par first half) and Alex O’Connell (whose 12 minute second half contributions were on the floor and defense – a very good sign) and Matt Hurt.  Hurt made 2 huge 3 point shots in his 10 minutes on the floor, but had trouble competing on the interior (a single rebound).  Alex scored 9 in the game; 7 in the first half. Wendell Moore (6 minutes, a rebound, a foul and 2 turnovers), Jordan Goldwire (5 minutes; 0-1), and Javin (who managed to commit 2 fouls and miss his only field goal attempt and both free throws in just 3 minutes) contributed little in the final stanza.  Javin continued his foul prone defense committing 4 in only 12 minutes.

Cassius Stanley’s second half deserves special attention.  As I predicted in the pre-season edition of the DBP, in addition to his excellent defense Stanley was the Devil’s offensive stud in the second half.  One play stood out for me.  Stanley was after a loose ball heading out of bounds off Duke.  He grabbed it on the sideline and staggered for balance.  He maintained that balance enough to throw an accurate pass, giving Duke an extra possession.  Incredible athletic skill.  His second half was awesome (11 points on 4-4 shooting; 1-1 from deep; and 2-3 from the foul line).  He was Duke’s anchor facing that 9 point deficit.  With 14:35 left in the half, the Jayhawks had forged a 46-37 lead.  Carey and Hurt made back to back 3s (both on assists from Tre) to trim the lead to 3.  Cassius then scored 8 straight points – the first two on dunks (great passes from Tre on each) followed by 1-2 from the line and a 3 pointer.  Duke was back in the fray fighting toward the end.  With Duke trailing by a deuce with under 3 minutes to play, Stanley scored from the field on a tough shot and completed the 3 point play to give Duke the 62-61 lead that set the stage for Tre’s heroics.  Carey was the glue to Duke’s interior game.  He helped Duke answer another big question: does this team have the inside presence to compete with national class front lines.

The answer was a qualified yes, with the emphasis coming from Carey.  It was almost as if it took him a half to understand how big and powerful the Kansas front was.  Then Carey’s athleticism (2-2 on 3 point attempts) took over and he led Duke on the interior both on defense and offense.  His development will be a huge factor in how this season turns out.  Jack White was superb in the second half and Matt Hurt played well and will get better.  Let’s hope this was just an aberration for Javin.

It was a wonderful start to a season of questions.

Next game: Colorado State on Friday (11-8).

Duke 89 – Colorado State 55

After one very difficult game in a very difficult venue and one not so difficult game in a very friendly venue, Coach K stayed true to his word prior to the season that due to the team’s “balance” the Blue Devils would not have a go-to starting five. [Translation: There is no Zion Williamson, RJ Barrett, Marvin Bagley III, Wendell Carter or Jayson Tatum like there were during the last three seasons However, we have depth and talent,  so I am going have to be a real coach again.] Consequently, Krzyzewski will shift different players and/or groups of players in and out until he finds what works against a particular team on particular night. Krzyzewski’ somewhat puzzling analogy: “It’s like a musical. When you have a few guys that are NBA ready, they sing most of the songs and have all the dances. With this group,  is more like an ensemble. It’s, okay, knock our socks off with how you’re doing it. That’s why I said it’s more of an old-school, retro[team]. It’s built on defense.”

A case in point: In both games, defense kept the Blue Devils in the game until some one or two players developed an offensive rhythm and demanded the spotlight. Against Kansas it was Cassius Stanley, supported by Tre Jones, and Jack White. Tonight, it was a late first half surge  by starters Jones, O’Connell, & Stanley teamed with non-starters DeLaurier & White in place of Carey & Hurt. Suddenly, the lead doubled to 12 points. By the time the half was over, Duke had scored the game’s last 10 points to lead by 16. The Blue Devils forced 8 Colorado State turnovers over the first nine minutes of the second half. Think about that. A lead that was six points with 2:18 left until halftime was now 24 just 3:21 into the second half. In less than six minutes of actual play, Duke quadrupled its lead. That is a classic Duke Run to which Blue Devils fans have become accustomed from their best teams. “That group at the end of the half really played the best eight minutes of the game– the last four minutes of the first half and first four minutes of the second half,” Krzyzewski said. “Jack, Javin, Alex, Cassius, and Tre just found a rhythm defensively and offensively and boom we had it.”

This wasn’t a particularly good night for Carey and Hurt. The 6-10, 260-pound inscrutable Carey scored 11 points on 5-for-5 shooting but fouled out in just 15 minutes of play. Afterwards, he was very analytical: “I have to adjust to the calls, really, and the playing style, because, for instance, this game was completely different from the last game where we played Kansas just physical wise and call wise. I have to learn to adjust to that.” Hurt had 9 and 5 rebounds in 22 minutes. White and DeLaurier only combined for 7 points, but their play meshed well with Jones, O’Connell and Stanley.

The bottom line is that chemistry and defense usually win close games. Take another look at the picture above. Did you notice Jack White lying unconscious in the paint? He and roommate Javin DeLaurier crashed into each other lunging for a loose ball. Jack got the worst of it, but Javin recovered to contest the shot along with Alex O’Connell (aka. AOC). That, folks, is tough defense.

Other Comments:

  • Despite a team of McDonald All-Americans, three point shooting and free throws (60%) again appear to continue to be a frustrating weakness with the Duke Blue Devils.  Duke was 4-for-22 from long range against Colorado State. O’Connell made three of them. The rest of the team was 1-for-16.
  • Coach Mike Krzyzewski announced Thursday that fifth-year senior Justin Robinson has been named a captain for the 2019-20 season. Robinson, a graduate student at Duke University, is in his fifth year on the Duke men’s basketball team. He will join sophomore captain Tre Jones and senior captains Jack White and Javin DeLaurier on the Blue Devils’ newly-created Leadership Council. Robinson, whose NBA All Pro father David rarely misses a game, is from San Antonio, Texas, holds a bachelor’s degree in psychology and is pursuing his master’s degree in management students in Duke’s Fuqua School of Business.
  • Highly touted Carolina freshman Cole Anthony (UNLV’s Greg Anthony’s son) has had an impressive two games, scoring in the 30’s. However, he took 40 percent of UNC’s shots against Notre Dame and 33 percent against ECU. When I pointed this out to Johnny Tar Heel, he said that is because nobody else on the team can shoot. However, Roy’s Boys have had a number of injuries and are short- handed.

Alan Adds:

The Defense

Before the Kansas game fades from memory, just how remarkable the Duke defense was in that game should be examined.  This was the first game of the season and Duke was a very different group from last year.  I went back to look at portions of the Kansas game.  The sophistication and cohesion of the Duke defense would have been remarkable at season’s end for a veteran team, like Virginia.  Duke negated Kansas’s inside advantage by doubling the post on almost every post possession.  Yet the post player could not find an open man … because there wasn’t one.  Duke’s switching and anticipation was almost magical.  I found myself a bit disappointed by the defense in this game.  There were missed assignments and Colorado State did get a bunch of open looks.  Duke played really hard, but there was a Kansas like intensity that was missing by a small notch or two.

But wait a minute.  Duke held the Rams to 26 first half points, and 32% shooting for the game, while forcing 18 turnovers (12 steals).  Moreover, the defense allowed only 2 offensive rebounds.  The reality of the rout is the defense simply gutted Colorado State, both physically and spiritually.  The Rams had to work so hard just to avoid steals on every possession.  After the early run in the second half, Colorado State was emotionally done.  The defense did all that; so, maybe I overreacted.

The Rotation

There is growing clarity to Coach K’s rotation.  Alex O’Connell has emerged and has played his way into starting.  He has been the most improved veteran.  It seems the coach has settled on a starting perimeter of Tre, Cassius, and Alex.  They all excelled last night.  Cassius has been a highlight; and Tre has been all we hoped for (except from deep).  Wendell Moore will be first off the bench on the perimeter.  He is so athletic and exuberant on the court that he will get minutes.  He can turn the ball over from anywhere, but he can also dazzle.  I believe Coach K will be patient with him and he will blossom before February.  Jordan Goldwire will spell Tre when there is that luxury, and come in for defense in pressing situations.  The interior is more muddled.

Coach K mentioned many players in his press conference, but not Matt Hurt or Vernon Carey.  The co-captains earned praise for their amazing performance in the 8 minutes that Bill described so well.  But Duke needs Vernon Carey.  He may have fouled out in his 15 minutes, but take a look at his stat line for those 15 minutes.  He scored 11 on an efficient 5-5 from the floor and 1-1 from the line.  He grabbed 3 boards, blocked 2 shots and had a steal.  He wasn’t mentioned because he turned it over 3 times while committing 5 fouls.  Coach K has many ways of motivating his freshmen.  White (especially if his shot ever returns) and Javin have great value, but for Duke to be a force at tournament time, the freshmen – especially Carey – have to mature and develop.

The Offense

While the offense overwhelmed an inferior team – gutted by early second half – the offense is developing.  But it seems like de ja vu all over again with the abysmal 3 point shooting and the sub-par foul shooting.  Last year we kept saying that the players were too talented to keep shooting so badly.  It should be fixable, but if it is not fixed it will be fatal to championship dreams.

An interesting insight

Coach K explained why he elevated David Robinson to captain.  He said that with Team USA, there was a “leadership council” of a few players.  “It doesn’t matter whether you call it leadership council or co-captains.  It gives a chance for analysis, planning and chemistry.”  They meet every Monday.  Another example of Coach K’s genius.

Central Arkansas on Tuesday (7:00 ACC Network) and Georgia State on Friday.

DUKE 105 – CENTRAL ARKANSAS 54

Duke’s Wendell Moore Jr. (0) forces a turnover by Central Arkansas’ Rylan Bergersen (1) during the first half on Tuesday, November 12, 2019 at Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, N.C.

Since this was such a lopsided game, we will summarize this and Friday’s Georgia State game on the weekend.

Of note: After a first half head to head collision, Tre Jones is apparently OK and, shockingly, #1 Kentucky lost at home to Evansville 67-64. (It’s still very early in the season.)

DUKE 74 – GEORGIA STATE 63

Attention to detail is one of the reasons Coach K is who he is. For instance, he schedules teams like Central Arkansas and  Georgia State, etc. for a reason. It is because there are a lot of talented basketball players who are not quite big enough or who, for some other reason, never were on the recruiting radar of the big programs (Stephen & Seth Curry) but who play at smaller schools like  Evansville, Wofford, Belmont, Lehigh, Davidson, and UMBC– small, quick talented teams who, with the benefit of the three  point line, play a different style of basketball (sort of a college version of the Golden State Warriors)  and on any given night can and have beaten the best teams in the country. Just ask Kentucky, Duke, North Carolina, and Virginia. These are the kind of teams a high seed often play the first rounds of the NCAA Tournament and  they benefit from the experience of defending a team much different than the typical ACC opponent.

The two games this week demonstrated the logic of this approach. The game against Central Arkansas was a no-problem blowout; the first half against Georgia State was anything but. The Blue Devils were fortunate to be up by two at the half as G State hit 50% of their threes, forced as many turnovers as Duke, had as many steals, and only Tre Jones and Vernon Carey seemed to be able to put points on the board. Fortunately, in the second half Joey Baker’s two consecutive threes sparked a patented Duke run that more or less put the game away.

Ever since Coach K has been successfully recruiting one-and-done players, I have been surprised by what relatively mediocre defenders, free throw and three point shooters many of these uber rated players generally have been. Perhaps, it is because until this level, they had been so much better than their competition, they could just out score opponents with sheer athleticism—or, perhaps, they had an eye on their NBA draft status. Whatever the reason, this year’s Duke class appears different, because defense is their calling card—and it is a good thing, because, as Friday’s game demonstrated, right now collectively they appear offensively underwhelming—especially for a top rated team with a target on their back. When Tre Jones is scoring half your points and has the only threes of the half,  and, for the entire game, the team only shoots 34% from the floor, 59% from the charity strip, and 25% from three–Holy JJ Redick, Batman, this team better be able to play defense! My take is that only Jones and Carey are irreplaceable starters and until any of the other eight candidates develop more confidence and consistency, the other three spots will be musical chairs. For a Duke fan, the frustrating aspect of all this is that what used to be a four year development process has, in many cases, been compressed into one year.

An early season assessment:

Tre Jones– A sheer joy to watch. The consummate point guard. A wonderful teammate. Sets the tone at both ends of the floor. Not to worry: Anyone who hits nearly 80% of their free throws has the skill set to hit threes.

 Vernon Carey – As large and strong as an NFL lineman but athletic and an unusually soft touch for a big man. Mature and analytical.  Needs to get more comfortable in the post (missed two point blank dunks last night) and not always go left. Has to be on the floor for thirty minutes or more in big games.

Cassius Stanley – Least highly rated of this year’s class but, perhaps, has the most upside. His 45” vertical leap broke Zion’s Duke record but is about 100 pounds lighter and a much different player. By far best frosh defender. Has multiple game changing skills. Doesn’t seem to quite understand how good he can be but stay tuned.

Matthew Hurt – Terrific touch and range for someone  6’ 9” but lacks strength. When that comes, he will have Laettner-like abilities to stretch the floor and impact the game.

Jack White – Aussie Tough but last year lost his shooting touch somewhere in the Outback. Nevertheless, look for this senior to be in at the end of close games. If his shot ever comes off vacation, he will start, because Coach K loves his physicality and toughness and ability to defend 1-5.

Javin DeLaurier – Tough defender in the paint and in the open floor but has difficulty staying on the floor and not fouling out. Really blossomed at the end of last year but has not attained that same consistency this year. I’m betting the senior co-captain will be a valuable contributor.

Alex O’Connell– The junior has improved his defense and could well start if he can hit open shots and maintain his focus. He and Stanley are the most explosive players on the team.

Joey Baker – Joey may be the wild card of the group. He appeared to fall out of favor early but may have shot himself back into favor Friday with his  two timely threes and intense defense. For sure, this team will see a lot of zone defenses and Joey may be the best available antidote to that.

Wendell Moore – Those who evaluate Blue Chip talent love his size and athleticism and aggressiveness. Except for flashes, he has been a bull in the china shop and until he relaxes and lets the game come to him, it is tough to see Coach K risk using him in close games.

Jordan Goldwire– Solid sub for Jones. Coach K loves him. A lot to admire, except his  shot. Cannot see he and Jack White on the floor at the same time as Jack is a more physical and versatile defender and rebounder.

Having proffered all the above, the reality is that right now Duke is undefeated, Kentucky & Kansas have one loss each and, for whatever it means, next week the Blue Devils will probably be ranked the number one team in the country. However, we will have a much better take on this team late December 3rd, after Duke plays pre-season #1 Michigan State in East Lansing. Whatever that outcome, Duke fans can anticipate another exciting season with high expectations but with the knowledge that it is a long, tough journey to another national championship. However, buckle your seat belt, the Blue Devils have a very deep, talented team, and a coach much like the legendary Alabama football Coach Bear Bryant of whom it was said: ” He can take his’n and beat your’n, and then he can turn around and take your’n and beat his’n.”   

Alan Adds: 
Duke maybe atop the polls at the moment, but do not be fooled.  Right now this is a team of potential, that may or may not jell into a National contender, but certainly not a team that has “arrived” and deserves to be considered as momentarily the best in the nation.  The ascendancy was fueled by: 1) Duke’s feisty performance and sophisticated defense displayed in the win over highly ranked Kansas; 2) the defensive full court pressure that produced turnovers at a jaw dropping rate against non-competitive Colorado State and the first on campus game of the tournament versus Central Arkansas.  Georgia State was a reality check and evidence that this team has a long way to travel toward the goal of National contender.  The first half of the Central Arkansas game illuminated the defensive potential (amazing) of this team.  Georgia State illuminated the strength of what Coach K calls “human nature”, as well as the nature of competition itself, and the danger of a team beginning to believe the press clippings about its prowess.

Central Arkansas first half: Duke 57 v CA 20

Duke unleashed a press of almost unmatched fury and played scintillating and suffocating defense.  Central Arkansas made only 5 field goals while committing 15 turnovers.  With 1:07 left in the half, Duke led by 41 (57-16).   CA scored the last 4 points in a minute to get to 20 at the half.  It was a tour de force (except for the 12 first half fouls committed by Duke).  The offense thrived off of the defensive pressure shooting 60% from the field; 50% from 3land; and 5-6 from the stripe.

I know my attitude was bad.  I invited my daughter to watch the game with me and told her “it won’t be a competitive game.”  I suspect that deep down, the Duke players believed that as well.  It made for (hopefully) a needed lesson for growth and allowed Coach K to explain to the press that no team “is supposed to win”.

Coach K’s Wisdom

“Nobody is supposed to win or supposed to lose, you’re not ordained to win or lose, that’s why it’s called competition. People who compete and work hard turn out to be winners, and those who don’t turn out to be the team that the winners beat. That’s just the way it is and that’s what makes competition so good.  In our sport, our sport is more prone to upset than any because there are just five people out there, so there’s age, athleticism, maturity, all those things, depth and a lot of things where people can make up differences.  That’s why there are a lot of so-called upsets in our sport.  A lot of people can win and you have to be ready to play all those people.”

Coach K’s point was Duke was not ready to compete against Georgia State.  “They didn’t approach [today] with the intensity they needed to.  I’m not saying they weren’t ready; they weren’t ready at the level they needed to play Georgia State. …In the past couple of games coaches have come in here and said how hard Duke plays, and those are great compliments.  That’s our calling card.  If you show up and don’t play hard that gives a lot of confidence to the other team – “Oh, they’re not who we thought they were”.  So, if we don’t come out and match or exceed that effort, we’re giving our opponent momentum right from the start.  I thought that was evident right away tonight because we weren’t strong with the ball.  Not that Georgia State wasn’t confident, but their confidence grew.”

“I thought they were tougher than we were by far in the first half.  We were not ready for that level of intensity from our opponent.  Obviously in the second half we matched or exceeded it, and that’s why we won.”

Georgia State

The Bad

Javin DeLaurier committed 4 fouls in his 6 minutes of playing time while missing both field goal attempts and committing 2 turnovers; (he did grab 4 boards and had a block; 1-2 from the foul line).  The five Duke players who logged 20 + minutes (Jones all 40; Carey, 34; Stanley, 28, Hurt, 22 and Jack White, 21) could be considered the starters.  While Tre and Carey carried Duke (scoring 51 of Duke’s 74 points), the other 3 scored only 14 points on a collective 4-20 from the floor including 1-10 from behind the arc and 3-6 from the line.  Duke had 17 turnovers against only 13 assists.  The Blue Devils shot 34% from the field; 25% from behind the arc and a demoralizing 59 % from the line.  Tre was 7-10 from the line but missed all 3 front ends of his 1 and 1 attempts.  The defense gave up 5-10 from deep in the first half.  Coach K pointed out that Duke allowed Georgia State open looks from the corner even though it was a point of pre-game strategy to stop that particular shot.  In the second half, Duke clamped down and allowed only 2 attempts from deep (they both missed).  Wendell Moore and Alex O’Connell had disappointing games.  In 12 minutes, Alex failed to score (0-3; 0-2 from deep) or get to the foul line.  He had an assist against 2 turnovers (4 rebounds), while Moore was 1-5 (0-1 from deep without a free throw attempt) in his 11 minutes.  His two steals were matched by his 2 turnovers.  He too had 4 boards.  Goldwire was 0-2 in his 11 minutes (0 points; no free throw attempts).  Duke’s defense revived in the second half.

The Good

Tre Jones had the best game of his career at Duke and virtually willed Duke to win.  With the score tied at 40 early in the second half, Jones took over, scoring 10 of Duke’s next 11 points.  Jack White’s only point (1-2 from the line) and Moore’s only field goal moved Duke out to a 13 point lead (53-40).   Joey Baker hit 2 key 3s from the corner to push the lead to 16.  In his 15 minutes, Baker had 8 points (3-6; 2-5 from deep).  He didn’t add any other stats.

Vernon Carey was a beast and Duke dominated the back boards.  In 34 minutes, Carey shot 50% from the floor (7-14) but not much better from the foul line (6-11).  He will be at the line frequently and must improve that part of his game.  He led Duke in rebounding with 14 (7 offensive).  He blocked 2 shots, and had a steal while he committed only 2 fouls (perhaps the freshman should be tutoring senior DeLaurier).  White had 10 rebounds and played just superb defense.  I believe he will start ahead of Hurt because of his defense and rebounding.  If only his shot would start to find the range.

Duke grabbed a monster 30 offensive rebounds (Coach K ruefully pointed out the downside of that positive stat, “we missed a lot of shots”).  Duke took 73 shots to score 74 points.  Inefficient at best.  But they won!  Kentucky lost to Evansville; winning is not ordained.  Duke overcame “human nature”; Kentucky did not.   Now it is back to New York and Madison Square Garden for the tournament finals.  Duke plays California while Texas faces Georgetown on Thursday November 21.  The winners and losers will meet the following night.

Coach K on playing at Madison Square Garden:

“It’s every kid’s dream to play there and every coach’s dream to coach there.  I still get a thrill.  Everything is different; the ball sounds different when it bounces; the public address announcer sounds different.  “The basketball gods play pick up there at 2-3 o’clock in the morning.” 

Note:  DBP has a new blog site: dukebasketballplaybook.com, which is a collection of all the Duke games starting with the 2010-11 championship season.

Duke 87 – University of California 52

Duke 81 – Georgetown 73

We learned a lot about this team and its players in this two game tournament in the spotlight of Madison Square Garden:

Whether against a mismatched Cal-Berkley or a very talented, very dangerous Georgetown team, Vernon Carey proved he a top NBA lottery pick and the one indispensable player for Duke to be a legitimate championship contender.

This team has a disconcerting habit of starting sluggish offensively but not defensively; however, it has a good habit of finishing off games at closing time—probably, in part, because they wear opponents down.

Wendell Moore had a breakout game which demonstrated why he was rated so highly by the scouts and why Coach K kept giving him an opportunity calm down and get comfortable with his teammates. He is tough, fearless, multi-talented, and seizes the moment.

Cassius Stanley can do a lot more than just elevate 46” from the floor. His stroke is silky smooth, he plays defense, and rebounds tougher than his choir boy appearance–he is a playmaker.

Although he had a SportsCenter dunk in the Cal game,  Alex O’Connell has not consistently taken advantage of the playing time given to him at the beginning of the season. However, Joey Baker is playing himself into  role as designated three point shooter.

Tre Jones may be offensively inconsistent but he more than makes up for it with his defense and leadership.

Coach Krzyzewski may be 71 years old but is still  one hell of a bench coach. He continues to shake up his starters, auditioning his fifth different lineup in the fifth game of the season but replacing the highly touted  Matthew Hurt when it was apparent tonight he was physically overmatched. And how many times did Duke score after a timeout on an out of bound’s play? Over the years, Duke players  take advantage of the rules and are rarely out of control. On the other hand, the Hoya players never did adjust to how the game was being called and were in the foul penalty  almost a quarter of the game, limiting the minutes of center Omer Yurtseven, Georgetown’s best player and talented guard Mac McClung. Granted offensive charges are tough, judgement call but best not put a ref in that position. Coach Ewing grew incensed over what he considered bad or inconsistent calls. In truth, they did effect the game as part of Duke’s plan was to get Georgetown’s 7-0 center Omer Yurtseven, the former N.C. State player, in foul trouble, which they did. In fact, he didn’t so much as take a shot in the first half but scored 21 points after the break—most of which were when Vernon “The Tank” Carey was on the bench with three and four fouls.

Think the freshmen are settling ? Stanley (21), Carey (20), Moore (17) and Jones (13) combined for 71 of Duke’s 81 points. Jack White played his usual tough all-around game and Joey Baker gave Duke five big first-half points. But Duke’s four upperclassmen combined for 5 points, 6 rebounds, 1 for 10 shooting and 8 fouls, with only White playing more than 13 minutes.

Alan Adds:

DUKE  87 –  CAL 52

DEFENSE!  Defense!  It was back in intensity, quickness and fluidity to the wonderful defensive effort of the Kansas game.  Dan Dakich (color announcer) was continually pointing out the sophisticated switches (“There were three beautiful switches on that one defensive set.”) and superb help that was the calling card of this defense.  (“Look how many players moved in to block that drive.”)  The defensive intensity just sucked the guts out of California.  Dakich: “Look how far out Cal has to initiate its offense.  That’s the Duke defensive pressure.”   Dakich played for Knight at Indiana and had this insight that resonated with me.  He said Duke was playing “old fashioned” defense, and cited the West Point teams coached by Knight when now Coach K (but then just Mike) was his captain and point guard.  I saw those Army teams, which were astounding defensively.  It made me smile in agreement.

Cal was a perimeter oriented, three point shooting team. Duke’s pressure took it away; Cal was able to launch only four attempts from behind the arc in the first half (10 for the game).  Open looks for the Golden Bears were very hard to come by.  Duke created turnovers and had many deflections.

For some reason the offense could not get untracked for almost half of the first half (causing Bill to call me wondering why the Blue Devils couldn’t shoot).  Duke had only 6 points after 9 minutes of play, and tied the game at 8 at the half way point of the first half.  You did read that correctly.  Then the offense started cooking.  The Devils scored 31 points in the second part of the opening half and 47 in the second half.  That’s 78 points in ¾ of a game.

I’ll write this before the Georgetown game, but readers will have the benefit of knowing how the Georgetown game went.  Georgetown presents a completely different type of team.  They are big inside and will test Carey (not to mention DeLaurier and White) as Cal did not have the horses to do.  Duke crushed Cal on the boards.  Carey was astounding – 31 points in only 23 minutes of action (11-18; 1-1 from deep; 8-9 from the stripe, to go with 12 rebounds (6 offense and 6 defense) and 4 blocked shots, defending the rim.  He was not only an offensive stud, he anchored the defense.  How he does in the second of back to back games against a powerful front line will be illuminating.

A rebound worth mentioning: Stanley soared so high for one rebound in traffic that it was replayed. After a breathless “Wow!”, Dakich said wistfully to his announcing partner, “Wouldn’t you like to have done that, just once!”

DUKE 81 – GEORGETOWN 73 

The First Half

Georgetown presented a very different and much more formidable challenge than did Cal.  It was simply a sloppy first half, in which Duke depended completely on Carey to remain competitive (tied at 33 at the half).  In 15 first half minutes, Carey scored 16 of Duke’s 33, grabbing 5 first half boards, and drew 2 quick fouls on Georgetown 7 foot center Omer Yurtseven.  Yurtseven, who transferred from NC State, was limited to 7 minutes and 0 points in the opening stanza.  Duke was winning inside even though both Carey and De Laurier committed 2 fouls – Javin in only 5 minutes of first half playing time.  He committed 3 more, fouling out in 8 second half minutes.  Duke committed 12 first half fouls – both Tre Jones and Cassius Stanley also had 2.  The Georgetown perimeter completely outplayed Duke; Georgetown guards torched Tre and held him completely in check (0-4; 0-1; 2-2) with 2 assists and 2 turnovers.  Georgetown starting guards scored 18 first half points.  The second half was the game, and illuminated both Duke’s strengths and weaknesses.

The Second Half

The Rotation

Except for a scoreless two minute cameo by Joey Baker (5 points in 8 first half minutes) and 8 foul plagued minutes from Javin, Duke played Carey (13 minutes), Tre (the full 20 minutes) Wendell Moore, Cassius and Jack White each logged 19 minutes.  Georgetown turned the interior around and dominated.  Yurtseven torched the Blue Devil interior defense for 21 second half points on 13 shots from the field in 17 minutes.  He reduced both DeLaurier and Carey to “ineffective”.  I think Carey was gassed.  He took only 4 shots (1-4) missed key free throws (2-6), which to me signified “tired”.  After Javin fouled out, he hung in with 4 fouls but his aggression was diminished on both ends of the floor.  Neither Hurt, O’Connell, nor Goldwire played at all in the second half, after each was scoreless in the opening stanza.  So much for the “new deep bench”.

The Offense

Duke scored 48 second half points and led by 14 (77-63 after a corner 3 by Cassius Stanley), with only four and a half minutes left.  Duke and its offense were humming.  (44 points in a little over 16 minutes).  The two freshmen, who just blossomed to lead this scoring burst were Stanley and Moore.  Cassius was beyond wonderful, scoring 20 second half points on 6-9 shooting that included 3-3 from deep (wide open good shots) and 5-5 from the foul line.  He added 7 second half rebounds to achieve a stat line he will remember.  Moore supplied much ball handling to help Tre and made some superb drives to the basket to keep Duke’s control of the game even as the defense was unable to stop the Hoyas’ inside game.  Wendell scored 11 in the closing period on 4-6 from the field (1-1 from deep and 2-2 from the line) and played superb defense.  Tre also had 11 second half points, scoring the first two field goals of the second half as Duke broke the tie and took a lead that was never relinquished.  He was only 1-7 after the two opening baskets, but was 5-6 in crucial foul shots.  Stanley, Moore and Tre combined for 42 of Duke’s 48 second half points (Carey’s 4 and Jack White was 2-2 from the foul line).

Duke’s lead shrunk from 14 with 4 and ½ minutes to go to 4 with 42 seconds left, before Tre and Stanley each went 2-2 from the line for the final margin.  It is an old axiom in basketball that pressing teams do not like to be pressed.  Georgetown’s desperate press in the last 5 minutes was frighteningly effective.  Duke started turning the ball over (Moore committing 4 and White 3 — The Devils had 11 second half turnovers).  I suspect that there will be some intense practices in the coming days to fix that obvious weakness.

Besides the lack of poise and ball handling against the Hoya press, a troubling aspect was the failure of the upper class players to score.  White had 5 (in 33 minutes).  O’Connell, Goldwire and DeLaurier failed to score in the game.  Add the 0 in 5 first half minutes for Matt Hurt (his only minutes of the game) and instead of a deep bench, the reserved gave little support.

The Defense

Duke gave up 40 second half points because Yurtseven was simply unstoppable on the blocks.  Double teams did not slow him.  But Duke continued to force turnovers and tightened up its perimeter defense to make for what would have been a comfortable win, if the offense had not succumbed to the Hoya press.

One More Concern Moving Forward

Duke committed 21 fouls, most either were on offense or trying to compete on the interior.   The offense turned it over 21 times – 10 in the sloppy first half and 11, primarily against the press in the second half.

Upcoming

Stephen F. Austin on Tuesday November 26 (at 9 pm EST) and Friday November 29 against Winthrop (7 pm EST) to get ready for a formidable December schedule.

 

Stephen F. Austin 85 – Duke 83 (Overtime) 

Duke 83 – Winthrop 70 

Washington, D.C., November 27th, 12:05 am. My cell phone rings. Immediately, I recall back in the day telling our teenage kids that nothing good happens after midnight, so best be home by that time. However, it wasn’t a teenager with bad news, it’s Johnny Tar Heel asking what is Stephen F. Austin and where is it? I tell him I don’t know and why is he asking. He replies that someone with this name  just beat Duke in overtime. I tell him it’s too late for jokes, I didn’t have video access to the game, but last I checked Duke was up 15, hung up, then check my ESPN app to find out it’s no joke nor bad dream. Duke had experienced one of, if not the, worst upsets in NCAA history– Right up there with Chaminade and Ralph Sampson’s Virginia.

Some weeks ago I wrote, in part, Coach K schedules teams like Central Arkansas and  Georgia State, etc. for a reason. It is because there are a lot of talented basketball players who are not quite big enough or who, for some other reason, never were on the recruiting radar of the big programs (Stephen & Seth Curry) but who play at smaller schools like  Evansville, Wofford, Belmont, Lehigh, Davidson, and UMBC– small, quick talented teams who, with the benefit of the three  point line, play a different style of basketball (sort of a college version of the Golden State Warriors)  and on any given night can and have beaten the best teams in the country. Just ask Kentucky, Duke, North Carolina, and Virginia. These are the kind of teams a high seed often play the first rounds of the NCAA Tournament and they benefit from the experience of defending a team much different than the typical ACC opponent. Now add Stephen F. Austin to those smaller, unknown schools who have upset a Basketball Powerhouse, ranked Number One no less.

That doesn’t totally explain what has happened in these two game in Cameron. Until this week, exceptionally good defense and timely plays have masked mediocre shooting and inconsistent play. Still several stats stand out:

  • Vernon Carey’s free throw shooting has regressed to the level other recent Duke centers—an ominous development. [I am unconvinced that someone with his touch is going to continue to be this inconsistent.]
  • Tre Jones assist-to-turnover ratio has flipped upside down.[I
  • nexplicable for someone who nearly led the nation in this stat last year.]Wendell Moore’s rapid improvement against Georgetown seems like a mirage. [He has been too productive in International Play not to excel at the collegiate level.]
  • Matthew Hurt responded to poor performances against Georgetown and S.F Austin by playing well against Winthrop….. but Winthrop is not big and strong like Georgetown or Michigan State. [Stay tuned.]
  • Do you see a pattern of young and inconsistent here. [Maturity often develops unevenly  in stages.]
  • The only good news about Cassius Stanley’s hamstring injury is that it does not appear too serious and that it gave Joey  Baker an extended opportunity to demonstrate the skills he can bring to the floor, especially the ability to hit threes and thereby extending the defense to open up the paint for Carey, Hurt , and Company.
  • It is easy to forget that these are exceptionally gifted athletes—but still are teenagers. However, DeLaurier and White are not. They are seniors. Jack’s reluctance to shoot limits his usefulness, (except for special occasions) and Javin’s maddening tendency to foul, limits his usefulness. And finally, with the popularity of basketball attracting the best athletes worldwide, the longer a better team let’s a less talented team hang around, the better chance there is for an upset. At the end of the S.F.A. upset, the point guard penetrated and got the ball to a big man. 49 of 50 times in the past, Duke converts, or there is a foul. But for the ball to emerge from a scrum under the basket to a guard fast enough to run 70 feet in 2.5 second and make a layup is 100-1. But that’s what makes basketball such an exciting game.

Alan Adds:

Overview

The two games dramatically demonstrated what I have written – at this juncture of the season, this edition of the Blue Devils is far from a #1 team; far from a top 5 team; and maybe only a top 20 team.  Coach K, as always, put it accurately: “We’re going to have to work through a bunch of things … with this group.  It’ll take time and we’re going to try and muck it out and we know we’re not a top five team – maybe not even a top 25 team in the country right now.  We’ve beaten good teams and we’ve played well.  But now it’s where do we go after a loss and a win this week. … Next week would be tough even if you were a top five team.”  [Next week is road games at East Lansing (Michigan State in the ACC-Big 10 challenge) and Blacksburg (opening the ACC season on the road).]

For me, the question is “what happened to the superb defense that Duke played in New York (especially against California).  In both games – far more in the SFA game – Duke gave up a startling number of points in the paint.  Even after allowing 64 points in the paint to SFA, Duke did not stop the penetration of Winthrop, which led to interior passing that produced easy layups at the rim.  When Duke doubled the post, Winthrop scored either on passes or offensive rebounds when the weak side was abandoned for the double team.  The sophisticated switching that was the Duke hallmark against Kansas and in New York was simply non-existent.  No, I don’t know what happened.  It will be necessary for the defense to reappear if losses next week are to be avoided.

Offensively, it was a mixed bag.  Duke’s offense revived against Winthrop, thanks to the re-emergence of Matt Hurt in the first half (18 in the half; only 20 for the game) and Joey Baker (Bill’s favorite; because he’s partial to seeing Duke shots go in the basket) for the game – 16 points in 23 minutes.  Jordan Goldwire also was instrumental in Duke getting untracked in the second half.  With Stanley’s injury and the terrific play of Baker and Goldwire, the rotation is completely in flux.

Duke v Stephen F Austin (written prior to the Winthrop game)

Duke was a 27.5 point favorite last night (and is an even heavier favorite against Winthrop for Friday’s game). Bill was away for the holidays, so we decided we would do one edition of the Duke Basketball Playbook to cover both games, “since they would not be competitive games”.  Apparently the Duke team also had the view that the games would not be competitive.  The first few minutes corroborated that feeling, but completely undid this young team.  With 9:03 left in the first half, Matt Hurt added a layup to give Duke a 15 point lead (33-18).  What happened for the next 36 minutes is exactly what happened to Kentucky against Evansville and in countless other spectacular upsets.  Stephen F. Austin (SFA) morphed into a team of destiny and played so well that I almost wanted to root for the 27 and ½ point underdog, playing in an arena of legend and just sticking it to Duke with intensity and energy.  “Up Yours, # 1!”

Not only did The Lumberjacks deserve to win, but Duke deserved to lose.  The second half and overtime are illuminating for any analysis of this game from Duke’s perspective.  Duke shot 11-24 from the free throw line in the second half and overtime.  SFA had 8 more field goal attempts than Duke and 7 more rebounds in the second half.  Duke turned it over an astounding number of times, including giving up the winning basket on the final of its 22 turnovers.  Worse, the vaunted defense was beyond porous – SAF scored 25 more points in the paint and grabbed 7 offensive rebounds (making Duke pay almost every time).  Coach K: “We gave up 60 [64, actually] points in the paint; we don’t give up 60 points for a game!”

Coach K: “They were better than we were.  They were tougher.  They had more poise.  They made so many layups (those 64 points in the paint).”  The Coach pointed out the terrible foul shooting and sloppy ball handling. Tre had 8 turnovers alone.  However, K gave full credit to the incredible performance of The Lumberjacks: “we played badly, but they made us play badly by their superb play.”

Coach K: “We were not deserving of winning.  The overtime, especially the last play, was symbolic of the game we played.”  Duke scored just 2 points in the crucial overtime, and that was on a put back by Carey (2nd offensive rebound of that scrum).  In the crucial 5 minutes of overtime, Duke turned the ball over 6 times!  Both Lumberjack overtime field goals came off of live ball turnovers in the open court leading to open layups.  Duke took 4 shots – a 3 and a put back by White, the put back by Carey to tie the game at 83 with 2:14 left and a missed short jumper by Tre with 16 seconds left.  When Tre missed a pretty open mid-range jumper with 16 seconds left on the clock, Moore grabbed the offensive board and got the ball to Hurt, who was stripped of the ball for the winning Lumberjack basketball.  Duke had not only failed to score in the last 2:14 of the overtime, but had only taken one shot (Tre’s mid-range miss)!

The second half was an illuminating nightmare for the Blue Devils, who gave up 41 points, committed 12 fouls and were outrebounded by 8 after dominating inside in the first half.  Vernon Carey was 2-9 from the free throw line.  Duke’s offense got the ball into him in good position.  He drew the foul.  But when you brick the free throws, it is just like a turnover.  Tre was 1-5 from the field and only 3-6 from the line.  There was no bench.  Javin played 2 minutes (only 1 foul); Alex was in for 4 minutes (1-1 from the field).  Neither Baker nor Goldwire made it on the floor in the second half.  Carey played 15 minutes (3-3 from the field with 3 rebounds and 4 blocks for 8 points.  Tre (6 points) and Cassius (8 points) played all 20 minutes, while Wendell Moore scored 7 in 16 minutes (5-6 from the free throw line; 1-2 from the field).  Hurt and White split the small forward time at 10 minutes each.  White played 3 minutes as the center with Carey getting a rest and Javin completely ineffective.  Hurt was 2-6 from the field (1-2 from deep and 1-2 from the line) for 6 points, but only 1 rebound.  White did not attempt a shot or foul shot in his 13 minutes.  He grabbed 2 boards.  Both Hurt and White committed 2 second half fouls.  It was very hard to watch if you were a Duke fan.

Coach K: “We did not respond well to winning in New York.  We assumed we would win.  Not that it would be easy, but that we would win.  We tried to tell them at half and at time outs.  We didn’t respond to a different emotion.  They outplayed us.”

It was about toughness.  SFA forces turnovers and dominated the interior to score and rebound.  K attributed the many turnovers to a lack of toughness.  “Duke was not strong with the ball.”  Understatement!

What’s next? [written before the Winthrop game].  Coach K: “I’m disappointed.  I’m going to wallow in that disappointment before figuring out what to do.  I’ve told my team, ‘it’s not ok to play like that.  We have to get tough quickly.”

Winthrop

The score was tied at 32 with 3:10 left in the first half, when Duke went on its first run (8-0) with Stanley and Tre hitting from the field (Tre’s only 3) and Hurt making 3 of 4 from the line.  Duke led 42-35 at the half (Duke also won the second half 41-36).  With 13:40 left in the game, Duke led by 11, when the wheels started to come off.  It felt just like the SFA game, where Duke’s 15 point lead started to shrink with alarmingly bad play.  Duke went 4:20 without scoring while Winthrop chopped the Devil lead to 4 with 9:45 left.  Sloppy play by both teams followed.  Duke expanded the lead on good plays by Hurt, Baker, Carey and Goldwire to lead by 10 with 5:31 left.  By then Winthrop was gassed and Duke rolled the lead to 16 before calling off the dogs.

The rotation

Cassius only played two minutes in the second half because of his injury.  Coach K said it was hamstring rather than knee, and hoped Stanley would return by Christmas.  Alex (6 minutes) and Jack White (8 minutes) played only cameos.  Matt Hurt played 17 second half minutes even though his scoring stopped (1-4 for 2 points). He had scored 18 in a spectacular outburst in the first half. In the second half, Matt earned his time with 4 boards and excellent defense.  The result was White played only 3 second half minutes to spell Hurt.

With Cassius hurt, one hoped Wendell Moore would step up, but exactly the opposite happened. It was a bad game for Wendell who failed to score in 19 minutes, missing his only 2 shots.  Eventually, Baker took his minutes.  Coach K gave Carey more rest, which produced excellent results.  Vernon played only 22 minutes to record his double double – 10 rebounds and 17 points (5-10 from the field and 7-10 from the stripe) to go with a block.  Tre found him with some great passes for easy lay ups.  Javin played 16 minutes (2-2 for 4 points) with 3 boards.  While he committed 2 fouls in his 7 first half minutes, he was in the game for 9 valuable second half minutes without fouling.  Major improvement.

Goldwire was simply a star.  Tre had big trouble guarding the quick Winthrop back court (the 5’8” other Jones gave Tre fits).  Jordan made 5 steals – 4 in the second half, where he played 13 scintillating minutes, scoring 6 (2-3 from the field and 2-2 from the line).  Baker played 14 second half minutes scoring 8 and playing superbly – diving on the floor, taking charges, and really making a case for getting significant playing time.  Let’s see if this was a true emergence or a flash in the pan.  Carey had 12 of his 17 points in his 10 second half minutes.

Tre had an odd week.  He committed 13 turnovers in these 2 games, and was significantly torched on defense by both SFA and Winthrop guards.  He is scoring and passing, but his floor game was off by a wide margin.  The test against Pre-Season Player of the year, Michigan State point guard Cassius Winston will be telling next Tuesday.  Tre could not contain Winston in last year’s elite 8 loss to the Spartans.

Next Week

This was the week where reality set in.  Coach K said Duke was playing with “inherited wealth” by being ranked so high this early in the season.  By “inherited wealth” he meant that Duke’s ranking was based in significant part on the past recent (and long term) success of K’s program rather on this team’s accomplishments (really just the opening night win over Kansas; think last year’s opening night win over Kentucky).  This team did not earn that high ranking, which was fully disclosed by this week’s games.

The Michigan State game will receive mega scrutiny, but I believe the most important game next week is in Blacksburg against The Hokies.  Virginia Tech beat Michigan State in the first round of the tournament before the clock struck midnight for the next two losing games.  The ACC will be such a gauntlet this year (4 teams in last week’s top 8 – Duke, Louisville, who will be #1 next week, UNC and Virginia, which held Maine to 26 points for an entire game).  Losing in Blacksburg would set a bad tone for Duke’s ACC championship hopes.

Michigan State is on ESPN; Virginia Tech on ACCN.

DUKE 87 – MICHIGAN STATE 75 

What a difference a week makes!

Raise your hand if you thought these young Blue Devils, who just seven days ago lost to Stephen F. Austin in the most embarrassing home loss in school history, struggled against Winthrop, then traveled to East Lansing without  the services of an injured Cassius Stanley, would not only beat but totally dominate Michigan State, the preseason #1 team in the country. ESPN studio hosts Seth Greenberg and LaPhonso Ellis certainly didn’t think so, but then, apparently, they don’t know K (“We’re not a Top-5 Team. We may not even be top-25 right now.” Translation: But next week? Lookout!) However, we do know Coach K. How many times have we seen this re-run? Why is anyone still surprised by the ending? Why weren’t more hands in the air?The bottom line is that given the circumstances—an unprecedented fall from grace, the tough opponent and venue, and essentially down two starters—injured Stanley and Mia Moore—this was one of the most impressive team turnaround performances in memory.

The score was deceiving. Duke was never behind, ahead mostly by double digits and  the high teens to low twenties for most of the second half. The Spartans had no answer for Vernon Carey (26 points,11 rebounds, 3 blocks) and Tre Jones (20 points and 12 assists, 3 steals while locking down Elite Eight nemesis Cassius Winston, the preseason National Player of the Year). Despite the impressive numbers of the two stars, it was an remarkable total team win with a lot of gritty, blue collar play by the senior co-captains. Lauren DeLaurier had his best game  since these same two teams met in the Elite Eight last spring. DeLaurier (10 points, 6 rebounds, 2 steals, only 1 foul)  appeared to be jumping off a trampoline as he consistently played above the rim at both ends of the floor. His roommate Jack White (7 points, 6 rebounds, 3 steals, 2 blocks) started for the injured Cassius Stanley and brought the kind of toughness Duke needed in a very hostile venue. Matthew Hurt (10 points, 2 rebounds, 2 blocks) played stronger. Jordan Goldwire (3 assists, a steal and 1 block gave) Duke 24 solid defensive minutes off the bench. Only Wendell Moore, who got into early foul trouble, and Alex O’Connell failed to contribute and consequently lost playing time to Joey Baker in the second half, who again shot (5-6) impressively.

Make no mistake, a tough, active defense was the lynchpin for this win but the equalizer was every time Duke needed points (when State made a 9-1 run to start the second half), the ball went to Vernon Carey (final three schools: Duke, Michigan State, and North  Carolina) in the low post. The Spartans had no answer for the big center with a soft touch. Coincidently, as Johnny Tar Heel often comments,  Coach K was a terrific bench coach who is worth ten points a game. So, I was puzzled why Matthew Hurt and not Vernon Carey was on the floor on the last possession  of the overtime against Stephen F. Austin The score was tied, four SAF players had 4 fouls, and Duke was in the double bonus. The obvious play was to get the ball down low, make a basket or get fouled. But Carey was on the bench, Matthew Hurt was in the low post.  The pass from Jones was loose on a scrum on the floor, Hurt got pushed out of the way, and the rest is history. Nobody on SAF could push  Carey away from that loose ball. Coulda, shoulda, woulda!

Other Comments:

  • Duke is now 19-2 in the ACC-Big 10 Challenge, 5-0 against Michigan State.
  • Tom Izzo’s Michigan State teams take pride in playing “tough”. Duke has a reputation of being soft. Mike Krzyzewski’s Blue Devils are 13-2 against Tom Izzo’s Spartans.
  • Duke hit 7-of-15 on 3s and 16-of-22 from the line, while out-rebounding Michigan State 34-32. Duke had 11 blocks and 10 steals.
  • The Spartans were 4-for-16 on 3s.

Alan Adds:

Euphoria was the unanimous emotion as Duke dominated the Spartans with an epic performance.  That euphoria can disguise some of the analytics that put this wonderful performance in perspective.  Duke dominated in the first half, torching the Spartans for 45 points.  An explosive outburst.  Michigan State scored 46 second half points.  Duke dominated on offense for the entire game, but on defense only in the first half.  The defense did not die in the second half, but the Spartans revived.  Duke simply could not stop them; but didn’t have to because of the Devils’ spectacular offense.

Let’s examine the rotation, the offense, the defense and Coach K’s wisdom.

Coach K’s wisdom

Coach K was asked who his toughest opponent has been in his coaching career.  His answer: “human nature”.  Duke thought the game against SFA would not be competitive.  The challenge of the Spartans was obvious – SFA humiliation;  Winthrop first half; last year’s tragic loss in the Elite 8 when Duke was the favorite to win the national championship; and (perhaps most important) the thrashing of Tre Jones by Cassius Winston in that game.  Winston had simply taken Tre to school.  Duke met that challenge in the first half in not less than spectacular style.  Duke’s double digit lead throughout the second half may (partially) explain giving up 46 second half points.  Duke plays Virginia Tech on Friday.  Human nature?

The Rotation

This game was won, in large measure, by Duke’s returning players.  Only Vernon Carey was dominant out of the freshman class.  In only 25 minutes of action, Carey scored 26 to go with 11 boards, 3 blocks and an assist.  He was 9-12 from the foul line.  He missed a couple of bunnies; he could easily have scored 30.  Cassius Stanley didn’t play.  Wendell Moore played only 10 minutes (7 in the first half while committing 3 fouls) without scoring.  Matt Hurt contributed 10 points in 27 minutes.  Valuable in many ways.

But it was Tre Jones (best game of his Duke career), who totally dominated Cassius Winston, playing every minute of the game, and scoring 20 points ((6-13 from the field including 2-5 from deep and 6-8 from the stripe) to go with 12 assists, a block and 3 steals.  The only negative was 6 turnovers.  It was an All-American performance.  Tre had plenty of help from the upper class.  Javin was superb.  Coach K acknowledged that Javin had been a disappointment until this game.  He spelled Carey, playing 19 minutes, scoring 10 – mostly on dunks by really running the floor.  Tre’s passes to him were worth watching more than once.  Javin had 10 (5-5) with 6 boards, 2 steals, a block and an assist.  In 19 minutes, he committed only 1 foul!  Jack White played 31 superb minutes (only player besides Tre to log more than 27 minutes).  He had 7 points (3-4, including 1-2 from deep) to go with 6 boards, 3 steals, 2 blocks and an assist.  He supplied a toughness that has been somewhat missing.  Coach K singled out all 3 co-captains with praise for their leadership and energy.  Let us not forget junior Jordan Goldwire and sophomore Joey Baker, who both made their mark dramatically.  In 24 minutes, Goldwire was terrific.  He was a perfect complement to Tre with ball handling on offense and guarding Winston on defense.  Baker has played himself into the rotation.  Duke’s meritocracy.  He had 11 points in only 17 minutes (5-6 from the field, including 1-1 from deep).  He has used his new found fame as a 3 point shooter to employ the shot fake to get rid of his defender and score in the mid-range game.

The Defense

Duke’s defense was as good as it has been all year (which is amazingly good) in the first half.  The energy was papabile.  Duke got deflections, blocks, steals and completely disrupted the Spartan offense, which scored only 29 first half points.  Double the first half score and Duke wins 90-58.  The game was effectively over at the half.  Even though the Spartans found their offense – especially in the paint, reminding us of the defensive shortcomings against SFA and Winthrop – Duke did some amazing things.  Coach K pointed out that even when Duke players were beaten by a Spartan driver or excellent inside pass, each made the extra effort, making basket saving blocks from behind.  Coach K said that was what won the game.

The Offense

What a great inside – outside combination Duke displayed.  Carey was absolutely unstoppable in the post (+ 1-2 from long range).  He is simply a stud.  Enjoy him this year because it is hard to see him returning next year.  Tre was, as described above, at his absolute best.  They scored 46 of Duke’s 87.  Duke shot better than any game this season – 47 % from behind the arc, including 4-6 in the second half to keep the Spartans at bay.  The Blue Devils shot 56% from the field and 73% from the foul line.  We would take that for every game for the rest of the season.  It was a performance to build on.

Virginia Tech

Duke faces its first conference game in Blacksburg on Friday under extremely difficult circumstances.  First, Blacksburg has been a scene of frequent Devil disappointments in the past.  Second, the schedule requires two long flights in 3 days on the week before finals.  Coach K said that two of his players had to take tests during the trip to East Lansing.  I wrote last week that the game against the Hokies was actually more important than against Michigan State.  As we can tell from Louisville’s dismantling of Michigan, winning the ACC regular season title will be difficult.  It would be more difficult if the first conference game is a road loss.  What a week!

DUKE 77 – VIRGINIA TECH 63 

I thought there were many reasons to be apprehensive about tonight’s game:

Bad Karma: For years, Virginia Tech has been an unusually difficult opponent for Duke. For example, a highly ranked Blue Devil team has lost their last three trips to Blacksburg.

Payback: Tech almost upset Duke in the Sweet Sixteen last year.

Preparation: Tech is rested (they did not participate in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge) and their talented, new Coach Mike Young  has had weeks to prepare for the game. Duke had less than a day.

Balance: As opponent’s devise ways to defend and frustrate Vernon Carrey, will he find the open man, and if so, can that player score?

Defense: Is the defense as good as it looked against Michigan State or as bad as it looked against Stephan F.  Austin and Winthrop?

Injury: Who or what combination of players will replace Cassius Stanley’s scoring, defense, and playmaking abilities?

Fatigue: Will the players be able to recover mentally and physically from the travel and quick turnaround from the emotional Michigan State game in East Lancing during Finals Week?

What I didn’t anticipate was that we would see yet another example of why Johnny Tar Heel keeps telling me Coach K is a great bench coach with an intuitive feel for the flow of a game and complementary talents of his players that is worth 5-12 points in any given game.

The first half was not encouraging. The Hokies were shredding the Blue Devil defense like SFA and scoring points in the paint with ease. Duke was fortunate to be down only three points, not double digits, at the half. The second half was only a minute and two easy Hokie baskets old when a disgusted Coach K uncharacteristically called quick time out and made the most surprising and impactful substitution since little used freshman Grayson Allen went into the second half of the 2015 NCAA Championship game against Wisconsin.

Out of the timeout, we saw the indefatigable Tre Jones on the court with the unlikely (What’s going on? Have the starters just declared for the NBA draft?) combination of Jordan GoldwireJoey BakerJack White, and only one freshman, the recently benched Wendell Moore. To provide more athleticism, the inconsistent Alex O’Connell quickly replaced Joey Baker. This unlikely group surprisingly played Tech even, then totally turned the game around and quieted the raucous arena by out-defending, out-hustling, and out- scoring the Hokies 35-16. These Duke subs held the Hokies scoreless for more than three minutes, turning a slim 56-55 Duke margin into a 62-55 lead.

With 4:23 to play, a frustrated Landers Nolley, the Hokie’s most talented player, lost his composure. As the Hokies were setting up their half-court offense, Nolley, attempting off ball to shake a relentless Wendell Moore, shoved him in the chest. The solid 6’5” Moore should receive an Oscar nomination for making certain officials didn’t miss it and whistled a foul. After a replay review, the refs changed it to a flagrant-1 foul, giving Moore two free throws. He hit them both giving Duke a 68-57 lead. Then, the mercurial Alex O’Connell finally rediscovered his touch and nailed a deuce, then a three. After that, the deflated Hokies were so discouraged and gassed, they didn’t even attempt a full court press.

The bottom line is that after 39 years, 5 NCAA Championships, 12 Final Fours, 12 ACC regular season titles, and 15 ACC Tournament championships, you think you have seen it all and thought you knew Coach K like a well-read book. The Maestro showed you that you haven’t and didn’t.

Why and how did this game turn around?

As usual the relentless, indefatigable Tre Jones (he wasn’t even breathing hard for the post-game interview) was the catalyst at both ends of the floor. Vernon Carey (12 points, 5 rebounds) and Matthew Hurt (8 points, 0 rebounds) barely played in the second half. Cassius Stanley, after missing only one game with a hamstring injury, started but was rusty and barely played. So impressive against Michigan State, Javin DeLaurier had 12 unimpressive minutes. On the other hand, Jordan Goldwire (10 points and 6 rebounds) played 30 minutes of his best basketball. The always athletic but inconsistent Alex O’Connell (7 points and 5 rebounds) played 15 impressive minutes. For 22 minutes, blue collar Jack White (7 points, 2 blocks, 1 steal) defended the interior better than anyone. Wendell Moore (12 points, 5 rebounds, 2 assists) was in his element and played more like the impactful international player he has been the last two summers.

Other observations:

Key stat: The Blue Devils, ranked 238th nationally in free throw percentage, went 10-for-10 tonight.

For those who thought Coach K was always reverts to a 6 or 7 man rotation in tough games: 9 different Devils played at least a dozen minutes, with a 10th, Stanley getting 7.

Seven Duke players scored between 7 and 15 points but Jones, Moore and Alex O’Connell proved all of Duke’s points in this decisive 17-2 run.

Alan (who assured me at the half that Duke would win) Adds (from paradise):

I texted Bill at the half, “Where is our defense? 41 points allowed. Duke is schizophrenic on defense.”  Winthrop was a perfect example; excellent defense in the second half after a porous first half.  When Bill called around half time (complaining that Duke was losing while the Hokies paraded to the rim with 26 points in the paint), I assured him that Duke would win.  My assurance was based on the fact that Duke was down by only 3, when it should have been 15 based on the porous defense.  But, it should have been based on the fact that Duke is coached by K.  I do not believe there is another coach who would have made the change in strategy and lineup that Coach K created early in the second half.

Duke gave up the first two baskets of the second half in a minute to trail by 7.  Time out.  The Coach took out Matt Hurt (8 points in 15 first half minutes) and the star offensive player, Vernon Carey (10 points and 5 boards in 11 minutes) in favor of  Wendell Moore (10 first half minutes without a point or rebound) and Joey Baker (8 first half minutes without a score).  Hurt never returned to the game; Carey played another 2 minutes (2-2 from the line).  The substitution and switch in strategy produced an amazing defensive effort that clearly won the game.

Coach K: “We could not defend the ball screen in the first half.  They scored twice to open the second half on ball screens that produced drives.”  Duke went to a lineup that could switch everything on defense and could provide spacing and movement on offense.  The offense was pure motion without running any sets.  On defense, the switching allowed Duke to close off the driving lanes.  Nowlins II was torching the Duke bigs from the elbow in the first half.  In the second half Duke guarded him primarily with Wendell Moore, who got help from both Jack White and Jordan Goldwire. “We guarded him with athletes.”  Nowlins was scoreless in the second half and committed 6 turnovers.

“Being able to switch was the key to the game.  We kept them out of the paint.  We kept better pressure on with switching.”

How amazingly wonderful was this second half defense?  Take away the first four points before the timeout and the last 4 points that the Hokies scored in the last minute to cut the lead from 18 to 14.  Duke held the Hokies to 14 points in about 18 minutes!  I do not have the eloquence for the proper adjective.

The Duke offense thrived.  Wendell Moore played his best half at Duke on both ends of the floor.  He scored 12 second half points (4-6 from the field and 4-4 from the line to go with 2 boards and a steal) in 17 minutes.  Tre was superb in 20 second half minutes.  After and even battle with Hokie point guard Wabissa Bede, Tre dominated him in the second half, scoring 10 while keeping Bede out of the paint (where his passing shredded the defense in the first half) and holding him to 6 points.  Tre was 5-9 with 5 rebounds.  Goldwire also played all 20 minutes of the second half.  He shared the ball handling with Tre, also grabbed 5 rebounds and was a demon on defense.  Alex hit two big shots in his 9 second half minutes.  Baker played 12; White 13.  The bigs saw little floor time (Hurt, just that first minute – suggesting he has much to learn about switching and defense; Carey 4 minutes; Javin 4 minutes).  It was some second half!

Still, the game was tight.  With 8:59 left, Duke led by 1 before breaking the game wide open.  Moore grabbed an offensive board and hit a short jumper.  Tre forced Bede into a turnover, and then (after a timeout) hit a jumper.  Tre garnered a defensive rebound, passed to Goldwire who fed Moore for an open court layup.  Duke by 7.  After a string of misses by both teams, Bede and Tre each made jumpers.  Moore blew by Nowlins for a layup and a 9 point lead when Nowlins committed the flagrant one against Moore, who made both free throws.  Alex hit a three as Duke maintained possession on the flagrant foul.  Duke by 14 and the rout was on.  What a stretch!  The Hokies were done.  They were too tired to press.  As Tre said post game, “We ran them into the ground.”

Coach K said “We played like winners.”  He applauded the toughness he saw – especially from Moore.  When Wendell missed a wide open layup, he didn’t pout he just played harder.  “This is just an old fashioned team.”  Coach K said.  It was clearly a well-deserved compliment.

 DUKE 86 – WOFFORD 57

[Unforced error: Alan had a medical procedure scheduled for Saturday morning so we agreed to combine coverage of the Wofford and the Brown games on December 29th. Early Saturday morning, I decided to send a picture and score with a short explanation. Inadvertently, I send some of you a draft of my notes from last night, which I use as an outline for my coverage the next morning.  Alan belatedly decided that if he survived the procedure/operation, he would write/play hurt so we could send something this week-end.]

No Tre Jones. No problem. Seriously, how many times has a non-conference team come to Tobacco Road and swept North Carolina and Duke in back- to- back games? If you said never, you win!!!!

But Tre’s minor foot strain was not the big news. Coach K actually playing nine players serious minutes this far into the pre-ACC play was– and each was productive. The defense was impressive as only one opponent scored in double digits. However, Joey Baker, Justin Goldwire, and Javin DeLaurier were the most impressive.

DeLaurier replaced Carey two minutes into the game and gave Duke a much-needed infusion of strength and energy. Even Krzyzewski singled him out. He ended the game without a foul or a turnover. And Goldwire  played the most complete game of his career as he did not miss a shot and shared point guard responsibilities with Wendell Moore.

However, it was Baker (22 points) who continues to impress with JJ  Reddick like three point shooting, knocking down 5 three pointers in a span of just under 10 minutes. The first two extended Duke’s lead from 46-30 to 52-30 and ended any chance of a Wofford comeback. Even Coach K was impressed and said that Baker has worked his way into the rotation. “In September, I wasn’t sure how much Joey could play. And he’s come every day and practiced. He shoots game shots even when he’s just shooting. He’s become our quickest shooter and our most accurate shooter. The guys see it.” It seems as though Joey Bucket’s long distance shooting and the teams improved free throw shooting may well be the keys to this more experienced team with fewer one-and-done lottery picks being even more successful than the last few more highly rated editions.

Carey had a 20 & 10 night against an undersized front line. He now has eight double-doubles this season. Hurt had 12 points and 8 rebounds.

As I mentioned, this team has four players—Baker, Stanley, Hurt, and Carey– shooting over 40% from beyond the new three point line. And after a slow start by Carey, as a team they are recently averaging over 70% on free throws. These a championship-like numbers.

Alan Adds; 

When Wofford beat UNC on Sunday, December 15, I wrote to Bill that I thought Duke would simply pulverize Wofford when they met just 4 days after The Terriers had handed the Tarheels a loss at home that was just as embarrassing as Stephen F. Austin’s humiliation of the Blue Devils in Cameron just two weeks prior.  After that embarrassment, I was sure that Duke would never underestimate an opponent this year (See the DBP re the Stephen F Austin game).  Moreover after what Coach K called “the toughest week I’ve had in my 40 years at Duke” – away games at Michigan State and Virginia Tech in the space of 4 days in the midst of the week before finals – Duke had 13 days off so I knew Duke would be well rested.  I was confident … until I learned just before tipoff that Tre would not play.  That was an X factor.

Obviously, we now know that I should not have worried.  The Blue Devils put on what Coach K called, “an outstanding performance.”  He listed the building blocks for that assessment: 1) the outstanding defense Duke played; 2) the way the team shared the ball; 3) the paucity of Devil turnovers in a fast paced game; and, 4) 9 players played between 28 minutes (Goldwire) and 17 minutes (DeLaurier).

The Defense

After a slight struggle in the opening minutes, adjusting to Tre’s absence, the defense played as well as it has all season, and Duke has had some tremendous defensive games so far this season.  Wofford led 9-5 after 3:52 had elapsed.  For the next 16:07, Duke held Wofford to just 14 points.  Of course, Coach K had the perfect game plan.  Wofford is a 3 point shooting team led by its ace guard, Storm Murphy and his long range shooting partner, Nathan Hoover.  They had torched the Tar Heels, and Coach K’s main emphasis was to shut them down from 3land.  How well did that work?  Neither scored a single point in the first half.  Murphy could not even attempt a 3; he was 0-3 from the field.  Hoover missed 3 well contested 3s to go 0-4 for the first half.  Duke held Wofford to 26 first half points, the last 3 coming on a well defended 3 as time expired.  It was simply a superb defensive effort.  Human nature being what it is (Duke’s lead was as high as 29 a couple of times in the second half)), the defense was not quite as intense, allowing 31 points.  Neither DeLaurier nor White put big points on the board, but each played hellacious defense.  Goldwire tortured Murphy (though Coach K said that Goldwire and Murphy played each other evenly, I thought Goldwire took him to school) and Wendell Moore (scoreless in 11 second half minutes) also played intense defense to go with his 5 second half rebounds.  Cassius Stanley had a great first half at both ends as well.

The Offense

All 9 scored in the first half, led by Carey and Hurt, who each played 12 minutes and scored 8 against the undersized Terriers. DeLaurier (8 minutes) and Baker (6 minutes) each scored 5.  DeLaurier was 1-1 from the field and 3-4 from the line, while Joey missed his only 2 first half field goal attempts, but was 5-5 from the line.  Moore scored 4 in 13 minutes (2-4 from the field).  Stanley logged the most first half minutes (14) while scoring 3.  White, Goldwire, O’Connell each had a field goal for 2 points.  Duke was only 1-7 from behind the arc, but shot 14-20 from inside the arc (Wow!) and 8-11 from the line for 39 points.

Duke’s offense (particularly Baker and Carey) exploded for 47 second half points.  Baker’s 5-6 from behind the arc (6-9 from the field) led the way with 17 second half points in just 12 minutes.  Carey was amazingly efficient, scoring 12 second half points in only 11 minutes on 4-5 from the field and 4-4 from the line to go with his 8 boards and a block.  He was a beast, to say the least.  The second half also belonged to Goldwire, who logged a team high 17 minutes, scoring 6 on 2-2 from the field including 1-1 from behind the arc and 1-1 from the line to go with 3 rebounds, 3 assists, and a steal.  Duke did not miss Tre at all.  That is astonishing, and bodes well for the growth of this team.

The Rotation

Is it just this game, or has Coach K changed his philosophy to match the talent of this team.  It seems he has 10 players with the capacity to contribute.  JGold led the team in minutes with 28. Others who logged 20 minutes or more were Alex (24), Moore (24), Carey (23) White (21) and Hurt (20).  Stanley (18, but only 4 in the second half), Baker (18; 12 in the second half) and DeLaurier (17; though scoreless in his 9 second half minutes) rounded out the main players.  JRob had 3 blocks in his 5 minutes.  Duke is morphing into a really deep team.

Next Play

Duke is off until December 28, when Brown visits Cameron at the early hour of 11:30 a.m.  In early 2020, the ACC season is on.

DUKE 75 – BROWN 50

What do you think when someone mentions Brown University. I think of it is the safe backup school for children of  eastern celebrities (JFK, Jr., Amy Carter,  Emma Watson) or a baker’s dozen of the Kennedy clan who, for a variety of reasons, couldn’t get into Harvard– or Curt (Richard Dreyfuss) in George Lucas’ autobiographical, coming-of-age classic movie, American Graffiti (which, incidentally, became one of the most profitable films of all time and gave a young Lucas the juice to finance the Indiana Jones & Star Wars franchises) finally deciding to get on that 50’s prop plane to fly east to Brown University, after which he presumably became, you guessed it, a successful screen writer.

However, what I don’t think is BASKETBALL! And that’s a good thing, because the score was very deceiving. For much too long, the game looked more like an intermural fraternity scrimmage or a rerun of the Stephen F. Austin game. It appeared that during Christmas break, Carey was the only player who picked up a basketball but, fortunately, Alex O’Connell apparently found his jump shot under the Christmas tree. Too long for Duke fans, the game was too close for comfort as it was a tossup whether the Blue Devils were worse offensively or defensively. If Duke had played well, they would have scored about 100 points. An example: with eleven minutes left in the half, Brown hit a three to tie the game at 12. Wendell Moore stood under the basket with the ball, waiting to throw it in to somebody– only all his teammates had run to the other end of the floor and no one was there to receive the inbounds pass. Duke had to quickly call a timeout to avoid a turnover and an infuriated 72 year old Coach K to ripped off his jacket, a tactic usually saved only for big time opponents. Even that didn’t work very well as the Blue Devils only lead 33-29 at the half to a middle-of the-pack Ivy League team.

Starting the second half, Duke went back to Plan A: throw the ball to Vernon Carey in the post and watch him score. However, it wasn’t until the predictably unpredictable Alex O’Connell, who missed all four of his shots from the floor in the first half, started hitting long jump shots, then two threes did the Devils really settle down as Moore and White stepped up to help ice the game. “Alex is a good basketball player,” Krzyzewski said. “He came through. With all these kids, it’s consistency. It’s not him, it’s all of them. We just have to keep working on it. He was a key guy today, no question.” And red hot Joey Baker? He got his first start, made two terrific defensive plays but was 1-6 as his jump shot was apparently still on Christmas break. Coach K called it “starter’s disease” and  he could see signs of it in practice. “He just couldn’t get it. It showed at the end of the first half when he took two wild shots. I talked to him right after the game and told him: “Just remember you’re a damn good player. You don’t have to change when you start. But it meant so much to him.’ We’re going through all those growth periods and thank goodness we were able to play well the last 15 minutes.”

It appears the ACC schedule is the easiest in years, so there is a terrific opportunity for this team to sort out the all the moving parts and win the regular season. But for right now it is very much a work in progress as Jones, who is supposed to start against Boston College on New Year’s eve, and Carey are the only dependable performers. The other eight have their moments but like Cassius Stanley today–he played very good defense but dribbled the ball off his foot on the way to a dunk and Joey Baker inexplicably shooting bricks– you just don’t yet know what to expect from these young, talented players, who are a long way from being NBA ready.

Let’s acknowledge what an impressive run the Clemson football program is having. I just finished watching one of the most exciting, improbable football games I have ever seen. Ohio State outcoached and outplayed Clemson for all but a few minutes of the first half, yet were only up 16-14. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence (and the defense) just would not let his team lose as his final 90 yard drive was one of which Joe  Montana would be proud. Although Ohio State certainly played well enough to win—coulda, shoulda, woulda- it was just not meant to be. The bottom line is that Clemson hasn’t won two national titles in the last three years for nothing. This is a team that has been in these kinds of games and has the coaching, talent, skill, and tenacity to know how to respond. Well done, ACC Champions!

Alan Adds:

At half time I texted Bill that the game was reminding me of the Stephen F. Austin game.  Duke had no passion, shot poorly, and had defensive lapses.  It was only 14 offensive first half rebounds that helped Duke to a 35-29 half time lead against Brown.  Duke led Stephen F. Austin 40-34 at the half.  The first five minutes of the second half against Brown was more of the same.  Duke committed 5 team fouls in the first 5 minutes of the final stanza.  But, unlike the SFA game, Duke changed its fortunes and stormed to a 25 point win, playing 15 minutes of solid basketball against an inferior team.  Duke held Brown to 21 second half points and put the game out of reach.  But it surely wasn’t pretty.  

The Defense

Coach K said the game plan was to limit Brown’s point guard, Brandon Anderson (leading scorer in the Ivy League with an accurate deep shot) and forward Tamenang Choh, a potential All-Ivy forward.  Anderson was 3-5 from deep in the first half, but was held without a 3 pointer in the second half.  Coach K said that the game was won by the defense that Cassius Stanley and Wendel Moore played on Choh, holding him scoreless in the first half, and to 4 total points in the game, while forcing him into 5 turnovers.  Even though there were some lapses, mostly in the first half when interior Brown passing led to several open layups when Duke’s interior doubles were sloppy, Brown did only score 50 points in the game.  The first half lacked the talk that the coach said returned in the latter part of the second half.  Duke controlled the boards.  Coach K singled out Alex O’Connell for two crucial contested defensive rebounds, and said he thought that was a factor in Alex’s sparkling offensive second half.  The superior Blue Devil athletes blocked 9 shots and made 13 steals.

The Offense

Painful is the adjective that jumps to mind.  Duke came back to campus two days before the game and had only two practices.  K’s assessment: “It looked like we had not played or practiced.”  There were players cutting to the basket when the pass was to the spot vacated, and the team was generally sloppy with the ball.  Some of that may have had to do with Tre’s absence, but more likely it was the time away from the game.  Seth Greenberg (The Great Pontificator) said the two toughest games of a season are the one before Xmas and the one after.  The offense was a tale of two different halves (especially if you put the first five minutes of the second half with the first half).   Vernon Carey scored 19 points – 10 in the first half while playing 14 minutes.  He scored Duke’s first 8 points in the second half but added only 1-2 from the line for the last 16:28 of the game.  Duke was 0-10 from behind the arc, shooting 32% from the field in the opening stanza.  Painful.

Then Wendell Moore and Alex O’Connell took over the Duke offense.  After being held scoreless in 12 first half minutes, Moore exploded for 10 in the second half on 5-8 from the field to go with 4 boards, 2 assists and 3 steals in 15 minutes.  Alex was even better after an undistinguished 6 first half minutes (0-5; 0-2 from deep and 2-2 from the line), when he torched Brown for 12 second half points on 4-5 from the field including 2-2 from deep and 2-2 from the line to go with 3 boards that Coach K so admired.  Matt Hurt’s 6 points on 3-4 and Jack White’s 3 points accounted for all 40 of Duke’s second half points.

The Rotation

Jordan Goldwire played 32 minutes to lead the team in minutes played.  Coach K praised him.  He said he and Alex played like juniors.  The coach pointed out that JGold had a poor first half and had let Brown “speed him up”, but that he stayed composed in the second half and provided leadership and defense.

I had said to Bill that Joey Baker turned into a pumpkin like Cinderella in this game, but Coach K had a better way to explain Baker’s disappointing outing (2 points in the first half on 1-5 from the field in 14 minutes and only 3 minutes on the court in the second half).  He had “starter’s disease”.  He wanted so badly to prove he deserved the start that he put extra pressure on himself and did not play his game.  Coach K said that after being told he would start, he couldn’t hit a shot in practice either.  Nobody is giving up on this sweet shooter.

The second half rotation is pretty interesting.  In the second half, Stanley played 8 minutes, DeLaurier 7, White 6 and Joey 3.  Carey played 11.  Alex had the most second half minutes (17) while Goldwire and Moore logged (15), Hurt 14 and Carey 11.

Closing Thoughts

This is unlike any Duke team I can remember.  No player (except Carey) has been consistent.  Each has great stretches or great games, and then disappears or disappoints at other times.  It is deeper than any team I remember (since the ’99 team).  Coach K reaffirmed it is old school.  He analogized what he seeks by reference to the playground games we all played and remember.  If your team didn’t win, you sat.  There was natural communication because you wanted to play in the next game, which only happened if you won.  You had to play together and figure out your teams strengths and weaknesses on the fly.  He emphasized, YOU TALKED.  Coach K is hoping to develop that and with it the elusive consistency.

Next Play

ACC play begins.  Dec. 31 vs BC.  A great end to 2019.

DUKE  88 – BOSTON COLLEGE 49

Once again, Duke started sluggishly on offense and for a time it looked as though we were in for another grind-it-out, defensive battle while waiting and hoping for a patented Duke run that would put the game on cruise control and determine the outcome. With seven minutes left in the half, the Blue Devils led just 21-12. Then, Matthew Hurt hit a flurry of threes, worked hard on the offensive glass, and fueled a 15-3 run. Soon, it was 45-19 at the break. Looking at the box score, it appeared to be a total team effort as no one played more than 26 minutes–10 players played at least 12 minutes, 11 players scored at least 3 points, 7 players hit (this is not fake news) 3-pointers.

However, as we turn the calendar page and start ACC play, it is apparent that currently the team’s success revolves around the twin axis strengths of Tre Jones and Vernon Carey plus eight interchangeable parts (depending on matchups and who’s hot) of Hurt, Stanley, Moore, Baker, O’Connor, Goldwire, reliable center sub DeLaurier, and junk yard dog Jack White. Tonight, it was Hurt, who stood out. The game before that it was AOC, before that Joey Buckets, before that Stanley, before that Moore. So far, the interchangeable eight have only been consistent in their inconsistency. I think that Hurt, if he is physically and mentally strong enough, has so much versatile talent, will have the best chance to become a third constant starter –as well as Stanley, if he figures out how talented he really is and becomes less deferential. And Baker has already demonstrated he has rapidly become a much more complete, aggressive player, even playmaker, than anyone had imagined and may be the designated sixth man. O’Connell is just too ethereal to be counted upon as a starter but as a spot player can morph into a game changer. Goldwire has improved offensively but is a situational sub. Co-captains DeLaurier  and White are reliable, well-known quantities who have earned spot duty playing time–not a bad mix of talent from which to choose.

Back in the days before one-and-done players, we had four years to watch players develop and mature. Now, in some cases, we have four months. Until some one or two or three demonstrate that they are consistently reliable in all phases of the game—or at least can reliably hit threes and free throws– we will probably see Coach K actually coach the old fashion way—really use more than six or seven players, and substitute aggressively by feel and intuition. In the meantime, Duke’s depth can wear teams down by bringing players off the bench with little or no drop-off. As Krzyzewski commented: “It’s a team where everybody knows that what they do can contribute to winning and that it’s important.”

While we are talking about improving and maturing, the stoic but studious Vernon Carey, Duke’s most prolific and impressive freshman, has recently been a much more active, tenacious, and effective defender and rim protector. The flip side of that is the sad case of Derryck Thornton, the former highly touted Duke point guard with a stage father who was unhappy with how his son was developing and is now at his third college (Duke, USC, and B.C.) without having developed any NBA skills.

Coach K’s retrospective on Duke Basketball’s last decade:

“We won four ACC tournament titles. The main thing we won was two national titles and being No. 1 seeds a number of years. It’s a hell of a decade. It is our best decade of the four decades that I have been here because it has been the most consistent. When you average 30 wins and seven losses in 10 seasons, c’mon. We are not going to get caught up on regular season or we didn’t win enough tournament titles. During that time we got eliminated a couple times in the first round of the NCAA but we went for it. We have gone for it. We have gone for the national championship. This team has a long way to go before they can do that. But, if we can keep going, we would like that to be how this team is judged… The other thing for the 10 years, we had a different team each year. It wasn’t bringing the same backcourt or the same quarterback. We have a different team each year. It is a hell of a thing. I am proud of these guys that have played for me for the 40 years that I have been there. But this decade I am really proud because it is a new age. It is a new age and to stay in the hunt every year is a hell of a thing. All of my guys have made it possible for me to have that opportunity and I am proud of them.”

Mike Krzyzewski is in his 40th season as Duke’s head coach, and his record is now 1,071-286 at Duke, and 1,143-345 overall in this, his 45th season overall.  Duke is now 899-162 all-time when playing at Cameron Indoor Stadium, including 541-67 under Coach K. Duke closes the decade with a record of 300-70 (.811).

Alan Adds:

It is hard not to be filled with admiration and expectation as we watch this “old school” team grow and develop.  I cannot remember a Duke team that genuinely goes 10 deep.  To reinforce the importance of Coach K’s insight that Bill quoted above, each of the 10 players knows that he is capable of contributing to a Duke win on any given night.  Last night’s rout of BC was illuminating, and sparked by one of the best halves of basketball any Blue Devil team has played.  While BC, without its star, does not have the ACC horses to compete, The Eagles were still 2-0 in the conference coming in, with wins over Wake at home and Notre Dame by a point in South Bend.  Not an ACC contender, but not The Little Sisters of the Poor either.

Coach K (admiringly): “We played like we practiced.  They were talking more and had good energy.  We pushed the ball.”  Duke’s good energy comes in part from playing 10 players with meaningful minutes.  This team is always fresh because of the substitution patterns.  Everyone contributed.

The first half

The game was absolutely over by half time; so it is worth looking at the first half in some depth.  The score really does tell the tale: Duke 45 – BC 19.  First, and most important, was the return of Tre Jones on both ends of the court.  Encouragingly, he played 16 first half minutes, shutting down BC’s guards, handing out 6 assists without a turnover and grabbing four rebounds.  While his shot was a little off (2-6; 1-3 from deep), he made some passes that were simply breathtaking.  His leadership is palpable.  Welcome back, Tre.

The defense was as good as it has been all year.  BC scored just 19 points in the first 20 minutes.  BC had very few open shots on the perimeter.  When BC did penetrate, the rim protection provided by Carey and Javin bordered on the spectacular.  Coach K admired that the team was talking more on defense, especially Matt Hurt.  The Devils forced 10 turnovers and allowed BC only 3 assists on 8 made baskets.  Moreover, BC barely got to the free throw line – only 3 free throws (2-3).  It was really impressive.  The depth allowed the Devils to be intensely energetic; BC simply couldn’t handle the pressure.

On offense, Matt had a breakout game, notching 20 first half points in 15 minutes.  He actually outscored BC by himself in the opening stanza (20-19)!  Coach K said, Matt has been playing well in the last few games, but this half was other worldly (8-11 from the field including 4-6 from deep) to go with 3 rebounds and a steal.  Coach K said Matt has gained weight and is stronger, adding to his confidence.  His spectacular play limited Jack White to just 3 first half minutes.  The remaining 25 first half points were spread about equally: Wendell Moore (off the bench) scored 6 (2-3 from the field and 2-2 from the line) in 13 minutes to go with 4 rebounds and 3 assists; Carey scored 5 (2-3 from the field but only 1-3 from the line) and grabbed 3 boards in 12 minutes; Joey Baker (off the bench) played 12 excellent minutes even though he was 0-2 from behind the arc.  He made 2 delicious drives to account for his 4 points.  Alex was 1-2 from deep in his 6 minutes, and Cassius had a dunk in 3 shots for 2 points in his 9 minutes.  Tre’s 5 points made up Duke’s 45 points.  DeLaurier (8 minutes), JGold (6 minutes) and White (3 minutes) did not score.

Consistency

Much of the commentary this season has been about Duke’s inconsistency – different players having big games and moments and then disappearing in the next games.  Coach K made some interesting points about consistency.  He said in other sports, it only counted if you won the game to determine consistency.  Teams in those sports all went through bad moments during the game – a pitcher giving up 4 runs in an inning or a quarterback throwing the crucial interception — but in those sports consistency was determined by only one thing – winning.  Coach K said Duke’s consistency has been in its winning this year.  Duke is 12-1 and has moved into 2nd place in the national polls.  This team has grown – and fascinatingly is still growing – into a team far more deserving of that high ranking than when it was ranked # 1 earlier.  This is really a different Duke team from the recent ones, and has, in my opinion, a huge potential upside. It really is old school watching Coach K integrate the skills of the team into a National contender.  Stay tuned.

Next Play: Saturday night at Miami.  First ACC road game.  We all know ACC road games are just different.

DUKE 95 – MIAMI 62 

It’s too early in the season to tell if Duke is this good or the opponents are that bad.  I do know that Coach Jim Larranaga is a very, very good basketball coach and Chris Lyke is a very talented, even lethal, and exciting college player. However, when Jay Bilas, who watches as much college basketball as anyone and has the qualifications to evaluate it properly says that because of Vernon Carey and the depth of talent, Duke has the most upside of any team this year, you have to believe this Blue Devil team may really be developing into something special.

Tonight, after another sluggish start (take it from me because ESPN chose to show the overtime of the exciting Buffalo-Houston NFL game even though it was on a free channel) and with Tre Jones on the bench with two fouls, Duke just methodically ground down and dominated the Hurricanes at both ends of the floor to lead 50-36 at the break. The Blue Devils hit a 60 percent from the field, 43 per cent threes, while holding Miami to under 40 percent from the field and 2-for-12 from beyond the arc. Vernon Carey, playing against the school where his father was an All-American offensive lineman, had 24 pts & 9 rebs in 25 minutes, Stanley 20 points in 26 minutes. Duke dominated Miami 41-24 on the boards, while forcing 15 turnovers,. when we went to the bench we didn’t drop, at times we ascended. Matthew Hurt is adjusting to the physicality of college ball. He is becoming more than just a finesse scorer. Tonight, he had 6 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 steals and 2 blocks to go along with 6-for-8 shooting. You cannot underestimate what impact assistant coaches Nate James, Chris Carawell, Jon Schyer, and Nolan Smith, all of whom were talented and heady players in their prime, have in personally suiting up and schooling these talented young players in the nuances of the game.

  • First Semester Report Card:
  • Vernon Carey A+.  Better than advertised. Only irreplaceable piece of the puzzle. Terrific, soft touch. Improving defensively. Very analytical, very smart.
  • Tre Jones A.  The leader of the Pack (er Devils). Mature beyond years. Sets the standard for maturity, defense, intensity, and focus.
  • Cassius Stanley B  – Lots of untapped talent. Too nice and deferential. Getting more aggressive.
  • Matthew Hurt B.  If he gets stronger and tougher, look out! Takes this team to another level.
  • Joey Baker B.  Surprise, surprise. The former Joey Buckets becoming a much more versatile, valuable player. Now his jump shot needs to come back from vacation.
  • Wendell Moore C+. Lot of versatile talent for his size. Very good defensively. Needs to relax and let game come to him more.
  • Jordan Goldwire B+. Huge improvement on offense. Valuable sub.
  • Alex O’ Connell C+.  getting better defensively but still offensively erratic.
  • Javin DeLaurier B+. Tough veteran. Ready, willing, and able to fill in at a moment’s notice.
  • Jack White B+.  Tough veteran. Ready, willing, and able to fill in at a moment’s notice.

Coach K comments: “Talking (communicating) is the music of the game. This team is getting better at that and it is showing in their defense. We have more depth and when we went to the bench we didn’t drop, at times we ascended. Our guys just played really hard and shared the ball. With 23 assists, it was  nice to see. But how hard we’re playing defensively, it’s something we’ve worked on since September, so they keep getting better at it. Jordan Goldwire was a key guy tonight. When Tre (Jones) got his second foul—I’ll play a guy with two fouls in the first half, but when I took him out, I’d thought I’d bring him back with about five minutes to go but J-Gold was doing such a good job that we were able not to do that. Wendell’s (Moore) ball pressure was outstanding. Our guys played well. It’s tough to single out one of them when they all did a good job.” On the team’s improving ability to share the ball: “We’re driving the ball. It’s not just Tre driving. In the last couple of games a couple of our best passes have come from Joey (Baker), who you would not think is a driver. Cassius (Stanley) is driving to score a little bit more which is great and Wendell when he’s getting in there he’s not losing the ball, he’s also kicking. C-Well (assistant coach Chris Carrawell) has been working a lot on our guys making stronger drives and kicks, and it’s paying off.”

A word about North Carolina’s basketball sudden fall from grace: Roy Williams, who  is a very loyal, honest, hardworking man and who is Tar Heel born and bred and embodies “The Carolina Way”, has always been in a very difficult, even thankless, situation as head coach at UNC. He reluctantly left Kansas, where he was very much appreciated, to rescue Carolina from the malaise of a decade of miscast coaches Guthridge and Doherty attempting the thankless task of following in the footsteps of Dean Smith, who had achieved saint like status in Tar Heel Land, only to find himself competing with the juggernaut program of rough-around-the-edges, feisty but respected Coach Mike Krzyzewski had built just 12 miles away at hated rival Duke and who was on his way to shattering Dean’s and all other coaching records. Nevertheless, Roy  won two National Championships and under any other circumstances, would be appreciated, even, revered.

Alan Adds:

When a team scores 95 points as Duke did last night against Miami, one might expect an in-depth analysis to start with the offense.  In recognition that Miami’s defense does not quite reach the competence level of yelling “Woo!” as the opponent drives by or elevates for an open shot, I want to emphasize the value of Duke’s amazing defensive effort last night.  It is obvious this team is making huge growth strides on both ends of the court as the season progresses.  Last night was a hymn to that progress.  Still, let us remember that while a win on the road in the ACC is always welcome, Duke has been competing against the ACC’s least formidable teams.  Virginia Tech managed only 39 points last night against UVA.  BC has been so bad for so long that a good coach’s job is in jeopardy there.  Miami is near the bottom of the entire NCAA in defensive stats.  So delirium at this superb performance still needs to be tempered.

Duke played its full complement of 10 and completely wore Miami down and out.  J. Robinson played only 2 minutes, but led the team in points and blocks per minute with 3 points and a block.  It was that kind of night.

Duke did not take a double-digit lead in this game until there was only 2:25 remaining in the first half and stretched it to 14 on Matt Hurt’s 3 as the first half closed.  Duke’s defense was like an anaconda, squeezing the energy, enthusiasm and life out of the Miami offense.  And squeeze the Blue Devils did.  8 of Miami’s 26 second half points came at the stripe.  The Devils limited the Hurricanes to only 4 well defended 3 point attempts  in that stanza (0-4) and only 3 assists on 9 field goals while forcing 9 turnovers (5 steals and 2 blocks).  Coach K said his team played very well on defense.  Then he corrected himself and said they played very, very, very well (“I have to add two verys.”).

Special kudos to JGold and Tre who limited Miami’s star point guard, Chris Lykes to 0-6 in the second half (2-15 for the game).  Duke outrebounded Miami 20-10 (limiting the Hurricanes to 4 offensive boards in the closing stanza).  Coach K said it was hard to single out individual players because the team played so well, but Wendell Moore, Joey Baker and Matt Hurt earned individual praise.

Interestingly, Tre, who was limited to 8 first half minutes by picking up two fouls, and JGold each played 14 second half minutes.  Goldwire did not score in the second half but dished out 3 assists without a turnover and played scintillating defense.  They were on the floor together for 8 second half minutes.  Goldwire’s efficiency limited Alex to only 3 second half minutes.  Coach K said he would have brought Tre back with 5 minutes to go in the first half, but Goldwire was playing so well that Tre remained on the bench, playing only 8 first half minutes.  He was a star, of course, in the closing stanza.

The Offense

Carey (24 points in 25 minutes) and Cassius Stanley (16 first half point in 17 minutes) carried the offense in the first half.  However, I believe much of Duke’s dramatic improvement in recent games is based on the emergence of Matt Hurt as a force on both ends of the court.  He is shooting lights out (taking good shots), rebounding, defending and passing.  He is playing superb all-around basketball as his stat line last night demonstrates.  In 27 minutes, he scored 13 points (6-8 from the field including 1-2 from deep) to go with 6 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 steals and 2 blocks without committing a foul.  His emergence has limited Jack White’s playing time, though White continues to play valuable minutes.  He and Javin each played 13 minutes.

Coach K pointed out that Duke is driving and kicking out for good shots.  Stanley has been impressive.  Joey Baker has not hit from deep lately but has been driving and making great passes. He logged 15 minutes.  Wendell is holding on to the ball better (under the tutelage of Chris Carrawell).  Carey has been a revelation in the post.  Javin didn’t score from the field but was 4-4 from the line while committing only 1 foul.

Next Play

Georgia Tech (fresh from a shocking win over UNC in the Deandome yesterday) in Atlanta on Wednesday night in a late (9pm EST) game.

DUKE 73- GEORGIA TECH 64

 Duke was challenged tonight by being denied their favorite default scoring option of throwing the ball to Vernon Carey in the low post whenever they need a basket, because he was neutralized, even outplayed, by James Banks and by Moses Wright, who combined for 25 rebounds, 7 blocks, and 26 points. So, Tre Jones (16 pts; 8 rebs, 7 assts, 4 stls) celebrated his 20th birthday by rallying his team, then  closing out the Yellow Jackets by either scoring himself or passing to Cassius Stanley for  a series of what only could be described as  Michael Jordan/Grant Hill sensational, gravity defying dunks to win a tough ACC game on the road. Otherwise, it was a manic-depressive game for Duke fans, of whom there were many cheering “Go Duke!’ as the Blue Devils started both halves playing young and sloppy followed by settling down and playing lock down defense to fuel binge scoring.

In the first half run, AOC and Hurt hit threes to help build a 40-29 half time lead. However, the second half opened with missed shots, sloppy offense, and a few questionable calls as  Duke went almost six minutes without a point. Suddenly, the Blue Devils were down 53-50 on the road. As Coach K explained: “In the second half, they came out and we gave them nine quick points and it looked like the whole thing was going to turn. Our kids showed some amazing toughness. They really hung in there. Cassius, who was not playing as well as he has been, played great. He responded [by] coming off the bench after a timeout and made some sensational plays. I just think our kids were real tough.”

Good teams—and this is a very good, talented, deep team just growing into themselves– wear an opponent down and finds a way to win games like this. However, missing 10 free throws makes that task all the more difficult. Every player except for starter Joey Baker, who got an early hook and never returned, contributed. His replacement Alex O’Connell was at his best supplying energy and production both offensively and defensively but did not play much in the second half as down the stretch Coach K went with Goldwire, co-captains White and DeLaurier. Javin, in particular, delivered by protecting the rim, rebounding, and draining free throws that put Duke up by six with less than a minute remaining. Oddly enough, Duke shot just about fifty per cent from the floor, three point line, and free throw line. The last one has been the Achilles Heel of the last few teams and needs to be a consistent 70% and above.

Alan Adds:

What I most admire about the 2019-2020 Blue Devils is that the whole is so much more than the sum of its parts.  That fact was fully on display last night as Duke beat a highly motivated and talented Georgia Tech team.  In the final analysis, Duke overcame being beaten up inside by stronger interior Yellow Jackets with tenacious defense and superb performances by its role players – Alex O’Connell in the first half; and Jack White and Javin DeLaurier in the closing moments.  Jordan Goldwire entered the game with 3 minutes gone and played every moment thereafter.  The stalwart starters did not disappoint – Carey was heroic fighting the bigger stronger Banks and Wright on the interior while also scoring; Hurt and Stanley had crucial valuable moments with big plays; and Tre Jones led the scoring, making crucial baskets throughout but especially at crunch time.  This team is much more than the sum of its parts.

Both halves had a similar pattern.  Tech’s bigs were dominant inside for the first part of each stanza.  Duke took back control in the closing minutes of each.  Duke did not lead in the first half until 7:35 remained in the first half (if you don’t count a 25 second 6-5 lead), when Javin put home a slam.  The litmus was, in my opinion, the foul trouble for the Tech bigs.  Moses Wright, who was a force, picked up his third with 5:06 to go.  Banks, who had 7 blocks in the game, picked up his second with more than 9 minutes left.  Tech’s inside dominance receded, Duke’s defense was outstanding, and the Devils rolled to the 11-point lead at the break.

The second half told the tale.  Tech was again ferocious, controlling the paint, forcing Duke turnovers, and had the crowd in a frenzy.  Duke trailed 53-50 with 11:37 left in the game.  Duke’s defense began to assert itself while the offense continued in disarray until there was 8:59 left.  Still 53-50, when Coach K put Jack White in the game.  He blocked at Wright dunk attempt, which led to Cassius’s highlight dunk and foul shot to tie the game.  White hit a 3 to put Duke up by 1.  The game was tied at 61 with 5:20 to go.  Tech never made another field goal.  Duke defended, and Tech simply ran out of gas.  Duke’s depth prevailed.

With 3:11 left, Duke led by 2 (66-64) after Banks made 2 free throws.  Those were Tech’s last points.  Tre was a true leader down the stretch, hitting a mid-range miracle for 68-64 with only 2:23 left.  Coach K then made the substitution of the game, Javin for Carey.  Javin then proceeded to win the game for Duke.  He blocked a dunk attempt by Wright, contested Wright’s put back and blocked Banks, who had grabbed the rebound and was attempting the put back.  Then he grabbed the rebound (finally) and was fouled.  He went to the line with 55 seconds left and made them both to give Duke a 6 point lead with 55 seconds left.  What a sequence!  Javin grabbed another key rebound with 30 seconds to go and the Devils were finally home free.  White and Javin gave Duke the needed toughness to neutralize Wright and Banks.  The whole is bigger than the sum of the parts.

The second half rotation also tells the tale.  Georgia Tech played its 4 stalwarts all 20 minutes of the second half and used only 6 players.  As the Yellow Jacket coach said in his post-game, Tech got tired at the end.  Duke’s defense and depth wore Tech out.  For Duke, Goldwire and Tre played all 20 minutes.  Carey logged 14 minutes (2-7; 1-2 from the line for 5 points and 3 boards.  2 turnovers); Cassius (8 points on 3-5 and 2-2 from the line to go with 2 key rebounds) and Hurt (1-4; 1-2 from deep for 3 points, a rebound, an assist, a block and a steal) each played 15 minutes.  Javin’s heroics came in only 6 second half minutes while White played only 5.  Yet they won the game for Duke.

It was a solid team win in an ACC road game.  Ask UVA about ACC road games as BC ran them out of the gym in Boston.

Next Play: Wake Forest in Cameron at 8 pm on Saturday, January 11.

Duke 90 – Wake Forest 59

Apparently, it’s really a simple game: “To get your game right, get your threads right”.

The Duke broke out the fifth (and hands down best) of their six new Nike-provided uniforms for their first ACC home game of 2020 and the result was the 900th win in Cameron Indoor Stadium. Wearing their new Gothic Theme, Brotherhood Scheme (Nolan Smith’s idea) navy blue uniforms and shoes, these Blue Devils never looked or played better as they totally dominated Wake Forest in all phases of the game. They had more steals (11) than Wake Forest had assists (8). Add 8 Duke blocks, shoot about 50% from all areas of the floor, force 17 Deacon turnovers, limit the Deac’s to 42% shooting, and you have a stone cold a blow-out.

“I love my team. They listen. They all want to get better. They’re really a great group of kids. All of them are getting better. “We’re a different team than we’ve been. Why would we be a team that we’re not? In other words, why would we do something that was successful in the past that wouldn’t be for this group?

What impresses me the most is that the team is becoming more offensively balanced and less Vernon Carey centered. If Tre  Jones can consistently shoot anything approaching the range that he did tonight; if Hurt continues to get tougher inside to go with his shooting rage; Stanley plays with more confidence and aggression, Goldwire can hit a few shots to keep the defense honest; Baker and O’Connor continue to improve; DeLaurier and White play tough; Moore’s hand heals quickly; and everyone stays healthy, the path for a memorable season is there for the taking.

However, next week will be a better test– a trap game @ Clemson and a tough test against Louisville.

Other Comments:

While it may be a simple game, I cannot understand these players can hit half their shots from beyond the new, wider three point line, and only hit 50% of uncontested shots from the free throw line.

The win kept alive a lot of streaks. Duke is 5-0 in the ACC and has won 9 straight overall. Duke has won 11 straight against Wake Forest, 19 of 20, 22 straight in Cameron.

Alan Adds: 

Duke came pretty close to playing a perfect first half, especially on the defensive end, demonstrating in its play, what Coach K’s vision is for the growth of his team.  Coach K explained how he wants his players thinking about themselves and the team:

“We don’t have a rotation. All our guys should consider themselves starters. Because you are not playing behind anybody. When someone comes in you do not have to be the guy you came in for. All you have to do is be you. Then we have a little bit of a different look. And that’s the thing we’ve tried to build our team on. And, defensively, we have more athleticism so we can pressure the ball better and move it down the court a little bit more. So, you have different looks by having different people in the game. It just happens.
Everyone on our team knows he is important. None of them are complementary players. All are good basketball players. And when they are in there, they need to think of themselves as starting players.

“It’s just how are team is — a collection of guys hopefully doing enough to come up with a big-time win.”

The first half statistics demonstrates how well each of the Devils played and why the whole of this team exceeds the sum of its parts.  Let’s look first at those who replaced the starters.  While Carey started and played 13 minutes (5 points on 2-4 from the field and 1-4 from the line to go with his 4 rebounds and a block), DeLaurier also scored 5 (2-2 from the floor; 1-2 from the line to go with 2 boards and 2 blocks) in only 7 minutes. Joey Baker scored 8 points in 7 minutes (3-3 from the field, including 2-2 from deep)  Baker and Alex (only 3 minutes and a steal) were in for the 2 minutes that Cassius sat (7 points on 3-6 from the field; 1-2 from deep; 3 rebounds; an assist and a steal), the 2 minutes that Tre sat (he led the team in scoring with 11 points) and the 5 minutes Goldwire was not on the floor.  Jack White played 11 minutes (4 points with a made 3 and 1-2 from the line) while Matt Hurt scored 5 (2-3, including 1-2 from deep and 2 rebounds) in only 8 minutes.

The Duke backcourt was sensational.  Tre had his best game of the year, becoming a scoring machine.  In the second half he scored 12 points in 9 minutes (5-6 including 2-2 from deep) but let us continue analyzing the amazing first half.  Tre scored the first 5 points of the game and the last 4 of the half (in the final 15 seconds).  He was 5-9 in the first half, including 1-2 from deep to go with 4 assists without a turnover, 3 rebounds, 2 steals and a block.  He and JGold played amazing defense.  Goldwire had 1 more assist than Tre (5) while scoring 4 points and getting a steal.

The Defense

Duke had more steals (6) than Wake had assists (4).  The Devils forced 12 Wake turnovers, which led to 13 Duke points.  Wake did not score a fast break point or a second chance point! Duke’s big men protected the rim and were amazingly athletic in switching the ball screens and still keeping position to defend the Wake bigs who rolled to the basket.  Wake had only 6 points in the paint. Duke has played defense like this before, but it is still a privilege to watch a team play cohesive and cooperative defense that way.

The deep rotation allows each player to go all out on every play.  How about Joey Baker diving for a loose ball going out of bounds when Duke had a 30-point lead with just a few minutes left.  That dive was emblematic of the Duke defensive desire and intensity.

The Offense

The ball moved.  The players moved.  Duke shot well because the shot selection was so good.  The Devils were creating good, very good and excellent shot opportunities.  A contested shot was rare.  Duke was 6-10 from deep in the first half (but only 3-9 from the stripe), and 14-22 from inside the arc.  It was sweet to watch.

Next Play: Clemson in Death Valley on Tuesday (Jan. 14) at 7 pm.  The Tigers will be coming off their first ever win at UNC (0-59 before yesterday) and will be facing Duke the day after the football team meets LSU for the National Championship.  Clemson is traditionally tough in Littlejohn.  This is a classic trap game, an ACC road game just before a ballyhooed meeting in Cameron on Saturday [ESPN Game Day is I Durham]. Next Saturday Jan. 18), Duke meets Louisville in Cameron in the first really crucial game of the ACC season.  The winner will have a definite leg up in the regular season race.

Duke The Best School For Student-Athletes In The USA

Duke Ranked Top College for Student-Athletes

January 8, 2020

DURHAM, N.C. – According to the 2020 best college rankings by Niche, Duke University is ranked the No. 1 school for student-athletes in America.

Duke finished among the top-5 in numerous other categories, including No. 1 for public policy, No. 3 for best value, No. 4 for best professors and No. 6 in both top private university and best college by the organization.

Niche’s rankings are based on rigorous analysis of key statistics from the U.S. Department of Education and millions of reviews.

Duke Athletics finished last season ranked ninth in the Learfield IMG Directors’ Cup Standings by the National Association of Collegiate Directors of Athletics and sent 48 student-athletes and 16 teams to NCAA action, highlighted by the women’s golf team winning its seventh NCAA title.

Academically, a total of 17 Duke teams achieved a 100 percent graduation success rate: men’s basketball, women’s cross country/track & field, men’s fencing, women’s fencing, field hockey, men’s golf, women’s golf, men’s lacrosse, women’s lacrosse, rowing, men’s soccer, women’s soccer, men’s swimming and diving, men’s tennis, women’s tennis, volleyball and wrestling.

Duke also made history last year, setting an ACC record with 519 ACC Academic Honor Roll selections. The Blue Devils have led the conference in honorees for 31 of the previous 32 years. The Honor Roll is comprised of varsity student-athletes who registered a grade point average of 3.0 or better for the full academic year.

DUKE 72 – CLEMSON 79 

My final comments on the Wake Forest game: “The path for a memorable season is there for the taking. However, next week will be a better test– a trap game @ Clemson and a tough test against Louisville.”  Clemson gets an A. Duke a D. When you miss ten free throws, blow two uncontested layups and several other that were contested, allow an opponent to shoot 57%, and two players to have career games, it’s difficult to win on the road (or anywhere else). Teams are double teaming Vernon Carey  and forcing him to pass, which is a strength. However, his teammates must make themselves available and make shots. Unfortunately, Matthew Hurt’s lack of strength and mediocre to poor defense often results in his watching the action from the bench and the supporting cast is suddenly depleted. Tonight, Jack White, whose savvy and toughness are never a liability and who recently found his three point shot, replaced Hurt for most of the second half. Look for him to play more minutes while Moore and Baker are unavailable.

Coach K summed it up: “Clemson played a great game and have been playing so well. To beat NC State and win at North Carolina we knew that Brad [Brownell] team’s always play outstanding defense. Good tough, kids, good players and it’s tough to score against them — and they were that tonight. We knew coming into the game that the four and the five were the positions we had to defend. In our last game, we didn’t do a good job at the four and the five and we didn’t do a good job tonight. [Aamir] Simms and [Tevin] Mack were terrific and it’s a different offense to defend, but Simms was spectacular tonight and how he controlled the game. We got knocked back right away. Our kids have to understand how hard it is to win and we’ve been winning, but when you’re in conference, people are hungry, and if you win a lot sometimes you’re not as much as the other team. We missed layups and then in the second half we started pressing and that got us a short lead and then we missed free throws that could’ve given us a two possession lead, but I’m not blaming our guys because Vernon had to work so hard for that. Clemson was more deserving of winning tonight. We almost got it in the second half, but overall they played better than we did. One of the reasons we’ve been good is that we had depth,” Krzyzewski said “but we have two kids (Moore, a broken hand and Baker, a sprained ankle) out right now on the perimeter. I saw it a little bit in the last game and tonight you definitely saw that we are not as good without that depth.”

Other  Observations: 

Exchange with a former Duke player: This “old fashion team” is not ready for prime time. Desultory defense  and casual passing is recipe for disaster. Time for K to tear off his jacket and throw down his clip border! You guys called it. A trap game for sure! As we‘ve talked, Carey is a liability in close games. We will probably see more “hack a shack “ in  future close games. Very disappointing in a very good player.

Alan Adds: 

I closed the most recent Alan Adds with the following prescient comment: “Next Play: Clemson in Death Valley on Tuesday (Jan. 14) at 7 pm.  The Tigers will be coming off their first ever win at UNC (0-59 before yesterday) and will be facing Duke the day after the football team meets LSU for the National Championship.  Clemson is traditionally tough in Littlejohn.  This is a classic trap game, an ACC road game just before a ballyhooed meeting in Cameron on Saturday [ESPN Game Day is I Durham].”  (In red in that post)

If you watch a rewind of the beginning of the game, you will see the Duke attitude, contrasted with Clemson’s, had “trap” all over it.  Clemson came out simply dripping with fighting emotion.  You could see the Tiger players were sky high, pumped up, in a virtual frenzy.  The Duke players were calm and (over) confident.  Nobody was jumping around or pumped up.  The Duke stats – rated first in Ken Pomeroy’s rankings; the only team in the top 10 statistically in both offense and defense; nationally formidable in steals; blocks and assists—were so impressive.  Moreover, Clemson was 8-7 and probably due for deflation after winning in Chapel Hill.  In the opening minutes it was crystal clear that all the emotion and energy came from the Tigers, while the Blue Devils confidently waited for (and expected) Clemson to fold.

Instead it was Duke that folded.  It was Duke, whose interior defensive weakness was exposed.  Duke’s depth was non-existent and it was the Devils that were worn out down the stretch.  Bill’s analysis and Coach K’s quotes were right on:  Duke is not defending the on the interior “we didn’t do a good job at 4 and 5”.  In games where Duke has struggled, that has been true throughout the season.  Duke can overcome that weakness when its defense shuts down the perimeter, forces turnovers and gets a fair share of blocks to protect the rim.  All of that was dramatically missing from the Blue Devil arsenal last night.  Let’s look at the second half, where Duke’s press had turned the game around and allowed the Blue Devils to take the lead.  Duke led by 62-59 with 6:36 left in the game, and only trailed by 65-64 with4:19 left when the wheels came off.  In my opinion, the Devils were simply worn out.  They could no longer press, which is what got them a 3 point lead after trailing by 9.  Carey turned it over, Tre missed 2 in a row, White missed a foul shot (but at least he had made the first), and the Duke could not get a stop while committing foul after foul.  Those are the indications of a tired team.

In the closing stanza, Duke was 4-11 from the foul line (Carey was 2-7), outrebounded 21-12, corralled only a single offensive rebound while committing 11 fouls.  This was a tired team down the stretch.  With Baker and Moore out, Duke had only 8 available of its core.  However, there were not 8 contributors: Alex played only a single second half minute; Hurt played only 5; and DeLaurier only 7.  Collectively those three not only failed to score, but did not even attempt a field goal.  Stanley picked up 2 quick fouls (total of 4), which not only required him to sit, but removed his aggressiveness when he did return to the game.  His defense suffered because he understood that his team could not afford him to foul out.  Tired teams miss free throws.  Carey played hard – he has simply great hands – but had no help on the interior.  Coach K tried everything – he played DeLaurier and Carey together; he had 3 bigs on the court at times, but his team was gassed down the stretch.

While the loss is disappointing, I believe it will have the requisite silver lining.  When Duke was shocked by Stephen F Austin, after displaying the same over confidence, the team grew by leaps and bounds. I believe this game, and the return of depth, will have a similar impact.  Perhaps the best takeaway from this game was the emergence of Jack White in the second half.  In 17 minutes, he scored 9; (3-4; 2-3 from deep; 1-2 from the stripe) with 2 boards and 2 steals.  He adds toughness for sure.  Let’s see if he can sustain that play for the remainder of his senior year.

Next Play: Duke is home against a very good Louisville team [Saturday night at 6 pm], and is likely to still be without its formidable depth.  This will be a tough game, which will tell much about the heart and soul of this team.

DUKE 73 –  LOUISVILLE 79 

Payback!

A year ago, Louisville lost a 23 point lead with ten minutes to play to lose to the Blue Devils at The KFC  Center in a devastating defeat from which they never fully recovered for the rest of the season. Tonight, they lost an early 15 point lead in raucous Cameron and with just under four minutes to play were clinging to a one-point lead when dynamic freshman point guard David Johnson, who had scored 19 points, was sidelined by a shoulder injury. But this time there was a different result. For a third straight road game, Louisville was the tougher, more poised team in the closing minutes, holding Duke scoreless for 3:24 and scoring 8 straight points to pull away. “That game last year,” Louisville coach Chris Mack said, “ was the hardest defeat I’ve ever had. You can do one of two things — either think about those ghosts and get revisited, or go  and do the job. I’m really proud of our guys to be able to face what we did a year ago. That was a hard loss, man. A really, really hard loss.”

However, this was also an impressive win in a difficult venue by a very tough, mature, deep, talented team that could jump start a championship run.

There is no way to sugar coat these last two games. With the easiest ACC schedule in years, Duke came out flat against  Clemson, tight and tentative against Louisville in Cameron, digging themselves a very deep hole from which to recover. Nevertheless, the Blue Devils fought back and tied the game late on multiple occasions, but could never pull ahead. Cassius Stanley had an open, potential game-tying 3-pointer with :17 seconds left but shot an air ball. However, you can hardly blame Cassius. If it wasn’t for his 24 points and 11 rebounds, the game would have been a blowout by halftime.

It was men against boys. There are five transfers and only one contributing teenager on the Cardinal roster. Any Blue Devil who thinks they are physically ready for the NBA, should review the tapes of these last two games. For this team to be a true title contender, they have to play lock-down, turnover producing defense and Vernon Carey has anchor the half-court offense down low, giving them 20 & 10. Without his inside presence, the Blue Devils are offensively challenged, because they are usually a mediocre three point and free throw shooting team. In both games, Duke was in position to close an opponent out, but were unable to score in the half court. In this game and the Stephen F. Austin game, Carey was on the bench at the end. Defense can win games but someone has to be able to put the ball in the basket. Ever since the  2015 NCAA Championship, Duke has had talented, freshman centric teams that have started the season strong but finished disappointingly. The conventional wisdom is that as the season progressed, Coach K  shortened his rotation to 6 or 7 players and they wore out. Well, this year he is going 8-10 deep and they look tired before mid-season. What’s the answer? For starters, they have to play mentally and physically tougher; Vernon Carey has to play better defense, stay out of foul trouble, and on the floor at critical times; Matthew Hurt has to man up and play big not small; Joey Baker has to start scoring consistently;  Cassius Stanley has to keep improving; and, hopefully, Wendell Moore returns.

Considering these stats, it was amazing the score game was this close: FG: 48% -37%; 3’s: 56%-24%; ft: 83%-72%.

Coach K compared the game to the early ‘90s Bulls and Pistons battles: “That was a brutal game. The most physical game we’ve been involved in… in years. They’re good. They’re really good. [David] Johnson was terrific in the first half. With the depth that they have and the experience – they outplayed us, especially in those first ten minutes. Our kids fought like crazy and put us in a position to win. The term “freedom of movement” was not alive and well tonight. I hope we don’t have the rest of the conference like that. That’s not good basketball. They played great – I don’t want to take away from them. For both of us, you can’t have that. The last two teams we played… we just have to get older. I’m really up on my team. It’s a long journey. I’ve never told you that we’re great. It’s a process for us, playing these two teams. Getting beat, we have to learn from it and move on. It’s a long journey.” 

Alan Adds: 

Overview

In the closing moments Louisville took control and looked the way Duke – at winning time –usually does. On the other hand, the Blue Devils looked the way the unranked visiting teams usually looked when they routinely collapse down the stretch – especially at Cameron.  However, the demoralizing last 3:27 seconds should not completely obscure some terrific moments that Duke produced.  There was “good” even though the “bad and ugly” were more prevalent and relevant for analysis.

The Good (It is shorter)

This team has real heart and showed a fighting spirit and determination last night that should not be forgotten in the disappointing loss.  Duke was basically run out of its own gym in the early going.  After taking an early 5-2 lead (a 3 by Hurt and a jumper by JGold), the Cardinals just took it to Duke physically.  Duke turned the ball over so frequently that Louisville did not have to run a set half-court offense.  In the first half, Duke turned it over with amazing frequency, gave up 26 points in the paint (while scoring only 8) and allowed 12 fast break points.  The Devil bench failed to score in that half (only 5 for the entire game – a layup by White and a meaningless 3 by Baker with 3 seconds left in the game).  Duke was down by as much as 15 points; and had given up 42 first half points to trail by 10 at the break.

This team fought all the way back in a game that was physically brutal.  Coach K said it was played like an old Bulls v Pistons in the 1990s when Detroit was “The Bad Boys”.  Nevertheless, Duke tied the score at 58 with over 8 minutes left.  When Louisville retaliated and pushed the lead back to 6, the fighting Devils responded and tied the score again at 63 with 6:29 left.  Although Duke never had the ball with a chance to take the lead, Duke was down only 1 (66-65) with 5:18 to go.   When the Cardinals pushed it to a 6 point lead again – 71-65 with 4:27 to go, the Blue Devils still answered with 5 straight points – a 3 point play the old fashioned way by Tre plus a nifty steal and layup by Goldwire – to be down only a point with 3:27 to play.  Then the wheels came off.

Both Cassius Stanley and Matt Hurt had breakout games.  Stanley logged 37 minutes while scoring 24 points (6-10 from inside the arc and 90% from the foul line – 9-10) to go with 11 rebounds.  He was only 1-7 from deep, however.  Hurt scored 16 points (11 in the first half) in 32 minutes.  He made 2 crucial second half plays – a one handed dunk on an offensive rebound; and even more crucially sunk 3-3 from the line when he cleverly drew a foul on his 3-point attempt.  That tied the score at 58. While he tired (4 fouls in the second half, fouling out in the last 3 seconds), he was a force on the floor on defense.  He was part of Coach K’s 2 interesting innovations to spark the Devils.

First, he went big, which worked for a while until Louisville adjusted.  He used Carey in the middle with White and Hurt at the forwards and Cassius as Tre’s running mate in the backcourt.  When the Cardinals ultimately stretched the lead, Coach K went to his Pony Express team (as I call them), playing Hurt and White and Stanley along with Tre and Goldwire.  That is the lineup that brought Duke back into contention all the way to 3:27 to go.

The “Bad and Ugly”

The End Game and Rotation

Duke was (again) simply gassed at the end of the game.  Looking at the second half rotation discloses Duke’s lack of depth and bench strength, which I believe led to the exhaustion and losing.  Tre and Cassius played the whole second half (Cassius was out for less than a minute).  Tre logged 39 for the game; Cassius 37.  Hurt played 16 minutes; White 15 and JGold 14 (he was only out while the Big team came back and then faded) in the closing stanza.  The bench was non-existent and a non-factor.  Baker launched 4 shots in 4 second half minutes, making only the meaningless 3 virtually at the game ending buzzer. He did miss all of his 6 other shots in his 10 game minutes, while committing 3 fouls.  Alex did not play in the second half and only logged 2 minutes in the first half (0-1).  Javin has again become a non-factor even though he has stopped fouling.  He played 9 minutes in the game (4 in the closing stanza) without a point, shot or rebound.  He turned it over twice in his five first half minutes.

Carey played only eight  second half minutes, partly because of foul trouble (he had 4 midway through the period) and partly because of his foul shooting (3-6 in the second half).  Coach K appears not to trust him at the foul line at closing time.  The early season depth that fueled the early season success seems to have vanished.  This makes the return of Wendell Moore seem essential.

The Offense

Turnovers in the first half and terrible shooting in the second half doomed the Devils.  Duke had officially 10 first half turnovers, but I think there were significantly more (only 5 assists).  Worse, the turnovers led to open runouts for easy Louisville layups.  Duke was 1-12 from deep in the second half (I’m not counting Baker’s 3 at the buzzer; Duke was officially 2-13) with Stanley leading the (0-4) way.  Hurt, White, and Baker couldn’t hit in 5 collective attempts.  Tre was 1-3.  Many of those attempts were wide open.  Tre scored 12 in the half, but on an inefficient 12 shots.

The Defense

There was a serious breakdown in fundamentals, especially in transition defense.  Louisville got open runouts on Duke’s misses; as Duke failed to balance the court.  Grievous fundamental errors.  As in past games, Duke is not defending the post well.  Previously, the double teams gave up easy layups.  In this game, Carey (and who was defending during Carey’s 17 bench minutes) was left to defend by himself, and could not do it.  The Louisville bigs got the ball in deep to score and Carey ran into foul trouble.  Duke committed 9 fouls in each half, almost all by its bigs. Tre’s vaunted defense was ineffectual in the first half and really sub-par throughout.

Was this a Coach K shot at ‘Ole Roy?

“When we lose, I always credit an opponent.  I don’t throw my own team under the bus ever…ever. …I’m really up on my team.  It’s a long journey.  I’ve never told you that we are great.”  (Emphasis is mine).

Next Play: Tuesday at 7:00 pm against Miami in Cameron

DUKE 89 – MIAMI 59 

It is apparent that the back-to-back loses to Clemson and Louisville may well be the inflection point for the season in that it should now be obvious to all the freshmen that teams no longer will play Duke straight up. Rather, they will smother Vernon Carey, making it difficult for him to be the 20 & 10 pillar that carries the team and forcing other players to beat them. On nights like last night, when Duke makes 11 of 25 3-pointers (44 percent), the wins come easy. When they go 6  of 25, like against Louisville, not so much. Obviously, the answer is that the burden for a successful season is for some combination of Hurt, Stanley,  Baker, O’Conner , and (soon) Moore to grow up and play Big Boy Ball. Everyone plays hard and aggressive against Duke. Jones already does and Goldwire, by the way, has improved dramatically to become a very reliable, contributing starter, who plays to his strengths (more shots for others). Plus, a given for a Coach K team—consistently, good tough defense that makes for easier offense. And being strong with the ball has to be a constant, not  a sometimes thing.

It appears Carey is adjusting to the new normal and Hurt is gradually utilizing all his talents and size; Stanley is a lot more than Zion-light; Baker needs to be more relaxed, under control, and consistent; but AOC is still a quixotic talent—you never know what you are going to get. Last night he got two quick hooks for inattentive plays then scored 8 points on a variety of shots in the last minutes of garbage time. 

Coach K: ”We played really well. Our guys responded. We had a heck of a day yesterday with our team from 7 in the morning to 10 at night with a couple of practices, meetings, just good stuff! They grew from it – all positive. They responded. (Reflect a moment on the subtext of that quote and translate it for us). They’re fighting human nature because we beat them by a lot, but since then they’re down by only four against Louisville, probably should’ve beaten Florida State. They’ve been playing well, so we showed them stuff from those games. They were a mature team tonight. We got back to playing defense.” On Duke’s defense: “We just concentrated more on it. In our six wins, we’ve given up 60 points. In the two losses, we gave up 79. We talked to our team about that. For us to win we have to play good defense. If we’re playing that hard on defense it translates to good offense – then we’re pushing the ball. At the start of the game we had a lot of energy.

“We just played really good defense. [Chris] Lykes is a heck of a player and in the second half he showed more. We just had a couple of good games against them. He’s one of the quick scorers in the league – big time.” When asked about Duke’s energy: “They really responded to the two losses in a positive way. Our practices yesterday were excellent. Our team meetings – I think we grew a lot as a team and I think it showed today. We got a little bit of a break from competition. Wendell [Moore Jr.] still won’t be ready by next week, but that’s a week we don’t lose a game with him. That’s a good thing. It does give some of these other guys a chance – Joey [Baker] has been playing with a sprained ankle – for us to get rejuvenated after eight conference games.”

On Vernon Carey: “He has counter moves -counter moves are great if you’re doing them against one guy. I don’t think anyone has come up with a counter for double and triple teams. That’s what’s happening to him. If the three-point shooting keeps going well then, he’ll have more room. Part of the reason we have more open threes is because of Vernon. When he runs the court, people are going to go to him. That gives a window of opportunity. In Matt’s case, he was a little slower with that window earlier, so they could recover to him. His prep is quicker and if he keeps going like that – then that’s a great counter with Vern. Vern has – it’s tough to move down there. As long as he’s running – he just has to stay patient. He did a great job tonight with just running and making sure the defense had to react.”

Alan Adds:

“At the start of the game, we had a lot of energy.  Second half, it was 10:30 at night and we had a big lead.”  Coach K had about summed it up  The first half was just one of those halves!

With 1:37 left in the opening stanza, Duke enjoyed a 29-point lead, and had held Miami to only 18 points!  Duke’s offense is and was fueled by energetic defense, while Miami’s defensive game plan completely backfired.  The Hurricane plan was to pack it in down low to neutralize Carey (which was successfully done) and leave the perimeter relatively open.  In reality, there was nothing relative of how wide open the Hurricane left Duke shooters.  Where the word relatively appeared, replace it with “completely”.  The result was the best Duke 3-point shooting of the season, led by Matt Hurt’s 15 first half points (3-5 from deep), Tre was 2-4; Baker 2-3 and White 1-1 from deep.  Besides Hurt’s 15, the first half scoring was balanced with 3 players scoring 6 (Tre, Carey and Baker) while 2 – Stanley and White — scored 5.  Tre and JGold combined for 8 assists without a turnover, 7 rebounds and 2 steals.  The defense held Miami’s best player scoreless.  It was an almost perfect half, and a wonderful response to the 2 game losing streak.

Perhaps the last 2 minutes of the second half were also important for Duke’s depth.  Alex O’Connell, who has been mired in sloppy ineffective play, has seen his playing time diminish to almost nothing as a result.  Alex entered the game in the first half and was immediately stripped of the ball leading to a Miami runout and score.  Coach K yanked him immediately; he was on the court for about 30 seconds.  Coach K put him in during the second half, and Alex was again awful.  He missed a 3 and committed an immediate turnover that led to another Miami runout and open layup.  K yanked him again after less than a minute.

But with 3:38 left in the game, Alex received another chance and took so much advantage of it, that he may have earned his way back into the rotation.  He stole the ball with 3:03 left that led to a Stanley score.  In the last 2 minutes, he hit 2 jumpers and made 2 layups (the last one by running the court and receiving a “touchdown pass” from Justin Robinson to push the lead to 30.  It was a helluva of last two minutes for Alex, giving him 8 points in a total of 5 minutes of action.

Next Play: Duke has a week off before meeting Jeff Capel’s revitalized Pittsburg team in Cameron at 9 pm (1-28).  The week should give Baker’s ankle more healing time, revitalize the team, and keep us looking forward to Wendell Moore’s expected return in February.

DUKE  79 –  PITTSBURG 67

The good news is that Vernon Carey apparently put the week off to good use—to freshen up and reflect upon how to capitalize on what opponents have recently been doing to neutralize him. While he has had nine double-doubles in sixteen games this season, tonight’s was his first  since Dec. 19, 2019. Vernon was much more active and physical in establishing himself down low. When double-teamed, he demonstrated he was not only an efficient scorer with range but also a creative passer. It was his most complete game of the season, dominating  in every conceivable way finishing  with 26 points, 13 rebounds, 4 assists, a block, multiple altered shots (see above)  in a season high 36 (ten more than normal) minutes. For Duke to be as successful as they want to be, the offense must run through Tre Jones and Vernon Carey, because the other players, while talented, are not yet consistent.

The not so good news is that as the Blue Devils were coasting to their 17th win of the season, leading 60-42 with 13:43 left, when the offense went cold and the defense played tired, allowing a 24-6 run by the Panthers that brought them within five points with six minutes left in the game. It was a text book example of inefficient offense and missed shots leading to easy buckets as every team has athletic players who love to run and score. Forward Au’Diese Toney had a career-high 27 points—20 over his average– as neither Stanley nor anyone else could neutralize him.

Just when an improbable nightmare—think Stephen F. Austin– seemed to be unfolding, Coach K called a timeout to settle and focus his team. From that point on, the Blue Devils played winning basketball: tight defense, four  free throws by Hurt and Goldwire (two missed free throws by Pitt), an NBA three with time expiring by Stanley, a jumper and a dunk by Carey on a nice pass from Jones, and a late block from Jack White put an exclamation point on the win.

Only six players played double digit minutes as O’Connell and Baker are playing themselves back to a nice view from the bench. On the other hand, Jordan Goldwire has solidified his position as the fifth starter as he has added efficient offense to his defense. Tonight, he had three straight threes, scoring 13 points to go with 5 rebounds and 3 assists, and 1 steal. And Jack White, who is the toughest player on the team had 23 minutes off the bench. His 6 points, 3 rebounds, 1 block, 1 steal does not do justice to the stabilizing force he provides to his team at critical times.

OTHER COMMENTS:

Former Duke player and assistant coach Jeff Capel has his Pitt Panthers on a nice trajectory.

Eight former Krzyzewski assistants are now head coaches: at Notre Dame (Mike Brey), Harvard (Tommy Amaker), Central Florida (Johnny Dawkins), the NBA’s Utah Jazz (Quin Snyder), Northwestern (Chris Collins), Marquette (Wojo), Pitt (Jeff Capel) and Howard (Kenny Blakeney). Only Brey did not play for K.

Alan Adds:

The second half was the story of this game. Duke’s 18 point lead (60-42) with 13:43 to go in the second half was down to 3 (68-65) with 4:28 to go.  In 9 minutes and 15 seconds Duke had scored only 8 points.  Coach K on being unconcerned with the lack of defensive intensity against Miami last Saturday in the second half: “it was 10:30 at night and we had a big lead”.  That same lack of defensive intensity in the second half last night almost cost Duke what would have been a worse-than-embarrassing loss.  However, in the next 3:32 of play, Duke played like Duke has traditionally done at “winning time”.

Coach K played “offense-defense” substituting Hurt (even with 4 fouls) for offense; and replacing him with Goldwire for defense.  Hurt made his 2 free throws;  Carey got the next defensive rebound and then scored in the paint on a superb feed from Tre.  He retrieved another defensive rebound (missed Pitt free throws) and Duke stretched the lead back to 10 on a shot-clock-winding-down 3 from Stanley (great pass from Tre) with 2:24 left —  75-65.    White made a critical block to keep Pitt at bay.  Carey scored again on yet another assist from Tre with 1:29 to go.  Duke closed out its scoring when JGold sank 2 free throws with 56 seconds left to push the Duke margin to 14 – 79-65.  Duke held the Panthers scoreless from 4:28 to 0:37, when Pitt scored a meaningless bucket.  Duke’s offense and defense came together in dramatic fashion to crush Pitt.

The rotation in the second half was also telling:  Duke had only 15 total minutes of bench playing time and not a single bench point.  Jack White, who played 11 minutes, was really the only bench player.  DeLaurier and Baker each logged only 2 minutes.  Alex played one first half minute (0-1 and a defensive lapse) but 0 in the closing stanza.  Hurt, in foul trouble all night (he finished with 4; only 1 in the second half), logged 12 second half minutes.  Duke made good use of a big lineup from time to time – Carey, Hurt and White up front; Stanley and Tre in the backcourt.  Tre played all 20 second half minutes; Stanley and JGold played 18 and Carey 17.  The good news may be that Wendell Moore is expected back in a week or so (the cast is off).

The Duke offense stalled so badly in the second half because the three point shooting, which was devastating in the first half (7-14, including JGold hitting 3 of 4), went almost completely cold in the latter stanza (2-12 – JGold was 0-3; Hurt 1-3; Stanley 1-4; White and Baker were each 0-1).  The defense seemed to wilt in intensity as the offense shooting woes mounted.

Next Play: Duke hits the road for 3 straight ACC road games beginning this Saturday (Feb 1) vs. Syracuse at 8 pm (ESPN)

Our website covering the last eleven seasons is: dukebasketballplaybook.com

DUKE  97 – SYRACUSE 88 

The young Blue Devils are entering a stretch of tough games that may well determine whether they are truly battle ready contenders or just precocious pretenders. We witnessed some of both tonight. They started like pretenders in front of an intimidating 31,000+ crowd in the Carrier Dome but in important stretches responded like contenders until they didn’t but ultimately did. Confused? Well, for starters Duke was coming off a close home game where Coach K reverted to his predictable later-in-the-season pattern of playing a short rotation and darn near getting a technical foul for losing it against (of all people) the Cameron Crazies! In addition, coaches John Scheyer and Nolan Smith were not on the bench. Be honest. How many briefly thought this might the beginning of the end?

Well, one thing we have learned over these past forty years is that Coach K and his teams are tough and resilient and K is a great bench coach who knows how to push the buttons of his players—as is his old friend Syracuse’s Jim Boeheim. Tonight, they treated us not only to an exciting, high scoring game but also an interesting, probing Masters Coaching Chess Clinic. The Blue Devils started (surprise!)  sluggishly with Syracuse leading 21-14 and Duke big men Vernon Carey, Matthew Hurt, and Javin DeLaurier being called for two fouls each in the first eleven minutes.  Duke was in danger of digging themselves into a deep hole as they did in loses to Clemson and Louisville– but with 31,000 fans piling on. Like it or not, Coach K was forced to mix and match his lineup for the rest of the game. Fortunately, the unlikely quartet of Alex O’Connell (whom keen observer wrote “had played himself onto a nice view from the bench”), Javin DeLaurier, both of whom had barely played against Pittsburg, Wendell Moore, who has been recovering from a broken fingers, and Jack White somehow not only kept things  from getting out of hand but helped rally the team (with the help of Carey)  to an improbable 40-36 halftime  lead. But that was nothing. The second half score was 57-52 as Duke would lead the rest of the way but, unable to consistently handle The Orange full court press, never could comfortably put the game away. However, (surprise) they, er Tre, who played every minute, never missed a free throw at closing time.

Duke looked to be cruising, until they didn’t, as they led by 15 points with nine minutes left and 14 with less than five minutes left. But those five minutes took an eternity as virtually every possession stopped the clock, either with a foul, a turnover, or a timeout. It was like watching the final innings of a close, major-league baseball game. Duke lost Wendell Moore, DeLaurier, then Cassius Stanley to fouls. With more than three minutes left, Syracuse closed the gap to five points. However, the Blue Devils  closed it out with championship shooting from the foul line– 12 straight free throws down the stretch, 10-10 from Tre Jones and 2-2 for Stanley.

While making way-too-many turnovers (19), a season-high 29 personal fouls, even a (questionable) technical foul on Vernon Carey, the good news is that Carey and Stanley (after a disappointing first half) played with an intensity and passion that is needed to wins tough tournament games and, as always, Tre Jones steadied the team a critical times. In addition, a full complement of nine players responded extremely well to contribute to the win. Interestingly, only Joey Baker, whom you would think would be a logical zone buster, did not play—but stay tuned.

The play of the game: Vernon Carey, whose father played offensive tackle in the NFL, gathered a rebound under his basket and threw a full court pass to a streaking Cassius “Skywalker” Stanley, who caught it, hung, changing hands in midair, then laid the ball in the basket while being fouled by an incredulous defender.The bottom line: A promising response and learning experience against an improving, dangerous team in a tough venue.

Miscellaneous Comments:

  • A year ago, the game with Duke (and Zion) drew 35,642 that set the record for largest on-campus crowd in college basketball history.
  • Duke was without  two of their assistant coaches. Jon Scheyer fell ill Saturday morning in Syracuse and underwent a successful appendectomy at a local hospital. Director of basketball operations Nolan Smith did not make the trip to Syracuse with the team due to his daughter’s illness.
  • Kyle Shanahan, head coach of the San Francisco 49ers, attended Duke on a football scholarship, but transferred as redshirt freshman to the University of Texas at Austin. Shanahan played wide receiver on a Longhorn team that featured future college coach Major Applewhite as well as future NFL players Roy WilliamsCedric BensonBo ScaifeMike Williams,  and Chris Simms. Kyle caught 14 passes for 127 yards in his career at U.T.

Alan Adds: 

The second half is worth a close look.  Duke scored 57 second half points, shot the lights out, got scoring from the bench as well as bravura performances from Carey (14 points in 14 minutes with 9 rebounds), Stanley (13 points in 16 minutes, including two crucial 3 point plays in the last 3:06 of the game)  and Tre (12  points in 20 minutes, including 10 straight free throws in the last 2:35) while hitting 21 of 23 free throws (including 12 in a row in the last 3:06).  So, is anything wrong with this picture.  Well, yes.  Syracuse scored 52 points including 21 fast break points (after only 4 in the first half) and 14 second chance points while grabbing 12 offensive rebounds (Duke had 6 in the closing stanza).  Duke committed 19 second half fouls with Stanley, Moore and DeLaurier fouling out.  Carey finished with four (one an ill-advised technical).  The Devils committed 11 second half turnovers vs only 8 assists.  Moore in particular had a dismal second half committing four fouls and 3 turnovers in 9 scoreless minutes, after an efficient first half.  Javin played only 4 scoreless minutes.  Fortunately, Alex was brilliant scoring 7 points in his 6 minutes; he was almost all of Duke’s bench scoring; Jack White added 3 on 1-2 from deep in 7 minutes.

Duke maintained a double digit lead for almost all of the second half, with it reaching 14 with 6:02 to go.  Then the Orange began to chip away slowly.  Single digits with 3:50 left.  Carey committed his 4th foul with 3:37 remaining and Moore fouled out with 3:32 to go.  Syracuse converted from the line and the lead was down to 5 (79-74) with 3:06 remaining.

Duke did not miss another shot from that point on.  Stanley made 2 layups where he was fouled and converted each time.  He did not foul out until there was only 38 seconds left and the Duke win was secure.  Carey hit a tough jumper while Tre made 2 foul shots five straight times.  He was also brilliant in defeating Syracuse’s desperate trapping press as well as leading Duke’s defense into hounding the Orange from the 3 point line (6-17 for the game).  It was a solid ACC road win highlighted by a fabulous final 3:06.

No Blue Devil played as much as 30 minutes, except Tre who played every minute.  10-10 from the line after playing as hard as he does for the full 40 minutes is worth another tip of the hat.  Goldwire started, but played only 15 minutes in the game (8 in the second half).  Moore logged the starter minutes in the back court (24; 13 in the first half) in his first game back from the hand injury.  DeLaurier (12 minutes; 8 in the first half when he scored all of his 8 points and grabbed 4 boards), O’Connell (15 minutes; 11 points); and White (14 minutes; 7 in each half; 1-2 from deep with 2 critical rebounds) were Duke’s efficient bench.  No announcer or internet bit has explained why Joey Baker did not play; he looked healthy sitting on the bench.  Carey played 28 minutes while Hurt and Cassius logged 26.

All in all, it was a very satisfying road win for the Devils.

Next Play: BC at BC on Tuesday at 7 pm (ESPN).  Yes, another trap game since Saturday’s game is in Chapel Hill against some team that wears uniforms that Bill describes as “washed out blue”.

DUKE 63 – BOSTON COLLEGE 55 

Alan sees “trap games”, whatever that means, in his sleep. I just wonder why, more often than not, this team starts out “flat,” just going through the motions as if wearing the Duke jersey intimidates an opponent. Well, here’s a flash: The Duke jersey makes an opponent play harder so they can go back to campus or home and boast about how well they played against the great college powerhouse.

Tonight was worse than usual. The Blue Devils appeared to be just going through the motions on both offense—Carey was missing contested but point blank shots that usually fall and his teammates were 0-12 from three point land. And on defense, the Blue Devils were out hustled, beaten to rebounds, and by back door plays. I thought Coach K was going to have a heart attack. Fortunately, BC, which is not one of the better ACC teams, turned it over 17 times and were 2-18 on threes.  At the half, Duke was down three and had only scored 21 points (Three nights ago, they scored 57 in the second half at Syracuse). Go figure! Is college basketball, like the 2016 presidential election, Bizarro World defying all logic and gravity and turning upside down? Can both traditional ACC basketball also-rans Clemson and Boston College beat both North Carolina and Duke back to back? What are the odds on one, much less both of these events, occurring?

Johnny Tar Heel often points out with envy what a great bench coach Duke has. Well, tonight certainly demonstrated that  in spades as Duke pulled out a losable game because of Coach K, Joey Baker, Tre Jones, and Javin DeLaurier. With the Blue Devils trailing, Carey in foul trouble, and his team playing uninspired basketball, Coach K substituted Joey Baker, who did not play against Syracuse, and Joey Buckets responded with instant offense (8 points and a steal in 13 minutes); then, he went to Javin DeLaurier (4 points, 4 rebounds, 2 steals, 1 charge taken); then a zone; and then a variety of full court presses. The Eagles became discombobulated and lost the lead. An energized Duke had the lead but with Carey’s effectiveness  hindered by four fouls,  Tre “Cool Hand Luke” Jones took over the offense and sealed the win by working his way into the paint, where he is lethal, and scoring. Please note one other important aspect to this win: 16-20 free throws, 7 more than BC, just about the winning margin.

Just a word about the Jones Boys—Tyus & Trey– and how much they have meant to Duke Basketball. By basketball standards, they are not super athletic but have a super basketball IQ and are mature beyond their years. And while pass first guards, they really have an intuitive sense of when and how to take over a game. Every outstanding Duke team has featured great point guards.

It is interesting what players were not on the floor at closing time: starters Matthew Hurt, who had a miserable 11 minutes, Cassius Stanley, who had another Luke Skywalker dunk but was subpar defensively for the second game in a row plus Jack White and Alex O’Connell, who played so well against Syracuse. Seems as though the Darwinian ten man rotation is alive and well. For all his athletic gifts, there seems to be a reticence or shyness about Stanley that inhibits his ability to want to take over a game like Michael or the Jones Boys. On the other hand,  although we only see it in spurts, Joey Baker brings an intensity, fire that Cassius and AOC do not.

Time is running out for the freshman to grow up as an obviously frustrated Coach K commented about adversity on the road in his presser: “They didn’t listen to me, so they’re in trouble with me and that’s the main adversity that they have, because it’s stupid not to listen. I’ve warned them for two days about it. I’ve watched BC’s recent games – they’ve been playing great, not good. This guy’s (BC’s Jim Christian) a good coach, and these kids (BC) played their butts off and I thought they did that even better than what I’ve seen in the last three games. They took it up a notch. They were very good tonight. They were certainly deserving of winning – we were fortunate tonight.  We missed six shots by the bucket in the first eight minutes. Even at the end, we missed right by the bucket. When we’re young, we try to shoot there, and when you’re by the bucket, you don’t try to shoot – you try to score. It’s a big difference. you’re trying to shoot, there’s the bucket, you might go here. You try to score, you’re going in here, so you’re either going to get the bucket, foul or both. Here, you’re not going to get a call because you haven’t worked for it. It’s not like we were getting fouled. We were shooting the ball, and what happens then is there’s a lot of stuff underneath body-wise and so if you’re just shooting it, you’re shooting at a moving target because you’re going to be hit, whereas if you’re trying to score, you’re right there. Anyway, it makes sense – I’ve been doing it for 45 years. There’s a big difference between shooting and scoring by the bucket. Winning teams score the ball, they don’t shoot the ball by the bucket, and we didn’t do that tonight until late Tre got a couple.” 

Alan Adds: 

Coach K and I are frustrated.  Not only did Coach K warn his team about the dangers of BC and the “human nature” of a “trap game”, but so did I.  The last Alan Adds concluded with “BC at BC on Tuesday at 7 pm (ESPN).  “Yes, another trap game since Saturday’s game is in Chapel Hill…”  But since he coaches the team let’s examine his vision.  Here’s what he said that probably applies to all of us in life: “The investment to win is huge.  You sometimes think you are making that investment, but you’re not.  That’s a lesson for us.  We need to have more investment.”

In his press conference, the coach was not happy with his team, even while conceding that “my guys did some great stuff at the end of the game.”  “I warned them.”  He reiterated how “human nature” is a tough adversary.  “I’ve been beaten by human nature before.”  He complained his guys didn’t listen to him.  “That’s stupid!”   The first half was a textbook example of “not listening”.  Duke came out as if they had been anointed – they looked relaxed and confident.  Way too relaxed.  BC was not relaxed; they were totally fired up, fresh from beating Carolina in Chapel Hill.  Duke was completely outplayed in the first half and very lucky to be down only 3, while shooting 26% and 0-12 from deep.  Thornton (former Duke point guard) outplayed Tre in the opening stanza.

At half time, I told Bill Duke would win (based on the law of shooting averages).  With 14:44 left in the game, Carey picked up his 4th foul as Duke trailed by 4.  I texted Bill that maybe I had been wrong in my half time prediction.  Then Duke went to work, and the quality of basketball picked up as the lead went back and forth.

With 12:22, Joey Baker entered the game for the first time.  He had not played at all against Syracuse.  He apparently didn’t like that because he energized the Duke offense by scoring 8 points in about 4 minutes (his – and Duke’s – only 3 with 7:33 left brought Duke within one.)  Then Coach K made the coaching move of the game.  He changed the defense.  He had gone small in the second half because BC was “more athletic” than Duke was with its big lineup.  Neither Hurt nor Jack White played a minute in the second half, as Duke went with Baker and Moore at the wings with Tre and JGold in the backcourt.

Duke went to “something we put in last week”, called “22”.  Duke picked up somewhere between full and half court.  K said it made BC start from further out and to “stand up”.  It changed their athletic advantage and Duke went on to win from that defensive adjustment.  Coach K said the zone was easier to play out of the “22”.  Duke was fouling big time early in the second half (11 in the second half after only 4 fouls in the opening stanza).  The zone stopped the fouling and BC’s poor shooting did the rest.

Carey never fouled out as he and DeLaurier substituted – offense/defense.  Carey scored 4 in a row to give Duke a 1-point lead (50-49) with 6:02 left; Devils never relinquished the lead again as they (finally) squeezed the life out of the gallant Eagles.  Tre simply took over the game at winning time.  The announcer asked how Duke was able to turn it around.  The color guy told it true, “Duke just started playing harder.  Sometimes it is the reality that you are losing the game that brings out the effort.”  That is exactly what happened.

When Coach K changed the defense, the Devils (and especially Tre) played harder and went into winning mode.  Tre hit a mid-range contested jumper (52-49 with 5:30 to go).  After Goldwire made a steal, Tre hit Moore with a great pass for a layup (54-49 with 5:12 to go).  With 3:26  to go, Tre drove the lane for a spectacular layup from the left side (56-49).  After BC went 1-2 from the line, Tre made another incredible drive from the left side and converted a lefty layup as he flew out of bounds.  It was a wow! (58-50 with 1:58 to go).  BC wasn’t done, chopping the lead to 5 with 54 seconds left, but Duke had the game in hand.  Tre put the icing on the cake, when he made a brace of free throws to stretch Duke’s lead to 63-55 with under 30 seconds to play.  A very satisfying win.

Next Play: This is a big (BIG) weekend for this team – Carolina at Chapel Hill on Saturday at 6 pm (ESPN) followed by a crucial game against Florida State in Cameron on Monday, Feb 10.

DUKE 98 – NORTH CAROLINA 96 (OT)

Duke versus Carolina is the best rivalry in college basketball. Improbably, not only have the teams split the past 100 games evenly, each has scored 7,746 points– and there have been many incredible finishes. Tonight’s game proved the premise and even topped all of them, because there was not just one but two incredible finishes—one in regulation and one in overtime. Each time the Blue Devils somehow defied the laws of probability and scored as time expired. You had to see it to believe it and even then, you might not believe it until you have watched the replay of the final ten minutes several times. For thirty-five minutes, North Carolina outplayed, out hustled, and out coached Duke. It was as if the Tar Heels were excising all the demons of this embarrassing, losing season. Then, with Vernon Carey, who scored more than half of Blur Devil’s 35 first  half points fouling out, Duke inexplicably started playing like one of the best teams in the country and suddenly the outcome game was in doubt. Why it took the Blue Devils thirty-five minutes to play with intensity and urgency is a question for another time.

At half time, a classmate of Johnny Tar Heel called him to say: “OMG, the Heels are  up by nine. Duke has us where they want us.” Nevertheless, with a 13 point advantage and 5:40 remaining, some more optimistic North Carolina fans headed to the exits. That reminded me of what a Kansas City linebacker said to a celebrating San Francisco opponent when the 49ers went up 10 points with seven minutes to play in the Super Bowl: “You suckers are celebrating too soon ‘cause your asses are going home losers just like those other guys (Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans) did the last two games.” Candidly, I had a lot less confidence as I was well into my favorite bottle of Pinot Noir, not at all confident that the Blue Devils were going to  give us a miracle comeback for the ages. With Vernon Carey unavailable with five fouls and Hurt having a disappointing game, Krzyzewski switched to hybrid lineup of Jones, Goldwire, Moore, O’Connell,  Baker, and a variety of semi-pressing defenses. These changes  led to Tar Heel turnovers and triples by Alex O’Connell (2) and Joey Baker and a comeback that will forever be remembered along Tobacco Road. The invigorated Duke momentum, along with missed free throws by Carolina, gave Duke the opportunity to cut the lead  to 81-79 with :40 seconds remaining. Then, Tre Jones did a pretty good Patrick Mahomes impression. Trailing by three with four seconds left in regulation, Jones went to the free throw line. He made the first, then with two hands powered the second shot off the right front of the rim. The ball ricocheted way out to right of the key where Goldwire caught it and quickly handed it to Tre, who dribbled through several defenders, nearly losing control of the ball, to get a contested mid-range jumper off with less than half a second on the clock. The ball swished, forcing overtime.

A steal and five quick points by Jones gave Duke their largest lead of the game but Carolina powered back as the Blue Devils appeared out manned and out of gas as they trailed by five with :20 seconds remaining in the overtime. However, the Devils had a few fumes left in the tank. Jones converted a lay-up. After losing the ball out of bounds, Moore would score on the ensuing possession to cut the deficit to one. The Tar Heels botched the inbounds pass  that offered an opportunity for the Blue Devils to go for the win with 10 seconds left on the clock. Jones drove and was fouled. He made the first to tie the game. However, he missed the second, but Moore tipped it to Jones beyond the foul line. Tre dribbled through traffic for a jump shot. His shot from inside the top of the foul line was off left but, as luck or the basketball gods would have it,  turned out to be a perfect pass. Wendell  Moore, who grew up in Charlotte watching the Duke-Carolina games, was crashing to the basket and right there for an all-in-one-motion catch and put back as he tumbled to the floor without seeing if the ball went in for the game-winner just as  time expired!

Duke trailed for forty-two minutes of the forty-five minute game. But to their credit, after the collapse in regulation and quickly falling behind in overtime, Carolina fought back with an 11-1 run putting them up 96-91 and took apparent control with only :20 seconds left. Of course, the Tar Heel missing 17 free throws during the game was what really kept the game from being virtually unlosable. Nevertheless, be warned: With Cole Anthony back on the floor, this this is a very different North Carolina team. He is dangerous enough by himself but he also is talented and unselfish enough to make  everyone more confident, more productive and Carolina will be more like Carolina for the rest of the year.

Quotes of the evening: “With Duke being my dream school since I can remember, I’m always watching these rivalry games,” Jones said. “Seeing Austin Rivers hit a shot here when I was at one of my basketball tournaments, going crazy, watching my brother do what he did against Carolina. I just wanted to put my name in the game like that. And I feel like I might have done that tonight.”

Preparation:  How did he miss that free throw to himself? “I’d actually practiced just this situation with Duke associate head coach Jon Scheyer. We’d talked about how to miss the free throw and create a long carom so the shooter could run to his right and secure it.”

Alan Adds:

 There is something special when a ballyhooed event lives up to the hype. Past Duke-Carolina games were on all the sports channels as the hucksters intoned that “it doesn’t matter what the records are going into the game, Duke-Carolina always delivers”.  Boy, did it ever!   As Ole Roy said in his press conference, “if you didn’t care who won, it was a great game to watch.  Unfortunately, I did care who won, so it wasn’t such a great game for me.”

It was one of the most miraculous Duke wins ever.  Down ten with a little over a minute to play (having never led in the game), Duke tied it when the Carolina lead was three.  Ole Roy had taken the blame when Carolina had led by three in an earlier game and he did not direct his team to foul.  This time The Heels did to prevent a tying 3 point attempt by fouling Tre with 6 seconds left.  Tre made the first free throw, and then fired a line drive at the rim, which bounced out almost to half court as Bill described above.  Tre tracked it down, beat two Carolina players, one of whom actually deflected the ball but not enough, to launch a buzzer beater to tie the score.  In the post-game interview, he was asked if he was lucky to have retrieved the carom.  Tre said, “Actually, I’ve been working with Coach Scheyer on that play.  He moved me over to the right a step or two.  I got pretty good at hitting the rim and the ball would  come off to the same place almost every time.”

Before we examine the overtime, let’s look at the second half.  Duke scored 49 second half points without any contributions from any of the 4 big guys.  Hurt and White did not score in their two minute second half cameos.  Carey was 0-5 in his eleven minutes while committing four second half fouls, fouling out with 4:16 left in the game and Duke trailing by 13.  DeLaurier scored 2 points in eight minutes.  Coach K’s genius: Duke went to a zone with Cassius as the center and Moore as the other big.  At his press conference, Coach K played down his genius, “there wasn’t anything else I could do and I had to do something.”

When Platek turned it over and then fouled Cassius, who hit both free throws with 3:55 to go.  When Brooks missed two free throws, Moore rebounded, passed to Tre, who found Joey Baker for a wide open three. Duke down eight with 3:35 left.  UNC scored again to take its last double digit lead with 2:18 left (79-69).  Moore made 1-2 from the line; Duke down nine with 2:06 remaining.  Alex grabbed a defensive board, fed Tre who sent it back to him for an open three.  Duke down (79-73) with 1:46 left.  Anthony pushed it to 80-73, making 1 of 2 from the line.  1:06 left.  Cassius hit a jumper right away (80-75) with 1:03 left. When Platek missed both free throws, Cassius rebounded and fed Tre for a hoop. 80-77 with :48 seconds left.  Black went 1-2 after being fouled to make it a two possession game with 48 seconds left.  Critically, Tre drew the 4th personal on Anthony and made both free throws – 81-79 with :40 seconds left.  Cole made a pair to create a two possession lead for Carolina with :21 seconds remaining.  Tre responded with a jumper to bring Duke within 2 with only 15 seconds in the game.  Cole backed off on defense to avoid committing his fifth foul.  Platek again made 1-2 to give UNC a three point lead with :06 seconds left, setting the stage for Tre’s miraculous game tying basket that sent the game into overtime.

Duke outscored UNC 14-12 in the overtime.  Tre (9) and Moore (5) scored all of Duke’s 14 overtime points.  After Tre scored the first 6 in overtime (2-2 from the field and 2-2 from the line), he missed his next 3 shots and only went 1-3 from the line.  Cassius fouled out with 2:13 to go in the overtime.  Duke finished with Moore as the big man, Joey Baker and Alex as the wings and JGold and Superman (aka Tre) in the backcourt.  UNC stormed back with 11 points to lead by five, 96-91 with only 20 seconds left.  Tre made a magnificent basket at the rim and drew the foul; however, he missed the free throw (96-93) with :16 seconds to go.  Duke somehow got the rebound and Moore scored quickly to make it 96-95 with :12 seconds to go.  Then came the game’s most crucial play.  With 10 seconds left, Duke tipped the ball free and both Moore and Brooks went for it.  The refs gave it to Duke while Bilas complained that the refs had missed an obvious foul call on Moore.  Still Duke ball when Tre was fouled with :06 seconds remaining.  He made the first.  When he missed the second, Moore somehow tapped the ball out to Goldwire, who handed it to Jones, whose miss, Moore converted for the scintillating win.

The second half and overtime belonged to Tre (22 points; 9 in the overtime), Cassius (15 points in the second half) and Moore (13 points; 8 in the second half).  This was Tre’s best game at Duke (so far).  Coach K said Tre was “magnificent”, “he reached another level tonight”, “his will and passion permeated through the team”, and “he was such a leader at the time outs, telling his team that Duke was going to win”.  In the post-game interview, Tre was asked how he was able to take over the game the way he did.  His answer gave a shout out to his brother, by saying he channeled “Tyus Stones” (referring to the nickname Tyus had earned with his clutch shooting when the game was on the line as Tyus led Duke to the National Championship in 2015).  Tre said it was just little brother emulating big brother.  It was a great interview.

Coach K said Duke looked as if it had run out of gas at the end of the overtime, but then somehow got a great shot of adrenalin to complete the amazing comeback.  I was at the Millrose track meet yesterday afternoon and had the opportunity to chat with Billy Mills (Native American who won the 1964 Olympic 10,000 in Tokyo – Bud Palmer’s famous race call when Mills came from 8 spots down in the last 100 meters to win, “Look at Mills!  Look at Mills!”)  Worth looking at that finish on You Tube.  Mills actually told what those last hundred meters felt like to him as he raced into immortality (“I was being pushed from behind and someone was dragging my jersey forward from the front.  I just rolled.”).  I think Duke experienced something like that in this game.  What a game!

Next Play:  Can you believe Duke will play a most crucial game tomorrow night against Florida State in Cameron (ESPN) at 7 pm?  I don’t know how I can get up for another game so quickly, let alone the ten Duke players who gave everything on Saturday night.

DUKE 70 – FLORIDA STATE 60 

After the game, Johnny Tar Heel told me: “These last two games demonstrated what I have long believed but as a Carolina fan, never admitted publicly. Behind or ahead, better players or not, in the last five minutes Coach K wins an incredibly high percentage games. Somehow, over the years he has been able to convince his players that they will win, so they are not afraid to lose. It’s become a Duke Basketball mystique, because opponents know the history– their teams have been on television more than “Law and Order” reruns.”

If I told you Vernon Carey would only score 10 points, that Goldwire would be Duke’s high scorer with 13 points, and that they would commit 21 turnovers, how much would you have bet that the Blue Devils won? Well, they did with savvy substitutions and contributions by nine players starting with toughness by, of all people, Matthew Hurt, who may be getting what Duke basketball is all about having lost his starting job due to weak performances (“People call me a shooter, a scorer, but I want to be more than that. I want the dirty plays, the dirty work, the rebounds, the deflections, all of that. I’m just trying to make winning plays.”) , Alex O’Connell (“I like to come in, bring energy, and hit big-time shots. If I can be out there in a situation like out there and the coach trusts me, then that just makes us a better team.) with the second straight game of critical shots, and Javin DeLaurier’s athleticism, energy, and free throws.

Strangely enough, Duke started fast going up ten, and led—barely– 81 percent of the game. Florida State led for only 7 percent, and it was tied for the remaining 12 percent. The halftime message was “we can be tired tomorrow. We’ve got to grind it out tonight.” And grind it out they did, holding Florida State to eight points in that decisive final 7:32, rebounding physically aggressively against the deepest and most athletic team in the ACC– and hitting all their free throws. 

Coach Mike Krzyzewski explains it best: “This has been an incredible 48 hours for our team. I have really good kids. We beat a heck of a team tonight after beating a heck of a team in an epic game 48 hours before. I don’t know where they got the energy the whole game to do this, but they did– they listened, they fought. We really played good defense. The Seminoles will tire you out because they play such good defense and they have depth, but at the end of the first half, you could tell we were tired, rightfully so.

In the second half, we were kind of holding our own, but when they went ahead 52-50, instead of waiting for the eight minute [timeout], we were ready to get knocked out and so we called a timeout, Alex (O’Connell) came in and he gave us five quick points, and that last 8:29 we were terrific. We were not tired but we talked, we made plays.  Javin (DeLaurier) was spectacular, Matt Hurt, obviously the rebound and the free throws and then inbounding the ball, no mistakes. Wendell (Moore), who, I don’t think any of you in the audience have had a winning shot in front of 21,000 people against your archrival, but if you’re 18, how you handle that can be pretty tough, and he had a game like a kid 18 until the second half, and then that play he made in the full court just was spectacular.

Switching (Jordan) Goldwire to (Trent) Forrest was a key because Forrest is a big-time player. They have big-time, but this kid, he’s a pro-guard, he can defend and get by you and he’s a veteran. He and Tre (Jones) were going back and forth and that’s wearing Tre out, We needed him on offense and so the switch to put Goldwire on him helped. We did that with Cole Anthony in the last part of the game in Chapel Hill and that helped us there, so having those two guys being able to have each other’s backs is big, but they forced a lot of turnovers. I thought we weren’t as strong as we needed to be, but overall we were pretty damn strong.” On the play from Tre Jones to Wendell Moore Jr. to Matt Hurt: “Those are like making plays that you don’t diagram. A real player doesn’t run plays, a real player makes plays. You run plays for people who aren’t players. That doesn’t mean you don’t run them for players too, but players make plays, and our guys are making plays, they’re making really good plays.”

On Javin DeLaurier’s contributions off the bench: “ Javin was terrific. His two-handed rebounds, blocked shots, free throws, and he’s been playing well, but you know, we could hardly do anything yesterday at practice with most of the guys, so we did with a couple of the guys who didn’t play as much really intense individual work, and I stay and I watch all of that stuff and Javin had an amazing workout. I brought him over after and said ‘Man, you’re going to a whole other level. In our game, we have a thing called trust your work and in other words, if you’re working hard and whatever, when you get out there, trust it and he worked really hard and he trusted it.

We needed a full day off. This is a nine-day period with three road games and this game, and our kids won all four of them. It’s a lot of travel, a lot of stuff. They’re really developing into a good team. I really love these guys, because it’s different guys. We don’t have a starting lineup, we have a team. Sometimes when you have a starting lineup you put a ceiling on the other guys in ego, in opportunity, in all that, and it hasn’t happened here with this group.”

It is obvious Coach K really likes and admires this team but thinks perhaps the Cameron Crazies may be spoiled and not appreciative enough of what they are seeing: “The fans] weren’t bad. But you’ve got to be even more hungry, even more appreciative. Not for me. . . But these kids. For many, it’s their first year playing at Duke. And they’re young and they just fought like crazy and they should have gotten a standing ovation. We’ve been spoiled to watch Zion and Bagley and Tatum but that’s not what this team is. . . . Don’t get on the ride at the end. Be on the ride the whole way.”

In the series, Duke leads Florida State 41-10, including 22-2 in games at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

Alan adds:

The term “gut check” applied to a crucial game is such a sports cliché.  Yet it was the perfect description of Duke’s game last night against Florida State at Cameron.  In 9 days, the Blue Devils won 3 ACC road games, including the indescribable emotional effort 48 hour earlier against a gallant Carolina team, and then had to face the 8th ranked team in the nation for sole possession of 2nd place in the regular ACC race.  We were all exhausted from just watching the Saturday night game against the ‘Heels; you can only imagine how mentally, emotionally and physically exhausted Tre and the team were from that game.  That exhaustion (and a terrific Seminole defense) contributed to Duke’s 21 turnovers in the game (16 were Florida State steals) and the 17 fouls the Devils committed as well as the 17 offensive rebounds the Seminoles grabbed (Duke had only 19 defensive rebounds by comparison).  That Duke overcame that exhaustion to produce an oh-so satisfying win had Coach K gushing about his team as Bill described.

“I got good guys; good kids”.  “We don’t have a starting lineup; we have a team.”  I will go through the last minutes in depth (it’s even exciting to write about), but first to emphasize what Coach K meant by that pithy statement, “we have a team”.  Duke’s last 8 points, which won the game, were about the team – a tough layup by Goldwire, 2-2 from the line for Javin, and 4 crucial and winning foul shots by Matt Hurt.  Alex’s 5 straight points after the key timeout were what launched Duke on the path to the very tough win.

Javin was on the court for 12 second half minutes compared to Carey’s 7 minutes.  Each had 4 second half boards.  Carey had 4 second half points in his short appearance (1-2 from the field and 2-3 from the line).  Duke played 8 in the second half (+ a 3-minute cameo for Baker, who missed 2 shots in a row in that brief appearance, he also grabbing a rebound while turning it over and committing a foul).  JGold led the second half scoring with 8 efficient points on only 3 shots (2-2 from behind the arc to go with his crucial layup) in 11 second half minutes.  Alex scored 5 points (2 shots in a row; one from deep) in 7 minutes.  Add the clutch free throws from Javin (2 points in 12 terrific minutes) and Hurt (4 points in 9 minutes and his amazing rebound with 13 seconds left) and you see the corroboration of Coach K’s love of his old fashion team.  He was not relying on his high scoring starters — Tre, 7 second half points on 11 shots, Cassius 3 points and Carey 4 for 14 second half points; he was relying on his “old fashioned” team – 19 second half points from JGold, Alex, Matt and Javin.  23 if you add Wendell’s 4 crucial late game points.

I want to focus on Duke’s defense for the entire game and Duke’s winning drive in the last 8:31 of the second half.  Afterall, Duke held the high scoring Seminoles to 65 points.  Last Saturday Florida State scored 99 against Miami.  Coach K said the scouting report did not identify opposing players; rather Duke identified Florida State’s shooters and defended them closely on the perimeter; the drivers (backed off a bit) and the bigs.  The Seminoles shot badly (38% for the game; 3-18 from deep, and an inexplicable 12-20 from the free throw line for the ACC’s leading foul shooting team (season 80%).  Duke defended passionately and well.  It won the game.

Coach K said the key defensive move he made was to switch Goldwire on to Forrest.  Tre was exhausted and Forrest was dominant against him in the first half.  As Bill points out, Coach K had made the same switch against Carolina, switching JGold on to Cole Anthony.  It worked both times.  While Forrest led the Seminoles with 18 points, he was held to 2-8 in the second half (6 second half points).  Javin was intense and effective against the Seminole bigs, especially in the closing stanza.  Coach K said that in practice on Sunday, Javin was playing at a whole new level.  He did that in the game on Monday.

After Coach K’s timeout with 8:31 to go and Alex’s 5 straight points to jump start the Devils again, the teams traded scores.  Carey tied the game at 59 with 7:16 left when he was fouled on a successful layup, and then gave Duke a 1-point lead that the Devils would never relinquish when he made the foul shot.  Tre made 1-2 from the line for a 59-57 lead with 6:48 to go.  For the next 2 and ½ minutes, neither team was able to score.  The Seminoles had misses from Vessel (leading scorer on the year), 2 from Williams as well as a miss and a turnover from Gray.  Duke gave up 2 steals (one swiped from Alex and one from Wendell) while Tre missed twice and Cassius once from deep.  With 4:12 left, the Devils demonstrated what Coach K instills – peak performance at “winning time”.   Tre got a key rebound and found Moore for a fabulous bucket (61-57).  After the Seminoles scored (61-59), Carey grabbed an offensive rebound (Tre’s miss) and was fouled.  He made 1-2.  62-59 with 3:15 left.  The Seminoles scored again on Vessel’s jumper – 62-61 with 2:46 left.  Goldwire hit a crucial and difficult shot by the rim. 64-61 with 2:15 left.

Then came what I think was a key play in the game.  Tre fouled the Florida State 7-footer, freshman Balsa Koprivica, who missed the front end of a 1 and 1 with 1:57 to go.  Then both teams went cold for a minute.  Forrest had his pocket picked by Carey, who promptly turned it back over.  Javin replaced him with 1:18 left.  Florida State had two looks (contested hotly by DeLaurier ) and missed both.  Javin finally got the second rebound and was fouled with 56 seconds left.  A pair of swishes.  Javin on the foul line at crunch time!  One of the reasons watching a player grow in 4 years is so satisfying for us as fans.

Florida State scored over Javin on a dunk to bring it to 66-63 with 49 seconds left.  Coach K then substituted Hurt for Javin.  How did he know to do that? In the last minute, both Carey and Javin were on the bench. Tre missed a jumper with 18 seconds left; Moore made a spectacular attempt at a 3 with the shot clock almost off, which missed.  And who grabbed the game winning rebound?  Matt Hurt, of course.  How did Coach K know to make that substitution?  Hurt, naturally, went 4-4 from the line in the last 13 seconds to ice the oh-so-satisfying win for the Blue Devils.

Next Play: The Devils get a much needed week off before meeting The Fighting Irish in Cameron next Saturday (2-15) at 4pm on ESPN.

DUKE 94 – NOTRE DAME 60 

This is the time of the college basketball season that usually separates the pretenders from the contenders as some teams hit the wall and others get a second wind. Duke has impressively powered through the most difficult part of their schedule with eight straight wins –three on the road—while Louisville and Florida State have suddenly stumbled badly, leaving the Blue Devils in sole possession of first place in the ACC. (Clemson is an anomaly. They can beat anyone or lose to anyone in the same week.) If Duke is good enough and lucky enough, they will  run the table in the six remaining regular season games and be guaranteed a high second or number one seed in the NCAA Tournament. If today’s blowout against a mediocre Notre Dame team is any indication, they are in well positioned to do just that.

Despite Cassius Stanley being unavailable due to a mysterious eye injury, Carey and Jones were dominant (what else is new)  in the first half as the Blue Devils went up ten points. Duke started the second half playing well, when one of the most memorable moments in Cameron history occurred. Suddenly, a timeout was called and Elvis, er Zion, fresh from bending a rim and shattering a backboard in the NBA Rising Stars game Friday night in Chicago suddenly appeared on the Jumbotron ambling toward the Duke bench. The  Crazies responded like a crowd at a Linda Ronstadt concert in the 70’’,  cheering and chanting, “Zion, sit with us”  like adoring rock fans, causing the larger than life 19-year-old icon to bury his head in his arms in embarrassment.

Once Zion got seated behind the bench, there appeared to be a lid on the Irish basket (they couldn’t even complete dunks) and the Blue Devils suddenly started playing their best basketball of the year as  O’Connell and Baker started shooting like JJ Redick–the game became a runaway highlight film. Carey had 21 points in 23 minutes. Jones 19 points, 7 rebounds, 6 assists and a steal in 33 minutes. The Blue Devils defense forced 14 turnovers, while committing only 9 and  hit 10 threes. The Irish were 5 of 20.

However, more importantly most of the supporting players played like starters: Goldwire, the former defensive specialist, has blossomed into a very efficient offensive player to the point opponents cannot slough off him to double Tre, Carey or Stanley. Hurt is rebounding and generally playing more aggressively. O’Connell is showing more than occasional glimpses of  is athletic playmaking abilities. Joey Baker is shooting more and more consistently. DeLaurier has become a defensive enforcer. Moore is adding consistency to his “Oh, My” winning plays. Unfortunately, Jack White, who is a defensive stopper, has totally lost his shooting touch.

Krzyzewski said: “I just saw [Zion] smiling behind the bench with Quinn [Cook],”. “Two of the great smiles in the history of Duke basketball, those two guys. It says a lot that they come back. For Zion—he played last night. I love the fact that they want to maintain their relationship with this great university. And that’s one of the reasons they came here. Not just to play, but to be a part of it.”

Other Comments:

    • Also in the house: Gene Banks, who was Zion before Zion, LA Lakers Quinn Cooke, Danny Ferry,  Tyus Jones and the Jones Boys mother.
    • Duke is now 29-6 against Notre Dame.
    • The only downer was that Dick Vitale, who has done so much to promote college basketball, was one of the announcers. He just has become a parody of himself and keeps repeating the same old homilies. It is both sad and annoying.

Alan Adds:

Jim Summer’s article on the game said it best, “Duke followed up a solid first half with a stunning second half, combining a suffocating defense and a barrage of 3-pointers to go from “in control”  to “are-you-kidding me”!  The “stunning” second half is worth looking at closely.  However, Duke’s first half set the stage for the “stunning” closing stanza.  Duke’s defensive game plan was to pressure the perimeter and stop Notre Dame’s effective 3 point shooting.  Notre Dame was leading the ACC in fewest turnovers per game (9) and mounting much of its offense from the bonusphere.   The defense – primarily Tre, who played all 20 minutes and JGold who logged 19 – destroyed the Fighting Irish perimeter game.  Duke forced 9 first half Irish turnovers (JGold had 2 steals and Tre 1) and held the Irish to 1-10 from behind the arc.  But, on offense only 4 Duke players scored.  Carey was formidable with 16 first half points in 14 minutes (6-7; 1-1 from deep; and 3-4 from the line) to go with 2 rebounds, an assist, a block and a steal (no turnovers and only committed 1 foul).  Carey was asked how he was able to get free so often; he replied, “they overplayed me to my left; so, I went to my right.”  The dynamic backcourt of Tre and JGold scored 20.  JGold was perfect from the field (3-3; 1-1 from 3land) for 7 points, while Tre had 13 on 6-9 from the floor including 1-1 from deep.  Matt Hurt rounded out the Duke scoring by going 3-7 for 6 points in his 16 minutes.  He added 3 assists, 2 boards and a steal.  However, neither Alex (10 minutes; 0-2), Moore (9 minutes; 0-3); DeLaurier (6 minutes; 0 shots; 2 fouls), White (4 minutes; 0-2 while committing a foul), nor Baker (2 minutes, 0 stats) scored a point.   At the half, Coach K tried to fire up the bench, that scoring was needed from them.  He was told by the players, “don’t worry, Coach, we got you.  We’ll do it.”  And do it they did in the second half.

The Blue Devils outscored the Irish 52-28 in the closing stanza.  The defense was dominant, holding the Irish to 26% from the field; 5-23 inside the arc.  The bench flourished scoring 27 second half points (31 if you count the baskets that Justin Robinson and Mike Buckmire scored at the end).  Duke had built a lead of 14 with a minute to go in the first half (Mooney scored the last 4 of the half to cut the lead to 10).  For the early part of the first half, the lead swung between as much as 15 and as few as 9.  With 13:13 left in the game, Duke led by 15, 56-41; “in control”.  Four minutes later, Duke led by 31; “are you kidding me”!   Baker had 8 points (2-2 from deep) on 3 shots in a minute and 50 seconds; Alex had 6 points (2-2 from deep) in 2 minutes to go with 2 boards, a block and a steal during  the run.  Javin even made a 3 pointer (1-2 from deep; he tried a heat check after he made the first) while scoring 7 in 11 minutes.  He and Alex kept pouring it on to increase Duke’s lead to a high of 35.  It was some half!

Alex was truly amazing.  He led Duke in second half scoring with 12 points in 12 minutes.  He was 5-10 from the field (2-5 from deep) to go with 3 rebounds, 3 steals, 2 assists and a block.  He clearly wants to earn more playing time.  Baker played 12 minutes (scoring those quick 8 and playing a good floor game); DeLaurier 11 with 2 boards; and White 5 (0 points, but 2 boards), allowing the starters to play fewer minutes.  Tre scored 6 in 13 minutes; Goldwire, 2 in 11 minutes; Carey, 5 in 9 minutes; and Moore, 2 in 8 minutes.  A word about Mathew Hurt’s second half.  He scored 6 in 12 minutes (2-2 from deep), but was particularly impressive as rebounder, grabbing 7 in the second half.  He guarded Mooney, the Irish 6’ 10” double-double machine.  Mooney missed his double double by a rebound, but Hurt held even – they both grabbed 9.  Hurt said the rebound he got to save the Florida State game inspired him to know he could be a rebounding force.  That has the potential to be a huge leap forward for him.

It was a bravura performance, but should not lead to thoughts of Duke “running the table” and gaining a high seed in the NCAA tournament.  There are still 6 conference games left, 3 of them on the road.  None will be easy.  There is no such thing as an easy ACC road game as Louisville found out this weekend.  The Cardinals were leading the ACC when they went on the road to face to teams that were below .500 in the conference.  Louisville fell to Georgia Tech on Saturday and to Clemson (as Duke did) in Littlejohn last night.  3 out of Duke’s next 4 are on the road: NC State, Wake, and a Saturday night match up with the defending National Champions, who seemed to have finally found their magic, in Charlottesville.  UNC has had a dismal season; the possibility of a win at Cameron on Duke senior night will surely fuel the ‘heels to a maximum effort.  Looking ahead is what produces the dreaded “trap game”.

Next Play: NC State in Raleigh on Wednesday night at 9 pm on ESPN2

DUKE 66 – NORTH CAROLINA STATE 88 

It is difficult to decide who had the worst night: Mayor Bloomberg or the Duke basketball team. Both were figuratively literally stopped and frisked or mugged (take your pick) and left looking confused, overwhelmed and embarrassed. Duke played like pretenders not contenders against a talented but inconsistent Wolfpack team that just lost to a mediocre  Boston College. State not only outplayed, out muscled, and out hustled Duke with more determination and energy, they also had one of those nights where everything seemed to go their way– loose balls bounced  to them and even made and a half-court shot at halftime that banged off the backboard and went in, just after Duke had cut the lead 12 points. While Duke has been on a roll, winning seven straight games, they should have been able to get up for a talented team playing at the PNC Arena where the  Blue Devils have lost five of its last seven games (including a 2014 first round NCAA tournament loss to Mercer).

Once disconcerting constant is the tendency of this team to start sluggishly and fall behind early. This can be overcome at home in Cameron. However, as we saw tonight and at Clemson and (almost) at Carolina, playing on the road with a raucous crowd can a recipe for disaster for an inexperienced team not playing efficiently for forty minutes.

Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski said :“That’s our worst game, but they made us look bad.” “They were just at a different level of competitiveness than we were tonight. Not even taking us out of the game, because in order for them to take us out of the game we would’ve had to be in and we weren’t ever in the game. It wasn’t like we were hunkering down or anything, we were just never there and that’s on all of us. I’ve been doing this a long time and this happens to good teams.” Hopefully we’ll be more competitive Saturday and in the rest of our games, but tonight we weren’t.”

The blunt truth is that other than Carey and Jones, no other Blue Devil was of much help and, consequently, Duke blew an opportunity to win and position themselves in the enviable position of separating themselves from a field of pretty good but not great teams. All explanations and rationalizations aside, these two teams meet again on Monday, March 2 at Cameron and we will see whether or not this game was an anomaly or whether the Blue Devils have been more lucky than good. 

Alan Adds:

The most efficient motivator in sports – certainly college basketball at this time of the year – is desperation.  NC State was desperate, sitting on the wrong side of the NCAA bubble, and needing (NEEDING) the win over Duke at home.  Coach K: “Winning is a malady; it’s the best malady, but it is a human nature malady.”  Tonight, our team felt like it didn’t need the win.   We’re not that good; we’re good, but we’ve accomplished really good. Tonight, [our] winning [22-3] was “a horrible sickness”.

Duke second half against Notre Dame last Saturday led Bill to write about “running the table” for the last 6 games leading up to the ACC tournament and Duke’s bid for a #1 NCAA seed.  I poked back at him at the end of the Notre Dame Alan Adds when I wrote:

“It was a bravura performance but should not lead to thoughts of Duke ‘running the table’ and gaining a high seed in the NCAA tournament.  There are still 6 conference games left, 3 of them on the road.  None will be easy.  There is no such thing as an easy ACC road game as Louisville found out this weekend.  The Cardinals were leading the ACC when they went on the road to face to teams that were below .500 in the conference.  Louisville fell to Georgia Tech on Saturday and to Clemson (as Duke did) in Littlejohn last night. Three out of Duke’s next four are on the road: NC State, Wake, and a Saturday night match up with the defending National Champions, who seemed to have finally found their magic, in Charlottesville.  UNC has had a dismal season; the possibility of a win at Cameron on Duke senior night will surely fuel the ‘heels to a maximum effort.  Looking ahead is what produces the dreaded “trap game”.

Bill responded as the Duke players demonstrated they felt:

“While Alan sees “Trap Games” in his sleep and despite the fact that all away games can be difficult, aside from three teams, this year the ACC is a weak conference.  If Duke is good enough and lucky enough, the opportunity is there for them to run the table in the six remaining regular season games and be guaranteed a high second or number one seed in the NCAA Tournament.”

In Jim Carroll’s “Basketball Diaries”, this New York high school star in the 1970s (he wrote music with Patty Smith, some other literature, and was an addict) played on a wonderful team.  They would go to Central Park before the games to score “uppers” and “downers” to take the uppers before the game and the downers after.  One game they got them mixed up.  Carroll described how the players were anchored to the floor and moved in slow motion.  It was a disaster (comic in the book).  Duke played last night as if they had gone to Central Park and swallowed the wrong pre-game drug, as Carroll described.  “Not in sync” was my assessment when Bill and I talked during the game.  It was understatement.  Duke was behind by double digits for the entire second half where the Wolfpack lead reached 27 with just under 2 minutes to go.  That does qualify as a nightmare game.

It was a hard game to watch and is an even harder game to write about.  Only Vernon Carey came to play (27 points in 30 minutes; to go with 12 rebounds and 3 blocks).  He was 10-20 from the field (0-2 from deep and 7-12 from the line).  In 35 minutes, Tre scored 17 on an inefficient 18 shots from the field (6-18; 2-5 from deep and 3-5 from the foul line to go with 7 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 steals and 2 turnovers.  The contributions fell off after that.  Jordan Goldwire took the third most goal attempts was (3-9; 1-4 from deep) for 7 points in 31 minutes.  Duke got virtually no other offense.  Moore (4 points in 29 minutes), Stanley (4 points in 23 minutes), Hurt (1-2 from deep for 3 points in 9 foul-plagued minutes) Alex (2 points in 20 minutes) and Javin (2 points in 11 minutes) was all that the rest of the Duke team scored.  Baker (8 minutes) and White (4 minutes) failed to score.  Nightmare stuff.

Duke shot under 50% from the foul line (10-22) and poorly from behind the arc (4-17; 1-7 in the first half) and under 38% from the field.  The defense gave up 44 points in each half.  The Wolfpack shot 62% from deep (8-13) and 90% from the foul line in the second half (16-21 for the game).  Obviously, it was Duke’s worst game of the year on both ends of the court.

Next Play:  I predict Duke will play as if the Blue Devils “need to win” Saturday night against Virginia Tech at Cameron (8 pm on ESPN2).  Duke can still win either or both post-season tournaments (Duke won 2 national titles after being badly beaten in Raleigh during the regular season).  Let’s hope this nightmare is a needed “wake up call”.

DUKE 88 – VIRGINIA TECH 64 

If you follow Duke basketball, you knew that tonight’s game probably was over before it started—and if you didn’t, it was obvious after the first few minutes.  For whatever reason, Coach K’s Duke teams rarely lose two games in a row. And coming off a surprisingly listless 22 point loss, where they were thoroughly out played, Coach K replaced Matthew Hurt with the more athletic Wendell Moore and, I’m sure, had more than a few choice words about effort and enthusiasm.  At home against a young, undersized, struggling three point shooting team, the Blue Devils, atypically, started fast and never looked back.

The key to this team are the 3-10 players, because in Tre Jones and Vernon Carey, you have not only two of the best but also most reliable players in the country. However, from game to game, it is any one’s guess whom that might be—or might not be. Against N.C. State, Cassius Stanley and Matthew Hurt were missing in action. Tonight, Cassius played like his namesake Muhammad Ali (formerly Cassius Clay) and “floated like a butterfly, sting like a bee”. And Hurt, off the bench, responded with one of his most confidently aggressive, best all-around games of the season with 16 points, 10 rebounds, 1 steal, 2 blocks, and solid defense. At halftime, the Blue Devils led 51-25. Stanley had hit four 3’s and had 16 points. After going 4-for-17 on 3’s in the 88-66 loss to the Wolfpack, Duke was 8 of 15 in the opening half and 10-22 on two-point shots.

Such inconsistency might seem inexplicable until you remember these are young freshmen and that Coach K’s first great recruiting class—Dawkins, Alarie, Bilas, Henderson, etc.–. didn’t figure it all out and start  winning until their junior year. With the one-and-done drop-in athlete-student, the whole maturation process has accelerated to warp speed—some get it, others don’t, see ya– so it is imperative that every game is a learning experience and the time between games is a teachable moment.

Coach K: “It’s not a matter of busting their chops. It’s a matter of being honest with them. So, this is who we are. We are going to go on the court now, we’re not going to do animal drills or crazy-ass things. What they’re going to be are things we need to improve on. We had a really, hard good practice. . . . We talked about attitude and belief. Whenever there’s adversity the single biggest gift that God has given to you is attitude. Only you can control your attitude.”

As former NFL Coach Bill Parcells famously said: “You are what your record says you are” and this team is  23-4, 13-3 in the ACC, in a three-way tie in the loss column with Louisville and Florida State, who play each other Monday night. Last night #3 Kansas beat #1 Baylor, BYU beat #2 Gonzaga, and UNLV beat #4San Diego State. Duke beat Kansas at he beginning of the season and lost to a talented but unranked North Carolina State that lost to #6 Florida State last night. What does that tell you? This year there are no great teams, just a lot of good ones. Any one of the top thirty teams can beat anyone else once,  but winning six games in a row, as Virginia demonstrated last year, takes talent plus luck.

Miscellaneous:

Coach K on his 1000th win as a ranked team: “It’s hard to believe. I think I’ve coached over 1,300 games here, and almost 90% of them have been as a ranked team and to have 1,000 wins as a ranked team is kind of mind-boggling. We have crazy numbers. A few weeks ago we had our 500th win against ACC competition, and for me, because we don’t look back, it’s hard to believe that that’s happened and it’s taken a lot of years and a lot of really good players, but that’s something we’re very proud of, the consistent excellence I guess is what we would call it, hopefully we can continue to pursue that.”

Alan Adds:  

How did Coach K handle the NC State debacle in getting ready for last night’s rout of Virginia Tech?  It is illuminating as to how he produces “consistent excellence”.  It also seemed to me that as he was dispensing his wisdom, he was subtly critiquing ‘Ole Roy’s attitude to this year’s Tarheels (at least I hope so).

The team was angry and Coach K was angry.  But there were no crazy practices, the team wasn’t forced through a workout on the night of the game when returning to Durham, the team wasn’t told they couldn’t wear anything that said Duke, and they were not kicked out of the locker room (all previous Coach K tactics).  The team “took responsibility right away.”  So his response was more intellectual than emotional.

He explained that no game was complete until there was a post-game evaluation (the next day) of individuals and team.  After NC State demolished Duke, Coach K said this team had to not only hear, but also see what they had not done.  We used tape and talk!  “We showed the team on the bench during the game “looking comatose”.  Different assistants discussed differing aspects of the game.  “I wanted them to hear it from more than just me and to see it.”  We were just honest – we showed them what they had to learn.  Then we had a good hard practice (Thursday) working on things to improve on.”

“We couldn’t do that on Friday because it was too close to Saturday’s game. On Friday, we worked on attitude and belief.”  Each person has complete control over his (or her — to make the point these are more than basketball lessons; these are life lessons we can all use) attitude.  That’s a gift of insight.  “We worked on belief – in yourself and in the group.  Finally, we worked on preparation.”  The test for the game is “execution”.  Duke’s defensive game plan and execution were at the highest level.  Duke’s defense against a “5 out” offense was a superb improvement.  Carey and Javin are now competent perimeter defenders so Duke can switch everything.  Last night, the help defense was absolutely breathtaking; every driving Hokie was met with more than one defender.  51-25 at the half is execution at both ends of the court.

Coach K said “we were 1-1 this past week.”  A game like being “knocked out as NC State did to Duke “is an opportunity that makes you better.  We grew as a group this week.”

Coach K acknowledged in this strange season, Duke might get “knocked out again”.  If so, we’ll do the same thing.  I won’t throw my team under the bus, say they are not good, say they are not trying.  [Hear that, ‘Ole Roy?]  We will keep trying to get better for the tournaments.”

The First Half Explosion

While Duke exploded on offense with Cassius leading the way with 16 first half points (4-5 from deep) on 9 shots in 15 minutes.  Carey scored 11 in 15 minutes to go with 7 boards.  He only played 8 minutes in the second half.  Tre led in minutes, playing 17 and scoring 8 (6 in the opening minutes to set the tone for the game).  Mathew Hurt was superb in his 12 minutes, scoring 8 and grabbing 5 boards.  He drove to the basket for 2 lovely layups in traffic and blocked a pair of shots.  It was his defense that I thought was an amazing improvement.  He helped (one of his blocks was of a jump shot being taken by JGold’s man), he got deflections, he dominated the boards.  It was the improvement we all thought possible after his heroics in the Florida State game.

Duke had 10 assists on 18 baskets while committing only 3 fouls (I am not counting the 3 fouls Alex was told to commit at the end of the first half to run the clock on the Hokie’s last possession of the first half).  It was a flawless half of superb hoops.

JRob got a job offer in the press conference.  Coach K extolled his value to the team and hoped he would stay around to coach.  JRob scored 5 and blocked a shot in his 3 minutes.

Next Play: Duke’s last two ACC road games are this week.  Tuesday at Wake Forest (7 pm; ACC Network).  With the Cavaliers of Virginia coming up next Saturday at 6 pm, yes, Bill, Wake Forest is yet another trap game.  Then it will be March with the final two home games: NC State (we hope payback will be a bitch) and senior night against the desperate Tarheels.

First and foremost: Wake Forest on Tuesday.

DUKE 50 – VIRGINIA 52

There are some  inescapable conclusions to be taken from Duke’s three recent losses to unranked teams: Duke’s team is less than the sum of their parts; Virginia is more than the sum of their parts; Tony Bennett sure can coach; a team has to be able to walk (play offense) and chew gum (play defense) at the same time; it is not easy to mold a true college basketball contender with one-and-done players; and finally, I have always thought one of Coach K’s terrific strengths was as a bench coach and his feel for substitutions to change the flow of a game. For all the talk about the depth of this team and a deeper rotation, I think he has struggled to find the right combination at the right time. Perhaps, that is more a case of incomplete skill sets of the 3-10 players. Whatever the case, time is running out in finding the right chemistry. Alan follows with a very insightful analysis if this issue.

You really have to admire Virginia coach Tony Bennett.  He essentially takes the recruiting leftovers and molds them into a unit that plays the equivalent of Ohio State’s former Coach Woody Hayes “three yards and a cloud of dust” basketball—boring but effective difficult to beat. And yet, to their credit, the Blue Devils were ahead (barely) much of the game and in a position (down one point) to win in the last seconds as they got the play it wanted– the ball to Carey down low. He didn’t go strong to the rim, but pump faked, giving the legendary Pack-Line-Defense time to recover, and had the soft finesse shot blocked from behind by Jay Huff, amazingly his tenth assisted by two other Cavaliers. After the Wake loss, someone wrote: “Also a suggestion for Vernon Carey: “Go strong for dunks at the rim and power the ball through the basket or get fouled doing so. Finesse at point blank range doesn’t get the job done against big athletic, centers and forwards” (or the Pack Line Defense). Except for Jones and Carey, every other player was offensively missing  in action as none of them scored more than 6 points.

We, as Duke fans, are spoiled. We are not used to seeing our team lose many close games—certainly not back-to-back. It is interesting to note that the teams beating us are primarily veteran teams, most of whose players are older and physically and mentally more mature  than Duke’s one-and-doners. For instance, despite his physical appearance, Vernon Carey just turned nineteen years old a few days ago Then, there is the Zion exception:

“Zion Williamson’s NBA career is off to a great start. Less than 20 games in, Williamson has already provided fans with a plethora of highlights while displaying the unbelievable athletic ability that led to him being the top pick in the 2019 Draft. He has made some history along the way too. During a stretch of games earlier this month, Williamson became the first rookie since Michael Jordan to record four consecutive games of at least 25 points while shooting at least 57 percent from the field.

The fact that he was the first player to accomplish something since Jordan, a player that he idolized growing up, isn’t lost on Williamson.

“Chico, my name’s next to Michael Jordan?” Williamson said when he first learned of the feat, via ESPN. “I mean, it’s dope. I can’t even lie. One of my favorite players growing up. I said in some interview, my mom told me to study film of him so to be in that category, it means a lot.”

Jordan is already a fan of Williamson, as evidenced by the fact that he signed the explosive rookie to the vaunted Jordan Brand. In fact, Williamson’s five-year agreement with Jordan Brand is the most lucrative rookie shoe deal in NBA history.

“I think his passion for the game is coming through the way that he plays,” Jordan said of Williamson in January. “That’s great for the league… The NBA is very fortunate to have a talented young man who shows a certain passion about the game. That’s something you can’t get. You’re born with it, and you share it with the rest of the world.”

Though Williamson’s four-game streak of 25-plus points on 57 percent from the floor came to an end on Friday night, he set another mark by becoming the first teenager in league history to record 10 straight 20-point games. Williamson’s early success has garnered him a lot of individual attention, and though he is appreciative of it, he is more concerned with the success of his team as a whole.

“I think the world and the media, I think, is more happy for me than myself,” Williamson said. “Honestly, I don’t even think much of it if I’m being honest. I just want to get the win. You know, my stepdad taught me growing up, you know, if the team has success then the individual things will follow. So I guess it’s just one of those things.”

Alan adds:

There was not a single moment from the end of the Wake Forest debacle last Tuesday that I thought Duke would beat UVA in Charlottesville last night.  Not during the first half; nor at any time during the second half including the last couple of minutes where Duke historically makes the winning plays.  It was not (at least not completely) that I thought Duke would again play badly; it was that I thought UVA had morphed into a team that has as good a chance (perhaps the best chance) as any team in the league to make a deep run in  the NCAA Tournament.  The Cavaliers may be the best coached team in the league (and that’s saying something!).  But there were thoughts that Duke could not recover from the Wake Forest disaster (losing a 9 point lead in the last 1:21 of regulation; giving up 113 points – the most ever for a Coack K team).  Hence my Humpty Dumpty/All The King’s Men concern.

In great contrast to the genuinely poor performances against NC State and Wake, Duke played hard, tough and competitively.  Coach K: “I’m proud of our guys; but disappointed we lost.  It was a very good basketball game where each team played well enough to be deserving of winning.”  But, in truth, only Duke’s defense was deserving of winning.   The offense has been regressing instead of “getting better”.  Yes, Duke is second in the nation in scoring, but UVA’s famed “pack line” defense held the Devils in check.  Tre was magnificent and Carey was very good.  But Duke got little from the rest of its supposedly deep team.  Duke seems to me to be regressing because rather than jelling (as should be the norm with talented young players and a Hall of Fame coach) and seems unable to find an identity.   Coach K is struggling to help his team find chemistry and an identity.  The UVA game was a dramatic example that the struggle continues without success … yet.

Coach K put the point (the capitalization is mine): “THE WINGS DIDN’T SCORE; NOR DID OUR 4 MAN!  That’s the level of our inconsistency.  Vernon is a good passer out of the post.  Our guys need to hit shots.”  Last night the supporting players were abysmal on offense.  It cost Duke and prevents building the needed chemistry.

Cassius played 29 minutes scoring only 4 points (1-9 from the field and 2-4 from the line).  Goldwire played 25 minutes, scoring only 2 points (1-3; 0-1 from deep).  Wendell Moore played 20 minutes, scoring only 2 (1-5); Jack White failed to score at all in 14 minutes (0-4).  Mathew Hurt played only 9 minutes and failed to score (0-2; with one horrible 3 point attempt).  Baker was 1-5 for 2 points in only 9 minutes; while Alex was 0-1 in his cameo of 3 minutes.  So those 7 players logged a total of 89 minutes and collectively scored only 10 points.  Duke had only 4 assists (2 by Tre), but turned it over 10 times.  Duke’s carelessness as well as UVA’s defense was responsible.

Javin offered the only real support in his 23 minutes (only 2 fouls), some 9 minutes at the same time as Carey was in the game.  He scored 6 (but only 2 in the second half) and contributed 3 crucial blocks but missed a dramatic dunk for a 5-point swing when UVA hit a second chance 3 off the long rebound.

Carey was heroic but struggled inside against the Pack line that collapsed on him in the post.  He scored early (8 points in 9 minutes on 3-3, including a 3 to go with 1-1 from the line) in the first half, but was again limited in playing time by picking up his second foul with 7:21 left in the first half.  He played the entire second half (19 minutes) fouling out with 3 seconds left in the game.  He had 17 points in 28 minutes (3-8 from the field as the Pack Line closed down on him effectively, though he drew fouls – 3-4 from the line).  Bill thinks he is not going up strong enough, I see it a bit differently.  I credit the Pack Line and the blocks from behind when Carey thought his moves had produced a clear shot.

Tre was simply heroic.  He played all 40 minutes.  He was 3-5 from behind the arc and 2-3 from the foul line with 5 rebounds, 2 assists without a turnover and a steal.  He was, however, only 3-9 from inside the arc.  He was also the heart of Duke’s effective defense.

But the offense was ineffective.  For example, Duke led 18-13 in the first half with 8:37 left in the first half.  Duke did not score again for 5 minutes and 20 seconds.

Duke’s defensive game plan worked superbly.  Coach K wanted to take the ball out of Clark’s hands (he has become a force as point guard – that improvement from early season is one of the chief reasons for UVA’s latest impressive winning streak.  Tre did that.  Duke also wanted to close down UVA’s newly discovered shooting star, Woldetensae.  Duke held him scoreless in his 23 minutes.  But that left Duke vulnerable on the interior and Huff and UVA made the defense pay scoring on layups when Duke switched.  It kept Virginia in the game.

Next Play:  NC State at Cameron on Monday night at 7pm (ESPN).  This is like an NCAA tournament schedule.  Tough game on Saturday (say, Sweet 16) and then another tough game two days later (say, Elite 8).  But you have to win the first game or you don’t get to play two days later.  Coach K says his team needs the experience of being in close games like the UVA struggle to grow.  We’ll see, but there is a Humpty Dumpty-All the King’s Men aspect to Duke’s regression.

DUKE 88 – NORTH CAROLINA STATE 69

 

After another inexplicably inept start where the Blue Devils missed 12 of their first 13 shots and turned the ball over like it was a hot potato, I was going to write: “A Duke team that just ninety days ago beat Kansas, currently the unanimous #1 team in the country, has played these last three games like they don’t deserve an invitation to the NCAA Tournament.” It has been painful to watch such a promising team play so poorly. Last Saturday, I did write something to the effect that one of Coach K’s strengths is that he has been a terrific game day bench coach who has a wonderful, intuitive  feel for the flow of a game and how to maintain and/or change the momentum with a timely timeout or the right substitution, but, for whatever reason, hasn’t been able to find the right combination with this group.

Well, who could have imagined the magic in this move?  Down eight points early and the game looking too much like the blowout in Raleigh ten nights ago, Coach K called all the way to the end of the bench  for Justin Robinson, the often praised but seldom used fifth year blue blood, grad student—and, Holy Jim Boeheim, went to a 2-3 zone. The unlikely pair of J-Rob and G-Wire sparked a comeback that had Duke ahead 38-36 at the half. Robinson had exploded for 8 points, making back-to-back threes and slamming a put-back dunk to inject new life onto the moribund Blue Devils and, perhaps, the season.

Alan texted: “Have never seen a team so undeserving of a halftime lead.”

In the second half, Duke stayed with the zone and the Wolfpack did not adjust well, shooting only 37.5%, scoring just 33 points, and being outrebounded 46-27. The 3-10 players who were missing in action against Virginia (shooting 6-for-34) were on fire the rest of the game, none more than Cassius Stanley who had 18 points and several spectacular dunks that would make Zion Williamson proud.

After the game Justin Robinson said: “Any time I get a chance to play, I want to bring energy. I want to bring leadership and talk. Luckily, I got a couple of shots to fall early, so that helped a lot. We needed a little more energy, especially on defense. And then once our defense picked up, our offense always follows, we get the transition buckets you see, like Cassius [Stanley] throwing down lobs. That always brings our energy up too. I love the Crazies. They’re so fun. They always do give a little extra energy for me – I notice that and I appreciate that. It’s always fun.”

Following back-to-back losses, the Blue Devils’ mini-resurgence came none too soon as they must get tougher, more consistent, and play better both defensively and offensively to fulfill their potential.

Prediction: Johnny Tar Heel says that Coach K is worth 10 points and Cameron is worth 8. Duke by 18 on Saturday.

Alan Adds

Coach K said this game was Duke’s biggest win of the year, and from a psychological perspective he is correct.  Duke’s first half looked like a continuation of the NC State game in Raleigh (not to mention the debacle at Wake that followed the mugging by the Wolfpack).  I thought the first half was Duke’s worst defensive performance of the entire year.  That was one reason why I texted Bill about Duke not deserving its half-time lead (down by 6 with 2:03 to go, Duke scored the last 8 points of the half – Hurt close to the rim; 2 foul shots by Carey, and a steal by Goldwire that led to his great assist on a Moore bucket on the run; followed by 2 Moore free throws).   Duke could not defend State’s ball screens even slightly.  The Wolfpack lived in the Duke paint, shooting 50% with 9 assists (6 turnovers).  On offense, only the heroics of Goldwire (Coach K: “He was sensational; not just very good; sensational) and Justin Robinson, who may have just played his way into the rotation, kept Duke in the game.  Tre played the entire game – a subpar first half (1-8 with an assist and 2 turnovers) before delivering one of his best halves of the season in the closing stanza.  Stanley (2-9 in 13 minutes) and Moore (0-3 in 10 minutes) struggled early before shining in the second half.

Duke started with 2 bigs – Javin and Carey alongside Stanley, Baker and Tre.  That lasted for 2 minutes before Goldwire entered the game and never left it (38 minutes).  Baker and Javin were ineffective in their cameos (each was 0-1).  Javin did, however grab 4 boards in his 5 minutes.  Robinson led Duke’s first half scoring with 8 crucial points (also 2 rebounds) in just 7 minutes.  Think about Robinson being Duke’s leading first half scorer in just 7 minutes. His play saved Duke in the opening stanza.  The bench kept Duke in the game: Goldwire had 7 points (not really bench) and Hurt had 5 in just 9 minutes.  The second half rotation was much more truncated.  Really only 6 players were used. I am not counting Hurt, who played only 3 second half minutes or Javin, just 1.  Neither Baker (after his first half cameo), White nor Alex played at all in this game.  It is worth examining Duke’s stellar return to form in the second half where Tre, JGold and Stanley each played 20 minutes.  Moore played 16 of the 20 (spelled so briefly by Hurt and Javin) while Carey (13 minutes) and Robinson (7 minutes) manned the center position.

Coach K’s zone was the catalyst for Duke’s resurgence.  Coach K said the zone gave 4 major advantages that Duke used to pull away: 1) (and most important) it kept not only State’s brilliant point guard, Johnson, out of the paint after he had torched Duke in the first half with his classy drives, but it kept the entire State team out of the paint; 2) it enabled Duke to control the backboards on both ends (Duke had more offensive rebounds than State had defensive boards); 3) it set up Duke’s fast break.  With Tre and Goldwire on the top of the zone, the outlet pass was there and the two guards were devastating running the break; and 4) it allowed Duke to play 4 perimeter players around Carey or JRob, which fueled the break.  Stanley and Tre had halves to remember.  Cassius scored 13 second half points (5-9; 0-1 from deep; and 4-5 from the stripe).  He also had 2 boards, 2 blocks and an assist without a turnover, and – together with Tre — was the catalyst for Duke moving from a small lead to blowout.  With 12:52 to go in the game, Duke led only by 2.  In the next 8 minutes, Stanley scored 13 points (3 spectacular dunks on great passes; 4-4 from the stripe to go with a layup and a jumper) while grabbing 4 rebounds, handing out an assist and making a block as Duke stretched the lead to 18.  Some 8 minutes!  Tre had 12 second half points (3-6; 1-1 from deep; 5-6 from the line) to go with 3 assists and 2 steals.  Carey scored 10 second half points in his 13 minutes.  Moore had 6 in the closing stanza and Goldwire 4.  Those 5 scored 46 of Duke’s 50 second half points (JRob, 2 and Hurt 2).  It was (or might turn out to be) the half that resurrects Duke’s season.

Coach K had special words for Cassius and JRob. “ Cassius played with a verve”.  Competition for the understatement of 2020 may have ended early.  He praised JRob’s attitude and off the court contributions to the team before talking about his game performance.  He said Robinson has been having good practices for the last month and played like it in the game.  “What a good story of persistence” Robinson is.  He may be supplanting Javin in the rotation.

Next Play:  Senior night at Cameron against the Tarheels – Saturday at 6:00 pm ESPN.  We will try and get out a pre-tournament edition as the ACC tournament begins on Wednesday.  Duke, guaranteed a double bye will not play until Friday (the 13th).  We won’t know the matchups until the weekend is over.

DUKE  89 – NORTH CAROLINA 76 

In horse racing, when one horse leads from start to finish and wins impressively by open lengths, it is often said he “wired” the field. Well, Duke “wired” Carolina  last night but that would be deceiving as they had to collectively play their best game of the year on both ends of the court because it was the equivalent of a heavy weight fight. Duke was never behind but neither could they put the Tar Heels totally away until nearly midway through the second half when Vernon Cary with assists from Tre Jones (What else is new?) played some of his most versatile and effective basketball and Cassius Stanley continued to assert himself as a third closer. Do not be deceived, Carolina is now a healthy, talented but not deep team that had won three in a row.   UNC will be a dangerous opponent in the ACC Tournament.

This was one of Coach K’s very best late season fine tunings of a good but not great team that was on the cusp of winning the ACC Regular Season Championship only to fall apart against mediocre N.C. State and Wake Forest teams. Setting aside for a moment the awkward question of how the winningest, arguably best, coach in the history of college basketball (and his staff) has for five years not recognized what a versatile game changer they had at the end of the bench in five-and-done Justin Robinson– let’s just call it another stroke of genius. But I digress.

Coach Mike Krzyzewski assessment: “Really a key was J-Rob. He has been a Godsend for us. His fingerprints are on every aspect of the game.”  Consider this: Three weeks ago the player who may potentially be the missing piece of the puzzle to make this a more consistent, formidable team, Robinson had 72 career points in almost four red shirt seasons. In the last three weeks he’s scored 34 points and has 17 blocks in just 102 minutes. Coming into this game against the Tar Heels, Justin Robinson, or J-Rob as he is affectionately known, had played just 227 mostly mop up minutes in his five years with the Blue Devils. But the graduate student saved his best for last in Cameron, driving the Crazies to new levels of appreciative insanity and his teammates to their best efforts with 13 points, 4 blocks, and stellar interior defense. The basketball gods certainly rewarded J-Rob for his years of patient, hard work as 2 of his 4 successful threes where way off target but somehow miraculously bounced through the basket. However, they had no hand in his gritty ability to play interior defense next to Vernon Carey and Javin DeLaurier, which makes this a much more formidable team.

In many ways, it appeared Coach K took a couple of pages from Dean Smith’s playbook by starting seniors Javin DeLaurier, Jack White and Justin Robinson in their last  game on the iconic Cameron Court. Though this combination isn’t what we are accustomed to seeing to start a game, the three seniors played with a fire that only someone playing their last home game could, giving the normal starters something with which they were unfamiliar– a lead. Robinson hit two 3-pointers, while DeLaurier caught and finished a lob to help Duke establish an early margin. Then, giving Carolina some of its own medicine, Coach K had Carey and the other big men primed to race their counterparts baseline to baseline producing 15 easy, discouraging points to none for Carolina. Holy Fast Break, Batman, had the players changed uniforms? Krzyzewski said it wasn’t an accident. “That’s been the biggest point of emphasis in our practices, to beat them down the floor on both offense and defense. We really worked a lot on that.”

Duke also played-man-to man the entire way. Tre and his teammates harassed Cole Anthony, their most lethal and important offensive weapon, into trying to play one-on-five, only scoring 9 points. But the real back breaker was the fast-break points flip flop: “I thought the biggest key in the first half was their fast-break points,” Roy Williams said. “It was 15 to 0. I don’t know that I’ve ever had a team outscored 15 to zero in fast-break points. When we pushed it, they did a great job of getting back.” This simply never happens. It is the Tar Heels who specialize in run-outs, drowning opponents in easy fast-break baskets.

Duke led by as many as 10 points in the first half before taking a 42-34 lead into intermission. However, UNC would not fold and outplayed Duke early in the second half as the Blue Devils scored on just one of their first eight possessions. But then, Duke, with an assist from the Cameron Crazies, closed out the game with flawless execution (No turnovers and hitting 10 of 11 free throws)—a very satisfying and impressive close to the regular season.

The stats tell the story. Duke hit 29 of 33 free throws and 10 of 21 three pointers, 6 of which were in the second half. That turned a 1-point game into a 13-point game with 3:43 left. Had Duke shot the same percentage on these attempts as last year’s team, there would have been a 16 point turn around and perhaps a different outcome. While the depth of talent offers many options, it appears we are back to a mostly seven man rotation with Robinson taking minutes from Hurt, DeLaurier, White, Baker, and O’Connor.

The Bottom Line: Coaching and chemistry make a difference. Matthew Hurt is talented but is not yet physically strong enough to hold his own—as Justin wasn’t initially– against more mature strong forwards. He is a teenage boy playing against mature twenty year old plus men—as many of Florida State and Louisville players are. Player development takes time. The emergence of the more mature and versatile Robinson was years in the making.  And the mental maturation of Cassius Stanley and Wendell Moore, almost a season in the making, to go with the steady Jordan Goldwire, three years in the making, are all pieces of a puzzle that may be a season in the making.

Boys & Men (perhaps, there is a lesson here.) Although they are not comparable, consider the emergence of Justin Robinson with the sensational, record breaking LSU QB Joseph Lee Burrow. He is also a five-and-done, 23 year old, who did not initially find success at Ohio State before transferring to LSU as a 21 year old. Then, consider how many Duke one and dones—other than Zion– have fared in the NBA as opposed to Grant Hill, Shane Battier, Elton Brand, who stayed three or four years. Here’s a flash: In the NBA, there are only real men who can run and jump and shoot and  play defense that get playing time. Otherwise, it is the G (Gee, I almost made it in the NBA) Development League

Perhaps, patience is an underappreciated virtue.

Alan Adds:

The Duke stars in this game were (in no particular order): Coach K, Justin Robinson, Tre Jones, Cassius Stanley, and Vernon Carey Jr.

Coach K

Coach K: Bill’s friend Johnny Tar Heel says Coach K is worth 10 points a game as bench coach.  Last night his genius exceeded that value.  His game plan was flawless and worked to perfection.  First, he stole a page from UNC by his fast break and long passes, even after made baskets.  Second, on defense he wanted to: a) slow or stop Carolina’s best offensive player, Cole Anthony; b) stop the vaunted Carolina fast break (and secondary break); and c) hold even on the boards after being so badly outrebounded last month in Chapel Hill. In the first half, Duke outscored Carolina 15-0 on fast break points.  ‘Ole Roy said ruefully in his press conference, “I don’t think that ever happened to a Carolina team before.”  Carey ran the floor like a greyhound and Tre found him with full length of the court passes that emulated a fourth quarter Tom Brady.  Duke completely shut down Carolina’s potent fast break (UNC had only 5 fast break points for the entire game).  Coach K said they worked hard on transition defense in practice, but “we played even better than we practiced”.  Duke got back in lanes, picking up the Carolina player in that lane rather than guarding the Tarheel designated in the man to man.  It was sublime defense.  Duke held even on the backboards (38-37 for Carolina), even though the Blue Devils gave up 18 second chance points.  As Ole Roy (at his rueful best) praised the Duke interior defense.  “In the second half we got it inside better, but they contested everything underneath and we couldn’t finish inside.”

Justin Robinson

What a story!  Coach K said it’s an amazing story, like the movie, “Rudy”.  In 25 minutes (15 in the second half), J-Rob scored 13 (4-6 from deep) to go with 6 boards, 4 blocks and 3 assists.  He was, as Coach K said, “a godsend.  He impacted every aspect of the game.  He not only blocked 4 shots, but he altered a bunch.” (think ‘Ole Roy’s “they contested everything, and we couldn’t finish inside”.)  “He made us better.”  Will J-Rob be the catalyst that allows this team to reach a higher plateau?  He was the second big for almost all of the second half.  Javin played only 11 minutes (4 fouls), just 4 minutes in the second half without scoring.  Jack White failed to score in 6 first half minutes (did not play in the second half); Matt Hurt failed to score in 9 minutes (only 3 in the second half).  Hurt looked absolutely lost trying to defend the Carolina bigs and rebound.  If Robinson can maintain this level of play going into the tournaments, Duke becomes more of a true contender.

Cassius Stanley

Stanley had an efficient 19 points in 36 minutes (6-10; 3-5 from deep; 4-4 from the line) to go with 6 boards.  It was in the second half that Stanley soared, playing every minute, and scoring 11 (3-4 from deep; 2-2 from the line) to go with 3 key rebounds and an assist without committing a turnover or a foul.  He and J-Rob hit back to back 3s that broke the game open.  He is a superb athlete that can and did defend.  He was instrumental in Duke’s second half defense, which was adequate, though UNC did score 42 in the closing stanza.

Tre Jones

Tre was simply magnificent in his 39 minutes (I don’t remember him coming out for a minute in the first half) scoring 21 points and handing out 11 (yes, 11) assists against 2 turnovers.  His long outlet passes shredded the Carolina defense.  His 10-10 from the line, including 6-6 down the stretch kept Duke safely in front.  Tre’s 7 second half assists were crucial.  He added a block; committed only 2 fouls.   But even more important than his offense was his defense.  Tre is a better defender than his brother was (or is in the NBA), and was part of the way Anthony was kept totally in check and completely frustrated.  Stopping the other team’s best player has long been a Coach K value.  Tre (Goldwire and the helping team defense) accomplished that task against Anthony, who was only 4-14; 0-2 from deep and 1-2 from the line for 9 points even though he played almost the entire game — 39 minutes.  The Carolina point guard managed only 3 assists and turned it over twice.  Shutting such a great player down like that was one of the keys to Duke’s win.

Vernon Carey, Jr.

After an under achieving (for him, anyway) first half  (playing only 13 minutes, grabbing only 3 boards while shooting 2-4 from the field and 3-4 from the line), he took over the game when he came back in with 11:08 left in the game, Duke leading 54-53, and Brooks on the line shooting to tie the game.  When Brooks missed, Carey immediately grabbed 3 boards, made 2 layups in just over a minute.  59-54.  After a Tar Heel 3, he scored again underneath and followed that with an old fashioned 3 point play to give the Devils a 69-63 lead with 7:18 to go.  He scored on another dunk with 5:46 to go, stretching the Duke lead to 7 and setting the scene for J-Rob and Cassius to close the door on Carolina.  J-Rob blocked a Brooks layup and then hit a 3 with a beautiful assist from Tre.  When Anthony missed a contested (by Tre) 3, Cassius got the rebound and sunk a 3 with an assist from J-Rob.  Duke up 13 with only 3:27 to go.  The game was over then.

Carey scored 18 in the second half (6-10 from the field and 6-7 from the line) while defending the back board with 7 second half rebounds.  He also had a steal.  What an amazing performance!

Overview

Duke was aggressive and won the game from the free throw line (29-33) and from behind the arc (10-21).  Duke’s defense did the job as per the Coach K game plan.  A bit troubling was the lack of production from the rest of the team.  In the second half, Carey, Cassius and Tre accounted for 38 of Duke’s 47 points.  Add J-Rob’s 6 and those 4 scored 44 of the 47.  Goldwire’s 3-4 from the line completed the second half scoring.

Neither Alex nor Joey Baker saw the floor.  White, and Hurt were scoreless in essentially cameo appearances.  Moore had 4 points, but none in the second half.  Javin had 4 first half points (0 in the second half).  Goldwire was scoreless from the floor 0-3 but was 3-4 from the line at crunch time for 3 points in 24 minutes.  However, his defensive contributions were immense.

Next Play:  Duke will be the #4 seed in the ACC tournament and will play on Thursday (March 12) at 2:30 p.m. against either Pittsburg, Wake Forest or NC State. Pitt and Wake play on Tuesday, with the winner to face NC State on Wednesday.  If Duke wins that Thursday quarterfinal, The Devils would play at 7 pm on Friday the 13th against the winner of the bracket that includes top seeded Florida State.  The Championship game is on Saturday (March 14) at 8:30 p.m.  Let’s hope that Duke is in that game.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Duke Basketball Playbook: 2018-19

Introduction: Bill Miller and Alan Silber, Duke graduates of 1960, have been producing and distributing the Duke Basketball Playbook since the 2009-10 Championship Season. For years prior to that, it was just casual email exchanges about each game between two friends, who love Duke and the game of basketball.  Over time, friends received copies and forwarded it to their friends.   When Torrey Glass (’74) started distributing the blog to the Hilton Head Duke Alumni Club, the readership expanded exponentially to a following of  hundreds alumni, fraternity brothers, friends, and friends of friends who were Duke fans as well as some basketball fans who just liked the analysis. As the readership expanded, the writing became less casual. There were drafts, edits, and re-writes. The project became a passion, which nourished both craft and friendship.  Bill writes the opening section; Alan writes further commentary under the heading “Alan Adds”.

Welcome to  the Duke Basketball  Playbook 2018-19 season preview.

Let’s not tap dance around it. This is the most talented, athletic, and deepest Duke Basketball team I have seen—with the extra added attraction of a once in a generation talent in Zion Williamson. Even Johnny Tar Heel grudgingly agrees with this assessment.

Come on, Bill. How can you say that when the season hasn’t even started? Well, for starters no college has ever run the recruiting table 1-2-3- #1 point guard–not even Michigan’s much hyped Fab 5. And thanks to DirecTV and ESPN+, I have watched five & a half (Countdown to Craziness) exhibition games and the “Earn Everything” series on Duke basketball. Granted, these games weren’t against Final Four teams but they weren’t against The Little Sisters of the Poor either.  In addition to offensive firepower, here is what I saw: hustle, defense, assists, camaraderie, and improvement with each game.

What were last year’s team weaknesses? Man-to-man defense, consistent point guard play, and  foul shooting. This year’s treasure trove of athlete/students/future millionaires, has a pure pass first/shoot second, point guard in Tre Jones, a bigger, stronger, and, hopefully, just as clutch version of his older brother Ty, who also plays Tommy Amaker like on-the-ball defense, which is the starting point of good defense. In addition, there are three other starters—Barrett, Williamson, and Reddish– who can play the point better than Trevon (shoot first/ pass second) Duval. And so far, they have demonstrated the talent and desire to play much better man-to-man defense and have no 50% free throw shooters—as a team, they are shooting a respectable but not outstanding,  70%.

Reading Coach K’s mind: My youngest grandson could pick four of the starters. Initially, it appeared Javin DeLaurier would be the fifth. Then, he hurt his foot and Marquis Bolden took his place and has continued to start. Maybe, Coach is protecting Javin but maybe Coach is looking at the size of Kentucky on November 6 and thinking he should find out whether or not Bolden will figure out what kind of player he wants to be. If Bolden does start playing to his potential, that will give Coach another option to throw at an opponent. He knows what kind of effort he will get with Javin and/or Jack White and I am sure with them on the floor, he will go to his Five Out Motion offense, press both full and half full court, and play Golden State Warrior  basketball. An effective pressing defense should be the key as to how successful this team will be, because they are so lethal in the open court.

Once again, Coach K is talking a nine or ten man rotation. But you know how that usually goes: 10-9-8-7, then 6 at tournament time. This time he may really mean it, because DeLaurier and White are co-captains (Interestingly, Bolden was not. What does that tell you?).  Alex O’Connell and Baker may be a later day Grayson Allen wildcard subs, because they can really play and shoot the three.

What else to like: The intangibles. All the players appear to like one another and enjoy all aspects of the game. In a press conference, DeLaurier commented that, unlike some other years, there are no class cliques. The freshmen hang with upper classmen. Every player talks about enjoying all aspects of the game but watch how many actually dive on the floor for a loose ball. Up fifty some points against Ferris State, Flyin’ Zion (half man, half amazing) dove for a loose ball, knocked it away from  an opponent, got up, chased down the player who retrieved it, and tied him up. That’s Duke Basketball!

Any caveats or hedges?  Yes, you have to play the games and sometimes the basketball gods play tricks on the better team: #16 Maryland-Baltimore County 74 – #1Virginia 54.  North Carolina State 54 – Houston (Phi Slama Jama) 52. North Carolina 54 – Kansas 53 (Wilt Chamberlain). And injuries (ref. Kyrie Irving.)

Miscellaneous Comments:

If you ever wondered what it is like to be a basketball player at Duke, you must watch the above mentioned series “Earn Everything” streaming on ESPN+ . It takes you behind the scenes and almost makes you feel like a member of the team. You are right there seeing and hearing how Head Coach Mike Krzyzewski runs his program, talks to his coaches and his players as he prepares this team for the upcoming season in pursuit of the program’s sixth national championship. There are up close and personal looks at the athletes as they are taught how to practice, how to rehab, what and when to eat– and as they spend time  interacting with one another. There is access to closed practices, conditioning and skills testing, and even nutrition counseling; Zion Williamson breaking the all-time Duke vertical record during testing; One-on-one conversations between coaches and their players during practice;  Preparation for pre-season exhibition tour of Canada; Coaches breaking down film with the team after the Ryerson game in Canada; and No. 1 recruit RJ Barrett discussing his reasons for attending Duke.

What stood out dramatically for both Alan and myself was the intimate look at just who our student-athletes are.  What you see are articulate young men, who are also thoughtful. These gifted athletes clearly belong as students at Duke University. They perform community services at the Emily K Center, getting as much out of it as they give to the underprivileged kids. They are insightful about themselves in differing aspects of their growth.  And finally, Coach K was philosophical and analytical about the role his program plays within the Duke University universe. The university gives to the program and the program contributes to the university. It is a really an exceptional documentary and watching is a perfect introduction to the 2018-19 season.

 Alan Adds: 

I have been a basketball recruiting junkie since 1985 (when you had to subscribe to publications – no internet).  In all that time, no recruiting class at any school has contained the consensus top three recruits, as this freshman Duke class does.   But, as we learned last year, freshman talent alone may not be enough.  Last year’s team had # 3 and #7 lottery picks in the NBA draft as well as a late first round draft choice, and an early second rounder plus an undrafted player who earned a professional contract.  Expectations (and maybe a bit of hubris) may have harmed that team.  I cringed last year when Wendell Carter opined, well before the season opener, that Duke had so much talent it might go undefeated all year.   Hubris.  Duke had a very good season, but could not play even passable man-to-man defense, did not win either the ACC regular title, the ACC tournament or get to the Final Four — while sustaining nine losses.   However, this group of freshmen are saying all the right things, and have much different talents than last year’s talented class.  Let’s look at the four highly touted freshmen.  I am leaving out 6’7” freshman, Joey Baker, who is rumored to be red-shirting this year.

R.J. Barrett:  I saw him several times last year and opined he is the best high school player I have seen since LeBron.  He’s 6’7” and can play on the perimeter and in the interior.  Two years ago, when Canada beat the USA in the Under 19 World Championship, Barrett scored 38 points while grabbing 13 boards to lead Canada.  He is the only non-NBA player on the Canadian National team getting ready for the next World Championship, and was in the starting lineup in the National team’s last game.  He is a spectacular finisher in the open court as well as a defensive stopper.  But, he might not be the best player in Duke’s freshman class.

Zion Williamson: Zion was nowhere near as impressive last year (but damn impressive – overall #3 recruit) when I saw him as he has been in his Duke pre-season appearances this year.  Last year I saw a superstar in the open court, but not in the half court.  [He got hurt about mid-way through the McDonald’s All-Star game and did not play last spring after that).   He is 6’7” and 270 lbs. (down from 285 and won the pre-season award as Duke’s best conditioned athlete) with a 45 inch vertical (David Thompson territory).  Against inferior opposition, he has been unstoppable in the post and in the open court.  He is an energetic defender.  But what I did not see last year and has been in dramatic evidence this year is ability to handle the ball and pass.  His attitude is as amazing (as per Bill’s description of diving for the loose ball; what is astounding about that is that it came with Duke ahead by 50 points in the fourth quarter with only a few minutes left) as his motor.  In the pre-season, he snatched every 50-50 ball with strong and dexterous hands.  Let’s see how he does against top flight competition before we put him in the Naismith Hall of Fame, but his upside seems to have no limit.

Tre Jones: Tyus’s younger brother is not as highly rated as the top 3, but I am writing about him third because, like Bill, I think he may be Duke’s most important player.  What is interesting is that Duke’s other freshmen think so too and are not shy about saying so.  He impressed me last year in All Star games (playing tough defense in games where defense is honored more in the breach) with his leadership and passing.  He missed the 3 games in Canada, but has looked very good since then.  His high school English teacher is a friend of a friend.  My friend reports that the teacher extolled Tre as a student, a leader and a very thoughtful person who was respected and admired for much more than basketball.  Great attributes for a point guard.

Cam Reddish: Cam has not yet shown Duke fans the kind of play that made him the #2 ranked high school player last year (ahead of Zion).  He was injured for the Canadian trip and had damaged ribs through the exhibition season.  I saw him several times last year.  Another 6’7” postionless player, he is a smooth in all aspects of the game, more at home on the perimeter as a passer and shooter.  While he had a reputation as a defender, when he tried to guard Barrett in the McDonald’s game (they played on different teams and guarded each other), he could not stop Barrett (but then no one else ever has).  He will be in the starting lineup.

What stands out for me with these four is that all are essentially point guards.  Barrett played the point in the three Canadian games when Jones and Reddish were not playing.  Reddish has been slated to be the backup point guard when Jones rests.  However, in my opinion, Zion may be the best of the backup point guards; he has dazzled when given the opportunity.   Moreover, each has a reputation coming in as a defender.  It is impossible not to be excited about these four and this team as a result.

Veterans Competing To Start and/or Be in Coach K’s Rotation

Javin DeLaurier: This 6’10” Junior defender and rebounder is a co-captain, who will fight to be the fifth starter.  He seems vastly improved this year.  In the past, he has been a helter-skelter high energy defender, rebounder, but a fouling machine.  This year he is playing just as hard, but with a confidence that adds a calmness (and some leadership on defense) to his assets.  Whether a starter or in the rotation, he will play major minutes.

Jack White: The other Junior co-captain, this Australian has been Duke’s best upper-class player in the pre-season.  Another 6’7” wing, Jack has shown a nose for the ball of the glass on both ends as well as defensive skills against both perimeter and interior opponents.  He has added proficiency from behind the arc when open (and with these freshmen, he will be wide open multiple times).  He is improving in the satisfying way we have seen with four year players.

Marquis Bolden: A Junior 6’11” center, who is Duke’s leading returning scorer (a paltry 3.6 ppg average), Marquis has been an underachiever in his first two years.  He was very unimpressive in Canada and not much better in the exhibition game against Virginia Union.  However, he looked better than he ever has against Ferris State (of course, it was against Ferris State and not Kentucky) and was good in the Blue-White game.  It’s hard to guess what his contributions will be, but I think that he will get an opportunity in the pre-conference portion of the schedule to earn playing time.  He started both exhibition games, logging 20 minutes (compared to Javin’s 16) against Ferris State.

Alex O’Connell:  Alex, whose father played at Duke, has grown to 6’6” and is fighting for playing time.  If he shoots from behind the arc, as he did last year, he may well be in the rotation, and could even start if Coach K wants to go small.  Alex has been a surprisingly good rebounder for one so skinny, and is developing an all court game.  I predict he will play valuable minutes this year.

These are the complementary players who have to do the dirty work, defend, and score when open.

Justin Robinson (6’10” Junior), Antonio Vrankovich (7’0” Junior) would play – even start – on many teams; however, they are unlikely to see major minutes in close games.  But if called upon, each has the ability to contribute.  Joey Baker is a 6’7” freshman who has an excellent all court game.  He re-classified to join the team this year.  Unless injuries happen or Duke’s shooting is not up to snuff from the perimeter, he is likely to red shirt.  Jordan Goldwire, a 6’2” backup point guard played a lot in Canada when Tre Jones and Cam Reddish could not play.  He is the only Duke player who did not play against Ferris State (no one has said why).  I believe Tre Jones  will be backed up by the other freshmen rather than Jordan.

This is a team that should hold our interest, inspire our affection, and excite our fantasies.

Duke 118 – Kentucky 84 

If you had Duke and gave 33 points, you won!

You may not have believed my assessment in our DBP preview (“Let’s not tap dance around it. This is the most talented, athletic, and deepest Duke Basketball team I have seen.”), but seeing is believing. And if you didn’t see it, you missed an unexpected blowout anticipated by no expert. The only thing Kentucky won was the opening tip. The Blue Devils made their first four shots — three from beyond the arc and all by freshmen who never looked back because contrary to Satchel Paige’s immortal homily: No one was gaining on them. Duke dominated the more experienced, #1 ranked Kentucky in all phases of the game giving Coach Calipari the worst defeat of his career in Lexington. Either the Wildcats are vastly overrated or this Duke team belongs in the NBA. I usually try to be a gracious winner but, for different reasons, games against Maryland and Calipari are exceptions. So, I will say it: The deflated, defeated look on the face of the duplicitous John Calipari was priceless.

It’s hard to know where to start. The four freshmen Barrett 33, Williamson 28, Reddish 22, and Jones 6 outscored the entire Kentucky team. However, the most interesting development was the defense which held Kentucky to 44% shooting, forcing 15 turnover (Duke 4) and having 10 steals. In addition, Marquis Bolden appears to have had a talent and personality transplant and was impressive on both end of the floor and on the bench. Jack White, doing his best John Havlicek impression, hustling all over the floor  was one point shy of a double-double, and O’Connell hit 3 of 4  threes. An overlooked stat is that Trey Jones only had 6 points but no turnovers against a vaunted defender known for his on-the-ball pressure. Another thing that struck me was how well these alpha players share the ball and how, even when on the bench, are joyfully into the game cheering and waving towels when subs like White, O’Connell, Vrankovic, or Robinson make a good play.

A note of caution. Let’s not get ahead of ourselves like Carter did last year in bragging about how talented his team was. This was just the first game of a long, grueling season. As talented as these players are, the ball is not always going to go in the basket like it did tonight and some games will be a lot more difficult. Silly fouls were a potential problem but White, DeLaurier, and O’Connell filled in seamlessly. Also, the foul shooting (69%) was subpar for a championship team.

Miscellaneous Comments:

  • In a rare moment of candor John Calipari told his players. “I got outcoached. You got outplayed.”
  • The Blue Devils made 19 layups and eight dunks. They scored two out of every three times they possessed the ball, and collected 22 assists on 54 made field goals while turning the ball over just 4 times.
  • Joey Baker did not play. Either he is injured or he is being red shirted.
  • How cool is it to see David Thompson in Duke hat on  the sidelines cheering the team on?

Alan Adds:

There is no way to fully take in the impact of last night’s total destruction of the #1 ranked team in the pre-season polls by the Blue Devils.  The college hoops world will be buzzing.  The first 10 minutes are as good as a college team can play.  Duke scored 34 points in the first 9 minutes and 24 seconds of the game to lead by 31 (34-13).  The gaudy impact of RJ Barrett and Zion Williamson will be water cooler conversation today all over Hoopsland.  I want to share a couple of more subtle takeaways from the game that auger very well, indeed.  The play of Tre Jones was eye opening.  His on the ball defense set up Duke’s very effective man to man. Duke played great transition defense and made the usual running Wildcats a half court team.  Duke’s offense was jaw dropping (59 points in each half).  22 assists and only four turnovers.  Kentucky’s defensive game plan was to pressure the ball in the backcourt.  Tre made Kentucky pay dearly by beating the press easily and guiding Duke into its offense.  He had 7 assists without a turnover.  He hit the first shot of the game and then was simply a maestro at both ends.  When Tre went down with a knee (turned out not serious, but for a moment he looked awful), I saw the glorious season being only about 30 minutes long.  As absolutely superb as the others played, this is not the same team without Tre.

The dramatic moment when belief solidified was at the opening of the second half.  Duke led 59-42 at half.  I believed (wrongly) for the longest time that Kentucky would make some kind of a run.  After being embarrassed in the first half, I feared the ‘Cats would come out clawing after the intermission.  As Coach K has said many times, it is just human nature to see the score and let up a bit.  Duke came out on fire; Zion made like Zion (Reddish assist); Reddish hit a 3 (assist from Tre) forcing Calipari to call a time out just :54 seconds into the second half.  Game over.  Duke never took its foot off the Wildcat neck even when the lead ballooned to almost 40 points.  This team appears to have that “killer instinct”.

I said this Duke team could be special because all of the freshmen had a point guard mentality.  Indeed, in the 10 minutes that Tre was off the court, all 3 took turns as backup point guard.  Twenty-two assists and only 4 turnovers!  Against Kentucky!  Wow!

THE ROTATION

Zion was 6th man in minutes played!  Three players logged 30+ minutes – Barrett (32), Jones (30) and…[I should write AND] Jack White (30).  Jack was simply a revelation and reliable “glue” guy.  He grabbed 11 boards, played just superb man to man – individual and team – defense (guarded Kentucky’s leading scorer, holding Herro to a tepid 14), making two steals.  He had 3 assists and 9 points on offense without a turnover.  Right now, he is the Sixth Man.  Marquis Bolden had by far his best game at Duke, logging 25 minutes, in which he contributed 7 points (3-4; 1-3 from the line) to go with an assist and a steal.  No turnovers.  Reddish lived up to his high school reputation as a smooth all court player, on the court for 24 scintillating minutes.  He scored 22 (6-14; 3-8 from deep; 7-7 from the line) to go with some superb defense (4 steals) and all around floor play (3 assists without a turnover);Javin is still a fouling machine – committing 4 in his 11 minutes on the court.  He moves well and had a block and two steals to go with his four fouls.  Alex scored 9 points in only 11 minutes (3-6; 3-4 from deep) while corralling 3 boards.  He will give the team valuable minutes this season, I predict.  Vrankovich played little, but a valuable minute (2-2 from the line) when Duke had early foul trouble in the first half.

Foul trouble – The only negative was Duke’s fouling on defense – worse in the first half.  Duke committed 16 first half fouls (26 for the game), which had DeLaurier with 3 and the rest of the interior players with 2 at the intermission.  Zion played only 10 first half minutes. RJ played the entire first half.

RJ AND ZION

RJ took over the game in the early going.  He showed why I’ve said he’s the best finisher around the basket that I had seen in high school since LeBron.  He was simply unstoppable, connecting from the perimeter, driving to the basket, passing, and rebounding.  He scored 33 on 26 attempts (13-26; 3-7 from 3land; 4-8 from the line) to go with 2 boards and 6 assists.  He was everything that I saw from him in high school.  But he wasn’t the story.  Zion was.

Zion was limited in minutes by his two early first half fouls – the first coming before the two minute mark.  He committed only one foul in his 13 second half minutes.  In those 23 minutes he compiled a stat line that staggers the imagination.  He scored 28 points on just 13 attempts (11-13; 1-1 from deep; 5-7 from the line).  He passed; he defended; he got loose balls.  In short, he looked like a man among boys.  He was unstoppable driving to the rim.  He helped Duke destroy the Kentucky zone from the post.

The first game has “visions of sugar plumbs dancing in our heads”.  Why not!  I’m not sure I’ve seen anything like the quality of this rout against a team like Kentucky (Maybe W. Va in the 2015 NCAA tournament).  This was a pure wow.

Army on Sunday at noon is the Next Play.

DUKE 94 – ARMY 72

If you took Duke and gave more than 22 points, you lost!

Well,  Army is no Kentucky. The Black Knights execute much better than the Wildcats. And in doing so, they gave the Blue Devils a lesson that last year’s team was unable or unwilling to learn.

At least the most precocious freshman Zion Williamson got it: ”It’s one thing for somebody to tell you that everybody’s going to bring their best against you, that all their shots are going to feel like they’re going in. But I think until you truly experience it, I think you just have to go through it to fully understand.” Quite right. As last year’s team learned the hard way, better sooner than later. Defense is mostly about attitude and effort and it is a lot more difficult when your shots aren’t falling like usual and the opponents rebound and beat you down the floor for relatively uncontested shots. Fortunately, Williamson not only got it, he led the team in points (27), rebounds (16), assists (6), blocked shots (6), and floor burns (5). He has become must see TV as ESPN acknowledged by moving the game to their flagship channel. The you-make-the-call (quiet/shy/self-contained/enigmatic) Reddish, the best pure shooter on the team and the beneficiary of Zion and RJ’s driving ability, went 7-13 from outside the circle and again had a quiet-if that’s possible- 25 points.

Among other challenges will be the reaction of these alpha Blue Chip teenagers to the barrage of press coverage to which Zion is being subject—and it is just starting, because you know the press–anything worth covering is worth over-covering, then moving on to the next new thing. Until now, Barrett has been referred to as the projected number one NBA draft choice—that means about as much as being ranked the number one team in a preseason poll. I suspect that has changed. I know whom I would choose if I were an NBA general manager. And I suspect, that Cam Reddish may also pass RJ in that pecking order as he is being referred to as a Kevin Durant clone. However, so far, this team is a “Brotherhood” of Four/Five Musketeers, all for one, one for all and is fully enjoying the intense spotlight. There is only joyful camaraderie. You see it when Barrett, Williamson, Reddish and Jones — the four freshmen starters weren’t comfortable posing for the Sports Illustrated cover photo unless the fifth freshman, reserve redshirt candidate Joey Baker, was included. You saw it during Williamson’s post-game interview on ESPN Tuesday night after the defeat over Kentucky. “All of us have fun. I can’t even explain it,” Williamson said with a chuckle and a shake of his head. “I just love playing basketball. I love playing with my brothers. And playing for Coach K and those coaches, I don’t think there’s anything better than that. And in the awe of Javin DeLaurier:” I’ve never seen anyone like Zion. “All of us hit the genetic lottery… but Zion hit it twice.”

However this season unfolds, one thing is certain. This is the most likeable basketball team in Duke’s history. There is no easily vilified player like an Art Heyman, Christian Laettner, J.J. Redick, or Grayson Allen.

Miscellaneous Comments:

  • Via the Duke men’s basketball Instagram account, users have viewed videos 1.87 million times with 33,779 new followers onboard over that period. Kentucky is next closest among major college programs in that period, with 408,000 views and 3,658 new followers.
  •  Jack White played as many minutes (25) as Bolden or DeLaurier combined.
  • Freshman Joey Baker played well during the Blue Devils’ exhibition season, but still has not played a second through three halves of the regular season. Head coach Mike Krzyzewski said after the Kentucky game that he’ll wait and see how Jack White and Alex O’Connell look on the perimeter before deciding whether to use Baker this year. It appears that unless one of Duke’s current rotation players suffers a serious injury, Baker is likely to redshirt.

Alan Adds:

“Our guys do not feel good about themselves right now”, said Coach K after the game.  He said that because Duke played an awful defensive first half and did not play cohesively together as they had against Kentucky.  “But, it was a great game for us.  We could have lost [Duke led only by 2 with a little over 2 minutes left in the first half].  Instead we turned it around in the second half.  We played harder than Army in the last 15 minutes of the game.”  “It was the perfect game for us following the Kentucky game.  A key for a winning team is to keep the “noise” out of the locker room.  This wasn’t just noise; this was NOISE – exceptional noise.  We didn’t handle it very well.”

Perhaps, that is why the Duke defense was slow to move (and talk – Coach K said Army moved faster than Duke was talking) and reverted to a lazy transition defense (last seen in the first Canadian exhibition game).  In any event, Army seemed to outhustle all the Blue Devils (except for Zion) to offensive rebounds, to penetrate to the rim and make the perfect pass in the first half.

Here’s why Coach K felt good about the second half.  Duke held Army to 30 points, but was even more suffocating on defense as the game wound down.  With 12:14 left in the game, Army trimmed the lead to 6 with 2 straight 3s (67-61).  Five minutes and 10 seconds later, Army hit a 3 to give them 66 points, while Duke had broken the game wide open (81-66; Army had made a layup at the 9:15 mark).  In short, Duke held Army to 5 points in that span, and to only 3 more in the next 6 minutes and 5 seconds  — Army scored only 8 points in that 11:42 of play.  That is why  Coach K said it was a great game for Duke because to obtain those amazing defensive results, Duke PLAYED HARDER THAN ARMY in the last 15 minutes.

The three scoring freshman had 75 of Duke’s 94 points (Zion, 27; Cam, 25, and R.J. 23).  Add Trey’s 8 (2-4; 2-2 from behind the arc and the foul line, to go with 7 assists) and the freshman had 83 of Duke’s 94.  White (6; 2-6 from 3land), Alex (3; 1-3 from deep) and Javin (2) rounded out the scoring.  It was clear that Zion could score at will in so many different ways.  He was 11-14 from the floor.  His statline (See Bill’s detail above) was simply astounding.  R.J. seemed a bit sullen to me; looking askance at the ref on one call, but stepped up his game in the second half on both ends of the floor.  Cam is so smooth and does everything (he reminds me of Keith, later Jamaal “Silk” Wilkes).

Jack White has become the Sixth man, and he is playing starter minutes.  The four freshman were on the court for over 30 minutes a piece (R.J and Tre for 33 minutes; Zion for 32; and Cam for 31).  The player who logged the fifth most minutes was Jack White with 25 minutes (15 in the second half) grabbing 4 rebounds, handing out a pair of assists to go with a block and a steal.  He is steady.  No turnovers and only 1 foul.  I would not be surprised if Coach K makes him the starter to go with the four freshmen down the road.  DeLaurier played 12 minutes – 9 in the first half where he picked up 2 fouls.  Bolden played 13 minutes without scoring, but excelled on defense,  while Alex played 10.

Next Play: Eastern Michigan on Wednesday Night at Cameron at 7 pm before heading to the Maui Classic next week.

DUKE 84 – E. MICHIGAN 46

If you took Eastern Michigan and got 37 points, you lost!

And actually, if it was a prize fight, it would have been call a TKO sometime during the first twenty minutes as Duke led 48-13 at the half. Mercifully, Coach K called off the precocious freshmen greyhounds in the second half by substituting liberally. The Eagles were thought to present a challenge because of the size and experience of their front court and tough Syracuse type zone defense. Duke aced that test by pressing full and half court, creating chaos, turnovers, and putting on a SportsCenter dunking show that has become their calling card. We have become accustomed to the dunking show but the first half defense was just as impressive as the first half rout of Kentucky— for a different reason. This group of teenagers take as much pride in their defense as their offense. The Blue Devils held the Eagles to shooting 21% in the first half. At one point, the score was 21-3.

Coach K: “We played at a pace different than what they’re really good at. It kind of snowballed for them. The intensity was excellent. We talked well, on both ends of the court. We shared the ball well and got every loose ball in the first half. Our goal was anybody, except the center, if you get the board, go. In transition, we were relentless. Everything we did kind of worked. But it worked because we played so hard. Alex [O’Connell] can score the ball. Alex continues to have to learn to play defense. He’s trying, but he’s not there yet. When that comes, he becomes better. It’s our third game, and he’s playing hard and well, but he can do that better. Jack [White], Javin [DeLaurier], even Antonio [Vrankovic] know exactly what they’re supposed to do. So even if we were to go to 10 or 11 guys, who, even if they don’t play much, know what they’re supposed to do, then we’re going to be better.”

However, to be the team they want to be, these Blue Devils have to shoot free throws and threes better or some night in a close game, this weakness cost them dearly. In the ESPN+ series  “Earn Everything” Coach K explains that in the Five Out Motion Offense spacing will create open, stand still threes and that every player on this team has to be able to hit them as well as free throws. He pointedly commented that practicing all these razzle dazzle dribbling moves is fine, but the easy, uncontested shots should be money in the bank. On the Olympic Team, Kobe Bryant didn’t believe him and when he got some, he missed them. So, Kobe shot a thousand of them a day for a week and didn’t miss many more on the way to a Gold Medal.

Duke had 14 dunks, 6 by Williamson, 4 by Bolden, 2 by Javin DeLaurier and 1 each for Barrett and White. Williamson and Barrett led Duke with 21 (12 shots) and 20 points (21 shots), respectively. DeLaurier and White, whose consistent all-round play is demanding more playing time, each had 10 points. The suffocating defense ( 56-37 advantage on the boards, forcing 20 turnovers, with 14 steals and 11 blocks masked the fact that the Blue Devils didn’t  actually shoot very well and were sloppy with the ball. The Blue Devils were 5-for-24 on 3s, 6-for-17 from the line. Of course, those stat lines were skewed a bit by the use of the deep bench.

Miscellaneous Comments: 

  • The final two (#7& 8) episodes of the Duke series “Earn Everything” are now available on ESPN+. I found them to be the most the most interesting and revealing of the segments. They made one thing crystal clear: The Duke “Brotherhood” extends back decades, is a potent recruiting tool, and has a powerful hold upon former players–even the one-and-done players.
  • Cameron Reddish did not play at all in the second half. Krzyzewski said Reddish had a sore groin, nothing serious, but it didn’t make much sense to play him when he could rest for next week.
  • For Duke, Monday’s No. 1 showing is an AP poll record. The Blue Devils, with this week’s ranking, have now stood atop the AP rankings 135 weeks in their history. That breaks a tie with UCLA for most all time. The AP poll dates back to 1949; UCLA had held the record for decades, thanks to the season-over-season dominance during the John Wooden era. Mike Krzyzewski has been coach for 117 of the 135 weeks Duke has held the No. 1 ranking.  

Alan Adds:

The beat down was as severe as any I can remember a Duke team handing out.  17 minutes and 36 seconds had expired in the first half before Eastern Michigan’s point total hit double figures.  The Eagles did not score points 10 and 11 until then to reduce Duke’s 37 point lead to 35.  Duke’s lead in the second half ballooned to 46 with 9:14 left in the game before Coach K called off the dogs (the freshmen) and the 1-2-2 press.   The tale of this game was in the amazing first half, where I will concentrate this analysis.

The Defense

This team has the potential to be not just a good defensive team, but a great defensive team.  Duke certainly was last night.  Duke’s 1-2-2 ¾ court press destroyed Eastern Michigan.  Duke’s trapping completely discombobulated the Eagles.  Tre is simply a superb on the ball defender.  He got his hands on the ball many times to disrupt the Eastern Michigan offense.  Then there is the size and athleticism of the trapping players – Cam R.J. and Zion primarily.  Bolden, DeLaurier, Zion and Jack White protected the rim, turning away a bunch of Eagle layup attempts with blocks (Duke had 5 blocks in the first half; White had 4 in the second half by himself).  You watched Duke just eviscerate the Eastern Michigan psyche.  The Eagles were looking for their exit transportation with much of the first half still left to play.

In the half court, Duke kept the visitors from open shots.  The switching was efficient, but even more so was the interior defense against penetration (Duke’s major weakness last year).  Jack White is an outstanding defender.  He had the knack of fronting the big in the post, allowing him to switch onto every penetrator without giving up the pass to the primary opponent he was guarding.  Zion was also superb defending the post.  What was apparent is how much this team likes playing defense and attacking as defenders.   Duke has not had a defensive team with this much potential since its last championship team (where Justice Winslow led an improved defense to the title)  

The Offense

Duke did not shoot the ball well from anywhere but the paint, but did not have to.  The Blue Devils ran through Eastern Michigan (to quote George Scott as Patton) “like crap through a goose”.  The Duke transition – powered by 10 first half steals (10 in a half!) was a highlight reel.  Zion had one dunk where I swear his chest was at the rim.  He scored 12 in 11 first half minutes on 6-7 from the floor, (he missed his only free throw) to go with 4 boards 2 assists and a block.  He had 2 turnovers and committed 2 first half fouls.  He had his shot blocked twice (first time I can remember that happening this year); when he came back on defense, he committed a silly foul.  Coach K yanked him immediately.  Zion’s passing is fun to watch; he had 2 superb assists, and seemed to come up with every loose ball.  R.J. seems to me in a bit of a funk.  He played better in the second half, but had trouble finishing at the rim early (usually his very strong suit).  R.J. played 15 first half minutes (most on Duke) and scored 12, but took 11 shots to do it (5-11; 0-2 from deep; 2-5 from the line) to go with 6 assists (1 more than Tre) 2 rebounds, a steal against only a single turnover.  Reddish played 12 first half minutes (his only action) going 1-4 from deep and 1-5 in total from the field.  He had 2 steals (he is a tenacious defender), 3 boards, 2 assists with only 1 turnover.

Coach K was asked if Cam was unhappy “not being a first option”.  Coach K explained that Duke has 3 “first options” – obviously Zion, R.J. and Cam.  Against Kentucky, Cam was the first option in the game plan (he made 7 3s).  In the half court, the Blue Devils had no trouble with Eastern Michigan’s zone (which was not mobile and did not resemble the efficiency of the Syracuse Zone – Eastern Michigan coach was a long time Boeheim assistant at Syracuse).  Both Zion and R.J. were able to flash to the lane, catch and make plays.  Duke’s lobs to Bolden and DeLaurier were effective.  DeLaurier scored 8 first half points in 9 minutes (3-3 on 2 dunks and a putback; 2-3 from the line) to go with 4 boards, a block, 2 steals and 2 turnovers.  Key stat: 0 fouls.  Bolden played 12 minutes scoring 4 on 2 dunks.  He grabbed 2 boards, and displayed improved defense – 2 blocks and a steal. 0 fouls.  Jack White is glue. He is playing starter minutes (11 in the first half; same as Zion) without committing a turnover or a foul.  He led the team in first half rebounds with 5 and made a steal.  He was also 2-3 from deep for 6 points.  Duke shot badly from behind the arc except for White’s 2-3 and Alex’s 1-1.  The rest of the team was 1-7.  The foul shooting was embarrassing (4-11 in the first half; Barrett 2-5; Zion 0-1; Vrankovich 0-2) 36% even with Javin’s 2-3.

I still believe that Tre is the most important player on offense.  His shot wasn’t there (scoreless in the first half: 0-2; 0-1 from deep), but he controls the offense like a senior (and his defense is off the charts).  He had 5 assists, but I particularly like his leadership and his calmness.  He also threw one of the absolutely greatest lob passes I have ever seen to Zion for a dunk.  Barrett got the rebound and passed long to Tre running the left side.  Tre had to leap for the pass, and without turning, looking, or landing, threw it long over his head to Zion for an instant classic dunk.  He will score when the game is tight (just like his brother).  He is a point guard’s point guard.

The Rotation

Coach K is playing 9 right now with Jack White, Javin, Alex and Jordan Goldwire constituting the bench (Bolden is the fifth starter to go with the four freshmen).  The co-captains are playing very well – especially Jack White.  Alex’s defense drew the negative comments from Coach K that Bill quoted.  He is goosing Alex to improve.  Goldwire played well (kept it simple, said Coach K).  The rotation may remain longer than the usual K rotation if the press continues to pay the kind of dividends that it did last night.

The Maui Invitational

Duke leaves for Maui on Friday to play 3 games in 3 days beginning Monday against San Diego State (5 pm EST game).  If Duke wins, they will mostly likely face Auburn (#9 in the AP poll this week) on Tuesday at 8 pm.  The finals are on Wednesday at 5 pm.  Gonzaga, (#3 in the AP poll) is the highest rated team in the other bracket and favored with Duke to make the finals.  If Duke loses to Auburn, there is the consolation game at 2:30.  It should be a great tournament.

Duke 90 – San Diego State 64

It’s no secret about how to beat Duke: control the tempo, hit a high percentage of your shots, get back on defense to prevent  SportsCenter dunks, clog the lane and force the Blue Devils to be jump shooters, and get the Four Freshmen in foul trouble. The Aztecs accomplished most of these goals as Duke did not have a dunk in the first half. However, they had nine threes and RJ Barrett practically scored anytime he wanted. In one of the segments of the ESPN+ Series “Earn Everything”, Coach K stressed that every player had to be able to hit stand still threes, because in this Five Out Motion Offense with these players ability to drive, there were going to be a lot of them.

An example of the  versatile lethality and opportunism of this team and how coaching matters is what happened  at the end of the first half. The teams were more or less trading baskets. The Aztecs had a player on the line to potentially make it a single digit game,  and then all of a sudden SDS is down 17. The Aztecs missed the free throw, RJ hits a three, Aztecs miss a shot, Coach K calls a time out, subs O’Connell for Antonio, spreads the floor with R.J dribbling the ball at the top of the key…. pass to Cam in the corner, swish as buzzer goes off. SDS is down 17.

What RJ provided in the first half, Cam Reddish supplied with flourish in the second with acrobatic drives and scoops to the basket. While early fouls limited his minutes, Zion Williamson had, for him, a quiet game with only one thunderous dunk, he did have 5 steals. And speaking of minutes, Jack White, whose Australian father was in attendance, played more minutes than any player and almost had another double-double. Jack has developed into an invaluable sixth starter as he may be the most complete complementary player on the team.

One of the reasons I enjoy Duke basketball is watching players and teams mature—or not. What we watched last night was Reddish and Jones demonstrating that they also can score. Consider this point distribution: Williamson 13, Barrett 20,Reddish 16, Jones 14, White 12. Whom do you double team? Not to make an invidious comparison but compare this defensive challenge to last year’s team—an opponent only had to neutralize one of three players.

Mike Krzyzewski commented: “They did a little bit of what Army did to us and tried to not let us penetrate completely to the bucket. As long as our guys were ready to shoot, they knocked them down. I thought that was the differential in the first half.” And on why these young players are so good so early in the season: “They’re over themselves. It’s not about them. They’re very secure and they have been parented well, they have been coached well, and so they understand being part of something bigger than them, but still being really good. They are all really good kids as well as really talented basketball players. They are a joy to coach.”

ESPN wrote: “Duke is the best show in town, even in Maui. Tickets were being scalped for $600. Yes, the Duke Blue Devils are the early favorites to win the national title. But they’re also rock stars even 4,700 miles from Durham, North Carolina, in the middle of the Pacific Ocean. When they entered the gym during Auburn’s overtime win over Xavier, folks in the stands murmured and stared. Then dozens of fans grabbed their smartphones and snapped photos of the Blue Devils, who stood together next to the court as security officials warned anyone who got too close to the young stars. They seemed unbothered by the pregame frenzy. “I try to really just ignore it, just continue to work hard and listen to Coach,” said Reddish, who finished with 16 points. It’s a constant process for a team full of former prep stars who, in just three weeks, have become the collective center of college basketball’s universe.

Miscellaneous Comments:

  • Vlade Divac, Toronto Raptors president Masai Ujiri, Los Angeles Clippers executive Lawrence Frank, Boston Celtics president Danny Ainge and Golden State Warriors executive Bob Myers all were courtside along with representatives from dozens of other NBA teams.
  • Should Duke keep the preseason tournament mojo going by winning Maui for a record 6th time, it would be the 20th preseason championship of Mike Krzyzewski’s career.

Alan Adds: 

Auburn tonight at 8 pm

Duke faces its second top 10 team of the season when the young Devils tangle with Bruce Pearl’s #8 Auburn, the defending SEC champions.  This will be, I predict, a stern test.  Auburn has an star studded backcourt that produced 51 points in the Tigers’ win over Xavier (overtime).  The 5’10” point guard (Harper) made a Zion-like (sports center highlight) slam on a darting drive to win the game in overtime.  Both of Auburn’s heralded big guys fouled out, but Auburn dominated the overtime after seeing its double digit lead dissolve late.   This team is good.

Last night, I had the oddest feeling as I watched the first half.  The score and what I was watching did not match.  Duke looked awful in some aspects of the game, and yet kept building a lead.  Here’s what seemed to me awful: Duke could not defend without fouling; 14 first half fouls.  Only White, Jones and Barrett had less than 2 fouls. DeLaurier (who continues to lead the world in fouling – and rebounding) and Vrankovich had 3 each (Antonio’s 3 came in only 4 minutes).  DeLaurier eventually fouled out in only 11 minutes.  The Aztecs doubled Zion in the post effectively.  His first two shots were blocked and he committed 2 fouls in the first 5 minutes (but interestingly no more in the game), limiting him to 7 first half minutes.  He did make the first 3 of the game, but then was 0-4 for the rest of the half.  The Devils did not (could not) penetrate.  But, of course, when you shoot 50% from deep (9-18 or 27 points on 18 shots) your offense is rolling anyway.

The first half was very different from the second half.  RJ Barrett played every minutes of the first half, lighting it up for 16 first half points (3-6 from deep and 5-6 from the line) to lead Duke.  Tre Jones played 17 first half minutes.  While he was the second high scorer with 9 on 4-5 shooting (1-1) from deep; his defense was ineffective and (for the first time) he had more turnovers than assists (2-1) and was 0-3 from the foul line.  Reddish played 13 minutes, scoring 8 (3-5; 2-4 from deep).  The three of them were collectively 6-10 from behind the arc.  Add Zion’s opening 3 (1-2 for the half) and that is 7 for 12.  We are getting to the point where we may say Duke has 6 starters or that Jack White is the best of the upper class players even though he comes in off the bench.  He played 16 first half minutes (Bolden, the starter, played 9 and De Laurier 7).  White is so valuable as a defender, who does not foul, a tough rebounder, a good open shooter, a reliable foul shooter, and a finisher who does not turn the ball over.   Duke was up only 11 with over a minute to go in the half.  The Devils scored 8 including two 3s in the last 39 seconds (Barrett and Cam) to give a 17 half time lead that felt almost artificial.

It felt very artificial when San Diego State opened with 5 straight points.  But just when it seemed that the second half could be a struggle, Duke broke the game wide open with its devastating transition game.  “We’re explosive”, said Coach K.  Indeed!  After being thwarted in the first half, the young Devils put on a show.  Zion played 11 second half minutes and put his stamp on every aspect of the game (do not underestimate the value of his 4 second half steals).  One play is worth recounting.  DeLaurier grabbed a tough defensive rebound and outletted to Tre.  Tre fired a bullet to a cutting White for the layup.  The ball never touched the floor!  It was simply beautiful.  The Devils rolled, upping the lead to 34 with over 6 minutes to go before Coach K called off the dogs and emptied the bench.

White played 28 minutes (as Bill points out, more than any other Duke player), scoring 12 (3-5; 2-4 from deep; 4-4 from the line).   R.J. was quiet in the second half, limited by the three quick fouls he picked up in the first 5 minutes of the second half (which made 4).  He led Duke in scoring with 20, but played only 6 second half minutes.  Reddish had a dazzling second half, scoring 8 more in only 8 minutes.  His drives were acrobatic.  He had 16 in 21 total minutes (6-10; 2-5 from 3land;  and 2-3 from the line).  I thought he and Tre were Duke’s best players (so I guess did Coach K; they were the two players at the post-game press conference).  White led Duke in rebounding (8); while Zion (6), DeLaurier (6) were mainstays.  But all of Duke players can rebound: Barrett, 4; Bolden 4; Vrankovich, 4 (he provided needed minutes in the first half because all the Duke bigs were in foul trouble); and O’Connell, 4.   Zion, for all his first half troubles, scored 13 on 11 shots in 18 minutes to go with his 6 boards, 5 steals and a block.  That’s a pretty cool sub-par night.

Tonight’s game should be Duke’s first close game of the year and a real test.

Gonzaga 89 – Duke 87 

Sorry for the delay. Since I was going to be in Pinehurst for Thanksgiving, Alan and I arranged to email the DBP on time. Unfortunately, technology and/or operator error failed us. However, I have had extra time to think about the game.

Because it is Coach K and Duke and the top rated freshman class with Flyin’ Zion, the human video highlight, and they smoked another “Blue Blood” Kentucky to open the season, the hype for this team was off the charts. What the Gonzaga game taught us was timely reality check:

There are a lot of very, very talented basketball players in college many of us have never heard of or much less seen– especially if they play on the West Coast. And all those players want to prove they are just as good or better than the highly publicized players at Duke, Kentucky, or North Carolina– so we get their best shot. The blunt truth is that Gonzaga is as talented as Duke–plus older and more mature. Hachimura was the best player on the floor. Until tonight, Tre Jones was underrated because he usually was  satisfied to function as a facilitator, when in fact he has a multi-faceted game. Reddish and DeLaurier need to stop making silly fouls, which limit their playing time.

Duke needs a more balanced attack, shoot a higher percentage of threes and free throws. But most of all R.J. Barrett needs to dial back his alpha player mentality. He takes  disproportionate share of the team’s shots (Alan covers the surprising stats). In the last minute, he took a three, drove three times and was stuffed three times. On the final attempt, he drove into a triangle of bigger defenders right at the basket. That being the case, do the math. It left two ‘Zags to defend four Duke players. Two Blue Devils had to be undefended. That’s not Duke basketball. The player taking the last shot needs to be better than a 60% FT shooter—and btw Buzz Mewhort is right about the free throw weakness as was demonstrated by R.J. missing 4 of his 8 attempts on this night. So, despite missing 6 free throws, and two dunks, the opponent shooting 53% from the field and the circle, Duke only loses by two.

The bottom line: Despite the comeback, I thought the score did not reflect the difference in the performance and sophistication of the teams.

Alan Adds: 

Bill called me at half time and said, “They are better than we are.”  It did not take a basketball genius to see how well Gonzaga was playing (65% shooting in the first half).   The Zags played Duke’s game (5 out on offense) better than Duke did.  Marques Bolden, who was the star of stars against Auburn on Tuesday, was the Zag target.  Whoever he was guarding got the ball on the perimeter, where Bolden is a defensive liability.  While Duke played mediocre defense, Gonzaga played almost perfect offense.  The Zags are talented, long and experienced (3 upper classmen, including a grad senior point guard and 2 sophomores start).  Coach K said, “We looked young.  They were more emotionally ready than we were.”  Gonzaga WAS a better team than Duke yesterday, though what that means for the long season, nobody can say at this point.

What we can say is that the Maui Championship loss was a very good game for Duke in many respects.  My own feeling is Duke is actually better off for having been beaten at this stage than if the comeback had produced the small miracle (I fantasized Bill naming this team “The Miracles Without Marvin”).  First, there was much for Duke to be pleased with and proud of.  Second (and maybe really first), Duke learned a lot in this game, which I predict will lead to quicker improvement than if Duke had won.

Great Duke Performances

Tre Jones – Before this game, Jones was the respected orchestrator of a dynamite offense.  Now this is Tre’s team.  Coach K said that Gonzaga knocked Duke back at the start of the second half and went for the knockout.  They doubled their 8 point half time lead after 4 minutes of the second half had gone by.  Coach K said, “One guy making a play can turn a game around.  Tre did that for us, and for the next 14 minutes we dictated what would happen in the game.”  The play came when Zion blocked a shot and Tre got the rebound and went the length of the floor for an acrobatic finish.  He whirled around and stole the ball on the inbound pass, and drained both foul shots when he was fouled attempting another acrobatic layup against 2 defenders.  You saw Tre grab his teammates and yell, “let’s go” in a way that reminded me of Grayson Allen’s moment in the 2015 championship win over Wisconsin.  Zion then hit a jumper and the lead was down to 10.  The Zag lead bounced between 9 and 15 for the next nine minutes before the Devils began to cut into the Gonzaga lead when the Zags finally started to miss (better Duke defense, and Bill and I both think the Zags got a little tired) and Duke kept scoring.  Tre played 39 of the 40 minutes scoring 17 points (7-14; 1-2 from deep; and 2-2 from the line) to go with 4 boards, 3 assists and 2 steals.  He turned it over twice early, but was the calm leader of the comeback offense.  He played valiant defense while committing only 2 fouls.

Heart – Duke had trailed for only 35 seconds total in its first 5 games, none of which were close.  While Auburn seemed to slow the Duke juggernaut, the Tigers still never got closer to Duke than 5 points.  Against the Zags, Duke scored the game’s first bucket, but never again led in the game.  Down 16, Duke emotion returned to the level it needed to be.  But the Zags are an excellent team; they managed to maintain a significant working margin.  Then with 6:26 left in the game, the Devil’s emotional fight began to cut the 11 point deficit.  Zion hit a jumper; Javin, tough underneath, was fouled. He made the first, but bricked the second.  In a great sequence, White grabbed the offensive board and hit R.J. with a pass.  But R.J. missed an open 3; Tre got the offensive board, but could not convert on the put back.  Duke scored when Zion soared for a dramatic dunk. 81-75.  Zion stole the ball from Hachimura and fed R.J. for a dramatic full court run and dunk.  81-77.  White fouled Novell, who made them both.  The Zags were not giving up.  When Zion missed a jumper, Javin stuffed in the rebound.  Zion blocked Kispart and Tre came up with the rebound and found R.J. who buried a jumper.  83-81 with 3:45 left.  Clark scored on a traditional 3 point play (foul by White), but Duke closed to 3 on a Tre floater in the lane.  After a timeout, White rebounded a miss by Clark; Tre hit another hoop to make it 86-85 with 2:26 to play.  Javin fouled Clark who made 1 of 2.  Duke tied the score at 87 with 1:41 left to play when R.J. fed Zion for a jumper.  But Gonzaga took the lead for good when Hachimura scored on a layup with 1:15 to go.  From there, Duke had 7 shots on goal without scoring.  R.J. missed a 3 (too quick, but going for the lead); Javin got the board, but Hachimura blocked Tre’s layup.  Duke kept the ball.  Clark blocked R.J.’s attempted layup; Hachimura blocked R.J.’s jumper.  Clark missed both free throws after R.J fouled him, but R.J. missed a contested layup with 14 seconds left.  White grabbed the rebound but missed the putback.  Hachimura got the board, was fouled by White, but he, too, missed both free throws.  Duke down 1 with 10 seconds left; one last chance.  R.J. was frustrated again by Hachimura on his last ditch effort to tie.  What a fabulous (even if not a winning) comeback!  Duke has heart.

Zion – While he wasn’t the 80% shooter and unstoppable force he had been in the first 4 games, he played a whale of a game.  In 37 minutes, he scored 22 (8-17; 0-1 from 3land; and critically, 6-6 from the line) to go with 10 boards; 4 blocks; 2 assists and 2 steals.  He was heroic on both ends.  His spirit and motor drove Duke.  He was simply terrific.

Javin – Although he only played 15 minutes, they were impactful minutes.  In addition to the dunk (his only field goal attempt), he was 4-6 from the line, garnered 6 rebounds, and played ferocious defense (but still committed 3 fouls in only 15 minutes).  He and Tre were the Duke players in the post-game interview.  Coach K praised him, “In the last 10 minutes he played like he can.”

Jack – He is such a glue guy.  He made his only 3 point attempt (his other shot was the offensive rebound that didn’t go with 11 seconds left in the game).  He had 5 rebounds and an assist before fouling out at the end of his 25 minutes of playing time (starter minutes).

What Duke can learn from

R.J.’s efforts at the game’s end; he took it on himself to tie or win the game.  This highlights what Bill and I think is a problem.  R.J. took 16 second half shots (25 for the game), which makes Duke’s offense unbalanced.  No Zag took more than 14 shots for the entire game.  Barrett led Duke in scoring with 23 points (9-25; 1-4 from deep; and a troubling 4-8 from the line).  He is a great player, but he should not be taking three times as many shots as Cam, for example, who took 9 shots in foul plagued 25 minutes.  Cam scored 10 on 3-9 from the field (2-4 from deep and 2-2 from the line), but had a strong second half, scoring 8 of his 9 in his 9 second half minutes, including 2-2 from deep.

R.J. has missed more shots this season than any player on Duke has taken, except Zion.  In 6 games, R.J. is 51-125 (meaning he has missed 74 shots); 12-38 from deep; and 23-32 from the line.  These are not the statistics of one who is touted to be a #1 NBA draft pick.  By comparison, only Zion has taken more shots than R.J. has missed (Zion is 49-75); Cam is 29-69; Tre 21-45 and White is 15-31.  This is a dynamic team with talented players.  R.J. cannot continue to dominate Duke’s shooting if Duke is to reach its potential.  He also has to give up his “Alpha Male gene” at game’s end and seek the player who has an open shot.  Good shots, as opposed to forced shots, win games.

Reddish has been a foul plagued problem, which has adversely impacted him at both ends of the court.  He will be so much more valuable when he learns to defend at this level without fouling.  He is such a smooth player, good shooter (from behind the line, on the drive and at the foul line) and versatile defender, that Duke should be benefitting more from his skill and talent.

Duke needs to be able to defend better with Bolden at the back line.  Duke needs the Auburn Bolden.  There are not many teams with big guys who can draw Marques away from the basket as Gonzaga did.  Duke will mix and match on defense with Bolden, DeLaurier, Zion and White playing the interior, depending on game situations.

Perhaps the biggest lesson Duke learned from this early season loss, is the requirement to bring full passion for each game from the beginning.  As Coach K said, Duke was ready, but not as ready as Gonzaga was emotionally.  In the post-game interview, Javin said that in the last 14 minutes Duke played together and with emotion to get back in the game.  If Duke can learn that, this was a great game for Duke even though it goes in the L column.

Next game is Tuesday, November 27 at 9:30 (p.m.) against Indiana.  Duke is traditionally ferocious after a loss.  I almost feel sorry for the Hoosiers.

Duke 90 – Indiana 69

Well, if anyone was wondering how the Blue Devils would respond to the loss against Gonzaga, they got the answer tonight in Cameron against Indiana. Duke played the first half like they did the last eight minutes in Maui and were up 53- 29 (while missing 7 free throws) at half time. Actually, they were losing some focus or intensity or interest in the waning minutes before the half, so Coach K called a time out. The result was a 9-0 run to close out the initial twenty minutes to more or less put the game on ice. Makes you wonder he doesn’t regret doing that at the end of the Gonzaga game. 

Duke started the game in a zone press, hounding Indiana (5-1) in its half-court offense with pressure man-to-man defense that led to turnovers, open court opportunities, and high wire shows that are these Blue Devils calling card. Duke only scored 4 points in the first five minutes of the second half, matched by 5 turnovers, and 4 fouls. So, Krzyzewski called a timeout, yanked off his jacket, fired it into the crowd, and had a few blistering comments for his precocious teenagers. The result were several SportsCenter Slamma Jamma highlights by Zion and R.J. that had an excited Scott Van Pelt, a Maryland grad, proclaiming like most of us that he was not going to miss any Duke games this season. Just to make it an ACC enemy’s list unanimous capitulation, Johnny Tar Heel reluctantly has confessed the same thing.

Although a blowout, Duke’s play was far from perfect. Looking at some of the stats, you might have thought it was a close game. The Devils shot 59% from the foul line, committed 24 fouls, had 14 turnovers, was out-rebounded by three. However, as much as the Williamson/Barrett show mesmerized the fans, the most significant play of the game–the one that signified lessons learned–was at the end of the half. Unlike the Gonzaga loss, when Williamson and the world watched R.J. Barrett try unsuccessfully to beat the Zags all by himself, there was a distinctly different approach tonight. Duke was holding for a final shot of the half and again Barrett had the ball. This time Coach K gestured for Barrett to pass the ball to Williamson. Zion successfully navigated the Indiana defense like a slalom racer, went one way, spun back to the other, leaned toward the bucket, and softly laid the ball into the basket. “I know what he can do, so I’m excited about what he is going to do,” Krzyzewski said. “After the trip, we’ve done some things to get him the ball more. That’s just the evolution of your team. So we were able to do that tonight, including at the end of the half, we were able to do a 4-5 ball screen. He’ll keep getting the ball.”  However, it is not just the gravity defying dunks. It’s the  sensational blocks that look like a volleyball spike, the defensive plays and steals, the diving for loose balls, the assist after slipping on a wet floor. The Williamson Show is must see TV.

Fortunately, Zion and R.J. are roommates and good buddies as this post-game exchange demonstrated. Williamson and Barrett often assist each other with well-placed lobs. Zion  was asked who throws better lobs, himself or Barrett. He responded: “See, that’s a trick question. I throw better lobs, but people will say he throws them better, because of the way I finish them. The finish will look better. But I think my pass is better. He knows I’m joking, he knows I’m joking.” The reporter: Are you, though? “Not really,” Williamson said with a broad smile, before breaking into laughter again.

Miscellaneous Comments:

  • Duke extended its non-ACC home-winning streak to 142 games, is 18-2 in the ACC-Big Ten Challenge, and is 7-3 against Indiana.
  • While The Four Freshmen outscored the Hoosiers 75-69, Cam Reddish continues to struggle with too many cheap fouls and inconsistent play. Actually, Jack White is more effective and, as a result, is getting more minutes. On the other hand, Tre Jones is not struggling. Tonight, he had 15 points, 8 assists and 0 turnovers. The point guard has 41 assists against eight turnovers on the season.
  • Question: If Barrett misses a three, Williamson rebounds it and slams it home, does R.J. get an assist?
  • Jay Bilas added his usual incisive comments, which always add to the enjoyment of the game.
  • Mike Krzyzewski said of Jones’s defense: “He’s in that room where Amaker, Hurley, Wojo, Duhon, and Silber (just wanted to be sure you were paying attention) are as far as on-the-ball pressure. He has such will and determination.

Alan adds:  

After the Maui loss to Gonzaga, I wrote, “Next game is Tuesday, November 27 at 9:30 (p.m.) against Indiana.  Duke is traditionally ferocious after a loss.  I almost feel sorry for the Hoosiers.”  I’m bragging, of course.  Duke was, in fact, ferocious from the opening tip – as if the Devils could reverse the loss to The Zags, by beating the living hell out of the Hoosiers.  And that the young Blue Devils did beat the living hell out of Indiana.  On both ends of the court!  Duke demonstrated just how effective this team can be on the defensive end when it plays with the intensity demonstrated in the opening stanza.  Coach K termed Duke’s first half performance as “outstanding”, and the second half as “disjointed” (which he blamed on the lateness of the game – which was scheduled to start at 9:30 p.m. to secure the largest west coast audience).  Duke’s bench was on full display in the second half (Indiana outscored Duke 40-37) with R.J. limited to only 8 minutes, and Zion to 11.  After R.J. had an efficient first half, it was as if he ran completely out of gas in a nightmarish second half.  In the latter stanza, R.J. committed 4 fouls in 8 minutes (fouling out) while turning it over 5 times.  R.J. has not been as good in the second half this season.  The first half was the game; so, this analysis will concentrate on the “outstanding” first half.

The team statistics tell the story.  Duke was 18 for 28 inside the arc (Zion was 9-10; 2 of his 3 first half misses came from 3land) and forced 13 Hoosier turnovers.  The Indiana’s heralded stars, Langford (3-10; 0-2 from deep; 2-4 from the line) and Morgan (1-5 for 2 points) were held in check, while the Duke three quarter court press simply wrecked the Hoosier’s offensive plan.  Duke was not only a wrecking crew with the press, the Devils were also superb in the half-court defense (really talking to each other), holding Indiana to 33% shooting.  Tre’s on the ball defense is brilliant.  Coach K pointed out that he almost got about 5 additional steals where he applied disrupting pressure but just missed getting the ball.  Duke protected the rim (blocks by Zion, R.J. and Bolden) and held their own on the boards (R.J. 8; Tre 5 and Zion 4)  On offense Duke had 9 assists (Tre had 5; Bolden 2) with only 4 turnovers (2 of them from reserves DeLaurier – 2 fouls in 5 minutes – and O’Connell in his 2 minute first half cameo).  Of course, the biggest team statistics are: 1) holding Indiana to 29 first half points; and 2) scoring 53.  And, Indiana is NOT a weak team.

The rotation in the first half was tight: Barrett (19); Zion (18); Tre (16); White (15) and Bolden (12) were the only double digit minutes guys.  White played 6 minutes more than the struggling Reddish, whose nightmarish first half was followed by an efficient (hopefully confidence restoring) second half (he led the Devils in second half scoring with 10).  DeLaurier played 5, Goldwire 4 and Alex 2.    Zion led the scoring with an efficient and defense (or soul) destroying 19 points (9-12; 0-2 from 3; 1-2 from the line) to go with 4 rebounds, a block, a steal and an assist.  It was a world class performance.  R.J. was an efficient scoring teammate with 15 first half points (6-13; 1-3 from deep; 2-3 from the line) to go with 8 boards (led Duke) and a block while committing only 1 foul and 0 turnovers.  Their back to back dunks were a highlight.  Jack White and Trey Jones were also efficient.  Each scored 8.  White was 2-3 from deep and 2-2 from the line, while Tre was 4-6 from the field.  Cam was the only other Duke first half scorer – 3 points on 1-6; 1-3 from deep; and 0-3 from the line – in his frustrating first half.  Bolden played well without scoring – 2 assists and a block without a foul or turnover.

For the game only Tre (32 minutes) and White (30) played more than 29 minutes.  Zion played 29; R.J, 27; Bolden 23 (0 points, but 2 assists, 3 blocks, 3 boards and 2 steals).  Reddish played 22 minutes (his 13 second half minutes with 10 points were redemptive).  He drained a pair of 3s and made a superb driving layup to go with 2-4 from the line in the last stanza.  DeLaurier played 12 efficient minutes – efficient except for his continuous fouling – 4 in 12 minutes.  Alex (5-6 from the line in the second half) and Goldwire each played 11 minutes.

The level of competition drops for the next four games, all in Cameron.  Duke will be working on its man to man defense and communication.

Stetson on Saturday (December 1) at 7 pm.  Followed by Hartford (12-5), Yale (12-8); and Princeton (12-18) before playing Texas Tech in the World’s Most Famous Arena on 12-20.

Duke 113- Stetson 49 

Since Stetson (1-7) lost all their starters from last year’s team, I guess you could say this year Stetson, which shot 32 percent and committed 27 turnovers, is: “All hat and no cattle.”

Other than that bad pun, there were only a few takeaways from this mismatch:

Coach K:: “Two of the guys that really didn’t score had the biggest impact on the game, and that’s Tre [Jones] and Jack [White]. They’re just such good teammates. Tre goes another game where he doesn’t turn the ball over, has 7 assists, and was all over the place defensively. Jack had 9 rebounds in 15 minutes. I think he reluctantly shot the ball, which is why he missed… This is a rough stretch because of all the academic work that has to be done now”…On using defense to start a play: “They know that—it’s the best way to start a play. That, and defensive rebounding by the perimeter, if you can get both of those with multiple ball handlers. Obviously, the best way to have transition is to turn someone over with a live ball because you can have the numerical advantage. If you get it off of a defensive board, you may not have the numerical advantage, but you have mismatches. A guy who was supposed to guard you is guarding someone else. It forces the team to talk more. The more we get of that, the better we’re going to be.”

Miscellaneous Comments:

  • Duke played a lot harder and more intensity than they did in a similar situation against Army.
  • Even announcer Corey Alexander’s stream-of-conscious ramblings stumbled across the fact that this year’s team is much better defensively than last year’s edition. What he did not mention is that this year’s freshmen parents are just content to watch their kids play.
  • For whatever reason(s), Cam Reddish was more aggressive on both ends of the floor and Coach K gave him more minutes than any other starter. He responded with 23 points in 23 minutes.
  • Practically everything R.J. Barrett threw up went in as he was 12-14 from the floor for 26 points, 7 rebounds, 7 assists, and 4 steals in just 17 minutes.
  • I am really impressed with Alex O’Connell’s shooting and athleticism (but not his hair styles). He had three long threes and is shooting 50% from behind the arc. Unfortunately, Alex and Justin Robinson are statistically Duke’s best three point shooters.
  • One criticism: Again, lousy free throw shooting.
  • With his parents in the stands, how cool was it to see reserve Justin Robinson go 3 for 3 from three point land, then make a steal and go coast to coast for a dunk as the entire Duke bench of starters celebrated like they had just won the NCAA Tournament. Even the stoic Admiral gave his son a standing O!
  • For the record:  Duke’s home non-conference winning streak now stands at an amazing 143 straight games – the nation’s longest active streak. Head coach Mike Krzyzewski’s record at Duke is now 1,034-280 in his 39th season. His overall record is 1,107- 339 in this, his 44th season.

Alan Adds:

It is hard to discern the important takeaways for Duke from this preposterous mismatch in talent that masqueraded as a basketball contest.  Every Duke player looked All-World.  However, I found several impressive aspects of Duke’s performance that auger well for the season.  As usual, I start with defense because I believe Duke’s potential at tournament time will depend on how well this group perfects the justly famous and (formerly) feared Duke man to man defense. Duke is an excellent pressing team as today’s game graphically demonstrated.  But Gonzaga proved that a terrific ball handling team with experience can (did) outplay Duke’s press.  Therefore, in my view, Duke will have to be an excellent half court man to man defensive team to make a deep run at tournament time.   How is this group doing with that development?   The short answer is (except for the first half against Gonzaga) pretty damn well!  The first seven have been superb (Alex can still fall asleep more than the others, but is improving) in communicating, switching to guard the penetration, protecting the rim, guarding the three point line, and forcing turnovers.  Against Stetson, Duke had 19 steals (4 by Barrett and 3 by Tre), forced 26 turnovers and had 5 blocks (Bolden, DeLaurier 2, White, and Justin R).  Ok, it was Stetson; but still, Duke held Stetson to 10 points in 14 minutes during the last part of the first half.  Fabulous defense played with intensity.  That is impressive even if the opponents were functionally The Little Sisters of the Poor.  The Duke press was so explosive in the first 4:08 of the second half  (outscoring Stetson 20-4) that Coach K called off the dogs, “we weren’t going to get anything out of continuing to do that.” and played his bench and half-court defense for the rest of the final stanza.

To give you an idea of what Coach K calls “explosive”, consider that R.J and Tre played only those opening four minutes of the second half, while Zion and Cam logged just a few minutes more — seven minutes each.  In those brief minutes, the three high scoring freshman scored 23 points on 13 shots.  R.J. must have set some kind of record by going 5-5 from the field, including 2-2 from deep for 12 points, 2 assists, a rebound and a steal in just 4 minutes.  Zion was 3-4 (his miss was his only attempt at a 3) with 4 boards and 3 steals in those 7 minutes.  Reddish actually missed two shots  from the field, scoring his 5 second half points to go with an efficient and gaudy 18 first half points in just 16 first half minutes.  What a coming out party it was for him! (6-11 – most shots for Duke; R.J. was second with 9 – 4-8 from 3land and 2-2 from the line).  Justin Robinson acquitted himself brilliantly by scoring 13 points in his 12 minutes (5-5; 3-3 from deep; 0-1 from the line) to go with a board, a block and a steal.  It even got The Admiral to his feet cheering his son.  Alex led Duke in minutes played in the second half (14), scoring 9 on 3-5 from deep (3-6 from the field) to go with 4 rebounds and 2 assists.  Alex is a valuable rebounder for a thin guard as well as a good stand still shooter.

Coach K pointed to the academic pressure at exam time.  This week projects and papers are due.  Next week is exams.  Duke plays Hartford on Wednesday at 7 and Yale (which beat Miami last night) on Saturday, December 8 at 7 p.m.

Duke 84- Hartford 54 

If Duke plays the way they did against many teams like they did in the first twenty-five minutes against Hartford, they will have a disappointing season. To their credit, the well-coached Hawks followed the Gonzaga model: being patient on offense, defensively clogging the lane, and challenging Duke to beat them from the outside. The Blue Devils contributed to the strategy work by becoming the Duke All-Thumbs Bricklayers. Cam Reddish, the best three point shooter, bageled five for the half, and Flyin’ Zion missed two point blank dunks (“I don’t know what was going on with me. I’ve never missed dunks like that before, not even when I’m just messing around. It’s very frustrating but if I can’t play within myself, I have to still play hard for my teammates.”), while allowing Hartford to be down only 33-24 at the break, making Duke fans as well as Las Vegas bookmakers very nervous.

After more of the same to start the second half, Coach K called time, angrily spiked his folding chair several times on his very own personalized court to be sure (I assume) it stayed in place as he emphatically  lectured his young students in a vernacular not normally heard in a Duke classroom. Whatever the message, it elicited better effort which netted about fifty points in the remaining sixteen minutes. DeLaurier (10 points, 4 rebounds, 5 blocks and 3 steals in 19 minutes) played most of Bolden’s minutes in the second half and with his athleticism and hustle had his best performance of the season. Barrett, just a relentless scoring machine, had a 27-15 double-double, as did Williamson 18-12. On a breakaway, Zion was teeing the crowd up for another monster jam when he unexpectedly softly kissed the ball high off the backboard for his trailing roommate to make a two handed slam. The selfless, unexpected finesse play brought the house down and guaranteed a spot on SportsCenter. 

The bottom line is that on a night they came out flat against a team of seniors who won 19 games last season–one in the CIT–and started five seniors, Duke never did find the range from downtown, shooting 5-for-26 on 3s, with Reddish a woeful 1-for-9, the Blue Devils still won by thirty as they were 30-43 on two-pointers, outscored Hartford 36-3 in fast-break points, out-rebounded Hartford 46-32, while forcing 21 turnovers, with 15 steals and 10 blocks.

Coach K had some interesting post game comments:

“This week is that time of the year that’s been very difficult for our teams over the last 10 years. Exams are next week; often this week is harder than exams because of all the projects and papers. Sometimes the end of a course is this week, not next week. That changed about 10 years ago. A lot of times we don’t schedule a game during the week this week. We usually schedule it on Saturday. Just because we had to get games in, this year we did. We know what can happen.

On Javin [DeLaurier]: “He’s playing great. He’s playing more like he played in Canada. He’s getting into a rhythm right now. When you play against these teams that have five position-less people or they don’t play a low post, it requires that fifth guy to guard the ball. Javin can do that. The lineup that we had in when we extended was when we had Jack [White] in there with the four freshmen, but then Javin came in and kept it up. I thought Alex [O’Connell] actually did a good job in the second half.”

On discovering Jack White: “We were looking at tape of guys. I saw him on tape and I said, ‘I like his bounce, his size.’ I checked with our friends in Australia, the people I’ve gotten to know internationally. They didn’t say he’s a great player, but they said he’s a great kid and a good student. He’s followed the more traditional thing of not being as good as a freshman, being okay as a sophomore, and then kind of changing his body. Not just kind of, he’s lost 12 pounds, he’s a really good athlete right now, and is really strong. That’s happened in our program, when we have guys for a longer period. He’s been a huge asset for us.

Making history (This drives Johnny Tar Heel crazy): Mike Krzyzewski’s record at Duke is now 1,035-280 in his 39th season. His overall record is 1,108- 339 in this, his 44th season. Duke’s home non-conference winning streak now stands at 144 games – the nation’s longest active streak.

Alan Adds:

Coach K seemed rather proud of the way his team turned the game around, and it led him to talking about the defensive potential of this team.  He was also a bit defensive about the performance of his recent past teams on that end of the court.  “We’ve played some pretty great defense in my 39 years here.”  Indeed the Devils have … but not really since the 2015 end of the season.  He recognizes the potential of this team to be elite defensively, and also that these youngsters are not quite there yet.

Human nature humbled Duke in the first half.  Hartford is a losing team from a weak conference.  But Hartford also started 5 seniors with wily veteran guards.  Duke couldn’t put the ball in the ocean from the perimeter.  Consider that without R.J.’s 3-4 from behind the arc, Duke was 2-22 for the game from deep.  Duke had no energy on defense, and the lowly Stags were only down 5 late in the first half.  Duke’s press was frustrated.  Coach K said, “They played harder than we did for the first 22 minutes; then we turned it around.”  He pointed out that no matter what defense an opponent throws up in the half court, a team can have a night where the shots just do not fall.  However, if the Duke press causes turnovers, Duke WILL SCORE IN TRANSITION!  He credited Tre for turning the team on with his pressing defense; then everyone got into the fun.  In the last 16 minutes, the Duke pressure destroyed Hartford.  Duke’s 8 point lead with a shade over 12 minutes to go simply ballooned to over 30 courtesy of the press and defense at the rim.  Javin had 5 second half blocks! [5!].  Bolden only saw 3 second half minutes, though he logged 15 for the game.  Coach K:  When the opponents have a low post player, Marques is excellent, but when teams play 5 out (as Hartford and Gonzaga both did), Javin can guard on the perimeter better than Bolden.  Javin’s 11 second half minutes were simply scintillating: (3-3 from the floor; 5 blocks; 2 assists, 3 rebounds and a steal).  In the second half alone.  Coach K also credited Jack White (“we had the four freshmen and White on the floor when we broke the game open.”).  Duke’s rotation is 9 deep for now (Goldwire spells Tre for a few minutes in each half; I doubt Goldwire will play that much once conference play begins.

It is worth mentioning R.J.’s game and especially his second half.  He scored 27 points on 14 shots (same number that Zion took) in 36 minutes (10-14; 3-4 from deep; a disappointing 4-7 from the line) to go with 15 rebounds, 4 assists and a block.  In the second half, he scord 17 points in 18 minutes (6-6 from the field; 1-1 from deep).

By contrast, what is the problem with Cam Reddish, who had a nightmare game.  In 31 minutes, he scored only 5 (2-12; 1-9 from deep; he did not get to the line) to go with only 2 rebounds and 3 turnovers.  He did have 4 assists and 4 steals.  Duke is going to need him, and he is in a real slump.

Saturday, December 8 vs Yale at 5:30 (EST) on ESPN.

Duke 91 – Yale 58 

Shortly after Dr. Richard Brodhead, Dean of Yale College, accepted the presidency of Duke University, one of his students congratulated him and commented: “Duke is Yale on steroids.” And this was in 2004 before anyone had seen Zion Williamson– or the 2018-19 version of Duke basketball that, despite missing 12 three point shots and 9 free throws wore down, blitzed a good Yale team (they had just beaten California and Miami) by 33 points.

Unlike last year, Duke compensated for poor shooting by playing an energetic, effective pressing defense that forced the Bulldogs into 23 turnovers and 9 steals which they converted into the margin of victory. However, like the Hartford game, it was a close for most of the first half and the Blue Devils were only up by nine at the break. Interestingly,  the momentum for that spread was supplied by subs Alex O’Connell and Jack White. Beside the missed threes and free throws, the only negative is that Tre Jones night was cut short after suffering a lower body injury midway through the second half on a collision at mid-court. The Apple Valley, Minn., native would return  briefly but immediately return to the bench. To emphasize how important Tre’s on ball pressure is, Coach K said; “To fight Tre the whole night is the key (to our defense). That makes it easier for all of our other guys to play defense. If we become the team that we’re going to be defensively, Tre will be as valuable a defender as there is in the country because of what he does. Similar to when Wojo [Steve Wojciechowski] got Defensive Player of the Year, or Tommy Amaker … everyone should recognize the value of pressure and how we’re trying to put our team together”.

On Javin DeLaurier’s play: “He’s playing with a lot of confidence and talking. He’s such a good athlete when he’s playing loose that we can switch that one through five. He ran the court well with good hands. I’d rather have him not become a playmaker. He needs to just grab it. But he’s doing a really good job. He’s in a really good place and he’ll just get better.”

On Alex O’Connell’s defensive play: “He’s making a lot of progress on defense. He’s a heck of an athlete, and he’s got really good quickness. Out of everything, we’re spending a lot of time on our defense. For the denial, or what we call contesting, he’s got great feet. He’s 6’5/6’6 and long. He got his hands on a couple today. That was a big game for him. One, it helped us, and two, he really did something, instead of only hitting a shot. It was good. We just have to keep seeing progress from these guys.”

A gracious head Coach James Jones: “I told Coach (Krzyzewski) before the game that what he has created down here is nothing short of tremendous. (Dean who?) It is kind of an American icon, this arena and how the game is played and the fans and how they’re into every single possession and every second. It’s a wonderful experience for our guys to be a part of and to see how it’s developed over the years.”

Miscellaneous Comments:

  • Cam Reddish is in a shooting slump and it is apparent that Coach is running plays for him to get his confidence back. So far, it hasn’t worked. He is even missing free throws. However, he had 4 steals.

Minute for minute, Jack White, who had a career-high 12 rebounds (surpassing the 11 he had versus Kentucky) and 9 points to finish a point shy of his first career double-double, is the most productive player on the team.

  • Marquis Bolden has regressed against these two smaller, quicker teams. Rather than going up strong to the rim, he appears hesitant or indecisive..but whatever,  his playing time is diminishing. On top of that DeLaurier is playing his best basketball on both ends of the floor. If he could just eliminate those silly fouls…
  • There are a lot of reasons to like Zion Williamson and his effort and hustle are two of them. While chasing a fast break and unsuccessfully attempting to knock the ball from the  point guard, he paused and emphatically spiked the attempted layup by the unsuspecting player.
  • During the 50-26 second half blowout, the Cameron Crazies, who get Princeton in ten days, were chanting: “We want Harvard.”
  • My long time buddy “All Prep Ep” suggests that teams, along with player’s height & weight, also list their SAT & GPA scores.

Alan Adds:

I’m writing Alan Adds from a beach in Key West, after watching it while at a NORML (National Organization for the Reform of the Marijuana Law) Legal Seminar.  Thus, this analysis comes with a heightened consciousness and may sound somewhat “mellow”.

The Coach K press conferences have been revealing.  It has been a while since I have heard and seen Coach K so positive about the progress of his team.  He has extolled the improvement since the season began but has told the press that the team is a long way from what it will be at tournament time.  He has had players as heralded as this group before without sounding so positive. It is worth exploring why this sunny Coach K.

The answer is DEFENSE!  Duke is back to the high pressure Coach K man to man defense.  The answer is also the depth (perhaps unexpected based on last year’s performance) that has emerged.  DeLaurier, White, Bolden and O’Connell have contributed on both ends of the court.  There are lineups where Duke can switch 1 through 5, which makes it difficult for the opponents to get to the rim.  Duke is blocking shots at a record breaking rate.  The pressure defense is forcing turnovers (and steals) that turn into transition baskets.  Of course, this defense starts with Tre (Goldwire has also had good minutes pressuring the ball when Tre gets a breather).  His ball pressure is the calling card that makes this defense go.

The pressure defense is one reason (and a main one) why Duke has destroyed well coached (but less talented) veteran teams in the second half.  The pressure induces fatigue (which, as Vince Lombardi once famously said, “makes cowards of us all”) which made Hartford and Yale simply wilt in the closing stanza.

Reddish, who has been in a shooting slump, broke out of it in the second half with 8 points in 16 minutes, while playing an excellent floor game (2 assists and 2 steals). Cam was 3-4 shooting from inside the arc (2-2 from the line, but 0-3 from deep).  Coach K was pleased with his second half and expressed the hope Cam will build on it.

R.J.’s second half (and defense for the entire game) is worth mentioning.  He held the Yale star, Oni, to a single field goal, while scoring 18 points in 17 minutes (5-9;2-6 from 3land; and a gaudy 6-7 from the line) to go with 5 rebounds and 5 assists.

Two more games before Xmas and the beginning of ACC games.

Next game: Princeton. Tuesday, December 18. 6 pm. ESPN 2

Duke  101- Princeton 50 

The Blue Devils started the game on both offense and defense as if they had pulled all-nighters for the last week studying for exams. They missed their first eight shots and were down 13-8 with twelve minutes to go but closed the half out 39-26. Oh wait, they had just come off exam week but actually slow starts have been the rule not the exception for this team. As Alan will remind you in more detail, the first game of the season—the blowout of that cupcake, Kentucky, where they scored 59 points in both halves—was the only one in which this team played consistently for a full forty minutes. I call it the Golden State Warriors Syndrome—mess around, then flip the switch and blow out the opponent. The only trouble is this: Duke is good, but they don’t have Steph and Durant and threes and free throws are their weak link, so it didn’t work against a top team like Gonzaga.

We are used to seeing Duke teams make a game changing run–especially in Cameron–that gives them separation that turns into a winning margin. However, this team is something else because of their defense, speed, unselfishness, and athleticism, so when they get the pedal on the metal, they turn the game into a track meet and SportsCenter highlight reel.

An inconvenient truth is that Cam Reddish’s underperformance may be a major reason for the sluggish starts and the antidote has been Jack White, who is clearly out performing Cam by any metric. No disrespect but the Stetson’s, Hartford’s, Yale’s and Princeton’s are not ACC caliber teams, so what to do when league play starts? Will it take another loss for Coach K to invoke tough love and bring Reddish off the bench as sixth man? And if so how fragile is Cam’s ego or is it the move that light’s a fire that ignites this multi-talented high school phenon? Just the fact that B.J. is as good as advertised and Flyin’ Zion is better than advertised and is the poster player for college basketball should be motivation enough—but you never know what goes on in a teenagers head. And speaking of a teenager’s head, Alex O’Connell improved defense to go with his obvious offensive skills is playing his way into Coach K’s heart and rotational minutes. This is becoming a deep team.

Miscellaneous Comments: 

Williamson was almost down for the count twice. The first time he caught an elbow on the mouth that took him out of the game for some medical attention on the bench. Then later, he went for a block  and appeared to hit his head on the glass back board. Both he and the backboard survived.

The second half was a clinic. The Devils had 10 blocks, 7 steals, and many deflections that contributed to scoring 62 points. “They got so many deflections,” Princeton coach Mitch Henderson lamented. “Stuff we haven’t seen before.”  It all starts with Duke’s defense: point guard Tre Jones on ball pressure backed up with plenty of length and athleticism on the wings.

Coach Mitch Henderson: ”Boy, that’s a really good team. They’re even better in person.”

Alan Adds: 

Now the season starts.  After the Maui trip, Duke has played 5 games in Cameron’s friendly confines against suspect competition: Indiana (Big 10 Challenge), Stetson, Hartford, Yale and Princeton.  Thursday (tomorrow), Duke will play Texas Tech in the World’s most famous arena (Madison Square Garden, just a mile from my home).  The Red Raiders come into the game unbeaten (10-0), ranked 11th in the Coach’s poll and 9th in ESPN.  So far, the Red Raiders lead the nation in defense.  One team scored 67 points and another 62.  Two teams managed 52; in the remaining 6 wins, Texas Tech held its opponents in the 40s.  They will try and slow The Devils on offense and avoid the live ball turnovers that lead to Duke’s devastating transition game.  Then Duke is off for the holidays until the ACC season begins on January 5 in Cameron against Clemson.  Then two road games against Wake and highly ranked Florida State.  Remember last year’s first two ACC road games for highly rated freshmen (bad losses to lowly ranked BC and NC State).  Now the season starts.

Let’s dispense with the first 14 minutes of the Princeton game, and call it simply wiping the rust off.  First (and foremost), Duke could not put the ball in the ocean, and settled for deep (missed) shots (1-11 for first 12 3 point attempts).  Second, Duke forgot about Princeton and its “back door” offense.  Princeton smoked Duke early; both Zion and Javin were beaten easily back door and Princeton was launching (and making) open 3s.  The defense revived before the offense.  Princeton had 16 points after 9:10 had elapsed, but could manage only 10 in the final 11 minutes. In fact, it turned out to be Duke’s best defensive effort of the year – 14 blocks; 12 steals and forced 19 Tiger turnovers.  Princeton was held to 26 points in the first half and 24 in the closing stanza – 35 points in 31 minutes.   Tre Jones is an amazing defender.  He took on the Tiger guard who plays with R.J. on the Canadian National team, and who has been scoring in bunches since his recent return from injury.  Tre simply took his heart (and energy) out with intense on-the-ball-in-your-face defensive pressure.  R.J. held Princeton’s leading scorer in check with his length and quickness.  R.J. is not just about scoring.  Jack White is also proving to be a stopper and valuable individual and team defender.  Zion, Javin and Bolden protected the rim.  Cam’s defense is – for the moment – way ahead of his offense.  He had a block and 2 steals – one of which was spectacular, partly because it was followed by a floor length pass to the streaking R.J. for a highlight real hoop.

Duke’s offense did not get rolling until almost 14 minutes of the game had passed.  With only 5:45 to go in the first half, Duke had been limited to 16 points.  In the next 25:45 (1 minute longer than an NBA half) Duke scored 85 points (23 in the last 5:45 of the first half and a dazzling 62 in the last stanza).  The second half was virtually perfect.  Consider R.J.  After launching 14 first half shots (5-14; 0-3 from deep) – second most were Zion and Cam with 5 shots each), Barrett put in a scintillating 8 second half minutes, scoring 14 efficient points on 7 shots (6-7; 2-2 from the line), finishing drives spectacularly.  He grabbed 2 board and handed out 2 assists.  For the game he had 27 (including 5-6 from the line) to go with 6 boards.  Jack White had 10 points in 20 minutes.  Zion was superb with 17 points (9 in the closing stanza) in 26 minutes (6-8 from the field; 1-2 from deep; 4-5 from the line) to go with a game high 10 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 blocks (and several altered shots), and 3 steals.  Tre played only 7 minutes in the closing half.  Coach K rested his regulars, getting ready for tomorrow night’s game in Madison Square Garden against Texas Tech.

Duke’s offense has been off the charts since the season started, producing half of 50 points or more 9 times in 11 games.  In addition, Duke has halves scoring 49, 48 and 48.  Consider: Kentucky – 59/59; Army – 50 in the first half; Eastern Michigan – 48 (first half); San Diego State – 49 (first half); Gonzaga – 48 (second half); Indiana – 53 (first half); Stetson – 59/54; Hartford – 52 (second half); Yale – 50 (2nd half); Princeton – 62 (second half).  Auburn alone held Duke somewhat in check (41 in the first half), but still never got closer than double figures in the game.

The Season starts now.

Next Game: #9 Texas Tech (10-0). Thursday 7:00 ESPN2. Madison Square Garden

Duke 69 -Texas Tech 58 

There are some things in life and sports that are inexplicable. Duke’s win tonight is one of them. For most of the game, I thought the basketball gods had decided enough was enough with all the glowing publicity and accolades for these young players and decided to teach them a lesson in humility: “Tonight’s not Duke’s night. The ball will not fall.” Candidly, I was mentally preparing to write that the Blue Devils brought their show to Broadway and bombed, which they did for all but the about fifteen of the forty minutes. I should have known better. I have seen this movie too many times. But still, it defied logic and the law of averages. One of the reasons Alan and I do this is in admiration of Coach K’s teams never, ever giving up and playing hard until the end. In 1992 it was Hill to Laettner. At this time last year, it was Marvin and the Miracles. Even Johnny Tar Heel called to tell me he was impressed with tonight’s win.

Fortunately, with Barrett and Reddish shooting  blanks and Williamson saddled with foul trouble, it was the relentless defense of the least publicized but most important freshman, Tre Jones, that kept Duke in the game.  He was credited with 6 steals but that does not do justice to his disruption of the Tech offense. His defense resulted in multiple offensive opportunities for the Blue Devils, which was the only way they could score in the first period as they looked like they never practiced a half-court offense. Barrett, who is not shy about taking more than his share of shots, took 14 of Dukes 32 first half shots–they weren’t dropping–and Reddish utterly disappeared in the opening twenty as he had 0 points and 6 turnovers. Best supporting roles go to the two junior captains—White (2 of Duke’s 3 three pointers) and DeLaurier—who played relentlessly and productively the entire game.

Never mind that Duke trailed for twenty-five minutes or that it only hit 3 of  20 three point attempts or that its most talented player fouled out in the critical final five minutes. The Blue Devils overcame all these obstacles (mostly of their own making) on the big stage of Madison Square Garden and still beat previously undefeated Texas Tech, 69-58 in an often aesthetically ugly game.  The Red Raiders turned the ball over 24 times and the Blue Devils 19. Combined, the two teams shot a poor 38.5% from the floor, part of which can be contributed to tenacious defenses, part to stage fright.

The good news is that counting missing the front end of one and one’s, the Devils left about 7 potential points off the scoreboard in the first half and had 8 points taken away by charging calls. However, they went 16-18 from the line in the second half and, just as importantly, Barrett became an assist man at a crucial time. Up three with three minutes to go, Barrett was in the same set at the top of the key as he was with the game on the line against Gonzaga. This time he started his drive but passed to a suddenly rejuvenated (8  points & 3 steals) Cam Reddish, who nailed the three to more or less seal the deal. If Cam can consistently play like this and everyone stays healthy, this team can be much more solid and formidable.

As improbably exciting as this finish was, it should also be a teaching moment for these talented freshmen. Poor outside shooting and missed free throws are a receipt for defeat. The balls and the calls are not always going to fall or go your way. Nevertheless, you have to find a way to win. Jones, White and DeLaurier know how, Williamson, Barrett, and Reddish are learning.

Miscellaneous Comments: 

  • I sensed it was going to be a long night when I heard Dickie “Bless his heart” Vitale’s voice. He has become a parody of his former self.
  • Texas Tech is a well-coached team and a tough out. Sophomore Jarrett Culver (25 points) was the most polished, mature offensive player on the floor.
  • Who is surprised? The Blue Devils are 124th and 202nd respectively in the nation in 3-pointers made and 3-point shooting percentage,
  •  Zion Williamson had 17 points, 13 rebounds in only 25 minutes. When he fouled out on a questionable call with 4:50 to go, Duke was +10 with him on the floor and -5 when he wasn’t. However, the Blue Devils continued a 16-3 run to close the game.
  • This was Duke’s 35th win at Madison Square Garden.
  • Alan Adds:

There are many reasons why this December win was significant.  While Zion and R.J. receive the lion’s share of publicity on this team, this is Tre Jones’s team.  At the post-game press conference, Tre and Jack White were the 2 players also interviewed.  They were both poised, articulate and insightful – the theme is the theme for this team – defense.  White, who had an amazing game, said, “defense is a big part of our identity.  We want to be one of the best defensive teams in the country, if not THE BEST.”  Coach K put the defense and Tre’s role on this team in perfect perspective.  “Tre was the key to this game.  He turned it around for us.  Six steals (seemed like more, didn’t it?). He willed the ball in the basket.  All of our guys fed off his effort.  He was magnificent.  He’s as good a defensive point guard as I’ve ever had (mentioning Duhon, Wojo and Hurley), and tonight he may have been better.”  Tre was insightful as well as magnificent.  “We haven’t won a game like this – close, we were behind for the most part against an older and more experienced team.”

Think that was high praise?  Coach K added emotionally, “Real time leadership while the game is going on is the ability to make reads that are usually adjustments at the timeouts.    Tre does that for our team and me the way LeBron and Chris Paul do on Team USA.  This was one of the best performances.”

This was a defensive game for sure.  Coach K said, “we haven’t played against a defensive team like [Texas Tech].  They play beautiful defense.  And indeed they did.  Coach K’s praise was the highest; he compared Texas Tech to the Army team that he captained under Bob Knight.  We didn’t block a lot of shots, but we took a lot of charges.  This was old school.”

Duke scored 41 points in the second half.  Duke scored 19 points in the last 7:13 (at winning time).  The Devils are in superb physical condition, and I think wore the Red Raiders down.  Texas Tech missed 8 shots in a row at the crucial juncture as Duke pulled away to a satisfying win.  The Devils (shockingly) won the game at the foul line (16-18 in the second half).   Zion was 6-6 from the line in the second half (his only second half points – 0-4 from the field.  Cam was 5-6 while Jack and R.J. were each 2-2 from the line in the closing stanza.   Interestingly, Duke used only 6 players in the second half.  Marques did not appear at all; Alex had 6 minutes, but was yanked when his man beat him easily for a layup.  He didn’t play again.  R.J. played the entire half; Tre until the last minute when the game was safe, and Jack 18 minutes.  Zion fouled out in only 12 minutes; Cam and Javin played 13 minutes each.   Duke had more turnovers than assists, both in the half and the game.  More beautiful Red Raider defense.

Zion was an amazing force, leading Duke with 17 points (4-9; 0-2; 9-10 from the line) to go with 13 rebounds (3 on one play showed, as Coach K said, “his competitiveness at the highest level”).  K was asked what was unique about Zion: “did you see him?”  Laughter in the audience.  He was something – rebounds, defense, rim protector as well as scorer (but note the 6 turnovers).  R.J. had a great second half because he adjusted to how he was being defended.  He made “big time plays” because he made the adjustment.  Cam had a terrible first half and then turned his game around.  He made crucial steals, a huge 3, and 5-6 from the line down the stretch.  Coach K said that rebound at the crucial time was “better than if he scored 20 because he did what he did after what he didn’t do .”

Jack White is Duke’s most unsung valuable player.   In 32 minutes, he was 2-3 from behind the arc and 2-2 from the line for 8 points on his 2 shots.  He grabbed five rebounds, had 2 blocks, 2 steals and 2 assists without a turnover and committing only 1 foul.  He played the third most minutes of any Duke player.

For all of those reasons, this was, in my opinion, a very significant win and wonderful sign of how this team is growing up.

The ACC season, which begins for Duke on Jan 5 against Clemson, should be scintillating.  UNC is coming together as fast and efficiently as Duke.  The ‘Heels play Kentucky tomorrow.  I think UVA may be the best team in the country right now (Silber rankings).  The ACC has 5 teams ranked in the top 12.  NC State humbled Auburn and should move up significantly in the rankings.  Auburn learned about playing ACC teams on the road.  It’s hard not to be psyched about this season and this team.

Duke 87 – Clemson 68 

For most of the first half, I thought I was watching the basketball version of the movie “Groundhog Day”—a repeat of last year when Marvin and The Miracles went undefeated and were ranked #1 until the start of the New Year when they were upset by Boston College, then Florida State. Fortunately, this is a different team with a deeper bench, a better point guard, and that plays much better defense, because once again Tre Jones, Jack White and Marquis Bolden provided the spark that gave the Blue Devils an improbable 40-33 halftime lead. Then, Zion Williamson put on another made for SportsCenter highlight show and exhibited why ESPN keeps moving the Duke games to prime time. (Alert: The January 19th Virginia game has been moved to 6pm.)

While Clemson is a very mature college team—the age of the players looks more like an NBA D-League roster—they still made two consecutive bonehead plays at the end of the first half that negated their determined play and very good three point shooting. First, Aamir Simms (1 for 11), apparently suffering from Zion envy, missed a ferocious dunk so badly the ball ricocheted all the way to half court where Tre Jones grabbed it, went in for a fast break layup, but when challenged, deftly dropped the ball behind his back to a trailing Javin DeLaurier for the jam. Then, on the ensuing in-bounds play, Clemson slow walked the ball into a half court ten second violation. Suddenly, a tight game was not so tight.

That’s all an opening the Devils, who seem to be a second half team, needed as they started the final twenty minutes like a Final Four team by running off 12 points and suddenly it was a 19 point lead. The game was essentially over, but Showtime was just beginning. Zion, apparently embarrassed by getting two cheap fouls, air balling a three, and only playing eight first half minutes put on a show of athleticism in scoring and shot blocking that had all 9,314 Cameron attendees jumping up and down like Crazies yelling “Did you see that? Do you believe that!” The piece de resistance was teaming with Tre Jones to steal a ball at half court, take off half way down the lane, do a 360 degree suspended spin, and emphatically tomahawk a jam. If you missed it, a picture of the finish is above or go to YouTube. It was so good that even Johnny Tar Heel immediately called me and asked if I saw Zion set that steal up and noticed J.R. Barrett all the way at the other end of the court jumping up and down in excitement of his roommate’s play. Maybe it’s my imagination but ever since Zion had his lower tooth knocked out by an errant elbow, I sense he has played with more determination and fire. The sheer boyish joy for the game is still his baseline—he is not naturally an angry person or player, he is more like the gentle giant and like a lot of gentle giants does not want to inadvertently hurt anyone—but I think he is toughening up his mindset.

Not so thrilling was the continuing struggles of Cam Reddish, who seems to have lost confidence in all facets (except free throw shooting) of his game. The 6-foot-8 forward, who appeared to be the team’s best three point shooter and most skilled all-round talent, has gradually morphed into an unrecognizable version of the former self we saw in the Kentucky game. He went scoreless in the first half, missing all three of his shots from the field, turning it over five times and getting whistled for three fouls. However, he still is the team’s best free throw shooter—as he demonstrated against Texas Tech. Cam didn’t start the second half supposedly because he had three fouls. In his place was the reliable Jack White, who has yet to start a game in his career, but who clearly is outplaying Reddish and is a later day version of Boston Celtic legendary sixth man John “Hondo” Havlicek. He finished with 12 points, 6 rebounds, 2 blocked shots, and 2 steals in 26 turnover-free minutes. Reddish is a starter but White a bench player in name only.

It sometimes is easy to overlook Tre Jones but he is the team’s most valuable player. He establishes relentless pressure on an opponent’s point guard that is the predicate for loose balls, steals, rush shots, and shot clock violations; sets up the offense; keeps all the scorers happy; and, like tonight, when everyone else struggling offensively, scores until the others get going. He now has 76 assists and only 13 turnovers.

Miscellaneous Observations:

o   Zion Williamson had 25 points, 10 rebounds 2 steals, 2 blocks, 1 goal tend in just 22 minutes against his runner-up school, just an hour from his boyhood home.

o   The somewhat over looked Javin DeLaurier made his only two field-goal attempts, bringing his season mark to 27-for-31.

o   At one point, spanning both halves, Duke outscored Clemson 51-21. The Tigers had only 9 second-half points in the first 10 minutes.

o   Dick Vitale has done a lot to popularize college basketball but the game has moved past him and his ramblings are embarrassing. Why in the world does ESPN let him continue to promote the thoroughly disgraced Rick Pitino for the UCLA or any other college job and go into his “all the country needs is love” soliloquy?

o   “You probably heard that NC State renamed Reynolds: it’s now James T. Valvano Arena at Reynolds Coliseum, which is a bit confusing. Well that wasn’t confusing enough so when you play at Reynolds now, you are playing on the Kay Yow Court inside James T. Valvano Arena at Reynolds Coliseum. Why not make it the Kay Yow Court inside James T. Valvano Arena at Reynolds Coliseum at the Everett Case Pavilion?” [DBR observation]

Alan Adds:

Bill called me after the game and sighed, “I guess we’re a second half team.”   Dickie V said one prescient thing: at half time, he said the first four minutes of the second half would be crucial.  It didn’t take the whole 4 minutes.  Duke had possession to start the half; White hit a 3 immediately.  DeLaurier stole the ball and Barrett hit a three. :43 seconds had elapsed and Duke led by 13.  Then Zion went spectacularly to work, scoring 6 straight on three amazing forays to the hole (cross over, hang in the air, off the backboard) which produced 2 hoops and 2-2 from the free throw line.  2:53 had elapsed and Duke led by 19.  Barrett closed out the three minute and 13 second explosion – fueled by great defense to hold Clemson scoreless – with a medium range jumper that gave Duke a 21 point lead and turned the remainder of the half into garbage time (not quite, but almost).

Offense

Coach K singled out Zion, Tre, R.J. and Jack White for special praise.  Zion had, perhaps, his best game in only 22 minutes.  He committed two first half fouls (“we have to keep him on the court and from committing silly fouls 75 feet from the basket.”), which limited him to 8 minutes in that stanza (“only” 11 points on 5 shot attempts; 4-4 from inside the arc; 0-1 from 3land; 3-5 from the line to go with 4 boards).  Then he came alive ☺!  In fourteen second half minutes, Zion scored 14 (5-6 from the field; 1-2 from deep; 3-4 from the line to go with 4 more rebounds, 2 blocks and 2 steals.)  That means he was 9 for 9 from the field inside the arc and 1-3 from behind it.  9-9 ain’t bad!  Coach K was amusing when discussing Zion’s 360 dunk.  He laughingly said, “We allow that.  There is no ceiling on how many times he can twirl as long as he puts the damn thing in.”

Tre is beginning to gain the respect he  deserves from the journalists.  His defense is superb; his leadership on this team unquestioned, and his ball handling is all one could ask for.  He had 9 assists without a turnover, while scoring 10 in 34 minutes.  He didn’t come out at all in the first half.  R.J. was shy as a shooter (only 14 attempts on which he scored 13 points in 32 minutes) but was acknowledged as playing an excellent floor game (9 rebounds; 4 assists; and a block).  White has been, as Coach K said, “our unsung hero”.  In 29 minutes he took 6 3s (his only shots) and knocked down 4 of them for 12 points.  He earned praise for his hard-nosed defense, tough rebounding, and all around excellent play.

DeLaurier was 2-2 (extending his consecutive streak without a miss; he’s closing in on Alaa Abdelnaby’s school record) playing 9 minutes in each half.  Bolden had an excellent game.  He was 5-10 from the field and 1-2 from the line for 11 points.  He was getting good shots, but missing them in the first half when he played 11 minutes.  If he can make those shots, he will draw a double team (as he did not against Clemson), which will open up more driving lanes.  Strangely, he played only 4 second half minutes (2-2 from the field).

Defense

Duke is playing simply superb defense.  Clemson missed some close in shots, but that was caused by Duke’s superb rim protection.  I admit to being very excited about just how good a defensive team this year’s group is and is becoming.  Our Hall of Fame coach was effusive.  “We played good defense.  Really good defense.  We forced 19 turnovers and got 13 steals against a veteran team with an outstanding backcourt.”  In the early part of the second half when Duke blew the game open, Clemson could score only 9 points in the first 10 minutes (9:59 actually).  “Our defense gave us our offense.”  Coach K pointed out just how hard his team plays on the defensive end.  “If you play hard, with the athletic ability we have, we will play good defense.  These kids want to play good defense.”

ACC games and Road Games

This week will be Duke’s first true road games of the season (Duke has played five neutral court games) when Duke visits Wake on Tuesday (7pm) and Florida State on Saturday (2 pm).  As we have painfully learned, ACC games are different and road games are different.  Kansas, Kentucky, Nevada, and Florida State all lost road games yesterday.  It is worth mentioning the Florida State visit to Charlottesville (ACC road game).  I have said to Bill that at this moment, I think UVA is the best basketball team in the country.  Yesterday, before the Cavaliers took their foot off the gas pedal with a couple of minutes remaining, the Seminoles had been held to only 33 points in almost 38 minutes.  UVA  is not only a great defensive team, but has real offensive fire power from the field (they have really talented shooters; 43% from 3land). With 2:19 left in the game, the Caviliers led the #9 ranked Florida State by 29 points!  Do not be fooled by this opening ACC win.  Every road game will be a war (except maybe Wake, which has been losing with frequency) and the Seminoles will be smarting over that televised whipping.  Over confidence will be a Duke enemy.

Duke 87 – Wake Forest 68 

After watching this Duke team play almost twenty games against a variety of competition, I have a few observations, some more obvious than others: While talented and athletic and skillful, they are most effective in the open court but rather ordinary in executing an half-court offense, shooting threes or free throws. Zion Williamson aside, what sustains this team is their defense, which rarely gives an opponent an easy possession and  the steady baseline to baseline court savvy of Trey Jones. We see it in the fact that this team often appears to start slow and finish fast. Moreover, I think the dynamic is that every team gets sky high to play Duke and that adrenaline rush combined with the unremitting defense allows the Blue Devils to eventually start runs for which Coach K’s teams are famous—only these runs usually are sustained for the rest of the game as opponents just get worn down by the relentlessness of the pressure from a full eight man rotation. 

Tonight’s game was  predictably a pretty mundane, back and forth affair until a few minutes before the half when Duke gained a 42-34 advantage. Then, at the start of  the second half extended and extended the margin. One key was the concentration on double teaming Childress who was limited to 12 points and a  few assists. Reddish’s initial minutes can only be described as awful in all aspects of the game but recovered to play better as the game went on but is still a long way from performing like a high draft pick.  Williamson was wonderful (30 pts, 10 rebs, 5 assts, 4 steals, 3 threes!!) as was the uber consistent Trey Jones (7 assists, 6 pts). Duke which leads the country in blocked shots had 13 tonight, led by Jack White’s 5 (that’s a career total for some players). Marques Bolden appears to be much more comfortable and productive as he becomes a very important component of the rotation. 

Poor free throw shooting continues to be the potential Achilles Heel of this team’s quest for a National Championship. However, the most important development is that R.J. Barrett is shooting less, assisting more, and everyone is the beneficiary.

Miscellaneous Comments:

Clemson takes down Alabama. As N.Y. Post columnist Mike Vaccaro wrote: “This was Sonny Liston lying on his back on the canvas in Lewiston, Maine, Muhammad Ali looking over him and shouting, “Get up and fight, sucker! Nobody will believe this!” This was Roberto Duran in the closing seconds of the eighth round, staring at Sugar Ray Leonard on the floor of the New Orleans Superdome, meekly raising his gloved right hand and offering, “No mas, no mas.” Clemson thoroughly outcoached and outplayed favored Alabama. Freshmen QB Trevor Lawrence  made enough throws under pressure to impress Tom Brady and wide receiver, Justyn Ross (six catches, 153 yards) made enough circus catches to make a Wallenda blush, and Clemson defensive co-ordinator Coach Brent Venables’ defense did a damn good impression of the 1985 Chicago Bears Buddy Ryan’s 46 defense. “We’re just little old Clemson, and I’m not supposed to be here,” said self-effacing Coach Dabo Swinney, architect of the football powerhouse. “But here we are. If I can do it, anyone can do it. How ’bout them Tigers?”

Alan Adds: 

The buzz about Zion is reminding me of the astounding period in New York when Jeremy Lin burst out of nowhere to give the City weeks of Linsanity.  Zion is giving us a whole season (we hope), while turning on the whole nation of college hoop fans.  Duke has become ESPN’s darling – in substantial part because Zion is the star attraction in all of college basketball right now.   His dunks are generating much of the jaw dropping adoration from announcers, writers, and pundits, but his performance has been about so much more.  His defense is galvanizing – steals, blocks and help.  He leads Duke in rebounding, and he is so offensively efficient both in transition and the half court.  And, he can really pass.  Zion’s performance against Wake is worth scrutinizing as he puts together this amazing (perhaps even historic) season.  How about offensive efficiency?  He took 16 shots to score 30 points!  He was 3-4 from behind the arc, where he has struggled this year (under 30% prior to last night’s game).  Opposing coaches must be shuddering at the thought of Williamson becoming a proficient 3 point shooter (which I predict is exactly what is going to happen).  This means he was 10-12 from inside the arc.  His season average from inside the arc was 74% before last night’s blitz.  That is efficiency!  In the second half, for example, Zion logged 14 minutes (late game became the opportunity for lesser used players) and scored at better than a point a minute rate – 18 points on 8-9 from the floor; 1-1 from deep.   One of the new analytics is Box Score Per Minutes (BMP) which estimates the number of points contributed versus the average player.  In this decade (2010 to 2018), the top records were Anthony Davis (18.67) and Karl Anthony ( Towns at 17.30) when they each played at Kentucky.  For this season, Zion is at 20.8.  Wins Per Share (adjusted from baseball) estimates the number of wins contributed by a player because of his offense and defense.  For the decade, the top score is .3459.  For this season, Zion is at .391.  Interestingly, Zion does not score higher in transition (where he is King Stud) than in the half court.  Critically, he rates just as high on the defensive end.  The analytic called defensive rating tracks how many points a player allowed per 100 possesions.  Zion ranks 4th in the nation (behind 2 guys from Texas Tech and UVA’s Braxton Key).  He creates turnovers with his dramatic and consistent rim protection (30 blocks in 14 games as well as steals.  Zion actually has five more steals than blocks.  He is Duke’s leading rebounder averaging just a shade under 10.   R.J. is quietly morphing into Robin, although he is still averaging more points per game (on far more attempts) than Williamson.  They work so well together – Duke is the only team this year that has two players averaging more than 20 points per game.  They pass so well to each other.

Last night, Wake played Duke close for 15 minutes, leading by 1.  Duke began to inch ahead, and with 30 seconds left in the half led by 5 with the ball for last possession.  Cam drained a 3 with 4 seconds left.  Duke had possession to start the second half; Wake fouled Barrett on his successful jump shot.  When he missed the free throw, Zion grabbed the rebound and stuffed it through.  4 points on the opening possession of the half.  Duke went from a 5 point lead to 12 point lead without Wake even touching the ball.  From there the rout was on.

Duke is getting very efficient play from the center position.  DeLaurier and Bolden virtually split time at that position.  Their combined stats are revealing.  Bolden logged 20 minutes and DeLaurier 19.  Combined they scored 20 points, corralled 15 rebounds and had 5 blocks!  That is real production.

Now the real tests begin.  Florida State is ranked #13 in both polls (down from #9 as a result of being humiliated in Charlottesville last week).  The Seminoles are traditionally tough at home and will be ferociously vengeful after being simply taken apart on National television.  Facing a top 10 team like Florida State in their own gym after the Seminoles suffered such an embarrassing loss will be this season’s sternest test for the young Blue Devils so far.

Next Game: Duke – Florida State. ESPN Saturday at 2 pm. 

Duke 80 – Florida State 78 

How many times have we seen this movie without ever getting tired of it? Laettner against UConn and Kentucky; Gene Banks, Capel, Duhon and Rivers against North Carolina; JJ Redick against N.C. State—just to name just a few. Actually this game most reminded me of last year’s Michigan State game when Marvin Bagley was poked in the eye and didn’t return. Grayson Allen stepped into the breach and went for 37 to save the day and seal the win. Today ,it was BJ Barrett (32 pts.) and Cam Reddish (23 pts.).

Cam Reddish’s buzzer beater three was much bigger than just another exciting game winner. For weeks, Cam has not consistently demonstrated nearly the skill set of teammates Williamson or Barrett or Jones—or, for that matter, sixth man Jack White. As a matter of fact, many coaches would have benched him for his inept, inconsistent play, which lately has been inexplicable. I don’t know what the coaches or his teammates or his family said to him. But tonight, it was as if a light went on in his head and Reddish thought: Zion is out, we are going to lose this game if I don’t give BJ and the guys a lot of help. If Cam can continue to play offense and defense at this level and if everyone can remain healthy, Duke is a much more versatile, formidable team that is truly deserving of its national ranking.

That is not to say that Cam or the rest of the team—other than Barrett– was flawless. They only shot 50% from the free throw line—Cam missed  four early and Tre missed the front end of a one-and-one with the game on the line; in the last few minutes both O’Connell and Reddish gave up 5 easy points by inexplicably fouling three point shooters; Jones and Reddish both fumbled balls out of bounds at inopportune times; Javin DeLaurier, Marques Bolden and Jack White combined for only six points in 65 minutes playing time; Florida State out-rebounded Duke 39-34, blocked 7 to Duke’s 3 and shot 9 more foul shots. And still Duke found a way to win.

Duke got the final break and capitalized on it. Barrett missed a second free throw that would have tied the game and, in a scramble, the ball went out of bounds. After a lengthy video review, the original call was  over-tuned and it was Duke’s ball out of bounds under the basket. With just three seconds left on the clock, the Seminoles lead by a point but, thanks to multiple timeouts by both teams, each coach had what seemed like an eternity to plan and re-plan. Understandably, Leonard Hamilton chose to defend the rim and double Barrett. Three players were stacked in the lane guarding the basket, a fourth guarding the in-bounds pass, and a fifth face guarding Barrett.  BJ broke to the corner, where he was double teamed. Reddish ran like a tight end on a crossing  pattern to the elbow of the opposite three point line. Trey made the hot read and threw a pass to Cam for a wide, wide open shot. Dead solid perfect play and execution. Nothing but net! RJ Barrett: “Coach said it. They’re gonna watch me and Cam’s gonna be wide open.” Trey Jones: “Coach drew it up,  the play was wide open, and Cam was able to execute.” That’s one reason they come to Duke.

For a long time, I have thought that winning a game when things were not going your way was the real test of a top team, because these days any decent team can win when the wind is at their back. So, this was a critical test for this young team. Florida State is always big, athletic, and talented—and Tallahassee is a difficult, even hostile, place in which to play. The Tucker Civic Center is the largest arena in the Panhandle and the Seminole fans know how to tomahawk an opponent. Recently, Duke has gone down there twice with a #1 ranked, veteran team and lost. When Zion Williamson was inadvertently poked in the eye just before the half, Duke was up 38-33. When Zion did not return for the final twenty minutes, the Blue Devils chances looked decidedly blue—at times Code Blue. However, we know one thing about Coach K’s teams. They fight to the end and he is one hell of a bench coach.

Miscellaneous Comments: 

  • Recently, Zion Williamson has had a tooth knocked out and an eye traumatized. In neither instance was there a foul called or time called for a player on the floor incapacitated. Something is wrong here. Zion may look indestructible, but that is no reason for the referees to treat him as if he is indestructible. In his press conference, Krzyzewski said that Williamson had double vision but added that Zion did not have any headaches and hoped he would be ready Monday night against Syracuse.
  • The questions is going forward are these: 1) Was this a breakthrough performance that motivates Cam Reddish to consistently play to the level of his three freshmen teammates and 2) How will Zion Williamson respond to the physical play of the ACC?
  • Think Duke is a draw? The game was sold out and $250 tickets were being scalped for $2,500.
  • Dick Vitale demonstrated once again that he should no longer be allowed to be an announcer for a televised college basketball game. Among other things, we had to endure  four minutes of second half incessant, non- germane yakking before the announcers noticed that Zion was not playing and minutes more yet before there was any information as the severity of his injury or  availability.


Alan Adds
: 

Last March when Duke’s four elite freshmen were still in high school, the four were interviewed at the McDonald’s game in Madison Square Garden about what they anticipated from playing together at Duke.  In that interview, Tre was asked who he, as the point guard, would look for with Duke down by a point and time for one last shot.  Tre smiled, looked straight at R.J. and said, “Without a doubt, Cam.”  While Dickie V was prattling on how Duke had to get the ball to Barrett with 2.8 seconds left in the game and Duke trailing by one, I was thinking of that interview when I texted Bill that Cam should take the last shot because Barrett would be blanketed.  I was thinking of it when Tre took the ball from the referee on the base line just to the left of the basket.  I was hoping he remembered (as Zion had not earlier) that he could not run the baseline.   Florida State covered the lane with 3 men.  I am betting that Leonard Hamilton, Fla. State coach, was remembering how – in almost the same game situation – Barrett had attacked Gonzaga in the lane but had his drive thwarted by Gonzaga’s bigs.  He proffered an identical defense.  One defender guarded Jones, who was inbounding, and one guarded Barrett in the corner when he cut across the lane.  That left Cam wide open when he moved from the left side to the right elbow – I mean shockingly wide [expletive] open!  There was no defender within 10 feet when he caught Tre’s perfect pass — just as Tre had said in that long ago interview, just as Coach K called the play; just as I texted Bill.  The shot of the season so far!

You can feel Bill’s excitement jumping off the page because this was a significant win for a young team facing a its first tough ACC road game in a sold out arena against a highly ranked team that had much to prove, and with its own star power player unavailable.  Zion went down with a minute and 35 left in the first half and Duke up by 5.  No foul was called and Zion was on the floor, unable to get back and defend.  Cofer hit a long 3 while Duke was shorthanded.  To compound Duke’s bad luck, Cofer’s shot went in off the backboard – obviously not his intention.  When Duke came out for the second half, the Blue Devils faced a fired up arena, a one point deficit, and having to play without Zion.  In my opinion, Duke’s team developed and displayed what Coach K so admires and creates – character.

The Second Half:

The second half was simply intense, terrifically competitive, very high level basketball.  The game was tight for the first five minutes; in the second five minutes, the Seminoles established a small working margin, which fluctuated to as high as 5 points several times.  With 10:25 left, Duke trailed by 5.  R.J. tied the game quickly, hitting a 2 point jumper with 10:19 left and a deep 3 with 9:32 to go.  From there, neither team established a lead of more than 2 points.  The game was tied 7 times in the last 9 minutes, the last time at 76 with 2:01 left when Kabengele made both free throws after being fouled by Bolden.   Barrett and Cofer traded misses.  With 45 seconds left, Cam had his pocket picked by Savoy, and with 15 seconds left, Cam fouled Savoy as the latter attempted a 3.  Still 76-76.  Savoy missed the first (critical) before sinking the last 2 for a 78-76 Florida State lead.  Barrett raced up court and drove the lane (shades of Gonzaga), and was fouled with five seconds left.  He made the first, but (after going 8-8 from the line in the game) missed the second one.    An intense scramble for the rebound ensued, and the ball went out of bounds.  The call giving Florida State the ball was reversed when the replay clearly showed it was Duke ball.  Cam could have been the goat with the turnover and foul of a 3 point shooter in the last minute, but he garnished his superior game with a shot that will be remembered.

Duke played 7 (but Alex’s role was limited to a 6 minute cameo without a box score statistic – one turnover, but it really wasn’t his).  DeLaurier and Bolden have been splitting time at center.  In the second half, Bolden logged 13 minutes to DeLaurier’s 7.  Duke needed Bolden’s superior size against the huge Seminoles.  Tre and R.J. played every minute while Cam and Jack White logged 17 minutes each.  But it was the R.J. and Cam show.  Between them, they scored 35 of Duke’s 42 points.  Tre hit 2 layups in transition and White made a 3, otherwise it was R.J. scoring 19 second half points on 5-8 shooting; 2-3 from deep and 7-8 from the line; and Cam with 16 points on 6-9 shooting (4-6 from deep, but 0-2 from the line).  R.J and Cam were 6-9 from behind the arc, and 5-8 from closer.  They were both efficient: R.J. scored 19 on 8 shots in 20 minutes; Cam scored 16 on 9 shots in 17 minutes.  These are all just second half statistics.!  That was some offensive half from those two.  Tre missed his other 2 shots from the field and the front end of a crucial 1 and 1, but was himself in other important ways: 5 assists without a turnover to go with a steal, and 3 rebounds.

Miscellaneous Comments:

This was the kind of win that has the capacity to change Cam’s season, which has been disappointing.  Cam reminded us that he came out of high school rated higher than Zion in some scouting assessments.  If his play continues with last night’s quality, it will be huge for Duke going forward.

UVA continues to impress.  UVA simply smoked Fla. State in Charlottesville last week (an almost 30 point lead with 2 minutes to play) and went into Littlejohn yesterday limiting Clemson to 43 points while winning by 20.  It is worth noting that Duke hosts UVA next Saturday at 6 pm.

However, before that titanic match up (Oh please have a non-Dickie V color guy), Duke plays Syracuse in Cameron on Monday.  The timing is like an NCAA tournament schedule with only one day off between games.   Zion is a game time decision.

Is this season being fun, or what?

Duke 91 – Syracuse 95 (OT) 

There should no longer be any doubt who is the most valuable, irreplaceable player on this Duke team. Tre Jones had four steals in five minutes and Duke was up by eight before the tenacious point guard, who is both the defensive and offensive facilitator, was shelved by a shoulder injury diving for  a loose ball. The good news is that Zion Williamson started and was unaffected mentally and physically by his frightening eye injury just two days ago. The bad news is that Cam Reddish did not (because of an illness). After a horrendous beginning (0-12), the Syracuse players started shooting like they were like Golden State Warriors (11-25 threes 44%). As time expired for the half, Syracuse’s Isaiah Hughes even swished an improbable 75-foot prayer of a heave that cut Duke’s lead to one point—a very ominous omen.

All season, we have cautioned that the Achilles Heel of this team was free throws, three point shooting, and injuries. Well, tonight the Blue Devils hit the trifecta and lost in overtime. Zion, like BJ against Florida State, missed the second of two free throws near the end of regulation that would have put Duke up by one. However, you cannot fault either player (ZW: 35 pts. 10 rebs. 4 blks. BJ: 23 pts. 16 rebs. 9 assists), because they had very little help. When you consider that Duke was 9-43 for threes, it is amazing the score was as close as it was. Because Tre and Cam were unavailable, Barrett was by default was often forced to run the point, rather than attacking the seams from the side, where he is more effective. DeLaurier  was overwhelmed but Bolden  (12pts, 11 rebs, 4 blks) had one of his best games. Also, without Cam and Tre, there was no zone buster. This was a situation where we have seen Jack White step into the breach or an opportunity for an eighth man, Alex O’Connell, to have a Grayson Allen Final Four coming out party. However, both White and O’Connell often appeared reluctant to be proactive in shooting or penetrating. The talented but unpredictable O’Connell was more productive (16 pts, 3 rebs, 3 assists, 2 steal. 4-8 threes) but showed his inexperience by committing two untimely turnovers. And then there was Jack White. In the last two games, this year’s uber reliable sixth starter’s play ( 0-9 from three point land) has been a mystery.

As a basketball fan, you really have to applaud Coach Boeheim and his team. They lost Saturday at home to Georgia Tech, had to travel to Durham, fell behind tonight 0-12 in Cameron, then rallied to for an impressive, possibly season saving win. But that’s the ACC. Saturday, Louisville blitzed  North Carolina in Chapel Hill and tonight, Pitt beat Florida State.

As a Duke fan, you have to wonder what the basketball gods have planned for this year’s Blue Devils. Is this injury is another bad break like when Kyrie Irving’s foot injury cost Duke dearly or is it a less serious injury from which the irreplaceable point guard can recover relatively quickly so this team is primed for tournament time?

Miscellaneous Comments:

  • Tre Jones collision with Frank Howard in the opening minutes that sent him to the ER was  diagnosed as an AC joint separation. Head coach Mike Krzyzewski said afterwards that neither Jones’ shoulder nor collarbone showed signs of a break, but added that Jones was “in a lot of pain”. [Tuesday morning update: Jones’ injury is an AC joint separation. Jones will be out “indefinitely” and the Steadman Clinic lists a wide range of recovery times, taking anywhere from “a few days to 12 weeks, depending on the severity.”
  • One good note is that Jay Bilas was in Dickie V’s seat at the microphone.

Alan Adds: 

     Duke’s season hangs in the balance while Tre’s injury is analyzed and treated.  Coach K was asked about his game plan.  After Cam got sick right before the game and couldn’t play and Tre was hurt six minutes into the game, Coach said “We had no game plan.  We were trying to survive.  You know what our game plan was when we thought we had a full team– we wanted to press them in the open court and get out in transition.  Worked pretty well in the first minutes.”  It sure did; even without Reddish.

Long ago, Coach K said that everyone on the team had to be ready to make open jump shots because having Zion and R.J. driving to the basket, there were going to be a lot of open shots.  And so there were throughout the game.  Duke had lots of open looks, but had an absolutely atrocious shooting night.  This destroyed the offense.  By the time Duke got to the overtime, the team was exhausted and played like it.  Duke took eight shots in the overtime – they were all 3’s.  2-8 in the overtime (R.J was 1-4; White 0-2; Zion 0-1.  Alex made his only attempt.  Duke scored six points, while Syracuse went 4-6 from inside the arc.  Duke’s three point shooting for the game was simply awful, taking 43 attempts.  But as Coach K said, they were open shots.  He was ok with his team shooting them.   The loss of Tre “knocked us back”, said K, “but our kids fought hard.”

I do not know what Duke will do if Tre is out for an extended period.  He thought something was broken because he was in so much pain, but it is not broken.  It’s a shoulder sprain, but we don’t know about recovery time Tre will need.  The game proved Goldwire is not the answer.  He played two minutes in the second half and none in the overtime.  If you want a picture of the game, consider that R.J. ran the team, which took him out of the offense.  He took 15 shots in the second half (0-7 inside the arc without getting to the foul line and 2-8 from deep.  Cam’s return will be crucial.

What a season!  Georgia Tech beats Syracuse; Syracuse beats Duke.  Louisville loses to Pitt and beats UNC after the ‘heels battered Pitt.  Pitt beat Fla. State last night.  Virginia, Duke’s next opponent, is, however, unbeaten.  A glorious season hits unchartered waters.

Duke 72 – Virginia 70 

This was a rare non-sequitur college basketball game that has only occurred four times in the history of the NCAA regular season: #1 vs. #1. Duke was ranked #1 in the AP Poll and Sagarin ratings but Virginia was ranked #1 in the USA Today Coaches Poll and NET rankings. Polls, shmoles, this was a Big Time Game between the two best teams in the best conference in the country as well as two of the most admired academic institutions in the country. The Blue Devils were without point guard Tre Jones, who is the straw that stirs the drink both defensively and offensively. However, as former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld famously said: “You go to war with the team you have, not the one you wish you had.” And a war it was in the paint as the Blue Devils played to their strength and did not settle for threes as they did in losing to Syracuse in overtime. One is a veteran team that consistently is more than the sum of its parts and the other is a young team that is sometimes less than the sum of its NBA bound parts. However, Cameron is one of, if not the, most difficult venues in the country for a visiting team and, in a tough game that comes down to getting stops and making shots, can make a critical difference. In addition, in sports it is not uncommon for a team suddenly missing a key component to find a way to raise their collective play to another level—and that happened tonight as Cameron was rocking, Williamson and Barrett were rolling and that combination was too much for even the poised Virginia players and their vaunted pack line defense.

Though Virginia shot 52.8 percent overall and turned the ball over just 8 times, the Cavaliers, an unusually accurate three point shooting team, hit only 3 of 17 3-pointers. UVA shot just 48.1 percent after halftime and hit just one field goal over a stretch covering more than nine minutes. That allowed Duke to build a 67-60 lead Virginia couldn’t overcome. During part of that nine-minute stretch, Duke employed a zone defense that appeared to temporarily disrupt  the rhythm of the Cavaliers offense After DeAndre Hunter scored with 4:25 to play cutting Duke’s lead to 61-60, the Blue Devils stopped Virginia on its next three possessions. Each time the Cavaliers got one shot per trip and missed it. On the other hand, Duke led 57-56 when Williamson, whose defense was outstanding, leaped high and blocked Hunter’s shot attempt with both hands (see above). At the other end, he drove in the lane for a basket put Duke up 59-56 with 6:06 left. A minute later, Zion took an in-bounds pass from Barrett and jammed home a dunk for a 61-58 Blue Devil lead they never relinquished.

As satisfying and important a win as it was, it must be noted that Duke missed 13 free throws (but fortunately had 14 more attempts than the Whoos), mainly because the Cavaliers had no answer for Williamson and Barrett, who combined for 57 of Duke’s 72 points as no other player scored in double figures. That point distribution and the fact that the starters played 188 of the 200 available minutes, scored all of Duke’s points, and grabbed all of its rebounds is not a recipe for tournament success. Cam Reddish, who missed Monday’s game with an illness, added 9 points, 6 rebounds, an assist and a steal. If he continues to improve and an healthy Tre returns, this obviously is an even more formidable team. Duke also only made 2 threes. Meanwhile, DeLaurier, who had 5 fouls in seven minutes, is struggling to stay on the floor. (It appeared as though every time he looked at a Cavalier, the refs blew his whistle, but when Zion & BJ got mugged on drives, the refs swallowed their whistle.) Fortunately, Marques Bolden continues to improve, allowing the team to defensively  switch 1 through 5 even when Javin is out. He is a defensive plus and is one of the better free throw shooters. Tonight his two free throws down the stretch were huge.

The difference between this team and some other of Duke’s one-and-done teams is that that they have made a commitment to play outstanding defense and have unusual team chemistry. For example, the two highest profile players are roommates and genuinely buddies, referring to each other as brothers. And when asked about ex-Bulls Scottie Pippen suggestion that he should sit out the rest of the college season to preserve his health and #1 status for the 2019 NBA Draft, Zion said that he came to Duke to play basketball, live out a dream and win a championship, not watch his teammates from the bench.

Miscellaneous Comments: 

  • Coach K on Tre Jones status: “I don’t know. But he wasn’t going to play, as we made that decision yesterday. He just doesn’t have enough movement yet. I can’t tell you when [he’ll return]; I’m not going to tell you that he could be ready for Pittsburgh. Every day we’re just going to see how he progresses and make that decision based on the day-to-day stuff without putting a timetable on him so there’s no pressure for him to come back and force something. We don’t want that to happen.”
  • Coach Tony Bennett is not just a good basketball coach, he is a great college basketball coach. Virginia is an outstanding, classy university and he has recruited players to match.  For instance, guard Kyle Guy, who could play on any team, had a blunt and telling assessment of the Duke team: “An NBA team. That’s the only thing I can think of in terms of talent and size and length. We’re not probably going to see another team like that.”
  • Coach K on Zion’s growth and focus with all the media scrutiny: “I think to where we all should admire him. He’s such a people person. When football was still playing and he was at a football game, he would take time with people. He really doesn’t want a lot of attention, when obviously he attracts a lot of attention. Even for Gameday and that, he didn’t want to do too much. He didn’t want to separate himself from what the other guys are doing, and the family doesn’t either. They’re just good people. He’s handled it really well. You guys know from being with him that he’s such an upbeat kid. He was terrific tonight. Even though it was a lot of adversity on Monday night against Syracuse, he and RJ played the whole game, and that helped them tonight. The fact that they did that then, how do you handle it? You don’t handle it until you have to handle it. You can’t practice that. The times we’ve won big games in our program like championships, usually our best players have to play a lot of minutes, so hopefully what they’re learning right now will help them as we go forward.”
  • BJ Barrett on his confidence as a shooter and playmaker down the stretch in late games: “It definitely helps when you have the greatest coach of all time telling you to keep going, keep shooting the ball. I love playing for him.”
  • UVA is the Villanova model, featuring three and four year players who have become well marinated in their coach’s system.

Alan Adds:

Duke faced a #1 team in the nation without its point guard (the heart and soul of both its offense and defense so far this year), got 0 points and only 12 minutes from its entire bench (Alex 5 minutes – all in the first half; and Javier 7 minutes – one minute in the first half, but he managed to commit 2 fouls in that minute, before fouling out in 6 second half minutes.  Duke got a pair of foul shots from Marques for only 2 points in his 33 minutes (0 shot attempts) and 4 points from Jack White’s 40 minutes (2-3).  Moreover, while Cam had a satisfactory first half scoring 7 (3-8; 1-3 from deep) to go with 6 rebounds, a steal, an assist against only one turnover, he reverted to his previous ineffective form in his full 20 minutes on the court.  In the closing stanza, Cam was 0-4; 0-3 from deep, and 2-4 from the line for his only second half points, while committing 3 fouls and causing 3 turnovers.  And still Duke won!

In hindsight, one is left to wonder how Duke could possibly have accomplished that.  The answer is four-fold: first and foremost, this team has amazing heart; second, is defense; and third and fourth (maybe really first and second) were R.J. and Zion.  Each played the full 20 minutes.  Zion scored 13 on 5-7 from the field, but a terrifying (mabe horrifying) 3-9 from the free throw line. R.J. showed why he was the consensus #1 rated player in high school last year going 6-7 from the field (his only miss was his only second half 3 point attempt) and 4-7 from the line.  Zion and R.J. scored 29 of Duke’s 35 second half points.  Imagine if they had also been efficient from the line (or from 3land).  I said last year that R.J. was the best finisher at the rim that I had seen in high school since LeBron.  Last night he supported that assessment with a series of acrobatic finishes at the rim against a defense famous for protecting its interior.  R.J and Zion were simply other worldly in the clutch.  They were 11-13 from the field inside the arc in the second half, but only a collative 7-16 from the stripe.  Foul shooting in the second half – especially at “winning time” determines the outcome of many games.

Duke won the game on the defensive end of the floor.  Jack White (40 minutes) replaced Tre in the starting lineup.  In all of Duke’s games this year, Duke had never switched every screen, mostly because of Tre’s aggressiveness and lack of length.  With White replacing Tre, Duke was able to switch every screen, which turned out to be the strategic game winner.  Coach K wanted to stop UVa’s vaunted 3 point attack (Guy is almost as good as JJ was, said K), and switching every screen allowed Duke to do that very effectively.  Let me add a word about Marques Bolden.  He is now athletic enough to switch and even guard the other team’s point guard, as he did last night.  I never would have believed he could do that, but he has improved so dramatically on the defensive end of the floor as to be an integral and valuable part of this team.  He is playing superb defense.  This team loves to play defense.  Duke got tired (duh!); so, Coach K gave the team an energy break on defense by going to a zone for 3 possessions.  Very effective. This team loves to play defense.  White, Bolden and Cam may not have been scoring, but they were part of an extraordinary team defense that ultimately won the game.

This team has demonstrated the kind of heart that we have always admired in Coach K’s best teams.  In the last three games, Duke fought from behind without Zion to beat Fla. State in Tallahassee by a deuce; lost to Syracuse in overtime by a deuce without Tre or Cam, while dealing with the shock of those twin losses, and then came back to beat the #1 team in the country without Tre or an effective bench.  A team with this much heart will always be dangerous and continues to provide us with a gallant season — and to make us proud of the team and Duke.

As Coach K said, “it will be a helluva game up at their place (Feb 9).  Isn’t this why sports keep us watching.  What a week from the high of Florida State to the low of Tre’s injury and the Syracuse defeat, back to the high of last night.  Next Play: Tuesday, Duke visits Pitt and Jeff Capel.  Take nothing for granted (In short, “earn everything”).

Duke 79 – Pittsburgh 64

In what could have been a ‘trap” game, Duke, fueled by Zion Williamson’s 19 without-a- miss points, went on a 33- 12 run to close out the first half and pretty much put the game on ice, then cruised to an auto pilot win. Coach K kept his team in a zone much of the second half to a) rest them b) cut down drives and defend threes, which is easy with the 6’ 10” arm extensions of Barnett and Reddish on top of the 2-3 zone. Not many teams can beat Duke by trying to trade deuces; however, the math of trading threes for two’s is another matter, because threes and free throws are not the Blue Devil’s strength (although they did shot a season high 80% tonight). However, no team has yet shut down the explosive firm of Williamson & Barnett, that combined for 51 points, 10 assists, and 4 steals  tonight. In addition, RJ filled in nicely at the point.

Duke dominated the painted area, outrebounding Pittsburgh 39-34 and recording 7 blocks. Better defense is what separates this team from the recent one-and-done teams. More specifically, these future teenage millionaires (without the benefit of a traditional degree) can play old school Duke/Bobby Knight man defense or even a Jim Boeheim  zone as they did for periods against Virginia and again for more extended periods tonight. That’s what makes this precocious Duke team different and why this team could be the best of their genre. Consider these stats: Duke has three of the seven players (Jones, Williamson, and Reddish) in the ACC who average 2.0 steals per game plus Bolden, Williamson, White all  in the top 10 in the in blocks.

This group can obviously multi-task. After Saturday’s 72-70 home win (without Jones) over Virginia, Duke ranks No. 6 in KenPom’s adjusted defensive efficiency rating. Here are the Blue Devils’ pre-tournament KenPom Adj rankings (in ascending order) since Austin Rivers ushered in the “new Duke” era in 2012: 72, 39, 77, 37, 85, 39 and 7.

Marques Bolden certainly is improving. His athletic, big body presence ( 6 pts, 9 rebs, 4 blocks) is adding another welcomed dimension to the this team. In addition, Cam Reddish (15 pts, 6 rebs, 4 assists, 2 blks) is playing with more confidence. You can see in his shooting motion—the rotation, trajectory, softness, and accuracy of his free throws that his shooting touch is returning. On the other hand, Javin DeLaurier is in a foul plagued slump, Jack White’s shot is on vacation, and Alex O’Connell appears to be in Coach’s dog house.

Former Duke assistant Jeff Capel certainly has turned around the Pitt basketball program. His team fought hard to the end of the game, outscoring Duke 39-35 in the second half. However, Coach K has only lost to one former assistant—Notre Dame’s Mike Brey.

Alan Adds:

I have several takeaways from a game that seemed to lack any pizzazz!  In spite of my natural apprehension about any ACC road game; this one against Capel, who had been intensely involved in recruiting this premium class to Duke (before the game the freshmen spontaneously acknowledge Capel when he came on the court, a really nice gesture); the absence once again of Tre Jones (moving R.J. to the point and replacing Tre with Jack White in the starting lineup); and the emergence of Pitt’s freshmen guards as serious penetrators.  The big takeaway for me was the defense, which, for the first time this year was primarily a zone defense.  I was lost in admiration for how well this team played it.  Bill is right about the top of the zone, which featured Cam and R.J.  Cam looks taller to me than the 6’8” he is listed at.  He is clearly longer than either Zion or R.J. and he is quick.  So, the top of the zone was long, quick and athletic, which simply kept Pitt at bay throughout the endless second half.  Pitt never got closer than 15.  The back line of the zone was equally efficient.  Bolden in the middle had 5 blocks; Zion is so active on the wing in the back line.  He disrupted the Pitt offense from the right wing with extreme activity.  He made a couple of steals from there (which, of course, led to Zion time at the rim), one of which led to a superb dime to R.J. for a dunk.  It is a joy to watch the two of them play together seamlessly.  Jack White was very efficient on the other side of the back line.  This team loves to defend.

The other takeaway is how efficient and therefore destructive of an opponent’s defense Zion is.  How is this for efficiency in the first half?  In just 15 minutes he scored 19 first half points on 9-9 shooting, which included 1-1 from deep.  He did miss both of his first half free throws and turned it over twice.  He is such a force on the boards (5 boards; 4 offensive) to go with 2 assists and a block.   He led the charge that in reality ended all suspense as to who would win the game (maybe just the second half had no pizzazz).  With 7:54 left in the first half, Duke led by 9 (27-18).  In that almost 8 minutes to end the half, Duke shut down the Pitt offense, holding the Panthers to 7 points in that last 7:54.  The Duke zone took away the ability of Pitt’s young and talented back court from attacking the rim and the length up top drove them off the 3 point line.  During that 7:54, Duke scored 17 to put the game away.  Cam hit a 3; R.J a jumper on a feed from Cam and went 3-4 from the free throw line; Zion had 3 put backs or layups at the rim; Jack White was 2-2 from the line and Marques was 1-2 from the line.  Marques was also extremely active on defense and the boards; he had 3 blocks, a steal and 3 rebounds in that stretch.

Some interesting rotation observations: Alex played only 3 minutes; DeLaurier only 10; he missed his only two field goal attempts, ending his consecutive streak at 19 straight.  He picked up 2 fouls (and 2 boards) in 4 first half minutes, but none in his 6 second half minutes (2-2 from the stripe).  It seems clear that Bolden has nailed down the center position with his defense and rebounding.  Goldwire played 13 minutes, giving R.J. an opportunity to play off the ball where he is a better scoring threat.  R.J. was the glue for Duke as its point guard and as a scorer.  He played 37 minutes scoring 26 (on 24 shots: 10-24; 3-7 from deep and 3-4 from the stripe to go with 5 boards, 2 steals and 3 assists.  He (14) and Cam (9) kept Duke comfortably ahead in the second half.  Cam had 15 for the game as those 3 freshmen had 66 of Duke’s 79 points.

Duke returns home to face Georgia Tech on Saturday followed by a Monday game in South Bend vs Notre Dame.  Every Duke fan  wants to know “When will Tre return?”

Duke 66- Georgia Tech 53 

Everyone was baffled by the Blue Devils worst opening 22 minutes of the season. They trailed by as much as eight points before finally exploding on a patented 29-9 run to put away Georgia Tech 66-53 in Cameron. The reason for the sluggish start is that, despite my having 1,000 DirecTV channels, Apple TV, and ESPN+, because the game was blacked out locally, I was unable to access it until a few minutes into the second half. Once the guys realized I was watching and taking notes, they settled down and played Duke Basketball. Actually, Coach K’s vigorous timeout conversation also might have contributed somewhat to the belated turnaround: ”Our guys were just different (after that timeout), which says a lot about them (Editor: and the Coach). This is a game you lose if you’re thinking about being a winner. It’s a game that winners win, when you can turn it around with eighteen minutes to go and just really not playing well, and then start playing great.”

The inconsistency in the last two games is of concern. Against lesser teams, and even some better ones,  Zman & RJ can score a majority of the points. But the best teams will figure a way to limit one of the two. However,  a championship team needs balance. I have thought that Cam Reddish was the key as we saw in the Kentucky game. Well, somewhere along the way, Cam hit the freshman wall. Fortunately, the other three haven’t. Cam has recovered except for making threes, which was his calling card, but otherwise is very productive (7 pts. 5-5 ft. 6 assts, 5 stls.). Jack White, who was instant offense  early in the season, is a mystery. Recently, he has missed so many threes (1-for-20) that he appears reluctant to pull the trigger. And teams dare Barrett and Williamson to shoot them. Until the Blue Devils demonstrate they are a long range threat, opponents will pack the paint and beg Duke to try and beat them from the perimeter. However, the good news is that the team’s free throw percentage has recently improved dramatically. And that is huge because they shoot a lot of them every game. In addition, I have always thought that a player hitting a high per centage of free throws is an indication of their shooting touch, and who can and will hit jump shots.

It also occurred to me that there were two interesting developments surrounding Alex O’Connell and one probably led to the other. First, he finally settled on a mature haircut which no longer offends  Coach K’s army sensibilities. That led to Alex  (4 pts, 3 rebs, 1 steal)  playing significant minutes (19) when the game was in doubt. Actually, he got DeLaurier and White minutes. Early on, he was beaten badly by a back door cut (RJ was slow to provide weak side help) and I thought for sure that Coach K would pull him. He didn’t and Alex (4 pts, 3 rebounds and a steal) validated the decision with solid, active, athletic play. In addition, I suspect Coach is running out of patience with the poor three point shooting and is giving Alex, a talented offensive player, an opportunity to prove he is mature enough to be counted upon.

Miscellaneous Comments:

  • Alan had a terrific halftime assessment: “The first half looked like the Syracuse game without the excuses.”
  • Duke out-rebounded Tech 20-10 in the second half. Barrett led everyone with 11. Duke had 7 blocks–3 by Williamson–and 13 steals. Foul shooting was superb, 16-for-19.
  • I think this team will see a lot more zone defenses. For sure we will see it when we play Syracuse in the Carrier Dome.
  • Coach K said that after playing 35 minutes, Trey felt really well; that our defense was very important today; and that the crowd was the sixth man —and we really needed them.
  • Marques Bolden suffered a toenail problem that is not believed to be serious.   

Alan Adds:  

The valuable insights from this game are not on the surface.  Btw, I did text Bill at half:“the first half looked like the Syracuse game without excuses.”  The Syracuse adversity was more than Tre’s injury; it was also Cam getting sick right before game time.  I take some value from both the Syracuse game and Duke’s first half.  While it was surely Duke’s worst offensive performance of the season, Duke’s defense remained excellent.  Horrible offense can impact defensive efficiency.  It is easy to hang one’s head when the shots are not falling, but Duke did not do that.  The defense remained stout (with a little hiccup in the last two minutes of the first half).  Against Syracuse, Duke was wiped out exhausted for the overtime (Duke took only 8 shots in that overtime, none inside the arc).  In this game, Duke had all its weapons and exploded in the second half when Bill finally got the game on (Bill don’t you have any great grandchildren who can aid the digitally challenged?).  It was a game of two halves, and it is worth analyzing each separately.  The rotation was different for reasons that are not altogether clear.

The Rotation

The four elite freshmen and Bolden started, but Bolden got stepped on causing a foot problem.  Coach K said it was his toe.  He was limited to 9 first half minutes, and 2 in the second half when he tested it and found it a “no go”.  In the first half, Vrankovich was first off the bench to replace him; not DeLaurier.  DeLaurier was a virtual no-show logging only a single minute in each half (0-1 in the first half for only stat of the game).  Whether that was a message from Coach K or was there a physical problem is unknown; Coach K did not mention Javin in his press conference.  Jack White’s time was reduced – shooting slump and lots of minutes while Tre was out — he played 7 minutes in the opening stanza and a scant 4 minutes in the second half when Duke blew the game open.  Alex played 4 unremarkable minutes in the first half.  In that first half, Zion and foul shooting kept Duke competitive.  Zion was limited to 15 first half minutes by picking up 2 (silly) fouls, but was still 4-6 from the field and 2-2 from the line for 10 points.  R.J. and Cam played 19 first half minutes, contributing points from the foul line – Cam was 4-4 and R.J. 3-4 (that’s 9-10 for the three freshmen).  Cam is still in a shooting slump from the field (0-4 from the field including 0-3 from deep in the first half; 1-7 in the second half, but the single made shot was a 3 and it came in rhythm at an important time.  Still 1-11; 1-8 from deep has to change if Duke is going to fully reach its potential this season.  He and R.J. logged 38 minutes each for the game.

Of course, most of the focus was on Tre’s return.  In the first half it looked like he was a victim in “Invasion of the Body Snatchers”.  Where the hell was the real Tre?  He was, as it turned out, waiting for the second half.  In his first game back, he logged 35 minutes, 19 in the second half.  That is cause for jubilation.  In those 19 second half minutes, he morphed back into the real Tre (3-4 from inside the arc; 3 assists and a steal).  He is special as Coach K said in his press conference.  There is physical shape and there is mental shape; “Tre is NEVER out of mental shape. He is just a remarkable young man.”  I think he might have been briefly out of mental shape in the first half, but his return is beyond major.

The First Half

In spite of playing solid defense, Duke was pretty abysmal in the first half.  In my opinion, much credit goes to the Georgia Tech zone, which was an amoeba like 1-3-1 ( also morphing at times into a 2-2-1).  Georgia Tech was particularly impressive stealing  passes to the post (where when they got through, Zion was unstoppable) and picking off bounce passes.  Duke did miss many open perimeter shots; very deflating.  Duke was sleep walking.  Consider: The Wramblin’ Wreck outscored Duke 22-14 in the paint; 9-3 on second chance points (RJ’s only 3 off an offensive rebound); 5-2 in fast break point (think about that!) and 4-1 in bench points (Vrankovich was 1-2 from the line).  Zion’s 4-6 from the post and Duke’s 10-12 from the line + stout defense were all that Duke mustered.

The Second Half

Duke played most of the second half with a small lineup that did not include a center.  Bolden was in for two minutes but could not go; DeLaurier for one.  Vrankovich’s only appearance was in the first half.  The four freshmen played the entire half until the last minute of garbage time.  The fifth player for virtually all of the second half was Alex O’Connell.  Like Bill, when Alex was beaten back door, I expected him to be yanked as he had been in the last game, when that very back door thing happened to him.  Coach K said that Alex would know he [Coach K] was speaking the truth when he opined that Alex has not played very well recently.  But he was a star support in the second half after that one defensive lapse.  Alex was 2-5 (an offensive rebound put back and a medium range jumper).  He missed  two 3’s but, as Coach K pointed out, they were in rhythm and “the right shot”.  Alex has the potential to make Duke more lethal from the perimeter, which so far has been Duke’s real offensive weakness.  For example Duke was 2-21 from deep for the game (the freshmen were 2-15 – R.J. 1-5; Cam 1-8 and Tre 0-2).  White, Alex, and, Goldwire were each 0-2.  If that doesn’t change, Duke will fall short of the current lofty goals for this dream-like season.

From the timeout Coach K called, Duke played extremely well, and the Duke defense was beyond merely superb.  In the 16 minutes and 20 seconds between the timeout and the entry of the reserves at the 1:39 mark, Duke surrendered only 13 points!  In that same period Duke scored 39 points.  Zion and Barrett were a combined 10-13  — with 0 3 point attempts (R.J. 5-7; Zion 5-6).  They were a combined 6-7 from the line (R.J. 4-4; Zion 2-3) giving the dynamic duo a total of  26 of Duke’s second half points.  Add in Tre’s 6 and the trio scored 32 of Duke’s 39.  Alex had 4, and Cam’s crucial 3 completed an admirable second half.  If only Cam’s stroke would return  …

Schedule

Duke faces a quick NCAA tournament-like turn around tomorrow night (Monday),  playing a beleaguered Notre Dame team in South Bend (I don’t care how beleaguered Mike Brey’s Irish are, it is an ACC road game!) at 7 on ESPN.  The Devils are home next Saturday at noon against St. Johns, the last non-conference team to beat Duke at home (long ago).

Duke 83 – Notre Dame 61

A Northern Hemisphere’s Polar Vortex breakout that is producing the coldest Arctic blast in recent midwest history, combined with playing their second game in three days 1,000 from home, as well as facing the only assistant that has beaten Coach K (not just once but 5 times in 14 tries), had no effect on these precocious Blue Devils as they counterintuitively started hot and stayed hot beating a Notre Dame team riddled with key injuries. (Whew. That’s about as much information as I can cram into a run-on, introductory sentence. After all these years, I can still hear the disapproving voice of Mr. Ruge, my Fifth Form English teacher/guru: “Mr. Miller, for the amusement of your classmates will you please come to the blackboard and attempt to diagram that monstrosity of an opening paragraph.”)

Zion Williamson had a spectacular game with 26 points on 10-12 shooting, 9 rebounds, 4 assists and 4 blocks (including one  for his overflowing “Do you believe he that” archive). Marques Bolden is playing stronger and more aggressively on both ends of the floor. He had 8 points, 7 rebounds, and 2 blocks in just 21 minutes. His athleticism allows the defense to switch 1-5, helping hold the Irish to shooting 35%. Cam Reddish played with more confidence. He was only 4-13 (but his missed shots just missed) but had 3 threes, 2 steals for 13 points. The role players DeLaurier, White, and O’Connell (2 threes) all contributed in a variety of ways.

Coach Mike Brey: “They are really gifted. With Duke’s pressure and switching, it was almost impossible to make a pass. You can say move the ball, but that’s not realistic. Their switching and their length are in the passing lanes, so when you get to ball screening, somebody has got to drive and kick.” 

Miscellaneous Comments: 

Coach K had very complimentary words for Irish Coach Mike Brey, one of the few assistant coaches who did not play for him. Mike, an assistant  from 1987-1995 was credited by K (along with Tommy Amaker) with helping build the program that went to seven Final Fours in nine years.

I enjoy Jay Bilas’ analysis a lot (“One reason this team is so good is that Zion, who receives so much publicity,  does not seek the spotlight. The spotlight seeks him and he wants to share it with his teammates.”) However, I wish he would refrain from second guessing so many referee calls. With the size and speed on these athletes, it’s a lot harder making the calls in real time than with the help of monitor replay. Less is more (effective), Jay.

Miscellaneous stats: Zion is almost shooting a phenomenal 80% from inside the arc but only a mediocre 68% from the free throwline, which led some wise guy sports commentator to comment that at this rate, he may miss more free throws than field goals. Zion and RJ are averaging about the same number of points per game but RJ has taken 138 more shots.

Alan Adds: 

The game was  practically over in the first six minutes – with 14:07 still left in the first half, Duke led by 15 (17-2) with Tre and Cam having hit opening 3s followed by Zion’s 5 straight goals — 4 at the rim and a mid-range jumper plus 1-2 from the line.  Notre Dame rallied for an nanosecond before Duke stretched the lead to 19 (26-7) with 10:36 left.  Note that meant the Duke defense held Notre Dame to 7 points in 9 minutes and 24 seconds.  Duke is playing great defense and this game was a continuation and growth.  It is hard to maintain the emotion required for great defense when the lead is so large that the game is not competitive.  Even when the offense receded a bit in the second half (Duke scored 46 first half points; only 37 in the closing stanza), the defense was very good (down just a tad from excellent; a few little flubs).  Notre Dame was gallant, but totally overmatched.  The Irish fought back to down 9 with 4:50 to go when Zion hit a 3 to push the lead back to double figures.  It was never single digits again.  It was 18 at the half, and never less than 16 in the second half with the widest margin being 24 with 5:41 to go.

Duke’s offense was terrific.  10-19 from deep (5-9 in the opening stanza).  Zion had a first half that would be a career achievement for an ordinary player – 17 points on 9 field goal attempts in 18 minutes (7-9; 1-1 from deep and 2-4 from the line) to go with 3 rebounds, 3 blocks and an assist without a turnover and committing only a single foul.  R.J. grabbed 5 rebounds while scoring 10 (4-8; 2-4 from deep).  Marques had a quite spectacular first half; 4-5 from the field in 13 minutes to go with 6 rebounds and a block.  He held Mooney (12 consecutive double doubles including last night) to 1-8 in the first half.  His improved mobility and athleticism is allowing Duke to switch 1 through 5 because he has the quickness (new to me) to stay with guards on the perimeter.  He hustles, and is on the floor for loose balls as quickly as anyone on the team.  His play is crucial, especially on the defensive end.  However, foul trouble (4; # 3 and 4 came early in the second half) limited him in the closing period.

More good news: Cam played an excellent second half.  Coach K is trying to play Cam back into the player he was in high school (36 minutes last night; 18 in each half).  Cam hit a 3 on his opening shot, but did not score again in the first half (1-6).  He is, however, playing excellent defense.  He had 2 steals (and 2 assists).  In the second half, he led Duke in scoring with 10 (total 13) on 3-7 from the field including 2-5 from deep and 2-2 from the line.  Let us hope this is like the first robin of the spring and not an aberration.  He can be the difference between Duke being an excellent team and a National Championship team.

Tre was Tre (5 assists; 1 turnover and superb defense); White grabbed 6 boards in the second half where Duke played significant minutes without a big on the floor.  Alex scored 6 in 7 second half minutes (2-2 from deep).

Duke’s defense deserves scrutiny and the highest praise so far.  Consider this: Duke leads the nation in two critical categories – blocked shots per possession and steals per possession.  Duke is blocking shots or stealing the ball on almost 1 out of every 4 of the opponents possessions.  That’s practically insane!  Moreover, Duke has been elite at defending the opponents 3 point shots.  Each of the Duke starters is a superior man to man defender (how unlike last year where Trevon, Gary and Grayson all compiled low defensive metrics) and have the length to drive shooters off the 3 point line.  Zion is as talented on the defensive end of the court as he is scoring.  Barrett is not only an intense defender, but also a superior defensive rebounder.  Those two are so versatile defensively that Duke can defend the post efficiently even without a big on the court.  This is such a fun team to watch on the defensive end.

The January part of the schedule is done.  Two home games —  St. John’s next Saturday (noon on ESPN)  and Boston College on Tuesday before the showdown in Charlottesville on Saturday, February 9.

Duke 91- St. Johns 61

Historically, teams like St. Johns, featuring a group of city ballers, have given Duke trouble mainly because they thrive on an open floor run-and-gun urban playground game. For instance, the last time the Blue Devils lost to a non-conference opponent in Cameron was an incredible 18 years and 146 games ago to, you guessed it, St. John’s. And just one year ago, an unranked St. John’s team, led by  point guard Shamorie Ponds’ 33 points, beat  #4 Duke 81-77 in Madison Square Garden. That was then against defensively challenged Duke players and this is now in Cameron against Trey Jones, who shut out Ponds in the first half, and Zion Williamson, who put on another “Oh My God! Did you see that!” SportsCenter Highlight Show.

What I look for at this time of the season is whether or not the players are all improving, contributing, and developing chemistry so that the whole is more than the sum of the parts– or whether the team is uneven and overly dependent on one or two players. Today, the Blue Devils played forty minutes of good offense and almost that much of good defense. Granted, the score was too closed for comfort until the last few minutes of the first half when Zion scored ten straight points to go into the locker room with a ten point lead and plenty of momentum. Predictably, Cris Mullins’ team started out in a zone, daring  Duke to hit threes, which, fortunately, Cam Reddish did. Unfortunately, so did his Red Storm. However, threes come easier at the beginning with fresh legs than later with tired ones. And in the second half, fatigue had turned the mean Johnnies into exhausted, frustrated players, while the Dukies were sprinting to the finish.

Obviously, it doesn’t appear than anyone has an answer for Williamson anywhere on the court but anyone can have an off night or get hurt. What I liked today was the balance of  point distribution among the starters: 29, 16, 15, 13, 10. Sometimes, RJ is the leading scorer, sometimes it is Zion—whatever, together they are usually good for 50 or so points. But to have Cam stroking it, Tre looking for shots, and Bolden continuing to contribute on both ends is very encouraging. Also, Duke outrebounded their opponent 48-30 with RJ getting 14.

Generally speaking there are three basketball defensive philosophies: 1) Play a team straight up and hope for the best. 2) Give the best player his points and focus on shutting down his teammates.  3) Try to take away  an opponent’s best player and hope none of his teammates have a career game. You just knew that with Try Jones, Coach K was going to try to limit Pond’s production, frustrate him, and put pressure on the others. It takes a very mature player who is used to the spotlight not to be frustrated by not being able to do what he does best and not let it impact his attitude—especially his defense. Well, Shamorie spent a lot of time shaking and baking, showing off his moves (and taking time off the clock) without scoring a point in the first twenty minutes. While Jones was the main perpetrator, all the other players, including Marques Bolden, were his accomplices switching with help defense. Temporarily, Ponds’ talented teammates filled in. However, pressure, fatigue, and the law of averages kicked in and the Red Storm team ended up shooting 34%.

Miscellaneous Comments:

My buddy, Johnny Tar Heel, says that if you put Zion Williamson on any of the top ten teams, that team would be #1. BTW, Carolina is surging. They beat Louisville at Kentucky.

St. John’s Coach  Chris Mullins, one of the great shooters in basketball history: “They’re a great team, obviously. Talented, unselfish. It’s great, I love playing Duke. They’re the classiest team in the country, so you can learn a lot from them.”

I have watched and played a lot of basketball and been thrilled by many wonderful players. However, I only have seen what I can consider four transcendental players: Pete Maravich, David Thompson, Michael Jordan, and Zion Williamson. While I do not think it fair to compare players of different eras, as a freshman, Zion is the best. If you are a basketball fan, do not miss watching him play.

When Dick Vitale is announcing a game, I wonder how many people turn the sound off?

Duke 80 – Boston College 55 

Well, Alan was half right. After twenty minutes, the game appeared to be the “trap game” he cautioned against as the score was 28-30. It was that close only because Cam Reddish converted a back court steal from Ty Bowman at the buzzer. While scoring 52 second half points and holding BC to just 25 was an impressive “progression to the mean” (patent pending), it couldn’t have happened without Cam Reddish’s steadily improving play producing his best game of the year. He scored 24 points on only 16 shots, played terrific defense, and was a rare welcomed sight (80%) at the free throw line. Zion’s all-round hustle and production (9 pts, 11 rebs) was about all the good news in the first twenty minutes but the second twenty was what excites Duke fans (and basketball aficionados). Neither Hubie Brown or Dick Vitale could recall a college team with three of the projected top five picks in the upcoming NBA draft.

The final scoring was 24-19-16-11-6-4. (O’Connell hit two late baskets for the Blue Devils only bench points. DeLaurier and White did produce 5 rebounds, 3 assists, and 3 blocks.) RJ was hampered by two early, silly fouls and the focus of the Eagles defense was to double Zion. When a team shoots 1-15 from three point land in any half, you have to wonder if  it is a Final Four team. However, 52 points on 6-9 threes, shooting 63% overall, and playing lock down defense (36%) makes one wonder who were those guys wearing the Duke jersey’s in the first half? Coach K should tape his half time conversations for a motivational CD to be edited and sold at a later date as a G rated video.

Speaking of defense, for the second game in a row Tre Jones (and Company) limited an opponent’s, talented, high scoring point guard, Ky Bowman, to 11 points on 17 shots and forcing 3 turnovers. The team also recorded 9 blocks and 9 steals. Also, flying somewhat under the radar is the improved play of Marques Bolden, who according to Coach K has finally been healthy for six straight weeks for the first time in his Duke career.

During this upcoming tough stretch, let’s hope that the Blue Devils are able to play close to forty minutes of their best basketball each and every game. Otherwise…….

Other Comments: 

  • This victory produced Duke’s 23rd  consecutive 20 win season.
  • Zion (16 pts, 17 rebs, 3 asssts, 3 blks, 4 steals) missed an open floor reverse slam, then later had a perfect pass slip out of his hands as he was taking off for an uncontested dunk. Coming off the floor was the first time I have ever seen him angry. Fortunately, it was in disappointment with himself, not an opponent. Incidentally, here is what St. John’s coach and former All Pro Chris Mullins said about Zion: “I said coming in probably one of the best things about him is his attitude and his personality. He’s got a great joy for the game and passion for the game. I think it rubs off on his teammates. He’s very unselfish. If he doesn’t like his shot, he shares with his teammates. Those things get overlooked. Obviously, his physicality, his athleticism is unmatched. A lot of these kids, when they’re critiqued and they’re rated, sometimes by the time they get here they’re worn out. He seems to have been able to maintain that smile and that passion. I think that’s contagious to their team. It’s good to see.”
  • Basketball lifer, Hubert “Hubie” Brown (Hall of Fame, two time NBA Coach of the Year) was one of the announcers. Both Hubie (1968-72), as well as HOF’er Chuck Daley (1963-69), head coach of NBA champions Detroit Pistons as well as the 1980 Olympic Dream Team, were an assistant coaches at Duke under Vic Bubas. 

Alan Adds:

Hubie was a blessing on this telecast; Vitale actually shut up to listen to Hubie’s insightful color commentary so,  I didn’t have to turn the sound off.  I texted Bill at half time, lamenting how Duke played in the first half, but concluded that Duke has been a second half team all year.  And were they ever.

The First Half

But, thoughtful analysis should not just disregard the first half.  ESPN had this to say in a pre-game column: “To call it tough would be underselling the six-game stretch that awaits the Blue Devils at the end of this week. Toughest is better, because that’s what it literally is. The toughest scheduled six-game stretch. For any team. At any point this season. Past or present.  No offense to Boston College, but we’re actually previewing the six-contest stretch of heavyweights that begins after the Blue Devils beat the Eagles Tuesday”   Coach K was concerned and it showed in the opening stanza.  Tre admitted he lacked energy and had to be more of a leader in the second half.  On offense, maybe; he played a great defensive first half and game.  Duke’s offense was worse than horrible in the opening stanza (scoring only 26 points before Cam made the game changing play to close out the half – stole the ball and laid it in at the buzzer, cutting the Duke deficit to 2).  Coach K said Duke’s offense against the zone was stagnant.  “Their zone messed us up.”  After the St. John’s win, Coach K pointed out, all the hype about Duke-UVa this coming Saturday began.  “they didn’t even mention the BC game.  That’s what these kids have to live through.”  It might have affected the first half, but fortunately not the whole game.  “We played good defense the whole game (BC scored only 55; only 25 in the second half); our defense kept us in the game in the first half.  In the second half, we played great; not good, great.”

The Second Half

Offensively, the show was on.  Coach K insightfully pointed out that Duke got control of its own defensive backboard in the second half to change the game.  He said when we got rebounds, we could run; that changed the game.  In the second half, BC retrieved only 8 rebounds altogether (2 offensive) to Duke’s 22.  Cam played an outstanding second half (first half was not bad — 4-10; 1-6 from deep for 9 points).  OUTSTANDING!  In 17 minutes, he scored 15 points (4-6; 3-5 from deep; 4-4 from the line) to go with an assist and a steal.  Coach K was giddy, “Cam had a great game; not just on offense.  He was moving beautifully on defense.  We gave him the tough assignment of guarding Chapman (who, Coach K pointed out, scored at least half of his points when Cam was not guarding him).  He was running through screens and moving side to side; it was absolutely beautiful.  His defense helped his offense.  He was moving strong on defense; that helps other aspects of your game.”

  1. Had a deceptively terrific second half after a sub-par first half in which he was limited to 12 first half  minutes by committing 3 silly fouls early, limiting him to 1-6 from the field; 0-2 from deep without attempting a free throw.  Then came the second half where he absolutely sparkled (sort of under the radar).  He scored 15 second half points in 15 minutes (4-6; 2-2 from 3land; and 5-7 from the line).  He is both defender and rebounder (5 for the game; tied for second with Tre and Bolden behind Zion’s astounding 17 (10 in the first half to go with his 9 first half points, keeping Duke close.  He plays so hard and with such joy that Coach K overlooks a missed dunk or two.  “We’re lucky to have him, and you are lucky to be able to watch him.”

In the second half, Tre realized that he has to be an offensive threat; 2-6; 1-2; 2-4 for 7 second half points (11 for the game).  He has to shoot better from deep, but he is the straw that stirs the drink on both ends of the floor.  Coach K was unstinting in his praise for Marques Bolden.  “He’s not just improved, he’s playing great.”  He is healthy and moving well.  “His footwork; good on offense, really good on defense.  We switched him on to Bowman.  He did a good job there.  Javin has played well; so we are getting better inside.”

Defensively, Duke shut down Bowman as it had shut down Ponds in the St. Johns game.  It was not just Tre.  The bigs stepped up and helped Tre contain him.  It was great team defense.  Bowman only had 4 second half points. This is a terrific defensive team

The Gauntlet

Away against UVA Saturday; and Louisville next Tuesday.  The start of a 6 game grind that ESPN says is one of the toughest in the history of college basketball.  I plan to watch.

Duke 81 – Virginia 71 

This game was two heavyweights going the distance. Uncharacteristically, Duke shot lights out 13-21 (62%) from three point land and a decent 16-23 (70%) from the foul line to never lose the lead but seldom able to increase it into comfortable double digit territory. Nevertheless, Virginia was relentless and went on a late three minute 11-3 run to cut the halftime lead to only four points. Virginia Coach Tony Bennett’s “Pack Line Defense”, which discourages the opposition from penetrating and getting inside the paint, had frustrated Zion Williams into only 8 field goal attempts and multiple turnovers and forced Duke to do what they statistically have done poorly–shoot threes. Duke ranks 317th — that’s is not a typo– 317th in the nation in three-point shooting, right between those national powerhouses Texas Rio Grande Valley and Jacksonville State. And Virginia has the top-ranked defense in the nation against three-pointers. In the previous game at Cameron, Duke made 2 of 17. However, RJ Barrett did his best James Harden (on a good night) impression. Yet, hitting an amazing 8-11 (73%), playing good defense, and the Blue Devils still were only up only four points at the break—and the water was rising.

Going into halftime, it certainly appeared to the packed, raucous John Paul Jones Arena that the Cavaliers had taken the Blue Devils best shot, shook it off, and definitely had the Big Mo going for them in the remaining twenty minutes. However, never underestimate Coach K ‘s halftime talks, which he should record for a motivational tape to be edited and sold at a later date as PG rated, and his adjustments. To become quicker and more flexible, Krzyzewski started the second half inserting Jack White for Marques Bolden. This change created more defensive quickness and more space for shooters like Cam Reddish, who responded by nailing three triples before the under-16 timeout to put Duke in front by 11.

No matter how talented, you never know how a young team will react to adversity on the road in a hostile ACC arena.  Tonight, the Blue Devils earned an A+. For every charge the Virginia team, which had not lost to any other team this year, made– and there were many– the Blue Devils had an answer. In the second half, Tre Jones (13 pts, 7 assists, 3 steals) did his best big brother Ty impression by scoring points only when they were most needed plus playing, relentless ball hawking defense. The strong commitment to defense is what separates this team from all of their recent talented, one-and-done predecessors. For instance, good defense produced steals and turnovers that led to 17 fast break points versus none for Virginia.

How is this for scoring: 26-18-17-13-5-2 (Unsurprisingly, a seven man rotation). You cannot underestimate what the improvement of Cam Reddish (17 pts, 3 assts, 2 blks, 3 steals) has meant to the team. As Johnny Tar Heel noted: “Cam is really tall and rangy and a great defender as well as having the best shooting stroke on the team”. Since his Florida State 23 point heroics, a rejuvenated Reddish has scored 9, 15, 7, 13, 16, 24, 17. (He missed the Syracuse loss with illness). Although Zion was frustrated by the Pack Line Defense, which limited his field goal attempts, he compensated by hitting a three to go with  5 rebounds, 5 assists, 3 steals and 3 blocks (one of which he closed from UNDER THE BASKET to spike a three point attempt from the corner into the stands.

The bottom line is that this was the best Duke has played since the opening win over Kentucky. However, it was much more impressive because Kentucky was never in that first win as Duke cruised from the opening tip and Virginia, which rarely loses at home under Coach Bennett, never, ever, stopped competing.

Miscellaneous Comments:

  • I have nothing but admiration for  Coach Bennett, who, defensively, is college basketball’s version of Patriot’s Coach Bill Belichick, and has turned Virginia into a powerful national program. Tonight, he took away the points in the paint, gambling that Duke could not make threes. Others will be doing the same—hopefully, not as well.
  • An indication of what Tre Jones’s defensive value means to the Blue Devils is that with Jones in the lineup, Duke leads the country in steal percentage (13.9). When he was out with an injury, their steal percentage dropped to 6 percent. He also leads the ACC in assists (5.5) and assist-to-turnover ratio (4.8).
  • Among the packed John Paul Jones Arena of 14,629: LeBron James, Ralph Sampson, Rajon Rondo, Grant Hill, and John Grisham, who lives in Charlottesville. 

Alan adds: 

“OK, I have said all year that Virginia is better than Duke. I guess, I was wrong!”  This sentence was actually written by Bill because I have been saying that UVA was, for the moment, a better team than Duke (with a caveat that did not mean it would be true in March).  UVA is as good as any team in the country, and they played an absolutely superb game last night in their home arena.  Consider that Duke hit them as hard in the beginning (Barrett 5-5 from 3 in the first 10 minutes) as the Devils hit Kentucky in the season opener.  Kentucky was done and never even got into the game.  In contrast, the Cavaliers actually weathered the storm and staged a dramatic comeback in the last couple of minutes of the first half to be down only 4 (after trailing by 14) at the break.  Even Duke shooting 73% from 3 in the first half failed to crack UVA.  You have to credit the heart and soul of a team that can withstand what the Devils hit UVA with in the first half.   Even though Duke didn’t cool off much in the second half: shooting 56% from the field and 50% from deep (5-10), while playing outstanding defense, Virginia hung tough and never stopped competing.  The only way to measure the significance of the Duke performance in this game is to understand how truly excellent Virginia’s play was.  Duke was on the road (ACC road games) in a place where Virginia has a home court record almost as good as Duke’s at Cameron, playing the #3 team in the country.

Tellingly, in that situation, Virginia never had the ball in its possession with a chance to take the lead; and after Zion’s dunk followed Barrett’s opening 3, Virginia never, in the 38 remaining minutes, had the ball with a chance to just tie the game!  NEVER!  That’s an unusual type of domination in a highly competitive game.  It is one reason why I think this Duke performance was a difference in kind rather than just a difference in degree.  I think Coach K agreed based on the dreamy smile and outlook he displayed in the post-game press conference. “As good as the game in Durham was, this was better. I thought both teams played outstanding basketball tonight. It was tough to single out a kid. We were fortunate we won. It’s the best we’ve shot from the three-point, and obviously, it’s a huge difference. They’re outstanding, and we’re really good too and it was that game. We feel very thankful that we won. I’m proud of my guys, but we beat a heck of a team, and they’re a great program.”

Duke was a complete team where the whole exceeded the sum of the parts.  This may be the first game where all the contributions of each Duke starter felt so equal.  First, as Jay Bilas is beginning to recognize, this is not just a good defensive team; it is on its way to becoming a great defensive team.  They communicate and switch with few flaws.  Bolden (24 minutes) has morphed into a superb defender, allowing Duke to switch 1-5.  He was guarding Guy and Jerome on the perimeter and making those two amazing players work for their points.  Cam and R.J. are beginning to be recognized for their ability to guard, create deflections and make steals.  Zion is a major part of why Duke is among the NCAA leaders in both steals and blocks; he has been a highlight reel in both categories.  We don’t really need to say anything more about Tre’s defense – it has been all-world.  Duke does not suffer defensively when Jack White and DeLaurier, Duke’s only substitutes last night, come into the game.  Neither played much: (White 13 minutes —  5 in the first half;  DeLaurier 9 minutes – only 2 in the second half).  But their presence and performance are an integral part of the whole.

Everyone in the starting lineup made valuable contributions.  I received an email from a friend asking “Where was Zion?”.  You get an idea of how high the bar has been set when a stat line — scoring 18 points in 36 minutes on 8 field goal attempts (6-8; 1-1 from deep; 5-7 from the stripe) to with 5 rebounds, 5 assists (ponder that for a moment), 3 blocks (one drew this comment from the UVA coach, “only 2 people in the world could make a block like that and they were both in our gym tonight” – referring to LeBron sitting courtside) and 3 steals — produces “Where was Zion?”.

Part of Duke’s three point success was how open the shot attempts were – really clean looks.  Zion gets some of the credit for those clean looks, because UVA packed it in to keep Zion from exploiting the lane, as he did against them in Durham.  It worked forcing Zion into 5 turnovers, but it also cost them by giving Duke open looks from deep.  R.J. was superb last night in all aspects of the game.  He never came out of the game (full 40 minutes). He passes, he rebounds, and he is a great teammate.  At one point Zion had him open and turned it over before he could hit R.J. for an easy slam.  No mere, “my bad”; the two roommates hugged after that on the court.  Much of that type of “Three Musketeer” outlook underlies what is making this team special.  Coach K on R.J.: “he’s been disappointed [in himself even though he has been very good]. He wants to be great. He really had unbelievable preparation for this game, and you could see right away that he was lathered up. He got us off to such a good start.”   You can also see his experience in tight situations – gained in International competition —  giving Duke leadership in tight situations.  In my judgement, this was the game where Cam fully joined Zion and R.J. to realize the expectations from the top three high schoolers signing with Duke.  Finally, he was an equal partner in all aspects, he played solid defense and continued his upward trajectory on offense, with 17 points, 3 assists, 3 steals and 2 blocks in 36 minutes.  At one point earlier in the season, we heard suggestions that Jack White should replace Cam in the starting lineup.  Don’t hear that anymore!  Coach K on Cam: “His defense has gotten so much better.  He’s just playing stronger. He was good before, but his shots weren’t strong. His whole game has gotten stronger. He went on a flurry for a little bit, which he can do. We see him getting better and better.”

And then there is Tre.  Announcers have taken up our refrain that Tre may not be the best player on the team, but he is the most important.  He is that, but I believe for this season (not NBA potential), he is also the best player on the team.  His second half was a microcosm that I believe justifies my outlandish opinion.  Like R.J., Tre never came out of the game.  While Duke was hot in the first half, Tre was the distributor, but not scorer (0 points on a single shot), but 5 assists and 4 rebounds.  We should appreciate what an elite rebounding guard Tre is and has been all season.  In the second half, Virginia was relentless, and Duke needed scoring.  Tre became the scorer that I believe, and we all hope, he really is.  He led Duke’s second half scoring with 13 points (4-7; 1-2 from deep; and a crucial 4-4 from the line.  He totaled 7 assists and 2 steals.  His heralded teammates recognize him as their leader.  He is really something!

Finally, let’s talk about heart.  The second half was a beautiful war.  Duke pushed its 4 point half time lead to 7 almost immediately.  From there the Duke lead fluctuated between 5 and 11.  With 12:20 left, UVA reduced the Duke lead to 5 when Tre answered with a 3.  Coach K said that every time the Cavaliers reduced the Duke lead to 2 possessions, a Duke player stepped up and answered.  A Tre jumper; foul shots by Bolden and R.J., a 3 by R.J., a layup by Bolden, another jumper by Tre, layups by Zion and clutch free throwing down the stretch by R.J. and Tre kept UVA from ever getting closer than 7 for the final five minutes of the game.

This week will be interesting.  UVA travels to Chapel Hill for a game worth watching on Monday and Duke faces Louisville (stung by an overtime loss to Florida State in Tallahassee) on Tuesday.  Is this fun or what!

Duke 71 – Louisville 69

I saw it but I still don’t believe it! For thirty minutes, #2 Duke was totally dominated in every phase of the game by #16 Louisville. The Cardinals were playing like the best team in the country to the delight of their raucous 22,000 fans in the KFC Yum! Center but to the chagrin of the 90 some Duke fans, their body language and posturing increasingly said: “This game is over”.

With ten minutes left and Duke down 23 points on the road with Zion Williamson saddled with four fouls, raise your hand if you didn’t think the Blue Devils were dead in the water without a motor or even a paddle. There was only one problem. One person raised his hand as well as his voice: Coach K. He said he didn’t believe the game was over. According to Zion, he said: “Look, you’re not losers, but you’re playing like losers. I don’t coach losers. Keep fighting”, substituted little used Jordan Goldwire, and switched to a full court 2-2-1 zone press. Suddenly, Duke looked like the team as advertised and Louisville looked like a scared, tentative pretender not a contender. What a transformation! No Cardinal player looked as though they wanted the ball, much less to shoot it. On the other hand, with time running out, on a secondary fast break RJ Barrett, who was having a rare off night (13 pts), casually dropped the ball between his legs to a trailing Cam Reddish, who pulled up and nailed an NBA three to tie the score.

Zion Williamson ( 27 pts, 12 rebs, 1 blk, 3 steals) was his usual amazing self but tonight Cam Reddish, with 16 of his 23 points in second half, was the scoring catalyst for the rally as well as the closing. His threes and final two free throws were stone cold Larry Bird type daggers to the heart of the shocked Louisville players and suddenly quite 22,000 of the 22,090 fans.

After hitting their first five threes and shooting 55% from the floor in Charlottesville on Saturday, Duke shot 25% threes and 37% from the floor as they faced their largest halftime deficit of the season at 38-29. When we talked at half time, Alan said that it certainly looked bad but (whistling in the dark) at least we have been a second half team.

What this win says to me is that this teams is talented, flexible, and tough enough to win a lot of different ways. They may not win the NCAA Championship but this was a win for the ages.

Miscellaneous Comments:

  • Coach K is a great motivator and a great bench coach. Substituting Goldwire and switching to a zone press was like substituting Grayson Allen in the Championship game against Wisconsin—a game  changer. At his press conference Coach K was very complimentary of Louisville head coach Chris Mack and his team and brutally honest as he gave credit to his Army training: “At West Point, one of things I learned as a cadet is this: Even when you don’t feel like it’s going to go your way, your men better not see that in you, and as a result, you can speak into action sometimes. I did think that we could play better. I was hoping we wouldn’t lose by 35—I’m not kidding, we could have. So, you’re talking positive, but I don’t believe it. Once that press was going, I said, ‘We’ve got a chance here. We can get it.’ But, at that point, I think I may have been telling them a lie.”
  • The dumbest (or most calculating as he did achieve several TV shots) person in the arena had to be the student with the sign: “Zion can’t dunk.”
  • This game, combined with the indelible memory of the Christian Laettner shot in the 1992 NCAA Tournament, makes Duke fans pretty much persona non grata in the entire basketball obsessed state of Kentucky.
  • Tonight, Duke went from “Hey, we can beat they guys.” to “Duke is ranked #2? That’s a misprint. These guys really are amazing!”

Alan Adds:

The comeback left me speechless.  Let’s go inside it.  It is true that the Blue Devils started to reduce the 23 point deficit with 9:13 left; that’s the headline, but it does not tell the true story.  Two minutes later Duke had only reduced the lead to 20.  It was far from clear that there was a comeback in progress, though you could feel the vibe on the court change.  Goldwire and the 2-2-1 zone were having an effect that was still subtle.  With 6:25 left, Duke still trailed by 19.  It was the next minute that transformed the game and brought hope, tension and a special kind of stirring excitement.   Zion scored inside – a 3 point play the old fashion way and Tre stole the ball for a layup.  Louisville called time out with its lead cut to 14.  The next sequence was wild.  Tre stole the ball (again) but had his layup spectacularly blocked at the rim.  The Cardinals corralled the rebound but not for long; Zion stole it back and was fouled.  He cut the lead to 12, making both free throws.  So, with 5:41 left, Duke was down 12.  Zion stole it again and fed R.J. for a superb finish at the rim.  Down 10 only.  It was in that minute and 8 seconds – from 6:25 to 5:17 – that the rout was transformed into a game with an uncertain outcome.   Of course, Zion was not done.  Down 12 again after a Cardinal 3, RJ. grabbed a key rebound and fed Zion who was fouled and swished them both to get back to a 10 point deficit.  Then came the unheralded play of the game for me.  Zion rebounded a Cardinal miss and took it the length of the floor.  His determination oozed out of the TV screen.  Louisville only sort of got back, and Zion challenged them.  He made a fake at high speed to open a lane into which he flashed for the score, and added the foul shot for another 3 point play reducing the deficit to a single digit – 7 with 4:13 left.  We all moved to the edge of our seats.  Reddish and McMahon of Louisville traded free throws (Reddish had been fouled while firing a 3 from deep – bad foul – and made two of his 3).  Duke down 7 with under 4 left.  The Cardinals got the rebound, but RJ. intercepted the pass and went the length of the court for his specialty, a strong finish at the rim.  Down 5 with 3: 44 left.  Zion stole it again and Cam made the Cardinals pay with a deep three, and Duke was within 2.  But with 2:31, the gifted Louisville point guard, Cunningham, fed the talented Nwora for a three; the Cardinals lead ballooned to 5 with only 2:31 left.  But the bloodlust was up for the Devils.  Jones stole the ball (again) and scored to cut the lead to one possession, 69-66 with 2:10 left.  And what a possession it was.

With 1:38 left, Tre grabbed a defensive rebound and passed ahead to RJ.  J. King of DukebasketballReport.com, chose the perfect adjective to describe R.J.’s pass to Cam.  R.J. made an “arrogantly casual” pass between his legs to Cam who was at least 5 feet behind the 3 point line.  No hesitation.  The pass said “I know you will nail this.”  Cam’s confidence in going up in rhythm almost like a ballet dancer said, “I know I’m going to nail this.”  Watching on TV, I knew he was going to nail it.  Cam’s teammates knew it also.  Nothing but net and a tie game with 1:29 to go.  Duke just couldn’t lose having come back this far, but the shots stopped falling – for both teams.  Reddish and Nwora traded missed 3s (Cam’s seemed almost like a “heat check” – not a good shot, but who could complain after the tying three).  With 45 seconds left, Goldwire grabbed a defensive rebound and Duke called time with 30 seconds left.  Cam drove into a collision (charge), but the Cardinal sneaker heel was in the restricted area; so the referees reviewed the play and overturned the charge call on the floor.  Cam dropped both free throws for the winning margin with 14 seconds left.  Goldwire defended the last Louisville shot and Zion, fittingly enough, grabbed the tough rebound to clinch the game.

The freshmen scored 68 of Duke’s 71 points [Zion, 27; Cam, 22; R.J., 13; and Tre 6].  Bolden scored 2 in only 12 minutes (2 in the second half) and DeLaurier 1 in 13 minutes.  Goldwire played 12 minutes overall, but a crucial 10 in the second half.  This comeback is, of course, the stuff of legends.  Two tough road wins against ranked teams.  The gauntlet continues at home with N.C. State on Saturday at 6pm (ESPN).  UNC next Wednesday at 9 pm (ESPN).

Duke 94 – North Carolina State 78

The good news is that the Blue Devils never trailed as they beat N.C. State for the first time since 2016. Zion Williamson had 32 points on 16 shots in just 30 minutes (they were -8 when he was not on the floor) and RJ Barrett had only the fourth triple double in Duke Basketball history (The others: Sheldon Williams, Gene Banks, and Rudy D’Emilio.) The bad news is that Duke “held” N.C. State, which scored just 24 points against Virginia Tech, to 78 points and never put them away.  But when they were good, the Blue Devils were flashes of very, very good, and when they were mediocre, they were very, mediocre. However, Tre Jones played 40 minutes, and, as usual, did not take one minute off. Tonight, in the last minute of a game already decided, Tre knocked the ball lose at half court, dove on the floor for it, and, on flat prone, passed to Jordan Goldwire for a lay-up.

One of the challenges tonight is that Zion was saddled with foul trouble for much of the game and only played 30 minutes. It appears the referees are not use to seeing a college basketball players make plays that Zion does, don’t believe what they are seeing, so are making some phantom calls or calls better ignored, because they do not affect the outcome of the play. Tonight, for instance, Williamson skied and torqued his body in a reverse “C” far above C.J. Bryce to snatch a rebound one handed. Bryce was not impeded, had no chance for the ball, and there was barely any contact but, nevertheless, Zion got called for the foul. Fortunately, Captain Jack White, who was substituted for Zion, broke out of a slump and contributed as he had in the beginning of the season. He started with an athletic chase-down block of a Johnson layup, followed by a cut to the basket for a dunk, and pulled down an offensive rebound in traffic before converting a put back to give Duke a double-digit lead with eight minutes left. The Australian forward then ran the floor on a three-on-one fast break to slam home an alley-oop off an assist from Barrett. Bolden( 9 pts, 8 rebs, 3blks, 4 stls) and DeLaurier 6 rebs, 3 blks, 2stls) were very active defensively as Duke controlled the glass, out-rebounding State 44-26, and a 17-2 edge on second-chance points. Cam Reddish was inconsistent: some very exciting creating drives but 1-7 from beyond the arc.

Coach Krzyzewski said his team is tired– back-to-back road games plus Barrett and Bolden have been sick this week.

Miscellaneous Comments:

Mike Krzyzewski became the all-time winningest college basketball coach on Saturday with 1,123 career wins. Mike was tied with McKendree legend Harry Statham for the most wins in college basketball history. He  already had the most NCAA victories of any basketball coach, as a portion Statham’s 1,122 wins came in the NAIA (The National Association of Intercollegiate Athletics) a college athletics association for small colleges and universities), not the NCAA.

Kentucky dominated  #1 Tennessee 86-69 at Rupp Arena. I don’t pay much attention to polls but the last time I looked at the Coaches Polls,  #2 Duke only received 2 first place votes. Tennessee, which until tonight has played the easiest schedule of any top team received all the others—a little bit of coach’s envy?

Johnny Tar Heel mentioned he was surprised that Coach K had not employed the full court zone press more often this year as UCLA Coach John Wooden had done in 1964 & 1965 winning the first two of his ten NCAA Championships. We recalled that that he had only one tall (at that time) player, Keith Erickson, who was  6’4”, but a world class volleyball player, and very skilled, quick players, like Walt Hazzard and Gail Goodrich, who caused havoc with taller but less agile opponents. As a matter of fact, in the 1964 NCAA Finals, the Bruins zone press  was instrumental in beating the Jeff Mullin led Duke  98-83. His point was that the pressing defense played right into the strengths of both teams then and now.

Because of Zion Williams sensational athleticism and skill set plus his precocious teammates, this Duke team is the face of college basketball  both in person and on television. Tonight, Boxer Floyd Mayweather was sitting directly behind the Duke bench and next to former Blue Devils guard Quinn Cook. Among other NBA players in attendance was Minnesota’s Tyus Jones, the older brother of the current Duke point guard, Grayson Allen, Lance Thomas, Tyus Jones, Amile Jefferson, Quinn Cook and Gary Trent Jr., who have all played for Duke this decade, as well as Phoenix’s T.J. Warren, a Durham native and former N.C. State star. When asked about it, Williamson modestly commented: ”I think that’s just the Duke effect. You’ve got to understand, (Mike Krzyzewski) is the greatest coach of all time, so a lot of people want to just come and experience Cameron. We appreciate Floyd and especially the former players who came back, because you know, they’re part of the brotherhood.”

 

“As great a basketball player as he is, he’s a better person,” said Brennan Besser, a fourth-year Duke walk-on guard who graduated from Chicago’s Latin School. “I’ve seen a number of unbelievably talented players who are now in the NBA, and he is the first teammate to leverage his star power to create a more equitable space for everyone on the team. Zion does this in a number of ways: by including Buckmire, a little-used guard, in interviews. By giving teammates such as Besser a shout out in Duke-produced (“Duke Blue Planet”) videos. Duke recruits great players. A lot of times these guys are very basketball-centric. Zion is the most multidimensional player and friend that I’ve come across. It creates a culture where everybody feels loved. He does it because he’s a nice guy and he knows that if he were a walk-on, he’d want to be treated that way. He has that sixth sense. He cares about other people.”

Alan Adds: 

This 16 point win was a much better win than it seems on the surface.  On the surface, Duke won at home against a Wolfpack team that is not contending for the ACC title.  But, this was a situation where very good teams have lost.  Duke is playing a six game stretch that is beyond difficult.  Last week, the Devils had their two best wins of the season, beating UVA on the road and creating the “Comeback of the Year” on Louisville’s home court.  Both R.J. and Bolden were sick, and Coach K said his team was “tired”.

In those difficult circumstances, Duke’s lead was never less than 7 and was frequently in double figures.  Defensively, Duke gave up the lanes to stop the 3.  (State was 1-9 in the first half).  When Duke doubled onto the ball handler to drive him off the 3 point line, the roll man was open.  State was scoring with the roll man or the roll man making the next pass that enabled State to score 78 points.  Not a defensive gem in total, but many defensive gems – none better than Jack White chasing down an open fast break with a LeBron-like block from behind, racing full court.  Duke dominated the backboards, outrebounding State 44-26.  Barrett had 11 (9 defense); he has been a stalwart had deterring other teams offensive rebounding.  Bolden had 8 in 22 minutes; Cam had 7, while both Javin (in 13 minutes) and Zion (in 30), had 6.

You cannot complain about an offense that score 94 points (48 in the first half).  Duke played excellent half-court offense.  R.J. had a stat line for the ages (23 points; 10 assists and 11 boards).  He seemed to find Zion consistently – almost all of his 10 assists were to his roommate.  Coach K pointed out how young he is (reclassified; he could still be in high school), and how he is still so advanced.  R.J. won the national high school championship last year and is on the Canadian National Team (the only non-NBA player on it).  Zion picked up his fourth foul (again) with 12:50 left to play.  He did not return to the game until 6:18 remained.  Then, he scored 13 in those last minutes.  Other than some missed free throws in the second half, he was a beast for whom the Wolfpack had no answer.  He scored 32 points in 30 minutes of action (12-16; 0-1 from deep; and 8-13 from the line).  Four turnovers, but 3 steal (0 blocks).

The shot distribution is evening out: R.J. 17, Zion 16, Cam 15, and Tre 9.  Jack White was 3-4 in 14 minutes.  He may have broken out of his slump.  Cam was off (2-15; 1-7 from deep; 4-5 from the line).  He had a 4 point play early on his only made 3.  He played well; just did not shoot well.  Tre was wonderful with 5 assists and only 1 turnover.   He scored 13 (6-9; 1-3).  He had 2 steals.  The last one captured the spirit of this team in a play.  There were only a few seconds left in the game that Duke led by a lot, when Tre dived to create a steal and made a pass to Goldwire for the layup as the game ended.  I thought that play was what this team is about both on and off the court.  Jack King of Dukebasketballreport.com, wrote, “But no matter what happens on the court, these guys are the best representation of Duke basketball and what most of us would like it to be since Shane Battier graduated, and you just can’t pay a much higher compliment than that.”

UNC in Cameron on Wednesday at 9 pm (EST) on ESPN

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Duke Basketball Playbook: 2017-18

It’s a sign of the new normal (drop-by basketball athlete-student era) when a team with only one experienced upper classman and a bench full of highly recruited but unproved freshmen can be ranked #1 in the Coach’s Preseason Poll. How many times have these coaches seen this team play?  Nada, Zilch, None. This poll is virtually meaningless, except its Duke, Coach K, and a squad full of highly pursued freshmen. Speaking of highly rated freshmen—Dean Smith called them “prospects”– remember Cris Burgess, Joey Beard, and last year’s for sure lottery picks Harry Giles and Marques Bolden? No? That’s because they rarely contributed. BTW, how many Division I offers did Stephan Curry receive? My point is these are teenagers, who knows how they will turn out? And as talented and impressive as Jayson Tatum was from day one, it took until the ACC tournament before he could consistently contribute on a championship level for an entire game at both ends of the floor. Three other notes of caution: Duke’s best teams have always had senior leadership, this team will start only one upper classman–Grayson Allen, and the last two NCAA Champions, North Carolina and Villanova, had no starting one-and-done players.

There are also the three unknowable caveats: chemistry, injuries, and luck. Unlike other years, a Duke injury would be less devastating than say the previous years, but lack of chemistry and bad luck are random, heartbreaking decrees of the basketball gods.

OK, enough with the disclaimers. Now the good news: Count your blessings and enjoy the journey Duke fans, we have seen this team play in exhibitions and it really is impressively big, athletic, talented, and deep. So, the early hype may well be justified.

What to look for:

A big, stronger, deeper Duke team—especially in the front court—but not the typical perimeter oriented three point shooting Blue Devil team. The size of the players should shrink the court and make an opponent’s interior scoring more difficult than in recent years. One thing we do know for sure: Coach K will build the team around his talent, not force a one size fits all system on the talent.

I suspect that a lot of what this team achieves, revolves around the production of Grayson Allen, Marvin Bagley, Wendell Carter, and Trevon Duval. Allen is the only senior and if he plays well, the younger players will respect his experience, his seniority, and follow his lead. If not, all bets are off. I have always thought that Grayson was one of the program’s most talented and intriguing players. Certainly, his game changing ten minutes in the second half of the 2015 NCAA Championship as well as his sophomore year confirmed that assessment. Last year, under the pressure of pre-season Player-of-the Year predictions combined with a series of nagging but not debilitating injuries led to a few unfortunate, immature, non-lethal retaliations, the constant re-running and public discussion of which might have crushed the spirit and psyche of a lesser man. Grayson is a 3.8 student who could gone pro after his sensational sophomore year and was on track to graduate in three years. For a variety of reasons, not the least of which is that he really loves being at Duke, he chose not to leave and is one of today’s rare four-year college stars. Over the summer, Grayson had an operation on his injured foot and followed Coach K’s advice not to touch a basketball for three months. At the recent Midnight Madness, Grayson appeared happy, carefree, and obviously healthy as he hit four threes in the abbreviated scrimmage, won the slam dunk contest by jumping over two cheerleaders– and a third straight Iron Duke award for strength and conditioning in the offseason. All this plus the fact that Coach obviously believes in him—he’s the only team captain—is enough for me to believe he is primed for an outstanding year.

Point guard. Coach K was a point guard at Army. He recruits and is most comfortable structuring his teams to play with a strong point. History tells us that it is hard to win the NCAA Championship without a really good player running the offense (i.e. Bobby Hurley, Tyus Jones) and he appears to have one in the very athletic, multi-skilled 6’3” Trevon Duval. Krzyzewski: “I do know that Trevon is going to have the ball and he knows what to do with it. Will he have it all the time? No, he shouldn’t have it all the time. Will he have it a lot? Yeah.” Trevon is physically more gifted than either Hurley or Jones. Whether he is as mentally gifted and will be as good in the clutch is another question. If he is, this team will be as formidable as advertised.

The Blue Devils are loaded with front court players: Marvin Bagley, Wendell Carter, Marques Bolden, Javin DeLaurier, and Antonio Vranikovic are all 6’10”, 235 lbs. and over. Because Coach K likes to put the most versatile and complete players on the floor, I suspect he will start a lineup that features Marvin Bagley, the most highly rated, and Carter down low with Duval and Allen at guard, and Gary Trent at small forward. However, depending upon performance and the competition, we will see various combinations with Bolden, DeLaurier, O’Connell, and perhaps Tucker or White getting serious minutes until Coach K settles on the rotation that may be deeper than we are used to and for which some fans pray. Whatever, Coach K has won more Championships than all of us—even more than any active college or professional coach.

Other Comments:

The University of North Carolina has always been one of my favorite schools. I have a number of prep school classmates and other friends who went there. I love the campus, the logo, the colors, the way Dean and Roy teams play. Truly, what’s not to like? That’s why I had a hard time believing the academic scandal until it was an undeniable truth, which was devastating—no required class attendance, papers written by tutors, grading by a non-professor basketball junkie..…When the toothless NCAA recently gave them a pass, the print and social media exploded:

  • “North Carolina never got its day of reckoning for facilitating the most widespread academic scandal in the history of college sports. North Carolina’s basketball program was never going to get the harsh punishment that many college basketball fans thought it deserved.
  • “How in the hell did North Carolina get away with this?”
  • “The NCAA did not dispute that the University of North Carolina was guilty of running one of the worst academic fraud schemes in college sports history, involving fake classes that enabled dozens of athletes to gain and maintain their eligibility.”
  • “The school acknowledged that the classes that were taken were essentially bankrupt of any kind of teaching, learning or supervision … but that was perfectly OK with them. To defend the basketball team, the university had to claim it wasn’t really a university. Sure, they took a shotgun to their academic credibility, but, hey, those championship banners get to stay. The truth is, alums probably care more about hoops anyway.”
  • “What’s stopping a school from setting up a similar “paper course” and making sure it’s open to all students, then sending athletes through it?”
  • “even the most ardent Tar Heel should be outraged by the fraud the university committed

Alan Adds:

There are barriers to our enjoyment of the 2017-2018 season that I want to address.  The first barrier is the pre-season hype that had Duke #1 in the pre-season polls.  The second is, in my opinion, underappreciating last year’s team.  There are a multitude of satisfactions for Duke fans besides the NCAA tournament.  I also caution against an analogy of this year’s team to the 2015 National Championship team because of each’s heralded freshman class.

2016-2017

Duke fans assess last year’s team (also pre-season # 1) as “disappointing”.  I believe a more proper assessment would be that the 2016-17 Blue Devils were heroic, and deserve far more appreciation than has been given.  Duke’s # 1 pre-season last year was largely based on yet another highly rated freshman class – Giles, Tatum, Bolden and Jackson – plus the return of Allen after his sensational sophomore year.  Duke also had returning stars like Kennard, Jefferson and Matt Jones.  Javin DeLaurier was a freshman athlete who would add depth.  However, it did not work out.  Giles, Bolden, and DeLaurier contributed very little because of (hopefully) health issues.  Grayson self-destructed.  Coach K had surgery.  Tatum was hurt early.  Remember Jefferson’s amazing offensive start before he was hurt.  Thankfully, it was not season ending as his 2016 injury had been, but though he returned and played well, he was never the same offensive player as he had been in the early season.  So, the pre-season team that had so much talented depth turned out to have a rotation that was only 6 deep and without a real point guard.  Players logged very heavy minutes all season long.  Duke had a “disappointing” 28-9 record and heroically won the ACC tournament in unprecedented fashion by winning four games in four nights (would most schools celebrate such a season?).  It was a great season to that point!  Then came the meltdown against South Carolina in the second round of the NCAA.  One bad (really bad) half; Duke was ahead at the break, but gave up 65 second half points and simply and finally ran out of gas.  That half should not tarnish what was, in my opinion, a wonderful year for Duke basketball because it demonstrated what is the true Blue Devil value – never-say-die heart and competitive spirit.  It will remain one of my favorite Duke teams.

2015 compared to 2017-18

The four freshmen on the National Championship team – Tyus, Justice Jahlil and Grayson — were, of course, the tournament stars. But, that team had veterans that played significant roles both on and off the court.  Quinn Cook’s leadership is on point.  He moved over from point guard, was the team ambassador to the freshmen from day one, and provided solid on the court leadership at crunch time.  His off the court attitude cannot be overestimated.  Ditto for Amile and Matt.  This team has only Grayson for guidance.  Justin Robinson has, according to reports, been valuable in team building, but the elder statesmen who taught and bonded with the freshmen in 2014-15 do not really exist for this team.  Highly rated (out of high school) Marques Bolden, thought about transferring after his disappointing freshman year, but bravely elected to return, expecting to go to the NBA next year.  Other returners are less likely to make K’s usually short rotation.  Leadership may have to come from other sources.

The reason for the 2017-18 #1 pre-season ranking is four of the top rated eight freshman (ESPN) will play for Duke.  Marvin Bagley signed late and was able to reclassify from 2018 to current eligibility.  He is 6’11” versatile player, who has been described as the best high school prospect since LeBron James. Chemistry!  What will his late signing do to Bolden’s psyche because it just might have pushed him out of the starting lineup.  Duke also signed the top-rated point guard, Trevon Duval.  I have not seen either Bagley or Duval play.  If he and Bagley are as advertised, it gives Duke a top and bottom on offense that should be formidable.  In addition, Duke had signed Wendell Carter (a 6’10” beast, whom I’ve seen play quite a few times).  He’s a stud inside, and a great athlete, who will be superb.  The fourth highly rated freshman is Gary Trent, Jr., a 6’5” swing man who is reputed to be a superb shooter.  He is very good, but not as elite as Carter, in my opinion.  The issues will be team chemistry and DEFENSE!  One of the reasons that the last two NCAA champions have had no “One and Done”s is that it takes time (years) to become a great defensive TEAM.  In 2015, Duke became that great defensive team in time for the NCAA tournament.  It was a turnaround – remember that while Duke won the National Championship that year, it did not win either the ACC regular season or tournament.  So, no doubt Duke has talent (top six plan to play in the NBA next year), but whether that talent coalesces into a great team remains to be seen.

The Backcourt

Grayson, Duval and Trent should get most of the minutes.  

Duke 93 NW Missouri State 60 (Exhibition game played Friday October 27)

Grayson was superb by all accounts, scoring 23 points (9-15; 5-10 from 3land but did not get to the line) in 26 minutes.  He had 5 defensive rebounds and 3 assists.  Duval and Gary Trent each played 21 minutes.  Duval got high grades for his defense and ball handling (held the NW Missou star to 3-14 shooting and had 2 steals to go with 5 assists against a single turnover).  Although he missed both of his 3s, Duval was otherwise 3-3 from the field for 7 points.  Trent shot lights out (as advertised) 7-9 from the field missing his only 2 3point attempts for 15 points.  Jordan Goldwire, a 4 star freshman point guard, brought in more as a practice player and second team point guard, played 16 minutes and Alex O’Connell, a 6’6” freshman shooter, played 14 undistinguished minutes.  Neither scored.

Blue-White game on October 20 (just one 20 minute half)

Grayson, Duval and Trent each played the full 20 minutes – Duval and Trent for the winning Blue team (43-41) and Grayson for the White team.  Trent and Grayson each scored 13 points.   Goldwire also played 20 minutes (3-6; 2-4 from deep for 8 points).  This means the other backcourt players – freshman Alex O’Connell (12 minutes — 8 points including the winning 3 at the buzzer) and Australian sophomore Jack White (6’7”; 14 minutes 6 rebounds) played on the wing.

The Front Court

Bagley, Carter and Bolden should be given most of the front court minutes.

Duke 93 – NW Missouri State 60 (Exhibition game played on Friday October 27)

Duke got big minutes out of the four front court players, who will, I predict, be in the rotation.  Marvin Bagley drew raves for his 23-minute performance scoring 16 on 6-10 shooting, including 1-2 from deep and 3-5 from the line.  He grabbed 6 boards and handed out 2 assists (3 turnovers).  The other starter was Wendell Carter, who also impressed.  In 18 scintillating minutes, he was 5-7 from the field (including 1-1 from deep) for 11 points to go with 9 rebounds.  Both Bolden and DeLaurier each also played 18 minutes and looked good.  Bolden scored 6 on 3-5 shooting, grabbing 5 boars.  De Laurier played great defense and was 4-4 from the field and 1-1 from the line for 9 points while grabbing 7 boards.  Vrankovich, 7 foot returning Junior, played 7 minutes while Justin Robinson played 8.

Blue-White game ( October 20th.  Just one 20 minute half)

Bagley and Bolden played all 20 minutes; Carter 17.  Vrankovich played 11 minutes scoring 4 points and grabbing 3 boards, while Javin DeLaurier, who has grown 2 inches to 6’10”, logged 15 minutes (9 boards!!; 3 points).  Justin Robinson played only 5 minutes; he will not be in the rotation.

Bagley drew raves in his 20 minutes (6-10; 0-1 from deep for 12 points to go with 4 boards).  Carter was a beast shooting 4-7; 1-2 from deep; 2-3 from the line for 11 points to go with 3 boards.  Bolden was less productive (2-6; 0-1 from deep; and 0-2 from the line for 4 points while grabbing 5 boards. DeLaurier’s 9 rebounds and overall athleticism was impressive.

Duke 88 – Michigan State 81

Holy Jim Boeheim, Batman! Coach K goes zone for a full forty minutes!

My old fraternity/basketball buddy Phil called from Florida today to say that he hadn’t been able see the team play and asked if are they really as good as Alan and I have written. After the game, he said he should never have doubted us. So far, this team has demonstrated the talent, resiliency, and, yes, maturity to overcome slow starts, opponent’s runs, and still finish strong. The good news is that J.J. Allen was sensational scoring 36 pts. ( 7-11 threes), the one at the buzzer to end the half put Duke up by four was from Steph Curry’s zip code. Then, with less than a minute remaining nailing a dagger of a three to put the Blue Devils up seven to close out the tough Spartans. The bad news is that Bagley left the game early in the first half because of an inadvertent finger to the eye, went to the locker room and after the half, returned to the bench but not the game. Other than that, the young Duke players responded admirably to the pressure of playing a more experienced, highly rated team in a not exactly friendly environment on national television with the added burden of being without their double-double big man for most of the game.

When was the last time a Duke team dominated the glass, winning the battle of the boards 46-34 (25 offensive rebounds) against a top five team? In a post- game interview, Grayson was asked how he had such a great game and he said: “Tre(von)”, his point guard, who had 17 points, 10 assists, and 6 steals. Gary  Trent had an off night (3-11), missing six threes. However, with four minutes remaining, he hit the three on a sweet assist from Allen that tied the score and fueled the winning run that closed out the game. If he had missed that shot, the result could have been different. Carter had a 12-12 double-double and off the bench DeLaurier was a real disrupter on defense with 4 points, 7 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 steals, 2 blocks. Marquis Bolden, however, did not take advantage of this opportunity for more playing time. Hopefully, it was a post strep infection funk.

The only obvious weakness of this team continues to be free throw shooting. Other than Grayson’s 8-8, the rest of the team shot Plumlee brother numbers– 50%. Giving up that many points in a close game can potentially jump up and bite this team in the loss column.

In the post-game interview Coach K said that he loves participating against top programs like Michigan State early in the year, because this is a Final Four type venue and either the moment or the other team can defeat you—a priceless experience for young players. Further, that Grayson has evolved from being a good shooter to being a great shooter. He had to learn to be a shooter, then a scorer. Earlier in his career, he spent too much time driving and getting knocked to the floor. However, he is in much better control now. “I felt like I was coaching J.J. Redick. You keep calling plays for him and they work. Grayson was fantastic tonight. Come on. He wasn’t good, he was fantastic.”  Grayson commented: “I’ve played in 90 more games than the four teammates that are out there with me. So I feel a little more comfortable and calm and confident out there.”

Other Comments:

  • This Champions Classic at the United Center in Chicago was like a Final Four in November with Kansas beating Kentucky in the nightcap.
  • Tom Izzo is a great coach. However, he is now 1-11 against Coach K.
  • Before the game, Duke wore their “Equality” shirts, while Michigan State wore shirts that said “We talk, We listen.” Alan will have to explain what they mean.

Alan Adds: 

This game was, in my opinion, about the second half, so that is what I will write about. Coach K said, “We faced a lot of adversity against a great team and won a big game.  Not a bad night.”  The freshmen bigs were knocked back early in the game.  There were times when Duke played 4 guards and only one big.  Bagley was Duke’s third leading rebounder with 6 in only 10 minutes.

In the second half, Duke essentially played five players only.  Bolden, Vrankovich and Goldwire played 2 minutes each and O’Connell 1 without scoring a point.  Carter came out for 3 minutes as did DeLaurier.  Trent had a one minute breather.  DeLaurier and Trent played for over 9 minutes each with 4 fouls.  Grayson and Duval played the entire half (Grayson played all 40 minutes).  Allen (23), Duval (12) and Carter (10) scored 45 of Duke’s 50 second half points.  Trent’s 3, which broke a 75-75 tie and Javin’s layup for Duke’s last score after he stole the ball were Duke’s other 5 points. The Duke zone gave up 47 points in the furious second half.

In the second half, we finally got to see the real Wendell Carter Jr. with a double-double in just the second half alone — 10 very tough rebounds to go with 10 points [3-5 from the field and 4-6 from the line].  He also had committed 4 fouls by the end (all in the second half heroically battling the Spartan’s big front line).  He was the stud and beast that I have been describing.  Duval was a revelation.  He’s been really good throughout, but we could see him growing in confidence and efficiency in the second half.  He scored 12 on 5-11 from the field (0-1 from deep; 2-3 from the line), but he ran the team.  He had 6 second half assists against a single turnover.  On defense, he had 3 second half steals and a block.  Grayson was effusive in his praise of “Tre” after the game.  Duval has been transformative.  Finally, Grayson gave us a second half for the ages, scoring 23 points on 13 shots [8-13; 5-9 from deep and 2-2 from the line].  Duke was 8-11 from the line in the second half, which is an improvement over the first half and earlier games.

DeLaurier didn’t score until the end but he was sensational.  With Bolden still sick and Bagley out, DeLaurier was the other Duke big to team with Carter.  He had 5 rebounds, 2 assists, a block and a steal.  He made the zone work (as much as it did in the second half) and cemented his place in the rotation.  Trent had a subpar game and yet made the play of the game with his only second half basket.  Duke won at what we call “winning time”.  The last minutes of the game.  With 4:12 to go, Duke trailed 75-73.  Carter tied it with a dunk on an offensive rebound after a Trent miss.  Then Grayson missed a three and DeLaurier got the rebound of the game, passed to Grayson who hit Trent for an open 3.  Coach K said that it took guts for Trent to hoist it up after such an awful shooting night.  Splash!  Duke led by 3 with 3:12 to go.  Then came the sequence of the game.  Bridges missed a three and DeLaurier rebounded.  Duval missed a layup; Javin got the offensive board, but missed a put back dunk.  Trent grabbed that offensive rebound and found Grayson for a contested 3.  Duke up 6 with 2:27 to go.  A flurry of misses by both teams before Grayson sealed it with a three with only 70 seconds remaining, putting Duke up 9, and essentially ending the Spartan hopes.

As Bill might say, “Holy Jim Boeheim, Batman, Duke played zone for the entire game (except for one possession).”  I wrote this before I got Bill’s first draft.  That’s a bit scary!  As for explaining the warm up shirts, I decline since I know my limits.

Coach K said he went to the zone because he was worried about Duke fouls.  Duke’s length made the zone work (especially in the first half) and allowed Duke to avoid having anyone foul out (it was close; the game ended with 3 Duke players with 4 fouls.).  Friday against Furman at home and then on to Portland for a three day; three game tournament in the Phil Knight Invitational.  Duke could face real competition in the second and third games.  First game against Portland State on November 23.

It was as Coach K predicted, “a hell of a night.”

Whetting the Whistle

Duval and Allen will start in the backcourt.  Bagley and Carter will start up front.  Who will the 5th starter be?  Either Trent (going small) or Bolden (going big); it was Trent in the first exhibition game. DeLaurier is more athlete than basketball player at this juncture, but having a 6’10” athlete on the court (especially if he becomes an elite defender) could earn significant minutes.  I believe the rotation will be among these 7.  Jordan Tucker, a 6’7” freshman swing man, who chose Duke at the last minute over Syracuse played only 4 minutes in the exhibition game and 6 minutes in the Blue-White game, which makes me predict a red shirt for him.  Justin Robinson will not make the rotation.  If the rotation extends beyond 7 (which will happen with injury, but, I predict, not otherwise),  Vrankovich, White, O’Connell, or even Goldwire will see some necessary minutes.

Enjoy the season and do not let unrealistic expectations take away our enjoyment.

Duke 97  – Elon 68

Duke  99 –  Utah Valley 69

Just looking at these scores, you would think: “Ho hum, two easy blowouts”. However, you would be dead wrong as they were against two entirely different teams that presented different challenges and the games were won in dramatically different ways. In the Elon game, Grayson Allen came out like a man on a mission hitting his first six shots as Duke took a 19-3 lead and cruised. At one point, he had outscored Elon 17-16. Against Utah Valley, a team that Friday night lead Kentucky by nine at the half, after eight minutes (and much of the half), Grayson had no points, and Duke was down as much as seven. At the second TV timeout, Coach K switched to a zone and essentially told the freshmen to man up because they were playing against adults (14 transfers and a 24 year old 7’,  250 lb. center) not boys. The freshmen obviously paid attention and grew up before our eyes, as Duke led Bagley & Carter (threes and four blocked shots), began to force turnovers, and went on a 20-5 run over the next five minutes.

Suddenly, the Blue Devil fans were no longer blue as Duke was up by seven. The Devils finished the game with 33 points off turnovers.  Marvin Bagley, who moves in the post like George Gervin and has a full court motor like John Havlicek  had his second double-double with 24 points and 10 rebounds. In addition, notice how quickly he elevates on his second jump after he misses a shot and how often it enables him to get a second tip or shot. This is a rare talent for someone so big. Three other freshmen also had big nights: Trevon Duval had 15 points and 12 assists, Gary Trent Jr. added 17 points and Wendell Carter Jr. had 12. Grayson Allen finally heated up in the second half with 18 points and several acrobatic drives and dunks.

In all fairness, the Wolverines had to have been exhausted after a road trip that took them from Orem, Utah to Lexington, Kentucky to Durham in a few days. I suspect there aren’t a lot of direct flights from Orem to Lexington and Lexington to Durham.

I have long been fascinated by the way Coach K finds ways to win when his teams often do not have a dominant center or overwhelming size. For decades, the recruiting whisperers have told big men not to go to Duke, because Coach K is guard oriented and doesn’t know how to develop big men. Hello, 2017-18. Look out. Duke has them in spades—and they not only can play, they can run and jump and rebound and shoot and play defense. This team looks more like an NBA team than any since the 1991-92 team.

A stroll down memory lane (Carolina and Kentucky fans can stop reading): This was Mike Krzyzewski his 1,000th win in his 38 years at Duke, 1073rd overall, the most-ever for a coach in men’s Division I college basketball history. Before coming to Duke in 1979-80, he won 73 games in five years at his alma mater Army. During Krzyzewski’s tenure/reign, Duke has won five national championships in 1991, 1992, 2001, 2010, 2015 as well as playing in 12 Final Fours, won 12 ACC Regular Season Titles, and 14 ACC Tournament Titles. During his summer break, Coach K has guided the men’s Olympic Basketball team to gold medals in 2008, 2012 and 2016. He was inducted into the Naismith Memorial Basketball Hall of Fame in 2001. And BTW, the streak of non-ACC home wins now stands at 134.

Krzyzewski’s response. “ I don’t like Duke, I love Duke. I’m so lucky to be here for this time. It keeps you young. I don’t have a timetable for how long I’m going to coach, just trying to be in this moment.  I can’t even believe it. We were 38-47 here in my first three years. There were a lot of people here that didn’t think I would win 1,000 games– me being one of them.”

Other Comments:

  • 1 overall 2018 prospect R.J. Barrett committed to Duke over Oregon and Kentucky. Barrett is the star of the 2018 Class  and gives the Blue Devils their third five-star pledge in the class, to go with Cam Reddish and Tre Jones. Duke now boasts the No. 1 overall recruiting class for 2018, leap-frogging cross-state rival North.
  • Keep an eye on Alex O’Connell. He is the skinny white kid with the 1940’s retro haircut who has more animated fun on the bench than most Cameron Crazies but, more importantly, makes things happen when he gets playing time. I suspect that Bolden, DeLaurier, and O’Connell will be the eight man rotation.

Alan Adds:

Nothing we saw in the first two games could diminish the high expectations for the 2017-18 Duke basketball season.  Nothing we saw in the first two games could diminish the eager expectation of Tuesday’s matchup with pre-season #2 Michigan State.  Tuesday promises to be a game that takes a preliminary measure of this year’s freshman dominated team.  Michigan State is big and strong, historically a ferocious rebounding team, and has the leading player of the year candidate in Myles Bridges (6’7” swing man who led in votes for the pre-season All-American team; Grayson was second). Michigan State opened with a 30 point win against North Florida and showed an 8 man rotation.  Michigan State has its own highly rated 6’11” freshman center in Jaren Jackson, who scored 22, and depth and experience at guard.  Duke is flying high after two scintillating team performances.

Interestingly, both Bill and I said to each other that a Duke loss might be the best thing that could happen to these freshmen.  Perspective: Perhaps, the youngsters learned from the first 8 minutes against Utah Valley when they were taken aback by the intensity of the visitors, who led 17-13 after 8 minutes.  Coach K: “In the first four minutes, and our guys were grabbing things with one hand and they were just outplaying us. The second media timeout, we just talked to our team about the fact that this is the way it is. It isn’t like the other games. This is better, you’re going to feel better about playing in a game like this, but we have to play in a game like this, which means we have to be there every play. They really responded.”  Four defensive blocks by Carter, which Coach K identified as the turning point, triggered the turnaround.

In the first two games, Duke played in friendly Cameron against teams that were not an athletic match for the Blue Devils.  Notwithstanding, Duke was impressive – especially on the defensive end.  In the first half against Elon, Duke switched everything 1 thru 5.  Coach K said he could do that only with Amile previously, but Carter and Bagley are so quick on defense (and DeLaurier makes them look slow by comparison) that Duke can switch everything.  Duke also showed more zone against Elon.  Coach K pointed out that Duke is so long that a zone is effective.  “We played it more than we will going forward.”  Against Utah Valley, Duke had 33 points off turnovers.  It will be interesting to see how well Duke defends against competition of the Michigan State quality.

Front Court

Duke is loaded up front.  Wendell Carter and Bagley will start.  Carter had foul trouble against Elon and logged only 16 minutes (11 in the second half).  He had 3 fouls early, but did not foul again.  In the second game he played 31 minutes, scoring 12 [4-8; 1-3 from deep; and 3-4 from the line].  He and Bagley pass and play well together.  Bagley lived up to the hype in the first two games.  He had double doubles in both games and had announcers gushing over every aspect of his game, and treating it as a sure thing that he will be the first overall pick in next spring’s NBA draft.  The only blemish was he is 2-9 from the free throw line.  That has to get better, because he will be shooting a lot of foul shots this year.

Behind the two starters is Javin DeLaurier.  Although he logged only 14 minutes against Elon and 11 in the Utah Valley game, it is hard not to be impressed by his energy and athleticism.  At 6’10”, he is quick enough to stay with point guards, and is a pure rebounder.  I believe he will be a major contributor.  Marques Bolden was too ill to play against Elon, and was projected to miss Utah Valley and Michigan State.  He rallied to play 7 minutes against Utah Valley, grabbing 2 boards and looking as if he will be the 6th man this year.  Finally, Vrankovich (now a junior) has the experience (Croatian National Team), size and IQ to contribute if any of the four are unavailable.  We are all curious to see how the front-line fares against stiff competition on Tuesday.

Backcourt

Trevon Duval is young, but he is playing the point with aplomb.  He had 20 assists – 8 against Elon and 12 last night with only a single turnover.  He picked up two quick fouls last night, but Coach K continued to play him.  “I’ve never been a proponent of ‘you get two fouls and you sit.’ If you do that, I’m going to try to get two fouls on your best player because then you’re going to defend him the rest of the half, I don’t have to defend him. I’ve never subscribed to that, guys have to learn how to play. Now we change defenses to help in that regard, when we went to 12, our zone, but then they have to learn that, the discipline of playing. If they did get a third foul in the first half, then this is the time of the year when we have to teach that.”

The sharpshooters running with Duval in Duke’s 3 guard starting lineup have been really fabulous.  Grayson has been at his best.  He scored the first 8 against Elon, which was a statement this is a new and better year (Elon was the game last year where Grayson melted down in public after committing his third tripping incident).  He scored 19 in the first half against Elon.  Gary Trent has been almost as impressive, scoring 17 in each game.  He is a shooter (4-5 from deep against Elon), but has many other exciting talents.  He is a much better ball handler than advertised and has been a good defender who displays overall great hustle.

The back up to the guards is not yet set.  It seems as if Duke will rest the guards by going big (3 bigs and 2 guards) since there is so much depth and athleticism in the front court.  Alex O’Connell really impressed in both games.  I said to Bill that he will be to this team what Grayson was to the 2015 championship team.  He has so much energy and is a deadly shooter.  In 13 minutes against Elon, he scored 8 on 3-3 shooting (2 from deep) to go with 3 rebounds.  He garnered 5 rebounds and scored 4 points (1-3; 2-2 from the line) in only 9 minutes last night.  In some ways, he is what college sports should be about.  He is having fun, so animated on the bench, and so much energy when given the opportunity to play.

Tuesday night promises to be so much fun.

Duke 88 – Michigan State 81

Holy Jim Boeheim, Batman! Coach K goes zone for a full forty minutes!

My old fraternity/basketball buddy Phil called from Florida today to say that he hadn’t been able see the team play and asked if are they really as good as Alan and I have written. After the game, he said he should never have doubted us. So far, this team has demonstrated the talent, resiliency, and, yes, maturity to overcome slow starts, opponent’s runs, and still finish strong. The good news is that J.J. Allen was sensational scoring 36 pts. ( 7-11 threes), the one at the buzzer to end the half put Duke up by four was from Steph Curry’s zip code. Then, with less than a minute remaining nailing a dagger of a three to put the Blue Devils up seven to close out the tough Spartans. The bad news is that Bagley left the game early in the first half because of an inadvertent finger to the eye, went to the locker room and after the half, returned to the bench but not the game. Other than that, the young Duke players responded admirably to the pressure of playing a more experienced, highly rated team in a not exactly friendly environment on national television with the added burden of being without their double-double big man for most of the game.

When was the last time a Duke team dominated the glass, winning the battle of the boards 46-34 (25 offensive rebounds) against a top five team? In a post- game interview, Grayson was asked how he had such a great game and he said: “Tre(von)”, his point guard, who had 17 points, 10 assists, and 6 steals. Gary  Trent had an off night (3-11), missing six threes. However, with four minutes remaining, he hit the three on a sweet assist from Allen that tied the score and fueled the winning run that closed out the game. If he had missed that shot, the result could have been different. Carter had a 12-12 double-double and off the bench DeLaurier was a real disrupter on defense with 4 points, 7 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 steals, 2 blocks. Marquis Bolden, however, did not take advantage of this opportunity for more playing time. Hopefully, it was a post strep infection funk.

The only obvious weakness of this team continues to be free throw shooting. Other than Grayson’s 8-8, the rest of the team shot Plumlee brother numbers– 50%. Giving up that many points in a close game can potentially jump up and bite this team in the loss column.

In the post-game interview Coach K said that he loves participating against top programs like Michigan State early in the year, because this is a Final Four type venue and either the moment or the other team can defeat you—a priceless experience for young players. Further, that Grayson has evolved from being a good shooter to being a great shooter. He had to learn to be a shooter, then a scorer. Earlier in his career, he spent too much time driving and getting knocked to the floor. However, he is in much better control now. “I felt like I was coaching J.J. Redick. You keep calling plays for him and they work. Grayson was fantastic tonight. Come on. He wasn’t good, he was fantastic.”  Grayson commented: “I’ve played in 90 more games than the four teammates that are out there with me. So I feel a little more comfortable and calm and confident out there.”

Other Comments:

  • This Champions Classic at the United Center in Chicago was like a Final Four in November with Kansas beating Kentucky in the nightcap.
  • Tom Izzo is a great coach. However, he is now 1-11 against Coach K.
  • Before the game, Duke wore their “Equality” shirts, while Michigan State wore shirts that said “We talk, We listen.” Alan will have to explain what they mean.

Alan Adds: 

This game was, in my opinion, about the second half, so that is what I will write about. Coach K said, “We faced a lot of adversity against a great team and won a big game.  Not a bad night.”  The freshmen bigs were knocked back early in the game.  There were times when Duke played 4 guards and only one big.  Bagley was Duke’s third leading rebounder with 6 in only 10 minutes.

In the second half, Duke essentially played five players only.  Bolden, Vrankovich and Goldwire played 2 minutes each and O’Connell 1 without scoring a point.  Carter came out for 3 minutes as did DeLaurier.  Trent had a one minute breather.  DeLaurier and Trent played for over 9 minutes each with 4 fouls.  Grayson and Duval played the entire half (Grayson played all 40 minutes).  Allen (23), Duval (12) and Carter (10) scored 45 of Duke’s 50 second half points.  Trent’s 3, which broke a 75-75 tie and Javin’s layup for Duke’s last score after he stole the ball were Duke’s other 5 points. The Duke zone gave up 47 points in the furious second half.

In the second half, we finally got to see the real Wendell Carter Jr. with a double-double in just the second half alone — 10 very tough rebounds to go with 10 points [3-5 from the field and 4-6 from the line].  He also had committed 4 fouls by the end (all in the second half heroically battling the Spartan’s big front line).  He was the stud and beast that I have been describing.  Duval was a revelation.  He’s been really good throughout, but we could see him growing in confidence and efficiency in the second half.  He scored 12 on 5-11 from the field (0-1 from deep; 2-3 from the line), but he ran the team.  He had 6 second half assists against a single turnover.  On defense, he had 3 second half steals and a block.  Grayson was effusive in his praise of “Tre” after the game.  Duval has been transformative.  Finally, Grayson gave us a second half for the ages, scoring 23 points on 13 shots [8-13; 5-9 from deep and 2-2 from the line].  Duke was 8-11 from the line in the second half, which is an improvement over the first half and earlier games.

DeLaurier didn’t score until the end but he was sensational.  With Bolden still sick and Bagley out, DeLaurier was the other Duke big to team with Carter.  He had 5 rebounds, 2 assists, a block and a steal.  He made the zone work (as much as it did in the second half) and cemented his place in the rotation.  Trent had a subpar game and yet made the play of the game with his only second half basket.  Duke won at what we call “winning time”.  The last minutes of the game.  With 4:12 to go, Duke trailed 75-73.  Carter tied it with a dunk on an offensive rebound after a Trent miss.  Then Grayson missed a three and DeLaurier got the rebound of the game, passed to Grayson who hit Trent for an open 3.  Coach K said that it took guts for Trent to hoist it up after such an awful shooting night.  Splash!  Duke led by 3 with 3:12 to go.  Then came the sequence of the game.  Bridges missed a three and DeLaurier rebounded.  Duval missed a layup; Javin got the offensive board, but missed a put back dunk.  Trent grabbed that offensive rebound and found Grayson for a contested 3.  Duke up 6 with 2:27 to go.  A flurry of misses by both teams before Grayson sealed it with a three with only 70 seconds remaining, putting Duke up 9, and essentially ending the Spartan hopes.

As Bill might say, “Holy Jim Boeheim, Batman, Duke played zone for the entire game (except for one possession).”  I wrote this before I got Bill’s first draft.  That’s a bit scary!  As for explaining the warm up shirts, I decline since I know my limits.

Coach K said he went to the zone because he was worried about Duke fouls.  Duke’s length made the zone work (especially in the first half) and allowed Duke to avoid having anyone foul out (it was close; the game ended with 3 Duke players with 4 fouls.).  Friday against Furman at home and then on to Portland for a three day; three game tournament in the Phil Knight Invitational.  Duke could face real competition in the second and third games.  First game against Portland State on November 23.

It was as Coach K predicted, “a hell of a night.”

Duke 78– Southern 61 

When top ranked 4-0 Duke meets unranked 0-4 Southern in Cameron, you expect a blowout not a game that is tied twice in the first half. Blame youth, travel fatigue, a hangover from the big win, whatever… Surely, a relatively painless learning experience for essentially a group of teenagers from whom there will always be surprises– especially when the only non-teenager, Grayson Allen scores 10 points, not 25. More importantly, the good news is that there was no damage to  Bagley’s eye and he was his usual mesmerizing self. So, let’s discuss what we know so far.

Marvin Bagley and Wendell Carter are the most talented and productive big man combo Duke has ever had. Individually, they are more talented than any freshman power player Duke has ever had. They are interchangeable playing the high/low post, are unselfish, and are both double/double machines. This is the strength of the team and it will go as far as they take them. Trevon Duval has been a wonderful point guard and has demonstrated a fearless instinct for the timely, big play. However, his jump shot and free throw shooting need work. (Calling Chip “The Shot Doctor”  Engelland ‘83). Until Gary Trent gets more comfortable, Grayson Allen, who appears to be on a redemption mission, is the only lethal three point threat and, like tonight, that makes any game potentially more difficult, because close games are usually decided by the team that makes the most threes. When these two are on fire, these Blue Devils are lethal.

This team is deeper than most of K’s teams and he appears ready to use DeLaurier, Goldwire, Bolden and O’Connor. We will see if that continues as the schedule gets tougher. DeLaurier, a marvelous athlete and developing basketball player, is a defensive disrupter. Bolden looked better tonight but is still a question mark. Under recruited Goldwire is surprisingly capable as a short term breather sub. In limited minutes, O’Connor has demonstrated more of a feel and understanding of the game than the others. He definitely is fearless, a better shooter, and is much more athletic than he looks.

Other Comments: 

  • After playing zone in beating Michigan State, Duke played man-to-man tonight with disappointing results. Stay tuned.
  • The fact that Blue Devils finished with only 14 assists, a season-high 15 turnovers, shot just 4 of 20 from 3-point range, and 24-37 from the line demonstrated that this team has some work to do to continue to consistently beat top teams.
  • Grayson Allen was taken down on a fast break by a flagrant foul and just walked away without showing any emotion. Whew!  While he had a quiet scoring night, Grayson did have a SportsCenter highlight moment when, after a Bagley monster block spiked the ball well past midcourt, Allen ran the ball down, dribbled, took the ball around his back to avoid a defender, elevated, and laid the ball up with his left hand.
  • Mike Gminski ’80, an All-American center, number seven pick in the NBA draft, and outstanding student, was an announcer. While probably too low key for many in today’s audience, he is a throwback in that he doesn’t talk unless he has something pertinent to say. 
  • Reloading: During the just concluded early commitment period, Duke announced the signing of three probable one-and-done athlete/students: R.J. Barrett, Tre Jones and Cam Reddish– all rated by ESPN as a five-star recruit and ranked among the 10 best overall prospects in the nation.
  • Thankfully, NBA commissioner Adam Silver ’84 is in talks with the players union to eliminate the one-and-done rule. Stay tuned.

Alan Adds:

Coach K hit the nail on the head to explain Duke’s unsatisfyingly sluggish performance against an 0-3 team that had been blown out by mediocre opposition in its first three games.  “They thought it would be easier than it was.”  Early on, Duke was leaking out instead of all rebounding defensively, which caused Coach K to call a time out before 3 minutes had gone by.  “We did not play together tonight either on offense or defense.  When you don’t play together, you gravitate toward the individual effort.”  “We were out of character tonight.  Something was missing.”  However, Coach K was careful to warn that press and fans should not make more of the sluggish performance than is warranted.  “We want to be who we have been.”

Coach K pointed to a lack of practice mandated by NCAA rules as one reason for the sluggish performance [email me if you want me to explain the hyper technical requirement that prevented Duke from practicing on Wednesday or Thursday following the Michigan State win].  And Grayson pointed to a favored Coach K insight, “sometimes you have to overcome human nature.”

As Bill pointed out, the game showed that Duke has much work to do on its man to man defense.  This is a team of excellent individual defenders, who have the potential to become an effective defensive team, but that potential was well disguised last night.  Part of that was Southern shooting well from deep (5-11 from deep in the second half).  Contrast that with Duke going 0-9 from behind the arc in the second half – Grayson 3; Trent 2; Duval 2; Goldwire 1 and Bagley 1 (4-20 for the game).    Duke’s foul shooting improved in the second half (12-16; Bagley was 1-1) but was a disappointing 12-21 in the first half where only Wendell Carter shot better than 50% (5-7); Bagley (4-8);  DeLaurier, Allen and O’Connell were 1-2.

The Starters

The starters played between 28 and 32 minutes with the game decided by Duke’s huge superiority up front.  Carter had the game of the night notching a double double in only 28 minutes.  He scored 20 [7-9; 1-1 from deep and 5-7 from the line] to go with 11 rebounds and 6 blocks [only Giminski had more in a game as a freshman in Duke history].  Oh yes, he also handed out two assists and had a steal.  Bagley played a game high 32 minutes before fouling out.  There is no missing his special athleticism, yet I think he has not yet shown all he can do.  He also grabbed 11 rebounds with his third double/double in 4 games [19 points on a team high 12 shots – 7-12; 0-1; 5-9 from the line].  He also had 2 assists and added 2 blocks.

Grayson and Duval played 30 minutes and Trent 31.  After the Michigan State magnificent shooting performance, Allen was 0-6 from deep for the game.  He scored 10 on 3-3 from inside the arc to go with 4-5 from the line (3-3 in the second half).  He had 4 boards and led Duke in assists (4 tied with Duval) and turnovers (3; tied with Wendell).  Trent had an uncharacteristically bad shooting game and failed to get to the foul line (3-11; 2-6 from deep), but made up for it with his rebounding and hustle.  He grabbed 10 boards and earned Coach K’s praise.  Trevon “Tre” played better in the second half (tied for Duke’s second half high scorer with 7 (Grayson and Bagley each had 7 and Carter 6 in the last stanza) and avoided a turnover.  He had 10 for the game, including his first 3 pointer – his only points in the first half.

The Bench

Marques Bolden played all of his 11 minutes in the second half, where I thought he looked rusty and a bit lost on the court.  He was totally out of sync on defense, and I thought tentative on offense (his travel on what should have been a power dunk is a dramatic example).  He scored 4 [1-3; 2-4 from the line] to go with 2 boards and a turnover.  Let’s hope it is just a slow recovery from strep throat, but I fear he is the same disappointing player this year as he was last year.  However, my analysis might be wrong since not only Bill (above), but Coach K in his press conference praised Marques, “Marques gave us a big lift in the second half.”  It will be especially interesting to see how he performs in the 4 games during this coming week.

DeLaurier continues to draw oohs and aahs for his athleticism (he had one block from behind on a Southern runout that was almost LeBron like), but his statistics were meager.  In 12 minutes (6 in each half), he missed his only shot and was only 2-4 from the line for his 2 points.  He had 2 boards, an assist, a turnover and that block.  He was first off the bench.

Alex O’Connell is a pleasant surprise.  He scored 5 in 14 minutes [1-2; 0-1 from 3land; and 3-4 from the line.  He brings good energy to the game.

Goldwire played 8 uninspired minutes missing both of his 3 point attempts (his only shots) while making one steal and committing a turnover.

Vranovich (1 minute), and White (3) played cameos while Jordan Tucker and Robinson did not play.

Next week – 4 games

Furman on Monday night before Duke travels to Portland for 3 games in the Phil Knight tournament celebrating his 80th birthday.  It is a cool tournament (actually two separate tournaments – Duke is in the Motion bracket while UNC is in the other tournament called Victory).  On Thanksgiving Day, Duke plays Portland State, then things get interesting.  Assuming a Duke win (“they thought it was going to be easier than it was” is a warning against such assumptions), the Blue Devils face the winner of Butler v Texas on Friday.  Texas has the superb freshman center, Mohamad Bamba (Duke lost that recruiting battle).  The four teams in the other bracket are Florida, Ohio State, Gonzaga and Stanford.   The final game is on Sunday.  Every team plays three games.

Duke 92– Furman 63

The start of the game was delayed for fifteen minutes because at six o’clock a second floor fire alarm went off and the entire building was evacuated. Fortunately, it was a false alarm but after the delayed start, the Blue Devils appeared as though they had evacuated without their warm-up suits, because they again started cold, playing unimpressive basketball as Furman got into the lane for one good look after another, making five of its first six shots. Nevertheless, when your team beats a good, veteran Southern Conference team with a terrific point guard by 29 points, how critical can you be? [Warning: I am evaluating this team by a standard only previously applied to the 2001 and 1999 teams.] Well, the fact of the matter is that the Blue Devils were actually behind for about ten minutes before Duke’s man-to-man defense forced four turnovers in the next six minutes and went on a patented 20-6 run. During that stretch freshman  Marvin Bagley dominated offensively and defensively. He scored 11 points in two minutes on a variety of shots, blocked a shot, stole the ball, picked up 2 assists, and even accidentally tipped in a basket for the other team.

This team has demonstrated that they have all the individual parts to be a multifaceted, dominating team. However, except in spurts—even against Michigan State—they have not been a well-oiled machine.  For the second game in a row, the firm of Bagley & Carter dominated down low, Trevon drove the lane at will but Allen, who had not practiced due to being “banged up”, and Trent did not score well. It will be interesting when the Double-Double Brothers come up against a really large front line how they react and adapt and if Coach K stays with the man-to-man defense as he has for most of the last two games or goes more zone which was so effective against the Spartans. The truth of the matter is that the undefeated, #1 Duke has yet to play a game with balanced scoring, which they will soon have to do. They have, however, improved one major weakness—free throw shooting.

When DeLaurier, who brings so much energy and athleticism to the party, is in the mix, the defense may even be better. And O’Connor, who looks like a freshman pledge whose hair was the victim of a hazing incident, sure appears to be the sleeper of the freshman class. He has a rare feel and instinct for the game. Bolden still appears raw and in need of maturing. Even against this level of competition, Goldwire seems in over his head and I would not be surprised if Allen, who had six nice assists tonight, plays the point when Duval is rested and O’Connor plays the shooting guard.

Duke extended their streak of consecutive non-conference home wins in Cameron to 136.

Alan Adds:

Coach K was well pleased with last night’s effort against a good Furman team.  His assessment was the team played hard and well, and most importantly, “played together – on both ends of the court.”  He was asked if the Furman was a statement game after the disappointing effort against Southern last Friday.  K responded with a quip, and then made the serious point that it was “more like we got back to playing the way we are supposed to” and the way the team has played all year.  He pointed out that the team had two really good practices after not being able to practice after the Michigan State game.

Even though Duke gave up easy drives during the game’s opening minutes and a raft of threes toward the end of the game when Duke switched to a zone defense with mostly substitute players, Coach K was pleased with the defense.  He said the game plan was to take away Furman’s three point attack, so when Davis (Furman’s talented point guard) got into the lane, the help stayed with the shooters leaving him open to create and score.  The adjustment was subtle.  Coach K said Furman was “a right handed driving team”.  We started out forcing them right and got burned.”  When Duke started forcing them left, the defense stiffened and the lead grew consistently.

The Bench

The rotation is longer now than it will be in the conference season, and it is where the competition for playing time exists.  The starting lineup is set.

First off the bench is Javin DeLaurier, who continues to impress me greatly.  What I appreciate about his game is his energy on defense.  He is quick enough (and has the intensity – motor) to guard the perimeter and still protect the rim when one of his teammates is beaten.  I do not believe any other Duke big has shown that capability, even though both Carter (especially) and Bagley are formidable defenders.  Javin logged 17 intense minutes, scoring 6 (3-3; 0-1 from the line), grabbing 6 boards and blocking 4 shots, and making 2 steals.  Interestingly, when Grayson picked up his 3rd foul early in the second half, DeLaurier replaced him, making a lineup of 3 bigs + Tre and a Gary.  I liked this lineup defensively.

Bolden earned Coach K’s praise in his 12 minutes (2-3 from the floor and 2-2 from the line) for scoring 6 points, grabbing 2 boards and having a block.  He was yanked, however, after a cameo in the first half when he completely lost his roll man on a Furman screen and roll, creating a wide open (embarrassing) layup.  In fairness, DeLaurier had one almost identical defensive lapse.  Bolden moved well and is a potential contributor.  Potential.

Alex O’Connell logged 12 scintillating second half minutes after remaining on the bench in the first half.  He made the most of his opportunity scoring 10 [4-5 from the floor; 2-3 from deep] with 2 boards, an assist (sweet interior pass) and a block (the skinny kid has hops).  He was very impressive on several levels.  As I have written previously, he reminds me of Grayson as a freshman.

Jordan Goldwire played 13 minutes without scoring [0-2 from deep] with an offensive rebound, an assist, a steal against a turnover and a foul.  Vrankovic (3 minutes), White (4 minutes) and Justin Robinson (1 minute) made cameos.  Tucker did not play (again).

The Starters

The Backcourt

This was a coming out party for Trevon Duval, who was nothing short of sensational on both ends of the court.  In 26 minutes, he scored 18 [9-12; 0-2 from deep] to go with 4 boards and 4 assists.  He dominated some aspects of this game, and could be heading for a Tyus Jones like season.  He has an uncanny ability to snake to the rim and finish acrobatically.  Trent played a game high 31 minutes (he is trusted by Coach K) scoring 9 [4-8; 1-3 from 3land] to go with 3 boards, an assist and a turnover.  He is on the court as much for his defense, rebounding and energy as his shooting.  He had a pair of steals.  Grayson, who did not practice, had a bad shooting game, but was still valuable.  He led Duke with 6 assists, 3 rebounds and 3 steals, even though he scored only 5 in 28 minutes (only 8 second half minutes after playing the entire first half) [2-9; 1-4 from deep without getting to the line].  His defense is always played on high energy.

Bagley and Carter

Both Bagley and Carter had substantial size advantages over the Furman bigs.  Both exploited their size advantage and skill to allow Duke to dominate on the inside.  Carter played only 24 minutes, scoring 14 [6-7 from the floor; 2-4 from the line] to go with 9 boards a block and 2 assists.  Bagley played 29 minutes grabbing 8 boards and scoring 24 points on a team high 15 shots [8-15; 1-3 from deep – 3 attempts, really; and satisfyingly 5-6 from the line].   With the game still close in the first half, Duke went to him on the low block 4 straight times for 4 straight scores and an end to the competiveness of the game.  Coach K has emphasized that neither is a traditional big – they are complete basketball players who happen to be big.  One of the splendid aspects of them playing together is the skill each has to pass.  They like to pass and are making a formidable inside presence.

The PK tournament and Big 10 Challenge

Duke will fly to Portland tomorrow for 3 games in 4 days.  Duke’s second game will be against an undefeated team that has received votes in the ranking whether Texas or Butler wins.  Florida (#7 in both polls) is the highest rated team on the other side of the Motion Bracket.  They play Stanford first. Gonzaga (#17 in both polls) plays Ohio State.

If Duke reaches the championship game on Sunday (11-26) evening at 7:30, they will travel back to Durham on Monday before flying to Bloomington on Tuesday for Wednesday (11-29) night’s game against Indiana.  Whew!

Duke 99 – Portland State 81

Duke 85 – Texas 78

You could sense this kind of result developing for weeks. Another slow start, porous defense, poor free throw and three point shooting. But for the first time, add a big, talented Texas front line that neutralizes this team’s primary strength and, “Durham, we have a problem”.

After each Elon, Utah Valley etc. game Coach K starts his presser by saying what a good, well coached (but unranked) team Duke just beat without commenting on the Blue Devils weaknesses. Because I was at dinner with our son’s family in Washington and only occasionally stole a look at my smartphone, I was spared the actual disappointment of watching Texas taking and expanding their lead. Down fourteen midway through the second half, I finally I turned it off so that I could enjoy the fine Italian Cuisine.

What!!  Duke won? No way! Fortunately, I taped it or I wouldn’t have believed it. Grayson came alive playing the point before fouling out to lead a rally that got the Blue Devils even. (May I quote from our last blog: “Goldwire seems in over his head and I would not be surprised if Allen, who had six nice assists tonight, plays the point when Duval is rested and O’Connell plays the shooting guard.”) The freshmen took it from there. First, with the score tied and ten seconds remaining, Bagley, who had only hit two shots from La-La Land in his brief Duke career, decided it is a good idea to launch a three which missed and O’Connell then Carter miss tips as time expired in regulation. Think it would have been a better idea for Trent to take the three and MBIII try the tip? However, that was about the only mistake the big guy made as he went for 34 & 15. After huddling with the coaches, Bagley and Carter predictably set up in the low post and flushed dunks on pinpoint passes from Tre Duval against Texas’ backup front line (Bamba and Sims  had fouled out) to win in overtime.

You really have to hand it to these freshmen, so far they have mastered the art of living dangerously. And if they have the tenacity and talent to rally against good teams like Texas while missing 14 free throws, and going 3-18 from three point land, I sure like their chances if they ever master the boring art of shooting free throws.

Other Comments:

  • How impressive was this win? It was the sixth best comeback in Duke basketball history. And it was another lesson that for a Coach K team “It’s never over until it’s over”.
  • Bagley’s 34 points on Friday tied J.J. Redick’s single-game scoring record by a freshman.
  • At this point, North Carolina is a better “team” than Duke.
  • Jay Bilas was one of the announcers. He is the best at college basketball.

Alan Adds:

Overall impressions:

Duke will play Florida (#7 in both polls) on Sunday night at 10:30 for the championship of the Motion Bracket of the PK 80 tournament.  Florida prevailed 117-111 over Gonzaga (#17) in a double overtime thriller that ended early in the EST Saturday morning.  Duke’s defense will be tested.

Duke 85 Texas 78

The first and most important takeaway from the initial two games of the PK 80 tournament is that Duke’s defense is in shambles and whether or not it can be improved is the key issue for the early (or late) season.  The second takeaway is this team has heart, resolve and an unstoppable force in Marvin Bagley III.  In spite of Texas’s unimpeded stampeded to the rim for easy layups, Duke came back from 16 down with 7:29 to go in the game and forced an overtime (in a game that should have been won in regulation).  The third takeaway is the dramatic increase in Alex O’Connell’s playing time.  He entered the Texas game with 10:05 left to play and Duke down 16 (14 really since Bagley made 2 free throws during the substitution).  He played the remainder of the game and all 5 minutes of the overtime and was a major contributor.  For the last 2 minutes of regulation for all of the overtime, Duke played 5 freshmen (except for Javin’s about 5 second cameo).

Duke 99 Portland State 81

A friend of mine minted the perfect description: “The Portland State game was ugly.  Like a 300-pound bully finally beating up an exhausted depleted kid.”  When Bill called at half time, here’s what I told him: “Portland State played such beautiful offensive basketball – it did not matter whether Duke showed man to man or zone, the Vikings penetrated at will for easy layups, passed the ball on the interior through the Duke bigs for dunks or kicked out to allow for success on a high percentage of open looks from 3, and did not commit a single turnover against Duke’s pressure – and Duke was hanging in the game only because of the tremendous size advantage of their bigs down low.  That made a strong pull to root for Portland State!”   Duke gave up 49 first half points (probably making Coach K pull out tapes of the infamous Vermont game from seasons ago).  The Vikings played a first half that you could not help but admire, even though they could not stop Bagley, Bolden and Carter on the inside, and so gave up 45 points to the Blue Devils.  Duke led by only 3 with 10 minutes to go, and then blew the Vikings out as the Portland State front line began to foul out and wilt against Duke’s superior size.  Not a very impressive win.

More In Depth Thoughts

Texas

There were three phases to the Texas game: the first 33 minutes that were excruciating for Duke fans to watch as Texas completely outplayed Duke; the last 7 minutes of regulation where Duke – led by Grayson Allen – made a furious comeback; and the last 2 minutes of regulation (I know, overlap) and the overtime where 5 freshmen stormed to victory.

The first 33 minutes

Duke has been a defensive disaster so far, this season, and Texas exploited that completely.  Duke’s transition defense stunk.  Texas guards blew through the man to man for easy layups.  [Rotation seemed like a dirty word].  When Duke went to the zone, Texas carved it up like a Thanksgiving Turkey.  If Texas had made open 3s (4-23 for the game), it would have been a blowout.  Duke did not shoot well (1-6 from 3 in the opening stanza) (8-15 from the foul line in the first half.  Carter and Bagley were 2-7).  Duke was beaten on the boards; played on their heels defensively; and, looked ragged on offense.  Best news – Alex O’Connell played 29 minutes and Bolden 12 (remember this was an overtime game so there are 225 minutes to distribute).  Neither packed the box score, but both were valuable, especially O’Connell who grabbed 6 rebounds.  It looked as if Duke were a thoroughly beaten team.  Then came the turnaround.

The last 7 minutes of regulation

Down 14 with 7:47 left, Grayson Allen ignited Duke.  Saddled with 3 first half fouls (all good calls), Allen played only 7 scoreless minutes in the first half.  His spirit and fight reminded me of his freshman performance against Wisconsin the championship game.  He shot and passed Duke back into contention.  [Texas’s uninspired shot selection also helped.]  Carter went 1-2 from the line to reduce the margin to 13.  Alex grabbed a superb rebound of Carter’s missed second free throw and hit Trent with a pass, who gained an assist when Grayson took the pass and hit a 3.  Duke down 10.  Bagley got an offensive rebound and scored on a layup.  Grayson made an ensuing steal, and fed Bagley for a dunk.  Duke down 6. Texas and Carter traded baskets (great assist from Marvin).  Texas stretched it to 7 before Grayson again made a great feed to Carter for a dunk.  Duke down 5.  After Texas again went 1-2 from the line, Allen again fed Carter for a dunk.  Duke down 4.  Carter stole the ball and eventually received another Allen assist for his dunk.  Duke down 2.  Bagley got a rebound and penetrated for the tying basket.  Grayson snagged the defense board, charged down court, and fouled out on an offensive foul with 1:57 left to play.  Duval, who had the worst game of his Duke career replaced him for the last 7 minutes of the game.  With 1:43 to go, Duke gave up another open layup on a drive.  Duke down 2.  Trent missed a 3, but Duval got fouled.  He missed both with a chance to tie.  Bamba blocked Bagley’s attempted layup to tie the game, but Duke got the offensive rebound and called time out with 35 seconds to play down 2.  On a set play, Gary Trent Jr. drove the lane, scored on a difficult finish, got fouled (by Bamba, who fouled out on the play; a huge play for Duke) and knocked down the free throw.  Duke’s first lead since the opening minute of the game.  Duke up 1.  Duval fouled Coleman, who made 1-2.  Texas horrible foul shooting opened the door for the Duke comeback.  Bagley missed a 3 (strange last shot) and neither O’Connell nor Carter could convert offensive rebound attempts.

The Overtime

Duval had his first good minutes of the game.  Texas was forced to play small and went zone to try and protect.  After Bagley made 1-2 from the line, Duval hit two straight perfect passes over the zone to Bagley for dunks.  Duke up by 5; Texas came out of the zone and fought back.  Roach penetrated for a layup.  Duval committed a foul.  Jones penetrated for another open layup.  Duke up 1 with 1:31 left.  Bagley hit a layup on an assist from Trent.  Carter fouled Coleman who again missed 1-2.  Duke up 2 with 43 seconds left, when Carter made the play of the game.  He fought for offensive rebound; missed; got his own miss back and dunked emphatically.  Then Carter blocked Texas at the other end.  Game over.  Duke up 4 with 15 seconds left.  Bagley was 1-2 and Trent 2-2 from the line when Texas had to foul.  Bottom line: it was all Bagley.  He had 12 of Duke’s 16 overtime points (Carter’s dunk and Trent’s 2 foul shots were the only other Duke points in the overtime).  Carter also gets kudos.  It was a feel-good, heart-stopping win.

The Box Score

Bagley was sensational, logging 38 minutes, scoring 34 [12-19; 1-2 from deep; 9-13 from the line] to go with 15 boards, 2 assists and a steal.  Wow!  Trent scored 17 in his 37 minutes [5-14; 0-6 (wow!); but 7-7 from the line] to grabbed 8 (yes 8) rebounds and handed out 3 assists without a turnover.  A terrific under the radar game.  Carter was Duke’s third stud, playing 39 minutes, with 11 rebounds, 2 blocks, 2 steals and 2 assists.  He scored 14 (none more important than his last deuce) [6-9 from the field, but a disappointing 2-6 from the line].  Allen played only 25 minutes because of foul trouble.  His 18 second half minutes were scintillating with 5 assists and 3 rebounds.  Tre had a terrible game for 38 minutes.  He was 2-9 from the field; 0-3 from deep; 0-4 from the line for 4 points.  He had 6 turnovers and as many assists.  He did log 3 steals.  Two of his assists in the overtime were crucial.  Javin had a statistical impact in only 5 minutes [ 2-2 from the line; 2 boards and a block]; Goldwire played only 2 minutes with a steal.

Portland State

Coach K’s insight: “We assume we are playing Sunday night in the championship game; for Portland State their game was today.  In the second half, the game became our game today.”  I did not see it that way.  I thought Duke was still terrible in the second half until Portland State just wore out as their (sort of – 6’8” and shorter) bigs fouled out.

Coach K said the 3 bulwarks of the team are Grayson, Marvin and Tre.  The support is Wendell, Gary, Javin and Marquez. I think you can add Alex O’Connell to support. Duke went to the zone because the man to man was embarrassingly porous.  Coach K thought the zone slowed the game down (which it did), but I thought Portland was extremely efficient against the zone too.  Coach K pointed out that man to man defense takes a long time to become efficient, and said Duke has played good man defense “at times, but not today.”  Carter played a great second half.  Both Alex and Bolden played well off the bench.  Alex had 9 points in 13 minutes while Marquez had 8 points and 10 boards in 18 minutes.  Javin played 8 minutes.  The starters were led by Tre Duval (his best game) with 22 points in 37 minutes [7-14; 1-2; 7-9 from the line].  His 5 turnovers are a concern.  In 34 minutes, Marvin had another double/double with 15 rebounds and 18 points [6-12; 0-2 from deep; and a disturbing 6-12 from the line].  Carter played only 21 minutes – inexplicably, only 7 in an ineffective first half – scoring 16 [7-8; 2-2 from the line] to go with 10 boards, 2 assists and 2 blocks without a turnover.  He played an effective second half. Grayson scored 14 in 34 minutes but is not shooting well [2-7; 1-6 from 3land is the bad number; 9-11 from the line is the good number].  Trent played 30 minutes.  He is a reliable foul shooter.  He scored 11 on 2-8; 1-5 from behind the arc; but 6-6 from the line.

Florida

Should be another test of our young defense, and another step in this team’s necessary growth.  Worth watching. In spite of (in my opinion, unjustified) #1 ranking, this is a team full of potential as well as youth-driven holes.  It has been so far, and promises to continue to be, a fun team to watch.

Duke 87  –  Florida 84

Nike’s trademark is “Just do it.” Well, this young and talented Duke team “Just did it”. Over three consecutive, improbable games, they grew up before our eyes and won the Phil Knight (turns) 80 Tournament. Talent is one thing. Mental toughness and resiliency are another. This Duke team now has both. And ,oh yes, while the defense is still a work in progress, the art of free throw shooting was suddenly off the chart (19-20).

Two days after coming from 16 points down in the second half to beat Texas, the Blue Devils did themselves one better, erasing a 17 point second half deficit to nip # 7 Florida 87-84. After being outplayed and behind for most of the game and trailing the very impressive Gators by ten with  just over four minutes to play, Marvin and the Miracles closed the game on an 15-2 run. After Marvin (with occasional help from the Miracles), carried the team to within shouting distance of the Gators, the overlooked Gary Trent stepped up to make the winning plays with a steal and four free throws as Wendell Carter added a dunk for emphasis. Then, in the final seconds the Devils play inspired defense to deny the Gators a final, potential tying shot.

Florida, who is very well coached by Duke Athletic Director Kevin White’s son Mike, is a terrific three point shooting team and as Jay Bilas commented: “fun to watch”. They have averaged over 100 points a game this season. After the Gators scored 54 points in the first half, Duke actually held them to only 31 second half points, hit two more threes, and went 19-20 (Bagley was 9-10) from the free throw line. Bagley was sensational going for 30 & 15, while Carter, who only played 21 minutes because of foul trouble, just had 6 & 7. However, DeLaurier (6 & 5 with two steals)  and Bolden (2 & 3 with 2 assists) filled in admirably. Alex O’ Connell hit a three but something changes whenever he and/or DeLaurier are in the game–somehow their energy and style disrupts an opponent’s rhythm and concentration. This team has developed a solid eight man rotation and is so lethal, with so many weapons that they can play poorly for extended periods, then explode. Some shots are more important than others and Grayson Allen, who since the Michigan State game has not been shooting particularly well, seems to have the capacity make those important shots or passes for that shot.

It will take some time to process what we have watched and fully appreciate how this team is evolving. Where it goes from here is anybody’s guess, but you have to like the trajectory.

Other Comments:

I sure jinxed North Carolina by calling them a better “team” than Duke. They were smoked by Michigan State, only scoring 45 points. Explanation: I only meant that they were playing better as a team, not that they were more talented or actually better.

Bill Walton, who called the Michigan State-North Carolina game, was a great college basketball player but as an announcer is insufferable. He talks over the action with trivia and occasional facts often unrelated to the play. Hint: Bill buddy, this is television not radio.

Alan Adds:

What can you say about these Cardiac Kids (or as Bill created, “Marvin and The Miracles)?  The comeback against Florida is worth an in-depth analysis because it just might be that Duke realized its full potential in the second half (for at least 10 minutes and 15 seconds).

Duke’s first 30 minutes

How do you explain a first half where Duke could not and did not defend at all?  Florida rolled to a 53 point first half [18-36 from the field; 7-13 from behind the arc; and 10-11 from the line].  The Duke defense has not been defending well against mediocre and pretty good teams.  Florida is better than anyone Duke has played so far, including Michigan State.  For that half, Florida seemed faster, quicker and smarter, going through the Duke defense like a hot knife through butter.  Duke played well offensively (Bagley had 18 points to go with 8 boards; Duval and Grayson each scored 11 to account for 40 of Duke’s 49 points (Duval 2; Carter 0; O’Connell 3; Bolden and Javin 2 each had the remaining 9 points).  Duke’s bench was efficient in the first half – Bolden played 12 minutes, Javin 8, and O’Connell 5.  Each played well.  O’Connell hit an important 3; Bolden was 1-2 (neat lefty hook) with 3 boards and 2 assists.  He did not play in the second half (hmmm).  Javin had 4 boards, scored a basket on 3 shots, including a 3-point attempt that looked like a defective Cape Canaveral launch.

The Rotation in the Second Half

I agree with Bill that Duke’s rotation of 8 in this game will be the Duke rotation for the conference season.  However, in the second half, it was all on the starters.  Javin logged only 4 second half minutes (2-2 from the field with a rebound), limited by his 4 fouls (2 in the first half).  Alex also played 4 minutes without any statistics in the box score.  That was it for the bench.  The starters played 92 of the 100 second half minutes.  Grayson (40 minutes for the game) and Marvin (39 for the game) played all 20 minutes of the second half, while Duval (35 for the game) played 19 of the 20 second half minutes.  Coach K had said that these 3 are the foundation of the team.  Each played well (especially in clutch situations), but Trent (35 for the game; 17 in the second half) and Carter (16 second half minutes after having been limited to 5 first half minutes while picking up 3 fouls) were each heroic in Duke’s comeback.  Allen scored only a single three in the second half, but what a three it was.  On a great pass from Tre, Grayson gave a shot fake, stepped to the side and swished the 3 to bring Duke within 3 with 3:07 left.  Trent scored only 4 (4-4 on the most clutch foul shots at the end), but was a star defender, rebounder and ball handler.  Carter failed to score in the first half, came alive in the Duke comeback.  He had three big boards down the stretch and scored 6 in a row (his total output) in 2 minutes to keep Duke close.  Bagley was sensational, scoring 12 in the second half [4-7;and 4-4 from the line] to go with 7 boards and a key block.  Coach K said he is the kind of player that K has coached on the Olympic team.  Duval had a super game against Portland State and has been a standout in the early season.  However, he had his first bad game against Texas and his slump continued in the first half of this game.  He shot 1-5 including 0-3 from deep in the first half, but turned it around in the second half, especially on the defensive end.  He was 2-5 from the field, making his only 3-point attempt, and critically going 4-4 in clutch free throw situations for 11 points; 9 in the second half.  Remember, Tre missed all 4 of his crucial free throws in overtime against Texas.  He made the key steal of the game with 1:43 left and Duke trailing by a point, stripping Florida’s superb point guard, Chiozza and fed Trent who was fouled as he penetrated.

Duke’s Second Half Defense

Duke held Florida to 31 second half points, a dramatic turnaround from the first half.  Duke defended more intensely and held Florida to 35% shooting (including 1-7 from behind the arc).  Duke tightened up, but it should be noted Florida started to miss the same open shots that went down in the first half.  The Law of Averages is real!  When the Duke juices started to flow, the defense became what we hope it will be consistently as the season rolls on.  For the last 11:15, Duke gave up only 12 points.  With 10:15 to play, Duke was down 17.  I attribute the transformation to emotion.  Duke finally saw defeat staring them in the face and began to play defense with ferocious intensity.  Defense is, of course, about intensity and desire.

Duke’s Astounding Comeback – The fun part of the game

While Duke began to cut into the 17 point lead, the Devils still trailed by 10 with only 4:35 left to play as Hudson once more penetrated for a Gator layup.  Duval rebounded a Grayson 3-point attempt and made a circus layup.  Hudson missed a jumper; Carter grabbed the board; Bagley was fouled on his way to the hoop and made both shots.  Duke down 6 with 3:43 left to play.  Carter, coming alive finally, got a key block that led to an outlet to Duval, who made a great pass to Grayson for his only second half three. Duke within 3 with 3:07 left.  Florida’s Allen and Bagley traded baskets (Trent on the assist to Bagley); Duke still down 3 with 2:25 to go.  Trent rebounded a Florida miss.  Bagley scored on a great feed from Carter.  Duke down 1 with 1:43 to go.  Then came the defensive play of the game when Duval stripped Chiozza and fed Gary.  Duke’s first lead at 85-84, when Trent made them both at 1:12.  Trent fouled Hudson with 54 seconds left for Duke’s 9th team foul.  It was crucial that Florida was not yet in the double bonus when Hudson (the Gator’s star with 24 points) bricked the free throw (how crucial was that!) and Bagley rebounded.  However, Duke, with a chance to put the game away, responded with a terrible offensive possession, committing a 24 second violation with 25 seconds to go (how terrible was that!).  Florida with a chance to tie or win with 24 seconds left.  Then, Gary Trent, Jr. forced a turnover from Hudson and was fouled.  With 9 seconds left, he swished both clutch free throws.  Duke’s defense was superb for those 9 seconds and Florida did not get off a tying attempt.

ACC- Big 10 Challenge – Indiana on Wednesday, November 29

Duke’s 9th game in 20 days is in Bloomington on Wednesday.  It is the last game in November.  December features cupcakes and the beginning of Conference Play.  No Duke fan could be disappointed so far.

Duke 91  – Indiana  81

Marvin and the Miracles brought their sold out coast to coast cardiac arrest show to Indiana’s rocking Assembly Hall, one of the most challenging venues in college basketball. Coach K schooled the young team by forcing them to play man-to-man defense for the entire closely contested second half, challenging them to again finally play good man defense in the closing minutes and pull out another win. Until that point, Indiana was shooting about 70% from the floor and the Blue Devil nation could be heard pleading for a zone as employed late in the first half when it helped Duke take a four point lead. Fortunately, when you can call on the firm of Allen & Bagley at the end of close games to play a two man isolation game and have Trent (96%) and Allen (90%) shoot free throws, you have a distinct advantage.

In all seriousness, for about thirty-five minutes a game, this is not yet a good defensive team and with the three point line, you best not let any opponent hang around because anything can happen at the end of a close contest. You just cannot expect to outscore every team every night. On the other hand, Coach K is all about winning championships and championships are usually won by the team that plays the best defense and has the best guard play.

Speaking of guards, every time Grayson Allen made a mistake or went to the free throw line, the student section gave him the JJ Redick treatment. They booed and heckled him, sometimes yelling expletives. And when he made a tough basket, they groaned. But Grayson had the best answer to his critics.  As has been the case this year in close games, Allen has produced the most significant play at the most critical time. Tonight, he caught the ball at the wing, pump faked, got his defender to jump in the air, then stepped behind the 3-point line to hit the shot. It put Duke up by four points.

Coach K’s assessment: “We are exhausted. They have such a will to win. This is our ninth game in 20 days. Ten of those days we’ve been on the road and five road games and they’re dead right now. They certainly played those five minutes at the end with an incredible will to win.” He also complimented on the job former Wolfpack Archie Miller is doing in his first year at Indiana and how much the Hoosiers have improved since their first game loss to Indiana State.

Miscellaneous Comments:

The last two  top-ranked teams to play in Assembly Hall lost.

Duke (9-0) has dominated in the ACC/Big Ten challenge. It now holds a 17-2 record in the Challenge’s 19 years.

Duke held Indiana without a field goal for the last five minutes and their big man Davis, De’Ron  was 4-9 from the free throw line. And speaking of one of my favorite subjects, Bagley has dramatically improves his charity shooting. Carter has been good from day one. A very positive development.

It is obvious that Coach is committed to Marques Bolden as he is often the first substitution. And he is responding by playing with more energy and overall commitment. At a critical point, he knocked the ball away a mid-court and beat a smaller man to the floor for the ball. That will earn him more playing time.

Gary Trent makes all kinds of plays. He came in as a shooter but even when he has not has a good statistical shooting game, he has been able to make important shots at as well as finding other ways to contribute to a winning effort—and he has only missed one free throw all season.

Carolina rebounded nicely from the Michigan State drubbing and played well in defeating Michigan. Make no mistake, they will be a tough out in ACC play.

Alan Adds: 

Duke’s Defense

I felt as if Coach K was talking directly to me at his press conference.  During the early stages of the game, I was fulminating at the porousness of Duke’s man to man defense.  In the second half, Duke opened with a man to man defense allowing Indiana scored on 10 of the first 12 possessions.  Coach K explained how fatigue subtly undermines defense.  The premise is self-evident, but the detail is illuminating.  “We got back at nine in the morning on Monday and flew out Tuesday after classes.  This team is running on fumes.  When they are tired, they don’t talk.  They do not talk!  They talk to themselves and that’s how we played most of the game.   We wanted to win, but we were in ‘this is what I have to do’ instead of ‘this is what we have to do’.  When you talk, you command yourself to more decisive movement.  You might switch but if you don’t talk, it’s soft.  But If you yell, your body responds.  That’s one of the things we have to teach is to be able to talk and command when we are tired.”  Coach K pointed out that in all of the games, the defense in last 10 minutes is better, and explained.  His four freshmen are just learning how to manage a game.  The need to learn to play in 4 minute stretches.  The defense at the end is better because they know “this is the last four minutes. We’ve been the better team in the last four minutes.  It’s a good four minutes to be the better team.”

Coach K recognizes the defense has a long way to go.  “We need time to fix things.  With a young group, our habits not well defined yet.  Only way to develop a habit is to practice. We need to get more definition on how to run our offense and our defense.  We are a work in progress, but a good work in progress.  We are learning habits.  The main habit we learned in this stretch is how to win.  Not a bad habit to develop.”

Ok, Coach, I’m mollified… until the conference starts.

The Rotation

The starting lineup is playing big minutes, even though the bench seems talented and efficient when in the game.  Coach K said he needs to develop a starting unit.  “The primary people to develop are the people who will be playing big minutes in close games. If you don’t get those people ready to play big minutes in big games, you won’t win.  It is intense training for starters.  I’m trying to develop my unit, and then we’ll bring in Marques, Javin and Alex.  But I want my starters to know how it feels to play 30 minutes and win.  I think that’s what you need if you are going to win big.”  Coach K’s “3 stalwarts” – Duval (38), Bagley (38), and Allen (40) played 116 of a possible 120 minutes.  The bench produced five points.  DeLaurier  had a basket for a deuce in 10 minutes; only four in the second half. O’Connell  scored 2 points in 7 minutes; only 2 in the second half.  Marques (1-2 from the line for his only point) played 9; 5 in the second half, but made what Coach K called “the play of the game” when he dove on the floor to secure a loose ball that seemed to belong to Indiana.  With 7 minutes to go in the game, it sparked Duke.  “Ironically, we said at half time, if we dive on the ball we’ll win.  I’ wouldn’t have bet on Marquez to be the guy, but he did.”  He likened it to Grayson’s dramatic loose ball grab in the 2015 National championship game.  “It sparked the whole team.  Marquez also contributed 2 steals and a block.  I am watching his defense improve dramatically.  I am slowly climbing on the Bolden bandwagon.

Carter is, as advertised, a beast.  He eventually fouled out, but recorded a double/double (18 points and 12 boards) in only 24 minutes.  Trent is in a shooting slump (0-6 from deep; 1-8 before he scored a crucial basket on a great feed from Marvin at the end).  He is Duke’s best foul shooter so far (5-5 last night; over 20 straight on the season).  He received praise from his coach, who pointed out that freshmen who hit a shooting slump, do not keep playing at a high level.  “That’s not Gary.”  He’s made key steals and been at his best when the game has been on the line.

Grayson was back to being Grayson last night.  He scored 21 on 12 shots, including 5-5 from the line.  His step back 3; a fade away 2 and assists to Bagley were critical in the win.  Marvin led Duke in scoring with 23 [10-15; 0-2 from deep; and 3-4 from the line] to go with 10 boards.  Duval chipped in with 15 and had 6 assists without a turnover.  Only Trent (9 points) of the starters was not in double figures.

Winning Time

The score was tied at 75 with 4:45 to go.  With 2 minutes left, Duke led by 9 and the game had been won.  It started with Indiana’s big man, Davis, missing a pair of free throws after being fouled by Carter.  Grayson got the rebound, to Tre, who found Carter for a dunk and a 3 point play the old-fashioned way.  78-75.  After Davis made 2 foul shots, Grayson hit his step back 3 that was a dagger.  81-77.  Davis missed 2 more.  Grayson fed Marvin for a basket at 3:16 and a 6-point lead.  Trent then made his critical basket and foul shot on a great feed from Marvin for a commanding 9 point lead with only 2:24 left.  Grayson then sealed the deal with his step back 2 for an 11-point lead with only 1:33 remaining.  Game over.

Assessment at end of November

This team has shown heart and poise in winning 9 games in 20 days, including taking down #2 (then) Michigan State, (#7 Florida) and establishing a winning habit as the games wind down.  Usually freshmen need to learn to win.  This team will improve its play, but the heart and will to win are good signs.

Duke 96 –  South Dakota 80

Coach K has often declared that Grayson Allen is not a good shooter, he is a great shooter. To prove the point, Grayson had one of those games today like the ones recently against Michigan State and last year against UNLV. For the first ten minutes or so he outscored the entire South Dakota team on a variety of shots as the Crazies chanted “Grayson’s winning”, ending up with 25 points in 26 minutes. What is often overlooked, Allen is also a very good defender. Today, he held Matt Mooney, the Coyote’s leading scorer and coming of a 30 point game, to three points.

The Blue Devil defense was  pretty good in the 56-30 first half. However, it was sloppy the 40-50 second half. Coach took part of the blame by saying that he didn’t help his team as much as he could have the second half because he played his bench 46 of those available 100 player-minutes and that the biggest thing he has to develop is his starting five and he spends most of his time developing these five. They’re the guys who will play together and need to develop chemistry. But today, he wanted to get minutes for the bench. So, a lot of the sloppy second half was him making a lot of changes.

Javin DeLaurier and Alex O’Connell are two young reserves who are really fun to watch. Both bring an uncommon combination of energy, enthusiasm, and athleticism to the floor. Alex is a natural shooter and Javin, an exceptional 6’10” athlete, has developed a much better touch as you can see in his free throw mechanics—and they will both be back next year.

A double/double is usually noteworthy unless your name is Marvin Bagley, in which case it is what you average. Wendell Carter usually does the same but he keeps getting called for silly touch fouls and that  recently has limited his playing time. After rarely turning the ball over, the last few games Tre Duval has been uncharacteristically sloppy in his ball handling. Gary Trent is struggling to find his jump shot—he even missed a free throw today—but it has not affected other phases of his game. Bolden and Goldwire remain an uneven work in process.

After ten games, two-cross-country flights, and two big second-half comebacks in 22 days, the Duke Blue Devils are 10-0 and ranked #1 .

Other comments:

  • Coach K: “I think what we’ve learned is we have two of the exceptional players in America in Marvin and Grayson, We’ve won and we’ve played, at times, great but at other times, young. Hopefully we play great more than the other, and we have, but we’ve gained a lot of experience. It’s been really good; can it be better? Yeah. Can it be worse? Hell yes, it can be a lot worse. It could be a hell of a lot worse than it can be better.”
  • Tre Duval: “It’s tough, definitely tough. Doing work, doing homework on the road, on the bus and the plane. “Study hall after big games, big wins, but it’s all part of it and it’s something I can deal with.”
  • Corey Alexander, the outstanding UVA guard in the early 1990’s, was a knowledgeable

Alan Adds:

Duke’s 10th game in 22 days was a tale of two halves.  In the first 14:11 of the game, the Blue Devils played an almost perfect game in building a 26-point lead (46-20).  Grayson and Bagley III were jaw droppingly dominant.  Grayson returned to his Michigan State form, scoring 25 — 19 in Duke’s 56 point first half outburst [8-11; 4-5 from 3land 5-6 from the line] to go with 4 boards and 2 steals in just 26 minutes. He took only 2 shots in the second half (hitting a 3 and going 3-4 from the line).  And, as both Bill and Coach K noted, Grayson was the primary defender against SD’s best scorer, who was kept completely ineffective.  Bagley, in 28 minutes (only 11 in the second half) scored 19 on an efficient 11 shots (8-11; 1-2 from 3land; and 2-4 from the line) and grabbed 12 boards to go with 2 steals and 3 blocks.  This kind of performance was what led Coach K to emphasize, “We have 2 of the exceptional players in America.  The third member of the trio that Coach K has identified as the heart of his team, Tre Duval, had a scintillating first half (6 assists; a single turnover), but was a bit sloppy in the second half (2 assists and 3 turnovers).  He played 16 minutes in each half, scoring 14 (5-8; 1-2 from behind the arc; 3-4 from the line.  He continued his defensive ball hawking with 2 steals.  Coach K summing up, “We’re 10-0 with this schedule.”

Carter played only 16 minutes, picking up 2 first half fouls. He had 6 (3-8) and 4 defensive rebounds.  Coach K conceded that Trent did not have a good game.  He hasn’t been shooting well, and that continued against SD (3-10; 1-3; and shockingly missed his only foul shot) in his 24 minutes.  Coach K thinks his shooting slump finally got to him in a way it has not in big games.

Coach K started to develop his bench in the second half.  Bolden and O’Connell logged 17 game time minutes, while Javin played 15 and Goldwire 14.  Javin’s game is worth talking about because he scored 13 points (5-6 from the field and 3-4 from the line) to go with 9 rebounds and 2 assists in those foul plagued 15 minutes.  His time on the court ended with his 5th foul.  Alex gives a good feeling and energy even when he does not light up the box score (4 points, but 3 turnovers).  O’Connell has surprising hops and grabbed 3 rebounds.  Marques is an enigma.  He shows such promise and then seems to have brain cramps.  He was 2-4 with 3 rebounds, but his 6 turnovers – traveling and being stripped by the double team – tarnished his play.  He is improving, and has the potential to really add firepower to this team.  However, he needs a better basketball IQ to go with his high energy.

It is worth noting that for the last 25 minutes and 49 seconds of the game, South Dakota outscored Duke 60-50.  Each team scored 10 in the last 5:49 of the first half; SD outscored Duke 50-40 in the second half when Coach K was giving his bench players desperately needed minutes.

The positive that I took from those scintillating first 14 minutes was the high level of Duke’s man to man defense.  Duke switched everything, but this time there were no easy lanes to the basket.  SD made some long shots, but Duke – at least against this level of competition – dramatically improved its man to man team defense.  The bigs protected the rim as they have not previously.  It was team defense, even on SD’s leading scorer.  With a 26 point lead, it is human nature that the intensity of the defense faded — giving up 50 second half points to a team like South Dakota is not scintillating defense.

There are two more games before exam breaks:  St Francis (Pa.) on Tuesday night at 9 followed by the conference opener at BC next Saturday (Dec. 9) at noon.

DUKE 124 – ST. FRANCIS 67

If this had been a prize fight, it would have been stopped before the  71-34 half and declared a TKO. Anyway, there is no way I can top Alan’s take on the game so I will only add a few comments:  a school-record 34 assists… Gary Trent Jr.(anyone who can hit 90% from the free throw line can shoot the basketball) hit 4 of 6 threes. … Allen,  who had been nursing a now “100 percent” wrist injury, hit all his seven shots…When Allen and Trent are both hitting threes, this is a much more lethal offensive team…Javin DeLaurier looks more and more that if he is patient, he will be a breakout college star…Marvelous Marv had a “what else is new” double/double…Actually what else is new is that Nike is naming a building on their Beaverton, Oregon campus after Duke Coach Mike Krzyzewski.

Alan adds:

I do not want to underestimate the quality of the Blue Devil performance because the opposition simply was not big enough or talented enough to truly compete.  I told Bill that it reminded me of the Globetrotters when they were a great basketball team – Goose, Marquis et. al – playing the Washington Generals.  It was that big a mismatch, except that St. Francis was picked to win their league.  It was an amazing performance by Duke, even if the opposition had been The Little Sisters of the Poor.  The big 3 (Coach K’s designation; not mine) – Bagley, Allen and Duval – were superb.  Duval had 9 assists and 0 turnovers.  He is special.  His turnovers are sometimes breathtaking attempts.

Coach K used the second half to give his bench minutes.  No player played double figure minutes except Bagley (11).  Jordan Tucker was the second-high scorer in the second half.  DeLaurier, O’Connell and Bolden continue to impress.  Bolden put up career numbers (17 points) and many good moments on both ends.  However, the diminutive size of St. Francis makes me want to see a similar quality performance against a quality team before I know he can be counted on in crucial moments.

In short, it was a great tune-up for the Conference competition that begins this Saturday.  As Coach K said, “We are 11-0; now we are 0-0.”  Noon on Saturday,

 Duke 89 – Boston College 84

Well, you sensed this was going to happen, hopefully sooner or later. Marvin and the Miracles came out flat again but this time ran out of miracles in Chestnut Hill. The irony is that it looked as though they had pulled out another miracle by rallying from ten down in the second half to take a four point lead with three minutes to go– and the ball. Winning Time: Hit a shot and Duke goes up by six or seven points. Rather than getting the ball to the right player, the wrong player took (for him) a low percentage three. BC took the rebound, hits a three, and it’s a one a one point game. That’s a five or six point turnaround. What a difference! At some points in a game, some shots are more important than others. This was one of those junctures and this was one of those shots. Close games are determined by players who know how to make winning plays and close out a game. Duke fans are used to having their players make them. However, inexperience, poor defense, and the basketball gods finally determined “enough is enough” as the Eagles outplayed Duke for the last 180 seconds– as well as most of the game. That doesn’t often happen to seasoned Duke teams. As a basketball fan, you have to admire how well the Eagles played in executing their game plan.  They certainly deserved the win.

What this game really demonstrated is that as talented and deep as this team is, it is still young and inexperienced. For every opponent, this is their biggest game and although more talented, the Blue Devils cannot come out flat thinking they can turn it on at will at any time. They have to play hard and smart on every possession. Why create a foul lane violation costing one point with a 90% (Trent) shooter on the line? Why make an intentional flagrant 1 foul in the last minute which gives the opponent two shots and the ball? Duke was in the bonus with 16 minutes to go, in the double bonus with nine to go. Why not pound the ball into the paint where the Blue Devils have a distinct advantage? Duke turned the ball over two times in the game’s final three minutes, while Boston College’s Jerome Robinson hit two clutch 3-pointers.  Why was Duke outscored  and outrebounded in the paint by a team playing four guards and a backup center?

To further put this loss in perspective, Boston College (6-3) played out of their mind at home. Duke (10-0) got only 15 from Bagley, 14 from Allen, and 10 from Carter– and still were in a position to win. For sure, a wake-up call/teachable moment. As always, Next Play!

The numbers tell the story:

Duke      BC

32           31    2’s

  8           15    3’s  

34          35    rebounds

13           18    assists

11            17     turnovers

10            3     steals

Other Comments:

  • How bad was the Blue Devil defense? Boston College entered the game ranked 265th in the nation with a three point conversion rate of less than 32 percent. Today, they shot 58%. 10 of Boston College’s 35 rebounds were offensive rebounds that led to 15 second chance points.
  • Ky Bowman (Havelock, NC), the fearless 6’1” point guard who almost had a triple/triple (30-10-9), turned down a football scholarship at UNC to play basketball at Boston College. So far, the sophomore has gone for 33 against UNC and now 30 against Duke. How can a player this good, growing up in your backyard, not get a basketball scholarship offer in his own state?
  • The good news: Freshman guard Gary Trent Jr., seems to have found his shooting touch. He finished with a season-high 25 points for Duke.
  • The Blue Devils made their late run with Javin DeLaurier on the floor. Unfortunately, he fouled out in the final minutes.
  • It was the 3,000th game for the Duke basketball program. Krzyzewski had been going for his 500th win away from Cameron Indoor Stadium, and his 400th regular-season ACC win. Duke had been 20-2 against BC all-time, and 16-1 in ACC play, with the other loss coming in Boston in 2009. Since then, the Blue Devils have beaten the Eagles 11 times in a row.

Alan Adds: 

Alan is lost somewhere in Margaritaville (aka Key West) and will file his report when he recovers.

Hey, he emerges: “I am sitting sipping coffee and watching the sun sparkle on the water in Key West. After watching the game here with my friend Josh Treem (a Baltimore lawyer and reader of DBP) I told him that I would never watch another game with him.  It must have been his fault (Duke Law; not undergrad).  Of course, I received email right after the game from my BC law partners asking when this DBP edition would be available.  I will recover and send the Alan Adds on the BC game in the near term.”

DUKE 104 – EVANSVILLE 40 

‘Twas a few nights before Christmas, but let’s not get snug in our beds and have visions of a championships dancing in our heads. Let’s remember Duke beat St. Francis 124-67 before losing to Boston College 89-84 and next up is undefeated #11 Florida State, who always plays Duke tough. Lose that game and the Blue Devils are 0-2 in ACC play before the new year begins—a tough conference hole to climb out of this early in the season.

Obviously, the Duke coaches had the players use these eleven days to reflect upon the fact that they cannot count on outscoring every team every game and that making a commitment to team defense is all that is keeping them from living up to their hype and being an every game dominant team. Even with their two injured key starters, the 10-2 Purple Aces (can’t wait to learn whom this name offends) would be overmatched. Without them, the game could have been called a no-contest TKO at the 58-18 half. However, the new normal in college basketball is that better not take any team for granted as #5 Carolina learned tonight as Wofford accomplished what Clemson has never, ever been able to do—beat the Tar Heels in the Dean Dome!

Starting slowly has been a problem for these Blue Devils and tonight was no different. They started with an ineffective half court man-to-man as the Aces match the Devils shot for shot. After three minutes, Coach K apparently decided that he seen this movie too many times, so he substituted Bolden, O’Connell, and Goldwire and called for a full court press. Duke not only got stops, they got blocks and steals, turning both into fast breaks. Game, set, match as Duke went on a breathtaking 69-18 run over the next twenty minutes.

When a pressing defense is going well, scoring becomes easier. Conversely, when it is not played well, scoring becomes easier for the opponent. Tonight, the Blue Devils looked like the Golden State Warriors. Bagley and Carter were 5-9 from beyond the arc, even Robinson was 2-4. That’s as many as the entire team made against Boston College. If Marvin and Wendell can hit around 40% consistently from beyond the arc, this big man very high/low set makes a team that leads the country in scoring all the more offensively lethal. More importantly, if they can defend and share the ball like they did tonight–the Blue Devils blocked nine shots, had 32 assists, and forced 21 turnovers turning them into 39 points — they are competing on an entirely different level.

Team captain Grayson Allen spoke like the veteran that he is by noting: “I’m definitely happy with tonight. Hopefully, we don’t have short-term memory loss and don’t forget it all. But that’s the best game of team defense we’ve had. What we did tonight has to become our habit, something we do all the time, tired or not, making shots or not.” 

Javin DeLaurier did not play because he had a minor hamstring pull so Justin Robinson, David’s son, took his spot in the rotation. Coach K referred to him as JRob, a valuable force multiplyer (attribute or a combination of attributes that dramatically increases the effectiveness of a group, giving a given number of troops or other personnel the ability to accomplish greater things than without it) for the scout team. 

Alan Adds:

In the friendly confines of Cameron, against a depleted team of less athletic and smaller players, Duke played as close to a perfect game – including defensively – as a college team can.  This was a wonderful improvement from the porous defense Duke displayed against Boston College eleven days ago, and would be cause for unmitigated celebration if Duke hadn’t played close to a perfect game against St. Francis (124-67) just 3 days before the woeful performance against BC.  After the St. Francis game, I wrote, “I do not want to underestimate the quality of the Blue Devil performance because the opposition simply was not big enough or talented enough to truly compete.  I told Bill that it reminded me of the Globetrotters when they were a great basketball team – Goose, Marquis et. al – playing the Washington Generals. It was an amazing performance by Duke, even if the opposition had been The Little Sisters of the Poor.”  The point is that while this game was a satisfying in every aspect for Duke fans, the real issue for this team is whether it can play real defense against teams the caliber of Florida State (next game, in Cameron, on December 30).

Jacob Rupert, who owned the Yankees in 1920s, said his favorite type of game was when the Yankees scored 9 runs in the first inning, “and then slowly pulled away.”  Duke’s win over Evansville was like that.  The offense was dazzling (32 assists on 39 field goals; Duval and Goldwire had 15 assists between them and only a single turnover).  Carter scored 27 points in only 18 minutes of action.  Duke shot lights out (62% from the field; 62% from behind the arc; and, 77% from the line (it would have been 10-11 if Tre had not gone 0-2 on the first possession of the game).  However, it is the defense that deserves our scrutiny.

Evansville scored on 3 of its first four possessions and led 7-5 after 2:42 of play.  Coach K yanked Duval, Trent and Carter in favor of Bolden, O’Connell and Goldwire.  The change in the intensity of Duke’s defense was immediate and endured for the next 20 minutes in jaw dropping fashion.  Consider:  for the last 17:18 of the first half until 17:18 remained in the second half – 20 minutes of basketball – Evansville was held to 11 points!  Duke’s full court pressure flummoxed Evansville point guard challenged offense for steals and transition runouts (The Purple Aces were playing with the third string guards because of injuries to their 2 best ones).  Duke had 13 steals and 9 blocks (Bolden 3, led the way; Bagley 2; O’Connell, Carter, Vrankovich and Justin Robinson each had one).  Total domination.

Coach K was pleased that his team “played hard”.  He said the team practiced hard – emphasizing an improved defense – and played the way it has been practicing.  Evansville was leading the nation in 3-point accuracy (53%) coming into the game.  Coach K’s defensive plan was to limit the Evansville 3-point attack.  Evansville was 1-6 in the first half from 3 (late goals made the second half stats look respectable, but Duke was deep into its bench, playing zone, when the Aces hit a few).  The Aces scored only 3 2-point goals in the second half, and shot only 30% from the field for the entire game.

It is worth noting that the bench made some spectacular plays and was playing hard regardless of the score.  With the game well in hand, Goldwire dove into the stands to save a ball heading out of bounds, made a circus pass for recovery that led to Alex’s clean jumper.  Bolden made a superb block, which led to a full court pass to the streaking O’Connell for the dunk.  Bolden had 6 boards, 1 fewer than team leading 7 by Carter, and played excellent defense, making good switches and protecting the rim.  In my view, this was a significant improvement.  Bolden will be an important piece of the puzzle moving forward, I predict.

Justin Robinson got more playing time than usual (and praise from Coach K) because a tight hamstring kept Javin DeLaurier out of action.  Coach K said it wasn’t serious and that Javin will be ready for Florida State.  Let’s hope the entire Duke team is ready.  A second conference loss would be a bad sign, omen and result.

Duke 100 -Florida State 93

I don’t know about anyone else but I may need a new pacemaker, because the one I have is about worn out watching Marvelous Marv and the Miracles living life on the edge. How does a team expect to rally again in the final minutes when all four starting freshmen have four fouls, cannot defend, consistently hit free throws (56%) or threes (27%) ? Apparently, Santa didn’t bring them cliff notes on defense and the break wasn’t long enough for the coaches to help them. Holding an opponent to 49 halftime points is not a recipe for winning games unless you can hold them to only 44 until  the last three minutes of the game, then shut them out—and score 55 yourself. 100 beats 93. That’s the heart stopping “Let’s keep the fans in their seats and the ratings up” approach they used against  Indiana, Portland State, Texas and Florida. Well, three minutes of defense is better than nothing—or was it just a regression to the mean of threes or had the Seminole players arms gone dead jacking up 32 long threes. Whatever the reason, both teams played well enough to win: The game was tied seven times, saw fourteen lead changes, and not a single double-digit lead.

In an interesting role reversal–Duke had a size advantage and Florida State relied on threes:  Bagley & Carter together out rebounded the entire Seminole team 37-35, while the Seminoles made more threes 15-8. That’s a 21 point differential–and factor in Bagley & Carter only making 7-17 free throws. How does a team overcome the disparity in these offensive imbalances?

Well, you start with Marvin Bagley having a marvelous, historic 32 point and 21 rebound game; Wendell Carter adding 14 and 16; Allen going for 22 and 6 assists; Trent chipping in 13; then Duval coming alive and taking over in the last five minutes to be responsible for 13 of Duke’s final 16 points. Alex O’Connell was the only effective bench player. In nine minutes, he made an important three and a creative baseline drive and assist to an open Allen for a three. He clearly is earning more playing time.

One of the lessons from the loss to Boston College was that the offense is most effective attacking the rim or running through Marvin Bagley and not falling in love with quick threes. Any three is a higher percentage shot when created as a by-product of attacking or kicking out an offensive rebound. During winning drive, of  the Blue Devil’s final twelve field goals, all but one were drives, layups, or dunks. Another lesson was how to play with fouls. “You’ve got learn how to do it,” Krzyzewski said: “Over the years, we haven’t been a team that when a kid gets two fouls, we take him out and sit him, like it’s some kind of commandment. They have to learn. You’re not going to win a game without your big players. Tre came in some in the first half with two and played like he had two. I told him ‘you can’t do that.’ I’d rather not have you in the game. Then he got four and I told him you can’t play this last four minutes like you did in the first half. Be smart and be a man.” Duval just did that and took over the game. This is yet another example of Coach K being such an terrific in-the-moment bench coach. He has the capacity in real time to process the action and know how to give his player and team the confidence to make winning plays.

Other Observations:

Question: What does that tell you if you start a game playing zone and take the lead, then go to man-to-man and lose the lead, then (because of foul trouble) go zone in the last minutes and win the game?

  • After the Evansville blowout, Coach K referred to this team so far as being like a beach house—pretty to look at but questionable whether it is strong enough to stand up to a hurricane. Well, these players have proven that they are not only very, very talented but are also mentally very tough. Enjoy each game like you are watching your precocious child grow up, because if they ever learn to play decent defense, they will be champions. If not, enjoy the show!
  • Whatever happens, relish watching Bagley’s performances. He is a once in a lifetime talent. This was the first 30-20 game by a Duke player and just the fourth 30- 15 game under Coach K – Bagley has three of them (34-15 vs. Texas; 30-15 vs. Florida), with Christian Laettner (33-16 vs. Maryland in 1992) the other.
  • “It’s just heart,” Bagley said. “Whenever I see the ball bounce off the rim or a loose ball, I just want to get it for my team, to help my team in any way possible. Just jump up and fight for it and get every ball. That’s how I play the game.” He also has the athletic gift to bounce off the floor like a pogo stick. How many times have we seen him go up for a shot or a rebound, then go right back up for the ball before an opponent can gather himself to jump?
  • Carter recovered from an unnecessary fourth offensive foul, which had announcer and former player Clark Kellogg apoplectic in disbelief, to take a critical charge in the last minutes.

Alan Adds:

I echo Coach K, “ “It’s tough to describe that game. It was an amazing game. We couldn’t stop each other. The will to win was evident every second by both teams. They had magnificent performances, we did. If it would have gone a couple of more minutes, they might have won. It doesn’t get much better than what you saw today.”

It was a valuable learning experience for Duke’s young (for the four freshmen on the court at crunch time, each playing with four fouls, it was only their 14th collegiate game).  Coach K emphasized things one might not think about.  Playing in the first ACC game in Cameron, the crowd was a great 6th man.  “The crowd is going nuts after a Duke run, and time out.  The euphoria of the moment is incredible.  It is hard to get back to “next play” after the time out.  This group got to experience that about 3 times, and was able to continue on and win.”  Coach K called that a huge psychological moment for his group.

Tre Duval

Tre had a very difficult game in the early going.  He picked up two quick fouls, which limited both his playing time and his intensity when he came back into the game.  He played only 9 first half minutes as a result and scored only 5 points.  He was still tentative in the second half, picking up his fourth foul with 12:54 left in the game, a life time.  After the lesson, Coach K imparted (described by Bill, above), Tre returned to the game with 9:54 left.  I believe his play in the remaining time – he played the rest of the game – could be the under-the-radar moment to transform this team.  Coach K said that when Tre was on the bench, Duke’s offense did not execute quick enough, and the shot clock got them a couple of times.   Coach K told Tre to “No plays; just go.”  “And he went!”

With 6:27 left, he fed Carter for a layup; at 5:47 he fed Bagley for a dunk.  With Duke trailing by 4 with 4:53 left, the Seminole defense backed off and dared Tre to hit a trey. He hesitated and drained it to bring Duke within one, and then hit a twisting penetrating layup to give Duke a 1 point lead with 4:21 left.  He missed a layup and another 3-point attempt (the Seminoles again left him open, daring him to shoot) before he hit a jumper to tie the game at 93 with 2:58 left.  Duval hit Carter with a great pass for a dunk with 2:30 left for a 95-93 lead.  Tre then hit another twisting layup with 1:41 left, giving Duke a 97-93 lead.  After Bagley went 1-2 from the line, Tre fed Carter for the emphatic game sealing dunk with 22 seconds left.  You can see why Coach K said, “And he went!”

The defense

The way Duke practiced in order to try and increase its defensive efficiency was that the first group could go on offense only after a stop, steal or turnover (on the playground, it’s called winner’s out).  For the first 6 or seven minutes Duke played superb defense, but couldn’t stop Florida State’s outside shooting even though the shots were contested.  The Seminoles did not penetrate as other teams have done, and did not get into the paint.  Somehow, the Seminole hot shooting in the face of good defense took Duke’s intensity. The Seminoles began to drive and score in the paint.  Duke’s defense dissolved into giving up 49 points in the first half.  Phil Coffer had 22 in the first half [his dad played 11 seasons in the NFL and his mother started under Pat Summit at Tennessee – good pedigree].  Duke’s zone was a shade more effective than the man to man but Florida State scored almost at will throughout the first half.

At winning time, Duke had to play zone in the effort to protect the four freshmen, each playing with four fouls (none fouled out!!!).  Duke did a “decent job”, but as Bill pointed out, the law of averages (and perhaps the intensity of the game and of the moment) caught up with the Seminole outside shooters, who finally missed 3 in a row deep 3s down the stretch.  With 3:30 left, the Seminoles had 93 points.  3:30 later, Florida State still had 93 points.   Perhaps the defense’s best play of the game was Carter drawing the charge with 2:08 left to play.  It was a great play – gutsy too since Carter had four fouls at the time, and Duke led by only 2.  Coffer missed a 3 and Angola missed 2 from deep, as Duke iced this wonderful game.

The rotation

Coach K explained why he kept his starters, playing with 4 fouls, in the game.  “You won’t win without your best players in the game.  They have to learn how to play hard with four fouls.  You cannot simulate this in practice.  The result was very little participation or help from the bench.  In the second half, only Alex O’Connell played much (8 minutes; 3 points (1-2 from deep) and two assists – one to Grayson that was beautiful.  DeLaurier played 2 minutes and Bolden 1.  The bench only scored 3 (on Alex’s shot) for the entire game.  Grayson played 40 minutes; Marvin 39 (a 1 minute break in the first half).  Trent played 37 minutes (19 in the second half), while Carter logged 33 minutes (17 in the second half).

The offense

Duke rebounded like crazy, but shot abysmally.  One of the reasons for Duke’s astounding number of offensive rebounds, is the astounding number of missed shots.  Duke was 2-12 from deep in the first half.  For the game, Grayson was 3-10; Duval was 1-5; Trent 2-9.  Others attempted 3s as well: DeLaurier 0-1; Bagley 1-2 (and the one he made from the corner was a biggie); Goldwire 0-1; Alex 1-2.  Duke had 18 more rebounds and controlled the backboards.  When all is said and done, it was the domination of Bagley and Carter on the boards that was the biggest fact in Duke’s win.  Bagley grabbed 11 offensive rebounds, seven in the second half. Carter had 7 offensive rebounds while FSU had only nine for the game.  However, Carter and Bagley missed 10 free throws between them, which is ugly.  Grayson gives Duke what it needs when the Devils need it.  He scored 22 (5-9 from inside the arc and 3-4 from the line) to go with a game high 6 assists (2 turnovers) and 3 boards.

The Season

This was an excellent win, but think about how devastating a second consecutive ACC loss – this one in Cameron – would have been.  Duke travels to Raleigh next Saturday.  The key to this season will be how Duke does on the road in the ACC.  It sure is being fun.

Duke 85 – N.C. State 96

In the beginning, North Carolina State Coach Everett Case created Tobacco Road Basketball. He brought the passion and players of Indiana hoops to the old Southern Conference (which had been basically a football centric conference) that in 1954 morphed into the Atlantic Coast Conference. In all, he won ten (Southern & ACC) conference titles, initiated the iconic Dixie Classic Tournament, the now common practice of dimming lights to spotlight player introductions, cutting down the nets after a championship, and, at the end, instructed his body to be laid facing US Highway 70 so he could “wave” to later Wolfpack teams as they traveled to play North Carolina, Duke, and Wake Forest. This passion and intensity for winning basketball games produced a competitive response from the neighboring schools: the UNC/Frank McGuire 1957 32-0 NCAA Championship team (of New Yorkers), the ten year Duke/Vic Bubas (a Case protégé) era of the 1960’s national prominence, the seemingly endless North Carolina/Dean Smith dynasty (briefly interrupted by the David Thompson/State years and the Jim State/ Jim Valvano Show & National Championship), and now the record breaking Duke/Coach K era of the 1990’s forward. Other schools—Maryland, Virginia, Georgia Tech– have had a season or so in the sun but more often than not for the last sixty or so years a successful season was determined by just upsetting Duke or North Carolina. However, a visiting team’s degree of difficulty is nothing compared the ferocity of rivalry between State, UNC, and Duke. These alums and fans live next to one another and revel in each win against a bitter rival. Unless you have lived there, you have no idea of the intensity of the feelings. It’s partly a southern thing: Dukies are Damn Yankees, State is an agricultural school of farmers, Chapel Hill people are arrogant, elitist aristocrats who run the state. It goes on and on. And to add insult to injury, N.C. State, whose coach started it all and had won more Conference & National Championships of any ACC school not named Duke or North Carolina, has been the school left behind in the ESPN hype that it’s only a Duke-Carolina rivalry. So, this game tonight was yet another reminder to ignore the records (Duke has won 46 of 56 meetings since 1991) and the betting line, anything can happen between the Tobacco Road rivals.

Marvin was Marvelous but the Miracles weren’t. This game demonstrated again that there are a lot of college players who, if not well guarded, can shoot the basketball, that Duke gets every team’s best shot, that ACC games are as intense as NCAA Tournament games, and that you do not want to face a talented team that has just been blown out and embarrassed in their previous game. While the Blue Devils are nationally ranked #1 in offensive efficiency, they are #75 in defensive efficiency. They have improved their free throw shooting, but  are not a consistently good three point shooting team, and defensive basics like blocking out  and weak side help might as well be a foreign language. As offensively talented as this team is, they cannot expect to win if there are 16 turnovers (Tre Duval 8; Bagley 5), Grayson scores in single digits, Bagley, Carter & Company are out rebounded, and they twice foul three point shooters. All these truisms are painful, fixable, teachable moments but there is a reason all recent NCAA Tournament champions have been manned by seasoned upper classmen, not young lottery picks who haven’t been in a college program long enough to learn how to play team defense.

Let’s be clear: State played smarter, harder, and more maturely than Duke. The Wolfpack Defense was exactly that. It disrupted everyone’s offense except for Bagley. The Pack are obviously talented and more than deserved the won. It is difficult to understand how they were just blown out at Notre Dame by thirty. But perhaps the college basketball season is mirroring the rest of the country: Donald Trump is president, no top team is undefeated, and Clemson is in first place in ACC Basketball. UNC and Duke both have one win and two losses. North Carolina lost to Florida State in Tallahassee and to UVA in Charlottesville for the fifth straight time. If you haven’t noticed, Virginia coach Tony Bennett is one of the best coaches in the country. How he wins with the talent he has is amazing. Maybe parity is coming—even to Tobacco Road. But it is a long season until March Madness and usually healthy talent and good coaching prevails.

Other Comments:

  • Tobacco Road name: Before league expansion, N.C. State, Wake, Duke, and Carolina were within 25 miles of one another and visiting teams often played a two game road trip. Hence, the name was lifted from the famous Erskine Caldwell novel about tough southern times of subsistence farming in the depression as an allegory for the difficulty of scratching out a win against these Carolina teams.
  • In its last three trips to PNC Arena as a #2 nationally ranked team, the final scene was the same for the Blue Devils: Duke headed to the locker room as a sea of red rushed onto the floor like their team won the national championship.
  • Reverting to type: Coach K commented that Duke is not deep and in tight games you have to have your best players on the floor. DeLaurier and O’Connell played briefly but got a quick hook because of mistakes. Marques Bolden had a sprained knee and did not play. Stay tuned.

Alan Adds:

UVA beat UNC in Charlottesville yesterday 61- 49.  The “Heels scored 49 points against a very good defense in 40 minutes.  In the second half. NC State scored 53 points against a porous Duke defense in only 20 minutes.  This is now a continuous and fundamental problem.  Duke cannot defend.  Some quotes from early games against quality opponents [I love to quote myself; I once did it in a brief to the United States Supreme Court] shows how serious and continuing the problem has been and is.

Pre-Season:  The issues will be team chemistry and DEFENSE!  One of the reasons that the last two NCAA champions have had no “One and Done”s is that it takes time (years) to become a great defensive TEAM.  In 2015, Duke became that great defensive team in time for the NCAA tournament.  It was a turnaround – remember that while Duke won the National Championship that year, it did not win either the ACC regular season or tournament.  So, no doubt Duke has talent (top six plan to play in the NBA next year), but whether that talent coalesces into a great team remains to be seen.

Texas : The first and most important takeaway from the initial two games of the PK 80 tournament is that Duke’s defense is in shambles and whether or not it can be improved is the key issue for the early (or late) season.  Duke has been a defensive disaster so far, this season, and Texas exploited that completely.  Duke’s transition defense stunk.  Texas guards blew through the man to man for easy layups.  [Rotation seemed like a dirty word].  When Duke went to the zone, Texas carved it up like a Thanksgiving Turkey.

Florida: How do you explain a first half where Duke could not and did not defend at all?  Florida rolled to a 53 point first half [18-36 from the field; 7-13 from behind the arc; and 10-11 from the line].  The Duke defense has not been defending well against mediocre and pretty good teams.  Florida is better than anyone Duke has played so far, including Michigan State.  For that half, Florida seemed faster, quicker and smarter, going through the Duke defense like a hot knife through butter.

Indiana:  During the early stages of the game, I was fulminating at the porousness of Duke’s man to man defense.  In the second half, Duke opened with a man to man defense allowing Indiana scored on 10 of the first 12 possessions.  Coach K recognizes the defense has a long way to go.  “We need time to fix things.  With a young group, our habits not well defined yet.  Only way to develop a habit is to practice. We need to get more definition on how to run our offense and our defense”.

I note that Duke had the practice time in December, playing only 3 games (2 competitive ACC games).  It does not seem the practice time has improved the defense.

Fla. State: The way Duke practiced in order to try and increase its defensive efficiency was that the first group could go on offense only after a stop, steal or turnover (on the playground, it’s called winner’s out).  For the first 6 or seven minutes Duke played superb defense, but couldn’t stop Florida State’s outside shooting even though the shots were contested.  The Seminoles did not penetrate as other teams have done, and did not get into the paint.  Somehow, the Seminole hot shooting in the face of good defense took Duke’s intensity. The Seminoles began to drive and score in the paint.  Duke’s defense dissolved into giving up 49 points in the first half.

BC:  I could feel the lack of Duke intensity from the opening tip off in the first half.  Defense is in large measure about intensity.  Duke scored 84; 41 in the first half – offense was not the problem.  Duke was beyond terrible defensively in the first half, giving up 48 points.  Duke started in a man to man, which BC’s back court simply ate up with ball movement.  On BC’s first three 3-point attempts, there was not even a Duke defender in the TV picture at the moment of release.  Once, BC established its blazing heat from beyond the arc (11-16 in the first half for an unworldly 69%), the brilliant BC backcourt penetrated at will.  Duke was forced to a zone, which has been a game changer for Duke in the early season going.  Duke’s zone, for example, turned the Michigan State game around.  I do not think Duke got one stop in its zone defense.  BC attacked it brilliantly – the medium range game that BC’s guards played to destroy the zone was like watching a Balanchine ballet.  Duke looked like the audience (in watching Springtime for Hitler).

NC State: Let’s remember NC State has been mediocre or worse so far this season, losing to Northern Iowa 64-60; UNC-Greensboro 81-76; Notre Dame 88-58; Clemson 78-62; and Tennessee 67-58.  State scored over 62 in those games only once (76 in the loss to UNC-Greensboro).  The Wolfpack were 0-2 in conference play going into the Duke game.  Against that team, Duke “held” NC State to 55% shooting in the second half (18-33; 15 -26 inside the arc, meaning NC State only missed 9 from inside the arc), and 96 for the game.  Moreover, Duke committed 21 fouls, providing the Wolfpack with 21 free points (21-23 for the game).  While the offense floundered (Bagley had 20 of Duke’s 44 second half points) with shoddy guard play – 10 assists against 16 turnovers (8 by Duval), it was the defense that left Coach K without eloquence or explanation in the press conference.   He was, of course asked about Duke’s defense.  “What do you want me to say?  We were horrible defensively?  We have to work on it…We played crappy defense.  If we don’t fix it, we’ll lose again.  I’ll tell you, it’s not working.”  Duh!

Duke did not get any offensive punch from its backcourt.  Grayson played 39 minutes, scoring only 8 points (3 in the critical second half on his only made 3; he was 2-4 from the floor without a 3 point attempt and 1-2 from the line for 5 first half points).  In the critical second half, he was 1-5; 1-4 from 3land.  Duke will not win without a more efficient Grayson.  Trent was 4-14; 1-5 from deep; only his 5-5 from the line got him to double figures (11 for the game).  Duval, although scoring 18 on 8-14, but 1-4 from deep, had 3 more turnovers than assists, hardly star point guard performance.  Duke as a team was 3-15 from deep (1-6 in the first half).  The decrease in accuracy from deep has been a trend.  Grayson and Trent were efficient from behind the arc in the early going, but have seemingly gone south from there.

Before I close, let me leave some hope.  Duke got blown out in embarrassing fashion at Raleigh in their 2015 championship year; Duke was routed in D.C. by Georgetown by almost 30 in 2010 (also a championship year).  There is much talent on this team; so, it is too early to give up on the Blue Devils, but this team will be more disappointing than last year’s team (I am in the minority in thinking last year was not disappointing) unless the defense coalesces, the fouling diminishes, and the bench lengthens.  Duke got 4 points from DeLaurier as its only bench points.  He played only 15 minutes, but fouled out at crunch time.  The Devils play their 3rd ACC road game on Wednesday against the worst ACC team (Pittsburgh).  A loss there is almost unthinkable.  The operative word in that sentence is “almost.”

DUKE 87 – PITTSBURG 52 

Maybe the Blue Devils needed a game like this, maybe not. If it is a let’s get serious, confidence building game, that is one thing. If it makes them over confident again, that is another. So far, Duke has not played well after a big blowout. That is a sign of a young team. Initially, their ACC schedule appeared to offer a soft take off:  At Boston College, Florida State, at N.C. State, at Pitt, Wake Forest , at Miami. Of these, only Florida State, and Miami appeared formidable. Well, rookies, welcome to the ACC!

Whatever transpired during the last three days—embarrassment, long film sessions, tough love practices—it paid off. The Devils  were much more energized and animated at both ends of the court. They yelled when they made a defensive stop. And after one offensive possession early in the game, the players slapped the floor, like some of Duke’s best defensive teams. ”You could hear a lot of the players, everybody actually, calling out screens,” Bagley said. ”Just everybody was talking and connecting and that allowed us to be more alert and to move as one, that really helped us a lot tonight.” Duke Jumped out to a 10-0 lead and never looked back. They held Pitt (8-9, 0-4) to just 24 points in the opening half. The Blue Devils limited the Panthers to shooting 33%, forced 15 turnovers, had 11 steals, 5 blocks, and 21 assists. The only thing that the team did not do well was shoot free throws: 7-18= 39%. You cannot afford to leave that many points off the board against good teams.

With Bolden and DeLaurier in street clothes, Coach K surprisingly substituted early and often using O’Connell, Robinson, White, Vrankovic, and Goldwire. Robinson had 3 three’s, O’Connell 2 as all of the bench players looked comfortable and played well. I am really impressed with everything about Alex O’Connell except his weight and his haircuts—must be a fraternity pledge thing. After Saturday’s game, the players better put on their Big Boy uniforms because the competition  gets bigger and better as they go to Miami, which will be one tough exam that will tell us a lot about the “process” that Coach K keeps emphasizing — learning winning habits and becoming a formidable team.

Grayson Allen, who has not played well in the two losses, was more aggressive and effective but is still not shooting well. When he misses free throws, you know he is struggling. On the other hand, Tre Duval three point shot is improving and Gary Trent is shooting with more confidence. However, as we all know, none of that will matter if the team does not play effective defense.

Alan Adds: 

I guess Duke got time to practice because the Devil defense was transformed.  Marvin concurred, “we have been talking about the last couple of practices. Starting the game off very well on defense and continuing to do it for 40 minutes … that was our big focus. That is what we did all practice on defense. We did that tonight and came out with a win.”   The game was 4:05 old before Pitt scored its first point.   Pitt did not break into double figures until half of the first half had been completed (10:01),  After 17 minutes had been played, Pitt had only 13 points!  You get the idea.  The Devils forced 10 turnovers, including 6 steals and 3 blocks in the first half.  The only downside in the defense was that 4 players finished the first half with 2 fouls – Allen, Trent, Carter and Duval. Duke kept up the intensity (though human nature drained just a bit), except for one brief stretch in the second half when more fouling caused a hiccup.  With less than a minute gone by in the second stanza, Carter picked up his 3rd.  Tre committed his 3rd 22 seconds later.    With only a bit over 2 minutes gone by, Carter committed foul # 4.  Less than 30 seconds later, Grayson was called for his 3rd.  To add insult to injury, Coach Capel was given a technical, which was Duke’s 5th team foul before 5 minutes of the second half had been played.  Duke’s once 30 point lead had dwindled to 17 when Coach K called time out.  Pitt was done after the time out.  First the starters and then the reserves quickly restored order and put the game away.  Aside from that 5 minute lapse, Bill correctly points to the Devil foul shooting as the only other negative.  Duke was 2-6 in the first half (Bagley 1-2; Duval 1-3 and O’Connell 0-1), and 5-12 in the final stanza (Bagley a shocking 1-6; Allen and Justin Robinson (each 1-2 had the other misses).

Duke’s scoring was balanced with 6 players in double figures and Alex O’Connell with 8.  Tre Duval bounced back with a terrific game.  In 26 minutes, he scored 14 on 5-8 from the field including a gaudy 3-5 from behind the arc to go with 3 assists (only a single turnover).  Bagley led the scoring with 16, but he was uncharacteristically in efficient, taking a team high 16 shots (7-16; 0-1 from deep and 2-9 from the stripe) to go with a team high 4 turnovers.  However, he dominated the boards, grabbing 16 in only 29 minutes.  He was the focal point of Pitt’s defense, which freed up the others to give Duke a superb offensive performance (50 first half points was impressive).  For the game, Duke had 21 assists and only 6 turnovers.  Wow!  Trent had a superb shooting night in the second half.  He scored 14 for the game in a game high 30 minutes; 11 in the second half when he flashed his medium range game to put Pitt away (5-8; 1-3 from deep) to go with 3 rebounds, 2 assists and a steal.  He played 18 second half minutes and was Duke’s best player in the last period.  He made a 3 in the first half.  Grayson played well, but is still off from behind the arc.  He scored 11 in 29 minutes, but was 2-9 from 3land and 1-2 from the line.  Inside the arc he was 2-3 to go with 4 rebounds; 4 assists (0 turnovers), a steal and some high energy, team inspiring defense.  Both Carter (10 points in 16 minutes) and the Admiral’s son (called JRob) were valuable.  JRob was an eye opener for me. Yes, in his 18 minutes, he hit 3-5 from deep; 1-2 from the line for his 10 points, but it was his energy on defense that caught my attention.  Everyone hustled and moved, but JRob was amazing.  He defended the rim (3 blocks) altered shots, made the right switches; and, erased bad plays of others.  I predict he will make it into the rotation – he will if he can play as he did tonight against top competition.    Alex scored his 8 in 16 minutes on perfect shooting (3-3; 2-2 from deep; oh, that missed free throw) to go with 2 tough boards and some energetic defense.  I have it on good authority that he has criticized Bill’s haircut in retaliation.  Goldwire contributed 16 solid minutes.  JRob’s ascending star eclipsed the absence of DeLaurier and Bolden.  How the rotation develops from here will be interesting.

Wake Forest at home on Saturday at noon is next up before what is shaping up as a crucial game at Miami on Martin Luther King’s Birthday at 7 pm on ESPN.  Is the defense really improved, or was it just that Pitt, like St. Francis and Evansville, did not have the horses to compete, as the top teams do.  Only time will tell.  Next Play.

DUKE 89 – WAKE FOREST 71 

No Coach K. No problem. Marvelous Marv had 30-11 (his 14th double-double in 17 games), Carter another double-double, Allen 8 assists & 12 rebounds but only 2 points, Trent  five straight threes as the team shot 52% from out there, (gasp) 79% from the line, and swept all the stat lines. However, there were some interesting un-Coach K like moves by substitute head coach Jeff Capel. He went primarily to a zone early on and pretty much stayed with it for the entire game and used more bench—JRob, Goldwire, O’Connell, White, and Vrankovic. The Blue Devils were active in the zone, deflecting several passes and holding Wake, a potentially explosive team, to shooting only 44% from the floor. For my taste, Alex O’Connell, despite a slim frame and bad haircut decisions, continues to demonstrate the rare combination of enthusiasm and multiple skill sets that enable him to be a game changer, much in the energetic way Grayson Allen was in the NCAA Championship game against Wisconsin. Today, immediately upon getting on the floor, Alex hit two consecutive threes to help gain separation from Wake. Jack White was the other reserve that showed well– he is big, strong, and savvy enough to play multiple positions. In the second half, he subbed for Carter and more than held his own. As soon as Bolden and DeLaurier recover from injuries, Duke will have a deep bench.

Grayson Allen says Duke prioritized getting the ball inside early and often: “We’re going to be focused on that every game, because that’s where our strength is. We feed the ball into them and see what the defense does. If it’s one-on-one, let them go to work. If not, we’ll move the ball around and find the next best shot. Attack, attack and don’t stop. Our bigs are so powerful, they’re going to challenge defenders at the rim and draw fouls.”

Monday night’s game at Miami will be a major test for this team. 

Other Comments:

  • Coach K is a flight time decision for the Miami game.
  • Bagley and Carter are getting more comfortable at the line. Both have a solid stroke and a soft shot. Trent continues to gain more confidence as he demonstrates the scoring touch that made his scholastic reputation.
  • Gary Trent was feeling so badly, he was a game time decision. However, he played 31 minutes and hit his consecutive threes after coming to the bench and throwing up in a bucket.
  • G Man (Mike Gminski), the reliable All American center from the 1970’s and pro-typical Duke student/athlete, was one of the announcers. He is sort of the anti-Dickie Vitale—lets you watch the game and only makes appropriate comments at the right time.
  • It has been 21 years since Wake Forest has beaten Duke in Cameron.

Alan Adds:

The Blue Devils were an awesome team at home in Cameron against a Wake Forest team that is not among the conference’s elite teams.  There were many aspects of the win that are worth extolling.  Bagley is amazing.  He only came out of the game when in the last 2 minutes when Duke’s lead was hovering around 20.  In 38 minutes, he scored 30 (11-21; 1-3 from deep; and valuable 7-8 from the line) to go with 11 boards; 3 assists; 3 blocks and 4 steals.  Some stat line, even though he took 21 shots and had 3 turnovers.  He and Grayson played almost the whole game, coming out only in the last minutes of garbage time.  Grayson is having trouble with his shot (0-5; 0-3 from deep; with his only points coming on 2 free throws early in the first half.  Capel, in his post-game press conference praised Allen for his effort, attitude, and all-around game on both ends.  “He showed leadership and maturity.  He was tremendous.  He was always about the team.”  He led the team in rebounding — more than either Bagley or Carter (12); and  in assists (8), more than Duval. Gary Trent was so sick that whether or not he played was a game time decision.  Yet he played 31 minutes and scored 19 on only 8 shots (6-8; 6-7 from deep – wow!; and 1-2 from the line) to with two tough rebounds, 2 steals and an assist (without a turnover).  He has played 3 great halves in a row, and seems to have returned to form.  Without Grayson’s shooting, Trent becomes a crucial factor.  Carter had his way while he was in there, but again had foul trouble, fouling out in 28 minutes of play.  He had the same number of rebounds as Bagley in 10 fewer minutes of playing time.  He was lethal from deep (2-4), but only 1-5 inside the arc; 7-10 from the foul line.  He and Bagley were collectively 14-18 from the stripe – a pleasant trend.  The only other double figure scorer was Alex O’Connell who had an amazing hot streak in the first half, scoring 12 points in 9 minutes of first half action.  He had 13 for the game (15 minutes), but his first half was his scintillating moment (3-4; 2-3 from deep and 4-4 from the stripe) to go with a rebound and a steal.  Tre Duval played well and continues to improve his outside shot (1-1 from deep) but not at the rim or inside the arc (0-5).  In 29 minutes, he had 6 assists with only a single turnover and 2 steals.  The bench scored 15, meaning that besides O’Connell’s 13, only Goldwire’s layup gave Duke points from the bench.  It might seem as if Capel used his bench more than Coach K, but that is belied by the stat sheet.  Besides Alex’s solid performance, the bench made only brief cameos to give the starters short breathers.  Jack White led the bench (besides O’Connell) in minutes with 7; he had 3 boards and played solid defense in the back line of the zone. Vrankovich (6 minutes) and JRob (4) spelled Carter.

Duke’s defense was efficient after the first few minutes.  In the early going, Duke was torched in its man to man defense as Wake hit open 3s.  As Bill points out, Capel went to the zone.  “We took another step on defense today building on the Pittsburgh game.  At Pittsburgh, we played primarily man to man; this game, zone.  The zone slowed them down and took away their penetration.  We stayed in it.  Everyone played hard.”  Usually shooting is the way to beat a zone, but Duke’s back line wings were very active coming out to guard the wing shooters effectively.  This is two good efforts in a row on the defensive end.

The road is hard everywhere, but exceedingly difficult in the ACC.  With each team having only a day’s rest (NCAA tournament schedule), Duke faces a tough Miami team, smarting from a road loss at Clemson, on Saturday, in Miami at 7 on Monday.  It will be a revealing test for the newly improving defense on the road against a ranked team.  I think I’ll watch.

DUKE 83– MIAMI 75 

On a night when Marvin wasn’t Marvelous and, except for Wendell Carter, the Miracles were playing off key, Duke found themselves down 13 points and ten minutes away from a  long, very depressing plane ride home. As a matter of fact, Coach K looked as though he just might change that to a bus ride. Seldom have the these young, talented Blue Devils appeared so out of sync, even lethargic. The Hurricanes had forced three turnovers during a 16-0 run as the Devils went nearly eight minutes without a point and, to add insult to injury, Bagley missed four free throws. The never self-contained Miami players preened and mimed for the camera and crowd as though the game was already over. The ‘Cane players should have done their homework.

Coach K took his coat off. When the players still didn’t get the obvious (Look, I’m working harder on the sidelines than you guys are on the floor) message, he called a time out. After a few choice words, Duke switched to a more effective zone defense that cut down on the guard penetration and made the ‘Canes, who like to drive, hesitant and indecisive. Gary Trent stepped into the spotlight and became the Marvelous One by draining consecutive threes and suddenly the Blue Devils were transformed into that unbeatable team performing another miracle finish. It is difficult to process in real time what we saw. For the first time in this young year, these young Blue Devils displayed some of that Comeback Black Magic they showed late last year against Michigan State, Portland State, Texas, and Florida. Against one of the best defensive teams in the country, it took Duke just  a few minutes to erase the lead and tie the game at 66-66. The rejuvenated Devils continued on a breathtaking 30-9 run over the last eight minutes. Game, set, match, and suddenly a very stunned, quiet crowd at the Watsco Center Arena in Coral Gables.

Gary Trent commented after the game: “They were playing harder than us. We were soft. We were playing like little kids. We had to pick it up and we did. Like our coaches said that we have to play like grown men, so we played like grown men in the last eleven minutes.”

As implausible as this (yet another) comeback was, it should not obscure the fact of how poorly the team played for all but ten or so minutes: 19 turnovers (notably none in the last ten minutes), missing 11 free throws, and not blocking out, which led to easy dunks. It is playing Russian Roulette to let any  ACC team stay within a few three point shots  of the lead. These young players have to understand that no matter an opponent’s record, home or away all teams bring their “A” game against Duke and this inconsistent play, while providing  excitement, is not the benchmark of a championship caliber team. If you’re losing games to Boston College, NC State, and falling behind Miami, you’re probably not winning the ACC Tournament or running the table of six straight in the NCAA Tournament. And for all the starters, this is their one-and-done last chance.

Other Observations:

When Marvin Bagley went to the locker room early in the first half grimacing and holding his right wrist in what appeared to be a serious injury, the season passed before our eyes. Actually, Bagley had collided with a Miami player shortly after the opening tip and later said, “It was a freakish thing that happened.” After initially being unable to move his dislocated shoulder, he was able to pop it back in himself. Still, trainers took him to the locker room for an examination to make sure the injury wasn’t more extensive. In response, Wendell Carter seemed to take it personally and  just dominated the paint until Marvin returned. The twin towers stats: Carter 15 -14 and 4 blocks, the last one a critical block and snatch at the rim– one of the most impressive defensive plays of the  season. With Duke up three and 1:36 left, Miami’s 6’11” Dewan Huell drove to the basket with only Carter in front of him. Wendell  went up with him and not only blocked the shot but snatch the ball clean from Huell’s grasp. Bagley’s numbers were 13-12.

  • While Grayson Allen is experiencing the worst shooting slump of his career, it has never affected his hustle or other aspects of his game. For example, with just four seconds remaining before halftime, he hit the floor for a loose ball, quickly passed to Trent the 3-point line. Gary nailed the shot at the buzzer, giving the Blue Devils a 42-40 lead.  When his shot comes off vacation, Trent and Duval continue to hit 40% of their threes, and they play anything approaching forty minutes of decent defense, this becomes an even more lethal team. Whom do you double team? And speaking of defense, in the critical final minutes all five player slapped the floor in the time honored Blue Devil WoJo reminder to really get serious about playing defense.
  • Under Coach Jim Larrañaga, Miami has been a tough ticket for Duke. Before tonight, they were  5-3 against the Blue Devils, including a 3-1 record at home.
  • The sellout crowd included 37 NBA scouts, but Alex Rodriguez, formerly a Miami baseball player, and girlfriend Jennifer Lopez, formerly Jenny from the Block, got more attention.
  • My old racing buddy Tom called to tell me watching this Duke team is like watching Silky Sullivan race –you can never count either one of them out. [Silky Sullivan: An American thoroughbred race horse in the late 1950’s  known for his come-from-behind racing style. His name is now a term used in sports and politics for someone who seems so far behind the competition that they cannot win, yet they do.]

Alan Adds:

“Almost Perfect Basketball

Duke scored first in the second half to take a 44-40 lead with 19:30 left in the game.  The next Duke points came 8 minutes and 15 seconds later on a Trent layup to cut the Hurricane lead to 10.  Duke still turned it over and gave up easy Miami baskets so that with exactly eight minutes left in the game, the lead was 13; the Blue Devils looked dead in the water (exactly as they did against NC State and earlier, BC).  Then the magic took hold the way it only does in the movies.  Coach K said, “to win we had to play almost perfect basketball, which we did.”  Before we examine the offensive blitz, let’s consider the defense.  Duke went to a zone, but the Devils had mixed in zone defenses with the man to man earlier in the game, without any particular success.  Duke subtly changed its zone in the last 11 minutes, so that the 2-3 was played almost like a 3-2.  The back line wing came all the way out to play the wing shooter.  Trent and Bagley were terrific in the zone, very active.  Grayson was an absolute star, not only covering the perimeter guards, but flashing into the lane to make the pass to the high post virtually impossible.  He stole the one high pass to the post for a thunderous dunk that kept the Devils rolling.  Carter was amazingly active in the middle, deterring penetration and blocking 3 – yes 3 shots down the stretch.  Coach K: “Our zone kept them out of the paint and we eliminated their second shot opportunities when they missed (a dramatic turnaround from the first 32 minutes of the game).  It was, as Coach K pointed out, that the team really played together, talked, moved and was superbly active.  Trent, in the post-game interview, correctly credited the defense for initiating the attitude that turned the game around.  Coach K emphasized that it was the switch in attitude – doing it together; thinking outside one’s self – that transformed the dismal performance into a work of art.

The Eight Minutes

Duke scored 9 points, reducing the 13 point lead to 4 in just 1:35 – 2 consecutive 3s by Trent, Jr. followed by Bagley’s 3 point play the old fashion way.  Huell missed a contested (by Carter) dunk; Bagley rebounded and then added 3 including making the foul shot.  Grayson then made his steal and dunk to bring the Devils within 2.  Carter blocked a layup by Bruce Brown.  After a Grayson foul, Tre rebounded a Miami missed 3; Carter made a gorgeous post move for a deuce and a tie game with 5:12 left.  Carter blocked Lonnie Walker and Trent grabbed the rebound as he was going out of bounds and threw it off Miami to retain possession.  Plays like that one — Grayson’s steal; as well as Grayson’s amazing play at the end of the first half where he stole the ball with four seconds left; dived on the loose ball and passed from the floor to Trent for a 3 at the buzzer — are the plays that change attitude and win games.  Coach K said “Those plays don’t make it onto sports center, but they are the plays that tell the tale.”  Sports Center, by the way, showed all three. Duval hit a twisting layup for a 68-66 lead – the same kind of drive attempt that was blocked more than once earlier – with 4:40 left.  Grayson rebounded a Brown 3 point miss; Carter missed the layup, but Trent grabbed the board and hit Duval for an open 3 point attempt.  Swish!  Please notice that Duval has been on fire from deep after a prolonged deep shooting slump.  71-66 with 3:28 left.  Miami dominated the boards, scoring on its 3rd offensive rebound; followed by a Duval foul, which resulted in Miami making 1-2 from the line.71-69 with 3:02 left.  Carter scored on a layup with 2:48 to go, but then committed a foul on Huell’s 3 point play.  73-70 with 2:20 to go.  Bagley missed and Miami rebounded, followed by the biggest defensive play of the game; Huell had his shot blocked by Carter; the ball moved and Trent delivered the dagger from deep with 1:16 to go on a great assist from Tre.  Walker missed a 3 and Trent grabbed the rebound with 54 seconds left.  Miami began to foul, which paid off when Tre missed the front end of a 1 and 1 twice within 5 seconds, but redeemed himself both times grabbing the offensive board.  He put back a layup with 47 seconds left, giving Duke a 78-70 lead.  Miami missed a desperate 3 leading to a pair of foul shot makes by Trent to ice the game at 80-70 with 36 seconds left.  Seven and a half minutes of almost perfect basketball.

The Bigs

My player of the game – despite Trent’s fabulous 30 point performance – is Wendell Carter.  He single handedly kept Duke in the game in the first half with 11 points and 10 rebounds (a double-double in the first half).  In the last 6 minutes, he had 3 blocks, scored 2 baskets and grabbed a key rebound.  In 34 minutes (18 in the second half), he scored 15 (7-11; 1-3 from deep; 0-2 from the line) to go with 14 rebounds (team high), 4 blocks, 3 assists (and 3 turnovers).  The Marvelous one had what was an off-night for him that would be a stat stuffer for others.  In 37 minutes (all 20 of the second half), he scored 13 (5-10; no 3 point attempts; 3-7 from the line) while grabbing 12 rebounds and dishing out 3 assists.  He was charged with only one foul.  In fact, Duke committed only 10 fouls for the game – 5 in each half, a significant improvement.  JRob logged 9 minutes with his only entry on the stat sheet being the foul he committed (only two minutes in the second half).

The Perimeter

Tre was simply terrible until he was amazingly wonderful.  He had 5 turnovers before the magic appeared in the final minutes.  He picked up two quick fouls early and played only eleven first half minutes.  In thirty full game minutes he scored 17 (7-11; 2-2 from deep; 1-4 from the line).  He had 8 assists – some quite amazing.  He mirrored Duke’s performance from early ugly (5 turnovers and late wonderful).  Trent had the best game of his career, shooting the lights out at the most critical moments.  His 30 points is a career high (9-14 from the field; 6-9 from 3land; and 6-8 free throws) to go with 5 important rebounds, 3 assists and a steal.  If Carter was not the MVP, Trent was (and most think so).  Grayson still cannot get his shot to fall scoring 5 points in 38 minutes and not getting to the foul line at all (0-0).  He shot 2-9; 1-6 from deep, but played great hustling defense, making 5 steals and handing out 3 assists.  The turnovers for Duke were ugly and troubling.  The backcourt was sloppy with 13 (Grayson 4; Trent 4; and Duval 5).  Carter contributed 3; JRob 1 and Marvelous 1.

The Bench

Goldwire played 3 minutes in the first half, scoring the only Duke points off the bench.  Jack White made a 1 minute cameo; JRob and O’Connell each logged 9 minutes – though each played only 2 minutes in the second half.  Coach K relied on his starters.

Coach K and the Team

In the huddle, Coach K reminded the team of the Portland tournament and the comebacks against Texas and Florida (I wonder if he mentioned Michigan State), and encouraged, “let’s make this like Portland.”  And they did.  Duke fans experienced all the emotions of an up and down game; it is pretty cool when the satisfying ones come at the end.

DUKE 81- PITTSBURGH 54

Maybe it was the humiliation of being surrounded by thousands of opponent’s students storming the court. Maybe It was just not liking the feeling of losing. Maybe it was the realization that they can’t always outscore the other team every game. Maybe it was the realization that at this level forty minutes of good defense makes for easier baskets and less stressful wins. Whatever the case, for the first time this season you had the feeling that this team was as motivated to play defense as they were offense. It was truly a three dimensional win  for the Blue Devils: defense, inside and outside scoring. They hit  12-of-26 from beyond the arc: Gary Trent, Jr. 5-for-7, Grayson Allen 4-for-10 and the other three starters all made one triple apiece. Then, there was aggressive, in-your-face-ball-denial, mostly man-to-man defense that produced 15 turnovers, 8 steals, 7 blocks, and 3 ten-second violations.

While the defense wasn’t perfect, it was certainly a step in the right direction. And speaking of steps, an impressed Coach K used an interesting analogy: “Defense is like learning to dance. If you would see somebody in a defensive stance walking down the street, you’d cross the street because you wouldn’t want to pass that person. Your body doesn’t just do that. Your body doesn’t move naturally like that. It has to learn how to dance. . .. We’re trying to teach them how to dance defensively. The music of defense is talk. If you can get five guys talking, then maybe you can dance together, and you can win. Wendell and Marvin are such good students of the game; they want to learn so much. So many of these kids when they come from high school, they haven’t watched tape. They’ve watched tape of when they dunk or do something spectacular and they put mix tapes together and put all kinds of music, but they don’t watch their foot movement, they don’t watch when they commit a silly foul, they don’t watch what they do on the help side on defense and so when they come here, and we’re not the only program, but they have the opportunity to be educated about the game. And our two big men really want to learn about the game, and they’re very, very smart. It’s on them because they want to do it and they’ve been a joy to coach, those two guys.” Grayson Allen added: “That’s the type of defense we want to play. Trust the pressure and get out and run. Let Trevon and Jordan control the point guard and the wings can get out and contest. That leads right into our offense. I’m having fun playing defense, trying to get steals and deflections and help the team that way. We’re getting so much better at it. We work on it every day and we want that to be part of our team.”

In a sense, Carter has been viewed as Robin playing in the shadow of Bagley’s Batman when in fact he is also a very impressive, multi-talented basketball player, who is playing with more and more confidence and versatility. Part of it may be that he has lost 10-15 pounds, is quicker on his feet, and wiser using his hands when defending. Today he has 21 points on 9-10 shots, 8 rebounds. Likewise, Gary Trent has settled into a lethal three point shooter. The hero of the Miami comeback was 5-7 today. In his last nine games, Trent has shot a scorching 35-of-64 from beyond the arc.  Mike Krzyzewski thinks his recent shooting exploits stem from work on the other side of the ball. “He’s playing faster. He’s playing better defense. We’ve spent a lot of time the last few weeks on our foot movements on defense, And it helps on offense because as you move your feet, you get wider, you get quicker. You get much better balance. He’s played well all year, but the last two weeks he’s played outstanding basketball.”

The bottom line is that this defensive progress will mean little if the Blue Devils do not take care of Wake on Tuesday, then beat the conference leading Virginia on Saturday.

Other Comments:

  • Just wait ‘til next year! Say what? Duke has just reloaded (again).  The YouTube and social media  dunking sensation Zion Williamson surprised the prep experts and  committed to Duke Saturday night. This gives the Blue Devils four of the top ten recruits in next year’s class: R.J. Barret, Williamson, Cameron Reddish, and #1 point guard Tre Jones. “Duke stood out because I felt most comfortable with the players and the legendary Coach K. The players brotherhood represents a family. Tre kept telling me I had to come, because this class will accomplish great things.” I usually do not pay much attention to recruits until I see them play together at Duke, but because Zion gets so much press here in South Carolina, I had no choice.  The 6’6″, 275 pound Zion is an amazing athlete–all muscle and has similar skills that LeBron James had at the same age. As a matter of fact, in recruiting him, Coach K said he would use him like he did LeBron on the Olympic team. All this is very promising as long as these players have the same attitude as this year’s freshmen.
  • Good news: DeLaurier is back. Bad News: Bolden is not back.
  • Dick Groat, the first great Duke basketball and baseball player, was honored at half time. While I do not think it is fair to compare athletes of different eras,  Groat, who played both professional basketball and  baseball before focusing exclusively on baseball, was the 1951 & 1952 college basketball Player-of-the Year and later  an all-star shortstop with the Pittsburg Pirates. Although he was offered a professional baseball contract by Branch Rickey after his junior year, Dick chose to return to Duke to get his degree (different times) and become the first college basketball player to lead the country in scoring and assists. Along with Ace Parker and Dave Sime, Dick Groat is certainly in the running for the best athlete in Duke’s history. However, if longevity is the tiebreaker, Mr. Groat wins.

Alan Adds:

After dismantling Pitt once again, the Blue Devils face a daunting week.  On Tuesday, Duke travels to Wake (I think we have definitive proof that all ACC road games are difficult) in what might be called a “trap” game.  UVA, leading the conference without a loss, visits Cameron next Saturday at 2 pm.  I believe this week will give us a better reading on this 2017-18 edition than the mauling of a winless team in disarray at home.  The game was tied for the first 37 seconds before Duke pulled away.  The first half was terrific and will be analyzed.  Duke’s lead maxed out at 34 with a little over 13 minutes to go in the second half before Coach K called off the dogs and gave his bench significant playing time.  Nevertheless, the improvement in the defense that has been visible since the NC State loss is palpable.  Coach K summed it up succinctly, “Since the N.C. State game, we’ve gotten better defensively. You didn’t need much to get better defensively from what we did in our first three ACC games, but we’re working at it. All I’m trying to do is have our guys get better, and I think we’re getting better.”  Duke went to a ¾ court zone press to completely disrupt the Pittsburg offense.  The press created turnovers, steals and (this is an amazing stat) 3 ten second violations.  Occasionally Duke disrupted its own defense by deflecting the ball, but giving up Pitt points in the ensuing scramble.  In that defensively superb first half, the Devils forced 11 Pitt turnovers (6 steals).  Pitt shot well, when able to get a shot off (10-20 from the field; 4-8 from deep; and 2-2 from the line.  Those are acceptable shooting numbers, but in this case Pitt was down by 22 at the half (48-26).  Pitt shot 50% from the field, but scored only 26 first half points and trailed by 22 points at the break.  Critically, the Duke starters committed only a single foul (Grayson) in the opening stanza (O’Connell and Goldwire each committed one in five minutes on the court).  Great defense; weak opponent.

Duke’s offense was in full domination mode in those first 20 minutes.  Duke was 10-15 from the floor inside the arc.  Going 7-13 from 3land, actually brought the first half shooting percentage down to 61%.  The starters went 7-11 from deep, with Trent leading the way (3-4) while Bagley and Carter were each 1-1 (can you imagine how demoralizing to a defense that is!).  Duval hit his first three when he was wide open from a gorgeous pass from Grayson. He missed his other attempt; Grayson was 1-3.  The Devils had 9 assists (Duval 4; Grayson 2) against only 5 turnovers (Duval 3)

It was an overwhelming performance that left Coach K perky in his press conference.  He finished his short opening statement with, “I thought we played well. And that’s it. Not much to elaborate on, unless you come up with some amazing questions, which would give me the opportunity to do that. So, it’s on you. Usually I sing and dance up here beforehand, but now I’m going to let you do that.”

The Bigs

The first half statistics tell the story.  Combined, Bagley and Carter scored 27 of Duke’s 48 points on 10-12 shooting (2-2 from deep) and 5-7 from the foul line.  Collectively they had 11 boards and 3 blocks (all Carter), 3 steals, 2 assists with only a single turnover (Carter).  Bagley logged 15 minutes: 12 points (4-5; 1-1; 3-5 from the line) with 6 boards and an assist.  Carter’s stats were even better: In 18 minutes, he scored 15 points (6-7; 1-1; 2-2) with 5 boards and those 3 blocks.  If he stayed to play with next year’s highly ranked freshmen, he would have a shot at National POY (but of course that is just a dream).

The Perimeter

Like Carter on the interior, Trent is playing superbly on both ends.  In 19 minutes, He scored 11 (4-7;3-4 from deep) with a board, assist and steal.  No negative stats.  Tre Duval played 16 minutes, dishing out 4 assists and playing some absolutely outstanding pressure defense.  He scored only 3 (1-2 from deep) and turned it over 3 times.  Grayson logged 15 hustling defensive minutes (2 big steals, some deflections and near miss steal attempts).  He began to come out of the shooting slump later in the game.  He missed 2 free throws (an uncharacteristic 2-4 from the line) to go with a dunk and 1-3 from deep.

The Bench

The bench was a non-factor in the first half.  DeLaurier (first game back), O’Connell and Goldwire each played 5 minutes; JRob 2.  The bench was (0-3; 0-2 from deep with no foul shot attempts); O’Connell took 2 shots; both he and Goldwire misfired on their only attempts from deep.  Other than that, De Laurier grabbed a rebound while Goldwire and O’Connell each committed a foul.  Since the bench did get extended minutes in the second half, it is worth giving a whole game look.  DeLaurier in five energetic second half minutes, committed 4 fouls, missed his only shot, but grabbed 2 rebounds and had 2 blocks.  First game back.  Goldwire (8 minutes) and O’Connell (9 minutes) continued to misfire. (Alex 0-2; Goldwire 0-3).  Vrakovich scored the only bench points on a hook shot (1-3 in 5 minutes with 2 rebounds). The Admiral’s son also played 5 minutes, committing 2 fouls and a turnover for his only statistics.  Jack White looked the best of the bench players, playing nine second half minutes and snaring 4 rebounds, handing out a great assist for a Grayson 3 and getting a block.  He had an assist and a turnover.

Coming Up

Duke’s first goal is the ACC regular season championship.  A loss this week, especially to UVA at home would move that goal out of reach.  Big week, in my opinion.

Duke 84 – Wake Forest 70 

After starting conference play giving up 89 and 96 points in two road losses to Boston College and N.C. State (as well as 93 in a home win against Florida State), the Blue Devils have  now won five straight by holding their opponents to an average of 64.4 points per contest. Tonight’s interesting stats are: Duke forcing 21 turnovers, 11 steals, and hitting 30-39 from the line. Surprisingly, the Devils were outrebounded 37-71 as Doral Moore, the much improved Demon Deacon’s 7” 1” center, had 18 points, 12 rebounds and just flat outplayed Bagley in the first half. Of course, it helps that those five straight wins were against cellar dwellers Pittsburgh and Wake Forest. Nevertheless, in this league a win is a win—especially on the road. Just ask Carolina and Clemson.

DeLaurier and O’Connell were rotated early and often and, until Bolden recovers, that seems to be the rotation. Both had their moments especially Alex, who again demonstrated his instinct to make things happen on both ends of the floor. He had 7 points and 2 steals and was rewarded with 20 minutes of playing time as Tre Duval was oh-for-the-game and sat out the last ten minutes. I look forward to watching him play more minutes next year. He may be a latter day Grayson Allen type. Coach K pointed out that young teams and young players are inconsistent and Duval has played very well most of the time–but not tonight.

Saturday’s game in Cameron against Virginia and their famous “pack line” defense will be a real test for Batman and Robin. Tonight, Wendell “Robin” Carter continued to impress with the sophisticated versatility of his offense—he can score from anywhere on the floor– and physical defense. Grayson Allen showed that he doesn’t have to score a ton of points to impact the game. When the game was relatively close, he was diving on the floor for loose balls and making passes that would make Bobby Hurley proud.  In addition, at halftime he told Carter to be more aggressive in getting a body on the taller  Moore, who had been cleaning up on the offensive boards… get the short rebounds and not to worry about the long ones. He  would come down and get those.

As for the Virginia game, I suspect that low post scoring will be more difficult than we have been accustomed to and the game will turn on how well the perimeter players are scoring—and the Blue Devils maintain their newfound enthusiasm for defense. Fortunately, Gary Trent has settled into not only a deadly three point shooter but also is playing as efficiently and effectively as any Blue Devil.

Asked if he had been looking forward to the Virginia game Chairman Mike said: “We stay in the now. No looking ahead, no looking behind.” [CliffsNotes: Next Play!]

Alan Adds:

UVA comes to Cameron on Saturday (2 pm; ESPN), ranked #2 in both polls, with only one loss (early to West Virginia), unbeaten in the conference with perhaps the best defense in the nation — (Clemson managed just 13 second half points last night while getting run out of the gym in Charlottesville).  13 points in a half!!!  Duke’s improvement, especially on the defensive end, has been palpable, but achieved against less talented opponents.  UVA is the best team that the Devils have played so far, this season, and will give us a valid benchmark on the that palpable improvement.  In some senses, it is a regular season-determining game.  Duke’s chance for a regular season ACC title is dependent on beating the Cavaliers.  Given that situation, Wake was a classic “trap game”, but Duke did not get trapped.  (One Duke player explained, “it gets old seeing the other team’s fans storm the court” as happened with BC and NC State).

In a weird way, this was a game of two completely different halves for Duke.  In the first half, the perimeter led the team, while Duke’s vaunted bigs were completely outplayed.  In the first half, Duke retrieved only 8 defensive boards, while the Demon Deacons had 11 offensive rebounds – 5 by their impressive 7-foot center, Doral Moore (who turned those 5 offensive rebounds into 10 first half points).  One announcer mentioned in classic understatement, “Maybe Duke should put a body on him!”.   Bagley played only 12 minutes (2 fouls), scoring only 4 (2-5; 0-1 from 3land; 0-1 from the line) and had only 3 boards, while committing 2 turnovers.  Carter (17 minutes) was Duke’s inside presence with 7 points, 4 boards, 2 assists and a block (2 turnovers).  But, Duke was still outrebounded 22-14. The ineffective interior play was more than offset by effective defense, which forced 15 turnovers, and shut down Wake’s vaunted 3 point shooting (1-10). Wake stayed in the game by being efficient from inside the arc (11-20 – helped by Moore’s 7-7 shooting from the floor).  Duke drew 13 Wake fouls, but missed 5 free throws (9-14; Duval 0-2; Bagley 0-1, the front end of a 1 and 1).   Grayson (19 minutes) and Trent (18 minutes) were all-world at both ends.  Trent scored 10 on only 4 attempts (3-4; 1-1 from deep; and 3-4 from the line) while Grayson hit for 13 (4-7; 2-3 from 3land; and 3-3 from the line) to go with 4 boards, 3 assists (some were amazing) 2 steals and outstanding defense and hustling leadership.  It was on a par with his performance against Michigan State.  While Tre had a 17-minute miserable half (0-5; 0-2 from deep; 0-2 from the line), O’Connell picked him up, scoring 5 on 2 shots; one from deep and making 2 key steals in 7 minutes.

The second half was different.  Carter (34 minutes – 17 in each half) and Bagley (18 second half minutes) took control of the game and the interior.  Carter was Batman to Bagley’s Robin.  Carter finished with 12 boards and 23 points on 9 attempts making 6, including 1-2 from deep.  At the foul line, he put the Deacs away, drawing fouls (finally fouling Moore out) and converting 10-13 from the line (7-9 in the latter stanza).  He is improving at a rapid rate and has become Duke’s go to rim protector and defensive rebounder.  Bagley finished with a double/double (11 rebounds; 16 points (4-9; 0-3 from deep; and a gratifying 8-11 from the foul line (8-10 in the second half – 80%).  In fact, Duke won the game by forcing fouls.  Both Bagley and Carter were so effective at drawing Wake fouls and then converting.  Duke was 30-39 from the line outscoring Wake by 19 (Wake was 11-13) — more than the margin of victory.  The perimeter’s scoring wasn’t needed and the defense forced only 6 second half turnovers.  For the game Wake had 11 assists and 21 turnovers.  Allen finished with 17 points in 37 minutes, while Trent scored 19 in 38 minutes.  Trevon was limited to 7 minutes in the second half as he continued to struggle missing all 3 of his second half shots.  Alex played 13 valuable second half minutes.  In the last part of the second half, Grayson ran the point when Alex joined the starting unit without any drop-off.

The bench was Alex and DeLaurier, who brings energy and athleticism and fouling.  Once again, he fouled out in 12 minutes while dunking once, grabbing 3 rebounds and making a steal.  Bolden has not played in a long time and nobody has mentioned his physical condition.  I find that a bit ominous.

Duke’s defense has consistently been improving.  Coach K said, “we’ve been practicing like crazy.  We are starting to move our feet well in both man to man and zone defenses.  The team is enthusiastic.”  As I have written from before the season started, how this team fares in the long run will depend on how defensively efficient it becomes.  Duke’s defense was very good against Wake.  UVA on Saturday will be THE TEST!

Duke 63 – Virginia 65 

Batman and Robin showed up today but the Miracles didn’t. And speaking of showing up, in the first half Virginia not only showed up, they schooled the Blue Devils how to execute both offensively and defensively—they sure aren’t Pitt or Wake. The Cavaliers are a well-oiled machine. They held Duke to 22 first half points. Early in the second half, the Devils were down 13. That’s like about 26 to anyone else, because Virginia’s Pack Line D is essentially the defensive version to the Princeton Offense– it’s a way to methodically execute sound fundamentals to neutralize, tire, and discourage a more talented team. In those first twenty minutes, Gary Trent, Grayson Allen, and Trevon Duval combined for 6 turnovers and just 6 points on 3-of-16 shooting. (Q: Where is Luke Kennard when we need him? A: Sitting on a bench in Detroit.)

After assessing the first twenty minutes, Coach K switched to a zone (which is not a four letter word in my vocabulary). It temporarily confused the Cavaliers and they missed shots. Duke took advantage and made a run. They first tied the game after a bizarre possession in which Carter’s attempted lob from beyond the arc to Bagley went in the basket as Marvin simultaneously drew a foul on the post-up. On the ensuing in-bound play, Carter took a perfect lob and finished with a slam to tie the game at 39—a five point turn around. After the run, the Blue Devils had scored 22  points –as many as in the entire first 20 minutes– in just 8 minutes to take a two point lead.

It was a dog fight from there on but the Cavaliers made winning plays and Duke didn’t. In a span of about five minutes, Duke got two of a possible eight points from the line, going from a three-point lead to a four-point deficit. Ty Jerome intercepted a long, imprudent Tre Duval pass, then made  a dagger of an NBA three—a five point turn around and a five point lead. Offensively, Duke was hitting on only two cylinders (Bagley 30 points, 14 rebounds; Carter 14 points, 15 rebounds), had 16 turnovers, and went 5-11 from the line, four (three times during the game’s final eight minutes) of which were the front end of one-and-ones. (I must point out the obvious: Missing free throws had nothing to do with Virginia’s defense.) Given these stats, it is somewhat amazing that the game was as close as it was.

Congratulations to Virginia, they were the better team and deserved the win. The Cavaliers came into the game winless in its last 17 trips to Durham and having gone 1-4 in their last five games against the Blue Devils. Make no mistake, Coach Bennett is one of the very best coaches in the country and his teams are always a tough out. In a sense this was payback. You may recall that in two of those recent Duke wins, Rasheed Sulaimon, and Ty Jones hit the heartbreaking, dagger threes that closed out hard fought games.

Other Comments:

  • Duke got just six minutes from its bench, none in the second half. Krzyzewski said the reason he didn’t play any of his reserves in the second half was partly due to injuries and illnesses. He said O’Connell had been sick, DeLaurier has a tight hamstring, and Bolden, who warmed up with a knee brace, is close but not there yet. More to the point, he added:  “If we want to win something really big, your best players have to play a lot of minutes and I think that’s what the regular season is about. We are preparing for that and hopefully we’re in it in March.”
  • The obvious assessment is that unless the defense keeps improving and the guards don’t consistently start producing more points, March will be a disappointing month. As good as they are, Bagley and Carter cannot carry this team on their backs through the rest of the season and two tournaments. Duval has to stop running hot and cold and turning the ball over so much as well as improve his foul shooting. Trent has to forget this game and play like he did in the last four. Grayson Allen may be the key. He is doing everything well except shooting the ball. That prolonged slump is puzzling in that it is not consistent with his performance of the previous three years. What this game showed is that Virginia is more than the sum of their parts and Duke is not. It will be interesting to see if the Blue Devils can become at least the sum of their parts.
  • Tobacco Road isn’t as rough as it used to be: Duke and UNC lost at home on same day for the first time in 44 years.

Alan Adds: 

John Wooden (without false modesty) once said, “give me five very good players and I will beat your five excellent players.”  He did know a little something about the concept of “team”.  Yesterday, UVA’s five very good players were a better team than Duke’s five excellent players, and deservedly won a crucial and highly entertaining game in Cameron.  Each team had its superb moments; it’s just that the Cavaliers’ came at the end of the game.  Each team had its deficiencies; it’s just that Duke’s came at the end of the game.

The Good, the Bad and the Ugly (in reverse order) 

The Ugly (the First Half)

UVA is simply a better team than any Duke has faced this year.  The freshmen laden Devils were overwhelmed by the skill and cohesion of the opposition in the first half.  It was as if the freshmen had never seen a team like Virginia (and in truth they hadn’t).  Virginia’s offense was constantly moving, patient, and made Duke play its man to man defense deep into the shot clock.  Duke broke down late in the shot clock.  Duke had no idea of how to attack the Pack Line defense and was unable to get out in transition.  Coach K suggested that Virginia’s offense tired Duke, which led to ineffective offense.  Duke was 0-7 from behind the arc; every starter missed (Carter and Trent twice).  It is worth noting that almost all of the guards’ attempts were contested  The freshmen turned it over with rapidity (8 times), partly because they had never played against a defense that active and cohesive (the word of the day in analyzing this game).  Finally, the bench was non-existent.  O’Connell played 3 minutes for Duval (who had a “deer-in-headlights look throughout much of the first half.), and was immediately beaten back door on defense and then committed a foul.  DeLaurier spelled Carter for 3 minutes and committed a foul, but got 2 rebounds.

The backcourt was awful.  Grayson did not score in the first half (0-5; 0-1 from deep; 0 free throw attempts), had 0 assists but 2 turnovers.  Duval did score (1-4; 0-1 from deep; and 0-1 from the line – the front end of a 1 and 1) with 3 assists and 2 turnovers.  Trent led the backcourt in scoring with 4 (2-7; 0-2 from 3land without a free throw attempt), but had 2 turnovers without an assist.  None of the 3 registered a steal.  Contrast with the UVA back court of Jerome and Guy (39 of 40 first half minutes), who combined for 17 first half points – Guy had 10 on 4 shots – including 4-4 from the line and a couple of steals.

The Bad

After a dramatic turnaround and scintillating comeback (see The Good infra.), Duke led by 3 with 7:30 left in the game.  Then, Duke’s youth and Virginia’s experience showed.  Carter missed the front end of a 1 and 1 (the same as a turnover if you think about it).  Hunter penetrated for a layup; Trent missed a 3; Hall hit Jerome for a 3.  Carter turned it over, but Marvin got several offensive rebounds, the last spectacular one of which tied the game at 53 with 5 minutes left (winning time).  Hunter penetrated for a deuce; Carter missed the front end again leading to a feed to Hall from Jerome.  Duke closed to within 2 on a Duval long pass to Bagley (the success of which may have inspired the ill-advised attempt to do the same with Carter with a minute left).  Duke could not gain possession after a dramatic block by Carter – UVA retrieved two crucial offensive rebounds, which culminated in a three by Guy.  60-56 with 2:25 to go.  Carter grabbed another board after a superb block by Duval, which led to a Bagley dunk.  Duke down 2 with 1:35 left.  Duval rebounded a Guy miss with 1:00 to play and Duke down 2.  He fired long to Carter, hoping to repeat his success on the great outlet to Bagley earlier – but not long enough.  Jerome stole it, and then calmly hit a 3 from very deep.  UVA 63 Duke 58 with 39 seconds left.  Bagley missed a quick three, which UVA rebounded.  That seemed like the game until UVA missed the front end of two one and ones to seemingly give the Devils life after the death certificate had been issued.   Grayson missed a three badly, but UVA missed the front end again.  Bagley hit a 3 with 8 seconds left.  Duke down 2.  But Guy hit both free throws after Duke fouled for the final margin.  Gallant effort, but UVA made the plays and Duke didn’t.  The Duke backcourt was missing in action for this game.  Grayson scored 5 in his 40 minutes; Duval 6; Trent 8.  Collectively, the trio was 1-8 from behind the arc with 10 of Duke’s 16 turnovers.

The Good

Duke learned!  This team can compete with any team in America.  Down 13, after UVA hit a 3 to open the second half, Duke stormed back behind a solid zone defense, a few welcome UVA misses, and some superb offense, both in transition and in the half court set.  The offense revived against the Pack Line – actually shredded it.  Duke shot 59% in the second half and 50% from deep (17-29; 4-8 from deep).  Duke lost the game at the foul line (3-8 in the second half, including the front end of all 3 one and ones) and on turnovers.  Duke had another 8 in the second half, but if you add in the 3 front end misses from the line, it is 11 futile trips.  Duke showed much heart and the dynamic inside duo was superb.  Marvin almost did it all himself.  He was heroic, playing the entire game; scoring 30 (13-18; 2-4 from deep; 2-3 from the line to go with 14 rebounds.  Carter returned to being a superb Robin, scoring 14 while scoffing up 15 rebounds and blocking 4 shots with a crucial steal.  He was 6-11, but only 1-3 from deep and depressingly 1-4 from the line.

Prospects for the Season

In practical terms, Duke’s chances for the regular season ACC crown evaporated with this loss.  The remaining goal is to get one of the 4 double byes (which go to the first 4 places in the regular season) for the ACC tournament.  Then comes the tournaments, which will eventually determine how this team is evaluated.  [I count last season’s ACC tournament win as something special even though the Devils flamed out early in the NCAA.]  Duke is still learning and has the most daunting part of its schedule remaining, beginning with a quick turnaround against Notre Dame tomorrow night.  Still left to play are UNC (2); Louisville, Virginia Tech (2).  Plenty of tests to evaluate Duke’s learning curve.  The good news is that Coach K could legitimately say (as he did in his press conference), “we got better today.”

Duke 88 – Notre Dame 66

On a once in a Blue Moon night when Marvin isn’t Marvelous, but the Miracles are, and you got a glimpse of how much more offensively lethal this team can be when the guards are scoring. Gary Trent, Grayson Allen, and Trevon Duval, who scored just 19 points against Virginia, combined for 52 points tonight. And it was a good thing, because Bagley had an rare off night (4-14) 12 points and Carter’s minutes were somewhat limited by foul trouble.

Do not be fooled by Notre Dame Coach Mike Brey often looking as though he was recovering from a rough all-nighter, because he sure can coach.  Since the former Coach K assistant took over the Notre Dame program, the Irish are now 5-5 against the Blue Devils and Brey is the only former Blue Devil assistant to earn a victory over his former mentor. Tonight, the Fighting Irish, playing without injured preseason ACC Player of the Year Bonzie Colson and veteran point guard Matt, lived up to their name and kept within upset distance until the Blue Devils made an 18-0 run midway through the second half.

Unlike the Virginia game, Coach K used Bolden, DeLaurier, White and O’Connell off the bench. Surprisingly, it was seldom seen Australian sophomore forward Jack White (5 points, 7 rebounds) who demonstrated a toughness, determination, strength, savvy, and skill set to undoubtedly increase his playing time. Not only did his energy, hustle, and productivity endear him the Cameron Crazies, Coach K made a point of going onto the court after an Irish time out to enthusiastically congratulate him, but also, after the game, ESPN interviewed both he and Grayson Allen.

And speaking of Grayson (18 points, 8 assists, 1 steal), I think his offensive inconsistency is due to two factors: 1) He is an emotional, instinctive player, who, because of his previous well- publicized incidents, is being very careful to keep his emotions in check. 2) Playing with the uber talented big men Bagley and Carter that he never had before (plus Trent), he is being too careful to be a good captain and teammate. He feels his role has changed and he does not have to be a big time scorer. While he is not inhibited on defense and is certainly the most committed defender, the combination of these two factors keeps him from playing flat out, balls-to-the-wall [Term used by fighter pilots when accelerating quickly, the throttle is pushed all the way to the panel and the throttle lever (ball) actually touches the panel wall.] offense like he did against Wisconsin and Michigan State (when Bagley was out with an injury). I was pleased and encouraged with  what we saw tonight. It was the first time this season since the Michigan State game that he looked relaxed and was really enjoying himself. He was loose as a goose, smiling,  high fiving Trent and hugging Jack White as if a great weight had been lifted from his shoulders. To achieve the next level of excellence, all the guards have to shoot like they did tonight but to win championships, Grayson has to play more aggressively on offense. After all, he is a senior, the captain, and has done it before.

Other Comments:

  • Jay Williams thinks that this is a zone team.
  • The Blue Devils lead the all-time series, which began with a 1965 matchup in Chicago Stadium, 22-7 and won 17 of the first 19 meetings between the two schools.
  • Next game: Saturday 12:00. Duke – St. Johns in Mr. Silber’s neighborhood but also on Fox TV.

Alan Adds:

With Notre Dame in disarray (5 straight losses) with crippling injuries, and Duke coming off a close loss to UVA, the stage was set at Cameron for a blowout!  But, it did not happen in the first half.  Notre Dame hung in there, aided by 7 Duke turnovers and 8 fouls in the first half.  Duke’s offense was efficient, scoring 42 in the opening stanza, but the defense was not.  The Irish, a very low scoring team since the injuries, got layups as well as 9 offensive rebounds to hang around.  The first part of the second half was more of the same, with the Blue Devils giving up easy scores, but staying in front with efficient offense.  Then, with 9:21 left, everything changed and the Duke defense went to work in astonishing style.  Both Carter and Duval were in foul trouble and The Fighting Irish had chopped the Duke lead to 6, 58-52 on Gibbs’ 2 free throws (Duke’s 4th team foul).  Then, Tre hit the biggest shot of the game, a wide open 3 (perfect assist from Grayson).  As I have noted, Duval’s 3 point shooting has improved fairly dramatically in recent games.  He does not shoot them often (and, happily, only when he is wide open), and teams are daring him to shoot because of his early season deficiencies.  ND never had a smell of winning after that shot.  The offense was magical, but – though unheralded in post-game reports – so was the defense.  Duval had a great steal followed by a great assist for Carter layup.   Then Grayson made a superb steal and dunk.   Notre Dame made a jumper, but Grayson answered with a 3.  Duval committed his 4th foul with 10:19 left, and Duke leading by 12 after Gibbs made both free throws.  Jack White replaced Duval.  Bagley had a superb block at the rim (followed by White’s 3).  ND missed 4 straight contested jumpers; Duke denied the Irish the offensive rebounds, which Notre Dame had been capitalizing on earlier.   With 4:04 left, Duke was leading by 30 – 86-56 before the Irish scored again.  In sum, Duke held the Irish scoreless from 10:19 to 4:04; and to only 4 points in the 8+ minutes from up by 6 to up by 30!  That is defense that deserves unstinting praise.

The announcers do not seem to follow the game closely or know what is important to the team’s development.  Bolden made his first appearance in 6 games, and played 14 minutes.  While he was rusty (2 fouls and a turnover), he also showed some good stuff (3 rebounds; an assist and a block).  He had been in the game for many minutes (and 2 commercials) before he was noticed.  Shame on Bilas.  An efficient Bolden is actually a big deal for Duke going forward.  I guess the announcers are unaware of that.  Jack White was, of course, a revelation.  He has been playing well in his previous cameos (mostly as a rebounder and energetic defender).  In 14 minutes he was 2-3 from the field including 1-1 from deep, to go with 7 rebounds.  DeLaurier played eight minutes (2 fouls; he is a fouling machine which diminishes his potential value).  However, he grabbed 2 boards, was 1-1 from the field and made a block.  Hopefully, both Bolden and DeLaurier will become more valuable as they knock the rust off.  O’Connell had a fruitless cameo [0-2 in 5 minutes].

This is such an intriguing team. They can be freshman frustrating with mistakes on both ends , yet dynamic when things are clicking.  After the St. John’s game this Saturday – it is a great sports day in New York with the Millrose Track meet at the armory as well – the schedule is fierce.   UNC at Chapel Hill next Thursday will be another game that reveals how well the Devils are developing.  Two ACC road games next week (Georgia Tech) before a stretch of 4 ACC home games, including a crucial matchup with Louisville.  We are going into the last month of regular season play before the tournaments and it is still hard to gauge this team’s ability against quality opposition.

DUKE  77- ST. JOHNS 81 

Maybe, winning all those close games early in the season with miracle finishes was not such a good thing after all. Maybe, it made the freshmen believe their press clippings. Maybe, they are worried about their draft status. Maybe, they are just an overrated team. Maybe, baby…whatever… the inability of this Duke team to beat the teams they should on the road is troubling. Their weaknesses—casual to awful defense, too many careless turnovers, inconsistent point guard play and free throw shooting—have not shown much improvement and, after half a season of available film, every opponent is well prepared on how to play them. Those of us who have watched  Duke play over the years are only too aware that St. Johns has always been a difficult opponent for the Blue Devils. Their players are born, bred, and raised on the playgrounds of New York —therefore, savvy, instinctive one-on-one players. Consequently, if the game comes down to the wire, they have an advantage of pulling out a close game. As we have stressed before, don’t let any team hang around too long, because there are a lot of very good but underpublicized players of all shapes and sizes—and the three point lines is a great equalizer.

In the first half, Duke’s man-to-man defense got beat so many times for dunks on the same high pick-and-roll that I thought my television was stuck on a permanent replay loop. It didn’t seem to matter as long as Trent was knocking down threes until he didn’t, the Johnnies did and Bagley was on the bench with four fouls. One bright note was Wendell Carter’s (14 pts, 15 rebounds, 4 blocks) inspired defense that sparked the rally from eleven down in the last eight minutes. Hopefully, he and Bagley have learned a lot from these four losses.

To add insult to injury, St. John’s guard Shamorie Ponds, who torched the Blue Devils for 24 of his 33 points in the second half, was sensational. After Duke briefly took a one-point lead with 1:34 left in the game, Ponds scored the game’s next five points, including a contested NBA three pointer as the shot clock expired that put St. John’s up 77-73 with :38 seconds left.

In his revealing press conference,  Coach K had a decidedly different tone and demeanor than after the previous three losses: “The very first thing, congratulations to Chris (Mullin) and his team. They’ve been involved in a lot of really close games in the conference. I know it’s been frustrating for them, but they were the better team today… Shamorie Ponds was terrific, but also, they played with an enthusiasm and a togetherness that I’m sure Coach Mullins liked. It was tough for us to defend them… I thought they made us look bad, but we made ourselves look bad. The first 32 minutes of this game were not worthy of Duke’s program. I saw blank stares, no communication and players playing like five individuals… The play was disgusting, really… No matter what we said, nothing worked with our team – until the last eight minutes, and then we had a chance to win. You can say ‘why?’ Look, I do not know why. I can tell you that wasn’t the group that I have coached all year. And they were a very frustrating group to coach today, because they did not respond to anything. We were a tough team to coach today. This team’s play was unacceptable. At halftime, at a timeout, you’ve got to respond. And when you don’t, then you’re into your own stuff for whatever reason that is. Whether you’re not ready or you’re sick or whatever. You got to give it up. We didn’t give it up, and the team that was deserving of winning, won. It made the loss, because we came back, all the more frustrating. But the basketball gods understand, in most cases, who should win. So losing when you had a chance to win after not playing well, we got what we deserved.”

He all but dropped the mike as he exited the podium.

P.S. If I were a gambler, I would double down on the Carolina game.

Alan Adds:

In my world, the Duke-St. Johns game was not the most important sporting event of the day; rather it was the Millrose Games track meet at The Armory on 168th Street – an annual event for me.  Of course, writing the DBP made getting to the meet for the early events an impossible option.  I told my guest that we could probably leave before the game ended because Duke would simply blow the unworthy Red Storm out of the Garden.  I told him “St. Johns has lost 11 in a row; lost its best player; and simply does not have the size or talent to compete with Duke.  Duke should lead by 20 at the half and win by twice that.”  Yes, I really said that.  No matter how hard Coach K tried to focus his team on competing against a team that had the capability to beat the Blue Devils – “we did not overlook St. Johns” — it is clear that the players felt as I did.

While Duke held a first half scoring advantage, it was clear that the Devils were being thoroughly outplayed.  Only Trent’s 4-5 from deep (and Bagley’s 1-1) kept Duke in front.  Bolden had a nice 6 minute stint in the opening stanza, scoring 4 points (2-2) and grabbing 4 rebounds.  Possibly good news.  The Red Storm got every loose ball while Duke looked lethargic and really uncaring.  You could feel the “we’re going to win by 40” mentality right from the start.  I texted my daughter at about the 15 minute mark that Duke was winning but playing terribly.  The defense was virtually non-existent.   Switching on the pick and roll was a distant memory as the Red Storm got to the rim for absolutely uncontested layups on multiple occasions (See Bill’s accurate pithy comment above).  It was actually jaw dropping to see the lack of anything resembling cohesion on defense.  However, twelve first half turnovers – many unforced or careless – was the most revealing first half statistic.   Even though ahead by 7 at the break, you knew that the Duke attitude had to change if Duke was to win.  We now know it did not change until with 6:36 left to play and Duke down 11 (68-57).  Then, with their backs to the wall, the young Devils finally showed a sense of urgency that had been sorely lacking for 32 minutes.  Duke came charging back behind Tre Duval.  He hit a key 3 from the corner; a driving layup; and handed out a nifty assist to Carter’s layup to cut the lead to 4 (68-64).  Carter had 2 superb blocks in a row, to finally defend the rim.  Distressingly, Duke gave up an offensive rebound after forcing another Red Storm miss, which allowed St. Johns to stretch the lead back to 6.  Duval responded with another driving layup cutting the lead back to 4.  Carter rebounded the next Red Storm miss (Duke was finally contesting the Red Storm jumpers) before Bagley launched a contested 3 that missed.  Trent fouled Ahmed, who sank both.  Duval again scored on a driving layup to cut the lead to 4. Bagley made a superb steal and fed Trent for a 3 to bring the Devils within 1.  After the Red Storm turned it over against Duke’s press, Trent was fouled and made a pair to give Duke a 73-72 lead.  But alas, it was not maintained.  Ponds penetrated for a layup.  Duval responded with an acrobatic drive and was fouled with 1:09 left.  He needed to make both to give Duke the lead.  He’s only a 60% foul shooter, and — in the game’s defining moment — he missed them both.  Duke defended stoutly with yet another superb block by Carter, but the Red Storm snagged the game’s most critical offensive rebound; followed by the game’s most critical shot – a long 3 by Pond with 38 seconds left.  Grayson answered with his own 3 with 35 seconds left, but that was Duke’s last gasp.  St. Johns made foul shots and Duke didn’t (Bagley 1-2 with 21 seconds left, leaving Duke down 2) and that was all she wrote.

The Defense

It was yet another terrible performance by Duke.  St. Johns shredded the Duke man to man; and when Duke went zone, the Red Storm was even more successful.  Duke made its run in a man-to-man defense that started trapping the ball screens.  Only Carter’s rim defense was exemplary (4 blocks; 3 in the second half comeback).  Coach K lamented that Duke didn’t talk and really didn’t defend energetically, giving up 49 second half points to a team with 11 consecutive losses.  Worse, in spite of a height and athletic advantage, Duke gave up 16 offensive rebounds, many of which led to St. Johns scores, negating Duke’s occasional effective defense against the initial possession

The Offense

Duke turned it over 18 times in the game.  Bagley had 6; Duval 4; while Grayson and Trent turned it over 3 times each.  This was not aberrational.  In the last 6 games, Duke has averaged 16 turnovers.  Coach K, still lamenting, pointed out that Duke has not been strong with the ball and that many of the turnovers were unforced.   “I don’t know why”.    Moreover, the turnovers led to easy St. Johns scores.  It was not pretty.  Grayson reverted to horrible (but for the key 3 to answer Ponds’s 3 with 35 seconds left).  He was 1-7 from the field (1-4 from deep) 4-6 from the line.  He had 2 assists against 3 turnovers with 0 steals or blocks.  Two rebounds.  Not senior leadership.

Foul Shooting

In the second half, Duke had three 1 & 1 opportunities.  Bolden missed the front end (his second half performance of 4 minutes was also promising; he got 2 more boards and a block); followed by Grayson missing the front end.  Trent connected on the first to earn a bonus shot, which he missed.  Out of a potential 6 points, Duke got 1.  Duke was 20-29, but if you omit Carter’s 8-8 it was 12 -21.  That’s simply not winning basketball in close games.  Duval miss was symptomatic of the malady.  Point guards need to make foul shots down the stretch in close games, especially if your team has the lead and the other team is forced to foul.  Duval’s 60% make rate is an Achilles heel.

Evaluation

Coach K said it all: “This was a tough team to coach today.”  He had zero answers in his press conference.  It does not create optimism for the remainder of the season.  UNC on Thursday followed by a tough stretch in the conference.

Duke 78- North Carolina 82 

Durham, we have a problem. When a Duke team is embarrassed in the Garden on national television by a Big East also-ran team, then Coach K, whose team’s rarely lose two in a row, can’t motivate them to play smart and hard for forty minutes of decent offense and on defense, they don’t block out, rebound, and are out hustled by an outmanned Carolina team, what can you say?

I say congratulations to my buddy Johnny Tar Heel, you non-believer, your team deserved the win. I also say that the first half looked like a basketball version of the Eagles vs. the Patriots in the Super Bowl. Neither team could (or would) stop the other—the score was 49 to 45. Then, inexplicably, in the second half, the Blue Devils came out flat, could not (or would not) match Carolina’s energy and determination as the Heels went on a 23-8 run while the often perplexed Blue Devils only scored 29 second half points. However, with eight minutes to go, Duke suddenly decided to play effective man-to- man defense, protect the rim, and closed a double digit deficit to three. But then the Blue Devils couldn’t hit the shots to sustain the run and pull off a miracle comeback, which they apparently used up last year in the first eleven games. An example of how poor the Duke defense was—they gave up 11 threes, only forced 2 turnovers, and despite their size advantage, was outrebounded 20-11 on the offensive glass.

Surprisingly, Coach K  substituted early and often. And the good news is that Marques Bolden played the best 17 minutes of his Duke career as he looked like a very polished and confident player, while Alex O’Connell played 18 minutes and had 11 points. Question: Why did O’Connell have more points in less than half the playing time than Grayson Allen, who had 6 points in the first three minutes but only 9 for the game?

Possible explanations for these four disappointing losses are youth and inconsistent point guard play. The 2015 Championship team had Ty Jones, who wasn’t athletically flashy but was not only a very mature game manager and team leader but also made clutch game changing and game winning shots. Tre Duval, on the other hand, can be effective and flashy going to the basket but has not been a consistently steady floor general.

Once again, Duke is loaded with teenage one-and-done NBA first round lottery picks who have not and will not be in college long enough to realize how much four and done players want to beat them and, unlike high school, they have to play hard and smart for forty minutes, not twenty-five or thirty. This isn’t fantasy basketball, where stats are all that matters. You put four teenage freshmen in this position and on this stage, no matter how uber-talented they may be, there’s no telling how consistently they may play. They may struggle at the start, as they did against St. Johns. They may struggle at the end, as they did at home against Virginia. They may play well but not be able to find another gear when an opponent does as Carolina did tonight. Or they may learn to savor moment, the bright lights, the screaming fans, and rise to the occasion to be at their best in those moments, as  Jones and Allen and their teammates did in 2015.

Whatever the explanation, time is running out for this team to discover that talent alone does not win games and titles. It also takes  commitment, effort, and chemistry.

Other Comments:

  • DBS subscribers wrote: This team plays no defense and has average guard play. Makes u crave the old model – the one Villanova and Carolina have quietly executed – the K model from 15 years ago… Not loving the one-and-done mode (aka. temps).  2015 was great – but I think an outlier…Ironically, the Tar Heels beat Duke tonight by playing Duke Basketball.
  • There is a reason the Duke-Carolina rivalry is so compelling: The difference between these teams is amazing. Since 2010, Duke has won 13 of the 19 contests between these two teams, but across the decades the advantages have evened out. In the last 101 meetings, North Carolina holds a 51-50 edge in victories and a two-point edge (7,847 to 7,845) in points.

Next play.

Alan Adds:

The most revealing statistic for me is that in the second half, Carolina outrebounded Duke off Duke’s defensive board.  Duke retrieved 13 defensive rebounds while the Tar Heels grabbed 15 offensive rebounds in the second half.  Coach K agreed that it was the most significant aspect of the game.  With 6:31 left in the first half, the Blue Devils led by 12 (40-28).  With 9:30 left in the game, Carolina led by 10 (72-62).  In that 17 minute stretch, Duke reverted to the desultory basketball that has led to upset losses.  Primarily, Duke was completely outhustled in that stretch.  The (as Bill likes to call them) “Washed Out Blues” dominated both backboards in spite of being dramatically outsized, and retrieved every loose ball.  Pinson was everywhere defending, rebounding and driving through the defense for easy assists.  It’s hard to know what to make of this team when they play in significant stretches like this.  Inconsistent is the only valid evaluation of this team so far.

Coach K acknowledged that for a long stretch in the game “we were awful.”  We didn’t execute in the second half what we had diagrammed at intermission.   When that happens, you get confused.  Confusion on offense led to poor transition defense and the 22 point swing in Carolina’s favor in that 17 minute stretch.

Crunch Time

Duke crept back into contention beginning with Wendell Carter’s 3.  Alex hit a 3 and Bagley made a steal, Grayson was fouled.  Even his foul shooting has diminished; he missed the second shot, leaving Duke down by 5.  Each team missed shots and was sloppy without scoring for almost 2 minutes until Marvin got another rebound and passed to Tre who was fouled on his way to the hoop.  He made them both; Duke trailed by 3 with 4:56 to go.  Carolina got 4 offensive rebounds on the next possession but were thwarted with great rim protection and a dramatic block by Carter.  With 3:23 left, Trent missed a 3 that would have tied the game, and the Tar Heels closed out the game from there.  Duval committed his 5th foul (he played only half the game because of foul trouble), and Cameron Johnson buried a 3.  Grayson missed, then committed a foul (Berry made them both).  Trent’s 2 free throws cut the lead to 6 with 1:10 left, but Grayson and Alex missed 3s before Marvin scored on a dunk to cut the lead to 4 with 35 seconds left.  Berry left the door slightly open when he missed a foul shot, but Grayson turned it over, and that was that.

The backcourt

The backcourt was Duke’s undoing.  The three starters – Allen, Duval and Trent – could not defend or shoot, but they did foul.  Each had 2 in the first half.  Duval fouled out in 20 minutes while Allen (40 minutes) and Trent (35 minutes) had 4 each.  Duke forced only 2 turnovers for the game.  Allen was 3-9 (2-8 from deep and 1-2 from the line) for 9 points.  He had 4 boards, 7 assists and only 2 turnovers.   Trent scored 16 on 6-11; 2-5 from deep and 2-2 from the free throw line (he was more effective in the first half with 9 points on 6 shots (4-6; 1-1 from deep).  Tre made all 5 of his free throws, but was 0-3 from behind the arc and only 2-6 inside it for his 9 points to go with a checkered floor game (5 assists, but 4 turnovers).  Defensively, the Carolina backcourt scored at will (Berry had 21; Williams 20; and Johnson 18).

The Bigs

Marvin was magnificent, but cannot do it alone.  He played 39 minutes grabbing 16 rebounds (11 on the defense) while scoring 15 on 7-13 from the floor and 1-2 from the line.  He had 4 assists, 2 blocks and a steal without a single foul.  Carter had only 5 boards and 10 points in 28 minutes. He did not get to the foul line (a telling statistic for me), going 2-3 from deep and 2-4 from inside the arc.  He committed only 2 fouls; he was simply not the beast he has been all year – not his energetic self at all.

The Bench

Marquis Bolden was a revelation in the first half.  He logged 17 game minutes; 9 in the opening stanza where he went 4-4 from the floor (0-1 from the line) to go with a block.  He added an assist in the second half.  It was his best game at Duke so far, and leads to a tantalizing hope that he can infuse some energy into the defense and rebounding.  Alex played 18 minutes (7 in the opening stanza where he scored 5 and got 2 rebounds), in part because of Duval’s foul trouble, and in part because of his effective play.  He scored 11 for the game (more than either Grayson or Duval) on 4-8; 3-5 from deep and ended with 3 rebounds.  Javen DeLaurier, once again produced startling foul stats: 1 minute played; 2 fouls committed.  Jack White had a shot blocked in his 2 minutes.

The Unfolding Season

Coach K seemed sort of satisfied with the improvement from the St. Johns debacle.   “We played better.  We played hard [I dissent for a substantial part of the game] and got good bench.  It is clear to me that this group of superb players has not yet become a good team. I got a hint that Duke may try and play bigger (with only two guards and Bolden seeing more time).  Whether it will or not is why they will play, and we will watch, the rest of the season.

Next game is in Atlanta against Georgia Tech on Sunday night at 6:00 p.m. ESPN

Duke 80 – Georgia Tech 69 

Although a win, this game was a microcosm of the of the season’s five losses and near losses. Playing a zone press and starting Bolden (for Bagley resting a “minor knee sprain” suffered in the Carolina game as a “precautionary measure”), and O’Connell (for Duval benched presumably for erratic play), Duke won the first half 43-26 and lost the second half 37-43 against one of the worst teams in the ACC. Without Bagley, and substituting liberally, the Blue Devils played an aggressive, inspired, effective first half and appeared to be in a position to cruise. However, there are times this team is just incapable of playing forty minutes of fundamentally sound basketball. Up 26 points in the second half, how do they allow Tech to make a 25-2 run and then cut the margin to twelve points to put the game in jeopardy? Solve that problem and we have a different team.

The good news is that Bolden has developed into a big, athletic player who looks like he belongs on the floor. He has a wide body with hops and a decent touch in the post. O’Connell is very athletic and can definitely shoot the three and score the ball. DeLaurier is super athletic and defensively disruptive but foul prone. Jack White has proven he can be a useful sub. Despite opinion to the contrary, these players have the talent and the desire to play meaningful minutes.

The mystery of Grayson Allen 4.0 is that, as in the Michigan State game, he is a different player when Bagley is not on the floor. Tonight, his offensive aggressiveness set the tone for the fast start. Grayson scored 10 of Duke’s first 16 points, made all 10 of his free throws, and had 6 assists. It appears that with or without Bagley, the team is better with Grayson leading the team from the point and Tre Duval coming off the bench. In addition, you just cannot have ball in Tre’s hands at the end of a tight game, because he is not a good free throw shooter. (BTW Duke was 21-26 = 81% for the game). In those circumstances, Allen or Trent on the line is the money play.

This year, there is no super team: Virginia, Villanova, Purdue, West Virginia, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Kentucky all lost this week. Despite three close losses in the last five games, Duke still has the time and the talent to fix what ails them–defense and guard play–and win championships. All they need to do is play decent defense and, just as importantly, have dependable guard play, and finish games off like they did at the beginning of the season. Duval needs to forgo the spectacular and settle for being the steady, consistent facilitator (an assist to turnover ratio like the first ten games) for all the talent around him. The offense needs to go through Bagley and Carter. Throwing the ball into the post is not the same as throwing it into a black hole. They are good and willing passers and will redirect if double teamed. Inside/Out produces more open shots than passing around the perimeter. And Grayson Allen needs to regain his aggressive offense 2.0 mojo. Improvement in just two of these areas would produce a lot more than just the three or four points by which they have lost games. I was surprised Coach K had not yet brought the public hammer down on this team. He usually makes a dramatic change when a team is under performing. Perhaps, tonight was an indication of more changes to come.

Other Comments:

In his presser, Coach K expressed some interesting insights into his assessment of this team: Sunday night games are tough because of the rhythm of our week. Sunday is a low energy day—a day of rest. There are no parties on Sunday night…Any team in the ACC is capable of making a run during a game. Sustaining it is difficult…Bolden is playing well but, because he was out five weeks, is no yet in game shape and is most effective in short stretches…He coaches offense, defense, and communication. The toughest to teach is communication, because young athletes generally don’t like to talk, they like to do– but talking is essential to playing good defense.

Next game: Virginia Tech @ Cameron. Wednesday 7:00pm. ESPN2

Alan Adds:

Coach K notwithstanding, playing on Sunday night does not explain Duke’s schizophrenic character in this game as well as other games this season.  “Tired” — “when they are tired they talk less” and the defense suffers, — also seems like one of the desperate defenses I have had to use in trial.  It is mid-February and Duke has played 25 games.  Giving credence to the need for players coming off of injuries to play and practice enough to get in game shape, like DeLaurier and Bolden, does not explain Duke’s schizophrenia.  Duke was a fabulous team in the first half and a stagnant out of sync team in the second half.  Duke was superb in the first half on both offense [43 points on 53% shooting from the floor; 4-9 from deep; 7 offensive rebounds; 11 assists against 6 turnovers (still a problem)] and defense [playing a ¾ court trap that fell back into a zone all the way, the Blue Devils hounded Georgia Tech, holding the Jackets to 26 points on 28% shooting, 2-10 from deep, getting 7 turnovers (3 of them steals), and allowing the Yellow Jackets only 4 offensive boards.]  The second half was as bad as the first half was superb.  Duke scored only 19 points from the field in the second 20 minutes on 32 % shooting – 3-7 from deep for 9 of the points and 5-18 from inside the arc for the other 10.  5-18!!!  (Grayson 1-7; 1-5 from 3land; Trent 1-5; the 1 was a crucial 3, his only second half attempt from behind the arc; Alex 0-1; Duval 3-7, including a 3 on a gorgeous feed from Grayson that was the shot of the game, but with 0 assists; Bolden 1-2; and Wendell 2-3).  Duke held on to win from the foul line in the second half, scoring 18 on 21 attempts (Grayson 10-10; Carter 5-6; Trent 2-2; DeLaurier 1-2; and Duval missed his only attempt).  Duke had only 5 assists (one by Goldwire at the end) against 5 turnovers.  Grayson had 2 of each in the closing stanza.  Tech blocked 4 Duke shots, mostly when the guards drove the lane.  Once again, Duke could not protect its defensive back board, giving up 12 offensive rebounds to the Jackets (Duke got 12 defensive boards, meaning Georgia Tech retrieved half of the caroms).   Tech had 9 assists and only 3 turnovers.  Duke’s second half – against a team that has been injured and beaten consistently – is in character with the inconsistency that has been consistently (sorry!) on display.  Okagie was the Engineers engine (sorrier!), scoring 15 second half points.  Duke did nothing special to defend him; in fact, it seemed as if Duke’s zone played off him rather than concentrating on defending him.

The Bigs

Carter was superb; perhaps his best all-around game (in his hometown); Bolden had an excellent first half scoring 6 in 14 minutes and grabbing 5 boards and making a nifty pass for an assist.  Coach K emphasized that Marques is not yet in “game shape” after missing 5 weeks with his injury.   In 11 second half minutes, he was 1-2 and grabbed 1 board while turning it over once.  Promising.  De Laurier played 18 energetic minutes (10 in the second half) scoring 3 (1-1; 1-3 from the foul line) to go with 6 rebounds, a block and 2 steals.  He committed “only” 3 fouls.  The only down side to Duke’s inside play was the failure to defend its own back board in the second half.

The Backcourt

Grayson played virtually the entire game (39 minutes), but went back into his shooting slump from the field in the second half (1-7; 1-5 from deep, missing his last 4 in a row), but was Duke’s most valuable player (10-10 from the line) and stabilized the Blue Devils to end the Tech run.  Trent played 30 minutes (limited in the second half  by foul trouble; he finished with 4) scoring 15 on 4-11; 2-2 from deep, meaning he was 2-9 inside the arc; and 5-6 from the foul line.  He had 6 rebounds, 3 assists and 3 steals against a single turnover.  The time he was forced to the bench by foul trouble was not a good time for Duke.  O’Connell started and had a very good first half.  He logged 22 game minutes (14 in the first half where he hit a 3 — 1-3; 1-2 from 3land — and grabbed 2 rebounds to go with an assist and a block).  In the second half, he was less effective, missing his only shot, but grabbing 2 more boards.  Duval played 25 minutes scoring 9 on 4-8; hitting his only 3, which I repeat was the shot of the game, staunching a Tech run that had cut the lead to 12; and 0-1 from the line.  He played 15 of those minutes in the second half, scoring 7 of his 9 in that stanza with 3 rebounds, but 0 assists.

The Second Half Slump

With 10:53 left in the game, Duke led by 25 (63-38).  Duke started missing and turning it over.  Seven minutes later, Tech trailed by only 12.  In that stretch, Trent missed 3, Grayson and Duval one each, Trent committed a foul, and both Carter and Bolden turned it over.  Duval missed the front end of a one and one, but Duke’s foul shooting (Grayson, Carter and Trent) plus Duval (a 3, a layup and a tip in) kept the slump from turning into a legendary disaster.

Going forward

The goal is one of the four double byes in the ACC tournament.  Duke, in 3rd place in the ACC (8-4) is in control of its destiny, but faces the hardest part of the schedule.  Louisville and UNC are a half game behind Duke (each 8-5); Virginia Tech, coming off a thrilling road win at Virginia, is 7-5 (as is Miami, whom Duke does not play again).  Clemson is in 2nd place at 9-3.  Duke has 6 ACC games remaining: Virginia Tech (2), UNC, Louisville, Clemson and Syracuse (6-6).  I believe the next 6 games will be season defining.

Duke 74- Virginia Tech 52 

Tonight was yet another example of why we are fascinated with Duke Basketball: Marvelous Marv is still on the IR list. Virginia Tech (18-7, 7-5) is coming off their biggest win of the year against #1 Virginia in Charlottesville. So, what’s Duke gonna do? Coach K, who just turned 71, decides to take a page from the good old days and go back to the future by playing small ball with aggressive guards Grayson Allen 2.0 and Gary Trent 1.0 leading the way as the team finally discovers (necessity is the mother of invention) playing defense—zone at that— is actually fun and that threes beats twos.

“Next man up” replaced “next play” as the mantra for the last two games. Tonight, a finally healthy Javin DeLaurier was that man and he distinguished himself with athletic dunks and hyperactive defense as Coach K apparently listened to Johnny Tar Heel and substituted liberally (for him). Of course, the steady Wendell Carter’s 13 points, 13 rebounds, 4 assists, & 2 blocks took care of  low post play.  

Here is the unexpectedly impressive piece of the puzzle: Against a team averaging 82.7 points per game, the Blue Devils held the Hokies to a season low 52 point  on 42.9% shooting and outrebounded them  36-19. That included 11 offensive boards which gave the Devils an 18-2 edge in second-chance points. Who saw that coming? Now, the questions is: Has necessity taught these 1.0 players that defense is a necessary component for them to reach their potential? And does Grayson Allen realize that he is the straw that stirs the drink for this team? Even though Tre Duval started (after starting against Georgia Tech, Alex O’Connell only played puzzling mop up minutes), Allen handled the ball more and it sure paid off as he had 6 assists to go with his 25 points. Duval, playing mostly off the ball, had 10 points & 3 assists but 4 turnovers.

Coach K’s  post-game press conference is usually interesting and instructive. Tonight, he complimented is team for “playing 40 minutes of good basketball…that Grayson Allen is our leader. We’ve had him off the ball a lot. He’s trying to lead from there, but the ball’s not in his hands. With the ball in his hands, he can make plays, he can call plays, he’s in more command. These last two games, that’s a big change for us. That’s what we need to do. We like the look with Allen running the point and Duval on the wing because it gives us chances for wing penetration, which has been largely lacking this season…Javin, who had 7 points, 4 rebounds & 1 steal, played with reckless abandon, attacking everything, tipping loose balls, keeping possessions alive.” Then, he said the words I never thought I would hear him utter: “We will play a lot more zone; that’ll be pretty much our primary defense– complemented by man. (Bobby Knight just threw a chair across the room).

Next game: Sunday @ Clemson. 1:00 ACC Network. 

Alan Adds: 

I disagree with Coach K: Duke’s first 8 and a half minutes in this game were cringe-making,  Duke turned the ball over 7 times in that short span.  And Virginia Tech shredded the Duke zone with 3s and layups.  Duke shot well from the perimeter, but did not take a lead until 7 minutes had elapsed.  Coach K was sufficiently alarmed (disgusted) with his zone defense, that with 11:14 left, he replaced his entire back line in the zone – Carter, Bolden and Trent – with White, Vrankovich and DeLaurier.  With 10:21 left in the first half, Duke led by only 1.   Then the Hokies started to miss open layups while Trent and Grayson began to bomb from the perimeter.  In my opinion, Virginia Tech’s 28 first half points were more about the Hokie misses than the Duke defense.  However, the Duke coaching staff made a key change to how the zone was operating and it worked like a charm.  In the first half, the Hokies threw the ball into the high post and operated freely from there.  In the second half, the off perimeter defender – Duval or Allen (Trent plays in the back line), dived into the middle to disrupt the high post.  They began to turn the Hokies over making the Hokie hub of the offense suddenly its weakness.  The Duke defense was beautiful to watch after the change.  DeLaurier gets much credit for that.  His defense then fueled his offense; he scored all 7 in his 13 second half minutes.  Offensively, Duke simply shot the hearts out of Virginia Tech.  You could see the hopelessness in their body language as Duke pulled away in the second half.

Duke’s Big 3 were Carter, Allen and Trent.  Only 5 Duke players scored last night.  Carter was simply awesome.  In 31 minutes he scored 13 [5-9; 1-2 from deep and 2-4 from the line], grabbed 13 rebounds, blocked 2 shots and handed out 4 assists (some great passes; one to DeLaurier that was a highlight).  He had 4 turnovers, but they came during Duke’s opening minutes.  He simply beat the Hokies up inside.  Allen and Trent were absolutely superb, and played virtually the entire game until mop-up time.  Trent (an under rated rebounder) scored 19 on only 11 shots [6-11; 5-9 from 3land; 2-2 from the line] to go with 5 key defensive rebounds from the back line of the zone.  Grayson was a sight for sore eyes.   He was the player last night that we anticipated and hoped he would be this year; a joy to watch.  Without Marvin in the lineup, Grayson (except for the second half against Georgia Tech) has been his sophomore year self.  Let’s see how that goes when Bagley returns because that could tell a tale about this team for the post-season.

Tre had a difficult stretch in those first minutes where 3 of his 4 turnovers occurred, but then he righted his ship.  He played 33 minutes and was terrific defensively on the perimeter of the zone.  He made a pair of 3s, but continues to shoot erratically [3-10; 2-6 from deep, and a gratifying 2-2 from the line (he’s only shooting 60% from the line)].  He had 3 assist, but 4 turnovers.  Bolden did not score in his 16 minutes; nor did White in his 9.  No one else did.

The Blue Devils moved into a tie for 2nd in the conference with Clemson (9-4); Sunday’s winner will have sole possession of 2nd.  UNC (9-5) and Louisville (8-5) each have 5 losses.  One of those teams will not get a double bye in the conference (that Virginia has wrapped up).  This is a season where anything can still happen.

Duke 66 – Clemson 57 

Without Marvelous Marv, there are no Miracles. There are just different backups taking turns stepping into the spotlight as we wait impatiently for the leader of the pack to return. Today, it was Grayson Allen scoring almost half Duke’s 35 first half points while Carter, DeLaurier, Trent and Duval shored up the defense until Carter and Trent took turns bringing down the curtain on a disappointed and deflated Tiger Nation (#10. Really?).

Playing in the always difficult venue of Littlejohn Coliseum, the Blue Devils led for most of the second half and even went up by ten with seven minutes to go but were obviously running on fumes when even contested point blank shots rimmed or rolled out, allowing Clemson an opening to tie the score with two minutes left. The Clemson students were celebrating as if the game was over and you wondered if this Marveless team could find a way to finish off a close road game. It was Carter and Trent who answered “Yes we can!” and made the winning plays. Wendell’s shots in the paint finally rolled in not out and Gary, who up to that point was not shooting well, came through with a three and free throws to make the margin deceiving. However, to be fair, the decisive play of the game may have been a boneheaded foul on a difficult, rushed three by Trent, who converted the three free throws.

It appears these three Marveless (sorry, I love puns) games, have forced Grayson to channel Allen 2.0 and the 1.0 freshmen to mature. In a mano a mano contest down low, Carter got more determined and tougher as the game went on finishing with 15 points, 10 rebounds & 3 blocks. Javin DeLaurier, who started, only had only 2 points but 10 rebounds, 1 block, and was praised by Coach K for his overall impact on the game. Trevon Duval finished with 12 points and four steals that led to easy points. Grayson Allen had 19 but only 2 in the second half. However, he was very active defensively and has been both the scoring ( 22.3 points, 5.3 assists and 2.3 steals) and emotional leader in these last three wins. The Blue Devils  outrebounded the Tigers as well as holding them to shooting only 42% (24% in the final 20 minutes).

The best news is that all the players appear to be enjoy mixing a 2-3 zone with a trapping 1-2-2. Allen and Duval have become a formidable duo at the top of the zone—with each recording four steals in the win—and are long and athletic enough pressure guards and prevent dribble penetration. The addition of the disruptive DeLaurier into the rotation has also been a plus because of his ability to stay in front of quicker players on the perimeter and also battle post players down low.  The zone is not only more effective, it is not as enervating as playing man. And then there is this — the Devils made  22 of 26 free throws. That’s 85%, folks—and they were all needed.

Other Comments:

  • Bolden, White, and O’Connell played limited but productive minutes.
  • This was an important game because the winner has sole possession of second place in the ACC standings. The loser fell half a game behind North Carolina for fourth place.
  • Krzyzewski said Bagley’s right knee sprain is improving. The coach said he’s unsure when Bagley, whom I believe was shooting jump shots in the warm-up in civilian clothes, will be back, but “it’ll be soon.”

Next game: Wednesday. Louisville. 9:00pm. ESPN

Alan Adds:

There was a moment when I believe this edition of The Blue Devils morphed in attitude. Future games will determine whether this is so.  Duke led by 10 (57-47) with 7:06 to go when Trent hit a 3, and it looked as if Duke had created sufficient separation to win going away.  Instead, however, adversity struck; Duke went over 4 minutes without a point, missing jump shots, interior shots, and offensive rebound attempts.  Clemson clawed back and with 2:54 left, had cut Duke’s lead to 2 (57-55).  The next possession was critical, but Duke turned it over on a lazy pass by Grayson to Carter, which Reed swiped.  Time out at 2:18.   Clemson, with Littlejohn rocking, tied the score on an easy – because of lax defense — layup.  What I saw next was the moment of metamorphosis.  With the arena in an absolute frenzy, Trent was perfectly calm as he threw the ball to Tre, who just as calmly brought the ball up court as if it were practice.  There was absolutely no panic; just a quiet confidence in the visible body language.  That was “my moment”.  With 2 seconds left on the shot clock, and 1:33 in the game, Trent had just a spec of room to shoot a corner 3, and was fouled by Spencer.  Bad foul?  Maybe, but also a foul forced by the ball movement and Trent’s past clutch 3s under pressure.  Then Trent did what winning players do; he made all 3 free throws;  Duke defended solidly at the rim and then grabbed the critical (and hard fought) rebound with 1:19 to go.  With the shot clock again running down, Grayson this time made the successful pass to Carter, who made a great post move for a layup and a two possession lead with 46 seconds left.  Although Carter missed the free throw that would have stretched the lead to 6, he made the defensive play needed (how many times have Bill and I written that about Carter this year?) with a block at the rim, which Grayson rebounded with 29 seconds left.  Then Duke continued to do what winning teams do; close out close games from the free throw line (remember Quinn and Tyus?).  Grayson made a pair, and Carter did likewise seconds later to complete the winning 9-0 run that followed “my moment”.

The Defense and the Bench

Duke played zone the entire game, frequently running a ¾ court 1-2-2 trap after made baskets.  Coach K lauded the team’s defense and rightly so.  This was the best Duke’s defense has looked against an elite team all season.  Clemson has been excellent from behind the arc, and Duke chose to attempt to stop DeVoe and Reed, Clemson potent deep shooting backcourt.  Devoe played all 40 minutes; made a crucial 3 after 7 misses from deep and 2 from inside the arc, while Duke forced 5 turnovers from him.  Reed was out of the game for only 1 minute and was curtailed from the perimeter (3-14; 1-6 from deep; only his 6-7 from the line got him to double figures – 13).  Coach K said his players talk more in the zone then when playing man to man, making the zone more effective.  He has also made some intriguing changes from the team’s earlier zone play.  Trent and Grayson have switched positions, with Trent moving to the outside on the back line while Grayson teams with Duval up front.  Duval is a very effective perimeter defender in the zone and earned Coach K’s playing time with his defense in the zone; he played all 20 minutes of the second half and 18 in the first half.  His defense is why Alex was limited to 2 minutes of playing time (all in the first half).  Grayson played the entire game, and is instrumental in the zone becoming effective.  Tre and Grayson teamed to stay on the shooter in center court and still defend the high post at the foul line.  Both Trent and DeLaurier (who is a superb zone defender) were both active in moving out to guard the long shot from around the foul line extended. This forced Clemson into its worst outside shooting night of the season.  Carter and DeLaurier were a bit bereft of outside help when Clemson penetrated, but defended heroically.  A word for DeLaurier – Coach K had many laudatory ones in his press conference.  Javen played 17 minutes of the second half while committing only a single foul! 30 minutes for the game with only 3 fouls. (Shades of Brian Zoubek’s senior year value).   Bolden played 7 valuable minutes in each half.  In his 14 minutes, he was perfect from the field (2-2) and from the line (1-1) to go with 3 rebounds and 2 blocked shots while committing only a single foul and no turnovers.  Jack White is also an active defender in the back line, and aggressive rebounder.  He played 7 minutes (only 2 in the second half) with a basket and a rebound.

Heading to the ACC Tournament

How will the return of Marvin III impact the Duke defensive improvement?  Will the new found confidence without Bagley translate into more efficient performances with him in the lineup from his teammates?  Coach K, the sports writers and I all think so.  UNC is playing its best ball of the season.  Clemson will be a tough out once its point guard returns from concussion protocol (2 consecutive losses without him), and may be better than its record when that happens.  And though Notre Dame is only 6-8, the Irish will be a tough out also, if Bonzi Colson is ready to play, as some say he will be.

What a season so far!  With 4 games left, nothing (except UVA winning the regular season) is certain.  Duke (10-4) plays Louisville (8-6) and Syracuse (7-7) at home before visiting Virginia Tech (8-6; looking for payback at home for the humiliation in Cameron).  Then Senior Night for Grayson against UNC.  Carolina (10-5) plays at Syracuse (7-7) and home to Miami (7-7) before the season finale at Cameron.  Clemson (9-5), which lost 2 games in a row without their point guard, is likely to have him back for its stretch run, which includes Wednesday at Virginia Tech and a revenge rematch at home with Florida State (8-7).   The teams are too closely packed and too many games remain to make any predictions.

Duke 82– Louisville 56 

So sports fans, Marvelous Marvin Bagley, the freshman POY candidate, is out indefinitely with a knee injury. What to do?  No problem. Coach K takes something old, something new, and makes the opponents blue. That would be Grayson Allen, the only senior,  a zone (Bobby Knight just threw a chair across the room), some talented, motivated bench players, and playing a full forty minutes of basketball. LOL. Suddenly, Duke has four straight wins.

It all starts with defense. Let’s call it an Amoeba Zone (trademark pending), because it assumes all kind of shapes and forms as it contests threes, tips passes,  protects the rim, surrounds loose balls, and rebounds like Spiderman. The formerly defenseless Blue Devils held their third straight ACC opponent to fewer than 60 points for the first time since 2010—and they started nailing their free throws. Playing time has increased for Javin DeLaurier, Marquise Bolden and Jack White. Marquise Bolden has become a bad man down low, scoring eight points to go with five rebounds. He, DeLaurier and Jack White gave Duke 18 rebounds in 50 combined minutes. Allen and Duval on top of the zone are long and athletic disrupters of offensive efficiency. Duval, whose offensive role has been diminished, has responded by doubling down and thriving defensively. Tonight he has only 6 points but 6 rebounds, 5 steals, and 4 assists.

Without Marvin taking up so much space and oxygen, Wendell Carter has shown what a polished, sophisticated talent he is.  He can score, rebound, block shots, and pass. With Marv out, Wendell has more space to operate, but also gets double teamed more get so when he’s crowded like that he can still make a play by passing out of double teams, hitting cutters.  In these four games Bagley has missed, Carter has 55 points, 42 rebounds, 12 assists, and 12 blocks. Then there is the straw that has been stirring the drink: Grayson Allen 4.0 unleashed. No longer struggling to be sure his young, talented teammates are happy and productive, Grayson (28 points)  is doing what Grayson does best—play joyful, aggressive  “balls to the wall” basketball. [Editor’s note: Term used by pilots when accelerating quickly, the throttle is pushed all the way to the panel and the throttle lever (ball) actually touches the panel wall.]

The impressive stats: Rebounds: 44 to 30. Free throws: 15-16. Steals: 10. Blocks: 5. The unimpressive stat: 15 Turnovers.

The question is whether Duke has reached this level of defensive efficiency merely because the players have grown up or the zone has worked– or whether Bagley’s absence has something to do with it. Once Bagley is  back on the floor, it will be equally compelling to see how the roles and chemistry between Allen, Carter, and others evolve, or devolve.

Do we have Marvin and the Miracles or The Supremes?

Alan Adds:

After last Sunday’s Clemson game, I wrote: “There was a moment when I believe this edition of The Blue Devils morphed in attitude. Future games will determine whether this is so. … Clemson, with Littlejohn rocking, tied the score on an easy – because of lax defense — layup.  What I saw next was the moment of metamorphosis.  With the arena in an absolute frenzy, Trent was perfectly calm as he threw the ball to Tre, who just as calmly brought the ball up court as if it were practice.  There was absolutely no panic; just a quiet confidence in the visible body language.  That was “my moment”.   “ Duke continued to do what winning teams do; close out close games from the free throw line (remember Quinn and Tyus?)”.  Against Louisville, as Bill pointed out, Duke was 15-16 from the line (Carter, 5-5; and Trent (4-4) led the way.

The first “future game” was last night’s season-best performance against Louisville.  The Cardinals only lead was 2-0.  Duke shot 52% in the first half (11-17 inside the arc; 6-16 from beyond it).  Each of Duke’s 3 double figure scorers was efficient.  In 30 minutes, Carter scored 18 on 10 shots (6-10; 1-1 from deep – he’s 50% from behind the arc for the season; and 5-5 from the line) to go with 9 rebounds (8 on defense); 3 blocks and a team leading 6 assists.  Wow!  Grayson was beyond amazing, playing the entire game until it had been salted away (a team high 37 minutes).  His energy at both ends of the court is worth watching closely.  He was 4-5 from inside the arc; 6-15 from deep; 2-2 from the line for his 28 points.  Trent scored 11 on only 8 shots (3-8; 1-4; and 4-4).  There was no fall off when the reserve bigs entered the game.  Bolden was a force in his 16 minutes – you can feel him getting into shape.  He had 8 points (4-5 from the field) 5 boards and a block.  His development has been long awaited, and could be a vital cog in a post-season run.  Javin played 19 energetic minutes before fouling out (his fouling is still a problem), with 8 rebounds and 5 points (2-3; and 1-1 from the foul line) to go with an assist, a steal and a block.  Three turnovers and 5 fouls show there is more improvement to come from him.  He is a great defensive catalyst when he is in the game.  Jack White provided valuable minutes – he is an aggressive rebounder at 6’7”, grabbing 5 in his 15 minutes.  He was 2-4 from the field for 4 points.

But, as Bill rightly emphasizes, the defensive improvement in the past games has been beyond dramatic.  Duke’s zone is different from other zones (though it has a lot of what makes the Syracuse zone so successful) and has been augmented by its ¾ court trap after some made baskets.  Coach K moved Grayson from the back line to the perimeter, where he and Duval have been simply outstanding.  Duke went to take away Louisville’s 3 point attack, which was accomplished.  The wings in the back line of the defense come all the way up to the foul line extended, making almost 4 perimeter defenders.  White, Javin, and Trent have been extremely effective in closing out on perimeter shooters from there, and have still been able protect the defensive backboard –especially DeLaurier and White.  That defense exposes the corners and the interior, but the lethal Cardinal shooters were outside.  Carter, Bolden and Javin were heroic on the interior.  Louisville missed a bunch at the rim, but each was ferociously contested (and, there were those 5 blocks!).  In my opinion, what is infusing the zone with panache is Trevon and Grayson up top.  They have been so active (in the press as well) in not only covering the shooters, but in stopping the middle (high post) that is the weak spot in a 2-3 zone.  Years ago, Shane Battier described a Coach K defensive adjustment as “Shane, run around”.  This zone is for Grayson and Tre to “run around”.  They are ballet-like in moving to guard the seemingly open man, no matter where he is.  The energy expended on the defensive end by those two is game-changing.  Trevon had 5 steals and 6 rebounds – he and Grayson have been great had snatching the long rebounds that had previously been turning into offensive rebounds.  Louisville was held to 36% shooting.  Let’s notice one more critical advantage to the way Duke is playing this zone.  Duke had been fouling at a prodigious rate, which impacted its defense in different adverse ways.  Duke committed only 11 fouls (5 by DeLaurier) in the entire game against the Cardinals, who never were in the bonus in either half.  Carter was the only other Duke player with more than 1 (he committed 2 in 30 minutes).  This is a huge, if subtle, beneficial adjustment made in the zone.

One game is insufficient to really know if “my moment” is the catalyst to a post-season reminiscent of the 2015 team, but the early returns are promising.  In 2015, the defense came together in the post-season, which produced the National Championship.  This defense is coming together.  Coach K was chuckling at the suggestion that Marvin’s return would scuttle the resurgence.  “If Brand came back, I’d play him”.  “We’ll figure it out.”  What a bright turnaround for the defense in the last 4 games.  Lots of questions to still be answered, but optimism is breaking through.

DUKE 60 – SYRACUSE 44 

At times, tonight’s game set basketball back fifty years– at the 27-16 halftime break both teams were for 0-20 for threes and the final score of 60-44 looked more like a recent NFL score. Duke alone has scored or nearly scored 100 points or more nine times  this year. To add insult to injury, Dick Vitale was on the mic sounding like an annoyed senior citizen who had missed the Early Bird Special, constantly hyper-talking over the action and even complaining about the length of the game because he hadn’t yet eaten dinner. Hey Dickie V, it was only eight o’clock.

The good news is that Marvelous Marv was back in action and Grayson adjusted his game. Instead of draining rainbow threes, he threw Tom Brady like rainbow fades to Gronk er Bags. Unfortunately, they only counted two not six points. 13 steals & 17 turnovers: I don’t know if these teams are that bad or if  this Amoeba Zone (trademark pending) is that good but Duke has suddenly won five straight games and held the last four opponents to less than 60 points. In the shot clock era, that’s an impressive statistic. In addition, the bench rotation of Bolden, DeLaurier, and White are more just than providing a breather for the starters. Marquis Bolden.( 7points, 6 rebounds, 1 steal in only 12 minutes) is a much different player than last year. Playing with a broken nose and refusing to wear a protective mask, he is a real man on the boards. Marques has developed a lethal jump hook and hits his free throws. Super athlete DeLaurier is one of the reasons that this defense is so effective. And four big men are finally defending the rim like big men should. The team was 14-16 from the line and finished off an opponent like a top team. However, before anyone dusts off shelf space in the trophy case, let’s wait until we see the results of the next two tough games.

Other Comments:

Duke has as talented a starting four as any team in the country. Unfortunately, the former starting point guard, Tre Duval, has become an offensive liability but, fortunately, a defensive asset. The same could be said for DeLaurier or White, except they know their offensive limitations.

Coach K addressed the allegations of agent corruption and noted there is a huge difference between the Arizona head coach allegedly overheard on an FBI wiretap discussing a $100,000 payment to star ‘Zona freshman POY candidate Deandre Ayton and Wendell Carter’s mother’s name appearing on a sports agent’s spreadsheet as a dinner expense. Duke vetted the situation: Carter’s mother called Coach K to alert him to the 2016 agent meeting. She said her husband didn’t like the guy and left right away. Being a southern lady, she waited a little longer before leaving, neither of them having eaten a bite. Duke called in the compliance folks, did due diligence, talked to the Carters, and the NCAA before Athletic Director Kevin White issued his statement  yesterday. Wendell didn’t seem overly concerned as he had 16 points, 10 rebounds, four assists, two blocks, and four steals.

Next Game: Virginia Tech @ Blacksburg. Monday @ 7:00. ESPN

Alan Adds:

Monday night – a quick turnaround, but precisely the schedule to be faced in the NCAA tournament – Duke plays what, in my opinion, is a classic trap game (think St. Johns) against Virginia Tech in Blacksburg.   Why is it a classic trap game?  For Duke, the biggest game of the regular season is next Saturday (Senior Night for Grayson) against UNC.  The winner gets 2nd place in the regular season and possibly a #1 seed (depending on what happens in the ACC tournament) for The Big Dance.  And it is, after all, Carolina (who beat Duke at the Dean Dome earlier in the month).  It will be hard for these freshmen to stay focused on Monday’s game with UNC looming.  Moreover, it is only 12 days since the Blue Devils humiliated the Hokies in Cameron by 22 points — without Bagley III.  Let us remember that in the game prior to that humiliation, Virginia Tech went into John Paul Jones arena in Charlottesville and handed the Cavaliers their only ACC loss this season in overtime.  After it, the Hokies beat Georgia Tech and Clemson before losing badly last night to Louisville.  The Hokies are 20-9 overall and 9-7 in the ACC.  They are playing for their tournament lives, and it is their Senior night.  Hokie Coach Ahmad Hill: “We owe [our fans] a ‘W’, And we also owe our seniors to send them out in the last home game with a great win. And we owe Duke, because the last time we played them it wasn’t a good game. We look forward to Monday.”  A classic trap game!  Duke better come with intensity.

The good news is that Duke has come with intensity in every game since the debacle against St. John’s in Madison Square Garden on February 3 (even though Carolina beat Duke in the Dean Dome five days later).  UNC was the beginning of Duke’s late season resurgence, which has been sparked largely by the metamorphous of the defense (inspired by Hall of Fame coaching) from a team giving up 90+ per game to a team holding ACC teams under 60.  Duke’s zone is something to watch, and apparently Bagley did during his healing time on the bench.  He played the back line of the zone very well.  So do DeLaurier and Jack White (who has been a rebounding revelation – 4 in 7 minutes last night plus a block).  Bolden has been not less than brilliant on defense when spelling Carter in the middle.  Carter has grown by leaps and bounds during Bagley’s absence.  On defense he has been Duke’s best rim protector since The Landlord (Sheldon Williams) and he has (miraculously) stopped fouling.  In fact, one of the revelations of the zone has been the diminution of the multitude of fouls Duke was committing in the man to man.  Duke had only 3 fouls in the first half and 10 for the game – Syracuse had only one free throw in the bonus situation all night.

Duke approaches the last two regular season games, the ACC tournament, and The Big Dance as a really good defensive team that has a dynamite bench.  (Shades of 2015?).  The zone with the ¾ court trap created 13 steals (8 in the first half).  Coach K moved his defense to emphasize stopping the outside shooting of the Syracuse backcourt (who play the entire game).  The perimeter did just that while the interior defenders were impressive even when Syracuse got close to the basket with their bigs.  The 7 foot Chukwu had 3 big dunks in the first half, but Duke adjusted.  He did not score in the second half, and fouled out in just 24 minutes trying to guard Carter.  Duke can go nine deep, and has received superlative bench play from DeLaurier (17 minutes), Bolden (12), White (7), and some from Alex (6).  The most interesting development is the substitution of DeLaurier for Duval, which Duke did several times.  The zone was even more effective with Bagley and DeLaurier on the wings in back with Trent and Grayson out front.  DeLaurier is such a wild card with his energy and athleticism.  You can see him getting better and being more confident in every game.

So, what happened to the perimeter offense, hot during Bagley’s absence, when he returned last night.  Trent in 31 minutes led the backcourt with 7 points (2-11; 1-6 from deep; 2-2 from the line – the only foul shots attempted by the backcourt); Duval in 25 minutes scored only 3 (1-8; 1-5 from deep without drawing a foul) and Grayson in 38 minutes scored only 6 (3-9; 0-6 without getting to the line) all slumped badly from recent performances.  Grayson said the Syracuse zone keyed to stop the perimeter (the 2 zones operated in almost precisely the same way).  But unlike Duke’s zone, Syracuse had no answers inside. Grayson had 6 assists, Duval 3 and Trent 1 setting up the interior offense. In 31 minutes, Bagley (welcome back!) had a monster game inside with 19 points (8-9; no attempts from deep; and 3-4 from the line) to go with 7 boards.  The only rust he showed was in his 3 turnovers.  Carter was even better.  In 32 minutes he scored 16 – 10 in the second half (5-11; no 3s; but 6-6 from the line) to go with his team high 10 boards, 4 wonderful assists, 4 steals and 2 blocks.  That stat line draws a Wow!  Bolden played 12 minutes (6 in each half) and continued being a revelation.  He scored 7 on 2-2 from the field and 3-4 from the line to go with 6 rebounds (shades of Brian Zoubek) and a steal.  Those 3 scored 42 of Duke’s 60 and drew the fouls that depleted and undermined Syracuse’s interior defense.

Duke heads into the homestretch of the season clicking on all cylinders.  But the trap comes up on Monday.

Duke 63 – Virginia Tech 64 

Welcome to the Yin & Yang Duke Blue Devils. Finally, they start to play good defense then suddenly, they can’t play good offense. Who would have thought that with Bagley back, they would struggle to score 63 points? (Alan: He called it: A trap game) Rule number one: Do not let any team hang around-–especially on their home court. Rule number two: when you get a team down, close them out! Ahead virtually the entire game (except for the important final four seconds), Duke had multiple opportunities to put this game away. At closing time, the Devils inexplicably just could not execute their offense and score points. They led by 9 points with five minutes left, but Virginia Tech, to their credit, ended the game on a 13-3 run. Rule number three: With time running out, a slim lead, and two 87 % free throw shooters, do not in-bounds the ball to a 60% free throw shooter. It’s late in the season to be making these mistakes. It leaves one wondering whether this is a just a talented group of one-and-doers or a very good but young and inconsistent college team– a pretty pretender or a tough contender?

The stats tell only part of the story. While Allen had 22 points, 11 were in the first six minutes and chalk up 5 of his 6 turnovers as assists to the Hokies. Bagley and Carter, usually high percentage shooters as well as unselfish, willing passers basically got in each other’s way and could only score on dunks. Late in the game, both Allen (after 26 straight) and Trent missed free throws, Allen turned the ball over twice, was called for an silly offense foul– and the ref missed a foul committed on Carter on a critical struggle for an offensive rebound. Any game when Allen and Tent only hit 5 of 22 threes, only two players score in double figures, the team commits 18 turnover and gives up 5 steals, one would think Duke was blown out. The good news is that with all this ineptness, defense kept the game winnable until it didn’t.

Who is the fifth starter? If Luke Kennard had stayed another year we wouldn’t be having this conversation. But he is in the NBA and no matter who is the fifth man, Duke is much easier to defend because a defender can slough off Duval or DeLaurier or White and double the post or the wings. Tre Duval’s inconsistency—he can thrill you one minute and make you want to tear your hair out the next — makes him the weak offensive link. However, in the zone and zone press, he has become invaluable and it is apparent Coach K has placed all his chips on Tre. O’Connell is fearless and has multiple skills but if Coach K is was going to commit to him, he would have by now.

Then there is Bagley. It’s only two games back from missing four games but he has been the been the player formerly known as Marvelous Marv. ESPN announcer Dan Dakich, a former Division I player and coach had some controversial but not altogether inaccurate comments (edited for redundancy): “I know this is blasphemy, but I can see in 18 minutes why Duke was able to go on a run when he was hurt…You hate to say that about a kid (but not really), he is about himself.,, He gets the ball, it doesn’t come out. He doesn’t play defense. He’s a terrific talent, don’t get me wrong. Defensively, you can see Virginia Tech has really made an effort to go at him. Now he’s going to rebound, he’s going to do some decent things, no question.”

Dan played for Coach Knight at Indiana and later coached there, so he should know better than to judge a player after just 18 minutes of one game but to go on and on with personal judgements like this about an 18 year old kid on national television is just a sign of the times. However, fair or not, Duke played differently and effectively without him. However, over the entire season a fair assessment is that for as talented and publicized as he is, Bagley has been an unselfish team player. Could and should he be a better defensive player. Yes! Is he coachable and will he be. Yes and yes!

This was just one painful but teachable moment. Next play!

Next game: Saturday. North Carolina @ Cameron. 8:15 ESPN

Alan Adds:

At half time, with Duke leading by 7, I texted the following to Bill: “11 team fouls and 7 turnovers in the first half.  Different from last 5 games.  I have a queasy– trap game – feeling!”  I wish I did not feel so Cassandra-like.  A trap game it was.

Duke did not have its customary energy.  Coach K: “We didn’t play with energy; it is what I was most worried about.  We just didn’t have it.  You could tell because we were irritable on calls.  It was as if we were asking for calls.  We didn’t play like we have been playing.  We didn’t act as we normally act.”  Coach K attributed it to his team being tired – Clemson last Sunday; Louisville on Wednesday; Syracuse on Saturday; before last night’s encounter.  But with the exception of Louisville on Wednesday, it is the schedule Duke will – could – face in the second week of the NCAAs.  I believe “classic trap game” is a more accurate analysis.

Turnovers and bad shooting was what the lack of energy caused.  The defense was good, but Duke committed many more fouls than in the last 5 games. The Hokies made as many foul shots (15-19) as Duke shot (11-15).  Duke’s defensive plan was to make Virginia Tech a half court team, “and we did that except for when we turned it over,” explained K.  Grayson and Trent, who were 12-24 against Syracuse shot 7-25; 5-22 from 3  (Trent 1-7; all from 3; Grayson 6-18; 4-15 from deep) last night.  Grayson (6-7 from the line) scored 22 in all 40 minutes (11 in each half).  Bagley (36 minutes) was Duke’s only other double figure scorer with 12 (5-9; 2-2 from the line) and grabbed 7 rebounds.  He is clearly not all the way back.  For the first time ever, he was subjected to negative comments from the TV booth.  Btw, I do not believe that criticism is valid, except for the part on defense.  Duval, who did not start (DeLaurier did) scored 7 in 24 minutes (3-5; 1-2 from deep; and – hide your eyes – 0-1 from the line.  He committed 4 fouls and had 3 turnovers (2 assists).  Carter was held to 5 in 24 minutes  (2-5; 1 air ball from deep; 1-2 from the line). He had a team high 8 rebounds, but a very sub-Carter game.  Trent was also held to 5 points in 37 minutes (2-3 from the line to go with 1-7 from deep); a very sub-Trent game.  DeLaurier played only 14 minutes (2-3 for 4 points; no foul trouble); Bolden also scored 4 in his 14 minutes (1-3; 2-2 from the line) to go with 4 rebounds and 4 assists, plus a block. White and O’Connell each hit a 3 in cameo appearances.

Most troubling was Duke’s performance at “winning time”, the last 5 minutes of a game.  With 5:21 left in the game, Duke led by 9 (60-51), and had a chance to stretch the lead to double figures when Wendell turned it over, and then committed a foul on the defensive end.  Duke scored only 3 more points (Grayson 3-4 from the line).  Turnover by Alex, missed shot by Bolden, missed layup by Bagley, foul by Allen.  Grayson made a pair of free throws for Duke’s final score (63-58) and stole the ball with 1:46 left.  Then the wheels came completely off.  Grayson turned it over twice and committed a foul. Trent turned it over.  With 25 seconds left, Duke led by 1 when Trevon was fouled and missed the front end of the 1 and 1 before the Hokies scored with 4 seconds left to win the game.  Coach K said, “I’m not blaming Trevon.”  He then proceeded to say, “You have to hit them.  That’s winning plays.”  Sounded a bit like blaming Tre.  It was a pretty awful performance at winning time.

The loss makes Saturday’s game against arch rival, UNC, who has demonstrated they know how to close out a close game, critical.  A win and Duke secures second place in the conference, and the coveted double bye.  A loss and there is a chance that Duke finishes 5th and out of the double bye.  Cassandra is predicting a resurgence in Cameron.

DUKE 74 – NORTH CAROLINA 64 

Duke vs. Carolina may not be, as Jay Bilas exclaimed, the greatest rivalry since Athens vs. Sparta. However, it has lasted longer, has had more exciting, heart stopping, heart breaking moments and while no combatant has died, some observers have been known to need a defibrillator—and tonight was no different. Duke played the first half  like they did in the last eight minutes against Virginia Tech. They couldn’t hit a three and even reverted to their early season inept free throw shooting, converting only 4 of 14. The half mercifully ended with Duke fortunate to only be behind 35-25. Then, down 12 points with only about ten minutes left and staring at an embarrassing, season defining defeat, the Blue Devils suddenly morphed into  the kind of offensive powerhouse they were thought to be at the beginning of the season, scoring practically at will and engineering a twenty point turnaround—down ten at the half, up ten at the final horn. How to explain the difference in the two halves? It’s simple: Get stops, hit shots. Carolina did that in the first half, Duke did it in the second half. Obviously, the second half is the more important one—as Duke learned last month in Chapel Hill.

At halftime, coaches attempt to make strategic adjustments and make constructive reminders/criticism. As Coach K explained later, it was as simple as this: “Take the pianos off your back. Take the pressure off. Play with a smile on your face. I’m not going to call any plays. Everybody touch the ball. If you see a play, make a play. Get comfortable and don’t forget, tonight is not only Grayson’s last game at Duke in Cameron.” However, there was also what turned out to be the critical strategic move that makes players love him. Coach K rolled the dice and put the ball into the hands of struggling, recent non-starter Tre Duval, who missed a crucial free throw in the last minute at Blacksburg and had not played or shot well in the first half of this game. Holy Bobby Hurley, Batman, Tre Duval turned into the point guard of the first eleven undefeated games of the season.

Finally, Marvin and the Miracles were re-united, playing and singing Together Again! Suddenly, Tre played like the strong, penetrating point guard he was reputed to be with Bagley being the primary beneficiary of passes for easy dunks, which energized the big fella into a relentless POY beast tape (21 points & 15 rebounds) and creating space for Allen (15 points, 5 assists, 5 rebounds, 5 steals) and Trent (3 threes) to have open looks. Of all people, Duval and Bagley hit threes to fuel the rally. Bingo, a huge momentum shift: Cameron was rocking, the Blue Devils were rolling, and Carolina was shooting like they had tar on their hands as well as their heels.

Despite the recent offensive inconsistencies, the good defense (after a porous start, Duke is now ranked 10th in the nation in defensive efficiency) has kept this team in games. Holding Carolina, a team averaging 84 points a game to 20 points under their average is impressive. Consider this: Duke missed 11 free throws (some the front end of one-and-ones), 16 threes, only scored 25 first half points, and still beat  #9 North Carolina by 10 points.

However, without the Tre Duval (7 points, 6 assists, 1 steal, 0 turnovers) of the last quarter of tonight’s game, it is hard to see Duke as a Final Four team. They are a team that can lose to any ACC or NCAA Tournament team. But, this year that seems the story of all the teams. It’s anyone’s title to win.

Other Comments:

  • In his post-game press conference, Carolina Coach Roy Williams was obviously disappointed but gracious—especially in his comments about Grayson Allen’s career. His team does not have a lottery pick or, perhaps, even an NBA first round pick. They are certainly disadvantaged by not having a big man who can match up against Bagley or Carter. Nevertheless, his team outplayed the Blue Devils for about thirty of the forty minute game. Give Ol Roy credit. He can coach em up. His system works no matter whom he plugs into it.
  • And speaking of coaches, the ACC is loaded with outstanding coaches, who will undoubtedly be a demand from other schools or the NBA.
  • Duke senior Grayson Allen and freshman Marvin Bagley III were named to the All-Atlantic Coast Conference Academic Men’s Basketball team, as announced today by the conference office.  Allen has earned a spot on the team in each of his four years as a Blue Devil. To be eligible for consideration to the All-ACC Academic team, a student-athlete must have earned a 3.00 grade point average for the previous semester and maintained a 3.00 cumulative average during his academic career. Duke has had multiple honorees in 11 consecutive seasons and 30 times since the inception of the All-ACC Academic team in 1962-63.

Note: Since Alan will be in Switzerland on business next week, we will not cover every game, rather just a summary after the ACC Tournament.

Alan adds:

Carrying Coach K’s pianos on their backs, produced opening half statistics that were genuinely desultory.  Duke shot 1-10 from behind the arc (Alex at 1-2 had the only “make”; Grayson was 0-3; Trent 0-3, while Bagley and De Laurier (true) each missed their only 3 point attempt.  You could feel Duke fans’ hair being pulled out as Duke missed consistently from the line (4-14).  Duval was 0-3 from the line (1-2 from the field) for 2 points in his 7 short disappointing first half minutes – 0 assists.  Grayson led Duke’s first half scorers with 7 (3-9; 1-3 from the line) while playing the entire first half (he played the entire game until Coach K took him out with 22 seconds to play so Cameron could give Grayson Allen his due after four terrific years).  Carter had just 2 points (1-5 from the field), and Bagley just 3 (1-3, including that 3 point attempt; and a horrendous 1-4 from the line).  Carter, Bagley and Allen each had committed 2 fouls.  It was not a half to inspire Blue Devil fans.

Then came redemption, resurrection, and a season defining win over UNC in what we all think is the best rivalry in sport.  The stats for the rivalry are simply head scratching.  The teams have split the last 90 games – in almost half, both teams were ranked in the top 10.  It was, in large measure the dynamic freshman combination of Marvin and Tre Duval that orchestrated this dramatic win.  The two reminded me of Kyrie in his first 8 games as a freshman, setting up Mason Plumlee with his drives and dishes. Duval lit it up in his 14 second half minutes on both ends of the court.  Defensively, he had a block and a steal.  He set up Grayson’s 3 crucial second half steals with his relentless pressure in the trap.  His forays to the basket not only led to 6 assists and 5 second half points on 2 shots (1 a huge wide open 3 that Carolina dared him to shoot; that 3 ignited Duke’s comeback).  Not a single turnover.  Bagley then showed his fight and determination pouring in 18 second half points (8-9, including 1-1 from deep and 1-1 from the line) to go with 11 second half rebounds and 2 blocks in his 33 minutes.  As Coach K said, “he put us on his back!”  Trent hit three huge 3s to score 13 in his 36 minutes.  Duke scored 49 second half points on 60% shooting (18-30, including 8-15 from deep); and 5-6 from the line.  Both Carter and Bagley each made their only three point attempt of the second half.  Tre was 1-1 also.  Grayson (2-4) and Trent (3-7) made UNC pay for leaving Duke’s previously hapless shooters open.

However, it is Duke’s defense that is now carrying this team, which is jaw dropping, considering Duke’s learning curve and the resort to the zone defense.  UNC played well against the zone in the first half, but in the final stanza, started missing the open corner 3s that the ‘Heels were making in the first half.  Duke disrupted UNC with its ¾ court press in the second half.  UNC not only turned it over against the press, but got into their half-court offense later than usual, which cost Carolina in offensive efficiency.  Duke held UNC to under 40% shooting in each half and under 25% from deep.  In the second half, the Blue Devils forced turnovers and blocked shots at a devastating rate – 12 steals for the game and 8 blocks.  Duke committed only 5 second half fouls (3 by Carter) allowing UNC only one second half free throw attempt, a miss by Pinson.  That, in my opinion, is a crucial stat.  Duke gave up only 29 second half points.  Berry was held to 6 for the game (0-7 from deep).

The bench contributed valuable minutes.  DeLaurier 12 minutes (9 in the first half); Bolden 17 and Alex 14 allowed Duke to remain fresh.  Grayson said “nobody was tired.”

I criticized Duke’s performance against Virginia Tech on Monday at “winning time”.  Duke fought back from a 13 point deficit to tie the score at 60 with 6:32 to go.  UNC scored only 4 points the rest of the way, and 0 in the last 3:18.  Duval hit a jumper; then he stole the ball and hit Trent with a pass that led to a 3 (65-60) with 5:10 to go.  Duval had a wonderful assist for a Bagley dunk after a Berry 3 (67-62 with 4:20 left).  After Maye missed a jumper under heavy defensive pressure, Duval found Carter, who buried a 3 (70-62 with 3:35 left).  Pinson scored Carolina’s last points on a jumper with 3:18 to go. (70-64).  Johnson and Maye each missed before Grayson grabbed Maye’s miss and passed to Duval, who drove and dished to Bagley for a resounding dunk (72-64 with 1:26 left).  Grayson then stole the ball twice and made his final two free throws with 37 seconds left for the final margin.

The ACC tournament begins this week.  Duke has finished second (13-5) and has a double bye into the quarterfinals on Thursday (March 8) at 7 against either Pitt, Notre Dame or Virginia Tech (I predict Notre Dame).  If Duke wins, the Devils play the late game on Friday (9 pm) against either Miami or North Carolina (I predict the ‘Heels).  The Championship game is Saturday night at 8:30.

The DBP will publish just one edition for the tournament, which will be a tournament wrap and NCAA pre-tournament wrap.Congratulations to the University of Virginia on a rare accomplishment: Winning both the ACC Regular Season Title and the ACC Championship!

ACC Championship Summary

Congratulations to the University of Virginia on a rare accomplishment: Winning both the ACC Regular Season Title and the ACC Championship!

Watching Virginia play North Carolina for the ACC Championship was a bitter sweet experience. On one hand, I loved the fact that it was old school basketball vs. old school basketball. Neither team had a one-and-done player but rather a mix of talented but not lottery (or, perhaps, even first round) picks who have stayed in school and worked diligently on their game and their coach’s team first approach. On the other hand, my loyalty to Duke made me envious that Duke was not one of the teams, because I felt they have the most talent.

The final chapter of this season is yet to be written but no matter the outcome, Coach Tony Bennett, whom against all odds—his individualistic personality and adherence to boring fundamentals his father/coach taught– has established himself as one of the very  best coaches in college basketball. Certainly, for the better part of ten years, he has done more with less than any other college coach. And I am envious that UVA and Carolina fans have had the joy of watching players like Berry, Maye, and Pinson grow and develop as players and people– just as I did with Laettner, Hurly, Hill, Battier, and  JJ etc. I love the talent Coach K has recruited these past several years but not the fact that we have not and will not have the opportunity to watch them mature.  This is not a criticism of Coach K. Any coach wants the best talent available. I blame it on the  NBA collective bargaining agreement.

DUKE 69 – NORTH CAROLINA 74

What a difference a day makes. Tonight’s game was the mirror image of last night’s games: Carolina started like Duke and Duke started like Carolina as they fell behind 18-7 in the first ten minutes. Except for a few runs, Carolina veterans, playing their third game in three nights, thoroughly outplayed Duke’s young team in every phase of the game. You cannot make 18 turnovers, give up 18 offensive rebounds, shoot 6-23 from three point land, and expect to beat North Carolina. Nevertheless, in the last five minutes the Blue Devils made an 18-0 run to get within three with a minute to go but it was too little, too late against too good a team to pull off a miracle finish.

You have to hand it to Coach Roy Williams. He had his team pumped and primed with a terrific game plan and they executed it with the  patience, precision, tenacity, and hustle which we have come to expect from Tar Heels teams over the last fifty or so years. While earlier in the season this team actually lost to Wofford, they nearly won a National Championship in 2016 and did win one  in 2017. The core players, Berry, Pinson, Maye, and Williams have seen, experienced, and done it all. They are seasoned veterans who have grown up and matured in the program for three or four years and that experience showed tonight. They are smart and talented and are well schooled in the subtle aspects of the game. ‘Ol Roy is often criticized for not being a good game coach but he sure knows how to get his players to play the Dean Smith North Carolina Way!

While Duke may be loaded with NBA lottery picks and Carolina has, perhaps, one or two first rounder picks, in these three games the Tar Heels have been the better team as they have outplayed Duke for about 75 of the 120 minutes. Pinson, Berry, and Maye are playmakers—they can pass, shoot, create, and defend. Duke, on the other hand, is just learning to defend and holding this explosive Carolina team to only 74 points would normally be good enough to win the game. While Carolina’s tight, savvy, man-to-man defense was terrific, Tre Duval’s severely sprained his ankle early in the game did not help the Blue Devils execution on either end of the floor. After going to the locker room, he returned but did not appear to have his usual explosiveness or lift and made five turnovers and scored no points. But those are the breaks of the game and a team either makes an adjustment or not.

What makes this basketball rivalry so compelling is that for decades, both programs have been so outstanding, nothing can be taken for granted except that neither team ever gives up—and half the time one of the teams and their fans have gone home disappointed.

Next play.

Other Comments:

  • In losing to UNC, Duke lost the opportunity to be a number one seed in the NCAA Tournament.
  • The multi-talented Theo Pinson, who can play the point, rebound, guard bigger or smaller men, and score, is having a terrific senior year and tournament. Staying four years has certainly been beneficial for his game. I am going to miss him.
  • Last year, Duke beat Carolina in this same game and yet the Tar Heels went on to win the NCAA Championship.
  • Exactly 27 years ago, in the 1991 ACC Championship game, North Carolina beat Duke by 22 points and yet that team went on to win the NCAA Tournament.
  • In the five years I have known Johnny Tar Heel, he has never thought Carolina would beat Duke. Two days ago, he emailed me from half way around the world in Myanmar that Carolina would win by five. He must have consulted the Oracle of Delphi.

Alan Adds:Duke 88 Notre Dame 70 in the Quarter-Final

I was not able to watch the Notre Dame game (not televised in Switzerland and was played between 1:30 and 3:30 a.m. Zurich time) but the box score and play by play indicate one of Duke’s best performances of the year.  Grayson had a blazing hot start (5-5 from deep) and Marvin simply took over the game scoring 33 points with 17 rebounds.  Tre Duval had 11 assists (6 turnovers) in 34 minutes as the Duke defense stifled the Fighting Irish in the second half  (only 33 points, while Duke put up 47).  Bonzie Colson had an excellent game from the high post, scoring 20 and grabbing 10 boards, but Duke accomplished its primary defensive mission by shutting off the Notre Dame 3 point attack (5-23 for the game, including 2-11 in the second half).  The relatively easy win put Duke into the semi-finals against the Tar Heels for their second game against each other in less than a week.  Optimistic was a fair adjective for the Devil outlook against Notre Dame, playing its third game in 3 days.  But optimism turned to pessimism in the early going against Carolina.

Duke v UNC in the Semi-Final

It was a superb game, but there is no doubt that UNC outplayed Duke in every phase of the game from start almost to the finish.  Yet, significantly, Duke made a gallant run at the end, to make it close.  The key statistic that tells the story is that Carolina had 17 more field goal attempts than Duke did (UNC took 71 shots to the Devils’ 54).  As Bill (Coach K and everyone else) pointed out, that was the result of Duke giving up 18 offensive rebounds to the ‘Heels (9 in each half) and turning the ball over 18 times (10 in the first half).  It was a disappointing loss any way it gets analyzed, yet there is nothing about this game that should make Duke an underdog, in the improbable event of a rematch in the NCAA tournament.  Carolina is a team on the rise and it would not surprise anyone to see ‘Ole Roy and his band in the Final Four.  Ditto for Duke.  Ditto for UVA, which plays exceptional defense and beautiful (thoughtful) offense.  The Cavaliers outplayed Carolina almost precisely the way Carolina outplayed Duke.   It is a season where many very good teams have reasonable Final Four aspirations.  As you know, I believe that defense wins championships, and I have been extremely impressed with how Coach K has brought this defense along – a exclusively a zone defense, for the first time in his long coaching career – to the point where it is actually this team’s calling card.  Absolutely amazing.  No one would have predicted such a defensive change in philosophy last fall, but it is that kind of flexibility in thinking, philosophy and execution that makes a person extraordinary – in any walk of life.  Duke is so lucky to have such a man at the helm.

The Defense

Even though Duke’s defense was somewhat shredded by UNC’s offense, which attacked the Duke zone with an offense featuring a high post at the foul line, Duke’s defense was actually excellent against this extremely well-coached UNC offense.  Duke’s game plan with the zone was to take away Carolina’s 3 point shooting, which has been the Tarheel chief scoring feature this season.  Duke held the ‘Heels to 3-15 in the second half (20%) and under 30% for the game from deep.  Coach K said the defense should have been good enough to win, but for the turnovers.  I would have added “and giving up so many offensive rebounds”.  In fairness, many of the rebounds UNC retrieved from the Duke defensive boards came when Duke players got to the ball at the same time, resulting in the ball popping free.  Many of Carolina’s offensive rebounds were long – over the Duke bigs.  However, the bottom line is Carolina was quicker to the ball, played with more intensity, and (except for the last 5 minutes) outhustled Duke.  That was not Duke’s failure as much as Carolina’s highly emotional intensity.

Yes, Carolina played terrific offense through the high post, exploiting the hole in the zone there.  However, as Coach K pointed out Maye and Pinson are about as good as it gets with players capable of shredding a zone from the high post.  Each is a superb passer from that spot as well as accurate shooter if left open.  The same is true of Bonzie Colson, who set up there for Notre Dame on Thursday in the quarterfinals.  Yet Duke held the high-scoring ‘Heels to 74 and Notre Dame to 70. He said Duke’s zone would be ready in the NCAAs.  One subtle change that adversely impacted the performance of the Duke zone was Tre’s lack of quick mobility after his injury (on both ends, actually).  He returned and played his heart out, but I did not think he was the same player after he miraculously returned.  It is the quickness of the perimeter defenders that is designed to defend the high post, but it was somewhat missing last night.  Grayson said, “Me and Tre have to do a better job on the high post from the top.”  Coach K understood how the injury slightly slowed Duval when he said that “the injury had an impact”.  Of the future, K said of Tre, “We’ll be good if he’s good.”  Duke depends on the top perimeter to “contest” when the ball goes into the high post.  If the perimeter cannot do so, the ball gets into the high post without “contest” from the outside perimeter. Then, with the back outside defenders up high to contest attempted 3s from around the foul line extended, UNC is 2 on 1 against the middle defender – Carter or Bolden (in the first half; he had only 1 minute in the second half).  They were heroic – Carter had 4 blocks – a couple crucial and some truly remarkable — but UNC still made the zone pay.  The zone did transform for Duke’s desperate stretch run.  Coach K’s team has been practicing adding a trap to the zone, and that is what Duke went to during the comeback.  With 5:33 to go, UNC led by 16 (72-56).  UNC did not effectively score again!!! [I don’t count Pinson’s 2 free throws with 3 seconds left].  Duke did not lose the game because of its defense.

The Offense

UNC won the game with its defense, offensive rebounding and sheer hustle-desire.  Duke turnovers were the direct result of superb Tarheel defense.  UNC got their hands on many Duke passes, even when they did not result in turnovers.  Duke was sloppy (Tre couldn’t really go after the injury) with only 13 assists against the 18 turnovers.  Only 4 Duke players scored in the entire game.  Grayson (40 minutes), Marvin (39) and Trent (38) played almost the entire game.  Carter and Duval each logged 30 minutes.  Bolden had 2 blocks and a rebound in his 7 minutes (only 1 in the second half).  Alex played 9 minutes (only 3 in the second half) with 0 points and 2 turnovers.  Javin played only 6 minutes (4 in the second half), committing 2 fouls for the total of his stats for the night.

Trent led Duke in scoring with 20, leading the comeback by going to the basket instead of launching from 3. He was 7-16 from the field; 2-7 from deep and 4-4 from the line.  He added 6 rebounds and 3 steals for his best all-around game in a while.  Marvin had 19 points (7-13; 0-1 from deep; and 5-6 from the line to go with 13 boards (team high) and a block.  He did turn it over 4 times, however.  Grayson scored 16 (4-11; 4-10 from deep, which means he took only 1 shot inside the arc; and 4-5 from the line.  He grabbed 4 rebounds, had 4 assists, 4 turnovers and committed 4 fouls.  Carter had a superb second half after a less than scintillating opening stanza.  In 16 second half minutes, he scored 11 of his 14 (3-4 from inside; 5-6 from the line.  He had 9 boards for the game.  Tre did not score (0-6 from the field; 0-3 from deep; without getting to the line).  He had 7 assists, but 5 turnovers.  The bench was essentially non-existent in the second half (9 total minutes for 5 positions).  I credit a superbly coached UNC defense and game plan.  Unfortunately, UNC deserved to win.  Btw, hats off to Johnny Tarheel, who predicted the outcome in advance.

Duke’s Comeback

Grayson cut the 16 point lead to 13 with a 3 at the 5:20 mark.  After a Trent steal and a Duval turnover, Grayson hit Carter for a layup with 4:18 to go (Duke down 11).  Bagley was fouled when he grabbed his second offensive rebound in the sequence and made both foul shots with 3:34 left.  Bagley blocked Maye, but Carolina retained possession, missed 3 shots after having retrieved 3 offensive rebounds on that single possession before Grayson stole the ball from Pinson.   But Pinson drew an offensive foul from Marvin before Johnson missed a 3, which was rebounded by Bagley; when Trent missed, Carter grabbed the offensive rebound, hit Duval who found Grayson in the corner for a 3.  Duke down 6 with 1:47 left.  Berry missed a 3, but Williams got another Carolina offensive rebound.  Duval stole it from May (perimeter help from the top against the pass into the high post) who got it to Trent for a critical 3.  Duke down 3 with 50 seconds left.  Carter made a great defensive play and stole the ball from Maye with 24 seconds left.  Grayson committed an offensive foul with 17 seconds left before Duke’s defensive pressure forced a Pinson turnover with 11 seconds left.  Grayson tried to fake Maye off his feet from 3, but Luke did not bite and Grayson’s desperate off balance miss was all she wrote.

Coach K acknowledged his team has “an incredible will to win” but came up short in the face of giving up so many offensive rebounds and turnovers.

Grayson’s flagrant foul

I saw it a bit differently – in a way that I have not yet heard mentioned.  Grayson was coming back down court to the Duke offensive end with his back to the Carolina basket when he was inadvertently run into from behind.  His immediate reaction was a hip check.  Whether it should have been called a flagrant foul or not, I leave to Jay Bilas, but what I am sure of is that it was not a deliberate attempt to impede; rather, it was an instinctive reflex from being run into unexpectedly from behind.  Coach K’s dry comment was, I thought, on the money.  When one writer asked him about it, his response was, “Do you think that was the only hip check administered in this game?”  In Shakespearean terms, “Much Ado About Nothing”.

NCAA Tournament

Coach K was positive about Duke in the NCAA tournament after the UNC game.  “We are ready for the tournament.  We played well against Notre Dame.  We are better prepared than a month ago and we are better for these two games in Brooklyn.”

Let’s hope for a mirror image of last year: Duke beat UNC in the semi-finals of the ACC tournament, but UNC won the National championship.  I also point out that in 2015, Duke was also beaten in the semi-finals of the ACC tournament (by Notre Dame) before winning the National Championship. ☺

Duke is the #2 seed in the Midwest and opens against Iona (15th seed) on Thursday.  If Duke wins, the Blue Devils meet the winner of Rhode Island (#7) against Oklahoma (10) on Saturday.  It’s a one weekend, four team tournament.

DUKE 89 – IONA 67 

What a difference a week makes. Last week in the ACC Tournament against North Carolina, Tre Duval severely injured his ankle and struggled through the worst game (0 points, 5 turnovers) of his brief but up and down career. Today, Tre Duval looked like a totally different player—the point guard he was advertised to be. All season long, teams have practically begged Tre to shoot the three so they could double down on Bagley. Early in the game, Tre hit four threes in a row, drove in control, and played with the purpose and confidence of a seasoned point guard.  While, like a lot of mid-majors, Iona is loaded with guards but undersized front court players, it was Tre Duval his backcourt teammates Allen and Trent, who dominated play and fueled this win. Of course, Bagley and Carter made their usual contributions. This might have been the most polished and complete offensive game the Blue Devils have played this year—and, despite the rather porous first half defense, held Iona, a team that averages over 80 points a game, to under 70.

What makes the NCAA Tournament so compelling is that any team can win any game. Buffalo not only won its first ever tournament game, they humiliated highly touted but ethically challenged  #4 Arizona and proving that there are basketball gods who attempt to fix what the seeding committee rendered asunder. (Virginia, everyone’s #1 seed presumably had to go through Arizona or Kentucky and Cincinnati just to get to the Sweet Sixteen, while Duke has to beat Michigan State and Kansas to get there. Carolina has the easiest bracket. It appears that the seeding committee rewarded the programs that bend/break the rules and punished the programs that have better academic and admission standards.)

The ACC had a disappointing first day. North Carolina State, Virginia Tech and Miami all lost. Whatever you say about the ACC though at least it’s not the PAC-12, which didn’t make it out of Thursday night .

Reggie Miller, one of the greatest shooter in NBA history hitting 2,560 3-pointers in his 18 year career with the Indiana pacers, and an outspoken announcer had some interesting comments: Duke was the most talented team in the field, the refs were judging Grayson Allen  differently than other players but he should not stop playing with an “edge”— embrace it as Reggie himself did his entire career.

Alan Adds:

Duke opened with fire, and fire power in the opening half.  The offense has rarely been better.  Bagley, Tre and Grayson played all 20 minutes while Trent and Carter were each spelled for 5 minutes (DeLaurier 7 and Bolden 3).  The Devils shot 62% from the field (21-34) and 56% from deep (9-16, led by Duval’s 3-4; and Bagley’s bomb).  Duke had 14 assists on 21 field goals (Duval 6 and Grayson 5; each with only 1 turnover), and dominated offensively from the perimeter and the interior.

Defensively, the Blue Devils can revel over their second half performance, but not how it played in the opening stanza.  In the first half, Iona shredded the zone early.  Iona shot 55% (16-29) and 4-9 from deep.  The Gaels had 13 assists  on 16 baskets.  Almost no field goal attempts – even the missed shots – were contested.  Duke’s transition defense was lazy and gave up some long passes and scores.  Iona scored 39 points in the first half.  Duke’s great offense made it easy to overlook the defensive shortcomings.

However that all changed after the halftime intermission.  Duke’s defense was simply superb in the second half.  Iona got almost no uncontested looks, and Duke began to turn the Gaels over.  What happened?  Coach K said that Jeff Capel, at the half, suggested a tweak to the defense that turned the tide, but did not say what it the tweak was.  I’ll take a crack at it.  It was not dramatic, but it seemed to me that Duke employed a half court trapping defense that really bothered Iona.  It stopped the transition offense, created turnovers, and pressured the Gael guards, who, I thought, tired — partly as a result of the intense pressure.  Once Iona went into its half-court offense, Duke brought its outside back defenders up even higher to contest the 3s that had been falling, while at the same time, the perimeter player away from the ball dropped down to defend against the pass into the high post.  Iona was 1-15 from deep and scored only 20 second half points in the first 16 minutes.  Duke was able to rest its starters as the lead ballooned.  Carter played only 9 second half minutes; Duval 11, Bagley 12, Trent 13 and Grayson 16.  The bench got experience – playing good defense, though the offense drooped a bit with the bench on the floor.

Duke was able to rest its starters while the Rhode Island Rams, Duke’s opponent tomorrow (Saturday), beat Oklahoma in a tense overtime game.  Perhaps an advantage for the Devils.  The Rams had a terrific regular season going 15-3 while winning the regular season A-10 title and achieving a top 25 ranking (22 in the final coach’s poll).  However, RI slumped a bit at season’s end, losing 2 of 3 regular season games and the finals of the tournament (to Davidson, who also beat them in the regular season finale).  Nevertheless, it would be dangerous to underrate RI (two ESPN prognosticators picked RI to upset Duke), because of their talented and very experienced backcourt.  We will find out Saturday whether the Duke season has ended or it is on to the Sweet 16 next week.

DUKE 87 – RHODE ISLAND 62 

Duke started slowly, fell behind, then switched Grayson to the point and with ten minutes to go went on a 28-7 run to lead 45-28 at the break. These first two tournament games were against small, guard oriented teams which were severely overmatched down low. However, in both game all three Blue Devil guards were hitting, so the outcome was seldom in doubt. For health and/or strategic reasons, Duval and Allen appear to be sharing ball handling duties. It is paying dividends as Duval’s turnovers are down (3 in the last 5 games) and he is much more accurate from beyond the arc (a regular season 27 per center is 5-for-9 in these two NCAA tournament games).

The team appears to be maturing, peaking, and comfortable, even embracing, the spotlight. I think the two main catalysts are the switch to the zone and Grayson Allen being the steady leader, who has become the straw that stirs the drink for this talented team. He knows that scoring is not usually an issue with these teammates, so leads by putting that last on his to-do list and showing other ways to play winning basketball. However, the fact that the players adapted so well switching to the Amoeba Zone (trademark pending) has definitely been the catalyst for the team playing at another level. It makes them more efficient and is less enervating. Since the change, they are holding opponents to an average of under 70 points a game while scoring in the 80’s.

If this team avoids foul trouble, Allen, Trent, and Duval continue to hit threes as they did in Pittsburgh, and  Duval values the ball, continues to defend with energy, controlling Carter and Bagley inside is going to be nearly impossible. As far a depth is concerned (at tournament time, Coach K defines depth as two bench players), the Blue Devils are getting quality minutes from Marques Bolden, who is the most improved player on the team, and Javin DeLaurier. 

A note of caution: Even though Rhode Island head coach Dan Hurley said: “They played an A-plus game. They looked like an NBA team out there with their size and length in this tournament”, Duke has yet to meet a team that comes close to matching them in size or talent. That all changes next week. 

The win was the 1,099th victory of Krzyzewski’s career, pushing him past former Tennessee woman’s coach Pat Summitt for the most Division I wins ever in either men’s or women’s basketball. It was also the 93rd in the NCAA tournament for Krzyzewski — 17 more than Roy Williams, his counterpart at archrival North Carolina, and 28 more than Dean Smith, who tortured him during his early years at Duke. This will also be the 23rd time he’s coached the second weekend of the tournament. Twelve of those previous 22 trips resulted in Final Four appearances, five of them in national championships. “I’ve won a lot of games, and that’s great. But I’ve had a lot of great players, coach at a great school, and am in good health. I’ve got two new knees and two new hips, so basically I have a new body.”

March Sadness:

As had been well documented, #1 University of Virginia had a stunning, unprecedented first round loss to #16 University of Maryland-Baltimore County. What three time national coach of the year Tony Bennett said after the game just demonstrates he and his program is held in such high esteem: “I told our guys, we had a historic season. A historic season in terms of most wins in the ACC. A week ago we’re cutting down the nets and the confetti is falling. And then we make history by being the first one-seed to lose. I’m sure a lot of people will be happy about that. And it stings. I told the guys, this is life. It can’t define you. You enjoyed the good times and you gotta be able to take the bad times. When you step into the arena, the consequences can be historic losses, tough losses, great wins, and you have to deal with it. That’s the job.”

March Madness:

There was even more carnage Sunday: #2 North Carolina, a 10 loss team which this year apparently can only play well against Duke, was decisively defeated by #7 Texas A&M; #11 Syracuse, which many did think should have had a bid, beat media darling #3 Michigan State in one of the ugliest games of the year; #7 Nevada rallied from 22 down to stun #2 Cincinnati; #9 Florida State rallied to beat #1 Xavier;

#5 Clemson blitzed #4 Auburn by 31. The selection committee should consider another line of work. Even a casual fan would not have seeded the tournament so that Villanova, Duke, Michigan State, Kansas, and Purdue–all arguably #1 seeds—were in the same half of the draw.

Occupy the Sweet Sixteen: Even though highly seeded Virginia and North Carolina lost this weekend, four ACC teams—Duke, Florida State, Clemson, and Syracuse–comprise 25% of the teams remaining. Unfortunately, three—Duke, Syracuse & Clemson– are in the Midwest bracket.

Alan Adds:

After a stress-free win, where Duke played what might have been its best game of the year at both ends of the court, it might be easy to overlook, Coach K’s coaching genius early in the game.  Duke started sloppily.  Duval was at the point and Duke turned it over 5 times in the early going.  Tre missed his first 3 and with only 4:12 having elapsed and Duke trailing 9-5, Coach K sent DeLaurier in for Tre, moving Grayson to the point.  The turnovers stopped, and the defense tightened, but Duke still was not scoring.  Tre returned after a shade over 3 minutes on the bench with Duke still trailing 11-10.  In a little over a minute, Duke took the lead and never looked back.   Coach K said that the team was “a little nervous” at the start and did not get the looks they wanted.  When Tre re-entered the game, he was the Tre he has been in the last few games (since the second half of the season finale against UNC), and the offense began to roll as well as it has all season with Tre and Grayson sharing the initiation of the offense.   In the next 5+ minutes Duke moved the lead from 1 to 17 (35-18) and the game turned out to be basically over.

The Defense

This might have been Duke’s best defensive game all season.  The zone was very efficient after the first four minutes.  Rhode Island had 9 points after 3:58 had been played.  In the next 16 minutes, the Rams tallied 19 points for a total of 28 at the half.  Rhode Island’s high scorer all season (and in the win over Oklahoma) was Jared Terrell.  (for the year, he averaged 17 ppg and hit 75 3s).  Duke’s defensive game plan was to keep him off the 3-point line and shut him down.  In the first half he scored a single point (0-5 from the field; 0-2 from deep; 1-2 from the line.  By the time he did any damage, it was late in the second half and the game was over.  He scored 9 in that half for a total of 10.  Grayson said, “we gave up a 3 early, and then we were really good.”

The Zone was agile, mobile and even hostile in protecting the rim.  Rhode Island could not get the ball into the middle of the zone because of the zone’s mobility and the play of the perimeter player away from the ball.  The length and quickness of the Duke defenders (and especially credit Marvin Bagley whose defense on the back outside of the zone is improving almost magically) gave Rhode Island no uncontested shots from deep.  Occasionally, the Rams did get the ball to their interior, where they met fierce opposition at the rim. Carter, Bagley, DeLaurier and Bolden altered Ram attempts and protected the rim as well as Duke has done all year.  Coach K concurred with Grayson, “our defense was really good.”  He pointed out that Duke is not giving up free throw attempts to the other team in the zone.  The Rams did not get to the double bonus in either half, committing only 15 fouls for the game (4 by Carter).

It is true that Rhode Island was too small to effectively attack the rim. Defending as the tournament continues will be a much taller (no pun intended) order.  Still, the defense jelling into dramatic efficiency is a great sign and reminds me of how the 2015 national championship team jelled on defense to make its championship run.  Justice Winslow’s defense led that turnaround.  I have the feeling that Bagley on the outside and Tre on top are analogous catalysts.  However, before we leave the defense, let us recognize that Grayson has been playing simply outstanding perimeter defense.  He gets long rebounds, deflects passes to the post, and is the floor general on the defensive end as well.

The Offense

The first half (after the four minute mark) produced absolutely beautiful basketball.  The Devils shot 54% from the floor and had 8 assists on 15 hoops.  The perimeter was 6-12 from deep (Bagley missed 1 so the team was 6-13).  After the first flurry of turnovers, Duke had only 2 more in the half.  The offense flourished from both the perimeter and the interior with balanced scoring.  Trent and Grayson played all 20 minutes, while Bagley played 19.  Carter had two fouls and played 12 excellent minutes.  Duval played all but the 3 minutes early, described above.  All of Duke’s 45 first half points came from the starters and were equally distributed among them.  Trent scored 11 (4-8 from the field; 3-6 from deep); Duval 10 (3-8; 1-3; and 3-3 from the line – I thought when he made all 3 after being fouled on a 3 point attempt, his confidence rose visibly); Carter 9 (4-4 from the field and 1-1 from the line); Bagley 8 (2-3 with his only miss being a 3 point attempt, and 4-5 from the line.  He is turning into a reliable foul shooter – what a bonus for Duke); and Grayson 7 (2-5; both goals were 3s in his 3 first half attempts from deep; he was 1-1 from the line – a four-point play).  Grayson does not shoot unless Duke needs points.  In the second half when Duke did not, he attempted only a single shot (1-1 from deep), 10 points for the game.

Duke, led by a phenomenal performance by Bagley, was never threatened in the second half.  Bagley scored 14 second half points on 6-7 shooting from the floor, including his only 3 point attempt of the second half and 1-2 at the line.  All the starters were in double figures at the end – Trent 18, Carter 13, Duval 11 and Grayson 10.  Duke shot 57% for the game and 10-21 from deep (50% in the second half) and 79% from the line.  It is hard to quibble with a performance like this one.

The Bench

Coach K has now established a 7 man rotation (De Laurier and Bolden).  White, O’Connell, Goldwire and JRob were strictly confined to mop up time.  Bolden had 6 rebounds and an assist in 11 minutes, scoring 2 on 2 free throw attempts.  DeLaurier played 18 minutes (1 minute less than Carter) and had a gaudy stat line – 6 points on 2-2 from the field and 2-4 from the line to go with 7 rebounds and outstanding defense in the zone.  He is still fouling (3) and turning it over (2), but he brings energy and speed when he comes in.  Duke’s bench has become a valuable asset.

On To Omaha (Midwest Regional)

First, Syracuse’s upset of Michigan State sets up another “trap” game for Duke.  Duke will take the court for its Sweet 16 game against Syracuse on Friday, March 23 in the late game (9:37 scheduled start). Duke handled Syracuse easily (60-44) in late February and could face #1 seed Kansas in the elite 8, should the Blue Devils again beat the Orange.  That is just the situation the team faced when playing St. John’s in New York and Virginia Tech in the penultimate regular season game.  I worry about Duke looking ahead to playing whoever has won the early game when Kansas faces Clemson in the other Regional semi-final that will tip off on Friday at 7:07.   Let us hope that this team has learned its “trap game” lessons.

Virginia and Xavier, both # 1 seeds, did not make it to the Sweet 16; nor did #2 seeds UNC and Cincinnati; nor did # 3 seeds Michigan State and Tennessee; nor did # 4 seeds Arizona, Wichita State and Auburn.  The ACC was involved in losing and defeating a #1 seed (Florida State took down Xavier with a great late game rally). The ACC (Duke, Clemson, Florida State and Syracuse) and Big 12 (Kansas, Texas Tech, West Virginia and Kansas State) each have four teams advancing (who could have predicted that the ACC would have four teams advance and that UVa and UNC would not be among them?); The SEC (Kentucky and Texas A&M) and Big 10 (Purdue and Michigan) have two each.  The Big East (Villanova), Missouri Valley (Loyola), Mountain West (Nevada) and West Coast (Gonzaga) conferences each have one.  The # 1 seeds still left are Villanova and Kansas; #2s are Purdue and Duke; #3s Michigan and Texas Tech; and #4 Gonzaga).

Handling “The Vicissitudes of the Tournament”

In my business, I have to discuss “the vicissitudes of litigation” when the client and I are deciding whether a proposed settlement of a case is superior to going to trial.  Trial, like this tournament, offers spectacular rewards and devastating defeats (disasters), and in some sense is unknowable prior to the trial.  Both Tony Bennett, after UVA’s shocking loss, and ‘Ole Roy, after UNC’s equally shocking humiliation appeared at difficult press conferences.  Both ACC teams had been heavily favored and had reasonable Championship aspirations, which were devastatingly demolished unexpectedly.   Bennett’s press conference was remarkable.  Bill quoted some of it above, and I wrote to several UVA friends (and ex-wife) how proud they should be of such a candid wise and eloquent understanding of life and some of its unpleasant lessons.  Coach K actually praised Bennett’s post-disaster press conference in his post Rhode Island press conference.  Class recognized class.  On the other hand, ’Ole Roy’s press conference sounded like the “before” part of a “before/after” mental health advertisement.

DUKE 69 – SYRACUSE 65 

If you predicted this result halfway through the season, raise your hand: Duke’s defense and free throws win a Sweet Sixteen Tournament game. The Blue Devils forced 16 turnovers, 8 steals, and hit 20-28 free throws to squeeze, not peel, a win from the Orange!

This game was a coaches chess match. Syracuse Coach Jim Boeheim had the advantage of being the Zen Zone-Meister who, while they coached the USA basketball team, turned his buddy Coach K onto some of the nuances of his pride and joy defense. He also had the advantage of practicing against it all these years. Syracuse is anything but a scoring juggernaut, so they play tenacious defense and methodical, boring offense. So, ever resourceful Coach Boeheim made a few changes from their regular season game in Cameron. He strategically positioned and coached his players to attack the underbelly of Duke’s zone and beat them on the boards, which they successfully did until the Blue Devils made a late first half run—aided by ‘Cuse big men foul trouble- to take a seven point lead into the locker room.

Unfortunately, in the second half, Duke came out flat or trap or young or whatever and Syracuse quickly cut into Duke’s lead. Then came the turning point of the game. Coach K called a timeout, ripped off his jacket, and tore into his team with some constructive Chicago Criticism. Fortunately, the TV feed didn’t capture it verbatim. That wasn’t necessary, K’s body language told the story. The rest of the game mostly resembled the pace and accuracy of a game from the 1950’s as the Devils could get ahead but not gain comfortable separation. As we have often stressed–and this tournament certainly proved– you cannot allow a lesser team hang around, because with the three point line and officials being human, anything can happen. Fortunately, ‘Cuse just did not have the consistent firepower to take advantage of Duke’s guards awful (5-26) three point shooting.

Ultimately Duke prevailed by Grayson Allen and Marvin Bagley repeatedly imitating Joe Montana and Dwight Clark  and throwing passes over the zone, (unfortunately, they only counted for two not six points but the embarrassment factor doubled the pleasure), Carter started rebounding like the real man he is, and Trent finally sealed the deal with a deuce and two free throws. In limited minutes, Bolden and O’Connor both made a few critical contributions. But in a close  game like this, every positive play is critical to achieving a win.

Other Observations:

  • Coach K had an interesting response to a question about what he thinks about when his players miss so many open shots. He said that he always tells his players to keep shooting and don’t think back, think forward. His example was Grayson not letting the misses affect the rest of his game. He had 8 assists, only 1 turnover, a critical late game two, three free throws, and made a strategic foul at the end of the game.
  • Tre Duval was a disappointing non-factor. He only had 4 assists but 3 turnovers, was 1-7 from the floor, and 1 steal. That is probably why Grayson Allen ran the offense.
  • Bagley has already been named a first-team All-American by Sporting News and the United States Basketball Writers Association (USBWA). Should he earn first-team honors from the Associated Press (which is released next week), he would become the 22nd consensus first-team All-American in Duke history and the 18th under head coachMike Krzyzewski.

Alan Adds

As predicted in my last “Alan Adds”, this was truly a “trap” game for Duke.  My definition of trap is where circumstances (past record; Vegas line etc.) make the favorite subconsciously believe in an inevitable victory.  The result is that the other team wins all the loose balls; 50-50 plays; shooting goes off; and upsets happen (See Duke v St. Johns and Virginia Tech in the regular season; UVA, UNC, Xavier and others in this tournament).  Syracuse was emotionally charged and intense while Duke was not.  For example, in the first half there were 15 rebounds off Duke’s defensive glass; Syracuse corralled 9 of them.  The Orange got every loose ball.  Yet, Duke persevered.  The difference from the catastrophic trap game that nailed UVA and UNC was that Duke won!  Kudos to Coach K for riding this team to a win under surprisingly tough circumstances (the timeout at the start of the second half, as Bill points out, was an attitude changer).

The Defense

Duke’s main game plan was to take away Syracuse’s 3 point shooting.  This was accomplished throughout the game (The Orange shot 31% from deep; 14% in the second half).  While Duke played excellent defense in the first half, holding Syracuse to 27 points (in spite of all those offensive rebounds) and forcing 12 turnovers, while committing only 5 first half fouls, Boeheim’s offensive design shredded the Duke zone in the second half.  He is a great coach.  The Orange were 13-18 from inside the arc in the second half and drew 11 Duke fouls.  Fortunately for the Blue Devils, Syracuse stunk from the stripe (60%; 9-15) and the 3 point line (1-7).  Syracuse scored 38 second half points, probably their best offensive output in many a moon.  After forcing 12 first half turnovers, Duke had only 2 second half steals and the Orange had only 4 second half turnovers.  The starters all played the entire second half, except for Carter, who was spelled by Bolden for just 3 minutes.  Duval played all 20 second half minutes after logging only 11 in the opening stanza.  Duke relapsed on defense in the second half.

The Offense

Syracuse’s zone was quite effective, but might not have been if the Duke guards had been able to hit the many wide open three point opportunities presented.  Duke had an advantage on the interior (especially when Chukwu was forced to the bench by foul trouble trying to handle Duke’s bigs; he was able to stay on the court for only 29 minutes), which forced the Syracuse zone to pack it in and leave Duke’s guards open from behind the arc.  But the Devils could not take advantage.  Consider Duke was 2-18 from deep in the second half – Grayson was 1-10; Trent 1-5; Duval 0-3 —  5-26 for the game.  If Duke shoots anywhere near its season average, the game is a blowout.  Such horrendous 3 point shooting cost UVA and UNC dearly, while Duke managed to survive.  Duke moved the ball against the zone and was patient.  The results were checkered, but sufficient.  The Blue Devils had 13 assists and only 7 turnovers – a measly 2 in the second half.  Duke shot free throws (20-28; 9-12 in the second half) better than The Orange (11-17; 9-15 in the second half).  Duval was a liability in his 31 minutes (1-7 from the field; 0-3 from deep without getting to the foul line) with 4 assists, but 3 turnovers. Aside from his 2 points and a deuce from Bolden, all of Duke’s 69 came from the 4 other starters: Bagley had 22; Grayson, 15; Carter and Trent, 14.  Grayson had 8 assists with only a single turnover.  Although his shot failed to fall, Grayson ran the team with aplomb and leadership.  Bagley was brilliant in the second half with 13 of his points and all of his rebounds in that stanza.  Strangely, he had only 1 defensive rebound.  He was unable to get back to help under the defensive board when he stretched out to cover the perimeter shooter in Duke’s zone.  In 39 minutes he was 8-12 from the field (and the recipient of many of Grayson’s assists on lobs for dunks) and 6-8 from the line.  He sucked up much of Syracuse’s defensive attention.  Carter (33 minutes) was 8-11 from the line (putting Chukwu in foul trouble); 3-6 from the field to go with 12 boards (8 defensive), a block (seemed to me he had more than one) and a steal with only a single turnover.  Trent was 5-13 from the field; 2-8 from deep, and a glorious 2-2 from the stripe.  He also contributed 5 boards.  He had a crucial deuce in addition to the game winning free throws.

Winning Time

Duke kept the lead throughout the second half even though it occasionally shrunk to a single point.  Basically the lead stayed between 9 and 3 throughout the second half.  With 4:13 to go, Duke had a 9 point lead on Grayson’s jumper from inside the arc.  That lead should have been safe, but was not.  After a timeout, Brissett got inside the zone for a layup (62-55 with 3:53 left).  Carter missed a jumper, but Bagley was fouled when he rebounded the miss.  When Bagley missed the second foul shot, Duval fouled Howard for Duke’s 9th foul of the period (double bonus from there on). Howard missed the front end of the one and one.  Bagley missed a layup and the Duke defense was lazy giving up Syracuse’s only three of the second half to Battle (63-58 with 2:22 left).  After a timeout, Trent missed a wide open 3 with 1:59 left; Brissett missed a layup, but Duke gave up the offensive rebound to Chukwu.  Brissett then hit a jumper to cut the lead to 63-60 with 1:26 left.  Trent responded with a drive and tear drop with only 51 seconds left (65-60).  Carter inexplicably fouled Howard well away from the hoop; Howard’s two foul shots cut the lead back to 3 with :41 seconds left.  Syracuse was forced to foul.  Grayson made a pair (67-62 with 21 seconds left).  Battle missed a 3, but Duke gave up another offensive rebound when Dolezaj tipped in the miss.  67-64 with 13 seconds left.  Grayson was fouled and (gasp!) missed the front end of a one and one.  With 7 seconds left, Coach K ordered the foul rather than allow the Orange a three point attempt that would have tied the game.  Howard missed the first and made the second.  Trent was fouled on the inbounds with 6 seconds left and dramatically made both to finally assure Duke’s win.  It was not vintage Duke at winning time.  But neither was it “losing time”.

The Bench

DeLaurier, Bolden and O’Connell all played about 5 minutes in the first half and contributed.  Duke stretched out to the lead when Alex replaced Duval.  He grabbed 2 key rebounds and made a great pass to Grayson for a 3; he also had a steal, but missed his only shot and committed a foul.  Only Bolden played in the second half.

Kansas on Sunday

Duke takes on the #1 seed, Kansas, who looked pretty awesome for most of the game against Clemson.  Winner goes to the Final Four.  I am hoping to write more than one final “Alan Adds” this season!

Next game: Sunday: No. 1 Kansas vs. No. 2 Duke. 5:05 pm. CBS.

DUKE 81 – KANSAS 85 

Coulda, shoulda, woulda… Up three with :30 seconds to go, this was a game Duke could have won, should have won, would have won– usually wins. But Kansas got stops, made a shot and Duke didn’t. Carter couldn’t convert at the rim, Kansas made a clever pass out of a double team and Mykhailiuk, who was only 2-8 and missed his last two, made an NBA three.  Still the Blue Devils would have won but Allen’s hanging, hard bank shot at the buzzer bounced around then off  of the backboard and rim multiple times before falling harmlessly to the floor. Those are the breaks of the game and the bottom line is that Kansas had Newman (32 points), made more 6 more three points shots and outrebounded Duke 47-32. Only 9 steals and forcing 18 turnovers kept the game in question. Kansas methodically carved up Duke’s zone and Newman was hot and Duke’s guards were not. When Tre Duval is Duke’s leading scorer, you know it was not a normal night on the hardwood for the Blue Devils. Considering all the stats, it is rather amazing that the game actually went into overtime. However, Carter’s foul trouble culminating in a very questionable fifth foul, probably was the critical development of the game– a  player averaging almost a double-double for the season was limited to just twenty-two cautious minutes that only produced 10 points and 2 rebounds.

The truth is that this very talented but young team has been inconsistent all season losing to Boston College, N.C. State, Virginia, St. Johns, Virginia Tech, and UNC twice. Only the exceptional talent of Bagley, Carter, Trent, Allen, and, sometimes, Duval enabled them to obscure the fact that the maturity and cohesion developed over years of playing in a program usually wins close games. Every talented team, even one with Marvelous Marv, occasionally runs out of Miracles. Tonight, a tough, experienced Kansas team had the edge in maturity and the execution—and the basketball gods decided tonight was their night.

Alan adds:

This was a truly wonderful college basketball game.  That one sentence almost entirely sums up my post-game feeling.  I couldn’t find sadness, though I am sorry for the season to end a week sooner than I would have liked.

I didn’t think there was much of a difference between the quality of the two teams.  If they played a best of 7 series, I believe there would be a 7th game.  However, for last night’s game,  I’m not sure the analysis of the game is more complex than Newman’s shots went in (he scored all of Kansas’s 13 points in the overtime) and Grayson’s did not.  The game was there for Duke to win in regulation.  The Devils led by 3 and had the ball with a little over 30 seconds to go.  Carter got a superb look up close, and if the shot falls, Duke wins.  But, as we know, it did not.  But what cost Duke the game was the next defensive effort.  Graham started to the hoop going right and passed out to Mykhalliuk set up just above the foul line extended.  In the Duke zone, it is the place where the back outside defender comes out to contest the three or drive the shooter off the line.  Carter did not do that.  He took a step toward Mykhalliuk but then inexplicably retreated to cover the corner, leaving the shooter amazingly wide open.  Tie game.  Kansas defended Bagley when it counted and Grayson was heroic, but his shot did not go in.

In the overtime, Duke was crippled when the controversial block-charge call went against Carter for his fifth foul with 2:49 left and the score tied at 76.  Duke scored only 6 in the overtime (I am not counting Grayson’s last 3 when it didn’t matter; Duke actually scored 9 in the overtime), and none after Duval’s jumper tied the game at 78 with 2:36 to go. Duke turned it over 3 crucial times in the overtime after that.  Bagley took only 1 shot (2 points) and Duval went 2-3 (the other 4 points), but his only miss will be remembered.  With Kansas up 81-78, Duke had the ball with 52 seconds to go. Grayson passed to Marvin in the post; Marvin made a beautiful touch pass to Duval in the corner, as the defense began to collapse on him.  With :36 seconds left, Duval was wide open in the corner with a shot he had to take.  Had it gone, the game would have been tied.  With the clock winding down, Duke had to foul and the game dragged to its sorrowful conclusion.  The Duke shortcoming was illuminated in the rebounding statistics.  Duke was a terrific rebounding team all year, yet, Kansas simply manhandled the young Devils off the boards.  The Jayhawks corralled 17 offensive rebounds (Duke had 22 defensive rebounds) while whipping Duke on the boards 47-32.  Partly Carter’s foul trouble, but really just Kansas’s desire.

This was an interesting team all year with amazing talent, but full of the inconsistency of youth.  Perhaps the last game (especially Grayson’s play in it) was the perfect encapsulation of the season – a splendid, yet disappointing, performance that was punctuated by joy, admiration, frustration and ultimately failure.  But, it was a fun ride.  I have no complaints about Duke basketball’s 2017-18 season!

In Conclusion:

As the fortunate and appreciative beneficiaries of our education at Duke University, Alan and I again close the season with a short historical narrative that may give some insight into why we have such pride and affection for our alma mater and why we take the time and make the effort to stay in touch with alumni and friends through the love of the game of basketball.

Folklore has it that after Princeton University declined James Buchannan Duke’s offer of a very generous bequest with the caveat to change the name of the school to Duke University, he established the Duke Endowment with $40,000,000 and made the same offer to little, nearby Trinity College with two caveats: change the name to Duke University (after his father Washington Duke) and build it to look like Princeton. When Mr. Duke died a year later in 1925, he left the Endowment an additional $67,000,000. Adjusted for present value, Mr. Duke’s total gifts would amount to more than $1.5 billion today.

Whatever the truth, building a campus as beautiful as Duke, establishing rigorous entrance and educational standards, then building  nationally ranked football and basketball (as well as baseball, golf, tennis, and lacrosse) teams were the lynchpins of the meteoric rise of Duke University as an elite institution (Yale on steroids is how one of former President Brodhead’s students characterized the school). It could not have happened without all of these elements –and it would be difficult to maintain that status without preserving a dual excellence in both academics and athletics.

While the whole is more than the sum of the parts, successful athletic teams have provided the university with free publicity that otherwise would not be affordable– first through print and radio, then through television. The athletic teams have increasingly been the lens through which Duke University is viewed by the general public and which, in turn throws a spotlight on  the rest of an exceptional institution. The truth of the matter is that while Coach K and his basketball program is the latest and most successful in a long, proud history of Duke Athletics, it is not just that his and other teams have won, it was the way they have won and the kind of players with whom they have won– and graduated.

A case can be made that Duke has come further, faster than any Top Ten University. Athletic Director Eddie Cameron was a major catalyst. He had the foresight to see that excellence in athletics was quickest way to attract national attention to a young, ambitious university. In 1930, he hired football coach Wallace Wade away from Alabama following his third national championship with the Crimson Tide. By the mid 1930’s Duke had a powerful football team that attracted national attention and played in the 1938 and 1942 Rose Bowls. From $400,000 of the proceeds of the 1942 Rose Bowl (played at Duke because of concerns about Japanese attacks on the West Coast), Mr. Cameron built Duke Indoor Stadium (fittingly renamed Cameron Indoor Stadium), which was, at the time, the second largest basketball arena (next to the Palestra in Philadelphia) in the East. Fortunately, the legendary Dick Groat matriculated shortly thereafter and a great basketball tradition was established, then embellished by Vic Bubas in the 1960’s, Bill Foster briefly in the 1970’s, and for the last thirty-eight  years the living legend Coach Mike Krzyzewski.

Alan adds:  Duke has always had athletic teams that presented the university in the light that we all admire.  There have been no academic short cuts to success.  I wasn’t around for the Wallace Wade days, but no person in college athletics has had a more profound impact on his university, college basketball, and the national sports scene than Coach K.  I think it puts the point perfectly that Coach K runs a leadership course at the Fuqua Business school.  He is, in fact, a leader who happens to coach basketball.  He makes us proud because he seems to be able to do everything the right way.  His involvement with our Olympic team and USA Basketball brings great even more prestige to Duke.

I do think his program epitomizes the ideal of college athletics.  His players grow under his tutelage, not just as basketball players, but from boys to men (even in what might be just one season for some of the freshmen).  There is no coach now active that has his resume as a teacher, leader and icon.  There are other coaches who may be his basketball equal, but none of them is in the same league for accomplishments as a human being and as, what he really is– an educator.  I’m not sure this could happen at a different institution (Stanford, maybe).  Duke is a perfect blend of the old Greek philosophy of keen mind and strong body.  The basketball program is seamlessly a profound and important part of the university, and enhances all that Duke does and promotes.

I join Bill in saying what a pleasure our writing has been for us.  I have reveled in the effort and enjoyed the camaraderie with a treasured friend (and ex-intramural doubles partner – 58 years later it still rankles that we lost in the finals!).

We thank you for allowing us to share our thoughts with you this season.   Next Play.

 

 

 

 

Duke Basketball Playbook: 2016-17

Welcome to  the Duke Basketball  Playbook 2016-17 season preview.

Mark your calendars for the game dates, fire up the Hi Definition 4-D Flat Screen TV, and buckle your seat belts. This year shapes up to be a National Championship for Duke to lose—and that is not just my opinion— as this is as talented, diverse, deep, and experienced a team as any in Duke’s remarkable basketball history. Having said that, there are three caveats: chemistry, injuries, and luck. Unlike other years, an injury will be less devastating than say last year, but chemistry and luck are the random, heartbreaking decisions of the basketball gods.

What to look for:

  • Defense will be much, much better with the depth and talent to press and trap anywhere, anytime. And we all know a good pressing/trapping defense produces exciting, easy offense.
  • Will Grayson Allen play hot but with a cool head? He will be a target for physical and verbal abuse. It will be interesting to see if he is given the calls that are normally awarded All American players or will his reputation as a hot head have negative influence on the referees?
  • Luke Kennard is playing with much more confidence and has been a scoring machine in practice and in exhibitions.
  • Matt Jones’ defense, which is near and dear to Coach K’s heart, will keep him on the floor for significant minutes.
  • Jefferson’s maturity and savvy will be the glue for a much improved front line.
  • Jason Tatum reminds me of Jamaal “Silk” Wilkes who won championships at UCLA, The Warriors, and The Lakers and may be the most talented player on the team.
  • Marques Bolden looks like the defensive basket protector we have been looking for since Sheldon Williams (Okafor was not a strong defender) left the post as is, perhaps, Harry Giles, who has not played in a year because of knee issues.
  • Frank Jackson is a younger less physical version of Grayson Allen.
  • Chase Jeter has looked good against D-2 players but still has to prove that he can fight for position and finish at the rim against D-1 players.
  • Jack White is an Australian similar to former Dukie Lithuanian Marty Pocius –a talented European style player.
  • Javin DeLaurier is my sleeper star in the making. His physical attributes are off the chart—a bigger, smarter version of Corey Maggette. The question is when will his basketball skills catch up with his athletic skills?
  • All the other players are practice player “projects”.
  • Final comment: With this much talent is only one ball enough to keep everyone happy?

Duke 94 – Marist 49

 Duke 96 – Grand Canyon 61

This weekend the Blue Devils started the season with Jayson Tatum,  Marques Bolden, and Harry Giles—the larger half their vaunted freshman class and projected one-and-done first round NBA draft picks– on the bench in matching golf shirts and sweatpants with a variety of enigmatic knee/ leg/ankle/foot injuries, the severity of which is somewhat of a mystery. We know Giles is recovering from multiple knee surgeries and is being brought along cautiously. The other two are “day to day or week-to-week” ….whatever—but then that is a troubling reminder of the initial prognosis last year for Amile Jefferson, so keep your fingers crossed. It could be this way for a while. Tatum is probably closest to returning, and was expected back by now before suffering a setback. Bolden will be reevaluated this week. However, Coach K did disclose that none are likely to return this (busy) week, which after Kansas includes Penn State on Saturday and either Cincinnati or Rhode Island on Sunday.

Against Marist and final thirty minutes against  Grand Canyon, it did not make much difference. However, Tuesday we are no longer in Cameron playing  Marist Grand Canyon, Toto, we are in The Garden playing Kansas—and it is not a dream.

Defensively, The Blue Devils looked a lot like last year until Frank Jackson came in for Chase Jeter. Then the four guards plus Amile Jefferson took charge of both ends of the floor and more or less put the game away by half time. In a lineup line this, the guards have to rebound and they did that and much more. It was a different team even though they only shot 11-29 three’s & 21-31 from the line. Jeter has improved from last year but he is not yet a front line talent for a top ten team while Allen, Kennard, Jones, Jackson, and Jefferson are. Allen had 25 points and 10 rebounds, Jackson 21 points, Jefferson 15 points and 7 rebounds, Luke Kennard 14 points and 6 assists, and Matt Jones 11 points and 5 assists as five members of the Blue Devils’ six-man rotation finished in double figures.

Krzyzewski  commented: “I like my team a lot. We just have to keep getting better, and then once all these injuries are taken care of, at some time, we can become a different team. Right now, we have to be this team and not think about who we could be.”

Injury update: Forward Harry Giles, who has yet to play in a Duke uniform, is still not ready to come back after a knee scope. Wing Jayson Tatum, who was expected to suit up for the opener, was available because he prematurely returned to practice after spraining his foot. And forward Marques Bolden, the latest Blue Devil to be affected by the team’s bizarre injury bug, sat out nursing an unspecified lower-leg injury. “It wasn’t an event,” Mike Krzyzewski said, addressing Bolden’s injury. “It’s too difficult to explain. He’s getting better. We gotta be careful not to try to get these guys coming back too soon. We’re just going to shut those guys down for a while. We can’t go through the whole year with lingering injuries.”

Comment: If you did not watch the Duke win over UNC Thursday night, you missed an impressive, thrilling game that demonstrated once again what an exceptional  job Coach David Cutcliffe has done with the formerly moribund football program. I watch the team with  additional interest this year because Daniel Jones, the Blue Devils outstanding freshman quarterback, is from Charlotte and our daughter Kristin prepped him for his SAT tests. She had told me what an impressive young man he is and glad he chose Duke over Princeton.

Alan Adds:

It feels as if the two opening games were a continuation of the exhibition season, with the first real game this Tuesday against Kansas at Madison Square Garden (the late 9:30 pm game after Kentucky and  Michigan State on ESPN).  Coach K emphasized that “this team consists of nine players right now and it is a very good team.  We can win with this team.”   Coach K said that when the injured players returned the team would be a different team and he would coach that team then, but not at the present.  Right now he is coaching a team of 9.  While he gave everyone minutes against Marist, one can see how he will play this coming week by his use of the 9 man rotation against Grand Canyon.  His 9 consisted of a 6 man rotation + very minimal contributions from Antonio Vrankovich  (6 minutes), Javin DeLaurier (5 minutes) and Jack White (4 minutes).  The starting team consists of all returning players, including Chase Jeter.  Bill and I have very different evaluations of Chase so far this year, but a true evaluation has to await the three games against quality opponents that Duke will play in the next 8 days.  Chase has been a defensive force against the opening lesser competition, blocking shots (2 against Marist and 3 against Grand Canyon; he also had 3 steals against GC).  Against Marist the minutes were fairly evenly divided among the rotation of 6, but against GC, 3 players  played almost the entire game — Grayson, Luke, and Matt.  They were out of the game collectively for only 10 minutes.  Grayson and Luke played the entire game until garbage time (last 3 minutes).  Matt sat out only 4 minutes (he and Frank Jackson remained in the game during the last 3 minutes).  Amile played 29 minutes, Frank Jackson 25 and Chase 22.

The Defense

Duke has played many different defenses, but the staple is a pressing and trapping aggressive man to man.  Against Marist, Coach K kept the substitutions coming for most of the game so each player could go full out on defense and get a quick rest.  Duke played some zone (ineffectively) in both games.  The defense was a bit different when Coach K had only one big in the game (whether Chase or Amile) than when both were in together.  With only one big, Duke switched on every screen and made it nearly impossible for Grand Canyon to penetrate the perimeter.  It was Duke’s half-court defense at its best.  GC was a far better team than Marist, and jumped out to a 15-9 lead with 12 minutes left to play in the first half.  Then Duke kicked it up on both ends of the floor and for the next 15 minutes (12 in the first half and 3 in the second half) played beautiful basketball on both ends of the floor.  Duke held GC to 12 points in the remaining 12 minutes of the first half.  The guards rebounded well and the Devils ran at will.  Then, human nature took over as Duke’s lead stretched to 29, and the Devils got sloppy on offense and lazy on defense. GC dropped the lead to 19, exposing Duke’s transition defense, and profiting from some careless ball handling and bad shot selection.  Then Duke returned to form, finishing the game well (with Vrankovich, DeLaurier and White on the floor for the last 3 minutes).

The only two minor quibbles: 1) Duke had some bad lapses in transition defense; 2) Duke is committing team fouls putting the two opponents in the bonus and double bonus early in periods (Jeter and Jackson committed 4 against GC and Grayson 3; DeLaurier 4; Jones and Kennard 3 against Marist).  Before the injuries, Coach K made the point that the team was deep enough to avoid individual foul trouble, but wanted the team to concentrate on not putting teams in the bonus with team fouls.  Still a work in progress.

The Backcourt

Duke’s backcourt has looked world class, with time being apportioned among 4 players.  Each has had superb moments.  The ball handling is being handled by committee with each of the four (Luke a bit less) initiating the offense at different times.  It is clear that one motivation for Grayson’s return is to develop his point guard skills for the next level.  Matt has been a Jon Scheyer like point; very steady and an accurate shooter.  He has played very well in the opening games.  But the revelation is Frank Jackson.  He is not shy about shooting both from deep and off the drive (accurately), and has been a superb ball handler.  Moreover, he might be the best one to one defender on the team.  He hustles, as do they all, and looks as if he will be a very significant contributor this year.  Duke will not miss Derryck Thornton (this year).  This has the potential to be a great back court.  Foul shooting, which has been a bit off — even from Luke and Grayson — at crunch time will be key.

The Front Court

Duke’s weakness may be the front court until some or all of the injured freshmen return to the rotation.  Amile is so mobile, mature and steady that it makes us wonder about how last year might have gone had he not been injured.  Coach K said he was trying to do a bit too much in the first game as senior (actually post-grad) leader.  He is so solid.  However, Kansas is big and mobile, and will be a challenge for Duke’s depleted front court.  Chase is the other big in the rotation.  His offense has been a bit inconsistent, but I have seen his confidence grow as he develops his skill in the post.  Neither replacement is ready for prime time.  Javin is big and athletic, but still a freshman who will develop.  Vrankovich is intriguing.  First, he is over 7 feet, and, second, he has deft hands and more athletic ability than I first observed.  Duke will need him if the injured freshmen take a significant time to heal and return.

But when the freshmen do return, that Duke team (as opposed to “this” Duke team) should be awesome.  Tatum is 6’8” and can score from both perimeter and interior; in the half court set or in transition.  I believe he will be a star on both ends this year.  Bolden had one terrific exhibition game, but has not played since.  He is a true center at 6’10” with the bulk and skill to dominate (or at least hold his own) even against Kansas type opponents.  Giles is, of course, the most intriguing.  He has not played in over a year, but was the consensus #1 high school player before his ACL injury last November.  He had made progress in his rehab when he had a setback, which required additional arthroscopic surgery.  There is no time table for the return of any.  Coach K has emphasized the danger of bringing each of them back too fast (both Tatum and Giles sustained additional injuries after returning to practice).  He is reputed to be a superb interior defender and rim protector.

We will know much more about this team after Kansas, Penn State and either Cincinnati or Rhode Island in the next 8 days.

Duke  75 –  Kansas 77

Although this was a tough but not surprising loss, it demonstrated once again why Duke Basketball is so compelling. The Blue Devils played so poorly for the so much of the second half as Kansas controlled the game and was ahead double digits with about five minutes to go that I was going to write that these players would be lucky to have a .500 record in ACC play. Grayson Allen was about oh-for-the-night, the Devils were in foul trouble, the Jayhawk backcourt was scoring seemingly at will and dominating all phases of the game. Then, Allen started scoring like he did last year, Kennard and Jackson made plays and shots and Duke unexpectedly and inexplicably made a run to tie the game. The fact that Frank Mason made a jumper over Matt Jones in the last seconds was disappointing but appropriate as he was the dominant player the entire game. But that was almost incidental as the game was another reminder how a Coach K team can be outmanned, outplayed yet almost pull out a seemingly unwinnable game. In the long run, it might be  a motivational wake-up call for the players to realize they are not invincible or even unbeatable. Grayson, for instance, had his worst game of the season a year ago against Kentucky in this very venue and recovered to have an All-American  season. This injuries have left the Blue Devils with just a six-man rotation and a clear size disadvantage in the frontcourt. Throw in a tough, veteran Kansas team as an opponent and foul trouble that ended up costing Amile Jefferson the game’s final minutes, and it was, frankly, a surprise that Duke had enough in its tank to tie the game. As talented as Duke’s players are, mental toughness is their defining characteristic.

And that makes Duke’s narrow loss all the more impressive. There’s a reason Krzyzewski said he was encouraged afterward. Grayson Allen, banged up and frustrated, didn’t play his best yet scored a three and a layup to bring the Blue Devils within three points with a minute to play. Then, Frank Jackson, Duke’s only healthy freshman, hit two monster three-pointer. Luke Kennard led all scorers with 22 points on the night. Even the at-times awkward Chase Jeter got a compliment from his coach for how hard and well he played.

“I think we’re a good team — otherwise we’d get blown out of here tonight,” Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski said. “But we’re a limited team right now. We’re not who we imagined ourselves to be. But that’s not an excuse. That’s just the way it is. We’ll see what happens when we get guys back. I think these experiences are good. “We didn’t lose because we were short-handed tonight. We lost because Kansas played better than us and (Frank) Mason is a big-time winner.”

“Overall, it was good for us,” Krzyzewski said. “You learn a lot from (playing) at this level of the game.”

Alan Adds:

While Duke lost a heartbreaker on a buzzer beater by Kansas, Duke fans can take plenty of solace from the loss.  Duke played with only six players (De Laurier played less than a minute as the seventh), all of whom were in foul trouble throughout the game.  I will not talk about the way the game was officiated (Bilas did that beyond reason).   Coach K was clear Duke did not lose because they were shorthanded; Duke lost to a team that simply played better.  Shockingly, Duke had all the attributes of a team badly coached: 16 turnovers; six players committed 22 fouls; Duke could not defend the interior (Kansas was 31 for 47 from inside the arc); and could not protect its defensive board (Kansas had 14 offensive rebounds, most resulting in Jayhawk points).

Duke lost the game in the first 10 minutes of the second half, after leading by 5 at the break.  Coach K’s insight was “Kansas really knocked us back at the start of the second half.”  Duke was terrible on defense and sloppy with turnovers on offense.  “We can play good defense, but we were not.  We were stagnant.”   Coach K called several timeouts to try and get Duke straightened out, pointing out that offense is adversely affected when the team plays lazy defense. Then, Coach K said, at the 10 minute mark his team came out of its funk, “boom! We played really good basketball for the last 8-10 minutes.”  In that time, you also saw Duke’s fighting spirit (remember last year’s outmanned team) and player adjustment.  In the last 10 minutes both Frank Jackson and Grayson Allen came alive to bring Duke back.  Kennard was the player of the game and at this stage of the season, looks to be Duke’s best player.  He led the team in scoring (22), rebounding (5) and assists (5) plus having the only blocked shot by a perimeter player.

The Backcourt

In the first half, Duke turned the ball over 11 times against only 4 assists (but led by 5).  Frank Jackson did not score in the first half and seemed lost (0-2; 0-1 from deep), but he came alive in the last 10 minutes of the game to look like Duke’s point guard of the future.  I would be more sure of that if he had had at least one assist.  Duke turned it over on its first 2 possessions of the second half and continued to be sloppy in those first 10 minutes.  Then Jackson asserted himself in the last 10 minutes, scoring 11 points on 3-3 shooting including 2 3s — the last of which dramatically tied the game with 7 seconds left.  He played 30 minutes.  In the second half Duke got 2 assists from Jefferson, 3 from Kennard, 2 from Grayson and 1 from Matt Jones.   Matt played all 40 minutes and had a superb game with 11 points (4-7 from the field and 3-5 from deep) to go with 3 boards, 2 assists (0 turnovers) and a steal.  I did think he got tired at the end, but he supplied valuable leadership.  Kennard’s numbers are even more impressive when closely studied.  He scores when Duke needs him (6 in the first half when Duke led; 16 in the second half to keep Duke in the game).  In 35 minutes, he was 7-10 from the field, including 2-4 from 3land and 6-6 from the line.  He committed less than four fouls (3).  He and Grayson Allen (2) were the only Duke players who did not foul out (Jefferson) or have four fouls at game’s end.  Until the last few minutes, Grayson had what Coach K called “a frustrating game”.   He noted that Grayson seemed to expect to be fouled on his drives.  “You can’t do that”, said Coach K.  He also noted that Grayson played hard with the ball, but not without it until the end.  The he started moving better and Duke became cohesive.  Kansas’s defense on Allen was simply outstanding.  Tellingly, Allen was only 1-7 from deep (4-15 from the floor and 3-4 from the line for 12 points in 38 minutes.  While he had 3 boards, 3 assists and only turned it over once, it was not an All-American or Player of the Year game for him.

The Frontcourt

Both Chase Jeter and Amile Jefferson had really good first halves and weak second halves.  Jeter is playing well, but still has deficiencies — 5-10 from the line and an inability to finish at the basket (turning an easy deuce into 50% foul shooting).  In the first half, Jeter was 4-6 from the line and 1-1 from the field for 6 points, 3 boards, 2 blocks and a steal.  He did have 3 turnovers and committed 2 fouls.  In the second half, Jeter continued to play good defense, but his offense deserted him.  He was 0-3 from the field (all right under the hoop) and 1-4 from the line.  Still, he is much improved from last season.  Coach K reminds us that he just turned 18 and is very young for a sophomore.  Jefferson, too, had a desultory second half and overall a disappointing game.  In the first half, he was 4-5 from the field and 3-5 from the line for 11 points with 4 boards.  In the second half, he missed his only shot from the field; was 1-2 from the line for only a single second half point and he failed to haul in a single rebound in the second half.   In 30 minutes, he committed 7 turnovers before fouling out.  Kansas beat Duke badly on the interior — especially its offensive rebounding.  If Kansas had not been 2-17 from 3land and 9-19 from the line, Duke would have been blown out.   Clearly the return of the freshman bigs — Bolden and Giles — will go a long way to changing Duke’s interior fortunes.  Tatum will add firepower and defense.  But that is then; this team that played Kansas is now.

Assessment

Duke gained valuable experience playing against a Kansas team that will be (barring injury) one of the nation’s top teams this year.  As Coach K said, “we learned a lot”.  This team has fighting heart, firepower and enormous potential.  This was a great game and no reason for any Duke heads to hang.

Duke 78 – Penn State 68 

Duke 75 – Rhode Island 65 

What in the name of  Dr. James Naismith is going on? Have the basketball gods decided that Coach K has won too many games and titles and that injuries are the only way to level the playing field and keep the “hate Duke” fans from acting like millennials after the recent presidential election? The potential starting front court for a lot of NBA teams was on the Duke bench dressed for a GQ photoshoot not a basketball game–then Chase Jeter goes down and is carried to the dressing room. The only time Grayson Allen leaves the court is to limp into the dressing room for medical attention. After the Penn State game, Amile Jefferson, last year’s devastating casualty, cuts an ESPN interview short saying he has to go ice down to get healthy for the Rhode Island game. I used to be amused when former Redskin Hall-of-Fame Coach Joe Gibbs would say a key player was “nicked” only to learn that John Riggins was at Sibley Hospital in traction until noon Saturday. Of course, John being John, he played the next day and gained about 150 yards. The Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski played the second half last week’s game against the Seattle Seahawks with a punctured lung. Seemingly yesterday crippled Chase Jeter even made a few cameos on Sunday. At this level, players do what they have to do. 

Whatever is going on, this Duke team played against Penn State like it is depleted, nicked, and tired. Grayson obviously is  “nicked”  ( toe and/or foot) and is clearly not himself  as he cannot hit a three, run, or explode very well but is dead solid from the foul line where he can shoot flat-footed. Fortunately, these players are West Point tough and they have each other’s back. Jefferson was the MVP demon at both ends, posting back to back two double doubles; Luke Kennard is playing with more confidence and consistency and scored enough points to replace Grayson’s ten point offensive shortfall; Matt Jones and Frank Jackson also chipped in at crucial times. However, it was the defense that set the table for gutting out this impressive win.

 Make no mistake, Rhode Island is a very talented team made up of a tough, city playground type players (coached by Danny Hurley) much like St. Johns, which used to give Duke such a difficult time in Madison Square Garden. Raise your hand if you thought Duke would win wire-to-wire. I wasn’t even sure at halftime that the Blue Devils were going to win. Some people never learn. 

Bottom line: It was a very impressive win that even Dick Vitale didn’t see happening until it was apparent to everyone else. 

Additional Comments:

  • Krzyzewski said Grayson Allen was playing at about 50 percent because of a toe issue. While his scoring average is down Coach K said it was one of his best passing games. Grayson even mentioned to assistant Jon Scheyer: “You know, coach, it’s amazing what you can see when you can’t shoot.”
  • Turf toe or whatever injury Grayson Allen has is of concern, because this type of injury often takes a long time to heal. However, even at less than full speed, Allen is a tremendous asset on the floor.

Note: I will be travelling the rest of the week. We will post a summary a week from today.

Alan Adds:

The Hall of Fame Tournament did not appear to be favorably placed in Duke’s schedule — third game in 6 days; fifth game in 8 days; four injured front court players, including the 3 highly rated freshmen.  Duke had only six rotation players, and Chase Jeter was hurt early in the first game, leaving Duke with essentially a rotation of five for the entire tournament.  Back when Bill and I were undergraduates, Duke’s team — also small, playing a non-existent rotation — was nicknamed, “The Flaming Five”.  Duke’s team in this tournament took on that persona, and may have even improved on it.  As it turned out, Duke’s participation in this tournament was, in my opinion, crucial to the development of this team and its chances for a National Championship.  Here’s why:

This Duke team played beautiful basketball as a cohesive unit on both ends of the floor.  One picture is worth 1,000 words.  Against Rhode Island, Duke took 60 shots.  The even distribution of those shots — Jefferson and Jones 13, Kennard, Allen and Jackson 11 each — is symbolic of a team with five valuable players who know how to play together.  Duke struggled from 3 land [6-21; but consider Luke was 4-5; Grayson and Jackson were 0-9 and Jones 2-7], but shot well over 50% from inside the arc and 15-17 from the foul line.  Each of Duke’s five played extremely well at both ends of the court, almost without relief.  The bench provided only 12 minutes [Chase 8 minutes and Vrankovich 4].  Kennard and Matt Jones played the entire 40 minutes, while Grayson came out of the game briefly (listed as a minute, but really only a few seconds).  Frank Jackson sat for 7 minutes, mostly because of picking up his 3rd foul early in the second half.  Amile sat for 4 minutes, almost all of that time after he picked up his third foul.  Jeter played those several possessions well, but as Coach K said, “we needed Amile on the floor”.  Of course, Duke did.  He had 17 points and 15 rebounds, controlling the defensive boards and Rhode Island’s excellent interior game.  He was even 1-1 from the foul line, completing a 3 point play.  In the first game against Penn State, Amile had 15 boards to go with 16 points and four blocks [but 4-10 from the foul line].  Perhaps Jefferson is most valuable as a coordinator of the defense and defender.  He is playing at the same high level that he played at last year before he was hurt.  Luke had a monster game; Rhode Island could not defend him.  He scored 24 efficient points, taking only 11 shots [ 8-11; 4-5 from deep; 4-4 from the line] to go with 7 rebounds and 2 assists.  Rhode Island could not guard him with a big, and so eventually went small.  That played into Duke’s hand on defense, allowing Duke to switch every screen.  Duke played admirable defense, holding a good team to 65 points.  Matt Jones is Duke’s glue.  He is the best defender, reliable outside shooter, leader and hustle playmaker.   He scored 13 points on 13 shots (4-13; 2-7; 3-4 from the line).  Coach K is unstinting in his praise of the defensive contributions of the combination of Jefferson and Jones.  As Coach K pointed out, Grayson is unable to push off his toe, which has adversely affected his shooting, but not the rest of his game.  Grayson guarded Mathews, one of Rhode Island’s best scorers, and effectively took him out of the game.  Coach K said it was Allen’s best passing game, and he is a rebounding guard (5).  Allen scored 10 on 3-11 from the field; 0-5 from deep; and 4-4 from the line.  He had 3 assists and 2 steals to go with his rebounding.  He may not be shooting well, but he is playing heroically.  Frank Jackson has been a revelation.  One feels secure when he has the ball in his hands, and he seems unguardable.  In his 33 minutes, he was 4-11; 0-4; 3-4 from the line for 11 points.  He is a great defender and athlete, who has that knack of delivering in the clutch.  The injured freshmen will have to live up to their press clippings to be considered more valuable to this team than Frank Jackson.

Coach K, Jefferson and Kennard all echoed the same theme in the post-game press conference.  This team has amazing inner toughness fueled by the strong bond among this group of players.  They share the ball and play cohesive defense.  In some ways the team reminded me of the 1970 to ’73 Knicks.  Each player is good enough to command a double team, and when it comes that player finds the open man.  If it doesn’t come, points go up on the scoreboard.  Coach K said that the team is getting more comfortable with small ball, “which is neat.  They are playing beautiful basketball.”  Yes, they are!

Duke 78 – Michigan State 69 

It never gets old for Duke fans and infuriates Duke haters. Coach K finds a way to win games even when his players, for whatever reason(s), do not have their “A” game and probably should not win. Since Alan gives a very comprehensive coverage of the game, I am going to take the time to hit the pause button and reflect upon some astonishing historical data of which you might not be fully aware—or fully appreciate.

Tom Izzo is one of the very best recruiters and big game coaches in basketball. However, Coach K owns him. Just look at the record. The irony of this particular loss was not lost on Tom Izzo. If there had been one recent thread in his inability to beat Duke, a drought that is now almost 12 years, it was that so many of his veteran Michigan State teams were derailed by Duke’s very young, very raw talent. Izzo didn’t have to mention Kyrie Irving’s 31-point explosion in 2010, or the Final Four loss to the Blue Devils’ freshmen in 2015, but it was clearly on his mind. And as Izzo reflected upon yet another loss to a Triangle powerhouse – that makes 13 straight now against Mike Krzyzewski and Roy Williams – he could only shake his head that his team built around four talented freshmen was utterly undone by a six-man Duke rotation that had only one freshman and all the poise Izzo is accustomed to being able to rely upon. “Usually they’re the team with the younger guys and we’re the team with the veterans,” Izzo said.

Matt Norlander

CBS Sports column:

“One of the truly ridiculous streaks in sports that refuses to die. It might continue so long as Mike Krzyzewski is still coaching. There’s no evidence to suggest otherwise.

We need to reflect on, and talk about, the insanity of Duke’s nonconference home winning streak. It’s now at 130 games. One-hundred-and-freaking-thirty. I can’t quite understand how it’s gotten to this point. No team from outside the ACC has won at Cameron in almost 17 years. Five-star players being recruited by Duke now were not born the last time the Blue Devils lost at home to a non-league opponent.

The 130 number is 89 more than the program currently with the second-best home non-con winning streak (Wichita State), which sits at 41 in a row. Dominant programs almost never even hit 50 straight. Jon Scheyer, an assistant on K’s staff, was 12 years old the last time Duke was beaten at Cameron by a nonconference opponent.

And even when you account for how many unnecessary buy games Mike Krzyzewski has scheduled over the eras, and there have been many, it’s still ridiculous. Duke’s Tuesday night win moved the program to 16-2 all time in the Big Ten/ACC Challenge. A lot of those games have come on Duke’s home floor against ranked Big Ten competition. Nine ranked teams, including programs such as IndianaOhio StateGeorgetownWisconsin and Stephen Curry’s Davidson‘s group (twice), have all tried and failed.

And just 16 of the 130 wins over the past 6,123 days have been decided by single digits, the most recent coming on Tuesday night. For nearly 17 years, a Duke win at home over a non-ACC opponent has resulted in a single-digit spread 12 percent of the time. That’s almost as absurd as the streak itself..

Nobody can clip the Blue Devils. The last team to do it? Mike Jarvis’ St. John’s team all the way back on Feb. 26, 2000, an aberrational, very late out-of-league game. Duke only lost by one point (83-82), and was ranked No. 2 in the country at the time. St. John’s wasn’t ranked, but the win acted as a slingshot to a No. 2 seed in that year’s NCAA Tournament for the Red Storm. “When somebody asks me about some of the most significant accomplishments of my life, I point to that game,” former St. John’s coach Mike Jarvis said. A program that lost at home to pitiable Delaware State (and what’s that about?) on Tuesday night — that’s the last non-ACC college hoops franchise to get K in Cameron.

“We had some huge wins, winning the Big East, winning the NIT championship and cutting down the nets,” Jarvis told NCAA.com. “Honestly, that day was probably just as special.”

That Duke team had Shane Battier, Jay Williams (he was Jason Williams back then) and Carlos Boozer. St. John’s had (ready for these names?) Erick Barkley and Bootsy Thornton, who hit the winning shot with 13 ticks to go.

The streak is obviously the longest in program history — and one of the longest in college basketball history — as it’s long since outlasted Duke’s near-13-year run from February of ’83 into December of ’95, when the program went 95 in a row against non-con opponents without dropping a home tilt. 

Krzyzewski’s all-time home win percentage is .888, with a record of 494-62. That’s including quality competition within the ACC. Non-conference win percentage at home for K, all time? I couldn’t find the exact numbers, but it’s got to be north of 98 percent. The NCAA.com article linked above cites merely three home non-con losses for Duke between 1983 to present day. Phenomenal. This column of dominance is the most underrated aspect to Krzyzewski’s mammoth coaching legacy. Even if you account for all the cupcakes, you still occasionally should slip up, and it just doesn’t happen. Duke is nearly unbeatable in that building.

And guess what — this streak is going to live on well into 2017. Because Maine and Tennessee, the only non-conference opponents remaining on Duke’s home schedule this season? Yeah, they’re not walking out of Cameron Indoor as victors. The streak’s going to grow to 132, gestate for another 10 months, and then likely continue through all of next season.

Most of the folks who love to hate Duke enjoy the Blue Devils most when they watch them lose in the NCAA Tournament. But that happens almost every year. Seeing Duke fall at home to any team is rare enough. Dropping a home game to a non-conference team has become college basketball’s version of Halley’s Comet, only there’s no promise we’ll see it again before Coach K decides to retire. 

Alan Adds:

Let’s talk about Duke’s defensive performance in the second half, which was impressive and really won the game for Duke.  In this game, Duke was outshot; out-rebounded; missed 9 of 20 from the foul line (previously a major strength);  Matt Jones and Luke Kennard combined for 1-13 from behind the arc; while Matt scored only 2 points playing a full 40 minutes.  Duke played only 6, with Jeter playing 21 minutes (spelling Jackson for 13 minutes; Jefferson for 5 and Grayson for 3).  Luke joined Jones as a 40 minute Iron Man.  As Coach K said, “they came to wear us out; and by the end we were worn out.  Our older guys know how to win when they are tired.  I have a group of tough kids.”

With 14 minutes left in the game, the score was tied at 48.  Michigan State scored only 9 points in the next 8 minutes and 38 seconds as Duke played simply outstanding defense,  The Spartans had only 57 points with 5 minutes and 22 seconds left to play.  Moreover, Michigan State made only one more basket in the next 2 and a half minutes while Duke extended its lead to 14 (73-59) with only 2 minutes and 45 seconds left to play.  Human nature took over and the Spartans scored 10 in garbage time, but never made it close.   Duke’s transition defense was suspect in the first half and toward game’s end, but during the crucial spurt, Duke’s defense was devastating.

Duke was efficient offensively from inside the arc, but unusually abysmal from deep (7 – 26)  and the foul line where Allen missed 2 (5-7), Kennard missed 2 (3-5), Jefferson missed 3 (3-6) and Matt Jones (0-2).  The winning spurt for Duke came with the game tied at 48.  While Duke’s defense stifled the Spartans and turned Michigan State over, the Duke offense picked up steam.  Grayson made a layup on a gorgeous feed from Jackson and was fouled.  Jeter subbed in for Jefferson with 13:38 to go.  Coach K went to Jackson (“just a feeling”), who scored on a jumper and a nifty drive.  Luke hit a jumper and Allen was fouled on a drive and made both foul shots for a 10 point lead.  Jefferson came back in for Jeter when he committed a foul with 10:51 to play.   Michigan State made 1 of 2 and then hit a 3 to reduce the lead to 6 with 10:20 to play.  That turned out to be the Spartans’ last gasp.  A gorgeous Jackson 3 with a hockey assist from Kennard and a wondrous assist from Allen was sandwiched between a Kennard steal and a Kennard block to push the lead to 9.  It got back to double digits when Jefferson made 1 – 2 from the line and Duke was never seriously threatened from there.

Allen led Duke in scoring with 24 in his 37 minutes, but on 21 shots. He was 2-5 from deep in the first half and 3-6 in the second.  Overall he was 7-21, which means 2-10 from inside the arc with 4 turnovers.  The Spartans played Allen (and Duke in general) well on the drives.  The offhand help came and frequently disrupted the dribble drive causing a few turnovers.  Grayson is heroic, especially on the defensive end and protecting the defensive back board (4).  He is not able to practice — not a minute, said Coach K.  This may be a reason that Allen is not shooting this year as well as he did last year.  Coach K is hoping to get Allen some rest and back to health.  Matt Jones played the entire game, which Coach K described as “a spectacular 2 point performance.”  Jones played the freshman Spartan star, Myles Bridges, and essentially took him out of the game.  Bridges fouled out in his 34 minutes, being held to 11 points on 4-13 shooting.  Coach K lauded Jones as one of the nation’s best defenders, and emphasized Matt’s 4 steals as disrupting the Spartan offense.  He guards the best scorer on the other team and he is “only about winning”.   He just couldn’t make wide open 3s (0-6) or a foul shot (0-2).  Kennard was absolutely brilliant (if you discount his 1-7 from behind the arc).  Coach K said he has been healthy only for the last 3 weeks and that he “is as consistently good as anyone on the team.”  In his Iron Man 40, Cool Hand Luke went 8-18 from the field — meaning 7-11 from inside the arc — and grabbed a crucial 6 boards.  Jackson had a great second half after being limited to 12 minutes in the first half by foul trouble.  He logged 27 minutes scoring a very efficient 11 on 6 shots  [5-6; 1-2 from deep without getting to the line] to go with 4 good rebounds and a block.

On the interior, Amile Jefferson had another simply great game, while Chase Jeter became a valuable contributor.  Jefferson does it all: defends the post, is a dexterous help defender, rebounds like a demon, and scores in the post.  If he could only be an adequate foul shooter.  In 35 minutes, Jefferson had yet another double double scoring 17 [7-12 but only 3-6 from the line] to go with 13 boards, 3 assists and a block.  He is having a great season and providing real leadership.  Chase played big minutes (21) and played “the best he has played,”  said Coach K.  He scored 4 on 2-2 from the field (a nifty post move and a put back) to go with 4 boards, a block, and some good defense (though not without a lapse or two).  Coach K lauded his upper class players as having earned their way to their current (star?) status.  The three upper class players all have won a National Championship and provide the intangibles.  Coach K pointed out that “this was not inherited wealth”; they had to earn everything that they have so far accomplished.”

The injured freshmen are making progress.  Jayson Tatum was reported to have a very good work out.  “He’s close”, said the coach.  While the other two — Harry Giles and Marquis Bolden — are “getting close, it will be a while.”

Duke 94 –  Maine 55

#3 North Carolina loses to Indiana, #1 Kentucky loses to UCLA in Lexington, uber-freshmen Jayson Tatum and Marques Bolden return for #5 Duke—Game On!

It has been an injury plagued but nevertheless impressive start of the season for the Duke 8-1 team that has been missing three potential starters as they have only lost to a highly rated Kansas on a last minute shot. Well, today Tatum and Bolden played while Grayson Allen and Frank Jackson watched from the bench beside Harry Giles, who is said to be ready to play for real sometime this month. If you thought these freshmen, as talented as they may be, are in mid-season form, think again. Even against  2-5 Maine, they were rusty and as for most of the first half, the defense was definitely subpar.

Going forward (assuming everyone stays healthy), it will be interesting to see how Coach K manages the lineups and the minutes. This team will potentially be nine players deep, can go big, small, or hybrid. However, sometimes a team can be too talented. You can only play five players at a time and there is only one basketball. Will Grayson, picked as the preseason Player of the Year, resent or embrace Kennard’s increased offensive productivity or Tatum, who is not bashful, taking a rebound and going coast to coast, or Frank Jackson being touted by announcers as the best athlete on the team?

Year after year, one of the fascinating aspects of Coach K’s teams is that they generally overachieve. If this one just plays to its talent, it probably wins another NCAA Championship. If not…. However, managing these egos cannot be more difficult or challenging than coaching the pros on an Olympic team.

Other Observations:

  • Coach Krzyzewski: “Grayson needs more than one game out, but hopefully he’ll be ready by Tuesday,” noting that Allen is dealing with a form of turf toe. “We think Frank Jackson will be ready to go for Tuesday—he has a little bit of a sore foot. He’s played an unbelievable amount of minutes.”
  • Duke’s nonconference home winning streak at Cameron is 131 games. No team from outside the ACC has won at Cameron in almost 17 years. Players now being recruited by Duke were not even born the last time the Blue Devils lost at home to a non-league opponent.

Alan Adds:

No one looking at the Duke schedule in October could have foreseen what a watershed event in the Duke season, the Maine game would turn out to be.  Coach K finally listened to Bill and gave Grayson Allen a game off to rest his turf toe.  He (Coach K; not Bill) explained that Grayson’s turf toe is on the side not right under the toe.  Certain positions of the foot in play cause considerable pain, but it is not constant pain and is healing.  Grayson will play in the next game against Florida on Tuesday in Madison Square Garden (aka Cameron North).  Frank Jackson was also rested, apparently with a sore foot, and as Coach K said, “he has played a ton of minutes”.  He too will play on Tuesday.  It was “watershed” because of the long anticipated debut of both Jayson Tatum and Marquis Bolden, and the start of reintegrating them (and Harry Giles) into a team that has already formed.  It is sure to present some unique problems, but it would be hard to find someone better equipped or more experienced in handling such “problems” than Coach K (think USA Basketball).

The game itself was a tale of two halves (almost; really 15 minutes and 25 minutes).  In the first half,  Duke’s defense was slow, lacked intensity, and the offense was also a bit off.  As Luke Kennard admitted afterward,  “We started a little slow. We gave up some shots we shouldn’t have given up. We didn’t play our kind of defense, and didn’t share the ball as well as we should.”  Duke played much better defense in the late first half and most of the second half to simply take the heart out of Maine.

The Freshmen

Jayson Tatum started along with veterans Jefferson, Jones, Kennard and Jeter.  As Bill said, the rust was evident, but so was his enormous skill and basketball intelligence.  The veterans and Jayson played almost the entire first half.  Jones and Kennard did not come out (20 minutes).  You might note that they were the only two guards available with both Jackson and Allen indisposed.  Jefferson played all but a few seconds and Tatum played 18 of the 20 minutes.  Kennard (20), Jefferson (11) and Tatum (8 – on 2-7 from the field including 1-2 from deep and 3-4 from the line) scored 39 of Duke’s 46 first half points.  Tatum added 2 free throws in the two minutes of the second half that he played before cramps finished off his debut night.  There is no doubt that he is the real deal.  He was aggressive to the basket and earned 6 free throw attempts in addition to his 8 boards and a block in just 20 minutes.  It was a bad moment seeing him on the floor holding his leg, but Coach K was clear in the press conference that there was no re-injury.

Marquis Bolden played his first 7 minutes in the first half, replacing Jeter (who logged 13 minutes).  He played another 5 minutes in the second half before retiring for the game.  Coach K said he had not done much for five weeks and he simply ran out of gas.  Bolden looked rusty but extremely agile, athletic and talented.  In 12 minutes, he scored 7 (3-5; 1-2 from the line) while hauling in 5 boards and blocking a shot.  He also committed 3 turnovers.  Contrast to Jeter who, in twice as many minutes, scored 4 points, grabbed 1 board, and committed 5 turnovers.  Bolden looks as if he will be a significant contributor if he is allowed to work himself slowly back into game shape and the rotation.

Harry Giles is, according to Coach K, “getting closer.”  He participated in 5 on 5 drills for the first time.  While his reputation (based on solid performance) is extremely high, we should anticipate a reasonably long re-integration.  Unlike Bolden, who missed a few weeks, Giles has not played in almost 13 months.  In some ways, the more measured reintegration of the heralded freshmen with the over achieving veterans helps Coach K answer the potential problems that Bill insightfully described above.

Javin De Laurier took Tatum’s 2 minutes in the first half (grabbing 2 boards in that cameo) and 13 in the second half, in which he was 1-1 from the field and 1-2 from the line to go with 3 more boards and a block.  He may not contribute significantly this year, but he will be a valuable player for Duke for several more years.

Jack White played 10 minutes (9+ in the second half) scoring 4 and grabbing 4 boards.  Like Javin, he could be a significant contributor in the years to come.

The Backcourt

Scoring wise, it was the Luke Kennard Show.  The statistics are eye-opening.  Luke played 34 minutes (the last 6 minutes of the second half both he and Jones were on the bench.  So, who was Duke’s point guard and primary ball handler?  Stay tuned!) scoring 35 [11-16; 4-9 from 3land; 9-9 from the line] to go with 8 rebounds, 2 assists and a block.  9-9 from the foul line is an incredible weapon.  Jefferson (4-4), Tatum and Luke were 18-19 from the stripe.  They also pulled down 25 boards among them.

Jones is, in my opinion (and Coach K’s) the soul of this team.  He also played 34 minutes, but took only 4 shots and hit 1 of 2 3s for 3 points.  It is easy to notice that Jones shoots (he is well over 40% from 3land) when Duke needs a hoop, but not at all when Duke is rolling comfortably.  He is a superb defender, and reliable, if not fancy, as a ball handler.  Both he and Luke left the game with 6 minutes to go.  The ball handling duties then fell to Amile Jefferson.  While it creates smiles, it is telling when your primary big guy is also a very competent (and Amile looked very confident, and has apparently been practicing the role) ball handler.  Remember Coach K used Danny Ferry and Shane Battier as ball handlers against the press in the past.

The Frontcourt

Amile was (once again) superb, even though he missed a double/double by one rebound.  He set his personal record for points with 20 (8-11; 4-4 from the line) to go with 9 boards, 4 assists (I don’t know how many were from his point guard position) 2 blocks and 2 steals.  Jefferson is getting better and better, exuding confidence and leadership.  Right now he IS the Duke front court against upper echelon competition.

Jeter started, playing 13 minutes in the first half and 9 in the second.  His 5 turnovers are a problem.  He will have to play better in order to stay in the rotation.

Antonio Vrankovich continues to impress (but do remember the level of competition).  In 13 minutes, he was 4-5 for 8 points with 3 boards, 2 assists and  a block.  Not shabby.

Summing Up

It was a watershed day because of the return of Jayson and Marquis, the superb performances of Kennard and Jefferson, and the positive prognosis for Harry Giles.

Duke 84 – Florida 74

Does anyone doubt that Jason Tatum is the real deal and makes this Duke team much better at both ends of the court or that Amile Jefferson and Luke Kennard have improved more in one year than any two Duke players in memory? Anyone who was concerned that there is only one ball (and I’m talking about myself) does not have to worry when all the players share the ball as well and as often as these Blue Devils did tonight. They had 16 assists and, at times, moved the ball with breathtaking precision and speed.

And player rotation. What rotation? When Amile Jefferson is working on 24 points and 15 rebounds, Luke Kennard on 29 points, uber freshman Jayson Tatum on 22 points 8 rebounds, 3 steals, an assist and a block, Grayson on 8 assists, and Jones is a shut-down defender who does not look for his shot, who, other than for a breather,  would you want to sit? And this was in Madison Square Garden against #21 Florida, not in Cameron against some overmatched soft touch. So far, Jefferson is putting up better numbers with more efficiency than any post player in Duke’s history and Luke Kennard is making scoring points look like he is casually playing in a rec league pickup game.

After getting a facial on his  first couple of shots, Jason Tatum realized this is not high school anymore, kicked his game up a couple of gears, and put on a sophisticated clinic of finesse forward offense. He has one of the best soft shooting touches you will see in a man of his size–heck, any size. Yes, I am definitely a buyer of this stock.

Other Thoughts: 

  • Grayson Allen is either still hurting and/or lost his some confidence in his shot. You can see he is not nearly as explosive as he was last year and his jump shot just isn’t there. However, his assists led to 20 points and while he is shooting like Alan Silber, he is seeing the floor and passing like Tom Brady.
  • Marques Bolden was the only player who did not look happy. Two fouls in two minutes is not Duke Basketball.
  • Mike Krzyzewski’s Duke teams are 29-10 at Madison Square Garden.  The Blue Devils lead the all-time series with Florida 13-4.
  • Florida young coach is Michael White, son of Duke Athletic Director Kevin White.
  • Dick Vitale is a nice, generous man who loves basketball but a little of him goes a long way.

Alan Adds:

Duke in Cameron North (aka The World’s Most Famous Arena — Madison Square Garden) playing a ranked opponent in the Jimmy V Classic —  it just doesn’t get much better than that in December college hoops.  But for the Blue Devil faithful, it was indeed much better.  Amile Jefferson had his best game ever and is serving notice of just how good a player he has become.  Luke Kennard was so efficient that at least one commentator has said he is in contention for National Player of the Year.  But the finest Blue Devil holiday plum was the return to form of Jayson Tatum.  While those three handled the scoring, Grayson Allen was a superb ball handler, passer, rebounder and defender even though he scored only 6 points.  Matt Jones did not score at all, but again was a defensive standout, secure ball handler and leader.  Frank Jackson had a slow game and may be hurt more than has been advertised.

The rotation

When practice began and all except Harry Giles were healthy, Coach K said his starting lineup was: Jefferson, Allen, Jones, Tatum and Bolden with Kennard and Jackson coming off the bench first.  With the injuries, Coach K moved Luke into a starter, and alternated between Jackson and Chase Jeter as the fifth starter (with Jackson securing the starting role after a couple of games).  Against Maine, Tatum (20 minutes) and Bolden (12 minutes) returned, though both looked rusty.  If you thought that return would lengthen Duke’s bench, it did not do so last night.  Bolden played 2 minutes (picked up 2 fouls) and Jeter only a minute (1 foul and 1 turnover).  The rotation was essentially 6 with Tatum replacing Jeter as the 6th man (he will be a starter going forward).  Jackson played 20 minutes — only 9 in the second half when he failed to score or have a statistic besides 0-1.  In the first half he scored 3 (1-4; 1-2 from deep).  Coach K pointed out that this team is not practicing — “our practices are just shooting and walk throughs”.  Bolden is not practicing; Tatum did not practice before the Maine game and has had only one practice after.  He was in St. Louis at the funeral of his great grandmother on Monday.  Jefferson was at the funeral of his grandmother, who is the woman that brought him up.  So neither was at the Monday session.  Allen is not practicing and Jackson is dinged up as well.  The good news is that Harry Giles is close to ready.  He has not played in contact, but Coach K suggested (with reservations) that he can be back “before Christmas”.  Vrankovich, DeLaurier, and White did not play at all.

Tatum

Against Florida, Tatum moved into the starting lineup — in reality he didn’t do it until the last 8 minutes of the first half.  Jayson replaced Jackson after 4 minutes and 9 seconds had elapsed, but was still out of sync.  He had his first 3 shots blocked and looked insecure.  He played 3 and a half minutes before Coach K took him out and told him, “We need you to play like you can play.”   With a bit under 9 minutes to go Jayson returned to the game and began to “play like he can play”.  He immediately made a layup, got rebounds, played good interior defense and then made the play of the game.  He made a great steal and superb pass that ended up in a Jefferson layup to put Duke ahead by a point.  Coach K said the play turned the game around and turned Jayson around as well.  From there on he was superb.  In the last 9 minutes of the first half he scored 6, grabbed 4 boards, and had 2 blocks.  In hindsight, one could have said, “you ain’t seen nothin’ yet!”  Jayson simply took the game over (with Kennard) in the second half.  After playing 12 minutes in the first half, Jayson did not miss a shot in his 17 second half minutes [4-4 from the field; 8-8 from the foul line for 16 second half points and 22 for the game].  In the second half, Jayson grabbed 4 more boards, handed out 2 assists and had another block.  As Bill said, he is the real deal.  He will not be playing for Duke next year.

Kennard

Kennard has been Duke’s best player so far this season.  Any speculation that the return of the freshmen can push him from the starting lineup is being dispelled by his play.  How is this for efficiency: 29 points on just 16 shots [11-16; 5-7 from deep and 2-2 from the line] to go with 3 assists, 2 steals and a rebound (the box score says only 1 board, but I seem to remember more).  Luke simply took the game over.  Allen hit him with some great passes, which Luke converted to keep Florida at bay throughout the second half.  He has a great sense for the game and is an all-around scorer.  Luke got a 2 minute blow in the first half, logging 38 valuable minutes.

Jefferson

Amile played his best all- around game ever (though his defense against Kaminisky in the 2015 championship game was his most important game so far).  He played 39 minutes (replaced by Jeter for just a minute in the first half) of simply scintillating basketball.  He is so unselfish and such a leader.   Coach K called a play for him in the second half, and Jefferson told him to call it for Jayson instead because he had the hot hand.  That is the attitude that leads by example and makes a winning team.  Jefferson and Kennard carried the team in the first half.  In the opening stanza, Amile was 8-10; 2-2 from the line for 18 points to go with 8 boards, 2 blocks, an assist and a steal.  He played the entire second half, going 3-4 for 6 points; adding 7 more  boards and 2 more blocks.  Coach K’s called it his greatest game, and lauded him as “a basketball player”, meaning he can do it all, including handle the ball.

Allen

Grayson had an off game shooting and is clearly hampered by his turf toe.  He was 2-10 [1-5 from deep and 1-2 from the line], but he found other ways to help his team.  In his 35 minutes, Allen had 8 assists to lead the team, and some of them were simply exquisite.  Coach K thinks he is “trying too hard, but he will be fine.”  After Saturday’s game against UNLV, Duke has exams, which means time off for Grayson to rest and the team to practice.

Jones

Matt played 36 minutes without scoring [0-4; 0-2 from deep without getting to the line], yet he is so valuable.  He played great defense, had 3 boards, a steal, an assist and a block.  I think he will benefit from the exam break.

Jackson

Let us see how he plays against UNLV on Saturday.  He looked very out of sync against Florida.

Next Game

The first time Duke has played UNLV since the great win in 1991 in the semi-finals of the NCAA.  In Vegas on Saturday at 5:15.

Duke 94– Las Vegas 45

Holy Player of the Year, Batman. Grayson Allen is finally healthy–34 points in 29 minutes! The kid was on fire with his whole repertoire: uptown high flying, trampoline dunks and acrobatic drives, downtown and all-around-town threes. If you missed the game, click on goDuke.com for the highlights. UNLV probably made a mistake by roughing up Allen in the first minutes, pushing him around and then even choking him in a scrub. Mistake, big mistake. This is Grayson Allen 3.0. He channeled his aggression into scoring, rather than getting even.

This game was the 25th anniversary of Duke’s coming of age upset win over Jerry Tarkanian’s undefeated #1 seeded UNLV 79-77 in the semi-final game of the 1991 NCAA Championships. It was sweet payback for the previous year when UNLV embarrassed Duke 103-73 for the National Championship. What a difference twenty-five years makes and what a great 25 years it has been for Coach K and Duke basketball!

Coach said before the game that with all its injuries, Duke was in October mode rather than December mode because so many injured players still have to be brought up to speed, including Harry Giles, Jayson Tatum, Marques Bolden, Frank Jackson, and Grayson Allen. Well, Duke is starting to get healthy and have the practices it hoped for entering the season. Despite all that, today the Blue Devils were in mid-season form and put on an offensive and defensive clinic —a scary thought for future opponents. Allen and Kennard combined for 50 points, outscoring UNLV by themselves. The team  shot 60% from the floor, had 18 assists, and forced the Running Rebels into more travels than assists.

It appears that with Jefferson and Tatum in the game, the Blue Devils will run a double high post at the foul line, leaving the low post open for drives or cutters. Both big men are very good ball handlers, passers, and put the ball on the floor with confidence. Amile had another double-double and Jayson is 2000 version of Jamaal “Silk” Wilkes, who was an integral part of  championship teams at UCLA, Golden State, and the Lakers.

Let’s not get ahead of ourselves but this team has demonstrated they have the talent, feel for the game, and chemistry to have a very, very exciting, special season. For sure, it should be fun to be a Blue Devil fan. Buckle up!

Other Comments:

  • Harry Giles is scheduled to be activated for game play on December 19th against Tennessee State in Cameron. If he remains healthy and is nearly as good as advertised, Coach K will have an embarrassment of talent at his disposal. Even if Giles is not totally healthy, the distribution of minutes will be interesting. So far, it is hard to imagine another Big Man being as productive as Jefferson has been or any combination of guards being as prolific scorers as Luke Kennard and a healthy Grayson Allen or any power forward being as versatile and lethal as Jayson Tatum or as good a defender and savvy a veteran as Matt Jones. So even as promising as Frank Jackson is or big and athletic as Marques Bolden (who appears to be the only unhappy bench camper) is, whose minutes should be dramatically cut?  I’m sure the coaches will sort it all out without getting heartburn.
  • Highlight Reel: Frank Jackson had an sensationally athletic dunk off a missed shot that was only the third runner up to two of Grayson’s and Luke Kennard gave up and open floor layup for a blind drop off pass to a trailing Jayson Tatum. Its unselfish plays like this that establishes a tight bond between teammates.
  • My buddy and (among other talents) sports aficionado Peter, who lives in Las Vegas, was at the game. His   take: “UNLV was simply outmatched, outplayed, out coached, and out classed.”
  • With all the good, young announcers working for ESPN, why is the ubiquitous Dickie V still doing so many college basketball games? The guy will not shut up and let the viewers enjoy the game. While Vitale enthusiastically drones on and on about his buddies Tony Bennett, J Lo, Reba, Brooks & Dunn etc., he might have noticed that a basketball game was actually being played.

Alan Adds:

When Jake Rupert owned the Yankees in the midst of their Ruthian domination in the 1920s, his idea of a perfect game was, “The Yankees score 8 or 9 runs in the first inning, and then slowly pull away.”  That is a fair description of Duke’s annihilation of UNLV yesterday.  I want to talk about Duke’s smothering defense and amazing performance in the second half (at both ends of the floor).  In the first half, Duke played great defense until the contested shot went up, then Coach K said that Duke started to try and run on the break too early.  The result was loose ball rebounds that went to the Runnin’ Rebels, who turned those loose ball rebounds into open 3 pointers (UNLV made 3 in a row like that).  At the intermission, Coach K said, “don’t worry about running except on turnovers.”  The result was one of the most outstanding and efficient halves that a Duke team has played.  Duke held UNLV to 19 second half points, playing amazing team defense.  Don’t ever wonder why Matt Jones is on the floor even though he is not scoring; he leads the perimeter defense and can guard all positions.

Most of UNLV’s 19 came when the freshmen were playing.  You can see that neither Tatum nor Bolden is yet comfortable with Duke’s switching and help defense to negate an opponent’s drive, when the adversary gets past the perimeter defense.  Watching Jefferson, Kennard and Jones do that was like watching Balanchine’s NY City Ballet.  It was really beautiful.  The Rebs got no open looks on the interior and were only 6-25; 2-9 from deep and were only 5-9 from the line in the last half.  Duke’s second half offense was equally breathtaking, shooting 70% from the field (21-30) with 12 assists on the 21 baskets.  Grayson was 4-4 from deep and Kennard made his only 3 point attempt in the second half.  Jackson was 1-2; only Jones (0-4) was off from behind the arc.  Duke had 12 assists against only 7 turnovers.  Duke humbled UNLV on the boards, but that is partly explained by how few defensive rebounds there were for the Rebs to grab.  Coach K was excited because “we played with passion.”  Coach K had the team watch the tape of the 1991 victory over the Runnin’ Rebs in the National semi-finals “so we would know we were playing a proud opponent.”  Of course, no Duke player had yet been born when that game was played.  But, the passion in this team was evident from the opening tip-off.

The Rotation

Vrankovich and Justin Robinson did not play (the Admiral was in attendance), while Jack White logged 4 garbage time minutes; and, Javin DeLaurier played 8 minutes (all in the second half).  Marquis Bolden is obviously: 1) not in game shape; 2) rusty; and 3) talented with a huge potential to shore up Duke’s inside game.  He played 13 minutes — 8 in the first half (he is part of the rotation, while the others mentioned above are not), scoring 6 on 3-5 shooting and looking competent in the low post.  However, he also had 3 turnovers and committed 2 fouls in that abbreviated stint.  Unfortunately, he reminds me of Okafor on the defensive end.  He hasn’t yet picked up on the help and switching, but he is so athletic that it is fair to project that he will do so this year.  In the first half, Kennard never came out; Allen was out for a minute and Jefferson for 2.  The rest of the minutes were evenly divided among Jones (11), Tatum and Jackson (10 each).  Jeter started (he is from Las Vegas) but played only 6 minutes.  For the game, Kennard played 34 minutes (garbage time started when he came out for the first time with 6 minutes to go), Jefferson 30 and Grayson 29.  Jayson Tatum logged 24 minutes and played well down the stretch after struggling early.  Matt Jones played 23 minutes and Jackson played 20 minutes.  Jeter played 9 minutes in the second half (15 for the game), but is not showing enough to keep in the rotation once Bolden is in game shape.  And that is not even yet considering how Harry Giles’s playing time will be allotted.

The Front Court

For now, Jayson Tatum is playing in the forecourt and playing big.  He grabbed 5 boards (tied for second on the team) and 2 blocks and 2 steals to shore up the interior.  He also got hot late in the game and finished with 13 points [5-11; 1-3 from deep and 2-4 from the line] to go with 3 assists.  The rust is coming off; he is a big time player.  Jefferson was simply superb, notching another double-double 10 points [4-6 from the field and 2-2 from the line] to go with 12 boards.  He also had 5 assists to lead the team in that department against only 2 turnovers.  Coach K now uses him to help break the press because of his reliable ball handling.  Bolden, Jeter, and DeLaurier are works in progress.  Bolden has the most upside potential, but has a ways to go.  Then there is the intriguing prospect of Harry Giles’s return.

The Scintillating Back Court

Kennard and Allen had Player of the Year-like games.  Allen appeared to be back in his All-American form as Bill described above.   How is this for a gaudy stat line:  34 efficient points on 16 shots [12-16; 6-9 from deep; 4-5 from the line] to go with 4 rebounds an assist and one highlight dunk.  Grayson practiced for the first time since the Kansas game before this game and said after the game that he is almost 100% (UNLV would rather not see him at 100% then if this was “almost”), and should be fully recovered by the next game in 10 days.  Kennard’s stat line was every bit as gaudy: 16 points on 12 shots [6-12; 2-5 from 3land; 2-2 from the line] to go with 5 boards, 4 assists, 3 steals and 0 fouls or turnovers.  What a one-two punch! In the back to go with Jefferson and Tatum up front.  Frank Jackson played an excellent 20 minutes scoring 9 [4-5 from the field; 1-1 from deep] with 2 assists, 2 steals and a rebound (2 turnovers).  Jones scored only 2 in his 23 minutes [1-5; 0-4 from deep] to go with 3 boards; 3 assists and 2 steals.

The Status of the Team Going into Exams

Duke has 10 days before playing Tennessee State (who lost in overtime yesterday to NC State).  Coach K said the team will use the time to study, get healthy, and get the reps in practice of the returning players playing with each other.  Tatum and Bolden had only practiced twice before the UNLV game; and Allen only once.  Everyone, including Harry Giles, participated in the last practice for the first time.  Giles did not scrimmage, but is playing contact one on one and is running well.  Coach K said, “he is coming soon”, but cautioned about expectations: he hasn’t played a game in 13 months.  “There will be a period of adjustment”, said K.  It will be exciting just to have Giles start back adjusting.  If he re-integrates smoothly, he will be a major force in Duke’s interior defense.

It’s all a pretty exciting prospect for the coming conference wars!

Duke  65– Tennessee State 55

Christmas almost came six days early for Tennessee State as all the Duke players except Luke Kennard shot for much of the game like they had pulled too many exam week all-nighters. Finally, a too-close-for-comfort game was broken open midway through the second half with a 25-5 run. Freshman Jayson Tatum, who was a non- factor in the first half, played an instrumental role in the second half. He finished a rebound shy of a double-double with 14 points and 9 boards. Three of his defensive rebounds led to assists for triples on the other end—two by Kennard and one by Allen– which ignited the decisive run.

TSU is the kind of team top seeds are likely to meet in the NCAA Tournament and often give bigger, better known programs trouble– think Belmont and Lehigh. They are older, more mature players starting three redshirt seniors and two juniors who just nine days ago were able to take N.C. State into overtime. Since these type of teams are overmatched, they limit possessions by taking their time on offense, play defense with a physicality that’s hard to match, and do not take plays off. This slower, more patient approach often frustrates younger, more celebrated opponents.

Fortunately, Luke Kennard’s 25 points, solid defense, and Jefferson’s 18 boards kept Duke in the game until other offensive help arrived. Among other contributions, Jayson Tatum made consecutive 3-pointers to stretch Duke’s lead to 20 with a little more than seven minutes left in the game. Jayson started  slowly. He scored only two points over the first 31 minutes, but found other ways to help his team by playing tough defense, rebounding, blocking shots, and making steals—namely, playing Duke Basketball.

Coach K commented: “He did dirty work in the second half. . . . That was a big game for him. . . . Be a player. If you define yourself by a shot, you’re not going to be a real winner. You define yourself by the score. Any player who defines himself by the score, will find a way to win.”

Harry Giles, Duke’s most celebrated freshman recruit, who has not played in a real game for more than a year, made his first competitive appearance tonight as a Blue Devil. He played four uneventful but apparently healthy minutes as he works his way and confidence into competitive shape.

Other comments:

  • The UNLV game aside, Grayson Allen is not yet shooting as well as last year. He even missed three free throws.
  • Duke left a lot of points off the scoreboard by missing an uncharacteristic 13 free throws.
  • What a pleasure it was to have the always knowledgeable and informative Doris Burke as the TV analyst.

Alan Adds:

Coach K said he told his team that Tennessee State is just like a team The Devils will draw in the NCAA tournament.  The visitors play a tough cohesive team defense and rebound aggressively.  The Tennessee team defense showed up in the first half.  Duke’s terrible offensive first half was about half of the opponents’ defense and half of simply missing open shots.  To give an idea of how off Duke was, consider that if we subtract Luke Kennard’s 3-3 first half, Duke shot 4-22 (and missed 6 foul shots).  The game was interesting to us because of: 1) the rotation, which foreshadows how Coach K will proceed with his returning injured freshmen; 2) Kennard’s superb performance; 3) Jason Tatum’s terrific second half after an unproductive opening stanza; 4) Duke’s excellent defense when the veterans are on the court.

The rotation

Coach K wants to win games.  He was very clear: “I am not about individuals; this is about the group and about winning.”  He emphasized the individuals need to think about winning and fitting in.  I loved his quote that Bill recited above.  Good players define themselves by the score of the game.  He used Tatum as an example.  Tatum played only nine minutes in the first half, missing both of his long range attempts and turning the ball over twice.  In the second half, he played every minute and turned the game Duke’s way.  But K was also clear that Tatum is still growing.  When the team went to him in the high post as the game wound down, he passed up some open shots (three Coach K said).  The other wounded freshmen made brief appearances in the first half — Giles for 4 uneventful and unimpressive minutes (to be expected) and Bolden for 6 frustrating minutes (especially frustrating on the defensive end).  Jeter contributed 10 minutes — 6 at the end of the first half when Duke took the lead by 5 after trailing by 5; and 4 unproductive in the second half.  Surprisingly, Jackson played only 13 minutes (4 fouls) — 7 in the first half and 6 in the second.  He has only practiced once because of the academic requirements.  Only 6 players scored for Duke and 3 of them each had only 5 points (Jones, Jefferson and Jackson).  The starters logged heavy minutes, especially in the second half.  Kennard was only out for a minute.  Grayson played 35 minutes, Jefferson 33 and Jones 31.  Tatum played the entire second half for a total of 29 minutes.

The Defense

Duke played good defense all night, though Tennessee State penetrated to the basket more easily early in the game. In the second half, Duke’s defense turned the game, getting consecutive stops and turnovers.  Duke trailed 36-34 with 15 minutes left in the second half. Eight minutes later, Duke led by 20 (59-39).  Duke gave up 3 points in 8 minutes while scoring 25.  Coach K said in that stretch, Duke played beautiful basketball.  Jefferson and Tatum protected the rim and Duke’s defensive backboard.  Tennessee State got only 4 offensive rebounds in the entire game (and it is a good rebounding team). Jefferson pulled down a career high 18 boards.  Tatum had 9 rebounds and 2 blocks.  The defense was porous when Bolden anchored the middle and Giles was understandably uncertain.  Jeter looked good in the first half and wholly inadequate in the second.  When Duke led by 20, Coach K replaced Jefferson and Jones with Jeter and Jackson.  A minute later the lead was down to 15 and Jefferson and Jones returned to the game.  The veterans make the defense … for now.

The Offense

Aside from the dramatic spurt that blew the game open, Luke Kennard, and Tatum’s second half, Duke’s offense was worse than merely ragged.  Luke was quite amazing, scoring 24 on just 10 shots (7-10; 3-5 from deep; and 7-8 from the line) to go with 3 boards and an assist.  He carried Duke in the first half (11 points on 3-3; 1-1; and 4-4 from the line).  While Jayson scored only 2 in his 9 first half minutes, he notched 12 in the second half for a team second high 14 (4-11; 2-6 — they were daggers — from deep and 4-5 from the line).  Allen was also a double figure scorer with 12, while it was not a good shooting game for Grayson (2-7; 1-6 from behind the arc; and 7-11 from the line), he was terrific in the rest of his game.  He pulled down 5 boards, and handed out 2 assists without a turnover.  Jefferson was uncharacteristically missing shots he usually makes and was a disaster from the foul line (2-7 from the field and 1-8 from the line). Matt was also reticent and off (2-8; 1-4 from deep for his 5 points).  Jackson was 2-6 (1-3 from deep) for his 5 points.

Yet for those 10 –12 minutes in the second half, the offense hummed and it didn’t matter who shot.  The ball moved with spirit and purpose.  As Coach K said, the point is not who scored but that Duke scored.

The end of Non-Conference

Tomorrow Duke plays Elon before Conference play opens against Virginia Tech at noon on December 31, 2016.  Duke fans are savoring the possibilities of 2017.

DUKE  72 – ELON 61

Before James B. Duke rescued a struggling campus in Durham, North Carolina suffering from an identity crisis—named and renamed Brown School, Union Institute, Normal College, Trinity College—by establishing the $40,000,000 Duke Endowment, Elon University, which  apparently did not suffer from any such personality disorder, beat the whatever-your-name-is school seven times. It’s amazing what a large endowment and name change can accomplish because since the 1924 personality transplant and cosmetic surgery, Elon has not beaten Duke in basketball. However, tonight the Phoenix must have been suffering from dyslexia and not realized whom they were playing, because at the half they lead 35-34.

If anyone thought a Coach K team would let an opponent from the Colonial Athletic Association continue to shoot 50% from the three point line again in the second half (try 12.5%), they haven’t been paying attention. Nevertheless, this was the second unimpressive and troubling game for the highly ranked Blue Devils. The highlights were Matt Jones defense, Jayson Tatum’s sophisticated game, Luke Kennard’s scoring, and Amile Jefferson’s free throw shooting (9-12). If the Blue Devils had shot the same percentage from the foul line as they did against Tennessee State, it would have been a two point game. On the other hand, there was Marques Bolden’s continuing to struggle defensively and the question of how far Harry Giles has to go to live up to his reputation.

However, by far the most perplexing question is: What’s going on with Grayson Allen? He has been struggling with a foot injury and inconsistency and to add insult to injury has gone from a Player-of-the-Year candidate to designated Punk-of-the-Year candidate with one more unnecessary tripping incident. If you watch the replay in real time, not slow-motion, you will get the better perspective of the speed and physicality of the action. There is contact with a driving Steve Santa Ana who clamps Grayson’s arm between his arm and body, throwing Grayson off balance. In attempting to stabilize himself while doing a 180, an angry Allen throws a leg into the back of Steve’s leg knocking him to the ground. While an adolescent retaliation to tough, physical play, it was a misdemeanor not a Draymond Green or Cris Paul type felony. But Allen plays for Duke and Coach K, so the reaction will be a firestorm of indignation and demands for a pound of flesh—or more. And because video tape replay is ubiquitous, ESPN announcers and sports writers being who they are, and social media being what it is, this incident will live as long Duke is in the hunt this year—and longer.  In the short term, Duke is not a national contender without Grayson Allen 3.0 being at least Grayson Allen 2.0. So far, except for the UNLV game, he is not. Allen is finally physically healthy but, after tonight’s post foul meltdown, his emotional health is a huge question mark. Just consider the toll that the white hot light of the media contributed to the deterioration of Tiger Woods’ golf game. Alan has some very interesting comments on the impact of the Grayson Allen situation upon the team.

Fortunately, this team has enough depth to make adjustments for a missing-in-action player. In just  a few games Jayson Tatum has not only shown flashes of an exceptionally sophisticated offensive skill set, he also plays the entire game with a maturity seldom seen in a freshman. However, the three players that are keeping this 12-1 team together are the senior co-captains Amile Jefferson, Matt Jones, and sophomore Luke Kennard. Luke’s scoring obviously has filled the stat sheet void left by Grayson’s travails and Amile’s double/doubles are clear evidence of his contributions. But a lot of what Matt contributes doesn’t show up on a stat sheet. It doesn’t track dives on the floor or tipped or stolen passes or forcing a ball handler to set up the offense near mid court or dribble with this weaker hand. Jones never takes a rest on defense and when a team threats Duke, he’s usually the guy who steps up with a play that gets the team back on course and in control. He’s truly become a coaches’ player, one the fans may overlook but a savvy coach covets.

Alan Adds:

Grayson Allen

Everything that happened in this game pales in significance in relation to how the team will react to the Grayson Allen trip redux (again).  In my opinion, this is one of those events that has the capacity to derail the entire season. I eschew a discussion of what either Coach K or the ACC should do in this situation.  My focus is on how this incident can or will affect the fortunes of this team going forward.  Anyone who has seen Allen’s post-game interview knows how deeply affected and ashamed he was.  It was painful to watch.  As readers knows, I have unbridled respect and admiration for Coach K, but listening to him at the post-game press conference had me cringing.  Not intellectually, but emotionally.  I wanted to turn him off because some his words made me very uncomfortable.  Some were, however, words of wisdom.  Coach K said we have all done stupid things that have hurt ourselves.  That makes one feel bad.  But when the stupid thing you do hurts not only yourself, but your family or in this case your team, you feel much worse.  Coach K was clear: this was a team captain who knows he let his team down in the game for sure, and maybe for the season.  Duke had a 32-24 lead when the incident and technical foul occurred with 4:15 left in the first half.  Duke scored no further field goals and only 2 points on Kennard’s 2 free throws to trail 35-34 at the half.  It was a terrible game for Grayson even before the incident.  He scored one 3 in his 13 first half minutes and failed to score at all in his 9 second half minutes.  He was 1-8; 1-6 without getting to the foul line to go with 3 boards and 2 second half assists.  We will have to see how this shakes out.  It is not necessarily a disaster, but it is surely a potential one.

The Rotation

Bill’s analysis is superb.  The only aspect I might add is about Harry Giles, who played a perfunctory 2 minutes in the first half.  He logged 4 in the second half, scoring his first collegiate point (1-2 from the line with a rebound).  However, he is already moving better and showing some confidence.  I predict Giles will take less time than expected to begin to positively impact this team.  But for now the rotation was as thin as ever.  In the second half, Frank Jackson played 16 minutes.  Grayson’s 9 and Giles’s 4 were the only rest the main five were given in the closing stanza.  Tatum played 19, Kennard 18, and both Jones and Jefferson played 17.   In the first half, Marquis Bolden appeared for 3 minutes (and gave up 2 open 3 pointers on defense) without registering a statistic.  His defense is behind in spite of how athletic he is. Chase Jeter played 7 first half minutes, but 0 in the second half. Frank Jackson played 13 minutes in the first half for a starter’s playing time of 29 minutes in the game.   Tatum led the team in minutes with 38, followed by Kennard with 36, Jones 34, Jackson 29 and Jefferson 27 (only 10 in the first half while Coach K gave Jeter, Bolden and Giles a few front court minutes.

The front court

Jefferson sparkled in the second half as Duke put the game away.  After a scoreless first half (4 boards), he was 2-2 from the field and 9-12 from the line for 13 second half points (and 3 more boards).  Jayson Tatum should be described in both front and back court sections.  Although his shot is still not where it will be — in his 38 minutes he took 22 shots, scoring 18 points (7-22; 0-4 from downtown and 4-4 from the line) — he was quite amazing.  He led Duke in rebounding with 8, blocks with 4 and assists with 3.  He had 2 steals (2nd to Matt Jones’s 5).  Giles will supply some added support in the front court as the season progresses.  Whether Jeter and Bolden will provide significant support this season is up in the air.  Coach K pointed out that Elon centers were given open looks from behind the arc and made 4-4.  Jefferson was victimized once; Bolden twice and Giles once, all in the first half.  Elon was 7-14 from 3land in the first half, but when the defense tightened up, 1-8 from downtown in the second half.  Jefferson did give up a 3, but the defense was back to being Duke.

The backcourt

Kennard was again superb leading Duke in scoring with 21 points on 17 shots [7-17; 2-4 from 3land; 5-6 from the line], grabbing 7 boards (same as Amile) to go with a block and a steal.  Matt Jones was absolutely superb with 5 disruptive steals and some solid second half defense.  In his 34 minutes he scored 9 on 6 shots [4-6; 1-3 from behind the arc] to go with 6 boards, an assist and a block.  Jackson picked up Allen’s minutes, scoring 7 in his 29 minutes on 2-5; 1-3 from 3land and 2-2 from the line.  He has been hampered by some physical problems and exams; so has only practiced once recently.

The Conference

The ACC will be brutal this year, and winning on the road will be difficult.  Duke opens ACC play on New Year’s Eve day at noon against Virginia Tech in Blacksburg.  Phase 2 of this season begins.

Hi Folks:

I have received some criticism about my comments on the Grayson Allen tripping incident. Let me be crystal clear: It was wrong, it was juvenile, it was puzzling. Allen needs to be more mature, more disciplined and, probably, needs professional counseling. However, they were poor sportsmanship not vicious thuggery. No one was even close to being injured. When you consider the totality of his academic and athletic accomplishments, his personality, and how well liked he is by his teammates, I do not understand how a few seconds of flawed emotional judgement out of twenty years of exceptional accomplishments justifies the outpouring of  the volume of acrimony against him, Coach K, and Duke Basketball. I am confident that between the coaches, his teammates, and the university, Grayson will survive this firestorm.

Below is a very thoughtful piece by Al Featherston on Grayson that I hope everyone will take the time to read or even re-read. The only thing I would like to add is that just viewing the edited version of the three tripping incidents does not tell the whole story. Grayson has demonstrated that he plays very hard but fair and also takes a lot of punishment. As the commercial says, “He takes a licking and keeps on ticking.” Prior to all three incidents, there was contact and, in two instances, physical aggression against Grayson that was missed or overlooked by the refs. I’m sure that was the trigger for the retaliation.

As an example of the current state of sports journalism, I am also including a link to a CBS piece on the most hated Duke Basketball players.

Alan adds:

For me, Featherstone hits the problem in the heart of the bull’s eye when he wrote: “Like Allen’s first two trips, the play wasn’t that noteworthy – other than it was the third time such a play involved Allen.

Even worse, in my mind, was Allen’s reaction to the play.  Frankly, he went berserk.  Assistant coach Jon Scheyer had to muscle him to the bench, all the time, mouthing “Calm down.” But for about 30 seconds, Allen was out of control. I’m not sure where his anger was directed – at Santa Ana? At the refs? At himself?

We actually need to know about those 30 seconds and what was in Grayson’s mind that triggered such an out of control reaction.  It’s the key to solving the problem.  Was he feeling victimized or berserk at himself for undoing all of the off-season good in two shockingly stupid seconds.  Featherstone is right that the play and technical foul were no big deal.  Bill is right.  No one was even close to being hurt; it wasn’t the type of thuggery that we see routinely in games; and it wasn’t deliberately sneaky as say Chris Paul was with Julius Hodge (deliberate shot to the groin while they were just standing there).  Nevertheless, those defenses miss the point.  This is the third time and after much public scrutiny, outcry from fans and media; and much soul searching and correction by Grayson.   When it happens again, followed by a meltdown that was clearly seems to be some type of diagnosable disorder, we have a very serious problem — for not only Grayson, but for Duke’s season.

I don’t see a Grayson defense in the social media.  It can only keep the flames high.  We know there are stupid people who fan the flames of disparagement (Proven rather dramatically in the past few months). This is an internal problem, and whether it is solved in a way that saves Grayson, his future and the Duke season remains to be seen.

Concern For Grayson Allen

Only a handful of people fully understand what happened to Grayson Allen against Elon but how he responds is critical.

by Al Featherston

Mike Krzyzewski once talked about the problems he faced in dealing with the great Christian Laettner.

Laettner was an intense and combative player. Those qualities were what lifted him to greatness. But they also made the Blue Devil star difficult to deal with. Several of his teammates complained that Laettner was as tough on his teammates in practice as he was on opponents in games. Freshman Cherokee Parks had some particularly ugly run-ins with Laettner in 1991-92, while fellow All-Americans Grant Hill and Bobby Hurley admitted that there were times that they almost hated Laettner.

Krzyzewski knew what was going on, but he had to walk the fine line between controlling Laettner’s fire and extinguishing it. His metaphor is that dealing with Laettner was like tending a furnace in the basement of a building – the trick was to use the fire to heat the building without burning it down.

In Laettner’s case, Krzyzewski never let the building burn. He controlled the fire well enough to earn two national titles and four straight Final Fours in Laettner’s four seasons.

Well, it doesn’t take a fire fighter to understand that K’s building is smoldering today.

A quarter century after Laettner, Grayson Allen brings a very similar fire to the Duke program. His aggressiveness and combativeness is what lifts him from good to great. When controlled, Allen is like a force of nature on the court, asserting his will and dominating the game.

Unfortunately, Allen’s fire has not been as well-controlled as Laettner’s inferno. The older Duke star really only lost control once in his career, when he tapped the chest of fallen Kentucky center Aminu Timberlake in the 1992 East Regional title game. It was not a dangerous or vicious blow – certainly not the “stomp” that Duke haters like to call it. But it was an expression of Laettner’s frustration and a moment when he lost control.

It was also the only in-game loss of control by Laettner in his career.

The problem in Allen’s case is that he’s lost it three times in the last season-and-a-third. He first tripped Louisville’s Raymond Spalding last Feb. 8 in Durham. It was easy to see what caused the play – Allen was bounced to the floor on a driving layup attempt without a foul call. He clearly reacted out of frustration.

And while his trip was inexcusable, it was not as inherently dangerous as the blow that sent him flying to the ground.

If that had been the end of it, Allen’s trip would have been as obscure as the elbow to the face that he took from Louisville’s Jaylen Johnson in the rematch with Louisville later that month (a blow that didn’t earn Johnson a technical foul or a suspension).

But Allen followed his Louisville trip by tripping FSU’s Xavier Rathan-Mayes in the final seconds of Duke’s victory in Cameron. This one was different. Allen and Rathan-Mayes were jawing as the clock ran down on the Blue Devil victory, when Allen stuck out his leg and tripped his antagonist. It was almost a playful action – except such action has no place on a college court – especially not from a player already involved in one tripping incident.

Suddenly, Allen was the most famous tripper in America – the subject of countless diatribes on ESPN and on other outlets. He was universally condemned (even vilified) and many were outraged when the ACC failed to do more than reprimand the Duke star.

Allen was contrite in public, apologizing profusely and promising that he had learned his lesson. For the first 12 games of the season, the tripping problem seemed to be behind him. There was much more emphasis on his struggles to overcome an injured toe.

Then came Wednesday night in Greensboro.

Allen’s trip of Elon’s Steven Santa Ana was deliberate and inexcusable. As Santa Anna drove for the basketball, Allen clearly bumped him, drawing a foul. But when Santa Ana ended the play by making a flailing attempt to get a shot off (a move Allen attempts time after time) it got ugly. Their arms locked and Santa Ana’s momentum spun Allen around.

It was during that spin that the Duke junior stretched out his leg and tried to trip the Elon guard.

Like Allen’s first two trips, the play wasn’t that noteworthy – other than it was the third time such a play involved Allen.

Even worse, in my mind, was Allen’s reaction to the play.

Frankly, he went berserk.

Assistant coach Jon Scheyer had to muscle him to the bench, all the time, mouthing “Calm down.” But for about 30 seconds, Allen was out of control. I’m not sure where his anger was directed – at Santa Ana? At the refs? At himself?

Krzyzewski didn’t want to talk about the incident after the game, other than to call the play “inexcusable” and to report that he had forced Allen to personally apologize to Santa Ana and Elon coach Mike Matheny.

The next morning, Duke released a statement from Krzyzewski, reporting that Allen was suspended indefinitely.

Obviously, this creates concern for the Blue Devils going forward. Their next game will be Dec. 31 at Virginia Tech, which is likely to be a ranked team at that point. Without Allen, a tough game becomes even tougher. After that are two gimmies – home games with Georgia Tech and Boston College.

But concerns for Duke going forward have to be secondary to concerns about Allen’s future. Krzyzewski made it clear Wednesday night that he is concerned for the kid and getting him on track is his primary concern.

It would be easier to deal with if Allen was a simple thug.

But he’s not. He’s a well-spoken young man and an academic All-America. Unlike Laettner, he’s not disliked by his teammates. On most occasions, he’s exactly the NCAA’s ideal “student-athlete.”

Except when he’s not.

It would take a psychiatric professional (which I am NOT) to judge the roots of Allen’s apparent anger issues. But those issues – whatever the cause – have to be addressed … and corrected.

I honestly believe that’s why Krzyzewski suspended Allen “indefinitely” – rather than for a set number of games. His suspension will not be dictated by the schedule, but by Allen’s response to his Wednesday night meltdown.

I’ll be honest … it scared me.

I may be an alarmist here, but I recall a number of ACC players who had mental issues. There was Wake Forest center Loren Wood – a player Krzyzewski once asked the Crazies to lay off, who after a breakdown in Winston-Salem, recovered to help Arizona to the 2001 national title game (a loss to Duke). There was Ray Harrison, a guard from Greensboro who once beat out David Thompson as North Carolina’s prep player of the year. Harrison had a great junior year for UNC, but had issues the next year and struggled.

Then there was Mike Wilkes, a forward who helped Virginia to one of the great upsets in ACC history – a victory over UNC and Charlie Scott in the 1970 ACC Tournament. Friends were bothered by Wilkes’ bizarre behavior off the court and one night he melted down on the court, showing up with a shaved head, putting himself into a game, then having a meltdown in the locker room. Wilkes died very young of mysterious causes.

Now, I’m not suggesting that Allen’s problems are anywhere near that level … or even that he has serious issues at all. I just want to be sure he doesn’t have such issues … and I feel sure that Krzyzewski has the same concern.

Allen’s future is more important than the future of this Duke basketball team.

Duke will be fine. I just hope Allen is.

DUKE  75 – VIRGINIA TECH 89

When I saw Duke opened the ACC regular season with an away game at Virginia Tech, I thought: “Not good.” And when Grayson Allen was suspended, I cringed because the Hokies (11-1) usually have been a tough out in Blacksburg plus new coach Buzz Williams had assembled and honed a team of talented players who can match up with and beat any team in the country. Unfortunately, today that team was Duke which, playing without the suspended Grayson Allen, was about as out of synch as you will ever see a Coach K team. However, even with Grayson playing, it is doubtful the result would have been different– only closer, because the truth is the Hokies played inspired, exciting, even superb team basketball and dominated Duke in all phases of the game.

The Blue Devils, on the other hand, contributed to their own defeat. The freshman had a rude awakening to life on the road in the ACC, where veteran players and observers can tell you that no win is easy or assured. (Example: Carolina lost on the road to bottom feeder Georgia Tech today.) When a team shoots as poorly Duke did, it hands an athletic opponent the opportunity to run off easy baskets, get the crowd into the game, and suddenly, shots become tougher to make, (you think) the calls aren’t going your way, and the entire tide and trajectory of the game changes. The only thing worse than the Blue Devils’ offense was their defense. There was no weak side help, the Hokies drove and scored like it was a playground pick-up game, and there were too many open threes that hit nothing but net. The shellacking was so bad that the Blue Devils not only never had a lead, they never even made one of their patented runs at the lead.

The number tell the story: Duke shot 42%; Va. Tech shot 55%. Duke had two players ( Kennard 34 pts. & Tatum 18 pts.) in double figures; Va. Tech had six players in double figures. But the truth is this loss should come as no surprise, because Duke has not played very well in their last three games. Unfortunately, I fear that the game pointed out how important Grayson Allen is to the chemistry and efficiency of this team–not only offensively but also defensively and emotionally. Krzyzewski said after the game that he did not want to talk about when Allen might return but noted that the junior is no longer a co-captain. He also noted that breaks for exams and vacations can have a negative effect upon the cohesiveness of a team with young players and players returning from injuries.

Jayson Tatum took a half to adjust to life on the road before playing like we have come to expect. Frank Jackson, who also started, does not appear to have fully recovered from his unspecified ankle/foot injury. Harry Giles (4 points and 8 rebounds) looked more comfortable playing 13 minutes but is obviously still working his way back in shape and feeling his way back from his serious injury. Marques Bolden in his 3 minutes looked more and more like a project.

Suddenly, this team has gone from a Final Four contender to one with more questions than answers: 1) When will Grayson Allen return and will that have a positive or negative impact? 2) What did Luke Kennard mean when he said that some players not as invested in the team as they should be? 3) Why did Frank Jackson walk away from Captain Amile Jefferson in the Tech game when Amile was trying to make a point? We have seen this movie before and Coach K has usually found a solution but he has never had four highly-hyped freshmen projected first round picks, three of whom are underperforming.

There will be two home games against Georgia Tech and Boston College for the Blue Devils to recover from whatever ails them before they hit the road again against Florida State and Louisville.

Alan Adds:

After the Elon game, I wrote, “Everything that happened in this game pales in significance in relation to how the team will react to the Grayson Allen trip redux (again).  In my opinion, this is one of those events that has the capacity to derail the entire season.”   Nothing that transpired in Blacksburg changes my feeling.  Even Coach K seemed on the ropes in one of his least insightful post-game press conferences (essentially admitting he did not have insight).  When Coach K was asked how long it would take this team to jell and become cohesive, Coach K simply said, it can happen quickly or it can take a long time.  Sometimes a team never jells; we call them losing teams.”  He did say that team building was not a science and is “a beautiful part of the game”.  Other signs that Coach K is (temporarily) lost.  He said, “I do not want to talk about Grayson” before announcing Grayson has been stripped of his captaincy.  Coach K said, “Duke is not playing as one.  It’s not selfishness; it is a lack of familiarity because of the constant interruptions — injuries, Grayson etc.

Take Heart; All is Not Lost

We might all remember Duke’s last two National Championship seasons.  In 2015, Duke was riding high at 14-0 when the wheels came off in January,  On January 11, Duke got bombed on the road by NC State 87-75.  We all expected Duke to rebound ferociously at home after the loss (a Coach K trademark).  Instead Duke got blown out in an even worse performance by Miami 90-74.   Coach K got that ship righted, turning a woeful defensive team into a defensive force by tournament time.  In 2010, Duke was struggling in January.  A most embarrassing loss came in DC against Georgetown on January 30, with President Obama in attendance, when the Hoyas destroyed Duke 89-77 (the game was not that close).  Duke actually lost twice in January besides to Georgetown — at Georgia Tech and at NC State.  Coach K got the ship righted and Duke went undefeated in February; and only lost one more game on its road to the NCAA championship.

Preseason, I wrote that defense would define the Duke season, pointing out that Duke has not been Duke defensively for a few years except for the tournament run in 2015.  Coach K had hoped to run and press with his loaded roster, but there has been no chance to do that because of the interruptions.  Duke could not have looked worse defensively against Virginia Tech.  In my opinion, much of that is caused by Grayson’s absence.  Grayson has been great on the defensive side — he is an excellent on the ball defender, excellent help defender, excellent defensive rebounder, and provides excellent pressing.  All of that was missing yesterday.  In my opinion, the absence of practice time for the whole rotation together is largely responsible.  That’s good news because it is fixable.  Right now, the freshmen all either look lost on defense or are prone to making a mistake in a particular defensive rotation.  A couple of times, Duke played solid defense for 25-26 seconds before allowing points.  I believe the defense will get better, though it will take time and a healthy full roster.

Duke won the second half 44-42 (although the Devils were really never in the game).  Kennard played 18 minutes of the second half, scoring 20 points (9-11 from the line) in the closing stanza.  Kennard was heroic.  In 38 minutes he scored 34 [11-19; 3-6 from deep; 9-11 from the line] to go with 7 rebounds (third on the team behind Amile (12) and Harry Giles, yes Harry had 8 boards in 13 minutes.  Jayson Tatum scored 18 points in 38 minutes (19 minutes in each half), but his game was a tale of two different shooting halves.  Jayson was 1-7 from the field; 1-3 from deep and 4-4 from the line for 7 points in the first half; 5-7; 1-2 for 11 second half points (but 0-2 from the line).  He needs to be more consistent and to concentrate for all 30 seconds on defense, but he is rounding into game shape.  This was only his 6th game.

Finally, for me anyway, the best news of the game was the visible progress that Harry Giles is making.  He played 7 productive first half minutes [2-3 for 4 points to go with 3 boards].  In his 6 second half minutes, he grabbed 5 boards and dished out an assist.  He did commit 3 fouls in that half.  Coach K said, “he gets tired.  He is not in game shape and gets winded.  He is doing now what pre-season is for.  In short, as Coach K said, “he is learning on the job.”  Giles, reputed to be an outstanding interior defender, is still looking lost on defense.  Coach K acknowledged as much, but pointed out that Giles has not participated in the team’s defensive drills.  I keep seeing good signs from Giles, and if he can take a productive place in the rotation, it could transform Duke’s season back to its lofty pre-season goals.

The Rotation

Jones, Kennard and Tatum played 38 minutes and Jefferson played 37.  They are the four usual starters.  Jackson played 24 minutes.  His 3 first half fouls limited him to 7 minutes (0-1) in the opening stanza.  Jackson played 17 second half minutes, committing only one more foul and going 3-8 from the field (0-1 from deep) for 6 points.  He had a rebound and a turnover.  Very troubling is Jackson failed to record an assist or get to the foul line. I suspect he is playing injured because without Grayson, he is desperately needed.  However, Duke needs much more out of him.   Duke needs much more out of Matt Jones as well.  In 38 minutes, Jones scored only 4 points on 2-8 from the field; 0-4 from deep, and they were wide open 3s; and 0-1 from the line.  He did have 2 blocks and a steal.  Critically, he was AWOL in the second half, failing to score (0-2;0-1) without a rebound, steal or block.  In the past, Jones has hit big shots when Duke needed a basket.  Not yesterday.  Amile scored 9 in 37 minutes (but only 2 in the first half where he was 1-4 and 0-1 from the line).  He collected 6 boards in each half.  It was not a bad game, but it was not up to the standard he has met so far this year.

The bench was thin, led by Harry Giles’s 13 minutes.  In the first half, Jeter, Bolden and Jack White each logged 3 minutes.  Bolden pulled down 3 boards (rebound a minute) and missed 2 free throws.  Neither Jeter nor White recorded a statistic.  Neither Bolden nor White even played in the second half.  Jeter logged another 3 minutes with a rebound and a foul.  That is essentially a six person rotation (Giles is the 6th man) in Grayson’s absence.  Bolden has been disappointing so far.  Jeter has played himself out of the rotation.

Looking Ahead

It is still — perhaps more than ever — a season on the brink.  Coach K said Duke has had 3 subpar games in a row, playing without cohesion since the impressive win against UNLV on December 10.  The ACC is going to be unforgiving this year.  Wins on the road will be treasured, and losses not unexpected.  Florida State got the most impressive road win this year, beating UVA in Charlottesville yesterday.  The Tar Heels learned about ACC road games in Atlanta, bowing to lowly Georgia Tech.  This is not the season we all hoped for so far, but take heart; all is not lost.

DUKE 110 – GEORGIA TECH 57

No, that’s not a typo but that’s also no indication of how the game started. Tech went up 4-0 off two easy baskets. Be honest, were you thinking like Alan and myself, “Oh my God, it’s Virginia Tech all over again.” Actually, this was a classic reality check game: a huge underdog upsets a top ten team at home and goes on the road to play a top ten team that just got blown out on the road by an unranked team. With the season maybe teetering on the brink of imploding and Coach K going on a multi-week post operation sabbatical, you knew there were going to be some changes. Harry Giles started and Grayson Allen came off  his one game (but two week) suspension and bingo, Coach K had the team he had been envisioning all along. It was Grayson’s evolving point guard abilities to push the ball up the floor, break down defenders, see the entire floor, and score or pass to an open teammate that got the Blue Devils going tonight. As talented and deep as this team is, Grayson Allen is the straw that stirs the drink and makes this team as lethal as a Molotov Cocktail. Allen finished with 15 points, 7 assists, 3 boards, 1 steal in 27 minutes. All the threes that didn’t drop Saturday in Blacksburg were dropping early and often tonight in Cameron. 0-4 went to 9-4 in a heartbeat, then 29-11, and 61-30 at the half. The Yellow Jackets went to the locker room at the break looking as if they had been zapped by a can of Raid Spray.

Perhaps the most encouraging sign for Duke’s future this year was that seven players scored in double figures including Harry Giles, who had a double/double in the first start of his career and displayed some of the explosiveness and athleticism that made him the nation’s top recruit. After a Saturday game against Boston College, we will know more about the true trajectory of this team with a road trip to Louisville and a home game against Florida State. If they pass that test with no injuries or losses, Duke fans can breathe a lot easier. As most of you know, Mike Krzyzewski will have surgery Friday to remove a fragment of a herniated disk from his lower back, which just recently flared up. Tonight his facial expressions reflected more than discomfort. He appeared to hobble on his left leg, at times leaning back on the bench with that leg extended and clutching it. It will be the fifth surgery in nine months for Krzyzewski who will turn 70 next month. Last offseason, he had knee replacement and hernia surgeries as well as a pair of procedures on his left ankle. “I’m a little bit accustomed to listening to doctors’ orders and doing it the right way,” he said. “I’m tired of it. I’m not tired of coaching basketball, but I’m tired of not being healthy.” Despite the his age,  recovery from this type of operation can be relatively quick for someone who’s healthy and Jay Bilas said that he has never seen his former coach be as enthusiastic about coaching as he was this fall. However, I can attest to the fact that back issues at any age are serious and usually are managed not resolved.

Other Comments:

  • Jay Bilas was one of the commentators tonight. Unlike J. Williams and Seth Greenburg, who were in the studio, Bilas made a lot of sense when talking about Grayson Allen’s one game suspension. Jay said that the Jim Swofford, the ACC Commissioner, let Coach K make the decision and that he was sure Coach K talked to his athletic director and president about his decision.  Further, Jay, who played and coached for Krzyzewski (while he was getting his law degree), said in all his years he had never seen anything like the tripping incidents and that there is nothing in the rule book about it and he thought it was time just for everybody to just (shut up and) “Let the kid play”.
  • Jayson Tatum, who only had a few points in the first half, but ended with 19 said: “Coach doesn’t want me to just be a scorer, but an all-around player, help the team any way I can. I may not always hit the shots but I can always play defense, I can always rebound. He and Giles, who played AAU ball together, also demonstrated an unusual passing chemistry together as, obviously, do Allen and Kennard.
  • For the first time this year Marques Bolden looked like he belongs in the rotation. BTW, it looks like there will be an eight man rotation with everyone getting periodic breathers. Alan will go into more detail.
  • Welcome to the 2017 ACC season on the road: Virginia Tech gets blown out by a recovering N.C. State, Louisville gets beat at Notre Dame, Virginia loses at Pittsburg, and North Carolina  squeaks by Clemson in Littlejohn in over time.

 

Duke 93 – Boston College 82

Duke won the first half 53-34 with Amile Jefferson. Duke lost the second half 40-48 without an injured Amile Jefferson. What does that tell you? It confirms what Alan and I have long contended: namely, that Jefferson may be as valuable as anyone on this team and this is a huge challenge— at least until Giles and Bolden adjust to the fact that they are not in high school anymore and there are a lot of talented basketball players in the ACC. Fortunately, that is not the case for Jayson Tatum, who stepped into the breach— hitting a now-you-can-breathe-easier three, four straight foul shots, and making a monster Big Boy rejection at the rim–  scoring nine points in the final 4 1/2 minutes to save the most embarrassing, and unexpected collapse since The Warriors lost a 24 point lead to The Grizzlies Friday night.

Duke had six players in double figures, and a seventh, Luke Kennard, with 9 points. Grayson Allen had 12 points and 11 assists. He would have had a few more if Giles and Bolden adjusted faster to a pick and roll. I wonder if Grayson got credit for an assist when the threw an out of bounds pass ball from under the basket off the back of an unsuspecting a BC player and caught it for a layup?

With Allen operating the point, whether after a missed or made shot, the ball moves up the court much faster and often catches opponents before they get set defensively—much like Carolina’s very effective secondary beak. Add to that Grayson’s natural aggressiveness and innate ability to see the entire floor and you have another dimension to this offense. And speaking of offense, when the threes are dropping like in the first half, the game seems easy. When they are not, as in the second half, the outcome can become dicey. Other than missing Jefferson, the difference in the two halves was that the assist ratio was 15-5. That indicates that in the final twenty minutes, the shots were rushed and contested, not a result of ball movement. Axiom: Passes travel faster than players.

Obviously, Amile Jefferson’s injury (He injured the same foot as last year. The  MRI revealed he suffered a sprained ankle, not a fracture, as had been previously feared.) is just another unanticipated challenge to what has seemed like, perhaps, another star-crossed season. As previously mentioned, Giles and Bolden need to mature fast—hustle and defend the rim like the impressive athletes they are,  and understand how the game is being called. Today, they both fouled out  and Tatum moved to center for the last for four minutes.

Other Comments:

Jeff Capel will settle in and do a fine job coaching this team. However, no one can energize/scare/intimidate/inspire a faltering team like Coach K and I have a hard time believing he would have let the Blue Devils almost blow a twenty point second half lead.

When everyone is hot and an opponent is being blown out, sometimes it is easy to forget who your money shooters are. Luke Kennard let his teammates share the spotlight but when the Eagles were making their run, he came off the bench cold. Shooters—unless your name is John Havlicek–have to shoot to stay warm. When you need points, I like the ball in Grayson or Luke’s hands and Jayson as an option at the high post elbow.

When everyone is hot and an opponent is being blown out, sometimes it is easy to forget who your money shooters are. Luke Kennard let his teammates share the spotlight but when the Eagles were making their run, he came off the bench cold. Shooters—unless your name is John Havlicek–have to shoot to stay warm. When you need points, I like the ball in Grayson or Luke’s hands and Jayson as an option at the high post elbow.

Alan Adds:

With 1:51 left in the first half, Duke led by 25 points at 53-28 when Jefferson went down.  With 2:23 left in the game, the Eagles had cut the lead to a mere 7 points.   It was a dicey time. Duke had scored only a single field goal since Giles hit a jumper at the 11:25 mark to give Duke a 22 point lead.  Duke then proceeded to turn into the Duke team of the Virginia Tech game (and the two previous games).  The shots — many of them very open looks — stopped falling.  The ball stopped moving.  Kennard missed 3 shots, including a 3; Jackson missed a pair of 3s; Jones missed a pair of 3s; Allen missed a 3; Tatum missed 3 shots (including a put back attempt) before making Duke’s only field goal in that stretch, a layup with 4:14 to go.  If the offense was horrible, the defense was even worse.  After playing the best defense of the year (before Jefferson’s injury), Duke returned to the Virginia Tech game defense.  The Devils gave up scores on 11 straight possessions.  The transition defense was non-existent; resulting in easy BC baskets. The Eagles penetrated for uncontested or barely contested layups out of the half court set. Tatum, Grayson and Jones all committed fouls, permitting BC to score.  Giles, who had only 1 foul in the first half, fouled out with over 3 minutes to go.  Bolden committed 4 fouls in his 7 on court minutes.  Tatum finished the game with 4 fouls.   I thought I saw Jeff Capel morphing into Pete Gaudet.  But he didn’t.  He calmed the team down and set them up to win the game.

Capel made the important point in his press conference  — Duke made winning plays when it mattered.  Tatum emerged as a team leader with amazing heart.  He hit the game saving 3 to move the lead back out to 10 with 1:59 left to play.  He made 4-4 crucial free throws, and took over the center position after Giles fouled out.  He had 3 needed defensive rebounds and a block.  Capel pointed to good foul shooting to keep Duke safe: Giles was 4-4; Tatum 4-4; Jackson 2-4 (but made the front end) and Kennard (1-2, but made the front end) down the stretch.  Capel’s coaching point is that Duke played winning basketball in situations that cannot be replicated in practice; therefore the game was a positive.

The Frontcourt

Duke missed Chase Jeter yesterday!  Capel started Giles, Jefferson and Tatum and they were absolutely superb until Jefferson went down.  The rotation kept everyone fresh — Jefferson played 13 minutes; Giles 10, Tatum 16 and Bolden 4 in the first half.  Giles was impressive going 3-5 with 3 boards for 6 points.  Jefferson was superb with 11 points on 5-7 shooting and 2 boards and 2 assists.  He anchored the superb defense.  Tatum was smooth, scoring 9 [2-3; 5-6 from the line and was key on defense with 3 steals and 2 boards and a block.  He gets better with every game.  Bolden looks lost, but is now at least hustling.  He runs the court well, but committed 3 fouls and a turnover in 4 scoreless minutes in the first half.  Duke went small a few times with Jayson moving to power forward or playing with 4 guards and a big.

The wheels came off a bit in the second half without Jefferson.  Giles was asked to play more minutes at a high level than his current condition allows.  He was just gassed in 14 second half minutes (made necessary by Jefferson’s injury, Bolden’s foul trouble and Jeter’s injury-absence).  The result is that transition defense suffered because he is unable (yet) to run full out on every play when playing substantial minutes.  His defense really suffered and he committed fouls that come from a tired player not moving his feet.  Yet, he is undeniably getting visibly better with each outing.  His one turnover came when he tried to go behind his back in the lane.  Just trying that move impressed me.  He is going to be a dominant front court player this year.  He finished with 12 points, 5 boards, a block, an assist and a steal.  His defense will come around, you can already see his improvement, which I predict will accelerate as he gets in game shape.  Bolden in 7 minutes, made 2 crucial foul shots and stole the ball (good); but he failed to get a rebound, committed a turnover and missed his only shot (bad).  If Jefferson is out for an extended period, Duke will need good minutes from Bolden and/or Jeter.  Of course, Tatum is living up to his reputation and becoming a team leader.  He played 30 minutes, and, except for 5 turnovers (he’s still a freshman learning what he can and cannot do in the college game), played a scintillating floor game.  He scored 22 on 9 field goal attempts [6-9 from the floor; 1-2 from deep, which was the game saver; 9-10 from the line] to go with a team leading 6 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 blocks and 4 steals.  He was not less than heroic.  Whether from small or power forward, he will anchor the front court if Jefferson misses extended time.

The backcourt

Grayson Allen’s return to the backcourt has been inspirational and impressive, if not publicized.  He is now the established point guard (with Jackson) as he was not before his suspension.  He makes the Duke offense go.  He is becoming a facilitator, who shoots and scores when Duke needs him.  He played almost the entire game (37 minutes), shining in the first half with 9 assists.  He finished the game with 11, but, as Bill pointed out, his teammates denied him several beautiful assists by failing to convert (or even catch) some splendid passes.  His five turnovers remind us that he is still new at the point.  Most of his turnovers came as help defenders deflected the ball on his drives into the lane. Though his long range shooting was off and he missed his only 2 foul shots, he scored 12 points [6-9; 2-6 from deep and 0-2 from the line].  Grayson added 5 important rebounds and 3 steals to his floor game.  Luke had his first underwhelming performance of the season in the second half.  He was efficient in the first half logging 12 minutes (limited by his 2 fouls and Duke’s big lead), scoring 8 on 2-4 from the field; 1-2 from deep; 3-3 from the line to go with an assist and a steal.  But in 16 second half minutes he was uncharacteristically quiet.  I attribute that to the big Duke lead in the opening 10 minutes.  Kennard shoots only when Duke needs his points, and by the time they needed his points in the second half, he was badly out of rhythm, scoring only a single point and missing 3 of his shots — 1 from inside the arc; 1 from deep; and a free throw (1-2 at the line).  He did pull down 4 important rebounds (Tatum also had 4 to lead Duke’s second half subpar rebounding).  Frank Jackson was an important contributor.  He scored 15 in his 25 minutes [4-9; 2-6 from deep and 5-8 from the line].  It is still troubling when a point guard fails to record an assist.  He missed all 4 of his field goal attempts in the second half (0-3 from deep) but hit crucial free throws [4-6 down the stretch] even though he missed 2.  Matt Jones logged 36 minutes (second to Grayson), playing wonderful defense and scoring 10 [4-7; 2-5 from deep].  The backcourt is not a Blue Devil worry.

Next Play

Duke will play Florida State (unbeaten in the conference with wins over Virginia in Charlottesville, Louisville and Virginia Tech and ranked nationally) in Tallahassee on Tuesday night.  This will be a huge challenge (especially if Jefferson cannot play), and may tell us much about this team.

Alan Adds:

The high point of Duke’s season thus far came in the game after the very low point against Virginia Tech last Saturday.  Of the Virginia Tech game, Coach K said simply, “We were awful.  I was awful.  There is nothing to be gained from that game.  Just flush it.”  But Coach K pointed out that the loss to Virginia Tech was “the end of us patch working.”  It was the end of “do we have enough guys” and the end of players logging such extended minutes.  Duke was unselfish and on fire.  There were 24 assists on 39 baskets.  In the first half, the veterans — Kennard, Allen and Jefferson — led the way along with yesterday’s most effective freshman, Frank Jackson.  In the second half, the freshmen showed why they are so hyped — Tatum, Giles, and Bolden — along with Matt Jones.  This is the team we had hoped to see when the season began.  The starting lineup against Georgia Tech is the one Coach K had hoped for — Giles, Tatum and Jefferson up front with Allen at point and Kennard in the back court.  Jones and Jackson substituted on the perimeter and Bolden up front.  It was delicious to watch.  The only slight quibble is the freshmen are not yet there on defense, but you can see the defense improving (Ga. Tech was pretty awful on offense; so the next games will offer better tests).

The Rotation

Coach K said he wanted to establish the 7-8 player rotation, and did so.  His first substitutions were after 4 minutes had been played; Jones and Jackson replaced Tatum and Giles.  Bolden played only 3 minutes in the first half, so that when Giles (9 first half minutes) and Bolden were not in the game, Duke played with Jefferson in the middle and four perimeter players (Tatum is both — a true swing player).  In the second half, Coach K gave his veterans a rest.  Kennard played only 7 second half minutes without scoring (0-1), while Jefferson and Allen played all of 10 minutes while giving the freshmen much needed floor time.

The First Half

Kennard had a simply dazzling first half, logging 19 minutes and scoring 16 efficient points on 6 shots [6-6; 4-4 from deep] to go with 4 boards and a steal.  Grayson found him with some beautiful passes.  Grayson’s return was something special.  It is as if corrections and therapy for the “tripping” syndrome have made Grayson see his role on this team more clearly.  He is the starting point guard (experience that he will need for the next level).  In 17 first half minutes, Grayson handed out 7 assists while scoring 15 points on 4 field goal attempts [3-4 from the field, including 2-3 from deep and 5-5 from the line].  Getting to the line is the result of the point guard’s penetration, which starts the offense.  Grayson was also superb on the defensive end of the floor with good (maybe better than just good) on the ball defense, 3 boards and a steal.  His demeanor was excellent.  Our fingers will remain crossed for the remainder of the season.  Amile played 17 minutes, grabbing 5 boards and scoring 8 points [2-4 from the floor and 4-6 from the line].  Matt Jones played only 7 minutes because of foul trouble (3 in the opening stanza), hitting 2-3 from deep for 6 points.  The freshmen played well, but none better than Frank Jackson, who came off the bench with Matt.  He was a scoring machine, lighting it up for 12 points in 13 minutes [4-6 from the field; 3-5 from deep and 1-1 from the line] to go with a board, an assist and 0 turnovers.  Giles played 9 minutes and led Duke in rebounding with 6, while going 1-5 from the field for 2 points.  Tatum also scored only 4 first half points in 15 minutes [1-5; 0-3 from deep; 2-2 from the line] but played a wonderful floor game and is improving on defense (not all the way there yet, though).  Jayson snared 3 boards, had 2 steals, 2 blocks and 2 assists.  Bolden played only 3 first half minutes without a statistic.  Duke had 12 assists on 20 field goals (20-37).  If you subtract Duke’s 5-13 from deep, Duke hit 15 for 24 from inside the arc.  It was some offensive display in the first half.

The Second Half

In some ways, the second half was even better for Duke as the team started to evolve into the team that Coach K had hoped for in the pre-season.  The scrubs — Vrankovich (7), White (5), Robinson (2) and Pagliuca (3) — played a total of 15 minutes (out of 100).  Neither Allen nor Kennard made a second half field goal (Grayson had 2 points on foul shots).  Jefferson scored 6 with 2 rebounds [2-4 from the field and 2-2 from the line].  The second half belonged to Giles, Tatum, and Bolden.  Tatum was unstoppable.  In 13 minutes he poured in 15 points even though he was only 1-4 from deep and 0-1 from the line.  He made all 7 of his field goal attempts from inside the arc to go with 3 boards, 2 blocks 2 steals and 2 assists.  Giles also had an amazing second half (perhaps the best news for Duke in a game filled with good news).  He scored a point a minute (8 in 8 minutes; on 4-7 shooting) while adding another 6 boards for a total of 12 (and his first college double double).  Even better is how quick he looked around the court.  He got several deflections on passes.  As Coach K said, his athleticism is not all the way back, but it is coming.  He raced for the loose balls he had created, but did not come up with them.  Still, you can see him getting comfortable on the court.  Coach K said the most important thing is Giles getting used to contact.  Tatum hit him with a couple of beautiful looks.  They have played together before.  Marquis Bolden had his first good game, logging 12 second half minutes, in which he went 2-4 for four points to go with 4 rebounds and a block.  He will be the 8th member of the rotation.  Matt Jones played well in the second half.  In 12 minutes, he scored 8 on 3-6 shooting [2-4 from deep] while grabbing 4 rebounds and handing out 2 assists.

The coming games

While this was a great Duke game, one game does not a season make.  However, it  was great to see a division of both minutes and scoring, which should not be undervalued.   No player logged as much as 30 minutes:  Tatum led with 28, Jefferson and Allen played 27 and Kennard 26.  Frank Jackson played 24 minutes, Jones 19, Giles 17, and Bolden 15.  The scoring was really balanced.  Tatum led the scoring with 19, followed by Kennard with 16, Jackson and Allen with 15, Jefferson and Jones with 14, and Giles with 10.  This is a great model for moving forward.

Coach K will be sidelined, but remain involved.  There are tough games coming up in a conference that is unforgiving (see yesterday’s results; not to mention Ga. Tech’s win over UNC).  Coach K gave the perfect response for watching the next games, “We will see how we grow.”

Duke 72 – Florida State 88

For the first ten games of the season this Duke team was more than the sum of the parts. Suddenly, down a key player—maybe the indispensable player– and a head coach, they are less than the sum of the parts. Make no mistake, energized by eleven straight wins Florida State is a big, talented, athletic, deep team playing with the confidence of a Final Four team. Florida State ran, shot, defended jumped, and dunked all over the seemingly overmatched, under sized Blue Devils, who were as bad defensively as the Seminoles were good offensively. How bad was it? Seventeen turnovers including Allen, Tatum, and Giles air mailing passes to fans in the stands, Jeter called for three seconds in the lane when he was, apparently, afraid to put a rebound back up at point blank range and couldn’t locate an open teammate, Tatum and Bolden, our highly touted big men, playing only a total of 14 minutes. There were times that it looked like the Globetrotters against the Washington Generals.

I’m not ready to say that this is 1995 all over again, but this season could get very ugly, very quickly unless the team rediscovers a lot more chemistry, precision, moxie, and plays fundamentally sound basketball. Unfortunately, there is another difficult assignment Saturday as Duke plays at Louisville. We will learn a lot more about the resilience and direction of the season after this game.

Alan Adds:

There was definitely a hole in the Duke basketball donut last night.  The middle of the Duke team — the center position, the rim protection, the rebounding, any offense from the post — was missing.  Coach Chapel said “We could not keep them out of our paint.  They lived in the paint.  We need to do a better defensive job as a team there.”  Competition for the Understatement of 2017 ends in January!  The Duke perimeter defense was a sieve, leading to Duke being dominated off the glass on both ends.

Duke was overwhelmed in every aspect of the game.  Florida State used 12 players efficiently.  Kennard played 40 minutes; Tatum 38 and Jones 36.   Those three scored 54 of Duke’s 72 points.  Kennard was again heroic scoring 23 [8-15; 2-6 from deep and 5-6 from the line] to go with 3 boards, 2 assists and a steal.  He committed only 1 foul and had only 1 turnover.  Tatum was also heroic scoring 21 [7-17; 3-6 from 3land; and 4-5 from the line] to go with 4 boards and a steal.  Duke was loose with the ball (and the Seminoles played outstanding defense, stripping Duke’s drivers quite frequently).  Tatum had 4 turnovers without an assist.   Matt picked up 4 fouls while playing good defense and scoring 10 [4-8; 2-5 from deep without getting to the line].

Grayson played only 26 minutes, being kept out for the last minutes because of a blow to the head.  He had a curiously bad shooting game while making some nifty dishes, but also turning the ball over.  He took only 6 shots [2-6; 0-3 from deep; and 5-7 from the stripe] for 9 points, while handing out 5 assists and committing 3 turnovers.

The hole in the middle, created by the absence of Jefferson, was monstrous.  Harry Giles was supposed to step into Jefferson’s shoes after 24 minutes against BC.  However Harry played only 5 minutes in each half.  He scored 5, and had 2 boards and 2 turnovers.  AWOL on defense.  The other heralded freshman big, Marquis Bolden, played only 4 first half minutes (0 in the closing stanza) while committing a foul and a turnover.  I do not think he is, as was projected, a one and done.  That left the bulk of the minutes played in the middle to Chase Jeter (26 minutes).  Chase played creditably, but was overwhelmed underneath on the boards and defense.  He has not elevated his offensive skills.  He grabbed 6 boards (tied for team lead) but scored only a point [0-2; 1-2 from the line]. Frank Jackson was, essentially, the Duke bench.  He logged 21 minutes and also grabbed 6 boards.  But he scored only 3 (3-4 from the line), missing all 5 of his shots; 4 from deep.

This is a fairly desperate time for a team that had National Championship hopes pre-season.  The one picture is worth a thousand words for yesterday was Jefferson on the bench with a boot on his foot.

Duke 69 – Louisville 78

After the Florida State game, I wrote that recently this Duke team is less than the sum of the parts. After today’s loss, we should consider the possibility that perhaps this Duke team is the sum of their parts and the parts just aren’t that good. Look, Louisville is a very good defensive team that, uncharacteristically, hit seven big threes at critical times to secure a win from a Blue Devil team that never played for any extended length of time as though they could win the game. Only Allen (23 pts. 9 rebounds, 1 assist) and Kennard (17 points) scored in double figures. There were 18 turnovers and only 8 assists. Allen leads the ACC in assists per game with 9. So why start Jackson, a freshman and a very good spot up three point shooter, at the point on the road? The offense never looked in synch as there was very little ball movement and too much aimless dribbling around on the perimeter. My old buddy All Prep Ep called to say that Duke looked like intimidated boys playing men and that Coach K stalking the sidelines in his blue suit exhorting his players and screaming at the refs was worth ten points a game—maybe more!

The hole in the middle left by Amile Jefferson and his double-double numbers is not a pot hole, it is a bottomless sink hole because, except for a few flashes, no one has been able to fill it. Replacements Harry GilesChase Jeter, and Marques Bolden combined for 7 points, 8 rebounds, and 8 fouls. Excuses for highly touted Harry Giles lack of consistent productivity or hitting free throws now goes beyond not having played in a year. And a little of Chase Jeter  goes a long way as Anas Mahmoud took advantage of Jeter’s extended presence by having a career game (17 points and 11 rebounds). The fact that Jeter is playing significant minutes is a good indication that the coaches assessment of Marques Bolden is the same as Alan’s and mine—he is a raw talent but not yet ready for ACC play. Usually reliable Jayson Tatum never fully adjusted to Cardinal defense or the way the game was being called. (Note: Jayson, you are not a star playing high school anymore. You are not going to get all the calls so shut up and play). Luke Kennard scored most of the time he had the ball in his hands at the right place, but there were not enough of those times.

After Saturday’s loss, Duke interim coach Jeff Capel said that Jefferson’s ability to come back is on a day-to-day evaluation. Duke’s next game won’t come until next Saturday (at home against Miami). So with seven more days to heal that bone bruise, help may be on the way.

What to say about Grayson Allen? Today was a sort of flashback to last season’s shooting guard numbers. In virtually every game since his suspension, while doing anything and everything the coaches have asked of him–run the point, play shooting guard, rebound, play defense against all size players– he has played harder and more aggressively than anyone on the floor. He does not back down. However, in doing so, he does not avoid contact and dives onto the floor and into the stands for loose balls. In short, he is a highly competitive, physical player who takes and gives a lot of punishment. Opponent’s fans boo every time he touches the ball and the television announcers and social media look for every possible slow-motion replay to opine if he may have made another dirty play. I realize Grayson brought this on himself and am not going to defend the indefensible–but enough is enough!  Give the kid a break. He is not a thug, no one was injured—or even close to it. He is an outstanding student  on track to graduate in three years and a well-liked teammate. If you somehow could administer  Sodium Pentothal to all those who boo and/or harass Grayson, I wager virtually all would say they would want him on their team. A case in point: Rick Pitino said that Allen’s past tripping incidents were simply a mistake and had a different opinion when asked about the treatment of Allen away from home. “Everybody always says, ‘He only sat one game. You can bury a young man. Believe me, that kid is paying the price in different ways. You hear it in the crowds everywhere he goes.”

Other Comments:

  • I was very relieved and encouraged to open Monday’s DBR website and read an  article by Al  Featherston, the most knowledgeable journalist writing about Duke Basketball, which included the following observation:  “Just a moment to digress. While I understand the initial wave of criticism – and even the national debate as to whether Allen deserved a longer suspension – the continued post-suspension focus on Allen has moved from the outrageous to the despicable. ESPN’s attempt to generate new controversy with the slow-motion breakdowns of the screening collision in the Boston College game and his collision with the FSU assistant coach while scrambling for a loose ball are ridiculous. And the response to the blows to his face that Allen suffered in the Louisville game – one ESPN columnist essentially said that he deserved everything he got – was disgusting.”
  • Looking from afar, Dr. Alan Goldberg, an Amherst, Massachusetts, sports performance consultant, says Allen clearly has lost control of his emotions when he trips opponents. “Any time our emotions steer our ship, we always end up on the rocks. Our emotions make us stupid. You can be very, very intelligent, but when we get emotional they highjack us.” That Allen is “acting out” is unacceptable, he says, but “not unusual behavior” when dealing with high-profile, high-intensity athletes. “You don’t think of consequences when that stuff happens, you just react,” Goldberg observes. “One needs to take responsibility for that kind of behavior: Realize that it’s a serious problem, and he needs to work on it and that no one can do it for him.” 

Alan adds:

Grayson Allen was not less than heroic against Louisville.  With the crowd booing every time he touched the ball, Grayson played with verve, heart, and aggression.  He may be becoming JJ and Laettner-like in letting the home crowd fuel his performance.  Not only did he score 23 points on only 11 shots [6-11; 2-3 from deep; 9-12 from the line], but he led Duke in rebounding with 9!  Giles was second with 6 (all in the second half).  Jeter in 17 minutes managed only 2, for example.  The stat sheet gives Grayson only 3 assists, but his passing is excellent (one does not receive an assist if the player receiving the superb pass does not catch it or score the open look after catching).   The flaw, and it did hurt Duke, is his turnovers (Grayson committed 6 of Duke’s 18).  Let’s remember this is the first time that Grayson has ever been a primary point guard.  It has to be his position at the next level and he is growing in the role as we watch, and doing so in a difficult public setting.  He has earned and continues to earn my admiration.

The Bottomless Sink Hole

Bill points out that Jefferson’s absence has created a bottomless sink hole.  He is so right.  While Duke played with more passion and heart against Louisville than in the most recent beating from Florida State, there were too many similarities to ignore. After the Florida State game, I wrote: “There was definitely a hole in the Duke basketball donut last night.  The middle of the Duke team — the center position, the rim protection, the rebounding, any offense from the post — was missing.  Coach Chapel said “We could not keep them out of our paint.  They lived in the paint.  We need to do a better defensive job as a team there.”  Competition for the Understatement of 2017 ends in January!  The Duke perimeter defense was a sieve, leading to Duke being dominated off the glass on both ends.

Nothing really changed against Louisville.  Coach Capel pointed out that Duke has given up 92 points in the paint in its last two games!  He also accurately said, “This is not just on the bigs.  The perimeter is allowing penetration first.”  So true.  The rotations to defeat the pick and roll are simply coming too slow or not at all.  Duke makes the first rotation smoothly, but not the secondary ones.  So offensive interior passing is allowing open layups.  It is not all Jefferson’s replacements, but it is a lot.  Neither Giles nor Bolden have the basic defensive idea yet (though you can see Giles starting to get it; just not on every play).   When Duke did prevent the Cardinals from scoring on the first attempt, the Blue Devil inability to defend its own backboard gave Louisville a plethora of put backs and second chance opportunities.  Yes, that is part of missing Jefferson.  Giles is a ferocious rebounder, who looks as if he can be a force on the boards (when he is finally in game shape).  Duke’s hidden positive was Giles’s second half performance.  After a desultory first half — 7 minutes only with one missed shot and 1 rebound; though he did have 2 blocks and a steal, demonstrating his athleticism — he played 12 second half minutes, grabbing 5 boards while scoring 7 [3-4 from the field, but only 1-4 from the line] and adding a block.  How well he has developed by mid-February will be almost (well almost is a stretch) as important as getting Jefferson back.  But the performance of the other Duke bigs is jaw-droppingly below the reputations of the players coming in.  Bolden, a projected one and done, logged only 5 second half minutes [did not get on the court in the first half], committing a foul, but otherwise not scratching in the box score.  One and done?  Jeter played 17 minutes without scoring!  He corralled 2 boards and blocked a shot while committing 2 turnovers, 2 personal fouls, and missing his only free throw, the front end of a 1 and 1.  The only consolation for me is that he reminds me of Jefferson as a sophomore.  DeLaurier made a return from the injury list and recorded a block against 2 fouls and 2 turnovers in 7 minutes.  Another non-scoring big!  Jeter, Bolden and DeLaurier did not score; nor did Giles in the first half.

The Thin Backcourt

Frank Jackson played only 10 minutes making 1 (a 3) of his 5 shots.  He again had 0 assists against a turnover and 3 personal fouls.  He played only 3 minutes in the second half, missing both of his shots and committing a turnover.  As Bill emphasized, Jayson had a disappointing game, which may be about his going up against a level of competition that is higher than he has experienced.  In 31 minutes he scored 11 on 11 shots [3-11; 0-1 from deep, but 5-6 from the line] to go with 5 boards (4 less than Grayson) and a steal.  He had no assists against 3 turnovers.  This left the minutes and the scoring to Duke’s central threesome — Grayson (36), Kennard (39) and Jones (36).  Matt scored only 8 [3-5; 1-2 from deep and 1-1 from the line.  He had 3 boards, an assist and a steal against only one turnover.  His plus/minus stats lead the team.  Duke does much better when he is on the court than off.  Kennard had a quietly efficient game scoring 17 on 10 shots [6-10; 1-3 from 3land; 4-4 from the stripe] to go with 4 rebounds and 3 assists (against 3 turnovers).  Although he took only 2 shots in the second half, he made a 3 and all 4 foul shots.

The Jeffersonian Conclusion

Without Jefferson, and with the non-development of the freshmen bigs, this year’s Duke team looks a bit like last year’s thin-rostered overachievers, except without the saving grace of last season — Marshal Plumlee.  This has such a last year feel, with Duke fans hoping for Jefferson’s return for much of the year before he was officially out for the season.  If he returns, Allen continues to improve his point guard skills, Giles develops (and Jayson goes back to being Jayson), Duke still has a chance to have a really special year.  That is a lot to ask, but it is not impossible.  However, without Jefferson ….

Duke  70 – Miami 58

A Duke team that had scored 50 points for the third straight half of play just two weeks ago against Boston College tonight struggled to score only 25 desultory first half points in Cameron to fall behind by 11 points against Miami, a team that had beaten them four of the last six times. Having lost consecutive ACC games to Florida State and Louisville, the Blue Devils were clearly looking at falling not only out of any national ranking consideration, but also into an inept, irrelevant abyss from which there might be no return. And to make matters more troublesome, they were not playing with any discernable urgency, determination or passion—and Coach K, still recovering from back surgery, was unavailable to work his halftime and sideline magic. Seldom a has talented Duke team looked so out of synch and lost both offensively and defensively.

Interim coach Jeff Capel started the second half with the seemingly odd combination of senior co-captains Amile Jefferson, Matt Jones beside freshmen Marques Bolden, Jayson Tatum, and Frank Jackson with first half starters Kennard, Allen, and Giles relegated to the bench—hardly an offensive juggernaut lineup. How many of you were thinking: Jeff, are you out of your mind? The season is probably hanging in the balance, you bench three players likely to go in the first round of the NBA Draft?

What happened next was one of the most amazing transformations since Clark Kent went into a phone booth and came out as Superman. Well, Matt Jones came out of the locker room, not a phone booth, but the transformation was about the same as he played as an impressive and transformative ten minutes I can remember from a Duke player. He defended, stole passes, didn’t miss a shot (three threes), and led a rejuvenated five oddly matched Blue Devils to an improbable  eleven minute 29-4 run to totally turn the game around and, perhaps, resuscitate the season.

It was a Heimlich maneuver that saved a choking patient. Of course, Matt had help. A rejuvenated, suddenly athletic and effective Marques Bolden looked like Shane Battier in his last game at Carolina, running around, challenging players, and causing confusion and chaos — a major reason the second half defense so discombobulated the Hurricanes. Amile was a demon on defense and the boards. Jackson had 10 points and 4 assists running the point, splitting  defenders for athletic drives, and Tatum scored 12 timely points.  We all have come to expect defining Duke a run somewhere during a game, but I cannot remember one as unanticipated, inexplicable, and sustained as this one. 

In one bold, improbable, gutsy lineup change, Jeff Capel became Coach Capel. He said of the first half: “We weren’t tough, we didn’t do it together, we got down and maybe tried to do some things on our own. Because our defense was so poor, we were not able to get out in transition. Miami even did all this even with Amile Jefferson making his first start since the Boston College game.”

A reality check: As exciting, important, and impressive as this win was, it points out that every game is forty minutes long and, as Miami learned, twenty minutes of good play will not beat top teams. Unless this win is a teachable moment and a rebuilding block to better, more consistent offense and defense, it will be just an exciting memory that meant nothing in a very, very disappointing season.

Other Comments:

By chance or on purpose, Grayson Allen is being tested. Tonight, he was physically bounced around several times, one time opening a cut near his eye, another time painfully dislocating his little finger. On every occasion, he reacted maturely.

It was a pleasure having Jay Bilas be one of the announcers. He invariably tells us something we didn’t know about the game or a team.

Alan Adds:

My game ball goes to Jeff Capel, which is not to say that Matt Jones wasn’t also amazingly deserving.  Jeff took a clear eyed look at how his players performed in a desultory first half and trusted his instinct as to half time adjustments and player personal.  Frankly, Coach K could not have done a better job.  Capel saw the desultory performances of Grayson Allen, Luke Kennard and Harry Giles in the first half.  Luke and Grayson played 17 minutes without recording an assist while going 3 –12 combined from  the field and 0-4 from behind the arc. While they led Duke in scoring that half by getting to the foul line.  Allen was 2-8 from the field; missing all 3 attempts from deep, but going 3-4 from the line for 7 first half points; Luke was 1-4; missed his only attempt from deep while hitting all 4 of his foul shots for 6 first half points.  Neither started the second half.  In my opinion, the reason was the lax defense that the team and each played on the perimeter.

Miami got to the rim with ease, penetrating on pick and rolls that made the Devils look as if their feet were encased in cement.  Capel said that Duke had a great week of practice.  Jefferson finally practiced for one day, and certainly was not expected to play 34 scintillating minutes on his return.  Amile tried to join practice on Thursday, but could not really go.  He participated on Friday fully for the first time.  Duke finally practiced with a full complement of players and Capel expected an excellent performance.  But that did not materialize in the first half.  Duke was not tough, did not play together (“trying to do too much individually”), and played shockingly inept defense, which closed down Duke’s running game (more difficult to run when you are taking the ball out of your own basket to initiate the offense).

Capel knew Duke needed energy.  He saw Bolden bringing it in practice.  “He had a great week of practice.  He worked his butt off and had a great attitude.  That carried over into the first half where he played 12 minutes, scoring 4 [2-3] and grabbing 3 rebounds.  He was energetic on defense, as Bill emphasized.  Jackson also scored 4 in 12 first half minutes [2-4; 0-1 from deep] with an assist and 0 turnovers.  Capel looked at the good play from Frank Jackson and Marques Bolden in the first half and turned to them to start the last stanza.  Pretty guts move for an interim coach.  The third starter after the break was Matt Jones, but not because of his first half play.  In ten opening stanza minutes, Matt was scoreless without an assist or rebound.  His only first half stats were a foul and a turnover.  Capel ingeniously put him in to start the second half, and it is hard to imagine a better coaching decision.  Capel said that Coach K had advised him to trust his instinct (as Capel did last year when Coach K could not make the trip to Georgia Tech, and Capel turned that game around by going to a zone defense), which Capel said he has no trouble doing, and then proved it.  Game ball!

Not far behind are Jones, Bolden, Jackson and Jefferson (and let’s not forget about Jayson Tatum).   Matt Jones turned the game around in a heartbeat to start the second half.  In the first minute, Jones stole the ball for a layup; two minutes later, he stole the ball and sunk a 3 to put Duke back in the game.  In 19 second half minutes, Jones scored 13 on 100% shooting [5-5; 3-3 from deep] and had 3 steals and 2 tough rebounds.  He led the resurgence of the Duke defense, which (inexplicably) became glue like, holding Miami to 22 second half points.  Everyone played great defense but none better than Marques Bolden.  He has a big body, runs really well, and was intense in his defensive concentration (which is completely new for him, in my observation).  He was a revelation, and together with Jones and Amile, he stopped the Miami pick and roll offense.  It was dramatic.   He played 11 second half minutes for a total of 23 game minutes.  He scored 8 [4-6] with 4 boards.  He clearly replaced Giles in the middle.  Giles played only 8 game minutes — 5 in the first half, where he picked up 2 quick fouls.  He got the 3rd in his 3 second half minutes.  But because of Bolden, Duke did not miss Giles.

Jackson was also a revelation at point guard.  In 24 minutes, he dazzled with acrobatic drives, deft ball handling and superb hustle and defense.  He handed out 4 assists without a turnover while scoring in double figures (10) [4-7; 0-1 from deep and 2-3 from the line.  He added 2 steals.  Tatum had a superb second half after scoring only 2 points in the first half while committing 2 fouls and a turnover.  However, he was a key in the second half where he scored 12 points in 15 minutes while grabbing 2 rebounds and blocking a shot.  In 25 game minutes (he fouled out in the closing seconds), he was key with 14 points, 3 boards.  His foul shooting is reliable (5-6) and his ball handling is improving as he learns what he cannot yet do against this higher level of competition.

Which brings me to Amile Jefferson and his incalculable contributions to this team.  He played a team high 34 minutes, hauling in 12 rebounds, while anchoring the Duke defense.  He is clearly not all the way back physically, but his mental and leadership contributions are above and beyond.  Capel called him the most valuable player in college basketball.  “He does so many things that do not show up on the stat sheet, and his stats are really impressive (he’s still averaging a double-double even though he only scored 5 against Miami).  Capel lauded Amile’s basketball IQ and communicating skills.  “He can make adjustments to our defense in real time.  Others do it at a time out or with the coach; Amile does it in real time within the flow of the game.”

Grayson is playing hard, but his shot has gone missing.  He failed to score in 11 second half minutes.  For the game, he scored 7 in 28 minutes [2-9 from the field; 0-3 from deep and 3-4 from the line] to go with 2 assists and 2 turnovers.  Jackson’s improved play takes some pressure off Grayson.  Kennard scored 11 in 29 minutes [3-8 from the field; 1-3 from deep and 4-4 from the line] to go with 5 rebounds, a block and a steal.

Duke’s rotation was limited to 8 (with Harry’s contributions quite limited).  There is a quick turnaround for tomorrow night’s game against NC State at Cameron.  For all the reasons that Bill identified, this will be another big game.  This is so much fun — a season perpetually on the brink.  Very exciting for me.

DUKE 82 – NORTH CAROLINA STATE 84

Duke may be talented but they are not a good team. They kept proving it in the last nine games. Good teams do not turn a potential 12-15 point lead into a 6 point lead because they cannot execute in the last 30 seconds of the half. To add insult to injury, good teams do lose their 6 point lead in the first four minutes of the second half. Good teams move the ball on offense, not stand around, then go one-on-one. When they are in the bonus situation, good teams do not stop driving and instead jack up contested threes. Good teams do not lose a 9 point lead with seven minutes left at home. With the game on the line, good teams do not have a power forward get a rebound and try to go coast to coast and dribble the ball off his foot. Good teams know passes travel faster than dribbles. Good teams do not let teams that lost by 51 points at hated North Carolina leading to four losses in five games hang around because if they have the best player on the floor and a three point line, anything can happen. Good teams close out an opponent not let them go on a  20-5 run.  Good Duke teams do not lose in Cameron!

Saturday night, twenty five-minutes of  good basketball was enough to win. Tonight, it wasn’t.

Other Comments:

  •   One of the problems is that Grayson Allen is a shell of his former self. Despite a sensational up and under drive, he was 1-9 for threes, 2 assists, and 1 rebound.
  •   Another problem is that Duke missed 7 free throws and was 8-28 from three point land.
  •   But the biggest problem was that Duke had no defensive answer either beyond the arc or in the lane for freshman sensation Dennis Smith, who led the Wolfpack to their first win in 22 years at Cameron.
  •   Tonight, Coach Capel started the five players that turned the Miami game around. Until he solves the problem of  player rotation, the players understand and accept their roles, develop chemistry and to play Duke Basketball, it will continue to be a frustrating, disappointing season.

Alan Adds:

Apparently I am not the only person who has no idea of how to analyze last night’s wholly aberrational Duke home performance.  Coach Capel’s press conference lasted for all of a minute and 54 seconds (please, return the game ball I gave you last game).  The reporters could not even formulate questions after Capel’s shell shocked softly spoken barrage of clichés.  And no wonder after the second half that Duke played, even though the Devils were still in a position to win the game with 5.3 seconds to go.  How bad was the Duke offense in the second half?  How about 2-14 from behind the arc, which Capel correctly pointed out were mostly wide open looks (Grayson 0-4; Tatum 0-2; Kennard 1-3; Matt Jones 1-4; and Jackson 0-1)?

So, do not let anyone tell you that NC State played good defense; they did not.  Duke, once again, was dominated in the paint.  Ted Kapita, a reserve who averaged 5 ppg in the previous 15 games and who played only 19 minutes, scored 14 points and grabbed 10 boards.  Abu, in 36 minutes, scored 19 on 8-12 shooting and hauled in 9 boards.  They dominated Duke’s bigs, including Jefferson.  With the game on the line — Duke led by a point with 2:47 to go, Duke missed open 3s by Kennard, Allen and Tatum (taking the clock down to 50 seconds, by which time Duke trailed by 6).  NC State missed 4 consecutive free throws (The Wolfpack were 11- 20 from the line in the second half.

Don’t let anybody tell you that NC State is not a bad team; they are) to open the door for Duke.  With Duke down 1, Tatum turned freshman and dribbled the ball off his foot as he rushed up court (Wooden: “be quick, but don’t hurry!”) to seal the defeat.

The Freshmen

It was apparent why none of the vaunted Duke freshmen were pre-season freshman of the year; Dennis Smith was. Jayson Tatum produced enviable statistics, but I do not think the stats tell the real story.  Tatum scored 16 on 14 shots in 31 minutes [7-14; 1-4 from 3land; 1-2 from the line] to go with a team leading 9 boards, 3 assists, 2 blocks and a steal.  In the second half, Jayson and Luke Kennard were virtually Duke’s only offense. Tatum played the entire closing half, scoring 11 on 11 shots, while grabbing 7 tough rebounds.  However, in the last 6 minutes, Jayson seemed try and take over the game in lieu of the team concept.  He missed 3 layups (on spectacular moves) and a 3 before committing the last turnover. He did grab the rebound off Matt’s desperate 3, creating the 3 point play that brought Duke within one.   Freshman giveth…

Jackson played an efficient 13 minutes in the first half, making his only shot (a 3) and dishing out 2 assists without a turnover.  In the second half he made 2 layups while missing his only 3 and turning it over twice without an assist.  Duke had only 4 assists in the entire second half.  Bolden played 18 minutes for 2 points (1-4) and 3 boards.  He played only 8 minutes in the second half (2 points and 2 boards).  He is active on defense.  Giles continues to confound.  In a scintillating first half performance of 9 minutes, he scored 8 (4-5) while grabbing 6 rebounds!   But in the second half, where Duke was being dominated in the paint, he was AWOL [5 minutes without scoring, committed 2 fouls and a turnover, while missing the front end of a crucial one and one].

The Bigs

Amile played 28 minutes [5 points on 2-3; 1-2 from the line with 5 boards], but only 12 in the second half [failed to score, missing his only shot, and grabbed only 2 boards] as Duke struggled big time.  He is clearly not yet all the way back.  Together with the inconsistent play of the freshmen bigs, Duke had a real weakness in the middle.  Yet, Duke got pummeled when Capel chose to go with only 1 big and Tatum as the power forward.  Serious issues for Duke going forward.

The Veterans

Only Luke Kennard really showed up.  He tried to carry Duke in the second half, scoring 14 of his 20 when Duke needed it the most.  He did not start and played only 27 minutes — 15 in the second half.  In the second half he was 3-5 from the field; 1-3 from deep and 7-7 from the line to go with 2 steals a board and an assist.  He committed 4 second half fouls and two turnovers.  He had 4 first half rebounds and 3 first half assists.  Matt Jones played a team high 34 minutes (17 in each half), but was far more effective in the first half [8 points on 3-5; 2-4 from deep and 2 boards] but the clock struck midnight in the second half for his shooting [1-6; 1-4 from deep] when Duke needed his offense.  His defense is never in doubt.

It appears to me that the public furor surrounding Grayson Allen has taken its toll.  He did not start and played only 26 minutes scoring 13 on 13 shots [4-13; 1-9 from deep and 4-5 from the line].  He had only 1 board (for a great rebounding guard) and as many turnovers as assists — 2.  His defense has also suffered.  In the second half, when Duke struggled, he was 1-6; 1-4 from deep, scoring only 4 — 2-2 from the  line — in 14 minutes.  His decline is very much part of the Duke problem.

Going forward

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DUKE 85 -WAKE FOREST 83

Holy Paul Newman, Batman, Cool Hand Luke is alive and well!  It is unanticipated moments like today that explains our fascination with and enjoyment of Duke Basketball —you never know when you will see another I-don’t-believe-what-I-am-seeing athletic performance. When was the last time you saw a college player put a team on his back in an important road game and score 30 points in the second half while not missing a shot? The nation’s preseason No. 1-ranked team entered Saturday having lost three of its previous four games and winless on the road. The Blue Devils were but a fading version of the team that had started the season 11-1. Earlier in the week, Duke head coach Mike Krzyzewski, still recovering from back surgery, called the team to his house and did a number on them. Among other things, he barred them from using their locker room at Cameron Indoor Stadium and forbade them from wearing Duke gear in public.

Badly outplayed and lethargic most of the game, the Blue Devils gradually remembered how to play winning basketball:  Ball movement, make an extra pass, and get the ball to the hot hand—in this case Hot Hand Luke– then play lock-down defense. Duke ended the game with a 15-4 run, punctuated by Kennard and Grayson Allen cashing 3-pointers as part of nine straight points to close out the game and save Duke further humiliation– for now. Kennard’s 3-pointer with 6.6 seconds left gave Duke its final margin and also put the Blue Devils ahead for the first time in the game since it was 18-17. Allen, who was continually hassled and taunted by both a sold out Joel Coliseum fans and some Wake players, had a measure of revenge by scoring 19 points on five treys, 6 rebounds, and 4 assists.

The Blue Devils have little time to enjoy this improbable—and in most ways undeserved– win as they travel to Notre Dame, where even their best teams have had a rough time, for a Monday night game. The question is whether this improbable win was a reset, a turning point in the season, or just a one-off explosion?

Other Comments:

  • Coach Capel gets another game ball for calling time out and drawing up the baseline curl play that put Luke Kennard in a position to have an open, game winning three.
  • Luke Kennard’s sensational second half: 30 pts, 10-10 FG, 6-6 from 3-pt range, and game-winner….just hope Coach K didn’t hurt his back jumping up in the air when Luke hit that final three.
  • While Duke was in foul trouble, seldom-used sophomore center Antonio Vrankovic played meaningful and productive minutes.
  • I really dislike the one-and-done era. As good as Jayson Tatum and the other freshmen may sometime be, they need to stop believing their press clippings and reading about their projected draft positions. Take Luke Kennard for example. He came to Duke after breaking all of LeBron James high school scoring records. He was good but inconsistent last year. After a summer of maturing and working of his game, he is now, as a sophomore, the best player on the team. Jayson has been impressive when he plays within the offense. However, when he chooses not to do that, he hurts the team. His ineffective domination of the offense helped Duke  squander its lead against N.C. State on Monday – Tatum went 0-for-4 during that stretch, then dribbling the ball behind his back and off his foot on the final possession. It wasn’t an issue at the end today, because Tatum fouled out with seven minutes to go after turning the ball over attempting to lead a fast break. That left the upper classmen free to play within the offense. This team needs Jayson Tatum, teammate, not Jayson Tatum, auditioning for a lottery pick.

Alan Adds:

I am still on my first cup of coffee, savoring Duke’s gutty miraculous win after playing 36 minutes of basketball that called for a descriptive adjective from the excremental world.  For those 36 minutes, Duke’s defense was even worse than it had been in recent games.  The Blue Devils gave up open shots from the perimeter and layups on the interior.  Duke had only 2 steals in the entire game and only 2 blocks.  While the game was called tightly (but without advantage for either side, in my opinion, in spite of Wake’s advantage going to the foul line — 32 attempts to Duke’s 20), Duke fouled at an alarming rate (17 fouls committed in the second half; 30 for the game).  It was only in the last four minutes of the game that Duke’s defense not only looked suddenly competent, but played with a fiery passion that shut Wake down when it counted.  Wake scored only 2 in the last 4:11 — a mid-range jumper with 2:11 to go.  Duke’s offense was clunky in the first half, mostly because good shooters were missing open shots and Duke was turning it over.  Kennard committed 2 early fouls and was limited to 13 first half minutes where he actually missed 3 shots from the field (he made his only 3 point attempt) and 2 from the foul line (1-3) for just 4 points.  Duke scored 53 points in the second half; astoundingly 30 by Kennard.  Duke’s remaining second half production was Grayson 8; Tatum 6; Jefferson 4; Jones 3; Giles and Jackson 2 each.  It was the Luke Kennard Show!  He played the entire second half (much of it with 4 fouls) keeping Duke in contact with the Deacons in the second half.  In the first 16 minutes of the second half, he had 19 points, but Wake still held a 10 point lead with just under 4:00 minutes to play.  Then, everything changed.

Harry Giles

The Duke defense tightened and stopped Wake’s straight line drives.  Suddenly Duke knew how to defend the pick and roll.  Tatum had fouled out; Jefferson, saddled with 4, played only 6 minutes in the second half.  So, what happened?  With 4:01 left in the game and Duke trailing by 10, Harry Giles came into the game and remained on the floor to the end.  He was fabulous with his energy on defense.  He protected the rim and guarded Wake’s formidable big man, John Collins.  With Duke down by a point and 26 seconds remaining, Wake’s Woods missed a three and Harry grabbed the critical rebound. Then, he set the low post pick to free Kennard for his game winning three. After Luke’s dramatic shot put Duke ahead by a deuce, Wake had one more chance on a drive to the rim by Crawford, which Harry blocked with a second to go.  That is the Harry Giles that Duke was hoping for.

The Fabulous Last 4 Minutes

Luke Kennard put on a show for the ages, with great team play from every Devil on the court.  Luke scored 11 points in under 4 minutes.  He hit a 3 with 3:43 to go and a jumper in the paint with 2:41 to go (Duke down 5).  After Wake’s only score in the last 4 minutes at 2:11, Luke answered with a 3 at the 1:51 mark (Duke down 4).  With 55 seconds to go, Luke started a drive, whipped a great pass to Matt Jones, who fired to Grayson for a dramatic 3 (Duke down 1).  When Woods missed and Giles rebounded, Duke called time out and set up the dramatic winning shot on a set play, fueled by a perfect pass from Matt Jones.  Giles’s block sealed the deal on a miracle finish.

Coach Capel

Jeff Capel deserves kudos, not only for the perfect final play drawn up at the time out with 25 seconds to play, but for creative substitution pattern in the second half necessitated by Duke’s foul trouble.  Capel called on Antonio Vrakovich, who gave Duke 6 productive minutes (a dunk some good interior defense while committing 4 fouls).  Tatum fouled out, playing only 11 minutes in the second half (21 for the game); Jefferson had 4 and played only 6 minutes in the second half; 14 in the first half.  At game’s end, the only Duke players in the 7 man rotation who had not fouled out or had 4 fouls were Jones (3); Kennard (2); and Jackson (2).

The Front Court

With the exception of Giles’s heroics in the last 4 minutes, the front court was woeful.  The defense gave up layups and open dunks at the rim.  How dramatic is this statistic:  The front court players committed 19 fouls (Tatum 5; Jefferson 4: Giles 4; Vrankovich 4; and Bolden 2 — in only 3 first half minutes) while scoring 20 points (Tatum 8; Giles 6; Jefferson 4: and Vrankovich 2).  Duke’s season will not flourish unless the front court returns to championship caliber play.  It is clear that Jefferson is not the same player he was before the injury.  If he heals completely and returns to pre-injury form and Giles continues to progress (and Tatum listens to Bill’s wise counsel), the season could still be a success.  But time is running out and progress is frustratingly slow.

The Backcourt

Frank Jackson gets real kudos for running the team in the late game heroics.  He scored in the first half (7 of his 9 points) and was the glue for Duke in the second half.  In my opinion his best statistic was 4 assists without a turnover.  He is very athletic and defends pretty well.  Matt Jones shot terribly (1-10; 1-8 from deep) but is so valuable to this team that he was on the floor for 39 minutes.  Capel singled each out for praise in his post-game conference.  Grayson is still coming to grips with the ferocious backlash to his tripping incidents.  For me it is beyond imagination, but it is real and will continue on the road for the rest of the season.  Grayson seems to be learning to deal with it.  His 19 points were key to the Duke win.  He’s a gamer, who I predict will return to last season’s form.

Going Forward

It is hard to look past the next very tough test on Monday night against Notre Dame in South Bend.  Duke’s play will have to improve for the Devils to be competitive.

DUKE 84 – NOTRE DAME 74

Duke had a lot of reasons to lose this game: They haven’t won in South Bend in this century (January 1995), Notre Dame coach (ex-Duke assistant Mike Brey) was 5-1 against his mentor, Duke has never had a defensive answer for Bonzi Colson, Jefferson fouled out with four minutes to go, Kennard went out a minute later—and to top it off, this was the second away game in two days. However, when you hold an opponent to shooting 42% from the field, shoot 52% yourself, hit 23-24 free throws and outrebound them 37-25, you take the raucous students out of the game and dramatically improve your chances of winning.

This may not have been the Blue Devils best game of the year (Kansas was. Degree of difficulty) but it was the most important and best played game since Christmas break.  Pundits have recently written that this is Luke Kennard’s team. As well as Luke has played, I disagree. To win, this team cannot be one man’s team. This is the Jefferson, Jones, Kennard, Allen, Tatum, Jackson, Giles, Bolden etc’s team. Successful Coach K teams have always played to their strengths, covered their weaknesses, and been mentally tough. First and foremost, they must play better team defense. Then collectively, they must understand the offensive pecking order. Luke and Greyson are the first two scoring options, should look to take the most shots, and make opponents pick their poison on whom to double. If together, they score 40-50 points, the rest of the team only need to score 25-30 to win. Jayson Tatum is a multi-skilled talent, who had a huge game: 19 points and 14 rebounds but 5 turnovers. However, he is a freshman and this is not his team. To play winning basketball with these players he needs to focus as much on defending and rebounding as offense where he is the third option and needs to discipline himself to initiating his offense from the foul line in. If I see him get a defensive rebound and not pass the ball forward to a guard, I am going to mentally scream: “You are terrific wing player, but a bench point guard.” Tonight, he did it again–made another turnover at mid-court with guards in front of him. Jefferson, who is playing more like his pre-injury self, is the fourth option, especially when he has a slow player guarding him. Matt Jones is the utility man, who can do, and is comfortable doing, any job –as he demonstrated tonight. Actually, given the disparity in the stats, the Blue Devils should have won by more than ten points. They made uncharacteristically little, dumb mistakes and turnovers like Giles committing a foul under the basket when the ball was being dribbled at half court or Kennard losing his man on an inbounds play because he was complaining to the ref about the call.

When Jefferson fouled out with four minutes to go and a five point lead, Harry Giles replaced him. Obviously, the Blue Devils desperately needed to see the heralded Giles. Well, the first thing he did was miss a point blank put back at the front of the rim. From then on he played like the Harry Giles we had have been looking for– he had four points and five Big Boy rebounds. He even went two for two at the foul line.

Hopefully, this team is coming together. I have had the feeling that Grayson Allen is still the key to this team. He has gone from being the preseason college cover boy Player-of-the-Year to playing poorly through a painful toe injury, to having a self-inflicted emotional meltdown in front of the ESPN sports world, to being the most reviled player in college basketball, to adjusting to being the number two scoring option, to assuming the responsibilities of playing the point. That’s a lot for a twenty year old to deal with—and a team to digest. To his credit, Grayson demonstrated more maturity when the Wake players roughed him up and was the first player to embrace Luke after his game winner at Wake, indicating he is a team first guy. This is a different team when Grayson scores 21 timely points like he did tonight and against Wake Forest. I sense that Allen is coming to grips with his fall from grace and being reviled by channeling his inner JJ Redick– realizing the best way to quiet the boo birds and trash talkers is to get his groove back and Make Plays. The team wouldn’t have been in a position to win at Wake or the Dome if he hadn’t taken and hit his shots.

Other Comments:

  • While the fans were all over Grayson with booing and signs (Funniest: The Tripper vs. The Gipper), the Notre Dame players, unlike the Wake Forest players, just played the game with a little trash talking or physical hassling.
  •  Dan Dakich, a former player and coach at Indiana, was one of the announcers. I thought he made some savvy comments. Alan disagreed but then Alan thought the key to the game was leaving Coach K in Durham, because he had never won at South Bend.

Alan Adds:

Harry Giles

With 4:23 to go, Jefferson fouled out, being replaced by Giles, who had picked up 4 fouls in just under 5 minutes.  After Farrell made the first one, Duke’s more comfortable 10 point lead was cut to 5.  I could feel the apprehension in my fan’s soul building as Notre Dame took back the momentum.  Kennard and Giles were saddled with 4 fouls (Tatum, Allen and Jones all had 3).  Duke had gone cold from deep (1-5 in the second half), and, as Bill points out, ND has had Duke’s number since joining the ACC and especially in South Bend.

In the last 4 minutes — but more specifically in a fabulous two minute stretch — Giles and Duke’s superb foul shooting won Duke’s best win of the season (better than the last second loss to Kansas, Bill).  Tatum pushed the lead to 7 with a jumper and after Beacham missed, Tatum drove, but missed a tough shot.  Harry grabbed the offensive rebound, but looked hesitant as he missed the put back. He did not let the miss bother him.  He defended Colson really well, but Kennard committed his 5th with 3:04 left.  Flueger’s first reduced the Duke lead to 6, and when he missed the second, Harry grabbed the rebound rather emphatically.  Giles’s athleticism led Coach Capel to extoll his ball screen defense when it really counted.  When Grayson missed a jumper, Giles grabbed the board and dunked with a flourish with 2:42 remaining.  When Farrell missed a layup (Harry moved over to protect the rim) Giles grabbed the defensive rebound.  Then on offense, he posted up Colson and drew the foul and calmly sunk both free throws to give Duke a 10 point lead with 2:29 to go.  It was the first two of Duke’s 12 straight made free throws down the stretch — Giles 2; Jones 2; Tatum 2; Jackson 2; and, Allen 4.  It was reminiscent of how Duke closed out games in 2015 with Tyus and Quinn’s reliable ball handling and foul shooting.  Duke’s ball handling was far from reliable with both Tatum and Jackson turning it over as The Irish put on a desperate press.   When Farrell missed a critical 3 with just under 2 minutes left, Giles once again cleaned Duke’s defensive glass (Duke up 8 with 1:57 left).  If Giles can begin to play substantial minutes at that level, the Duke season may yet be salvageable.

The Rotation

Duke’s bench was very thin — Giles played 9 minutes and Jackson 15, missing his only shot, but making 2 crucial foul shots.  He scored 2 without an assist; played some excellent defense down the stretch, but turned it over twice.  Giles’s 4 points led the bench in scoring (total bench points:6).  Vrankovich played 2 minutes, committing a foul and a turnover.  The five starters all played heavy minutes with Jefferson fouling out in 31 minutes and Kennard in 32.  Thus, Jones with 38 minutes, Tatum, 37, Allen 36 were on the court for virtually the entire game.  Tatum and Jones were simply scintillating.  Jones was superb; it will make a huge difference in the remainder of the season if Matt can add this kind of offensive efficiency to his defense, hustle and leadership.  In his 38 minutes, Jones scored 16 on just 6 shots [5-6 from the field; 1-2 from deep and 5-5 from the line] to go with 5 boards, 3 assists and a steal with only a single turnover.  He was simply superb. Tatum returned to being a team player and ferocious defender.  He anchored Duke’s back line and pulled down 14 rebounds (11 on the defensive end) to go with his 19 points.  Capel said they had been working with Jayson to make his moves to the basket without hesitation.  He really did that today, torching ND’s senior defender Beacham with an assortment of dazzling moves around the hoop.  Capel also praised Tatum’s defense and said that his working so hard on the defensive end was the key to his improved offense.   He scored 19 (his first collegiate double double) on 14 shots [8-14; 0-1; 3-3 from the line], while dishing for a couple of assists and getting a block and a steal.  The only drawback was he committed 5 of Duke’s 15 turnovers (Duke had only 11 assists).  Jefferson logged 31 minutes, but it is hard to ignore how his stat line has diminished since his return from injury.  He scored only 6 — including Duke’s first 4 points [3-7 from the field and missed his only foul shot, the front end of a 1 and 1].  This means that in the remaining 37 minutes of the game (or his 29 minutes on the floor) he scored only 2 points and grabbed only 4 rebounds.  He seems to be moving well and running the floor enthusiastically.  He will, I predict, return to form.

The key to the Duke offense is still Kennard and Allen.  I agree with Bill that Grayson seems to be regaining his mojo and is returning to his leadership role and reliable scorer.  He scored 21 points on 13 shots [6-13; 3-7 from deep; and 6-6 from the line] to go with 5 rebounds, 3 assists, and a block.  He is still learning the point and did commit 3 turnovers.  But he was calm and superb.  Kennard drew much defensive attention after his magical second half against Wake.  He scored 16 on 11 shots [5-11; 1-2; 5-5 from the line.  He had 4 boards and an assist that was other worldly, saving the ball out of bounds to Allen through an ND defenders’ legs for an Allen 3.

Going Forward

Capel was optimistic; he said that Duke had gone through “the storm”, and showed a new toughness and resiliency by going into 2 sold out hostile gyms and winning both games.  Duke’s defense was good against Notre Dame.  Capel said the team aimed to close down the straight line drives to the basket and to not over-help.  Notre Dame is small.  Let’s see if Duke’s defense continues to improve as the Devils get to practice and to grow in continuity.  Capel said he thought there was a carryover from the last 4 minutes of the Wake win, and that now that all the key players were healthy and practicing, Duke will improve.  Now comes three home games, starting with Pittsburg on Saturday (1pm on CBS).

DUKE 72 – PITTSBURG 64

Pittsburg is a better team than their record. Even though the Panthers have no natural point guard, the large, talented, mature (read grown men, of which there not many playing anymore in the ACC)  front line featuring Young and Artist, who took half the team’s shots, are a matchup nightmare for Duke’s undersized starters of two forwards and three guards. For this configuration to work, the defense needs to create turnovers and bad shots leading to fast breaks–plus making a lot of threes. Even though the game was tied at the half, I still thought the Blue Devils were in good shape because they were playing with energy and verve on both ends of the floor and they had open shots that were on target but just not falling–Pitt shot 50%; Duke 40%. Allen and Tatum together had only a  5 points. How long can this last? There had to be a Cameron progression the mean. Another good indicator was that Duke’s man, while undersized, was forcing turnovers and shot clock violations. Frank Jackson started for Jones, who injured his ankle in practice, played most of his minutes, and who is getting more and more comfortable and consistent.

Holy Grant Hill, Batman, his parents didn’t have “one more son” for the Cameron Crazy’s but Hot Hand Luke has a brother!  Earlier in the week I checked in with my pal Pete, a former fraternity brother and soccer player, who retired to Durham and is very plugged into the Duke sports scene.  He said that he agreed with my assessment that Grayson Allen is basically a good kid working through a bad situation and was “coming to grips with his fall from grace and being reviled” but that he was not “channeling his inner JJ Redick” because, as talented as he is, he is an entirely different personality. Rather, he said Allen is a basically a very competitive but shy kid who is emerging from a very dark time-tunnel and beginning to relax, restructure his game as a facilitator/scorer, and increasingly playing with his former passion and confidence. However, Grayson’s late game clutch shooting in the wins at Wake Forest and Notre Dame, were just a warm-up for today. With the score tied and only eight minutes to go, Allen went into UNLV mode and broke the game open by scoring 18 points (6 rebounds & 6 assists)  to put an exclamation point on Coach K’s return to the bench. When you have two players who can score 30 points in twenty minutes as Kennard did at Wake and another who can score 18 in eight, then add a Tatum potential double-double, the defensive glue co-captains of Jefferson & Jones, plus Thomas and Giles off the bench, it doesn’t take much imagination to see how potentially lethal this team can be.

Other comments:

  • When Coach K came out of the tunnel and onto the floor for the first time since his surgery, he received a Standing O from all 9,314 in Cameron. The student section bowed in unison. Coach bowed in return and the crowd went wild.
  • The victory was Krzyzewski’s 500th win at Cameron Indoor Stadium as the 69-year-old pulled to within 12 victories of 1,000 in his career at Durham. Those numbers prove that my buddies All-Prep EP and Johnny Tar Heel must know what they are talking about when they say that Coach K is worth ten points a game.
  • In his press conference, Coach K noted that ESPN misinterpreted his disciplining of the players. It was not a punishment.  Coach K said, “whatever happened with my team was the start of a process.  It’s  called team building.  I went through it every year as a cadet many times and as an officer in the military.  You don’t get better by doing the same thing over and over again.  Everything we did that week was team building.  Before the Wake game, the team was back in the locker.  I won’t tell you the story, but it’s beautiful because it was team building.  That’s what we do.  It wasn’t about punishment; it was about getting rid of bad habits. You don’t get rid of bad habits easy.  Habits are hard to get rid of, and you have to do things.”  Coach K credited his staff for running great practices, and concluded, “we got better after the loss to State.  We won a tough game against Wake; we won a tough game at Notre Dame.  We won a tough game today. We are tougher and more together.  It wasn’t about attitudes.”
  • Two great men were in the house: Dick Groat, Duke’s greatest basketball player (if you don’t believe me look it up) and most accomplished athlete, did the radio for Pittsburg and Grant Hill, Duke’s most admired basketball player, worked the telecast for CBS.
  • I was having dinner Thursday night at Ocean Prime on the Phillips Golden Mile in Orlando when I noticed a man at the next table with a shock of  snow white hair who looked familiar. When he got up to leave, I was struck by how tall he was. I asked our waiter if that was Coach Bobby Knight, and, by golly, it was. When he was out of hearing range, I whispered: “Say hey, Bobby, thanks for recommending Coach K to Duke AD Tom Butters.”

Alan Adds:

Duke’s offense became incredibly efficient in the second 10 minutes (8:32 to be exact) of the final half, putting up 30 points (6-9 from deep; 8-8 from the foul line; and 2-3 from inside the arc) to win the game.  Duke did not really stop Pitt in that stretch, but rather outscored the Panthers (who scored 21 in the same span, which is pretty good offense).  It was Duke’s shooting in the end that prevailed because the other statistics in the second half do not tell an uplifting story.  Pitt’s advantage scoring in the paint in the second half was 22-6.  Pitt had the advantage not only in second chance points (6 to 2), but also in fast break points (2-0).

The Rotation

Duke’s rotation was once again very thin.  Allen and Kennard both played all 40 minutes.  In the second half, Tatum played without substitution and Amile was on the bench for under a minute.  Matt Jones played 7 minutes in each half; he was the only sub in the second half.  Jackson played 14 minutes in the last stanza; 27 for the game.  In the first half the bench consisted of Bolden (1 minute; no stats), Jones for 7 minutes (no stats) and Giles (7 minutes), 15 total minutes with only Giles scoring.  What is the Giles story?  He was an offensive weapon in the first half scoring a dunk on a great lob pass and a nice 12 foot jumper, (2-2), and made his only foul shot.  He never saw the floor again, but his 5 points were the only bench scoring besides Matt Jones making 1 of 3 foul shots in the second half. Matt was clearly hurt, but gave the team what he had, which Coach K noted was valuable even without impressive stats.

Jefferson (10 points), Kennard (8 points) and Giles (5) scored 23 of Duke’s 28 first half points.  Jefferson scored 5 in the second half and Kennard just 2, though they both played the entire second half.  Grayson’s 18, Tatum’s 10 and Jackson’s 8 (he was huge down the stretch, just a bit overshadowed by Grayson’s coming out party) scored 36 of Duke’s 44 second half points.  Tatum was amazing in the second half [3-4 from the field; 2-2 from 3land; 2-2 from the line] to go with 3 rebounds, an assist, a steal and a block without a turnover.  Jefferson is rounding back into form; he was a rebound shy of a double-double [15 points and 9 boards.  Allen was, of course, simply amazing scoring 21 [6-13; 5-11 and 4-4 from the line, after a 1-4 first half], to go with 6 rebounds and 6 assists (2 turnovers).  As Bill points out, he looks like he is having fun again.  After all, it is a game!

The Magical 8:32 Run

Duke was down 43-42 when Jackson started the run with a 3, which resulted from blocked shots by Jefferson and Tatum followed by a tough rebound by Allen.  45-43.  Tatum made 2 foul shots, but fouled Young, who also made both.  47-45 with 7:58 to go.  Allen drained a 3 with 7:23 to go.  50-45.  Nix put back an offensive rebound for Pitt.  50-47.  Grayson responded with an acrobatic lay-up.  52-47.  Duke gave up an easy layup to Artis.  52-49 with 6:10 left.  Jackson hit another 3 with 5:50 left.  55-49.  Young hit his jump shot.  55-51, which Jackson matched with 4:57 left.  57-51.  Tatum made a steal and Grayson finished it off with a 3 with 4:19 to go.  60-51.  Duke then had its only lapse during this period.  Jefferson and Tatum both committed fouls, which Pitt capitalized on at 3-4.  60-54.  Kennard fouled Artis on a drive; Artis completed the 3 point play. 60-57 with 3:10 left.  Grayson hit another 3 with 2:58 left to stretch Duke’s lead to 63-57.  Duke gave up an easy dunk to Jeter.  63-59.  Then came the key sequence.  Jefferson made a sensational block on Jeter’s next layup attempt and Tatum corralled the rebound with a little over a minute left.  Grayson missed a 3, but got his own rebound, and received the return pass from Tatum, launching a 3 with 52 seconds left.  It should have missed, but the high bounce off the rim fell through, icing the game for the Devils.  66-59.  If that shot misses, the game very easily could have turned out differently.  Duke cemented the win with 6-6 clutch foul shooting (Tatum the first 2 and Allen the final 4) in the closing seconds.

Next Play

Carolina in Cameron next Thursday followed by a Saturday home game against Clemson at 1pm — just 36 hours later.

Duke-Carolina Week

A rivalry with deep history and significance.

by Al Featherston

I attended my first Duke-North Carolina game in 1960.

That was the semifinals of the ACC Tournament in Raleigh’s Reynolds Coliseum.

It was a great introduction to the best rivalry in all of sports. UNC was a powerhouse – so good that ACC player of the year Lee Shaffer was the third best player on his own team (behind Doug Moe, the best all-around player in the ACC in 1960, and York Larese, the league’s best shooter). Duke was kind of up-and-down in its first season under young coach Vic Bubas — mostly down against UNC, losing three meetings by 22, 26 and 25 points.

But the Devils, getting a splendid game from forward Carroll Youngkin and from center Doug Kistler (who became my high school coach) jumped to an early lead in the Tar Heels in Raleigh and grimly held on for a 71-69 victory. One night later, Duke beat Wake Forest with Len Chappell and a balding sophomore guard named Billy Packer, to win the school’s first ACC championship.

As significant as that 1960 tournament matchup is in the rivalry, I think the real turning point in the Duke-Carolina saga occurred a year later.

The Feb. 4, 1961 matchup at Duke Indoor Stadium marked the moment when Duke-Carolina became a great basketball rivalry. Oh, there had been plenty of significant games between the two schools before that night, but I think most fans and the media still regarded the football rivalry as more significant.

That changed on Feb. 4, 1961.

For one thing, it was the first time the two teams ever met with both ranked in the top five – No. 4 Duke vs. N0. 5 UNC (in the coaches poll, it was reversed – No. 5 Duke vs. No. 4 UNC). For another game, the game featured volatile sophomore Art Heyman, a celebrated prep star from Long Island who had signed a letter-of-intent with North Carolina, but after a fight between UNC coach Frank McGuire and Heyman’s stepfather, re-opened his recruitment.

Bubas swooped in and stole Heyman from the Heels.

McGuire never forgave him.

Art Heyman became the first hated Duke basketball player. And nothing that Christian Laettner, Bobby Hurley, J.J. Redick or Grayson Allen ever endured was close to the abuse that Heyman faced … most (but not all) spewing from the program that he spurned and its fan base.

In his first freshman game with UNC (freshmen could not play varsity ball in those days), Heyman was subjected to a torrent of anti-Semitic abuse. He ignored it and was leading the Blue Imps to a lopsided victory over the Tar Babies (yes, that was the name given to UNC freshman teams) when Heyman was cold-cocked by UNC’s Dieter Krause, precipitating a brawl that ended up with Duke freshman coach Bucky Waters pounding UNC coach Kenny Rosemond into the scorer’s table.

That was just the prelude to the 1961 matchup in Durham.

There was an ugly atmosphere that night. It started in the freshman preliminary game, when there was a brawl that left UNC with just three players available for the final minute of Duke’s lopsided win. There was a near-brawl in the first half of the varsity game – precipitated (Heyman claims) when Moe kept spitting on him. Krause, who was buried at the end of the UNC bench, rushed onto the floor as Heyman and Moe squared off. That’s what almost sparked the brawl.

Then there was the incident as the two teams left the court for halftime – through the same exit in those days. A male UNC cheerleader was slapping the Tar Heel players on the butt as they passed him. He also swatted Heyman in the butt –and the Duke star responded by turning and shoving the kid to the floor. Upstairs, a UNC fan saw the incident and filed assault charges against Heyman (the case was thrown out of court the next week).

But that was all just setup for the final seconds. Heyman, completing a magnificent performance (36 points on 11-13 shooting against the best defender in the ACC, Moe) had Duke in position to claim the win when Larry Brown, who was once slated to be Heyman’s roommate in Chapel Hill, raced for a meaningless layup.

Heyman foolishly grabbed him.

Let’s get this straight – he didn’t hit Brown or undercut him or throw him to the ground and in any way hurt or endanger him. The 6-5 Heyman wrapped both arms around Brown and hugged him, holding him upright.

Brown responded by throwing the basketball in Heyman’s face. Then he threw a punch that landed on Heyman’s face. Before Heyman could respond, Donnie Walsh (a future NCA executive) jumped off the UNC bench and slugged Heyman from behind.

From that point, it devolved into the wildest brawl in ACC history. Heyman threw a punch at Brown then turned to chase Walsh, who delivered his dastardly blow, then turned and sprinted away like a coward. Heyman’s chase was impeded by first dozens and then hundreds of students, who poured onto the floor and began fighting each other. It took more than 10 minutes to clear the floor and play out the finals seconds of the game (an 81-77 Duke win).

The officials, in their game report, blamed Heyman for starting the fight. Bubas was so outraged by that report that he had his game-film developed in record time and convened an extraordinary press conference to show reporters that Heyman was the victim, not the instigator.

Commissioner Bob James, who had been struggling to crack down on brawling at ACC games (most of it precipitated by McGuire’s teams), came down hard on everybody involved – Heyman, Brown and Walsh were all suspended for the remainder of the ACC season.

In my mind, that game launched Duke-UNC basketball toward the stratosphere of sports rivalries. It didn’t happen overnight – even after that memorable night – but the sustained excellence of the two programs has made Duke-Carolina the greatest rivalry in college basketball.

I sometimes quibble with the Duke SID people over one remarkable stat. They are fond of pointing out that either Duke or UNC have been ranked in every matchup since Feb. 27, 1960 – a week the ’60 Tar Heels temporarily dropped out of the AP poll. Beating Duke by 25 in Durham was enough to lift UNC back to No. 16 in time for the next meeting six days later in Raleigh. One or the other has been ranked for every meeting since.

That’s correct as far as it goes.

But the AP poll – the writers’ poll – was not the only poll. The rival United Press International polled the coaches’ and that poll was every bit as authoritative as the writers’ rankings.

And North Carolina never dropped out of the UPI coaches’ poll that season. The Tar Heels were No. 12 the night they faced Duke in Durham.

That means that the last time neither school was ranked was Feb. 25, 1955 – that’s 62 years and 157 straight meetings in which one or the other (but usually both) are ranked. Can anybody site another rivalry that’s even close to that number when it comes to national relevance?

The two programs have remarkably similar accomplishments – both have five NCAA titles; UNC had 19 Final Fours to 16 for Duke; Duke has 19 ACC championships to 18 for UNC; they are third and fourth in all-time wins – second and third when it comes to NCAA Tournament wins.

ESPN recently ran a story mentioning that over the last 96 Duke-Carolina games, both teams are 48-48 and both teams have scored EXACTLY 7,437 points in that span.

That’s parity.

Of course, Barry Jacobs pointed out Wednesday that dominance in the rivalry does swing back in forth. It all depends on what time frame you are going to choose. For instance, over the entire history of the rivalry, UNC has a substantial 134-108 edge.

But look at just this century and Duke has the edge – 25-13.

Coach K is 43-39 vs. UNC.

Coach K is 16-10 against Roy Williams at UNC (he was 4-1 vs. Roy when Williams was at Kansas, so 20-11 overall).

Since UNC swept Duke in 2009, Duke has pretty much dominated the series, winning 11 of 15 matchups this decade. Barry pointed out that Duke has a much better record in recent years in the first matchup of the year than in the second … and also a slightly better record against UNC in the Smith Center than in Cameron.

All in all, a wonderful rivalry.

***

Now for the elephant in the room.

There was a time when Duke-Carolina was thought to represent the best in college sports.

Duke was perceived as the great private institution, playing basketball at a high level while maintaining the highest academic standards. UNC was the “public ivy” maintaining similarly high standards at one of the nation’s best public schools.

And after the 1961 ugliness, the rivalry was conducted on a very collegial level. Duke and Carolina recruited the same players; those players often scrimmaged against one another; players from both schools hung out at the same Durham barber shop; and the coaches – no matter their private doubts and frustrations – almost always maintained a façade of respect and good fellowship for their rival.

That was before we found out that North Carolina was running the longest and most widespread academic sham in NCAA history. UNC AD Bubba Cunningham acknowledged earlier this week that the Heels cheated – he’s not denying the crime, only that the NCAA rules don’t allow that organization to punish them for it.

I don’t know the answer to that, but I do know that it has changed my perception of the rivalry. I can’t look back on the two great games in 2005 (one thriller won by Duke, one won by UNC) without thinking that most of the stars for the Heels that year where hiding in fraudulent classes – indeed, Rashad McCants has bragged that he NEVER went to class that semester.

It will be interesting to see if the NCAA has the power to punish UNC for its cheating ways or whether the Heels can get away with it.

But the scandal has had another tangible impact on the rivalry – the two programs, which used to be mirror images of each other, are now on very different paths. Duke has relied very heavily on one-and-done talent since 2011, while UNC has not been landing the kind of guys who go one-and-done – and when they do (in the case of Harrison Barnes and James Michael McAdoo), those kids stay in Chapel Hill longer than expected.

Roy Williams said earlier this week that he’d like to recruit like K – but can’t, because of the scandal and the possibility of NCAA punishment.

“It’s not by design,” he said. “All the guys they’ve got, we tried to recruit also.

There is no question about that.”

He pointed out that he did get one-and-done talent early in his tenure at UNC. Marvin Williams in 2005 and Brandon Wright in 2007 were both one-and-done players.

“We’ve been in a time period here where it’s been difficult to get the top 10, top 20 recruit,” Williams explained. “I’m just going to hazard a guess – I have seen something one of my assistants made up – our first 10 years here, we recruited 26 McDonald’s All-Americans and the last three years, we’ve recruited one – Tony Bradley.

“Justin [Jackson], Joel [Berry] and Theo [Pinson], they all committed to us as juniors and then when the junk started, there has been a lot of negative recruiting, there have been a lot of questions asked, It’s been harder for us to get those kinds of kids.

“I’m not against them. We’ve had Marvin Williams and Brandon Wright. I’d love to have those guys right now. It’s been harder for us to get past the negative recruiting, harder to get some families past the stuff that’s been going on.”

UNC had remained competitive with players recruited before the scandal exploded with the release of the school’s own Wainstein Report. But Williams has also benefited because his top players have stayed beyond their peers.

For instance, senior forward Isaiah Hicks was rated the nation’s No. 14 prospect in 2013 (according to the RSCI, which averages recruiting rankings). Almost every other top 25 player from that class – including No. 16 Joel Embid (one-and-done), No. 24 Tyler Ennis (one-and-done) and No. 25 Cat Barber (three-and-done) are already in the NBA.

In the junior class, No. 9 ranked Justin Jackson is the highest-rated player in the class that’s still in school. No. 15 Theo Pinson is the second-highest.

So Williams has the benefit of an experienced team.

“There is more than one way to skin a cat,” the UNC coach said. “I remember a long time ago, we played George Mason in the 2006 NCAA Tournament and they had four fifth-year seniors and we had three freshmen in the starting lineup and they beat us

“There are different ways, but this is not by design. I saw Jayson Tatum play many times. I saw Harry Giles play many, many times. It’s just the way it has happened.”

That’s Krzyzewski’s explanation too.

“It’s not like we have an option where we think everybody is going to go one and done,” he said. “But if they’re good enough, they go. Some guys stay and some guys go.”

Indeed, players make different choices. After the 2015 national title, freshman point guard Tyus Jones was projected as a late first-round pick. He decided to go – and as expected, he was picked in the first round. A year later, sophomore Grayson Allen was projected to go late in the first round. He elected to stay for his junior year …. although freshman teammate Brandon Ingram did go pro – Duke’s seventh one-and-done since 2011 – and was picked No. 2 in the draft by the Lakers.

K doesn’t regret his recruiting decisions and he doesn’t think any of his ACC rivals would mind having to deal with one-and-done issues.

“I think any program in our conference, if they had an opportunity to get a youngster who was given those accolades and was perceived to be a one-and-done, people, would go after that guy,” he said. “Nobody is going to pass over talent. We are not and I do not think they will.”

Despite the difference in recruiting approaches, Krzyzewski thinks the rivalry is as good as it’s ever been, thanks to the historical foundation it rests upon.

“Their program and our program have pretty much stood the test of time,” Coach K said.

UNC might have to deal with some difficult times if their battle with the NCAA goes badly for them. They may even lose some of that glorious history that makes the Heels one of the nation’s blueblood programs.

But for right now, Duke-Carolina is still what it has been since early February, 1961 – the best rivalry in all of college basketball, for sure … and in all arguably in all sports.

DUKE 86 – NORTH CAROLINA 78

The greatest rivalry in college basketball once again lived up to its billing. With former greats Christian Laettner, J.J. Redick, and Danny Ferry watching with the Duke students from the bleachers, there were 17 lead changes, 9 ties, and neither team led by more than 8 points. To beat this big, deep, very talented #8 Carolina team,  #18 Duke needed serious scoring from their big three: Kennard, Allen, and Tatum plus defensive support from Jefferson and Jones as well as productive minutes from Thomas, Giles, and Bolden—not to mention nerve shattering support from the Cameron Crazies.

Well, the Blue Devils were hitting on all cylinders, the maestro was on the bench, and the house was rocking! The numbers tell the story. Both teams shot 52.5% from the field, but the Blue Devils hit 9 more threes and made 13 of 16 free throws while Carolina was only 10 of18 and, surprisingly, out rebounded 31-29. In contrast to the North Carolina State game, the Blue Devils closed out a very tight game against a potential Final Four team like a serious title contending team should. This was the kind of performance, Duke fans have been waiting for.

Luke Kennard (20 pts) has been consistently carrying the scoring load all year. Jayson Tatum has impressed everyone with his exceptional skill set but has been, frankly, freshman inconsistent. Tonight was no different. In the first half, he had no points, a few rebounds, a few assists and a few defensive lapses, so he sat more than usual. (“Coach challenged me to attack the rim strong. I got my opportunity and I fed off that and my team did and we just kept on going.”) But in the second half, he patiently played like an upper classman– within the offense, picking his spots to exploit mismatches, and scoring 19 points to go with 9 rebounds and 5 assists.

However, the straw that stirs the drink for this team is Grayson  Allen. In the last three games, we have seen Grayson emerge from a very dark time tunnel of his own creation, gaining confidence, taking and making important shots, and starting to enjoy playing again. You can see it in his face and in his body language. Tonight, it wasn’t just one or two important shots. It was back to the future, Grayson Allen 2.0 (”When Coach tells you to shoot the ball, you shoot the ball”). Allen was on fire the entire game with 7 threes and 25 points. One was right before the buzzer to close out the half  40-39 Duke, another midway into the second half when Duke was down five and Carolina threatening to pull away, the third was over Jackson with about a minute left to put the Blue Devils up 80-75. Then there was the exclamation point: a give-and-go one handed dunk from Jefferson.

North Carolina is fun to watch. Their frenetic primary and secondary break is programed to wear teams down and run them into the ground. However, I think their egalitarian, let-everyone-touch-the ball and take the shot works against them in close games at crunch time. Duke, on the other hand, is autocratic so that with the game on the line, the ball ends up in the hands of the best playmaker. We have been watching this scenario play out for decades.

Other Comments:

  • A reality check. Carolina was without Isiah Hicks and his 12.8 points and 5.6 rebounds, which means UNC played Duke close in Cameron without its third-leading scorer and rebounder.
  • Coach K commented that both teams played very well and both deserved to win…that it was a “players game” and that “maturity, continuity, and preparation” were responsible for his team’s recent improvement.
  • Tatum’s three pointer with :37 seconds left was a wide-open look, but careened off the left side of the rim for the kind of long rebound that so often fuels the Tar Heels fast break game. However, Matt Jones beat Berry to the ball and snatched it away at the top of the key. That and two steals are typical of the kind of hustle plays Matt has been making for four years.
  • Grayson has gone 20-of-41 from beyond the arc in Duke’s four-game winning streak. He is just the third Duke player to make at least six 3s in back-to-back games against North Carolina (Jason Williams and Trajan Langdon were the others).
  • After the game the Duke players went to the stands and high fived the students. I thought it was interesting that no player appeared happier or more exuberant than Harry Giles, who only played ten minutes but had 6 points, two rebounds, and 1 block.
  • Frank Jackson is really improving. He had 11 points and 2 steals in twenty minutes.

Alan Adds:

Finally!  This is the Duke team that we have been waiting for since October.  Even though there is a caution not to make too much out of the game, there is a desire to celebrate the growth of this team under difficult circumstances that was so visible last night. It was just a great ACC basketball game in which both teams were simply superb.  This is also how sports and competition are supposed to be; each adversary competing hard and bringing out the best in the other.  Coach K emphasized the friend part of the fierce-friendly competition.  Jeff Capel’s father has been diagnosed with ALS.  The coaches on both sides wore ALS awareness buttons, and the two coaches are planning a joint supportive event.  Coach K said, “the guys on the other bench are good friends and great guys.”  The level of competition and sportsmanship reminded me of the Australian Open finals between Federer and Nadal where the quality of the competition reached the highest level and was equal to the respect, admiration and friendship that each competitor had for the other.  A great advertisement for sport, and affirmation that Duke-UNC rivalry is the best in sports.

It is apparent how tremendous Duke’s big 3 — Allen, Kennard and Tatum — played, but Coach K put his finger on how Duke won.  Rebounding.  Duke held the bigger ‘heels even in rebounding.  Everyone dug in.  Tatum led Duke with 9; 7 in his quite amazing second half.  Carolina is lethal in transition and is an offensive rebounding juggernaut.  Duke did a pretty good job against the UNC transition offense, and a superb job protecting its defensive board.  Carolina had only 7 offensive rebounds (of course, they were shooting so well, that there were not that many rebounds to fight for).  Jefferson did not really score in the entire game (he made 2 foul shots with 2 second left in the game for his only points), but anchored Duke’s defense and played Kennedy Meeks really tough.  In 30 minutes, Amile had 6 boards (to Meek’s 5) and played (admirably) much of the second half in foul trouble (his 3rd came with 17+ minutes left).  Another key was Duke’s defense played without fouling, which was a key.  Jefferson had 2 fouls in the first half, but got rest (and time without being challenged to foul) because Giles (8 minutes; 4 points on 2-2 from the field and 2 rebounds) and Bolden (7 minutes and a rebound) gave Duke valuable minutes in the first half.  In the second half, with Amile hampered by his foul situation, still played 16 minutes and grabbed 4 boards (0-1 from the field with an assist).  Giles played only 2 minutes in the second half, adding a field goal to make him 3-3 for the game with 6 points and 2 rebounds and a block in his 10 game minutes.  Bolden made only a cameo in the second half.  It was Tatum who took over the inside game for Duke when it counted.

The Big 3

Jayson Tatum’s second half deserves scrutiny because his play was epic.  After failing to score in 13 first half minutes, he scored 19 points in 19 second half minutes (5-11 from the field; 2-4 from deep; and critically 7-8 from the line]!!!  He hauled in 7 boards, an assist and a block while committing only a single turnover and a single foul.  That deserves a “Holy Something” from Bill.  Duke scored 46 points in the second half with only 6 points coming from other than the big 3 — Jackson 2 (2-4 from the line); Giles 2 and Jefferson’s 2 rather meaningless foul shots at the end.  The Big 3 put up 40 points in the second half [playing the entire second half, Kennard scored 10 on 4-7 from the field; 2-2 from deep to go with 3 rebounds and 3 assists; while Allen in a foul limited 14 minutes scored 11 second half points on 4-6 shooting including 3-5 from deep].  They were amazing.

The big three got scoring support from Frank Jackson in the first half.  He scored 9 in 12 first half minutes (4-4; 1-1 from deep) to go with 2 boards and an assist without a turnover.  He added 2-4 from the line in 8 second half minutes for 11 points.  He is handling the ball better.  Matt Jones played the entire second half without scoring and still may have won the game for Duke.  He made timely and dramatic steals, played terrific defense and snatched the offensive rebound of the game.  With 1:02 left, Berry’s 2 free throws drew Carolina with a single possession (80-77).  Jayson missed a crucial 3 with 37 seconds to go, and it looked as if UNC had corralled the rebound, but Jones miraculously snatched the rebound giving Duke the ball.   Jackson was fouled and made the first to give Duke a two possession lead with 27 seconds left, but he missed the second.  Tatum made the game sealing rebound of the miss and then made both foul shots after Britt had to foul with 16 seconds left, giving Duke a 6 point lead 83-78.  Coach K said Jones has been “unsung” for 4 years, “but we know his value.”  He played the entire second half, demonstrating Coach K’s assessment of his value.

Next Play

Like an NCAA tournament, Duke has a 1 pm game on Saturday at home against Clemson.  Coach K pointed out the obvious.  A game like this dramatic effort can give you a loss in the next game because it takes so much out of the team, and there is a desire to stay in the beautiful moment.  When asked if Jayson had controlled his emotions better, K responded that Tatum was very emotional.  So much so that he missed a defensive assignment after making a great goal.  Insightfully, K said that when you do something so good and satisfying, you want to stay in that moment.  But Carolina comes at you so fast, that not getting to the next play immediately can cost.  It is the same with winning a big time ACC game, like this one, and having to leave that very pleasant moment to prepare for a Clemson team that will come into Cameron hungry.  Coach K: “let’s see if we can handle that.”

DUKE 64 – CLEMSON 62 

What a difference a day makes. Thursday night the Blue Devils were hitting on all cylinders and played their best basketball. This afternoon, they were only hitting on one or two cylinders and played some of their most ineffective basketball since the final eight minutes against N.C. State. The Blue Devils were up 29-18 at the half  thanks to seven threes and the fact that the Orange Paws couldn’t shoot the ball from a boat and hit the ocean. They were 1-15 at one point. However, I never feel comfortable when the threes come early and easy, especially against an overmatched opponent, because players seem to be lulled into thinking the game is just a stress-free scrimmage. Not today. Pass the valium.

Once again, credit Luke Kennard for putting the team on his back and carrying them to victory with 25 points, which included 12 of the last 16 and Coach K for, well, being Coach K. He called a timeout 68 seconds into the game with his team down 0-4 because he thought his players were not focused. That reset resulted in better focus and an eleven point halftime lead. Then, deep into the second half, a quick 9-0 run gave the Tigers their first lead since the opening minutes. Then, Krzyzewski employed a patented Coach K tactic. He shed his jacket like he was taking off a warm-up suit, jumped from his chair to make the point that a seventy year old man four weeks after back surgery was more into the game than his players and the listless Cameron crowd. His Blue Devils responded, as Luke Kennard drilled two three pointers on Duke’s next two possessions, the crowd came alive, and the Devils never trailed the rest of the way. He also believed  Grayson Allen, who badly turned his ankle in the first half, was also fatigued and not himself. He liked Kennard’s matchup, so called plays almost exclusively for him—similar strategy as against Carolina, just Kennard rather than Allen—nice to have choices like that!  And Luke was, once again, The Cool Hand. In about nine critical minutes, he reeled off 15 consecutive points. This is how empty the tank was:  No other Blue Devil scored in double digits. Freshman Frank Jackson, who had 8 points in just 14 minutes, was the only other efficient scorer. The bottom line: Thank goodness Duke was playing Clemson, losers of eight of its last ten games, in Cameron.

The unsung hero again was Matt Jones who played 38 minutes, much of it guarding Clemson 2016 All-ACC star Jaron Blossomgame. Matt held Jarom to 3-12 shooting, for 7 points, 11 below his season average. He also was a major reason the Tiger never got a shot off in the last six seconds, when they could have tied or won the game.

After the game, Coach K made this seemingly curious statement: “This was our best win. You had a really good Clemson team which is desperate for a win…I’m not saying we’re a great team, but we are a team, and we are getting better. And we’ve been very tough.”

Other Comments:

  • I assume Coach meant that in this game, his players overcame fatigue, not shooting or defending well for forty minutes yet still found a way to win. That is his definition of “tough”. The dramatic difference in quality of play in the Carolina game and the Clemson game exposed the obvious weakness of this team. When Kennard, Allen and Tatum are playing well and the perimeter shots are falling, this team plays better defense and can beat anyone. However, when the threes are not falling, this team can lose, because there is little low post alternative production. Before Jefferson’s injury, that was not the case. He was averaging a double/double. Not now! Although Duke pulled ahead early on today, the Blue Devils scored only six points in the paint in the first twenty minutes. The three Duke big men combined for just two points but accumulated five fouls. They also allowed redshirt freshman Elijah Thomas to camp under the basket, where he scored 9 points and had 7 rebounds. Despite Jefferson playing at less than 100 percent, Coach K does not trust freshmen Harry Giles and Marques Bolden, who have only exhibited flashes of their potential, to make more than cameo appearances. Duke is at their best with a three guard, two forward configuration. That makes them a small team but makes Jayson Tatum a mismatch nightmare for a power forward because he can take that big man to the perimeter where the air is thin. If Jayson is successful in exploiting that matchup, it may force the opposing coach to substitute a small forward, which negates the team size advantage and whom Tatum can overpower down low. And then, Duke’s most effective sixth man is Frank Jackson, another guard. So, despite the Carolina win, this team is vulnerable to being overwhelmed by say, a Florida State or any other big physical team. So the questions are:
  1. Can this team go very far in two tournaments with a short rotation without significant, productive minutes from Giles and/ or Bolden?
  2. Are Giles and Bolden injured, not in shape, or just overrated and not ready for prime time?
  3. What happens if there is an injury to one of the six starters?  Is it 2016 all over again?
  • Clemson was trying to join North Carolina State as teams earning their first victory at Cameron since 1995 – and just the fifth win here in their history. 

Alan Adds:

Duke’s best win of the season

Coach K was so erudite, insightful and wise in his post-game press conference, that I yield the first part of “Alan Adds” to him.  Rhetorically, he asked if the press perceived a different feeling in Cameron during this game from what was experienced on Thursday against UNC. The arena, the fans and the team were clearly not as emotional.  Coach K said that his team is human and the fall off of emotional energy after such a heroic performance is human nature and normal.  “But in order to win, you cannot be normal.  You have to fight human nature.  After the first half lead of 11, Coach K said “rationalization sets in.  We got a lead; this is a bottom tier team we’re playing; and we are playing at home.  We can’t really lose.  Rationalization equals relaxing.  “It’s what you have to fight in order to win a national title or a gold medal.  To be really good you have to beat it.  I know that because I’ve been in it more than anyone else.  And, I’ve lost because we haven’t beaten it.

“It’s not about attitude or being ready to play.  It’s about how much do you have in the tank — not always physical; it can be emotional; that is the toughest tired to fight through.  I knew this would be our toughest game, and it is our best win of the season.”

The Second Half Malaise

Duke gave up 44 points while scoring 35 in the final stanza.  The entire Duke team — Duke’s only bench in the second half was Jackson’s 6 minutes and 2 points (on a great clutch floater in the lane) — outside of Kennard scored only 15 points. [Jefferson 6; Tatum 5 and Allen 2]. Grayson got 3 minutes rest; Kennard 2 and Jefferson a brief moment, while both Jones and Tatum played every minute of the second half.  Duke toughed it out under difficult circumstances.  Jefferson was valuable anchor of the defense, grabbing 7 second half rebounds and blocking 2 Tiger shots.  He was also 3-4 from the field, though missed his only foul shot.  Tatum contribute a crucial 3 and an interior goal for 5 second half points, to go with 2 boards and a block.  0 assists.  Matt was 0-1 but contributed a crucial steal and some great defense on Clemson’s star, who he held to 1-5 shooting for just 2 points in the second half.  Coach K said Duke kept going to Kennard because he liked the match up.  Luke scored his 20 second half points on only 9 shots [5-9; 3-5 from deep; and crucially 7-9 from the line] with a board, a block and an assist.  Duke had to really suck it up as the clock wound down.  With 10 minutes to go, Clemson took the lead at 45-44.  Duke fought back (when it would have been easy to fold) and led by 7 with a little over 2 minutes to play.   Clemson scored off an offensive rebound; Grayson missed a 3 and Clemson scored again on a layup by Thomas, who completed the traditional 3 point play after Grayson’s foul (why?).  62-60 with a minute and 10 left to play.  Luke made 2 clutch free throws (64-60) before Thomas (who was a beast all night) made a layup (oh those points given up in the paint!  Clemson had 9 second chance points to 0 for Duke in the final half) to bring the Tigers within 2 with 37 seconds left.  Jackson missed a 3 and Thomas grabbed the board with 14 seconds left.  Clemson had the ball with 6 seconds left and a chance to win with a 3, send the game to overtime with a 2, or lose without a score.  Coach K said he did not call a timeout because he did not want to give Clemson a chance to set up a play.  Duke doubled Mitchell (Clemson’s scoring star in this game) and Kennard made a superb defensive play getting his hand on a pass and knocking it out of bounds.  He almost won the game right there.  Duke doubled Mitchell again, who had scored 20 for The Tigers.  They forced him to go into the backcourt to receive the inbounds pass with 4 seconds left.  Matt did a great job and Mitchell never got a shot off.

Coach K pointed to the endgame as evidence that his team is gaining in toughness.  “In the last 4 games we have been very tough.”

Goals for the Last 6 Games

ACC standing are interesting; all is still up for grabs.  UNC, UVA have 3 losses;  Louisville, Florida State and Duke have 4 losses while Notre Dame and Syracuse have 5 losses.  Using tiebreakers, Duke is 5th — one spot out of the double bye for the ACC tournament.  Coach K was asked about his goals for the next 6 games, but he declined to consider the question.  He said no goal setting now; he and his team are too tired.  They need a day or so away from basketball, he said.  However the schedule is formidable — Duke has away games against UVA (this coming Wednesday), Syracuse, Miami and the final game on UNC’s senior night;  Duke hosts Florida State and Wake.  The last 2 games are Florida State at home and Carolina in the Dean Dome.  So Duke plays 3 of the 4 teams ahead of the Devils in the standings. Whether Coach K is willing to say or not, the first goal is a double bye in the ACC tournament.  The real goal is to continue to improve, and as Bill points out, to more fully integrate Giles and Bolden into the rotation as effective players.

More Wisdom from Coach K (applies to more than basketball)

Even though Matt Jones scored only 6 points — all in the first half (2-3 from deep in the opening stanza; 2-4 for the game), Coach K values him highly as a great defensive stopper, and as a leader on the floor.  He may be “unsung” he said, but “we know his value.  He knows his value.   You have to understand your value and not let somebody else determine your value.  If you understand your value, you will do your job well.”  He analogized it to the woman who is responsible for the locker room’s upkeep.  She knows her value and does a good job.  Matt’s value is his toughness, not only as a lock down defender, but also as the teammate, who is toughest mentally, who fights through fatigue, whether emotional or physical.  Coach K knows Matt’s value, which is why Jones was on the floor for the entire second half.

Pretty cool season so far.

DUKE 65 – VIRGINIA 55 

On a night when Kennard and Allen went 5-19 from the floor of John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville against Coach Tony Bennett’s famous Pack Line Defense, the Blue Devils nevertheless took another impressive step toward being the team they were predicted to be at the beginning of the season. Fortunately, offensively Jayson Tatum had another “career” second half as he scored 28 points to go with 8 rebounds. What was even more impressive was that after the Devils scored  (gasp) just 21 first half points, 18 of Jayson’s points came from matching his height, 6-7 from way beyond the three point line in what we refer to as “JJ Land”. However, this performance didn’t surprise me as much as the fact that the Duke defense, led by Matt Jones, held the Wahoos to shooting 37% from the floor and 25% from three point territory. During this six game winning streak, the Duke defense has gradually improved from subpar to pretty darn good. Not only that, Harry Giles played a season high 19 impressive minutes. After replacing a foul plagued Amile Jefferson late in the game, he dove on the floor for a pair of steals and gave the Blue Devils a much-needed jolt of energy. Giles continuing development means that together with Frank Jackson, Duke now has a legitimate seven man rotation. (What, you really expect Coach K to play use more than seven players at this time of the year?)

Even though this Virginia team is not powerful offensively, they were 18-6, ranked #14 and, despite having the worst haircut, has one of the best point guards in the conference. So, in many ways this was as impressive and encouraging a win as the team has had– road game, two leading scorers had off night, closed out a tight game with, let’s just call him a the third Cool Hand Brother, and tough defense. To quote the PGA commercial “ These guys are good!”

As Jay Bilas pointed out, a key to the effective Duke defense was Coach K utilizing a 1-2-2 three quarter court zone press which slowed down the offensively challenged Cavalier half-court offense by shortening the shot clock. Coach K pointed out that a halftime adjustment of spreading out the offense and moving the ball faster somewhat neutralized the Pack Line Defense and created more open shots, which Tatum capitalized upon. He also pointed out the fact that when Tatum is playing strong defense and rebounding well, he is stronger and more aggressive offensively. It’s a maturing mindset that results in his recent game changing second half performances.

Other Comments:                                                                                                               

    • Grayson Allen reinjured his left ankle just before the half. He had it taped and played most of the second half. However, Coach confirmed that both  Jefferson and Allen are not totally healthy but that hopefully by March they will be 100%.
    • Most of the season, Jayson Tatum has been much more effective scoring inside than outside. However, the last few games, he has been much more accurate from long range. It doesn’t surprise me because he has one of the most classic shooting motions you will ever see—best observed when he is shooting free throws. Anyone who shoots nearly 90% from the line has a shooters touch.

 

 

    • Through all the good, bad, and indifferent games this season, Duke’s starting players have been an exceptionally accurate free throw shooters. Tonight, they were 18-20, most of which came as they protected their lead to close out the game.
    • Virginia’s Tony Bennett is an admirable coach. He recruits and coaches the right way and obviously gets the most out of his talent. Duke has arguably three first round picks, Virginia none. I can’t remember the last UVA player to leave school early for the NBA draft. Nevertheless, Coach Bennett’s teams are a tough out and always one of the top teams in the ACC.

Alan Adds:

With both Allen and Jefferson playing hurt, which limited their scoring ability — in the second half, Jefferson was scoreless and Allen had 2 points — Jefferson with 3 first half fouls; the first half offense totally out of sync (only 21 points on 2-14 from the field for Allen, Kennard, and Jackson), committing 8 turnovers; the Blue Devil outlook at halftime was dim.  The second half was very different.  Coach K made adjustments to the offense, which turned very efficient, scoring 44 points (44 points against UVA in a half is a feat!).  Jayson had an extraordinary half, playing the entire 20 minutes, he scored 21 points, including 5-6 from deep.  “He had a few minutes that separates the ordinary player from the outstanding one”, Coach K said.  Kennard contributed some clutch foul shooting (9-10 all in the second half), scoring 13 in the final stanza.  Tatum and Luke combined for 34 of Duke’s 44 second half points.  With about 2 minutes to go, Duke led by four when Jayson hit back to back deep 3 pointers to push the lead to 10 with 1:56 to go.  Coach K pointed out how huge those two shots were.  “We went from a 2 possession game to a 5 possession game (K counts each possession as 2 points), which required UVA to foul in an effort to get back into the game.  Coach K took Jefferson out so he had 5 excellent free throw shooters on the floor when Duke was on offense — Luke, Grayson, Matt, Jackson and Jayson.  A Duke strength this year has been at the free throw line.  Duke was 10-10 in the last two minutes, including Luke’s 6-6 (Jackson’s only 2 points and 2 by Jayson were the 10).  For the game, Jayson was 6-6 and Luke 9-10.  As a team Duke was 18-20 (Giles had the other miss — 1-2).

The Rotation

Jefferson and Giles divided the minutes at center almost evenly — 21 for Amile and 19 for Giles.  Giles’s continuing development is critical for Duke’s post-season chances. He is clearly coming along.  Coach K said he is in November in terms of his development.  It was a big game for him with 5 points and 3 rebounds.  Bolden added 2 minutes and had another ferocious block, a rebound and a foul without scoring.  Frank Jackson was the only other reserve in action contributing 13 minutes (10 in the first half).  His 2 foul shots in the last minute of the game were his only points.  Bench scoring for the game — 7.  In the second half, Giles’s 7 minutes (spelling Jefferson) and Jackson’s 3 (spelling Grayson) were the only bench minutes in the second half, and 3 points on foul shots — Jackson 2 and Giles 1 — were the only second half bench points.  Matt Jones scored 5 big points in the second half, and was again an outstanding contributor.  Coach K called him the “unsung hero” of the last 3 weeks’ resurgence.  He held the Clemson star in check with his defense and did the same with UVA’s go-to point guard, Perrantes.  Jones made Perrantes work hard and shoot a lower percentage than usual.  Coach K said Perrantes did not play poorly, but was not real good either.  Matt got the credit.  Duke’s defense was awesome throughout.  Even hurt and offensively challenged as a result, Amile still anchors the defense.  Giles’s defense is impressively improving (which is why he was on the court for 19 minutes, and committed only 1 foul).

Grayson’s performance is troubling because he is obviously hurt.  In 33 minutes his numbers were very un-Grayson like — scoring only 5 points [2-10 from the field; 1-6 from deep and critically failing to get to the foul line] while grabbing only 2 rebounds.  He had a pair of assists and a turnover.  Kennard was glue, even though he did not shoot well from the floor.  He was money from the line and grabbed 7 big defensive rebounds [ 3-10; 1-3 from deep] with 3 assists for his 16 points.  He and Jayson combined for 44 of Duke’s 65 points.

Coming Down the Regular Season Stretch

Duke has the most difficult remaining schedule of the ACC contenders.  Wake visits Cameron on Saturday.  Then Duke has away games against Miami and Syracuse before facing Florida State at home and UNC on Senior night in Chapel Hill.  After the last 3 weeks, Duke is facing that gauntlet with quite a bit of confidence.

DUKE 99 – WAKE FOREST 94

Today, we had an math class in Cameron Laboratory. The subject was a regression to the mean or mean reversion. Wednesday night Duke scored 65 points, Virginia 55. Today Duke scored 99 points, Wake Forest 94. This might be called the converse– progression to the mean or mean progression. Cliff notes: Over the course of the season Duke should average scoring in the low 80’s and opponents scoring in the low 70’s.

Or, you could call this the shootout at the Cameron Corral—a lot of shots hitting their mark. Once again, Duke had no answer for John Collins (31 points, 15 rebounds), and could not keep the Demon Deacon guards out of the lane. So, the halftime adjustment was to defend the three and live with two’s: “In the second half we just switched everything. We can’t go zone, our ball-screen defense stinks, let’s switch and if they want to try to take advantage of us inside, at least they won’t be driving and they’ll be two-point shots. It was a good trade. It got us tougher offensively. The defensive rebounds led to some aggressive offense.”

Fortunately, the Blue Devils have more fire power—six players in double figures, Cool Hand Luke in the clutch, and The Maestro managing the strategy. Frankly, it was the substitution of  freshman Jackson midway in the second half that sparked a Duke run to break open a very tight game. Then at closing time, getting the ball in the right hands staved off an embarrassing upset as Wake has not won in Cameron in this century—really, since 1997.On the other hand, Coach Manning and/or the Deacons, in the last two minutes when they were in position to win or tie, never got the ball to Collins. Go figure.

Coach K assessment: “I think guys are settling into their roles and understanding what is expected of them. At the end of ballgames, we’ve been really tough. We’ve made winning stops, winning free throws, winning shots, and it hasn’t been one guy. Really, in all the games, all the wins, the last three, four minutes we were a little bit better than the team we’ve played. And that shows toughness. It has to do with getting healthy. Everyone is at practice now, although I’m holding back Jefferson and Allen to help them heal from lingering injuries.”

Kennard said it was all about the players being exactly who they are and becoming comfortable playing together. “Honestly, we don’t have specific roles. We’re playmakers. That’s what coach recruited us to be, that’s what he wants us to do. … We’ve learned who each other is and what each other can do and we’re really connecting with that. That’s why we are starting to win a lot.”

Co-captain Amile Jefferson summed up the team’s attitude and mind set: “All of us—freshmen to seniors–we came here to play in pressure situations on a big stage. We came here to make big plays. We came here to win games.”Other Comments:

  • The fact that a team with a record as mediocre as Wake Forest can shred the Blue Devil defense and take Duke down to the wire both at home and the on the road is not an encouraging sign. We will learn if this and the Clemson game were anomalies when Florida State comes to town in a week.
  • If Giles and Bolden think they are ready to play in the NBA, they are not looking at the video tapes of the same games I am.
  • Karen wrote: “Can someone please tell me why the Duke players wear the initials KB on a patch in the upper right side of their jerseys?  None of the announcers has mentioned it.” Peter M and Jimmy H both responded that former Duke President Keith Brody, who was close to Coach K, recently died and the initials are in his memory.

Alan Adds:

Throughout the year, we have observed Duke’s defense as being a somewhat porous, and being exploited in both the lane and defending the rim.  Against Wake, Duke’s defensive weakness — especially on the interior — was on full display.  Duke gave up 47 points in each half!  Duke did stop the Wake 3 point attack for the most part (5-15) but allowed Wake to shoot 30-54 from inside the arc.  While Duke did “switch everything in the second half”, which was the “least bad” defense that Coach K could conjure, Duke did not stop Wake very often.  Wake’s scoring per possession was even higher because of the number of offensive rebounds that produced second chance points.  Wake had 15 offensive boards to Duke’s 21 on its own defensive board (the last few of the game for Duke were key).  When Wake realized that Duke was switching everything, it gave Collins the opportunity to set the screen, and then roll to the basket.  That meant he was defended by a guard.  Hence the frequent picture of 6’2” Frank Jackson guarding 6’10” Collins in the post.  When Duke went to help Jackson with a double, Collins got the assist.  When the double did not come or was late, Collins scored.  Switching everything might have been the least bad option, but it does not appear to be the defensive answer.  Given two of Duke’s last 4 games are against teams with huge and effective front courts — Fla. State and UNC (who dismantled UVA last night in an awesome display of inside power — Duke’s interior defense is going to have to be better for a great end to this season.

Of course, as woeful as the defense was, the offense was better than superb.  Duke scored 52 points in the second half, and needed all of them.  It was an impressive display.  Duke shot 36 for 61 from the field, including 13 – 27 from the bonusphere, and 12-14 from the line (including the game winners at the end).  Duke had 19 assists against only 7 turnovers.  Wake’s reputation as an inefficient defensive team was proven to have been earned.

The Interior

Welcome back Amile Jefferson!  Coach K said he is still “limping around” and not practicing, but in this game he returned to his pre-injury offensive form.  And, he won the game on defense in the closing minutes, worked hard throughout the game while staying out of foul trouble.  Coach K limited his first half playing time to 13 minutes so he was fresh to play all 20 minutes of the second half.  Amile had 16 points on 7-10 shooting from the field to go with 2-2 from the line (the first, the front end of a 1 and 1 was the most crucial shot of the game).  He not only had 7 tough boards, including the crucial one at game’s end, but also had 5 blocks, including the crucial one at game’s end.   Welcome back, Amile.

In the first half, Marquis Bolden played his best basketball since arriving at Duke.  He earned 6 minutes of playing time and scored 6 points (2-2 from the field including a beautiful lefty hook) 2-2 from the line with a rebound and an assist.  On the down side, he committed a foul and a turnover.  The statistics don’t demonstrate the inconsistency.  After a great basket, he committed a silly foul 30 feet from the basket.  After a terrific dunk, he lost his man (Collins, of all Wake players), who scored on a wide open dunk.  Still his athleticism is obvious and Coach K praised his minutes.  Giles committed 3 fouls and a turnover to go with 1-1 from the field in his 4 minutes, which was disappointing considering the progress we have been seeing from him.   Neither played at all in the second half.  Coach K said, “I would have used them more in the second half, but we had something, and I was afraid to lose it.  If I had played either, we would have had to defend the ball screen differently; we could not have switched everything.”  Amile’s amazing defense and play at the end confirmed Coach K’s decision.

Jayson

It is hard to know whether to write about Jayson Tatum on the interior, the perimeter or separately.  He was Duke’s best defensive rebounder with 6 (7 overall tying him for team lead with Jefferson), and scored an efficient 19 points on 11 shots in his 35 minutes [6-11; 3-5 from 3land; and 4-4 from the foul line].  He does get beat one on one from the perimeter on defense, but he is a ball hawk and amazing athlete.  Let us enjoy him while we can, he is special.

The backcourt

Kennard had a great all-round game, but it was his breathtaking second half that needs to be fully appreciated.  In the second half, he scored 15 points in 17 minutes.  He missed only 2 shots (both 3s) going 1-3 from behind the arc.  It was his dazzling 5-5 on intricate drives and mid-range pull ups that kept Duke in position to win.  He also pulled down 3 second half rebounds, one of which was crucial, and handed out 2 assists without a turnover.  He played the entire first half scoring 8.  Once again Matt Jones provided crucial leadership, clutch shooting and toughness.  In 35 minutes, he scored 10 [ 4-7; 2-4 from deep] to go with 2 rebounds, 2 assists and a steal while being charged with only 2 fouls.  Grayson logged 28 minutes (12 in a better second half after an ordinary — subpar for Grayson — first half.  For the game, Allen scored 11 [3-8; 3-6; 4-4] but most good stats came in the second half where he hauled in 4 boards and passed out 3 assists, in addition to 2-4 from the field including 2-3 from deep.  He did miss his only foul shot, the crucial front end of a 1 and 1 with 1:02 left in the game and Duke leading by 1..  Coach K said the injury is affecting him — it distracts a great athlete — and he has to give Grayson time to heal to be effective in the post-season.   Frank Jackson picked up some Allen slack and was superb in the second half.  In the closing stanza, Jackson scored 9 points [3-5 from the field including two crucial gorgeous layups; 1-3 from deep and 2-2 (also crucial) from the line in 12 minutes.  He also had 2 assists, 2 rebounds and 0 turnovers.  For the game, he played 22 minutes, scoring 12, adding 3 assists without a turnover.  He was huge in the end game, and Duke’s only substitute in the second half.

The Crucial Winning End Game

Duke led by 12 with 12:07 left to play after Tatum hit a deep 3.  Duke simply could not stop Wake from there, even though Duke kept scoring enough to maintain a shrinking lead.  With 3:06 left, Wake had cut the lead to 2.  Jefferson made a great layup, but Wake responded with a traditional 3 point play on Jefferson’s foul. 91-90 with 2;29 left.  Kennard and Crawford traded baskets. It was 93-92 Duke, when Grayson was fouled with 1:02 left and missed the front end.  Collins rebounded, but Duke’s defense rose from the dead to make the winning stand.   Tatum defended Crawford’s layup attempt spectacularly, got the rebound and was immediately fouled with 31 seconds left.  He made them both. 95-92.  Crawford again drove the lane and this time was turned away by Jefferson, who also grabbed the crucial rebound and was fouled.  Duke up 3 with 14 seconds left and Jefferson on the line for 1 and 1.  The first one was crucial, to be sure.  Jefferson made them both.  97-92.  Game over.  Jackson fouled, made a pair with 8 seconds left and Crawford closed the scoring with a meaningless lay-up.  A salute to Jefferson, Tatum and defense in the last minute!  Wow!

A Duke Feel-Good

Jeff Capel’s father, just diagnosed with ALS, was on the bench as an honorary coach.  Coach K said it was not just a good moment; it was a great moment.  The team gave the elder Capel the game ball.  Coach K talked about the Duke culture and the student-athletes’ love of Duke as empowering that culture.  Tyus Jones and Okafor were in the audience.  Coach K explained that older players (peers; not coaches) have to instill the culture in the younger guys.  He pointed to Quinn Cook and Marshall Plumlee, who did that in the past; and, to Matt and Amile who do it for this team.  He said it is the love of being at Duke; of being proud of being Duke students, not just Duke basketball players, that makes the culture so effective.

DUKE 75 – SYRACUSE 78 

Although Duke had won an impressive seven games in a row, they had demonstrated an unimpressive, disconcerting tendency to play to the level of their competition and tonight they paid a painful price by losing a game that should not have been decided by a final shot. Syracuse does not offer the offensive matchup problems that a Carolina, a Florida State, a Louisville, or even a Wake Forest does. However, Syracuse is very well coached, does play good defense, and this year every ACC team is dangerous at home—especially when home houses 36,000 very loyal fans, the team is on the bubble to be selected for the NCAA Tournament, and the basketball gods decide, “Sorry Duke, tonight is not your night. We are going with the other guys” as two bad jump shots bank in anyway. How many times do we point out it is not a good idea to let any team hang around and stay close, because late in a tight game, strange things can and do happen.

Up eight points at the half, the Blue Devils should have been up about eighteen or twenty as they threw or kicked away five fast break opportunities and missed shots they normally hit. In addition, how many teams can you beat shooting just 38% from the floor and putting them on the line for 25 easy points? If nothing else, this game exposed the Blue Devil weaknesses—poor defense (giving up 78 points!), lack of a rim protector, and lack of an inside game. Golf Pro David S. mentioned that this Duke team does not seem to always play with the same passion he has been used to seeing. That was demonstrably true for about thirty minutes of this game. While Tatum (19pts. 13 rebs, 6 assists) carried the load in the first half, and Kennard (23 pts, 7 rebs, 5 assists) and Jefferson (14 pts. ) in the second, Grayson Allen was terrible in both halves, going  2 for 11.

Other Comments:

  • With just less than eight minutes to play, Kennard, Frank Jackson and Grayson Allen all had picked up four personal fouls, further handicapping the man-to-man defense.
  • It is apparent that neither Jefferson nor Allen can jump normally off injured feet and/or ankles. Despite being at point blank range, Amile never dunked the ball and Grayson looks like he is shot putting his threes.
  • The other disconcerting reality is that the Blue Devils close the regular season with a murder’s row schedule—at Miami, Florida State, and at Carolina. And speaking of Carolina, last night they thoroughly dominated #7 Louisville 74-63 in Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels are a mature, deep, well-balanced team with healthy, skilled players at every position who, unlike some other years, play with almost as much passion and pride on defense as offense. They are well-positioned to make a serious run at both the ACC and NCAA Championships.

Alan Adds:

Readers know my admiration for Coach K is extreme.  However, I thought he was way off in his press conference, focusing on Duke’s poor first half transition offense (blowing what should have been easy scores five times) rather than the second half defense.  He said the problem was more human nature (they were desperate; we were not) than Xs and Os.  I disagree.  Duke has, and has had this year, a serious Xs and Os problem on defense.  This is not new, though Duke’s second half defense against The Orange might have been its worst defensive performance of the year.  Syracuse is a bubble team with 12 losses on the season.  The Orange played 3 players for all 40 minutes (Battle played only 33).  They did have 2 centers, but neither is an All-Star.  Against that level of achievement, consider these second half statistics: 1) Duke “held” Syracuse to 53 points (that’s a rate of 106 for a 40-minute college game); 2) Duke allowed Syracuse to shoot 17-24 from the field (71%, including 4-5 from deep); 3) Duke’s primary defense was to foul the Syracuse driver – The Orange went to the line for 17 second half attempts (made 15); 4) Syracuse was in the bonus with 13:08 left in the second half and the double bonus with 8:50 left.  The Duke foul trouble took away much of the defensive aggressiveness that was on display in an outstanding first half defense.  5) Duke forced only 8 Syracuse turnovers for the entire game.

Duke again switched everything, of which Syracuse took full advantage.  Lydon or Thompson would set the pick for Gillon.  When Duke switched, Amile was guarding Gillon on the perimeter, while Grayson or Jackson was on Thompson, who rolled to the post or basket.  Gillon gets by everyone, but it is easier for him to get by an big on the perimeter.   If no help (or really late help), he laid it in (sometimes getting fouled in the process). The Syracuse big in the post had a huge advantage over the shorter Duke defender.   When the driver made the pass, interior layups seemed to follow (with the foul).  If Jayson or another gave help to the guard defending in the post, other Orange players drove the open lane for easy layups.   Duke hardly stopped Syracuse in the second half; Syracuse only missed 7 shots and got a plethora of offensive rebounds.   If the Duke defense does not become more efficient in the near term, the specters of Lehigh and Mercer may make an appearance.

Duke’s offense was hampered by the woeful shooting of 3 of its vaunted perimeter marksmen: Allen (2-11; 1-6 from deep); Jones (1-6; 1-5 from deep); and Jackson (0-4, all from deep).  With 45 seconds to go and Duke leading by 2 (75-73), Grayson missed a wide open 3 that would have iced the game for Duke.   Grayson, Jackson and Jones were a combined 3-20 (2-16 from deep).  Jones did not get to the line (Grayson 3-3; Jackson 2-2). Tatum had, as Bill described, a wondrous first half (but scored only a deuce in the second half), and both Kennard and Amile had terrific second halves. Tatum and Jones played all 40 minutes; Kennard 37.  The only other Duke player besides the starters and Jackson (4 fouls in 15 minutes) was Harry Giles, who had one of his best games.  In 11 minutes, he was 3-3 from the field and grabbed 4 boards, while committing only 1 foul.  Bolden did not play.

All contenders have 3 games left.  UNC leads the conference by 2 games (3 losses).  Four teams are 10-5: Duke, Florida State, Notre Dame and Louisville; Miami is 9-6.  Duke plays Miami (away at 4 pm on Saturday); Florida State at home; and UNC in Chapel Hill.   Thus, Duke’s final 3 foes have conference records of 12-3; 10-5; and 9-6.  Murders row without a viable defense (wrote the criminal defense lawyer).

DUKE 50 – MIAMI 55

FG: 32%, 3 PT: 24%, FT: 33% = 50 points. If this Duke team cannot score a lot of points, they probably cannot win because they do not consistently play good defense. Injuries, lack of practice time together, squad makeup, no true point guard, or chemistry may be the reasons that down the stretch and in a position to win against N.C. State, Syracuse, and now Miami, this team has imploded not exploded. For Duke fans, watching this happen has been as difficult as trying to spell Krzyzewski.

Because of his lingering ankle injury, Grayson Allen did not play today and Harry Giles started in his place. While he and Bolden rebounded well, neither proved capable of defending the rim. The other freshman, Frank  Jackson, provided an impressive scoring spark but made three critical turnovers that led to six easy points. However, shots of Kennard and Tatum, which have been dropping, suddenly are bouncing and/or rolling out not in. When this inevitably happens, we know that the trademark of Coach K’s best teams—lock-down defense, execution, playing smart, and closing the game out—is the antidote. The most discouraging aspect of this team’s recent losses is an inability to execute The K Playbook of Winning Basketball: win the first and last four minutes of each half, make a sustained, backbreaking run that gives you a good cushion, attack the basket, get to the line and hit free throws, and play fundamentally sound, smart basketball to finish off an opponent.

Additional Comments:

  • After the game, Coach K said he doesn’t know if Grayson will play Tuesday: “I won’t know until then. Same thing, I gotta make a decision on Amile.  I don’t know. Amile, is not running because of his injury and I didn’t play him most of the second half.” This is the dilemma: Jefferson and Allen are shells of their former selves. Injuries heal with therapy and rest. Next week it is Florida State and Carolina. The following week it is the meat grinder of the ACC Tournament. The following week is the NCAA Tournament. Duke cannot win the regular season and probably will not qualify for a bye in the ACC Tournament, so there is the possibility of multiple games in a row. No matter the outcome, the Blue Devils will be in the NCAA draw. Does Coach K hold Jefferson and Allen out next week and, perhaps, for some or all of the ACC Tournament and challenge Giles and Bolden to step in and prove they are really NBA ready? Or….?
  • You  know it was a rough day when an opponent torches Matt Jones for 25 points—almost half his team’s points. And to add insult to injury, late in the game, Matt’s man scores a touchdown on an out-of-bounds three quarter court pass (made possible because Jefferson couldn’t jump high enough to prevent the throw) for a touchdown/dunk.
  • Duke’s 50 points were its fewest in sixteen years.

Alan Adds:

Duke, scorned in the pre-season rankings, takes on UNC tonight in its final regular season game, having secured a double bye for the ACC tournament and an unexpected top 10 ranking in the national polls.  Oh wait!  That’s the Duke women’s team, which goes into its final game tonight with a season record of 23-4 (3 losses in the ACC—all between January 12 and January 26).  Why am I writing about the Duke women in an email about Duke men’s basketball?  You know if you watched the completely disappointing performance of the men’s team against Miami (not to mention Syracuse and NC State)?  It was Duke’s worst offensive performance in many a moon – especially in the second half, where Duke was 11- 37 from the field and 4-14 from deep.  The abysmal foul shooting also contributed to the loss.  Amile and Giles were a combined 0-4 from the line. Both of Jefferson’s misses were the front end of a 1 and 1, and (worse!) were the only Blue Devil free throw attempts of the first half.  Giles missed 2 crucial free throws (his only attempts) with :37 seconds left and Duke trailing by 5.  Jackson (1-2) missed with the score tied at 39.  Luke missed the third of a three shot foul (2-3 for the game) with :29 seconds left, failing to cut the lead to 4.  And Duke has been a great foul shooting team.

Coach K, in his press conference, emphasized Duke’s fragile health as the main reason for the disappointing performance.  He was clear that Grayson would be held out until he is healthy and can play with his customary verve.  That could be until the NCAA tournament.  Coach also pointed out that Amile cannot run because of his injury, which resulted in Amile’s spending most of the second half on the bench.  He played 21 minutes (2-2 early in the first half for his 4 total game points) grabbing 5 defensive boards, but turning it over 3 times (0 assists) and committing 3 fouls.  Without either Grayson (completely) and Amile (mostly), Duke played 4 freshmen (along with Matt and Luke) in the second half.  Coach K said Giles and Bolden played well, but have essentially no big game experience.  He explained they are both “just cutting their teeth” in the 16th ACC game.  The result, said the coach is that there is more continuity on defense than on the offense.  The coach thought the team defended well, holding Miami to 55 points.

I am not sure that Coach K’s explanation is the real (or at least not whole) story.  Duke’s rotation has been very thin this year, with Allen, Jones Tatum and Kennard logging huge minutes all season long.  It is an axiom of basketball that tired players miss shots that are usually made.  Certainly, that was the case with Duke’s shooting last night.  Kennard and Tatum again played all forty minutes.  Tatum was 0-7 from long range, scoring 8 inefficient points on 16 shots (4-16) without getting to the foul line in the entire game.  He is playing hard, grabbing 7 boards, handing out 2 assists with a block and a steal without a turnover or committing a foul.  Tired players miss shots that are usually made.  Kennard scored 16 points on an inefficient 20 shots [6-20; 2-6 from deep; 2-3 from the line – no free throws until the last 29 seconds of the game).   I think he had more of his shots blocked by Miami than in the rest of the season and he had his pocket picked more than once for turnovers that became easy Hurricane layups.  Jones has logged 983 minutes for the season (2nd to Kennard’s 1024), and I believe his huge minutes are beginning to be reflected in his declining performance.  In 37 minutes, Jones scored only 4 points (2-9; 0-3 from deep without attempting a foul shot) with 3 assists and 3 turnovers and a steal.  He missed critical 3s down the stretch.   A vaunted defender, Jones was simply torched last night by Bruce Brown who scored 25 of Miami’s 55 points.  Brown penetrated to the goal easily throughout the game.  When Duke trailed by 3 with :05 seconds to go and Miami inbounding, Brown beat Jones for the full court pass that produced the game deciding layup.  Tired players not only miss shots that are usually made, but also are late defending and rebounding as fatigue saps the reflexes and stamina.

Jackson shot well and played well, but he is not the sure ball handler that a point guard needs to be.  Nor is Jones.  Nor is Grayson.  The absence on the roster of a true point guard may be what has kept this team of McDonald’s All-Stars and potential NBA lottery picks from reaching its potential.  Before the game, I wrote to a hoops junkie friend that I thought Coach K had to play Jayson at small forward and go with two bigs.  With Grayson out, Coach K started two bigs — Amile and Giles.  Duke defends better with 2 bigs, although the second rotation is late or non-existent.  When the pass goes to the roller, Duke is getting a good double to stop the layup, but leaving the hoop open for the next pass for a layup when the second rotation does not arrive (Jayson is a major offender in this defensive lapse).  But for most of the game, Tatum was the power forward.  Miami did serious damage late in the game with its offensive rebounding.

Two potential lottery picks who have disappointed (understatement here) are Giles and Bolden.  Both played extended minutes against Miami.  Bolden played 14 minutes without scoring (0-3), but grabbed 4 rebounds and blocked 3 shots.  You can see his potential.  Giles logged 19 minutes, showing what a good rebounder he is, by grabbing 8 for a team high.   He was 1-4 for 2 points with a block and a turnover (only 1 foul, which may be important if he is learning not to foul; he has been hampered by foul trouble).  He is, so far, all potential without the kind of performance that this team needs from him.  He is clearly improving.

It seems Coach K has recognized that the regular season – and maybe even the ACC tournament – is not salvageable.  Coach K’s emphasis is clearly focused on the NCAA tournament.  It will be interesting to see how he prepares for it with 2 very difficult regular season games remaining – Florida State on Wednesday in the last home games for (at least) Matt Jones and Amile Jefferson; and UNC on Senior night in Chapel Hill next Saturday.

I don’t think things have looked this dark all season for Duke’s post season challenge.

DUKE 75 – FLORIDA STATE 70 

Raise your hand if the you saw this coming. Shame on you who didn’t, because you obviously haven’t either been following Duke long enough or you haven’t been paying attention and reading Duke Basketball Playbook. How many times do we have to tell you: Coach K’s teams rarely lose three games in a row, especially when that game is in Cameron. At their best, Florida State has the talent and the size (their starters are taller than all but one NBA team) to beat anyone—but, apparently, not on the road where they are 3-6 in ACC play.

While this was obviously a coming out point guard party for Frank Jackson (22 points playing a healthy Grayson Allen role), equal billing goes to the team defense, a retro Amile “double-double” Jefferson (14 pts & 11 rbs), Jayson Tatum (15 pts. 9 rebs) and Luke Kennard (17 pts. 6 rebs). Last week we referred to the discouraging aspect of the team not executing The Coach K Playbook of Winning Basketball (win the first and last four minutes of each half, make a sustained, backbreaking run that gives you a comfortable working margin, play good defense, attack the basket, get to the line, hit free throws, and play fundamentally sound, smart basketball in the final minutes.)  Obviously, Monday the student-athletes went to class and paid attention, because  tonight the defense held the Seminoles to 42.5 % from the floor, won the start of the second half with a sustained run to expand an 11 point halftime lead to a 19 points to give the Blue Devils a large cushion, and held on by Tatum and Kennard making plays down the stretch. Amazingly, the Blue Devils also matched the Seminoles 38-38 in rebounding as well as hitting three more threes and free throws.

It has been pointed out many that this team lacks a true point guard and that when healthy, Allen fills that role pretty well. Tonight, Jackson was the action (that’s a pun) that filled that role and what a scintillating exhibition it was. He was just unstoppable for periods of the game. Likewise, Tatum has matured into not only a potent offensive force (K: “We went to Jayson on some iso’s late and he came through. You don’t call plays (for him), he makes plays.”) but also plays bigger than he is on defense. He had nine boards, made a thunderous, LeBron James-like trailing block of a fast break layup  and swooped in from the weak side to swat a jump shot out of the hands of a Seminole.

While this game was not actually as close as the score, it featured the coming of age of Frank Jackson, the resume building of Jayson Tatum, and the steady scoring and all-round play of Luke Kennard, and demonstrated what a different team this is when Amile Jefferson is anywhere near one hundred percent. It was his first double-double since December against an imposing front line. “My mark has been a player who hustles, who works hard, who does the dirty work,” Jefferson said. “Fighting, putting my heart out on the floor at Cameron one last time was incredible. It was about not pacing. That’s what I’ve been doing since I’ve been injured. I’ve been playing but I’ve been playing not to get hurt, thinking about my foot, thinking about the pain. Tonight I was going to go out and give it all I’ve got. Once I did that, I forgot about the pain.”  That pretty much sums up Duke basketball.

Coach K pointed out in his press conference that in this league a lot of games are close and if you win the last few possessions, you are “great”, but if you lose two games on the last possession, you are in a “slump”. Actually, he thought his team played hard and well in losses against both Syracuse and Miami but just lost those final possessions and in this league, road games are tough to win. There is another school of thought that thinks that Kennard, Tatum, and Jones have tired legs from playing so many minutes. However, we all know Coach K has the old army attitude that if you can breathe, you can fight, and he has won over 1,000 games, five NCAA Championships and counting. So, who are you going to believe?

Other Comments:

  • Coach K commented on how fortunate he has been to have Amile Jefferson and Matt Jones to coach for four years. Incidentally, for those of you with an institutional memory, Amile’s uncle is Truck (as in: built like a) Robinson, very tough, eleven year pro who led the NBA in rebounding in 1977-78.
  • Dick Vitale is a nice, generous man but has become a real distraction for those of us who want to focus on the game being played and not listen to him reminisce about his friendship with Frank Sinatra or whatever extraneous thought meanders from his mind to his mouth.

Alan Adds: 

In the first 11:19, Duke scored only 12 points!  For the next 12 minutes and 42 seconds (8:19 in the rest of the first half and the first 4 minutes and 23 seconds of the second half) Duke played its best basketball of the season on both ends of the court, going from a tie score (12-12) to a 19-point lead (49-30).  In that span, Duke outscored the Seminoles 37 to 18.   Duke’s Killer J’s — Jayson, Jackson and Jefferson — led the way on offense, while Duke played locked down switching defense while defending the rim with passion.  The announcers, complained about the Seminoles missing attempts at the rim.  But all of those attempts were hotly contested, which is what caused the misses.

Defense and Rotation

Duke’s first half defense was breath taking.  Amile seemed all the way back, and it had a huge impact.  He led Duke’s spirited protection of its rim, and hedged out dramatically in defending ball screens.  He helped the defense succeed in its major strategic goal — keeping Rathan-Mayes out of the paint and from dishing out assists, as he has done all year for the Seminoles.  While he scored (11 in the second half), he had only 1 assist in the entire game.  It was unabashedly gratifying when Coach K, in his press conference, said exactly what I had written down in my notes.  Duke played superb defense – best of the season – until Florida State wore the Devils down.  Duke tired, and fatigue’s impact on the Devil defense was profound and perceptible.  Duke held on, but we all had “that feeling” as the 19-point lead shrunk to 5 by game’s end.  It wasn’t as if Duke was ever actually in danger of losing because the Devils – led by Jackson and Tatum – kept scoring enough to keep the lead at several possessions all the way to the end.  Duke hung on, though clearly tired.

The Rotation

In the second half, Kennard, Tatum played every second; Jackson was out for 1 minute; Jones for 3; and Jefferson for 5.  The entire bench was Grayson Allen for 8 minutes (scoring Duke bench’s only 2 points of the game) and Giles for 1 minutes.  For 4 minutes, at game’s end, Duke played with Jayson Tatum as its center and only big (Coach K wanted all good foul shooters at the end as Florida State pressed and fouled).  Coach K pointed out that Duke did not turn the ball over against the press, which was a big factor in Duke’s successful end game.  In the first half, Allen also played 8 minutes (0-2; 0-1 from deep); Giles 4 (1 offensive rebound and 1 foul) and Bolden 2 (1 foul was his only statistic).  0 points from the bench in the opening stanza.  The starters were Duke’s team last night.

  The impact on Duke’s Second Half 

Duke gave up 47 points; committed 10 fouls, 6 turnovers with only 3 assists; and gave up 10 offensive rebounds to Florida State as against 12 defensive rebounds.  As Coach K said, “They wore us down.”  But Duke had the heart and talent to hold on without real drama.  Tatum and Jackson were spectacular.  Coach K said that in the last 10 games, Tatum has elevated his game.  He was tremendous driving to the basket against the Seminoles.  Coach K praised not only his scoring, but also that he is Duke’s best defensive rebounder (9 for the game; 8 were defensive; 6 in the second half when he and Kennard were Duke’s leading rebounders) and has become a much better defender.  “If you could see tape, you would see how wide he gets and how he is quick to help,” said the Coach proudly.  Dickie V’s (virtually) only game related comments were his hysterical discovery of Frank Jackson as a talented player.  Coach K was also on that bandwagon, pointing out that Jackson has exploded in the last two games and is virtually a starter.  He logged 33 minutes in the game.

Going Forward

The regular season ends Saturday in Chapel Hill.  Even if Duke were to win, a top 4 seed (and double bye in the ACC Tournament) may be out of reach.  Coach K was frank that his emphasis is on getting Grayson healthy and the team ready for the NCAA tournament.  If Amile is really all the way back and both Tatum and Jackson continue to shine, it might be an interesting tournament.

Duke 83- North Carolina 90

Once again the Duke and North Carolina basketball teams proved why this game is billed as one of, if not the, greatest rivalry in all of sports by playing another exciting contest that had more lead changes (23) than Price-Waterhouse could keep track of. The outcome was determined by the fact that Duke had no defensive answer for Joel Berry, who had a career game by hitting five early threes and closing out the game by finishing at the rim for 28 points on only 14 shots — and the fact that Isaiah Hicks, who did not play in the first game, exploited the smaller Blue Devil line-up for 21 points and 9 rebounds in just 22 minutes . But that’s what this Carolina team, which has no one-and-done players, brings to the floor–a deep, experienced, well-balanced team. Stop Justin Jackson and Joel Berry can get you. Stop Kennedy Meeks and Isaiah Hicks can get you. And visa versa.

To win games against Carolina, or any top team, this relatively small but talented and potent Duke team must score more than 80 points by winning  the lines—at the foul line and beyond the three point line—and defend well enough to hold their opponent to less than 80 points. One out of two won’t do. Tonight, the Blue Devils executed  the game plan well until the last five minutes when they appeared fatigued, missing half their free throws and a few critical shots that rolled out not in. In the final analysis, the Blue Devils have little depth or margin for error and Jayson Tatum challenge is to consistently play big and strong at both ends. Tonight, the senior Hicks overpowered the freshman Tatum, making 7 of 9 shots.

The good news is that this away game, also senior night against one of the top four teams in the country was (like Syracuse and Miami) very winnable. More importantly, Jefferson and Allen appear to almost  fully recovered from their injuries. In addition, Luke Kennard (29 pts) continues to be a scoring machine, Frank Jackson has matured into another offensive force, so Duke now has a four lethal offensive threats,  and Jayson Tatum (4-13) had an off  night. Also, the Blue Devils never stopped competing. They were first on the floor for loose balls. Grayson had the hustle play of the game—much like his coming-of –age play against Wisconsin in the NCAA Final–diving on a ball at half court. Only this time he rolled over and somehow on his back threw a perfect pass to Tatum for a dunk.

The bad news is that candidly Harry Giles is a good rebounder but lost playing man-to-man defense (and a fouling machine to boot) and Marques Bold is just not ready for prime time. And Matt Jones’ shot is on vacation. Fortunately, his defense is not.

Other Comments:

  • Carolina had 19 assists (7 by Theo Pinson) and Duke only had 8. Look for Duke to have a true point guard next year.
  • Duke, which had the most difficult schedule in the conference, has a very difficult draw in the ACC Tournament. They have more wins against top 50 RPI teams than any school in the country yet are a five seed in the same half as Louisville, and Carolina. Don’t get me started on the ACC expansion that was constructed for football centric television money reasons, that geographically has teams from Syracuse and Boston to Miami (do all the non-revenue teams fly to away games? No wonder tuition is $60,000+ and rising), because I am an old ACC guy where there were natural rivalries between comparable schools within a bus ride of each other that played twice and the tournament meant a ticket to the NCAA  32 team draw.

Alan Adds:

This was simply a great college basketball game.  Coach K said it was like the first game in that “both teams were worthy of winning”, and both teams played superb basketball.  Despite being on the short end of the final score, Duke can take much positive from the game.  As Coach K said, “we’re getting better.”  Bill may be overly optimistic when he says Grayson has almost fully recovered.  Coach K allowed that he is getting better, “but is still not there.”  Grayson did not start and played only 23 minutes [14 points on 2-4 from deep and 8-11 from the line] and did not attempt a field goal from inside the arc and had only a single rebound.  He is still not the spectacular driver, rebounder and defender that he has been in the past.  His recent improvement, and more importantly his continued improvement before the Big Dance is a big positive.  Duke played evenly against perhaps the most talented and deep team in the country on their home floor at Senior Night for 36 minutes.  It was championship basketball.   Carolina’s depth juxtaposed to Duke’s lack of depth made the difference, in my opinion.  The ‘Heels played ten (not counting the senior starters who do not usually play), got valuable contributions from 7 players (and Britt, who had a difficult night).  Duke played 7 (Bolden, who played less than a minute, is not included) with a minimal contribution from Giles (13 minutes with a point while committing 3 second half fouls in a span of 26 seconds), and sub-par play from Allen (injured) and Matt Jones (26 minutes without a point or a rebound, but 2 steals).  Kennard (28 points in 39 minutes) carried Duke as Berry (25 points in 36 minutes) carried UNC.   Tatum had a difficult night at both ends – in 30 minutes, he scored an inefficient 13 points on 13 shots [4-13; 2-4 from 3land and 3-4 from the line] with 5 boards 2 turnovers and an assist.

But, in my opinion, Duke is only a Grayson return to form and Harry Giles consistency away from being a potential final four team.  Giles was significant in the first half, but non-existent in his foul plagued second half cameo.  His second half absence played a bigger role in the Duke loss than may meet the eye.  Amile played 36 minutes but was not the efficient rebounder he usually is with only 6, 2 on offense.  He was tied with Frank Jackson who led the defensive rebounding with all 6 of his.   Jackson was excellent in his 32 minutes, scoring 15 on 9 attempts [4-9; 1-3 from deep; and 6-7 from the line].  His driving got him to the rim and the foul line.  But, in the decisive moments, UNC won because of its offensive rebounding with Giles on the bench.  He adds substantially to Duke’s interior presence and depth when he plays as he did in the first half.  Whether he can up his game to do that in the post-season is critical for Duke’s chances for a NCAA run.  A Grayson who can drive, rebound and defend, in addition to shoot, is a must for Duke to be the team envisioned in the pre-season.

I thought Duke again got tired at game’s end, and the Devils’ superb play deteriorated.  Allen’s 3 pointer drew Duke within 1 with 4:07 left (79-78).  From that point, Duke was inefficient, that may have been caused by fatigue – a few players playing huge minutes over the course of the season.   Duke gave up a layup to Berry, Tatum missed 1 of 2 foul shots, Luke missed a 3 point attempt, Tatum committed a foul, and Berry drained a 3 making it 83-79 with 2:07 left.  Grayson missed a pair of free throws leading to a Berry layup with 1:42 left (85-79).   Each team’s Jackson missed a 3 and Duke had the ball with 45 seconds left when Jayson also missed a 3.  Luke got a great rebound and passed to Grayson who was fouled; he made the second after missing the first.  85-80 with 35 seconds left.  Duke had to foul, and Berry made 1 of 2 (his miss was crucial, keeping it a 2-possession game at 86-80.  Luke made a dazzling layup and foul shot reducing the lead to 86-83 with 24 seconds left.   That was Duke’s last gasp.  UNC went over the top against the press for an easy layup (88-83); Luke missed a 3 and Amile had his offensive rebound blocked by Hicks, who then made both foul shots to complete the game’s scoring.

Coach K wants to “do a great job in Brooklyn and then on to the Big Tournament.”  In Brooklyn, Duke (#5 seed) plays the winner of Clemson-NC State game in the second game of the afternoon on Thursday, March 9.  The winner plays Louisville (4 seed) on Friday, with the winner projected to meet UNC (#1 seed) in Saturday’s semi-finals.

DUKE 79 – CLEMSON 72

Late in the first half, Johnny Tar Heel texted me: “Is this game as bad as I think it is??????  I’m not watching. Just saw the score”.

It was as Duke’s fouling and poor shooting kept the Tigers in the game. Fortunately, the Blues Devils made a run in the first five minutes of the second half to go up by nine as Tatum put on a show, Luke started being, well, Cool Shooting Luke, Jackson provided energy, and Clemson demonstrated why they have now lost eleven games by seven points or less.

The only other thing I can say is that Alan’s analysis is so very thorough, comprehensive, and accurate that he speaks for both of us.

Alan Adds: 

Duke’s win was satisfying, but does not give off much optimism for the remainder of the ACC tournament; and in my mind, diminishes the expectations for The Big Dance.  It is the bench and the rotation that was troubling in the midst of some clutch performances by all the Duke starters.  Duke got less than no help from the bench.  After the UNC game, I wrote that Duke only needs the return of Grayson to last year’s form and the emergence of Giles as a competent support for the interior to become the team that was envisioned in the pre-season.  Against Clemson, Duke had no bench and both Allen and Giles looked completely lost for differing reasons.  The entire offensive contribution from the bench came with 12:25 left in the first half, when Grayson hit Giles with a beautiful pass of the pick and roll for Giles’s lay-up.  That was it!  The Duke bench scored just those 2 points.  Giles played 5 minutes; 4 in the first half where, after his hoop, he committed 3 fouls in 26 seconds.  In his brief cameo in the second half; he committed another foul.  Bolden played 3 first half minutes without any productivity and had the ball stripped from him embarrassingly, which led to an uncontested Clemson layup.  He did not see the floor after that embarrassment.  Vrankovich played a minute in each half and grabbed a board.  Grayson played only 12 minutes, his shortest time on the court since his freshman year.  He committed 3 fouls (one the controversial technical), was 0-4 from the floor; 0-2 from deep with one rebound.  Coach K attributed Grayson’s bad day to both injuries and foul trouble.  Grayson can’t go full in practice, and K opined that throws off his timing.  His deep attempts were on target, but short.  The starters played all but 22 minutes (Giles 5; Bolden 3; Vrankovich 2; and Grayson’s 12).  There is great concern that Duke may not have enough left in the tank against Louisville this afternoon.

The starters were heroic and outplayed Clemson.  Kennard played 39 minutes and had a dazzling second half after a terrible first half (1-9 from the field; 1-5 from deep for 3 points to go with a single rebound and a turnover in the opening stanza).  In the second half, he scored 17 on 11 shots (8-11; 1-3 from deep; strangely he did not get to the foul line the entire game); 4 boards; 2 assists and a steal. He was one of Duke’s 3 20 point scorers.  Tatum, who also played 39 minutes, took a step up and looked like a sure lottery pick despite going 1-7 from deep.  He scored 20 on 15 shots (7-15; with 9 rebounds and 4 assists (the pass to Matt Jones for a crucial layup was a highlight).  He was 5-5 from the foul line including the last crucial 4 in a row in the last minute that clinched the game.  Jayson scored on acrobatic drives, he muscled defensive rebounds, and made superb decisions and passes.  His defense is getting much better.  Perhaps the star of the game was Frank Jackson, who is taking Grayson’s minutes and playing absolutely lights out basketball.  Except for missing 2 crucial free throws with a chance to make it a 7-point (3 possession) game with 1:52 to go, he was amazing.  In 35 minutes, the freshman scored 20 points on  only 10 attempts (7-10; 2-2 from deep; and 4-7 from the line) to go with 3 rebounds, 2 assists and the great game opening steal for a layup.  As Coach K said, if you add Grayson’s proven ability back into the mix, Duke has 4 players who are so dangerous and difficult to defend.  Amile played superbly, notching a double double in 31 minutes (4-7 from the field; 3-4 from the line for 11 points; and 10 rebounds).  He anchored the Duke defense with 2 blocks and a steal.  He also had a pair of assists.  Amile would have played the entire second half, but was in foul trouble, finishing the game with 4.  Duke’s defense was superb when he was on the court (before he picked up foul # 4; then he had to be tentative and Clemson took advantage).  However, when he was on the bench, Clemson scored at will.  Matt Jones was solid in 34 minutes, playing excellent defense and making 3 steals.  He scored 6 on 2-4; 0-2 from deep and 2-2 from the line.

Matt Jones was quoted as saying Duke was having a hard time with its identity.  Coach K said that even though it is so late in the season, “we’re still evolving.  We are still getting better.”  But even he admitted, “I don’t know who we are.”  Tellingly, he admitted, “we need 7-8 guys.”  They had only 5 yesterday, and today face a rested Louisville team that is better than their #4 seed in this tournament.

DUKE 91 – LOUISVILLE 77 

With Duke down double digits, Louisville scoring at will at the rim and Duke starters in foul trouble, Coach K took a deep breath, grimaced, apologized to Bobby Knight, crossed himself, and called for a 2-3 zone defense. No one was struck by lightning but the momentum of the game changed dramatically. The Blue Devils got some stops, Luke Kennard, who was laboring on his worst shooting game of the year, suddenly heated up like a microwave—and about as quickly as you could say “ Bad face lift and hair plugs, Ricky” the Blue Devils took over the game, then put it away like a top team should.

In his Clemson post-game press conference, Coach K spoke about how this team was still searching for its identity. Frankly, I don’t know what that means but I do know these players can score a lot of points and if they can play enough defense to hold an opponent in the low 70’s, they have a pretty good chance to win. Today was a classic example of how defense and missed shots can change the entire rhythm, momentum and outcome of a game. Missed shots not only lead to good offensively opportunities but also gives an adrenalin rush when the resulting possessions result in seeing the ball going through the basket. And one thing we know is that Kennard, Tatum, Allen, and Jackson can all score a lot of points– fast.

However, an opponent must also co-operate in their own demise as the Cardinals did by not attacking the zone with patience, missing free throws, and making dumb mistakes. For instance, Coach Pitino subbed seldom-used David Levitch to apparently provoke Grayson Allen. He grabbed his arm then shoved him after the whistle. Allen had the sense to walk away with his hands in the air. On the very next play, Levitch knocked Allen to the ground on a three-point attempt. Allen hit all three free throws to cut the lead to 64-61 with nine minutes left. Think what you will about Grayson Allen but Coach K  and his teammates “have his back”,  love his passion for the game, and are energized and thrilled when he plays well.

One of the most difficult challenges in sports is to be playing a game or match and be out of rhythm or timing (as opposed to being “in the zone”) and, in the midst of that pressure, being able to have the presence of mind to ignore the fear of failure, find your stroke, and keep shooting. Well, Luke Kennard did exactly that in front of thousands of people and a national television audience to produce a breathtaking reversal of form and provide his team with the winning margin.

Alan Adds: 

Duke’s exciting win over Louisville yesterday may have been Duke’s most important performance of the year.  Louisville is a Final Four quality team.  Duke won with heart, head and passion; but even more importantly with its bench!  Grayson led the bench in scoring and passion with 18 points in 28 minutes [5-12 from the field; 2-3 from deep; 6-7 from the line] while grabbing 4 boards.  Giles played his best game at Duke and providing 15 minutes of solid interior play.  He scored his 4 points in his 9 first half minutes (2-3), grabbed 2 defensive rebounds, had a steal while committing only 1 foul.  In the second half, he added a rebound, 2 assists and a block in his 6 minutes.  Important and impressive contributions.  Bolden played 4 second half minutes and was part of the play that changed the game.  He was first to a loose ball after a critical Louisville missed dunk, and made a great outlet pass ahead that led to an easy deuce in transition that changed the game’s momentum.  Yesterday, Coach K had the “7-8 guys we need”.

After the Clemson win on Wednesday, I wrote that “Duke’s performance does not give off much optimism for the remainder of the ACC tournament, and, in my mind, diminishes the expectations for The Big Dance.  It is the bench and the rotation that was troubling in the midst of some clutch performances by all the Duke starters.  Duke got less than no help from the bench.  After the UNC game, I wrote that Duke only needs the return of Grayson to last year’s form and the emergence of Giles as a competent support for the interior to become the team that was envisioned in the pre-season.  Against Clemson, Duke had no bench and both Allen and Giles looked completely lost for differing reasons.”  The return to form of Grayson especially, but Giles and Bolden as well were as important to Duke’s post season prospects as was the superb win.

Duke got spectacular performances from Kennard, who scored 24 points in the game; 18 coming in the second half when he came alive as “Cool hand Luke”, including 10 in a row in the 3-minute span from 6:33 to go to 3:29 when Duke closed the gap and took the lead for good.  He was 7-16; 3-8 from 3land; 7-9 from the line.  He also led Duke in rebounding with 10.  Coach K said that one of the keys to the win was the defensive rebounding of Kennard and Tatum in the second half.  For the game, Kennard had 8 and Tatum 6 defensive boards.  The bigs only retrieved 6 defensive boards altogether in the entire game (Jefferson 4; Giles 2; Bolden 0).  Tatum was equally as spectacular as Kennard, leading Duke in scoring with 25 points [9-15; 1-2 from deep; 6-8 from the line] and was almost a point forward.  His defense gets better by the game.  He is, in short, becoming a beast.

Matt Jones’s shot has gone south, and as a result his minutes are beginning to shrink.  He has played a ton of minutes this year and the possibility exists that fatigue is catching up with him.  He failed to score in 23 minutes (0-3; 0-2 from deep) without getting to the line.  He had a board and a steal.  Coach K said he was trying to rest Jefferson — who had played so hard and well against Clemson’s big men — limiting him to 25 minutes.  Amile scored only 2 [1-3] with 6 boards (2 offensive) and a block.  He will be desperately needed today against UNC’s huge front line.

Coach K said it was a “fun game to coach”; “I felt like a little kid”.  He said he just let them play, by running motion offense without calling set plays.  He was joyous at Giles’s best game and that he is having fun again.  Although he down played the impact of his decision, I believe Coach K deserves the game ball for his decision to go zone with a little over 6 minutes left to play. The decision was “any port in a storm.  We could not stop Louisville in transition with the man to man.  I don’t know if my team was tired or what, but they [Louisville] missed shots and it changed the tempo of the game.”  It surely did.  However, on the game’s final play where Louisville had the ball down 3 with time running out, Duke played man to man. “It was the defensive possession of the game.  We went man so we could switch everything to defend against the 3, but without fouling.”  Duke never gave Louisville a decent opening.  It was a highlight of a defensive stand.

What a game!  Who knows how much Duke will have left in the tank for tonight’s semi-final against UNC?  I suspect we will all be watching.

DUKE 93 – NORTH CAROLINA 83 

Coach K said that this team was still searching for its identity. Frankly, it is still a mystery to me as to exactly what that philosophical/psychological intangible means but by the end of March Madness we know if this team overcomes injuries, over-hyped implosion and resurgence of a crucial player, Coach K’s absence, and finishes the season as the team everyone thought it would be.  In the meantime, we will just have to settle for these last two games, because for the second day in a row the Blue Devils accomplished the improbable, if not the impossible. They came back from what seemed like certain defeat to beat two of the best teams in the country.

The Tar Heels controlled the first half by exploiting their size advantage, where they posted 49 points, outscoring Duke 32-10 in the paint. Those 32 points on the interior were only two fewer than UNC scored in the entire loss at Duke a month ago.  The 49 were 6 points more than the 43 they scored in an entire game against Virginia in Charlottesville. It was a near death experience as only Grayson Allen’s four threes and a late run to reduce the margin from 13 to 7 kept the game from being decided in the first twenty minutes.

The start of the second half was just as bad as the Blue Devils trailed again by 13 points with fifteen minutes remaining when Joel Berry committed an imprudent fourth foul and went to the bench. Duke increased its defensive intensity with a very effective three quarter court pressing trap which curtailed the momentum of the Tar Heels fast pace and suddenly defensive stops entirely changed the momentum of the game as Duke outscored Carolina 29-11 during the next eleven minutes to lead led 77-72 with 3:30 remaining. Even with Berry back in the game, Carolina could not play with the same confidence with which they started the game and Duke closed out one of the most improbable, even, heroic wins of Coach K’s career.

Watching this unanticipated turn of events was incredulous, because North Carolina is such a talented, deep, big team that will be a number one seed in the NCAA Tournament. How did it happen:

Duke got production from seven players. I still contend that Grayson Allen is the straw that stirs the drink—he had 5 amazing assists leading to 14 points– for this team and makes it a true contender. His ability to aggressively attack the basket, see the entire floor, and make the pass to an open Kennard, Tatum, Jackson, or, tonight even, Giles adds an entirely different creative lethal dimension to this offense. And speaking of Giles, tonight was the second consecutive game he has shown any sustained indication of being the player he was touted to be. In one frantic span of 83 seconds, he scored on an alley-oop, dove for a loose ball, forced a turnover, and pulled down a defensive rebound. Of course, the big four of Tatum, Kennard, Allen, and Jackson are all capable lighting up the scoreboard. When you drop 93 on a number one seed in the ACC and NCAA Tournament, you truly are a contender.

Other Comments:

  • Other than Duke, the team that I most enjoy watching is North Carolina—and it has been that way for an most of my life. Their players all have sound fundamentals (plus great looking pastel uniforms) and the relentless non-stop primary/secondary break, even after made baskets, is just beautiful basketball. Also, Roy recruits and develops his big men to be the hub of an extremely productive offense. Meeks and Hicks are good examples as they bear little resemblance to the players they were as freshmen. If Carolina can’t run past you, they set up a half-court offense is an egalitarian, big man centric system looking to over-power you. Threes are an afterthought. Duke on the other hand, is a free-wheeling, free form, attack and kick three point centric offense letting talented players identify and exploit mismatches. The other interesting  differences between the two Hall of Fame coaches are defense and game management. Coach K stresses defense to the point that if you don’t at least try to play it, you don’t get off the bench. Coach K manages the game by feel—especially when to call timeouts– while Coach Williams manages by the numbers and likes to save his and let the players deal with the momentum challenges of the game.
  • The stats tell the story.  As Jay Bilas pointed out, to beat a team like North Carolina, Duke has to win at the foul line and the three point line. Tonight, it was 33 to 14 and 10 to 5. Game, set, match!
  • Defense is the talisman for this talented but undersized Duke team. After shooting 55.6 % in the first half, UNC shot only 28.6 % in the second half.

Alan Adds:

From Tuesday, February 27 through Friday, March 10, Duke played Florida State, UNC before three games in a row against: a desperate Clemson team needing a win to make it to the NCAA; Louisville and UNC again.  Duke won 4 of those 5 and played well in the loss.  Coach K said, “we’re getting better.”  “We’re getting to know each other.”  What a wonderful stretch.  Duke showed so much heart and passion in the two comeback wins against Final Four caliber teams.  Finally, the 2016-17 Blue Devils are looking like a complete team.  As Dana O’Neil (ESPN) wrote:

“This game was not won by a single player. It was won because Allen hit four 3s in the first half and Kennard scored 10 in the second. It was won because Jayson Tatum finished with 24 points but also seven rebounds. It was won because Frank Jackson nailed a three to give the Blue Devils the lead. It was won because Amile Jefferson endured the thankless task of dealing with Carolina’s bigs all night and emerged the victor. And it was won because, in one frantic span of 83 seconds, Harry Giles scored on an alley-oop, dove for a loose ball and forced a turnover and pulled down a defensive rebound.”

UNC is a deep team that wanted to press Duke and wear the Devils down by “winning time” at the end of the game.  Shockingly (to me anyway), it was Carolina that got worn down.  I think Duke is just in better physical condition than the Tarheel players.  How else do you explain the disappearance of UNC’s formidable inside game in the last 10 minutes of the game?  Carolina, who shot 56% in the first half (18-28 from inside the arc), could manage slightly less than 29%, going 9-28 from inside the arc in the second half.  Moreover, Carolina stopped defending efficiently as the ‘Heels had done in the first half.  Duke scored 51 second half points, shooting 59% from the field (5-8 from deep).  Carolina committed 16 second half fouls (tired players foul more) allowing Duke 23 attempts from the free throw line (20-23; 13-14 in the first half).  The Carolina Bigs may simply not be in shape.

Ole Roy is a Hall of Fame coach, but in my opinion, he was completely outcoached in this game.  Not that he isn’t wonderful, but Coach K’s unique genius is worth points to Duke by his coaching regardless of who is on the other bench.  Duke was down 13 with 13:53 to go in the second half after Meeks made yet another layup.  Jayson drove the baseline for a spectacular dunk.  Coach K called time out.

Few coaches would stop the game after a potential momentum building play like the Tatum dunk.  He said that he coaches by feel and that “I know my guys”.  He wanted to give them a breather.  The next play was, according to Coach K, “the play of the game”.  Grayson grabbed an 50-50 ball offensive rebound after a Tatum miss, and hit Luke, who got off the three point attempt faster than I have ever seen anyone do.  He was rising as he caught the ball; swished it as he was fouled.  He made the free throw for a four point play that reduced the Carolina lead to single digits (51-47).  Duke rolled from there.

Tatum stole the ball and fed Allen for a 3.   Luke grabbed a contested defensive rebound and fed Frank Jackson for a great layup.  Down 2 (63-61).   Jackson and Hicks both missed (tired?) and Jefferson rebounded.  Luke made a pair of free throws to tie the game at 63 with 10:21 to go.   Carolina regained the lead for the last time on a Britt layup.  Then Duke took its first lead with 9:02 left when Giles grabbed a defensive rebound and Grayson fed Frank for a 3 to give Duke a 66-65 lead.  Giles blocked Meeks; Luke hit a jumper; Giles got a defensive rebound.  Duke led by 3 and never trailed again, though Carolina tied the game at 70 with 6:29 to go.  Then, it was what Bill and I call “winning time” – the last minutes of the game.  Frank’s tough layup restored Duke’s lead (72-70).  Then came the sequence of the game for me.  Justin Jackson committed an offensive foul; Grayson found Luke for a dagger 3 (75-70). When Justin Jackson responded with a drive down the lane (which had been so kind to Carolina in the first half), Giles blocked it!  And then Giles streaked down the court where Grayson found him with a long alley oop that Giles went to the ceiling for and athletically dunked it.   It was a play that said Giles is ready to contribute big time.  Duke by 7 with 5:31 to go.  Duke’s defense held (Giles had another block) until Britt scored with 3:46 to go.  Coach K put the foul plagued Amile back in and he scored on a superb post move to stretch the lead back to 7.  With 2:51 to go, Amile blocked Pinson’s layup attempt and Jayson scored on a thunderous dunk with 2:19 to go.  Game almost over (Duke by 9).  The teams traded 2 made free throws before Frank Jackson pulled down a defensive rebound and was fouled.  He made them both and Duke led by 11 with 1:34 left.  Giles back in grabbed a key defensive board from a missed Justin Jackson free throw, was fouled immediately and made both free throws.  Duke by 10.  Matt Jones scored his only 2 points swishing both foul shots to stretch Duke’s lead to 12 and the game was effectively over.  Carolina simply couldn’t score (good defense; but tired?)

Duke now has a bench; in fact, a really good bench.  Grayson played 30 minutes, scoring 18 points (12 in the first half where he and Jayson Tatum – 18 of his 24 points came in the first half – kept Duke from being knocked out early).  Grayson was 4-5 from 3 for his 12.  In the second half, he was more distributor, notching 4 more assists (5 for the game) including the amazing floor length pass to Giles for the critical dunk.   Giles’s statistics are, in my opinion, simply dazzling.  In 15 minutes, he grabbed 7 rebounds (6 protecting Duke’s vulnerable defensive board) blocked 4 shots (as a team UNC blocked only 2 for the game), scoring on a tip-in in the first half and the amazing dunk and 2-2 foul shots in the second half for 6 points in the game.   Fabulous bench contributions.  Bolden got in for a minute in the first half to try and stem the Carolina onslaught inside, but committed 2 fouls in less than a minute and returned to the bench for the remainder of the game.

Coach K told Giles that he needed to bring enthusiasm.  “Just be enthusiastic and the rest will take care of itself.”  Giles is listening.  Coach K said he wanted Giles to be athletic and not so mechanical (play instinctively).  Giles and Jefferson were on the floor together for a period.  When Tatum is also there, Duke’s lack of size disappears.  “This gives us much more versatility, helps the zone, and adds to our inventory,” said K.  He also acknowledged that this is a team that “can’t defend inside very well”, but has been outstanding at defending (as well as shooting) the 3.  He said a team has to win certain aspects of the game; can’t win every aspect (i.e. rebounding and defending in the paint).

With an effective bench, the rotation allows Duke to stay fresh.  Kennard logged 39 minutes (he is a workhorse, who does not seem to be wearing down).  He scored 20 points on only 7 shots [4-7; 2-2 from deep and a gaudy 10-10 from the line].  Jayson played 36 minutes scoring 24 on 15 shots 1-4 from deep but 7-7 from the line.  That’s 17 for 17 combined.  Jayson also grabbed 7 boards (6 on defense).  Same as Harry, but who played 19 fewer minutes.   Otherwise there was a balance in the rotation that has not been possible before.  Frank Jackson continues his wonderful season; in 30 minutes, he scored 15 points on 11 shots [4-11; 2-5 from deep; 6-7 from the foul line].  He also had 5 rebounds.  Amile played 28 minutes before fouling out with 8 points [2-4; 4-6] and 4 rebounds.  He and Matt (reduced playing time to 21 minutes – 2 points on the 2 foul shots at game’s end) are the heart and soul of Duke’s defense.

Fourth game in four nights against Notre Dame.  I have some idea of how Duke might feel.  I watch the games riding my exercise bike (hour and 40 minutes), but never ride 2 days in a row.  I know how my legs felt this morning after 3 straight hour and 40 minute rides.  LOL!  It will be worth watching tonight at 9 on ESPN.

DUKE 75 –  NOTRE DAME 69

If this Duke team came to New York in search of an identity, they found one at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn—2017 ACC Champions. In an unprecedented four games in four days, in successive contests the Blue Devils came from 13 points down in the second half to beat both #10 Louisville and #6 North Carolina, then from 8 points down with ten minutes to go to beat #20 Notre Dame. This was Coach Mike Krzyzewski’s record breaking 14th –and most unexpected—title.

After the Carolina win, Alan asked me which of the other finalists I would like to play. I picked Notre Dame, because unlike Florida State, they do not present a size problem. Playing Notre Dame is like Duke playing themselves and except for Bonzie Coleson, for whom Duke has never had an answer, the Blue Devils have better players and athletes. The challenge was to win the lines—foul and three point—where the Irish also excel and fighting fatigue.

Duke started the game with the pedal to the metal, appearing as fresh and efficient as they ever have. However, the Irish made a late run (sound familiar) to only trail by four points when it felt like it should have been about ten. Then, the Irish took control of the second half (more familiarity) to go up by 8, and I thought: “Boy, I don’t believe this. Duke is getting Duked”.

Well, not exactly. The Blue  Devils somehow found the energy and will to ratchet up their defense and shoot their way back into a one point lead. At  that critical juncture, the most publically under-appreciated but indispensable player made the two decisive, winning plays. With the shot clock running down, Tatum drove the lane, collapsing the defense, and passed to Matt Jones, who has been in a shooting slump and had not made a basket all game. No problem. Without hesitation, the co-captain nailed a three to make it 71-67 with :50 seconds to go. Then, the Irish pressed hard and, when not successful, fouled without penalty (Duke was not yet shooting free throws). On the final inbounds play that mattered,  Jones, the senior defensive specialist, took the ball from an official near midcourt and yelled: “Jay.” From the “I” stack, Jayson Tatum immediately broke down court and Matt hit the 6 ft. 8 in. freshman gazelle for a touchdown dunk (and foul).  That is how a talented, composed championship team closes out a game.

No matter what happens in the NCAA Tournament, this roller coaster of a season has once again given us another exciting journey and up close look into how a world class coach manages and molds a group of exceptional student-athletes into a cohesive unit where the ethos is teammates unselfishly trusting each other to accomplish something bigger and more important than themselves. How fortunate are we to be along for the ride?.

Other Comments:

  • In the last month or so, freshman Jayson Tatum has taken his game to an entirely different level and is emerging as one of the most talented, productive players in Duke history.
  • The same can be said, except it has been all season, for sophomore Luke Kennard, who was named the MVP of the tournament. Not to take anything away from Luke but Jayson should at the very least have been the co-MVP. However, for some reason the votes are collected before the game ends. It reminds me of the year Daniel Ewing was voted the MVP, when JJ Redick caught fire late in the game, nailing threes from NBA territory, rescuing Duke from certain defeat. Makes no sense.
  • Before the ACC Championship game, Notre Dame’s Rex Pflueger was asked if the Irish were happy to play Duke. He responded: “Oh man, we want them.
  • This was Duke’s first ACC title since 2011. It beat three ranked teams—and the odds. If you are interested, according to kenpom.com: When Duke trailed Louisville, 61-49 on Thursday, its win probability, was 7.2%; when it trailed North Carolina, 61-48 on Friday, its win probability was 5.7%; and when Duke trailed Notre Dame 56-48 on Saturday, its win probability was 16.8%.
  • There is a CBS report (fake news?) that Duke is now a projected 1-seed (don’t bet the farm) after winning four games in four days to win the ACC Tournament. The Blue Devils picked up neutral-court victories against Louisville, North Carolina and Notre Dame in the past three days to give them a total of 12 top-50 wins (Michigan State is 51st) and eight of those came away from home. Even with eight losses, which would be the most ever for a No. 1 seed, Duke has put together a profile deserving of that spot.

Alan Adds:

This week, Coach K’s “team building” bore delicious fruit.  This was such a team effort by a group of players that have faced injury and adversity throughout the year.   Coach K thought that the adversity had drawn the team close together.  He attributed the ACC championship to that closeness paying off; a special kind of closeness born from the season’s adversity.  Both Jefferson and Kennard spoke of Duke’s staying poised and “strong”, even when ND knocked them back by speeding up the game to make its second half run.  Amile tellingly put it after the game, “I’m so proud to be on this team with this group of guys when we’re becoming pure.”  (Isn’t that a great word choice?) Both Matt Jones and Luke Kennard each explained, “we came to Duke to be part of something bigger than ourselves.”  Amile and Luke said the theme for the week was “we’re not going back to Durham without this championship.”

Coach K was asked at the press conference, “how did you do it?”  I loved his response, “I don’t know.  My team has taken me on this journey that you could not plan. … This journey is so different (and he pointed out that he has been on quite a few terrific journeys in the past).  How cool at 70 to be on a journey that I’ve never been on.”

Duke’s offense was as good as it gets in the second half.  Duke shot 67% and if you omit the 2-5 from deep, Duke shot 14 for 19 from inside the arc.  No wonder Duke didn’t get many offensive rebounds!  Notre Dame stayed in the game two ways – offensive rebounds and Duke turnovers (Grayson had 6 of Duke’s 12).  The Irish had 16 more field goal attempts but made 2 fewer for the game.  Duke had no answer for Bonzie Coleson (29 points and 9 rebounds), but shut down the rest of the Irish.  Beachem was the only other ND double digit scorer with 15.  Matt Jones was ferocious on the defensive end, playing a major part of holding Vasturia to 2-9 from the field for his 5 points.  Matt’s shooting woes have been well documented and his playing time has decreased as a result.  Against Notre Dame, he played 31 minutes, taking only 2 shots, but making what Coach K called “the shot of the game.”

With less than a minute to go and Duke leading by one, Jayson drove the lane and was cut off.  With the shot clock winding down, Tatum found an open Matt, who put up a 3 in rhythm and without hesitation.  Swish!  4-point lead.  Game almost over.  Beachem scored leaving ND down a deuce with only 25 seconds left, and pressing for a steal or a foul to prolong the game.   Jones triggered the inbound, and like an NFL quarterback lofted a long pass to the streaking Tatum.  The sailed over Tatum’s head into his outstretched hands for a dribble and the game sealing dunk.  Let the celebration begin.  When asked about Jones “coming through” after not shooting well, Coach K was effusive.  “Matt was coming through for us the entire game.  He and Amile turned the game around defensively.  … There are valuable things that players do to win the game that only people who want to look deeper will see.  Matt does valuable things for us.”

The Duke bench outscored the ND bench 14 to 2.  Grayson had a difficult game (those 6 turnovers), playing only 21 minutes with 10 points [4-9; 1-5; and 1-1 from the line] with a rebound and an assist.  In a stretch of a minute and a half in the second half, Grayson turned it over 4 times, including 2 offensive fouls.   Coach K went with Jackson rather than Allen down the stretch.  Giles played well in the first half, going 2-2 from the field and snaring 4 rebounds with a block.  However, he had problems in the second half with a turnover, a blown dunk (the ball slipped out of his hand on the way up with no one around him) followed by a frustration foul.  In what turned out to be a second half cameo (10 minutes for the game), he had no positive statistics, gave up a layup and committed a turnover.  Jefferson played the rest of the game, and played it superbly.  In 35 minutes, he scored 14 points [7-8; 0-1 from the line] with 5 rebounds and 3 critical blocks.  Frank Jackson was a force in his 26 minutes, scoring 9 on 4-6 shooting (1-1 from deep) while grabbing 4 boards.  He is a very good rebounding guard.

Duke got an amazing game from Tatum [39 minutes; 19 points on 7-11; 7-9 from inside the arc; 5-7 free throws; and 8 rebounds.  He was an irresistible force (as Bonzie was for the Irish) for which ND eventually had no answer.  In a memorable play with 1:51 to go in the game, Tatum blocked a Vasturia layup, grabbed the rebound and dribbled the length of the court for a spectacular basket.  Coach K: “How the hell did he do that?” That play gave Duke the positive energy to close out the championship game.

Both Bill and Coach K are right when they said that he should have been a co-MVP with Luke for the tournament.  Luke was the official MVP and was again clutch in his 38 minutes.  It was not his best shooting night, scoring 16 on 13 shots [6-13; 2-5 from deep; 2-3 from the foul line].  Notre Dame kept him off the free throw line (compare 2-3 against ND with 10-10 against UNC).  Yet when Duke needed points, Luke was reliable in the final portion of the game.  Coach K had trust in “his guys”.  Duke ran “motion”, which is free-lance without set plays for the last 10 minutes of the game.  “They own motion more than when running plays.  They took the ownership and made it work, said the coach.”

It’s now on to the NCAA tournament with a huge accomplishment already in the bank.  Coach K was unconcerned (perhaps even oblivious) to where Duke will be seeded and who they will play.  “We paid no attention to standings, seedings, or ranking during the year.  It was just about us – our team.  When asked if Duke should have a #1 seed, the coach responded, “whatever they decide is all right – just let it happen.”  Duke could not be heading to The Big Dance in better position to make a run.

DUKE 87 – TROY 65 

Duke started fast, was never seriously challenged but, nevertheless, the game was a lot more competitive  than the score. These mid-major teams are dangerous (think Lehigh, VCU, Belmont), because there are more talented, skilled athletes of all sizes and shapes playing basketball at all levels than any other sport and, with the three point line, no lead is really safe. However, every time Troy closed to within single digits, the Blue Devils had an answer.

Two disconcerting notes were: characteristically, a less than stellar interior defense but effective three point defense and, uncharacteristically, missing 7 of its first 17 free throws to let Troy hang around at different points of the game. All in all, it was a relief to see that after just last week winning an unprecedented four successive ACC Tournament games Thursday thru last Sunday, the Blue Devils were fresh and took the opponent seriously.

Other observations:

  • Jayson Tatum had 18 points, 12 rebounds, 4 blocks, & 4 steals. While he has developed a terrific chemistry with his teammates and taken his offensive game to another level, his improved defense and rebounding is even more impressive. His block at the end of the half was a hugely impressive play—both physically intimidating and psychologically damaging.
  • While Kennard (3-12, 8 pts, 1 bloody nose) was Cold Hand Luke for about the only time this year, Grayson Allen, coming off a subpar game against Notre Dame, more than made up for it by not missing a shot in the first half and scoring 21 points, to go with 4 assists, 5 rebounds in 28 minutes. [Note to Allen critics: How many All-Americans and pre-season Player-of-the Year candidates would have the attitude he has had, not starting but coming off the bench?]
  • Matt Jones, who for the last third of the regular season, appeared either not 100% healthy or worn down by all the minutes he has had to log, played like his old self for the second game in a row, scoring 14 points, to go with 3 steals and 3 assists.
  • With the maturation of Frank Jackson, Duke’s guard rotation of Kennard, Jones, Jackson, and Allen (and sometimes  Tatum) presents a nightmare for opposing defenses. And speaking of  defenses, Coach K occasionally  employs a 2-2-1 three quarter court zone press and a 2-1-2 or 2-3 just to slow down and/or confuse an opponent on a run.
  • Harry Giles regressed and was replaced not by Marques Bolden but rather Antonio Vrankovic, who is not a physically talented but is just a large and has better instincts.
  • Duke appears to be well positioned to make a serious run in this NCAA Tournament.

Alan Adds:

Duke plays South Carolina tomorrow for a trip to the Sweet 16.  Be warned: this will be a very tough game – much tougher than it appears on the surface.  First, this will be an Away game for Duke.  Only 100 miles from the South Carolina campus, the arena will be packed with Gamecock supporters.  UNC is also playing there, and we know how supportive of Duke the Tarheel fans will be.  South Carolina is a fierce defensive team that applies full court pressure and loves to run.  They wore Marquette out so completely that a tight game turned into a runaway.  The Gamecocks outscored Marquette by 21 in the second half (scoring 54 points).  The Gamecock defense (their calling card) forced Marquette into 18 turnovers and to commit 20 fouls.  In a conference with many great players (think of Kentucky’s impressive roster), the SEC Conference Player of the Year is Sidarius Thornhill, who will be a load for Duke to deal with.  Last night he had 29 points and 11 rebounds to dominate the game.  His high scoring sidekick, D.J. Dozier had 13 of his 21 points in the second half.  Frank Martin’s team will try to do the same to Duke – press, force turnovers, make Duke foul, and try to wear Duke down.  No Duke fan or player should take this team lightly.

Against Troy, Duke played well (Coach K said that at least four times in his press conference).  He was insightful when asked about the Duke defense.  Duke did a good job defending the three, which was Troy’s chief weapon.  “We’re a good defensive team; not a great one.  We are a better offensive team than defensive.”  He pointed out that Duke’s subconscious mindset is “we can outscore you.”  For this game, and the ACC tournament, Duke used a few defenses to good effect.  Duke employed a zone (I did not hear any announcer recognize that or mention it) and a defense that is called “32” – a 2-2-1 zone press.  It was very effective in the second half when Duke gave up only 27 points.  Coach K said the zone and trap “stopped their driving and stood them up.  They had good momentum.”  Duke’s defense – led by Tatum – carried the day.  Jayson was astounding; 9 of his 12 rebounds were defensive.  His 4 blocks were inspirational; and Duke stole the ball frequently (Jayson 4; Matt 3; Jackson and Jefferson 2 each.  Even Harry had one.) for easy baskets in transition.

Giles played only six minutes.  When asked why Giles did not play more, Coach K pointed to the contrast between Harry’s performance in the ACC tournament (a major piece of Duke’s success) and last night’s lackluster performance [3 fouls, a missed lefty hook air ball; and a turnover].  Coach K: “He didn’t play well.  Did you watch the game?”  Giles picked up two quick fouls, which Coach K said affected him.  “He was young tonight.  We still have confidence in him and he will play more.”  Vrankovich seems to have replaced Bolden as 8th man.  He gave 4 good minutes, including a nice offensive tip in.

Sunday vs. South Carolina for a trip to the Sweet Sixteen at Madison Square Garden (only a mile from where I live).

DUKE 81 – SOUTH CAROLINA 88

Looking at South Carolina Coach Frank Jackson, it is not surprising to learn that in his younger years he moonlighted as a bouncer and that is the kind of defense his team plays—rough and tough. The Gamecocks played stronger, more aggressively, and with more intensity and, consequently, did something you don’t often see opponents do to a Duke team. They totally took the Blue Devils out of their game– and bounced them out of the tournament.

After a really aesthetically ugly first half, where South Carolina took 36 shots to Duke’s 18, the Devils were still up 30-23. However, in the second half the Gamecocks capitalized on Duke’s deficiencies: lack of a true point guard, lack of team size, and defensive inefficiencies on the way to a twenty minute smack down. The Blue Devils were like a drowning man with the tide coming in. How can the same players shoot 20% and score 23 points in one half, come out fifteen minutes later, shoot 71% and scored 65 points in the next? Unbelievably, that’s more points than they have scored in almost ten entire games this season. Sometimes the basketball gods decide you guys have won enough, the other guys deserve this win.

Close games come down to stops and shots. Teams that do that and make them win, those that don’t lose. It just goes to show what can happen when a team gets on a run in a friendly arena. A friendly, frenzied crowd—and this was a South Carolina arena packed with Gamecock supporters and Duke deniers/haters (i.e. UNC fans from the first game)– can fuel a momentum and adrenaline rush that carries a team to perform beyond their abilities. How else to explain (except for one very talented scorer) a usually offensively challenged team scoring almost three times as many points in the second half than the first?

Coulda, shoulda, woulda…but no excuses. That’s the fascination of sports—anything can happen. South Carolina took charge of the second half and totally dominated the entire court. Congratulations to a very deserving team on a well-deserved victory.

Other Comments: 

  • Amile Jefferson, as he has this whole season and his whole career, gave everything he could in his final performance. He finished with 14 points, 15 rebounds and six blocks. The same can be said for co-captain Matt Jones’ stellar four year career.
  • The last two games, Luke Kennard has not been himself. Perhaps, essentially carrying the team on his back through most of the season when various teammates were unavailable, finally wore him down. My wife is of the view that effort of four straight games in the ACC Tournament—three of which were come from behind victories—left the seven players entirely depleted.
  • It is interesting that in all his recent press conferences, Coach K took Grayson Allen and one other different player to answer questions. It was as if he was saying to the national press: “Take a second, good, long look at this young man and how well he is now handling himself. In four short months you and social media have helped make an All American Player-of-the-Year candidate into a hated Punk-of-the Year candidate. As you see tonight, he is in reality a pleasant, thoughtful, well-spoken, and well-mannered young man who a few times reacted emotionally and immaturely to action on the court in full view of national television that were blown way out of proportion but has overcome all the intense scrutiny to play some of his best basketball.”
  • As disappointing as this loss was, it should not obscure the larger issue of how fortunate we are to support the university that produces the Gold Standard of NCAA Basketball. It’s not only that they win but also the way they compete and the true student-athletes with which they win. I will leave it to Alan to sum up another exciting season except to say my memories of this season will not be this loss but rather coming from behind on successive days to beat Clemson, Louisville, North Carolina, and Notre Dame to win the ACC Tournament—and beating North Carolina two out of three times.

Alan Adds:

South Carolina Game

I had a bad premonition when Bill called to say that Wisconsin’s win over Villanova made Duke’s path to the Final Four easier.  My first part of Alan Adds after the Troy game was a big warning about how tough the South Carolina game would be (I feel like Cassandra!). The game itself reminded me of the 2006 Sweet 16 loss to LSU when Duke (#1 seed) had two first team All-Americans (JJ and Sheldon Williams).  LSU just smacked Duke around physically, and Duke could not respond.  Exactly what happened yesterday.  South Carolina was so physical at both ends of the floor.  Defensively, they forced 18 Duke turnovers – a season high.  Offensively, the Gamecocks grabbed 15 offensive rebounds.  They forced Duke into fouling (Duke committed 26 fouls in the game) with Tatum, Kennard and Jones fouling out.  Jefferson finished the game with 4.

South Carolina’s physicality wore The Blue Devils down.  Coach K said it was by far the most physical game of the season.  “We got worn down.  It was a complex second half with our foul trouble.”  In the second half, Duke simply withered defensively after playing terrific defense in the first half.  The Gamecocks shot 20-28 in the second half (4-5 from deep) and 21-23 from the line.  Duke gave up 65 points in the second half (rate of 130 for the game). Duke’s short rotation really caught up with this team.  Duke played basically with 6 + Harry Giles’s 9 ineffective minutes.  I agree with Bill that Luke finally showed the effect of playing 1341 minutes this season. He seemed to me a tick slower in the last few games in his offensive moves, which enabled teams to defense him, as they could not for most of the season. He and Matt Jones were simply asked to do too much when injuries thinned the ranks of effective players.  It was a disappointing loss and ending to a season that was interesting, if not heroic.

The Season

Despite the lofty pre-season predictions which were never realized, I do not believe this season should be classified as disappointing.  This was a terrific group, who played with amazing heart through a huge amount of adversity.  This was a championship team — it won the ACC championship, that should glow for a long time.  Duke beat four teams in four days; 2 ranked in the top 10; and the win over UNC gave Duke the season series.  This makes a fitting case for seeing this season as a success.  Jefferson became won of Duke’s All Time greats with his performance this year.  Matt will be remembered (I predict he will be on the Duke coaching staff sometime in the future.).  Grayson and Luke were not less than heroic.  Jackson developed wonderfully.  Jayson was a joy to watch; he will be a wonderful pro and will go high in the lottery.  If Giles, Bolden, Jeter had been able to contribute as had been anticipated, it would have been a better season, but the fact is that each, hampered by injury, was a major disappointment.

I am not yet ready to even consider next year and who may or may not return.  Guaranteed that Jones, Jefferson and Tatum will not be back.  Grayson and Luke will have a decision to make.  Ditto Giles (of course he’s nowhere near ready, but a few million dollars can turn, and has turned, heads).

I had so much fun writing these post-game emails with Bill.  It heightens my enjoyment of the game as I watch while riding my exercise bike; it renews my lifetime friendship with Bill; and I love the writing and analysis.  Thank you for reading.  I hope we are all back writing and reading next year.In conclusion:

A case can be made that Duke has come further, faster than any Top Ten University. Athletic Director Eddie Cameron was a major catalyst. He had the foresight to see that excellence in athletics was quickest way to attract national attention to a young, ambitious university. In 1930, he hired football coach Wallace Wade away from Alabama following his third national championship with the Crimson Tide. By the mid 1930’s Duke had a powerful football team that attracted national attention and played in the 1938 and 1942 Rose Bowls. From $400,000 of the proceeds of the 1942 Rose Bowl (played at Duke because of concerns about Japanese attacks on the West Coast), Mr. Cameron built Duke Indoor Stadium (fittingly renamed Cameron Indoor Stadium), which was, at the time, the second largest basketball arena (next to the Palestra in Philadelphia) in the East. Fortunately, the legendary Dick Groat matriculated shortly thereafter and a great basketball tradition was established.

Folklore has it that James Buchannan Duke established the Duke Endowment with $40,000,000 (over $500,000,000 in today’s dollars) after Princeton University turned down his offer of the very generous bequest with the caveat to change the name of the school to Duke University. The gift to Trinity had two caveats: change the name to Duke University (after his father Washington Duke) and build it to look like Princeton.

Whatever the truth, building a campus as beautiful as Duke, establishing rigorous entrance and educational standards, then building  nationally ranked football and basketball (as well as baseball, golf, tennis, and lacrosse) teams were the lynchpins of the meteoric rise of Duke University as an elite institution (Yale on steroids is how one of President Brodhead’s former students characterized the school). It could not have happened without all of these elements –and it would be difficult to maintain that status without preserving a dual excellence in both academics and athletics.

Thank you for allowing us to share our thoughts with you this season.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Alan Adds:

 

It is hard to overestimate they hype surrounding the 2016-17 edition of this Duke team.  Five returning members of the rotation, including pre-season All American selection, Grayson Allen and 5th year senior and captain, Amile Jefferson is a great start.  Matt Jones and Luke Kennard return along with Chase Jeter.  Semi Obi, Antonio Vrakovich, and David Robinson’s son, also return, though they played sparingly or not at all last year.  To that mix is added an outstanding freshman class with highly rated prospects.  The key to that sentence is the word prospects.  For example, Chase Jeter was a McDonald’s All-American and highly rated prospect, whose play last year did not reflect his high school reputation.  Prospects!  Duke has four McDonald’s All  Americans in its 6 man class:  Harry Giles, Jayson Tatum, Marquis Bolden and Frank Jackson.  In addition, Javin DeLaurier and Jack White (Australia) are also potential contributors.  That said, this Alan Adds analyzes the two pre-season exhibition games — the first was against Virginia State on October 25 and the last against Augustine on November 4.  The Duke rotation was dramatically affected by the rehabilitation status of players as well as injuries.  Neither Harry Giles nor Jayson Tatum played in either game.  Matt Jones logged only 3 minutes in the first game because of a tweaked hamstring.  Grayson left the lineup twice with minor injuries.  Semi Obi is still rehabbing from off-season surgery.  Marquis Bolden was held out of the second exhibition games for benign reasons.  The minutes allotted in the early games begin to give some clues as to what the regular season rotation might look like — at least in the beginning.

 

Virginia State –Duke started an almost all veteran lineup: Jefferson, Allen, Jones, Kennard started along with freshman Marquis Bolden in the middle.  The rotation included big minutes for Frank Jackson (required because Matt played only the first 3 minutes before his hamstring curtailed his night), Chase Jeter and Javin DeLaurier, which made a rotation of 7.  Kennard played 36 minutes and led the team in scoring with 30 points (8-17; 3-10 from deep, and critically 11-12 from the free throw line).  Jackson logged 31 minutes, scoring 17 on 6-10 (4-7 from deep and 1-2 from the line).  He had 4 assists, but a troubling 5 turnovers.  Jackson’s 10 shots were the second most behind Luke.  No other Duke player hit double figures in shot attempts.  Jefferson played 28 minutes and Bolden 25.  Bolden scored 13 on a gaudy 5-7 from the floor and a disappointing 3-7 from the line.  He and Jefferson dominated the boards, as expected against this level of competition.  Amile was only 1-4 for 2 points but had a slew of boards.  Grayson also scored an efficient 13 in 22 minutes on 8 shots (4-8; 3-6 from deep and 2-2 from the line).  Chase and Javin backed up the Amile and Marquis.  Chase played 21 minutes and while only 1-5 from the field, he was an encouraging 6-8 from the line for 8 points.  Javin played 18 minutes and impressed by hitting both field goal attempts, but was only 3-6 from the line (but he got to the line by being aggressive).  Jack White logged 12 scoreless minutes in his Duke debut.

 

Augustina — last year’s Division II champions, but lost 3 key players from that team.  They had no real big guys, so Coach K elected not to play Marquis in favor of experimenting with new combinations against a small lineup.  Nine players saw significant minutes (10 if you include Justin Robinson’s 7 minutes).  A slight surprise was the 14 minutes that Antonio Vrankovich played (going 0-2 from the field but 7-8 from the line; he also had 4 turnovers.  I do not believe he will be a contributor this year).  Coach K started his five veterans including Chase Jeter.  Matt Jones played 28 minutes (most on the team and very good news for his hamstring), while Grayson logged 24; Jefferson and Frank Jackson 23 and Chase 20.  That is a 6 man rotation augmented by Jack White’s 16 impressive minutes and Javin’s 13.  Giles, Bolden, Tatum, and Obi did not suit up or play.  Duke had 4 double figure scorers, led once again by Luke’s 17 points.  He and Jackson were again the only players who attempted double figure shots.  Luke was 7-13 (2-6 from 3land and 1-2 from the line); Jackson was 5-12, including 2-4 from deep and 4-5 from the line; critically he had 0 turnovers in this game.  Grayson scored 16 on 9 shots (3-9; only 1-5 from deep but 9-12 from the line.  Amile was 3-7 from the field and 3-5 from the line.  He had many boards but quite a few (4) turnovers.  The revelation was Chase Jeter.  In his 20 minutes he did not miss a shot going 5-5 from the field and 5-5 from the line for 15 points, a slew of boards. Jack White also impressed in his 16 minutes, going 3-4 from the field including 2-2 from deep for 8 points.  Javin played 13 minutes scoring 6 on 3-4 shooting, but causing horror by going 0-5 from the line.

 

The Season Begins

 

The season opens with Marist on Friday and Grand Canyon on Saturday (really like two more exhibition games) before playing Kansas on November 15.  Duke has 8 games in a little over half a month this November, and some of them are against very good teams.  What can we expect in the early going?   Coach K has said he expects Jayson to be ready, which would leave only Harry Giles and Semi on the unable to play shelf.  Coach K’s report on Giles is encouraging.  He said Harry was back to playing 5 on zero (which is where he was when he had his setback last month) and anticipates his return by the end of the month.  Do not be surprised if it takes a substantial amount of time before Giles is back to his exalted form.  These first two games will give Coach K his first chance to see the whole team (except for Harry) together.  Therefore, even though against inferior opponents, the first two games should be interesting and informative.

 

The Key to the Season, in my opinion

 

Defense!  Duke (except for the latter part of the championship 2015 season) has not been the defensive juggernaut of yore in the recent seasons.  This year’s team has enormous defensive potential, but we know it takes time — sometimes years — for teams to become that dominating cohesive defense that creates offense.  Coach K has said he will play an aggressive trapping and pressing man to man, and has acknowledged he has not had the horses or depth to do so recently.  Coach K is also experimenting with playing just one big, which he says allows Duke to switch everything, making it very difficult to penetrate to the basket.  He did that in the second exhibition game and Augustina had trouble scoring at all.   However, morphing into a great defensive team will take time, but Duke has the defensive talent to realize the kind of defense needed to (dare we say it) win a National Championship.  But that is down the road.  Duke’s sights should be set on winning the regular season conference championship and the conference tournament (not done in a few years, even in the last championship season).

 

There is every reason to be excited about this season.

 

 

Next game: Friday: Marist 7:00pm. ACC network / streaming on goduke.com

 

 

 

Duke Basketball Playbook: 2017-18 Season

It’s a sign of the new normal (drop-by basketball athlete-student era) when a team with only one experienced upper classman and a bench full of highly recruited but unproved freshmen can be ranked #1 in the Coach’s Preseason Poll. How many times have these coaches seen this team play?  Nada, Zilch, None. This poll is virtually meaningless, except its Duke, Coach K, and a squad full of highly pursued freshmen. Speaking of highly rated freshmen—Dean Smith called them “prospects”– remember Cris Burgess, Joey Beard, and last year’s for sure lottery picks Harry Giles and Marques Bolden? No? That’s because they rarely contributed. BTW, how many Division I offers did Stephan Curry receive? My point is these are teenagers, who knows how they will turn out? And as talented and impressive as Jayson Tatum was from day one, it took until the ACC tournament before he could consistently contribute on a championship level for an entire game at both ends of the floor. Three other notes of caution: Duke’s best teams have always had senior leadership, this team will start only one upper classman–Grayson Allen, and the last two NCAA Champions, North Carolina and Villanova, had no starting one-and-done players.

There are also the three unknowable caveats: chemistry, injuries, and luck. Unlike other years, a Duke injury would be less devastating than say the previous years, but lack of chemistry and bad luck are random, heartbreaking decrees of the basketball gods.

OK, enough with the disclaimers. Now the good news: Count your blessings and enjoy the journey Duke fans, we have seen this team play in exhibitions and it really is impressively big, athletic, talented, and deep. So, the early hype may well be justified.

What to look for:

A big, stronger, deeper Duke team—especially in the front court—but not the typical perimeter oriented three point shooting Blue Devil team. The size of the players should shrink the court and make an opponent’s interior scoring more difficult than in recent years. One thing we do know for sure: Coach K will build the team around his talent, not force a one size fits all system on the talent.

I suspect that a lot of what this team achieves, revolves around the production of Grayson Allen, Marvin Bagley, Wendell Carter, and Trevon Duval. Allen is the only senior and if he plays well, the younger players will respect his experience, his seniority, and follow his lead. If not, all bets are off. I have always thought that Grayson was one of the program’s most talented and intriguing players. Certainly, his game changing ten minutes in the second half of the 2015 NCAA Championship as well as his sophomore year confirmed that assessment. Last year, under the pressure of pre-season Player-of-the Year predictions combined with a series of nagging but not debilitating injuries led to a few unfortunate, immature, non-lethal retaliations, the constant re-running and public discussion of which might have crushed the spirit and psyche of a lesser man. Grayson is a 3.8 student who could gone pro after his sensational sophomore year and was on track to graduate in three years. For a variety of reasons, not the least of which is that he really loves being at Duke, he chose not to leave and is one of today’s rare four-year college stars. Over the summer, Grayson had an operation on his injured foot and followed Coach K’s advice not to touch a basketball for three months. At the recent Midnight Madness, Grayson appeared happy, carefree, and obviously healthy as he hit four threes in the abbreviated scrimmage, won the slam dunk contest by jumping over two cheerleaders– and a third straight Iron Duke award for strength and conditioning in the offseason. All this plus the fact that Coach obviously believes in him—he’s the only team captain—is enough for me to believe he is primed for an outstanding year.

Point guard. Coach K was a point guard at Army. He recruits and is most comfortable structuring his teams to play with a strong point. History tells us that it is hard to win the NCAA Championship without a really good player running the offense (i.e. Bobby Hurley, Tyus Jones) and he appears to have one in the very athletic, multi-skilled 6’3” Trevon Duval. Krzyzewski: “I do know that Trevon is going to have the ball and he knows what to do with it. Will he have it all the time? No, he shouldn’t have it all the time. Will he have it a lot? Yeah.” Trevon is physically more gifted than either Hurley or Jones. Whether he is as mentally gifted and will be as good in the clutch is another question. If he is, this team will be as formidable as advertised.

The Blue Devils are loaded with front court players: Marvin Bagley, Wendell Carter, Marques Bolden, Javin DeLaurier, and Antonio Vranikovic are all 6’10”, 235 lbs. and over. Because Coach K likes to put the most versatile and complete players on the floor, I suspect he will start a lineup that features Marvin Bagley, the most highly rated, and Carter down low with Duval and Allen at guard, and Gary Trent at small forward. However, depending upon performance and the competition, we will see various combinations with Bolden, DeLaurier, O’Connell, and perhaps Tucker or White getting serious minutes until Coach K settles on the rotation that may be deeper than we are used to and for which some fans pray. Whatever, Coach K has won more Championships than all of us—even more than any active college or professional coach.

Other Comments:

The University of North Carolina has always been one of my favorite schools. I have a number of prep school classmates and other friends who went there. I love the campus, the logo, the colors, the way Dean and Roy teams play. Truly, what’s not to like? That’s why I had a hard time believing the academic scandal until it was an undeniable truth, which was devastating—no required class attendance, papers written by tutors, grading by a non-professor basketball junkie..…When the toothless NCAA recently gave them a pass, the print and social media exploded:

  • “North Carolina never got its day of reckoning for facilitating the most widespread academic scandal in the history of college sports. North Carolina’s basketball program was never going to get the harsh punishment that many college basketball fans thought it deserved.
  • “How in the hell did North Carolina get away with this?”
  • “The NCAA did not dispute that the University of North Carolina was guilty of running one of the worst academic fraud schemes in college sports history, involving fake classes that enabled dozens of athletes to gain and maintain their eligibility.”
  • “The school acknowledged that the classes that were taken were essentially bankrupt of any kind of teaching, learning or supervision … but that was perfectly OK with them. To defend the basketball team, the university had to claim it wasn’t really a university. Sure, they took a shotgun to their academic credibility, but, hey, those championship banners get to stay. The truth is, alums probably care more about hoops anyway.”
  • “What’s stopping a school from setting up a similar “paper course” and making sure it’s open to all students, then sending athletes through it?”
  • “even the most ardent Tar Heel should be outraged by the fraud the university committed

Alan Adds:

There are barriers to our enjoyment of the 2017-2018 season that I want to address.  The first barrier is the pre-season hype that had Duke #1 in the pre-season polls.  The second is, in my opinion, underappreciating last year’s team.  There are a multitude of satisfactions for Duke fans besides the NCAA tournament.  I also caution against an analogy of this year’s team to the 2015 National Championship team because of each’s heralded freshman class.

2016-2017

Duke fans assess last year’s team (also pre-season # 1) as “disappointing”.  I believe a more proper assessment would be that the 2016-17 Blue Devils were heroic, and deserve far more appreciation than has been given.  Duke’s # 1 pre-season last year was largely based on yet another highly rated freshman class – Giles, Tatum, Bolden and Jackson – plus the return of Allen after his sensational sophomore year.  Duke also had returning stars like Kennard, Jefferson and Matt Jones.  Javin DeLaurier was a freshman athlete who would add depth.  However, it did not work out.  Giles, Bolden, and DeLaurier contributed very little because of (hopefully) health issues.  Grayson self-destructed.  Coach K had surgery.  Tatum was hurt early.  Remember Jefferson’s amazing offensive start before he was hurt.  Thankfully, it was not season ending as his 2016 injury had been, but though he returned and played well, he was never the same offensive player as he had been in the early season.  So, the pre-season team that had so much talented depth turned out to have a rotation that was only 6 deep and without a real point guard.  Players logged very heavy minutes all season long.  Duke had a “disappointing” 28-9 record and heroically won the ACC tournament in unprecedented fashion by winning four games in four nights (would most schools celebrate such a season?).  It was a great season to that point!  Then came the meltdown against South Carolina in the second round of the NCAA.  One bad (really bad) half; Duke was ahead at the break, but gave up 65 second half points and simply and finally ran out of gas.  That half should not tarnish what was, in my opinion, a wonderful year for Duke basketball because it demonstrated what is the true Blue Devil value – never-say-die heart and competitive spirit.  It will remain one of my favorite Duke teams.

2015 compared to 2017-18

The four freshmen on the National Championship team – Tyus, Justice Jahlil and Grayson — were, of course, the tournament stars. But, that team had veterans that played significant roles both on and off the court.  Quinn Cook’s leadership is on point.  He moved over from point guard, was the team ambassador to the freshmen from day one, and provided solid on the court leadership at crunch time.  His off the court attitude cannot be overestimated.  Ditto for Amile and Matt.  This team has only Grayson for guidance.  Justin Robinson has, according to reports, been valuable in team building, but the elder statesmen who taught and bonded with the freshmen in 2014-15 do not really exist for this team.  Highly rated (out of high school) Marques Bolden, thought about transferring after his disappointing freshman year, but bravely elected to return, expecting to go to the NBA next year.  Other returners are less likely to make K’s usually short rotation.  Leadership may have to come from other sources.

The reason for the 2017-18 #1 pre-season ranking is four of the top rated eight freshman (ESPN) will play for Duke.  Marvin Bagley signed late and was able to reclassify from 2018 to current eligibility.  He is 6’11” versatile player, who has been described as the best high school prospect since LeBron James. Chemistry!  What will his late signing do to Bolden’s psyche because it just might have pushed him out of the starting lineup.  Duke also signed the top-rated point guard, Trevon Duval.  I have not seen either Bagley or Duval play.  If he and Bagley are as advertised, it gives Duke a top and bottom on offense that should be formidable.  In addition, Duke had signed Wendell Carter (a 6’10” beast, whom I’ve seen play quite a few times).  He’s a stud inside, and a great athlete, who will be superb.  The fourth highly rated freshman is Gary Trent, Jr., a 6’5” swing man who is reputed to be a superb shooter.  He is very good, but not as elite as Carter, in my opinion.  The issues will be team chemistry and DEFENSE!  One of the reasons that the last two NCAA champions have had no “One and Done”s is that it takes time (years) to become a great defensive TEAM.  In 2015, Duke became that great defensive team in time for the NCAA tournament.  It was a turnaround – remember that while Duke won the National Championship that year, it did not win either the ACC regular season or tournament.  So, no doubt Duke has talent (top six plan to play in the NBA next year), but whether that talent coalesces into a great team remains to be seen.

The Backcourt

Grayson, Duval and Trent should get most of the minutes.  

Duke 93 NW Missouri State 60 (Exhibition game played Friday October 27)

Grayson was superb by all accounts, scoring 23 points (9-15; 5-10 from 3land but did not get to the line) in 26 minutes.  He had 5 defensive rebounds and 3 assists.  Duval and Gary Trent each played 21 minutes.  Duval got high grades for his defense and ball handling (held the NW Missou star to 3-14 shooting and had 2 steals to go with 5 assists against a single turnover).  Although he missed both of his 3s, Duval was otherwise 3-3 from the field for 7 points.  Trent shot lights out (as advertised) 7-9 from the field missing his only 2 3point attempts for 15 points.  Jordan Goldwire, a 4 star freshman point guard, brought in more as a practice player and second team point guard, played 16 minutes and Alex O’Connell, a 6’6” freshman shooter, played 14 undistinguished minutes.  Neither scored.

Blue-White game on October 20 (just one 20 minute half)

Grayson, Duval and Trent each played the full 20 minutes – Duval and Trent for the winning Blue team (43-41) and Grayson for the White team.  Trent and Grayson each scored 13 points.   Goldwire also played 20 minutes (3-6; 2-4 from deep for 8 points).  This means the other backcourt players – freshman Alex O’Connell (12 minutes — 8 points including the winning 3 at the buzzer) and Australian sophomore Jack White (6’7”; 14 minutes 6 rebounds) played on the wing.

The Front Court

Bagley, Carter and Bolden should be given most of the front court minutes.

Duke 93 – NW Missouri State 60 (Exhibition game played on Friday October 27)

Duke got big minutes out of the four front court players, who will, I predict, be in the rotation.  Marvin Bagley drew raves for his 23-minute performance scoring 16 on 6-10 shooting, including 1-2 from deep and 3-5 from the line.  He grabbed 6 boards and handed out 2 assists (3 turnovers).  The other starter was Wendell Carter, who also impressed.  In 18 scintillating minutes, he was 5-7 from the field (including 1-1 from deep) for 11 points to go with 9 rebounds.  Both Bolden and DeLaurier each also played 18 minutes and looked good.  Bolden scored 6 on 3-5 shooting, grabbing 5 boars.  De Laurier played great defense and was 4-4 from the field and 1-1 from the line for 9 points while grabbing 7 boards.  Vrankovich, 7 foot returning Junior, played 7 minutes while Justin Robinson played 8.

Blue-White game ( October 20th.  Just one 20 minute half)

Bagley and Bolden played all 20 minutes; Carter 17.  Vrankovich played 11 minutes scoring 4 points and grabbing 3 boards, while Javin DeLaurier, who has grown 2 inches to 6’10”, logged 15 minutes (9 boards!!; 3 points).  Justin Robinson played only 5 minutes; he will not be in the rotation.

Bagley drew raves in his 20 minutes (6-10; 0-1 from deep for 12 points to go with 4 boards).  Carter was a beast shooting 4-7; 1-2 from deep; 2-3 from the line for 11 points to go with 3 boards.  Bolden was less productive (2-6; 0-1 from deep; and 0-2 from the line for 4 points while grabbing 5 boards. DeLaurier’s 9 rebounds and overall athleticism was impressive.

Duke 88 – Michigan State 81

Holy Jim Boeheim, Batman! Coach K goes zone for a full forty minutes!

My old fraternity/basketball buddy Phil called from Florida today to say that he hadn’t been able see the team play and asked if are they really as good as Alan and I have written. After the game, he said he should never have doubted us. So far, this team has demonstrated the talent, resiliency, and, yes, maturity to overcome slow starts, opponent’s runs, and still finish strong. The good news is that J.J. Allen was sensational scoring 36 pts. ( 7-11 threes), the one at the buzzer to end the half put Duke up by four was from Steph Curry’s zip code. Then, with less than a minute remaining nailing a dagger of a three to put the Blue Devils up seven to close out the tough Spartans. The bad news is that Bagley left the game early in the first half because of an inadvertent finger to the eye, went to the locker room and after the half, returned to the bench but not the game. Other than that, the young Duke players responded admirably to the pressure of playing a more experienced, highly rated team in a not exactly friendly environment on national television with the added burden of being without their double-double big man for most of the game.

When was the last time a Duke team dominated the glass, winning the battle of the boards 46-34 (25 offensive rebounds) against a top five team? In a post- game interview, Grayson was asked how he had such a great game and he said: “Tre(von)”, his point guard, who had 17 points, 10 assists, and 6 steals. Gary  Trent had an off night (3-11), missing six threes. However, with four minutes remaining, he hit the three on a sweet assist from Allen that tied the score and fueled the winning run that closed out the game. If he had missed that shot, the result could have been different. Carter had a 12-12 double-double and off the bench DeLaurier was a real disrupter on defense with 4 points, 7 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 steals, 2 blocks. Marquis Bolden, however, did not take advantage of this opportunity for more playing time. Hopefully, it was a post strep infection funk.

The only obvious weakness of this team continues to be free throw shooting. Other than Grayson’s 8-8, the rest of the team shot Plumlee brother numbers– 50%. Giving up that many points in a close game can potentially jump up and bite this team in the loss column.

In the post-game interview Coach K said that he loves participating against top programs like Michigan State early in the year, because this is a Final Four type venue and either the moment or the other team can defeat you—a priceless experience for young players. Further, that Grayson has evolved from being a good shooter to being a great shooter. He had to learn to be a shooter, then a scorer. Earlier in his career, he spent too much time driving and getting knocked to the floor. However, he is in much better control now. “I felt like I was coaching J.J. Redick. You keep calling plays for him and they work. Grayson was fantastic tonight. Come on. He wasn’t good, he was fantastic.”  Grayson commented: “I’ve played in 90 more games than the four teammates that are out there with me. So I feel a little more comfortable and calm and confident out there.”

Other Comments:

  • This Champions Classic at the United Center in Chicago was like a Final Four in November with Kansas beating Kentucky in the nightcap.
  • Tom Izzo is a great coach. However, he is now 1-11 against Coach K.
  • Before the game, Duke wore their “Equality” shirts, while Michigan State wore shirts that said “We talk, We listen.” Alan will have to explain what they mean.

Alan Adds: 

This game was, in my opinion, about the second half, so that is what I will write about. Coach K said, “We faced a lot of adversity against a great team and won a big game.  Not a bad night.”  The freshmen bigs were knocked back early in the game.  There were times when Duke played 4 guards and only one big.  Bagley was Duke’s third leading rebounder with 6 in only 10 minutes.

In the second half, Duke essentially played five players only.  Bolden, Vrankovich and Goldwire played 2 minutes each and O’Connell 1 without scoring a point.  Carter came out for 3 minutes as did DeLaurier.  Trent had a one minute breather.  DeLaurier and Trent played for over 9 minutes each with 4 fouls.  Grayson and Duval played the entire half (Grayson played all 40 minutes).  Allen (23), Duval (12) and Carter (10) scored 45 of Duke’s 50 second half points.  Trent’s 3, which broke a 75-75 tie and Javin’s layup for Duke’s last score after he stole the ball were Duke’s other 5 points. The Duke zone gave up 47 points in the furious second half.

In the second half, we finally got to see the real Wendell Carter Jr. with a double-double in just the second half alone — 10 very tough rebounds to go with 10 points [3-5 from the field and 4-6 from the line].  He also had committed 4 fouls by the end (all in the second half heroically battling the Spartan’s big front line).  He was the stud and beast that I have been describing.  Duval was a revelation.  He’s been really good throughout, but we could see him growing in confidence and efficiency in the second half.  He scored 12 on 5-11 from the field (0-1 from deep; 2-3 from the line), but he ran the team.  He had 6 second half assists against a single turnover.  On defense, he had 3 second half steals and a block.  Grayson was effusive in his praise of “Tre” after the game.  Duval has been transformative.  Finally, Grayson gave us a second half for the ages, scoring 23 points on 13 shots [8-13; 5-9 from deep and 2-2 from the line].  Duke was 8-11 from the line in the second half, which is an improvement over the first half and earlier games.

DeLaurier didn’t score until the end but he was sensational.  With Bolden still sick and Bagley out, DeLaurier was the other Duke big to team with Carter.  He had 5 rebounds, 2 assists, a block and a steal.  He made the zone work (as much as it did in the second half) and cemented his place in the rotation.  Trent had a subpar game and yet made the play of the game with his only second half basket.  Duke won at what we call “winning time”.  The last minutes of the game.  With 4:12 to go, Duke trailed 75-73.  Carter tied it with a dunk on an offensive rebound after a Trent miss.  Then Grayson missed a three and DeLaurier got the rebound of the game, passed to Grayson who hit Trent for an open 3.  Coach K said that it took guts for Trent to hoist it up after such an awful shooting night.  Splash!  Duke led by 3 with 3:12 to go.  Then came the sequence of the game.  Bridges missed a three and DeLaurier rebounded.  Duval missed a layup; Javin got the offensive board, but missed a put back dunk.  Trent grabbed that offensive rebound and found Grayson for a contested 3.  Duke up 6 with 2:27 to go.  A flurry of misses by both teams before Grayson sealed it with a three with only 70 seconds remaining, putting Duke up 9, and essentially ending the Spartan hopes.

As Bill might say, “Holy Jim Boeheim, Batman, Duke played zone for the entire game (except for one possession).”  I wrote this before I got Bill’s first draft.  That’s a bit scary!  As for explaining the warm up shirts, I decline since I know my limits.

Coach K said he went to the zone because he was worried about Duke fouls.  Duke’s length made the zone work (especially in the first half) and allowed Duke to avoid having anyone foul out (it was close; the game ended with 3 Duke players with 4 fouls.).  Friday against Furman at home and then on to Portland for a three day; three game tournament in the Phil Knight Invitational.  Duke could face real competition in the second and third games.  First game against Portland State on November 23.

It was as Coach K predicted, “a hell of a night.”

Whetting the Whistle

Duval and Allen will start in the backcourt.  Bagley and Carter will start up front.  Who will the 5th starter be?  Either Trent (going small) or Bolden (going big); it was Trent in the first exhibition game. DeLaurier is more athlete than basketball player at this juncture, but having a 6’10” athlete on the court (especially if he becomes an elite defender) could earn significant minutes.  I believe the rotation will be among these 7.  Jordan Tucker, a 6’7” freshman swing man, who chose Duke at the last minute over Syracuse played only 4 minutes in the exhibition game and 6 minutes in the Blue-White game, which makes me predict a red shirt for him.  Justin Robinson will not make the rotation.  If the rotation extends beyond 7 (which will happen with injury, but, I predict, not otherwise),  Vrankovich, White, O’Connell, or even Goldwire will see some necessary minutes.

Enjoy the season and do not let unrealistic expectations take away our enjoyment.

Duke 97  – Elon 68

Duke  99 –  Utah Valley 69

Just looking at these scores, you would think: “Ho hum, two easy blowouts”. However, you would be dead wrong as they were against two entirely different teams that presented different challenges and the games were won in dramatically different ways. In the Elon game, Grayson Allen came out like a man on a mission hitting his first six shots as Duke took a 19-3 lead and cruised. At one point, he had outscored Elon 17-16. Against Utah Valley, a team that Friday night lead Kentucky by nine at the half, after eight minutes (and much of the half), Grayson had no points, and Duke was down as much as seven. At the second TV timeout, Coach K switched to a zone and essentially told the freshmen to man up because they were playing against adults (14 transfers and a 24 year old 7’,  250 lb. center) not boys. The freshmen obviously paid attention and grew up before our eyes, as Duke led Bagley & Carter (threes and four blocked shots), began to force turnovers, and went on a 20-5 run over the next five minutes.

Suddenly, the Blue Devil fans were no longer blue as Duke was up by seven. The Devils finished the game with 33 points off turnovers.  Marvin Bagley, who moves in the post like George Gervin and has a full court motor like John Havlicek  had his second double-double with 24 points and 10 rebounds. In addition, notice how quickly he elevates on his second jump after he misses a shot and how often it enables him to get a second tip or shot. This is a rare talent for someone so big. Three other freshmen also had big nights: Trevon Duval had 15 points and 12 assists, Gary Trent Jr. added 17 points and Wendell Carter Jr. had 12. Grayson Allen finally heated up in the second half with 18 points and several acrobatic drives and dunks.

In all fairness, the Wolverines had to have been exhausted after a road trip that took them from Orem, Utah to Lexington, Kentucky to Durham in a few days. I suspect there aren’t a lot of direct flights from Orem to Lexington and Lexington to Durham.

I have long been fascinated by the way Coach K finds ways to win when his teams often do not have a dominant center or overwhelming size. For decades, the recruiting whisperers have told big men not to go to Duke, because Coach K is guard oriented and doesn’t know how to develop big men. Hello, 2017-18. Look out. Duke has them in spades—and they not only can play, they can run and jump and rebound and shoot and play defense. This team looks more like an NBA team than any since the 1991-92 team.

A stroll down memory lane (Carolina and Kentucky fans can stop reading): This was Mike Krzyzewski his 1,000th win in his 38 years at Duke, 1073rd overall, the most-ever for a coach in men’s Division I college basketball history. Before coming to Duke in 1979-80, he won 73 games in five years at his alma mater Army. During Krzyzewski’s tenure/reign, Duke has won five national championships in 1991, 1992, 2001, 2010, 2015 as well as playing in 12 Final Fours, won 12 ACC Regular Season Titles, and 14 ACC Tournament Titles. During his summer break, Coach K has guided the men’s Olympic Basketball team to gold medals in 2008, 2012 and 2016. He was inducted into the Naismith Memorial Basketball Hall of Fame in 2001. And BTW, the streak of non-ACC home wins now stands at 134.

Krzyzewski’s response. “ I don’t like Duke, I love Duke. I’m so lucky to be here for this time. It keeps you young. I don’t have a timetable for how long I’m going to coach, just trying to be in this moment.  I can’t even believe it. We were 38-47 here in my first three years. There were a lot of people here that didn’t think I would win 1,000 games– me being one of them.”

Other Comments:

  • 1 overall 2018 prospect R.J. Barrett committed to Duke over Oregon and Kentucky. Barrett is the star of the 2018 Class  and gives the Blue Devils their third five-star pledge in the class, to go with Cam Reddish and Tre Jones. Duke now boasts the No. 1 overall recruiting class for 2018, leap-frogging cross-state rival North.
  • Keep an eye on Alex O’Connell. He is the skinny white kid with the 1940’s retro haircut who has more animated fun on the bench than most Cameron Crazies but, more importantly, makes things happen when he gets playing time. I suspect that Bolden, DeLaurier, and O’Connell will be the eight man rotation.

Alan Adds:

Nothing we saw in the first two games could diminish the high expectations for the 2017-18 Duke basketball season.  Nothing we saw in the first two games could diminish the eager expectation of Tuesday’s matchup with pre-season #2 Michigan State.  Tuesday promises to be a game that takes a preliminary measure of this year’s freshman dominated team.  Michigan State is big and strong, historically a ferocious rebounding team, and has the leading player of the year candidate in Myles Bridges (6’7” swing man who led in votes for the pre-season All-American team; Grayson was second). Michigan State opened with a 30 point win against North Florida and showed an 8 man rotation.  Michigan State has its own highly rated 6’11” freshman center in Jaren Jackson, who scored 22, and depth and experience at guard.  Duke is flying high after two scintillating team performances.

Interestingly, both Bill and I said to each other that a Duke loss might be the best thing that could happen to these freshmen.  Perspective: Perhaps, the youngsters learned from the first 8 minutes against Utah Valley when they were taken aback by the intensity of the visitors, who led 17-13 after 8 minutes.  Coach K: “In the first four minutes, and our guys were grabbing things with one hand and they were just outplaying us. The second media timeout, we just talked to our team about the fact that this is the way it is. It isn’t like the other games. This is better, you’re going to feel better about playing in a game like this, but we have to play in a game like this, which means we have to be there every play. They really responded.”  Four defensive blocks by Carter, which Coach K identified as the turning point, triggered the turnaround.

In the first two games, Duke played in friendly Cameron against teams that were not an athletic match for the Blue Devils.  Notwithstanding, Duke was impressive – especially on the defensive end.  In the first half against Elon, Duke switched everything 1 thru 5.  Coach K said he could do that only with Amile previously, but Carter and Bagley are so quick on defense (and DeLaurier makes them look slow by comparison) that Duke can switch everything.  Duke also showed more zone against Elon.  Coach K pointed out that Duke is so long that a zone is effective.  “We played it more than we will going forward.”  Against Utah Valley, Duke had 33 points off turnovers.  It will be interesting to see how well Duke defends against competition of the Michigan State quality.

Front Court

Duke is loaded up front.  Wendell Carter and Bagley will start.  Carter had foul trouble against Elon and logged only 16 minutes (11 in the second half).  He had 3 fouls early, but did not foul again.  In the second game he played 31 minutes, scoring 12 [4-8; 1-3 from deep; and 3-4 from the line].  He and Bagley pass and play well together.  Bagley lived up to the hype in the first two games.  He had double doubles in both games and had announcers gushing over every aspect of his game, and treating it as a sure thing that he will be the first overall pick in next spring’s NBA draft.  The only blemish was he is 2-9 from the free throw line.  That has to get better, because he will be shooting a lot of foul shots this year.

Behind the two starters is Javin DeLaurier.  Although he logged only 14 minutes against Elon and 11 in the Utah Valley game, it is hard not to be impressed by his energy and athleticism.  At 6’10”, he is quick enough to stay with point guards, and is a pure rebounder.  I believe he will be a major contributor.  Marques Bolden was too ill to play against Elon, and was projected to miss Utah Valley and Michigan State.  He rallied to play 7 minutes against Utah Valley, grabbing 2 boards and looking as if he will be the 6th man this year.  Finally, Vrankovich (now a junior) has the experience (Croatian National Team), size and IQ to contribute if any of the four are unavailable.  We are all curious to see how the front-line fares against stiff competition on Tuesday.

Backcourt

Trevon Duval is young, but he is playing the point with aplomb.  He had 20 assists – 8 against Elon and 12 last night with only a single turnover.  He picked up two quick fouls last night, but Coach K continued to play him.  “I’ve never been a proponent of ‘you get two fouls and you sit.’ If you do that, I’m going to try to get two fouls on your best player because then you’re going to defend him the rest of the half, I don’t have to defend him. I’ve never subscribed to that, guys have to learn how to play. Now we change defenses to help in that regard, when we went to 12, our zone, but then they have to learn that, the discipline of playing. If they did get a third foul in the first half, then this is the time of the year when we have to teach that.”

The sharpshooters running with Duval in Duke’s 3 guard starting lineup have been really fabulous.  Grayson has been at his best.  He scored the first 8 against Elon, which was a statement this is a new and better year (Elon was the game last year where Grayson melted down in public after committing his third tripping incident).  He scored 19 in the first half against Elon.  Gary Trent has been almost as impressive, scoring 17 in each game.  He is a shooter (4-5 from deep against Elon), but has many other exciting talents.  He is a much better ball handler than advertised and has been a good defender who displays overall great hustle.

The back up to the guards is not yet set.  It seems as if Duke will rest the guards by going big (3 bigs and 2 guards) since there is so much depth and athleticism in the front court.  Alex O’Connell really impressed in both games.  I said to Bill that he will be to this team what Grayson was to the 2015 championship team.  He has so much energy and is a deadly shooter.  In 13 minutes against Elon, he scored 8 on 3-3 shooting (2 from deep) to go with 3 rebounds.  He garnered 5 rebounds and scored 4 points (1-3; 2-2 from the line) in only 9 minutes last night.  In some ways, he is what college sports should be about.  He is having fun, so animated on the bench, and so much energy when given the opportunity to play.

Tuesday night promises to be so much fun.

Duke 88 – Michigan State 81

Holy Jim Boeheim, Batman! Coach K goes zone for a full forty minutes!

My old fraternity/basketball buddy Phil called from Florida today to say that he hadn’t been able see the team play and asked if are they really as good as Alan and I have written. After the game, he said he should never have doubted us. So far, this team has demonstrated the talent, resiliency, and, yes, maturity to overcome slow starts, opponent’s runs, and still finish strong. The good news is that J.J. Allen was sensational scoring 36 pts. ( 7-11 threes), the one at the buzzer to end the half put Duke up by four was from Steph Curry’s zip code. Then, with less than a minute remaining nailing a dagger of a three to put the Blue Devils up seven to close out the tough Spartans. The bad news is that Bagley left the game early in the first half because of an inadvertent finger to the eye, went to the locker room and after the half, returned to the bench but not the game. Other than that, the young Duke players responded admirably to the pressure of playing a more experienced, highly rated team in a not exactly friendly environment on national television with the added burden of being without their double-double big man for most of the game.

When was the last time a Duke team dominated the glass, winning the battle of the boards 46-34 (25 offensive rebounds) against a top five team? In a post- game interview, Grayson was asked how he had such a great game and he said: “Tre(von)”, his point guard, who had 17 points, 10 assists, and 6 steals. Gary  Trent had an off night (3-11), missing six threes. However, with four minutes remaining, he hit the three on a sweet assist from Allen that tied the score and fueled the winning run that closed out the game. If he had missed that shot, the result could have been different. Carter had a 12-12 double-double and off the bench DeLaurier was a real disrupter on defense with 4 points, 7 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 steals, 2 blocks. Marquis Bolden, however, did not take advantage of this opportunity for more playing time. Hopefully, it was a post strep infection funk.

The only obvious weakness of this team continues to be free throw shooting. Other than Grayson’s 8-8, the rest of the team shot Plumlee brother numbers– 50%. Giving up that many points in a close game can potentially jump up and bite this team in the loss column.

In the post-game interview Coach K said that he loves participating against top programs like Michigan State early in the year, because this is a Final Four type venue and either the moment or the other team can defeat you—a priceless experience for young players. Further, that Grayson has evolved from being a good shooter to being a great shooter. He had to learn to be a shooter, then a scorer. Earlier in his career, he spent too much time driving and getting knocked to the floor. However, he is in much better control now. “I felt like I was coaching J.J. Redick. You keep calling plays for him and they work. Grayson was fantastic tonight. Come on. He wasn’t good, he was fantastic.”  Grayson commented: “I’ve played in 90 more games than the four teammates that are out there with me. So I feel a little more comfortable and calm and confident out there.”

Other Comments:

  • This Champions Classic at the United Center in Chicago was like a Final Four in November with Kansas beating Kentucky in the nightcap.
  • Tom Izzo is a great coach. However, he is now 1-11 against Coach K.
  • Before the game, Duke wore their “Equality” shirts, while Michigan State wore shirts that said “We talk, We listen.” Alan will have to explain what they mean.

Alan Adds: 

This game was, in my opinion, about the second half, so that is what I will write about. Coach K said, “We faced a lot of adversity against a great team and won a big game.  Not a bad night.”  The freshmen bigs were knocked back early in the game.  There were times when Duke played 4 guards and only one big.  Bagley was Duke’s third leading rebounder with 6 in only 10 minutes.

In the second half, Duke essentially played five players only.  Bolden, Vrankovich and Goldwire played 2 minutes each and O’Connell 1 without scoring a point.  Carter came out for 3 minutes as did DeLaurier.  Trent had a one minute breather.  DeLaurier and Trent played for over 9 minutes each with 4 fouls.  Grayson and Duval played the entire half (Grayson played all 40 minutes).  Allen (23), Duval (12) and Carter (10) scored 45 of Duke’s 50 second half points.  Trent’s 3, which broke a 75-75 tie and Javin’s layup for Duke’s last score after he stole the ball were Duke’s other 5 points. The Duke zone gave up 47 points in the furious second half.

In the second half, we finally got to see the real Wendell Carter Jr. with a double-double in just the second half alone — 10 very tough rebounds to go with 10 points [3-5 from the field and 4-6 from the line].  He also had committed 4 fouls by the end (all in the second half heroically battling the Spartan’s big front line).  He was the stud and beast that I have been describing.  Duval was a revelation.  He’s been really good throughout, but we could see him growing in confidence and efficiency in the second half.  He scored 12 on 5-11 from the field (0-1 from deep; 2-3 from the line), but he ran the team.  He had 6 second half assists against a single turnover.  On defense, he had 3 second half steals and a block.  Grayson was effusive in his praise of “Tre” after the game.  Duval has been transformative.  Finally, Grayson gave us a second half for the ages, scoring 23 points on 13 shots [8-13; 5-9 from deep and 2-2 from the line].  Duke was 8-11 from the line in the second half, which is an improvement over the first half and earlier games.

DeLaurier didn’t score until the end but he was sensational.  With Bolden still sick and Bagley out, DeLaurier was the other Duke big to team with Carter.  He had 5 rebounds, 2 assists, a block and a steal.  He made the zone work (as much as it did in the second half) and cemented his place in the rotation.  Trent had a subpar game and yet made the play of the game with his only second half basket.  Duke won at what we call “winning time”.  The last minutes of the game.  With 4:12 to go, Duke trailed 75-73.  Carter tied it with a dunk on an offensive rebound after a Trent miss.  Then Grayson missed a three and DeLaurier got the rebound of the game, passed to Grayson who hit Trent for an open 3.  Coach K said that it took guts for Trent to hoist it up after such an awful shooting night.  Splash!  Duke led by 3 with 3:12 to go.  Then came the sequence of the game.  Bridges missed a three and DeLaurier rebounded.  Duval missed a layup; Javin got the offensive board, but missed a put back dunk.  Trent grabbed that offensive rebound and found Grayson for a contested 3.  Duke up 6 with 2:27 to go.  A flurry of misses by both teams before Grayson sealed it with a three with only 70 seconds remaining, putting Duke up 9, and essentially ending the Spartan hopes.

As Bill might say, “Holy Jim Boeheim, Batman, Duke played zone for the entire game (except for one possession).”  I wrote this before I got Bill’s first draft.  That’s a bit scary!  As for explaining the warm up shirts, I decline since I know my limits.

Coach K said he went to the zone because he was worried about Duke fouls.  Duke’s length made the zone work (especially in the first half) and allowed Duke to avoid having anyone foul out (it was close; the game ended with 3 Duke players with 4 fouls.).  Friday against Furman at home and then on to Portland for a three day; three game tournament in the Phil Knight Invitational.  Duke could face real competition in the second and third games.  First game against Portland State on November 23.

It was as Coach K predicted, “a hell of a night.”

Duke 78– Southern 61 

When top ranked 4-0 Duke meets unranked 0-4 Southern in Cameron, you expect a blowout not a game that is tied twice in the first half. Blame youth, travel fatigue, a hangover from the big win, whatever… Surely, a relatively painless learning experience for essentially a group of teenagers from whom there will always be surprises– especially when the only non-teenager, Grayson Allen scores 10 points, not 25. More importantly, the good news is that there was no damage to  Bagley’s eye and he was his usual mesmerizing self. So, let’s discuss what we know so far.

Marvin Bagley and Wendell Carter are the most talented and productive big man combo Duke has ever had. Individually, they are more talented than any freshman power player Duke has ever had. They are interchangeable playing the high/low post, are unselfish, and are both double/double machines. This is the strength of the team and it will go as far as they take them. Trevon Duval has been a wonderful point guard and has demonstrated a fearless instinct for the timely, big play. However, his jump shot and free throw shooting need work. (Calling Chip “The Shot Doctor”  Engelland ‘83). Until Gary Trent gets more comfortable, Grayson Allen, who appears to be on a redemption mission, is the only lethal three point threat and, like tonight, that makes any game potentially more difficult, because close games are usually decided by the team that makes the most threes. When these two are on fire, these Blue Devils are lethal.

This team is deeper than most of K’s teams and he appears ready to use DeLaurier, Goldwire, Bolden and O’Connor. We will see if that continues as the schedule gets tougher. DeLaurier, a marvelous athlete and developing basketball player, is a defensive disrupter. Bolden looked better tonight but is still a question mark. Under recruited Goldwire is surprisingly capable as a short term breather sub. In limited minutes, O’Connor has demonstrated more of a feel and understanding of the game than the others. He definitely is fearless, a better shooter, and is much more athletic than he looks.

Other Comments: 

  • After playing zone in beating Michigan State, Duke played man-to-man tonight with disappointing results. Stay tuned.
  • The fact that Blue Devils finished with only 14 assists, a season-high 15 turnovers, shot just 4 of 20 from 3-point range, and 24-37 from the line demonstrated that this team has some work to do to continue to consistently beat top teams.
  • Grayson Allen was taken down on a fast break by a flagrant foul and just walked away without showing any emotion. Whew!  While he had a quiet scoring night, Grayson did have a SportsCenter highlight moment when, after a Bagley monster block spiked the ball well past midcourt, Allen ran the ball down, dribbled, took the ball around his back to avoid a defender, elevated, and laid the ball up with his left hand.
  • Mike Gminski ’80, an All-American center, number seven pick in the NBA draft, and outstanding student, was an announcer. While probably too low key for many in today’s audience, he is a throwback in that he doesn’t talk unless he has something pertinent to say. 
  • Reloading: During the just concluded early commitment period, Duke announced the signing of three probable one-and-done athlete/students: R.J. Barrett, Tre Jones and Cam Reddish– all rated by ESPN as a five-star recruit and ranked among the 10 best overall prospects in the nation.
  • Thankfully, NBA commissioner Adam Silver ’84 is in talks with the players union to eliminate the one-and-done rule. Stay tuned.

Alan Adds:

Coach K hit the nail on the head to explain Duke’s unsatisfyingly sluggish performance against an 0-3 team that had been blown out by mediocre opposition in its first three games.  “They thought it would be easier than it was.”  Early on, Duke was leaking out instead of all rebounding defensively, which caused Coach K to call a time out before 3 minutes had gone by.  “We did not play together tonight either on offense or defense.  When you don’t play together, you gravitate toward the individual effort.”  “We were out of character tonight.  Something was missing.”  However, Coach K was careful to warn that press and fans should not make more of the sluggish performance than is warranted.  “We want to be who we have been.”

Coach K pointed to a lack of practice mandated by NCAA rules as one reason for the sluggish performance [email me if you want me to explain the hyper technical requirement that prevented Duke from practicing on Wednesday or Thursday following the Michigan State win].  And Grayson pointed to a favored Coach K insight, “sometimes you have to overcome human nature.”

As Bill pointed out, the game showed that Duke has much work to do on its man to man defense.  This is a team of excellent individual defenders, who have the potential to become an effective defensive team, but that potential was well disguised last night.  Part of that was Southern shooting well from deep (5-11 from deep in the second half).  Contrast that with Duke going 0-9 from behind the arc in the second half – Grayson 3; Trent 2; Duval 2; Goldwire 1 and Bagley 1 (4-20 for the game).    Duke’s foul shooting improved in the second half (12-16; Bagley was 1-1) but was a disappointing 12-21 in the first half where only Wendell Carter shot better than 50% (5-7); Bagley (4-8);  DeLaurier, Allen and O’Connell were 1-2.

The Starters

The starters played between 28 and 32 minutes with the game decided by Duke’s huge superiority up front.  Carter had the game of the night notching a double double in only 28 minutes.  He scored 20 [7-9; 1-1 from deep and 5-7 from the line] to go with 11 rebounds and 6 blocks [only Giminski had more in a game as a freshman in Duke history].  Oh yes, he also handed out two assists and had a steal.  Bagley played a game high 32 minutes before fouling out.  There is no missing his special athleticism, yet I think he has not yet shown all he can do.  He also grabbed 11 rebounds with his third double/double in 4 games [19 points on a team high 12 shots – 7-12; 0-1; 5-9 from the line].  He also had 2 assists and added 2 blocks.

Grayson and Duval played 30 minutes and Trent 31.  After the Michigan State magnificent shooting performance, Allen was 0-6 from deep for the game.  He scored 10 on 3-3 from inside the arc to go with 4-5 from the line (3-3 in the second half).  He had 4 boards and led Duke in assists (4 tied with Duval) and turnovers (3; tied with Wendell).  Trent had an uncharacteristically bad shooting game and failed to get to the foul line (3-11; 2-6 from deep), but made up for it with his rebounding and hustle.  He grabbed 10 boards and earned Coach K’s praise.  Trevon “Tre” played better in the second half (tied for Duke’s second half high scorer with 7 (Grayson and Bagley each had 7 and Carter 6 in the last stanza) and avoided a turnover.  He had 10 for the game, including his first 3 pointer – his only points in the first half.

The Bench

Marques Bolden played all of his 11 minutes in the second half, where I thought he looked rusty and a bit lost on the court.  He was totally out of sync on defense, and I thought tentative on offense (his travel on what should have been a power dunk is a dramatic example).  He scored 4 [1-3; 2-4 from the line] to go with 2 boards and a turnover.  Let’s hope it is just a slow recovery from strep throat, but I fear he is the same disappointing player this year as he was last year.  However, my analysis might be wrong since not only Bill (above), but Coach K in his press conference praised Marques, “Marques gave us a big lift in the second half.”  It will be especially interesting to see how he performs in the 4 games during this coming week.

DeLaurier continues to draw oohs and aahs for his athleticism (he had one block from behind on a Southern runout that was almost LeBron like), but his statistics were meager.  In 12 minutes (6 in each half), he missed his only shot and was only 2-4 from the line for his 2 points.  He had 2 boards, an assist, a turnover and that block.  He was first off the bench.

Alex O’Connell is a pleasant surprise.  He scored 5 in 14 minutes [1-2; 0-1 from 3land; and 3-4 from the line.  He brings good energy to the game.

Goldwire played 8 uninspired minutes missing both of his 3 point attempts (his only shots) while making one steal and committing a turnover.

Vranovich (1 minute), and White (3) played cameos while Jordan Tucker and Robinson did not play.

Next week – 4 games

Furman on Monday night before Duke travels to Portland for 3 games in the Phil Knight tournament celebrating his 80th birthday.  It is a cool tournament (actually two separate tournaments – Duke is in the Motion bracket while UNC is in the other tournament called Victory).  On Thanksgiving Day, Duke plays Portland State, then things get interesting.  Assuming a Duke win (“they thought it was going to be easier than it was” is a warning against such assumptions), the Blue Devils face the winner of Butler v Texas on Friday.  Texas has the superb freshman center, Mohamad Bamba (Duke lost that recruiting battle).  The four teams in the other bracket are Florida, Ohio State, Gonzaga and Stanford.   The final game is on Sunday.  Every team plays three games.

Duke 92– Furman 63

The start of the game was delayed for fifteen minutes because at six o’clock a second floor fire alarm went off and the entire building was evacuated. Fortunately, it was a false alarm but after the delayed start, the Blue Devils appeared as though they had evacuated without their warm-up suits, because they again started cold, playing unimpressive basketball as Furman got into the lane for one good look after another, making five of its first six shots. Nevertheless, when your team beats a good, veteran Southern Conference team with a terrific point guard by 29 points, how critical can you be? [Warning: I am evaluating this team by a standard only previously applied to the 2001 and 1999 teams.] Well, the fact of the matter is that the Blue Devils were actually behind for about ten minutes before Duke’s man-to-man defense forced four turnovers in the next six minutes and went on a patented 20-6 run. During that stretch freshman  Marvin Bagley dominated offensively and defensively. He scored 11 points in two minutes on a variety of shots, blocked a shot, stole the ball, picked up 2 assists, and even accidentally tipped in a basket for the other team.

This team has demonstrated that they have all the individual parts to be a multifaceted, dominating team. However, except in spurts—even against Michigan State—they have not been a well-oiled machine.  For the second game in a row, the firm of Bagley & Carter dominated down low, Trevon drove the lane at will but Allen, who had not practiced due to being “banged up”, and Trent did not score well. It will be interesting when the Double-Double Brothers come up against a really large front line how they react and adapt and if Coach K stays with the man-to-man defense as he has for most of the last two games or goes more zone which was so effective against the Spartans. The truth of the matter is that the undefeated, #1 Duke has yet to play a game with balanced scoring, which they will soon have to do. They have, however, improved one major weakness—free throw shooting.

When DeLaurier, who brings so much energy and athleticism to the party, is in the mix, the defense may even be better. And O’Connor, who looks like a freshman pledge whose hair was the victim of a hazing incident, sure appears to be the sleeper of the freshman class. He has a rare feel and instinct for the game. Bolden still appears raw and in need of maturing. Even against this level of competition, Goldwire seems in over his head and I would not be surprised if Allen, who had six nice assists tonight, plays the point when Duval is rested and O’Connor plays the shooting guard.

Duke extended their streak of consecutive non-conference home wins in Cameron to 136.

Alan Adds:

Coach K was well pleased with last night’s effort against a good Furman team.  His assessment was the team played hard and well, and most importantly, “played together – on both ends of the court.”  He was asked if the Furman was a statement game after the disappointing effort against Southern last Friday.  K responded with a quip, and then made the serious point that it was “more like we got back to playing the way we are supposed to” and the way the team has played all year.  He pointed out that the team had two really good practices after not being able to practice after the Michigan State game.

Even though Duke gave up easy drives during the game’s opening minutes and a raft of threes toward the end of the game when Duke switched to a zone defense with mostly substitute players, Coach K was pleased with the defense.  He said the game plan was to take away Furman’s three point attack, so when Davis (Furman’s talented point guard) got into the lane, the help stayed with the shooters leaving him open to create and score.  The adjustment was subtle.  Coach K said Furman was “a right handed driving team”.  We started out forcing them right and got burned.”  When Duke started forcing them left, the defense stiffened and the lead grew consistently.

The Bench

The rotation is longer now than it will be in the conference season, and it is where the competition for playing time exists.  The starting lineup is set.

First off the bench is Javin DeLaurier, who continues to impress me greatly.  What I appreciate about his game is his energy on defense.  He is quick enough (and has the intensity – motor) to guard the perimeter and still protect the rim when one of his teammates is beaten.  I do not believe any other Duke big has shown that capability, even though both Carter (especially) and Bagley are formidable defenders.  Javin logged 17 intense minutes, scoring 6 (3-3; 0-1 from the line), grabbing 6 boards and blocking 4 shots, and making 2 steals.  Interestingly, when Grayson picked up his 3rd foul early in the second half, DeLaurier replaced him, making a lineup of 3 bigs + Tre and a Gary.  I liked this lineup defensively.

Bolden earned Coach K’s praise in his 12 minutes (2-3 from the floor and 2-2 from the line) for scoring 6 points, grabbing 2 boards and having a block.  He was yanked, however, after a cameo in the first half when he completely lost his roll man on a Furman screen and roll, creating a wide open (embarrassing) layup.  In fairness, DeLaurier had one almost identical defensive lapse.  Bolden moved well and is a potential contributor.  Potential.

Alex O’Connell logged 12 scintillating second half minutes after remaining on the bench in the first half.  He made the most of his opportunity scoring 10 [4-5 from the floor; 2-3 from deep] with 2 boards, an assist (sweet interior pass) and a block (the skinny kid has hops).  He was very impressive on several levels.  As I have written previously, he reminds me of Grayson as a freshman.

Jordan Goldwire played 13 minutes without scoring [0-2 from deep] with an offensive rebound, an assist, a steal against a turnover and a foul.  Vrankovic (3 minutes), White (4 minutes) and Justin Robinson (1 minute) made cameos.  Tucker did not play (again).

The Starters

The Backcourt

This was a coming out party for Trevon Duval, who was nothing short of sensational on both ends of the court.  In 26 minutes, he scored 18 [9-12; 0-2 from deep] to go with 4 boards and 4 assists.  He dominated some aspects of this game, and could be heading for a Tyus Jones like season.  He has an uncanny ability to snake to the rim and finish acrobatically.  Trent played a game high 31 minutes (he is trusted by Coach K) scoring 9 [4-8; 1-3 from 3land] to go with 3 boards, an assist and a turnover.  He is on the court as much for his defense, rebounding and energy as his shooting.  He had a pair of steals.  Grayson, who did not practice, had a bad shooting game, but was still valuable.  He led Duke with 6 assists, 3 rebounds and 3 steals, even though he scored only 5 in 28 minutes (only 8 second half minutes after playing the entire first half) [2-9; 1-4 from deep without getting to the line].  His defense is always played on high energy.

Bagley and Carter

Both Bagley and Carter had substantial size advantages over the Furman bigs.  Both exploited their size advantage and skill to allow Duke to dominate on the inside.  Carter played only 24 minutes, scoring 14 [6-7 from the floor; 2-4 from the line] to go with 9 boards a block and 2 assists.  Bagley played 29 minutes grabbing 8 boards and scoring 24 points on a team high 15 shots [8-15; 1-3 from deep – 3 attempts, really; and satisfyingly 5-6 from the line].   With the game still close in the first half, Duke went to him on the low block 4 straight times for 4 straight scores and an end to the competiveness of the game.  Coach K has emphasized that neither is a traditional big – they are complete basketball players who happen to be big.  One of the splendid aspects of them playing together is the skill each has to pass.  They like to pass and are making a formidable inside presence.

The PK tournament and Big 10 Challenge

Duke will fly to Portland tomorrow for 3 games in 4 days.  Duke’s second game will be against an undefeated team that has received votes in the ranking whether Texas or Butler wins.  Florida (#7 in both polls) is the highest rated team on the other side of the Motion Bracket.  They play Stanford first. Gonzaga (#17 in both polls) plays Ohio State.

If Duke reaches the championship game on Sunday (11-26) evening at 7:30, they will travel back to Durham on Monday before flying to Bloomington on Tuesday for Wednesday (11-29) night’s game against Indiana.  Whew!

Duke 99 – Portland State 81

Duke 85 – Texas 78

You could sense this kind of result developing for weeks. Another slow start, porous defense, poor free throw and three point shooting. But for the first time, add a big, talented Texas front line that neutralizes this team’s primary strength and, “Durham, we have a problem”.

After each Elon, Utah Valley etc. game Coach K starts his presser by saying what a good, well coached (but unranked) team Duke just beat without commenting on the Blue Devils weaknesses. Because I was at dinner with our son’s family in Washington and only occasionally stole a look at my smartphone, I was spared the actual disappointment of watching Texas taking and expanding their lead. Down fourteen midway through the second half, I finally I turned it off so that I could enjoy the fine Italian Cuisine.

What!!  Duke won? No way! Fortunately, I taped it or I wouldn’t have believed it. Grayson came alive playing the point before fouling out to lead a rally that got the Blue Devils even. (May I quote from our last blog: “Goldwire seems in over his head and I would not be surprised if Allen, who had six nice assists tonight, plays the point when Duval is rested and O’Connell plays the shooting guard.”) The freshmen took it from there. First, with the score tied and ten seconds remaining, Bagley, who had only hit two shots from La-La Land in his brief Duke career, decided it is a good idea to launch a three which missed and O’Connell then Carter miss tips as time expired in regulation. Think it would have been a better idea for Trent to take the three and MBIII try the tip? However, that was about the only mistake the big guy made as he went for 34 & 15. After huddling with the coaches, Bagley and Carter predictably set up in the low post and flushed dunks on pinpoint passes from Tre Duval against Texas’ backup front line (Bamba and Sims  had fouled out) to win in overtime.

You really have to hand it to these freshmen, so far they have mastered the art of living dangerously. And if they have the tenacity and talent to rally against good teams like Texas while missing 14 free throws, and going 3-18 from three point land, I sure like their chances if they ever master the boring art of shooting free throws.

Other Comments:

  • How impressive was this win? It was the sixth best comeback in Duke basketball history. And it was another lesson that for a Coach K team “It’s never over until it’s over”.
  • Bagley’s 34 points on Friday tied J.J. Redick’s single-game scoring record by a freshman.
  • At this point, North Carolina is a better “team” than Duke.
  • Jay Bilas was one of the announcers. He is the best at college basketball.

Alan Adds:

Overall impressions:

Duke will play Florida (#7 in both polls) on Sunday night at 10:30 for the championship of the Motion Bracket of the PK 80 tournament.  Florida prevailed 117-111 over Gonzaga (#17) in a double overtime thriller that ended early in the EST Saturday morning.  Duke’s defense will be tested.

Duke 85 Texas 78

The first and most important takeaway from the initial two games of the PK 80 tournament is that Duke’s defense is in shambles and whether or not it can be improved is the key issue for the early (or late) season.  The second takeaway is this team has heart, resolve and an unstoppable force in Marvin Bagley III.  In spite of Texas’s unimpeded stampeded to the rim for easy layups, Duke came back from 16 down with 7:29 to go in the game and forced an overtime (in a game that should have been won in regulation).  The third takeaway is the dramatic increase in Alex O’Connell’s playing time.  He entered the Texas game with 10:05 left to play and Duke down 16 (14 really since Bagley made 2 free throws during the substitution).  He played the remainder of the game and all 5 minutes of the overtime and was a major contributor.  For the last 2 minutes of regulation for all of the overtime, Duke played 5 freshmen (except for Javin’s about 5 second cameo).

Duke 99 Portland State 81

A friend of mine minted the perfect description: “The Portland State game was ugly.  Like a 300-pound bully finally beating up an exhausted depleted kid.”  When Bill called at half time, here’s what I told him: “Portland State played such beautiful offensive basketball – it did not matter whether Duke showed man to man or zone, the Vikings penetrated at will for easy layups, passed the ball on the interior through the Duke bigs for dunks or kicked out to allow for success on a high percentage of open looks from 3, and did not commit a single turnover against Duke’s pressure – and Duke was hanging in the game only because of the tremendous size advantage of their bigs down low.  That made a strong pull to root for Portland State!”   Duke gave up 49 first half points (probably making Coach K pull out tapes of the infamous Vermont game from seasons ago).  The Vikings played a first half that you could not help but admire, even though they could not stop Bagley, Bolden and Carter on the inside, and so gave up 45 points to the Blue Devils.  Duke led by only 3 with 10 minutes to go, and then blew the Vikings out as the Portland State front line began to foul out and wilt against Duke’s superior size.  Not a very impressive win.

More In Depth Thoughts

Texas

There were three phases to the Texas game: the first 33 minutes that were excruciating for Duke fans to watch as Texas completely outplayed Duke; the last 7 minutes of regulation where Duke – led by Grayson Allen – made a furious comeback; and the last 2 minutes of regulation (I know, overlap) and the overtime where 5 freshmen stormed to victory.

The first 33 minutes

Duke has been a defensive disaster so far, this season, and Texas exploited that completely.  Duke’s transition defense stunk.  Texas guards blew through the man to man for easy layups.  [Rotation seemed like a dirty word].  When Duke went to the zone, Texas carved it up like a Thanksgiving Turkey.  If Texas had made open 3s (4-23 for the game), it would have been a blowout.  Duke did not shoot well (1-6 from 3 in the opening stanza) (8-15 from the foul line in the first half.  Carter and Bagley were 2-7).  Duke was beaten on the boards; played on their heels defensively; and, looked ragged on offense.  Best news – Alex O’Connell played 29 minutes and Bolden 12 (remember this was an overtime game so there are 225 minutes to distribute).  Neither packed the box score, but both were valuable, especially O’Connell who grabbed 6 rebounds.  It looked as if Duke were a thoroughly beaten team.  Then came the turnaround.

The last 7 minutes of regulation

Down 14 with 7:47 left, Grayson Allen ignited Duke.  Saddled with 3 first half fouls (all good calls), Allen played only 7 scoreless minutes in the first half.  His spirit and fight reminded me of his freshman performance against Wisconsin the championship game.  He shot and passed Duke back into contention.  [Texas’s uninspired shot selection also helped.]  Carter went 1-2 from the line to reduce the margin to 13.  Alex grabbed a superb rebound of Carter’s missed second free throw and hit Trent with a pass, who gained an assist when Grayson took the pass and hit a 3.  Duke down 10.  Bagley got an offensive rebound and scored on a layup.  Grayson made an ensuing steal, and fed Bagley for a dunk.  Duke down 6. Texas and Carter traded baskets (great assist from Marvin).  Texas stretched it to 7 before Grayson again made a great feed to Carter for a dunk.  Duke down 5.  After Texas again went 1-2 from the line, Allen again fed Carter for a dunk.  Duke down 4.  Carter stole the ball and eventually received another Allen assist for his dunk.  Duke down 2.  Bagley got a rebound and penetrated for the tying basket.  Grayson snagged the defense board, charged down court, and fouled out on an offensive foul with 1:57 left to play.  Duval, who had the worst game of his Duke career replaced him for the last 7 minutes of the game.  With 1:43 to go, Duke gave up another open layup on a drive.  Duke down 2.  Trent missed a 3, but Duval got fouled.  He missed both with a chance to tie.  Bamba blocked Bagley’s attempted layup to tie the game, but Duke got the offensive rebound and called time out with 35 seconds to play down 2.  On a set play, Gary Trent Jr. drove the lane, scored on a difficult finish, got fouled (by Bamba, who fouled out on the play; a huge play for Duke) and knocked down the free throw.  Duke’s first lead since the opening minute of the game.  Duke up 1.  Duval fouled Coleman, who made 1-2.  Texas horrible foul shooting opened the door for the Duke comeback.  Bagley missed a 3 (strange last shot) and neither O’Connell nor Carter could convert offensive rebound attempts.

The Overtime

Duval had his first good minutes of the game.  Texas was forced to play small and went zone to try and protect.  After Bagley made 1-2 from the line, Duval hit two straight perfect passes over the zone to Bagley for dunks.  Duke up by 5; Texas came out of the zone and fought back.  Roach penetrated for a layup.  Duval committed a foul.  Jones penetrated for another open layup.  Duke up 1 with 1:31 left.  Bagley hit a layup on an assist from Trent.  Carter fouled Coleman who again missed 1-2.  Duke up 2 with 43 seconds left, when Carter made the play of the game.  He fought for offensive rebound; missed; got his own miss back and dunked emphatically.  Then Carter blocked Texas at the other end.  Game over.  Duke up 4 with 15 seconds left.  Bagley was 1-2 and Trent 2-2 from the line when Texas had to foul.  Bottom line: it was all Bagley.  He had 12 of Duke’s 16 overtime points (Carter’s dunk and Trent’s 2 foul shots were the only other Duke points in the overtime).  Carter also gets kudos.  It was a feel-good, heart-stopping win.

The Box Score

Bagley was sensational, logging 38 minutes, scoring 34 [12-19; 1-2 from deep; 9-13 from the line] to go with 15 boards, 2 assists and a steal.  Wow!  Trent scored 17 in his 37 minutes [5-14; 0-6 (wow!); but 7-7 from the line] to grabbed 8 (yes 8) rebounds and handed out 3 assists without a turnover.  A terrific under the radar game.  Carter was Duke’s third stud, playing 39 minutes, with 11 rebounds, 2 blocks, 2 steals and 2 assists.  He scored 14 (none more important than his last deuce) [6-9 from the field, but a disappointing 2-6 from the line].  Allen played only 25 minutes because of foul trouble.  His 18 second half minutes were scintillating with 5 assists and 3 rebounds.  Tre had a terrible game for 38 minutes.  He was 2-9 from the field; 0-3 from deep; 0-4 from the line for 4 points.  He had 6 turnovers and as many assists.  He did log 3 steals.  Two of his assists in the overtime were crucial.  Javin had a statistical impact in only 5 minutes [ 2-2 from the line; 2 boards and a block]; Goldwire played only 2 minutes with a steal.

Portland State

Coach K’s insight: “We assume we are playing Sunday night in the championship game; for Portland State their game was today.  In the second half, the game became our game today.”  I did not see it that way.  I thought Duke was still terrible in the second half until Portland State just wore out as their (sort of – 6’8” and shorter) bigs fouled out.

Coach K said the 3 bulwarks of the team are Grayson, Marvin and Tre.  The support is Wendell, Gary, Javin and Marquez. I think you can add Alex O’Connell to support. Duke went to the zone because the man to man was embarrassingly porous.  Coach K thought the zone slowed the game down (which it did), but I thought Portland was extremely efficient against the zone too.  Coach K pointed out that man to man defense takes a long time to become efficient, and said Duke has played good man defense “at times, but not today.”  Carter played a great second half.  Both Alex and Bolden played well off the bench.  Alex had 9 points in 13 minutes while Marquez had 8 points and 10 boards in 18 minutes.  Javin played 8 minutes.  The starters were led by Tre Duval (his best game) with 22 points in 37 minutes [7-14; 1-2; 7-9 from the line].  His 5 turnovers are a concern.  In 34 minutes, Marvin had another double/double with 15 rebounds and 18 points [6-12; 0-2 from deep; and a disturbing 6-12 from the line].  Carter played only 21 minutes – inexplicably, only 7 in an ineffective first half – scoring 16 [7-8; 2-2 from the line] to go with 10 boards, 2 assists and 2 blocks without a turnover.  He played an effective second half. Grayson scored 14 in 34 minutes but is not shooting well [2-7; 1-6 from 3land is the bad number; 9-11 from the line is the good number].  Trent played 30 minutes.  He is a reliable foul shooter.  He scored 11 on 2-8; 1-5 from behind the arc; but 6-6 from the line.

Florida

Should be another test of our young defense, and another step in this team’s necessary growth.  Worth watching. In spite of (in my opinion, unjustified) #1 ranking, this is a team full of potential as well as youth-driven holes.  It has been so far, and promises to continue to be, a fun team to watch.

Duke 87  –  Florida 84

Nike’s trademark is “Just do it.” Well, this young and talented Duke team “Just did it”. Over three consecutive, improbable games, they grew up before our eyes and won the Phil Knight (turns) 80 Tournament. Talent is one thing. Mental toughness and resiliency are another. This Duke team now has both. And ,oh yes, while the defense is still a work in progress, the art of free throw shooting was suddenly off the chart (19-20).

Two days after coming from 16 points down in the second half to beat Texas, the Blue Devils did themselves one better, erasing a 17 point second half deficit to nip # 7 Florida 87-84. After being outplayed and behind for most of the game and trailing the very impressive Gators by ten with  just over four minutes to play, Marvin and the Miracles closed the game on an 15-2 run. After Marvin (with occasional help from the Miracles), carried the team to within shouting distance of the Gators, the overlooked Gary Trent stepped up to make the winning plays with a steal and four free throws as Wendell Carter added a dunk for emphasis. Then, in the final seconds the Devils play inspired defense to deny the Gators a final, potential tying shot.

Florida, who is very well coached by Duke Athletic Director Kevin White’s son Mike, is a terrific three point shooting team and as Jay Bilas commented: “fun to watch”. They have averaged over 100 points a game this season. After the Gators scored 54 points in the first half, Duke actually held them to only 31 second half points, hit two more threes, and went 19-20 (Bagley was 9-10) from the free throw line. Bagley was sensational going for 30 & 15, while Carter, who only played 21 minutes because of foul trouble, just had 6 & 7. However, DeLaurier (6 & 5 with two steals)  and Bolden (2 & 3 with 2 assists) filled in admirably. Alex O’ Connell hit a three but something changes whenever he and/or DeLaurier are in the game–somehow their energy and style disrupts an opponent’s rhythm and concentration. This team has developed a solid eight man rotation and is so lethal, with so many weapons that they can play poorly for extended periods, then explode. Some shots are more important than others and Grayson Allen, who since the Michigan State game has not been shooting particularly well, seems to have the capacity make those important shots or passes for that shot.

It will take some time to process what we have watched and fully appreciate how this team is evolving. Where it goes from here is anybody’s guess, but you have to like the trajectory.

Other Comments:

I sure jinxed North Carolina by calling them a better “team” than Duke. They were smoked by Michigan State, only scoring 45 points. Explanation: I only meant that they were playing better as a team, not that they were more talented or actually better.

Bill Walton, who called the Michigan State-North Carolina game, was a great college basketball player but as an announcer is insufferable. He talks over the action with trivia and occasional facts often unrelated to the play. Hint: Bill buddy, this is television not radio.

Alan Adds:

What can you say about these Cardiac Kids (or as Bill created, “Marvin and The Miracles)?  The comeback against Florida is worth an in-depth analysis because it just might be that Duke realized its full potential in the second half (for at least 10 minutes and 15 seconds).

Duke’s first 30 minutes

How do you explain a first half where Duke could not and did not defend at all?  Florida rolled to a 53 point first half [18-36 from the field; 7-13 from behind the arc; and 10-11 from the line].  The Duke defense has not been defending well against mediocre and pretty good teams.  Florida is better than anyone Duke has played so far, including Michigan State.  For that half, Florida seemed faster, quicker and smarter, going through the Duke defense like a hot knife through butter.  Duke played well offensively (Bagley had 18 points to go with 8 boards; Duval and Grayson each scored 11 to account for 40 of Duke’s 49 points (Duval 2; Carter 0; O’Connell 3; Bolden and Javin 2 each had the remaining 9 points).  Duke’s bench was efficient in the first half – Bolden played 12 minutes, Javin 8, and O’Connell 5.  Each played well.  O’Connell hit an important 3; Bolden was 1-2 (neat lefty hook) with 3 boards and 2 assists.  He did not play in the second half (hmmm).  Javin had 4 boards, scored a basket on 3 shots, including a 3-point attempt that looked like a defective Cape Canaveral launch.

The Rotation in the Second Half

I agree with Bill that Duke’s rotation of 8 in this game will be the Duke rotation for the conference season.  However, in the second half, it was all on the starters.  Javin logged only 4 second half minutes (2-2 from the field with a rebound), limited by his 4 fouls (2 in the first half).  Alex also played 4 minutes without any statistics in the box score.  That was it for the bench.  The starters played 92 of the 100 second half minutes.  Grayson (40 minutes for the game) and Marvin (39 for the game) played all 20 minutes of the second half, while Duval (35 for the game) played 19 of the 20 second half minutes.  Coach K had said that these 3 are the foundation of the team.  Each played well (especially in clutch situations), but Trent (35 for the game; 17 in the second half) and Carter (16 second half minutes after having been limited to 5 first half minutes while picking up 3 fouls) were each heroic in Duke’s comeback.  Allen scored only a single three in the second half, but what a three it was.  On a great pass from Tre, Grayson gave a shot fake, stepped to the side and swished the 3 to bring Duke within 3 with 3:07 left.  Trent scored only 4 (4-4 on the most clutch foul shots at the end), but was a star defender, rebounder and ball handler.  Carter failed to score in the first half, came alive in the Duke comeback.  He had three big boards down the stretch and scored 6 in a row (his total output) in 2 minutes to keep Duke close.  Bagley was sensational, scoring 12 in the second half [4-7;and 4-4 from the line] to go with 7 boards and a key block.  Coach K said he is the kind of player that K has coached on the Olympic team.  Duval had a super game against Portland State and has been a standout in the early season.  However, he had his first bad game against Texas and his slump continued in the first half of this game.  He shot 1-5 including 0-3 from deep in the first half, but turned it around in the second half, especially on the defensive end.  He was 2-5 from the field, making his only 3-point attempt, and critically going 4-4 in clutch free throw situations for 11 points; 9 in the second half.  Remember, Tre missed all 4 of his crucial free throws in overtime against Texas.  He made the key steal of the game with 1:43 left and Duke trailing by a point, stripping Florida’s superb point guard, Chiozza and fed Trent who was fouled as he penetrated.

Duke’s Second Half Defense

Duke held Florida to 31 second half points, a dramatic turnaround from the first half.  Duke defended more intensely and held Florida to 35% shooting (including 1-7 from behind the arc).  Duke tightened up, but it should be noted Florida started to miss the same open shots that went down in the first half.  The Law of Averages is real!  When the Duke juices started to flow, the defense became what we hope it will be consistently as the season rolls on.  For the last 11:15, Duke gave up only 12 points.  With 10:15 to play, Duke was down 17.  I attribute the transformation to emotion.  Duke finally saw defeat staring them in the face and began to play defense with ferocious intensity.  Defense is, of course, about intensity and desire.

Duke’s Astounding Comeback – The fun part of the game

While Duke began to cut into the 17 point lead, the Devils still trailed by 10 with only 4:35 left to play as Hudson once more penetrated for a Gator layup.  Duval rebounded a Grayson 3-point attempt and made a circus layup.  Hudson missed a jumper; Carter grabbed the board; Bagley was fouled on his way to the hoop and made both shots.  Duke down 6 with 3:43 left to play.  Carter, coming alive finally, got a key block that led to an outlet to Duval, who made a great pass to Grayson for his only second half three. Duke within 3 with 3:07 left.  Florida’s Allen and Bagley traded baskets (Trent on the assist to Bagley); Duke still down 3 with 2:25 to go.  Trent rebounded a Florida miss.  Bagley scored on a great feed from Carter.  Duke down 1 with 1:43 to go.  Then came the defensive play of the game when Duval stripped Chiozza and fed Gary.  Duke’s first lead at 85-84, when Trent made them both at 1:12.  Trent fouled Hudson with 54 seconds left for Duke’s 9th team foul.  It was crucial that Florida was not yet in the double bonus when Hudson (the Gator’s star with 24 points) bricked the free throw (how crucial was that!) and Bagley rebounded.  However, Duke, with a chance to put the game away, responded with a terrible offensive possession, committing a 24 second violation with 25 seconds to go (how terrible was that!).  Florida with a chance to tie or win with 24 seconds left.  Then, Gary Trent, Jr. forced a turnover from Hudson and was fouled.  With 9 seconds left, he swished both clutch free throws.  Duke’s defense was superb for those 9 seconds and Florida did not get off a tying attempt.

ACC- Big 10 Challenge – Indiana on Wednesday, November 29

Duke’s 9th game in 20 days is in Bloomington on Wednesday.  It is the last game in November.  December features cupcakes and the beginning of Conference Play.  No Duke fan could be disappointed so far.

Duke 91  – Indiana  81

Marvin and the Miracles brought their sold out coast to coast cardiac arrest show to Indiana’s rocking Assembly Hall, one of the most challenging venues in college basketball. Coach K schooled the young team by forcing them to play man-to-man defense for the entire closely contested second half, challenging them to again finally play good man defense in the closing minutes and pull out another win. Until that point, Indiana was shooting about 70% from the floor and the Blue Devil nation could be heard pleading for a zone as employed late in the first half when it helped Duke take a four point lead. Fortunately, when you can call on the firm of Allen & Bagley at the end of close games to play a two man isolation game and have Trent (96%) and Allen (90%) shoot free throws, you have a distinct advantage.

In all seriousness, for about thirty-five minutes a game, this is not yet a good defensive team and with the three point line, you best not let any opponent hang around because anything can happen at the end of a close contest. You just cannot expect to outscore every team every night. On the other hand, Coach K is all about winning championships and championships are usually won by the team that plays the best defense and has the best guard play.

Speaking of guards, every time Grayson Allen made a mistake or went to the free throw line, the student section gave him the JJ Redick treatment. They booed and heckled him, sometimes yelling expletives. And when he made a tough basket, they groaned. But Grayson had the best answer to his critics.  As has been the case this year in close games, Allen has produced the most significant play at the most critical time. Tonight, he caught the ball at the wing, pump faked, got his defender to jump in the air, then stepped behind the 3-point line to hit the shot. It put Duke up by four points.

Coach K’s assessment: “We are exhausted. They have such a will to win. This is our ninth game in 20 days. Ten of those days we’ve been on the road and five road games and they’re dead right now. They certainly played those five minutes at the end with an incredible will to win.” He also complimented on the job former Wolfpack Archie Miller is doing in his first year at Indiana and how much the Hoosiers have improved since their first game loss to Indiana State.

Miscellaneous Comments:

The last two  top-ranked teams to play in Assembly Hall lost.

Duke (9-0) has dominated in the ACC/Big Ten challenge. It now holds a 17-2 record in the Challenge’s 19 years.

Duke held Indiana without a field goal for the last five minutes and their big man Davis, De’Ron  was 4-9 from the free throw line. And speaking of one of my favorite subjects, Bagley has dramatically improves his charity shooting. Carter has been good from day one. A very positive development.

It is obvious that Coach is committed to Marques Bolden as he is often the first substitution. And he is responding by playing with more energy and overall commitment. At a critical point, he knocked the ball away a mid-court and beat a smaller man to the floor for the ball. That will earn him more playing time.

Gary Trent makes all kinds of plays. He came in as a shooter but even when he has not has a good statistical shooting game, he has been able to make important shots at as well as finding other ways to contribute to a winning effort—and he has only missed one free throw all season.

Carolina rebounded nicely from the Michigan State drubbing and played well in defeating Michigan. Make no mistake, they will be a tough out in ACC play.

Alan Adds: 

Duke’s Defense

I felt as if Coach K was talking directly to me at his press conference.  During the early stages of the game, I was fulminating at the porousness of Duke’s man to man defense.  In the second half, Duke opened with a man to man defense allowing Indiana scored on 10 of the first 12 possessions.  Coach K explained how fatigue subtly undermines defense.  The premise is self-evident, but the detail is illuminating.  “We got back at nine in the morning on Monday and flew out Tuesday after classes.  This team is running on fumes.  When they are tired, they don’t talk.  They do not talk!  They talk to themselves and that’s how we played most of the game.   We wanted to win, but we were in ‘this is what I have to do’ instead of ‘this is what we have to do’.  When you talk, you command yourself to more decisive movement.  You might switch but if you don’t talk, it’s soft.  But If you yell, your body responds.  That’s one of the things we have to teach is to be able to talk and command when we are tired.”  Coach K pointed out that in all of the games, the defense in last 10 minutes is better, and explained.  His four freshmen are just learning how to manage a game.  The need to learn to play in 4 minute stretches.  The defense at the end is better because they know “this is the last four minutes. We’ve been the better team in the last four minutes.  It’s a good four minutes to be the better team.”

Coach K recognizes the defense has a long way to go.  “We need time to fix things.  With a young group, our habits not well defined yet.  Only way to develop a habit is to practice. We need to get more definition on how to run our offense and our defense.  We are a work in progress, but a good work in progress.  We are learning habits.  The main habit we learned in this stretch is how to win.  Not a bad habit to develop.”

Ok, Coach, I’m mollified… until the conference starts.

The Rotation

The starting lineup is playing big minutes, even though the bench seems talented and efficient when in the game.  Coach K said he needs to develop a starting unit.  “The primary people to develop are the people who will be playing big minutes in close games. If you don’t get those people ready to play big minutes in big games, you won’t win.  It is intense training for starters.  I’m trying to develop my unit, and then we’ll bring in Marques, Javin and Alex.  But I want my starters to know how it feels to play 30 minutes and win.  I think that’s what you need if you are going to win big.”  Coach K’s “3 stalwarts” – Duval (38), Bagley (38), and Allen (40) played 116 of a possible 120 minutes.  The bench produced five points.  DeLaurier  had a basket for a deuce in 10 minutes; only four in the second half. O’Connell  scored 2 points in 7 minutes; only 2 in the second half.  Marques (1-2 from the line for his only point) played 9; 5 in the second half, but made what Coach K called “the play of the game” when he dove on the floor to secure a loose ball that seemed to belong to Indiana.  With 7 minutes to go in the game, it sparked Duke.  “Ironically, we said at half time, if we dive on the ball we’ll win.  I’ wouldn’t have bet on Marquez to be the guy, but he did.”  He likened it to Grayson’s dramatic loose ball grab in the 2015 National championship game.  “It sparked the whole team.  Marquez also contributed 2 steals and a block.  I am watching his defense improve dramatically.  I am slowly climbing on the Bolden bandwagon.

Carter is, as advertised, a beast.  He eventually fouled out, but recorded a double/double (18 points and 12 boards) in only 24 minutes.  Trent is in a shooting slump (0-6 from deep; 1-8 before he scored a crucial basket on a great feed from Marvin at the end).  He is Duke’s best foul shooter so far (5-5 last night; over 20 straight on the season).  He received praise from his coach, who pointed out that freshmen who hit a shooting slump, do not keep playing at a high level.  “That’s not Gary.”  He’s made key steals and been at his best when the game has been on the line.

Grayson was back to being Grayson last night.  He scored 21 on 12 shots, including 5-5 from the line.  His step back 3; a fade away 2 and assists to Bagley were critical in the win.  Marvin led Duke in scoring with 23 [10-15; 0-2 from deep; and 3-4 from the line] to go with 10 boards.  Duval chipped in with 15 and had 6 assists without a turnover.  Only Trent (9 points) of the starters was not in double figures.

Winning Time

The score was tied at 75 with 4:45 to go.  With 2 minutes left, Duke led by 9 and the game had been won.  It started with Indiana’s big man, Davis, missing a pair of free throws after being fouled by Carter.  Grayson got the rebound, to Tre, who found Carter for a dunk and a 3 point play the old-fashioned way.  78-75.  After Davis made 2 foul shots, Grayson hit his step back 3 that was a dagger.  81-77.  Davis missed 2 more.  Grayson fed Marvin for a basket at 3:16 and a 6-point lead.  Trent then made his critical basket and foul shot on a great feed from Marvin for a commanding 9 point lead with only 2:24 left.  Grayson then sealed the deal with his step back 2 for an 11-point lead with only 1:33 remaining.  Game over.

Assessment at end of November

This team has shown heart and poise in winning 9 games in 20 days, including taking down #2 (then) Michigan State, (#7 Florida) and establishing a winning habit as the games wind down.  Usually freshmen need to learn to win.  This team will improve its play, but the heart and will to win are good signs.

Duke 96 –  South Dakota 80

Coach K has often declared that Grayson Allen is not a good shooter, he is a great shooter. To prove the point, Grayson had one of those games today like the ones recently against Michigan State and last year against UNLV. For the first ten minutes or so he outscored the entire South Dakota team on a variety of shots as the Crazies chanted “Grayson’s winning”, ending up with 25 points in 26 minutes. What is often overlooked, Allen is also a very good defender. Today, he held Matt Mooney, the Coyote’s leading scorer and coming of a 30 point game, to three points.

The Blue Devil defense was  pretty good in the 56-30 first half. However, it was sloppy the 40-50 second half. Coach took part of the blame by saying that he didn’t help his team as much as he could have the second half because he played his bench 46 of those available 100 player-minutes and that the biggest thing he has to develop is his starting five and he spends most of his time developing these five. They’re the guys who will play together and need to develop chemistry. But today, he wanted to get minutes for the bench. So, a lot of the sloppy second half was him making a lot of changes.

Javin DeLaurier and Alex O’Connell are two young reserves who are really fun to watch. Both bring an uncommon combination of energy, enthusiasm, and athleticism to the floor. Alex is a natural shooter and Javin, an exceptional 6’10” athlete, has developed a much better touch as you can see in his free throw mechanics—and they will both be back next year.

A double/double is usually noteworthy unless your name is Marvin Bagley, in which case it is what you average. Wendell Carter usually does the same but he keeps getting called for silly touch fouls and that  recently has limited his playing time. After rarely turning the ball over, the last few games Tre Duval has been uncharacteristically sloppy in his ball handling. Gary Trent is struggling to find his jump shot—he even missed a free throw today—but it has not affected other phases of his game. Bolden and Goldwire remain an uneven work in process.

After ten games, two-cross-country flights, and two big second-half comebacks in 22 days, the Duke Blue Devils are 10-0 and ranked #1 .

Other comments:

  • Coach K: “I think what we’ve learned is we have two of the exceptional players in America in Marvin and Grayson, We’ve won and we’ve played, at times, great but at other times, young. Hopefully we play great more than the other, and we have, but we’ve gained a lot of experience. It’s been really good; can it be better? Yeah. Can it be worse? Hell yes, it can be a lot worse. It could be a hell of a lot worse than it can be better.”
  • Tre Duval: “It’s tough, definitely tough. Doing work, doing homework on the road, on the bus and the plane. “Study hall after big games, big wins, but it’s all part of it and it’s something I can deal with.”
  • Corey Alexander, the outstanding UVA guard in the early 1990’s, was a knowledgeable

Alan Adds:

Duke’s 10th game in 22 days was a tale of two halves.  In the first 14:11 of the game, the Blue Devils played an almost perfect game in building a 26-point lead (46-20).  Grayson and Bagley III were jaw droppingly dominant.  Grayson returned to his Michigan State form, scoring 25 — 19 in Duke’s 56 point first half outburst [8-11; 4-5 from 3land 5-6 from the line] to go with 4 boards and 2 steals in just 26 minutes. He took only 2 shots in the second half (hitting a 3 and going 3-4 from the line).  And, as both Bill and Coach K noted, Grayson was the primary defender against SD’s best scorer, who was kept completely ineffective.  Bagley, in 28 minutes (only 11 in the second half) scored 19 on an efficient 11 shots (8-11; 1-2 from 3land; and 2-4 from the line) and grabbed 12 boards to go with 2 steals and 3 blocks.  This kind of performance was what led Coach K to emphasize, “We have 2 of the exceptional players in America.  The third member of the trio that Coach K has identified as the heart of his team, Tre Duval, had a scintillating first half (6 assists; a single turnover), but was a bit sloppy in the second half (2 assists and 3 turnovers).  He played 16 minutes in each half, scoring 14 (5-8; 1-2 from behind the arc; 3-4 from the line.  He continued his defensive ball hawking with 2 steals.  Coach K summing up, “We’re 10-0 with this schedule.”

Carter played only 16 minutes, picking up 2 first half fouls. He had 6 (3-8) and 4 defensive rebounds.  Coach K conceded that Trent did not have a good game.  He hasn’t been shooting well, and that continued against SD (3-10; 1-3; and shockingly missed his only foul shot) in his 24 minutes.  Coach K thinks his shooting slump finally got to him in a way it has not in big games.

Coach K started to develop his bench in the second half.  Bolden and O’Connell logged 17 game time minutes, while Javin played 15 and Goldwire 14.  Javin’s game is worth talking about because he scored 13 points (5-6 from the field and 3-4 from the line) to go with 9 rebounds and 2 assists in those foul plagued 15 minutes.  His time on the court ended with his 5th foul.  Alex gives a good feeling and energy even when he does not light up the box score (4 points, but 3 turnovers).  O’Connell has surprising hops and grabbed 3 rebounds.  Marques is an enigma.  He shows such promise and then seems to have brain cramps.  He was 2-4 with 3 rebounds, but his 6 turnovers – traveling and being stripped by the double team – tarnished his play.  He is improving, and has the potential to really add firepower to this team.  However, he needs a better basketball IQ to go with his high energy.

It is worth noting that for the last 25 minutes and 49 seconds of the game, South Dakota outscored Duke 60-50.  Each team scored 10 in the last 5:49 of the first half; SD outscored Duke 50-40 in the second half when Coach K was giving his bench players desperately needed minutes.

The positive that I took from those scintillating first 14 minutes was the high level of Duke’s man to man defense.  Duke switched everything, but this time there were no easy lanes to the basket.  SD made some long shots, but Duke – at least against this level of competition – dramatically improved its man to man team defense.  The bigs protected the rim as they have not previously.  It was team defense, even on SD’s leading scorer.  With a 26 point lead, it is human nature that the intensity of the defense faded — giving up 50 second half points to a team like South Dakota is not scintillating defense.

There are two more games before exam breaks:  St Francis (Pa.) on Tuesday night at 9 followed by the conference opener at BC next Saturday (Dec. 9) at noon.

DUKE 124 – ST. FRANCIS 67

If this had been a prize fight, it would have been stopped before the  71-34 half and declared a TKO. Anyway, there is no way I can top Alan’s take on the game so I will only add a few comments:  a school-record 34 assists… Gary Trent Jr.(anyone who can hit 90% from the free throw line can shoot the basketball) hit 4 of 6 threes. … Allen,  who had been nursing a now “100 percent” wrist injury, hit all his seven shots…When Allen and Trent are both hitting threes, this is a much more lethal offensive team…Javin DeLaurier looks more and more that if he is patient, he will be a breakout college star…Marvelous Marv had a “what else is new” double/double…Actually what else is new is that Nike is naming a building on their Beaverton, Oregon campus after Duke Coach Mike Krzyzewski.

Alan adds:

I do not want to underestimate the quality of the Blue Devil performance because the opposition simply was not big enough or talented enough to truly compete.  I told Bill that it reminded me of the Globetrotters when they were a great basketball team – Goose, Marquis et. al – playing the Washington Generals.  It was that big a mismatch, except that St. Francis was picked to win their league.  It was an amazing performance by Duke, even if the opposition had been The Little Sisters of the Poor.  The big 3 (Coach K’s designation; not mine) – Bagley, Allen and Duval – were superb.  Duval had 9 assists and 0 turnovers.  He is special.  His turnovers are sometimes breathtaking attempts.

Coach K used the second half to give his bench minutes.  No player played double figure minutes except Bagley (11).  Jordan Tucker was the second-high scorer in the second half.  DeLaurier, O’Connell and Bolden continue to impress.  Bolden put up career numbers (17 points) and many good moments on both ends.  However, the diminutive size of St. Francis makes me want to see a similar quality performance against a quality team before I know he can be counted on in crucial moments.

In short, it was a great tune-up for the Conference competition that begins this Saturday.  As Coach K said, “We are 11-0; now we are 0-0.”  Noon on Saturday,

 Duke 89 – Boston College 84

Well, you sensed this was going to happen, hopefully sooner or later. Marvin and the Miracles came out flat again but this time ran out of miracles in Chestnut Hill. The irony is that it looked as though they had pulled out another miracle by rallying from ten down in the second half to take a four point lead with three minutes to go– and the ball. Winning Time: Hit a shot and Duke goes up by six or seven points. Rather than getting the ball to the right player, the wrong player took (for him) a low percentage three. BC took the rebound, hits a three, and it’s a one a one point game. That’s a five or six point turnaround. What a difference! At some points in a game, some shots are more important than others. This was one of those junctures and this was one of those shots. Close games are determined by players who know how to make winning plays and close out a game. Duke fans are used to having their players make them. However, inexperience, poor defense, and the basketball gods finally determined “enough is enough” as the Eagles outplayed Duke for the last 180 seconds– as well as most of the game. That doesn’t often happen to seasoned Duke teams. As a basketball fan, you have to admire how well the Eagles played in executing their game plan.  They certainly deserved the win.

What this game really demonstrated is that as talented and deep as this team is, it is still young and inexperienced. For every opponent, this is their biggest game and although more talented, the Blue Devils cannot come out flat thinking they can turn it on at will at any time. They have to play hard and smart on every possession. Why create a foul lane violation costing one point with a 90% (Trent) shooter on the line? Why make an intentional flagrant 1 foul in the last minute which gives the opponent two shots and the ball? Duke was in the bonus with 16 minutes to go, in the double bonus with nine to go. Why not pound the ball into the paint where the Blue Devils have a distinct advantage? Duke turned the ball over two times in the game’s final three minutes, while Boston College’s Jerome Robinson hit two clutch 3-pointers.  Why was Duke outscored  and outrebounded in the paint by a team playing four guards and a backup center?

To further put this loss in perspective, Boston College (6-3) played out of their mind at home. Duke (10-0) got only 15 from Bagley, 14 from Allen, and 10 from Carter– and still were in a position to win. For sure, a wake-up call/teachable moment. As always, Next Play!

The numbers tell the story:

Duke      BC

32           31    2’s

  8           15    3’s  

34          35    rebounds

13           18    assists

11            17     turnovers

10            3     steals

 

Other Comments:

  • How bad was the Blue Devil defense? Boston College entered the game ranked 265th in the nation with a three point conversion rate of less than 32 percent. Today, they shot 58%. 10 of Boston College’s 35 rebounds were offensive rebounds that led to 15 second chance points.
  • Ky Bowman (Havelock, NC), the fearless 6’1” point guard who almost had a triple/triple (30-10-9), turned down a football scholarship at UNC to play basketball at Boston College. So far, the sophomore has gone for 33 against UNC and now 30 against Duke. How can a player this good, growing up in your backyard, not get a basketball scholarship offer in his own state?
  • The good news: Freshman guard Gary Trent Jr., seems to have found his shooting touch. He finished with a season-high 25 points for Duke.
  • The Blue Devils made their late run with Javin DeLaurier on the floor. Unfortunately, he fouled out in the final minutes.
  • It was the 3,000th game for the Duke basketball program. Krzyzewski had been going for his 500th win away from Cameron Indoor Stadium, and his 400th regular-season ACC win. Duke had been 20-2 against BC all-time, and 16-1 in ACC play, with the other loss coming in Boston in 2009. Since then, the Blue Devils have beaten the Eagles 11 times in a row.

Alan Adds: 

Alan is lost somewhere in Margaritaville (aka Key West) and will file his report when he recovers.

Hey, he emerges: “I am sitting sipping coffee and watching the sun sparkle on the water in Key West. After watching the game here with my friend Josh Treem (a Baltimore lawyer and reader of DBP) I told him that I would never watch another game with him.  It must have been his fault (Duke Law; not undergrad).  Of course, I received email right after the game from my BC law partners asking when this DBP edition would be available.  I will recover and send the Alan Adds on the BC game in the near term.”

DUKE 104 – EVANSVILLE 40 

‘Twas a few nights before Christmas, but let’s not get snug in our beds and have visions of a championships dancing in our heads. Let’s remember Duke beat St. Francis 124-67 before losing to Boston College 89-84 and next up is undefeated #11 Florida State, who always plays Duke tough. Lose that game and the Blue Devils are 0-2 in ACC play before the new year begins—a tough conference hole to climb out of this early in the season.

Obviously, the Duke coaches had the players use these eleven days to reflect upon the fact that they cannot count on outscoring every team every game and that making a commitment to team defense is all that is keeping them from living up to their hype and being an every game dominant team. Even with their two injured key starters, the 10-2 Purple Aces (can’t wait to learn whom this name offends) would be overmatched. Without them, the game could have been called a no-contest TKO at the 58-18 half. However, the new normal in college basketball is that better not take any team for granted as #5 Carolina learned tonight as Wofford accomplished what Clemson has never, ever been able to do—beat the Tar Heels in the Dean Dome!

Starting slowly has been a problem for these Blue Devils and tonight was no different. They started with an ineffective half court man-to-man as the Aces match the Devils shot for shot. After three minutes, Coach K apparently decided that he seen this movie too many times, so he substituted Bolden, O’Connell, and Goldwire and called for a full court press. Duke not only got stops, they got blocks and steals, turning both into fast breaks. Game, set, match as Duke went on a breathtaking 69-18 run over the next twenty minutes.

When a pressing defense is going well, scoring becomes easier. Conversely, when it is not played well, scoring becomes easier for the opponent. Tonight, the Blue Devils looked like the Golden State Warriors. Bagley and Carter were 5-9 from beyond the arc, even Robinson was 2-4. That’s as many as the entire team made against Boston College. If Marvin and Wendell can hit around 40% consistently from beyond the arc, this big man very high/low set makes a team that leads the country in scoring all the more offensively lethal. More importantly, if they can defend and share the ball like they did tonight–the Blue Devils blocked nine shots, had 32 assists, and forced 21 turnovers turning them into 39 points — they are competing on an entirely different level.

Team captain Grayson Allen spoke like the veteran that he is by noting: “I’m definitely happy with tonight. Hopefully, we don’t have short-term memory loss and don’t forget it all. But that’s the best game of team defense we’ve had. What we did tonight has to become our habit, something we do all the time, tired or not, making shots or not.” 

Javin DeLaurier did not play because he had a minor hamstring pull so Justin Robinson, David’s son, took his spot in the rotation. Coach K referred to him as JRob, a valuable force multiplyer (attribute or a combination of attributes that dramatically increases the effectiveness of a group, giving a given number of troops or other personnel the ability to accomplish greater things than without it) for the scout team. 

Alan Adds:

In the friendly confines of Cameron, against a depleted team of less athletic and smaller players, Duke played as close to a perfect game – including defensively – as a college team can.  This was a wonderful improvement from the porous defense Duke displayed against Boston College eleven days ago, and would be cause for unmitigated celebration if Duke hadn’t played close to a perfect game against St. Francis (124-67) just 3 days before the woeful performance against BC.  After the St. Francis game, I wrote, “I do not want to underestimate the quality of the Blue Devil performance because the opposition simply was not big enough or talented enough to truly compete.  I told Bill that it reminded me of the Globetrotters when they were a great basketball team – Goose, Marquis et. al – playing the Washington Generals. It was an amazing performance by Duke, even if the opposition had been The Little Sisters of the Poor.”  The point is that while this game was a satisfying in every aspect for Duke fans, the real issue for this team is whether it can play real defense against teams the caliber of Florida State (next game, in Cameron, on December 30).

Jacob Rupert, who owned the Yankees in 1920s, said his favorite type of game was when the Yankees scored 9 runs in the first inning, “and then slowly pulled away.”  Duke’s win over Evansville was like that.  The offense was dazzling (32 assists on 39 field goals; Duval and Goldwire had 15 assists between them and only a single turnover).  Carter scored 27 points in only 18 minutes of action.  Duke shot lights out (62% from the field; 62% from behind the arc; and, 77% from the line (it would have been 10-11 if Tre had not gone 0-2 on the first possession of the game).  However, it is the defense that deserves our scrutiny.

Evansville scored on 3 of its first four possessions and led 7-5 after 2:42 of play.  Coach K yanked Duval, Trent and Carter in favor of Bolden, O’Connell and Goldwire.  The change in the intensity of Duke’s defense was immediate and endured for the next 20 minutes in jaw dropping fashion.  Consider:  for the last 17:18 of the first half until 17:18 remained in the second half – 20 minutes of basketball – Evansville was held to 11 points!  Duke’s full court pressure flummoxed Evansville point guard challenged offense for steals and transition runouts (The Purple Aces were playing with the third string guards because of injuries to their 2 best ones).  Duke had 13 steals and 9 blocks (Bolden 3, led the way; Bagley 2; O’Connell, Carter, Vrankovich and Justin Robinson each had one).  Total domination.

Coach K was pleased that his team “played hard”.  He said the team practiced hard – emphasizing an improved defense – and played the way it has been practicing.  Evansville was leading the nation in 3-point accuracy (53%) coming into the game.  Coach K’s defensive plan was to limit the Evansville 3-point attack.  Evansville was 1-6 in the first half from 3 (late goals made the second half stats look respectable, but Duke was deep into its bench, playing zone, when the Aces hit a few).  The Aces scored only 3 2-point goals in the second half, and shot only 30% from the field for the entire game.

It is worth noting that the bench made some spectacular plays and was playing hard regardless of the score.  With the game well in hand, Goldwire dove into the stands to save a ball heading out of bounds, made a circus pass for recovery that led to Alex’s clean jumper.  Bolden made a superb block, which led to a full court pass to the streaking O’Connell for the dunk.  Bolden had 6 boards, 1 fewer than team leading 7 by Carter, and played excellent defense, making good switches and protecting the rim.  In my view, this was a significant improvement.  Bolden will be an important piece of the puzzle moving forward, I predict.

Justin Robinson got more playing time than usual (and praise from Coach K) because a tight hamstring kept Javin DeLaurier out of action.  Coach K said it wasn’t serious and that Javin will be ready for Florida State.  Let’s hope the entire Duke team is ready.  A second conference loss would be a bad sign, omen and result.

Duke 100 -Florida State 93

I don’t know about anyone else but I may need a new pacemaker, because the one I have is about worn out watching Marvelous Marv and the Miracles living life on the edge. How does a team expect to rally again in the final minutes when all four starting freshmen have four fouls, cannot defend, consistently hit free throws (56%) or threes (27%) ? Apparently, Santa didn’t bring them cliff notes on defense and the break wasn’t long enough for the coaches to help them. Holding an opponent to 49 halftime points is not a recipe for winning games unless you can hold them to only 44 until  the last three minutes of the game, then shut them out—and score 55 yourself. 100 beats 93. That’s the heart stopping “Let’s keep the fans in their seats and the ratings up” approach they used against  Indiana, Portland State, Texas and Florida. Well, three minutes of defense is better than nothing—or was it just a regression to the mean of threes or had the Seminole players arms gone dead jacking up 32 long threes. Whatever the reason, both teams played well enough to win: The game was tied seven times, saw fourteen lead changes, and not a single double-digit lead.

In an interesting role reversal–Duke had a size advantage and Florida State relied on threes:  Bagley & Carter together out rebounded the entire Seminole team 37-35, while the Seminoles made more threes 15-8. That’s a 21 point differential–and factor in Bagley & Carter only making 7-17 free throws. How does a team overcome the disparity in these offensive imbalances?

Well, you start with Marvin Bagley having a marvelous, historic 32 point and 21 rebound game; Wendell Carter adding 14 and 16; Allen going for 22 and 6 assists; Trent chipping in 13; then Duval coming alive and taking over in the last five minutes to be responsible for 13 of Duke’s final 16 points. Alex O’Connell was the only effective bench player. In nine minutes, he made an important three and a creative baseline drive and assist to an open Allen for a three. He clearly is earning more playing time.

One of the lessons from the loss to Boston College was that the offense is most effective attacking the rim or running through Marvin Bagley and not falling in love with quick threes. Any three is a higher percentage shot when created as a by-product of attacking or kicking out an offensive rebound. During winning drive, of  the Blue Devil’s final twelve field goals, all but one were drives, layups, or dunks. Another lesson was how to play with fouls. “You’ve got learn how to do it,” Krzyzewski said: “Over the years, we haven’t been a team that when a kid gets two fouls, we take him out and sit him, like it’s some kind of commandment. They have to learn. You’re not going to win a game without your big players. Tre came in some in the first half with two and played like he had two. I told him ‘you can’t do that.’ I’d rather not have you in the game. Then he got four and I told him you can’t play this last four minutes like you did in the first half. Be smart and be a man.” Duval just did that and took over the game. This is yet another example of Coach K being such an terrific in-the-moment bench coach. He has the capacity in real time to process the action and know how to give his player and team the confidence to make winning plays.

Other Observations:

Question: What does that tell you if you start a game playing zone and take the lead, then go to man-to-man and lose the lead, then (because of foul trouble) go zone in the last minutes and win the game?

  • After the Evansville blowout, Coach K referred to this team so far as being like a beach house—pretty to look at but questionable whether it is strong enough to stand up to a hurricane. Well, these players have proven that they are not only very, very talented but are also mentally very tough. Enjoy each game like you are watching your precocious child grow up, because if they ever learn to play decent defense, they will be champions. If not, enjoy the show!
  • Whatever happens, relish watching Bagley’s performances. He is a once in a lifetime talent. This was the first 30-20 game by a Duke player and just the fourth 30- 15 game under Coach K – Bagley has three of them (34-15 vs. Texas; 30-15 vs. Florida), with Christian Laettner (33-16 vs. Maryland in 1992) the other.
  • “It’s just heart,” Bagley said. “Whenever I see the ball bounce off the rim or a loose ball, I just want to get it for my team, to help my team in any way possible. Just jump up and fight for it and get every ball. That’s how I play the game.” He also has the athletic gift to bounce off the floor like a pogo stick. How many times have we seen him go up for a shot or a rebound, then go right back up for the ball before an opponent can gather himself to jump?
  • Carter recovered from an unnecessary fourth offensive foul, which had announcer and former player Clark Kellogg apoplectic in disbelief, to take a critical charge in the last minutes.

 

Alan Adds:

I echo Coach K, “ “It’s tough to describe that game. It was an amazing game. We couldn’t stop each other. The will to win was evident every second by both teams. They had magnificent performances, we did. If it would have gone a couple of more minutes, they might have won. It doesn’t get much better than what you saw today.”

It was a valuable learning experience for Duke’s young (for the four freshmen on the court at crunch time, each playing with four fouls, it was only their 14th collegiate game).  Coach K emphasized things one might not think about.  Playing in the first ACC game in Cameron, the crowd was a great 6th man.  “The crowd is going nuts after a Duke run, and time out.  The euphoria of the moment is incredible.  It is hard to get back to “next play” after the time out.  This group got to experience that about 3 times, and was able to continue on and win.”  Coach K called that a huge psychological moment for his group.

Tre Duval

Tre had a very difficult game in the early going.  He picked up two quick fouls, which limited both his playing time and his intensity when he came back into the game.  He played only 9 first half minutes as a result and scored only 5 points.  He was still tentative in the second half, picking up his fourth foul with 12:54 left in the game, a life time.  After the lesson, Coach K imparted (described by Bill, above), Tre returned to the game with 9:54 left.  I believe his play in the remaining time – he played the rest of the game – could be the under-the-radar moment to transform this team.  Coach K said that when Tre was on the bench, Duke’s offense did not execute quick enough, and the shot clock got them a couple of times.   Coach K told Tre to “No plays; just go.”  “And he went!”

With 6:27 left, he fed Carter for a layup; at 5:47 he fed Bagley for a dunk.  With Duke trailing by 4 with 4:53 left, the Seminole defense backed off and dared Tre to hit a trey. He hesitated and drained it to bring Duke within one, and then hit a twisting penetrating layup to give Duke a 1 point lead with 4:21 left.  He missed a layup and another 3-point attempt (the Seminoles again left him open, daring him to shoot) before he hit a jumper to tie the game at 93 with 2:58 left.  Duval hit Carter with a great pass for a dunk with 2:30 left for a 95-93 lead.  Tre then hit another twisting layup with 1:41 left, giving Duke a 97-93 lead.  After Bagley went 1-2 from the line, Tre fed Carter for the emphatic game sealing dunk with 22 seconds left.  You can see why Coach K said, “And he went!”

The defense

The way Duke practiced in order to try and increase its defensive efficiency was that the first group could go on offense only after a stop, steal or turnover (on the playground, it’s called winner’s out).  For the first 6 or seven minutes Duke played superb defense, but couldn’t stop Florida State’s outside shooting even though the shots were contested.  The Seminoles did not penetrate as other teams have done, and did not get into the paint.  Somehow, the Seminole hot shooting in the face of good defense took Duke’s intensity. The Seminoles began to drive and score in the paint.  Duke’s defense dissolved into giving up 49 points in the first half.  Phil Coffer had 22 in the first half [his dad played 11 seasons in the NFL and his mother started under Pat Summit at Tennessee – good pedigree].  Duke’s zone was a shade more effective than the man to man but Florida State scored almost at will throughout the first half.

At winning time, Duke had to play zone in the effort to protect the four freshmen, each playing with four fouls (none fouled out!!!).  Duke did a “decent job”, but as Bill pointed out, the law of averages (and perhaps the intensity of the game and of the moment) caught up with the Seminole outside shooters, who finally missed 3 in a row deep 3s down the stretch.  With 3:30 left, the Seminoles had 93 points.  3:30 later, Florida State still had 93 points.   Perhaps the defense’s best play of the game was Carter drawing the charge with 2:08 left to play.  It was a great play – gutsy too since Carter had four fouls at the time, and Duke led by only 2.  Coffer missed a 3 and Angola missed 2 from deep, as Duke iced this wonderful game.

The rotation

Coach K explained why he kept his starters, playing with 4 fouls, in the game.  “You won’t win without your best players in the game.  They have to learn how to play hard with four fouls.  You cannot simulate this in practice.  The result was very little participation or help from the bench.  In the second half, only Alex O’Connell played much (8 minutes; 3 points (1-2 from deep) and two assists – one to Grayson that was beautiful.  DeLaurier played 2 minutes and Bolden 1.  The bench only scored 3 (on Alex’s shot) for the entire game.  Grayson played 40 minutes; Marvin 39 (a 1 minute break in the first half).  Trent played 37 minutes (19 in the second half), while Carter logged 33 minutes (17 in the second half).

The offense

Duke rebounded like crazy, but shot abysmally.  One of the reasons for Duke’s astounding number of offensive rebounds, is the astounding number of missed shots.  Duke was 2-12 from deep in the first half.  For the game, Grayson was 3-10; Duval was 1-5; Trent 2-9.  Others attempted 3s as well: DeLaurier 0-1; Bagley 1-2 (and the one he made from the corner was a biggie); Goldwire 0-1; Alex 1-2.  Duke had 18 more rebounds and controlled the backboards.  When all is said and done, it was the domination of Bagley and Carter on the boards that was the biggest fact in Duke’s win.  Bagley grabbed 11 offensive rebounds, seven in the second half. Carter had 7 offensive rebounds while FSU had only nine for the game.  However, Carter and Bagley missed 10 free throws between them, which is ugly.  Grayson gives Duke what it needs when the Devils need it.  He scored 22 (5-9 from inside the arc and 3-4 from the line) to go with a game high 6 assists (2 turnovers) and 3 boards.

The Season

This was an excellent win, but think about how devastating a second consecutive ACC loss – this one in Cameron – would have been.  Duke travels to Raleigh next Saturday.  The key to this season will be how Duke does on the road in the ACC.  It sure is being fun.

Duke 85 – N.C. State 96

In the beginning, North Carolina State Coach Everett Case created Tobacco Road Basketball. He brought the passion and players of Indiana hoops to the old Southern Conference (which had been basically a football centric conference) that in 1954 morphed into the Atlantic Coast Conference. In all, he won ten (Southern & ACC) conference titles, initiated the iconic Dixie Classic Tournament, the now common practice of dimming lights to spotlight player introductions, cutting down the nets after a championship, and, at the end, instructed his body to be laid facing US Highway 70 so he could “wave” to later Wolfpack teams as they traveled to play North Carolina, Duke, and Wake Forest. This passion and intensity for winning basketball games produced a competitive response from the neighboring schools: the UNC/Frank McGuire 1957 32-0 NCAA Championship team (of New Yorkers), the ten year Duke/Vic Bubas (a Case protégé) era of the 1960’s national prominence, the seemingly endless North Carolina/Dean Smith dynasty (briefly interrupted by the David Thompson/State years and the Jim State/ Jim Valvano Show & National Championship), and now the record breaking Duke/Coach K era of the 1990’s forward. Other schools—Maryland, Virginia, Georgia Tech– have had a season or so in the sun but more often than not for the last sixty or so years a successful season was determined by just upsetting Duke or North Carolina. However, a visiting team’s degree of difficulty is nothing compared the ferocity of rivalry between State, UNC, and Duke. These alums and fans live next to one another and revel in each win against a bitter rival. Unless you have lived there, you have no idea of the intensity of the feelings. It’s partly a southern thing: Dukies are Damn Yankees, State is an agricultural school of farmers, Chapel Hill people are arrogant, elitist aristocrats who run the state. It goes on and on. And to add insult to injury, N.C. State, whose coach started it all and had won more Conference & National Championships of any ACC school not named Duke or North Carolina, has been the school left behind in the ESPN hype that it’s only a Duke-Carolina rivalry. So, this game tonight was yet another reminder to ignore the records (Duke has won 46 of 56 meetings since 1991) and the betting line, anything can happen between the Tobacco Road rivals.

Marvin was Marvelous but the Miracles weren’t. This game demonstrated again that there are a lot of college players who, if not well guarded, can shoot the basketball, that Duke gets every team’s best shot, that ACC games are as intense as NCAA Tournament games, and that you do not want to face a talented team that has just been blown out and embarrassed in their previous game. While the Blue Devils are nationally ranked #1 in offensive efficiency, they are #75 in defensive efficiency. They have improved their free throw shooting, but  are not a consistently good three point shooting team, and defensive basics like blocking out  and weak side help might as well be a foreign language. As offensively talented as this team is, they cannot expect to win if there are 16 turnovers (Tre Duval 8; Bagley 5), Grayson scores in single digits, Bagley, Carter & Company are out rebounded, and they twice foul three point shooters. All these truisms are painful, fixable, teachable moments but there is a reason all recent NCAA Tournament champions have been manned by seasoned upper classmen, not young lottery picks who haven’t been in a college program long enough to learn how to play team defense.

Let’s be clear: State played smarter, harder, and more maturely than Duke. The Wolfpack Defense was exactly that. It disrupted everyone’s offense except for Bagley. The Pack are obviously talented and more than deserved the won. It is difficult to understand how they were just blown out at Notre Dame by thirty. But perhaps the college basketball season is mirroring the rest of the country: Donald Trump is president, no top team is undefeated, and Clemson is in first place in ACC Basketball. UNC and Duke both have one win and two losses. North Carolina lost to Florida State in Tallahassee and to UVA in Charlottesville for the fifth straight time. If you haven’t noticed, Virginia coach Tony Bennett is one of the best coaches in the country. How he wins with the talent he has is amazing. Maybe parity is coming—even to Tobacco Road. But it is a long season until March Madness and usually healthy talent and good coaching prevails.

Other Comments:

  • Tobacco Road name: Before league expansion, N.C. State, Wake, Duke, and Carolina were within 25 miles of one another and visiting teams often played a two game road trip. Hence, the name was lifted from the famous Erskine Caldwell novel about tough southern times of subsistence farming in the depression as an allegory for the difficulty of scratching out a win against these Carolina teams.
  • In its last three trips to PNC Arena as a #2 nationally ranked team, the final scene was the same for the Blue Devils: Duke headed to the locker room as a sea of red rushed onto the floor like their team won the national championship.
  • Reverting to type: Coach K commented that Duke is not deep and in tight games you have to have your best players on the floor. DeLaurier and O’Connell played briefly but got a quick hook because of mistakes. Marques Bolden had a sprained knee and did not play. Stay tuned.

Alan Adds:

UVA beat UNC in Charlottesville yesterday 61- 49.  The “Heels scored 49 points against a very good defense in 40 minutes.  In the second half. NC State scored 53 points against a porous Duke defense in only 20 minutes.  This is now a continuous and fundamental problem.  Duke cannot defend.  Some quotes from early games against quality opponents [I love to quote myself; I once did it in a brief to the United States Supreme Court] shows how serious and continuing the problem has been and is.

Pre-Season:  The issues will be team chemistry and DEFENSE!  One of the reasons that the last two NCAA champions have had no “One and Done”s is that it takes time (years) to become a great defensive TEAM.  In 2015, Duke became that great defensive team in time for the NCAA tournament.  It was a turnaround – remember that while Duke won the National Championship that year, it did not win either the ACC regular season or tournament.  So, no doubt Duke has talent (top six plan to play in the NBA next year), but whether that talent coalesces into a great team remains to be seen.

Texas : The first and most important takeaway from the initial two games of the PK 80 tournament is that Duke’s defense is in shambles and whether or not it can be improved is the key issue for the early (or late) season.  Duke has been a defensive disaster so far, this season, and Texas exploited that completely.  Duke’s transition defense stunk.  Texas guards blew through the man to man for easy layups.  [Rotation seemed like a dirty word].  When Duke went to the zone, Texas carved it up like a Thanksgiving Turkey.

Florida: How do you explain a first half where Duke could not and did not defend at all?  Florida rolled to a 53 point first half [18-36 from the field; 7-13 from behind the arc; and 10-11 from the line].  The Duke defense has not been defending well against mediocre and pretty good teams.  Florida is better than anyone Duke has played so far, including Michigan State.  For that half, Florida seemed faster, quicker and smarter, going through the Duke defense like a hot knife through butter.

Indiana:  During the early stages of the game, I was fulminating at the porousness of Duke’s man to man defense.  In the second half, Duke opened with a man to man defense allowing Indiana scored on 10 of the first 12 possessions.  Coach K recognizes the defense has a long way to go.  “We need time to fix things.  With a young group, our habits not well defined yet.  Only way to develop a habit is to practice. We need to get more definition on how to run our offense and our defense”.

I note that Duke had the practice time in December, playing only 3 games (2 competitive ACC games).  It does not seem the practice time has improved the defense.

Fla. State: The way Duke practiced in order to try and increase its defensive efficiency was that the first group could go on offense only after a stop, steal or turnover (on the playground, it’s called winner’s out).  For the first 6 or seven minutes Duke played superb defense, but couldn’t stop Florida State’s outside shooting even though the shots were contested.  The Seminoles did not penetrate as other teams have done, and did not get into the paint.  Somehow, the Seminole hot shooting in the face of good defense took Duke’s intensity. The Seminoles began to drive and score in the paint.  Duke’s defense dissolved into giving up 49 points in the first half.

BC:  I could feel the lack of Duke intensity from the opening tip off in the first half.  Defense is in large measure about intensity.  Duke scored 84; 41 in the first half – offense was not the problem.  Duke was beyond terrible defensively in the first half, giving up 48 points.  Duke started in a man to man, which BC’s back court simply ate up with ball movement.  On BC’s first three 3-point attempts, there was not even a Duke defender in the TV picture at the moment of release.  Once, BC established its blazing heat from beyond the arc (11-16 in the first half for an unworldly 69%), the brilliant BC backcourt penetrated at will.  Duke was forced to a zone, which has been a game changer for Duke in the early season going.  Duke’s zone, for example, turned the Michigan State game around.  I do not think Duke got one stop in its zone defense.  BC attacked it brilliantly – the medium range game that BC’s guards played to destroy the zone was like watching a Balanchine ballet.  Duke looked like the audience (in watching Springtime for Hitler).

NC State: Let’s remember NC State has been mediocre or worse so far this season, losing to Northern Iowa 64-60; UNC-Greensboro 81-76; Notre Dame 88-58; Clemson 78-62; and Tennessee 67-58.  State scored over 62 in those games only once (76 in the loss to UNC-Greensboro).  The Wolfpack were 0-2 in conference play going into the Duke game.  Against that team, Duke “held” NC State to 55% shooting in the second half (18-33; 15 -26 inside the arc, meaning NC State only missed 9 from inside the arc), and 96 for the game.  Moreover, Duke committed 21 fouls, providing the Wolfpack with 21 free points (21-23 for the game).  While the offense floundered (Bagley had 20 of Duke’s 44 second half points) with shoddy guard play – 10 assists against 16 turnovers (8 by Duval), it was the defense that left Coach K without eloquence or explanation in the press conference.   He was, of course asked about Duke’s defense.  “What do you want me to say?  We were horrible defensively?  We have to work on it…We played crappy defense.  If we don’t fix it, we’ll lose again.  I’ll tell you, it’s not working.”  Duh!

Duke did not get any offensive punch from its backcourt.  Grayson played 39 minutes, scoring only 8 points (3 in the critical second half on his only made 3; he was 2-4 from the floor without a 3 point attempt and 1-2 from the line for 5 first half points).  In the critical second half, he was 1-5; 1-4 from 3land.  Duke will not win without a more efficient Grayson.  Trent was 4-14; 1-5 from deep; only his 5-5 from the line got him to double figures (11 for the game).  Duval, although scoring 18 on 8-14, but 1-4 from deep, had 3 more turnovers than assists, hardly star point guard performance.  Duke as a team was 3-15 from deep (1-6 in the first half).  The decrease in accuracy from deep has been a trend.  Grayson and Trent were efficient from behind the arc in the early going, but have seemingly gone south from there.

Before I close, let me leave some hope.  Duke got blown out in embarrassing fashion at Raleigh in their 2015 championship year; Duke was routed in D.C. by Georgetown by almost 30 in 2010 (also a championship year).  There is much talent on this team; so, it is too early to give up on the Blue Devils, but this team will be more disappointing than last year’s team (I am in the minority in thinking last year was not disappointing) unless the defense coalesces, the fouling diminishes, and the bench lengthens.  Duke got 4 points from DeLaurier as its only bench points.  He played only 15 minutes, but fouled out at crunch time.  The Devils play their 3rd ACC road game on Wednesday against the worst ACC team (Pittsburgh).  A loss there is almost unthinkable.  The operative word in that sentence is “almost.”

DUKE 87 – PITTSBURG 52 

Maybe the Blue Devils needed a game like this, maybe not. If it is a let’s get serious, confidence building game, that is one thing. If it makes them over confident again, that is another. So far, Duke has not played well after a big blowout. That is a sign of a young team. Initially, their ACC schedule appeared to offer a soft take off:  At Boston College, Florida State, at N.C. State, at Pitt, Wake Forest , at Miami. Of these, only Florida State, and Miami appeared formidable. Well, rookies, welcome to the ACC!

Whatever transpired during the last three days—embarrassment, long film sessions, tough love practices—it paid off. The Devils  were much more energized and animated at both ends of the court. They yelled when they made a defensive stop. And after one offensive possession early in the game, the players slapped the floor, like some of Duke’s best defensive teams. ”You could hear a lot of the players, everybody actually, calling out screens,” Bagley said. ”Just everybody was talking and connecting and that allowed us to be more alert and to move as one, that really helped us a lot tonight.” Duke Jumped out to a 10-0 lead and never looked back. They held Pitt (8-9, 0-4) to just 24 points in the opening half. The Blue Devils limited the Panthers to shooting 33%, forced 15 turnovers, had 11 steals, 5 blocks, and 21 assists. The only thing that the team did not do well was shoot free throws: 7-18= 39%. You cannot afford to leave that many points off the board against good teams.

With Bolden and DeLaurier in street clothes, Coach K surprisingly substituted early and often using O’Connell, Robinson, White, Vrankovic, and Goldwire. Robinson had 3 three’s, O’Connell 2 as all of the bench players looked comfortable and played well. I am really impressed with everything about Alex O’Connell except his weight and his haircuts—must be a fraternity pledge thing. After Saturday’s game, the players better put on their Big Boy uniforms because the competition  gets bigger and better as they go to Miami, which will be one tough exam that will tell us a lot about the “process” that Coach K keeps emphasizing — learning winning habits and becoming a formidable team.

Grayson Allen, who has not played well in the two losses, was more aggressive and effective but is still not shooting well. When he misses free throws, you know he is struggling. On the other hand, Tre Duval three point shot is improving and Gary Trent is shooting with more confidence. However, as we all know, none of that will matter if the team does not play effective defense.

Alan Adds: 

I guess Duke got time to practice because the Devil defense was transformed.  Marvin concurred, “we have been talking about the last couple of practices. Starting the game off very well on defense and continuing to do it for 40 minutes … that was our big focus. That is what we did all practice on defense. We did that tonight and came out with a win.”   The game was 4:05 old before Pitt scored its first point.   Pitt did not break into double figures until half of the first half had been completed (10:01),  After 17 minutes had been played, Pitt had only 13 points!  You get the idea.  The Devils forced 10 turnovers, including 6 steals and 3 blocks in the first half.  The only downside in the defense was that 4 players finished the first half with 2 fouls – Allen, Trent, Carter and Duval. Duke kept up the intensity (though human nature drained just a bit), except for one brief stretch in the second half when more fouling caused a hiccup.  With less than a minute gone by in the second stanza, Carter picked up his 3rd.  Tre committed his 3rd 22 seconds later.    With only a bit over 2 minutes gone by, Carter committed foul # 4.  Less than 30 seconds later, Grayson was called for his 3rd.  To add insult to injury, Coach Capel was given a technical, which was Duke’s 5th team foul before 5 minutes of the second half had been played.  Duke’s once 30 point lead had dwindled to 17 when Coach K called time out.  Pitt was done after the time out.  First the starters and then the reserves quickly restored order and put the game away.  Aside from that 5 minute lapse, Bill correctly points to the Devil foul shooting as the only other negative.  Duke was 2-6 in the first half (Bagley 1-2; Duval 1-3 and O’Connell 0-1), and 5-12 in the final stanza (Bagley a shocking 1-6; Allen and Justin Robinson (each 1-2 had the other misses).

Duke’s scoring was balanced with 6 players in double figures and Alex O’Connell with 8.  Tre Duval bounced back with a terrific game.  In 26 minutes, he scored 14 on 5-8 from the field including a gaudy 3-5 from behind the arc to go with 3 assists (only a single turnover).  Bagley led the scoring with 16, but he was uncharacteristically in efficient, taking a team high 16 shots (7-16; 0-1 from deep and 2-9 from the stripe) to go with a team high 4 turnovers.  However, he dominated the boards, grabbing 16 in only 29 minutes.  He was the focal point of Pitt’s defense, which freed up the others to give Duke a superb offensive performance (50 first half points was impressive).  For the game, Duke had 21 assists and only 6 turnovers.  Wow!  Trent had a superb shooting night in the second half.  He scored 14 for the game in a game high 30 minutes; 11 in the second half when he flashed his medium range game to put Pitt away (5-8; 1-3 from deep) to go with 3 rebounds, 2 assists and a steal.  He played 18 second half minutes and was Duke’s best player in the last period.  He made a 3 in the first half.  Grayson played well, but is still off from behind the arc.  He scored 11 in 29 minutes, but was 2-9 from 3land and 1-2 from the line.  Inside the arc he was 2-3 to go with 4 rebounds; 4 assists (0 turnovers), a steal and some high energy, team inspiring defense.  Both Carter (10 points in 16 minutes) and the Admiral’s son (called JRob) were valuable.  JRob was an eye opener for me. Yes, in his 18 minutes, he hit 3-5 from deep; 1-2 from the line for his 10 points, but it was his energy on defense that caught my attention.  Everyone hustled and moved, but JRob was amazing.  He defended the rim (3 blocks) altered shots, made the right switches; and, erased bad plays of others.  I predict he will make it into the rotation – he will if he can play as he did tonight against top competition.    Alex scored his 8 in 16 minutes on perfect shooting (3-3; 2-2 from deep; oh, that missed free throw) to go with 2 tough boards and some energetic defense.  I have it on good authority that he has criticized Bill’s haircut in retaliation.  Goldwire contributed 16 solid minutes.  JRob’s ascending star eclipsed the absence of DeLaurier and Bolden.  How the rotation develops from here will be interesting.

Wake Forest at home on Saturday at noon is next up before what is shaping up as a crucial game at Miami on Martin Luther King’s Birthday at 7 pm on ESPN.  Is the defense really improved, or was it just that Pitt, like St. Francis and Evansville, did not have the horses to compete, as the top teams do.  Only time will tell.  Next Play.

DUKE 89 – WAKE FOREST 71 

No Coach K. No problem. Marvelous Marv had 30-11 (his 14th double-double in 17 games), Carter another double-double, Allen 8 assists & 12 rebounds but only 2 points, Trent  five straight threes as the team shot 52% from out there, (gasp) 79% from the line, and swept all the stat lines. However, there were some interesting un-Coach K like moves by substitute head coach Jeff Capel. He went primarily to a zone early on and pretty much stayed with it for the entire game and used more bench—JRob, Goldwire, O’Connell, White, and Vrankovic. The Blue Devils were active in the zone, deflecting several passes and holding Wake, a potentially explosive team, to shooting only 44% from the floor. For my taste, Alex O’Connell, despite a slim frame and bad haircut decisions, continues to demonstrate the rare combination of enthusiasm and multiple skill sets that enable him to be a game changer, much in the energetic way Grayson Allen was in the NCAA Championship game against Wisconsin. Today, immediately upon getting on the floor, Alex hit two consecutive threes to help gain separation from Wake. Jack White was the other reserve that showed well– he is big, strong, and savvy enough to play multiple positions. In the second half, he subbed for Carter and more than held his own. As soon as Bolden and DeLaurier recover from injuries, Duke will have a deep bench.

Grayson Allen says Duke prioritized getting the ball inside early and often: “We’re going to be focused on that every game, because that’s where our strength is. We feed the ball into them and see what the defense does. If it’s one-on-one, let them go to work. If not, we’ll move the ball around and find the next best shot. Attack, attack and don’t stop. Our bigs are so powerful, they’re going to challenge defenders at the rim and draw fouls.”

Monday night’s game at Miami will be a major test for this team. 

Other Comments:

  • Coach K is a flight time decision for the Miami game.
  • Bagley and Carter are getting more comfortable at the line. Both have a solid stroke and a soft shot. Trent continues to gain more confidence as he demonstrates the scoring touch that made his scholastic reputation.
  • Gary Trent was feeling so badly, he was a game time decision. However, he played 31 minutes and hit his consecutive threes after coming to the bench and throwing up in a bucket.
  • G Man (Mike Gminski), the reliable All American center from the 1970’s and pro-typical Duke student/athlete, was one of the announcers. He is sort of the anti-Dickie Vitale—lets you watch the game and only makes appropriate comments at the right time.
  • It has been 21 years since Wake Forest has beaten Duke in Cameron.

Alan Adds:

The Blue Devils were an awesome team at home in Cameron against a Wake Forest team that is not among the conference’s elite teams.  There were many aspects of the win that are worth extolling.  Bagley is amazing.  He only came out of the game when in the last 2 minutes when Duke’s lead was hovering around 20.  In 38 minutes, he scored 30 (11-21; 1-3 from deep; and valuable 7-8 from the line) to go with 11 boards; 3 assists; 3 blocks and 4 steals.  Some stat line, even though he took 21 shots and had 3 turnovers.  He and Grayson played almost the whole game, coming out only in the last minutes of garbage time.  Grayson is having trouble with his shot (0-5; 0-3 from deep; with his only points coming on 2 free throws early in the first half.  Capel, in his post-game press conference praised Allen for his effort, attitude, and all-around game on both ends.  “He showed leadership and maturity.  He was tremendous.  He was always about the team.”  He led the team in rebounding — more than either Bagley or Carter (12); and  in assists (8), more than Duval. Gary Trent was so sick that whether or not he played was a game time decision.  Yet he played 31 minutes and scored 19 on only 8 shots (6-8; 6-7 from deep – wow!; and 1-2 from the line) to with two tough rebounds, 2 steals and an assist (without a turnover).  He has played 3 great halves in a row, and seems to have returned to form.  Without Grayson’s shooting, Trent becomes a crucial factor.  Carter had his way while he was in there, but again had foul trouble, fouling out in 28 minutes of play.  He had the same number of rebounds as Bagley in 10 fewer minutes of playing time.  He was lethal from deep (2-4), but only 1-5 inside the arc; 7-10 from the foul line.  He and Bagley were collectively 14-18 from the stripe – a pleasant trend.  The only other double figure scorer was Alex O’Connell who had an amazing hot streak in the first half, scoring 12 points in 9 minutes of first half action.  He had 13 for the game (15 minutes), but his first half was his scintillating moment (3-4; 2-3 from deep and 4-4 from the stripe) to go with a rebound and a steal.  Tre Duval played well and continues to improve his outside shot (1-1 from deep) but not at the rim or inside the arc (0-5).  In 29 minutes, he had 6 assists with only a single turnover and 2 steals.  The bench scored 15, meaning that besides O’Connell’s 13, only Goldwire’s layup gave Duke points from the bench.  It might seem as if Capel used his bench more than Coach K, but that is belied by the stat sheet.  Besides Alex’s solid performance, the bench made only brief cameos to give the starters short breathers.  Jack White led the bench (besides O’Connell) in minutes with 7; he had 3 boards and played solid defense in the back line of the zone. Vrankovich (6 minutes) and JRob (4) spelled Carter.

Duke’s defense was efficient after the first few minutes.  In the early going, Duke was torched in its man to man defense as Wake hit open 3s.  As Bill points out, Capel went to the zone.  “We took another step on defense today building on the Pittsburgh game.  At Pittsburgh, we played primarily man to man; this game, zone.  The zone slowed them down and took away their penetration.  We stayed in it.  Everyone played hard.”  Usually shooting is the way to beat a zone, but Duke’s back line wings were very active coming out to guard the wing shooters effectively.  This is two good efforts in a row on the defensive end.

The road is hard everywhere, but exceedingly difficult in the ACC.  With each team having only a day’s rest (NCAA tournament schedule), Duke faces a tough Miami team, smarting from a road loss at Clemson, on Saturday, in Miami at 7 on Monday.  It will be a revealing test for the newly improving defense on the road against a ranked team.  I think I’ll watch.

DUKE 83– MIAMI 75 

On a night when Marvin wasn’t Marvelous and, except for Wendell Carter, the Miracles were playing off key, Duke found themselves down 13 points and ten minutes away from a  long, very depressing plane ride home. As a matter of fact, Coach K looked as though he just might change that to a bus ride. Seldom have the these young, talented Blue Devils appeared so out of sync, even lethargic. The Hurricanes had forced three turnovers during a 16-0 run as the Devils went nearly eight minutes without a point and, to add insult to injury, Bagley missed four free throws. The never self-contained Miami players preened and mimed for the camera and crowd as though the game was already over. The ‘Cane players should have done their homework.

Coach K took his coat off. When the players still didn’t get the obvious (Look, I’m working harder on the sidelines than you guys are on the floor) message, he called a time out. After a few choice words, Duke switched to a more effective zone defense that cut down on the guard penetration and made the ‘Canes, who like to drive, hesitant and indecisive. Gary Trent stepped into the spotlight and became the Marvelous One by draining consecutive threes and suddenly the Blue Devils were transformed into that unbeatable team performing another miracle finish. It is difficult to process in real time what we saw. For the first time in this young year, these young Blue Devils displayed some of that Comeback Black Magic they showed late last year against Michigan State, Portland State, Texas, and Florida. Against one of the best defensive teams in the country, it took Duke just  a few minutes to erase the lead and tie the game at 66-66. The rejuvenated Devils continued on a breathtaking 30-9 run over the last eight minutes. Game, set, match, and suddenly a very stunned, quiet crowd at the Watsco Center Arena in Coral Gables.

Gary Trent commented after the game: “They were playing harder than us. We were soft. We were playing like little kids. We had to pick it up and we did. Like our coaches said that we have to play like grown men, so we played like grown men in the last eleven minutes.”

As implausible as this (yet another) comeback was, it should not obscure the fact of how poorly the team played for all but ten or so minutes: 19 turnovers (notably none in the last ten minutes), missing 11 free throws, and not blocking out, which led to easy dunks. It is playing Russian Roulette to let any  ACC team stay within a few three point shots  of the lead. These young players have to understand that no matter an opponent’s record, home or away all teams bring their “A” game against Duke and this inconsistent play, while providing  excitement, is not the benchmark of a championship caliber team. If you’re losing games to Boston College, NC State, and falling behind Miami, you’re probably not winning the ACC Tournament or running the table of six straight in the NCAA Tournament. And for all the starters, this is their one-and-done last chance.

Other Observations:

When Marvin Bagley went to the locker room early in the first half grimacing and holding his right wrist in what appeared to be a serious injury, the season passed before our eyes. Actually, Bagley had collided with a Miami player shortly after the opening tip and later said, “It was a freakish thing that happened.” After initially being unable to move his dislocated shoulder, he was able to pop it back in himself. Still, trainers took him to the locker room for an examination to make sure the injury wasn’t more extensive. In response, Wendell Carter seemed to take it personally and  just dominated the paint until Marvin returned. The twin towers stats: Carter 15 -14 and 4 blocks, the last one a critical block and snatch at the rim– one of the most impressive defensive plays of the  season. With Duke up three and 1:36 left, Miami’s 6’11” Dewan Huell drove to the basket with only Carter in front of him. Wendell  went up with him and not only blocked the shot but snatch the ball clean from Huell’s grasp. Bagley’s numbers were 13-12.

  • While Grayson Allen is experiencing the worst shooting slump of his career, it has never affected his hustle or other aspects of his game. For example, with just four seconds remaining before halftime, he hit the floor for a loose ball, quickly passed to Trent the 3-point line. Gary nailed the shot at the buzzer, giving the Blue Devils a 42-40 lead.  When his shot comes off vacation, Trent and Duval continue to hit 40% of their threes, and they play anything approaching forty minutes of decent defense, this becomes an even more lethal team. Whom do you double team? And speaking of defense, in the critical final minutes all five player slapped the floor in the time honored Blue Devil WoJo reminder to really get serious about playing defense.
  • Under Coach Jim Larrañaga, Miami has been a tough ticket for Duke. Before tonight, they were  5-3 against the Blue Devils, including a 3-1 record at home.
  • The sellout crowd included 37 NBA scouts, but Alex Rodriguez, formerly a Miami baseball player, and girlfriend Jennifer Lopez, formerly Jenny from the Block, got more attention.
  • My old racing buddy Tom called to tell me watching this Duke team is like watching Silky Sullivan race –you can never count either one of them out. [Silky Sullivan: An American thoroughbred race horse in the late 1950’s  known for his come-from-behind racing style. His name is now a term used in sports and politics for someone who seems so far behind the competition that they cannot win, yet they do.]

Alan Adds:

“Almost Perfect Basketball

Duke scored first in the second half to take a 44-40 lead with 19:30 left in the game.  The next Duke points came 8 minutes and 15 seconds later on a Trent layup to cut the Hurricane lead to 10.  Duke still turned it over and gave up easy Miami baskets so that with exactly eight minutes left in the game, the lead was 13; the Blue Devils looked dead in the water (exactly as they did against NC State and earlier, BC).  Then the magic took hold the way it only does in the movies.  Coach K said, “to win we had to play almost perfect basketball, which we did.”  Before we examine the offensive blitz, let’s consider the defense.  Duke went to a zone, but the Devils had mixed in zone defenses with the man to man earlier in the game, without any particular success.  Duke subtly changed its zone in the last 11 minutes, so that the 2-3 was played almost like a 3-2.  The back line wing came all the way out to play the wing shooter.  Trent and Bagley were terrific in the zone, very active.  Grayson was an absolute star, not only covering the perimeter guards, but flashing into the lane to make the pass to the high post virtually impossible.  He stole the one high pass to the post for a thunderous dunk that kept the Devils rolling.  Carter was amazingly active in the middle, deterring penetration and blocking 3 – yes 3 shots down the stretch.  Coach K: “Our zone kept them out of the paint and we eliminated their second shot opportunities when they missed (a dramatic turnaround from the first 32 minutes of the game).  It was, as Coach K pointed out, that the team really played together, talked, moved and was superbly active.  Trent, in the post-game interview, correctly credited the defense for initiating the attitude that turned the game around.  Coach K emphasized that it was the switch in attitude – doing it together; thinking outside one’s self – that transformed the dismal performance into a work of art.

The Eight Minutes

Duke scored 9 points, reducing the 13 point lead to 4 in just 1:35 – 2 consecutive 3s by Trent, Jr. followed by Bagley’s 3 point play the old fashion way.  Huell missed a contested (by Carter) dunk; Bagley rebounded and then added 3 including making the foul shot.  Grayson then made his steal and dunk to bring the Devils within 2.  Carter blocked a layup by Bruce Brown.  After a Grayson foul, Tre rebounded a Miami missed 3; Carter made a gorgeous post move for a deuce and a tie game with 5:12 left.  Carter blocked Lonnie Walker and Trent grabbed the rebound as he was going out of bounds and threw it off Miami to retain possession.  Plays like that one — Grayson’s steal; as well as Grayson’s amazing play at the end of the first half where he stole the ball with four seconds left; dived on the loose ball and passed from the floor to Trent for a 3 at the buzzer — are the plays that change attitude and win games.  Coach K said “Those plays don’t make it onto sports center, but they are the plays that tell the tale.”  Sports Center, by the way, showed all three. Duval hit a twisting layup for a 68-66 lead – the same kind of drive attempt that was blocked more than once earlier – with 4:40 left.  Grayson rebounded a Brown 3 point miss; Carter missed the layup, but Trent grabbed the board and hit Duval for an open 3 point attempt.  Swish!  Please notice that Duval has been on fire from deep after a prolonged deep shooting slump.  71-66 with 3:28 left.  Miami dominated the boards, scoring on its 3rd offensive rebound; followed by a Duval foul, which resulted in Miami making 1-2 from the line.71-69 with 3:02 left.  Carter scored on a layup with 2:48 to go, but then committed a foul on Huell’s 3 point play.  73-70 with 2:20 to go.  Bagley missed and Miami rebounded, followed by the biggest defensive play of the game; Huell had his shot blocked by Carter; the ball moved and Trent delivered the dagger from deep with 1:16 to go on a great assist from Tre.  Walker missed a 3 and Trent grabbed the rebound with 54 seconds left.  Miami began to foul, which paid off when Tre missed the front end of a 1 and 1 twice within 5 seconds, but redeemed himself both times grabbing the offensive board.  He put back a layup with 47 seconds left, giving Duke a 78-70 lead.  Miami missed a desperate 3 leading to a pair of foul shot makes by Trent to ice the game at 80-70 with 36 seconds left.  Seven and a half minutes of almost perfect basketball.

The Bigs

My player of the game – despite Trent’s fabulous 30 point performance – is Wendell Carter.  He single handedly kept Duke in the game in the first half with 11 points and 10 rebounds (a double-double in the first half).  In the last 6 minutes, he had 3 blocks, scored 2 baskets and grabbed a key rebound.  In 34 minutes (18 in the second half), he scored 15 (7-11; 1-3 from deep; 0-2 from the line) to go with 14 rebounds (team high), 4 blocks, 3 assists (and 3 turnovers).  The Marvelous one had what was an off-night for him that would be a stat stuffer for others.  In 37 minutes (all 20 of the second half), he scored 13 (5-10; no 3 point attempts; 3-7 from the line) while grabbing 12 rebounds and dishing out 3 assists.  He was charged with only one foul.  In fact, Duke committed only 10 fouls for the game – 5 in each half, a significant improvement.  JRob logged 9 minutes with his only entry on the stat sheet being the foul he committed (only two minutes in the second half).

The Perimeter

Tre was simply terrible until he was amazingly wonderful.  He had 5 turnovers before the magic appeared in the final minutes.  He picked up two quick fouls early and played only eleven first half minutes.  In thirty full game minutes he scored 17 (7-11; 2-2 from deep; 1-4 from the line).  He had 8 assists – some quite amazing.  He mirrored Duke’s performance from early ugly (5 turnovers and late wonderful).  Trent had the best game of his career, shooting the lights out at the most critical moments.  His 30 points is a career high (9-14 from the field; 6-9 from 3land; and 6-8 free throws) to go with 5 important rebounds, 3 assists and a steal.  If Carter was not the MVP, Trent was (and most think so).  Grayson still cannot get his shot to fall scoring 5 points in 38 minutes and not getting to the foul line at all (0-0).  He shot 2-9; 1-6 from deep, but played great hustling defense, making 5 steals and handing out 3 assists.  The turnovers for Duke were ugly and troubling.  The backcourt was sloppy with 13 (Grayson 4; Trent 4; and Duval 5).  Carter contributed 3; JRob 1 and Marvelous 1.

The Bench

Goldwire played 3 minutes in the first half, scoring the only Duke points off the bench.  Jack White made a 1 minute cameo; JRob and O’Connell each logged 9 minutes – though each played only 2 minutes in the second half.  Coach K relied on his starters.

Coach K and the Team

In the huddle, Coach K reminded the team of the Portland tournament and the comebacks against Texas and Florida (I wonder if he mentioned Michigan State), and encouraged, “let’s make this like Portland.”  And they did.  Duke fans experienced all the emotions of an up and down game; it is pretty cool when the satisfying ones come at the end.

DUKE 81- PITTSBURGH 54

Maybe it was the humiliation of being surrounded by thousands of opponent’s students storming the court. Maybe It was just not liking the feeling of losing. Maybe it was the realization that they can’t always outscore the other team every game. Maybe it was the realization that at this level forty minutes of good defense makes for easier baskets and less stressful wins. Whatever the case, for the first time this season you had the feeling that this team was as motivated to play defense as they were offense. It was truly a three dimensional win  for the Blue Devils: defense, inside and outside scoring. They hit  12-of-26 from beyond the arc: Gary Trent, Jr. 5-for-7, Grayson Allen 4-for-10 and the other three starters all made one triple apiece. Then, there was aggressive, in-your-face-ball-denial, mostly man-to-man defense that produced 15 turnovers, 8 steals, 7 blocks, and 3 ten-second violations.

While the defense wasn’t perfect, it was certainly a step in the right direction. And speaking of steps, an impressed Coach K used an interesting analogy: “Defense is like learning to dance. If you would see somebody in a defensive stance walking down the street, you’d cross the street because you wouldn’t want to pass that person. Your body doesn’t just do that. Your body doesn’t move naturally like that. It has to learn how to dance. . .. We’re trying to teach them how to dance defensively. The music of defense is talk. If you can get five guys talking, then maybe you can dance together, and you can win. Wendell and Marvin are such good students of the game; they want to learn so much. So many of these kids when they come from high school, they haven’t watched tape. They’ve watched tape of when they dunk or do something spectacular and they put mix tapes together and put all kinds of music, but they don’t watch their foot movement, they don’t watch when they commit a silly foul, they don’t watch what they do on the help side on defense and so when they come here, and we’re not the only program, but they have the opportunity to be educated about the game. And our two big men really want to learn about the game, and they’re very, very smart. It’s on them because they want to do it and they’ve been a joy to coach, those two guys.” Grayson Allen added: “That’s the type of defense we want to play. Trust the pressure and get out and run. Let Trevon and Jordan control the point guard and the wings can get out and contest. That leads right into our offense. I’m having fun playing defense, trying to get steals and deflections and help the team that way. We’re getting so much better at it. We work on it every day and we want that to be part of our team.”

In a sense, Carter has been viewed as Robin playing in the shadow of Bagley’s Batman when in fact he is also a very impressive, multi-talented basketball player, who is playing with more and more confidence and versatility. Part of it may be that he has lost 10-15 pounds, is quicker on his feet, and wiser using his hands when defending. Today he has 21 points on 9-10 shots, 8 rebounds. Likewise, Gary Trent has settled into a lethal three point shooter. The hero of the Miami comeback was 5-7 today. In his last nine games, Trent has shot a scorching 35-of-64 from beyond the arc.  Mike Krzyzewski thinks his recent shooting exploits stem from work on the other side of the ball. “He’s playing faster. He’s playing better defense. We’ve spent a lot of time the last few weeks on our foot movements on defense, And it helps on offense because as you move your feet, you get wider, you get quicker. You get much better balance. He’s played well all year, but the last two weeks he’s played outstanding basketball.”

The bottom line is that this defensive progress will mean little if the Blue Devils do not take care of Wake on Tuesday, then beat the conference leading Virginia on Saturday.

Other Comments:

  • Just wait ‘til next year! Say what? Duke has just reloaded (again).  The YouTube and social media  dunking sensation Zion Williamson surprised the prep experts and  committed to Duke Saturday night. This gives the Blue Devils four of the top ten recruits in next year’s class: R.J. Barret, Williamson, Cameron Reddish, and #1 point guard Tre Jones. “Duke stood out because I felt most comfortable with the players and the legendary Coach K. The players brotherhood represents a family. Tre kept telling me I had to come, because this class will accomplish great things.” I usually do not pay much attention to recruits until I see them play together at Duke, but because Zion gets so much press here in South Carolina, I had no choice.  The 6’6″, 275 pound Zion is an amazing athlete–all muscle and has similar skills that LeBron James had at the same age. As a matter of fact, in recruiting him, Coach K said he would use him like he did LeBron on the Olympic team. All this is very promising as long as these players have the same attitude as this year’s freshmen.
  • Good news: DeLaurier is back. Bad News: Bolden is not back.
  • Dick Groat, the first great Duke basketball and baseball player, was honored at half time. While I do not think it is fair to compare athletes of different eras,  Groat, who played both professional basketball and  baseball before focusing exclusively on baseball, was the 1951 & 1952 college basketball Player-of-the Year and later  an all-star shortstop with the Pittsburg Pirates. Although he was offered a professional baseball contract by Branch Rickey after his junior year, Dick chose to return to Duke to get his degree (different times) and become the first college basketball player to lead the country in scoring and assists. Along with Ace Parker and Dave Sime, Dick Groat is certainly in the running for the best athlete in Duke’s history. However, if longevity is the tiebreaker, Mr. Groat wins.

Alan Adds:

After dismantling Pitt once again, the Blue Devils face a daunting week.  On Tuesday, Duke travels to Wake (I think we have definitive proof that all ACC road games are difficult) in what might be called a “trap” game.  UVA, leading the conference without a loss, visits Cameron next Saturday at 2 pm.  I believe this week will give us a better reading on this 2017-18 edition than the mauling of a winless team in disarray at home.  The game was tied for the first 37 seconds before Duke pulled away.  The first half was terrific and will be analyzed.  Duke’s lead maxed out at 34 with a little over 13 minutes to go in the second half before Coach K called off the dogs and gave his bench significant playing time.  Nevertheless, the improvement in the defense that has been visible since the NC State loss is palpable.  Coach K summed it up succinctly, “Since the N.C. State game, we’ve gotten better defensively. You didn’t need much to get better defensively from what we did in our first three ACC games, but we’re working at it. All I’m trying to do is have our guys get better, and I think we’re getting better.”  Duke went to a ¾ court zone press to completely disrupt the Pittsburg offense.  The press created turnovers, steals and (this is an amazing stat) 3 ten second violations.  Occasionally Duke disrupted its own defense by deflecting the ball, but giving up Pitt points in the ensuing scramble.  In that defensively superb first half, the Devils forced 11 Pitt turnovers (6 steals).  Pitt shot well, when able to get a shot off (10-20 from the field; 4-8 from deep; and 2-2 from the line.  Those are acceptable shooting numbers, but in this case Pitt was down by 22 at the half (48-26).  Pitt shot 50% from the field, but scored only 26 first half points and trailed by 22 points at the break.  Critically, the Duke starters committed only a single foul (Grayson) in the opening stanza (O’Connell and Goldwire each committed one in five minutes on the court).  Great defense; weak opponent.

Duke’s offense was in full domination mode in those first 20 minutes.  Duke was 10-15 from the floor inside the arc.  Going 7-13 from 3land, actually brought the first half shooting percentage down to 61%.  The starters went 7-11 from deep, with Trent leading the way (3-4) while Bagley and Carter were each 1-1 (can you imagine how demoralizing to a defense that is!).  Duval hit his first three when he was wide open from a gorgeous pass from Grayson. He missed his other attempt; Grayson was 1-3.  The Devils had 9 assists (Duval 4; Grayson 2) against only 5 turnovers (Duval 3)

It was an overwhelming performance that left Coach K perky in his press conference.  He finished his short opening statement with, “I thought we played well. And that’s it. Not much to elaborate on, unless you come up with some amazing questions, which would give me the opportunity to do that. So, it’s on you. Usually I sing and dance up here beforehand, but now I’m going to let you do that.”

The Bigs

The first half statistics tell the story.  Combined, Bagley and Carter scored 27 of Duke’s 48 points on 10-12 shooting (2-2 from deep) and 5-7 from the foul line.  Collectively they had 11 boards and 3 blocks (all Carter), 3 steals, 2 assists with only a single turnover (Carter).  Bagley logged 15 minutes: 12 points (4-5; 1-1; 3-5 from the line) with 6 boards and an assist.  Carter’s stats were even better: In 18 minutes, he scored 15 points (6-7; 1-1; 2-2) with 5 boards and those 3 blocks.  If he stayed to play with next year’s highly ranked freshmen, he would have a shot at National POY (but of course that is just a dream).

The Perimeter

Like Carter on the interior, Trent is playing superbly on both ends.  In 19 minutes, He scored 11 (4-7;3-4 from deep) with a board, assist and steal.  No negative stats.  Tre Duval played 16 minutes, dishing out 4 assists and playing some absolutely outstanding pressure defense.  He scored only 3 (1-2 from deep) and turned it over 3 times.  Grayson logged 15 hustling defensive minutes (2 big steals, some deflections and near miss steal attempts).  He began to come out of the shooting slump later in the game.  He missed 2 free throws (an uncharacteristic 2-4 from the line) to go with a dunk and 1-3 from deep.

The Bench

The bench was a non-factor in the first half.  DeLaurier (first game back), O’Connell and Goldwire each played 5 minutes; JRob 2.  The bench was (0-3; 0-2 from deep with no foul shot attempts); O’Connell took 2 shots; both he and Goldwire misfired on their only attempts from deep.  Other than that, De Laurier grabbed a rebound while Goldwire and O’Connell each committed a foul.  Since the bench did get extended minutes in the second half, it is worth giving a whole game look.  DeLaurier in five energetic second half minutes, committed 4 fouls, missed his only shot, but grabbed 2 rebounds and had 2 blocks.  First game back.  Goldwire (8 minutes) and O’Connell (9 minutes) continued to misfire. (Alex 0-2; Goldwire 0-3).  Vrakovich scored the only bench points on a hook shot (1-3 in 5 minutes with 2 rebounds). The Admiral’s son also played 5 minutes, committing 2 fouls and a turnover for his only statistics.  Jack White looked the best of the bench players, playing nine second half minutes and snaring 4 rebounds, handing out a great assist for a Grayson 3 and getting a block.  He had an assist and a turnover.

Coming Up

Duke’s first goal is the ACC regular season championship.  A loss this week, especially to UVA at home would move that goal out of reach.  Big week, in my opinion.

Duke 84 – Wake Forest 70 

After starting conference play giving up 89 and 96 points in two road losses to Boston College and N.C. State (as well as 93 in a home win against Florida State), the Blue Devils have  now won five straight by holding their opponents to an average of 64.4 points per contest. Tonight’s interesting stats are: Duke forcing 21 turnovers, 11 steals, and hitting 30-39 from the line. Surprisingly, the Devils were outrebounded 37-71 as Doral Moore, the much improved Demon Deacon’s 7” 1” center, had 18 points, 12 rebounds and just flat outplayed Bagley in the first half. Of course, it helps that those five straight wins were against cellar dwellers Pittsburgh and Wake Forest. Nevertheless, in this league a win is a win—especially on the road. Just ask Carolina and Clemson.

DeLaurier and O’Connell were rotated early and often and, until Bolden recovers, that seems to be the rotation. Both had their moments especially Alex, who again demonstrated his instinct to make things happen on both ends of the floor. He had 7 points and 2 steals and was rewarded with 20 minutes of playing time as Tre Duval was oh-for-the-game and sat out the last ten minutes. I look forward to watching him play more minutes next year. He may be a latter day Grayson Allen type. Coach K pointed out that young teams and young players are inconsistent and Duval has played very well most of the time–but not tonight.

Saturday’s game in Cameron against Virginia and their famous “pack line” defense will be a real test for Batman and Robin. Tonight, Wendell “Robin” Carter continued to impress with the sophisticated versatility of his offense—he can score from anywhere on the floor– and physical defense. Grayson Allen showed that he doesn’t have to score a ton of points to impact the game. When the game was relatively close, he was diving on the floor for loose balls and making passes that would make Bobby Hurley proud.  In addition, at halftime he told Carter to be more aggressive in getting a body on the taller  Moore, who had been cleaning up on the offensive boards… get the short rebounds and not to worry about the long ones. He  would come down and get those.

As for the Virginia game, I suspect that low post scoring will be more difficult than we have been accustomed to and the game will turn on how well the perimeter players are scoring—and the Blue Devils maintain their newfound enthusiasm for defense. Fortunately, Gary Trent has settled into not only a deadly three point shooter but also is playing as efficiently and effectively as any Blue Devil.

Asked if he had been looking forward to the Virginia game Chairman Mike said: “We stay in the now. No looking ahead, no looking behind.” [CliffsNotes: Next Play!]

Alan Adds:

UVA comes to Cameron on Saturday (2 pm; ESPN), ranked #2 in both polls, with only one loss (early to West Virginia), unbeaten in the conference with perhaps the best defense in the nation — (Clemson managed just 13 second half points last night while getting run out of the gym in Charlottesville).  13 points in a half!!!  Duke’s improvement, especially on the defensive end, has been palpable, but achieved against less talented opponents.  UVA is the best team that the Devils have played so far, this season, and will give us a valid benchmark on the that palpable improvement.  In some senses, it is a regular season-determining game.  Duke’s chance for a regular season ACC title is dependent on beating the Cavaliers.  Given that situation, Wake was a classic “trap game”, but Duke did not get trapped.  (One Duke player explained, “it gets old seeing the other team’s fans storm the court” as happened with BC and NC State).

In a weird way, this was a game of two completely different halves for Duke.  In the first half, the perimeter led the team, while Duke’s vaunted bigs were completely outplayed.  In the first half, Duke retrieved only 8 defensive boards, while the Demon Deacons had 11 offensive rebounds – 5 by their impressive 7-foot center, Doral Moore (who turned those 5 offensive rebounds into 10 first half points).  One announcer mentioned in classic understatement, “Maybe Duke should put a body on him!”.   Bagley played only 12 minutes (2 fouls), scoring only 4 (2-5; 0-1 from 3land; 0-1 from the line) and had only 3 boards, while committing 2 turnovers.  Carter (17 minutes) was Duke’s inside presence with 7 points, 4 boards, 2 assists and a block (2 turnovers).  But, Duke was still outrebounded 22-14. The ineffective interior play was more than offset by effective defense, which forced 15 turnovers, and shut down Wake’s vaunted 3 point shooting (1-10). Wake stayed in the game by being efficient from inside the arc (11-20 – helped by Moore’s 7-7 shooting from the floor).  Duke drew 13 Wake fouls, but missed 5 free throws (9-14; Duval 0-2; Bagley 0-1, the front end of a 1 and 1).   Grayson (19 minutes) and Trent (18 minutes) were all-world at both ends.  Trent scored 10 on only 4 attempts (3-4; 1-1 from deep; and 3-4 from the line) while Grayson hit for 13 (4-7; 2-3 from 3land; and 3-3 from the line) to go with 4 boards, 3 assists (some were amazing) 2 steals and outstanding defense and hustling leadership.  It was on a par with his performance against Michigan State.  While Tre had a 17-minute miserable half (0-5; 0-2 from deep; 0-2 from the line), O’Connell picked him up, scoring 5 on 2 shots; one from deep and making 2 key steals in 7 minutes.

The second half was different.  Carter (34 minutes – 17 in each half) and Bagley (18 second half minutes) took control of the game and the interior.  Carter was Batman to Bagley’s Robin.  Carter finished with 12 boards and 23 points on 9 attempts making 6, including 1-2 from deep.  At the foul line, he put the Deacs away, drawing fouls (finally fouling Moore out) and converting 10-13 from the line (7-9 in the latter stanza).  He is improving at a rapid rate and has become Duke’s go to rim protector and defensive rebounder.  Bagley finished with a double/double (11 rebounds; 16 points (4-9; 0-3 from deep; and a gratifying 8-11 from the foul line (8-10 in the second half – 80%).  In fact, Duke won the game by forcing fouls.  Both Bagley and Carter were so effective at drawing Wake fouls and then converting.  Duke was 30-39 from the line outscoring Wake by 19 (Wake was 11-13) — more than the margin of victory.  The perimeter’s scoring wasn’t needed and the defense forced only 6 second half turnovers.  For the game Wake had 11 assists and 21 turnovers.  Allen finished with 17 points in 37 minutes, while Trent scored 19 in 38 minutes.  Trevon was limited to 7 minutes in the second half as he continued to struggle missing all 3 of his second half shots.  Alex played 13 valuable second half minutes.  In the last part of the second half, Grayson ran the point when Alex joined the starting unit without any drop-off.

The bench was Alex and DeLaurier, who brings energy and athleticism and fouling.  Once again, he fouled out in 12 minutes while dunking once, grabbing 3 rebounds and making a steal.  Bolden has not played in a long time and nobody has mentioned his physical condition.  I find that a bit ominous.

Duke’s defense has consistently been improving.  Coach K said, “we’ve been practicing like crazy.  We are starting to move our feet well in both man to man and zone defenses.  The team is enthusiastic.”  As I have written from before the season started, how this team fares in the long run will depend on how defensively efficient it becomes.  Duke’s defense was very good against Wake.  UVA on Saturday will be THE TEST!

Duke 63 – Virginia 65 

Batman and Robin showed up today but the Miracles didn’t. And speaking of showing up, in the first half Virginia not only showed up, they schooled the Blue Devils how to execute both offensively and defensively—they sure aren’t Pitt or Wake. The Cavaliers are a well-oiled machine. They held Duke to 22 first half points. Early in the second half, the Devils were down 13. That’s like about 26 to anyone else, because Virginia’s Pack Line D is essentially the defensive version to the Princeton Offense– it’s a way to methodically execute sound fundamentals to neutralize, tire, and discourage a more talented team. In those first twenty minutes, Gary Trent, Grayson Allen, and Trevon Duval combined for 6 turnovers and just 6 points on 3-of-16 shooting. (Q: Where is Luke Kennard when we need him? A: Sitting on a bench in Detroit.)

After assessing the first twenty minutes, Coach K switched to a zone (which is not a four letter word in my vocabulary). It temporarily confused the Cavaliers and they missed shots. Duke took advantage and made a run. They first tied the game after a bizarre possession in which Carter’s attempted lob from beyond the arc to Bagley went in the basket as Marvin simultaneously drew a foul on the post-up. On the ensuing in-bound play, Carter took a perfect lob and finished with a slam to tie the game at 39—a five point turn around. After the run, the Blue Devils had scored 22  points –as many as in the entire first 20 minutes– in just 8 minutes to take a two point lead.

It was a dog fight from there on but the Cavaliers made winning plays and Duke didn’t. In a span of about five minutes, Duke got two of a possible eight points from the line, going from a three-point lead to a four-point deficit. Ty Jerome intercepted a long, imprudent Tre Duval pass, then made  a dagger of an NBA three—a five point turn around and a five point lead. Offensively, Duke was hitting on only two cylinders (Bagley 30 points, 14 rebounds; Carter 14 points, 15 rebounds), had 16 turnovers, and went 5-11 from the line, four (three times during the game’s final eight minutes) of which were the front end of one-and-ones. (I must point out the obvious: Missing free throws had nothing to do with Virginia’s defense.) Given these stats, it is somewhat amazing that the game was as close as it was.

Congratulations to Virginia, they were the better team and deserved the win. The Cavaliers came into the game winless in its last 17 trips to Durham and having gone 1-4 in their last five games against the Blue Devils. Make no mistake, Coach Bennett is one of the very best coaches in the country and his teams are always a tough out. In a sense this was payback. You may recall that in two of those recent Duke wins, Rasheed Sulaimon, and Ty Jones hit the heartbreaking, dagger threes that closed out hard fought games.

Other Comments:

  • Duke got just six minutes from its bench, none in the second half. Krzyzewski said the reason he didn’t play any of his reserves in the second half was partly due to injuries and illnesses. He said O’Connell had been sick, DeLaurier has a tight hamstring, and Bolden, who warmed up with a knee brace, is close but not there yet. More to the point, he added:  “If we want to win something really big, your best players have to play a lot of minutes and I think that’s what the regular season is about. We are preparing for that and hopefully we’re in it in March.”
  • The obvious assessment is that unless the defense keeps improving and the guards don’t consistently start producing more points, March will be a disappointing month. As good as they are, Bagley and Carter cannot carry this team on their backs through the rest of the season and two tournaments. Duval has to stop running hot and cold and turning the ball over so much as well as improve his foul shooting. Trent has to forget this game and play like he did in the last four. Grayson Allen may be the key. He is doing everything well except shooting the ball. That prolonged slump is puzzling in that it is not consistent with his performance of the previous three years. What this game showed is that Virginia is more than the sum of their parts and Duke is not. It will be interesting to see if the Blue Devils can become at least the sum of their parts.
  • Tobacco Road isn’t as rough as it used to be: Duke and UNC lost at home on same day for the first time in 44 years.

Alan Adds: 

John Wooden (without false modesty) once said, “give me five very good players and I will beat your five excellent players.”  He did know a little something about the concept of “team”.  Yesterday, UVA’s five very good players were a better team than Duke’s five excellent players, and deservedly won a crucial and highly entertaining game in Cameron.  Each team had its superb moments; it’s just that the Cavaliers’ came at the end of the game.  Each team had its deficiencies; it’s just that Duke’s came at the end of the game.

The Good, the Bad and the Ugly (in reverse order) 

The Ugly (the First Half)

UVA is simply a better team than any Duke has faced this year.  The freshmen laden Devils were overwhelmed by the skill and cohesion of the opposition in the first half.  It was as if the freshmen had never seen a team like Virginia (and in truth they hadn’t).  Virginia’s offense was constantly moving, patient, and made Duke play its man to man defense deep into the shot clock.  Duke broke down late in the shot clock.  Duke had no idea of how to attack the Pack Line defense and was unable to get out in transition.  Coach K suggested that Virginia’s offense tired Duke, which led to ineffective offense.  Duke was 0-7 from behind the arc; every starter missed (Carter and Trent twice).  It is worth noting that almost all of the guards’ attempts were contested  The freshmen turned it over with rapidity (8 times), partly because they had never played against a defense that active and cohesive (the word of the day in analyzing this game).  Finally, the bench was non-existent.  O’Connell played 3 minutes for Duval (who had a “deer-in-headlights look throughout much of the first half.), and was immediately beaten back door on defense and then committed a foul.  DeLaurier spelled Carter for 3 minutes and committed a foul, but got 2 rebounds.

The backcourt was awful.  Grayson did not score in the first half (0-5; 0-1 from deep; 0 free throw attempts), had 0 assists but 2 turnovers.  Duval did score (1-4; 0-1 from deep; and 0-1 from the line – the front end of a 1 and 1) with 3 assists and 2 turnovers.  Trent led the backcourt in scoring with 4 (2-7; 0-2 from 3land without a free throw attempt), but had 2 turnovers without an assist.  None of the 3 registered a steal.  Contrast with the UVA back court of Jerome and Guy (39 of 40 first half minutes), who combined for 17 first half points – Guy had 10 on 4 shots – including 4-4 from the line and a couple of steals.

The Bad

After a dramatic turnaround and scintillating comeback (see The Good infra.), Duke led by 3 with 7:30 left in the game.  Then, Duke’s youth and Virginia’s experience showed.  Carter missed the front end of a 1 and 1 (the same as a turnover if you think about it).  Hunter penetrated for a layup; Trent missed a 3; Hall hit Jerome for a 3.  Carter turned it over, but Marvin got several offensive rebounds, the last spectacular one of which tied the game at 53 with 5 minutes left (winning time).  Hunter penetrated for a deuce; Carter missed the front end again leading to a feed to Hall from Jerome.  Duke closed to within 2 on a Duval long pass to Bagley (the success of which may have inspired the ill-advised attempt to do the same with Carter with a minute left).  Duke could not gain possession after a dramatic block by Carter – UVA retrieved two crucial offensive rebounds, which culminated in a three by Guy.  60-56 with 2:25 to go.  Carter grabbed another board after a superb block by Duval, which led to a Bagley dunk.  Duke down 2 with 1:35 left.  Duval rebounded a Guy miss with 1:00 to play and Duke down 2.  He fired long to Carter, hoping to repeat his success on the great outlet to Bagley earlier – but not long enough.  Jerome stole it, and then calmly hit a 3 from very deep.  UVA 63 Duke 58 with 39 seconds left.  Bagley missed a quick three, which UVA rebounded.  That seemed like the game until UVA missed the front end of two one and ones to seemingly give the Devils life after the death certificate had been issued.   Grayson missed a three badly, but UVA missed the front end again.  Bagley hit a 3 with 8 seconds left.  Duke down 2.  But Guy hit both free throws after Duke fouled for the final margin.  Gallant effort, but UVA made the plays and Duke didn’t.  The Duke backcourt was missing in action for this game.  Grayson scored 5 in his 40 minutes; Duval 6; Trent 8.  Collectively, the trio was 1-8 from behind the arc with 10 of Duke’s 16 turnovers.

The Good

Duke learned!  This team can compete with any team in America.  Down 13, after UVA hit a 3 to open the second half, Duke stormed back behind a solid zone defense, a few welcome UVA misses, and some superb offense, both in transition and in the half court set.  The offense revived against the Pack Line – actually shredded it.  Duke shot 59% in the second half and 50% from deep (17-29; 4-8 from deep).  Duke lost the game at the foul line (3-8 in the second half, including the front end of all 3 one and ones) and on turnovers.  Duke had another 8 in the second half, but if you add in the 3 front end misses from the line, it is 11 futile trips.  Duke showed much heart and the dynamic inside duo was superb.  Marvin almost did it all himself.  He was heroic, playing the entire game; scoring 30 (13-18; 2-4 from deep; 2-3 from the line to go with 14 rebounds.  Carter returned to being a superb Robin, scoring 14 while scoffing up 15 rebounds and blocking 4 shots with a crucial steal.  He was 6-11, but only 1-3 from deep and depressingly 1-4 from the line.

Prospects for the Season

In practical terms, Duke’s chances for the regular season ACC crown evaporated with this loss.  The remaining goal is to get one of the 4 double byes (which go to the first 4 places in the regular season) for the ACC tournament.  Then comes the tournaments, which will eventually determine how this team is evaluated.  [I count last season’s ACC tournament win as something special even though the Devils flamed out early in the NCAA.]  Duke is still learning and has the most daunting part of its schedule remaining, beginning with a quick turnaround against Notre Dame tomorrow night.  Still left to play are UNC (2); Louisville, Virginia Tech (2).  Plenty of tests to evaluate Duke’s learning curve.  The good news is that Coach K could legitimately say (as he did in his press conference), “we got better today.”

Duke 88 – Notre Dame 66

On a once in a Blue Moon night when Marvin isn’t Marvelous, but the Miracles are, and you got a glimpse of how much more offensively lethal this team can be when the guards are scoring. Gary Trent, Grayson Allen, and Trevon Duval, who scored just 19 points against Virginia, combined for 52 points tonight. And it was a good thing, because Bagley had an rare off night (4-14) 12 points and Carter’s minutes were somewhat limited by foul trouble.

Do not be fooled by Notre Dame Coach Mike Brey often looking as though he was recovering from a rough all-nighter, because he sure can coach.  Since the former Coach K assistant took over the Notre Dame program, the Irish are now 5-5 against the Blue Devils and Brey is the only former Blue Devil assistant to earn a victory over his former mentor. Tonight, the Fighting Irish, playing without injured preseason ACC Player of the Year Bonzie Colson and veteran point guard Matt, lived up to their name and kept within upset distance until the Blue Devils made an 18-0 run midway through the second half.

Unlike the Virginia game, Coach K used Bolden, DeLaurier, White and O’Connell off the bench. Surprisingly, it was seldom seen Australian sophomore forward Jack White (5 points, 7 rebounds) who demonstrated a toughness, determination, strength, savvy, and skill set to undoubtedly increase his playing time. Not only did his energy, hustle, and productivity endear him the Cameron Crazies, Coach K made a point of going onto the court after an Irish time out to enthusiastically congratulate him, but also, after the game, ESPN interviewed both he and Grayson Allen.

And speaking of Grayson (18 points, 8 assists, 1 steal), I think his offensive inconsistency is due to two factors: 1) He is an emotional, instinctive player, who, because of his previous well- publicized incidents, is being very careful to keep his emotions in check. 2) Playing with the uber talented big men Bagley and Carter that he never had before (plus Trent), he is being too careful to be a good captain and teammate. He feels his role has changed and he does not have to be a big time scorer. While he is not inhibited on defense and is certainly the most committed defender, the combination of these two factors keeps him from playing flat out, balls-to-the-wall [Term used by fighter pilots when accelerating quickly, the throttle is pushed all the way to the panel and the throttle lever (ball) actually touches the panel wall.] offense like he did against Wisconsin and Michigan State (when Bagley was out with an injury). I was pleased and encouraged with  what we saw tonight. It was the first time this season since the Michigan State game that he looked relaxed and was really enjoying himself. He was loose as a goose, smiling,  high fiving Trent and hugging Jack White as if a great weight had been lifted from his shoulders. To achieve the next level of excellence, all the guards have to shoot like they did tonight but to win championships, Grayson has to play more aggressively on offense. After all, he is a senior, the captain, and has done it before.

Other Comments:

  • Jay Williams thinks that this is a zone team.
  • The Blue Devils lead the all-time series, which began with a 1965 matchup in Chicago Stadium, 22-7 and won 17 of the first 19 meetings between the two schools.
  • Next game: Saturday 12:00. Duke – St. Johns in Mr. Silber’s neighborhood but also on Fox TV.

Alan Adds:

With Notre Dame in disarray (5 straight losses) with crippling injuries, and Duke coming off a close loss to UVA, the stage was set at Cameron for a blowout!  But, it did not happen in the first half.  Notre Dame hung in there, aided by 7 Duke turnovers and 8 fouls in the first half.  Duke’s offense was efficient, scoring 42 in the opening stanza, but the defense was not.  The Irish, a very low scoring team since the injuries, got layups as well as 9 offensive rebounds to hang around.  The first part of the second half was more of the same, with the Blue Devils giving up easy scores, but staying in front with efficient offense.  Then, with 9:21 left, everything changed and the Duke defense went to work in astonishing style.  Both Carter and Duval were in foul trouble and The Fighting Irish had chopped the Duke lead to 6, 58-52 on Gibbs’ 2 free throws (Duke’s 4th team foul).  Then, Tre hit the biggest shot of the game, a wide open 3 (perfect assist from Grayson).  As I have noted, Duval’s 3 point shooting has improved fairly dramatically in recent games.  He does not shoot them often (and, happily, only when he is wide open), and teams are daring him to shoot because of his early season deficiencies.  ND never had a smell of winning after that shot.  The offense was magical, but – though unheralded in post-game reports – so was the defense.  Duval had a great steal followed by a great assist for Carter layup.   Then Grayson made a superb steal and dunk.   Notre Dame made a jumper, but Grayson answered with a 3.  Duval committed his 4th foul with 10:19 left, and Duke leading by 12 after Gibbs made both free throws.  Jack White replaced Duval.  Bagley had a superb block at the rim (followed by White’s 3).  ND missed 4 straight contested jumpers; Duke denied the Irish the offensive rebounds, which Notre Dame had been capitalizing on earlier.   With 4:04 left, Duke was leading by 30 – 86-56 before the Irish scored again.  In sum, Duke held the Irish scoreless from 10:19 to 4:04; and to only 4 points in the 8+ minutes from up by 6 to up by 30!  That is defense that deserves unstinting praise.

The announcers do not seem to follow the game closely or know what is important to the team’s development.  Bolden made his first appearance in 6 games, and played 14 minutes.  While he was rusty (2 fouls and a turnover), he also showed some good stuff (3 rebounds; an assist and a block).  He had been in the game for many minutes (and 2 commercials) before he was noticed.  Shame on Bilas.  An efficient Bolden is actually a big deal for Duke going forward.  I guess the announcers are unaware of that.  Jack White was, of course, a revelation.  He has been playing well in his previous cameos (mostly as a rebounder and energetic defender).  In 14 minutes he was 2-3 from the field including 1-1 from deep, to go with 7 rebounds.  DeLaurier played eight minutes (2 fouls; he is a fouling machine which diminishes his potential value).  However, he grabbed 2 boards, was 1-1 from the field and made a block.  Hopefully, both Bolden and DeLaurier will become more valuable as they knock the rust off.  O’Connell had a fruitless cameo [0-2 in 5 minutes].

This is such an intriguing team. They can be freshman frustrating with mistakes on both ends , yet dynamic when things are clicking.  After the St. John’s game this Saturday – it is a great sports day in New York with the Millrose Track meet at the armory as well – the schedule is fierce.   UNC at Chapel Hill next Thursday will be another game that reveals how well the Devils are developing.  Two ACC road games next week (Georgia Tech) before a stretch of 4 ACC home games, including a crucial matchup with Louisville.  We are going into the last month of regular season play before the tournaments and it is still hard to gauge this team’s ability against quality opposition.

DUKE  77- ST. JOHNS 81 

Maybe, winning all those close games early in the season with miracle finishes was not such a good thing after all. Maybe, it made the freshmen believe their press clippings. Maybe, they are worried about their draft status. Maybe, they are just an overrated team. Maybe, baby…whatever… the inability of this Duke team to beat the teams they should on the road is troubling. Their weaknesses—casual to awful defense, too many careless turnovers, inconsistent point guard play and free throw shooting—have not shown much improvement and, after half a season of available film, every opponent is well prepared on how to play them. Those of us who have watched  Duke play over the years are only too aware that St. Johns has always been a difficult opponent for the Blue Devils. Their players are born, bred, and raised on the playgrounds of New York —therefore, savvy, instinctive one-on-one players. Consequently, if the game comes down to the wire, they have an advantage of pulling out a close game. As we have stressed before, don’t let any team hang around too long, because there are a lot of very good but underpublicized players of all shapes and sizes—and the three point lines is a great equalizer.

In the first half, Duke’s man-to-man defense got beat so many times for dunks on the same high pick-and-roll that I thought my television was stuck on a permanent replay loop. It didn’t seem to matter as long as Trent was knocking down threes until he didn’t, the Johnnies did and Bagley was on the bench with four fouls. One bright note was Wendell Carter’s (14 pts, 15 rebounds, 4 blocks) inspired defense that sparked the rally from eleven down in the last eight minutes. Hopefully, he and Bagley have learned a lot from these four losses.

To add insult to injury, St. John’s guard Shamorie Ponds, who torched the Blue Devils for 24 of his 33 points in the second half, was sensational. After Duke briefly took a one-point lead with 1:34 left in the game, Ponds scored the game’s next five points, including a contested NBA three pointer as the shot clock expired that put St. John’s up 77-73 with :38 seconds left.

In his revealing press conference,  Coach K had a decidedly different tone and demeanor than after the previous three losses: “The very first thing, congratulations to Chris (Mullin) and his team. They’ve been involved in a lot of really close games in the conference. I know it’s been frustrating for them, but they were the better team today… Shamorie Ponds was terrific, but also, they played with an enthusiasm and a togetherness that I’m sure Coach Mullins liked. It was tough for us to defend them… I thought they made us look bad, but we made ourselves look bad. The first 32 minutes of this game were not worthy of Duke’s program. I saw blank stares, no communication and players playing like five individuals… The play was disgusting, really… No matter what we said, nothing worked with our team – until the last eight minutes, and then we had a chance to win. You can say ‘why?’ Look, I do not know why. I can tell you that wasn’t the group that I have coached all year. And they were a very frustrating group to coach today, because they did not respond to anything. We were a tough team to coach today. This team’s play was unacceptable. At halftime, at a timeout, you’ve got to respond. And when you don’t, then you’re into your own stuff for whatever reason that is. Whether you’re not ready or you’re sick or whatever. You got to give it up. We didn’t give it up, and the team that was deserving of winning, won. It made the loss, because we came back, all the more frustrating. But the basketball gods understand, in most cases, who should win. So losing when you had a chance to win after not playing well, we got what we deserved.”

He all but dropped the mike as he exited the podium.

P.S. If I were a gambler, I would double down on the Carolina game.

Alan Adds:

In my world, the Duke-St. Johns game was not the most important sporting event of the day; rather it was the Millrose Games track meet at The Armory on 168th Street – an annual event for me.  Of course, writing the DBP made getting to the meet for the early events an impossible option.  I told my guest that we could probably leave before the game ended because Duke would simply blow the unworthy Red Storm out of the Garden.  I told him “St. Johns has lost 11 in a row; lost its best player; and simply does not have the size or talent to compete with Duke.  Duke should lead by 20 at the half and win by twice that.”  Yes, I really said that.  No matter how hard Coach K tried to focus his team on competing against a team that had the capability to beat the Blue Devils – “we did not overlook St. Johns” — it is clear that the players felt as I did.

While Duke held a first half scoring advantage, it was clear that the Devils were being thoroughly outplayed.  Only Trent’s 4-5 from deep (and Bagley’s 1-1) kept Duke in front.  Bolden had a nice 6 minute stint in the opening stanza, scoring 4 points (2-2) and grabbing 4 rebounds.  Possibly good news.  The Red Storm got every loose ball while Duke looked lethargic and really uncaring.  You could feel the “we’re going to win by 40” mentality right from the start.  I texted my daughter at about the 15 minute mark that Duke was winning but playing terribly.  The defense was virtually non-existent.   Switching on the pick and roll was a distant memory as the Red Storm got to the rim for absolutely uncontested layups on multiple occasions (See Bill’s accurate pithy comment above).  It was actually jaw dropping to see the lack of anything resembling cohesion on defense.  However, twelve first half turnovers – many unforced or careless – was the most revealing first half statistic.   Even though ahead by 7 at the break, you knew that the Duke attitude had to change if Duke was to win.  We now know it did not change until with 6:36 left to play and Duke down 11 (68-57).  Then, with their backs to the wall, the young Devils finally showed a sense of urgency that had been sorely lacking for 32 minutes.  Duke came charging back behind Tre Duval.  He hit a key 3 from the corner; a driving layup; and handed out a nifty assist to Carter’s layup to cut the lead to 4 (68-64).  Carter had 2 superb blocks in a row, to finally defend the rim.  Distressingly, Duke gave up an offensive rebound after forcing another Red Storm miss, which allowed St. Johns to stretch the lead back to 6.  Duval responded with another driving layup cutting the lead back to 4.  Carter rebounded the next Red Storm miss (Duke was finally contesting the Red Storm jumpers) before Bagley launched a contested 3 that missed.  Trent fouled Ahmed, who sank both.  Duval again scored on a driving layup to cut the lead to 4. Bagley made a superb steal and fed Trent for a 3 to bring the Devils within 1.  After the Red Storm turned it over against Duke’s press, Trent was fouled and made a pair to give Duke a 73-72 lead.  But alas, it was not maintained.  Ponds penetrated for a layup.  Duval responded with an acrobatic drive and was fouled with 1:09 left.  He needed to make both to give Duke the lead.  He’s only a 60% foul shooter, and — in the game’s defining moment — he missed them both.  Duke defended stoutly with yet another superb block by Carter, but the Red Storm snagged the game’s most critical offensive rebound; followed by the game’s most critical shot – a long 3 by Pond with 38 seconds left.  Grayson answered with his own 3 with 35 seconds left, but that was Duke’s last gasp.  St. Johns made foul shots and Duke didn’t (Bagley 1-2 with 21 seconds left, leaving Duke down 2) and that was all she wrote.

The Defense

It was yet another terrible performance by Duke.  St. Johns shredded the Duke man to man; and when Duke went zone, the Red Storm was even more successful.  Duke made its run in a man-to-man defense that started trapping the ball screens.  Only Carter’s rim defense was exemplary (4 blocks; 3 in the second half comeback).  Coach K lamented that Duke didn’t talk and really didn’t defend energetically, giving up 49 second half points to a team with 11 consecutive losses.  Worse, in spite of a height and athletic advantage, Duke gave up 16 offensive rebounds, many of which led to St. Johns scores, negating Duke’s occasional effective defense against the initial possession

The Offense

Duke turned it over 18 times in the game.  Bagley had 6; Duval 4; while Grayson and Trent turned it over 3 times each.  This was not aberrational.  In the last 6 games, Duke has averaged 16 turnovers.  Coach K, still lamenting, pointed out that Duke has not been strong with the ball and that many of the turnovers were unforced.   “I don’t know why”.    Moreover, the turnovers led to easy St. Johns scores.  It was not pretty.  Grayson reverted to horrible (but for the key 3 to answer Ponds’s 3 with 35 seconds left).  He was 1-7 from the field (1-4 from deep) 4-6 from the line.  He had 2 assists against 3 turnovers with 0 steals or blocks.  Two rebounds.  Not senior leadership.

Foul Shooting

In the second half, Duke had three 1 & 1 opportunities.  Bolden missed the front end (his second half performance of 4 minutes was also promising; he got 2 more boards and a block); followed by Grayson missing the front end.  Trent connected on the first to earn a bonus shot, which he missed.  Out of a potential 6 points, Duke got 1.  Duke was 20-29, but if you omit Carter’s 8-8 it was 12 -21.  That’s simply not winning basketball in close games.  Duval miss was symptomatic of the malady.  Point guards need to make foul shots down the stretch in close games, especially if your team has the lead and the other team is forced to foul.  Duval’s 60% make rate is an Achilles heel.

Evaluation

Coach K said it all: “This was a tough team to coach today.”  He had zero answers in his press conference.  It does not create optimism for the remainder of the season.  UNC on Thursday followed by a tough stretch in the conference.

Duke 78- North Carolina 82 

Durham, we have a problem. When a Duke team is embarrassed in the Garden on national television by a Big East also-ran team, then Coach K, whose team’s rarely lose two in a row, can’t motivate them to play smart and hard for forty minutes of decent offense and on defense, they don’t block out, rebound, and are out hustled by an outmanned Carolina team, what can you say?

I say congratulations to my buddy Johnny Tar Heel, you non-believer, your team deserved the win. I also say that the first half looked like a basketball version of the Eagles vs. the Patriots in the Super Bowl. Neither team could (or would) stop the other—the score was 49 to 45. Then, inexplicably, in the second half, the Blue Devils came out flat, could not (or would not) match Carolina’s energy and determination as the Heels went on a 23-8 run while the often perplexed Blue Devils only scored 29 second half points. However, with eight minutes to go, Duke suddenly decided to play effective man-to- man defense, protect the rim, and closed a double digit deficit to three. But then the Blue Devils couldn’t hit the shots to sustain the run and pull off a miracle comeback, which they apparently used up last year in the first eleven games. An example of how poor the Duke defense was—they gave up 11 threes, only forced 2 turnovers, and despite their size advantage, was outrebounded 20-11 on the offensive glass.

Surprisingly, Coach K  substituted early and often. And the good news is that Marques Bolden played the best 17 minutes of his Duke career as he looked like a very polished and confident player, while Alex O’Connell played 18 minutes and had 11 points. Question: Why did O’Connell have more points in less than half the playing time than Grayson Allen, who had 6 points in the first three minutes but only 9 for the game?

Possible explanations for these four disappointing losses are youth and inconsistent point guard play. The 2015 Championship team had Ty Jones, who wasn’t athletically flashy but was not only a very mature game manager and team leader but also made clutch game changing and game winning shots. Tre Duval, on the other hand, can be effective and flashy going to the basket but has not been a consistently steady floor general.

Once again, Duke is loaded with teenage one-and-done NBA first round lottery picks who have not and will not be in college long enough to realize how much four and done players want to beat them and, unlike high school, they have to play hard and smart for forty minutes, not twenty-five or thirty. This isn’t fantasy basketball, where stats are all that matters. You put four teenage freshmen in this position and on this stage, no matter how uber-talented they may be, there’s no telling how consistently they may play. They may struggle at the start, as they did against St. Johns. They may struggle at the end, as they did at home against Virginia. They may play well but not be able to find another gear when an opponent does as Carolina did tonight. Or they may learn to savor moment, the bright lights, the screaming fans, and rise to the occasion to be at their best in those moments, as  Jones and Allen and their teammates did in 2015.

Whatever the explanation, time is running out for this team to discover that talent alone does not win games and titles. It also takes  commitment, effort, and chemistry.

Other Comments:

  • DBS subscribers wrote: This team plays no defense and has average guard play. Makes u crave the old model – the one Villanova and Carolina have quietly executed – the K model from 15 years ago… Not loving the one-and-done mode (aka. temps).  2015 was great – but I think an outlier…Ironically, the Tar Heels beat Duke tonight by playing Duke Basketball.
  • There is a reason the Duke-Carolina rivalry is so compelling: The difference between these teams is amazing. Since 2010, Duke has won 13 of the 19 contests between these two teams, but across the decades the advantages have evened out. In the last 101 meetings, North Carolina holds a 51-50 edge in victories and a two-point edge (7,847 to 7,845) in points.

Next play.

Alan Adds:

The most revealing statistic for me is that in the second half, Carolina outrebounded Duke off Duke’s defensive board.  Duke retrieved 13 defensive rebounds while the Tar Heels grabbed 15 offensive rebounds in the second half.  Coach K agreed that it was the most significant aspect of the game.  With 6:31 left in the first half, the Blue Devils led by 12 (40-28).  With 9:30 left in the game, Carolina led by 10 (72-62).  In that 17 minute stretch, Duke reverted to the desultory basketball that has led to upset losses.  Primarily, Duke was completely outhustled in that stretch.  The (as Bill likes to call them) “Washed Out Blues” dominated both backboards in spite of being dramatically outsized, and retrieved every loose ball.  Pinson was everywhere defending, rebounding and driving through the defense for easy assists.  It’s hard to know what to make of this team when they play in significant stretches like this.  Inconsistent is the only valid evaluation of this team so far.

Coach K acknowledged that for a long stretch in the game “we were awful.”  We didn’t execute in the second half what we had diagrammed at intermission.   When that happens, you get confused.  Confusion on offense led to poor transition defense and the 22 point swing in Carolina’s favor in that 17 minute stretch.

Crunch Time

Duke crept back into contention beginning with Wendell Carter’s 3.  Alex hit a 3 and Bagley made a steal, Grayson was fouled.  Even his foul shooting has diminished; he missed the second shot, leaving Duke down by 5.  Each team missed shots and was sloppy without scoring for almost 2 minutes until Marvin got another rebound and passed to Tre who was fouled on his way to the hoop.  He made them both; Duke trailed by 3 with 4:56 to go.  Carolina got 4 offensive rebounds on the next possession but were thwarted with great rim protection and a dramatic block by Carter.  With 3:23 left, Trent missed a 3 that would have tied the game, and the Tar Heels closed out the game from there.  Duval committed his 5th foul (he played only half the game because of foul trouble), and Cameron Johnson buried a 3.  Grayson missed, then committed a foul (Berry made them both).  Trent’s 2 free throws cut the lead to 6 with 1:10 left, but Grayson and Alex missed 3s before Marvin scored on a dunk to cut the lead to 4 with 35 seconds left.  Berry left the door slightly open when he missed a foul shot, but Grayson turned it over, and that was that.

The backcourt

The backcourt was Duke’s undoing.  The three starters – Allen, Duval and Trent – could not defend or shoot, but they did foul.  Each had 2 in the first half.  Duval fouled out in 20 minutes while Allen (40 minutes) and Trent (35 minutes) had 4 each.  Duke forced only 2 turnovers for the game.  Allen was 3-9 (2-8 from deep and 1-2 from the line) for 9 points.  He had 4 boards, 7 assists and only 2 turnovers.   Trent scored 16 on 6-11; 2-5 from deep and 2-2 from the free throw line (he was more effective in the first half with 9 points on 6 shots (4-6; 1-1 from deep).  Tre made all 5 of his free throws, but was 0-3 from behind the arc and only 2-6 inside it for his 9 points to go with a checkered floor game (5 assists, but 4 turnovers).  Defensively, the Carolina backcourt scored at will (Berry had 21; Williams 20; and Johnson 18).

The Bigs

Marvin was magnificent, but cannot do it alone.  He played 39 minutes grabbing 16 rebounds (11 on the defense) while scoring 15 on 7-13 from the floor and 1-2 from the line.  He had 4 assists, 2 blocks and a steal without a single foul.  Carter had only 5 boards and 10 points in 28 minutes. He did not get to the foul line (a telling statistic for me), going 2-3 from deep and 2-4 from inside the arc.  He committed only 2 fouls; he was simply not the beast he has been all year – not his energetic self at all.

The Bench

Marquis Bolden was a revelation in the first half.  He logged 17 game minutes; 9 in the opening stanza where he went 4-4 from the floor (0-1 from the line) to go with a block.  He added an assist in the second half.  It was his best game at Duke so far, and leads to a tantalizing hope that he can infuse some energy into the defense and rebounding.  Alex played 18 minutes (7 in the opening stanza where he scored 5 and got 2 rebounds), in part because of Duval’s foul trouble, and in part because of his effective play.  He scored 11 for the game (more than either Grayson or Duval) on 4-8; 3-5 from deep and ended with 3 rebounds.  Javen DeLaurier, once again produced startling foul stats: 1 minute played; 2 fouls committed.  Jack White had a shot blocked in his 2 minutes.

The Unfolding Season

Coach K seemed sort of satisfied with the improvement from the St. Johns debacle.   “We played better.  We played hard [I dissent for a substantial part of the game] and got good bench.  It is clear to me that this group of superb players has not yet become a good team. I got a hint that Duke may try and play bigger (with only two guards and Bolden seeing more time).  Whether it will or not is why they will play, and we will watch, the rest of the season.

Next game is in Atlanta against Georgia Tech on Sunday night at 6:00 p.m. ESPN

Duke 80 – Georgia Tech 69 

Although a win, this game was a microcosm of the of the season’s five losses and near losses. Playing a zone press and starting Bolden (for Bagley resting a “minor knee sprain” suffered in the Carolina game as a “precautionary measure”), and O’Connell (for Duval benched presumably for erratic play), Duke won the first half 43-26 and lost the second half 37-43 against one of the worst teams in the ACC. Without Bagley, and substituting liberally, the Blue Devils played an aggressive, inspired, effective first half and appeared to be in a position to cruise. However, there are times this team is just incapable of playing forty minutes of fundamentally sound basketball. Up 26 points in the second half, how do they allow Tech to make a 25-2 run and then cut the margin to twelve points to put the game in jeopardy? Solve that problem and we have a different team.

The good news is that Bolden has developed into a big, athletic player who looks like he belongs on the floor. He has a wide body with hops and a decent touch in the post. O’Connell is very athletic and can definitely shoot the three and score the ball. DeLaurier is super athletic and defensively disruptive but foul prone. Jack White has proven he can be a useful sub. Despite opinion to the contrary, these players have the talent and the desire to play meaningful minutes.

The mystery of Grayson Allen 4.0 is that, as in the Michigan State game, he is a different player when Bagley is not on the floor. Tonight, his offensive aggressiveness set the tone for the fast start. Grayson scored 10 of Duke’s first 16 points, made all 10 of his free throws, and had 6 assists. It appears that with or without Bagley, the team is better with Grayson leading the team from the point and Tre Duval coming off the bench. In addition, you just cannot have ball in Tre’s hands at the end of a tight game, because he is not a good free throw shooter. (BTW Duke was 21-26 = 81% for the game). In those circumstances, Allen or Trent on the line is the money play.

This year, there is no super team: Virginia, Villanova, Purdue, West Virginia, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Kentucky all lost this week. Despite three close losses in the last five games, Duke still has the time and the talent to fix what ails them–defense and guard play–and win championships. All they need to do is play decent defense and, just as importantly, have dependable guard play, and finish games off like they did at the beginning of the season. Duval needs to forgo the spectacular and settle for being the steady, consistent facilitator (an assist to turnover ratio like the first ten games) for all the talent around him. The offense needs to go through Bagley and Carter. Throwing the ball into the post is not the same as throwing it into a black hole. They are good and willing passers and will redirect if double teamed. Inside/Out produces more open shots than passing around the perimeter. And Grayson Allen needs to regain his aggressive offense 2.0 mojo. Improvement in just two of these areas would produce a lot more than just the three or four points by which they have lost games. I was surprised Coach K had not yet brought the public hammer down on this team. He usually makes a dramatic change when a team is under performing. Perhaps, tonight was an indication of more changes to come.

Other Comments:

In his presser, Coach K expressed some interesting insights into his assessment of this team: Sunday night games are tough because of the rhythm of our week. Sunday is a low energy day—a day of rest. There are no parties on Sunday night…Any team in the ACC is capable of making a run during a game. Sustaining it is difficult…Bolden is playing well but, because he was out five weeks, is no yet in game shape and is most effective in short stretches…He coaches offense, defense, and communication. The toughest to teach is communication, because young athletes generally don’t like to talk, they like to do– but talking is essential to playing good defense.

Next game: Virginia Tech @ Cameron. Wednesday 7:00pm. ESPN2

Alan Adds:

Coach K notwithstanding, playing on Sunday night does not explain Duke’s schizophrenic character in this game as well as other games this season.  “Tired” — “when they are tired they talk less” and the defense suffers, — also seems like one of the desperate defenses I have had to use in trial.  It is mid-February and Duke has played 25 games.  Giving credence to the need for players coming off of injuries to play and practice enough to get in game shape, like DeLaurier and Bolden, does not explain Duke’s schizophrenia.  Duke was a fabulous team in the first half and a stagnant out of sync team in the second half.  Duke was superb in the first half on both offense [43 points on 53% shooting from the floor; 4-9 from deep; 7 offensive rebounds; 11 assists against 6 turnovers (still a problem)] and defense [playing a ¾ court trap that fell back into a zone all the way, the Blue Devils hounded Georgia Tech, holding the Jackets to 26 points on 28% shooting, 2-10 from deep, getting 7 turnovers (3 of them steals), and allowing the Yellow Jackets only 4 offensive boards.]  The second half was as bad as the first half was superb.  Duke scored only 19 points from the field in the second 20 minutes on 32 % shooting – 3-7 from deep for 9 of the points and 5-18 from inside the arc for the other 10.  5-18!!!  (Grayson 1-7; 1-5 from 3land; Trent 1-5; the 1 was a crucial 3, his only second half attempt from behind the arc; Alex 0-1; Duval 3-7, including a 3 on a gorgeous feed from Grayson that was the shot of the game, but with 0 assists; Bolden 1-2; and Wendell 2-3).  Duke held on to win from the foul line in the second half, scoring 18 on 21 attempts (Grayson 10-10; Carter 5-6; Trent 2-2; DeLaurier 1-2; and Duval missed his only attempt).  Duke had only 5 assists (one by Goldwire at the end) against 5 turnovers.  Grayson had 2 of each in the closing stanza.  Tech blocked 4 Duke shots, mostly when the guards drove the lane.  Once again, Duke could not protect its defensive back board, giving up 12 offensive rebounds to the Jackets (Duke got 12 defensive boards, meaning Georgia Tech retrieved half of the caroms).   Tech had 9 assists and only 3 turnovers.  Duke’s second half – against a team that has been injured and beaten consistently – is in character with the inconsistency that has been consistently (sorry!) on display.  Okagie was the Engineers engine (sorrier!), scoring 15 second half points.  Duke did nothing special to defend him; in fact, it seemed as if Duke’s zone played off him rather than concentrating on defending him.

The Bigs

Carter was superb; perhaps his best all-around game (in his hometown); Bolden had an excellent first half scoring 6 in 14 minutes and grabbing 5 boards and making a nifty pass for an assist.  Coach K emphasized that Marques is not yet in “game shape” after missing 5 weeks with his injury.   In 11 second half minutes, he was 1-2 and grabbed 1 board while turning it over once.  Promising.  De Laurier played 18 energetic minutes (10 in the second half) scoring 3 (1-1; 1-3 from the foul line) to go with 6 rebounds, a block and 2 steals.  He committed “only” 3 fouls.  The only down side to Duke’s inside play was the failure to defend its own back board in the second half.

The Backcourt

Grayson played virtually the entire game (39 minutes), but went back into his shooting slump from the field in the second half (1-7; 1-5 from deep, missing his last 4 in a row), but was Duke’s most valuable player (10-10 from the line) and stabilized the Blue Devils to end the Tech run.  Trent played 30 minutes (limited in the second half  by foul trouble; he finished with 4) scoring 15 on 4-11; 2-2 from deep, meaning he was 2-9 inside the arc; and 5-6 from the foul line.  He had 6 rebounds, 3 assists and 3 steals against a single turnover.  The time he was forced to the bench by foul trouble was not a good time for Duke.  O’Connell started and had a very good first half.  He logged 22 game minutes (14 in the first half where he hit a 3 — 1-3; 1-2 from 3land — and grabbed 2 rebounds to go with an assist and a block).  In the second half, he was less effective, missing his only shot, but grabbing 2 more boards.  Duval played 25 minutes scoring 9 on 4-8; hitting his only 3, which I repeat was the shot of the game, staunching a Tech run that had cut the lead to 12; and 0-1 from the line.  He played 15 of those minutes in the second half, scoring 7 of his 9 in that stanza with 3 rebounds, but 0 assists.

The Second Half Slump

With 10:53 left in the game, Duke led by 25 (63-38).  Duke started missing and turning it over.  Seven minutes later, Tech trailed by only 12.  In that stretch, Trent missed 3, Grayson and Duval one each, Trent committed a foul, and both Carter and Bolden turned it over.  Duval missed the front end of a one and one, but Duke’s foul shooting (Grayson, Carter and Trent) plus Duval (a 3, a layup and a tip in) kept the slump from turning into a legendary disaster.

Going forward

The goal is one of the four double byes in the ACC tournament.  Duke, in 3rd place in the ACC (8-4) is in control of its destiny, but faces the hardest part of the schedule.  Louisville and UNC are a half game behind Duke (each 8-5); Virginia Tech, coming off a thrilling road win at Virginia, is 7-5 (as is Miami, whom Duke does not play again).  Clemson is in 2nd place at 9-3.  Duke has 6 ACC games remaining: Virginia Tech (2), UNC, Louisville, Clemson and Syracuse (6-6).  I believe the next 6 games will be season defining.

Duke 74- Virginia Tech 52 

Tonight was yet another example of why we are fascinated with Duke Basketball: Marvelous Marv is still on the IR list. Virginia Tech (18-7, 7-5) is coming off their biggest win of the year against #1 Virginia in Charlottesville. So, what’s Duke gonna do? Coach K, who just turned 71, decides to take a page from the good old days and go back to the future by playing small ball with aggressive guards Grayson Allen 2.0 and Gary Trent 1.0 leading the way as the team finally discovers (necessity is the mother of invention) playing defense—zone at that— is actually fun and that threes beats twos.

“Next man up” replaced “next play” as the mantra for the last two games. Tonight, a finally healthy Javin DeLaurier was that man and he distinguished himself with athletic dunks and hyperactive defense as Coach K apparently listened to Johnny Tar Heel and substituted liberally (for him). Of course, the steady Wendell Carter’s 13 points, 13 rebounds, 4 assists, & 2 blocks took care of  low post play.  

Here is the unexpectedly impressive piece of the puzzle: Against a team averaging 82.7 points per game, the Blue Devils held the Hokies to a season low 52 point  on 42.9% shooting and outrebounded them  36-19. That included 11 offensive boards which gave the Devils an 18-2 edge in second-chance points. Who saw that coming? Now, the questions is: Has necessity taught these 1.0 players that defense is a necessary component for them to reach their potential? And does Grayson Allen realize that he is the straw that stirs the drink for this team? Even though Tre Duval started (after starting against Georgia Tech, Alex O’Connell only played puzzling mop up minutes), Allen handled the ball more and it sure paid off as he had 6 assists to go with his 25 points. Duval, playing mostly off the ball, had 10 points & 3 assists but 4 turnovers.

Coach K’s  post-game press conference is usually interesting and instructive. Tonight, he complimented is team for “playing 40 minutes of good basketball…that Grayson Allen is our leader. We’ve had him off the ball a lot. He’s trying to lead from there, but the ball’s not in his hands. With the ball in his hands, he can make plays, he can call plays, he’s in more command. These last two games, that’s a big change for us. That’s what we need to do. We like the look with Allen running the point and Duval on the wing because it gives us chances for wing penetration, which has been largely lacking this season…Javin, who had 7 points, 4 rebounds & 1 steal, played with reckless abandon, attacking everything, tipping loose balls, keeping possessions alive.” Then, he said the words I never thought I would hear him utter: “We will play a lot more zone; that’ll be pretty much our primary defense– complemented by man. (Bobby Knight just threw a chair across the room).

Next game: Sunday @ Clemson. 1:00 ACC Network. 

Alan Adds: 

I disagree with Coach K: Duke’s first 8 and a half minutes in this game were cringe-making,  Duke turned the ball over 7 times in that short span.  And Virginia Tech shredded the Duke zone with 3s and layups.  Duke shot well from the perimeter, but did not take a lead until 7 minutes had elapsed.  Coach K was sufficiently alarmed (disgusted) with his zone defense, that with 11:14 left, he replaced his entire back line in the zone – Carter, Bolden and Trent – with White, Vrankovich and DeLaurier.  With 10:21 left in the first half, Duke led by only 1.   Then the Hokies started to miss open layups while Trent and Grayson began to bomb from the perimeter.  In my opinion, Virginia Tech’s 28 first half points were more about the Hokie misses than the Duke defense.  However, the Duke coaching staff made a key change to how the zone was operating and it worked like a charm.  In the first half, the Hokies threw the ball into the high post and operated freely from there.  In the second half, the off perimeter defender – Duval or Allen (Trent plays in the back line), dived into the middle to disrupt the high post.  They began to turn the Hokies over making the Hokie hub of the offense suddenly its weakness.  The Duke defense was beautiful to watch after the change.  DeLaurier gets much credit for that.  His defense then fueled his offense; he scored all 7 in his 13 second half minutes.  Offensively, Duke simply shot the hearts out of Virginia Tech.  You could see the hopelessness in their body language as Duke pulled away in the second half.

Duke’s Big 3 were Carter, Allen and Trent.  Only 5 Duke players scored last night.  Carter was simply awesome.  In 31 minutes he scored 13 [5-9; 1-2 from deep and 2-4 from the line], grabbed 13 rebounds, blocked 2 shots and handed out 4 assists (some great passes; one to DeLaurier that was a highlight).  He had 4 turnovers, but they came during Duke’s opening minutes.  He simply beat the Hokies up inside.  Allen and Trent were absolutely superb, and played virtually the entire game until mop-up time.  Trent (an under rated rebounder) scored 19 on only 11 shots [6-11; 5-9 from 3land; 2-2 from the line] to go with 5 key defensive rebounds from the back line of the zone.  Grayson was a sight for sore eyes.   He was the player last night that we anticipated and hoped he would be this year; a joy to watch.  Without Marvin in the lineup, Grayson (except for the second half against Georgia Tech) has been his sophomore year self.  Let’s see how that goes when Bagley returns because that could tell a tale about this team for the post-season.

Tre had a difficult stretch in those first minutes where 3 of his 4 turnovers occurred, but then he righted his ship.  He played 33 minutes and was terrific defensively on the perimeter of the zone.  He made a pair of 3s, but continues to shoot erratically [3-10; 2-6 from deep, and a gratifying 2-2 from the line (he’s only shooting 60% from the line)].  He had 3 assist, but 4 turnovers.  Bolden did not score in his 16 minutes; nor did White in his 9.  No one else did.

The Blue Devils moved into a tie for 2nd in the conference with Clemson (9-4); Sunday’s winner will have sole possession of 2nd.  UNC (9-5) and Louisville (8-5) each have 5 losses.  One of those teams will not get a double bye in the conference (that Virginia has wrapped up).  This is a season where anything can still happen.

Duke 66 – Clemson 57 

Without Marvelous Marv, there are no Miracles. There are just different backups taking turns stepping into the spotlight as we wait impatiently for the leader of the pack to return. Today, it was Grayson Allen scoring almost half Duke’s 35 first half points while Carter, DeLaurier, Trent and Duval shored up the defense until Carter and Trent took turns bringing down the curtain on a disappointed and deflated Tiger Nation (#10. Really?).

Playing in the always difficult venue of Littlejohn Coliseum, the Blue Devils led for most of the second half and even went up by ten with seven minutes to go but were obviously running on fumes when even contested point blank shots rimmed or rolled out, allowing Clemson an opening to tie the score with two minutes left. The Clemson students were celebrating as if the game was over and you wondered if this Marveless team could find a way to finish off a close road game. It was Carter and Trent who answered “Yes we can!” and made the winning plays. Wendell’s shots in the paint finally rolled in not out and Gary, who up to that point was not shooting well, came through with a three and free throws to make the margin deceiving. However, to be fair, the decisive play of the game may have been a boneheaded foul on a difficult, rushed three by Trent, who converted the three free throws.

It appears these three Marveless (sorry, I love puns) games, have forced Grayson to channel Allen 2.0 and the 1.0 freshmen to mature. In a mano a mano contest down low, Carter got more determined and tougher as the game went on finishing with 15 points, 10 rebounds & 3 blocks. Javin DeLaurier, who started, only had only 2 points but 10 rebounds, 1 block, and was praised by Coach K for his overall impact on the game. Trevon Duval finished with 12 points and four steals that led to easy points. Grayson Allen had 19 but only 2 in the second half. However, he was very active defensively and has been both the scoring ( 22.3 points, 5.3 assists and 2.3 steals) and emotional leader in these last three wins. The Blue Devils  outrebounded the Tigers as well as holding them to shooting only 42% (24% in the final 20 minutes).

The best news is that all the players appear to be enjoy mixing a 2-3 zone with a trapping 1-2-2. Allen and Duval have become a formidable duo at the top of the zone—with each recording four steals in the win—and are long and athletic enough pressure guards and prevent dribble penetration. The addition of the disruptive DeLaurier into the rotation has also been a plus because of his ability to stay in front of quicker players on the perimeter and also battle post players down low.  The zone is not only more effective, it is not as enervating as playing man. And then there is this — the Devils made  22 of 26 free throws. That’s 85%, folks—and they were all needed.

Other Comments:

  • Bolden, White, and O’Connell played limited but productive minutes.
  • This was an important game because the winner has sole possession of second place in the ACC standings. The loser fell half a game behind North Carolina for fourth place.
  • Krzyzewski said Bagley’s right knee sprain is improving. The coach said he’s unsure when Bagley, whom I believe was shooting jump shots in the warm-up in civilian clothes, will be back, but “it’ll be soon.”

Next game: Wednesday. Louisville. 9:00pm. ESPN

Alan Adds:

There was a moment when I believe this edition of The Blue Devils morphed in attitude. Future games will determine whether this is so.  Duke led by 10 (57-47) with 7:06 to go when Trent hit a 3, and it looked as if Duke had created sufficient separation to win going away.  Instead, however, adversity struck; Duke went over 4 minutes without a point, missing jump shots, interior shots, and offensive rebound attempts.  Clemson clawed back and with 2:54 left, had cut Duke’s lead to 2 (57-55).  The next possession was critical, but Duke turned it over on a lazy pass by Grayson to Carter, which Reed swiped.  Time out at 2:18.   Clemson, with Littlejohn rocking, tied the score on an easy – because of lax defense — layup.  What I saw next was the moment of metamorphosis.  With the arena in an absolute frenzy, Trent was perfectly calm as he threw the ball to Tre, who just as calmly brought the ball up court as if it were practice.  There was absolutely no panic; just a quiet confidence in the visible body language.  That was “my moment”.  With 2 seconds left on the shot clock, and 1:33 in the game, Trent had just a spec of room to shoot a corner 3, and was fouled by Spencer.  Bad foul?  Maybe, but also a foul forced by the ball movement and Trent’s past clutch 3s under pressure.  Then Trent did what winning players do; he made all 3 free throws;  Duke defended solidly at the rim and then grabbed the critical (and hard fought) rebound with 1:19 to go.  With the shot clock again running down, Grayson this time made the successful pass to Carter, who made a great post move for a layup and a two possession lead with 46 seconds left.  Although Carter missed the free throw that would have stretched the lead to 6, he made the defensive play needed (how many times have Bill and I written that about Carter this year?) with a block at the rim, which Grayson rebounded with 29 seconds left.  Then Duke continued to do what winning teams do; close out close games from the free throw line (remember Quinn and Tyus?).  Grayson made a pair, and Carter did likewise seconds later to complete the winning 9-0 run that followed “my moment”.

The Defense and the Bench

Duke played zone the entire game, frequently running a ¾ court 1-2-2 trap after made baskets.  Coach K lauded the team’s defense and rightly so.  This was the best Duke’s defense has looked against an elite team all season.  Clemson has been excellent from behind the arc, and Duke chose to attempt to stop DeVoe and Reed, Clemson potent deep shooting backcourt.  Devoe played all 40 minutes; made a crucial 3 after 7 misses from deep and 2 from inside the arc, while Duke forced 5 turnovers from him.  Reed was out of the game for only 1 minute and was curtailed from the perimeter (3-14; 1-6 from deep; only his 6-7 from the line got him to double figures – 13).  Coach K said his players talk more in the zone then when playing man to man, making the zone more effective.  He has also made some intriguing changes from the team’s earlier zone play.  Trent and Grayson have switched positions, with Trent moving to the outside on the back line while Grayson teams with Duval up front.  Duval is a very effective perimeter defender in the zone and earned Coach K’s playing time with his defense in the zone; he played all 20 minutes of the second half and 18 in the first half.  His defense is why Alex was limited to 2 minutes of playing time (all in the first half).  Grayson played the entire game, and is instrumental in the zone becoming effective.  Tre and Grayson teamed to stay on the shooter in center court and still defend the high post at the foul line.  Both Trent and DeLaurier (who is a superb zone defender) were both active in moving out to guard the long shot from around the foul line extended. This forced Clemson into its worst outside shooting night of the season.  Carter and DeLaurier were a bit bereft of outside help when Clemson penetrated, but defended heroically.  A word for DeLaurier – Coach K had many laudatory ones in his press conference.  Javen played 17 minutes of the second half while committing only a single foul! 30 minutes for the game with only 3 fouls. (Shades of Brian Zoubek’s senior year value).   Bolden played 7 valuable minutes in each half.  In his 14 minutes, he was perfect from the field (2-2) and from the line (1-1) to go with 3 rebounds and 2 blocked shots while committing only a single foul and no turnovers.  Jack White is also an active defender in the back line, and aggressive rebounder.  He played 7 minutes (only 2 in the second half) with a basket and a rebound.

Heading to the ACC Tournament

How will the return of Marvin III impact the Duke defensive improvement?  Will the new found confidence without Bagley translate into more efficient performances with him in the lineup from his teammates?  Coach K, the sports writers and I all think so.  UNC is playing its best ball of the season.  Clemson will be a tough out once its point guard returns from concussion protocol (2 consecutive losses without him), and may be better than its record when that happens.  And though Notre Dame is only 6-8, the Irish will be a tough out also, if Bonzi Colson is ready to play, as some say he will be.

What a season so far!  With 4 games left, nothing (except UVA winning the regular season) is certain.  Duke (10-4) plays Louisville (8-6) and Syracuse (7-7) at home before visiting Virginia Tech (8-6; looking for payback at home for the humiliation in Cameron).  Then Senior Night for Grayson against UNC.  Carolina (10-5) plays at Syracuse (7-7) and home to Miami (7-7) before the season finale at Cameron.  Clemson (9-5), which lost 2 games in a row without their point guard, is likely to have him back for its stretch run, which includes Wednesday at Virginia Tech and a revenge rematch at home with Florida State (8-7).   The teams are too closely packed and too many games remain to make any predictions.

Duke 82– Louisville 56 

So sports fans, Marvelous Marvin Bagley, the freshman POY candidate, is out indefinitely with a knee injury. What to do?  No problem. Coach K takes something old, something new, and makes the opponents blue. That would be Grayson Allen, the only senior,  a zone (Bobby Knight just threw a chair across the room), some talented, motivated bench players, and playing a full forty minutes of basketball. LOL. Suddenly, Duke has four straight wins.

It all starts with defense. Let’s call it an Amoeba Zone (trademark pending), because it assumes all kind of shapes and forms as it contests threes, tips passes,  protects the rim, surrounds loose balls, and rebounds like Spiderman. The formerly defenseless Blue Devils held their third straight ACC opponent to fewer than 60 points for the first time since 2010—and they started nailing their free throws. Playing time has increased for Javin DeLaurier, Marquise Bolden and Jack White. Marquise Bolden has become a bad man down low, scoring eight points to go with five rebounds. He, DeLaurier and Jack White gave Duke 18 rebounds in 50 combined minutes. Allen and Duval on top of the zone are long and athletic disrupters of offensive efficiency. Duval, whose offensive role has been diminished, has responded by doubling down and thriving defensively. Tonight he has only 6 points but 6 rebounds, 5 steals, and 4 assists.

Without Marvin taking up so much space and oxygen, Wendell Carter has shown what a polished, sophisticated talent he is.  He can score, rebound, block shots, and pass. With Marv out, Wendell has more space to operate, but also gets double teamed more get so when he’s crowded like that he can still make a play by passing out of double teams, hitting cutters.  In these four games Bagley has missed, Carter has 55 points, 42 rebounds, 12 assists, and 12 blocks. Then there is the straw that has been stirring the drink: Grayson Allen 4.0 unleashed. No longer struggling to be sure his young, talented teammates are happy and productive, Grayson (28 points)  is doing what Grayson does best—play joyful, aggressive  “balls to the wall” basketball. [Editor’s note: Term used by pilots when accelerating quickly, the throttle is pushed all the way to the panel and the throttle lever (ball) actually touches the panel wall.]

The impressive stats: Rebounds: 44 to 30. Free throws: 15-16. Steals: 10. Blocks: 5. The unimpressive stat: 15 Turnovers.

The question is whether Duke has reached this level of defensive efficiency merely because the players have grown up or the zone has worked– or whether Bagley’s absence has something to do with it. Once Bagley is  back on the floor, it will be equally compelling to see how the roles and chemistry between Allen, Carter, and others evolve, or devolve.

Do we have Marvin and the Miracles or The Supremes?

 

Alan Adds:

After last Sunday’s Clemson game, I wrote: “There was a moment when I believe this edition of The Blue Devils morphed in attitude. Future games will determine whether this is so. … Clemson, with Littlejohn rocking, tied the score on an easy – because of lax defense — layup.  What I saw next was the moment of metamorphosis.  With the arena in an absolute frenzy, Trent was perfectly calm as he threw the ball to Tre, who just as calmly brought the ball up court as if it were practice.  There was absolutely no panic; just a quiet confidence in the visible body language.  That was “my moment”.   “ Duke continued to do what winning teams do; close out close games from the free throw line (remember Quinn and Tyus?)”.  Against Louisville, as Bill pointed out, Duke was 15-16 from the line (Carter, 5-5; and Trent (4-4) led the way.

The first “future game” was last night’s season-best performance against Louisville.  The Cardinals only lead was 2-0.  Duke shot 52% in the first half (11-17 inside the arc; 6-16 from beyond it).  Each of Duke’s 3 double figure scorers was efficient.  In 30 minutes, Carter scored 18 on 10 shots (6-10; 1-1 from deep – he’s 50% from behind the arc for the season; and 5-5 from the line) to go with 9 rebounds (8 on defense); 3 blocks and a team leading 6 assists.  Wow!  Grayson was beyond amazing, playing the entire game until it had been salted away (a team high 37 minutes).  His energy at both ends of the court is worth watching closely.  He was 4-5 from inside the arc; 6-15 from deep; 2-2 from the line for his 28 points.  Trent scored 11 on only 8 shots (3-8; 1-4; and 4-4).  There was no fall off when the reserve bigs entered the game.  Bolden was a force in his 16 minutes – you can feel him getting into shape.  He had 8 points (4-5 from the field) 5 boards and a block.  His development has been long awaited, and could be a vital cog in a post-season run.  Javin played 19 energetic minutes before fouling out (his fouling is still a problem), with 8 rebounds and 5 points (2-3; and 1-1 from the foul line) to go with an assist, a steal and a block.  Three turnovers and 5 fouls show there is more improvement to come from him.  He is a great defensive catalyst when he is in the game.  Jack White provided valuable minutes – he is an aggressive rebounder at 6’7”, grabbing 5 in his 15 minutes.  He was 2-4 from the field for 4 points.

But, as Bill rightly emphasizes, the defensive improvement in the past games has been beyond dramatic.  Duke’s zone is different from other zones (though it has a lot of what makes the Syracuse zone so successful) and has been augmented by its ¾ court trap after some made baskets.  Coach K moved Grayson from the back line to the perimeter, where he and Duval have been simply outstanding.  Duke went to take away Louisville’s 3 point attack, which was accomplished.  The wings in the back line of the defense come all the way up to the foul line extended, making almost 4 perimeter defenders.  White, Javin, and Trent have been extremely effective in closing out on perimeter shooters from there, and have still been able protect the defensive backboard –especially DeLaurier and White.  That defense exposes the corners and the interior, but the lethal Cardinal shooters were outside.  Carter, Bolden and Javin were heroic on the interior.  Louisville missed a bunch at the rim, but each was ferociously contested (and, there were those 5 blocks!).  In my opinion, what is infusing the zone with panache is Trevon and Grayson up top.  They have been so active (in the press as well) in not only covering the shooters, but in stopping the middle (high post) that is the weak spot in a 2-3 zone.  Years ago, Shane Battier described a Coach K defensive adjustment as “Shane, run around”.  This zone is for Grayson and Tre to “run around”.  They are ballet-like in moving to guard the seemingly open man, no matter where he is.  The energy expended on the defensive end by those two is game-changing.  Trevon had 5 steals and 6 rebounds – he and Grayson have been great had snatching the long rebounds that had previously been turning into offensive rebounds.  Louisville was held to 36% shooting.  Let’s notice one more critical advantage to the way Duke is playing this zone.  Duke had been fouling at a prodigious rate, which impacted its defense in different adverse ways.  Duke committed only 11 fouls (5 by DeLaurier) in the entire game against the Cardinals, who never were in the bonus in either half.  Carter was the only other Duke player with more than 1 (he committed 2 in 30 minutes).  This is a huge, if subtle, beneficial adjustment made in the zone.

One game is insufficient to really know if “my moment” is the catalyst to a post-season reminiscent of the 2015 team, but the early returns are promising.  In 2015, the defense came together in the post-season, which produced the National Championship.  This defense is coming together.  Coach K was chuckling at the suggestion that Marvin’s return would scuttle the resurgence.  “If Brand came back, I’d play him”.  “We’ll figure it out.”  What a bright turnaround for the defense in the last 4 games.  Lots of questions to still be answered, but optimism is breaking through.

DUKE 60 – SYRACUSE 44 

At times, tonight’s game set basketball back fifty years– at the 27-16 halftime break both teams were for 0-20 for threes and the final score of 60-44 looked more like a recent NFL score. Duke alone has scored or nearly scored 100 points or more nine times  this year. To add insult to injury, Dick Vitale was on the mic sounding like an annoyed senior citizen who had missed the Early Bird Special, constantly hyper-talking over the action and even complaining about the length of the game because he hadn’t yet eaten dinner. Hey Dickie V, it was only eight o’clock.

The good news is that Marvelous Marv was back in action and Grayson adjusted his game. Instead of draining rainbow threes, he threw Tom Brady like rainbow fades to Gronk er Bags. Unfortunately, they only counted two not six points. 13 steals & 17 turnovers: I don’t know if these teams are that bad or if  this Amoeba Zone (trademark pending) is that good but Duke has suddenly won five straight games and held the last four opponents to less than 60 points. In the shot clock era, that’s an impressive statistic. In addition, the bench rotation of Bolden, DeLaurier, and White are more just than providing a breather for the starters. Marquis Bolden.( 7points, 6 rebounds, 1 steal in only 12 minutes) is a much different player than last year. Playing with a broken nose and refusing to wear a protective mask, he is a real man on the boards. Marques has developed a lethal jump hook and hits his free throws. Super athlete DeLaurier is one of the reasons that this defense is so effective. And four big men are finally defending the rim like big men should. The team was 14-16 from the line and finished off an opponent like a top team. However, before anyone dusts off shelf space in the trophy case, let’s wait until we see the results of the next two tough games.

Other Comments:

Duke has as talented a starting four as any team in the country. Unfortunately, the former starting point guard, Tre Duval, has become an offensive liability but, fortunately, a defensive asset. The same could be said for DeLaurier or White, except they know their offensive limitations.

Coach K addressed the allegations of agent corruption and noted there is a huge difference between the Arizona head coach allegedly overheard on an FBI wiretap discussing a $100,000 payment to star ‘Zona freshman POY candidate Deandre Ayton and Wendell Carter’s mother’s name appearing on a sports agent’s spreadsheet as a dinner expense. Duke vetted the situation: Carter’s mother called Coach K to alert him to the 2016 agent meeting. She said her husband didn’t like the guy and left right away. Being a southern lady, she waited a little longer before leaving, neither of them having eaten a bite. Duke called in the compliance folks, did due diligence, talked to the Carters, and the NCAA before Athletic Director Kevin White issued his statement  yesterday. Wendell didn’t seem overly concerned as he had 16 points, 10 rebounds, four assists, two blocks, and four steals.

Next Game: Virginia Tech @ Blacksburg. Monday @ 7:00. ESPN

Alan Adds:

Monday night – a quick turnaround, but precisely the schedule to be faced in the NCAA tournament – Duke plays what, in my opinion, is a classic trap game (think St. Johns) against Virginia Tech in Blacksburg.   Why is it a classic trap game?  For Duke, the biggest game of the regular season is next Saturday (Senior Night for Grayson) against UNC.  The winner gets 2nd place in the regular season and possibly a #1 seed (depending on what happens in the ACC tournament) for The Big Dance.  And it is, after all, Carolina (who beat Duke at the Dean Dome earlier in the month).  It will be hard for these freshmen to stay focused on Monday’s game with UNC looming.  Moreover, it is only 12 days since the Blue Devils humiliated the Hokies in Cameron by 22 points — without Bagley III.  Let us remember that in the game prior to that humiliation, Virginia Tech went into John Paul Jones arena in Charlottesville and handed the Cavaliers their only ACC loss this season in overtime.  After it, the Hokies beat Georgia Tech and Clemson before losing badly last night to Louisville.  The Hokies are 20-9 overall and 9-7 in the ACC.  They are playing for their tournament lives, and it is their Senior night.  Hokie Coach Ahmad Hill: “We owe [our fans] a ‘W’, And we also owe our seniors to send them out in the last home game with a great win. And we owe Duke, because the last time we played them it wasn’t a good game. We look forward to Monday.”  A classic trap game!  Duke better come with intensity.

The good news is that Duke has come with intensity in every game since the debacle against St. John’s in Madison Square Garden on February 3 (even though Carolina beat Duke in the Dean Dome five days later).  UNC was the beginning of Duke’s late season resurgence, which has been sparked largely by the metamorphous of the defense (inspired by Hall of Fame coaching) from a team giving up 90+ per game to a team holding ACC teams under 60.  Duke’s zone is something to watch, and apparently Bagley did during his healing time on the bench.  He played the back line of the zone very well.  So do DeLaurier and Jack White (who has been a rebounding revelation – 4 in 7 minutes last night plus a block).  Bolden has been not less than brilliant on defense when spelling Carter in the middle.  Carter has grown by leaps and bounds during Bagley’s absence.  On defense he has been Duke’s best rim protector since The Landlord (Sheldon Williams) and he has (miraculously) stopped fouling.  In fact, one of the revelations of the zone has been the diminution of the multitude of fouls Duke was committing in the man to man.  Duke had only 3 fouls in the first half and 10 for the game – Syracuse had only one free throw in the bonus situation all night.

Duke approaches the last two regular season games, the ACC tournament, and The Big Dance as a really good defensive team that has a dynamite bench.  (Shades of 2015?).  The zone with the ¾ court trap created 13 steals (8 in the first half).  Coach K moved his defense to emphasize stopping the outside shooting of the Syracuse backcourt (who play the entire game).  The perimeter did just that while the interior defenders were impressive even when Syracuse got close to the basket with their bigs.  The 7 foot Chukwu had 3 big dunks in the first half, but Duke adjusted.  He did not score in the second half, and fouled out in just 24 minutes trying to guard Carter.  Duke can go nine deep, and has received superlative bench play from DeLaurier (17 minutes), Bolden (12), White (7), and some from Alex (6).  The most interesting development is the substitution of DeLaurier for Duval, which Duke did several times.  The zone was even more effective with Bagley and DeLaurier on the wings in back with Trent and Grayson out front.  DeLaurier is such a wild card with his energy and athleticism.  You can see him getting better and being more confident in every game.

So, what happened to the perimeter offense, hot during Bagley’s absence, when he returned last night.  Trent in 31 minutes led the backcourt with 7 points (2-11; 1-6 from deep; 2-2 from the line – the only foul shots attempted by the backcourt); Duval in 25 minutes scored only 3 (1-8; 1-5 from deep without drawing a foul) and Grayson in 38 minutes scored only 6 (3-9; 0-6 without getting to the line) all slumped badly from recent performances.  Grayson said the Syracuse zone keyed to stop the perimeter (the 2 zones operated in almost precisely the same way).  But unlike Duke’s zone, Syracuse had no answers inside. Grayson had 6 assists, Duval 3 and Trent 1 setting up the interior offense. In 31 minutes, Bagley (welcome back!) had a monster game inside with 19 points (8-9; no attempts from deep; and 3-4 from the line) to go with 7 boards.  The only rust he showed was in his 3 turnovers.  Carter was even better.  In 32 minutes he scored 16 – 10 in the second half (5-11; no 3s; but 6-6 from the line) to go with his team high 10 boards, 4 wonderful assists, 4 steals and 2 blocks.  That stat line draws a Wow!  Bolden played 12 minutes (6 in each half) and continued being a revelation.  He scored 7 on 2-2 from the field and 3-4 from the line to go with 6 rebounds (shades of Brian Zoubek) and a steal.  Those 3 scored 42 of Duke’s 60 and drew the fouls that depleted and undermined Syracuse’s interior defense.

Duke heads into the homestretch of the season clicking on all cylinders.  But the trap comes up on Monday.

Duke 63 – Virginia Tech 64 

Welcome to the Yin & Yang Duke Blue Devils. Finally, they start to play good defense then suddenly, they can’t play good offense. Who would have thought that with Bagley back, they would struggle to score 63 points? (Alan: He called it: A trap game) Rule number one: Do not let any team hang around-–especially on their home court. Rule number two: when you get a team down, close them out! Ahead virtually the entire game (except for the important final four seconds), Duke had multiple opportunities to put this game away. At closing time, the Devils inexplicably just could not execute their offense and score points. They led by 9 points with five minutes left, but Virginia Tech, to their credit, ended the game on a 13-3 run. Rule number three: With time running out, a slim lead, and two 87 % free throw shooters, do not in-bounds the ball to a 60% free throw shooter. It’s late in the season to be making these mistakes. It leaves one wondering whether this is a just a talented group of one-and-doers or a very good but young and inconsistent college team– a pretty pretender or a tough contender?

The stats tell only part of the story. While Allen had 22 points, 11 were in the first six minutes and chalk up 5 of his 6 turnovers as assists to the Hokies. Bagley and Carter, usually high percentage shooters as well as unselfish, willing passers basically got in each other’s way and could only score on dunks. Late in the game, both Allen (after 26 straight) and Trent missed free throws, Allen turned the ball over twice, was called for an silly offense foul– and the ref missed a foul committed on Carter on a critical struggle for an offensive rebound. Any game when Allen and Tent only hit 5 of 22 threes, only two players score in double figures, the team commits 18 turnover and gives up 5 steals, one would think Duke was blown out. The good news is that with all this ineptness, defense kept the game winnable until it didn’t.

Who is the fifth starter? If Luke Kennard had stayed another year we wouldn’t be having this conversation. But he is in the NBA and no matter who is the fifth man, Duke is much easier to defend because a defender can slough off Duval or DeLaurier or White and double the post or the wings. Tre Duval’s inconsistency—he can thrill you one minute and make you want to tear your hair out the next — makes him the weak offensive link. However, in the zone and zone press, he has become invaluable and it is apparent Coach K has placed all his chips on Tre. O’Connell is fearless and has multiple skills but if Coach K is was going to commit to him, he would have by now.

Then there is Bagley. It’s only two games back from missing four games but he has been the been the player formerly known as Marvelous Marv. ESPN announcer Dan Dakich, a former Division I player and coach had some controversial but not altogether inaccurate comments (edited for redundancy): “I know this is blasphemy, but I can see in 18 minutes why Duke was able to go on a run when he was hurt…You hate to say that about a kid (but not really), he is about himself.,, He gets the ball, it doesn’t come out. He doesn’t play defense. He’s a terrific talent, don’t get me wrong. Defensively, you can see Virginia Tech has really made an effort to go at him. Now he’s going to rebound, he’s going to do some decent things, no question.”

Dan played for Coach Knight at Indiana and later coached there, so he should know better than to judge a player after just 18 minutes of one game but to go on and on with personal judgements like this about an 18 year old kid on national television is just a sign of the times. However, fair or not, Duke played differently and effectively without him. However, over the entire season a fair assessment is that for as talented and publicized as he is, Bagley has been an unselfish team player. Could and should he be a better defensive player. Yes! Is he coachable and will he be. Yes and yes!

This was just one painful but teachable moment. Next play!

Next game: Saturday. North Carolina @ Cameron. 8:15 ESPN

Alan Adds:

At half time, with Duke leading by 7, I texted the following to Bill: “11 team fouls and 7 turnovers in the first half.  Different from last 5 games.  I have a queasy– trap game – feeling!”  I wish I did not feel so Cassandra-like.  A trap game it was.

Duke did not have its customary energy.  Coach K: “We didn’t play with energy; it is what I was most worried about.  We just didn’t have it.  You could tell because we were irritable on calls.  It was as if we were asking for calls.  We didn’t play like we have been playing.  We didn’t act as we normally act.”  Coach K attributed it to his team being tired – Clemson last Sunday; Louisville on Wednesday; Syracuse on Saturday; before last night’s encounter.  But with the exception of Louisville on Wednesday, it is the schedule Duke will – could – face in the second week of the NCAAs.  I believe “classic trap game” is a more accurate analysis.

Turnovers and bad shooting was what the lack of energy caused.  The defense was good, but Duke committed many more fouls than in the last 5 games. The Hokies made as many foul shots (15-19) as Duke shot (11-15).  Duke’s defensive plan was to make Virginia Tech a half court team, “and we did that except for when we turned it over,” explained K.  Grayson and Trent, who were 12-24 against Syracuse shot 7-25; 5-22 from 3  (Trent 1-7; all from 3; Grayson 6-18; 4-15 from deep) last night.  Grayson (6-7 from the line) scored 22 in all 40 minutes (11 in each half).  Bagley (36 minutes) was Duke’s only other double figure scorer with 12 (5-9; 2-2 from the line) and grabbed 7 rebounds.  He is clearly not all the way back.  For the first time ever, he was subjected to negative comments from the TV booth.  Btw, I do not believe that criticism is valid, except for the part on defense.  Duval, who did not start (DeLaurier did) scored 7 in 24 minutes (3-5; 1-2 from deep; and – hide your eyes – 0-1 from the line.  He committed 4 fouls and had 3 turnovers (2 assists).  Carter was held to 5 in 24 minutes  (2-5; 1 air ball from deep; 1-2 from the line). He had a team high 8 rebounds, but a very sub-Carter game.  Trent was also held to 5 points in 37 minutes (2-3 from the line to go with 1-7 from deep); a very sub-Trent game.  DeLaurier played only 14 minutes (2-3 for 4 points; no foul trouble); Bolden also scored 4 in his 14 minutes (1-3; 2-2 from the line) to go with 4 rebounds and 4 assists, plus a block. White and O’Connell each hit a 3 in cameo appearances.

Most troubling was Duke’s performance at “winning time”, the last 5 minutes of a game.  With 5:21 left in the game, Duke led by 9 (60-51), and had a chance to stretch the lead to double figures when Wendell turned it over, and then committed a foul on the defensive end.  Duke scored only 3 more points (Grayson 3-4 from the line).  Turnover by Alex, missed shot by Bolden, missed layup by Bagley, foul by Allen.  Grayson made a pair of free throws for Duke’s final score (63-58) and stole the ball with 1:46 left.  Then the wheels came completely off.  Grayson turned it over twice and committed a foul. Trent turned it over.  With 25 seconds left, Duke led by 1 when Trevon was fouled and missed the front end of the 1 and 1 before the Hokies scored with 4 seconds left to win the game.  Coach K said, “I’m not blaming Trevon.”  He then proceeded to say, “You have to hit them.  That’s winning plays.”  Sounded a bit like blaming Tre.  It was a pretty awful performance at winning time.

The loss makes Saturday’s game against arch rival, UNC, who has demonstrated they know how to close out a close game, critical.  A win and Duke secures second place in the conference, and the coveted double bye.  A loss and there is a chance that Duke finishes 5th and out of the double bye.  Cassandra is predicting a resurgence in Cameron.

DUKE 74 – NORTH CAROLINA 64 

Duke vs. Carolina may not be, as Jay Bilas exclaimed, the greatest rivalry since Athens vs. Sparta. However, it has lasted longer, has had more exciting, heart stopping, heart breaking moments and while no combatant has died, some observers have been known to need a defibrillator—and tonight was no different. Duke played the first half  like they did in the last eight minutes against Virginia Tech. They couldn’t hit a three and even reverted to their early season inept free throw shooting, converting only 4 of 14. The half mercifully ended with Duke fortunate to only be behind 35-25. Then, down 12 points with only about ten minutes left and staring at an embarrassing, season defining defeat, the Blue Devils suddenly morphed into  the kind of offensive powerhouse they were thought to be at the beginning of the season, scoring practically at will and engineering a twenty point turnaround—down ten at the half, up ten at the final horn. How to explain the difference in the two halves? It’s simple: Get stops, hit shots. Carolina did that in the first half, Duke did it in the second half. Obviously, the second half is the more important one—as Duke learned last month in Chapel Hill.

At halftime, coaches attempt to make strategic adjustments and make constructive reminders/criticism. As Coach K explained later, it was as simple as this: “Take the pianos off your back. Take the pressure off. Play with a smile on your face. I’m not going to call any plays. Everybody touch the ball. If you see a play, make a play. Get comfortable and don’t forget, tonight is not only Grayson’s last game at Duke in Cameron.” However, there was also what turned out to be the critical strategic move that makes players love him. Coach K rolled the dice and put the ball into the hands of struggling, recent non-starter Tre Duval, who missed a crucial free throw in the last minute at Blacksburg and had not played or shot well in the first half of this game. Holy Bobby Hurley, Batman, Tre Duval turned into the point guard of the first eleven undefeated games of the season.

Finally, Marvin and the Miracles were re-united, playing and singing Together Again! Suddenly, Tre played like the strong, penetrating point guard he was reputed to be with Bagley being the primary beneficiary of passes for easy dunks, which energized the big fella into a relentless POY beast tape (21 points & 15 rebounds) and creating space for Allen (15 points, 5 assists, 5 rebounds, 5 steals) and Trent (3 threes) to have open looks. Of all people, Duval and Bagley hit threes to fuel the rally. Bingo, a huge momentum shift: Cameron was rocking, the Blue Devils were rolling, and Carolina was shooting like they had tar on their hands as well as their heels.

Despite the recent offensive inconsistencies, the good defense (after a porous start, Duke is now ranked 10th in the nation in defensive efficiency) has kept this team in games. Holding Carolina, a team averaging 84 points a game to 20 points under their average is impressive. Consider this: Duke missed 11 free throws (some the front end of one-and-ones), 16 threes, only scored 25 first half points, and still beat  #9 North Carolina by 10 points.

However, without the Tre Duval (7 points, 6 assists, 1 steal, 0 turnovers) of the last quarter of tonight’s game, it is hard to see Duke as a Final Four team. They are a team that can lose to any ACC or NCAA Tournament team. But, this year that seems the story of all the teams. It’s anyone’s title to win.

Other Comments:

  • In his post-game press conference, Carolina Coach Roy Williams was obviously disappointed but gracious—especially in his comments about Grayson Allen’s career. His team does not have a lottery pick or, perhaps, even an NBA first round pick. They are certainly disadvantaged by not having a big man who can match up against Bagley or Carter. Nevertheless, his team outplayed the Blue Devils for about thirty of the forty minute game. Give Ol Roy credit. He can coach em up. His system works no matter whom he plugs into it.
  • And speaking of coaches, the ACC is loaded with outstanding coaches, who will undoubtedly be a demand from other schools or the NBA.
  • Duke senior Grayson Allen and freshman Marvin Bagley III were named to the All-Atlantic Coast Conference Academic Men’s Basketball team, as announced today by the conference office.  Allen has earned a spot on the team in each of his four years as a Blue Devil. To be eligible for consideration to the All-ACC Academic team, a student-athlete must have earned a 3.00 grade point average for the previous semester and maintained a 3.00 cumulative average during his academic career. Duke has had multiple honorees in 11 consecutive seasons and 30 times since the inception of the All-ACC Academic team in 1962-63.

Note: Since Alan will be in Switzerland on business next week, we will not cover every game, rather just a summary after the ACC Tournament.

Alan adds:

Carrying Coach K’s pianos on their backs, produced opening half statistics that were genuinely desultory.  Duke shot 1-10 from behind the arc (Alex at 1-2 had the only “make”; Grayson was 0-3; Trent 0-3, while Bagley and De Laurier (true) each missed their only 3 point attempt.  You could feel Duke fans’ hair being pulled out as Duke missed consistently from the line (4-14).  Duval was 0-3 from the line (1-2 from the field) for 2 points in his 7 short disappointing first half minutes – 0 assists.  Grayson led Duke’s first half scorers with 7 (3-9; 1-3 from the line) while playing the entire first half (he played the entire game until Coach K took him out with 22 seconds to play so Cameron could give Grayson Allen his due after four terrific years).  Carter had just 2 points (1-5 from the field), and Bagley just 3 (1-3, including that 3 point attempt; and a horrendous 1-4 from the line).  Carter, Bagley and Allen each had committed 2 fouls.  It was not a half to inspire Blue Devil fans.

Then came redemption, resurrection, and a season defining win over UNC in what we all think is the best rivalry in sport.  The stats for the rivalry are simply head scratching.  The teams have split the last 90 games – in almost half, both teams were ranked in the top 10.  It was, in large measure the dynamic freshman combination of Marvin and Tre Duval that orchestrated this dramatic win.  The two reminded me of Kyrie in his first 8 games as a freshman, setting up Mason Plumlee with his drives and dishes. Duval lit it up in his 14 second half minutes on both ends of the court.  Defensively, he had a block and a steal.  He set up Grayson’s 3 crucial second half steals with his relentless pressure in the trap.  His forays to the basket not only led to 6 assists and 5 second half points on 2 shots (1 a huge wide open 3 that Carolina dared him to shoot; that 3 ignited Duke’s comeback).  Not a single turnover.  Bagley then showed his fight and determination pouring in 18 second half points (8-9, including 1-1 from deep and 1-1 from the line) to go with 11 second half rebounds and 2 blocks in his 33 minutes.  As Coach K said, “he put us on his back!”  Trent hit three huge 3s to score 13 in his 36 minutes.  Duke scored 49 second half points on 60% shooting (18-30, including 8-15 from deep); and 5-6 from the line.  Both Carter and Bagley each made their only three point attempt of the second half.  Tre was 1-1 also.  Grayson (2-4) and Trent (3-7) made UNC pay for leaving Duke’s previously hapless shooters open.

However, it is Duke’s defense that is now carrying this team, which is jaw dropping, considering Duke’s learning curve and the resort to the zone defense.  UNC played well against the zone in the first half, but in the final stanza, started missing the open corner 3s that the ‘Heels were making in the first half.  Duke disrupted UNC with its ¾ court press in the second half.  UNC not only turned it over against the press, but got into their half-court offense later than usual, which cost Carolina in offensive efficiency.  Duke held UNC to under 40% shooting in each half and under 25% from deep.  In the second half, the Blue Devils forced turnovers and blocked shots at a devastating rate – 12 steals for the game and 8 blocks.  Duke committed only 5 second half fouls (3 by Carter) allowing UNC only one second half free throw attempt, a miss by Pinson.  That, in my opinion, is a crucial stat.  Duke gave up only 29 second half points.  Berry was held to 6 for the game (0-7 from deep).

The bench contributed valuable minutes.  DeLaurier 12 minutes (9 in the first half); Bolden 17 and Alex 14 allowed Duke to remain fresh.  Grayson said “nobody was tired.”

I criticized Duke’s performance against Virginia Tech on Monday at “winning time”.  Duke fought back from a 13 point deficit to tie the score at 60 with 6:32 to go.  UNC scored only 4 points the rest of the way, and 0 in the last 3:18.  Duval hit a jumper; then he stole the ball and hit Trent with a pass that led to a 3 (65-60) with 5:10 to go.  Duval had a wonderful assist for a Bagley dunk after a Berry 3 (67-62 with 4:20 left).  After Maye missed a jumper under heavy defensive pressure, Duval found Carter, who buried a 3 (70-62 with 3:35 left).  Pinson scored Carolina’s last points on a jumper with 3:18 to go. (70-64).  Johnson and Maye each missed before Grayson grabbed Maye’s miss and passed to Duval, who drove and dished to Bagley for a resounding dunk (72-64 with 1:26 left).  Grayson then stole the ball twice and made his final two free throws with 37 seconds left for the final margin.

The ACC tournament begins this week.  Duke has finished second (13-5) and has a double bye into the quarterfinals on Thursday (March 8) at 7 against either Pitt, Notre Dame or Virginia Tech (I predict Notre Dame).  If Duke wins, the Devils play the late game on Friday (9 pm) against either Miami or North Carolina (I predict the ‘Heels).  The Championship game is Saturday night at 8:30.

The DBP will publish just one edition for the tournament, which will be a tournament wrap and NCAA pre-tournament wrap.Congratulations to the University of Virginia on a rare accomplishment: Winning both the ACC Regular Season Title and the ACC Championship!

ACC Championship Summary

Congratulations to the University of Virginia on a rare accomplishment: Winning both the ACC Regular Season Title and the ACC Championship!

Watching Virginia play North Carolina for the ACC Championship was a bitter sweet experience. On one hand, I loved the fact that it was old school basketball vs. old school basketball. Neither team had a one-and-done player but rather a mix of talented but not lottery (or, perhaps, even first round) picks who have stayed in school and worked diligently on their game and their coach’s team first approach. On the other hand, my loyalty to Duke made me envious that Duke was not one of the teams, because I felt they have the most talent.

The final chapter of this season is yet to be written but no matter the outcome, Coach Tony Bennett, whom against all odds—his individualistic personality and adherence to boring fundamentals his father/coach taught– has established himself as one of the very  best coaches in college basketball. Certainly, for the better part of ten years, he has done more with less than any other college coach. And I am envious that UVA and Carolina fans have had the joy of watching players like Berry, Maye, and Pinson grow and develop as players and people– just as I did with Laettner, Hurly, Hill, Battier, and  JJ etc. I love the talent Coach K has recruited these past several years but not the fact that we have not and will not have the opportunity to watch them mature.  This is not a criticism of Coach K. Any coach wants the best talent available. I blame it on the  NBA collective bargaining agreement.

DUKE 69 – NORTH CAROLINA 74

What a difference a day makes. Tonight’s game was the mirror image of last night’s games: Carolina started like Duke and Duke started like Carolina as they fell behind 18-7 in the first ten minutes. Except for a few runs, Carolina veterans, playing their third game in three nights, thoroughly outplayed Duke’s young team in every phase of the game. You cannot make 18 turnovers, give up 18 offensive rebounds, shoot 6-23 from three point land, and expect to beat North Carolina. Nevertheless, in the last five minutes the Blue Devils made an 18-0 run to get within three with a minute to go but it was too little, too late against too good a team to pull off a miracle finish.

You have to hand it to Coach Roy Williams. He had his team pumped and primed with a terrific game plan and they executed it with the  patience, precision, tenacity, and hustle which we have come to expect from Tar Heels teams over the last fifty or so years. While earlier in the season this team actually lost to Wofford, they nearly won a National Championship in 2016 and did win one  in 2017. The core players, Berry, Pinson, Maye, and Williams have seen, experienced, and done it all. They are seasoned veterans who have grown up and matured in the program for three or four years and that experience showed tonight. They are smart and talented and are well schooled in the subtle aspects of the game. ‘Ol Roy is often criticized for not being a good game coach but he sure knows how to get his players to play the Dean Smith North Carolina Way!

While Duke may be loaded with NBA lottery picks and Carolina has, perhaps, one or two first rounder picks, in these three games the Tar Heels have been the better team as they have outplayed Duke for about 75 of the 120 minutes. Pinson, Berry, and Maye are playmakers—they can pass, shoot, create, and defend. Duke, on the other hand, is just learning to defend and holding this explosive Carolina team to only 74 points would normally be good enough to win the game. While Carolina’s tight, savvy, man-to-man defense was terrific, Tre Duval’s severely sprained his ankle early in the game did not help the Blue Devils execution on either end of the floor. After going to the locker room, he returned but did not appear to have his usual explosiveness or lift and made five turnovers and scored no points. But those are the breaks of the game and a team either makes an adjustment or not.

What makes this basketball rivalry so compelling is that for decades, both programs have been so outstanding, nothing can be taken for granted except that neither team ever gives up—and half the time one of the teams and their fans have gone home disappointed.

Next play.

Other Comments:

  • In losing to UNC, Duke lost the opportunity to be a number one seed in the NCAA Tournament.
  • The multi-talented Theo Pinson, who can play the point, rebound, guard bigger or smaller men, and score, is having a terrific senior year and tournament. Staying four years has certainly been beneficial for his game. I am going to miss him.
  • Last year, Duke beat Carolina in this same game and yet the Tar Heels went on to win the NCAA Championship.
  • Exactly 27 years ago, in the 1991 ACC Championship game, North Carolina beat Duke by 22 points and yet that team went on to win the NCAA Tournament.
  • In the five years I have known Johnny Tar Heel, he has never thought Carolina would beat Duke. Two days ago, he emailed me from half way around the world in Myanmar that Carolina would win by five. He must have consulted the Oracle of Delphi.

Alan Adds:Duke 88 Notre Dame 70 in the Quarter-Final

I was not able to watch the Notre Dame game (not televised in Switzerland and was played between 1:30 and 3:30 a.m. Zurich time) but the box score and play by play indicate one of Duke’s best performances of the year.  Grayson had a blazing hot start (5-5 from deep) and Marvin simply took over the game scoring 33 points with 17 rebounds.  Tre Duval had 11 assists (6 turnovers) in 34 minutes as the Duke defense stifled the Fighting Irish in the second half  (only 33 points, while Duke put up 47).  Bonzie Colson had an excellent game from the high post, scoring 20 and grabbing 10 boards, but Duke accomplished its primary defensive mission by shutting off the Notre Dame 3 point attack (5-23 for the game, including 2-11 in the second half).  The relatively easy win put Duke into the semi-finals against the Tar Heels for their second game against each other in less than a week.  Optimistic was a fair adjective for the Devil outlook against Notre Dame, playing its third game in 3 days.  But optimism turned to pessimism in the early going against Carolina.

Duke v UNC in the Semi-Final

It was a superb game, but there is no doubt that UNC outplayed Duke in every phase of the game from start almost to the finish.  Yet, significantly, Duke made a gallant run at the end, to make it close.  The key statistic that tells the story is that Carolina had 17 more field goal attempts than Duke did (UNC took 71 shots to the Devils’ 54).  As Bill (Coach K and everyone else) pointed out, that was the result of Duke giving up 18 offensive rebounds to the ‘Heels (9 in each half) and turning the ball over 18 times (10 in the first half).  It was a disappointing loss any way it gets analyzed, yet there is nothing about this game that should make Duke an underdog, in the improbable event of a rematch in the NCAA tournament.  Carolina is a team on the rise and it would not surprise anyone to see ‘Ole Roy and his band in the Final Four.  Ditto for Duke.  Ditto for UVA, which plays exceptional defense and beautiful (thoughtful) offense.  The Cavaliers outplayed Carolina almost precisely the way Carolina outplayed Duke.   It is a season where many very good teams have reasonable Final Four aspirations.  As you know, I believe that defense wins championships, and I have been extremely impressed with how Coach K has brought this defense along – a exclusively a zone defense, for the first time in his long coaching career – to the point where it is actually this team’s calling card.  Absolutely amazing.  No one would have predicted such a defensive change in philosophy last fall, but it is that kind of flexibility in thinking, philosophy and execution that makes a person extraordinary – in any walk of life.  Duke is so lucky to have such a man at the helm.

The Defense

Even though Duke’s defense was somewhat shredded by UNC’s offense, which attacked the Duke zone with an offense featuring a high post at the foul line, Duke’s defense was actually excellent against this extremely well-coached UNC offense.  Duke’s game plan with the zone was to take away Carolina’s 3 point shooting, which has been the Tarheel chief scoring feature this season.  Duke held the ‘Heels to 3-15 in the second half (20%) and under 30% for the game from deep.  Coach K said the defense should have been good enough to win, but for the turnovers.  I would have added “and giving up so many offensive rebounds”.  In fairness, many of the rebounds UNC retrieved from the Duke defensive boards came when Duke players got to the ball at the same time, resulting in the ball popping free.  Many of Carolina’s offensive rebounds were long – over the Duke bigs.  However, the bottom line is Carolina was quicker to the ball, played with more intensity, and (except for the last 5 minutes) outhustled Duke.  That was not Duke’s failure as much as Carolina’s highly emotional intensity.

Yes, Carolina played terrific offense through the high post, exploiting the hole in the zone there.  However, as Coach K pointed out Maye and Pinson are about as good as it gets with players capable of shredding a zone from the high post.  Each is a superb passer from that spot as well as accurate shooter if left open.  The same is true of Bonzie Colson, who set up there for Notre Dame on Thursday in the quarterfinals.  Yet Duke held the high-scoring ‘Heels to 74 and Notre Dame to 70. He said Duke’s zone would be ready in the NCAAs.  One subtle change that adversely impacted the performance of the Duke zone was Tre’s lack of quick mobility after his injury (on both ends, actually).  He returned and played his heart out, but I did not think he was the same player after he miraculously returned.  It is the quickness of the perimeter defenders that is designed to defend the high post, but it was somewhat missing last night.  Grayson said, “Me and Tre have to do a better job on the high post from the top.”  Coach K understood how the injury slightly slowed Duval when he said that “the injury had an impact”.  Of the future, K said of Tre, “We’ll be good if he’s good.”  Duke depends on the top perimeter to “contest” when the ball goes into the high post.  If the perimeter cannot do so, the ball gets into the high post without “contest” from the outside perimeter. Then, with the back outside defenders up high to contest attempted 3s from around the foul line extended, UNC is 2 on 1 against the middle defender – Carter or Bolden (in the first half; he had only 1 minute in the second half).  They were heroic – Carter had 4 blocks – a couple crucial and some truly remarkable — but UNC still made the zone pay.  The zone did transform for Duke’s desperate stretch run.  Coach K’s team has been practicing adding a trap to the zone, and that is what Duke went to during the comeback.  With 5:33 to go, UNC led by 16 (72-56).  UNC did not effectively score again!!! [I don’t count Pinson’s 2 free throws with 3 seconds left].  Duke did not lose the game because of its defense.

The Offense

UNC won the game with its defense, offensive rebounding and sheer hustle-desire.  Duke turnovers were the direct result of superb Tarheel defense.  UNC got their hands on many Duke passes, even when they did not result in turnovers.  Duke was sloppy (Tre couldn’t really go after the injury) with only 13 assists against the 18 turnovers.  Only 4 Duke players scored in the entire game.  Grayson (40 minutes), Marvin (39) and Trent (38) played almost the entire game.  Carter and Duval each logged 30 minutes.  Bolden had 2 blocks and a rebound in his 7 minutes (only 1 in the second half).  Alex played 9 minutes (only 3 in the second half) with 0 points and 2 turnovers.  Javin played only 6 minutes (4 in the second half), committing 2 fouls for the total of his stats for the night.

Trent led Duke in scoring with 20, leading the comeback by going to the basket instead of launching from 3. He was 7-16 from the field; 2-7 from deep and 4-4 from the line.  He added 6 rebounds and 3 steals for his best all-around game in a while.  Marvin had 19 points (7-13; 0-1 from deep; and 5-6 from the line to go with 13 boards (team high) and a block.  He did turn it over 4 times, however.  Grayson scored 16 (4-11; 4-10 from deep, which means he took only 1 shot inside the arc; and 4-5 from the line.  He grabbed 4 rebounds, had 4 assists, 4 turnovers and committed 4 fouls.  Carter had a superb second half after a less than scintillating opening stanza.  In 16 second half minutes, he scored 11 of his 14 (3-4 from inside; 5-6 from the line.  He had 9 boards for the game.  Tre did not score (0-6 from the field; 0-3 from deep; without getting to the line).  He had 7 assists, but 5 turnovers.  The bench was essentially non-existent in the second half (9 total minutes for 5 positions).  I credit a superbly coached UNC defense and game plan.  Unfortunately, UNC deserved to win.  Btw, hats off to Johnny Tarheel, who predicted the outcome in advance.

Duke’s Comeback

Grayson cut the 16 point lead to 13 with a 3 at the 5:20 mark.  After a Trent steal and a Duval turnover, Grayson hit Carter for a layup with 4:18 to go (Duke down 11).  Bagley was fouled when he grabbed his second offensive rebound in the sequence and made both foul shots with 3:34 left.  Bagley blocked Maye, but Carolina retained possession, missed 3 shots after having retrieved 3 offensive rebounds on that single possession before Grayson stole the ball from Pinson.   But Pinson drew an offensive foul from Marvin before Johnson missed a 3, which was rebounded by Bagley; when Trent missed, Carter grabbed the offensive rebound, hit Duval who found Grayson in the corner for a 3.  Duke down 6 with 1:47 left.  Berry missed a 3, but Williams got another Carolina offensive rebound.  Duval stole it from May (perimeter help from the top against the pass into the high post) who got it to Trent for a critical 3.  Duke down 3 with 50 seconds left.  Carter made a great defensive play and stole the ball from Maye with 24 seconds left.  Grayson committed an offensive foul with 17 seconds left before Duke’s defensive pressure forced a Pinson turnover with 11 seconds left.  Grayson tried to fake Maye off his feet from 3, but Luke did not bite and Grayson’s desperate off balance miss was all she wrote.

Coach K acknowledged his team has “an incredible will to win” but came up short in the face of giving up so many offensive rebounds and turnovers.

Grayson’s flagrant foul

I saw it a bit differently – in a way that I have not yet heard mentioned.  Grayson was coming back down court to the Duke offensive end with his back to the Carolina basket when he was inadvertently run into from behind.  His immediate reaction was a hip check.  Whether it should have been called a flagrant foul or not, I leave to Jay Bilas, but what I am sure of is that it was not a deliberate attempt to impede; rather, it was an instinctive reflex from being run into unexpectedly from behind.  Coach K’s dry comment was, I thought, on the money.  When one writer asked him about it, his response was, “Do you think that was the only hip check administered in this game?”  In Shakespearean terms, “Much Ado About Nothing”.

NCAA Tournament

Coach K was positive about Duke in the NCAA tournament after the UNC game.  “We are ready for the tournament.  We played well against Notre Dame.  We are better prepared than a month ago and we are better for these two games in Brooklyn.”

Let’s hope for a mirror image of last year: Duke beat UNC in the semi-finals of the ACC tournament, but UNC won the National championship.  I also point out that in 2015, Duke was also beaten in the semi-finals of the ACC tournament (by Notre Dame) before winning the National Championship. ☺

Duke is the #2 seed in the Midwest and opens against Iona (15th seed) on Thursday.  If Duke wins, the Blue Devils meet the winner of Rhode Island (#7) against Oklahoma (10) on Saturday.  It’s a one weekend, four team tournament.

DUKE 89 – IONA 67 

What a difference a week makes. Last week in the ACC Tournament against North Carolina, Tre Duval severely injured his ankle and struggled through the worst game (0 points, 5 turnovers) of his brief but up and down career. Today, Tre Duval looked like a totally different player—the point guard he was advertised to be. All season long, teams have practically begged Tre to shoot the three so they could double down on Bagley. Early in the game, Tre hit four threes in a row, drove in control, and played with the purpose and confidence of a seasoned point guard.  While, like a lot of mid-majors, Iona is loaded with guards but undersized front court players, it was Tre Duval his backcourt teammates Allen and Trent, who dominated play and fueled this win. Of course, Bagley and Carter made their usual contributions. This might have been the most polished and complete offensive game the Blue Devils have played this year—and, despite the rather porous first half defense, held Iona, a team that averages over 80 points a game, to under 70.

What makes the NCAA Tournament so compelling is that any team can win any game. Buffalo not only won its first ever tournament game, they humiliated highly touted but ethically challenged  #4 Arizona and proving that there are basketball gods who attempt to fix what the seeding committee rendered asunder. (Virginia, everyone’s #1 seed presumably had to go through Arizona or Kentucky and Cincinnati just to get to the Sweet Sixteen, while Duke has to beat Michigan State and Kansas to get there. Carolina has the easiest bracket. It appears that the seeding committee rewarded the programs that bend/break the rules and punished the programs that have better academic and admission standards.)

The ACC had a disappointing first day. North Carolina State, Virginia Tech and Miami all lost. Whatever you say about the ACC though at least it’s not the PAC-12, which didn’t make it out of Thursday night .

Reggie Miller, one of the greatest shooter in NBA history hitting 2,560 3-pointers in his 18 year career with the Indiana pacers, and an outspoken announcer had some interesting comments: Duke was the most talented team in the field, the refs were judging Grayson Allen  differently than other players but he should not stop playing with an “edge”— embrace it as Reggie himself did his entire career.

Alan Adds:

Duke opened with fire, and fire power in the opening half.  The offense has rarely been better.  Bagley, Tre and Grayson played all 20 minutes while Trent and Carter were each spelled for 5 minutes (DeLaurier 7 and Bolden 3).  The Devils shot 62% from the field (21-34) and 56% from deep (9-16, led by Duval’s 3-4; and Bagley’s bomb).  Duke had 14 assists on 21 field goals (Duval 6 and Grayson 5; each with only 1 turnover), and dominated offensively from the perimeter and the interior.

Defensively, the Blue Devils can revel over their second half performance, but not how it played in the opening stanza.  In the first half, Iona shredded the zone early.  Iona shot 55% (16-29) and 4-9 from deep.  The Gaels had 13 assists  on 16 baskets.  Almost no field goal attempts – even the missed shots – were contested.  Duke’s transition defense was lazy and gave up some long passes and scores.  Iona scored 39 points in the first half.  Duke’s great offense made it easy to overlook the defensive shortcomings.

However that all changed after the halftime intermission.  Duke’s defense was simply superb in the second half.  Iona got almost no uncontested looks, and Duke began to turn the Gaels over.  What happened?  Coach K said that Jeff Capel, at the half, suggested a tweak to the defense that turned the tide, but did not say what it the tweak was.  I’ll take a crack at it.  It was not dramatic, but it seemed to me that Duke employed a half court trapping defense that really bothered Iona.  It stopped the transition offense, created turnovers, and pressured the Gael guards, who, I thought, tired — partly as a result of the intense pressure.  Once Iona went into its half-court offense, Duke brought its outside back defenders up even higher to contest the 3s that had been falling, while at the same time, the perimeter player away from the ball dropped down to defend against the pass into the high post.  Iona was 1-15 from deep and scored only 20 second half points in the first 16 minutes.  Duke was able to rest its starters as the lead ballooned.  Carter played only 9 second half minutes; Duval 11, Bagley 12, Trent 13 and Grayson 16.  The bench got experience – playing good defense, though the offense drooped a bit with the bench on the floor.

Duke was able to rest its starters while the Rhode Island Rams, Duke’s opponent tomorrow (Saturday), beat Oklahoma in a tense overtime game.  Perhaps an advantage for the Devils.  The Rams had a terrific regular season going 15-3 while winning the regular season A-10 title and achieving a top 25 ranking (22 in the final coach’s poll).  However, RI slumped a bit at season’s end, losing 2 of 3 regular season games and the finals of the tournament (to Davidson, who also beat them in the regular season finale).  Nevertheless, it would be dangerous to underrate RI (two ESPN prognosticators picked RI to upset Duke), because of their talented and very experienced backcourt.  We will find out Saturday whether the Duke season has ended or it is on to the Sweet 16 next week.

DUKE 87 – RHODE ISLAND 62 

Duke started slowly, fell behind, then switched Grayson to the point and with ten minutes to go went on a 28-7 run to lead 45-28 at the break. These first two tournament games were against small, guard oriented teams which were severely overmatched down low. However, in both game all three Blue Devil guards were hitting, so the outcome was seldom in doubt. For health and/or strategic reasons, Duval and Allen appear to be sharing ball handling duties. It is paying dividends as Duval’s turnovers are down (3 in the last 5 games) and he is much more accurate from beyond the arc (a regular season 27 per center is 5-for-9 in these two NCAA tournament games).

The team appears to be maturing, peaking, and comfortable, even embracing, the spotlight. I think the two main catalysts are the switch to the zone and Grayson Allen being the steady leader, who has become the straw that stirs the drink for this talented team. He knows that scoring is not usually an issue with these teammates, so leads by putting that last on his to-do list and showing other ways to play winning basketball. However, the fact that the players adapted so well switching to the Amoeba Zone (trademark pending) has definitely been the catalyst for the team playing at another level. It makes them more efficient and is less enervating. Since the change, they are holding opponents to an average of under 70 points a game while scoring in the 80’s.

If this team avoids foul trouble, Allen, Trent, and Duval continue to hit threes as they did in Pittsburgh, and  Duval values the ball, continues to defend with energy, controlling Carter and Bagley inside is going to be nearly impossible. As far a depth is concerned (at tournament time, Coach K defines depth as two bench players), the Blue Devils are getting quality minutes from Marques Bolden, who is the most improved player on the team, and Javin DeLaurier. 

A note of caution: Even though Rhode Island head coach Dan Hurley said: “They played an A-plus game. They looked like an NBA team out there with their size and length in this tournament”, Duke has yet to meet a team that comes close to matching them in size or talent. That all changes next week. 

The win was the 1,099th victory of Krzyzewski’s career, pushing him past former Tennessee woman’s coach Pat Summitt for the most Division I wins ever in either men’s or women’s basketball. It was also the 93rd in the NCAA tournament for Krzyzewski — 17 more than Roy Williams, his counterpart at archrival North Carolina, and 28 more than Dean Smith, who tortured him during his early years at Duke. This will also be the 23rd time he’s coached the second weekend of the tournament. Twelve of those previous 22 trips resulted in Final Four appearances, five of them in national championships. “I’ve won a lot of games, and that’s great. But I’ve had a lot of great players, coach at a great school, and am in good health. I’ve got two new knees and two new hips, so basically I have a new body.”

March Sadness:

As had been well documented, #1 University of Virginia had a stunning, unprecedented first round loss to #16 University of Maryland-Baltimore County. What three time national coach of the year Tony Bennett said after the game just demonstrates he and his program is held in such high esteem: “I told our guys, we had a historic season. A historic season in terms of most wins in the ACC. A week ago we’re cutting down the nets and the confetti is falling. And then we make history by being the first one-seed to lose. I’m sure a lot of people will be happy about that. And it stings. I told the guys, this is life. It can’t define you. You enjoyed the good times and you gotta be able to take the bad times. When you step into the arena, the consequences can be historic losses, tough losses, great wins, and you have to deal with it. That’s the job.”

March Madness:

There was even more carnage Sunday: #2 North Carolina, a 10 loss team which this year apparently can only play well against Duke, was decisively defeated by #7 Texas A&M; #11 Syracuse, which many did think should have had a bid, beat media darling #3 Michigan State in one of the ugliest games of the year; #7 Nevada rallied from 22 down to stun #2 Cincinnati; #9 Florida State rallied to beat #1 Xavier;

#5 Clemson blitzed #4 Auburn by 31. The selection committee should consider another line of work. Even a casual fan would not have seeded the tournament so that Villanova, Duke, Michigan State, Kansas, and Purdue–all arguably #1 seeds—were in the same half of the draw.

Occupy the Sweet Sixteen: Even though highly seeded Virginia and North Carolina lost this weekend, four ACC teams—Duke, Florida State, Clemson, and Syracuse–comprise 25% of the teams remaining. Unfortunately, three—Duke, Syracuse & Clemson– are in the Midwest bracket.

Alan Adds:

After a stress-free win, where Duke played what might have been its best game of the year at both ends of the court, it might be easy to overlook, Coach K’s coaching genius early in the game.  Duke started sloppily.  Duval was at the point and Duke turned it over 5 times in the early going.  Tre missed his first 3 and with only 4:12 having elapsed and Duke trailing 9-5, Coach K sent DeLaurier in for Tre, moving Grayson to the point.  The turnovers stopped, and the defense tightened, but Duke still was not scoring.  Tre returned after a shade over 3 minutes on the bench with Duke still trailing 11-10.  In a little over a minute, Duke took the lead and never looked back.   Coach K said that the team was “a little nervous” at the start and did not get the looks they wanted.  When Tre re-entered the game, he was the Tre he has been in the last few games (since the second half of the season finale against UNC), and the offense began to roll as well as it has all season with Tre and Grayson sharing the initiation of the offense.   In the next 5+ minutes Duke moved the lead from 1 to 17 (35-18) and the game turned out to be basically over.

The Defense

This might have been Duke’s best defensive game all season.  The zone was very efficient after the first four minutes.  Rhode Island had 9 points after 3:58 had been played.  In the next 16 minutes, the Rams tallied 19 points for a total of 28 at the half.  Rhode Island’s high scorer all season (and in the win over Oklahoma) was Jared Terrell.  (for the year, he averaged 17 ppg and hit 75 3s).  Duke’s defensive game plan was to keep him off the 3-point line and shut him down.  In the first half he scored a single point (0-5 from the field; 0-2 from deep; 1-2 from the line.  By the time he did any damage, it was late in the second half and the game was over.  He scored 9 in that half for a total of 10.  Grayson said, “we gave up a 3 early, and then we were really good.”

The Zone was agile, mobile and even hostile in protecting the rim.  Rhode Island could not get the ball into the middle of the zone because of the zone’s mobility and the play of the perimeter player away from the ball.  The length and quickness of the Duke defenders (and especially credit Marvin Bagley whose defense on the back outside of the zone is improving almost magically) gave Rhode Island no uncontested shots from deep.  Occasionally, the Rams did get the ball to their interior, where they met fierce opposition at the rim. Carter, Bagley, DeLaurier and Bolden altered Ram attempts and protected the rim as well as Duke has done all year.  Coach K concurred with Grayson, “our defense was really good.”  He pointed out that Duke is not giving up free throw attempts to the other team in the zone.  The Rams did not get to the double bonus in either half, committing only 15 fouls for the game (4 by Carter).

It is true that Rhode Island was too small to effectively attack the rim. Defending as the tournament continues will be a much taller (no pun intended) order.  Still, the defense jelling into dramatic efficiency is a great sign and reminds me of how the 2015 national championship team jelled on defense to make its championship run.  Justice Winslow’s defense led that turnaround.  I have the feeling that Bagley on the outside and Tre on top are analogous catalysts.  However, before we leave the defense, let us recognize that Grayson has been playing simply outstanding perimeter defense.  He gets long rebounds, deflects passes to the post, and is the floor general on the defensive end as well.

The Offense

The first half (after the four minute mark) produced absolutely beautiful basketball.  The Devils shot 54% from the floor and had 8 assists on 15 hoops.  The perimeter was 6-12 from deep (Bagley missed 1 so the team was 6-13).  After the first flurry of turnovers, Duke had only 2 more in the half.  The offense flourished from both the perimeter and the interior with balanced scoring.  Trent and Grayson played all 20 minutes, while Bagley played 19.  Carter had two fouls and played 12 excellent minutes.  Duval played all but the 3 minutes early, described above.  All of Duke’s 45 first half points came from the starters and were equally distributed among them.  Trent scored 11 (4-8 from the field; 3-6 from deep); Duval 10 (3-8; 1-3; and 3-3 from the line – I thought when he made all 3 after being fouled on a 3 point attempt, his confidence rose visibly); Carter 9 (4-4 from the field and 1-1 from the line); Bagley 8 (2-3 with his only miss being a 3 point attempt, and 4-5 from the line.  He is turning into a reliable foul shooter – what a bonus for Duke); and Grayson 7 (2-5; both goals were 3s in his 3 first half attempts from deep; he was 1-1 from the line – a four-point play).  Grayson does not shoot unless Duke needs points.  In the second half when Duke did not, he attempted only a single shot (1-1 from deep), 10 points for the game.

Duke, led by a phenomenal performance by Bagley, was never threatened in the second half.  Bagley scored 14 second half points on 6-7 shooting from the floor, including his only 3 point attempt of the second half and 1-2 at the line.  All the starters were in double figures at the end – Trent 18, Carter 13, Duval 11 and Grayson 10.  Duke shot 57% for the game and 10-21 from deep (50% in the second half) and 79% from the line.  It is hard to quibble with a performance like this one.

The Bench

Coach K has now established a 7 man rotation (De Laurier and Bolden).  White, O’Connell, Goldwire and JRob were strictly confined to mop up time.  Bolden had 6 rebounds and an assist in 11 minutes, scoring 2 on 2 free throw attempts.  DeLaurier played 18 minutes (1 minute less than Carter) and had a gaudy stat line – 6 points on 2-2 from the field and 2-4 from the line to go with 7 rebounds and outstanding defense in the zone.  He is still fouling (3) and turning it over (2), but he brings energy and speed when he comes in.  Duke’s bench has become a valuable asset.

On To Omaha (Midwest Regional)

First, Syracuse’s upset of Michigan State sets up another “trap” game for Duke.  Duke will take the court for its Sweet 16 game against Syracuse on Friday, March 23 in the late game (9:37 scheduled start). Duke handled Syracuse easily (60-44) in late February and could face #1 seed Kansas in the elite 8, should the Blue Devils again beat the Orange.  That is just the situation the team faced when playing St. John’s in New York and Virginia Tech in the penultimate regular season game.  I worry about Duke looking ahead to playing whoever has won the early game when Kansas faces Clemson in the other Regional semi-final that will tip off on Friday at 7:07.   Let us hope that this team has learned its “trap game” lessons.

Virginia and Xavier, both # 1 seeds, did not make it to the Sweet 16; nor did #2 seeds UNC and Cincinnati; nor did # 3 seeds Michigan State and Tennessee; nor did # 4 seeds Arizona, Wichita State and Auburn.  The ACC was involved in losing and defeating a #1 seed (Florida State took down Xavier with a great late game rally). The ACC (Duke, Clemson, Florida State and Syracuse) and Big 12 (Kansas, Texas Tech, West Virginia and Kansas State) each have four teams advancing (who could have predicted that the ACC would have four teams advance and that UVa and UNC would not be among them?); The SEC (Kentucky and Texas A&M) and Big 10 (Purdue and Michigan) have two each.  The Big East (Villanova), Missouri Valley (Loyola), Mountain West (Nevada) and West Coast (Gonzaga) conferences each have one.  The # 1 seeds still left are Villanova and Kansas; #2s are Purdue and Duke; #3s Michigan and Texas Tech; and #4 Gonzaga).

Handling “The Vicissitudes of the Tournament”

In my business, I have to discuss “the vicissitudes of litigation” when the client and I are deciding whether a proposed settlement of a case is superior to going to trial.  Trial, like this tournament, offers spectacular rewards and devastating defeats (disasters), and in some sense is unknowable prior to the trial.  Both Tony Bennett, after UVA’s shocking loss, and ‘Ole Roy, after UNC’s equally shocking humiliation appeared at difficult press conferences.  Both ACC teams had been heavily favored and had reasonable Championship aspirations, which were devastatingly demolished unexpectedly.   Bennett’s press conference was remarkable.  Bill quoted some of it above, and I wrote to several UVA friends (and ex-wife) how proud they should be of such a candid wise and eloquent understanding of life and some of its unpleasant lessons.  Coach K actually praised Bennett’s post-disaster press conference in his post Rhode Island press conference.  Class recognized class.  On the other hand, ’Ole Roy’s press conference sounded like the “before” part of a “before/after” mental health advertisement.

DUKE 69 – SYRACUSE 65 

If you predicted this result halfway through the season, raise your hand: Duke’s defense and free throws win a Sweet Sixteen Tournament game. The Blue Devils forced 16 turnovers, 8 steals, and hit 20-28 free throws to squeeze, not peel, a win from the Orange!

This game was a coaches chess match. Syracuse Coach Jim Boeheim had the advantage of being the Zen Zone-Meister who, while they coached the USA basketball team, turned his buddy Coach K onto some of the nuances of his pride and joy defense. He also had the advantage of practicing against it all these years. Syracuse is anything but a scoring juggernaut, so they play tenacious defense and methodical, boring offense. So, ever resourceful Coach Boeheim made a few changes from their regular season game in Cameron. He strategically positioned and coached his players to attack the underbelly of Duke’s zone and beat them on the boards, which they successfully did until the Blue Devils made a late first half run—aided by ‘Cuse big men foul trouble- to take a seven point lead into the locker room.

Unfortunately, in the second half, Duke came out flat or trap or young or whatever and Syracuse quickly cut into Duke’s lead. Then came the turning point of the game. Coach K called a timeout, ripped off his jacket, and tore into his team with some constructive Chicago Criticism. Fortunately, the TV feed didn’t capture it verbatim. That wasn’t necessary, K’s body language told the story. The rest of the game mostly resembled the pace and accuracy of a game from the 1950’s as the Devils could get ahead but not gain comfortable separation. As we have often stressed–and this tournament certainly proved– you cannot allow a lesser team hang around, because with the three point line and officials being human, anything can happen. Fortunately, ‘Cuse just did not have the consistent firepower to take advantage of Duke’s guards awful (5-26) three point shooting.

Ultimately Duke prevailed by Grayson Allen and Marvin Bagley repeatedly imitating Joe Montana and Dwight Clark  and throwing passes over the zone, (unfortunately, they only counted for two not six points but the embarrassment factor doubled the pleasure), Carter started rebounding like the real man he is, and Trent finally sealed the deal with a deuce and two free throws. In limited minutes, Bolden and O’Connor both made a few critical contributions. But in a close  game like this, every positive play is critical to achieving a win.

Other Observations:

  • Coach K had an interesting response to a question about what he thinks about when his players miss so many open shots. He said that he always tells his players to keep shooting and don’t think back, think forward. His example was Grayson not letting the misses affect the rest of his game. He had 8 assists, only 1 turnover, a critical late game two, three free throws, and made a strategic foul at the end of the game.
  • Tre Duval was a disappointing non-factor. He only had 4 assists but 3 turnovers, was 1-7 from the floor, and 1 steal. That is probably why Grayson Allen ran the offense.
  • Bagley has already been named a first-team All-American by Sporting News and the United States Basketball Writers Association (USBWA). Should he earn first-team honors from the Associated Press (which is released next week), he would become the 22nd consensus first-team All-American in Duke history and the 18th under head coachMike Krzyzewski.

Alan Adds

As predicted in my last “Alan Adds”, this was truly a “trap” game for Duke.  My definition of trap is where circumstances (past record; Vegas line etc.) make the favorite subconsciously believe in an inevitable victory.  The result is that the other team wins all the loose balls; 50-50 plays; shooting goes off; and upsets happen (See Duke v St. Johns and Virginia Tech in the regular season; UVA, UNC, Xavier and others in this tournament).  Syracuse was emotionally charged and intense while Duke was not.  For example, in the first half there were 15 rebounds off Duke’s defensive glass; Syracuse corralled 9 of them.  The Orange got every loose ball.  Yet, Duke persevered.  The difference from the catastrophic trap game that nailed UVA and UNC was that Duke won!  Kudos to Coach K for riding this team to a win under surprisingly tough circumstances (the timeout at the start of the second half, as Bill points out, was an attitude changer).

The Defense

Duke’s main game plan was to take away Syracuse’s 3 point shooting.  This was accomplished throughout the game (The Orange shot 31% from deep; 14% in the second half).  While Duke played excellent defense in the first half, holding Syracuse to 27 points (in spite of all those offensive rebounds) and forcing 12 turnovers, while committing only 5 first half fouls, Boeheim’s offensive design shredded the Duke zone in the second half.  He is a great coach.  The Orange were 13-18 from inside the arc in the second half and drew 11 Duke fouls.  Fortunately for the Blue Devils, Syracuse stunk from the stripe (60%; 9-15) and the 3 point line (1-7).  Syracuse scored 38 second half points, probably their best offensive output in many a moon.  After forcing 12 first half turnovers, Duke had only 2 second half steals and the Orange had only 4 second half turnovers.  The starters all played the entire second half, except for Carter, who was spelled by Bolden for just 3 minutes.  Duval played all 20 second half minutes after logging only 11 in the opening stanza.  Duke relapsed on defense in the second half.

The Offense

Syracuse’s zone was quite effective, but might not have been if the Duke guards had been able to hit the many wide open three point opportunities presented.  Duke had an advantage on the interior (especially when Chukwu was forced to the bench by foul trouble trying to handle Duke’s bigs; he was able to stay on the court for only 29 minutes), which forced the Syracuse zone to pack it in and leave Duke’s guards open from behind the arc.  But the Devils could not take advantage.  Consider Duke was 2-18 from deep in the second half – Grayson was 1-10; Trent 1-5; Duval 0-3 —  5-26 for the game.  If Duke shoots anywhere near its season average, the game is a blowout.  Such horrendous 3 point shooting cost UVA and UNC dearly, while Duke managed to survive.  Duke moved the ball against the zone and was patient.  The results were checkered, but sufficient.  The Blue Devils had 13 assists and only 7 turnovers – a measly 2 in the second half.  Duke shot free throws (20-28; 9-12 in the second half) better than The Orange (11-17; 9-15 in the second half).  Duval was a liability in his 31 minutes (1-7 from the field; 0-3 from deep without getting to the foul line) with 4 assists, but 3 turnovers. Aside from his 2 points and a deuce from Bolden, all of Duke’s 69 came from the 4 other starters: Bagley had 22; Grayson, 15; Carter and Trent, 14.  Grayson had 8 assists with only a single turnover.  Although his shot failed to fall, Grayson ran the team with aplomb and leadership.  Bagley was brilliant in the second half with 13 of his points and all of his rebounds in that stanza.  Strangely, he had only 1 defensive rebound.  He was unable to get back to help under the defensive board when he stretched out to cover the perimeter shooter in Duke’s zone.  In 39 minutes he was 8-12 from the field (and the recipient of many of Grayson’s assists on lobs for dunks) and 6-8 from the line.  He sucked up much of Syracuse’s defensive attention.  Carter (33 minutes) was 8-11 from the line (putting Chukwu in foul trouble); 3-6 from the field to go with 12 boards (8 defensive), a block (seemed to me he had more than one) and a steal with only a single turnover.  Trent was 5-13 from the field; 2-8 from deep, and a glorious 2-2 from the stripe.  He also contributed 5 boards.  He had a crucial deuce in addition to the game winning free throws.

Winning Time

Duke kept the lead throughout the second half even though it occasionally shrunk to a single point.  Basically the lead stayed between 9 and 3 throughout the second half.  With 4:13 to go, Duke had a 9 point lead on Grayson’s jumper from inside the arc.  That lead should have been safe, but was not.  After a timeout, Brissett got inside the zone for a layup (62-55 with 3:53 left).  Carter missed a jumper, but Bagley was fouled when he rebounded the miss.  When Bagley missed the second foul shot, Duval fouled Howard for Duke’s 9th foul of the period (double bonus from there on). Howard missed the front end of the one and one.  Bagley missed a layup and the Duke defense was lazy giving up Syracuse’s only three of the second half to Battle (63-58 with 2:22 left).  After a timeout, Trent missed a wide open 3 with 1:59 left; Brissett missed a layup, but Duke gave up the offensive rebound to Chukwu.  Brissett then hit a jumper to cut the lead to 63-60 with 1:26 left.  Trent responded with a drive and tear drop with only 51 seconds left (65-60).  Carter inexplicably fouled Howard well away from the hoop; Howard’s two foul shots cut the lead back to 3 with :41 seconds left.  Syracuse was forced to foul.  Grayson made a pair (67-62 with 21 seconds left).  Battle missed a 3, but Duke gave up another offensive rebound when Dolezaj tipped in the miss.  67-64 with 13 seconds left.  Grayson was fouled and (gasp!) missed the front end of a one and one.  With 7 seconds left, Coach K ordered the foul rather than allow the Orange a three point attempt that would have tied the game.  Howard missed the first and made the second.  Trent was fouled on the inbounds with 6 seconds left and dramatically made both to finally assure Duke’s win.  It was not vintage Duke at winning time.  But neither was it “losing time”.

The Bench

DeLaurier, Bolden and O’Connell all played about 5 minutes in the first half and contributed.  Duke stretched out to the lead when Alex replaced Duval.  He grabbed 2 key rebounds and made a great pass to Grayson for a 3; he also had a steal, but missed his only shot and committed a foul.  Only Bolden played in the second half.

Kansas on Sunday

Duke takes on the #1 seed, Kansas, who looked pretty awesome for most of the game against Clemson.  Winner goes to the Final Four.  I am hoping to write more than one final “Alan Adds” this season!

Next game: Sunday: No. 1 Kansas vs. No. 2 Duke. 5:05 pm. CBS.

DUKE 81 – KANSAS 85 

Coulda, shoulda, woulda… Up three with :30 seconds to go, this was a game Duke could have won, should have won, would have won– usually wins. But Kansas got stops, made a shot and Duke didn’t. Carter couldn’t convert at the rim, Kansas made a clever pass out of a double team and Mykhailiuk, who was only 2-8 and missed his last two, made an NBA three.  Still the Blue Devils would have won but Allen’s hanging, hard bank shot at the buzzer bounced around then off  of the backboard and rim multiple times before falling harmlessly to the floor. Those are the breaks of the game and the bottom line is that Kansas had Newman (32 points), made more 6 more three points shots and outrebounded Duke 47-32. Only 9 steals and forcing 18 turnovers kept the game in question. Kansas methodically carved up Duke’s zone and Newman was hot and Duke’s guards were not. When Tre Duval is Duke’s leading scorer, you know it was not a normal night on the hardwood for the Blue Devils. Considering all the stats, it is rather amazing that the game actually went into overtime. However, Carter’s foul trouble culminating in a very questionable fifth foul, probably was the critical development of the game– a  player averaging almost a double-double for the season was limited to just twenty-two cautious minutes that only produced 10 points and 2 rebounds.

The truth is that this very talented but young team has been inconsistent all season losing to Boston College, N.C. State, Virginia, St. Johns, Virginia Tech, and UNC twice. Only the exceptional talent of Bagley, Carter, Trent, Allen, and, sometimes, Duval enabled them to obscure the fact that the maturity and cohesion developed over years of playing in a program usually wins close games. Every talented team, even one with Marvelous Marv, occasionally runs out of Miracles. Tonight, a tough, experienced Kansas team had the edge in maturity and the execution—and the basketball gods decided tonight was their night.

Alan adds:

This was a truly wonderful college basketball game.  That one sentence almost entirely sums up my post-game feeling.  I couldn’t find sadness, though I am sorry for the season to end a week sooner than I would have liked.

I didn’t think there was much of a difference between the quality of the two teams.  If they played a best of 7 series, I believe there would be a 7th game.  However, for last night’s game,  I’m not sure the analysis of the game is more complex than Newman’s shots went in (he scored all of Kansas’s 13 points in the overtime) and Grayson’s did not.  The game was there for Duke to win in regulation.  The Devils led by 3 and had the ball with a little over 30 seconds to go.  Carter got a superb look up close, and if the shot falls, Duke wins.  But, as we know, it did not.  But what cost Duke the game was the next defensive effort.  Graham started to the hoop going right and passed out to Mykhalliuk set up just above the foul line extended.  In the Duke zone, it is the place where the back outside defender comes out to contest the three or drive the shooter off the line.  Carter did not do that.  He took a step toward Mykhalliuk but then inexplicably retreated to cover the corner, leaving the shooter amazingly wide open.  Tie game.  Kansas defended Bagley when it counted and Grayson was heroic, but his shot did not go in.

In the overtime, Duke was crippled when the controversial block-charge call went against Carter for his fifth foul with 2:49 left and the score tied at 76.  Duke scored only 6 in the overtime (I am not counting Grayson’s last 3 when it didn’t matter; Duke actually scored 9 in the overtime), and none after Duval’s jumper tied the game at 78 with 2:36 to go. Duke turned it over 3 crucial times in the overtime after that.  Bagley took only 1 shot (2 points) and Duval went 2-3 (the other 4 points), but his only miss will be remembered.  With Kansas up 81-78, Duke had the ball with 52 seconds to go. Grayson passed to Marvin in the post; Marvin made a beautiful touch pass to Duval in the corner, as the defense began to collapse on him.  With :36 seconds left, Duval was wide open in the corner with a shot he had to take.  Had it gone, the game would have been tied.  With the clock winding down, Duke had to foul and the game dragged to its sorrowful conclusion.  The Duke shortcoming was illuminated in the rebounding statistics.  Duke was a terrific rebounding team all year, yet, Kansas simply manhandled the young Devils off the boards.  The Jayhawks corralled 17 offensive rebounds (Duke had 22 defensive rebounds) while whipping Duke on the boards 47-32.  Partly Carter’s foul trouble, but really just Kansas’s desire.

This was an interesting team all year with amazing talent, but full of the inconsistency of youth.  Perhaps the last game (especially Grayson’s play in it) was the perfect encapsulation of the season – a splendid, yet disappointing, performance that was punctuated by joy, admiration, frustration and ultimately failure.  But, it was a fun ride.  I have no complaints about Duke basketball’s 2017-18 season!

In Conclusion:

As the fortunate and appreciative beneficiaries of our education at Duke University, Alan and I again close the season with a short historical narrative that may give some insight into why we have such pride and affection for our alma mater and why we take the time and make the effort to stay in touch with alumni and friends through the love of the game of basketball.

Folklore has it that after Princeton University declined James Buchannan Duke’s offer of a very generous bequest with the caveat to change the name of the school to Duke University, he established the Duke Endowment with $40,000,000 and made the same offer to little, nearby Trinity College with two caveats: change the name to Duke University (after his father Washington Duke) and build it to look like Princeton. When Mr. Duke died a year later in 1925, he left the Endowment an additional $67,000,000. Adjusted for present value, Mr. Duke’s total gifts would amount to more than $1.5 billion today.

Whatever the truth, building a campus as beautiful as Duke, establishing rigorous entrance and educational standards, then building  nationally ranked football and basketball (as well as baseball, golf, tennis, and lacrosse) teams were the lynchpins of the meteoric rise of Duke University as an elite institution (Yale on steroids is how one of former President Brodhead’s students characterized the school). It could not have happened without all of these elements –and it would be difficult to maintain that status without preserving a dual excellence in both academics and athletics.

While the whole is more than the sum of the parts, successful athletic teams have provided the university with free publicity that otherwise would not be affordable– first through print and radio, then through television. The athletic teams have increasingly been the lens through which Duke University is viewed by the general public and which, in turn throws a spotlight on  the rest of an exceptional institution. The truth of the matter is that while Coach K and his basketball program is the latest and most successful in a long, proud history of Duke Athletics, it is not just that his and other teams have won, it was the way they have won and the kind of players with whom they have won– and graduated.

A case can be made that Duke has come further, faster than any Top Ten University. Athletic Director Eddie Cameron was a major catalyst. He had the foresight to see that excellence in athletics was quickest way to attract national attention to a young, ambitious university. In 1930, he hired football coach Wallace Wade away from Alabama following his third national championship with the Crimson Tide. By the mid 1930’s Duke had a powerful football team that attracted national attention and played in the 1938 and 1942 Rose Bowls. From $400,000 of the proceeds of the 1942 Rose Bowl (played at Duke because of concerns about Japanese attacks on the West Coast), Mr. Cameron built Duke Indoor Stadium (fittingly renamed Cameron Indoor Stadium), which was, at the time, the second largest basketball arena (next to the Palestra in Philadelphia) in the East. Fortunately, the legendary Dick Groat matriculated shortly thereafter and a great basketball tradition was established, then embellished by Vic Bubas in the 1960’s, Bill Foster briefly in the 1970’s, and for the last thirty-eight  years the living legend Coach Mike Krzyzewski.

Alan adds:  Duke has always had athletic teams that presented the university in the light that we all admire.  There have been no academic short cuts to success.  I wasn’t around for the Wallace Wade days, but no person in college athletics has had a more profound impact on his university, college basketball, and the national sports scene than Coach K.  I think it puts the point perfectly that Coach K runs a leadership course at the Fuqua Business school.  He is, in fact, a leader who happens to coach basketball.  He makes us proud because he seems to be able to do everything the right way.  His involvement with our Olympic team and USA Basketball brings great even more prestige to Duke.

I do think his program epitomizes the ideal of college athletics.  His players grow under his tutelage, not just as basketball players, but from boys to men (even in what might be just one season for some of the freshmen).  There is no coach now active that has his resume as a teacher, leader and icon.  There are other coaches who may be his basketball equal, but none of them is in the same league for accomplishments as a human being and as, what he really is– an educator.  I’m not sure this could happen at a different institution (Stanford, maybe).  Duke is a perfect blend of the old Greek philosophy of keen mind and strong body.  The basketball program is seamlessly a profound and important part of the university, and enhances all that Duke does and promotes.

I join Bill in saying what a pleasure our writing has been for us.  I have reveled in the effort and enjoyed the camaraderie with a treasured friend (and ex-intramural doubles partner – 58 years later it still rankles that we lost in the finals!).

We thank you for allowing us to share our thoughts with you this season.   Next Play.